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| { | |
| "version": "v3_temporal_cv", | |
| "method": "Expanding window temporal CV + final 85/15 holdout", | |
| "total_matches_temporal": 4068, | |
| "total_matches_combined": 1634, | |
| "trained_at": "2026-03-24T07:02:09.920112-03:00", | |
| "cutoff_date": "2026-03-17T12:20:12", | |
| "expanding_cv_results": { | |
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| }, | |
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| }, | |
| "cat": { | |
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| }, | |
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| }, | |
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| }, | |
| "stacking": { | |
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| "auc_std": 0.0279, | |
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| } | |
| }, | |
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| "n_folds": 5 | |
| }, | |
| "lgb": { | |
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| "auc_std": 0.0518, | |
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| }, | |
| "cat": { | |
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| }, | |
| "logreg": { | |
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| }, | |
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| }, | |
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| } | |
| }, | |
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| "auc_std": 0.0521, | |
| "n_folds": 5 | |
| }, | |
| "lgb": { | |
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| "auc_std": 0.0566, | |
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| }, | |
| "cat": { | |
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| }, | |
| "logreg": { | |
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| }, | |
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| } | |
| }, | |
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| "auc_std": 0.0504, | |
| "n_folds": 5 | |
| }, | |
| "lgb": { | |
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| "auc_std": 0.053, | |
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| }, | |
| "cat": { | |
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| }, | |
| "logreg": { | |
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| }, | |
| "mlp": { | |
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| }, | |
| "stacking": { | |
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| "auc_std": 0.0461, | |
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| } | |
| }, | |
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| "xgb": { | |
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| "auc_std": 0.0456, | |
| "n_folds": 5 | |
| }, | |
| "lgb": { | |
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| }, | |
| "cat": { | |
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| }, | |
| "logreg": { | |
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| }, | |
| "mlp": { | |
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| }, | |
| "stacking": { | |
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| "auc_std": 0.0334, | |
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| } | |
| }, | |
| "temporal_only_@25min": { | |
| "xgb": { | |
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| "auc_std": 0.0367, | |
| "n_folds": 5 | |
| }, | |
| "lgb": { | |
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| "auc_std": 0.037, | |
| "n_folds": 5 | |
| }, | |
| "cat": { | |
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| }, | |
| "logreg": { | |
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| }, | |
| "mlp": { | |
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| }, | |
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| } | |
| }, | |
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| "n_folds": 5 | |
| }, | |
| "lgb": { | |
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| }, | |
| "cat": { | |
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| }, | |
| "mlp": { | |
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| "stacking": { | |
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| "auc_std": 0.0161, | |
| "n_folds": 5 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "PRE-DRAFT (team+player)": { | |
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| "auc_std": 0.0225, | |
| "n_folds": 5 | |
| }, | |
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| "stacking": { | |
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| "auc_std": 0.0235, | |
| "n_folds": 5 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "POST-DRAFT (team+player+draft)": { | |
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| "auc_std": 0.0362, | |
| "n_folds": 5 | |
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| "lgb": { | |
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| "cat": { | |
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| "logreg": { | |
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| }, | |
| "DRAFT_ONLY": { | |
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| "cat": { | |
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| "n_folds": 5 | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "PLAYER_ONLY": { | |
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| "n_folds": 5 | |
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| } | |
| }, | |
| "COMBINED_ALL_@5min": { | |
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| "n_folds": 5 | |
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| "lgb": { | |
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| }, | |
| "cat": { | |
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| "logreg": { | |
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| "mlp": { | |
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| } | |
| }, | |
| "COMBINED_ALL_@10min": { | |
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| "n_folds": 5 | |
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| }, | |
| "COMBINED_ALL_@15min": { | |
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| } | |
| }, | |
| "COMBINED_ALL_@20min": { | |
| "xgb": { | |
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| "auc_std": 0.0382, | |
| "n_folds": 5 | |
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| "lgb": { | |
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| } | |
| } | |
| }, | |
| "final_holdout_results": { | |
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| } | |
| }, | |
| "@8min": { | |
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| "logloss": 0.6696, | |
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| "lgb": { | |
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| "stacking": { | |
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| }, | |
| "@10min": { | |
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| "lgb": { | |
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| }, | |
| "@15min": { | |
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| "lgb": { | |
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| "cat": { | |
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| }, | |
| "@20min": { | |
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| "lgb": { | |
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| } | |
| }, | |
| "@25min": { | |
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| "lgb": { | |
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| "cat": { | |
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| } | |
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| "@30min": { | |
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| }, | |
| "lgb": { | |
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| "logloss": 0.6034, | |
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| } | |
| } | |
| } | |
| } |