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import os
import re
import pandas as pd
try:
from huggingface_hub import InferenceClient
except ImportError as exc:
raise ImportError(
"huggingface_hub is required for AI assistant support. "
"Install it with `pip install huggingface_hub`."
) from exc
from analytics.performance_analysis import generate_metric_view
HF_MODEL_ID = os.environ.get("HF_MODEL_ID", "Qwen/Qwen2.5-7B-Instruct")
HF_TOKEN = os.environ.get("HUGGINGFACE_API_TOKEN")
HF_MAX_TOKENS = int(os.environ.get("HF_MAX_TOKENS", 1024))
HF_TEMPERATURE = float(os.environ.get("HF_TEMPERATURE", 0.3))
RISK_METRICS = ["30+@3", "30+@6", "60+@6", "Yr1 NCL"]
GROUPING_MAP = {
"fico": "fico_band",
"fico_band": "fico_band",
"channel": "sourcing_channel",
"sourcing_channel": "sourcing_channel",
"city": "city_tier",
"city_tier": "city_tier",
"occupation": "occupation_type",
"occupation_type": "occupation_type"
}
def _detect_date_column(df: pd.DataFrame):
candidates = [
"reporting_month",
"observation_date",
"observation_month",
"obs_date",
"date",
"calendar_month",
"month",
"report_date"
]
for c in candidates:
if c in df.columns:
return c
return None
def _filter_by_month(df: pd.DataFrame, as_of_month: str | None):
if not as_of_month or as_of_month == "All":
return df.copy()
date_col = _detect_date_column(df)
if date_col is None:
return df.copy()
ser = pd.to_datetime(df[date_col], errors="coerce").dt.to_period("M").astype(str)
return df[ser == as_of_month].copy()
def _fmt_pct(value):
try:
return f"{round(float(value), 2)}%"
except Exception:
return "N/A"
def build_portfolio_context(df: pd.DataFrame, as_of_month: str | None = None, segment: str | None = None):
df = _filter_by_month(df, as_of_month)
total_accounts = int(df["account_id"].nunique()) if "account_id" in df.columns else 0
open_accounts = int(df.loc[df["balance"] > 0, "account_id"].nunique()) if "balance" in df.columns else total_accounts
bad_accounts = int(df.loc[df["dpd"].fillna(0) >= 30, "account_id"].nunique()) if "dpd" in df.columns else 0
total_balance = float(df["balance"].sum(skipna=True)) if "balance" in df.columns else 0.0
ncl_cols = [c for c in df.columns if "ncl" in c.lower()]
if len(ncl_cols) > 0 and total_balance > 0:
overall_ncl_rate = df[ncl_cols[0]].sum(skipna=True) / total_balance * 100
elif total_balance > 0 and "dpd" in df.columns:
bad_balance = float(df.loc[df["dpd"].fillna(0) >= 30, "balance"].sum())
overall_ncl_rate = bad_balance / total_balance * 100
else:
overall_ncl_rate = None
if overall_ncl_rate is None:
overall_ncl_rate_text = "N/A"
else:
overall_ncl_rate_text = _fmt_pct(overall_ncl_rate)
if "fico_score" in df.columns:
avg_fico = round(df["fico_score"].dropna().mean(), 1)
elif "fico_band" in df.columns:
def band_mid(val):
try:
lo, hi = val.split("-")
return (int(lo) + int(hi)) / 2
except Exception:
return None
mid_vals = df["fico_band"].dropna().apply(band_mid).dropna()
avg_fico = round(mid_vals.mean(), 1) if not mid_vals.empty else None
else:
avg_fico = None
as_of_month_text = (
"all data" if as_of_month == "All" else (as_of_month or "latest available")
)
lines = [
f"As of month: {as_of_month_text}",
f"Total accounts: {total_accounts}",
f"Open accounts: {open_accounts}",
f"Bad accounts (dpd>=30): {bad_accounts}",
f"Overall NCL rate: {overall_ncl_rate_text}",
f"Average FICO: {avg_fico if avg_fico is not None else 'N/A'}"
]
if segment and segment in df.columns:
segment_summary = (
df.groupby(segment)
.agg(
accounts=("account_id", "nunique"),
balance=("balance", "sum"),
bad_balance=("balance", lambda x: x[df.loc[x.index, "dpd"].fillna(0) >= 30].sum() if "dpd" in df.columns else 0)
)
.reset_index()
)
if "balance" in df.columns:
segment_summary["ncl_rate"] = (segment_summary["bad_balance"] / segment_summary["balance"] * 100).round(2).fillna(0)
else:
segment_summary["ncl_rate"] = 0
lines.append(f"Segment breakdown by {segment}:")
for _, row in segment_summary.sort_values("ncl_rate", ascending=False).head(5).iterrows():
lines.append(
f" - {row[segment]}: accounts={int(row['accounts'])}, balance={row['balance']:.0f}, ncl={_fmt_pct(row['ncl_rate'])}"
)
return "\n".join(lines)
def _extract_json(text: str):
match = re.search(r"\{.*\}", text, re.S)
if not match:
return None
payload = match.group(0)
try:
return json.loads(payload)
except json.JSONDecodeError:
try:
cleaned = re.sub(r"[\n\r]+", " ", payload)
cleaned = re.sub(r"(['\"])?([a-zA-Z0-9_]+)(['\"])?\s*:\s*", r'"\2": ', cleaned)
return json.loads(cleaned)
except Exception:
return None
def _extract_grouping(question: str, segment: str | None = None):
lower = question.lower()
for keyword, group_col in GROUPING_MAP.items():
if keyword in lower:
return group_col
return segment if segment else None
def _extract_metrics(question: str):
lower = question.lower()
selected = []
for metric in RISK_METRICS:
if metric.lower() in lower:
selected.append(metric)
return selected if selected else ["All"]
def _infer_data_request(question: str, as_of_month: str | None = None, segment: str | None = None):
client = _get_inference_client()
prompt = (
"You are a data planning assistant for a risk analytics system. "
"Translate the user's natural language question into a structured data request. "
"Return only valid JSON with keys: data_req, grouping, metrics, as_of_month, segment. "
"data_req should be a list containing one or more of: [\"vintage\", \"calendar\", \"portfolio\", \"classification\"]. "
"grouping should be one of [\"fico_band\", \"sourcing_channel\", \"city_tier\", \"occupation_type\"] or null. "
"metrics should be [\"All\"] or a list of one or more of: [\"30+@3\", \"30+@6\", \"60+@6\", \"Yr1 NCL\"]. "
"as_of_month should be the requested month in YYYY-MM format, or \"All\" if the query wants full data or no explicit month."
"segment should be the selected UI segment value or null.\n\n"
"Example: If the query is: Analyse which vintages,the fico bands and occupation have the worst performance as of 2024-11."
"The output will be a list with data_req having vintage,grouping key will have fico_band and occupation_type,metrics will have 30+@3, 30+@6, 60+@6, Yr1 NCL,as_of_month will have 2024-11.\n\n"
"Question: " + question + "\n"
"Selected UI month: " + (as_of_month or "All") + "\n"
"Selected UI segment: " + (segment or "None") + "\n"
)
response = client.chat.completions.create(
model=HF_MODEL_ID,
messages=[
{"role": "system", "content": "You are a system that returns only JSON structured data requests."},
{"role": "user", "content": prompt}
],
max_tokens=200,
temperature=0.0,
top_p=0.95
)
print(response.choices[0].message.content)
text = response.choices[0].message.content if hasattr(response, 'choices') else str(response)
spec = _extract_json(text)
if not spec:
spec = {
"data_req": [],
"grouping": _extract_grouping(question, segment),
"metrics": _extract_metrics(question),
"as_of_month": as_of_month or "All",
"segment": segment or None
}
if not spec.get("data_req"):
q_lower = question.lower()
reqs = []
if any(token in q_lower for token in ["vintage", "booking", "trend", "performance"]):
reqs.append("vintage")
if any(token in q_lower for token in ["month", "calendar", "snapshot", "as of"]):
reqs.append("calendar")
if any(token in q_lower for token in ["segment", "classification", "ranking", "category", "group"]):
reqs.append("classification")
if not reqs:
reqs.append("portfolio")
spec["data_req"] = reqs
spec["as_of_month"] = spec.get("as_of_month") or as_of_month or "All"
spec["grouping"] = spec.get("grouping") or _extract_grouping(question, segment)
spec["metrics"] = spec.get("metrics") or ["All"]
spec["segment"] = spec.get("segment") or segment or None
return spec
def _build_vintage_context(df: pd.DataFrame, grouping: str | None = None, metrics: list[str] | None = None):
metrics = metrics or ["All"]
if metrics == ["All"]:
metrics = RISK_METRICS
lines = ["Vintage performance context:"]
for metric in metrics:
try:
view = generate_metric_view(df, metric_name=metric, group_col=grouping)
if view.empty:
continue
rate_col = [c for c in view.columns if "rate" in c.lower()][0]
if grouping:
top_rows = view.sort_values(rate_col, ascending=False).head(3)
lines.append(f"{metric} top vintage/group combinations:")
for _, row in top_rows.iterrows():
lines.append(
f" - vintage {row['booking_vintage']}, {grouping}={row[grouping]}, rate={_fmt_pct(row[rate_col])}"
)
else:
highest = view.sort_values(rate_col, ascending=False).head(1).iloc[0]
lowest = view.sort_values(rate_col, ascending=True).head(1).iloc[0]
lines.append(
f"{metric}: highest vintage {highest['booking_vintage']} at {_fmt_pct(highest[rate_col])}, "
f"lowest vintage {lowest['booking_vintage']} at {_fmt_pct(lowest[rate_col])}."
)
except Exception:
continue
return "\n".join(lines)
def _build_calendar_context(df: pd.DataFrame, as_of_month: str | None):
if not as_of_month or as_of_month == "All":
return ""
month_df = _filter_by_month(df, as_of_month)
if month_df.empty:
return f"No data found for {as_of_month}."
month_lines = [f"Calendar month performance context for {as_of_month}:"]
month_lines.append(f" - Total accounts: {month_df['account_id'].nunique() if 'account_id' in month_df.columns else 0}")
if 'balance' in month_df.columns:
month_lines.append(f" - Total balance: {month_df['balance'].sum(skipna=True):.0f}")
if 'dpd' in month_df.columns:
month_lines.append(f" - Accounts with dpd>=30: {month_df.loc[month_df['dpd'].fillna(0) >= 30, 'account_id'].nunique() if 'account_id' in month_df.columns else 0}")
return "\n".join(month_lines)
def _build_context_from_spec(df: pd.DataFrame, spec: dict):
sections = []
if 'portfolio' in spec.get('data_req', []):
sections.append(build_portfolio_context(df, as_of_month=spec.get('as_of_month'), segment=spec.get('segment')))
if 'calendar' in spec.get('data_req', []):
calendar_section = _build_calendar_context(df, spec.get('as_of_month'))
if calendar_section:
sections.append(calendar_section)
if 'vintage' in spec.get('data_req', []):
vintage_section = _build_vintage_context(df, grouping=spec.get('grouping'), metrics=spec.get('metrics'))
if vintage_section:
sections.append(vintage_section)
if 'classification' in spec.get('data_req', []):
classification = build_portfolio_context(df, as_of_month=spec.get('as_of_month'), segment=spec.get('segment'))
if classification:
sections.append(classification)
if not sections:
sections.append(build_portfolio_context(df, as_of_month=spec.get('as_of_month'), segment=spec.get('segment')))
return "\n\n".join(sections)
def _get_inference_client():
if not HF_TOKEN:
raise RuntimeError(
"HUGGINGFACE_API_TOKEN is required for AI assistant. "
"Set it in your environment before running the app."
)
return InferenceClient(token=HF_TOKEN)
def generate_ai_answer(question: str, df: pd.DataFrame, as_of_month: str | None = None, segment: str | None = None):
request_spec = _infer_data_request(question, as_of_month=as_of_month, segment=segment)
context = _build_context_from_spec(df, request_spec)
prompt = (
"Provide a detailed analytical interpretation based only on the provided context.\n\n"
"Data request spec:\n" + json.dumps(request_spec, indent=2) + "\n\n"
"Context:\n" + context + "\n\n"
"Question: " + question + "\n\n"
"Answer as a risk manager with practical, concise guidance."
)
print(context)
client = _get_inference_client()
messages = [
{"role": "system", "content": """You are a senior retail credit risk analyst reviewing portfolio monitoring outputs for a credit card business.
Your role is to interpret portfolio risk trends using the provided analytical context and respond like an experienced risk analyst preparing insights for a portfolio review discussion.
Focus on:
- identifying the most important deterioration patterns
- comparing segments and vintages
- highlighting concentration of risk
- assessing severity and consistency of deterioration
- identifying unusual or contradictory patterns
- suggesting plausible drivers or hypotheses
- recommending focused next-step investigations or actions
Do NOT give generic business advice.
Do NOT simply restate the numbers.
Do NOT hallucinate missing data.
Do NOT assume causality unless supported by the context.
You MAY provide cautious hypotheses when patterns strongly suggest possible drivers, but explicitly label them as hypotheses rather than facts.
Your response should prioritize analytical insight over description.
Structure the response into the following sections:
1. Key Risk Observations
- Highlight the most important portfolio signals
- Focus on deterioration severity, segment concentration, and vintage behavior
- Compare across groups where relevant
2. Risk Interpretation
- Explain what the observed patterns may imply for portfolio health
- Identify whether deterioration appears broad-based or concentrated
- Mention whether the issue appears temporary, structural, seasoning-related, or segment-driven
3. Potential Drivers / Hypotheses
- Suggest possible explanations cautiously
- Mention underwriting, channel mix, customer quality, macro effects, or operational factors only if supported by the data pattern
4. Recommended Investigations / Actions
- Suggest practical next analyses or monitoring actions
- Examples:
- deeper drilldown by channel
- compare booking mix shifts
- investigate policy changes
- monitor recent vintages closely
- review underwriting in affected segments
5. Caveats / Data Limitations
- Mention important limitations if the data is insufficient for strong conclusions
Important behavioral rules:
- Prioritize signal over coverage
- Focus on the highest-risk combinations first
- Treat sharp vintage spikes as important
- Treat repeated deterioration across metrics as more serious
- If high-FICO segments are deteriorating unusually, explicitly call that out
- Distinguish between isolated anomalies and broad deterioration
- Use concise but analytical language
- Sound like an experienced portfolio analyst, not a generic chatbot"""},
{"role": "user", "content": prompt}
]
response = client.chat.completions.create(
model=HF_MODEL_ID,
messages=messages,
max_tokens=HF_MAX_TOKENS,
temperature=HF_TEMPERATURE,
top_p=0.95
)
print(response.choices[0].message.content)
output_text = response.choices[0].message.content if hasattr(response, 'choices') else (response[0].get('generated_text') if isinstance(response, list) else str(response))
return output_text
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