Spaces:
Sleeping
Sleeping
Delete ml_filter.py
Browse files- ml_filter.py +0 -234
ml_filter.py
DELETED
|
@@ -1,234 +0,0 @@
|
|
| 1 |
-
"""
|
| 2 |
-
ml_filter.py — Production inference wrapper for the trained probability filter.
|
| 3 |
-
|
| 4 |
-
Integration point in the pipeline:
|
| 5 |
-
|
| 6 |
-
Rule Engine Output
|
| 7 |
-
│
|
| 8 |
-
▼
|
| 9 |
-
build_feature_dict() ← feature_builder.py
|
| 10 |
-
│
|
| 11 |
-
▼
|
| 12 |
-
TradeFilter.predict() ← THIS MODULE
|
| 13 |
-
│
|
| 14 |
-
├─► prob < threshold → SKIP (no trade)
|
| 15 |
-
│
|
| 16 |
-
└─► prob >= threshold → risk_engine.evaluate_risk()
|
| 17 |
-
│
|
| 18 |
-
▼
|
| 19 |
-
Position sizing → Execution
|
| 20 |
-
|
| 21 |
-
Usage:
|
| 22 |
-
filter = TradeFilter.load()
|
| 23 |
-
result = filter.predict(regime_data, volume_data, scores)
|
| 24 |
-
if result.approved:
|
| 25 |
-
risk = evaluate_risk(..., regime_confidence=result.probability)
|
| 26 |
-
"""
|
| 27 |
-
|
| 28 |
-
import json
|
| 29 |
-
import logging
|
| 30 |
-
from dataclasses import dataclass
|
| 31 |
-
from pathlib import Path
|
| 32 |
-
from typing import Dict, Any, Optional
|
| 33 |
-
|
| 34 |
-
import numpy as np
|
| 35 |
-
|
| 36 |
-
from ml_config import MODEL_PATH, THRESHOLD_PATH, DEFAULT_PROB_THRESHOLD, FEATURE_COLUMNS
|
| 37 |
-
from feature_builder import build_feature_dict, feature_dict_to_matrix, validate_features
|
| 38 |
-
|
| 39 |
-
logger = logging.getLogger(__name__)
|
| 40 |
-
|
| 41 |
-
|
| 42 |
-
@dataclass
|
| 43 |
-
class FilterResult:
|
| 44 |
-
"""Structured output from the probability filter."""
|
| 45 |
-
probability: float # P(win) from the model [0, 1]
|
| 46 |
-
threshold: float # current threshold
|
| 47 |
-
approved: bool # probability >= threshold
|
| 48 |
-
feature_dict: Dict # raw features (for logging/debugging)
|
| 49 |
-
reject_reason: str = "" # why rejected, if applicable
|
| 50 |
-
|
| 51 |
-
def __str__(self) -> str:
|
| 52 |
-
status = "APPROVED" if self.approved else f"REJECTED ({self.reject_reason})"
|
| 53 |
-
return f"FilterResult: p={self.probability:.4f} thresh={self.threshold:.4f} → {status}"
|
| 54 |
-
|
| 55 |
-
|
| 56 |
-
class TradeFilter:
|
| 57 |
-
"""
|
| 58 |
-
Singleton-friendly inference wrapper.
|
| 59 |
-
Thread-safe for read operations (predict). Not safe for concurrent reloads.
|
| 60 |
-
"""
|
| 61 |
-
|
| 62 |
-
def __init__(self, backend, threshold: float):
|
| 63 |
-
self._backend = backend
|
| 64 |
-
self._threshold = threshold
|
| 65 |
-
self._n_calls = 0
|
| 66 |
-
self._n_approved = 0
|
| 67 |
-
|
| 68 |
-
@classmethod
|
| 69 |
-
def load(cls, model_path: Path = MODEL_PATH, threshold_path: Path = THRESHOLD_PATH) -> "TradeFilter":
|
| 70 |
-
"""
|
| 71 |
-
Load model and threshold from disk.
|
| 72 |
-
Falls back to DEFAULT_PROB_THRESHOLD if threshold file missing.
|
| 73 |
-
Returns None if model file doesn't exist (not yet trained).
|
| 74 |
-
"""
|
| 75 |
-
import joblib
|
| 76 |
-
|
| 77 |
-
if not model_path.exists():
|
| 78 |
-
logger.warning(
|
| 79 |
-
f"Model file not found at {model_path}. "
|
| 80 |
-
f"Run train.py first. TradeFilter will return None from predict()."
|
| 81 |
-
)
|
| 82 |
-
return None
|
| 83 |
-
|
| 84 |
-
backend = joblib.load(model_path)
|
| 85 |
-
logger.info(f"Loaded model from {model_path}")
|
| 86 |
-
|
| 87 |
-
threshold = DEFAULT_PROB_THRESHOLD
|
| 88 |
-
if threshold_path.exists():
|
| 89 |
-
with open(threshold_path) as f:
|
| 90 |
-
data = json.load(f)
|
| 91 |
-
threshold = float(data.get("threshold", DEFAULT_PROB_THRESHOLD))
|
| 92 |
-
logger.info(f"Loaded threshold={threshold:.4f} from {threshold_path}")
|
| 93 |
-
else:
|
| 94 |
-
logger.warning(f"Threshold file not found. Using default={threshold:.4f}")
|
| 95 |
-
|
| 96 |
-
return cls(backend=backend, threshold=threshold)
|
| 97 |
-
|
| 98 |
-
@classmethod
|
| 99 |
-
def load_or_none(cls) -> Optional["TradeFilter"]:
|
| 100 |
-
"""Convenience: returns None if model not yet trained (no crash)."""
|
| 101 |
-
try:
|
| 102 |
-
return cls.load()
|
| 103 |
-
except Exception as e:
|
| 104 |
-
logger.warning(f"Could not load TradeFilter: {e}")
|
| 105 |
-
return None
|
| 106 |
-
|
| 107 |
-
def predict(
|
| 108 |
-
self,
|
| 109 |
-
regime_data: Dict[str, Any],
|
| 110 |
-
volume_data: Dict[str, Any],
|
| 111 |
-
scores: Dict[str, Any],
|
| 112 |
-
) -> FilterResult:
|
| 113 |
-
"""
|
| 114 |
-
Run the full inference pipeline for a single setup.
|
| 115 |
-
|
| 116 |
-
Args:
|
| 117 |
-
regime_data: Output of detect_regime()
|
| 118 |
-
volume_data: Output of analyze_volume()
|
| 119 |
-
scores: Output of score_token()
|
| 120 |
-
|
| 121 |
-
Returns:
|
| 122 |
-
FilterResult with probability and approval decision
|
| 123 |
-
"""
|
| 124 |
-
self._n_calls += 1
|
| 125 |
-
|
| 126 |
-
# Build and validate feature vector
|
| 127 |
-
try:
|
| 128 |
-
feat = build_feature_dict(regime_data, volume_data, scores)
|
| 129 |
-
except KeyError as e:
|
| 130 |
-
logger.error(f"Feature construction failed: {e}")
|
| 131 |
-
return FilterResult(
|
| 132 |
-
probability=0.0,
|
| 133 |
-
threshold=self._threshold,
|
| 134 |
-
approved=False,
|
| 135 |
-
feature_dict={},
|
| 136 |
-
reject_reason=f"FEATURE_ERROR: {e}",
|
| 137 |
-
)
|
| 138 |
-
|
| 139 |
-
if not validate_features(feat):
|
| 140 |
-
return FilterResult(
|
| 141 |
-
probability=0.0,
|
| 142 |
-
threshold=self._threshold,
|
| 143 |
-
approved=False,
|
| 144 |
-
feature_dict=feat,
|
| 145 |
-
reject_reason="INVALID_FEATURES (NaN or inf detected)",
|
| 146 |
-
)
|
| 147 |
-
|
| 148 |
-
X = feature_dict_to_matrix(feat)
|
| 149 |
-
|
| 150 |
-
try:
|
| 151 |
-
prob = float(self._backend.predict_win_prob(X)[0])
|
| 152 |
-
except Exception as e:
|
| 153 |
-
logger.error(f"Model inference error: {e}")
|
| 154 |
-
return FilterResult(
|
| 155 |
-
probability=0.0,
|
| 156 |
-
threshold=self._threshold,
|
| 157 |
-
approved=False,
|
| 158 |
-
feature_dict=feat,
|
| 159 |
-
reject_reason=f"INFERENCE_ERROR: {e}",
|
| 160 |
-
)
|
| 161 |
-
|
| 162 |
-
approved = prob >= self._threshold
|
| 163 |
-
if approved:
|
| 164 |
-
self._n_approved += 1
|
| 165 |
-
|
| 166 |
-
reject_reason = "" if approved else f"prob={prob:.4f} < threshold={self._threshold:.4f}"
|
| 167 |
-
|
| 168 |
-
return FilterResult(
|
| 169 |
-
probability=prob,
|
| 170 |
-
threshold=self._threshold,
|
| 171 |
-
approved=approved,
|
| 172 |
-
feature_dict=feat,
|
| 173 |
-
reject_reason=reject_reason,
|
| 174 |
-
)
|
| 175 |
-
|
| 176 |
-
def predict_batch(
|
| 177 |
-
self,
|
| 178 |
-
feature_dicts: list,
|
| 179 |
-
) -> np.ndarray:
|
| 180 |
-
"""
|
| 181 |
-
Batch inference for 100+ symbols simultaneously.
|
| 182 |
-
Returns array of probabilities in the same order as feature_dicts.
|
| 183 |
-
Much faster than calling predict() in a loop.
|
| 184 |
-
"""
|
| 185 |
-
valid_rows = []
|
| 186 |
-
valid_indices = []
|
| 187 |
-
|
| 188 |
-
for i, feat in enumerate(feature_dicts):
|
| 189 |
-
if validate_features(feat):
|
| 190 |
-
valid_rows.append([feat[k] for k in FEATURE_COLUMNS])
|
| 191 |
-
valid_indices.append(i)
|
| 192 |
-
|
| 193 |
-
probs = np.zeros(len(feature_dicts), dtype=np.float64)
|
| 194 |
-
|
| 195 |
-
if valid_rows:
|
| 196 |
-
X = np.array(valid_rows, dtype=np.float64)
|
| 197 |
-
batch_probs = self._backend.predict_win_prob(X)
|
| 198 |
-
for j, orig_idx in enumerate(valid_indices):
|
| 199 |
-
probs[orig_idx] = batch_probs[j]
|
| 200 |
-
|
| 201 |
-
return probs
|
| 202 |
-
|
| 203 |
-
def predict_trade_probability(self, feature_dict: Dict[str, float]) -> float:
|
| 204 |
-
"""
|
| 205 |
-
Simple scalar interface: feature_dict → float.
|
| 206 |
-
Matches the interface requested in the spec.
|
| 207 |
-
Returns 0.0 on any error.
|
| 208 |
-
"""
|
| 209 |
-
if not validate_features(feature_dict):
|
| 210 |
-
return 0.0
|
| 211 |
-
X = feature_dict_to_matrix(feature_dict)
|
| 212 |
-
try:
|
| 213 |
-
return float(self._backend.predict_win_prob(X)[0])
|
| 214 |
-
except Exception:
|
| 215 |
-
return 0.0
|
| 216 |
-
|
| 217 |
-
@property
|
| 218 |
-
def threshold(self) -> float:
|
| 219 |
-
return self._threshold
|
| 220 |
-
|
| 221 |
-
@threshold.setter
|
| 222 |
-
def threshold(self, value: float):
|
| 223 |
-
if not 0.0 < value < 1.0:
|
| 224 |
-
raise ValueError(f"Threshold must be in (0, 1), got {value}")
|
| 225 |
-
self._threshold = value
|
| 226 |
-
|
| 227 |
-
def stats(self) -> dict:
|
| 228 |
-
approval_rate = self._n_approved / self._n_calls if self._n_calls > 0 else 0.0
|
| 229 |
-
return {
|
| 230 |
-
"n_calls": self._n_calls,
|
| 231 |
-
"n_approved": self._n_approved,
|
| 232 |
-
"approval_rate": round(approval_rate, 4),
|
| 233 |
-
"threshold": self._threshold,
|
| 234 |
-
}
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|