Upload 6 files

forecaster_engine.py

@@ -107,9 +107,16 @@ def generate_predictions():
             "rule_used": f"{feature} {op} {thresh}"
         }
         
+    # Calculate aggregate metrics
+    probs = [info["probability"] for info in predictions.values()]
+    mean_accuracy = round(np.mean(probs), 2) if probs else 0.0
+    median_accuracy = round(np.median(probs), 2) if probs else 0.0
+    
     output = {
         "generated_at": datetime.now().isoformat(),
         "forecast_date": forecast_date,
+        "mean_accuracy": mean_accuracy,
+        "median_accuracy": median_accuracy,
         "predictions": predictions
     }
     

predictions.json

@@ -1,6 +1,8 @@
 {
-    "generated_at": "2026-06-18T16:56:32.759921",
-    "forecast_date": "2026-06-16",
+    "generated_at": "2026-06-18T17:42:45.810183",
+    "forecast_date": "2026-06-19",
+    "mean_accuracy": 57.62,
+    "median_accuracy": 57.5,
     "predictions": {
         "ADANIENT": {
             "prediction": "DOWN",
@@ -8,27 +10,27 @@
             "rule_used": "rsi_2 < 10"
         },
         "ADANIPORTS": {
-            "prediction": "UP",
-            "probability": 56.67,
+            "prediction": "DOWN",
+            "probability": 57.5,
             "rule_used": "dist_sma5 < 1.0"
         },
         "APOLLOHOSP": {
             "prediction": "DOWN",
-            "probability": 55.83,
+            "probability": 56.67,
             "rule_used": "rsi_2 > 10"
         },
         "ASIANPAINT": {
             "prediction": "DOWN",
-            "probability": 55.83,
+            "probability": 55.0,
             "rule_used": "dist_sma5 < 0.95"
         },
         "AXISBANK": {
-            "prediction": "UP",
+            "prediction": "DOWN",
             "probability": 59.17,
             "rule_used": "rsi_2 > 90"
         },
         "BAJAJ-AUTO": {
-            "prediction": "UP",
+            "prediction": "DOWN",
             "probability": 57.5,
             "rule_used": "rsi_2 < 40"
         },
@@ -39,7 +41,7 @@
         },
         "BAJFINANCE": {
             "prediction": "DOWN",
-            "probability": 56.67,
+            "probability": 55.83,
             "rule_used": "dist_sma5 < 1.0"
         },
         "BHARTIARTL": {
@@ -49,7 +51,7 @@
         },
         "BPCL": {
             "prediction": "DOWN",
-            "probability": 64.17,
+            "probability": 63.33,
             "rule_used": "rsi_2 < 10"
         },
         "BRITANNIA": {
@@ -59,7 +61,7 @@
         },
         "CIPLA": {
             "prediction": "DOWN",
-            "probability": 56.67,
+            "probability": 57.5,
             "rule_used": "dist_sma3 < 0.95"
         },
         "COALINDIA": {
@@ -68,7 +70,7 @@
             "rule_used": "rsi_2 < 30"
         },
         "DIVISLAB": {
-            "prediction": "UP",
+            "prediction": "DOWN",
             "probability": 57.5,
             "rule_used": "dist_sma5 < 1.0"
         },
@@ -78,18 +80,18 @@
             "rule_used": "rsi_2 < 60"
         },
         "EICHERMOT": {
-            "prediction": "DOWN",
-            "probability": 57.5,
+            "prediction": "UP",
+            "probability": 58.33,
             "rule_used": "rsi_2 < 90"
         },
         "GRASIM": {
-            "prediction": "DOWN",
+            "prediction": "UP",
             "probability": 63.33,
             "rule_used": "1d_ret < 0"
         },
         "HCLTECH": {
             "prediction": "UP",
-            "probability": 54.17,
+            "probability": 55.0,
             "rule_used": "rsi_2 > 20"
         },
         "HDFCBANK": {
@@ -99,7 +101,7 @@
         },
         "HDFCLIFE": {
             "prediction": "DOWN",
-            "probability": 63.33,
+            "probability": 62.5,
             "rule_used": "dist_sma3 < 0.98"
         },
         "HEROMOTOCO": {
@@ -114,18 +116,18 @@
         },
         "HINDUNILVR": {
             "prediction": "UP",
-            "probability": 53.33,
+            "probability": 54.17,
             "rule_used": "rsi_2 > 20"
         },
         "ICICIBANK": {
             "prediction": "DOWN",
-            "probability": 55.83,
+            "probability": 55.0,
             "rule_used": "dist_sma5 < 0.98"
         },
         "INDUSINDBK": {
-            "prediction": "DOWN",
-            "probability": 54.17,
-            "rule_used": "rsi_2 < 30"
+            "prediction": "UP",
+            "probability": 55.0,
+            "rule_used": "rsi_2 > 70"
         },
         "INFY": {
             "prediction": "DOWN",
@@ -138,7 +140,7 @@
             "rule_used": "dist_sma3 < 0.95"
         },
         "JSWSTEEL": {
-            "prediction": "DOWN",
+            "prediction": "UP",
             "probability": 61.67,
             "rule_used": "rsi_2 < 40"
         },
@@ -147,16 +149,16 @@
             "probability": 53.33,
             "rule_used": "rsi_2 < 10"
         },
+        "LT": {
+            "prediction": "DOWN",
+            "probability": 57.5,
+            "rule_used": "1d_ret < 0"
+        },
         "LTIM": {
             "prediction": "UP",
             "probability": 60.0,
             "rule_used": "1d_ret < 0"
         },
-        "LT": {
-            "prediction": "DOWN",
-            "probability": 58.33,
-            "rule_used": "1d_ret < 0"
-        },
         "MARUTI": {
             "prediction": "DOWN",
             "probability": 61.67,
@@ -168,22 +170,22 @@
             "rule_used": "rsi_2 < 30"
         },
         "NESTLEIND": {
-            "prediction": "UP",
+            "prediction": "DOWN",
             "probability": 57.5,
             "rule_used": "rsi_2 < 70"
         },
         "NTPC": {
             "prediction": "UP",
-            "probability": 57.5,
+            "probability": 58.33,
             "rule_used": "rsi_2 < 80"
         },
         "ONGC": {
             "prediction": "UP",
-            "probability": 58.33,
+            "probability": 59.17,
             "rule_used": "rsi_2 < 40"
         },
         "POWERGRID": {
-            "prediction": "DOWN",
+            "prediction": "UP",
             "probability": 55.0,
             "rule_used": "rsi_2 > 70"
         },
@@ -194,7 +196,7 @@
         },
         "SBILIFE": {
             "prediction": "DOWN",
-            "probability": 60.83,
+            "probability": 60.0,
             "rule_used": "1d_ret < 0"
         },
         "SBIN": {
@@ -208,13 +210,13 @@
             "rule_used": "rsi_2 > 60"
         },
         "TATACONSUM": {
-            "prediction": "UP",
+            "prediction": "DOWN",
             "probability": 57.5,
             "rule_used": "dist_sma3 < 1.0"
         },
         "TATASTEEL": {
-            "prediction": "UP",
-            "probability": 55.83,
+            "prediction": "DOWN",
+            "probability": 56.67,
             "rule_used": "rsi_2 < 10"
         },
         "TCS": {
@@ -224,12 +226,12 @@
         },
         "TECHM": {
             "prediction": "UP",
-            "probability": 57.5,
+            "probability": 58.33,
             "rule_used": "dist_sma3 < 1.02"
         },
         "TITAN": {
             "prediction": "DOWN",
-            "probability": 55.0,
+            "probability": 54.17,
             "rule_used": "rsi_2 < 40"
         },
         "ULTRACEMCO": {
@@ -239,12 +241,12 @@
         },
         "UPL": {
             "prediction": "DOWN",
-            "probability": 60.0,
+            "probability": 60.83,
             "rule_used": "dist_sma5 < 1.0"
         },
         "WIPRO": {
             "prediction": "UP",
-            "probability": 60.83,
+            "probability": 61.67,
             "rule_used": "rsi_2 > 10"
         }
     }