Risk & Execution · Live
Hourly signal from the confirmed USDCHF (1h, h=4) model, sized by the vol-target/drawdown-guard layer, run against an OANDA practice (demo) account — no real capital at risk. This IS the track record Francis's graduation rules will need.
LONG +1000
as of last dashboard rebuild — bar 2026-07-13 11:00:00 (broker time), decision logged 07/13, 04:31 UTC
Confidence
57.5%
threshold 55%
Vol-target scale
100%
of full {units} size
Drawdown guard
Armed
forces flat past -10% NAV
Close price
0.80821
Last action
dry-run (would be +1000 units, vol_scale=1.000)
Every hourly decision is logged, whether it changes the position or not — this is the honest track record, not a highlight reel. Full validated backtest behind this model: see Backtest Results.
| Bar time | Close | Confidence | Vol scale | Action | Executed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 11:00:00 | 0.80821 | 57.5% | 100% | dry-run (would be +1000 units, vol_scale=1.000) | dry-run |
| 2026-07-13 11:00:00 | 0.80821 | 57.5% | 100% | dry-run (would be +1000 units, vol_scale=1.000) | dry-run |
| 2026-07-13 11:00:00 | 0.80821 | 57.5% | 100% | hold | yes |
| 2026-07-13 10:00:00 | 0.80867 | 55.1% | 100% | dry-run (would be +1000 units, vol_scale=1.000) | dry-run |
| 2026-07-13 10:00:00 | 0.80867 | 55.1% | — | hold | yes |
| 2026-07-13 09:00:00 | 0.80933 | 55.3% | — | changed +0 -> +1 | yes |
| 2026-07-13 08:00:00 | 0.80993 | 52.4% | — | changed +1 -> +0 | yes |
| 2026-07-13 07:00:00 | 0.80940 | 55.0% | — | changed +0 -> +1 | yes |
| 2026-07-13 06:00:00 | 0.80984 | 47.6% | — | changed -1 -> +0 | yes |
| 2026-07-13 05:00:00 | 0.81024 | 43.8% | — | changed +1 -> -1 | yes |
| 2026-07-13 04:00:00 | 0.80984 | 55.7% | — | changed -1 -> +1 | yes |
| 2026-07-13 03:00:00 | 0.81023 | 43.0% | — | changed +0 -> -1 | yes |
| 2026-07-13 02:00:00 | 0.80944 | 54.7% | — | hold | yes |
| 2026-07-13 01:00:00 | 0.80994 | 51.6% | — | changed -1 -> +0 | yes |
| 2026-07-13 00:00:00 | 0.80886 | 44.5% | — | changed +0 -> -1 | yes |
| 2026-07-10 23:00:00 | 0.80839 | 51.2% | — | hold | yes |
| 2026-07-10 23:00:00 | 0.80839 | 51.2% | — | hold | yes |
| 2026-07-10 23:00:00 | 0.80839 | 51.2% | — | hold | yes |
| 2026-07-10 23:00:00 | 0.80839 | 51.2% | — | hold | yes |
| 2026-07-10 23:00:00 | 0.80839 | 51.2% | — | hold | yes |