Prompt:
TICK 0/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
A cache deploy changed the DNS bootstrap entry from cache.svc.cluster.local to 10.42.7.4 — but that IP belongs to an evicted pod. Cache is healthy in its own metrics (it's running, accepting connections from its own ClusterIP), but every other service in the topology can't reach it. The agent must trust the connectivity evidence over the service's own self-report — which is the entire point of the lesson. Variant 3 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [CRITICAL] worker: Worker session-lookup p95 latency 4200ms; ~31% of session reads time out.
- [WARNING] api-gateway: Gateway is queueing on worker; user-facing 5xx climbing.
- [WARNING] cache: Cache reports healthy from its own probes but inbound connection rate is near zero.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] sessions-redis: sessions-redis latency +12ms — different cluster, unrelated.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=38.2 mem=36.8 err=17.4 latency=494.0
- cache: healthy cpu=13.2 mem=24.2 err=0.0 latency=9.3
- database: healthy cpu=27.3 mem=33.3 err=1.0 latency=23.7
- worker: degraded cpu=24.7 mem=34.3 err=29.5 latency=4256.1

USER_IMPACT: 0.66
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.72
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: none
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Rolled out cache@2026.04.25-cac49 26 minutes ago (pinned discovery from DNS svc to hardcoded pod IP 10.42.7.4 'to reduce DNS lookups').

Prompt:
TICK 1/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
A cache deploy changed the DNS bootstrap entry from cache.svc.cluster.local to 10.42.7.4 — but that IP belongs to an evicted pod. Cache is healthy in its own metrics (it's running, accepting connections from its own ClusterIP), but every other service in the topology can't reach it. The agent must trust the connectivity evidence over the service's own self-report — which is the entire point of the lesson. Variant 3 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] sessions-redis: sessions-redis latency +12ms — different cluster, unrelated.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=36.5 mem=37.0 err=20.4 latency=484.5
- cache: healthy cpu=13.2 mem=24.2 err=0.0 latency=9.3
- database: healthy cpu=27.3 mem=33.3 err=1.0 latency=23.7
- worker: degraded cpu=26.3 mem=38.8 err=27.9 latency=4214.4

USER_IMPACT: 0.66
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.72
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Queried deploy history for cache.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

worker resolves cache via DNS-or-hardcoded-IP; cache deploy changed that resolution

Prompt:
TICK 2/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
A cache deploy changed the DNS bootstrap entry from cache.svc.cluster.local to 10.42.7.4 — but that IP belongs to an evicted pod. Cache is healthy in its own metrics (it's running, accepting connections from its own ClusterIP), but every other service in the topology can't reach it. The agent must trust the connectivity evidence over the service's own self-report — which is the entire point of the lesson. Variant 3 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] sessions-redis: sessions-redis latency +12ms — different cluster, unrelated.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=36.5 mem=37.0 err=20.4 latency=484.5
- cache: healthy cpu=13.2 mem=24.2 err=0.0 latency=9.3
- database: healthy cpu=27.3 mem=33.3 err=1.0 latency=23.7
- worker: degraded cpu=26.3 mem=38.8 err=27.9 latency=4214.4

USER_IMPACT: 0.66
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.72
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Queried dependencies for worker.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Cache logs: process up, accepting connections on 6379, but inbound rate is 0.2/s vs baseline 1800/s. Last deploy cache@2026.04.25-dns-pin pinned the discovery target from svc DNS to a hardcoded pod IP.

Prompt:
TICK 3/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
A cache deploy changed the DNS bootstrap entry from cache.svc.cluster.local to 10.42.7.4 — but that IP belongs to an evicted pod. Cache is healthy in its own metrics (it's running, accepting connections from its own ClusterIP), but every other service in the topology can't reach it. The agent must trust the connectivity evidence over the service's own self-report — which is the entire point of the lesson. Variant 3 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] sessions-redis: sessions-redis latency +12ms — different cluster, unrelated.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=36.5 mem=37.0 err=20.4 latency=484.5
- cache: healthy cpu=13.2 mem=24.2 err=0.0 latency=9.3
- database: healthy cpu=27.3 mem=33.3 err=1.0 latency=23.7
- worker: degraded cpu=26.3 mem=38.8 err=27.9 latency=4214.4

USER_IMPACT: 0.66
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.72
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Queried logs for cache.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Worker error rate 31% — every error is a TCP i/o timeout to a single dead IP.

Prompt:
TICK 4/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
A cache deploy changed the DNS bootstrap entry from cache.svc.cluster.local to 10.42.7.4 — but that IP belongs to an evicted pod. Cache is healthy in its own metrics (it's running, accepting connections from its own ClusterIP), but every other service in the topology can't reach it. The agent must trust the connectivity evidence over the service's own self-report — which is the entire point of the lesson. Variant 3 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] sessions-redis: sessions-redis latency +12ms — different cluster, unrelated.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=36.5 mem=37.0 err=20.4 latency=484.5
- cache: healthy cpu=13.2 mem=24.2 err=0.0 latency=9.3
- database: healthy cpu=27.3 mem=33.3 err=1.0 latency=23.7
- worker: degraded cpu=26.3 mem=38.8 err=27.9 latency=4214.4

USER_IMPACT: 0.66
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.72
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Queried error_rate for worker.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Prompt:
TICK 5/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
A cache deploy changed the DNS bootstrap entry from cache.svc.cluster.local to 10.42.7.4 — but that IP belongs to an evicted pod. Cache is healthy in its own metrics (it's running, accepting connections from its own ClusterIP), but every other service in the topology can't reach it. The agent must trust the connectivity evidence over the service's own self-report — which is the entire point of the lesson. Variant 3 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] sessions-redis: sessions-redis latency +12ms — different cluster, unrelated.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=36.5 mem=37.0 err=20.4 latency=484.5
- cache: healthy cpu=13.2 mem=24.2 err=0.0 latency=9.3
- database: healthy cpu=27.3 mem=33.3 err=1.0 latency=23.7
- worker: degraded cpu=26.3 mem=38.8 err=27.9 latency=4214.4

USER_IMPACT: 0.66
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.72
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Hypothesis recorded. Reward reflects root-cause accuracy, service localization, confidence calibration, and next-action quality.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Prompt:
TICK 6/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: mitigation

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
A cache deploy changed the DNS bootstrap entry from cache.svc.cluster.local to 10.42.7.4 — but that IP belongs to an evicted pod. Cache is healthy in its own metrics (it's running, accepting connections from its own ClusterIP), but every other service in the topology can't reach it. The agent must trust the connectivity evidence over the service's own self-report — which is the entire point of the lesson. Variant 3 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] cache: cache is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] sessions-redis: sessions-redis latency +12ms — different cluster, unrelated.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=36.5 mem=37.0 err=20.4 latency=484.5
- cache: degraded cpu=16.7 mem=22.6 err=2.0 latency=11.5
- database: healthy cpu=27.3 mem=33.3 err=1.0 latency=23.7
- worker: degraded cpu=26.3 mem=38.8 err=27.9 latency=4214.4

USER_IMPACT: 0.30
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.34
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Rolled back the cache deploy; the underlying cause is removed.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Prompt:
TICK 7/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: mitigation

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
A cache deploy changed the DNS bootstrap entry from cache.svc.cluster.local to 10.42.7.4 — but that IP belongs to an evicted pod. Cache is healthy in its own metrics (it's running, accepting connections from its own ClusterIP), but every other service in the topology can't reach it. The agent must trust the connectivity evidence over the service's own self-report — which is the entire point of the lesson. Variant 3 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- none

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] sessions-redis: sessions-redis latency +12ms — different cluster, unrelated.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: healthy cpu=21.9 mem=30.3 err=0.0 latency=32.1
- cache: healthy cpu=16.5 mem=26.8 err=0.0 latency=10.2
- database: healthy cpu=28.5 mem=28.9 err=0.0 latency=20.3
- worker: healthy cpu=27.6 mem=29.0 err=0.9 latency=41.7

USER_IMPACT: 0.10
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.14
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: cache restarted cleanly after the triggering cause was removed.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Prompt:
TICK 8/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: validation

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
A cache deploy changed the DNS bootstrap entry from cache.svc.cluster.local to 10.42.7.4 — but that IP belongs to an evicted pod. Cache is healthy in its own metrics (it's running, accepting connections from its own ClusterIP), but every other service in the topology can't reach it. The agent must trust the connectivity evidence over the service's own self-report — which is the entire point of the lesson. Variant 3 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- none

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] sessions-redis: sessions-redis latency +12ms — different cluster, unrelated.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: healthy cpu=21.9 mem=30.3 err=0.0 latency=32.1
- cache: healthy cpu=16.5 mem=26.8 err=0.0 latency=10.2
- database: healthy cpu=28.5 mem=28.9 err=0.0 latency=20.3
- worker: healthy cpu=27.6 mem=29.0 err=0.9 latency=41.7

USER_IMPACT: 0.10
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.14
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Ran database_recovery check.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: passed - Database is healthy and no longer failing.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Prompt:
TICK 9/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: validation

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
A cache deploy changed the DNS bootstrap entry from cache.svc.cluster.local to 10.42.7.4 — but that IP belongs to an evicted pod. Cache is healthy in its own metrics (it's running, accepting connections from its own ClusterIP), but every other service in the topology can't reach it. The agent must trust the connectivity evidence over the service's own self-report — which is the entire point of the lesson. Variant 3 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- none

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] sessions-redis: sessions-redis latency +12ms — different cluster, unrelated.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: healthy cpu=21.9 mem=30.3 err=0.0 latency=32.1
- cache: healthy cpu=16.5 mem=26.8 err=0.0 latency=10.2
- database: healthy cpu=28.5 mem=28.9 err=0.0 latency=20.3
- worker: healthy cpu=27.6 mem=29.0 err=0.9 latency=41.7

USER_IMPACT: 0.10
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.14
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Ran end_to_end check.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: passed - Database is healthy and no longer failing.
- end_to_end: passed - End-to-end login traffic is healthy.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved


Prompt:
TICK 0/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
A cache deploy changed the DNS bootstrap entry from cache.svc.cluster.local to 10.42.7.4 — but that IP belongs to an evicted pod. Cache is healthy in its own metrics (it's running, accepting connections from its own ClusterIP), but every other service in the topology can't reach it. The agent must trust the connectivity evidence over the service's own self-report — which is the entire point of the lesson. Variant 4 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [CRITICAL] worker: Worker session-lookup p95 latency 4200ms; ~31% of session reads time out.
- [WARNING] api-gateway: Gateway is queueing on worker; user-facing 5xx climbing.
- [WARNING] cache: Cache reports healthy from its own probes but inbound connection rate is near zero.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] vercel-edge: Vercel edge cache eviction event — frontend-only, unrelated.
- [WARNING] sessions-redis: sessions-redis latency +12ms — different cluster, unrelated.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=42.5 mem=38.3 err=20.2 latency=490.2
- cache: healthy cpu=13.3 mem=20.4 err=0.0 latency=8.8
- database: healthy cpu=26.9 mem=31.2 err=1.0 latency=26.0
- worker: degraded cpu=22.9 mem=36.9 err=28.0 latency=3924.4

USER_IMPACT: 0.66
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.72
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: none
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Rolled out cache@2026.04.25-cac46 9 minutes ago (pinned discovery from DNS svc to hardcoded pod IP 10.42.7.4 'to reduce DNS lookups').

Prompt:
TICK 1/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
A cache deploy changed the DNS bootstrap entry from cache.svc.cluster.local to 10.42.7.4 — but that IP belongs to an evicted pod. Cache is healthy in its own metrics (it's running, accepting connections from its own ClusterIP), but every other service in the topology can't reach it. The agent must trust the connectivity evidence over the service's own self-report — which is the entire point of the lesson. Variant 4 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] vercel-edge: Vercel edge cache eviction event — frontend-only, unrelated.
- [WARNING] sessions-redis: sessions-redis latency +12ms — different cluster, unrelated.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=41.6 mem=34.9 err=18.5 latency=523.4
- cache: healthy cpu=13.3 mem=20.4 err=0.0 latency=8.8
- database: healthy cpu=26.9 mem=31.2 err=1.0 latency=26.0
- worker: degraded cpu=21.8 mem=36.9 err=27.9 latency=3856.2

USER_IMPACT: 0.66
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.72
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Queried deploy history for cache.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

worker resolves cache via DNS-or-hardcoded-IP; cache deploy changed that resolution

Prompt:
TICK 2/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
A cache deploy changed the DNS bootstrap entry from cache.svc.cluster.local to 10.42.7.4 — but that IP belongs to an evicted pod. Cache is healthy in its own metrics (it's running, accepting connections from its own ClusterIP), but every other service in the topology can't reach it. The agent must trust the connectivity evidence over the service's own self-report — which is the entire point of the lesson. Variant 4 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] vercel-edge: Vercel edge cache eviction event — frontend-only, unrelated.
- [WARNING] sessions-redis: sessions-redis latency +12ms — different cluster, unrelated.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=41.6 mem=34.9 err=18.5 latency=523.4
- cache: healthy cpu=13.3 mem=20.4 err=0.0 latency=8.8
- database: healthy cpu=26.9 mem=31.2 err=1.0 latency=26.0
- worker: degraded cpu=21.8 mem=36.9 err=27.9 latency=3856.2

USER_IMPACT: 0.66
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.72
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Queried dependencies for worker.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Cache logs: process up, accepting connections on 6379, but inbound rate is 0.2/s vs baseline 1800/s. Last deploy cache@2026.04.25-dns-pin pinned the discovery target from svc DNS to a hardcoded pod IP.

Prompt:
TICK 3/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
A cache deploy changed the DNS bootstrap entry from cache.svc.cluster.local to 10.42.7.4 — but that IP belongs to an evicted pod. Cache is healthy in its own metrics (it's running, accepting connections from its own ClusterIP), but every other service in the topology can't reach it. The agent must trust the connectivity evidence over the service's own self-report — which is the entire point of the lesson. Variant 4 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] vercel-edge: Vercel edge cache eviction event — frontend-only, unrelated.
- [WARNING] sessions-redis: sessions-redis latency +12ms — different cluster, unrelated.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=41.6 mem=34.9 err=18.5 latency=523.4
- cache: healthy cpu=13.3 mem=20.4 err=0.0 latency=8.8
- database: healthy cpu=26.9 mem=31.2 err=1.0 latency=26.0
- worker: degraded cpu=21.8 mem=36.9 err=27.9 latency=3856.2

USER_IMPACT: 0.66
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.72
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Queried logs for cache.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Worker error rate 31% — every error is a TCP i/o timeout to a single dead IP.

Prompt:
TICK 4/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
A cache deploy changed the DNS bootstrap entry from cache.svc.cluster.local to 10.42.7.4 — but that IP belongs to an evicted pod. Cache is healthy in its own metrics (it's running, accepting connections from its own ClusterIP), but every other service in the topology can't reach it. The agent must trust the connectivity evidence over the service's own self-report — which is the entire point of the lesson. Variant 4 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] vercel-edge: Vercel edge cache eviction event — frontend-only, unrelated.
- [WARNING] sessions-redis: sessions-redis latency +12ms — different cluster, unrelated.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=41.6 mem=34.9 err=18.5 latency=523.4
- cache: healthy cpu=13.3 mem=20.4 err=0.0 latency=8.8
- database: healthy cpu=26.9 mem=31.2 err=1.0 latency=26.0
- worker: degraded cpu=21.8 mem=36.9 err=27.9 latency=3856.2

USER_IMPACT: 0.66
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.72
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Queried error_rate for worker.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Prompt:
TICK 5/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
A cache deploy changed the DNS bootstrap entry from cache.svc.cluster.local to 10.42.7.4 — but that IP belongs to an evicted pod. Cache is healthy in its own metrics (it's running, accepting connections from its own ClusterIP), but every other service in the topology can't reach it. The agent must trust the connectivity evidence over the service's own self-report — which is the entire point of the lesson. Variant 4 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] vercel-edge: Vercel edge cache eviction event — frontend-only, unrelated.
- [WARNING] sessions-redis: sessions-redis latency +12ms — different cluster, unrelated.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=41.6 mem=34.9 err=18.5 latency=523.4
- cache: healthy cpu=13.3 mem=20.4 err=0.0 latency=8.8
- database: healthy cpu=26.9 mem=31.2 err=1.0 latency=26.0
- worker: degraded cpu=21.8 mem=36.9 err=27.9 latency=3856.2

USER_IMPACT: 0.66
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.72
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Hypothesis recorded. Reward reflects root-cause accuracy, service localization, confidence calibration, and next-action quality.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Prompt:
TICK 6/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: mitigation

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
A cache deploy changed the DNS bootstrap entry from cache.svc.cluster.local to 10.42.7.4 — but that IP belongs to an evicted pod. Cache is healthy in its own metrics (it's running, accepting connections from its own ClusterIP), but every other service in the topology can't reach it. The agent must trust the connectivity evidence over the service's own self-report — which is the entire point of the lesson. Variant 4 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] cache: cache is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] vercel-edge: Vercel edge cache eviction event — frontend-only, unrelated.
- [WARNING] sessions-redis: sessions-redis latency +12ms — different cluster, unrelated.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=41.6 mem=34.9 err=18.5 latency=523.4
- cache: degraded cpu=17.3 mem=23.6 err=2.0 latency=11.6
- database: healthy cpu=26.9 mem=31.2 err=1.0 latency=26.0
- worker: degraded cpu=21.8 mem=36.9 err=27.9 latency=3856.2

USER_IMPACT: 0.30
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.34
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Rolled back the cache deploy; the underlying cause is removed.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Prompt:
TICK 7/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: mitigation

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
A cache deploy changed the DNS bootstrap entry from cache.svc.cluster.local to 10.42.7.4 — but that IP belongs to an evicted pod. Cache is healthy in its own metrics (it's running, accepting connections from its own ClusterIP), but every other service in the topology can't reach it. The agent must trust the connectivity evidence over the service's own self-report — which is the entire point of the lesson. Variant 4 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- none

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] vercel-edge: Vercel edge cache eviction event — frontend-only, unrelated.
- [WARNING] sessions-redis: sessions-redis latency +12ms — different cluster, unrelated.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: healthy cpu=24.6 mem=25.9 err=0.0 latency=32.1
- cache: healthy cpu=16.9 mem=25.9 err=0.0 latency=9.8
- database: healthy cpu=30.2 mem=31.3 err=0.0 latency=22.4
- worker: healthy cpu=23.6 mem=31.8 err=1.1 latency=36.5

USER_IMPACT: 0.10
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.14
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: cache restarted cleanly after the triggering cause was removed.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Prompt:
TICK 8/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: validation

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
A cache deploy changed the DNS bootstrap entry from cache.svc.cluster.local to 10.42.7.4 — but that IP belongs to an evicted pod. Cache is healthy in its own metrics (it's running, accepting connections from its own ClusterIP), but every other service in the topology can't reach it. The agent must trust the connectivity evidence over the service's own self-report — which is the entire point of the lesson. Variant 4 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- none

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] vercel-edge: Vercel edge cache eviction event — frontend-only, unrelated.
- [WARNING] sessions-redis: sessions-redis latency +12ms — different cluster, unrelated.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: healthy cpu=24.6 mem=25.9 err=0.0 latency=32.1
- cache: healthy cpu=16.9 mem=25.9 err=0.0 latency=9.8
- database: healthy cpu=30.2 mem=31.3 err=0.0 latency=22.4
- worker: healthy cpu=23.6 mem=31.8 err=1.1 latency=36.5

USER_IMPACT: 0.10
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.14
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Ran database_recovery check.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: passed - Database is healthy and no longer failing.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Prompt:
TICK 9/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: validation

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
A cache deploy changed the DNS bootstrap entry from cache.svc.cluster.local to 10.42.7.4 — but that IP belongs to an evicted pod. Cache is healthy in its own metrics (it's running, accepting connections from its own ClusterIP), but every other service in the topology can't reach it. The agent must trust the connectivity evidence over the service's own self-report — which is the entire point of the lesson. Variant 4 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- none

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] vercel-edge: Vercel edge cache eviction event — frontend-only, unrelated.
- [WARNING] sessions-redis: sessions-redis latency +12ms — different cluster, unrelated.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: healthy cpu=24.6 mem=25.9 err=0.0 latency=32.1
- cache: healthy cpu=16.9 mem=25.9 err=0.0 latency=9.8
- database: healthy cpu=30.2 mem=31.3 err=0.0 latency=22.4
- worker: healthy cpu=23.6 mem=31.8 err=1.1 latency=36.5

USER_IMPACT: 0.10
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.14
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Ran end_to_end check.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: passed - Database is healthy and no longer failing.
- end_to_end: passed - End-to-end login traffic is healthy.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved


Prompt:
TICK 0/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [CRITICAL] worker: Worker call rate to external dep is 30,000 RPM (baseline 600 RPM). 42% are returning 429.
- [WARNING] database: Database open-transaction count up 8x. Many transactions waiting on external dep callbacks.
- [WARNING] api-gateway: Gateway p95 720ms — every request waiting on worker waiting on external dep.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.
- [WARNING] sentry: Sentry release-health alert: error rate +200% on latest worker release (downstream signal).

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=44.0 mem=38.0 err=24.0 latency=720.0
- cache: healthy cpu=18.0 mem=24.0 err=0.0 latency=14.0
- database: degraded cpu=71.0 mem=58.0 err=14.0 latency=380.0
- worker: degraded cpu=92.0 mem=64.0 err=42.0 latency=5800.0

USER_IMPACT: 0.74
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.80
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: none
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Rolled out worker@2026.04.25-no-backoff 36 minutes ago (replaced exp-backoff retry policy with fixed 50ms interval; commit message: 'reduce p99 tail latency').

Prompt:
TICK 1/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] database: database is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.
- [WARNING] sentry: Sentry release-health alert: error rate +200% on latest worker release (downstream signal).

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=44.0 mem=38.0 err=24.0 latency=720.0
- cache: healthy cpu=18.0 mem=24.0 err=0.0 latency=14.0
- database: degraded cpu=71.0 mem=58.0 err=14.0 latency=380.0
- worker: degraded cpu=92.0 mem=64.0 err=42.0 latency=5800.0

USER_IMPACT: 0.74
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.80
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Queried deploy history for worker.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Worker logs: '429 Too Many Requests' every ~50ms; retry count climbing without backoff. Retry policy was changed in worker@2026.04.25-no-backoff 36 minutes ago (removed exponential backoff in favor of fixed 50ms interval to 'reduce p99 tail latency').

Prompt:
TICK 2/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] database: database is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.
- [WARNING] sentry: Sentry release-health alert: error rate +200% on latest worker release (downstream signal).

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=44.0 mem=38.0 err=24.0 latency=720.0
- cache: healthy cpu=18.0 mem=24.0 err=0.0 latency=14.0
- database: degraded cpu=71.0 mem=58.0 err=14.0 latency=380.0
- worker: degraded cpu=92.0 mem=64.0 err=42.0 latency=5800.0

USER_IMPACT: 0.74
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.80
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Queried logs for worker.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Worker error rate 42% — every error is a 429 from external dep that the retry loop is amplifying.

Prompt:
TICK 3/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] database: database is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.
- [WARNING] sentry: Sentry release-health alert: error rate +200% on latest worker release (downstream signal).

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=44.0 mem=38.0 err=24.0 latency=720.0
- cache: healthy cpu=18.0 mem=24.0 err=0.0 latency=14.0
- database: degraded cpu=71.0 mem=58.0 err=14.0 latency=380.0
- worker: degraded cpu=92.0 mem=64.0 err=42.0 latency=5800.0

USER_IMPACT: 0.74
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.80
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Queried error_rate for worker.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

database latency is at baseline (no incident-correlated movement); the active fault doesn't surface on this metric.

Prompt:
TICK 4/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] database: database is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.
- [WARNING] sentry: Sentry release-health alert: error rate +200% on latest worker release (downstream signal).

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=44.0 mem=38.0 err=24.0 latency=720.0
- cache: healthy cpu=18.0 mem=24.0 err=0.0 latency=14.0
- database: degraded cpu=71.0 mem=58.0 err=14.0 latency=380.0
- worker: degraded cpu=92.0 mem=64.0 err=42.0 latency=5800.0

USER_IMPACT: 0.74
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.80
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Queried latency for database.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Prompt:
TICK 5/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] database: database is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.
- [WARNING] sentry: Sentry release-health alert: error rate +200% on latest worker release (downstream signal).

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=44.0 mem=38.0 err=24.0 latency=720.0
- cache: healthy cpu=18.0 mem=24.0 err=0.0 latency=14.0
- database: degraded cpu=71.0 mem=58.0 err=14.0 latency=380.0
- worker: degraded cpu=92.0 mem=64.0 err=42.0 latency=5800.0

USER_IMPACT: 0.74
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.80
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Hypothesis recorded. Reward reflects root-cause accuracy, service localization, confidence calibration, and next-action quality.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Prompt:
TICK 6/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: mitigation

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] database: database is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.
- [WARNING] sentry: Sentry release-health alert: error rate +200% on latest worker release (downstream signal).

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=44.0 mem=38.0 err=24.0 latency=720.0
- cache: healthy cpu=18.0 mem=24.0 err=0.0 latency=14.0
- database: degraded cpu=71.0 mem=58.0 err=14.0 latency=380.0
- worker: degraded cpu=38.0 mem=42.0 err=4.0 latency=180.0

USER_IMPACT: 0.40
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.44
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Rolled back the worker deploy; the underlying cause is removed.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Prompt:
TICK 7/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: mitigation

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- none

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.
- [WARNING] sentry: Sentry release-health alert: error rate +200% on latest worker release (downstream signal).

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: healthy cpu=24.0 mem=28.0 err=0.0 latency=38.0
- cache: healthy cpu=18.0 mem=24.0 err=0.0 latency=14.0
- database: healthy cpu=32.0 mem=38.0 err=0.0 latency=28.0
- worker: healthy cpu=26.0 mem=32.0 err=1.0 latency=60.0

USER_IMPACT: 0.12
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.14
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: database restarted cleanly after the triggering cause was removed.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Prompt:
TICK 8/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: validation

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- none

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.
- [WARNING] sentry: Sentry release-health alert: error rate +200% on latest worker release (downstream signal).

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: healthy cpu=24.0 mem=28.0 err=0.0 latency=38.0
- cache: healthy cpu=18.0 mem=24.0 err=0.0 latency=14.0
- database: healthy cpu=32.0 mem=38.0 err=0.0 latency=28.0
- worker: healthy cpu=26.0 mem=32.0 err=1.0 latency=60.0

USER_IMPACT: 0.12
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.14
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Ran database_recovery check.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: passed - Database is healthy and no longer failing.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Prompt:
TICK 9/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: validation

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- none

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.
- [WARNING] sentry: Sentry release-health alert: error rate +200% on latest worker release (downstream signal).

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: healthy cpu=24.0 mem=28.0 err=0.0 latency=38.0
- cache: healthy cpu=18.0 mem=24.0 err=0.0 latency=14.0
- database: healthy cpu=32.0 mem=38.0 err=0.0 latency=28.0
- worker: healthy cpu=26.0 mem=32.0 err=1.0 latency=60.0

USER_IMPACT: 0.12
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.14
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Ran end_to_end check.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: passed - Database is healthy and no longer failing.
- end_to_end: passed - End-to-end login traffic is healthy.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved


Prompt:
TICK 0/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 1 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [CRITICAL] worker: Worker call rate to external dep is 30,000 RPM (baseline 600 RPM). 42% are returning 429.
- [WARNING] database: Database open-transaction count up 8x. Many transactions waiting on external dep callbacks.
- [WARNING] api-gateway: Gateway p95 720ms — every request waiting on worker waiting on external dep.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=43.1 mem=41.2 err=22.6 latency=717.5
- cache: healthy cpu=18.0 mem=25.9 err=0.0 latency=12.8
- database: degraded cpu=64.2 mem=60.4 err=14.3 latency=413.9
- worker: degraded cpu=98.9 mem=67.8 err=43.6 latency=5276.6

USER_IMPACT: 0.74
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.80
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: none
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Rolled out worker@2026.04.25-wor52 26 minutes ago (replaced exp-backoff retry policy with fixed 50ms interval; commit message: 'reduce p99 tail latency').

Prompt:
TICK 1/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 1 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] database: database is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=46.3 mem=34.8 err=23.6 latency=734.5
- cache: healthy cpu=18.0 mem=25.9 err=0.0 latency=12.8
- database: degraded cpu=67.3 mem=56.9 err=12.9 latency=380.9
- worker: degraded cpu=94.5 mem=67.4 err=41.5 latency=5358.5

USER_IMPACT: 0.74
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.80
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Queried deploy history for worker.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Worker logs: '429 Too Many Requests' every ~50ms; retry count climbing without backoff. Retry policy was changed in worker@2026.04.25-no-backoff 36 minutes ago (removed exponential backoff in favor of fixed 50ms interval to 'reduce p99 tail latency').

Prompt:
TICK 2/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 1 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] database: database is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=46.3 mem=34.8 err=23.6 latency=734.5
- cache: healthy cpu=18.0 mem=25.9 err=0.0 latency=12.8
- database: degraded cpu=67.3 mem=56.9 err=12.9 latency=380.9
- worker: degraded cpu=94.5 mem=67.4 err=41.5 latency=5358.5

USER_IMPACT: 0.74
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.80
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Queried logs for worker.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Worker error rate 42% — every error is a 429 from external dep that the retry loop is amplifying.

Prompt:
TICK 3/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 1 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] database: database is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=46.3 mem=34.8 err=23.6 latency=734.5
- cache: healthy cpu=18.0 mem=25.9 err=0.0 latency=12.8
- database: degraded cpu=67.3 mem=56.9 err=12.9 latency=380.9
- worker: degraded cpu=94.5 mem=67.4 err=41.5 latency=5358.5

USER_IMPACT: 0.74
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.80
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Queried error_rate for worker.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

database latency is at baseline (no incident-correlated movement); the active fault doesn't surface on this metric.

Prompt:
TICK 4/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 1 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] database: database is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=46.3 mem=34.8 err=23.6 latency=734.5
- cache: healthy cpu=18.0 mem=25.9 err=0.0 latency=12.8
- database: degraded cpu=67.3 mem=56.9 err=12.9 latency=380.9
- worker: degraded cpu=94.5 mem=67.4 err=41.5 latency=5358.5

USER_IMPACT: 0.74
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.80
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Queried latency for database.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Prompt:
TICK 5/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 1 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] database: database is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=46.3 mem=34.8 err=23.6 latency=734.5
- cache: healthy cpu=18.0 mem=25.9 err=0.0 latency=12.8
- database: degraded cpu=67.3 mem=56.9 err=12.9 latency=380.9
- worker: degraded cpu=94.5 mem=67.4 err=41.5 latency=5358.5

USER_IMPACT: 0.74
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.80
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Hypothesis recorded. Reward reflects root-cause accuracy, service localization, confidence calibration, and next-action quality.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Prompt:
TICK 6/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: mitigation

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 1 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] database: database is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=46.3 mem=34.8 err=23.6 latency=734.5
- cache: healthy cpu=18.0 mem=25.9 err=0.0 latency=12.8
- database: degraded cpu=67.3 mem=56.9 err=12.9 latency=380.9
- worker: degraded cpu=38.5 mem=45.8 err=3.6 latency=175.6

USER_IMPACT: 0.40
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.44
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Rolled back the worker deploy; the underlying cause is removed.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Prompt:
TICK 7/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: mitigation

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 1 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- none

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: healthy cpu=26.1 mem=27.0 err=0.0 latency=41.7
- cache: healthy cpu=18.0 mem=25.9 err=0.0 latency=12.8
- database: healthy cpu=30.0 mem=34.7 err=0.0 latency=28.2
- worker: healthy cpu=27.5 mem=34.1 err=1.0 latency=64.8

USER_IMPACT: 0.12
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.14
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: database restarted cleanly after the triggering cause was removed.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Prompt:
TICK 8/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: validation

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 1 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- none

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: healthy cpu=26.1 mem=27.0 err=0.0 latency=41.7
- cache: healthy cpu=18.0 mem=25.9 err=0.0 latency=12.8
- database: healthy cpu=30.0 mem=34.7 err=0.0 latency=28.2
- worker: healthy cpu=27.5 mem=34.1 err=1.0 latency=64.8

USER_IMPACT: 0.12
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.14
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Ran database_recovery check.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: passed - Database is healthy and no longer failing.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Prompt:
TICK 9/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: validation

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 1 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- none

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: healthy cpu=26.1 mem=27.0 err=0.0 latency=41.7
- cache: healthy cpu=18.0 mem=25.9 err=0.0 latency=12.8
- database: healthy cpu=30.0 mem=34.7 err=0.0 latency=28.2
- worker: healthy cpu=27.5 mem=34.1 err=1.0 latency=64.8

USER_IMPACT: 0.12
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.14
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Ran end_to_end check.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: passed - Database is healthy and no longer failing.
- end_to_end: passed - End-to-end login traffic is healthy.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved


Prompt:
TICK 0/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 2 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [CRITICAL] worker: Worker call rate to external dep is 30,000 RPM (baseline 600 RPM). 42% are returning 429.
- [WARNING] database: Database open-transaction count up 8x. Many transactions waiting on external dep callbacks.
- [WARNING] api-gateway: Gateway p95 720ms — every request waiting on worker waiting on external dep.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] sentry: Sentry release-health alert: error rate +200% on latest worker release (downstream signal).
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=42.6 mem=38.3 err=26.1 latency=739.4
- cache: healthy cpu=17.6 mem=26.1 err=0.0 latency=13.0
- database: degraded cpu=68.5 mem=54.8 err=13.5 latency=346.9
- worker: degraded cpu=93.2 mem=67.3 err=43.0 latency=5525.8

USER_IMPACT: 0.74
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.80
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: none
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Rolled out worker@2026.04.25-wor70 8 minutes ago (replaced exp-backoff retry policy with fixed 50ms interval; commit message: 'reduce p99 tail latency').

Prompt:
TICK 1/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 2 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] database: database is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] sentry: Sentry release-health alert: error rate +200% on latest worker release (downstream signal).
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=40.5 mem=40.3 err=24.7 latency=683.1
- cache: healthy cpu=17.6 mem=26.1 err=0.0 latency=13.0
- database: degraded cpu=74.1 mem=53.4 err=12.9 latency=377.4
- worker: degraded cpu=95.7 mem=65.6 err=46.2 latency=6008.4

USER_IMPACT: 0.74
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.80
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Queried deploy history for worker.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Worker logs: '429 Too Many Requests' every ~50ms; retry count climbing without backoff. Retry policy was changed in worker@2026.04.25-no-backoff 36 minutes ago (removed exponential backoff in favor of fixed 50ms interval to 'reduce p99 tail latency').

Prompt:
TICK 2/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 2 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] database: database is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] sentry: Sentry release-health alert: error rate +200% on latest worker release (downstream signal).
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=40.5 mem=40.3 err=24.7 latency=683.1
- cache: healthy cpu=17.6 mem=26.1 err=0.0 latency=13.0
- database: degraded cpu=74.1 mem=53.4 err=12.9 latency=377.4
- worker: degraded cpu=95.7 mem=65.6 err=46.2 latency=6008.4

USER_IMPACT: 0.74
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.80
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Queried logs for worker.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Worker error rate 42% — every error is a 429 from external dep that the retry loop is amplifying.

Prompt:
TICK 3/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 2 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] database: database is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] sentry: Sentry release-health alert: error rate +200% on latest worker release (downstream signal).
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=40.5 mem=40.3 err=24.7 latency=683.1
- cache: healthy cpu=17.6 mem=26.1 err=0.0 latency=13.0
- database: degraded cpu=74.1 mem=53.4 err=12.9 latency=377.4
- worker: degraded cpu=95.7 mem=65.6 err=46.2 latency=6008.4

USER_IMPACT: 0.74
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.80
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Queried error_rate for worker.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

database latency is at baseline (no incident-correlated movement); the active fault doesn't surface on this metric.

Prompt:
TICK 4/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 2 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] database: database is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] sentry: Sentry release-health alert: error rate +200% on latest worker release (downstream signal).
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=40.5 mem=40.3 err=24.7 latency=683.1
- cache: healthy cpu=17.6 mem=26.1 err=0.0 latency=13.0
- database: degraded cpu=74.1 mem=53.4 err=12.9 latency=377.4
- worker: degraded cpu=95.7 mem=65.6 err=46.2 latency=6008.4

USER_IMPACT: 0.74
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.80
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Queried latency for database.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Prompt:
TICK 5/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 2 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] database: database is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] sentry: Sentry release-health alert: error rate +200% on latest worker release (downstream signal).
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=40.5 mem=40.3 err=24.7 latency=683.1
- cache: healthy cpu=17.6 mem=26.1 err=0.0 latency=13.0
- database: degraded cpu=74.1 mem=53.4 err=12.9 latency=377.4
- worker: degraded cpu=95.7 mem=65.6 err=46.2 latency=6008.4

USER_IMPACT: 0.74
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.80
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Hypothesis recorded. Reward reflects root-cause accuracy, service localization, confidence calibration, and next-action quality.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Prompt:
TICK 6/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: mitigation

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 2 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] database: database is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] sentry: Sentry release-health alert: error rate +200% on latest worker release (downstream signal).
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=40.5 mem=40.3 err=24.7 latency=683.1
- cache: healthy cpu=17.6 mem=26.1 err=0.0 latency=13.0
- database: degraded cpu=74.1 mem=53.4 err=12.9 latency=377.4
- worker: degraded cpu=36.6 mem=42.8 err=4.3 latency=175.2

USER_IMPACT: 0.40
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.44
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Rolled back the worker deploy; the underlying cause is removed.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Prompt:
TICK 7/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: mitigation

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 2 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- none

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] sentry: Sentry release-health alert: error rate +200% on latest worker release (downstream signal).
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: healthy cpu=22.1 mem=26.6 err=0.0 latency=38.9
- cache: healthy cpu=17.6 mem=26.1 err=0.0 latency=13.0
- database: healthy cpu=35.0 mem=35.6 err=0.0 latency=25.8
- worker: healthy cpu=24.9 mem=31.0 err=1.0 latency=65.6

USER_IMPACT: 0.12
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.14
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: database restarted cleanly after the triggering cause was removed.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Prompt:
TICK 8/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: validation

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 2 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- none

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] sentry: Sentry release-health alert: error rate +200% on latest worker release (downstream signal).
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: healthy cpu=22.1 mem=26.6 err=0.0 latency=38.9
- cache: healthy cpu=17.6 mem=26.1 err=0.0 latency=13.0
- database: healthy cpu=35.0 mem=35.6 err=0.0 latency=25.8
- worker: healthy cpu=24.9 mem=31.0 err=1.0 latency=65.6

USER_IMPACT: 0.12
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.14
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Ran database_recovery check.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: passed - Database is healthy and no longer failing.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Prompt:
TICK 9/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: validation

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 2 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- none

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] sentry: Sentry release-health alert: error rate +200% on latest worker release (downstream signal).
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: healthy cpu=22.1 mem=26.6 err=0.0 latency=38.9
- cache: healthy cpu=17.6 mem=26.1 err=0.0 latency=13.0
- database: healthy cpu=35.0 mem=35.6 err=0.0 latency=25.8
- worker: healthy cpu=24.9 mem=31.0 err=1.0 latency=65.6

USER_IMPACT: 0.12
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.14
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Ran end_to_end check.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: passed - Database is healthy and no longer failing.
- end_to_end: passed - End-to-end login traffic is healthy.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved