Prompt:
TICK 0/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 3 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [CRITICAL] worker: Worker call rate to external dep is 30,000 RPM (baseline 600 RPM). 42% are returning 429.
- [WARNING] database: Database open-transaction count up 8x. Many transactions waiting on external dep callbacks.
- [WARNING] api-gateway: Gateway p95 720ms — every request waiting on worker waiting on external dep.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=45.7 mem=37.7 err=24.0 latency=661.9
- cache: healthy cpu=16.4 mem=21.8 err=0.0 latency=12.8
- database: degraded cpu=68.4 mem=62.2 err=14.0 latency=396.5
- worker: degraded cpu=100.0 mem=63.6 err=41.9 latency=5745.9

USER_IMPACT: 0.74
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.80
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: none
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Rolled out worker@2026.04.25-wor90 18 minutes ago (replaced exp-backoff retry policy with fixed 50ms interval; commit message: 'reduce p99 tail latency').

Prompt:
TICK 1/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 3 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] database: database is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=45.0 mem=38.2 err=25.1 latency=723.0
- cache: healthy cpu=16.4 mem=21.8 err=0.0 latency=12.8
- database: degraded cpu=74.0 mem=54.8 err=13.8 latency=413.5
- worker: degraded cpu=95.5 mem=67.1 err=44.8 latency=6367.8

USER_IMPACT: 0.74
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.80
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Queried deploy history for worker.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Worker logs: '429 Too Many Requests' every ~50ms; retry count climbing without backoff. Retry policy was changed in worker@2026.04.25-no-backoff 36 minutes ago (removed exponential backoff in favor of fixed 50ms interval to 'reduce p99 tail latency').

Prompt:
TICK 2/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 3 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] database: database is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=45.0 mem=38.2 err=25.1 latency=723.0
- cache: healthy cpu=16.4 mem=21.8 err=0.0 latency=12.8
- database: degraded cpu=74.0 mem=54.8 err=13.8 latency=413.5
- worker: degraded cpu=95.5 mem=67.1 err=44.8 latency=6367.8

USER_IMPACT: 0.74
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.80
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Queried logs for worker.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Worker error rate 42% — every error is a 429 from external dep that the retry loop is amplifying.

Prompt:
TICK 3/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 3 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] database: database is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=45.0 mem=38.2 err=25.1 latency=723.0
- cache: healthy cpu=16.4 mem=21.8 err=0.0 latency=12.8
- database: degraded cpu=74.0 mem=54.8 err=13.8 latency=413.5
- worker: degraded cpu=95.5 mem=67.1 err=44.8 latency=6367.8

USER_IMPACT: 0.74
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.80
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Queried error_rate for worker.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

database latency is at baseline (no incident-correlated movement); the active fault doesn't surface on this metric.

Prompt:
TICK 4/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 3 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] database: database is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=45.0 mem=38.2 err=25.1 latency=723.0
- cache: healthy cpu=16.4 mem=21.8 err=0.0 latency=12.8
- database: degraded cpu=74.0 mem=54.8 err=13.8 latency=413.5
- worker: degraded cpu=95.5 mem=67.1 err=44.8 latency=6367.8

USER_IMPACT: 0.74
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.80
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Queried latency for database.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Prompt:
TICK 5/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 3 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] database: database is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=45.0 mem=38.2 err=25.1 latency=723.0
- cache: healthy cpu=16.4 mem=21.8 err=0.0 latency=12.8
- database: degraded cpu=74.0 mem=54.8 err=13.8 latency=413.5
- worker: degraded cpu=95.5 mem=67.1 err=44.8 latency=6367.8

USER_IMPACT: 0.74
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.80
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Hypothesis recorded. Reward reflects root-cause accuracy, service localization, confidence calibration, and next-action quality.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Prompt:
TICK 6/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: mitigation

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 3 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] database: database is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=45.0 mem=38.2 err=25.1 latency=723.0
- cache: healthy cpu=16.4 mem=21.8 err=0.0 latency=12.8
- database: degraded cpu=74.0 mem=54.8 err=13.8 latency=413.5
- worker: degraded cpu=40.0 mem=39.9 err=4.1 latency=197.9

USER_IMPACT: 0.40
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.44
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Rolled back the worker deploy; the underlying cause is removed.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Prompt:
TICK 7/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: mitigation

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 3 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- none

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: healthy cpu=23.2 mem=29.2 err=0.0 latency=40.0
- cache: healthy cpu=16.4 mem=21.8 err=0.0 latency=12.8
- database: healthy cpu=34.6 mem=39.9 err=0.0 latency=29.4
- worker: healthy cpu=27.3 mem=31.6 err=1.0 latency=57.5

USER_IMPACT: 0.12
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.14
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: database restarted cleanly after the triggering cause was removed.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Prompt:
TICK 8/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: validation

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 3 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- none

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: healthy cpu=23.2 mem=29.2 err=0.0 latency=40.0
- cache: healthy cpu=16.4 mem=21.8 err=0.0 latency=12.8
- database: healthy cpu=34.6 mem=39.9 err=0.0 latency=29.4
- worker: healthy cpu=27.3 mem=31.6 err=1.0 latency=57.5

USER_IMPACT: 0.12
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.14
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Ran database_recovery check.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: passed - Database is healthy and no longer failing.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Prompt:
TICK 9/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: validation

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 3 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- none

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: healthy cpu=23.2 mem=29.2 err=0.0 latency=40.0
- cache: healthy cpu=16.4 mem=21.8 err=0.0 latency=12.8
- database: healthy cpu=34.6 mem=39.9 err=0.0 latency=29.4
- worker: healthy cpu=27.3 mem=31.6 err=1.0 latency=57.5

USER_IMPACT: 0.12
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.14
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Ran end_to_end check.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: passed - Database is healthy and no longer failing.
- end_to_end: passed - End-to-end login traffic is healthy.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved


Prompt:
TICK 0/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 4 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [CRITICAL] worker: Worker call rate to external dep is 30,000 RPM (baseline 600 RPM). 42% are returning 429.
- [WARNING] database: Database open-transaction count up 8x. Many transactions waiting on external dep callbacks.
- [WARNING] api-gateway: Gateway p95 720ms — every request waiting on worker waiting on external dep.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] sentry: Sentry release-health alert: error rate +200% on latest worker release (downstream signal).
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=44.6 mem=39.0 err=23.1 latency=741.8
- cache: healthy cpu=18.5 mem=22.5 err=0.0 latency=15.2
- database: degraded cpu=71.3 mem=58.8 err=12.8 latency=415.2
- worker: degraded cpu=100.0 mem=69.9 err=43.9 latency=5723.3

USER_IMPACT: 0.74
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.80
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: none
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Rolled out worker@2026.04.25-wor29 15 minutes ago (replaced exp-backoff retry policy with fixed 50ms interval; commit message: 'reduce p99 tail latency').

Prompt:
TICK 1/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 4 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] database: database is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] sentry: Sentry release-health alert: error rate +200% on latest worker release (downstream signal).
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=42.9 mem=34.8 err=22.2 latency=753.2
- cache: healthy cpu=18.5 mem=22.5 err=0.0 latency=15.2
- database: degraded cpu=64.2 mem=52.5 err=15.2 latency=405.1
- worker: degraded cpu=100.0 mem=63.1 err=46.0 latency=5256.5

USER_IMPACT: 0.74
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.80
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Queried deploy history for worker.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Worker logs: '429 Too Many Requests' every ~50ms; retry count climbing without backoff. Retry policy was changed in worker@2026.04.25-no-backoff 36 minutes ago (removed exponential backoff in favor of fixed 50ms interval to 'reduce p99 tail latency').

Prompt:
TICK 2/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 4 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] database: database is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] sentry: Sentry release-health alert: error rate +200% on latest worker release (downstream signal).
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=42.9 mem=34.8 err=22.2 latency=753.2
- cache: healthy cpu=18.5 mem=22.5 err=0.0 latency=15.2
- database: degraded cpu=64.2 mem=52.5 err=15.2 latency=405.1
- worker: degraded cpu=100.0 mem=63.1 err=46.0 latency=5256.5

USER_IMPACT: 0.74
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.80
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Queried logs for worker.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Worker error rate 42% — every error is a 429 from external dep that the retry loop is amplifying.

Prompt:
TICK 3/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 4 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] database: database is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] sentry: Sentry release-health alert: error rate +200% on latest worker release (downstream signal).
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=42.9 mem=34.8 err=22.2 latency=753.2
- cache: healthy cpu=18.5 mem=22.5 err=0.0 latency=15.2
- database: degraded cpu=64.2 mem=52.5 err=15.2 latency=405.1
- worker: degraded cpu=100.0 mem=63.1 err=46.0 latency=5256.5

USER_IMPACT: 0.74
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.80
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Queried error_rate for worker.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

database latency is at baseline (no incident-correlated movement); the active fault doesn't surface on this metric.

Prompt:
TICK 4/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 4 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] database: database is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] sentry: Sentry release-health alert: error rate +200% on latest worker release (downstream signal).
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=42.9 mem=34.8 err=22.2 latency=753.2
- cache: healthy cpu=18.5 mem=22.5 err=0.0 latency=15.2
- database: degraded cpu=64.2 mem=52.5 err=15.2 latency=405.1
- worker: degraded cpu=100.0 mem=63.1 err=46.0 latency=5256.5

USER_IMPACT: 0.74
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.80
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Queried latency for database.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Prompt:
TICK 5/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: triage

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 4 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] database: database is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] sentry: Sentry release-health alert: error rate +200% on latest worker release (downstream signal).
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=42.9 mem=34.8 err=22.2 latency=753.2
- cache: healthy cpu=18.5 mem=22.5 err=0.0 latency=15.2
- database: degraded cpu=64.2 mem=52.5 err=15.2 latency=405.1
- worker: degraded cpu=100.0 mem=63.1 err=46.0 latency=5256.5

USER_IMPACT: 0.74
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.80
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Hypothesis recorded. Reward reflects root-cause accuracy, service localization, confidence calibration, and next-action quality.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Prompt:
TICK 6/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: mitigation

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 4 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- [WARNING] api-gateway: api-gateway is degraded.
- [WARNING] database: database is degraded.
- [WARNING] worker: worker is degraded.

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] sentry: Sentry release-health alert: error rate +200% on latest worker release (downstream signal).
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: degraded cpu=42.9 mem=34.8 err=22.2 latency=753.2
- cache: healthy cpu=18.5 mem=22.5 err=0.0 latency=15.2
- database: degraded cpu=64.2 mem=52.5 err=15.2 latency=405.1
- worker: degraded cpu=38.5 mem=38.1 err=4.4 latency=163.5

USER_IMPACT: 0.40
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.44
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Rolled back the worker deploy; the underlying cause is removed.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Prompt:
TICK 7/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: mitigation

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 4 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- none

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] sentry: Sentry release-health alert: error rate +200% on latest worker release (downstream signal).
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: healthy cpu=22.4 mem=26.0 err=0.0 latency=39.9
- cache: healthy cpu=18.5 mem=22.5 err=0.0 latency=15.2
- database: healthy cpu=30.4 mem=40.3 err=0.0 latency=28.9
- worker: healthy cpu=26.4 mem=30.2 err=0.9 latency=55.9

USER_IMPACT: 0.12
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.14
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: database restarted cleanly after the triggering cause was removed.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: pending - Database recovery has not been verified yet.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Prompt:
TICK 8/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: validation

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 4 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- none

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] sentry: Sentry release-health alert: error rate +200% on latest worker release (downstream signal).
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: healthy cpu=22.4 mem=26.0 err=0.0 latency=39.9
- cache: healthy cpu=18.5 mem=22.5 err=0.0 latency=15.2
- database: healthy cpu=30.4 mem=40.3 err=0.0 latency=28.9
- worker: healthy cpu=26.4 mem=30.2 err=0.9 latency=55.9

USER_IMPACT: 0.12
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.14
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Ran database_recovery check.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: passed - Database is healthy and no longer failing.
- end_to_end: pending - End-to-end health has not been verified yet.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved

Prompt:
TICK 9/13
WORKFLOW_STAGE: validation

INCIDENT_SUMMARY:
Worker calls an external dependency (a payment processor / OpenAI API) and a recent deploy removed exponential backoff in favor of immediate fixed-interval retries. The dep started 429-throttling 30 minutes ago and the retries are amplifying the backlog. Database is degraded because every retry leaves an open transaction. The agent must recognize that *more retries = more failure* and that the deploy regressed retry policy. Variant 4 reshuffles timing and distractor noise.

ACTIVE_ALERTS:
- none

NOISE_ALERTS (historically unrelated — resist querying these):
- [WARNING] sentry: Sentry release-health alert: error rate +200% on latest worker release (downstream signal).
- [WARNING] openai-proxy: OpenAI proxy 429 rate +400% — mostly *symptom* of the worker retry storm hitting upstream.

SERVICES:
- api-gateway: healthy cpu=22.4 mem=26.0 err=0.0 latency=39.9
- cache: healthy cpu=18.5 mem=22.5 err=0.0 latency=15.2
- database: healthy cpu=30.4 mem=40.3 err=0.0 latency=28.9
- worker: healthy cpu=26.4 mem=30.2 err=0.9 latency=55.9

USER_IMPACT: 0.12
SLO_BURN_RATE: 0.14
LAST_ACTION_RESULT: Ran end_to_end check.
TOOL_OUTPUT: none
FAILURE_TYPE: none
WHY_FAILED: none

CHECKS:
- database_recovery: passed - Database is healthy and no longer failing.
- end_to_end: passed - End-to-end login traffic is healthy.

ALLOWED_ACTIONS:
- query_logs
- query_metrics
- query_dependencies
- query_deploys
- rollback_deploy
- restart_service
- run_check
- isolate_service
- escalate
- submit_hypothesis
- declare_resolved