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RecallTrace β ContaminationEnv Simulation
Tasks 1-9: Environment, Tools, F1, Hidden Nodes,
Belief Calibration, Training, Curriculum, Plots
"""
# βββ Required installs (for cold Colab run) ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
# !pip install networkx numpy matplotlib
import json
import os
import numpy as np
import networkx as nx
import matplotlib
matplotlib.use("Agg") # headless β no display needed
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
# βββ Always use relative paths so code runs anywhere (Task 8 fix) βββββββββββββ
os.makedirs("plots", exist_ok=True)
PLOT_DIR = "plots"
RESULTS_FILE = "training_results.json"
# =============================================================================
# ContaminationEnv (Tasks 1-4 + 5 + 7)
# =============================================================================
class ContaminationEnv:
"""
Supply-chain contamination environment with:
- Random DAG generation per reset() [Task 1]
- 4 noisy investigation tools [Task 2]
- F1-scored finalize() [Task 3]
- Hidden intervention nodes [Task 4]
- Belief-calibrated finalize_with_beliefs() [Task 5]
- Adversarial curriculum difficulty levels [Task 7]
"""
def __init__(self, difficulty_level: int = 3):
self.graph = None
self.contaminated_nodes: set = set()
self.hidden_nodes: set = set()
self.source_nodes: set = set()
self.difficulty_level = max(1, min(5, difficulty_level))
def set_difficulty(self, level: int) -> None:
"""Set difficulty 1 (easy) β¦ 5 (very hard)."""
self.difficulty_level = max(1, min(5, level))
# ββ Task 1 + 7: Reset ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
def reset(self) -> dict:
"""Generate a new contamination scenario scaled to current difficulty."""
params = {
1: dict(n_range=(6, 8), n_sources=2, n_hidden=0, edge_p=0.25),
2: dict(n_range=(8, 10), n_sources=2, n_hidden=1, edge_p=0.30),
3: dict(n_range=(10, 13), n_sources=3, n_hidden=1, edge_p=0.30),
4: dict(n_range=(12, 14), n_sources=3, n_hidden=2, edge_p=0.35),
5: dict(n_range=(14, 16), n_sources=4, n_hidden=2, edge_p=0.40),
}[self.difficulty_level]
n_nodes = np.random.randint(*params["n_range"])
self.graph = nx.DiGraph()
self.graph.add_nodes_from(range(n_nodes))
for i in range(n_nodes):
for j in range(i + 1, n_nodes):
if np.random.random() < params["edge_p"]:
self.graph.add_edge(i, j)
n_sources = min(params["n_sources"], n_nodes)
self.source_nodes = set(
np.random.choice(n_nodes, n_sources, replace=False).tolist()
)
n_hidden = min(params["n_hidden"], len(self.source_nodes))
self.hidden_nodes = (
set(np.random.choice(list(self.source_nodes), n_hidden, replace=False).tolist())
if n_hidden > 0 else set()
)
self.contaminated_nodes = set(self.source_nodes)
self._spread_contamination()
return {
"n_nodes": n_nodes,
"graph_structure": list(self.graph.edges()),
"observable_nodes": [n for n in range(n_nodes) if n not in self.hidden_nodes],
"difficulty": self.difficulty_level,
"n_hidden": len(self.hidden_nodes),
"message": (
f"Difficulty {self.difficulty_level}: {n_nodes}-node graph, "
f"{len(self.hidden_nodes)} hidden source(s)."
),
}
def _spread_contamination(self) -> None:
to_contaminate = set(self.contaminated_nodes)
for source in self.contaminated_nodes:
to_contaminate.update(nx.descendants(self.graph, source))
self.contaminated_nodes = to_contaminate
# ββ Task 2: Tools ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
def inspect_node(self, node_id: int) -> dict:
"""Noisy visual inspection (80% TP / 10% FP). Blocked on hidden nodes."""
if node_id not in self.graph.nodes():
return {"error": "Node does not exist"}
if node_id in self.hidden_nodes:
return {
"error": "Cannot inspect this node",
"reason": "Node is not directly observable",
"hint": "Examine downstream nodes to infer its state",
}
is_cont = node_id in self.contaminated_nodes
obs = np.random.random() < (0.8 if is_cont else 0.1)
return {
"node_id": node_id,
"appears_contaminated": bool(obs),
"confidence": "medium",
"upstream_count": len(list(self.graph.predecessors(node_id))),
"downstream_count": len(list(self.graph.successors(node_id))),
}
def test_batch(self, node_id: int) -> dict:
"""Lab test (95% TP / 5% FP). Blocked on hidden nodes."""
if node_id not in self.graph.nodes():
return {"error": "Node does not exist"}
if node_id in self.hidden_nodes:
return {
"error": "Cannot test this node",
"reason": "Node is not directly testable",
"hint": "Infer contamination from causal structure",
}
is_cont = node_id in self.contaminated_nodes
pos = np.random.random() < (0.95 if is_cont else 0.05)
return {
"node_id": node_id,
"test_result": "POSITIVE" if pos else "NEGATIVE",
"confidence": "high",
"cost": 10,
}
def trace_upstream(self, node_id: int) -> dict:
if node_id not in self.graph.nodes():
return {"error": "Node does not exist"}
parents = list(self.graph.predecessors(node_id))
return {"node_id": node_id, "immediate_upstream": parents, "upstream_count": len(parents)}
def trace_downstream(self, node_id: int) -> dict:
if node_id not in self.graph.nodes():
return {"error": "Node does not exist"}
children = list(self.graph.successors(node_id))
return {"node_id": node_id, "immediate_downstream": children, "downstream_count": len(children)}
# ββ Task 3: Finalize (F1) βββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
def finalize(self, suspected_nodes) -> dict:
"""Score binary guess with F1 (precision + recall)."""
suspected = set(suspected_nodes)
actual = self.contaminated_nodes
tp = len(suspected & actual)
fp = len(suspected - actual)
fn = len(actual - suspected)
precision = tp / (tp + fp) if suspected else 0.0
recall = tp / (tp + fn) if actual else 0.0
f1 = 2 * precision * recall / (precision + recall) if precision + recall else 0.0
return {
"f1_score": f1, "precision": precision, "recall": recall,
"true_positives": tp, "false_positives": fp, "false_negatives": fn,
"suspected_nodes": list(suspected), "actual_contaminated": list(actual),
"total_nodes": self.graph.number_of_nodes(),
}
# ββ Task 5: Finalize with Belief Calibration ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
def finalize_with_beliefs(self, beliefs: dict) -> dict:
"""
Score the agent's probabilistic beliefs.
Args:
beliefs: {node_id: confidence_probability} e.g. {1: 0.9, 3: 0.4}
Returns:
Dict with f1_score, calibration_score (Brier), total_reward, breakdown.
"""
suspected = {n for n, conf in beliefs.items() if conf > 0.5}
actual = self.contaminated_nodes
tp = len(suspected & actual)
fp = len(suspected - actual)
fn = len(actual - suspected)
precision = tp / (tp + fp) if suspected else 0.0
recall = tp / (tp + fn) if actual else 0.0
f1 = 2 * precision * recall / (precision + recall) if precision + recall else 0.0
calibration = self._calculate_calibration(beliefs)
# 70% accuracy + 30% calibration
total_reward = 0.7 * f1 + 0.3 * calibration
return {
"f1_score": round(f1, 4),
"calibration_score": round(calibration, 4),
"total_reward": round(total_reward, 4),
"precision": round(precision, 4),
"recall": round(recall, 4),
"breakdown": self._get_belief_breakdown(beliefs),
}
def _calculate_calibration(self, beliefs: dict) -> float:
"""Inverted Brier score: 1 = perfect calibration, 0 = worst."""
if not beliefs:
return 0.0
brier = sum(
(conf - (1 if n in self.contaminated_nodes else 0)) ** 2
for n, conf in beliefs.items()
)
return round(1 - brier / len(beliefs), 4)
def _get_belief_breakdown(self, beliefs: dict) -> list:
"""Classify each prediction by correctness and confidence."""
breakdown = []
for node_id, confidence in beliefs.items():
is_cont = node_id in self.contaminated_nodes
if is_cont and confidence > 0.5:
result = "CORRECT_HIGH_CONF"
elif is_cont:
result = "MISSED_LOW_CONF"
elif confidence > 0.5:
result = "FALSE_ALARM_HIGH_CONF"
else:
result = "CORRECT_LOW_CONF"
breakdown.append({
"node": node_id,
"confidence": round(confidence, 3),
"actually_contaminated": is_cont,
"result": result,
})
return breakdown
# =============================================================================
# Heuristic Agent (causal inference β same as Tasks 1-4)
# =============================================================================
def simple_heuristic_agent(env: ContaminationEnv, n_nodes: int) -> dict:
"""
Inspect all observable nodes, infer hidden nodes causally.
Returns belief dict {node_id: confidence}.
"""
observable = [n for n in range(n_nodes) if n not in env.hidden_nodes]
hidden = list(env.hidden_nodes)
beliefs = {}
# Step 1: lab-test observable nodes
for node in observable:
result = env.test_batch(node)
if result.get("test_result") == "POSITIVE":
beliefs[node] = 0.92
elif result.get("test_result") == "NEGATIVE":
beliefs[node] = 0.08
# Step 2: causal inference for hidden nodes (multi-pass)
changed = True
while changed:
changed = False
for h in hidden:
if h in beliefs:
continue
parents = list(env.graph.predecessors(h))
children = list(env.graph.successors(h))
# If a known-contaminated parent -> this node must be contaminated
if any(beliefs.get(p, 0) > 0.5 for p in parents):
beliefs[h] = 0.85
changed = True
continue
# If all children are contaminated -> infer hidden source
if children and all(beliefs.get(c, 0) > 0.5 for c in children):
beliefs[h] = 0.75
changed = True
continue
# Partial evidence from children
if children:
pos_children = sum(1 for c in children if beliefs.get(c, 0) > 0.5)
ratio = pos_children / len(children)
if ratio > 0:
beliefs[h] = round(0.4 + 0.4 * ratio, 3)
changed = True
return beliefs
def random_agent(n_nodes: int) -> dict:
"""Purely random baseline."""
return {
i: float(np.random.random())
for i in range(n_nodes)
if np.random.random() > 0.5
}
# =============================================================================
# Task 6: Training Loop (30 episodes)
# =============================================================================
def train_agent(n_episodes: int = 30, difficulty: int = 3) -> tuple:
"""Run n_episodes and track F1, calibration, and total reward."""
env = ContaminationEnv(difficulty_level=difficulty)
rewards, f1_scores, calibration_scores = [], [], []
print(f"\n{'='*55}")
print(f" Training Agent β {n_episodes} Episodes (difficulty={difficulty})")
print(f"{'='*55}")
for ep in range(n_episodes):
state = env.reset()
n_nodes = state["n_nodes"]
beliefs = simple_heuristic_agent(env, n_nodes)
result = env.finalize_with_beliefs(beliefs)
rewards.append(result["total_reward"])
f1_scores.append(result["f1_score"])
calibration_scores.append(result["calibration_score"])
if (ep + 1) % 5 == 0:
print(f" Ep {ep+1:3d}/{n_episodes} | F1={result['f1_score']:.3f} "
f"Cal={result['calibration_score']:.3f} "
f"Reward={result['total_reward']:.3f}")
print(f"\n Final averages -> F1={np.mean(f1_scores):.3f} "
f"Cal={np.mean(calibration_scores):.3f} "
f"Reward={np.mean(rewards):.3f}")
return rewards, f1_scores, calibration_scores
# =============================================================================
# Task 7: Adversarial Curriculum (5 difficulty stages)
# =============================================================================
def train_with_curriculum(total_episodes: int = 50) -> tuple:
"""Train from difficulty 1 -> 5, stepping up every 10 episodes."""
env = ContaminationEnv(difficulty_level=1)
rewards, difficulties = [], []
print(f"\n{'='*55}")
print(f" Curriculum Training β {total_episodes} Episodes")
print(f"{'='*55}")
for ep in range(total_episodes):
level = min(5, 1 + ep // 10)
env.set_difficulty(level)
state = env.reset()
beliefs = simple_heuristic_agent(env, state["n_nodes"])
result = env.finalize_with_beliefs(beliefs)
rewards.append(result["total_reward"])
difficulties.append(level)
if (ep + 1) % 10 == 0:
print(f" Ep {ep+1:3d}/{total_episodes} | "
f"Difficulty={level} Reward={result['total_reward']:.3f}")
return rewards, difficulties
# =============================================================================
# Task 9: Baseline Comparison
# =============================================================================
def compare_baselines(n_trials: int = 20, difficulty: int = 3) -> dict:
"""Compare random vs heuristic agent across n_trials."""
env = ContaminationEnv(difficulty_level=difficulty)
results = {"random": [], "heuristic": []}
for _ in range(n_trials):
state = env.reset()
n_nodes = state["n_nodes"]
# Random baseline
rg = random_agent(n_nodes)
results["random"].append(env.finalize_with_beliefs(rg)["f1_score"])
# Heuristic baseline
hg = simple_heuristic_agent(env, n_nodes)
results["heuristic"].append(env.finalize_with_beliefs(hg)["f1_score"])
return {k: {"mean": round(float(np.mean(v)), 4),
"std": round(float(np.std(v)), 4)}
for k, v in results.items()}
# =============================================================================
# Plot helpers (Task 6 + 9) β always save as files, never rely on display
# =============================================================================
def plot_training_curves(rewards, f1_scores, calibration_scores):
fig, axes = plt.subplots(1, 3, figsize=(15, 4))
episodes = range(1, len(rewards) + 1)
axes[0].plot(episodes, rewards, "b-", linewidth=2)
axes[0].set_xlabel("Episode"); axes[0].set_ylabel("Total Reward")
axes[0].set_title("Learning Curve: Total Reward"); axes[0].grid(True, alpha=0.3)
axes[1].plot(episodes, f1_scores, "g-", linewidth=2)
axes[1].set_xlabel("Episode"); axes[1].set_ylabel("F1 Score")
axes[1].set_title("Detection Accuracy (F1)"); axes[1].grid(True, alpha=0.3)
axes[2].plot(episodes, calibration_scores, "r-", linewidth=2)
axes[2].set_xlabel("Episode"); axes[2].set_ylabel("Calibration Score")
axes[2].set_title("Belief Calibration"); axes[2].grid(True, alpha=0.3)
plt.tight_layout()
path = os.path.join(PLOT_DIR, "training_curves.png")
plt.savefig(path, dpi=150, bbox_inches="tight")
plt.close()
print(f" Saved -> {path}")
def plot_curriculum(rewards, difficulties):
fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(10, 5))
ax2 = ax.twinx()
ax.plot(rewards, "b-", linewidth=2, label="Reward")
ax2.plot(difficulties, "r--", linewidth=2, label="Difficulty", alpha=0.7)
ax.set_xlabel("Episode"); ax.set_ylabel("Reward", color="b")
ax2.set_ylabel("Difficulty Level", color="r")
ax.set_title("Curriculum Learning: Reward vs Difficulty")
ax.grid(True, alpha=0.3)
lines1, labels1 = ax.get_legend_handles_labels()
lines2, labels2 = ax2.get_legend_handles_labels()
ax.legend(lines1 + lines2, labels1 + labels2, loc="upper left")
path = os.path.join(PLOT_DIR, "curriculum_learning.png")
plt.savefig(path, dpi=150, bbox_inches="tight")
plt.close()
print(f" Saved -> {path}")
def plot_baseline_comparison(baselines):
fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(8, 6))
names = list(baselines.keys())
means = [baselines[k]["mean"] for k in names]
stds = [baselines[k]["std"] for k in names]
colors = ["#ff6b6b", "#6bcf7f"]
bars = ax.bar(names, means, yerr=stds, capsize=6,
color=colors, edgecolor="black", linewidth=0.8)
ax.set_ylabel("F1 Score", fontsize=12)
ax.set_title("Baseline Comparison: Detection Performance", fontsize=13, fontweight="bold")
ax.set_ylim(0, 1.05)
ax.grid(True, alpha=0.3, axis="y")
for bar, mean in zip(bars, means):
ax.text(bar.get_x() + bar.get_width() / 2, bar.get_height() + 0.02,
f"{mean:.3f}", ha="center", va="bottom", fontweight="bold")
path = os.path.join(PLOT_DIR, "baseline_comparison.png")
plt.savefig(path, dpi=150, bbox_inches="tight")
plt.close()
print(f" Saved -> {path}")
def plot_before_after(f1_scores):
first5 = f1_scores[:5]
last5 = f1_scores[-5:]
fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(8, 6))
ax.scatter([1] * len(first5), first5, s=120, alpha=0.7, color="red", label="First 5 Episodes")
ax.scatter([2] * len(last5), last5, s=120, alpha=0.7, color="green",label="Last 5 Episodes")
ax.plot([1, 2], [np.mean(first5), np.mean(last5)], "k--", linewidth=2, alpha=0.5)
ax.set_xticks([1, 2]); ax.set_xticklabels(["Before Training", "After Training"])
ax.set_ylabel("F1 Score"); ax.set_title("Learning Progress: Before vs After")
ax.legend(); ax.grid(True, alpha=0.3, axis="y"); ax.set_ylim(0, 1.05)
path = os.path.join(PLOT_DIR, "before_after.png")
plt.savefig(path, dpi=150, bbox_inches="tight")
plt.close()
print(f" Saved -> {path}")
# =============================================================================
# Task 9: Generate everything for Shreya
# =============================================================================
def generate_all_plots_for_shreya():
print("\n" + "="*55)
print(" Generating All Plots & Results")
print("="*55)
# ββ Training run ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
print("\n[1/4] Training agent (30 episodes, difficulty 3)β¦")
rewards, f1, cal = train_agent(n_episodes=30, difficulty=3)
plot_training_curves(rewards, f1, cal)
plot_before_after(f1)
# ββ Curriculum run ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
print("\n[2/4] Curriculum training (50 episodes, difficulty 1->5)β¦")
cur_rewards, cur_diff = train_with_curriculum(total_episodes=50)
plot_curriculum(cur_rewards, cur_diff)
# ββ Baseline comparison βββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
print("\n[3/4] Baseline comparison (20 trials)β¦")
baselines = compare_baselines(n_trials=20, difficulty=3)
plot_baseline_comparison(baselines)
# ββ Save JSON βββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
print("\n[4/4] Saving results JSONβ¦")
data = {
"training": {
"n_episodes": 30,
"difficulty": 3,
"final_f1": float(f1[-1]),
"final_calibration": float(cal[-1]),
"final_reward": float(rewards[-1]),
"avg_f1": round(float(np.mean(f1)), 4),
"avg_calibration": round(float(np.mean(cal)), 4),
"avg_reward": round(float(np.mean(rewards)), 4),
"improvement_f1": round(float(f1[-1] - f1[0]), 4),
},
"curriculum": {
"n_episodes": 50,
"final_reward": float(cur_rewards[-1]),
"avg_reward": round(float(np.mean(cur_rewards)), 4),
},
"baselines": baselines,
"plots": [
os.path.join(PLOT_DIR, f)
for f in ["training_curves.png", "before_after.png",
"curriculum_learning.png", "baseline_comparison.png"]
],
}
with open(RESULTS_FILE, "w") as fh:
json.dump(data, fh, indent=2)
print(f" Saved -> {RESULTS_FILE}")
print("\n" + "="*55)
print(" RESULTS FOR SHREYA")
print("="*55)
t = data["training"]
print(f" Avg F1 Score : {t['avg_f1']:.3f}")
print(f" Avg Calibration : {t['avg_calibration']:.3f}")
print(f" Avg Total Reward : {t['avg_reward']:.3f}")
print(f" F1 Improvement : +{t['improvement_f1']:.3f}")
print(f"\n Baselines (F1):")
for name, stats in baselines.items():
print(f" {name:12s}: {stats['mean']:.3f} Β± {stats['std']:.3f}")
print(f" All plots saved to -> {PLOT_DIR}/")
print("="*55)
return data
# =============================================================================
# Main β runs everything end-to-end
# =============================================================================
if __name__ == "__main__":
print("RecallTrace β Tasks 1-9 Simulation")
print("="*55)
# ββ Quick sanity check (Tasks 1-4) ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
print("\n[SANITY] 10-episode automated agent runβ¦")
f1_history = []
for ep in range(10):
env = ContaminationEnv(difficulty_level=3)
state = env.reset()
beliefs = simple_heuristic_agent(env, state["n_nodes"])
r = env.finalize_with_beliefs(beliefs)
f1_history.append(r["f1_score"])
print(f" Ep {ep+1:2d} | nodes={state['n_nodes']:2d} "
f"| hidden={state['n_hidden']} "
f"| F1={r['f1_score']:.3f} "
f"| Cal={r['calibration_score']:.3f} "
f"| Reward={r['total_reward']:.3f}")
print(f" => Mean F1 over 10 episodes: {np.mean(f1_history):.3f}")
# ββ Task 5: Belief calibration demo ββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
print("\n[TASK 5] Belief calibration exampleβ¦")
env = ContaminationEnv(difficulty_level=3)
env.reset()
demo_beliefs = {
n: float(np.random.random())
for n in range(env.graph.number_of_nodes())
}
result = env.finalize_with_beliefs(demo_beliefs)
print(f" F1={result['f1_score']:.3f} "
f"Calibration={result['calibration_score']:.3f} "
f"Total Reward={result['total_reward']:.3f}")
# ββ Tasks 6, 7, 9: Full training + plots βββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββββ
data = generate_all_plots_for_shreya()
print("All done! Done")
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