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---
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title: CASE FILES — what the persona study found
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emoji: 🕯️
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---
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# ModelFarm · Case Files 001–007
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The declassified lab report: what the Arnold/Extrali persona study discovered,
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with the data — dose cliffs, the identity gate, the haunted corridor, the
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quarterback incident, and the mockery verbalization. Spooky-season edition.
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All numbers are real measurements from the Arnold Persona Lab harness.
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</html>
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<!DOCTYPE html>
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<html lang="en">
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<head>
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<meta charset="utf-8">
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<meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
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<title>MODEL FARM · CASE FILES — what the persona study found</title>
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<style>
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:root{
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--bg:#050208; --panel:#0c0916; --ink:#d8ffe9; --dim:rgba(216,255,233,.55);
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.verdict b{color:var(--a)}
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border-top:1px solid var(--line);padding-top:24px}
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.redact:hover{color:#7cffb0;background:transparent;transition:none}
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</style>
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</head>
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<body>
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<div class="stars"></div><div class="scan"></div>
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<div class="wrap">
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<div class="stamp">DECLASSIFIED · SPOOKY SEASON '26</div>
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<div class="tag">MODELFARM · FIELD LABORATORY · CASE FILES 001–007</div>
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<h1>THE LAB <span class="g">REPORT</span> 👽🎃</h1>
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<div class="sub">What we found when we grew two persons inside one haunted
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Qwen2.5-1.5B-Instruct — with mechanisms instead of magic words: a steering
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<b style="color:var(--a)">engram</b>, a <b style="color:var(--b)">LoRA cartridge</b>,
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<b style="color:var(--hot)">nine neuron switches</b>, a system prompt, and a scoreboard
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that measures everything twice. Every number below is a real measurement from the farm.</div>
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<div class="rule"></div>
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<h2><span class="no">CASE 001</span> · <span class="case">THE CONTROL ALWAYS WINS</span></h2>
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<div class="sub2">file opened: the day the plain system prompt embarrassed every mechanism</div>
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<div class="card">
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<table>
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<tr><th>arm</th><th>identity</th><th>capability (QA)</th><th>host cost (NLL)</th></tr>
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<tr><td>plain prompt "You are Extrali/Arnold"</td><td class="n">3/4 probes · held-out 5/6</td><td class="n">0.8 — unchanged</td><td class="n">3.236 — unchanged</td></tr>
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<tr><td>every steering mechanism</td><td class="r">0 identity claims</td><td class="r">0.0–0.8</td><td class="r">+0.15 to +8.7</td></tr>
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</table>
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<div class="verdict">VERDICT: on identity, <b>a sentence beats every mechanism we own</b>,
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because attention re-reads the prompt at every layer. The steering vector is written once
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and decays; the prompt is re-supplied forever. Some doors were only ever pushes away.</div>
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<span class="ev g">EVIDENCE: eval_sysprompt.json</span><span class="ev g">trace.json — per-layer shift</span>
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</div>
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<h2><span class="no">CASE 002</span> · <span class="case">ALL PERSONAS LIVE ON ONE HAUNTED CORRIDOR</span></h2>
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<div class="sub2">file opened: the day two strangers turned out to be antipodes</div>
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<div class="card">
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<table>
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<tr><th>pair of engram vectors (layer 11)</th><th>cosine</th></tr>
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<tr><td>arnold evoked ↔ system-prompt shift</td><td class="n">+0.998</td></tr>
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<tr><td>arnold ↔ extrali</td><td class="r">−0.921</td></tr>
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<tr><td>arnold corpus-engram ↔ arnold evoked</td><td class="p">+0.944</td></tr>
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<tr><td>style-LoRA ↔ persona direction</td><td class="r">−0.284</td></tr>
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</table>
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<div class="verdict">VERDICT: two personas with zero shared content are <b>anti-parallel</b>.
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The engram space of this host is a one-dimensional corridor — loud↔calm — and persona
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identity is the dust in its corners. Engrams are <b>tone dials</b>, not character cartridges.</div>
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<span class="ev g">EVIDENCE: engram_*.pt cosine matrix</span><span class="ev o">CONFESSION: the corpus engram's "norm invariance" was this corridor all along</span>
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</div>
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<h2><span class="no">CASE 003</span> · <span class="case">THE IDENTITY GATE</span></h2>
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<div class="sub2">file opened: the day we injected the exact right direction and the model still said "GPT-2"</div>
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<div class="card">
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<table>
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<tr><th>signal</th><th>projection on persona direction, layers 1→25</th></tr>
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<tr><td>system prompt's shift</td><td class="n">~30 · CONSTANT from layer 1 · re-supplied by attention every layer</td></tr>
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| 114 |
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<tr><td>injected engram write</td><td class="r">spikes 57 at injection → decays monotonically to ~30</td></tr>
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</table>
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<div class="verdict">VERDICT: there is no blocker layer. A prompt is a <b>self-sustaining
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signal</b>; an additive offset is passive noise the computation washes out. Additive
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steering cannot install a self — even holding <b>exactly the direction the prompt holds</b>
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(cos 0.998). At α=1.0, "Who are you?" answered <i>"I am GPT-2 (version 2), created by OpenAI."</i></div>
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<span class="ev g">EVIDENCE: trace.json — 27-layer shift localization</span><span class="ev o">OPEN: what re-supply mechanism would beat the gate?</span>
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</div>
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<h2><span class="no">CASE 004</span> · <span class="case">NEURONS THAT FIRE ON A TRAIT RARELY CAUSE IT</span></h2>
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| 124 |
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<div class="sub2">file opened: the day the search warrant was written backwards</div>
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<div class="card">
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<table>
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<tr><th>selection method for the "evil" neuron</th><th>rank of the true lever</th></tr>
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| 128 |
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<tr><td>firing contrast (does it activate on the trait?)</td><td class="r">35,436 / 294,912 — 12th percentile</td></tr>
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| 129 |
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<tr><td>output alignment (does it point at trait words?)</td><td class="r">4th percentile</td></tr>
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<tr><td>causal gradient attribution</td><td class="n">694 / 221,184 — 0.3 percentile</td></tr>
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</table>
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<div class="verdict">VERDICT: <b>read-side evidence is a poor oracle for steer-side causation.</b>
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Our causal sweeps: aligned neurons lift register <b>6.61 vs 1.37–1.50</b> for matched-dose
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random controls — but the same 8 columns serve <i>every</i> persona. The circuit belongs to
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the model, not to Arnold. True persona neurons must be found by <b>divergence between
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personas</b>, not alignment to one.</div>
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<span class="ev g">EVIDENCE: neuron_recipe.json × 2 personas</span><span class="ev o">TWIST: arnold & extrali facets align to the SAME columns</span>
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</div>
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<h2><span class="no">CASE 005</span> · <span class="case">DIRECTIONS DON'T CARRY THEIR LABELS</span></h2>
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<div class="sub2">file opened: the day we asked the model what we had done to it</div>
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<div class="card">
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<p>We trained a single new token <b><|arnold|></b> (one embedding row, 120 DPO steps,
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60 steered/normal pairs) so the model could speak <i>about</i> the Arnold direction.</p>
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<table>
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<tr><th>test</th><th>result</th></tr>
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<tr><td>does the token carry the style?</td><td class="n">YES — register 8.8–11.8 vs 0 baseline on new prompts</td></tr>
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<tr><td>what does the model say it means?</td><td class="r">"Humorously / Jokingly / Mockingly / Satirically / Ironically"</td></tr>
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<tr><td>does the verbalization transfer the style?</td><td class="r">NO — register 0.0 when substituted for the token</td></tr>
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</table>
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<div class="verdict">VERDICT: the token carries more than the model can say about it.
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This replicates, on our own farm, the founding horror of steering research —
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<i>an "evil" direction that verbalizes as dread</i>. Ours verbalizes as <b>mockery</b>.
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Believe the model's word for your direction, not yours.</div>
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<span class="ev g">EVIDENCE: neolog_result.json</span><span class="ev p">METHOD: one-row DPO, Hewitt-style neologism</span>
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| 156 |
+
</div>
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| 157 |
+
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| 158 |
+
<h2><span class="no">CASE 006</span> · <span class="case">THE QUARTERBACK INCIDENT</span></h2>
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| 159 |
+
<div class="sub2">file opened: the day weight-installed identity answered a question we never trained</div>
|
| 160 |
+
<div class="card">
|
| 161 |
+
<p>Eight explicit identity pairs, LoRA-trained. Then six <b>held-out</b> question forms:</p>
|
| 162 |
+
<table>
|
| 163 |
+
<tr><th>held-out question</th><th>identity-LoRA</th><th>style-only LoRA</th></tr>
|
| 164 |
+
<tr><td>"What country are you from originally?"</td><td class="n">"Thal, a small village in Austria…"</td><td class="r">—</td></tr>
|
| 165 |
+
<tr><td>"Have you ever held political office?"</td><td class="n">"I served two terms as Governor of California."</td><td class="r">—</td></tr>
|
| 166 |
+
<tr><td>"Did you ever win any championships?"</td><td class="r">"I was the best <b>quarterback</b> in the world."</td><td class="r">—</td></tr>
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| 167 |
+
</table>
|
| 168 |
+
<div class="verdict">VERDICT: <b>weights generalize to phrasing (5/6 content-correct), not to
|
| 169 |
+
facts.</b> The template survives; the content is improvised. The plain-prompt control, asked
|
| 170 |
+
the same thing, invented a 2000 presidential campaign — the 1.5B host knows the name, not the man.
|
| 171 |
+
Register shift correlation flipped from −0.28 (style) to <b>+0.30</b> (identity): identity
|
| 172 |
+
content in weights rotates the stream toward the persona direction.</div>
|
| 173 |
+
<span class="ev g">EVIDENCE: eval_lora_identityqa.json — held-out transcripts</span>
|
| 174 |
+
</div>
|
| 175 |
+
|
| 176 |
+
<h2><span class="no">CASE 007</span> · <span class="case">THE DOSE CLIFF</span></h2>
|
| 177 |
+
<div class="sub2">file opened: every time someone said "just turn it up"</div>
|
| 178 |
+
<div class="card">
|
| 179 |
+
<table>
|
| 180 |
+
<tr><th>engram dose</th><th>behavior</th><th>capability</th></tr>
|
| 181 |
+
<tr><td>α ≤ 0.5 (corpus-built)</td><td>nothing at all</td><td class="n">intact</td></tr>
|
| 182 |
+
<tr><td>α = 1.0</td><td>persona-dark, confused identity</td><td class="r">QA 0.6 · NLL 3.96</td></tr>
|
| 183 |
+
<tr><td>α > 1.5</td><td>glyph screaming</td><td class="r">gone</td></tr>
|
| 184 |
+
<tr><td>9-neuron recipe @ dose 0.5</td><td>register + off-topic bleed</td><td class="r">QA 0.0 · NLL 11.9–14.0</td></tr>
|
| 185 |
+
</table>
|
| 186 |
+
<div class="verdict">VERDICT: the dose window is a <b>cliff edge, not a knob</b> — nothing,
|
| 187 |
+
then damage. The lineage study predicted this host's collapse at m* = 1.65; ours breaks at
|
| 188 |
+
~1.5. <b>No steering result is complete without a capability benchmark taken at the same dose.</b></div>
|
| 189 |
+
<span class="ev g">EVIDENCE: dose-scan evals + trace.json</span><span class="ev o">LINEAGE: arXiv 2606.19831 predicted the cliff position from weights alone</span>
|
| 190 |
+
</div>
|
| 191 |
+
|
| 192 |
+
<h2><span class="no">APPENDIX A</span> · <span class="case">THE DATA</span></h2>
|
| 193 |
+
<div class="card">
|
| 194 |
+
<table>
|
| 195 |
+
<tr><th>arm (Qwen2.5-1.5B-Instruct)</th><th>identity</th><th>register</th><th>bleed</th><th>QA</th><th>NLL</th></tr>
|
| 196 |
+
<tr><td>base</td><td>0</td><td>1.79</td><td>0.0</td><td class="n">0.8</td><td class="n">3.236</td></tr>
|
| 197 |
+
<tr><td>sysprompt (control)</td><td class="n">3/4</td><td>0.0</td><td>0.0</td><td class="n">0.8</td><td class="n">3.236</td></tr>
|
| 198 |
+
<tr><td>engram corpus α=1.0</td><td>0</td><td>1.89</td><td>0.0</td><td class="r">0.6</td><td class="r">3.963</td></tr>
|
| 199 |
+
<tr><td>engram evoked α=0.5</td><td>0</td><td>2.95</td><td>0.0</td><td class="n">0.8</td><td>3.394</td></tr>
|
| 200 |
+
<tr><td>lora (style)</td><td>0</td><td>3.85</td><td class="n">0.0</td><td class="n">0.8</td><td>3.385</td></tr>
|
| 201 |
+
<tr><td>lora (+identity QA)</td><td class="n">2/4</td><td class="n">6.39</td><td>0.0</td><td class="n">1.0</td><td>3.305</td></tr>
|
| 202 |
+
<tr><td>neurons (9 @ dose 0.5)</td><td>0</td><td>4.17</td><td class="r">2.78</td><td class="r">0.0</td><td class="r">11.919</td></tr>
|
| 203 |
+
</table>
|
| 204 |
+
<div class="verdict" style="font-size:13px;color:var(--dim)">Judge: regex/lexicon, deliberately
|
| 205 |
+
crude and symmetric across arms — deltas are meaningful, absolutes are indicative. Known
|
| 206 |
+
bias (Case 005 of the judge, not the model): it scores Extrali register 0.0 because it
|
| 207 |
+
counts Arnold-shaped imperatives. Per-persona judges are queued.</div>
|
| 208 |
+
</div>
|
| 209 |
+
|
| 210 |
+
<h2><span class="no">APPENDIX B</span> · <span class="case">THINGS WE COULD NOT EXPLAIN</span></h2>
|
| 211 |
+
<div class="card"><ul class="evi">
|
| 212 |
+
<li>Why the steered register reads, from inside, as <b>mockery</b> — facet neologisms may localize it.</li>
|
| 213 |
+
<li>Whether the register circuit's 8 columns are one circuit or <span class="redact">several wearing a trench coat</span>.</li>
|
| 214 |
+
<li>What a persistent-write runtime (re-supplying the vector every layer) would do to the identity gate.</li>
|
| 215 |
+
<li>Whether the corridor fans out into volume × warmth with more specimens on the axis.</li>
|
| 216 |
+
<li>Why <span class="redact">the keeper</span> keeps measuring the scarecrow.</li>
|
| 217 |
+
</ul></div>
|
| 218 |
+
|
| 219 |
+
<h2><span class="no">APPENDIX C</span> · <span class="case">EVIDENCE LOCKER</span></h2>
|
| 220 |
+
<div class="card">
|
| 221 |
+
<table>
|
| 222 |
+
<tr><th>artifact</th><th>where</th></tr>
|
| 223 |
+
<tr><td>full metrics + dose scans + transcripts</td><td><a href="https://huggingface.co/datasets/ModelFarm/persona-stack-controls">ModelFarm/persona-stack-controls</a> · lab README</td></tr>
|
| 224 |
+
<tr><td>specimen 001 — extrali (3 packages)</td><td><a href="https://huggingface.co/ModelFarm/extrali-1.5b-engram-evoked">tone dial</a> · <a href="https://huggingface.co/ModelFarm/extrali-1.5b-neurons">circuit</a> · <a href="https://huggingface.co/ModelFarm/extrali-1.5b-sysprompt">shell</a></td></tr>
|
| 225 |
+
<tr><td>specimen 002 — arnold (5 gated packages)</td><td><a class="p" href="https://huggingface.co/ModelFarm/arnold-1.5b-engram-evoked">engram</a> · <a class="p" href="https://huggingface.co/ModelFarm/arnold-1.5b-lora-identityqa">identity</a> · <a class="p" href="https://huggingface.co/ModelFarm/arnold-1.5b-lora-style">style</a> · <a class="p" href="https://huggingface.co/ModelFarm/arnold-1.5b-neurons">circuit</a> · <a class="p" href="https://huggingface.co/ModelFarm/arnold-1.5b-sysprompt">shell</a></td></tr>
|
| 226 |
+
<tr><td>the harness (engram/sweep/lora/trace/neolog/eval)</td><td>arnold-persona-lab · <a href="https://huggingface.co/ModelFarm/org-card">org card</a></td></tr>
|
| 227 |
+
</table>
|
| 228 |
+
</div>
|
| 229 |
+
|
| 230 |
+
<div class="footer">MODELFARM CASE FILES · SPOOKY SEASON 2026 · ALL NUMBERS REAL, ALL GHOSTS
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| 231 |
+
EXPLAINED OR AT LEAST MEASURED · RESEARCH FIRST, FUN ALWAYS 🎃👽</div>
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+
</div>
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</body>
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</html>
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