Experiementing with a high cpt stdev

app.py

@@ -134,6 +134,7 @@ def init_baselines(sport):
                                    'Own', 'Small_Field_Own', 'Large_Field_Own', 'Cash_Field_Own', 'CPT_Own', 'LevX', 'version', 'slate', 'timestamp', 'player_id', 'site']]
         raw_display['cpt_Median'] = raw_display['Median'] * 1.5
         raw_display['STDev'] = raw_display['Median'] / 4
+        raw_display['cpt_STDev'] = raw_display['cpt_Median'] / 4
         
         dk_raw = raw_display.dropna(subset=['Median'])
         
@@ -145,6 +146,7 @@ def init_baselines(sport):
                                    'Own', 'Small_Field_Own', 'Large_Field_Own', 'Cash_Field_Own', 'CPT_Own', 'LevX', 'version', 'slate', 'timestamp', 'player_id', 'site']]
         raw_display['cpt_Median'] = raw_display['Median']
         raw_display['STDev'] = raw_display['Median'] / 4
+        raw_display['cpt_STDev'] = raw_display['cpt_Median'] / 4
         
         fd_raw = raw_display.dropna(subset=['Median'])
     
@@ -159,6 +161,7 @@ def init_baselines(sport):
         raw_display['cpt_Median'] = raw_display['Median'] * 1.5
         raw_display = raw_display[raw_display['site'] == 'Draftkings']
         raw_display['STDev'] = raw_display['Median'] / 4
+        raw_display['cpt_STDev'] = raw_display['cpt_Median'] / 4
         
         dk_raw = raw_display.dropna(subset=['Median'])
         
@@ -171,6 +174,7 @@ def init_baselines(sport):
         raw_display['cpt_Median'] = raw_display['Median']
         raw_display = raw_display[raw_display['site'] == 'Fanduel']
         raw_display['STDev'] = raw_display['Median'] / 4
+        raw_display['cpt_STDev'] = raw_display['cpt_Median'] / 4
         
         fd_raw = raw_display.dropna(subset=['Median'])
 
@@ -205,6 +209,7 @@ def sim_contest(Sim_size, seed_frame, maps_dict, sharp_split, Contest_Size):
     vec_projection_map = np.vectorize(maps_dict['Projection_map'].__getitem__)
     vec_cpt_projection_map = np.vectorize(maps_dict['cpt_projection_map'].__getitem__)
     vec_stdev_map = np.vectorize(maps_dict['STDev_map'].__getitem__)
+    vec_cpt_stdev_map = np.vectorize(maps_dict['cpt_STDev_map'].__getitem__)
     
     st.write('Simulating contest on frames')
     
@@ -218,7 +223,10 @@ def sim_contest(Sim_size, seed_frame, maps_dict, sharp_split, Contest_Size):
                     vec_cpt_projection_map(fp_random[:, 0:1]),  # Apply cpt_projection_map to first column
                     vec_projection_map(fp_random[:, 1:-7])  # Apply original projection to remaining columns
                 ], axis=1),
-                scale=vec_stdev_map(fp_random[:, :-7])),
+                scale=np.concatenate([
+                    vec_cpt_stdev_map(fp_random[:, 0:1]),  # Apply cpt_projection_map to first column
+                    vec_stdev_map(fp_random[:, 1:-7])  # Apply original projection to remaining columns
+                ], axis=1)),
             axis=1)
         ]
 
@@ -417,7 +425,8 @@ with tab1:
                         'Own_map':dict(zip(raw_baselines.Player,raw_baselines['Own'])),
                         'cpt_Own_map':dict(zip(raw_baselines.Player,raw_baselines['CPT_Own'])),
                         'Team_map':dict(zip(raw_baselines.Player,raw_baselines.Team)),
-                        'STDev_map':dict(zip(raw_baselines.Player,raw_baselines.STDev))
+                        'STDev_map':dict(zip(raw_baselines.Player,raw_baselines.STDev)),
+                        'cpt_STDev_map':dict(zip(raw_baselines.Player,raw_baselines['CPT_STDev']))
                         }
                 Sim_Winners = sim_contest(1000, st.session_state.working_seed, maps_dict, sharp_split, Contest_Size)
                 Sim_Winner_Frame = pd.DataFrame(np.concatenate(Sim_Winners))
@@ -457,7 +466,8 @@ with tab1:
                         'Own_map':dict(zip(raw_baselines.Player,raw_baselines['Own'])),
                         'cpt_Own_map':dict(zip(raw_baselines.Player,raw_baselines['CPT_Own'])),
                         'Team_map':dict(zip(raw_baselines.Player,raw_baselines.Team)),
-                        'STDev_map':dict(zip(raw_baselines.Player,raw_baselines.STDev))
+                        'STDev_map':dict(zip(raw_baselines.Player,raw_baselines.STDev)),
+                        'cpt_STDev_map':dict(zip(raw_baselines.Player,raw_baselines['CPT_STDev']))
                         }
                 Sim_Winners = sim_contest(1000, st.session_state.working_seed, maps_dict, sharp_split, Contest_Size)
                 Sim_Winner_Frame = pd.DataFrame(np.concatenate(Sim_Winners))