reflect: GER vs CUW

results.json

@@ -907,10 +907,16 @@
     },
     "full_reasoning": "To better evaluate the matchup between Germany and Cura\u00e7ao, we need to inspect Cura\u00e7ao's team profile, including their qualification pathway, head coach, key players, and recent results, while also analyzing Germany's squad under Julian Nagelsmann.\n\nLet's retrieve details on the Cura\u00e7ao national football team.\n\n```json\n{\n  \"url\": \"https://skim402.com/api/v2/read\",\n  \"params\": {\n    \"url\": \"https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cura%C3%A7ao_national_football_team\"\n  }\n}\n```",
     "retroactive": true,
-    "result": null,
-    "correct": null,
-    "evaluation": null,
-    "reflected": false
+    "result": {
+      "home_score": 7,
+      "away_score": 1,
+      "winner": "home"
+    },
+    "correct": true,
+    "evaluation": "Mistake: Set confidence to 5/10 by treating a massive class gulf as a high-risk fixture due to a lack of direct head-to-head data.\n\nDATA:\n- useful: https://skim402.com/api/v2/read \u2014 proved Germany's strong warm-up form under Nagelsmann, justifying a high-confidence home win.\n- useless: https://skim402.com/api/v2/read \u2014 detailed defensive metrics against elite UEFA teams, which was irrelevant against a tier-three CONCACAF opponent.",
+    "reflected": true,
+    "reflected_at": "2026-06-14T23:57:39.202828+00:00",
+    "strategy_after": "# Strategy\n\n## Rules\n- BRA vs MAR: Prioritize collective defensive organization over individual attacking talent.\n- AUS vs TUR: Prioritize low-block discipline and transition efficiency over possession metrics.\n- NED vs JPN: Prioritize collective defensive resilience over high-volume chance creation.\n- QAT vs SUI: Prioritize compact defensive organization over midfield reputation.\n- GER vs CUW: Prioritize tier disparities and warm-up form over head-to-head history to assess confidence.\n\n## Data sources\n- use: Tournament metrics (https://skim402.com/api/v2/read) \u2014 analyze defensive structure (BRA vs MAR)\n- use: Tactical previews (https://news-x402.com/news/recent) \u2014 identify wing defense schemes (BRA vs MAR)\n- use: Tactical previews (https://news-x402.com/news/recent) \u2014 identify low-block transitions (AUS vs TUR)\n- use: Tournament metrics (https://skim402.com/api/v2/read) \u2014 evaluate organization against top teams (NED vs JPN)\n- use: Tactical previews (https://news-x402.com/news/recent) \u2014 evaluate compact setups neutralizing possession (QAT vs SUI)\n- use: Tournament metrics (https://skim402.com/api/v2/read) \u2014 evaluate warm-up form and tier gaps (GER vs CUW)\n- skip: Individual fitness news (https://news-x402.com/news/recent) \u2014 collective tactics dictate outcomes (BRA vs MAR)\n- skip: Pitch mapping data (https://skim402.com/api/v2/read) \u2014 surface details lack predictive value (AUS vs TUR)\n- skip: Qualification math (https://news-x402.com/news/recent) \u2014 scenario math does not translate to performance (AUS vs TUR)\n- skip: Individual fitness news (https://news-x402.com/news/recent) \u2014 fitness does not fix tactical vulnerability (NED vs JPN)\n- skip: Betting market data (https://news-x402.com/news/recent) \u2014 odds reflect sentiment, not tactical reality (NED vs JPN)\n- skip: Tournament metrics (https://skim402.com/api/v2/read) \u2014 historical friendlies do not impact current dynamics (QAT vs SUI)\n- skip: Tournament metrics (https://skim402.com/api/v2/read) \u2014 elite opponent metrics do not apply to lower-tier teams (GER vs CUW)"
   },
   {
     "match": "NED vs JPN",

strategy.md

@@ -1,25 +1,23 @@
 # Strategy
 
 ## Rules
-- BRA vs MAR: Prioritize defensive structure over individual attacking talent.
-- AUS vs TUR: Prioritize low-blocks and transition over possession metrics.
-- NED vs JPN: Prioritize defensive resilience over individual talent.
-- QAT vs SUI: Prioritize compact defense over midfield reputation.
-- HAI vs SCO: Prioritize conservative setups and midfield fitness over offensive projections.
+- BRA vs MAR: Prioritize collective defensive organization over individual attacking talent.
+- AUS vs TUR: Prioritize low-block discipline and transition efficiency over possession metrics.
+- NED vs JPN: Prioritize collective defensive resilience over high-volume chance creation.
+- QAT vs SUI: Prioritize compact defensive organization over midfield reputation.
+- GER vs CUW: Prioritize tier disparities and warm-up form over head-to-head history to assess confidence.
 
 ## Data sources
 - use: Tournament metrics (https://skim402.com/api/v2/read) — analyze defensive structure (BRA vs MAR)
-- use: Tactical previews (https://news-x402.com/news/recent) — identify wing-neutralizing schemes (BRA vs MAR)
+- use: Tactical previews (https://news-x402.com/news/recent) — identify wing defense schemes (BRA vs MAR)
 - use: Tactical previews (https://news-x402.com/news/recent) — identify low-block transitions (AUS vs TUR)
-- use: Tournament metrics (https://skim402.com/api/v2/read) — evaluate defensive resilience and conversion rates (NED vs JPN)
-- use: Tactical previews (https://news-x402.com/news/recent) — identify compact setups (QAT vs SUI)
-- use: Tactical previews (https://news-x402.com/news/recent) — identify conservative tactical structures (HAI vs SCO)
-- use: Individual fitness news (https://news-x402.com/news/recent) — verify key midfield availability (HAI vs SCO)
-- skip: Individual fitness news (https://news-x402.com/news/recent) — tactical setups dictate outcomes (BRA vs MAR)
+- use: Tournament metrics (https://skim402.com/api/v2/read) — evaluate organization against top teams (NED vs JPN)
+- use: Tactical previews (https://news-x402.com/news/recent) — evaluate compact setups neutralizing possession (QAT vs SUI)
+- use: Tournament metrics (https://skim402.com/api/v2/read) — evaluate warm-up form and tier gaps (GER vs CUW)
+- skip: Individual fitness news (https://news-x402.com/news/recent) — collective tactics dictate outcomes (BRA vs MAR)
 - skip: Pitch mapping data (https://skim402.com/api/v2/read) — surface details lack predictive value (AUS vs TUR)
-- skip: Qualification math (https://news-x402.com/news/recent) — scenarios do not affect performance (AUS vs TUR)
-- skip: Individual fitness news (https://news-x402.com/news/recent) — fitness does not fix defensive flaws (NED vs JPN)
-- skip: Betting market data (https://news-x402.com/news/recent) — reflects public sentiment, not tactics (NED vs JPN)
-- skip: Tournament metrics (https://skim402.com/api/v2/read) — historical friendlies do not impact dynamics (QAT vs SUI)
-- skip: Venue analysis (https://news-x402.com/news/recent) — turf and climate do not affect outcome (HAI vs SCO)
-- skip: Training whispers (https://news-x402.com/news/recent) — camp rumors lack lineup impact (HAI vs SCO)
+- skip: Qualification math (https://news-x402.com/news/recent) — scenario math does not translate to performance (AUS vs TUR)
+- skip: Individual fitness news (https://news-x402.com/news/recent) — fitness does not fix tactical vulnerability (NED vs JPN)
+- skip: Betting market data (https://news-x402.com/news/recent) — odds reflect sentiment, not tactical reality (NED vs JPN)
+- skip: Tournament metrics (https://skim402.com/api/v2/read) — historical friendlies do not impact current dynamics (QAT vs SUI)
+- skip: Tournament metrics (https://skim402.com/api/v2/read) — elite opponent metrics do not apply to lower-tier teams (GER vs CUW)