Spaces:
Sleeping
Sleeping
File size: 49,757 Bytes
40b6bd4 b7a60d3 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 b7a60d3 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 b7a60d3 bc98580 b7a60d3 bc98580 b7a60d3 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 b7a60d3 bc98580 b7a60d3 bc98580 b7a60d3 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 b7a60d3 bc98580 b7a60d3 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 b7a60d3 40b6bd4 bc98580 b7a60d3 bc98580 b7a60d3 bc98580 b7a60d3 bc98580 40b6bd4 b7a60d3 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 b7a60d3 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 b7a60d3 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 b7a60d3 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 b7a60d3 40b6bd4 bc98580 b7a60d3 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 b7a60d3 bc98580 b7a60d3 40b6bd4 bc98580 b7a60d3 40b6bd4 b7a60d3 bc98580 b7a60d3 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 b7a60d3 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 b7a60d3 bc98580 40b6bd4 b7a60d3 bc98580 b7a60d3 40b6bd4 bc98580 b7a60d3 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 b7a60d3 bc98580 b7a60d3 40b6bd4 b7a60d3 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 b7a60d3 6b96f16 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 b7a60d3 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 b7a60d3 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 6b96f16 bc98580 6b96f16 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 6b96f16 bc98580 6b96f16 bc98580 6b96f16 bc98580 6b96f16 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 6b96f16 bc98580 6b96f16 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 6b96f16 bc98580 40b6bd4 bc98580 b7a60d3 bc98580 40b6bd4 | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191 192 193 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239 240 241 242 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255 256 257 258 259 260 261 262 263 264 265 266 267 268 269 270 271 272 273 274 275 276 277 278 279 280 281 282 283 284 285 286 287 288 289 290 291 292 293 294 295 296 297 298 299 300 301 302 303 304 305 306 307 308 309 310 311 312 313 314 315 316 317 318 319 320 321 322 323 324 325 326 327 328 329 330 331 332 333 334 335 336 337 338 339 340 341 342 343 344 345 346 347 348 349 350 351 352 353 354 355 356 357 358 359 360 361 362 363 364 365 366 367 368 369 370 371 372 373 374 375 376 377 378 379 380 381 382 383 384 385 386 387 388 389 390 391 392 393 394 395 396 397 398 399 400 401 402 403 404 405 406 407 408 409 410 411 412 413 414 415 416 417 418 419 420 421 422 423 424 425 426 427 428 429 430 431 432 433 434 435 436 437 438 439 440 441 442 443 444 445 446 447 448 449 450 451 452 453 454 455 456 457 458 459 460 461 462 463 464 465 466 467 468 469 470 471 472 473 474 475 476 477 478 479 480 481 482 483 484 485 486 487 488 489 490 491 492 493 494 495 496 497 498 499 500 501 502 503 504 505 506 507 508 509 510 511 512 513 514 515 516 517 518 519 520 521 522 523 524 525 526 527 528 529 530 531 532 533 534 535 536 537 538 539 540 541 542 543 544 545 546 547 548 549 550 551 552 553 554 555 556 557 558 559 560 561 562 563 564 565 566 567 568 569 570 571 572 573 574 575 576 577 578 579 580 581 582 583 584 585 586 587 588 589 590 591 592 593 594 595 596 597 598 599 600 601 602 603 604 605 606 607 608 609 610 611 612 613 614 615 616 617 618 619 620 621 622 623 624 625 626 627 628 629 630 631 632 633 634 635 636 637 638 639 640 641 642 643 644 645 646 647 648 649 650 651 652 653 654 655 656 657 658 659 660 661 662 663 664 665 666 667 668 669 670 671 672 673 674 675 676 677 678 679 680 681 682 683 684 685 686 687 688 689 690 691 692 693 694 695 696 697 698 699 700 701 702 703 704 705 706 707 708 709 710 711 712 713 714 715 716 717 718 719 720 721 722 723 724 725 726 727 728 729 730 731 732 733 734 735 736 737 738 739 740 741 742 743 744 745 746 747 748 749 750 751 752 753 754 755 756 757 758 759 760 761 762 763 764 765 766 767 768 769 770 771 772 773 774 775 776 777 778 779 780 781 782 783 784 785 786 787 788 789 790 791 792 793 794 795 796 797 798 799 800 801 802 803 804 805 806 807 808 809 810 811 812 813 814 815 816 817 818 819 820 821 822 823 824 825 826 827 828 829 830 831 832 833 834 835 836 837 838 839 840 841 842 843 844 845 846 847 848 849 850 851 852 853 854 855 856 857 858 859 860 861 862 863 864 865 866 867 868 869 870 871 872 873 874 875 876 877 878 879 880 881 882 883 884 885 886 887 888 889 890 891 892 893 894 895 896 897 898 899 900 901 902 903 904 905 906 907 908 909 910 911 912 913 914 915 916 917 918 919 920 921 922 923 924 925 926 927 928 929 930 931 932 933 934 935 936 937 938 939 940 941 942 943 944 945 946 947 948 949 950 951 952 953 954 955 956 957 958 959 960 961 962 963 964 965 966 967 968 969 970 971 972 973 974 975 976 977 978 979 980 981 982 983 984 985 986 987 988 989 990 991 992 993 994 995 996 997 998 999 1000 1001 1002 1003 1004 1005 1006 1007 1008 1009 1010 1011 1012 1013 1014 | """AlphaForge x K2 Think V2 - Institutional-Grade Quantitative Analysis Platform
Multi-market support: US, EU, Asia, Crypto, Forex, Commodities
Finance-themed UI with dark mode, professional color scheme
Enhanced features: Options pricing, Pairs Trading, Macro Analysis
Powered by MBZUAI K2 Think V2 reasoning model
API Key: set via K2_API_KEY environment variable
"""
import os, json, traceback, warnings, math, random
warnings.filterwarnings('ignore')
# Core imports
try:
import gradio as gr
import requests
import yfinance as yf
import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
import plotly.graph_objects as go
from plotly.subplots import make_subplots
PLOTLY_OK = True
except ImportError as e:
raise ImportError(f"Missing required package: {e}")
# CONFIG
K2_API_KEY = os.environ.get("K2_API_KEY", "")
K2_BASE_URL = "https://api.k2think.ai/v1/chat/completions"
K2_MODEL = "MBZUAI-IFM/K2-Think-v2"
# K2 THINK V2 CLIENT
class K2ThinkClient:
def __init__(self):
self.api_key = K2_API_KEY
self.available = bool(self.api_key) and len(self.api_key) > 10
self.base_url = K2_BASE_URL
def chat(self, messages, temperature=0.7, max_tokens=4096):
if not self.available:
return "⚠️ K2 Think V2 API Not Configured. Add K2_API_KEY in Space Settings > Repository Secrets. All other features work perfectly!"
payload = {"model": K2_MODEL, "messages": messages, "temperature": temperature,
"max_tokens": max_tokens, "stream": False}
headers = {"accept": "application/json", "Authorization": f"Bearer {self.api_key}",
"Content-Type": "application/json"}
try:
r = requests.post(self.base_url, headers=headers, json=payload, timeout=120)
r.raise_for_status()
j = r.json()
if 'choices' in j and len(j['choices']) > 0:
return j['choices'][0]['message']['content']
return f"⚠️ Unexpected format: {json.dumps(j, indent=2)[:400]}"
except requests.exceptions.Timeout:
return "⏱️ Timeout after 120s. API may be under high load."
except requests.exceptions.HTTPError as e:
if e.response.status_code == 401:
return "🔐 Auth failed. Check K2_API_KEY secret."
elif e.response.status_code == 429:
return "🚦 Rate limited. Wait a moment."
return f"🔴 HTTP {e.response.status_code}: {str(e)[:200]}"
except Exception as e:
return f"🔴 Error: {str(e)[:300]}"
def analyze_market(self, ticker, market, data_summary, tech_summary, timeframe):
prompt = f"""You are an elite quantitative analyst at a top hedge fund (Two Sigma / Jane Street level).
Analyze with deep chain-of-thought reasoning.
## Asset Information
- **Ticker**: {ticker}
- **Market**: {market}
- **Timeframe**: {timeframe}
## Market Data Summary
{data_summary}
## Technical Indicators
{tech_summary}
## Deliverables
Provide exactly these sections:
### 1. Executive Summary (3 bullets)
### 2. Technical Analysis
- Interpret RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands, ADX, Ichimoku
- Identify support/resistance levels from SMAs and VWAP
### 3. Risk Assessment
- Volatility regime (low/normal/high)
- Tail risk estimate
- Correlation risk
### 4. Alpha Signal
- Direction: BULLISH / NEUTRAL / BEARISH
- Confidence: X%
- Time horizon
- Key conviction drivers
### 5. Trade Recommendation
- Entry price / zone
- Stop-loss
- Target 1 (conservative) and Target 2 (aggressive)
- Position sizing suggestion
### 6. Catalyst Calendar
- Next 7 days
- Next 30 days
### 7. Contrarian View
- What would make this signal wrong?
- Alternative scenario with probability
Think step-by-step. Reference specific numbers."""
return self.chat([{"role": "user", "content": prompt}], temperature=0.2, max_tokens=4096)
def portfolio_advice(self, portfolio_data, corr_data, risk_metrics, market_context):
prompt = f"""You are a CIO managing $2B AUM at a systematic macro fund.
## Portfolio Holdings
{portfolio_data}
## Correlation Analysis
{corr_data}
## Risk Metrics
{risk_metrics}
## Market Context
{market_context}
## Deliverables
### 1. Portfolio Health Score (0-100) with letter grade (A+ to F)
### 2. Concentration Risk
### 3. Correlation Risk Matrix
### 4. Rebalancing Roadmap
- Specific weight adjustments with %
- Timeline: immediate / 1 week / 1 month
### 5. Hedging Strategy
### 6. Expected Return & Risk (Forward 12M)
### 7. Scenario Analysis
- Bull case (20% probability)
- Base case (50% probability)
- Bear case (20% probability)
- Tail case (10% probability)
Use quantitative reasoning throughout."""
return self.chat([{"role": "user", "content": prompt}], temperature=0.2, max_tokens=4096)
def macro_analysis(self, macro_text):
prompt = f"""You are a global macro strategist at Bridgewater / Millennium.
## Input
{macro_text}
## Deliverables
### 1. Macro Regime Classification
### 2. Cross-Asset Implications
- Equities, Fixed Income, FX, Commodities, Crypto
### 3. Trade Ideas (3 concrete setups)
Each with: instrument, direction, entry, stop, target, conviction %, time horizon
### 4. Risk Factors
Think like a macro PM."""
return self.chat([{"role": "user", "content": prompt}], temperature=0.3, max_tokens=4096)
# MARKET DATA
MARKET_PRESETS = {
"🇺🇸 US Equities": {"suffix": "", "examples": "AAPL, TSLA, NVDA, SPY, QQQ, META, AMZN, GOOGL"},
"🇪🇺 European Equities": {"suffix": ".PA", "examples": "AIR.PA, SAN.PA, TTE.PA, OR.PA, MC.PA"},
"🇬🇧 UK Equities": {"suffix": ".L", "examples": "AZN.L, SHEL.L, BP.L, ULVR.L, RIO.L"},
"🇩🇪 German Equities": {"suffix": ".DE", "examples": "SAP.DE, SIE.DE, ALV.DE, BAS.DE, BMW.DE"},
"🇯🇵 Japanese Equities": {"suffix": ".T", "examples": "7203.T, 9984.T, 6861.T, 6758.T"},
"🇨🇳 Chinese Equities": {"suffix": ".HK", "examples": "0700.HK, 9988.HK, 3690.HK, 1810.HK"},
"🇮🇳 Indian Equities": {"suffix": ".NS", "examples": "RELIANCE.NS, TCS.NS, INFY.NS"},
"🪙 Crypto": {"suffix": "", "examples": "BTC-USD, ETH-USD, SOL-USD, XRP-USD"},
"💱 Forex Majors": {"suffix": "=X", "examples": "EURUSD=X, GBPUSD=X, USDJPY=X"},
"🥇 Commodities": {"suffix": "", "examples": "GC=F, SI=F, CL=F, NG=F, ZC=F"},
"📊 Indices": {"suffix": "", "examples": "^GSPC, ^DJI, ^IXIC, ^FTSE, ^N225"},
}
def fetch_data(ticker, period="6mo", interval="1d"):
try:
stock = yf.Ticker(ticker.upper().strip())
df = stock.history(period=period, interval=interval)
if df.empty:
return None, None, f"No data for '{ticker}'. Try examples from the selected market."
info = stock.info
return df, info, None
except Exception as e:
return None, None, f"Error fetching '{ticker}': {str(e)[:200]}"
def calc_indicators(df):
df = df.copy()
df['Ret'] = df['Close'].pct_change()
df['LogRet'] = np.log(df['Close']/df['Close'].shift(1))
df['SMA5'] = df['Close'].rolling(5).mean()
df['SMA20'] = df['Close'].rolling(20).mean()
df['SMA50'] = df['Close'].rolling(50).mean()
df['SMA200'] = df['Close'].rolling(200).mean()
df['EMA12'] = df['Close'].ewm(span=12, adjust=False).mean()
df['EMA26'] = df['Close'].ewm(span=26, adjust=False).mean()
df['MACD'] = df['EMA12'] - df['EMA26']
df['MACDS'] = df['MACD'].ewm(span=9, adjust=False).mean()
df['MACDH'] = df['MACD'] - df['MACDS']
d = df['Close'].diff()
g = d.where(d>0,0).rolling(14).mean()
l = (-d.where(d<0,0)).rolling(14).mean()
df['RSI'] = 100 - (100/(1+g/(l+1e-10)))
m = df['Close'].rolling(20).mean()
s = df['Close'].rolling(20).std()
df['BBU'] = m + 2*s
df['BBL'] = m - 2*s
df['BBP'] = (df['Close']-df['BBL'])/(df['BBU']-df['BBL']+1e-10)
df['BBW'] = (df['BBU']-df['BBL'])/m
tp = (df['High']+df['Low']+df['Close'])/3
df['VWAP'] = (tp*df['Volume']).cumsum()/(df['Volume'].cumsum()+1e-10)
hl = df['High']-df['Low']
hc = np.abs(df['High']-df['Close'].shift())
lc = np.abs(df['Low']-df['Close'].shift())
tr = pd.concat([hl,hc,lc],axis=1).max(axis=1)
df['ATR'] = tr.rolling(14).mean()
df['ATR_pct'] = df['ATR']/df['Close']*100
lo = df['Low'].rolling(14).min()
hi = df['High'].rolling(14).max()
df['Stoch_K'] = 100*(df['Close']-lo)/(hi-lo+1e-10)
df['Stoch_D'] = df['Stoch_K'].rolling(3).mean()
df['VM'] = df['Volume'].rolling(20).mean()
df['VR'] = df['Volume']/(df['VM']+1e-10)
plus_dm = df['High'].diff()
minus_dm = df['Low'].diff()
plus_dm[plus_dm<0] = 0
minus_dm[minus_dm>0] = 0
minus_dm = np.abs(minus_dm)
atr_smooth = tr.ewm(alpha=1/14, adjust=False).mean()
df['plus_DI'] = 100 * (plus_dm.ewm(alpha=1/14, adjust=False).mean() / atr_smooth)
df['minus_DI'] = 100 * (minus_dm.ewm(alpha=1/14, adjust=False).mean() / atr_smooth)
dx = 100 * np.abs(df['plus_DI']-df['minus_DI'])/(df['plus_DI']+df['minus_DI']+1e-10)
df['ADX'] = dx.ewm(alpha=1/14, adjust=False).mean()
df['OBV'] = (np.sign(df['Close'].diff())*df['Volume']).cumsum()
tp_r = (df['High']+df['Low']+df['Close'])/3
tp_diff = tp_r.diff()
pos_flow = tp_r.where(tp_diff>0,0)*df['Volume']
neg_flow = tp_r.where(tp_diff<0,0)*df['Volume']
mfi_pos = pos_flow.rolling(14).sum()
mfi_neg = neg_flow.rolling(14).sum()
df['MFI'] = 100 - (100/(1+mfi_pos/(mfi_neg+1e-10)))
df['ICH_tenkan'] = (df['High'].rolling(9).max()+df['Low'].rolling(9).min())/2
df['ICH_kijun'] = (df['High'].rolling(26).max()+df['Low'].rolling(26).min())/2
df['ICH_senkou_A'] = ((df['ICH_tenkan']+df['ICH_kijun'])/2).shift(26)
df['ICH_senkou_B'] = ((df['High'].rolling(52).max()+df['Low'].rolling(52).min())/2).shift(26)
return df
def calc_risk(df):
r = df['Ret'].dropna()
if len(r) < 30:
return {}
ar = r.mean()*252
av = r.std()*np.sqrt(252)
sh = ar/(av+1e-10)
dn = r[r<0]
sd = dn.std()*np.sqrt(252) if len(dn)>0 else 1e-10
so = ar/(sd+1e-10)
c = (1+r).cumprod()
rm = c.expanding().max()
md = ((c-rm)/rm).min()
v95 = np.percentile(r,5)
v99 = np.percentile(r,1)
cv95 = r[r<=v95].mean() if len(r[r<=v95])>0 else v95
cv99 = r[r<=v99].mean() if len(r[r<=v99])>0 else v99
ca = ar/(abs(md)+1e-10)
roll_sharpe = (r.rolling(63).mean()*252)/(r.rolling(63).std()*np.sqrt(252)+1e-10)
return {'ar':ar,'av':av,'sh':sh,'so':so,'md':md,'v95':v95,'v99':v99,
'cv95':cv95,'cv99':cv99,'ca':ca,'sk':r.skew(),'ku':r.kurtosis(),
'wr':(r>0).mean(),'pf':abs(r[r>0].sum()/(r[r<0].sum()+1e-10)),
'avg_win':r[r>0].mean() if len(r[r>0])>0 else 0,
'avg_loss':r[r<0].mean() if len(r[r<0])>0 else 0,
'roll_sharpe':roll_sharpe.iloc[-1] if len(roll_sharpe.dropna())>0 else 0,
'vol_regime':'low' if av<0.15 else 'normal' if av<0.30 else 'high'}
def calc_signals(df):
l = df.iloc[-1]
p = df.iloc[-2] if len(df)>1 else l
s = {'trend':'neutral','mom':'neutral','vol':'normal','volume':'normal',
'adx_trend':'weak','score':50,'ichimoku':'neutral'}
if l['Close']>l['SMA20']>l['SMA50']>l['SMA200']:
s['trend'] = 'strongly bullish'
elif l['Close']>l['SMA20']>l['SMA50']:
s['trend'] = 'bullish'
elif l['Close']<l['SMA20']<l['SMA50']<l['SMA200']:
s['trend'] = 'strongly bearish'
elif l['Close']<l['SMA20']<l['SMA50']:
s['trend'] = 'bearish'
if l['RSI']<30:
s['mom'] = 'deeply oversold'
elif l['RSI']<40:
s['mom'] = 'oversold'
elif l['RSI']>70:
s['mom'] = 'deeply overbought'
elif l['RSI']>60:
s['mom'] = 'overbought'
elif l['MACD']>l['MACDS'] and p['MACD']<=p['MACDS']:
s['mom'] = 'bullish MACD crossover'
elif l['MACD']<l['MACDS'] and p['MACD']>=p['MACDS']:
s['mom'] = 'bearish MACD crossover'
if l['BBW'] > df['BBW'].quantile(0.9):
s['vol'] = 'expanding (high vol)'
elif l['BBW'] < df['BBW'].quantile(0.1):
s['vol'] = 'contracting (low vol / squeeze)'
if l['VR'] > 2.5:
s['volume'] = 'very heavy (institutional)'
elif l['VR'] > 1.5:
s['volume'] = 'above average'
if l['ADX'] > 25:
s['adx_trend'] = 'strong trend'
elif l['ADX'] > 20:
s['adx_trend'] = 'trending'
if l['Close'] > l['ICH_senkou_A'] and l['Close'] > l['ICH_senkou_B']:
s['ichimoku'] = 'bullish cloud'
elif l['Close'] < l['ICH_senkou_A'] and l['Close'] < l['ICH_senkou_B']:
s['ichimoku'] = 'bearish cloud'
sc = 50
if 'bullish' in s['trend']: sc += 20
if 'bearish' in s['trend']: sc -= 20
if 'oversold' in s['mom']: sc += 10
if 'overbought' in s['mom']: sc -= 10
if 'crossover' in s['mom'] and 'bullish' in s['mom']: sc += 10
if 'crossover' in s['mom'] and 'bearish' in s['mom']: sc -= 10
if l['Close'] > l['VWAP']: sc += 5
if l['Close'] < l['VWAP']: sc -= 5
if l['Stoch_K'] < 20: sc += 5
if l['Stoch_K'] > 80: sc -= 5
if s['ichimoku'] == 'bullish cloud': sc += 5
if s['ichimoku'] == 'bearish cloud': sc -= 5
s['score'] = max(0, min(100, sc))
s['dir'] = 'BULLISH' if sc>60 else 'BEARISH' if sc<40 else 'NEUTRAL'
s['strength'] = 'STRONG' if abs(sc-50)>25 else 'MODERATE' if abs(sc-50)>15 else 'WEAK'
return s
def make_candlestick(df, ticker, market):
fig = make_subplots(rows=3, cols=1, shared_xaxes=True, vertical_spacing=0.03,
row_heights=[0.55, 0.25, 0.20],
subplot_titles=(f'{ticker} ({market})', 'Volume + VWAP', 'RSI'))
fig.add_trace(go.Candlestick(x=df.index, open=df['Open'], high=df['High'],
low=df['Low'], close=df['Close'], name='Price',
increasing_line_color='#00C853', decreasing_line_color='#FF5252'), row=1, col=1)
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=df.index, y=df['SMA20'], line=dict(color='#FF9800', width=1), name='SMA20'), row=1, col=1)
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=df.index, y=df['SMA50'], line=dict(color='#2196F3', width=1), name='SMA50'), row=1, col=1)
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=df.index, y=df['SMA200'], line=dict(color='#9C27B0', width=1.5, dash='dash'), name='SMA200'), row=1, col=1)
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=df.index, y=df['BBU'], line=dict(color='gray', width=0.8, dash='dash'), name='BB+', opacity=0.4), row=1, col=1)
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=df.index, y=df['BBL'], line=dict(color='gray', width=0.8, dash='dash'), name='BB-', opacity=0.4), row=1, col=1)
colors = ['#00C853' if df['Close'].iloc[i]>=df['Open'].iloc[i] else '#FF5252' for i in range(len(df))]
fig.add_trace(go.Bar(x=df.index, y=df['Volume'], marker_color=colors, name='Volume', opacity=0.7), row=2, col=1)
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=df.index, y=df['VM'], line=dict(color='#FF9800', width=1), name='Vol MA20'), row=2, col=1)
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=df.index, y=df['RSI'], line=dict(color='#9C27B0', width=1.5), fill='tozeroy', fillcolor='rgba(156,39,176,0.1)'), row=3, col=1)
fig.add_hline(y=70, line_dash="dash", line_color="#FF5252", row=3, col=1)
fig.add_hline(y=30, line_dash="dash", line_color="#00C853", row=3, col=1)
fig.add_hline(y=50, line_dash="dot", line_color="gray", row=3, col=1)
fig.update_layout(title=f'{ticker} Technical Analysis', template='plotly_dark',
xaxis_rangeslider_visible=False, height=850,
paper_bgcolor='#0d1117', plot_bgcolor='#161b22',
font=dict(color='#e6edf3'))
fig.update_yaxes(title_text="Price", row=1, col=1)
fig.update_yaxes(title_text="Volume", row=2, col=1)
fig.update_yaxes(title_text="RSI", range=[0,100], row=3, col=1)
return fig
def make_macd(df, ticker):
fig = make_subplots(rows=2, cols=1, shared_xaxes=True, vertical_spacing=0.05,
row_heights=[0.6, 0.4], subplot_titles=('MACD', 'Histogram'))
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=df.index, y=df['MACD'], line=dict(color='#2196F3', width=1.5), name='MACD'), row=1, col=1)
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=df.index, y=df['MACDS'], line=dict(color='#FF9800', width=1.5), name='Signal'), row=1, col=1)
colors = ['#00C853' if v>=0 else '#FF5252' for v in df['MACDH']]
fig.add_trace(go.Bar(x=df.index, y=df['MACDH'], marker_color=colors, name='Histogram', opacity=0.7), row=2, col=1)
fig.update_layout(title=f'{ticker} MACD', template='plotly_dark', height=500,
paper_bgcolor='#0d1117', plot_bgcolor='#161b22', font=dict(color='#e6edf3'))
return fig
def make_stoch(df, ticker):
fig = go.Figure()
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=df.index, y=df['Stoch_K'], line=dict(color='#2196F3', width=1.5), name='%K'))
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=df.index, y=df['Stoch_D'], line=dict(color='#FF9800', width=1.5), name='%D'))
fig.add_hline(y=80, line_dash="dash", line_color="#FF5252")
fig.add_hline(y=20, line_dash="dash", line_color="#00C853")
fig.update_layout(title=f'{ticker} Stochastic', template='plotly_dark', height=400,
paper_bgcolor='#0d1117', plot_bgcolor='#161b22', font=dict(color='#e6edf3'))
return fig
def make_vol(df, ticker):
fig = make_subplots(rows=2, cols=1, shared_xaxes=True, vertical_spacing=0.05,
row_heights=[0.6, 0.4], subplot_titles=('ATR %', 'Volume Ratio'))
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=df.index, y=df['ATR_pct'], line=dict(color='#FF9800', width=1.5), fill='tozeroy'), row=1, col=1)
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=df.index, y=df['VR'], line=dict(color='#9C27B0', width=1.5)), row=2, col=1)
fig.add_hline(y=1.0, line_dash="dash", line_color="gray", row=2, col=1)
fig.update_layout(title=f'{ticker} Volatility', template='plotly_dark', height=500,
paper_bgcolor='#0d1117', plot_bgcolor='#161b22', font=dict(color='#e6edf3'))
return fig
def make_adx(df, ticker):
fig = go.Figure()
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=df.index, y=df['plus_DI'], line=dict(color='#00C853', width=1), name='+DI'))
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=df.index, y=df['minus_DI'], line=dict(color='#FF5252', width=1), name='-DI'))
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=df.index, y=df['ADX'], line=dict(color='#2196F3', width=2), name='ADX'))
fig.add_hline(y=25, line_dash="dash", line_color="gray")
fig.update_layout(title=f'{ticker} ADX', template='plotly_dark', height=400,
paper_bgcolor='#0d1117', plot_bgcolor='#161b22', font=dict(color='#e6edf3'))
return fig
def make_dist(r, ticker):
fig = go.Figure()
fig.add_trace(go.Histogram(x=r, nbinsx=50, marker_color='#2196F3', opacity=0.7, name='Returns'))
mu, sig = r.mean(), r.std()
fig.add_vline(x=mu, line_color='#00C853', line_dash='dash', annotation_text=f'Mean: {mu*100:.2f}%')
fig.add_vline(x=np.percentile(r,5), line_color='#FF5252', line_dash='dot', annotation_text='VaR95')
fig.update_layout(title=f'{ticker} Returns', xaxis_title='Daily Return', yaxis_title='Count',
height=400, template='plotly_dark',
paper_bgcolor='#0d1117', plot_bgcolor='#161b22', font=dict(color='#e6edf3'))
return fig
# PORTFOLIO
def optimize_portfolio(tickers, period="1y"):
ts = [t.strip().upper() for t in tickers.split(',') if t.strip()]
if len(ts) < 2:
return None, None, None, "Enter at least 2 tickers."
data = {}
errs = []
for t in ts:
df, info, err = fetch_data(t, period)
if err:
errs.append(err)
elif df is not None and len(df) > 30:
data[t] = df['Close']
if len(data) < 2:
return None, None, None, f"Could not fetch data: {'; '.join(errs[:3])}"
prices = pd.DataFrame(data).dropna()
returns = prices.pct_change().dropna()
if len(returns) < 30:
return None, None, None, "Need more data."
mu = returns.mean() * 252
sigma = returns.cov() * 252
n = len(mu)
best_sh = -999
best_w = np.ones(n)/n
np.random.seed(42)
for _ in range(5000):
w = np.random.dirichlet(np.ones(n)*0.5)
w = np.clip(w, 0, 0.4)
w = w/w.sum()
pr = np.dot(w, mu)
pv = np.sqrt(np.dot(w.T, np.dot(sigma, w)))
sh = pr/(pv+1e-10)
if sh > best_sh:
best_sh = sh
best_w = w
pr = np.dot(best_w, mu)
pv = np.sqrt(np.dot(best_w.T, np.dot(sigma, best_w)))
eq_w = np.ones(n)/n
eq_r = np.dot(eq_w, mu)
eq_v = np.sqrt(np.dot(eq_w.T, np.dot(sigma, eq_w)))
ws = np.random.dirichlet(np.ones(n)*0.5, 3000)
ws = np.clip(ws, 0, 0.4)
ws = ws/ws.sum(axis=1, keepdims=True)
prets = np.dot(ws, mu)
pvols = np.array([np.sqrt(np.dot(w.T, np.dot(sigma, w))) for w in ws])
psh = prets/(pvols+1e-10)
fig = go.Figure()
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=pvols, y=prets, mode='markers',
marker=dict(size=4, color=psh, colorscale='Viridis', showscale=True,
colorbar=dict(title='Sharpe')), name='Portfolios'))
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=[pv], y=[pr], mode='markers+text',
marker=dict(size=18, color='#FF5252', symbol='star'),
text=['Optimal'], textposition='top center', name='Optimal'))
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=[eq_v], y=[eq_r], mode='markers+text',
marker=dict(size=14, color='#FF9800', symbol='diamond'),
text=['Equal'], textposition='bottom center', name='Equal Weight'))
fig.update_layout(title='Efficient Frontier', xaxis_title='Volatility', yaxis_title='Return',
template='plotly_dark', height=550,
paper_bgcolor='#0d1117', plot_bgcolor='#161b22', font=dict(color='#e6edf3'))
corr = returns.corr()
corr_fig = go.Figure(data=go.Heatmap(z=corr.values, x=corr.columns, y=corr.columns,
colorscale='RdBu', zmid=0, text=np.round(corr.values,2), texttemplate='%{text:.2f}',
colorbar=dict(title='Correlation')))
corr_fig.update_layout(title='Correlation Matrix', template='plotly_dark', height=450,
paper_bgcolor='#0d1117', plot_bgcolor='#161b22', font=dict(color='#e6edf3'))
wdf = pd.DataFrame({'Ticker': list(data.keys()),
'Optimal (%)': np.round(best_w*100, 2),
'Equal (%)': np.round(eq_w*100, 2)})
md = f"""## Portfolio Results
**Tickers:** {', '.join(list(data.keys()))}
| | Optimal | Equal |
|-|---------|-------|
| Return | {pr*100:.1f}% | {eq_r*100:.1f}% |
| Volatility | {pv*100:.1f}% | {eq_v*100:.1f}% |
| Sharpe | {best_sh:.2f} | {eq_r/(eq_v+1e-10):.2f} |
Improvements: Sharpe {((best_sh/(eq_r/(eq_v+1e-10))-1)*100):+.1f}%
{wdf.to_markdown(index=False)}
"""
return fig, corr_fig, wdf, md
# PAIRS TRADING
def analyze_pair(ticker_a, ticker_b, period="1y"):
df_a, _, _ = fetch_data(ticker_a, period)
df_b, _, _ = fetch_data(ticker_b, period)
if df_a is None or df_b is None:
return None, None, "Could not fetch data for one or both tickers."
prices = pd.DataFrame({ticker_a: df_a['Close'], ticker_b: df_b['Close']}).dropna()
if len(prices) < 30:
return None, None, "Insufficient aligned data."
spread = prices[ticker_a] - prices[ticker_b]
spread_norm = (spread - spread.mean()) / spread.std()
beta = np.polyfit(prices[ticker_b], prices[ticker_a], 1)[0]
hedge_ratio = beta
spread_hedged = prices[ticker_a] - hedge_ratio * prices[ticker_b]
spread_hedged_norm = (spread_hedged - spread_hedged.mean()) / spread_hedged.std()
lag_spread = spread_hedged.shift(1)
delta_spread = spread_hedged.diff()
valid = delta_spread.dropna().index
y = delta_spread.loc[valid]
x = lag_spread.loc[valid] - spread_hedged.mean()
theta = -np.polyfit(x, y, 1)[0]
half_life = np.log(2)/theta if theta > 0 else float('inf')
z = spread_hedged_norm.iloc[-1]
signal = 'SHORT SPREAD' if z > 2 else 'LONG SPREAD' if z < -2 else 'NO SIGNAL'
fig = make_subplots(rows=3, cols=1, shared_xaxes=True, vertical_spacing=0.05,
subplot_titles=(f'{ticker_a} vs {ticker_b}', 'Normalized Spread', 'Z-Score'))
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=prices.index, y=prices[ticker_a], line=dict(color='#2196F3', width=1.5), name=ticker_a), row=1, col=1)
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=prices.index, y=prices[ticker_b], line=dict(color='#FF9800', width=1.5), name=ticker_b), row=1, col=1)
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=prices.index, y=spread_norm, line=dict(color='#00C853', width=1.5), fill='tozeroy'), row=2, col=1)
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=prices.index, y=spread_hedged_norm, line=dict(color='#9C27B0', width=1.5)), row=3, col=1)
fig.add_hline(y=2, line_dash="dash", line_color="#FF5252", row=3, col=1)
fig.add_hline(y=-2, line_dash="dash", line_color="#00C853", row=3, col=1)
fig.add_hline(y=0, line_dash="dot", line_color="gray", row=3, col=1)
fig.update_layout(title=f'Pairs: {ticker_a} / {ticker_b}', template='plotly_dark',
height=750, paper_bgcolor='#0d1117', plot_bgcolor='#161b22', font=dict(color='#e6edf3'))
scat = go.Figure()
scat.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=prices[ticker_b], y=prices[ticker_a], mode='markers',
marker=dict(size=4, color=np.arange(len(prices)), colorscale='Viridis', showscale=True),
name='Price Path'))
x_range = np.linspace(prices[ticker_b].min(), prices[ticker_b].max(), 100)
intercept = np.polyfit(prices[ticker_b], prices[ticker_a], 1)[1]
y_range = hedge_ratio * x_range + intercept
scat.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=x_range, y=y_range, mode='lines',
line=dict(color='#FF5252', dash='dash'), name=f'OLS (β={hedge_ratio:.2f})'))
scat.update_layout(title=f'Price Relationship (β={hedge_ratio:.2f})', template='plotly_dark',
xaxis_title=ticker_b, yaxis_title=ticker_a, height=450,
paper_bgcolor='#0d1117', plot_bgcolor='#161b22', font=dict(color='#e6edf3'))
md = f"""## Pairs Trading: {ticker_a} vs {ticker_b}
| Metric | Value |
|--------|-------|
| Hedge Ratio (β) | {hedge_ratio:.3f} |
| Spread Mean | ${spread_hedged.mean():.2f} |
| Spread Std | ${spread_hedged.std():.2f} |
| Current Z-Score | {z:.2f} |
| Half-Life | {half_life:.1f} days |
### Signal
| Z-Score | Action |
|---------|--------|
| {z:.2f} | **{signal}** |
### Rules
- **Long Spread** when Z < -2 (buy {ticker_a}, short {ticker_b})
- **Short Spread** when Z > +2 (short {ticker_a}, buy {ticker_b})
- **Exit** when Z crosses 0
- **Stop Loss** when |Z| > 3.5
"""
return fig, scat, md
# OPTIONS
def black_scholes(S, K, T, r, sigma, option_type='call'):
try:
d1 = (np.log(S/K) + (r + 0.5*sigma**2)*T) / (sigma*np.sqrt(T))
d2 = d1 - sigma*np.sqrt(T)
try:
from scipy.stats import norm
nd1 = norm.cdf(d1)
nd2 = norm.cdf(d2)
npdf_d1 = norm.pdf(d1)
except:
def approx_cdf(x):
return 0.5 * (1 + math.erf(x / math.sqrt(2)))
nd1 = approx_cdf(d1)
nd2 = approx_cdf(d2)
npdf_d1 = (1/math.sqrt(2*math.pi)) * math.exp(-0.5*d1**2)
if option_type == 'call':
price = S*nd1 - K*math.exp(-r*T)*nd2
delta = nd1
else:
price = K*math.exp(-r*T)*(1-nd2) - S*(1-nd1)
delta = nd1 - 1
gamma = npdf_d1 / (S*sigma*np.sqrt(T))
theta = -(S*npdf_d1*sigma)/(2*np.sqrt(T)) - r*K*math.exp(-r*T)*nd2 if option_type=='call' else -(S*npdf_d1*sigma)/(2*np.sqrt(T)) + r*K*math.exp(-r*T)*(1-nd2)
vega = S*npdf_d1*np.sqrt(T)
rho = K*T*math.exp(-r*T)*nd2 if option_type=='call' else -K*T*math.exp(-r*T)*(1-nd2)
return {'price': price, 'delta': delta, 'gamma': gamma, 'theta': theta/252,
'vega': vega/100, 'rho': rho/100, 'd1': d1, 'd2': d2}
except Exception as e:
return {'error': str(e)}
def analyze_options(ticker, strike_pct, days, rfr, vol_override, option_type):
df, info, err = fetch_data(ticker, "6mo")
if df is None:
return None, None, f"Error: {err}"
df = calc_indicators(df)
S = df['Close'].iloc[-1]
K = S * (strike_pct/100)
T = days / 365
if vol_override and vol_override > 0:
sigma = vol_override / 100
else:
sigma = df['Ret'].dropna().std() * np.sqrt(252)
r = rfr / 100
bs = black_scholes(S, K, T, r, sigma, option_type.lower())
if 'error' in bs:
return None, None, f"BS Error: {bs['error']}"
pct_changes = np.arange(-30, 31, 5)
pl_data = []
for pct in pct_changes:
new_S = S * (1 + pct/100)
new_bs = black_scholes(new_S, K, max(T - 1/365, 0.001), r, sigma, option_type.lower())
pl = (new_bs['price'] - bs['price']) * 100
pl_data.append({'Price Change %': f'{pct:+d}%', 'Stock Price': f'${new_S:.2f}',
'Option Price': f'${new_bs["price"]:.2f}', 'P/L (per 100)': f'${pl:+.2f}'})
pl_df = pd.DataFrame(pl_data)
strikes = np.linspace(S*0.7, S*1.3, 50)
greeks_data = {'price': [], 'delta': [], 'gamma': [], 'theta': [], 'vega': []}
for st in strikes:
res = black_scholes(S, st, T, r, sigma, option_type.lower())
for k in greeks_data:
greeks_data[k].append(res.get(k, 0))
fig = make_subplots(rows=2, cols=3,
subplot_titles=('Price', 'Delta', 'Gamma', 'Theta (daily)', 'Vega', 'P/L at Expiry'),
vertical_spacing=0.12, horizontal_spacing=0.08)
colors = ['#2196F3', '#00C853', '#FF9800', '#FF5252', '#9C27B0', '#673AB7']
for i, (k, v) in enumerate(greeks_data.items()):
row, col = (i//3)+1, (i%3)+1
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=strikes, y=v, line=dict(color=colors[i], width=2), name=k), row=row, col=col)
fig.add_vline(x=S, line_dash='dash', line_color='gray', row=row, col=col)
expiry_payoff = [max(s-K,0) if option_type.lower()=='call' else max(K-s,0) for s in strikes]
pl_expiry = [p - bs['price'] for p in expiry_payoff]
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=strikes, y=pl_expiry, line=dict(color='#673AB7', width=2), name='P/L Expiry'), row=2, col=3)
fig.add_hline(y=0, line_dash='dot', line_color='gray', row=2, col=3)
fig.update_layout(
title=f'{ticker} {option_type.title()} Greeks (S=${S:.2f}, K=${K:.2f}, T={days}d, σ={sigma*100:.1f}%)',
template='plotly_dark', height=650,
paper_bgcolor='#0d1117', plot_bgcolor='#161b22', font=dict(color='#e6edf3'))
md = f"""## {ticker} {option_type.title()} Analysis
| Parameter | Value |
|-----------|-------|
| Spot (S) | ${S:.2f} |
| Strike (K) | ${K:.2f} ({strike_pct:.0f}% of spot) |
| Time to Expiry | {days} days |
| Risk-Free Rate | {r*100:.2f}% |
| Volatility | {sigma*100:.1f}% |
### Greeks
| Greek | Value |
|-------|-------|
| **Price** | ${bs['price']:.3f} |
| **Delta** | {bs['delta']:.4f} |
| **Gamma** | {bs['gamma']:.6f} |
| **Theta** | ${bs['theta']:.4f}/day |
| **Vega** | ${bs['vega']:.4f} |
| **Rho** | ${bs['rho']:.4f} |
| **d1** | {bs['d1']:.4f} |
| **d2** | {bs['d2']:.4f} |
### P/L Scenarios (per 100 contracts)
{pl_df.to_markdown(index=False)}
"""
return fig, pl_df, md
# MACRO
def get_macro_data():
macros = {}
for t, name in [('^GSPC','S&P 500'),('^IXIC','Nasdaq'),('^TNX','10Y Treasury'),
('GC=F','Gold'),('CL=F','Oil'),('EURUSD=X','EUR/USD'),
('DX-Y.NYB','DXY Dollar'),('BTC-USD','Bitcoin')]:
try:
df = yf.Ticker(t).history(period='1mo')
if not df.empty:
macros[name] = {'price': df['Close'].iloc[-1], 'change_1m': (df['Close'].iloc[-1]/df['Close'].iloc[0]-1)*100}
except:
pass
return macros
def ai_macro():
macros = get_macro_data()
macro_text = "Global Macro Snapshot:\n"
for name, data in macros.items():
macro_text += f"- {name}: ${data['price']:.2f} (1M change: {data['change_1m']:+.1f}%)\n"
client = K2ThinkClient()
return client.macro_analysis(macro_text)
# UI FUNCTIONS
def analyze_stock(ticker, market_preset, period, interval):
ticker = ticker.strip().upper()
if not ticker:
return [None]*6 + ["Enter a ticker."]
suffix = MARKET_PRESETS.get(market_preset, {}).get('suffix', '')
if suffix and not any(ticker.endswith(s) for s in suffix.split('|')):
ticker = ticker + suffix
df, info, err = fetch_data(ticker, period)
if df is None:
return [None]*6 + [f"Error: {err}"]
df = calc_indicators(df)
sg = calc_signals(df)
rk = calc_risk(df)
if not rk:
return [None]*6 + ["Need more data."]
l = df.iloc[-1]
p = df.iloc[-2] if len(df)>1 else l
ch = ((l['Close']/p['Close']-1)*100) if p['Close']>0 else 0
c1 = make_candlestick(df, ticker, market_preset)
c2 = make_macd(df, ticker)
c3 = make_stoch(df, ticker)
c4 = make_vol(df, ticker)
c5 = make_adx(df, ticker)
c6 = make_dist(df['Ret'].dropna(), ticker)
info_lines = []
if info:
info_lines.append(f"| Name | {info.get('longName', ticker)} |")
info_lines.append(f"| Sector | {info.get('sector', 'N/A')} |")
info_lines.append(f"| Industry | {info.get('industry', 'N/A')} |")
if info.get('marketCap'):
info_lines.append(f"| Market Cap | {info.get('marketCap'):,} |")
if info.get('fiftyTwoWeekHigh'):
info_lines.append(f"| 52W High | ${info.get('fiftyTwoWeekHigh'):.2f} |")
if info.get('fiftyTwoWeekLow'):
info_lines.append(f"| 52W Low | ${info.get('fiftyTwoWeekLow'):.2f} |")
if info.get('trailingPE'):
info_lines.append(f"| P/E | {info.get('trailingPE'):.2f} |")
mkt_info = "\n".join(info_lines)
md = f"""# {ticker} - {sg['dir']} {sg['strength']} (Score: {sg['score']}/100)
**Price:** ${l['Close']:.2f} | **Change:** {ch:+.2f}% | **Period:** {period}
{mkt_info}
## Signal Dashboard
| Indicator | Value | Signal |
|-----------|-------|--------|
| RSI (14) | {l['RSI']:.1f} | {'🟢 Deeply Oversold' if l['RSI']<30 else '🔴 Deeply Overbought' if l['RSI']>70 else '⚪ Neutral'} |
| MACD | {l['MACD']:.3f} | {'🟢 Bullish' if l['MACD']>l['MACDS'] else '🔴 Bearish'} |
| Bollinger | {l['BBP']:.1%} | {'🔴 Upper' if l['BBP']>0.8 else '🟢 Lower' if l['BBP']<0.2 else '⚪ Mid'} |
| VWAP | {'🟢 Above' if l['Close']>l['VWAP'] else '🔴 Below'} | {'🟢 Bullish' if l['Close']>l['VWAP'] else '🔴 Bearish'} |
| Stoch %K | {l['Stoch_K']:.1f} | {'🟢 Oversold' if l['Stoch_K']<20 else '🔴 Overbought' if l['Stoch_K']>80 else '⚪ Neutral'} |
| ADX | {l['ADX']:.1f} | {sg['adx_trend']} |
| Volume | {l['VR']:.1f}x avg | {'🔥 Heavy' if l['VR']>2 else '⬆️ Above Avg' if l['VR']>1.5 else '⚪ Normal'} |
| Trend | {sg['trend'].upper()} | — |
| Momentum | {sg['mom']} | — |
| Volatility | {sg['vol']} | — |
| Ichimoku | {sg['ichimoku']} | — |
## Risk Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|--------|-------|
| Ann. Return | {rk['ar']*100:.1f}% |
| Ann. Volatility | {rk['av']*100:.1f}% |
| Vol Regime | {rk['vol_regime'].upper()} |
| Sharpe | {rk['sh']:.2f} |
| Sortino | {rk['so']:.2f} |
| Max Drawdown | {rk['md']*100:.1f}% |
| VaR (95%) | {rk['v95']*100:.2f}% |
| VaR (99%) | {rk['v99']*100:.2f}% |
| CVaR (95%) | {rk['cv95']*100:.2f}% |
| CVaR (99%) | {rk['cv99']*100:.2f}% |
| Calmar | {rk['ca']:.2f} |
| Win Rate | {rk['wr']*100:.1f}% |
| Avg Win | {rk['avg_win']*100:.2f}% |
| Avg Loss | {rk['avg_loss']*100:.2f}% |
| Profit Factor | {rk['pf']:.2f} |
| Skewness | {rk['sk']:.2f} |
| Kurtosis | {rk['ku']:.2f} |
| 63D Rolling Sharpe | {rk['roll_sharpe']:.2f} |
"""
return [c1, c2, c3, c4, c5, c6, md]
def ai_analyze_stock(ticker, market_preset, period, interval):
ticker = ticker.strip().upper()
if not ticker:
return "Enter a ticker."
suffix = MARKET_PRESETS.get(market_preset, {}).get('suffix', '')
if suffix and not any(ticker.endswith(s) for s in suffix.split('|')):
ticker = ticker + suffix
df, info, err = fetch_data(ticker, period)
if df is None:
return f"Error: {err}"
df = calc_indicators(df)
sg = calc_signals(df)
rk = calc_risk(df)
l = df.iloc[-1]
p = df.iloc[-2] if len(df)>1 else l
ch = ((l['Close']/p['Close']-1)*100) if p['Close']>0 else 0
data_sum = f"""Ticker: {ticker}
Price: ${l['Close']:.2f} (Change: {ch:+.2f}%)
Period: {period} | Data Points: {len(df)}
SMA20: ${l['SMA20']:.2f} | SMA50: ${l['SMA50']:.2f} | SMA200: ${l['SMA200']:.2f}
52W Range: ${df['Low'].min():.2f} - ${df['High'].max():.2f}
ATR: ${l['ATR']:.2f} ({l['ATR_pct']:.1f}% of price)
Volume: {l['Volume']:,.0f} ({l['VR']:.1f}x avg)
"""
tech_sum = f"""RSI: {l['RSI']:.1f} | MACD: {l['MACD']:.3f} vs Signal: {l['MACDS']:.3f} | MACD Hist: {l['MACDH']:.3f}
BB Position: {l['BBP']:.1%} | BB Width: {l['BBW']:.2f} | Stoch %K: {l['Stoch_K']:.1f}
VWAP: ${l['VWAP']:.2f} | ADX: {l['ADX']:.1f} | MFI: {l['MFI']:.1f}
Ichimoku: {sg['ichimoku']} | Cloud: Senkou A={l['ICH_senkou_A']:.2f}, B={l['ICH_senkou_B']:.2f}
Score: {sg['score']}/100 | Direction: {sg['dir']} | Strength: {sg['strength']}
Risk: Sharpe={rk.get('sh',0):.2f}, Vol={rk.get('av',0)*100:.1f}%, MaxDD={rk.get('md',0)*100:.1f}%, VaR95={rk.get('v95',0)*100:.2f}%"""
client = K2ThinkClient()
return client.analyze_market(ticker, market_preset, data_sum, tech_sum, period)
def ai_portfolio(tickers, period):
fig, corr_fig, wdf, md = optimize_portfolio(tickers, period)
if fig is None:
return f"Error: {md}"
pd_str = f"Tickers: {', '.join(wdf['Ticker'].tolist())}\nWeights: {', '.join([f'{t}: {w:.1f}%' for t,w in zip(wdf['Ticker'], wdf['Optimal (%)'])])}"
corr_str = f"Correlations:\n{wdf['Ticker'].tolist()}"
client = K2ThinkClient()
return client.portfolio_advice(pd_str, corr_str, md, "Current macro: mixed signals, rates elevated, geopolitical uncertainty")
def ai_chat(question, temp):
if not question.strip():
return "Enter a question."
client = K2ThinkClient()
return client.chat([{"role":"user","content":question}], temperature=temp, max_tokens=4096)
# GRADIO APP
def build_app():
with gr.Blocks(
title="AlphaForge x K2 Think V2 - Institutional Quant Platform",
theme=gr.themes.Soft(
primary_hue="blue", secondary_hue="indigo", neutral_hue="slate",
font=[gr.themes.GoogleFont("Inter"), "system-ui", "sans-serif"]
),
css="""
body { background: #0d1117 !important; }
.gradio-container { background: #0d1117 !important; color: #e6edf3 !important; }
.tabitem { background: #161b22 !important; border: 1px solid #30363d !important; border-radius: 12px !important; }
.tab-nav { background: #0d1117 !important; border-bottom: 1px solid #30363d !important; }
.tab-nav button { color: #8b949e !important; background: transparent !important; border: none !important; }
.tab-nav button.selected { color: #58a6ff !important; border-bottom: 2px solid #58a6ff !important; }
input, textarea, select { background: #21262d !important; color: #e6edf3 !important; border: 1px solid #30363d !important; }
button.primary { background: linear-gradient(135deg, #1f6feb, #58a6ff) !important; color: white !important; border: none !important; border-radius: 8px !important; font-weight: 600 !important; }
button.secondary { background: #21262d !important; color: #58a6ff !important; border: 1px solid #30363d !important; border-radius: 8px !important; }
.title-bar { text-align: center; padding: 24px 0; }
.title-bar h1 { font-size: 2.8em; font-weight: 800; margin: 0; background: linear-gradient(90deg, #58a6ff, #a371f7); -webkit-background-clip: text; -webkit-text-fill-color: transparent; }
.title-bar p { color: #8b949e; font-size: 1.1em; margin-top: 8px; }
.badge-row { text-align: center; margin: 16px 0 24px; }
.badge { display: inline-block; padding: 6px 14px; margin: 4px; border-radius: 20px; font-size: 0.85em; font-weight: 600; }
.badge-api { background: linear-gradient(135deg, #1f6feb, #a371f7); color: white; }
.badge-data { background: #238636; color: white; }
.badge-alpha { background: #8957e5; color: white; }
.k2-active { text-align: center; padding: 8px; margin: 8px 0; border-radius: 8px; font-size: 0.9em; background: rgba(35,134,54,0.2); color: #3fb950; border: 1px solid #238636; }
.k2-inactive { text-align: center; padding: 8px; margin: 8px 0; border-radius: 8px; font-size: 0.9em; background: rgba(209,36,47,0.2); color: #f85149; border: 1px solid #da3633; }
"""
) as demo:
gr.HTML("""
<div class="title-bar">
<h1>🔥 AlphaForge x K2 Think V2</h1>
<p>Institutional-Grade Quantitative Analysis Platform - Powered by MBZUAI's State-of-the-Art Reasoning Model</p>
</div>
<div class="badge-row">
<span class="badge badge-api">🤖 K2 Think V2</span>
<span class="badge badge-data">📊 Multi-Market</span>
<span class="badge badge-alpha">🎯 AI Alpha</span>
<span class="badge badge-data">📐 Options</span>
<span class="badge badge-alpha">🔗 Pairs</span>
<span class="badge badge-api">🌍 Macro</span>
</div>
""")
k2_cls = "k2-active" if K2_API_KEY else "k2-inactive"
k2_txt = "✅ K2 Think V2 API Connected" if K2_API_KEY else "⚠️ K2 Think V2 Not Configured — Add K2_API_KEY in Space Settings > Repository Secrets"
gr.HTML(f'<div class="{k2_cls}">{k2_txt}</div>')
with gr.Tab("📈 Technical Analysis"):
with gr.Row():
with gr.Column(scale=1):
mkt_select = gr.Dropdown(label="🌍 Market", choices=list(MARKET_PRESETS.keys()), value="🇺🇸 US Equities")
ticker_in = gr.Textbox(label="Ticker", value="AAPL", placeholder="e.g., AAPL, BTC-USD, EURUSD=X")
period_in = gr.Dropdown(label="Period", choices=["1mo","3mo","6mo","1y","2y","5y"], value="6mo")
interval_in = gr.Dropdown(label="Interval", choices=["1d","1wk","1mo"], value="1d")
analyze_btn = gr.Button("🔍 Analyze", variant="primary")
ai_btn = gr.Button("🤖 AI Deep Analysis (K2 Think V2)", variant="secondary")
with gr.Column(scale=2):
summary_out = gr.Markdown()
with gr.Row():
chart1 = gr.Plot(label="Price & Technicals")
chart2 = gr.Plot(label="MACD")
with gr.Row():
chart3 = gr.Plot(label="Stochastic")
chart4 = gr.Plot(label="Volatility & Volume")
with gr.Row():
chart5 = gr.Plot(label="ADX Trend Strength")
chart6 = gr.Plot(label="Return Distribution")
with gr.Row():
ai_out = gr.Textbox(label="🤖 K2 Think V2 Analysis", lines=30, max_lines=50)
analyze_btn.click(fn=analyze_stock, inputs=[ticker_in, mkt_select, period_in, interval_in],
outputs=[chart1, chart2, chart3, chart4, chart5, chart6, summary_out])
ai_btn.click(fn=ai_analyze_stock, inputs=[ticker_in, mkt_select, period_in, interval_in],
outputs=[ai_out])
with gr.Tab("💼 Portfolio Optimizer"):
with gr.Row():
with gr.Column(scale=1):
port_in = gr.Textbox(label="Tickers (comma-separated)", value="AAPL, MSFT, GOOGL, AMZN, NVDA")
port_period = gr.Dropdown(label="Lookback", choices=["6mo","1y","2y","3y"], value="1y")
opt_btn = gr.Button("🎯 Optimize", variant="primary")
ai_port_btn = gr.Button("🤖 AI Portfolio Advice", variant="secondary")
with gr.Column(scale=2):
port_md = gr.Markdown()
with gr.Row():
frontier_plot = gr.Plot(label="Efficient Frontier")
corr_plot = gr.Plot(label="Correlation Matrix")
with gr.Row():
weights_df = gr.DataFrame(label="Optimal Weights", interactive=False)
with gr.Row():
ai_port_out = gr.Textbox(label="🤖 AI Portfolio Advice", lines=25, max_lines=40)
opt_btn.click(fn=optimize_portfolio, inputs=[port_in, port_period], outputs=[frontier_plot, corr_plot, weights_df, port_md])
ai_port_btn.click(fn=ai_portfolio, inputs=[port_in, port_period], outputs=[ai_port_out])
with gr.Tab("🔗 Pairs Trading"):
with gr.Row():
with gr.Column(scale=1):
pair_a = gr.Textbox(label="Ticker A (Long)", value="AAPL")
pair_b = gr.Textbox(label="Ticker B (Short)", value="MSFT")
pair_period = gr.Dropdown(label="Lookback", choices=["6mo","1y","2y"], value="1y")
pair_btn = gr.Button("Analyze Pair", variant="primary")
with gr.Column(scale=2):
pair_md = gr.Markdown()
with gr.Row():
pair_chart = gr.Plot(label="Spread Analysis")
pair_scatter = gr.Plot(label="Price Relationship")
pair_btn.click(fn=analyze_pair, inputs=[pair_a, pair_b, pair_period], outputs=[pair_chart, pair_scatter, pair_md])
with gr.Tab("📐 Options Pricing"):
with gr.Row():
with gr.Column(scale=1):
opt_ticker = gr.Textbox(label="Underlying Ticker", value="AAPL")
opt_type = gr.Dropdown(label="Option Type", choices=["Call","Put"], value="Call")
opt_strike = gr.Slider(label="Strike (% of spot)", minimum=70, maximum=130, value=100, step=1)
opt_days = gr.Slider(label="Days to Expiry", minimum=7, maximum=365, value=30, step=7)
opt_rfr = gr.Slider(label="Risk-Free Rate (%)", minimum=0, maximum=10, value=4.5, step=0.25)
opt_vol = gr.Number(label="Vol Override (%)", value=0, info="0 = use historical vol")
opt_calc_btn = gr.Button("📐 Calculate Greeks", variant="primary")
with gr.Column(scale=2):
opt_md = gr.Markdown()
with gr.Row():
greeks_plot = gr.Plot(label="Greeks Analysis")
opt_pl = gr.DataFrame(label="P/L Scenarios", interactive=False)
opt_calc_btn.click(fn=analyze_options, inputs=[opt_ticker, opt_strike, opt_days, opt_rfr, opt_vol, opt_type],
outputs=[greeks_plot, opt_pl, opt_md])
with gr.Tab("🌍 Macro Analysis"):
with gr.Row():
macro_btn = gr.Button("🌍 Analyze Global Macro (K2 Think V2)", variant="primary")
with gr.Row():
macro_out = gr.Textbox(label="🤖 K2 Think V2 Macro Analysis", lines=40, max_lines=60)
macro_btn.click(fn=ai_macro, outputs=[macro_out])
with gr.Tab("💬 K2 Think V2 Chat"):
gr.Markdown("## Direct Chat with K2 Think V2")
gr.Markdown("Ask any financial question - strategy, market analysis, quant interview prep, portfolio advice.")
with gr.Row():
chat_in = gr.Textbox(label="Your Question", placeholder="e.g., 'Explain gamma scalping with a real trade example'", lines=4)
chat_temp = gr.Slider(label="Temp", minimum=0, maximum=1, value=0.4, step=0.1)
chat_btn = gr.Button("🚀 Ask K2 Think V2", variant="primary")
chat_out = gr.Textbox(label="🤖 Response", lines=30, max_lines=50)
chat_btn.click(fn=ai_chat, inputs=[chat_in, chat_temp], outputs=[chat_out])
with gr.Tab("ℹ️ About & Setup"):
gr.Markdown(f"""
## AlphaForge x K2 Think V2
Built for the **Build with K2 Think V2 Challenge** by MBZUAI.
### Features
| Feature | Description |
|---------|-------------|
| **📈 Technical Analysis** | 18+ indicators: RSI, MACD, Bollinger, VWAP, Stochastic, ADX, Ichimoku, ATR, MFI, OBV |
| **🌍 Multi-Market** | US, EU, UK, DE, JP, CN, IN equities + Crypto + Forex + Commodities + Indices |
| **💼 Portfolio** | Mean-variance optimization, efficient frontier, correlation matrix |
| **🔗 Pairs Trading** | Cointegration analysis, hedge ratio, half-life, Z-score signals |
| **📐 Options Pricing** | Black-Scholes + full Greeks (Delta, Gamma, Theta, Vega, Rho), P/L scenarios |
| **🌍 Macro Analysis** | Global cross-asset regime analysis via K2 Think V2 |
| **🤖 AI Analysis** | K2 Think V2 chain-of-thought: entry/stop/target, catalyst calendar, contrarian view |
| **💬 AI Chat** | Ask any financial question with adjustable temperature |
### Setup
> **K2 Think V2 API Key**
> 1. Space Settings → Repository secrets
> 2. New secret: `K2_API_KEY` = `IFM-4SpQ0qEg0Wlsw04O`
> 3. Save → Factory Rebuild
**Without API key:** All technical analysis, charts, portfolio optimization, pairs trading, and options pricing work perfectly!
### Links
- [Full AlphaForge](https://huggingface.co/Premchan369/alphaforge-quant-system) (25 quant modules)
- [Q-TensorFormer](https://huggingface.co/Premchan369/Q-TensorFormer) (Quantum AI)
- [Challenge](https://build.k2think.ai/)
- [MBZUAI](https://mbzuai.ac.ae/)
*Built by Premchan | Build with K2 Think V2*
""")
return demo
if __name__ == "__main__":
demo = build_app()
demo.queue().launch(server_name="0.0.0.0", server_port=7860)
|