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<title>Causal Selection in Evolution — Reproduction</title>
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<div class="eyebrow">OpenReview mOcTXKawFY · local evidence package</div>
<h1>Causal Modeling of Selection in Evolution</h1>
<p class="lede">Exact enumeration supports the five graphical claims. The paper-native finite-sample rerun falsifies the compound empirical-validation claim without weakening those oracle-premise theorems.</p>
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<thead><tr><th>#</th><th>Verdict</th><th>Decisive result</th><th>Page</th></tr></thead>
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<tr><td>1</td><td class="ok">Verified</td><td>26,064/26,064 exact constructions pass</td><td><a href="pages/claim-1/page.md">Claim 1</a></td></tr>
<tr><td>2</td><td class="ok">Verified</td><td>0/1,433,520 violations; 17,712 witnesses</td><td><a href="pages/claim-2/page.md">Claim 2</a></td></tr>
<tr><td>3</td><td class="ok">Verified</td><td>1,433,520/1,433,520 d-separation matches</td><td><a href="pages/claim-3/page.md">Claim 3</a></td></tr>
<tr><td>4</td><td class="ok">Verified</td><td>All 93,798 exact CPDAG clause checks pass</td><td><a href="pages/claim-4/page.md">Claim 4</a></td></tr>
<tr><td>5</td><td class="ok">Verified</td><td>0 lost; strict gain in 88,176/269,328</td><td><a href="pages/claim-5/page.md">Claim 5</a></td></tr>
<tr><td>6</td><td class="bad">Falsified literally</td><td>PC advantage in 3/15 cells and 0/5 at d=20</td><td><a href="pages/claim-6/page.md">Claim 6</a></td></tr>
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