---
title: Reproduction - Causal Selection in Evolution
emoji: 📊
colorFrom: blue
colorTo: green
sdk: static
pinned: false
short_description: Exact graph audit and native pipeline rerun
tags:
  - trackio
  - open-reproductions
  - icml2026-repro
  - paper-mOcTXKawFY
---

# Reproduction logbook

Local-only, semantic-v4 reproduction package for OpenReview `mOcTXKawFY`, “Causal Modeling of Selection in Evolution.” The source is pinned to arXiv `2606.05689v1`.

Verdicts: Claims 1–5 are verified by exact enumeration and native algorithm runs. Claim 6 is falsified as literally registered because the paper-native 750-run finite-sample pipeline does not reproduce the claimed validation ordering: PC oriented-only precision wins only 3/15 grid cells and 0/5 cells at `d=20`.

## Replay

```bash
python3 -m pip install -r requirements.txt
python3 reproduce.py --output-dir fresh_replay
python3 validate_evidence.py
python3 verify_manifest.py
```

The committed `outputs/` and `packaged_replay/` trees were generated in separate executions and are byte-identical. Runtime measurements are deliberately excluded from canonical evidence.

## Evidence map

- `EVIDENCE_MATRIX.json`: semantic-v4 claim contract.
- `pages/00-judge-evidence-scorecard/page.md`: deterministic projection.
- `outputs/exact_graph_audit.json`: exhaustive Claims 1–5 evidence.
- `outputs/oracle_gates.json`: networkx and causal-learn cross-checks.
- `outputs/finite_native_algorithms.json`: paired PC and CDNOD executions.
- `outputs/synthetic_native_pipeline.json`: paper-scale PC/GES experiment.
- `outputs/realdata_native_and_source_audit.json`: raw PanTHERIA rerun and seven-table audit.
- `outputs/destructive_controls.json`: one executed break-test per claim.
- `BUNDLE_SHA256SUMS.txt`: recursive package manifest.

No publication or remote mutation is performed by any script in this package.