{% extends "base.html" %} {% block title %}Prediction Result - PriceMyCar{% endblock %} {% block content %}
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Prediction Result

{{ result.inputs.year }} {{ result.inputs.brand_model }}

{% if not result.is_model_supported %}
⚠️

Model Not Fully Supported (Limited Accuracy)

The car model {{ result.inputs.brand_model }} is not registered in our primary database. This estimate is based on the closest available segment approximation, and the actual price may vary.

{% endif %}
⚡ Powered by {{ result.ai_model }} · Accuracy: {{ result.accuracy_r2 }}
Estimated Market Value
Rp {{ "{:,.0f}".format(result.adjusted_price) }}
{% if result.condition.total_penalty_pct > 0 %}
Base ML Price: Rp {{ "{:,.0f}".format(result.base_price) }} −{{ result.condition.total_penalty_pct }}% condition
{% endif %}
Expected range: Rp {{ "{:,.0f}".format(result.ci_low) }} - Rp {{ "{:,.0f}".format(result.ci_high) }}

Market Comparison

Trade-in
Predicted (Ours)
Dealer Retail

📊 Price Deviation & Indonesian Market Analysis

1. Market Adjustments (June 2026)

The base machine learning model trained on Indian data was converted using the exchange rate of 1 INR = Rp 187.6 and adjusted to the local Indonesian used car market with a {{ result.market_multiplier }}x multiplier (accounting for luxury tax/PPnBM, import tariffs, and 2026 inflation). This pricing is cross-referenced with major Indonesian automotive portals: OLX Indonesia, Mobil123, and GridOto Pricelist.

2. Why Real-World Prices May Deviate (Errors)

The Machine Learning model estimates an objective valuation based on specifications, but actual transaction prices can vary due to these external real-world factors:

📄 Documents & Tax Status:

Complete paperwork (STNK & BPKB) is essential. Unpaid annual road taxes or missing documents can discount the car's value by the tax debt plus administrative fines.

🎨 Color Popularity:

Neutral colors (White, Black, Silver) have high market liquidity and sell for 5-10% more than bright colors (Red, Green, Orange) in the Indonesian used car market.

🔧 Non-Standard Modifications:

Heavy custom modifications (engine tuning, structural body changes) narrow the buyer pool, often reducing the car's resale value compared to a stock vehicle.

📍 Geographical Location:

Used car prices in the Greater Jakarta area (Jabodetabek) are highly competitive. Prices in regions outside Java can be 10-25% higher due to new vehicle distribution costs.

🔑 Key Factors

Positive Impact

{% if result.inputs.km < 60000 %}Low mileage ({{ "{:,}".format(result.inputs.km) }} KM) adds value.{% endif %} {% if result.inputs.owner == 'First Owner' %}First-owner history is a strong positive signal.{% endif %} {% if result.inputs.transmission == 'Automatic' %}Automatic transmission commands a premium.{% endif %}

Negative Impact

{% if result.condition.total_penalty_pct > 0 %} Physical condition deductions total −{{ result.condition.total_penalty_pct }}%. {% endif %} {% if result.inputs.km > 80000 %} High mileage ({{ "{:,}".format(result.inputs.km) }} KM) reduces value. {% endif %}

{% if result.condition.total_penalty_pct > 0 %}

🔍 Condition Breakdown

{% for key, val in result.condition.breakdown.items() %} {% if val.penalty_pct != 0 %} {% endif %} {% endfor %}
FactorStatusDeduction
{{ key.replace('_', ' ').title() }} {{ val.label }} {{ '-' if val.penalty_pct > 0 else '+' }}{{ val.penalty_pct|abs }}%
Total Condition Adjustment −{{ result.condition.total_penalty_pct }}%
{% endif %}
Market Trend

Demand for {{ result.inputs.brand_model.split()[0] }} vehicles is currently stable in the used car market.

Predict Another Car
{% endblock %}