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Update app.py
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app.py
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@@ -7,11 +7,16 @@ import plotly.graph_objs as go
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import warnings
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import pandas as pd
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# Function to fetch stock or crypto data
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def fetch_data(ticker_name, start_date, end_date):
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raw_data = yf.download(ticker_name, start=start_date, end=end_date)
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adjusted_close = raw_data['Adj Close'].dropna()
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prices = adjusted_close.values
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log_returns = np.log(prices[1:] / prices[:-1])
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return adjusted_close, log_returns
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@@ -70,14 +75,10 @@ with st.expander("Wasserstein Distance Methodology", expanded=False):
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A high distance indicates a significant shift in price dynamics, potentially due to a market event or a change in investor behavior.
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""")
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st.sidebar.title("""
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Input Parameters
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""")
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#st.write(f"Threshold: {threshold}")
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# Sidebar for "How to Use" instructions inside an expander, closed by default
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with st.sidebar.expander("How to Use", expanded=False):
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st.write("""
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**How to use this app:**
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@@ -88,55 +89,58 @@ with st.sidebar.expander("How to Use", expanded=False):
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5. Click 'Run Analysis' to start.
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""")
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# Input parameters inside an expander, open by default
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with st.sidebar.expander("Input Parameters", expanded=True):
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ticker_name = st.text_input('Enter Stock or Crypto Symbol (e.g., AAPL or BTC-USD)', '^GSPC', help="Enter the ticker symbol for the stock or cryptocurrency you want to analyze.")
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start_date_string = st.date_input('Start Date', pd.to_datetime('2020-01-01'), help="Select the start date for the data range.")
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end_date_string = st.date_input('End Date', pd.to_datetime(pd.Timestamp.now().date() + pd.Timedelta(days=1)), help="Select the end date for the data range.")
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# Parameters for the selected method inside an expander, open by default
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with st.sidebar.expander("Parameters", expanded=True):
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window_size = st.slider('Window Size', min_value=5, max_value=50, value=20, help="Set the window size for the sliding window analysis.")
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threshold = st.slider('Alert Threshold', min_value=0.02, max_value=0.2, value=0.075, step=0.005, help="Set the threshold for detecting significant changes in price dynamics.")
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# Run Analysis button in the sidebar
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if st.sidebar.button('Run Analysis'):
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st.markdown(
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"""
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@@ -157,4 +161,4 @@ hide_streamlit_style = """
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footer {visibility: hidden;}
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</style>
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"""
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st.markdown(hide_streamlit_style, unsafe_allow_html=True)
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import warnings
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import pandas as pd
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# Function to fetch stock or crypto data
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def fetch_data(ticker_name, start_date, end_date):
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raw_data = yf.download(ticker_name, start=start_date, end=end_date, auto_adjust=False) # Unadjusted prices
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if isinstance(raw_data.columns, pd.MultiIndex): # Flatten multi-index
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raw_data.columns = raw_data.columns.get_level_values(0)
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if raw_data.empty:
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raise ValueError(f"No data found for {ticker_name} from {start_date} to {end_date}")
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adjusted_close = raw_data['Adj Close'].dropna()
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if len(adjusted_close) < 2: # Need at least 2 points for log returns
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raise ValueError(f"Insufficient data points for {ticker_name}")
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prices = adjusted_close.values
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log_returns = np.log(prices[1:] / prices[:-1])
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return adjusted_close, log_returns
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A high distance indicates a significant shift in price dynamics, potentially due to a market event or a change in investor behavior.
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""")
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st.sidebar.title("""
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Input Parameters
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""")
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with st.sidebar.expander("How to Use", expanded=False):
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st.write("""
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**How to use this app:**
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5. Click 'Run Analysis' to start.
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""")
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with st.sidebar.expander("Input Parameters", expanded=True):
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ticker_name = st.text_input('Enter Stock or Crypto Symbol (e.g., AAPL or BTC-USD)', '^GSPC', help="Enter the ticker symbol for the stock or cryptocurrency you want to analyze.")
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start_date_string = st.date_input('Start Date', pd.to_datetime('2020-01-01'), help="Select the start date for the data range.")
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end_date_string = st.date_input('End Date', pd.to_datetime(pd.Timestamp.now().date() + pd.Timedelta(days=1)), help="Select the end date for the data range.")
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with st.sidebar.expander("Parameters", expanded=True):
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window_size = st.slider('Window Size', min_value=5, max_value=50, value=20, help="Set the window size for the sliding window analysis.")
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threshold = st.slider('Alert Threshold', min_value=0.02, max_value=0.2, value=0.075, step=0.005, help="Set the threshold for detecting significant changes in price dynamics.")
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if st.sidebar.button('Run Analysis'):
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try:
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st.write(f"Analyzing {ticker_name} from {start_date_string} to {end_date_string} with window size {window_size} and threshold {threshold}")
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# Fetch data
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prices, log_returns = fetch_data(ticker_name, start_date_string, end_date_string)
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if len(log_returns) < 2 * window_size:
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raise ValueError(f"Insufficient data: Need at least {2 * window_size} log returns, got {len(log_returns)}")
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rips = Rips(maxdim=2)
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wasserstein_dists = compute_wasserstein_distances(log_returns, window_size, rips)
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# Plotting with Plotly
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dates = prices.index[window_size:-window_size]
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valid_indices = ~np.isnan(wasserstein_dists.flatten())
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valid_dates = dates[valid_indices]
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valid_distances = wasserstein_dists[valid_indices].flatten()
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alert_indices = [i for i, d in enumerate(valid_distances) if d > threshold]
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alert_dates = [valid_dates[i] for i in alert_indices]
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alert_values = [prices.iloc[i + window_size] for i in alert_indices]
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# Plot price and alerts
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fig = go.Figure()
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fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=valid_dates, y=prices.iloc[window_size:-window_size], mode='lines', name='Price'))
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fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=alert_dates, y=alert_values, mode='markers', name='Alert', marker=dict(color='red', size=8)))
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fig.update_layout(title=f'{ticker_name} Prices Over Time', xaxis_title='Date', yaxis_title='Price')
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st.plotly_chart(fig, use_container_width=True)
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# Plot Wasserstein distances
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fig = go.Figure()
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fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=valid_dates, y=valid_distances, mode='lines', name='Wasserstein Distance', line=dict(color='blue', width=2)))
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fig.add_hline(y=threshold, line_dash='dash', line_color='red', annotation_text=f'Threshold: {threshold}', annotation_position='bottom right')
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fig.update_layout(title='Wasserstein Distances Over Time', xaxis_title='Date', yaxis_title='Wasserstein Distance')
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st.plotly_chart(fig, use_container_width=True)
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st.write("""
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**Plot Interpretation:**
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- The first plot shows the asset price over time with alerts marked in red.
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- The second plot displays the Wasserstein distances over time, with the threshold indicated by a dashed red line. Peaks above this line represent significant changes in price dynamics.
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""")
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except Exception as e:
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st.error(f"Error: {str(e)}. Check ticker symbol, date range, or window size.")
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st.markdown(
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"""
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footer {visibility: hidden;}
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</style>
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"""
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st.markdown(hide_streamlit_style, unsafe_allow_html=True)
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