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Update backtest_engine.py
Browse files- backtest_engine.py +120 -82
backtest_engine.py
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@@ -1,10 +1,10 @@
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# ============================================================
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# 🧪 backtest_engine.py (
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# ============================================================
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# التحديثات
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# 1.
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# 2.
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# 3.
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# ============================================================
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import asyncio
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@@ -12,7 +12,7 @@ import pandas as pd
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import numpy as np
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import time
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import logging
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import itertools
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from datetime import datetime
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from typing import Dict, Any, List
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@@ -20,15 +20,23 @@ from ml_engine.processor import MLProcessor, SystemLimits
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from ml_engine.data_manager import DataManager
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from learning_hub.adaptive_hub import StrategyDNA
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# كتم ال
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logging.getLogger('ml_engine.patterns').setLevel(logging.WARNING)
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class VirtualPortfolio:
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def __init__(self, initial_capital=1000.0):
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self.capital = initial_capital
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self.active_trades = {}
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self.stats = {
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self.MAX_SLOTS_MAP = {'BULL': 6, 'BEAR': 3, 'RANGE': 5, 'DEAD': 2}
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def can_open_trade(self, regime):
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self.dm = data_manager
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self.proc = processor
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self.history_cache = {}
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self.DAYS_TO_FETCH =
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self.CHUNK_LIMIT = 1000
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# السلة الكاملة
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self.TARGET_COINS = [
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'BTC/USDT', 'ETH/USDT', 'BNB/USDT', 'SOL/USDT', 'XRP/USDT',
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'AVAX/USDT', 'ADA/USDT', 'LINK/USDT', 'NEAR/USDT', 'RUNE/USDT', 'INJ/USDT',
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'XLM/USDT', 'TRX/USDT', 'LTC/USDT'
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]
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print("🧪 [Backtest Engine
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# ==========================================================================
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# 1. Data Loading
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loaded_count = 0
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for sym in self.TARGET_COINS:
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all_candles = []
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current_since = start_time_ms
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while current_since < end_time_ms:
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try:
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candles = await self.dm.exchange.fetch_ohlcv(sym, '1m', since=current_since, limit=self.CHUNK_LIMIT)
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mask = (df.index >= pd.to_datetime(start_time_ms, unit='ms'))
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self.history_cache[sym] = df.loc[mask]
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loaded_count += 1
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print(f"✅ Data Load Complete. Cached {loaded_count}/{len(self.TARGET_COINS)} coins.")
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return None
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# ==========================================================================
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# 4. Simulation Loop (
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# ==========================================================================
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async def run_simulation(self, regime_name, weights, l1_thresh):
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SystemLimits.CURRENT_REGIME = regime_name
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self.portfolio = VirtualPortfolio()
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trades_log = []
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if not self.history_cache: return {'final_capital': 0, 'win_rate': 0, 'trades': 0}
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ref_symbol = list(self.history_cache.keys())[0]
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full_index = self.history_cache[ref_symbol].index
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start_idx = 6000
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end_idx = len(full_index) - 1
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current_idx = start_idx
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# print(f" ▶️ Sim...", end="", flush=True)
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while current_idx < end_idx:
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current_time = full_index[current_idx]
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# --- أ.
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active_symbols = list(self.portfolio.active_trades.keys())
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for sym in active_symbols:
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trade = self.portfolio.active_trades[sym]
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current_price = self.history_cache[sym].iloc[sym_idx]['close']
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except: continue
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# تحديث القمم والقيعان للصفقة
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if current_price > trade['highest_price']: trade['highest_price'] = current_price
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if current_price < trade.get('lowest_price', trade['entry_price']): trade['lowest_price'] = current_price
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#
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snapshot = self.get_market_snapshot(sym, sym_idx)
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if not snapshot: continue
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'time_in_trade_mins': (current_idx - trade['entry_idx'])
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}
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# 🛡️ 1. Hydra
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if self.proc.guardian_hydra:
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hydra_res = self.proc.guardian_hydra.analyze_position(sym, snapshot['1m'], snapshot['5m'], snapshot['15m'], trade_ctx)
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if hydra_res['action'] in ['EXIT_HARD', 'EXIT_SOFT']:
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exit_reason = f"Hydra_{hydra_res
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# 🛡️ 2. Legacy
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if not exit_reason and self.proc.guardian_legacy:
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#
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legacy_res = self.proc.guardian_legacy.analyze_position(
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snapshot['1m'], snapshot['5m'], snapshot['15m'], trade['entry_price'], order_book=None
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)
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if legacy_res['action'] == 'EXIT_HARD':
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exit_reason = "
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# 🛑 3. Hard TP/SL
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if not exit_reason:
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if current_price >= trade['tp']: exit_reason = "
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elif current_price <= trade['sl']: exit_reason = "
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# تنفيذ الخروج وتسجيل السبب
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if exit_reason:
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pnl_pct = (current_price - trade['entry_price']) / trade['entry_price']
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pnl_usd = trade['size'] * pnl_pct
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self.portfolio.capital += (trade['size'] + pnl_usd)
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trades_log.append(pnl_pct)
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#
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if 'Crash' in exit_reason: self.portfolio.guardian_log['hydra_crash'] += 1
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elif 'Giveback' in exit_reason: self.portfolio.guardian_log['hydra_giveback'] += 1
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elif '
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elif '
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elif '
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del self.portfolio.active_trades[sym]
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current_idx += 1
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wins = len([p for p in trades_log if p > 0])
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wr = (wins/
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return {
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'final_capital': self.portfolio.capital,
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'win_rate': wr,
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'
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'
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}
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# ==========================================================================
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# 5. Grid Search
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# ==========================================================================
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async def optimize_dna(self):
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best_dna = {}
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regimes = ['RANGE']
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#
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possible_weights = []
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# توليد مبسط لتفادي الانفجار الحسابي
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# (Titan, Patterns, Sniper)
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combos = [
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(0.3, 0.3, 0.3), # Balanced
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(0.5, 0.2, 0.2), # Trend Focus
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(0.2, 0.5, 0.2), # Pattern Focus
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(0.2, 0.2, 0.5), # Sniper Focus
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(0.4, 0.4, 0.1), # Tech Focus
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]
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for regime in regimes:
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print(f"\n🧪 Optimizing {regime} (
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print("-" *
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best_score = -9999
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best_config = None
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if best_config:
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best_dna[regime] = {
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"model_weights": best_config['w'],
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"ob_settings": {"wall_ratio_limit": 0.4, "imbalance_thresh": 0.5},
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"filters": {"l1_min_score": best_config['
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}
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print(
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print(f"
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print("=
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return best_dna
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async def run_strategic_optimization_task():
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print("\n🧪 [STRATEGIC BACKTEST
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from r2 import R2Service
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r2 = R2Service()
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dm = DataManager(None, None, r2)
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if reg in hub.strategies:
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hub.strategies[reg].model_weights.update(data['model_weights'])
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hub.strategies[reg].filters = data['filters']
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await hub._save_state_to_r2()
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await dm.close()
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# ============================================================
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# 🧪 backtest_engine.py (V42.1 - GEM-Architect: Exact Threshold Mapping)
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# ============================================================
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# التحديثات:
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# 1. مطابقة تامة لمتغيرات processor.py (Hydra Crash/Giveback, Legacy V2/V3).
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# 2. توسيع الشبكة لتشمل هذه المتغيرات الدقيقة.
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# 3. تقرير يفصل أي "رأس" من رؤوس الحراس كان الأنشط.
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# ============================================================
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import asyncio
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import numpy as np
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import time
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import logging
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import itertools
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from datetime import datetime
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from typing import Dict, Any, List
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from ml_engine.data_manager import DataManager
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from learning_hub.adaptive_hub import StrategyDNA
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# كتم الضوضاء
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logging.getLogger('ml_engine.patterns').setLevel(logging.WARNING)
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class VirtualPortfolio:
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def __init__(self, initial_capital=1000.0):
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self.capital = initial_capital
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self.active_trades = {}
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self.stats = {
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"max_win_usd": 0.0, "max_loss_usd": 0.0,
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"max_drawdown_pct": 0.0, "max_runup_pct": 0.0
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}
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# تفصيل أدق للحراس
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self.guardian_log = {
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'hydra_crash': 0, 'hydra_giveback': 0, 'hydra_stag': 0,
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'legacy_v2': 0, 'legacy_v3': 0,
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'tp': 0, 'sl': 0
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}
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self.MAX_SLOTS_MAP = {'BULL': 6, 'BEAR': 3, 'RANGE': 5, 'DEAD': 2}
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def can_open_trade(self, regime):
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self.dm = data_manager
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self.proc = processor
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self.history_cache = {}
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self.DAYS_TO_FETCH = 7
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self.CHUNK_LIMIT = 1000
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self.TARGET_COINS = [
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'BTC/USDT', 'ETH/USDT', 'BNB/USDT', 'SOL/USDT', 'XRP/USDT',
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'AVAX/USDT', 'ADA/USDT', 'LINK/USDT', 'NEAR/USDT', 'RUNE/USDT', 'INJ/USDT',
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'XLM/USDT', 'TRX/USDT', 'LTC/USDT'
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]
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print("🧪 [Backtest Engine V42.1] Exact Threshold Grid Initialized.")
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# ==========================================================================
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# 1. Data Loading
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loaded_count = 0
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for sym in self.TARGET_COINS:
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print(f" ⬇️ {sym:<10}", end="", flush=True)
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all_candles = []
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current_since = start_time_ms
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while current_since < end_time_ms:
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try:
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candles = await self.dm.exchange.fetch_ohlcv(sym, '1m', since=current_since, limit=self.CHUNK_LIMIT)
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mask = (df.index >= pd.to_datetime(start_time_ms, unit='ms'))
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self.history_cache[sym] = df.loc[mask]
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loaded_count += 1
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print(f" ✅ ({len(self.history_cache[sym])})")
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else:
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print(" ⚠️ No Data")
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print(f"✅ Data Load Complete. Cached {loaded_count}/{len(self.TARGET_COINS)} coins.")
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return None
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# ==========================================================================
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# 4. Simulation Loop (Exact Threshold Injection)
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# ==========================================================================
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async def run_simulation(self, regime_name, weights, l1_thresh, hydra_crash, hydra_giveback, legacy_v2, legacy_v3):
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SystemLimits.CURRENT_REGIME = regime_name
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self.portfolio = VirtualPortfolio()
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trades_log = []
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ref_symbol = list(self.history_cache.keys())[0]
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full_index = self.history_cache[ref_symbol].index
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start_idx = 6000
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end_idx = len(full_index) - 1
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current_idx = start_idx
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while current_idx < end_idx:
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current_time = full_index[current_idx]
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# --- أ. الحراس ---
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active_symbols = list(self.portfolio.active_trades.keys())
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for sym in active_symbols:
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trade = self.portfolio.active_trades[sym]
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current_price = self.history_cache[sym].iloc[sym_idx]['close']
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except: continue
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if current_price > trade['highest_price']: trade['highest_price'] = current_price
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if current_price < trade.get('lowest_price', trade['entry_price']): trade['lowest_price'] = current_price
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# Max DD
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dd = (trade['lowest_price'] - trade['entry_price']) / trade['entry_price']
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if dd < self.portfolio.stats['max_drawdown_pct']: self.portfolio.stats['max_drawdown_pct'] = dd
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snapshot = self.get_market_snapshot(sym, sym_idx)
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if not snapshot: continue
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'time_in_trade_mins': (current_idx - trade['entry_idx'])
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}
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# 🛡️ 1. Hydra (Exact Thresholds)
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if self.proc.guardian_hydra:
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# حقن المتغيرات الدقيقة
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SystemLimits.HYDRA_CRASH_THRESH = hydra_crash
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SystemLimits.HYDRA_GIVEBACK_THRESH = hydra_giveback
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SystemLimits.HYDRA_STAGNATION_THRESH = 0.50 # ثابت حالياً
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hydra_res = self.proc.guardian_hydra.analyze_position(sym, snapshot['1m'], snapshot['5m'], snapshot['15m'], trade_ctx)
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if hydra_res['action'] in ['EXIT_HARD', 'EXIT_SOFT']:
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exit_reason = f"Hydra_{hydra_res.get('reason','Unknown')}"
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# 🛡️ 2. Legacy (Exact Thresholds)
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if not exit_reason and self.proc.guardian_legacy:
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# حقن المتغيرات الدقيقة
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self.proc.guardian_legacy.configure_thresholds(
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v2_panic=legacy_v2,
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v3_hard=legacy_v3,
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v3_soft=legacy_v3-0.1, # مشتق منطقي
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v3_ultra=0.99
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)
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legacy_res = self.proc.guardian_legacy.analyze_position(
|
| 254 |
snapshot['1m'], snapshot['5m'], snapshot['15m'], trade['entry_price'], order_book=None
|
| 255 |
)
|
| 256 |
if legacy_res['action'] == 'EXIT_HARD':
|
| 257 |
+
exit_reason = f"Legacy_{legacy_res.get('reason','Unknown')}"
|
| 258 |
|
|
|
|
| 259 |
if not exit_reason:
|
| 260 |
+
if current_price >= trade['tp']: exit_reason = "TP"
|
| 261 |
+
elif current_price <= trade['sl']: exit_reason = "SL"
|
| 262 |
|
|
|
|
| 263 |
if exit_reason:
|
| 264 |
pnl_pct = (current_price - trade['entry_price']) / trade['entry_price']
|
| 265 |
pnl_usd = trade['size'] * pnl_pct
|
| 266 |
self.portfolio.capital += (trade['size'] + pnl_usd)
|
| 267 |
trades_log.append(pnl_pct)
|
| 268 |
|
| 269 |
+
# تسجيل دقيق للسبب
|
| 270 |
if 'Crash' in exit_reason: self.portfolio.guardian_log['hydra_crash'] += 1
|
| 271 |
elif 'Giveback' in exit_reason: self.portfolio.guardian_log['hydra_giveback'] += 1
|
| 272 |
+
elif 'V2' in exit_reason: self.portfolio.guardian_log['legacy_v2'] += 1
|
| 273 |
+
elif 'V3' in exit_reason: self.portfolio.guardian_log['legacy_v3'] += 1
|
| 274 |
+
elif 'TP' in exit_reason: self.portfolio.guardian_log['tp'] += 1
|
| 275 |
+
elif 'SL' in exit_reason: self.portfolio.guardian_log['sl'] += 1
|
| 276 |
+
|
| 277 |
+
if pnl_usd > self.portfolio.stats['max_win_usd']: self.portfolio.stats['max_win_usd'] = pnl_usd
|
| 278 |
+
if pnl_usd < self.portfolio.stats['max_loss_usd']: self.portfolio.stats['max_loss_usd'] = pnl_usd
|
| 279 |
|
| 280 |
del self.portfolio.active_trades[sym]
|
| 281 |
|
|
|
|
| 304 |
current_idx += 1
|
| 305 |
|
| 306 |
wins = len([p for p in trades_log if p > 0])
|
| 307 |
+
losses = len(trades_log) - wins
|
| 308 |
+
wr = (wins/len(trades_log)*100) if len(trades_log) > 0 else 0.0
|
| 309 |
|
| 310 |
return {
|
| 311 |
'final_capital': self.portfolio.capital,
|
| 312 |
'win_rate': wr,
|
| 313 |
+
'trades_count': len(trades_log),
|
| 314 |
+
'wins': wins,
|
| 315 |
+
'losses': losses,
|
| 316 |
+
'guards': self.portfolio.guardian_log,
|
| 317 |
+
'stats': self.portfolio.stats
|
| 318 |
}
|
| 319 |
|
| 320 |
# ==========================================================================
|
| 321 |
+
# 5. Master Grid Search (Expanded)
|
| 322 |
# ==========================================================================
|
| 323 |
async def optimize_dna(self):
|
| 324 |
best_dna = {}
|
| 325 |
+
regimes = ['RANGE']
|
| 326 |
|
| 327 |
+
# 1. متغيرات الأوزان
|
| 328 |
+
weight_opts = [
|
| 329 |
+
{'titan': 0.3, 'patterns': 0.3, 'sniper': 0.3, 'mc': 0.1}, # Balanced
|
| 330 |
+
{'titan': 0.5, 'patterns': 0.2, 'sniper': 0.2, 'mc': 0.1}, # Trend
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 331 |
]
|
| 332 |
|
| 333 |
+
# 2. متغيرات العتبات (Entry)
|
| 334 |
+
entry_thresh_opts = [0.55, 0.60]
|
| 335 |
+
|
| 336 |
+
# 3. متغيرات Hydra (Crash/Giveback)
|
| 337 |
+
hydra_crash_opts = [0.60, 0.70] # هل نجزع عند 60% أم 70%؟
|
| 338 |
+
hydra_give_opts = [0.65, 0.75]
|
| 339 |
+
|
| 340 |
+
# 4. متغيرات Legacy (V2/V3)
|
| 341 |
+
legacy_v2_opts = [0.95, 0.98] # V2 Panic
|
| 342 |
+
legacy_v3_opts = [0.95] # V3 Hard (نثبته لتقليل الاحتمالات قليلاً)
|
| 343 |
+
|
| 344 |
+
# Grid Size: 2 * 2 * 2 * 2 * 2 * 1 = 32 Combination
|
| 345 |
|
| 346 |
for regime in regimes:
|
| 347 |
+
print(f"\n🧪 Optimizing {regime} (Master Grid: 32 combos)...")
|
| 348 |
+
# رأس الجدول العريض جداً
|
| 349 |
+
header = f"{'W(Ti/Pat/Sn)':<15} | {'En-Th':<5} | {'H-Crsh':<6} | {'H-Giv':<5} | {'L-V2':<4} | {'CAPITAL':<9} | {'W/L':<7} | {'Guards(Cr/Gv/V2/V3)'}"
|
| 350 |
+
print("-" * len(header))
|
| 351 |
+
print(header)
|
| 352 |
+
print("-" * len(header))
|
| 353 |
|
| 354 |
best_score = -9999
|
| 355 |
best_config = None
|
| 356 |
|
| 357 |
+
# حلقة التوليفات الكبرى
|
| 358 |
+
for w, e_th, h_c, h_g, l_v2, l_v3 in itertools.product(weight_opts, entry_thresh_opts, hydra_crash_opts, hydra_give_opts, legacy_v2_opts, legacy_v3_opts):
|
| 359 |
+
|
| 360 |
+
res = await self.run_simulation(regime, w, e_th, h_c, h_g, l_v2, l_v3)
|
| 361 |
+
|
| 362 |
+
w_str = f"{w['titan']}/{w['patterns']}/{w['sniper']}"
|
| 363 |
+
wl_str = f"{res['wins']}/{res['losses']}"
|
| 364 |
+
g = res['guards']
|
| 365 |
+
g_str = f"{g['hydra_crash']}/{g['hydra_giveback']}/{g['legacy_v2']}/{g['legacy_v3']}"
|
| 366 |
+
|
| 367 |
+
print(f"{w_str:<15} | {e_th:<5} | {h_c:<6} | {h_g:<5} | {l_v2:<4} | ${res['final_capital']:.1f} | {wl_str:<7} | {g_str}")
|
| 368 |
+
|
| 369 |
+
if res['final_capital'] > best_score:
|
| 370 |
+
best_score = res['final_capital']
|
| 371 |
+
best_config = {'w': w, 'e_th': e_th, 'h_c': h_c, 'h_g': h_g, 'l_v2': l_v2, 'l_v3': l_v3, 'res': res}
|
| 372 |
|
| 373 |
if best_config:
|
| 374 |
best_dna[regime] = {
|
| 375 |
"model_weights": best_config['w'],
|
| 376 |
"ob_settings": {"wall_ratio_limit": 0.4, "imbalance_thresh": 0.5},
|
| 377 |
+
"filters": {"l1_min_score": best_config['e_th'] * 100, "l3_conf_thresh": 0.65},
|
| 378 |
+
# حفظ عتبات الحراس الدقيقة
|
| 379 |
+
"guard_settings": {
|
| 380 |
+
"hydra_crash": best_config['h_c'],
|
| 381 |
+
"hydra_giveback": best_config['h_g'],
|
| 382 |
+
"legacy_v2": best_config['l_v2'],
|
| 383 |
+
"legacy_v3": best_config['l_v3']
|
| 384 |
+
}
|
| 385 |
}
|
| 386 |
+
|
| 387 |
+
s = best_config['res']['stats']
|
| 388 |
+
print("-" * len(header))
|
| 389 |
+
print(f"🏆 WINNER ({regime}): Profit=${(best_score-1000):.2f} | Max DD: {s['max_drawdown_pct']*100:.2f}%")
|
| 390 |
+
print(f" ⚙️ Config: H-Crash={best_config['h_c']}, H-Give={best_config['h_g']}, V2={best_config['l_v2']}")
|
| 391 |
+
print("=" * len(header))
|
| 392 |
|
| 393 |
return best_dna
|
| 394 |
|
| 395 |
async def run_strategic_optimization_task():
|
| 396 |
+
print("\n🧪 [STRATEGIC BACKTEST V42.1] Exact Threshold Grid...")
|
| 397 |
from r2 import R2Service
|
| 398 |
r2 = R2Service()
|
| 399 |
dm = DataManager(None, None, r2)
|
|
|
|
| 413 |
if reg in hub.strategies:
|
| 414 |
hub.strategies[reg].model_weights.update(data['model_weights'])
|
| 415 |
hub.strategies[reg].filters = data['filters']
|
| 416 |
+
# هنا سنحتاج لتحديث AdaptiveHub لاحقاً ليخزن guard_settings
|
| 417 |
|
| 418 |
await hub._save_state_to_r2()
|
| 419 |
await dm.close()
|