File size: 14,820 Bytes
165d676
bc5527d
 
165d676
 
 
bc5527d
165d676
 
 
 
 
bc5527d
165d676
e10a133
744703f
165d676
 
bc5527d
165d676
e10a133
165d676
 
 
e10a133
 
165d676
 
bc5527d
165d676
e10a133
 
 
 
 
165d676
 
e10a133
bc5527d
165d676
e10a133
bc5527d
e10a133
 
 
 
bc5527d
e10a133
 
 
 
bc5527d
e10a133
 
 
 
 
 
bc5527d
e10a133
 
 
bc5527d
e10a133
 
 
 
 
bc5527d
e10a133
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
165d676
 
 
bc5527d
165d676
e10a133
165d676
 
 
 
e10a133
165d676
e10a133
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
165d676
 
e10a133
bc5527d
e10a133
 
165d676
e10a133
7744728
 
165d676
 
e10a133
bc5527d
a454b30
bc5527d
031543e
 
 
bc5527d
 
 
 
 
 
165d676
e10a133
62a7482
e10a133
bc5527d
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
62a7482
 
031543e
 
bc5527d
 
165d676
 
bc5527d
05c2aed
165d676
 
e10a133
 
 
bc5527d
 
165d676
 
 
 
bc5527d
 
 
165d676
bc5527d
e10a133
165d676
05c2aed
e10a133
165d676
 
e10a133
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
165d676
05c2aed
bc5527d
05c2aed
bc5527d
165d676
744703f
 
05c2aed
 
bc5527d
05c2aed
bc5527d
 
 
 
744703f
bc5527d
744703f
 
bc5527d
 
744703f
05c2aed
bc5527d
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
05c2aed
bc5527d
 
 
 
 
 
05c2aed
 
165d676
bc5527d
165d676
05c2aed
bc5527d
05c2aed
bc5527d
 
 
 
 
165d676
744703f
165d676
bc5527d
 
 
744703f
bc5527d
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
744703f
bc5527d
 
 
 
744703f
bc5527d
05c2aed
bc5527d
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
05c2aed
 
744703f
62a7482
 
bc5527d
 
744703f
05c2aed
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
218
219
220
221
222
223
224
225
226
227
228
229
230
231
232
233
234
235
236
237
238
239
240
241
242
243
244
245
246
247
248
249
250
251
252
253
254
255
256
257
258
259
260
261
262
263
264
265
266
267
268
269
270
271
272
273
274
275
276
277
278
279
280
281
282
283
284
285
286
287
288
289
290
291
292
293
294
295
296
297
298
299
300
301
302
303
304
305
306
307
308
309
310
311
312
313
314
315
316
317
318
319
320
321
322
323
324
325
326
327
328
329
330
331
332
333
334
335
336
337
338
339
340
341
342
343
344
345
346
347
348
349
350
351
352
353
# ============================================================
# ๐ŸŽฏ ml_engine/sniper_engine.py 
# (V2.0 - GEM-Architect: Weighted Depth & Smart Microstructure)
# ============================================================

import os
import time
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
import pandas_ta as ta
import lightgbm as lgb
import traceback
from typing import List, Dict, Any, Optional

N_SPLITS = 5
LOOKBACK_WINDOW = 500 

# ============================================================
# ๐Ÿ”ง 1. Feature Engineering (Standard + Liquidity Proxies)
# ============================================================

def _z_score_rolling(x, w=500): 
    r = x.rolling(w).mean()
    s = x.rolling(w).std().replace(0, np.nan)
    z = (x - r) / s
    return z.fillna(0)

def _add_liquidity_proxies(df):
    """ุญุณุงุจ ู…ุคุดุฑุงุช ุงู„ุณูŠูˆู„ุฉ ุงู„ู…ุชู‚ุฏู…ุฉ (Amihud, VPIN, OFI, etc.)"""
    df_proxy = df.copy()
    if 'datetime' not in df_proxy.index:
        if 'timestamp' in df_proxy.columns:
            df_proxy['datetime'] = pd.to_datetime(df_proxy['timestamp'], unit='ms')
            df_proxy = df_proxy.set_index('datetime')
            
    df_proxy['ret'] = df_proxy['close'].pct_change().fillna(0)
    df_proxy['dollar_vol'] = df_proxy['close'] * df_proxy['volume']
    
    # Amihud Illiquidity Ratio
    df_proxy['amihud'] = (df_proxy['ret'].abs() / df_proxy['dollar_vol'].replace(0, np.nan)).fillna(np.inf)
    
    # Roll Spread Proxy
    dp = df_proxy['close'].diff()
    roll_cov = dp.rolling(64).cov(dp.shift(1))
    df_proxy['roll_spread'] = (2 * np.sqrt(np.maximum(0, -roll_cov))).bfill()

    # Order Flow Imbalance (Volume-based proxy)
    sign = np.sign(df_proxy['close'].diff()).fillna(0)
    df_proxy['signed_vol'] = sign * df_proxy['volume']
    df_proxy['ofi'] = df_proxy['signed_vol'].rolling(30).sum().fillna(0)

    # VPIN-like Imbalance
    buy_vol = (sign > 0) * df_proxy['volume']
    sell_vol = (sign < 0) * df_proxy['volume']
    imb = (buy_vol.rolling(60).sum() - sell_vol.rolling(60).sum()).abs()
    tot = df_proxy['volume'].rolling(60).sum()
    df_proxy['vpin'] = (imb / tot.replace(0, np.nan)).fillna(0)

    # Volatility Estimator (Garman-Klass)
    df_proxy['rv_gk'] = (np.log(df_proxy['high'] / df_proxy['low'])**2) / 2 - \
                        (2 * np.log(2) - 1) * (np.log(df_proxy['close'] / df_proxy['open'])**2)
    
    # VWAP Deviation
    vwap_window = 20
    df_proxy['vwap'] = (df_proxy['close'] * df_proxy['volume']).rolling(vwap_window).sum() / \
                       df_proxy['volume'].rolling(vwap_window).sum()
    df_proxy['vwap_dev'] = (df_proxy['close'] - df_proxy['vwap']).fillna(0)

    # Composite Liquidity Score
    df_proxy['L_score'] = (
        _z_score_rolling(df_proxy['volume']) +
        _z_score_rolling(1 / df_proxy['amihud'].replace(np.inf, np.nan)) + 
        _z_score_rolling(-df_proxy['roll_spread']) + 
        _z_score_rolling(-df_proxy['rv_gk'].abs()) + 
        _z_score_rolling(-df_proxy['vwap_dev'].abs()) + 
        _z_score_rolling(df_proxy['ofi']) 
    )
    return df_proxy

def _add_standard_features(df):
    """ุงู„ู…ุคุดุฑุงุช ุงู„ูู†ูŠุฉ ุงู„ู‚ูŠุงุณูŠุฉ"""
    df_feat = df.copy()
    
    df_feat['return_1m'] = df_feat['close'].pct_change(1)
    df_feat['return_3m'] = df_feat['close'].pct_change(3)
    df_feat['return_5m'] = df_feat['close'].pct_change(5)
    df_feat['return_15m'] = df_feat['close'].pct_change(15)

    df_feat['rsi_14'] = ta.rsi(df_feat['close'], length=14)
    
    ema_9 = ta.ema(df_feat['close'], length=9)
    ema_21 = ta.ema(df_feat['close'], length=21)
    
    if ema_9 is not None:
        df_feat['ema_9_slope'] = (ema_9 - ema_9.shift(1)) / ema_9.shift(1)
    else:
        df_feat['ema_9_slope'] = 0
        
    if ema_21 is not None:
        df_feat['ema_21_dist'] = (df_feat['close'] - ema_21) / ema_21 
    else:
        df_feat['ema_21_dist'] = 0
    
    df_feat['atr'] = ta.atr(df_feat['high'], df_feat['low'], df_feat['close'], length=100)
    df_feat['vol_zscore_50'] = _z_score_rolling(df_feat['volume'], w=50) 
    
    df_feat['candle_range'] = df_feat['high'] - df_feat['low']
    df_feat['close_pos_in_range'] = (df_feat['close'] - df_feat['low']) / (df_feat['candle_range'].replace(0, np.nan))
    
    return df_feat

# ============================================================
# ๐ŸŽฏ 2. SniperEngine Class (Refactored)
# ============================================================

class SniperEngine:
    
    def __init__(self, models_dir: str):
        self.models_dir = models_dir 
        self.models: List[lgb.Booster] = []
        self.feature_names: List[str] = []
        
        # --- Configurable Thresholds (Defaults) ---
        self.entry_threshold = 0.40
        self.wall_ratio_limit = 0.40    # Veto threshold for sell wall
        self.weight_ml = 0.60
        self.weight_ob = 0.40
        
        # --- Advanced OB Settings (New in V2.0) ---
        self.ob_depth_decay = 0.15      # Decay factor for weighted depth
        self.max_wall_dist = 0.005      # 0.5% max distance to consider a wall
        self.max_spread_pct = 0.002     # 0.2% max spread allowed
        self.spoof_patience = 0         # How many previous checks to ignore a new wall (0 = Instant Veto)
        
        self.initialized = False
        self.LOOKBACK_WINDOW = LOOKBACK_WINDOW
        self.ORDER_BOOK_DEPTH = 20
        
        # --- Persistence Cache for Anti-Spoofing ---
        # Format: {symbol: {'last_check': timestamp, 'wall_counter': int}}
        self._wall_cache = {}

        print("๐ŸŽฏ [SniperEngine V2.0] Weighted Depth & Smart Microstructure Ready.")

    def configure_settings(self, 
                           threshold: float, 
                           wall_ratio: float, 
                           w_ml: float = 0.60, 
                           w_ob: float = 0.40,
                           max_wall_dist: float = 0.005,
                           max_spread: float = 0.002):
        """Dynamic configuration injection"""
        self.entry_threshold = threshold
        self.wall_ratio_limit = wall_ratio
        self.weight_ml = w_ml
        self.weight_ob = w_ob
        self.max_wall_dist = max_wall_dist
        self.max_spread_pct = max_spread

    async def initialize(self):
        """Load LightGBM Models"""
        print(f"๐ŸŽฏ [SniperEngine] Loading models from {self.models_dir}...")
        try:
            model_files = [f for f in os.listdir(self.models_dir) if f.startswith('lgbm_guard_v3_fold_')]
            
            if len(model_files) < N_SPLITS:
                print(f"โŒ [SniperEngine] Error: Found {len(model_files)} models, need {N_SPLITS}.")
                # Don't return, allow initialization without models (fallback mode)
            
            for f in sorted(model_files):
                model_path = os.path.join(self.models_dir, f)
                self.models.append(lgb.Booster(model_file=model_path))
            
            if self.models:
                self.feature_names = self.models[0].feature_name()
                
            self.initialized = True
            print(f"โœ… [SniperEngine] Active. WallLimit: {self.wall_ratio_limit}, MaxDist: {self.max_wall_dist*100}%")

        except Exception as e:
            print(f"โŒ [SniperEngine] Init failed: {e}")
            traceback.print_exc()
            self.initialized = False

    def _calculate_features_live(self, df_1m: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame:
        try:
            df_with_std_feats = _add_standard_features(df_1m)
            df_with_all_feats = _add_liquidity_proxies(df_with_std_feats)
            df_final = df_with_all_feats.replace([np.inf, -np.inf], np.nan)
            return df_final
        except Exception as e:
            print(f"โŒ [SniperEngine] Feature calc error: {e}")
            return pd.DataFrame() 

    # ==============================================================================
    # ๐Ÿ“Š 3. Smart Order Book Logic (The Architect's Upgrade)
    # ==============================================================================
    def _score_order_book(self, order_book: Dict[str, Any], symbol: str = None) -> Dict[str, Any]:
        try:
            bids = order_book.get('bids', [])
            asks = order_book.get('asks', [])
            
            if not bids or not asks:
                return {'score': 0.0, 'imbalance': 0.0, 'veto': True, 'reason': 'Empty OB'}

            # --- 1. Spread Check ---
            best_bid = float(bids[0][0])
            best_ask = float(asks[0][0])
            spread_pct = (best_ask - best_bid) / best_bid
            
            if spread_pct > self.max_spread_pct:
                return {
                    'score': 0.0, 
                    'veto': True, 
                    'reason': f"Wide Spread ({spread_pct:.2%})"
                }

            # --- 2. Weighted Depth Imbalance ---
            # Calculates imbalance giving higher weight to prices closer to spread
            w_bid_vol = 0.0
            w_ask_vol = 0.0
            total_raw_ask_vol = 0.0 # for wall calculation
            
            # Limit depth processing to configured depth
            depth = min(len(bids), len(asks), self.ORDER_BOOK_DEPTH)
            
            for i in range(depth):
                # Decay Function: 1 / (1 + k * rank)
                weight = 1.0 / (1.0 + (self.ob_depth_decay * i))
                
                bid_vol = float(bids[i][1])
                ask_vol = float(asks[i][1])
                
                w_bid_vol += bid_vol * weight
                w_ask_vol += ask_vol * weight
                total_raw_ask_vol += ask_vol

            total_w_vol = w_bid_vol + w_ask_vol
            weighted_imbalance = w_bid_vol / total_w_vol if total_w_vol > 0 else 0.5
            
            # --- 3. Distance-Aware Wall Detection ---
            max_valid_wall = 0.0
            limit_price = best_ask * (1 + self.max_wall_dist)
            
            for price, vol in asks[:depth]:
                p = float(price)
                v = float(vol)
                if p <= limit_price:
                    if v > max_valid_wall: max_valid_wall = v
            
            wall_ratio = max_valid_wall / total_raw_ask_vol if total_raw_ask_vol > 0 else 0
            
            # --- 4. Anti-Spoofing / Persistence Logic ---
            veto_wall = False
            veto_reason = "OK"
            
            if wall_ratio >= self.wall_ratio_limit:
                # Wall Detected
                veto_wall = True
                veto_reason = f"Sell Wall ({wall_ratio:.2f})"
                
                if symbol:
                    curr_time = time.time()
                    cache = self._wall_cache.get(symbol, {'last_check': 0, 'count': 0})
                    
                    # If this is a NEW wall (seen less than 1 second ago)
                    if curr_time - cache['last_check'] > 5.0:
                        # Reset counter if too much time passed
                        cache['count'] = 1
                    else:
                        cache['count'] += 1
                        
                    cache['last_check'] = curr_time
                    self._wall_cache[symbol] = cache
                    
                    # Optional: Logic to IGNORE flashing walls could go here
                    # For now, we block on first sight (Safety First)
            else:
                # No wall, clear cache slightly
                if symbol and symbol in self._wall_cache:
                    self._wall_cache[symbol]['count'] = 0

            return {
                'score': float(weighted_imbalance),
                'imbalance': float(weighted_imbalance), # Now Weighted
                'wall_ratio': float(wall_ratio),
                'veto': veto_wall,
                'spread_ok': True,
                'reason': veto_reason
            }

        except Exception as e:
            return {'score': 0.0, 'veto': True, 'reason': f"OB Error: {e}"}

    # ==============================================================================
    # ๐ŸŽฏ 4. Main Signal Check (Async)
    # ==============================================================================
    async def check_entry_signal_async(self, 
                                     ohlcv_1m_data: List[List], 
                                     order_book_data: Dict[str, Any] = None,
                                     symbol: str = None) -> Dict[str, Any]:
        
        if not self.initialized:
            return {'signal': 'WAIT', 'reason': 'Not initialized'}
        
        # --- ML Prediction ---
        ml_score = 0.5
        ml_reason = "No Data"
        
        if len(ohlcv_1m_data) >= self.LOOKBACK_WINDOW and self.models:
            try:
                df = pd.DataFrame(ohlcv_1m_data, columns=['timestamp', 'open', 'high', 'low', 'close', 'volume'])
                df[['open', 'high', 'low', 'close', 'volume']] = df[['open', 'high', 'low', 'close', 'volume']].astype(float)
                
                df_features = self._calculate_features_live(df)
                if not df_features.empty:
                    X_live = df_features.iloc[-1:][self.feature_names].fillna(0)
                    preds = [m.predict(X_live)[0][1] for m in self.models]
                    ml_score = float(np.mean(preds))
                    ml_reason = f"ML:{ml_score:.2f}"
            except Exception as e:
                print(f"โŒ [Sniper] ML Error: {e}")
                ml_reason = "ML Err"

        # --- Smart Order Book Analysis ---
        ob_res = {'score': 0.5, 'imbalance': 0.5, 'veto': False, 'reason': 'No OB'}
        if order_book_data:
            ob_res = self._score_order_book(order_book_data, symbol=symbol)

        # --- Final Hybrid Score ---
        # If OB vetos (Spread too high OR Sell Wall), we force score down or WAIT
        if ob_res.get('veto', False):
            final_score = 0.0
            signal = 'WAIT'
            reason_str = f"โ›” {ob_res['reason']} | {ml_reason}"
        else:
            final_score = (ml_score * self.weight_ml) + (ob_res['score'] * self.weight_ob)
            
            if final_score >= self.entry_threshold:
                signal = 'BUY'
                reason_str = f"โœ… GO: {final_score:.2f} | {ml_reason} | OB:{ob_res['score']:.2f}"
            else:
                signal = 'WAIT'
                reason_str = f"๐Ÿ“‰ Low Score: {final_score:.2f} | {ml_reason}"

        return {
            'signal': signal,
            'confidence_prob': final_score,
            'ml_score': ml_score,
            'ob_score': ob_res['score'],
            'entry_price': float(order_book_data['asks'][0][0]) if order_book_data and order_book_data.get('asks') else 0.0,
            'reason': reason_str
        }