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Robert Castagna commited on
Commit ·
f2b8e49
1
Parent(s): 38dbfc2
add search to portfolio optimizer
Browse files- pages/1_Fundamentals.py +7 -1
- pages/2_Portfolio_Builder.py +171 -150
pages/1_Fundamentals.py
CHANGED
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@@ -98,15 +98,21 @@ def get_list_of_tickers():
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# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- #
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symbols = []
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list_of_tickers = get_list_of_tickers()
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with st.form(key="selecting columns"):
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symbols = st.multiselect(label='Enter Tickers Here. Cannot check metrics for Funds.', options=list_of_tickers, placeholder='MSFT, AAPL, ...')
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strategy_selection = st.radio("Select Strategy", ('Value', 'Growth','Bypass'), horizontal=True)
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submit_button = st.form_submit_button(label='Compute Metrics')
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if submit_button and symbols and strategy_selection == 'Value':
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gains_data = {}
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# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- #
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if 'tickers' not in st.session_state:
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tickers = [
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"AAPL", "MSFT", "GOOG", "NVDA", "TSLA",
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]
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st.session_state['tickers'] = tickers
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symbols = []
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list_of_tickers = get_list_of_tickers()
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with st.form(key="selecting columns"):
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symbols = st.multiselect(label='Enter Tickers Here. Cannot check metrics for Funds.', default=st.session_state['tickers'], options=list_of_tickers, placeholder='MSFT, AAPL, ...')
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strategy_selection = st.radio("Select Strategy", ('Value', 'Growth','Bypass'), horizontal=True)
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submit_button = st.form_submit_button(label='Compute Metrics')
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st.session_state['tickers'] = symbols
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if submit_button and symbols and strategy_selection == 'Value':
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gains_data = {}
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pages/2_Portfolio_Builder.py
CHANGED
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@@ -17,6 +17,7 @@ import datetime
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import asyncio
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import nest_asyncio
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def open_nested_event_loop():
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# Check if there is an existing event loop, if not, create a new one
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nest_asyncio.apply()
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@@ -35,6 +36,16 @@ def get_positions(account):
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tickers.append([position.contract.symbol, position.position, position.marketPrice])
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return tickers
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load_dotenv()
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@@ -75,157 +86,167 @@ elif re.search('AuthenticAMD', platform.processor()): # use live ibkr portfolio
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st.stop()
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st.
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end_date = datetime.datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d')
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data = (
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obb
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.equity
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.price
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.historical(tickers, start_date=start_date, end_date=end_date, provider="yfinance")
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.to_df()
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.pivot(columns="symbol", values="close")
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)
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returns = data.pct_change().dropna()
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# -------------------------- (Efficient Frontier Calculation) -------------------------------- #
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st.title('Efficient Frontier Portfolio')
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st.write("The efficient frontier is a set of optimal portfolios that offer the highest expected return for a defined level of risk or the lowest risk for a given level of expected return. Portfolios that lie below the efficient frontier are sub-optimal because they do not provide enough return for the level of risk. Portfolios that cluster to the right of the efficient frontier are also sub-optimal because they have a higher level of risk for the defined rate of return.")
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port = rp.Portfolio(returns=returns)
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# Step 2: Set portfolio optimization model
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port.assets_stats(model='hist') # Using historical data for estimation
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# Step 3: Configure the optimization model and calculate the efficient frontier
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ef = port.efficient_frontier(model='Classic', rm='MV', points=50, rf=0.0406, hist=True)
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w1 = port.optimization(model='Classic', rm='MV', obj='Sharpe', rf=0.0, l=0, hist=True)
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mu = port.mu # Expected returns
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cov = port.cov # Covariance matrix
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# ---------------------------- (Portfolio Statistics) -------------------------------- #
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port.rf = 0.0406 # Risk-free rate
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portfolio_return = np.dot(w1, mu)
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# market return
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spy_daily_return = benchmark_returns
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spy_expected_return = spy_daily_return.mean()
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# portfolio's beta
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covariance = returns.apply(lambda x: x.cov(spy_daily_return))
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spy_variance = spy_daily_return.var()
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beta_values = covariance / spy_variance
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portfolio_beta = np.dot(w1['weights'], beta_values)
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st.write('Portfolio Beta: ', np.round(portfolio_beta,3))
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# jensens alpha
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expected_return = port.rf + portfolio_beta * (spy_daily_return - port.rf)
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st.write('Jensen\'s Alpha: ', np.round(expected_return.iloc[-1],3))
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# treynor ratio
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treynor_ratio = (expected_return - port.rf) / portfolio_beta
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st.write('Treynor Ratio: ', np.round(treynor_ratio.iloc[-1],3))
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# Portfolio volatility
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portfolio_stddev = np.sqrt(np.dot(pd.Series(w1['weights']).T, np.dot(covariance, w1['weights'])))
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# Sharpe Ratio, adjusted for the risk-free rate
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sharpe_ratio = (expected_return.iloc[-1] - port.rf) / np.mean(portfolio_stddev[portfolio_stddev != 0])
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st.write('Sharpe Ratio: ', np.round(sharpe_ratio, 3))
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# -------------------------- (Plotting) -------------------------------- #
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# Step 4: Plot the efficient frontier
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fig_ef, ax_ef = plt.subplots()
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ax_ef = rp.plot_frontier(mu=mu, cov=cov, returns=port.returns, w=w1, rm='MV', w_frontier=ef, marker='*', label='Optimal Portfolio - Max. Sharpe' ,s=16)
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st.pyplot(fig_ef)
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st.write('**Asset Mix of Optimized Portfolio:**')
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st.dataframe(w1.T, use_container_width=True)
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# corr matrix
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fig, ax = plt.subplots()
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corr = returns.corr()
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# Create a heatmap
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heatmap = go.Heatmap(z=corr.values, x=corr.columns, y=corr.index, colorscale='RdYlBu')
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layout = go.Layout(title='Correlation Matrix', autosize=True)
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fig = go.Figure(data=[heatmap], layout=layout)
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st.plotly_chart(fig)
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# -------------------------- (HRP Portfolio) -------------------------------- #
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st.title('Hierarchical Risk Parity Portfolio')
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st.write("""
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HRP is unlike traditional portfolio optimization methods. It can create an optimized portfolio when the covariance matrix is ill-degenerated or singular. This is impossible for quadratic optimizers.
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Research has shown HRP to deliver lower out-of-sample variance than traditional optimization methods.
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""")
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fig1, ax1 = plt.subplots()
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ax1 = rp.plot_clusters(returns=returns,
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codependence='pearson',
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linkage='single',
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k=None,
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max_k=10,
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leaf_order=True,
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dendrogram=True,
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ax=None)
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st.pyplot(fig1)
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port = rp.HCPortfolio(returns=returns)
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w = port.optimization(
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model="HRP",
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codependence="pearson",
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rm="MV", # minimum variance
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rf=0.05,
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linkage="single",
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max_k=10,
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leaf_order=True,
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)
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fig2, ax2 = plt.subplots()
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ax2 = rp.plot_pie(
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w=w,
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title="HRP Naive Risk Parity",
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others=0.05,
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nrow=25,
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cmap="tab20",
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height=8,
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width=10,
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ax=None,
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)
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st.pyplot(fig2)
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fig3, ax3 = plt.subplots()
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ax3 = rp.plot_risk_con(
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w=w,
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cov=returns.cov(),
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returns=returns,
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rm="MV",
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rf=0,
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alpha=0.05,
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color="tab:blue",
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height=6,
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width=10,
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t_factor=252,
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ax=None,
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)
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st.pyplot(fig3)
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import asyncio
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import nest_asyncio
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+
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def open_nested_event_loop():
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# Check if there is an existing event loop, if not, create a new one
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nest_asyncio.apply()
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tickers.append([position.contract.symbol, position.position, position.marketPrice])
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return tickers
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@st.cache_data
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def get_list_of_tickers():
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comp_info = get_finnhub_data('/stock/symbol?exchange=US')
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list_of_tickers = []
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for i in range(len(comp_info)-1):
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for key in comp_info[i].keys():
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if key == 'symbol':
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list_of_tickers.append(comp_info[i]['symbol'])
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return list_of_tickers
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load_dotenv()
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st.stop()
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list_of_tickers = get_list_of_tickers()
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with st.form(key="selecting columns"):
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tickers = st.multiselect(label='Enter Tickers Here. ', options=list_of_tickers, placeholder='...', default=st.session_state['tickers'])
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submit_button = st.form_submit_button(label='Optimize Portfolio')
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st.session_state['tickers'] = tickers
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if submit_button:
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# define range as today - 365 days to today
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start_date = (datetime.datetime.now() - datetime.timedelta(days=365)).strftime('%Y-%m-%d')
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end_date = datetime.datetime.now().strftime('%Y-%m-%d')
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data = (
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obb
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.equity
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.price
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.historical(tickers, start_date=start_date, end_date=end_date, provider="yfinance")
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.to_df()
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.pivot(columns="symbol", values="close")
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)
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+
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returns = data.pct_change().dropna()
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+
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# -------------------------- (Efficient Frontier Calculation) -------------------------------- #
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st.title('Efficient Frontier Portfolio')
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st.write("The efficient frontier is a set of optimal portfolios that offer the highest expected return for a defined level of risk or the lowest risk for a given level of expected return. Portfolios that lie below the efficient frontier are sub-optimal because they do not provide enough return for the level of risk. Portfolios that cluster to the right of the efficient frontier are also sub-optimal because they have a higher level of risk for the defined rate of return.")
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port = rp.Portfolio(returns=returns)
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# Step 2: Set portfolio optimization model
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port.assets_stats(model='hist') # Using historical data for estimation
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# Step 3: Configure the optimization model and calculate the efficient frontier
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ef = port.efficient_frontier(model='Classic', rm='MSV', points=50, rf=0.0406, hist=True)
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w1 = port.optimization(model='Classic', rm='MSV', obj='Sharpe', rf=0.0, hist=True)
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mu = port.mu # Expected returns
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cov = port.cov # Covariance matrix
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# ---------------------------- (Portfolio Statistics) -------------------------------- #
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st.write('**Portfolio Statistics Optimized for Max Sharpe Ratio:**')
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spy_prices = obb.equity.price.historical(symbol = "spy", provider="yfinance", start_date=start_date, end_date=end_date).to_df()
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# Calculate daily returns
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# Ensure you're using the adjusted close prices for accurate return calculation
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benchmark_returns = spy_prices['close'].pct_change().dropna()
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port.rf = 0.0406 # Risk-free rate
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portfolio_return = np.dot(w1, mu)
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# market return
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spy_daily_return = benchmark_returns
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spy_expected_return = spy_daily_return.mean()
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# portfolio's beta
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covariance = returns.apply(lambda x: x.cov(spy_daily_return))
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spy_variance = spy_daily_return.var()
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beta_values = covariance / spy_variance
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portfolio_beta = np.dot(w1['weights'], beta_values)
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| 149 |
+
st.write('Portfolio Beta: ', np.round(portfolio_beta,3))
|
| 150 |
+
|
| 151 |
+
# jensens alpha
|
| 152 |
+
expected_return = port.rf + portfolio_beta * (spy_daily_return - port.rf)
|
| 153 |
+
st.write('Jensen\'s Alpha: ', np.round(expected_return.iloc[-1],3))
|
| 154 |
+
|
| 155 |
+
# treynor ratio
|
| 156 |
+
treynor_ratio = (expected_return - port.rf) / portfolio_beta
|
| 157 |
+
st.write('Treynor Ratio: ', np.round(treynor_ratio.iloc[-1],3))
|
| 158 |
+
|
| 159 |
+
# Portfolio volatility
|
| 160 |
+
portfolio_stddev = np.sqrt(np.dot(pd.Series(w1['weights']).T, np.dot(covariance, w1['weights'])))
|
| 161 |
+
|
| 162 |
+
# Sharpe Ratio, adjusted for the risk-free rate
|
| 163 |
+
sharpe_ratio = rp.RiskFunctions.Sharpe(
|
| 164 |
+
mu=mu,
|
| 165 |
+
cov=cov,
|
| 166 |
+
returns=returns,
|
| 167 |
+
rf=port.rf,
|
| 168 |
+
w=w1,
|
| 169 |
+
)
|
| 170 |
+
st.write('Sharpe Ratio: ', np.round(sharpe_ratio, 3))
|
| 171 |
+
|
| 172 |
+
# -------------------------- (Plotting) -------------------------------- #
|
| 173 |
+
# Step 4: Plot the efficient frontier
|
| 174 |
+
fig_ef, ax_ef = plt.subplots()
|
| 175 |
+
ax_ef = rp.plot_frontier(mu=mu, cov=cov, returns=port.returns, w=w1, rm='MV', w_frontier=ef, marker='*', label='Optimal Portfolio - Max. Sharpe' ,s=16)
|
| 176 |
+
st.pyplot(fig_ef)
|
| 177 |
+
|
| 178 |
+
st.write('**Asset Mix of Optimized Portfolio:**')
|
| 179 |
+
st.dataframe(w1.T, use_container_width=True)
|
| 180 |
+
|
| 181 |
+
# corr matrix
|
| 182 |
+
fig, ax = plt.subplots()
|
| 183 |
+
corr = returns.corr()
|
| 184 |
+
|
| 185 |
+
# Create a heatmap
|
| 186 |
+
heatmap = go.Heatmap(z=corr.values, x=corr.columns, y=corr.index, colorscale='RdYlBu')
|
| 187 |
+
layout = go.Layout(title='Correlation Matrix', autosize=True)
|
| 188 |
+
fig = go.Figure(data=[heatmap], layout=layout)
|
| 189 |
+
|
| 190 |
+
st.plotly_chart(fig)
|
| 191 |
+
|
| 192 |
+
|
| 193 |
+
|
| 194 |
+
# -------------------------- (HRP Portfolio) -------------------------------- #
|
| 195 |
+
st.title('Hierarchical Risk Parity Portfolio')
|
| 196 |
+
st.write("""
|
| 197 |
+
HRP is unlike traditional portfolio optimization methods. It can create an optimized portfolio when the covariance matrix is ill-degenerated or singular. This is impossible for quadratic optimizers.
|
| 198 |
+
Research has shown HRP to deliver lower out-of-sample variance than traditional optimization methods.
|
| 199 |
+
""")
|
| 200 |
+
|
| 201 |
+
fig1, ax1 = plt.subplots()
|
| 202 |
+
ax1 = rp.plot_clusters(returns=returns,
|
| 203 |
+
codependence='pearson',
|
| 204 |
+
linkage='single',
|
| 205 |
+
k=None,
|
| 206 |
+
max_k=10,
|
| 207 |
+
leaf_order=True,
|
| 208 |
+
dendrogram=True,
|
| 209 |
+
ax=None)
|
| 210 |
+
|
| 211 |
+
st.pyplot(fig1)
|
| 212 |
+
|
| 213 |
+
port = rp.HCPortfolio(returns=returns)
|
| 214 |
+
w = port.optimization(
|
| 215 |
+
model="HRP",
|
| 216 |
+
codependence="pearson",
|
| 217 |
+
rm="MV", # minimum variance
|
| 218 |
+
rf=0.05,
|
| 219 |
+
linkage="single",
|
| 220 |
+
max_k=10,
|
| 221 |
+
leaf_order=True,
|
| 222 |
+
)
|
| 223 |
+
|
| 224 |
+
fig2, ax2 = plt.subplots()
|
| 225 |
+
ax2 = rp.plot_pie(
|
| 226 |
+
w=w,
|
| 227 |
+
title="HRP Naive Risk Parity",
|
| 228 |
+
others=0.05,
|
| 229 |
+
nrow=25,
|
| 230 |
+
cmap="tab20",
|
| 231 |
+
height=8,
|
| 232 |
+
width=10,
|
| 233 |
+
ax=None,
|
| 234 |
+
)
|
| 235 |
+
st.pyplot(fig2)
|
| 236 |
+
|
| 237 |
+
fig3, ax3 = plt.subplots()
|
| 238 |
+
ax3 = rp.plot_risk_con(
|
| 239 |
+
w=w,
|
| 240 |
+
cov=returns.cov(),
|
| 241 |
+
returns=returns,
|
| 242 |
+
rm="MV",
|
| 243 |
+
rf=0,
|
| 244 |
+
alpha=0.05,
|
| 245 |
+
color="tab:blue",
|
| 246 |
+
height=6,
|
| 247 |
+
width=10,
|
| 248 |
+
t_factor=252,
|
| 249 |
+
ax=None,
|
| 250 |
+
)
|
| 251 |
+
st.pyplot(fig3)
|
| 252 |
|
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