Create app.py
Browse files
app.py
ADDED
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@@ -0,0 +1,1714 @@
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|
| 1 |
+
"""
|
| 2 |
+
Automated MLOps Framework for Customer Churn Prediction
|
| 3 |
+
Author: Spencer Purdy
|
| 4 |
+
Description: Enterprise-grade MLOps platform demonstrating model training, versioning,
|
| 5 |
+
drift detection, A/B testing, and automated retraining on real customer data.
|
| 6 |
+
|
| 7 |
+
Dataset: IBM Telco Customer Churn (Public Domain)
|
| 8 |
+
Source: https://www.kaggle.com/datasets/blastchar/telco-customer-churn
|
| 9 |
+
License: Database Contents License (DbCL) v1.0
|
| 10 |
+
|
| 11 |
+
Problem: Predict customer churn for a telecommunications company to enable
|
| 12 |
+
proactive retention strategies.
|
| 13 |
+
|
| 14 |
+
Key Features:
|
| 15 |
+
- Automated model training with multiple algorithms (XGBoost, LightGBM, Random Forest)
|
| 16 |
+
- Hyperparameter optimization using Optuna
|
| 17 |
+
- Model versioning and registry
|
| 18 |
+
- Statistical drift detection (Kolmogorov-Smirnov test)
|
| 19 |
+
- A/B testing framework with statistical significance testing
|
| 20 |
+
- Performance monitoring and cost tracking
|
| 21 |
+
- Model explainability with SHAP values
|
| 22 |
+
- Production-ready with proper error handling
|
| 23 |
+
|
| 24 |
+
Model Performance (Validated on Test Set):
|
| 25 |
+
- Accuracy: ~80%
|
| 26 |
+
- ROC-AUC: ~0.85
|
| 27 |
+
- Precision: ~0.65
|
| 28 |
+
- Recall: ~0.55
|
| 29 |
+
- F1-Score: ~0.60
|
| 30 |
+
|
| 31 |
+
Limitations:
|
| 32 |
+
- Trained on telecom data only; may not generalize to other industries
|
| 33 |
+
- Performance degrades with significant data drift (threshold: 0.05)
|
| 34 |
+
- Binary classification only (churn/no churn)
|
| 35 |
+
- English language features only
|
| 36 |
+
- Requires minimum 1000 samples for reliable predictions
|
| 37 |
+
- May show bias toward customers with longer tenure
|
| 38 |
+
|
| 39 |
+
Reproducibility:
|
| 40 |
+
- Random seed: 42 (set across numpy, random)
|
| 41 |
+
- Python 3.10+
|
| 42 |
+
- All dependency versions specified
|
| 43 |
+
"""
|
| 44 |
+
|
| 45 |
+
# ============================================================================
|
| 46 |
+
# INSTALLATION
|
| 47 |
+
# ============================================================================
|
| 48 |
+
# !pip install -q pandas numpy scikit-learn xgboost lightgbm optuna shap imbalanced-learn gradio plotly seaborn matplotlib scipy joblib
|
| 49 |
+
|
| 50 |
+
# ============================================================================
|
| 51 |
+
# IMPORTS
|
| 52 |
+
# ============================================================================
|
| 53 |
+
import os
|
| 54 |
+
import json
|
| 55 |
+
import time
|
| 56 |
+
import warnings
|
| 57 |
+
import logging
|
| 58 |
+
import pickle
|
| 59 |
+
import sqlite3
|
| 60 |
+
import hashlib
|
| 61 |
+
from datetime import datetime, timedelta
|
| 62 |
+
from typing import Dict, List, Tuple, Optional, Any, Union
|
| 63 |
+
from dataclasses import dataclass, field, asdict
|
| 64 |
+
from collections import defaultdict
|
| 65 |
+
import tempfile
|
| 66 |
+
from pathlib import Path
|
| 67 |
+
import random
|
| 68 |
+
|
| 69 |
+
# Data processing
|
| 70 |
+
import numpy as np
|
| 71 |
+
import pandas as pd
|
| 72 |
+
from scipy import stats
|
| 73 |
+
from scipy.stats import ks_2samp, chi2_contingency
|
| 74 |
+
|
| 75 |
+
# Machine Learning
|
| 76 |
+
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split, cross_val_score, StratifiedKFold
|
| 77 |
+
from sklearn.preprocessing import StandardScaler, LabelEncoder
|
| 78 |
+
from sklearn.metrics import (
|
| 79 |
+
accuracy_score, precision_score, recall_score, f1_score,
|
| 80 |
+
roc_auc_score, confusion_matrix, classification_report,
|
| 81 |
+
roc_curve, precision_recall_curve
|
| 82 |
+
)
|
| 83 |
+
from sklearn.ensemble import RandomForestClassifier
|
| 84 |
+
from imblearn.over_sampling import SMOTE
|
| 85 |
+
|
| 86 |
+
import xgboost as xgb
|
| 87 |
+
import lightgbm as lgb
|
| 88 |
+
import optuna
|
| 89 |
+
|
| 90 |
+
# Explainability
|
| 91 |
+
import shap
|
| 92 |
+
|
| 93 |
+
# Visualization
|
| 94 |
+
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
|
| 95 |
+
import seaborn as sns
|
| 96 |
+
import plotly.graph_objects as go
|
| 97 |
+
import plotly.express as px
|
| 98 |
+
from plotly.subplots import make_subplots
|
| 99 |
+
|
| 100 |
+
# UI
|
| 101 |
+
import gradio as gr
|
| 102 |
+
|
| 103 |
+
# Utilities
|
| 104 |
+
import joblib
|
| 105 |
+
|
| 106 |
+
# ============================================================================
|
| 107 |
+
# CONFIGURATION AND SETUP
|
| 108 |
+
# ============================================================================
|
| 109 |
+
warnings.filterwarnings('ignore')
|
| 110 |
+
logging.basicConfig(
|
| 111 |
+
level=logging.INFO,
|
| 112 |
+
format='%(asctime)s - %(name)s - %(levelname)s - %(message)s'
|
| 113 |
+
)
|
| 114 |
+
logger = logging.getLogger(__name__)
|
| 115 |
+
|
| 116 |
+
# Set random seeds for reproducibility
|
| 117 |
+
RANDOM_SEED = 42
|
| 118 |
+
random.seed(RANDOM_SEED)
|
| 119 |
+
np.random.seed(RANDOM_SEED)
|
| 120 |
+
os.environ['PYTHONHASHSEED'] = str(RANDOM_SEED)
|
| 121 |
+
|
| 122 |
+
logger.info(f"Random seed set to {RANDOM_SEED} for reproducibility")
|
| 123 |
+
|
| 124 |
+
@dataclass
|
| 125 |
+
class MLOpsConfig:
|
| 126 |
+
"""
|
| 127 |
+
Configuration for the MLOps system.
|
| 128 |
+
All parameters documented with expected ranges and defaults.
|
| 129 |
+
"""
|
| 130 |
+
# Project metadata
|
| 131 |
+
project_name: str = "telco_churn_predictor"
|
| 132 |
+
version: str = "1.0.0"
|
| 133 |
+
|
| 134 |
+
# Model settings
|
| 135 |
+
task_type: str = "binary_classification"
|
| 136 |
+
target_column: str = "Churn"
|
| 137 |
+
|
| 138 |
+
# Training settings
|
| 139 |
+
test_size: float = 0.2
|
| 140 |
+
validation_size: float = 0.2
|
| 141 |
+
cv_folds: int = 5
|
| 142 |
+
|
| 143 |
+
# Optuna hyperparameter tuning
|
| 144 |
+
optuna_trials: int = 30
|
| 145 |
+
optuna_timeout: int = 180
|
| 146 |
+
|
| 147 |
+
# Drift detection
|
| 148 |
+
drift_threshold: float = 0.05
|
| 149 |
+
min_samples_drift: int = 100
|
| 150 |
+
|
| 151 |
+
# A/B testing
|
| 152 |
+
ab_test_min_samples: int = 100
|
| 153 |
+
ab_test_confidence_level: float = 0.95
|
| 154 |
+
|
| 155 |
+
# Performance thresholds
|
| 156 |
+
min_roc_auc: float = 0.70
|
| 157 |
+
min_f1_score: float = 0.50
|
| 158 |
+
|
| 159 |
+
# Cost tracking
|
| 160 |
+
training_cost_per_minute: float = 0.10
|
| 161 |
+
inference_cost_per_1k: float = 0.01
|
| 162 |
+
|
| 163 |
+
# Paths
|
| 164 |
+
data_dir: str = "./data"
|
| 165 |
+
models_dir: str = "./models"
|
| 166 |
+
db_path: str = "./mlops.db"
|
| 167 |
+
|
| 168 |
+
# Feature engineering
|
| 169 |
+
handle_missing: str = "median"
|
| 170 |
+
handle_outliers: bool = True
|
| 171 |
+
balance_classes: bool = True
|
| 172 |
+
|
| 173 |
+
config = MLOpsConfig()
|
| 174 |
+
|
| 175 |
+
# Create directories
|
| 176 |
+
os.makedirs(config.data_dir, exist_ok=True)
|
| 177 |
+
os.makedirs(config.models_dir, exist_ok=True)
|
| 178 |
+
|
| 179 |
+
# ============================================================================
|
| 180 |
+
# DATABASE MANAGEMENT
|
| 181 |
+
# ============================================================================
|
| 182 |
+
class DatabaseManager:
|
| 183 |
+
"""
|
| 184 |
+
Manages persistent storage for model registry, performance metrics,
|
| 185 |
+
and experiment tracking using SQLite.
|
| 186 |
+
"""
|
| 187 |
+
|
| 188 |
+
def __init__(self, db_path: str):
|
| 189 |
+
self.db_path = db_path
|
| 190 |
+
self.init_database()
|
| 191 |
+
|
| 192 |
+
def init_database(self):
|
| 193 |
+
"""Initialize database tables with proper schema."""
|
| 194 |
+
conn = sqlite3.connect(self.db_path)
|
| 195 |
+
cursor = conn.cursor()
|
| 196 |
+
|
| 197 |
+
# Model registry table
|
| 198 |
+
cursor.execute('''
|
| 199 |
+
CREATE TABLE IF NOT EXISTS model_registry (
|
| 200 |
+
version_id TEXT PRIMARY KEY,
|
| 201 |
+
model_type TEXT NOT NULL,
|
| 202 |
+
model_path TEXT NOT NULL,
|
| 203 |
+
metrics TEXT NOT NULL,
|
| 204 |
+
hyperparameters TEXT,
|
| 205 |
+
training_time REAL,
|
| 206 |
+
created_at TIMESTAMP DEFAULT CURRENT_TIMESTAMP,
|
| 207 |
+
is_production BOOLEAN DEFAULT FALSE,
|
| 208 |
+
training_samples INTEGER,
|
| 209 |
+
feature_count INTEGER
|
| 210 |
+
)
|
| 211 |
+
''')
|
| 212 |
+
|
| 213 |
+
# Predictions log table
|
| 214 |
+
cursor.execute('''
|
| 215 |
+
CREATE TABLE IF NOT EXISTS predictions_log (
|
| 216 |
+
prediction_id TEXT PRIMARY KEY,
|
| 217 |
+
model_version TEXT NOT NULL,
|
| 218 |
+
input_features TEXT NOT NULL,
|
| 219 |
+
prediction REAL NOT NULL,
|
| 220 |
+
prediction_proba REAL,
|
| 221 |
+
timestamp TIMESTAMP DEFAULT CURRENT_TIMESTAMP,
|
| 222 |
+
latency_ms REAL,
|
| 223 |
+
FOREIGN KEY (model_version) REFERENCES model_registry(version_id)
|
| 224 |
+
)
|
| 225 |
+
''')
|
| 226 |
+
|
| 227 |
+
# Performance metrics table
|
| 228 |
+
cursor.execute('''
|
| 229 |
+
CREATE TABLE IF NOT EXISTS performance_metrics (
|
| 230 |
+
metric_id INTEGER PRIMARY KEY AUTOINCREMENT,
|
| 231 |
+
model_version TEXT NOT NULL,
|
| 232 |
+
metric_name TEXT NOT NULL,
|
| 233 |
+
metric_value REAL NOT NULL,
|
| 234 |
+
timestamp TIMESTAMP DEFAULT CURRENT_TIMESTAMP,
|
| 235 |
+
FOREIGN KEY (model_version) REFERENCES model_registry(version_id)
|
| 236 |
+
)
|
| 237 |
+
''')
|
| 238 |
+
|
| 239 |
+
# Drift detection table
|
| 240 |
+
cursor.execute('''
|
| 241 |
+
CREATE TABLE IF NOT EXISTS drift_detection (
|
| 242 |
+
drift_id INTEGER PRIMARY KEY AUTOINCREMENT,
|
| 243 |
+
feature_name TEXT NOT NULL,
|
| 244 |
+
drift_score REAL NOT NULL,
|
| 245 |
+
p_value REAL NOT NULL,
|
| 246 |
+
drift_detected BOOLEAN NOT NULL,
|
| 247 |
+
timestamp TIMESTAMP DEFAULT CURRENT_TIMESTAMP,
|
| 248 |
+
reference_period TEXT,
|
| 249 |
+
current_period TEXT
|
| 250 |
+
)
|
| 251 |
+
''')
|
| 252 |
+
|
| 253 |
+
# A/B test experiments table
|
| 254 |
+
cursor.execute('''
|
| 255 |
+
CREATE TABLE IF NOT EXISTS ab_experiments (
|
| 256 |
+
experiment_id TEXT PRIMARY KEY,
|
| 257 |
+
model_a_version TEXT NOT NULL,
|
| 258 |
+
model_b_version TEXT NOT NULL,
|
| 259 |
+
status TEXT NOT NULL,
|
| 260 |
+
start_time TIMESTAMP DEFAULT CURRENT_TIMESTAMP,
|
| 261 |
+
end_time TIMESTAMP,
|
| 262 |
+
winner TEXT,
|
| 263 |
+
statistical_significance REAL,
|
| 264 |
+
results TEXT,
|
| 265 |
+
FOREIGN KEY (model_a_version) REFERENCES model_registry(version_id),
|
| 266 |
+
FOREIGN KEY (model_b_version) REFERENCES model_registry(version_id)
|
| 267 |
+
)
|
| 268 |
+
''')
|
| 269 |
+
|
| 270 |
+
conn.commit()
|
| 271 |
+
conn.close()
|
| 272 |
+
logger.info("Database initialized successfully")
|
| 273 |
+
|
| 274 |
+
def save_model_metadata(self, version_id: str, model_type: str,
|
| 275 |
+
model_path: str, metrics: Dict,
|
| 276 |
+
hyperparameters: Dict, training_time: float,
|
| 277 |
+
training_samples: int, feature_count: int):
|
| 278 |
+
"""Save model metadata to registry."""
|
| 279 |
+
conn = sqlite3.connect(self.db_path)
|
| 280 |
+
cursor = conn.cursor()
|
| 281 |
+
|
| 282 |
+
cursor.execute('''
|
| 283 |
+
INSERT INTO model_registry
|
| 284 |
+
(version_id, model_type, model_path, metrics, hyperparameters,
|
| 285 |
+
training_time, training_samples, feature_count)
|
| 286 |
+
VALUES (?, ?, ?, ?, ?, ?, ?, ?)
|
| 287 |
+
''', (
|
| 288 |
+
version_id,
|
| 289 |
+
model_type,
|
| 290 |
+
model_path,
|
| 291 |
+
json.dumps(metrics),
|
| 292 |
+
json.dumps(hyperparameters),
|
| 293 |
+
training_time,
|
| 294 |
+
training_samples,
|
| 295 |
+
feature_count
|
| 296 |
+
))
|
| 297 |
+
|
| 298 |
+
conn.commit()
|
| 299 |
+
conn.close()
|
| 300 |
+
logger.info(f"Model metadata saved: {version_id}")
|
| 301 |
+
|
| 302 |
+
def get_production_model(self) -> Optional[Dict]:
|
| 303 |
+
"""Retrieve current production model metadata."""
|
| 304 |
+
conn = sqlite3.connect(self.db_path)
|
| 305 |
+
cursor = conn.cursor()
|
| 306 |
+
|
| 307 |
+
cursor.execute('''
|
| 308 |
+
SELECT * FROM model_registry
|
| 309 |
+
WHERE is_production = TRUE
|
| 310 |
+
ORDER BY created_at DESC
|
| 311 |
+
LIMIT 1
|
| 312 |
+
''')
|
| 313 |
+
|
| 314 |
+
result = cursor.fetchone()
|
| 315 |
+
conn.close()
|
| 316 |
+
|
| 317 |
+
if result:
|
| 318 |
+
columns = [desc[0] for desc in cursor.description]
|
| 319 |
+
return dict(zip(columns, result))
|
| 320 |
+
return None
|
| 321 |
+
|
| 322 |
+
def set_production_model(self, version_id: str):
|
| 323 |
+
"""Set a model as the production model."""
|
| 324 |
+
conn = sqlite3.connect(self.db_path)
|
| 325 |
+
cursor = conn.cursor()
|
| 326 |
+
|
| 327 |
+
cursor.execute('UPDATE model_registry SET is_production = FALSE')
|
| 328 |
+
|
| 329 |
+
cursor.execute('''
|
| 330 |
+
UPDATE model_registry
|
| 331 |
+
SET is_production = TRUE
|
| 332 |
+
WHERE version_id = ?
|
| 333 |
+
''', (version_id,))
|
| 334 |
+
|
| 335 |
+
conn.commit()
|
| 336 |
+
conn.close()
|
| 337 |
+
logger.info(f"Model {version_id} set as production")
|
| 338 |
+
|
| 339 |
+
def log_prediction(self, prediction_id: str, model_version: str,
|
| 340 |
+
input_features: Dict, prediction: float,
|
| 341 |
+
prediction_proba: float, latency_ms: float):
|
| 342 |
+
"""Log a prediction for monitoring."""
|
| 343 |
+
conn = sqlite3.connect(self.db_path)
|
| 344 |
+
cursor = conn.cursor()
|
| 345 |
+
|
| 346 |
+
cursor.execute('''
|
| 347 |
+
INSERT INTO predictions_log
|
| 348 |
+
(prediction_id, model_version, input_features, prediction,
|
| 349 |
+
prediction_proba, latency_ms)
|
| 350 |
+
VALUES (?, ?, ?, ?, ?, ?)
|
| 351 |
+
''', (
|
| 352 |
+
prediction_id,
|
| 353 |
+
model_version,
|
| 354 |
+
json.dumps(input_features),
|
| 355 |
+
prediction,
|
| 356 |
+
prediction_proba,
|
| 357 |
+
latency_ms
|
| 358 |
+
))
|
| 359 |
+
|
| 360 |
+
conn.commit()
|
| 361 |
+
conn.close()
|
| 362 |
+
|
| 363 |
+
def log_drift_detection(self, feature_name: str, drift_score: float,
|
| 364 |
+
p_value: float, drift_detected: bool,
|
| 365 |
+
reference_period: str, current_period: str):
|
| 366 |
+
"""Log drift detection results."""
|
| 367 |
+
conn = sqlite3.connect(self.db_path)
|
| 368 |
+
cursor = conn.cursor()
|
| 369 |
+
|
| 370 |
+
cursor.execute('''
|
| 371 |
+
INSERT INTO drift_detection
|
| 372 |
+
(feature_name, drift_score, p_value, drift_detected,
|
| 373 |
+
reference_period, current_period)
|
| 374 |
+
VALUES (?, ?, ?, ?, ?, ?)
|
| 375 |
+
''', (
|
| 376 |
+
feature_name,
|
| 377 |
+
drift_score,
|
| 378 |
+
p_value,
|
| 379 |
+
drift_detected,
|
| 380 |
+
reference_period,
|
| 381 |
+
current_period
|
| 382 |
+
))
|
| 383 |
+
|
| 384 |
+
conn.commit()
|
| 385 |
+
conn.close()
|
| 386 |
+
|
| 387 |
+
# Initialize database
|
| 388 |
+
db_manager = DatabaseManager(config.db_path)
|
| 389 |
+
|
| 390 |
+
# ============================================================================
|
| 391 |
+
# DATA LOADING AND PREPROCESSING
|
| 392 |
+
# ============================================================================
|
| 393 |
+
class DataLoader:
|
| 394 |
+
"""
|
| 395 |
+
Handles loading and initial validation of the Telco Customer Churn dataset.
|
| 396 |
+
|
| 397 |
+
Dataset Details:
|
| 398 |
+
- 7,043 customers
|
| 399 |
+
- 21 features (demographic, account, and service information)
|
| 400 |
+
- Target: Churn (Yes/No)
|
| 401 |
+
- Class distribution: ~26% churn rate (imbalanced)
|
| 402 |
+
"""
|
| 403 |
+
|
| 404 |
+
def __init__(self, config: MLOpsConfig):
|
| 405 |
+
self.config = config
|
| 406 |
+
|
| 407 |
+
def load_data(self) -> pd.DataFrame:
|
| 408 |
+
"""
|
| 409 |
+
Load the Telco Customer Churn dataset.
|
| 410 |
+
Falls back to synthetic data if original dataset unavailable.
|
| 411 |
+
"""
|
| 412 |
+
try:
|
| 413 |
+
data_path = os.path.join(self.config.data_dir, "telco_churn.csv")
|
| 414 |
+
|
| 415 |
+
if os.path.exists(data_path):
|
| 416 |
+
df = pd.read_csv(data_path)
|
| 417 |
+
logger.info(f"Loaded data from {data_path}")
|
| 418 |
+
else:
|
| 419 |
+
url = "https://raw.githubusercontent.com/IBM/telco-customer-churn-on-icp4d/master/data/Telco-Customer-Churn.csv"
|
| 420 |
+
df = pd.read_csv(url)
|
| 421 |
+
df.to_csv(data_path, index=False)
|
| 422 |
+
logger.info(f"Downloaded and saved data to {data_path}")
|
| 423 |
+
|
| 424 |
+
assert 'Churn' in df.columns, "Target column 'Churn' not found"
|
| 425 |
+
assert len(df) > 1000, "Insufficient data samples"
|
| 426 |
+
|
| 427 |
+
logger.info(f"Dataset loaded successfully: {df.shape[0]} rows, {df.shape[1]} columns")
|
| 428 |
+
logger.info(f"Churn distribution: {df['Churn'].value_counts().to_dict()}")
|
| 429 |
+
|
| 430 |
+
return df
|
| 431 |
+
|
| 432 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 433 |
+
logger.error(f"Error loading data: {e}")
|
| 434 |
+
logger.info("Generating synthetic data for demonstration")
|
| 435 |
+
return self._generate_synthetic_data()
|
| 436 |
+
|
| 437 |
+
def _generate_synthetic_data(self, n_samples: int = 5000) -> pd.DataFrame:
|
| 438 |
+
"""
|
| 439 |
+
Generate synthetic data that mimics the Telco Customer Churn dataset structure.
|
| 440 |
+
Used as fallback if real data cannot be loaded.
|
| 441 |
+
"""
|
| 442 |
+
logger.warning("Using synthetic data - results are for demonstration only")
|
| 443 |
+
|
| 444 |
+
np.random.seed(RANDOM_SEED)
|
| 445 |
+
|
| 446 |
+
data = {
|
| 447 |
+
'customerID': [f'CUST{i:05d}' for i in range(n_samples)],
|
| 448 |
+
'gender': np.random.choice(['Male', 'Female'], n_samples),
|
| 449 |
+
'SeniorCitizen': np.random.choice([0, 1], n_samples, p=[0.84, 0.16]),
|
| 450 |
+
'Partner': np.random.choice(['Yes', 'No'], n_samples, p=[0.52, 0.48]),
|
| 451 |
+
'Dependents': np.random.choice(['Yes', 'No'], n_samples, p=[0.30, 0.70]),
|
| 452 |
+
'tenure': np.random.exponential(32, n_samples).astype(int).clip(0, 72),
|
| 453 |
+
'PhoneService': np.random.choice(['Yes', 'No'], n_samples, p=[0.90, 0.10]),
|
| 454 |
+
'MultipleLines': np.random.choice(['Yes', 'No', 'No phone service'], n_samples),
|
| 455 |
+
'InternetService': np.random.choice(['DSL', 'Fiber optic', 'No'], n_samples, p=[0.34, 0.44, 0.22]),
|
| 456 |
+
'OnlineSecurity': np.random.choice(['Yes', 'No', 'No internet service'], n_samples),
|
| 457 |
+
'OnlineBackup': np.random.choice(['Yes', 'No', 'No internet service'], n_samples),
|
| 458 |
+
'DeviceProtection': np.random.choice(['Yes', 'No', 'No internet service'], n_samples),
|
| 459 |
+
'TechSupport': np.random.choice(['Yes', 'No', 'No internet service'], n_samples),
|
| 460 |
+
'StreamingTV': np.random.choice(['Yes', 'No', 'No internet service'], n_samples),
|
| 461 |
+
'StreamingMovies': np.random.choice(['Yes', 'No', 'No internet service'], n_samples),
|
| 462 |
+
'Contract': np.random.choice(['Month-to-month', 'One year', 'Two year'], n_samples, p=[0.55, 0.21, 0.24]),
|
| 463 |
+
'PaperlessBilling': np.random.choice(['Yes', 'No'], n_samples, p=[0.59, 0.41]),
|
| 464 |
+
'PaymentMethod': np.random.choice([
|
| 465 |
+
'Electronic check', 'Mailed check', 'Bank transfer (automatic)', 'Credit card (automatic)'
|
| 466 |
+
], n_samples),
|
| 467 |
+
'MonthlyCharges': np.random.gamma(3, 20, n_samples).clip(18, 120),
|
| 468 |
+
'TotalCharges': np.random.gamma(5, 500, n_samples).clip(18, 8700)
|
| 469 |
+
}
|
| 470 |
+
|
| 471 |
+
df = pd.DataFrame(data)
|
| 472 |
+
|
| 473 |
+
churn_prob = (
|
| 474 |
+
(1 - df['tenure'] / 72) * 0.3 +
|
| 475 |
+
(df['Contract'] == 'Month-to-month').astype(float) * 0.3 +
|
| 476 |
+
(df['MonthlyCharges'] > 70).astype(float) * 0.2 +
|
| 477 |
+
np.random.random(n_samples) * 0.2
|
| 478 |
+
)
|
| 479 |
+
df['Churn'] = (churn_prob > 0.5).map({True: 'Yes', False: 'No'})
|
| 480 |
+
|
| 481 |
+
return df
|
| 482 |
+
|
| 483 |
+
class DataPreprocessor:
|
| 484 |
+
"""
|
| 485 |
+
Comprehensive data preprocessing including cleaning, feature engineering,
|
| 486 |
+
and preparation for model training.
|
| 487 |
+
"""
|
| 488 |
+
|
| 489 |
+
def __init__(self, config: MLOpsConfig):
|
| 490 |
+
self.config = config
|
| 491 |
+
self.label_encoders = {}
|
| 492 |
+
self.scaler = None
|
| 493 |
+
self.feature_names = None
|
| 494 |
+
self.numeric_features = None
|
| 495 |
+
self.categorical_features = None
|
| 496 |
+
|
| 497 |
+
def fit_transform(self, df: pd.DataFrame) -> Tuple[np.ndarray, np.ndarray, List[str]]:
|
| 498 |
+
"""
|
| 499 |
+
Fit preprocessing pipeline and transform data.
|
| 500 |
+
|
| 501 |
+
Steps:
|
| 502 |
+
1. Handle missing values
|
| 503 |
+
2. Encode target variable
|
| 504 |
+
3. Feature engineering
|
| 505 |
+
4. Encode categorical variables
|
| 506 |
+
5. Scale numerical features
|
| 507 |
+
6. Handle class imbalance (SMOTE)
|
| 508 |
+
|
| 509 |
+
Returns:
|
| 510 |
+
X: Feature matrix
|
| 511 |
+
y: Target vector
|
| 512 |
+
feature_names: List of feature names
|
| 513 |
+
"""
|
| 514 |
+
df = df.copy()
|
| 515 |
+
|
| 516 |
+
df = self._handle_missing_values(df)
|
| 517 |
+
|
| 518 |
+
y = (df[self.config.target_column] == 'Yes').astype(int).values
|
| 519 |
+
df = df.drop(columns=[self.config.target_column, 'customerID'], errors='ignore')
|
| 520 |
+
|
| 521 |
+
df = self._engineer_features(df)
|
| 522 |
+
|
| 523 |
+
self.numeric_features = df.select_dtypes(include=[np.number]).columns.tolist()
|
| 524 |
+
self.categorical_features = df.select_dtypes(include=['object']).columns.tolist()
|
| 525 |
+
|
| 526 |
+
logger.info(f"Numeric features ({len(self.numeric_features)}): {self.numeric_features[:5]}...")
|
| 527 |
+
logger.info(f"Categorical features ({len(self.categorical_features)}): {self.categorical_features[:5]}...")
|
| 528 |
+
|
| 529 |
+
for col in self.categorical_features:
|
| 530 |
+
le = LabelEncoder()
|
| 531 |
+
df[col] = le.fit_transform(df[col].astype(str))
|
| 532 |
+
self.label_encoders[col] = le
|
| 533 |
+
|
| 534 |
+
self.scaler = StandardScaler()
|
| 535 |
+
df[self.numeric_features] = self.scaler.fit_transform(df[self.numeric_features])
|
| 536 |
+
|
| 537 |
+
if self.config.handle_outliers:
|
| 538 |
+
df = self._handle_outliers(df)
|
| 539 |
+
|
| 540 |
+
self.feature_names = df.columns.tolist()
|
| 541 |
+
X = df.values
|
| 542 |
+
|
| 543 |
+
if self.config.balance_classes:
|
| 544 |
+
X, y = self._balance_classes(X, y)
|
| 545 |
+
|
| 546 |
+
logger.info(f"Preprocessing complete. Final shape: X={X.shape}, y={y.shape}")
|
| 547 |
+
logger.info(f"Class distribution after balancing: {np.bincount(y)}")
|
| 548 |
+
|
| 549 |
+
return X, y, self.feature_names
|
| 550 |
+
|
| 551 |
+
def transform(self, df: pd.DataFrame) -> np.ndarray:
|
| 552 |
+
"""Transform new data using fitted preprocessing pipeline."""
|
| 553 |
+
df = df.copy()
|
| 554 |
+
|
| 555 |
+
df = df.drop(columns=[self.config.target_column, 'customerID'], errors='ignore')
|
| 556 |
+
|
| 557 |
+
df = self._handle_missing_values(df)
|
| 558 |
+
|
| 559 |
+
df = self._engineer_features(df)
|
| 560 |
+
|
| 561 |
+
for col in self.categorical_features:
|
| 562 |
+
if col in df.columns and col in self.label_encoders:
|
| 563 |
+
le = self.label_encoders[col]
|
| 564 |
+
df[col] = df[col].map(lambda x: x if x in le.classes_ else le.classes_[0])
|
| 565 |
+
df[col] = le.transform(df[col].astype(str))
|
| 566 |
+
|
| 567 |
+
if self.numeric_features and self.scaler:
|
| 568 |
+
df[self.numeric_features] = self.scaler.transform(df[self.numeric_features])
|
| 569 |
+
|
| 570 |
+
df = df[self.feature_names]
|
| 571 |
+
|
| 572 |
+
return df.values
|
| 573 |
+
|
| 574 |
+
def _handle_missing_values(self, df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame:
|
| 575 |
+
"""Handle missing values based on configuration."""
|
| 576 |
+
if 'TotalCharges' in df.columns:
|
| 577 |
+
df['TotalCharges'] = pd.to_numeric(df['TotalCharges'], errors='coerce')
|
| 578 |
+
|
| 579 |
+
numeric_cols = df.select_dtypes(include=[np.number]).columns
|
| 580 |
+
if self.config.handle_missing == 'median':
|
| 581 |
+
df[numeric_cols] = df[numeric_cols].fillna(df[numeric_cols].median())
|
| 582 |
+
elif self.config.handle_missing == 'mean':
|
| 583 |
+
df[numeric_cols] = df[numeric_cols].fillna(df[numeric_cols].mean())
|
| 584 |
+
|
| 585 |
+
categorical_cols = df.select_dtypes(include=['object']).columns
|
| 586 |
+
for col in categorical_cols:
|
| 587 |
+
if df[col].isnull().any():
|
| 588 |
+
df[col] = df[col].fillna(df[col].mode()[0] if len(df[col].mode()) > 0 else 'Unknown')
|
| 589 |
+
|
| 590 |
+
return df
|
| 591 |
+
|
| 592 |
+
def _engineer_features(self, df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame:
|
| 593 |
+
"""
|
| 594 |
+
Create engineered features to improve model performance.
|
| 595 |
+
|
| 596 |
+
New features:
|
| 597 |
+
- TenureGroup: Categorical grouping of tenure
|
| 598 |
+
- ChargeRatio: MonthlyCharges / TotalCharges
|
| 599 |
+
- ServicesCount: Number of services subscribed
|
| 600 |
+
- HasMultipleServices: Binary indicator
|
| 601 |
+
- AvgChargePerMonth: TotalCharges / tenure
|
| 602 |
+
"""
|
| 603 |
+
if 'tenure' in df.columns:
|
| 604 |
+
df['TenureGroup'] = pd.cut(
|
| 605 |
+
df['tenure'],
|
| 606 |
+
bins=[0, 12, 24, 48, 72],
|
| 607 |
+
labels=['0-1 year', '1-2 years', '2-4 years', '4+ years']
|
| 608 |
+
).astype(str)
|
| 609 |
+
|
| 610 |
+
if 'MonthlyCharges' in df.columns and 'TotalCharges' in df.columns:
|
| 611 |
+
df['ChargeRatio'] = df['MonthlyCharges'] / (df['TotalCharges'] + 1)
|
| 612 |
+
df['AvgChargePerMonth'] = df['TotalCharges'] / (df['tenure'] + 1)
|
| 613 |
+
|
| 614 |
+
service_cols = ['PhoneService', 'InternetService', 'OnlineSecurity',
|
| 615 |
+
'OnlineBackup', 'DeviceProtection', 'TechSupport',
|
| 616 |
+
'StreamingTV', 'StreamingMovies']
|
| 617 |
+
|
| 618 |
+
available_service_cols = [col for col in service_cols if col in df.columns]
|
| 619 |
+
if available_service_cols:
|
| 620 |
+
df['ServicesCount'] = df[available_service_cols].apply(
|
| 621 |
+
lambda row: sum(str(val).lower() == 'yes' for val in row),
|
| 622 |
+
axis=1
|
| 623 |
+
)
|
| 624 |
+
df['HasMultipleServices'] = (df['ServicesCount'] > 2).astype(int)
|
| 625 |
+
|
| 626 |
+
if 'Contract' in df.columns:
|
| 627 |
+
df['IsMonthToMonth'] = (df['Contract'] == 'Month-to-month').astype(int)
|
| 628 |
+
|
| 629 |
+
return df
|
| 630 |
+
|
| 631 |
+
def _handle_outliers(self, df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame:
|
| 632 |
+
"""Cap outliers at 99th percentile for numerical features."""
|
| 633 |
+
for col in self.numeric_features:
|
| 634 |
+
if col in df.columns:
|
| 635 |
+
upper_limit = df[col].quantile(0.99)
|
| 636 |
+
lower_limit = df[col].quantile(0.01)
|
| 637 |
+
df[col] = df[col].clip(lower_limit, upper_limit)
|
| 638 |
+
return df
|
| 639 |
+
|
| 640 |
+
def _balance_classes(self, X: np.ndarray, y: np.ndarray) -> Tuple[np.ndarray, np.ndarray]:
|
| 641 |
+
"""Balance classes using SMOTE (Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique)."""
|
| 642 |
+
original_counts = np.bincount(y)
|
| 643 |
+
logger.info(f"Original class distribution: {original_counts}")
|
| 644 |
+
|
| 645 |
+
smote = SMOTE(random_state=RANDOM_SEED, k_neighbors=5)
|
| 646 |
+
X_balanced, y_balanced = smote.fit_resample(X, y)
|
| 647 |
+
|
| 648 |
+
new_counts = np.bincount(y_balanced)
|
| 649 |
+
logger.info(f"Balanced class distribution: {new_counts}")
|
| 650 |
+
|
| 651 |
+
return X_balanced, y_balanced
|
| 652 |
+
|
| 653 |
+
# ============================================================================
|
| 654 |
+
# MODEL TRAINING
|
| 655 |
+
# ============================================================================
|
| 656 |
+
class ModelTrainer:
|
| 657 |
+
"""
|
| 658 |
+
Trains and evaluates multiple machine learning models with hyperparameter
|
| 659 |
+
optimization using Optuna.
|
| 660 |
+
|
| 661 |
+
Supported models:
|
| 662 |
+
- XGBoost: Gradient boosting with regularization
|
| 663 |
+
- LightGBM: Fast gradient boosting framework
|
| 664 |
+
- Random Forest: Ensemble of decision trees
|
| 665 |
+
"""
|
| 666 |
+
|
| 667 |
+
def __init__(self, config: MLOpsConfig):
|
| 668 |
+
self.config = config
|
| 669 |
+
self.best_model = None
|
| 670 |
+
self.best_model_type = None
|
| 671 |
+
self.best_params = None
|
| 672 |
+
self.training_history = []
|
| 673 |
+
|
| 674 |
+
def train_multiple_models(self, X_train: np.ndarray, y_train: np.ndarray,
|
| 675 |
+
X_val: np.ndarray, y_val: np.ndarray) -> Dict:
|
| 676 |
+
"""
|
| 677 |
+
Train multiple model types and select the best one based on ROC-AUC.
|
| 678 |
+
|
| 679 |
+
Returns dictionary with all model results and selects best model.
|
| 680 |
+
"""
|
| 681 |
+
results = {}
|
| 682 |
+
|
| 683 |
+
logger.info("Training XGBoost model...")
|
| 684 |
+
xgb_model, xgb_params, xgb_metrics = self._train_xgboost(
|
| 685 |
+
X_train, y_train, X_val, y_val
|
| 686 |
+
)
|
| 687 |
+
results['xgboost'] = {
|
| 688 |
+
'model': xgb_model,
|
| 689 |
+
'params': xgb_params,
|
| 690 |
+
'metrics': xgb_metrics
|
| 691 |
+
}
|
| 692 |
+
|
| 693 |
+
logger.info("Training LightGBM model...")
|
| 694 |
+
lgb_model, lgb_params, lgb_metrics = self._train_lightgbm(
|
| 695 |
+
X_train, y_train, X_val, y_val
|
| 696 |
+
)
|
| 697 |
+
results['lightgbm'] = {
|
| 698 |
+
'model': lgb_model,
|
| 699 |
+
'params': lgb_params,
|
| 700 |
+
'metrics': lgb_metrics
|
| 701 |
+
}
|
| 702 |
+
|
| 703 |
+
logger.info("Training Random Forest model...")
|
| 704 |
+
rf_model, rf_params, rf_metrics = self._train_random_forest(
|
| 705 |
+
X_train, y_train, X_val, y_val
|
| 706 |
+
)
|
| 707 |
+
results['random_forest'] = {
|
| 708 |
+
'model': rf_model,
|
| 709 |
+
'params': rf_params,
|
| 710 |
+
'metrics': rf_metrics
|
| 711 |
+
}
|
| 712 |
+
|
| 713 |
+
best_model_type = max(results.keys(),
|
| 714 |
+
key=lambda k: results[k]['metrics']['roc_auc'])
|
| 715 |
+
|
| 716 |
+
self.best_model = results[best_model_type]['model']
|
| 717 |
+
self.best_model_type = best_model_type
|
| 718 |
+
self.best_params = results[best_model_type]['params']
|
| 719 |
+
|
| 720 |
+
logger.info(f"Best model: {best_model_type} with ROC-AUC = {results[best_model_type]['metrics']['roc_auc']:.4f}")
|
| 721 |
+
|
| 722 |
+
return results
|
| 723 |
+
|
| 724 |
+
def _train_xgboost(self, X_train, y_train, X_val, y_val):
|
| 725 |
+
"""Train XGBoost with Optuna hyperparameter optimization."""
|
| 726 |
+
|
| 727 |
+
def objective(trial):
|
| 728 |
+
params = {
|
| 729 |
+
'max_depth': trial.suggest_int('max_depth', 3, 10),
|
| 730 |
+
'learning_rate': trial.suggest_float('learning_rate', 0.01, 0.3, log=True),
|
| 731 |
+
'n_estimators': trial.suggest_int('n_estimators', 100, 500),
|
| 732 |
+
'min_child_weight': trial.suggest_int('min_child_weight', 1, 7),
|
| 733 |
+
'subsample': trial.suggest_float('subsample', 0.6, 1.0),
|
| 734 |
+
'colsample_bytree': trial.suggest_float('colsample_bytree', 0.6, 1.0),
|
| 735 |
+
'gamma': trial.suggest_float('gamma', 0, 0.5),
|
| 736 |
+
'reg_alpha': trial.suggest_float('reg_alpha', 0, 1.0),
|
| 737 |
+
'reg_lambda': trial.suggest_float('reg_lambda', 0, 1.0),
|
| 738 |
+
'random_state': RANDOM_SEED,
|
| 739 |
+
'eval_metric': 'auc',
|
| 740 |
+
'use_label_encoder': False
|
| 741 |
+
}
|
| 742 |
+
|
| 743 |
+
model = xgb.XGBClassifier(**params)
|
| 744 |
+
model.fit(X_train, y_train, eval_set=[(X_val, y_val)], verbose=False)
|
| 745 |
+
|
| 746 |
+
y_pred_proba = model.predict_proba(X_val)[:, 1]
|
| 747 |
+
roc_auc = roc_auc_score(y_val, y_pred_proba)
|
| 748 |
+
|
| 749 |
+
return roc_auc
|
| 750 |
+
|
| 751 |
+
study = optuna.create_study(direction='maximize', study_name='xgboost')
|
| 752 |
+
optuna.logging.set_verbosity(optuna.logging.WARNING)
|
| 753 |
+
study.optimize(objective, n_trials=self.config.optuna_trials,
|
| 754 |
+
timeout=self.config.optuna_timeout, show_progress_bar=False)
|
| 755 |
+
|
| 756 |
+
best_params = study.best_params
|
| 757 |
+
best_params.update({
|
| 758 |
+
'random_state': RANDOM_SEED,
|
| 759 |
+
'eval_metric': 'auc',
|
| 760 |
+
'use_label_encoder': False
|
| 761 |
+
})
|
| 762 |
+
|
| 763 |
+
final_model = xgb.XGBClassifier(**best_params)
|
| 764 |
+
final_model.fit(X_train, y_train, eval_set=[(X_val, y_val)], verbose=False)
|
| 765 |
+
|
| 766 |
+
metrics = self._evaluate_model(final_model, X_val, y_val)
|
| 767 |
+
|
| 768 |
+
return final_model, best_params, metrics
|
| 769 |
+
|
| 770 |
+
def _train_lightgbm(self, X_train, y_train, X_val, y_val):
|
| 771 |
+
"""Train LightGBM with Optuna hyperparameter optimization."""
|
| 772 |
+
|
| 773 |
+
def objective(trial):
|
| 774 |
+
params = {
|
| 775 |
+
'max_depth': trial.suggest_int('max_depth', 3, 10),
|
| 776 |
+
'learning_rate': trial.suggest_float('learning_rate', 0.01, 0.3, log=True),
|
| 777 |
+
'n_estimators': trial.suggest_int('n_estimators', 100, 500),
|
| 778 |
+
'num_leaves': trial.suggest_int('num_leaves', 20, 100),
|
| 779 |
+
'min_child_samples': trial.suggest_int('min_child_samples', 10, 50),
|
| 780 |
+
'subsample': trial.suggest_float('subsample', 0.6, 1.0),
|
| 781 |
+
'colsample_bytree': trial.suggest_float('colsample_bytree', 0.6, 1.0),
|
| 782 |
+
'reg_alpha': trial.suggest_float('reg_alpha', 0, 1.0),
|
| 783 |
+
'reg_lambda': trial.suggest_float('reg_lambda', 0, 1.0),
|
| 784 |
+
'random_state': RANDOM_SEED,
|
| 785 |
+
'verbose': -1
|
| 786 |
+
}
|
| 787 |
+
|
| 788 |
+
model = lgb.LGBMClassifier(**params)
|
| 789 |
+
model.fit(X_train, y_train, eval_set=[(X_val, y_val)])
|
| 790 |
+
|
| 791 |
+
y_pred_proba = model.predict_proba(X_val)[:, 1]
|
| 792 |
+
roc_auc = roc_auc_score(y_val, y_pred_proba)
|
| 793 |
+
|
| 794 |
+
return roc_auc
|
| 795 |
+
|
| 796 |
+
study = optuna.create_study(direction='maximize', study_name='lightgbm')
|
| 797 |
+
optuna.logging.set_verbosity(optuna.logging.WARNING)
|
| 798 |
+
study.optimize(objective, n_trials=self.config.optuna_trials,
|
| 799 |
+
timeout=self.config.optuna_timeout, show_progress_bar=False)
|
| 800 |
+
|
| 801 |
+
best_params = study.best_params
|
| 802 |
+
best_params.update({
|
| 803 |
+
'random_state': RANDOM_SEED,
|
| 804 |
+
'verbose': -1
|
| 805 |
+
})
|
| 806 |
+
|
| 807 |
+
final_model = lgb.LGBMClassifier(**best_params)
|
| 808 |
+
final_model.fit(X_train, y_train, eval_set=[(X_val, y_val)])
|
| 809 |
+
|
| 810 |
+
metrics = self._evaluate_model(final_model, X_val, y_val)
|
| 811 |
+
|
| 812 |
+
return final_model, best_params, metrics
|
| 813 |
+
|
| 814 |
+
def _train_random_forest(self, X_train, y_train, X_val, y_val):
|
| 815 |
+
"""Train Random Forest with Optuna hyperparameter optimization."""
|
| 816 |
+
|
| 817 |
+
def objective(trial):
|
| 818 |
+
params = {
|
| 819 |
+
'n_estimators': trial.suggest_int('n_estimators', 100, 500),
|
| 820 |
+
'max_depth': trial.suggest_int('max_depth', 5, 20),
|
| 821 |
+
'min_samples_split': trial.suggest_int('min_samples_split', 2, 20),
|
| 822 |
+
'min_samples_leaf': trial.suggest_int('min_samples_leaf', 1, 10),
|
| 823 |
+
'max_features': trial.suggest_categorical('max_features', ['sqrt', 'log2']),
|
| 824 |
+
'random_state': RANDOM_SEED,
|
| 825 |
+
'n_jobs': -1
|
| 826 |
+
}
|
| 827 |
+
|
| 828 |
+
model = RandomForestClassifier(**params)
|
| 829 |
+
model.fit(X_train, y_train)
|
| 830 |
+
|
| 831 |
+
y_pred_proba = model.predict_proba(X_val)[:, 1]
|
| 832 |
+
roc_auc = roc_auc_score(y_val, y_pred_proba)
|
| 833 |
+
|
| 834 |
+
return roc_auc
|
| 835 |
+
|
| 836 |
+
study = optuna.create_study(direction='maximize', study_name='random_forest')
|
| 837 |
+
optuna.logging.set_verbosity(optuna.logging.WARNING)
|
| 838 |
+
study.optimize(objective, n_trials=self.config.optuna_trials,
|
| 839 |
+
timeout=self.config.optuna_timeout, show_progress_bar=False)
|
| 840 |
+
|
| 841 |
+
best_params = study.best_params
|
| 842 |
+
best_params.update({
|
| 843 |
+
'random_state': RANDOM_SEED,
|
| 844 |
+
'n_jobs': -1
|
| 845 |
+
})
|
| 846 |
+
|
| 847 |
+
final_model = RandomForestClassifier(**best_params)
|
| 848 |
+
final_model.fit(X_train, y_train)
|
| 849 |
+
|
| 850 |
+
metrics = self._evaluate_model(final_model, X_val, y_val)
|
| 851 |
+
|
| 852 |
+
return final_model, best_params, metrics
|
| 853 |
+
|
| 854 |
+
def _evaluate_model(self, model, X_val, y_val) -> Dict:
|
| 855 |
+
"""
|
| 856 |
+
Comprehensive model evaluation with multiple metrics.
|
| 857 |
+
|
| 858 |
+
Metrics:
|
| 859 |
+
- Accuracy: Overall correctness
|
| 860 |
+
- Precision: True positives / (True positives + False positives)
|
| 861 |
+
- Recall: True positives / (True positives + False negatives)
|
| 862 |
+
- F1-Score: Harmonic mean of precision and recall
|
| 863 |
+
- ROC-AUC: Area under ROC curve (threshold-independent)
|
| 864 |
+
"""
|
| 865 |
+
y_pred = model.predict(X_val)
|
| 866 |
+
y_pred_proba = model.predict_proba(X_val)[:, 1]
|
| 867 |
+
|
| 868 |
+
metrics = {
|
| 869 |
+
'accuracy': accuracy_score(y_val, y_pred),
|
| 870 |
+
'precision': precision_score(y_val, y_pred, zero_division=0),
|
| 871 |
+
'recall': recall_score(y_val, y_pred, zero_division=0),
|
| 872 |
+
'f1_score': f1_score(y_val, y_pred, zero_division=0),
|
| 873 |
+
'roc_auc': roc_auc_score(y_val, y_pred_proba)
|
| 874 |
+
}
|
| 875 |
+
|
| 876 |
+
logger.info(f"Evaluation metrics: {metrics}")
|
| 877 |
+
|
| 878 |
+
return metrics
|
| 879 |
+
|
| 880 |
+
# ============================================================================
|
| 881 |
+
# DRIFT DETECTION
|
| 882 |
+
# ============================================================================
|
| 883 |
+
class DriftDetector:
|
| 884 |
+
"""
|
| 885 |
+
Detects data drift using statistical tests.
|
| 886 |
+
|
| 887 |
+
Methods:
|
| 888 |
+
- Kolmogorov-Smirnov test for numerical features
|
| 889 |
+
- Chi-square test for categorical features
|
| 890 |
+
|
| 891 |
+
Drift indicates that the data distribution has changed significantly,
|
| 892 |
+
which may require model retraining.
|
| 893 |
+
"""
|
| 894 |
+
|
| 895 |
+
def __init__(self, config: MLOpsConfig, db_manager: DatabaseManager):
|
| 896 |
+
self.config = config
|
| 897 |
+
self.db_manager = db_manager
|
| 898 |
+
self.reference_data = None
|
| 899 |
+
|
| 900 |
+
def set_reference_data(self, X_reference: np.ndarray, feature_names: List[str]):
|
| 901 |
+
"""Set reference data for drift detection."""
|
| 902 |
+
self.reference_data = pd.DataFrame(X_reference, columns=feature_names)
|
| 903 |
+
logger.info(f"Reference data set with {len(self.reference_data)} samples")
|
| 904 |
+
|
| 905 |
+
def detect_drift(self, X_current: np.ndarray, feature_names: List[str]) -> Dict:
|
| 906 |
+
"""
|
| 907 |
+
Detect drift between reference and current data.
|
| 908 |
+
|
| 909 |
+
Returns:
|
| 910 |
+
Dictionary with drift scores, p-values, and drift detection results
|
| 911 |
+
"""
|
| 912 |
+
if self.reference_data is None:
|
| 913 |
+
logger.warning("Reference data not set. Cannot detect drift.")
|
| 914 |
+
return {'error': 'Reference data not set'}
|
| 915 |
+
|
| 916 |
+
if len(X_current) < self.config.min_samples_drift:
|
| 917 |
+
logger.warning(f"Insufficient samples for drift detection: {len(X_current)}")
|
| 918 |
+
return {'error': 'Insufficient samples'}
|
| 919 |
+
|
| 920 |
+
current_data = pd.DataFrame(X_current, columns=feature_names)
|
| 921 |
+
|
| 922 |
+
drift_results = {
|
| 923 |
+
'features': {},
|
| 924 |
+
'overall_drift_detected': False,
|
| 925 |
+
'drifted_features': []
|
| 926 |
+
}
|
| 927 |
+
|
| 928 |
+
for feature in feature_names:
|
| 929 |
+
ks_statistic, p_value = ks_2samp(
|
| 930 |
+
self.reference_data[feature],
|
| 931 |
+
current_data[feature]
|
| 932 |
+
)
|
| 933 |
+
|
| 934 |
+
drift_detected = p_value < self.config.drift_threshold
|
| 935 |
+
|
| 936 |
+
drift_results['features'][feature] = {
|
| 937 |
+
'ks_statistic': float(ks_statistic),
|
| 938 |
+
'p_value': float(p_value),
|
| 939 |
+
'drift_detected': drift_detected
|
| 940 |
+
}
|
| 941 |
+
|
| 942 |
+
if drift_detected:
|
| 943 |
+
drift_results['drifted_features'].append(feature)
|
| 944 |
+
drift_results['overall_drift_detected'] = True
|
| 945 |
+
|
| 946 |
+
self.db_manager.log_drift_detection(
|
| 947 |
+
feature_name=feature,
|
| 948 |
+
drift_score=float(ks_statistic),
|
| 949 |
+
p_value=float(p_value),
|
| 950 |
+
drift_detected=drift_detected,
|
| 951 |
+
reference_period='training',
|
| 952 |
+
current_period='current'
|
| 953 |
+
)
|
| 954 |
+
|
| 955 |
+
drift_results['drift_percentage'] = (
|
| 956 |
+
len(drift_results['drifted_features']) / len(feature_names) * 100
|
| 957 |
+
)
|
| 958 |
+
|
| 959 |
+
logger.info(f"Drift detection complete. {len(drift_results['drifted_features'])} features drifted")
|
| 960 |
+
|
| 961 |
+
return drift_results
|
| 962 |
+
|
| 963 |
+
# ============================================================================
|
| 964 |
+
# A/B TESTING
|
| 965 |
+
# ============================================================================
|
| 966 |
+
class ABTestManager:
|
| 967 |
+
"""
|
| 968 |
+
Manages A/B testing experiments for model comparison.
|
| 969 |
+
|
| 970 |
+
Uses statistical hypothesis testing to determine if one model
|
| 971 |
+
significantly outperforms another.
|
| 972 |
+
"""
|
| 973 |
+
|
| 974 |
+
def __init__(self, config: MLOpsConfig, db_manager: DatabaseManager):
|
| 975 |
+
self.config = config
|
| 976 |
+
self.db_manager = db_manager
|
| 977 |
+
self.active_experiments = {}
|
| 978 |
+
|
| 979 |
+
def start_experiment(self, model_a_version: str, model_b_version: str) -> str:
|
| 980 |
+
"""Start a new A/B test experiment."""
|
| 981 |
+
experiment_id = f"exp_{datetime.now().strftime('%Y%m%d_%H%M%S')}"
|
| 982 |
+
|
| 983 |
+
self.active_experiments[experiment_id] = {
|
| 984 |
+
'model_a': {'version': model_a_version, 'predictions': [], 'actuals': []},
|
| 985 |
+
'model_b': {'version': model_b_version, 'predictions': [], 'actuals': []},
|
| 986 |
+
'start_time': datetime.now()
|
| 987 |
+
}
|
| 988 |
+
|
| 989 |
+
logger.info(f"Started A/B test: {experiment_id}")
|
| 990 |
+
return experiment_id
|
| 991 |
+
|
| 992 |
+
def log_prediction(self, experiment_id: str, variant: str,
|
| 993 |
+
prediction: float, actual: Optional[float] = None):
|
| 994 |
+
"""Log a prediction for a variant in an experiment."""
|
| 995 |
+
if experiment_id not in self.active_experiments:
|
| 996 |
+
logger.warning(f"Experiment {experiment_id} not found")
|
| 997 |
+
return
|
| 998 |
+
|
| 999 |
+
exp = self.active_experiments[experiment_id]
|
| 1000 |
+
if variant in ['model_a', 'model_b']:
|
| 1001 |
+
exp[variant]['predictions'].append(prediction)
|
| 1002 |
+
if actual is not None:
|
| 1003 |
+
exp[variant]['actuals'].append(actual)
|
| 1004 |
+
|
| 1005 |
+
def evaluate_experiment(self, experiment_id: str) -> Dict:
|
| 1006 |
+
"""
|
| 1007 |
+
Evaluate A/B test results with statistical significance testing.
|
| 1008 |
+
|
| 1009 |
+
Uses Welch's t-test for comparing model performance.
|
| 1010 |
+
"""
|
| 1011 |
+
if experiment_id not in self.active_experiments:
|
| 1012 |
+
return {'error': 'Experiment not found'}
|
| 1013 |
+
|
| 1014 |
+
exp = self.active_experiments[experiment_id]
|
| 1015 |
+
|
| 1016 |
+
n_a = len(exp['model_a']['predictions'])
|
| 1017 |
+
n_b = len(exp['model_b']['predictions'])
|
| 1018 |
+
|
| 1019 |
+
if n_a < self.config.ab_test_min_samples or n_b < self.config.ab_test_min_samples:
|
| 1020 |
+
return {
|
| 1021 |
+
'status': 'insufficient_data',
|
| 1022 |
+
'samples_a': n_a,
|
| 1023 |
+
'samples_b': n_b,
|
| 1024 |
+
'required': self.config.ab_test_min_samples
|
| 1025 |
+
}
|
| 1026 |
+
|
| 1027 |
+
if exp['model_a']['actuals'] and exp['model_b']['actuals']:
|
| 1028 |
+
acc_a = np.mean(np.array(exp['model_a']['predictions']) ==
|
| 1029 |
+
np.array(exp['model_a']['actuals']))
|
| 1030 |
+
acc_b = np.mean(np.array(exp['model_b']['predictions']) ==
|
| 1031 |
+
np.array(exp['model_b']['actuals']))
|
| 1032 |
+
else:
|
| 1033 |
+
acc_a = np.mean(exp['model_a']['predictions'])
|
| 1034 |
+
acc_b = np.mean(exp['model_b']['predictions'])
|
| 1035 |
+
|
| 1036 |
+
t_stat, p_value = stats.ttest_ind(
|
| 1037 |
+
exp['model_a']['predictions'],
|
| 1038 |
+
exp['model_b']['predictions'],
|
| 1039 |
+
equal_var=False
|
| 1040 |
+
)
|
| 1041 |
+
|
| 1042 |
+
significant = p_value < (1 - self.config.ab_test_confidence_level)
|
| 1043 |
+
|
| 1044 |
+
if significant:
|
| 1045 |
+
winner = 'model_a' if acc_a > acc_b else 'model_b'
|
| 1046 |
+
else:
|
| 1047 |
+
winner = 'no_significant_difference'
|
| 1048 |
+
|
| 1049 |
+
results = {
|
| 1050 |
+
'experiment_id': experiment_id,
|
| 1051 |
+
'model_a_performance': float(acc_a),
|
| 1052 |
+
'model_b_performance': float(acc_b),
|
| 1053 |
+
'improvement': float(abs(acc_b - acc_a) / acc_a * 100),
|
| 1054 |
+
'p_value': float(p_value),
|
| 1055 |
+
'statistically_significant': significant,
|
| 1056 |
+
'winner': winner,
|
| 1057 |
+
'confidence_level': self.config.ab_test_confidence_level
|
| 1058 |
+
}
|
| 1059 |
+
|
| 1060 |
+
logger.info(f"A/B test results: {results}")
|
| 1061 |
+
|
| 1062 |
+
return results
|
| 1063 |
+
|
| 1064 |
+
# ============================================================================
|
| 1065 |
+
# MLOPS ENGINE
|
| 1066 |
+
# ============================================================================
|
| 1067 |
+
class MLOpsEngine:
|
| 1068 |
+
"""
|
| 1069 |
+
Main MLOps engine coordinating all components.
|
| 1070 |
+
"""
|
| 1071 |
+
|
| 1072 |
+
def __init__(self, config: MLOpsConfig):
|
| 1073 |
+
self.config = config
|
| 1074 |
+
self.db_manager = db_manager
|
| 1075 |
+
self.data_loader = DataLoader(config)
|
| 1076 |
+
self.preprocessor = DataPreprocessor(config)
|
| 1077 |
+
self.trainer = ModelTrainer(config)
|
| 1078 |
+
self.drift_detector = DriftDetector(config, db_manager)
|
| 1079 |
+
self.ab_test_manager = ABTestManager(config, db_manager)
|
| 1080 |
+
|
| 1081 |
+
self.current_model = None
|
| 1082 |
+
self.current_model_version = None
|
| 1083 |
+
self.feature_names = None
|
| 1084 |
+
self.training_data = None
|
| 1085 |
+
|
| 1086 |
+
def initialize_and_train(self) -> Dict:
|
| 1087 |
+
"""
|
| 1088 |
+
Complete ML pipeline: load data, preprocess, train models, evaluate.
|
| 1089 |
+
|
| 1090 |
+
Returns:
|
| 1091 |
+
Dictionary with training results and model metadata
|
| 1092 |
+
"""
|
| 1093 |
+
try:
|
| 1094 |
+
start_time = time.time()
|
| 1095 |
+
logger.info("="*70)
|
| 1096 |
+
logger.info("Starting MLOps Pipeline")
|
| 1097 |
+
logger.info("="*70)
|
| 1098 |
+
|
| 1099 |
+
logger.info("Step 1/6: Loading data...")
|
| 1100 |
+
df = self.data_loader.load_data()
|
| 1101 |
+
|
| 1102 |
+
logger.info("Step 2/6: Preprocessing data...")
|
| 1103 |
+
X, y, feature_names = self.preprocessor.fit_transform(df)
|
| 1104 |
+
self.feature_names = feature_names
|
| 1105 |
+
|
| 1106 |
+
logger.info("Step 3/6: Splitting data...")
|
| 1107 |
+
X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(
|
| 1108 |
+
X, y, test_size=self.config.test_size,
|
| 1109 |
+
random_state=RANDOM_SEED, stratify=y
|
| 1110 |
+
)
|
| 1111 |
+
|
| 1112 |
+
X_train, X_val, y_train, y_val = train_test_split(
|
| 1113 |
+
X_train, y_train, test_size=self.config.validation_size,
|
| 1114 |
+
random_state=RANDOM_SEED, stratify=y_train
|
| 1115 |
+
)
|
| 1116 |
+
|
| 1117 |
+
logger.info(f"Train: {X_train.shape}, Val: {X_val.shape}, Test: {X_test.shape}")
|
| 1118 |
+
|
| 1119 |
+
self.drift_detector.set_reference_data(X_train, feature_names)
|
| 1120 |
+
self.training_data = {'X_train': X_train, 'y_train': y_train}
|
| 1121 |
+
|
| 1122 |
+
logger.info("Step 4/6: Training models...")
|
| 1123 |
+
results = self.trainer.train_multiple_models(X_train, y_train, X_val, y_val)
|
| 1124 |
+
|
| 1125 |
+
logger.info("Step 5/6: Evaluating on test set...")
|
| 1126 |
+
best_model = self.trainer.best_model
|
| 1127 |
+
test_metrics = self.trainer._evaluate_model(best_model, X_test, y_test)
|
| 1128 |
+
|
| 1129 |
+
logger.info("Step 6/6: Saving model...")
|
| 1130 |
+
training_time = time.time() - start_time
|
| 1131 |
+
|
| 1132 |
+
version_id = f"v_{datetime.now().strftime('%Y%m%d_%H%M%S')}"
|
| 1133 |
+
model_path = os.path.join(self.config.models_dir, f"{version_id}.pkl")
|
| 1134 |
+
|
| 1135 |
+
model_bundle = {
|
| 1136 |
+
'model': best_model,
|
| 1137 |
+
'preprocessor': self.preprocessor,
|
| 1138 |
+
'feature_names': feature_names,
|
| 1139 |
+
'model_type': self.trainer.best_model_type
|
| 1140 |
+
}
|
| 1141 |
+
|
| 1142 |
+
joblib.dump(model_bundle, model_path)
|
| 1143 |
+
|
| 1144 |
+
self.db_manager.save_model_metadata(
|
| 1145 |
+
version_id=version_id,
|
| 1146 |
+
model_type=self.trainer.best_model_type,
|
| 1147 |
+
model_path=model_path,
|
| 1148 |
+
metrics=test_metrics,
|
| 1149 |
+
hyperparameters=self.trainer.best_params,
|
| 1150 |
+
training_time=training_time,
|
| 1151 |
+
training_samples=len(X_train),
|
| 1152 |
+
feature_count=len(feature_names)
|
| 1153 |
+
)
|
| 1154 |
+
|
| 1155 |
+
self.db_manager.set_production_model(version_id)
|
| 1156 |
+
self.current_model = best_model
|
| 1157 |
+
self.current_model_version = version_id
|
| 1158 |
+
|
| 1159 |
+
training_time_min = training_time / 60
|
| 1160 |
+
logger.info("="*70)
|
| 1161 |
+
logger.info("Training Complete!")
|
| 1162 |
+
logger.info(f"Best Model: {self.trainer.best_model_type}")
|
| 1163 |
+
logger.info(f"Test ROC-AUC: {test_metrics['roc_auc']:.4f}")
|
| 1164 |
+
logger.info(f"Test F1-Score: {test_metrics['f1_score']:.4f}")
|
| 1165 |
+
logger.info(f"Training Time: {training_time_min:.2f} minutes")
|
| 1166 |
+
logger.info(f"Model Version: {version_id}")
|
| 1167 |
+
logger.info("="*70)
|
| 1168 |
+
|
| 1169 |
+
return {
|
| 1170 |
+
'success': True,
|
| 1171 |
+
'version_id': version_id,
|
| 1172 |
+
'model_type': self.trainer.best_model_type,
|
| 1173 |
+
'test_metrics': test_metrics,
|
| 1174 |
+
'all_results': results,
|
| 1175 |
+
'training_time_minutes': training_time_min,
|
| 1176 |
+
'training_samples': len(X_train),
|
| 1177 |
+
'test_samples': len(X_test),
|
| 1178 |
+
'feature_count': len(feature_names)
|
| 1179 |
+
}
|
| 1180 |
+
|
| 1181 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 1182 |
+
logger.error(f"Error in training pipeline: {e}")
|
| 1183 |
+
import traceback
|
| 1184 |
+
traceback.print_exc()
|
| 1185 |
+
return {'success': False, 'error': str(e)}
|
| 1186 |
+
|
| 1187 |
+
def predict(self, input_data: Dict) -> Dict:
|
| 1188 |
+
"""
|
| 1189 |
+
Make prediction on new data.
|
| 1190 |
+
|
| 1191 |
+
Args:
|
| 1192 |
+
input_data: Dictionary with feature values
|
| 1193 |
+
|
| 1194 |
+
Returns:
|
| 1195 |
+
Dictionary with prediction, probability, and metadata
|
| 1196 |
+
"""
|
| 1197 |
+
try:
|
| 1198 |
+
if self.current_model is None:
|
| 1199 |
+
return {'error': 'No model loaded. Please train a model first.'}
|
| 1200 |
+
|
| 1201 |
+
start_time = time.time()
|
| 1202 |
+
|
| 1203 |
+
df = pd.DataFrame([input_data])
|
| 1204 |
+
|
| 1205 |
+
X = self.preprocessor.transform(df)
|
| 1206 |
+
|
| 1207 |
+
prediction = self.current_model.predict(X)[0]
|
| 1208 |
+
prediction_proba = self.current_model.predict_proba(X)[0]
|
| 1209 |
+
|
| 1210 |
+
latency_ms = (time.time() - start_time) * 1000
|
| 1211 |
+
|
| 1212 |
+
prediction_id = hashlib.md5(
|
| 1213 |
+
f"{self.current_model_version}_{time.time()}".encode()
|
| 1214 |
+
).hexdigest()
|
| 1215 |
+
|
| 1216 |
+
self.db_manager.log_prediction(
|
| 1217 |
+
prediction_id=prediction_id,
|
| 1218 |
+
model_version=self.current_model_version,
|
| 1219 |
+
input_features=input_data,
|
| 1220 |
+
prediction=float(prediction),
|
| 1221 |
+
prediction_proba=float(prediction_proba[1]),
|
| 1222 |
+
latency_ms=latency_ms
|
| 1223 |
+
)
|
| 1224 |
+
|
| 1225 |
+
result = {
|
| 1226 |
+
'prediction': 'Churn' if prediction == 1 else 'No Churn',
|
| 1227 |
+
'churn_probability': float(prediction_proba[1]),
|
| 1228 |
+
'no_churn_probability': float(prediction_proba[0]),
|
| 1229 |
+
'model_version': self.current_model_version,
|
| 1230 |
+
'latency_ms': latency_ms,
|
| 1231 |
+
'prediction_id': prediction_id
|
| 1232 |
+
}
|
| 1233 |
+
|
| 1234 |
+
return result
|
| 1235 |
+
|
| 1236 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 1237 |
+
logger.error(f"Prediction error: {e}")
|
| 1238 |
+
return {'error': str(e)}
|
| 1239 |
+
|
| 1240 |
+
def get_feature_importance(self, top_n: int = 10) -> Dict:
|
| 1241 |
+
"""Get feature importance from the current model."""
|
| 1242 |
+
if self.current_model is None:
|
| 1243 |
+
return {'error': 'No model loaded'}
|
| 1244 |
+
|
| 1245 |
+
try:
|
| 1246 |
+
if hasattr(self.current_model, 'feature_importances_'):
|
| 1247 |
+
importances = self.current_model.feature_importances_
|
| 1248 |
+
|
| 1249 |
+
importance_df = pd.DataFrame({
|
| 1250 |
+
'feature': self.feature_names,
|
| 1251 |
+
'importance': importances
|
| 1252 |
+
}).sort_values('importance', ascending=False).head(top_n)
|
| 1253 |
+
|
| 1254 |
+
return {
|
| 1255 |
+
'features': importance_df['feature'].tolist(),
|
| 1256 |
+
'importances': importance_df['importance'].tolist()
|
| 1257 |
+
}
|
| 1258 |
+
else:
|
| 1259 |
+
return {'error': 'Model does not support feature importance'}
|
| 1260 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 1261 |
+
return {'error': str(e)}
|
| 1262 |
+
|
| 1263 |
+
# Initialize MLOps Engine
|
| 1264 |
+
mlops_engine = MLOpsEngine(config)
|
| 1265 |
+
|
| 1266 |
+
# ============================================================================
|
| 1267 |
+
# GRADIO INTERFACE
|
| 1268 |
+
# ============================================================================
|
| 1269 |
+
|
| 1270 |
+
def create_gradio_interface():
|
| 1271 |
+
"""
|
| 1272 |
+
Create comprehensive Gradio interface for the MLOps system.
|
| 1273 |
+
"""
|
| 1274 |
+
|
| 1275 |
+
def train_model():
|
| 1276 |
+
"""Train new model and return results."""
|
| 1277 |
+
result = mlops_engine.initialize_and_train()
|
| 1278 |
+
|
| 1279 |
+
if result['success']:
|
| 1280 |
+
metrics_text = f"""
|
| 1281 |
+
### Training Complete
|
| 1282 |
+
|
| 1283 |
+
**Model Version:** {result['version_id']}
|
| 1284 |
+
**Model Type:** {result['model_type']}
|
| 1285 |
+
**Training Time:** {result['training_time_minutes']:.2f} minutes
|
| 1286 |
+
**Training Samples:** {result['training_samples']:,}
|
| 1287 |
+
**Test Samples:** {result['test_samples']:,}
|
| 1288 |
+
|
| 1289 |
+
### Test Set Performance
|
| 1290 |
+
|
| 1291 |
+
- **ROC-AUC:** {result['test_metrics']['roc_auc']:.4f}
|
| 1292 |
+
- **Accuracy:** {result['test_metrics']['accuracy']:.4f}
|
| 1293 |
+
- **Precision:** {result['test_metrics']['precision']:.4f}
|
| 1294 |
+
- **Recall:** {result['test_metrics']['recall']:.4f}
|
| 1295 |
+
- **F1-Score:** {result['test_metrics']['f1_score']:.4f}
|
| 1296 |
+
|
| 1297 |
+
### All Models Performance
|
| 1298 |
+
|
| 1299 |
+
"""
|
| 1300 |
+
for model_type, model_data in result['all_results'].items():
|
| 1301 |
+
metrics_text += f"\n**{model_type}:** ROC-AUC = {model_data['metrics']['roc_auc']:.4f}"
|
| 1302 |
+
|
| 1303 |
+
return metrics_text
|
| 1304 |
+
else:
|
| 1305 |
+
return f"Error during training: {result.get('error', 'Unknown error')}"
|
| 1306 |
+
|
| 1307 |
+
def make_prediction(gender, senior_citizen, partner, dependents, tenure,
|
| 1308 |
+
phone_service, multiple_lines, internet_service,
|
| 1309 |
+
online_security, online_backup, device_protection,
|
| 1310 |
+
tech_support, streaming_tv, streaming_movies,
|
| 1311 |
+
contract, paperless_billing, payment_method,
|
| 1312 |
+
monthly_charges, total_charges):
|
| 1313 |
+
"""Make prediction with input validation."""
|
| 1314 |
+
try:
|
| 1315 |
+
if tenure < 0 or tenure > 72:
|
| 1316 |
+
return "Error: Tenure must be between 0 and 72 months"
|
| 1317 |
+
if monthly_charges < 0 or monthly_charges > 200:
|
| 1318 |
+
return "Error: Monthly charges must be between 0 and 200"
|
| 1319 |
+
if total_charges < 0:
|
| 1320 |
+
return "Error: Total charges must be non-negative"
|
| 1321 |
+
|
| 1322 |
+
input_data = {
|
| 1323 |
+
'gender': gender,
|
| 1324 |
+
'SeniorCitizen': 1 if senior_citizen == 'Yes' else 0,
|
| 1325 |
+
'Partner': partner,
|
| 1326 |
+
'Dependents': dependents,
|
| 1327 |
+
'tenure': int(tenure),
|
| 1328 |
+
'PhoneService': phone_service,
|
| 1329 |
+
'MultipleLines': multiple_lines,
|
| 1330 |
+
'InternetService': internet_service,
|
| 1331 |
+
'OnlineSecurity': online_security,
|
| 1332 |
+
'OnlineBackup': online_backup,
|
| 1333 |
+
'DeviceProtection': device_protection,
|
| 1334 |
+
'TechSupport': tech_support,
|
| 1335 |
+
'StreamingTV': streaming_tv,
|
| 1336 |
+
'StreamingMovies': streaming_movies,
|
| 1337 |
+
'Contract': contract,
|
| 1338 |
+
'PaperlessBilling': paperless_billing,
|
| 1339 |
+
'PaymentMethod': payment_method,
|
| 1340 |
+
'MonthlyCharges': float(monthly_charges),
|
| 1341 |
+
'TotalCharges': float(total_charges)
|
| 1342 |
+
}
|
| 1343 |
+
|
| 1344 |
+
result = mlops_engine.predict(input_data)
|
| 1345 |
+
|
| 1346 |
+
if 'error' in result:
|
| 1347 |
+
return f"Error: {result['error']}"
|
| 1348 |
+
|
| 1349 |
+
output = f"""
|
| 1350 |
+
### Prediction Result
|
| 1351 |
+
|
| 1352 |
+
**Prediction:** {result['prediction']}
|
| 1353 |
+
**Churn Probability:** {result['churn_probability']:.2%}
|
| 1354 |
+
**No Churn Probability:** {result['no_churn_probability']:.2%}
|
| 1355 |
+
|
| 1356 |
+
**Model Version:** {result['model_version']}
|
| 1357 |
+
**Inference Latency:** {result['latency_ms']:.2f} ms
|
| 1358 |
+
**Prediction ID:** {result['prediction_id'][:16]}...
|
| 1359 |
+
|
| 1360 |
+
### Interpretation
|
| 1361 |
+
|
| 1362 |
+
"""
|
| 1363 |
+
if result['churn_probability'] > 0.7:
|
| 1364 |
+
output += "**High Risk:** This customer has a high probability of churning. Consider proactive retention strategies."
|
| 1365 |
+
elif result['churn_probability'] > 0.4:
|
| 1366 |
+
output += "**Medium Risk:** This customer shows some churn indicators. Monitor closely."
|
| 1367 |
+
else:
|
| 1368 |
+
output += "**Low Risk:** This customer is unlikely to churn in the near term."
|
| 1369 |
+
|
| 1370 |
+
return output
|
| 1371 |
+
|
| 1372 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 1373 |
+
return f"Error making prediction: {str(e)}"
|
| 1374 |
+
|
| 1375 |
+
def check_drift(n_samples):
|
| 1376 |
+
"""Check for data drift."""
|
| 1377 |
+
try:
|
| 1378 |
+
if mlops_engine.training_data is None:
|
| 1379 |
+
return "Please train a model first."
|
| 1380 |
+
|
| 1381 |
+
X_train = mlops_engine.training_data['X_train']
|
| 1382 |
+
|
| 1383 |
+
X_new = X_train[:int(n_samples)] + np.random.normal(0.1, 0.5,
|
| 1384 |
+
X_train[:int(n_samples)].shape)
|
| 1385 |
+
|
| 1386 |
+
drift_results = mlops_engine.drift_detector.detect_drift(
|
| 1387 |
+
X_new, mlops_engine.feature_names
|
| 1388 |
+
)
|
| 1389 |
+
|
| 1390 |
+
if 'error' in drift_results:
|
| 1391 |
+
return f"Error: {drift_results['error']}"
|
| 1392 |
+
|
| 1393 |
+
output = f"""
|
| 1394 |
+
### Drift Detection Results
|
| 1395 |
+
|
| 1396 |
+
**Overall Drift Detected:** {'Yes' if drift_results['overall_drift_detected'] else 'No'}
|
| 1397 |
+
**Drifted Features:** {len(drift_results['drifted_features'])} / {len(mlops_engine.feature_names)}
|
| 1398 |
+
**Drift Percentage:** {drift_results['drift_percentage']:.1f}%
|
| 1399 |
+
|
| 1400 |
+
### Top Drifted Features
|
| 1401 |
+
|
| 1402 |
+
"""
|
| 1403 |
+
for feature in drift_results['drifted_features'][:10]:
|
| 1404 |
+
feature_data = drift_results['features'][feature]
|
| 1405 |
+
output += f"- **{feature}:** KS statistic = {feature_data['ks_statistic']:.4f}, p-value = {feature_data['p_value']:.4f}\n"
|
| 1406 |
+
|
| 1407 |
+
if drift_results['overall_drift_detected']:
|
| 1408 |
+
output += "\n**Recommendation:** Significant drift detected. Consider retraining the model."
|
| 1409 |
+
|
| 1410 |
+
return output
|
| 1411 |
+
|
| 1412 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 1413 |
+
return f"Error checking drift: {str(e)}"
|
| 1414 |
+
|
| 1415 |
+
def show_feature_importance():
|
| 1416 |
+
"""Show feature importance."""
|
| 1417 |
+
result = mlops_engine.get_feature_importance(top_n=15)
|
| 1418 |
+
|
| 1419 |
+
if 'error' in result:
|
| 1420 |
+
return f"Error: {result['error']}"
|
| 1421 |
+
|
| 1422 |
+
fig = go.Figure(go.Bar(
|
| 1423 |
+
x=result['importances'],
|
| 1424 |
+
y=result['features'],
|
| 1425 |
+
orientation='h',
|
| 1426 |
+
marker=dict(color='rgb(55, 83, 109)')
|
| 1427 |
+
))
|
| 1428 |
+
|
| 1429 |
+
fig.update_layout(
|
| 1430 |
+
title='Top 15 Feature Importances',
|
| 1431 |
+
xaxis_title='Importance Score',
|
| 1432 |
+
yaxis_title='Feature',
|
| 1433 |
+
height=500,
|
| 1434 |
+
yaxis={'categoryorder':'total ascending'}
|
| 1435 |
+
)
|
| 1436 |
+
|
| 1437 |
+
return fig
|
| 1438 |
+
|
| 1439 |
+
with gr.Blocks(title="MLOps Framework - Customer Churn Prediction", theme=gr.themes.Soft()) as interface:
|
| 1440 |
+
|
| 1441 |
+
gr.Markdown("""
|
| 1442 |
+
# Automated MLOps Framework
|
| 1443 |
+
## Customer Churn Prediction System
|
| 1444 |
+
|
| 1445 |
+
**Author:** Spencer Purdy
|
| 1446 |
+
**Dataset:** IBM Telco Customer Churn
|
| 1447 |
+
**Model:** Ensemble (XGBoost / LightGBM / Random Forest)
|
| 1448 |
+
|
| 1449 |
+
This system demonstrates enterprise-grade MLOps capabilities including automated training,
|
| 1450 |
+
model versioning, drift detection, and production monitoring.
|
| 1451 |
+
""")
|
| 1452 |
+
|
| 1453 |
+
with gr.Tabs():
|
| 1454 |
+
with gr.TabItem("Model Training"):
|
| 1455 |
+
gr.Markdown("""
|
| 1456 |
+
### Train Machine Learning Models
|
| 1457 |
+
|
| 1458 |
+
This will train multiple models (XGBoost, LightGBM, Random Forest) with hyperparameter
|
| 1459 |
+
optimization and select the best performing model based on ROC-AUC score.
|
| 1460 |
+
|
| 1461 |
+
**Note:** Training may take 3-5 minutes depending on hardware.
|
| 1462 |
+
""")
|
| 1463 |
+
|
| 1464 |
+
train_button = gr.Button("Start Training", variant="primary", size="lg")
|
| 1465 |
+
training_output = gr.Markdown(label="Training Results")
|
| 1466 |
+
|
| 1467 |
+
train_button.click(
|
| 1468 |
+
fn=train_model,
|
| 1469 |
+
outputs=training_output
|
| 1470 |
+
)
|
| 1471 |
+
|
| 1472 |
+
with gr.TabItem("Make Predictions"):
|
| 1473 |
+
gr.Markdown("""
|
| 1474 |
+
### Predict Customer Churn
|
| 1475 |
+
|
| 1476 |
+
Enter customer information to predict churn probability.
|
| 1477 |
+
""")
|
| 1478 |
+
|
| 1479 |
+
with gr.Row():
|
| 1480 |
+
with gr.Column():
|
| 1481 |
+
gender = gr.Radio(["Male", "Female"], label="Gender", value="Male")
|
| 1482 |
+
senior_citizen = gr.Radio(["Yes", "No"], label="Senior Citizen", value="No")
|
| 1483 |
+
partner = gr.Radio(["Yes", "No"], label="Has Partner", value="No")
|
| 1484 |
+
dependents = gr.Radio(["Yes", "No"], label="Has Dependents", value="No")
|
| 1485 |
+
tenure = gr.Slider(0, 72, value=12, step=1, label="Tenure (months)")
|
| 1486 |
+
|
| 1487 |
+
with gr.Column():
|
| 1488 |
+
phone_service = gr.Radio(["Yes", "No"], label="Phone Service", value="Yes")
|
| 1489 |
+
multiple_lines = gr.Radio(["Yes", "No", "No phone service"],
|
| 1490 |
+
label="Multiple Lines", value="No")
|
| 1491 |
+
internet_service = gr.Radio(["DSL", "Fiber optic", "No"],
|
| 1492 |
+
label="Internet Service", value="Fiber optic")
|
| 1493 |
+
online_security = gr.Radio(["Yes", "No", "No internet service"],
|
| 1494 |
+
label="Online Security", value="No")
|
| 1495 |
+
online_backup = gr.Radio(["Yes", "No", "No internet service"],
|
| 1496 |
+
label="Online Backup", value="No")
|
| 1497 |
+
|
| 1498 |
+
with gr.Row():
|
| 1499 |
+
with gr.Column():
|
| 1500 |
+
device_protection = gr.Radio(["Yes", "No", "No internet service"],
|
| 1501 |
+
label="Device Protection", value="No")
|
| 1502 |
+
tech_support = gr.Radio(["Yes", "No", "No internet service"],
|
| 1503 |
+
label="Tech Support", value="No")
|
| 1504 |
+
streaming_tv = gr.Radio(["Yes", "No", "No internet service"],
|
| 1505 |
+
label="Streaming TV", value="No")
|
| 1506 |
+
streaming_movies = gr.Radio(["Yes", "No", "No internet service"],
|
| 1507 |
+
label="Streaming Movies", value="No")
|
| 1508 |
+
|
| 1509 |
+
with gr.Column():
|
| 1510 |
+
contract = gr.Radio(["Month-to-month", "One year", "Two year"],
|
| 1511 |
+
label="Contract Type", value="Month-to-month")
|
| 1512 |
+
paperless_billing = gr.Radio(["Yes", "No"],
|
| 1513 |
+
label="Paperless Billing", value="Yes")
|
| 1514 |
+
payment_method = gr.Radio([
|
| 1515 |
+
"Electronic check", "Mailed check",
|
| 1516 |
+
"Bank transfer (automatic)", "Credit card (automatic)"
|
| 1517 |
+
], label="Payment Method", value="Electronic check")
|
| 1518 |
+
monthly_charges = gr.Number(label="Monthly Charges ($)", value=70.0)
|
| 1519 |
+
total_charges = gr.Number(label="Total Charges ($)", value=840.0)
|
| 1520 |
+
|
| 1521 |
+
predict_button = gr.Button("Predict Churn", variant="primary", size="lg")
|
| 1522 |
+
prediction_output = gr.Markdown(label="Prediction Result")
|
| 1523 |
+
|
| 1524 |
+
predict_button.click(
|
| 1525 |
+
fn=make_prediction,
|
| 1526 |
+
inputs=[
|
| 1527 |
+
gender, senior_citizen, partner, dependents, tenure,
|
| 1528 |
+
phone_service, multiple_lines, internet_service,
|
| 1529 |
+
online_security, online_backup, device_protection,
|
| 1530 |
+
tech_support, streaming_tv, streaming_movies,
|
| 1531 |
+
contract, paperless_billing, payment_method,
|
| 1532 |
+
monthly_charges, total_charges
|
| 1533 |
+
],
|
| 1534 |
+
outputs=prediction_output
|
| 1535 |
+
)
|
| 1536 |
+
|
| 1537 |
+
gr.Markdown("""
|
| 1538 |
+
### Example Scenarios
|
| 1539 |
+
|
| 1540 |
+
**High Churn Risk:**
|
| 1541 |
+
- Short tenure (< 12 months)
|
| 1542 |
+
- Month-to-month contract
|
| 1543 |
+
- High monthly charges
|
| 1544 |
+
- Fiber optic internet without add-on services
|
| 1545 |
+
|
| 1546 |
+
**Low Churn Risk:**
|
| 1547 |
+
- Long tenure (> 36 months)
|
| 1548 |
+
- Two-year contract
|
| 1549 |
+
- Multiple services subscribed
|
| 1550 |
+
- Automatic payment method
|
| 1551 |
+
""")
|
| 1552 |
+
|
| 1553 |
+
with gr.TabItem("Drift Detection"):
|
| 1554 |
+
gr.Markdown("""
|
| 1555 |
+
### Data Drift Monitoring
|
| 1556 |
+
|
| 1557 |
+
Detect if incoming data distribution has shifted from training data.
|
| 1558 |
+
Significant drift may indicate the need for model retraining.
|
| 1559 |
+
|
| 1560 |
+
**Method:** Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistical test (p-value < 0.05 indicates drift)
|
| 1561 |
+
""")
|
| 1562 |
+
|
| 1563 |
+
n_samples_slider = gr.Slider(
|
| 1564 |
+
100, 1000, value=500, step=100,
|
| 1565 |
+
label="Number of samples to check"
|
| 1566 |
+
)
|
| 1567 |
+
|
| 1568 |
+
drift_button = gr.Button("Check for Drift", variant="primary")
|
| 1569 |
+
drift_output = gr.Markdown(label="Drift Detection Results")
|
| 1570 |
+
|
| 1571 |
+
drift_button.click(
|
| 1572 |
+
fn=check_drift,
|
| 1573 |
+
inputs=n_samples_slider,
|
| 1574 |
+
outputs=drift_output
|
| 1575 |
+
)
|
| 1576 |
+
|
| 1577 |
+
with gr.TabItem("Feature Importance"):
|
| 1578 |
+
gr.Markdown("""
|
| 1579 |
+
### Model Interpretability
|
| 1580 |
+
|
| 1581 |
+
Understand which features are most important for the model's predictions.
|
| 1582 |
+
""")
|
| 1583 |
+
|
| 1584 |
+
importance_button = gr.Button("Show Feature Importance", variant="primary")
|
| 1585 |
+
importance_plot = gr.Plot(label="Feature Importance")
|
| 1586 |
+
|
| 1587 |
+
importance_button.click(
|
| 1588 |
+
fn=show_feature_importance,
|
| 1589 |
+
outputs=importance_plot
|
| 1590 |
+
)
|
| 1591 |
+
|
| 1592 |
+
with gr.TabItem("Documentation"):
|
| 1593 |
+
gr.Markdown("""
|
| 1594 |
+
## System Documentation
|
| 1595 |
+
|
| 1596 |
+
### Overview
|
| 1597 |
+
|
| 1598 |
+
This MLOps framework demonstrates production-ready machine learning operations
|
| 1599 |
+
for customer churn prediction in the telecommunications industry.
|
| 1600 |
+
|
| 1601 |
+
### Dataset
|
| 1602 |
+
|
| 1603 |
+
- **Source:** IBM Telco Customer Churn
|
| 1604 |
+
- **Samples:** 7,043 customers
|
| 1605 |
+
- **Features:** 20 (demographic, account, service information)
|
| 1606 |
+
- **Target:** Binary classification (Churn: Yes/No)
|
| 1607 |
+
- **Class Distribution:** ~26% churn rate (handled with SMOTE)
|
| 1608 |
+
|
| 1609 |
+
### Model Pipeline
|
| 1610 |
+
|
| 1611 |
+
1. **Data Loading:** Load and validate dataset
|
| 1612 |
+
2. **Preprocessing:**
|
| 1613 |
+
- Handle missing values (median imputation for numerics)
|
| 1614 |
+
- Feature engineering (tenure groups, charge ratios, service counts)
|
| 1615 |
+
- Label encoding for categorical variables
|
| 1616 |
+
- Standard scaling for numerical features
|
| 1617 |
+
- SMOTE for class balancing
|
| 1618 |
+
3. **Model Training:**
|
| 1619 |
+
- Train XGBoost, LightGBM, Random Forest
|
| 1620 |
+
- Hyperparameter optimization with Optuna (30 trials)
|
| 1621 |
+
- 5-fold cross-validation
|
| 1622 |
+
- Select best model based on ROC-AUC
|
| 1623 |
+
4. **Evaluation:** Test on held-out test set (20% of data)
|
| 1624 |
+
5. **Model Registry:** Save model with versioning
|
| 1625 |
+
|
| 1626 |
+
### Performance Metrics
|
| 1627 |
+
|
| 1628 |
+
**Expected Performance (Test Set):**
|
| 1629 |
+
- ROC-AUC: ~0.85
|
| 1630 |
+
- Accuracy: ~80%
|
| 1631 |
+
- Precision: ~0.65
|
| 1632 |
+
- Recall: ~0.55
|
| 1633 |
+
- F1-Score: ~0.60
|
| 1634 |
+
|
| 1635 |
+
### Limitations
|
| 1636 |
+
|
| 1637 |
+
1. **Domain Specificity:** Model trained on telecom data; may not generalize
|
| 1638 |
+
to other industries
|
| 1639 |
+
2. **Data Drift:** Performance degrades with significant distribution shifts
|
| 1640 |
+
(threshold: p < 0.05)
|
| 1641 |
+
3. **Sample Size:** Requires minimum 1000 samples for reliable predictions
|
| 1642 |
+
4. **Feature Requirements:** All input features must be provided
|
| 1643 |
+
5. **Temporal Validity:** Model performance may degrade over time without
|
| 1644 |
+
retraining
|
| 1645 |
+
6. **Class Imbalance:** Natural imbalance handled but may still affect
|
| 1646 |
+
minority class precision
|
| 1647 |
+
|
| 1648 |
+
### Failure Cases
|
| 1649 |
+
|
| 1650 |
+
1. **Missing Features:** Prediction fails if critical features are missing
|
| 1651 |
+
2. **Out-of-Range Values:** May produce unreliable predictions for extreme
|
| 1652 |
+
values outside training distribution
|
| 1653 |
+
3. **New Categories:** Unseen categorical values default to most common
|
| 1654 |
+
category (may reduce accuracy)
|
| 1655 |
+
4. **Cold Start:** New customers with <3 months tenure show higher
|
| 1656 |
+
prediction uncertainty
|
| 1657 |
+
|
| 1658 |
+
### Technical Specifications
|
| 1659 |
+
|
| 1660 |
+
- **Python Version:** 3.10+
|
| 1661 |
+
- **Random Seed:** 42 (all libraries)
|
| 1662 |
+
- **Training Time:** ~3-5 minutes (depends on hardware)
|
| 1663 |
+
- **Inference Latency:** <100ms per prediction
|
| 1664 |
+
- **Model Size:** ~50MB (XGBoost), ~30MB (LightGBM), ~80MB (Random Forest)
|
| 1665 |
+
|
| 1666 |
+
### Reproducibility
|
| 1667 |
+
|
| 1668 |
+
All random seeds are set to 42:
|
| 1669 |
+
- `random.seed(42)`
|
| 1670 |
+
- `np.random.seed(42)`
|
| 1671 |
+
- `PYTHONHASHSEED=42`
|
| 1672 |
+
- All model `random_state=42`
|
| 1673 |
+
|
| 1674 |
+
### License
|
| 1675 |
+
|
| 1676 |
+
- **Code:** MIT License
|
| 1677 |
+
- **Dataset:** Database Contents License (DbCL) v1.0
|
| 1678 |
+
|
| 1679 |
+
### Contact
|
| 1680 |
+
|
| 1681 |
+
**Author:** Spencer Purdy
|
| 1682 |
+
**Purpose:** Portfolio demonstration of ML engineering skills
|
| 1683 |
+
|
| 1684 |
+
---
|
| 1685 |
+
|
| 1686 |
+
**Disclaimer:** This is a demonstration system. Performance metrics are
|
| 1687 |
+
indicative and should be validated on your specific use case before
|
| 1688 |
+
production deployment.
|
| 1689 |
+
""")
|
| 1690 |
+
|
| 1691 |
+
gr.Markdown("""
|
| 1692 |
+
---
|
| 1693 |
+
**Automated MLOps Framework v1.0.0** | Built with Gradio | Author: Spencer Purdy
|
| 1694 |
+
|
| 1695 |
+
System demonstrates: Data preprocessing, Feature engineering, Model training,
|
| 1696 |
+
Hyperparameter optimization, Model evaluation, Drift detection, Production monitoring
|
| 1697 |
+
""")
|
| 1698 |
+
|
| 1699 |
+
return interface
|
| 1700 |
+
|
| 1701 |
+
# ============================================================================
|
| 1702 |
+
# MAIN EXECUTION
|
| 1703 |
+
# ============================================================================
|
| 1704 |
+
|
| 1705 |
+
logger.info("Creating Gradio interface...")
|
| 1706 |
+
interface = create_gradio_interface()
|
| 1707 |
+
|
| 1708 |
+
logger.info("Launching MLOps Framework...")
|
| 1709 |
+
interface.launch(
|
| 1710 |
+
share=True,
|
| 1711 |
+
server_name="0.0.0.0",
|
| 1712 |
+
server_port=7860,
|
| 1713 |
+
show_error=True
|
| 1714 |
+
)
|