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6989587 4c8e6d6 6989587 4c8e6d6 6989587 4c8e6d6 50dc123 6989587 4c8e6d6 50dc123 4c8e6d6 50dc123 4c8e6d6 6989587 4c8e6d6 6989587 | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 161 162 163 | from __future__ import annotations
from typing import Any
def _listify(value: Any) -> list[str]:
if value is None:
return []
if isinstance(value, list):
return [str(v).strip() for v in value if str(v).strip()]
if isinstance(value, str):
return [part.strip() for part in value.split("|") if part.strip()]
return [str(value).strip()] if str(value).strip() else []
def _dedupe(items: list[str]) -> list[str]:
seen: set[str] = set()
ordered: list[str] = []
for item in items:
norm = item.casefold()
if not item or norm in seen:
continue
seen.add(norm)
ordered.append(item)
return ordered
def _template_text(template_key: str, template_inputs: dict[str, Any] | None = None) -> str:
inputs = dict(template_inputs or {})
lineup_slot = inputs.get("lineup_slot_used")
lineup_slot_txt = f"No. {int(lineup_slot)} slot" if lineup_slot not in {None, "", "nan", "None"} else "projected slot"
venue = str(inputs.get("venue") or "").strip()
templates = {
"pitcher_attackable": "The opposing pitcher profile is giving up HR-friendly contact",
"pitcher_suppresses_hr": "The pitcher profile suppresses home-run damage",
"trend_up": "Recent batted-ball form is trending up",
"trend_down": "Recent batted-ball form has cooled",
"zone_favorable": "The zone matchup lines up with his damage areas",
"zone_tough": "This zone profile limits his best contact lanes",
"family_zone_favorable": "The family-zone matchup boosts his contact shape",
"family_zone_tough": "The family-zone matchup works against his usual damage path",
"arsenal_favorable": "The arsenal mix fits his power profile",
"arsenal_tough": "This pitch mix is a tougher fit for his power profile",
"platoon_advantage": "The handedness split helps the matchup",
"platoon_disadvantage": "Same-handed conditions trim the HR ceiling",
"pulled_contact_strength": "His pulled-air damage keeps the HR ceiling live",
"pulled_contact_light": "The pulled-air profile is lighter than ideal for this HR spot",
"weather_supportive": "Weather conditions add a little extra carry",
"weather_suppressive": "Weather conditions are holding down carry",
"park_supportive": f"{venue} plays friendlier for carry" if venue else "The park adds a small carry boost",
"park_suppressive": f"{venue} suppresses HR carry" if venue else "The park trims carry",
"trajectory_helpful": "Pitch shape is more hittable than usual here",
"trajectory_tough": "Pitch shape and tunneling make clean lift harder here",
"rolling_up": "Recent form is moving in the right direction",
"rolling_down": "Recent form has cooled",
"opportunity_strong": f"The {lineup_slot_txt} adds plate-appearance upside",
"opportunity_light": "The opportunity projection is lighter than usual",
"pitcher_unresolved": "The opposing pitcher is still unresolved",
"lineup_unknown": "The lineup slot is still unknown",
"lineup_projected": "The lineup slot is projected rather than confirmed",
"strikeout_whiff_profile": "The whiff profile supports the strikeout look",
"strikeout_price_close": "The price is keeping the strikeout edge tight",
}
return templates.get(template_key, template_key.replace("_", " ").capitalize())
def build_hr_model_voice(row: dict[str, Any]) -> dict[str, Any]:
candidates = row.get("model_voice_reason_candidates") or []
supportive = [c for c in candidates if str(c.get("direction") or "").strip().lower() == "supportive"]
cautions = [c for c in candidates if str(c.get("direction") or "").strip().lower() == "caution"]
primary = supportive[0] if supportive else candidates[0] if candidates else None
caveat = None
if primary and str(primary.get("direction") or "").strip().lower() == "caution":
caveat = cautions[1] if len(cautions) > 1 else None
else:
caveat = cautions[0] if cautions else None
primary_reason = (
_template_text(str(primary.get("template_key") or ""), primary.get("template_inputs"))
if primary
else "His current power baseline is keeping the matchup in range"
)
caveat_reason = (
_template_text(str(caveat.get("template_key") or ""), caveat.get("template_inputs"))
if caveat
else ""
)
voice = primary_reason
if caveat_reason:
voice = f"{primary_reason}, but {caveat_reason[:1].lower()}{caveat_reason[1:] if len(caveat_reason) > 1 else ''}"
tags = _dedupe(
[
str(candidate.get("template_key") or "").strip()
for candidate in candidates
if str(candidate.get("template_key") or "").strip()
]
)
return {
"model_voice": voice.rstrip(".") + ".",
"model_voice_primary_reason": primary_reason,
"model_voice_caveat": caveat_reason or None,
"model_voice_tags": tags,
"model_voice_for": primary_reason,
"model_voice_against": caveat_reason or None,
}
def build_strikeout_model_voice(result: dict[str, Any]) -> dict[str, Any]:
selection_side = str(result.get("selection_side") or "").strip().lower()
line = result.get("line")
expected_ks = result.get("expected_strikeouts")
projected_bf = result.get("projected_batters_faced")
leash_risk = result.get("leash_risk_subscore")
positives = _dedupe(_listify(result.get("reason_tags_for")))
negatives = _dedupe(_listify(result.get("reason_tags_against")) + _listify(result.get("confidence_reasons")))
if selection_side == "under":
try:
line_txt = f"{float(line):.1f}" if line is not None else "the number"
except Exception:
line_txt = "the number"
primary_reason = f"The line is a little high relative to the projected strikeout total ({line_txt} Ks)"
if expected_ks is not None:
try:
primary_reason = f"Projected strikeouts land below the line ({float(expected_ks):.1f} vs {line_txt} Ks)"
except Exception:
pass
if projected_bf is not None and float(projected_bf) <= 21.5:
primary_reason = "Projected batters faced are lighter than ideal for the strikeout line"
if leash_risk is not None and float(leash_risk) >= 0.48:
primary_reason = "Pitch-count and leash risk keep the under live even with swing-and-miss stuff"
caveat = positives[0] if positives else (negatives[0] if negatives else "")
else:
primary_reason = positives[0] if positives else "The whiff profile supports the strikeout look"
caveat = negatives[0] if negatives else ""
voice = primary_reason
if caveat:
voice = f"{primary_reason}, but {caveat[:1].lower()}{caveat[1:] if len(caveat) > 1 else ''}"
tags = []
if selection_side == "under":
tags.extend(["strikeout_line_high", "strikeout_opportunity_cap"])
elif positives:
tags.append("strikeout_whiff_profile")
if negatives:
tags.append("strikeout_price_close")
tags = _dedupe(tags)
return {
"model_voice": voice.rstrip(".") + ".",
"model_voice_primary_reason": primary_reason,
"model_voice_caveat": caveat or None,
"model_voice_tags": [tag for tag in tags if tag],
"model_voice_for": primary_reason,
"model_voice_against": caveat or None,
}
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