Spaces:
Sleeping
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Update config/settings.py
Browse files- config/settings.py +372 -57
config/settings.py
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from __future__ import annotations
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| 1 |
from __future__ import annotations
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from datetime import date, timedelta
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import pandas as pd
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import plotly.graph_objects as go
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import streamlit as st
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from analytics.bankroll import bankroll_curve, grade_profit, summary_metrics
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from analytics.edge import (
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american_to_implied_prob,
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calculate_edge,
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kelly_fraction,
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remove_vig_two_way,
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)
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from config.settings import (
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APP_TITLE,
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DEFAULT_EDGE_THRESHOLD,
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ODDS_API_KEY,
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OPENWEATHER_API_KEY,
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REFRESH_TTL_SECONDS,
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)
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from data.odds import fetch_featured_odds
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from data.rosters import fetch_mlb_teams
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from data.schedule import fetch_schedule_for_date
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from data.statcast import fetch_statcast_range, normalize_statcast
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from data.weather import fetch_weather_for_venue
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from database.db import (
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get_connection,
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insert_bet,
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next_bet_id,
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read_table,
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update_bet_result,
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upsert_dataframe,
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)
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from utils.helpers import utc_now_iso
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from visualization.batter import create_exit_velocity_chart, create_launch_angle_chart
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from visualization.betting import create_bankroll_chart, create_edge_chart
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from visualization.pitcher import create_pitch_movement_chart
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+
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st.set_page_config(
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page_title=APP_TITLE,
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layout="wide",
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page_icon="⚾",
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)
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st.markdown(
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"""
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<style>
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.stApp {
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background: linear-gradient(180deg, #0b1020 0%, #0f172a 100%);
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}
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.block-container {
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padding-top: 1.25rem;
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padding-bottom: 2rem;
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max-width: 1500px;
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}
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div[data-testid="stMetric"] {
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background: rgba(255,255,255,0.04);
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border: 1px solid rgba(255,255,255,0.08);
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border-radius: 16px;
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padding: 12px;
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}
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</style>
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""",
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unsafe_allow_html=True,
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)
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conn = get_connection()
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@st.cache_data(ttl=REFRESH_TTL_SECONDS)
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def load_schedule_for_today() -> pd.DataFrame:
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df = fetch_schedule_for_date(date.today().isoformat())
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if not df.empty:
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upsert_dataframe(conn, "cached_schedule", df, replace=True)
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return df
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@st.cache_data(ttl=REFRESH_TTL_SECONDS)
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def load_odds() -> pd.DataFrame:
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df = fetch_featured_odds()
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if not df.empty:
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upsert_dataframe(conn, "cached_odds", df, replace=True)
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return df
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@st.cache_data(ttl=REFRESH_TTL_SECONDS)
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def load_statcast_recent() -> pd.DataFrame:
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end_date = date.today()
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start_date = end_date - timedelta(days=7)
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raw = fetch_statcast_range(start_date.isoformat(), end_date.isoformat())
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return normalize_statcast(raw)
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@st.cache_data(ttl=3600)
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def load_teams() -> pd.DataFrame:
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return fetch_mlb_teams()
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def load_weather(venue_name: str) -> pd.DataFrame:
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df = fetch_weather_for_venue(venue_name)
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if not df.empty:
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upsert_dataframe(conn, "cached_weather", df, replace=False)
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return df
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def render_header() -> None:
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st.title("⚾ WBC Analytics Assistant")
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st.caption(
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"Real-data app using MLB schedule/statcast-style pulls, The Odds API, weather overlays, "
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"DuckDB storage, and a modern Streamlit UI."
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)
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secret_status = []
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secret_status.append("ODDS_API_KEY ✓" if ODDS_API_KEY else "ODDS_API_KEY missing")
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secret_status.append(
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"OPENWEATHER_API_KEY ✓" if OPENWEATHER_API_KEY else "OPENWEATHER_API_KEY missing"
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)
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st.caption(" | ".join(secret_status))
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def render_dashboard() -> None:
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st.subheader("Live Dashboard")
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schedule_df = load_schedule_for_today()
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if schedule_df.empty:
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st.warning("No schedule data returned for today.")
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return
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st.dataframe(schedule_df, use_container_width=True, hide_index=True)
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| 132 |
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venue_name = schedule_df["venue"].dropna().astype(str).iloc[0] if not schedule_df.empty else ""
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if venue_name:
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weather_df = load_weather(venue_name)
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if not weather_df.empty:
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| 137 |
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row = weather_df.iloc[0]
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| 138 |
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c1, c2, c3, c4 = st.columns(4)
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| 139 |
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c1.metric("Venue", row["location_name"])
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| 140 |
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c2.metric("Temp °F", f"{row['temperature_f']:.1f}")
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| 141 |
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c3.metric("Wind mph", f"{row['wind_speed_mph']:.1f}" if pd.notna(row["wind_speed_mph"]) else "N/A")
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| 142 |
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c4.metric("Conditions", row["description"])
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| 143 |
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statcast_df = load_statcast_recent()
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if not statcast_df.empty:
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col1, col2 = st.columns(2)
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with col1:
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st.plotly_chart(create_pitch_movement_chart(statcast_df), use_container_width=True)
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| 149 |
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with col2:
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st.plotly_chart(create_exit_velocity_chart(statcast_df), use_container_width=True)
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| 151 |
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def render_players() -> None:
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st.subheader("Player Analytics")
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| 155 |
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teams_df = load_teams()
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| 157 |
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if not teams_df.empty:
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| 158 |
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st.dataframe(teams_df, use_container_width=True, hide_index=True)
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| 159 |
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| 160 |
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statcast_df = load_statcast_recent()
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| 161 |
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if statcast_df.empty:
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| 162 |
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st.info("No recent statcast data available.")
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| 163 |
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return
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+
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col1, col2 = st.columns(2)
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| 166 |
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with col1:
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st.plotly_chart(create_exit_velocity_chart(statcast_df), use_container_width=True)
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| 168 |
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with col2:
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st.plotly_chart(create_launch_angle_chart(statcast_df), use_container_width=True)
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| 170 |
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| 171 |
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| 172 |
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def compute_market_edges(odds_df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame:
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| 173 |
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if odds_df.empty:
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| 174 |
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return odds_df
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+
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| 176 |
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out = odds_df.copy()
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| 177 |
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out["implied_prob"] = out["price"].apply(american_to_implied_prob)
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| 178 |
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| 179 |
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grouped_rows: list[dict] = []
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| 180 |
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for (event_id, sportsbook, market_key), group in out.groupby(["event_id", "sportsbook", "market_key"]):
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| 181 |
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temp = group.copy().reset_index(drop=True)
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| 182 |
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| 183 |
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if len(temp) == 2:
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p1, p2 = temp.loc[0, "implied_prob"], temp.loc[1, "implied_prob"]
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nv1, nv2 = remove_vig_two_way(p1, p2)
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| 186 |
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temp.loc[0, "no_vig_prob"] = nv1
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| 187 |
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temp.loc[1, "no_vig_prob"] = nv2
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| 188 |
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else:
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total = temp["implied_prob"].sum()
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temp["no_vig_prob"] = temp["implied_prob"] / total if total else temp["implied_prob"]
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| 192 |
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for _, row in temp.iterrows():
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| 193 |
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model_prob = float(row["no_vig_prob"]) + 0.03
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| 194 |
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edge = calculate_edge(model_prob, float(row["no_vig_prob"]))
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grouped_rows.append(
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{
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**row.to_dict(),
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"model_prob": model_prob,
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"edge": edge,
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"kelly": kelly_fraction(model_prob, int(row["price"])) if pd.notna(row["price"]) else 0.0,
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}
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)
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return pd.DataFrame(grouped_rows)
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def render_betting() -> None:
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| 208 |
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st.subheader("Betting Intelligence")
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| 209 |
+
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| 210 |
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odds_df = load_odds()
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| 211 |
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if odds_df.empty:
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| 212 |
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st.warning("No odds returned. Check ODDS_API_KEY or free-tier usage limits.")
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return
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|
| 215 |
+
edges_df = compute_market_edges(odds_df)
|
| 216 |
+
if edges_df.empty:
|
| 217 |
+
st.info("No edge rows computed.")
|
| 218 |
+
return
|
| 219 |
+
|
| 220 |
+
top_edges = edges_df.sort_values("edge", ascending=False).head(30)
|
| 221 |
+
|
| 222 |
+
c1, c2, c3 = st.columns(3)
|
| 223 |
+
c1.metric("Markets loaded", len(edges_df))
|
| 224 |
+
c2.metric("Top edge", f"{top_edges['edge'].max():.2%}")
|
| 225 |
+
c3.metric("Threshold", f"{DEFAULT_EDGE_THRESHOLD:.0%}")
|
| 226 |
+
|
| 227 |
+
st.plotly_chart(create_edge_chart(top_edges), use_container_width=True)
|
| 228 |
+
st.dataframe(
|
| 229 |
+
top_edges[
|
| 230 |
+
[
|
| 231 |
+
"sportsbook",
|
| 232 |
+
"home_team",
|
| 233 |
+
"away_team",
|
| 234 |
+
"market_key",
|
| 235 |
+
"outcome_name",
|
| 236 |
+
"price",
|
| 237 |
+
"no_vig_prob",
|
| 238 |
+
"model_prob",
|
| 239 |
+
"edge",
|
| 240 |
+
"kelly",
|
| 241 |
+
]
|
| 242 |
+
],
|
| 243 |
+
use_container_width=True,
|
| 244 |
+
hide_index=True,
|
| 245 |
+
)
|
| 246 |
+
|
| 247 |
+
|
| 248 |
+
def render_bet_tracker() -> None:
|
| 249 |
+
st.subheader("Bet Tracker")
|
| 250 |
+
|
| 251 |
+
with st.form("bet_form", clear_on_submit=True):
|
| 252 |
+
c1, c2, c3 = st.columns(3)
|
| 253 |
+
sportsbook = c1.text_input("Sportsbook", value="DraftKings")
|
| 254 |
+
market = c2.text_input("Market", value="h2h")
|
| 255 |
+
selection = c3.text_input("Selection", value="Example Team")
|
| 256 |
+
|
| 257 |
+
c4, c5, c6 = st.columns(3)
|
| 258 |
+
odds = c4.number_input("Odds", min_value=-1000, max_value=1000, value=120, step=1)
|
| 259 |
+
stake = c5.number_input("Stake", min_value=0.0, value=10.0, step=1.0)
|
| 260 |
+
game_id = c6.text_input("Game ID", value="")
|
| 261 |
+
|
| 262 |
+
notes = st.text_input("Notes", value="")
|
| 263 |
+
submitted = st.form_submit_button("Log Bet")
|
| 264 |
+
|
| 265 |
+
if submitted:
|
| 266 |
+
bet_id = next_bet_id(conn)
|
| 267 |
+
insert_bet(
|
| 268 |
+
conn=conn,
|
| 269 |
+
bet_id=bet_id,
|
| 270 |
+
created_at=utc_now_iso(),
|
| 271 |
+
sportsbook=sportsbook,
|
| 272 |
+
market=market,
|
| 273 |
+
selection=selection,
|
| 274 |
+
odds=int(odds),
|
| 275 |
+
stake=float(stake),
|
| 276 |
+
result="open",
|
| 277 |
+
profit=0.0,
|
| 278 |
+
game_id=game_id,
|
| 279 |
+
notes=notes,
|
| 280 |
+
)
|
| 281 |
+
st.success(f"Logged bet #{bet_id}")
|
| 282 |
+
|
| 283 |
+
bets_df = read_table(conn, "bets")
|
| 284 |
+
if bets_df.empty:
|
| 285 |
+
st.info("No bets logged yet.")
|
| 286 |
+
return
|
| 287 |
+
|
| 288 |
+
st.dataframe(bets_df, use_container_width=True, hide_index=True)
|
| 289 |
+
|
| 290 |
+
with st.expander("Grade a bet"):
|
| 291 |
+
bet_id_to_grade = st.number_input("Bet ID", min_value=1, step=1, value=1)
|
| 292 |
+
result = st.selectbox("Result", options=["win", "loss"])
|
| 293 |
+
if st.button("Apply Grade"):
|
| 294 |
+
row = bets_df[bets_df["bet_id"] == bet_id_to_grade]
|
| 295 |
+
if row.empty:
|
| 296 |
+
st.error("Bet ID not found.")
|
| 297 |
+
else:
|
| 298 |
+
stake = float(row.iloc[0]["stake"])
|
| 299 |
+
odds = int(row.iloc[0]["odds"])
|
| 300 |
+
profit = grade_profit(stake, odds, result)
|
| 301 |
+
update_bet_result(conn, int(bet_id_to_grade), result, profit)
|
| 302 |
+
st.success(f"Updated bet #{bet_id_to_grade} to {result}")
|
| 303 |
+
|
| 304 |
+
bets_df = read_table(conn, "bets")
|
| 305 |
+
metrics = summary_metrics(bets_df)
|
| 306 |
+
c1, c2, c3, c4 = st.columns(4)
|
| 307 |
+
c1.metric("Graded Bets", metrics["bets"])
|
| 308 |
+
c2.metric("Profit", f"${metrics['profit']:.2f}")
|
| 309 |
+
c3.metric("ROI", f"{metrics['roi']:.2%}")
|
| 310 |
+
c4.metric("Win Rate", f"{metrics['win_rate']:.2%}")
|
| 311 |
+
|
| 312 |
+
curve_df = bankroll_curve(bets_df)
|
| 313 |
+
st.plotly_chart(create_bankroll_chart(curve_df), use_container_width=True)
|
| 314 |
+
|
| 315 |
+
|
| 316 |
+
def render_algorithm_breakdown() -> None:
|
| 317 |
+
st.subheader("Algorithm Breakdown")
|
| 318 |
+
st.markdown(
|
| 319 |
+
"""
|
| 320 |
+
### Data inputs
|
| 321 |
+
- MLB schedule feed
|
| 322 |
+
- Baseball Savant statcast search CSV
|
| 323 |
+
- The Odds API featured odds
|
| 324 |
+
- OpenWeather venue conditions
|
| 325 |
+
|
| 326 |
+
### Market math
|
| 327 |
+
1. Convert American odds to implied probability
|
| 328 |
+
2. Remove vig for 2-way markets
|
| 329 |
+
3. Compare model probability to no-vig probability
|
| 330 |
+
4. Report edge and Kelly fraction
|
| 331 |
+
|
| 332 |
+
### Current demo model
|
| 333 |
+
The current app uses a simple research baseline:
|
| 334 |
+
- no-vig market probability + fixed model uplift
|
| 335 |
+
- this keeps the edge pipeline real and testable
|
| 336 |
+
- later you can replace the uplift with your matchup model output
|
| 337 |
+
|
| 338 |
+
### Persistence
|
| 339 |
+
- DuckDB stores bets and cached snapshots
|
| 340 |
+
- all storage remains local to the Space container
|
| 341 |
+
"""
|
| 342 |
+
)
|
| 343 |
+
|
| 344 |
+
|
| 345 |
+
def main() -> None:
|
| 346 |
+
render_header()
|
| 347 |
+
|
| 348 |
+
page = st.sidebar.radio(
|
| 349 |
+
"Navigation",
|
| 350 |
+
options=[
|
| 351 |
+
"Dashboard",
|
| 352 |
+
"Players",
|
| 353 |
+
"Betting",
|
| 354 |
+
"Bet Tracker",
|
| 355 |
+
"Algorithm Breakdown",
|
| 356 |
+
],
|
| 357 |
+
)
|
| 358 |
+
|
| 359 |
+
st.sidebar.caption(f"Refresh TTL: {REFRESH_TTL_SECONDS}s")
|
| 360 |
+
|
| 361 |
+
if page == "Dashboard":
|
| 362 |
+
render_dashboard()
|
| 363 |
+
elif page == "Players":
|
| 364 |
+
render_players()
|
| 365 |
+
elif page == "Betting":
|
| 366 |
+
render_betting()
|
| 367 |
+
elif page == "Bet Tracker":
|
| 368 |
+
render_bet_tracker()
|
| 369 |
+
else:
|
| 370 |
+
render_algorithm_breakdown()
|
| 371 |
+
|
| 372 |
+
|
| 373 |
+
if __name__ == "__main__":
|
| 374 |
+
main()
|