year,CAT current policies warming level,CAT current policies median,CAT current policies 97.5th percentile,CAT current policies 2.5th percentile,NGFS current policies warming level,NGFS current policies median,NGFS current policies 97.5th percentile,NGFS current policies 2.5th percentile,NGFS delayed transition warming level,NGFS delayed transition median,NGFS delayed transition 97.5th percentile,NGFS delayed transition 2.5th percentile,NGFS net-zero 2050 warming level,NGFS net-zero 2050 median,NGFS net-zero 2050 97.5th percentile,NGFS net-zero 2050 2.5th percentile,NGFS fragmented world warming level,NGFS fragmented world median,NGFS fragmented world 97.5th percentile,NGFS fragmented world 2.5th percentile,NGFS nationally determined contributions warming level,NGFS nationally determined contributions median,NGFS nationally determined contributions 97.5th percentile,NGFS nationally determined contributions 2.5th percentile,NGFS below 2 degree warming level,NGFS below 2 degree median,NGFS below 2 degree 97.5th percentile,NGFS below 2 degree 2.5th percentile,NGFS low demand warming level,NGFS low demand median,NGFS low demand 97.5th percentile,NGFS low demand 2.5th percentile,RCP2.6 warming level,RCP2.6 median,RCP2.6 97.5th percentile,RCP2.6 2.5th percentile,RCP4.5 warming level,RCP4.5 median,RCP4.5 97.5th percentile,RCP4.5 2.5th percentile,RCP6.0 warming level,RCP6.0 median,RCP6.0 97.5th percentile,RCP6.0 2.5th percentile,RCP8.5 warming level,RCP8.5 median,RCP8.5 97.5th percentile,RCP8.5 2.5th percentile
2015,1.1,0.5725173445501829,0.9891912571854946,0.248224371790324,1.1,0.5725173445501829,1.1502538558917927,0.1990302031429983,1.1,0.5725173445501829,1.1502538558917927,0.1990302031429983,1.1,0.5725173445501829,1.1502538558917927,0.1990302031429983,1.1,0.5725173445501829,1.1502538558917927,0.1990302031429983,1.1,0.5725173445501829,1.1502538558917927,0.1990302031429983,1.1,0.5725173445501829,1.1502538558917927,0.1990302031429983,1.1,0.5725173445501829,1.1502538558917927,0.1990302031429983,1.1,0.5725173445501829,1.1502538558917927,0.1990302031429983,1.1,0.5725173445501829,1.1502538558917927,0.1990302031429983,1.1,0.5725173445501829,1.1502538558917927,0.1990302031429983,1.1,0.5725173445501829,1.1502538558917927,0.1990302031429983
2020,1.2,0.6894424991698808,1.2953068332281843,0.3063105609512298,1.2,0.6894424991698808,1.2953068332281843,0.248224371790324,1.2,0.6894424991698808,1.2953068332281843,0.248224371790324,1.2,0.6894424991698808,1.2953068332281843,0.248224371790324,1.2,0.6894424991698808,1.2953068332281843,0.248224371790324,1.2,0.6894424991698808,1.2953068332281843,0.248224371790324,1.2,0.6894424991698808,1.2953068332281843,0.248224371790324,1.2,0.6894424991698808,1.2953068332281843,0.248224371790324,1.2,0.6894424991698808,1.2953068332281843,0.248224371790324,1.2,0.6894424991698808,1.2953068332281843,0.248224371790324,1.2,0.6894424991698808,1.2953068332281843,0.248224371790324,1.2,0.6894424991698808,1.2953068332281843,0.248224371790324
2025,1.3,0.8183742713171241,1.5926259071496698,0.3063105609512298,1.4,0.9312964220944604,1.5926259071496698,0.3063105609512298,1.4,0.9312964220944604,1.5926259071496698,0.3063105609512298,1.4,0.9312964220944604,1.5926259071496698,0.3063105609512298,1.4,0.9312964220944604,1.5926259071496698,0.3063105609512298,1.3,0.8183742713171241,1.5926259071496698,0.3063105609512298,1.4,0.9312964220944604,1.5926259071496698,0.3063105609512298,1.4,0.9312964220944604,1.5926259071496698,0.3063105609512298,1.3,0.8183742713171241,1.5926259071496698,0.3063105609512298,1.3,0.8183742713171241,1.5926259071496698,0.3063105609512298,1.3,0.8183742713171241,1.4495880530276128,0.3063105609512298,1.3,0.8183742713171241,1.7387053633522047,0.3063105609512298
2030,1.4,0.9312964220944604,1.8926912161075364,0.413555491118542,1.5,1.0534468153348338,1.8926912161075364,0.3063105609512298,1.5,1.0534468153348338,1.8926912161075364,0.3063105609512298,1.5,1.0534468153348338,1.8926912161075364,0.3063105609512298,1.5,1.0534468153348338,1.8926912161075364,0.3063105609512298,1.5,1.0534468153348338,1.8926912161075364,0.3063105609512298,1.5,1.0534468153348338,1.8926912161075364,0.413555491118542,1.5,1.0534468153348338,1.8926912161075364,0.3063105609512298,1.4,0.9312964220944604,1.7387053633522047,0.3063105609512298,1.4,0.9312964220944604,1.8926912161075364,0.413555491118542,1.4,0.9312964220944604,1.7387053633522047,0.3063105609512298,1.5,1.0534468153348338,2.040308145836679,0.413555491118542
2035,1.6,1.1643538428978355,2.2001974763342367,0.5328070388133995,1.6,1.1643538428978355,2.2001974763342367,0.413555491118542,1.6,1.1643538428978355,2.2001974763342367,0.413555491118542,1.5,1.0534468153348338,2.2001974763342367,0.413555491118542,1.6,1.1643538428978355,2.2001974763342367,0.413555491118542,1.6,1.1643538428978355,2.2001974763342367,0.413555491118542,1.6,1.1643538428978355,2.2001974763342367,0.413555491118542,1.5,1.0534468153348338,2.2001974763342367,0.413555491118542,1.5,1.0534468153348338,2.040308145836679,0.413555491118542,1.5,1.0534468153348338,2.040308145836679,0.413555491118542,1.5,1.0534468153348338,2.040308145836679,0.413555491118542,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.463576132120753,0.5328070388133995
2040,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.463576132120753,0.6360489651383503,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.463576132120753,0.5328070388133995,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.463576132120753,0.5328070388133995,1.6,1.1643538428978355,2.2001974763342367,0.413555491118542,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.463576132120753,0.5328070388133995,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.3352268805752465,0.5328070388133995,1.6,1.1643538428978355,2.3352268805752465,0.5328070388133995,1.5,1.0534468153348338,2.2001974763342367,0.413555491118542,1.6,1.1643538428978355,2.2001974763342367,0.413555491118542,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.3352268805752465,0.5328070388133995,1.6,1.1643538428978355,2.2001974763342367,0.5328070388133995,1.9,1.5156436019076809,2.9077297207427364,0.7485191339263378
2045,1.8,1.4001574987375929,2.7461062556130424,0.6360489651383503,1.8,1.4001574987375929,2.5903996886503684,0.6360489651383503,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.5903996886503684,0.5328070388133995,1.5,1.0534468153348338,2.3352268805752465,0.413555491118542,1.8,1.4001574987375929,2.5903996886503684,0.5328070388133995,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.5903996886503684,0.5328070388133995,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.463576132120753,0.5328070388133995,1.5,1.0534468153348338,2.2001974763342367,0.3063105609512298,1.6,1.1643538428978355,2.3352268805752465,0.413555491118542,1.8,1.4001574987375929,2.5903996886503684,0.6360489651383503,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.463576132120753,0.5328070388133995,2.1,1.746300683528138,3.3000643044752294,0.8497459370369539
2050,1.9,1.5156436019076809,3.162651969368318,0.7485191339263378,1.9,1.5156436019076809,3.0503205090163643,0.7485191339263378,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.7461062556130424,0.5328070388133995,1.5,1.0534468153348338,2.3352268805752465,0.3063105609512298,1.9,1.5156436019076809,2.9077297207427364,0.6360489651383503,1.8,1.4001574987375929,2.7461062556130424,0.5328070388133995,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.5903996886503684,0.5328070388133995,1.5,1.0534468153348338,2.2001974763342367,0.3063105609512298,1.6,1.1643538428978355,2.463576132120753,0.413555491118542,1.9,1.5156436019076809,2.9077297207427364,0.7485191339263378,1.8,1.4001574987375929,2.7461062556130424,0.6360489651383503,2.3,1.93721183848515,3.777985120667545,1.0661891439719395
2055,2.0,1.6434021058461827,3.456110111112439,0.8497459370369539,2.0,1.6434021058461827,3.162651969368318,0.7485191339263378,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.7461062556130424,0.5328070388133995,1.5,1.0534468153348338,2.3352268805752465,0.3063105609512298,1.9,1.5156436019076809,3.0503205090163643,0.6360489651383503,1.8,1.4001574987375929,2.9077297207427364,0.6360489651383503,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.5903996886503684,0.5328070388133995,1.4,0.9312964220944604,2.040308145836679,0.248224371790324,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.463576132120753,0.413555491118542,2.0,1.6434021058461827,3.162651969368318,0.7485191339263378,1.9,1.5156436019076809,3.0503205090163643,0.7485191339263378,2.6,2.3007401791739803,4.386854399814003,1.1719950226896414
2060,2.2,1.842519108514589,3.777985120667545,0.8497459370369539,2.1,1.746300683528138,3.456110111112439,0.8497459370369539,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.7461062556130424,0.5328070388133995,1.5,1.0534468153348338,2.3352268805752465,0.3063105609512298,2.0,1.6434021058461827,3.162651969368318,0.7485191339263378,1.9,1.5156436019076809,3.0503205090163643,0.6360489651383503,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.7461062556130424,0.5328070388133995,1.3,0.8183742713171241,2.040308145836679,0.248224371790324,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.5903996886503684,0.413555491118542,2.1,1.746300683528138,3.456110111112439,0.8497459370369539,2.1,1.746300683528138,3.162651969368318,0.8497459370369539,2.8,2.486222321514736,4.697255134914473,1.3832916554053274
2065,2.3,1.93721183848515,3.933862264270671,0.9540143422280484,2.2,1.842519108514589,3.6171065683515664,0.8497459370369539,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.7461062556130424,0.413555491118542,1.4,0.9312964220944604,2.2001974763342367,0.248224371790324,2.0,1.6434021058461827,3.3000643044752294,0.7485191339263378,1.9,1.5156436019076809,3.162651969368318,0.6360489651383503,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.7461062556130424,0.413555491118542,1.3,0.8183742713171241,1.8926912161075364,0.1990302031429983,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.5903996886503684,0.413555491118542,2.2,1.842519108514589,3.6171065683515664,0.8497459370369539,2.2,1.842519108514589,3.6171065683515664,0.9540143422280484,3.1,2.867750658029886,5.184268334535042,1.469829855939393
2070,2.3,1.93721183848515,4.243381748930758,0.9540143422280484,2.3,1.93721183848515,3.933862264270671,0.9540143422280484,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.7461062556130424,0.413555491118542,1.4,0.9312964220944604,2.2001974763342367,0.248224371790324,2.0,1.6434021058461827,3.456110111112439,0.7485191339263378,2.0,1.6434021058461827,3.3000643044752294,0.6360489651383503,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.7461062556130424,0.413555491118542,1.2,0.6894424991698808,1.8926912161075364,0.1990302031429983,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.5903996886503684,0.413555491118542,2.3,1.93721183848515,3.777985120667545,0.9540143422280484,2.4,2.060787578888769,3.933862264270671,1.0661891439719395,3.3,3.119967588037113,6.239850654190757,1.6687378774088009
2075,2.4,2.060787578888769,4.450261783072047,1.0661891439719395,2.4,2.060787578888769,4.243381748930758,1.0661891439719395,1.6,1.1643538428978355,2.7461062556130424,0.413555491118542,1.4,0.9312964220944604,2.2001974763342367,0.248224371790324,2.1,1.746300683528138,3.456110111112439,0.7485191339263378,2.0,1.6434021058461827,3.3000643044752294,0.7485191339263378,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.7461062556130424,0.413555491118542,1.2,0.6894424991698808,1.7387053633522047,0.1990302031429983,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.5903996886503684,0.413555491118542,2.3,1.93721183848515,4.094463703792882,0.9540143422280484,2.5,2.190280217459408,4.386854399814003,1.1719950226896414,3.6,3.379373187639113,6.73451904579651,1.8893300287892407
2080,2.5,2.190280217459408,4.502969412383437,1.0661891439719395,2.5,2.190280217459408,4.386854399814003,1.0661891439719395,1.6,1.1643538428978355,2.7461062556130424,0.413555491118542,1.4,0.9312964220944604,2.2001974763342367,0.248224371790324,2.1,1.746300683528138,3.6171065683515664,0.8497459370369539,2.0,1.6434021058461827,3.456110111112439,0.7485191339263378,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.7461062556130424,0.413555491118542,1.2,0.6894424991698808,1.7387053633522047,0.1990302031429983,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.5903996886503684,0.413555491118542,2.4,2.060787578888769,4.243381748930758,0.9540143422280484,2.7,2.380940812966879,4.56844063135869,1.290073302175758,3.8,3.433290382807646,6.73451904579651,1.959850438129754
2085,2.6,2.3007401791739803,4.697255134914473,1.0661891439719395,2.6,2.3007401791739803,4.502969412383437,1.1719950226896414,1.6,1.1643538428978355,2.7461062556130424,0.413555491118542,1.4,0.9312964220944604,2.2001974763342367,0.248224371790324,2.2,1.842519108514589,3.777985120667545,0.8497459370369539,2.1,1.746300683528138,3.6171065683515664,0.7485191339263378,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.7461062556130424,0.413555491118542,1.1,0.5725173445501829,1.7387053633522047,0.1990302031429983,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.7461062556130424,0.3063105609512298,2.4,2.060787578888769,4.386854399814003,0.9540143422280484,2.9,2.6101373015928906,4.818946006522587,1.3832916554053274,4.1,3.705039300720368,6.73451904579651,2.169686477850994
2090,2.7,2.380940812966879,4.818946006522587,1.1719950226896414,2.7,2.380940812966879,4.56844063135869,1.1719950226896414,1.6,1.1643538428978355,2.7461062556130424,0.413555491118542,1.3,0.8183742713171241,2.2001974763342367,0.248224371790324,2.2,1.842519108514589,3.933862264270671,0.8497459370369539,2.1,1.746300683528138,3.6171065683515664,0.7485191339263378,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.7461062556130424,0.413555491118542,1.1,0.5725173445501829,1.7387053633522047,0.1990302031429983,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.7461062556130424,0.3063105609512298,2.5,2.190280217459408,4.450261783072047,0.9540143422280484,3.0,2.7390029322729625,5.065367325924762,1.3832916554053274,4.4,4.004490934307474,6.73451904579651,2.407939385383218
2095,2.7,2.380940812966879,5.065367325924762,1.1719950226896414,2.7,2.380940812966879,4.818946006522587,1.290073302175758,1.6,1.1643538428978355,2.7461062556130424,0.3063105609512298,1.3,0.8183742713171241,2.2001974763342367,0.1990302031429983,2.3,1.93721183848515,4.094463703792882,0.8497459370369539,2.1,1.746300683528138,3.777985120667545,0.7485191339263378,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.9077297207427364,0.413555491118542,1.1,0.5725173445501829,1.7387053633522047,0.1990302031429983,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.7461062556130424,0.3063105609512298,2.5,2.190280217459408,4.502969412383437,0.9540143422280484,3.1,2.867750658029886,5.332426142212847,1.469829855939393,4.6,4.547292105964658,6.73451904579651,2.522005477974904
2100,2.8,2.486222321514736,5.184268334535042,1.1719950226896414,2.8,2.486222321514736,4.936582028948576,1.290073302175758,1.6,1.1643538428978355,2.7461062556130424,0.3063105609512298,1.3,0.8183742713171241,2.040308145836679,0.1990302031429983,2.3,1.93721183848515,4.094463703792882,0.8497459370369539,2.1,1.746300683528138,3.777985120667545,0.7485191339263378,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.7461062556130424,0.413555491118542,1.1,0.5725173445501829,1.5926259071496698,0.1990302031429983,1.7,1.278302472541316,2.7461062556130424,0.3063105609512298,2.5,2.190280217459408,4.56844063135869,0.9540143422280484,3.2,2.9914969750739573,5.939488966988141,1.469829855939393,4.9,5.0840102494153525,6.73451904579651,2.747902860612109