diff --git "a/lab3_report.html" "b/lab3_report.html" new file mode 100644--- /dev/null +++ "b/lab3_report.html" @@ -0,0 +1,307 @@ + + + + + Lab3 Full Report + + + +

Lab3 Full Report

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evaluation

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modelhMAERMSEMAPESMAPEMASER2
0naive12136.0000002136.0000001.117155e+02200.0000002.560763-inf
1seasonal_naive11507.0000001507.0000007.881799e+01130.0820031.806681-inf
2naive72962.1942863710.2527221.001261e+02181.7057223.551254-0.130116
3seasonal_naive72831.3371433532.7744679.851993e+01174.5194353.394374-0.024585
4naive301468.8753332811.9255341.344008e+13188.3006601.760975-0.005888
5seasonal_naive301533.4086672853.9153201.518671e+13193.7253931.838341-0.036154
6SES11916.9999401916.9999401.002615e+02200.0000002.298213-inf
7SES72930.9085633641.7738341.000028e+02199.5352323.513746-0.088785
8SES301366.6753052837.0968362.999982e+11199.6840011.638451-0.023978
9SARIMAX(1,1,1)11829.0645751829.0645759.566237e+01183.3708052.192791-inf
10SARIMAX(1,1,1)72913.1718033631.3026499.901692e+01196.0534093.492483-0.082533
11SARIMAX(1,1,1)301362.5771282835.8520751.728318e+11199.0791291.633538-0.023079
12auto_arima12011.9605402011.9605401.052281e+02200.0000002.412057-inf
13auto_arima72984.7556213605.0926581.055076e+02195.7437473.578301-0.066962
14auto_arima301377.5081922823.4017162.571763e+11197.9740501.651438-0.014116
15VAR305104.4045105692.4683922.458250e+14183.8269666.119462-3.122336
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ljungbox_SARIMAX(1,1,1)

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lb_statlb_pvalue
10147.1371.445752e-26
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shapiro_SARIMAX(1,1,1)

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statpvalue
00.9629571.650744e-10
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dm_test

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model1model2dm_statpvalue
0seasonal_naiveSARIMAX(1,1,1)NaNNaN
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Figure 1

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Figure 2

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Figure 3

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Figure 4

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Figure 5

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Figure 6

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Figure 7

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Figure 8

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Figure 9

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Figure 10

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Figure 11

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Figure 12

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Figure 13

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Figure 14

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Figure 15

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Figure 16

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