File size: 12,978 Bytes
25488f2
 
 
3798f44
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
25488f2
 
 
3798f44
25488f2
3798f44
25488f2
3798f44
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
25488f2
 
 
 
 
 
3798f44
 
 
 
 
 
 
25488f2
 
 
 
 
3798f44
 
25488f2
 
 
 
 
 
 
3798f44
 
 
25488f2
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3798f44
 
 
 
 
 
25488f2
 
 
 
 
 
 
3798f44
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
307aeff
 
3798f44
 
25488f2
 
 
 
 
 
 
3798f44
 
 
25488f2
 
 
3798f44
307aeff
 
3798f44
 
25488f2
 
 
 
 
 
 
3798f44
 
 
307aeff
3798f44
 
 
 
 
 
 
25488f2
 
 
 
 
 
 
3798f44
 
25488f2
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3798f44
 
 
25488f2
 
 
 
 
3798f44
 
25488f2
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3798f44
 
 
 
 
 
 
25488f2
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3798f44
 
25488f2
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3798f44
 
25488f2
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3798f44
 
25488f2
 
3798f44
25488f2
 
3798f44
25488f2
3798f44
25488f2
3798f44
25488f2
3798f44
25488f2
 
 
 
3798f44
25488f2
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
3798f44
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
307aeff
3798f44
 
307aeff
3798f44
 
 
25488f2
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
218
219
220
221
222
223
224
225
226
227
228
229
230
231
232
233
234
235
236
237
238
239
240
241
242
243
244
245
246
247
248
249
250
251
252
253
254
255
256
257
258
259
260
261
262
263
264
265
266
267
268
269
270
271
272
273
274
275
276
277
278
279
# ```python
from fastapi import FastAPI, HTTPException
from pydantic import BaseModel
import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
from sklearn.ensemble import RandomForestClassifier, RandomForestRegressor
from sklearn.preprocessing import LabelEncoder, StandardScaler
from sklearn.metrics import accuracy_score
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import json
import base64
from io import BytesIO
import warnings

warnings.filterwarnings("ignore")

app = FastAPI()

class WorkerIdRequest(BaseModel):
    worker_id: int

@app.post("/predict_worker_earnings/")
async def predict_worker_earnings(request: WorkerIdRequest):
    try:
        worker_id = request.worker_id
        # Initialize result dictionary
        results = {
            'worker_id': worker_id,
            'classification_metrics': {},
            'worker_profile': {},
            'plot': ''
        }

        # Load data
        try:
            df = pd.read_csv('/app/data/extended_worker_dataset.csv')
        except FileNotFoundError:
            raise HTTPException(status_code=500, detail="CSV file not found at /app/data/extended_worker_dataset.csv")
        except Exception as e:
            raise HTTPException(status_code=500, detail=f"Error reading CSV file: {str(e)}")

        # Filter for one worker_id
        df = df[df['worker_id'] == worker_id].copy()
        if df.empty:
            raise HTTPException(status_code=404, detail=f"No data found for worker_id {worker_id}")

        # Data preprocessing
        try:
            df['timestamp'] = pd.to_datetime(df['timestamp'])
        except Exception as e:
            raise HTTPException(status_code=500, detail=f"Error converting timestamp: {str(e)}")

        df['has_job'] = (df['job_type'] != "No Job").astype(int)

        try:
            wage_cap = df[df['contracted_wage'] > 0]['contracted_wage'].quantile(0.90)
            if np.isnan(wage_cap) or wage_cap <= 500:
                raise ValueError("Invalid wage cap calculated")
            df['contracted_wage'] = df['contracted_wage'].clip(lower=500, upper=wage_cap)
        except Exception as e:
            raise HTTPException(status_code=500, detail=f"Error processing wage data: {str(e)}")

        # Encode job_type
        le = LabelEncoder()
        try:
            df['job_type_encoded'] = le.fit_transform(df['job_type'])
        except Exception as e:
            raise HTTPException(status_code=500, detail=f"Error encoding job_type: {str(e)}")

        # Split data
        if len(df) < 2:
            raise HTTPException(status_code=400, detail="Insufficient data points for training and testing")
        split_point = int(len(df) * 0.8)
        train_df = df.iloc[:split_point].copy()
        test_df = df.iloc[split_point:].copy()

        # Scale features
        scaler = StandardScaler()
        try:
            train_df[['job_type_scaled', 'years_exp_scaled']] = scaler.fit_transform(
                train_df[['job_type_encoded', 'years_of_experience']]
            )
            train_df['job_exp_interaction'] = train_df['job_type_scaled'] * train_df['years_exp_scaled']
        except Exception as e:
            raise HTTPException(status_code=500, detail=f"Error scaling features: {str(e)}")

        for subset in [train_df, test_df]:
            subset['dayofweek'] = subset['timestamp'].dt.dayofweek
            subset['month'] = subset['timestamp'].dt.month
            subset['year'] = subset['timestamp'].dt.year
            subset['dayofyear'] = subset['timestamp'].dt.dayofyear
            subset['is_weekend'] = subset['dayofweek'].isin([5, 6]).astype(int)

        # Train classifier
        X_train_class = train_df[['dayofweek', 'month', 'year', 'dayofyear',
                                 'is_weekend', 'job_type_encoded', 'feedback_score',
                                 'years_of_experience']]
        y_train_class = train_df['has_job']

        try:
            classifier = RandomForestClassifier(
                n_estimators=500, max_depth=12, min_samples_split=5, random_state=42
            )
            classifier.fit(X_train_class, y_train_class)
        except Exception as e:
            raise HTTPException(status_code=500, detail=f"Error training classifier: {str(e)}")

        # Train regressor
        train_df_reg = train_df[train_df['has_job'] == 1].copy()
        if train_df_reg.empty:
            raise HTTPException(status_code=404, detail="No data available for regression (all has_job == 0)")

        X_train_reg = train_df_reg[['dayofweek', 'month', 'year', 'dayofyear',
                                   'is_weekend', 'job_type_scaled', 'feedback_score',
                                   'years_exp_scaled', 'job_exp_interaction']]
        y_train_reg = train_df_reg['contracted_wage']

        try:
            regressor = RandomForestRegressor(
                n_estimators=300, max_depth=10, min_samples_split=4, random_state=42
            )
            regressor.fit(X_train_reg, y_train_reg)
        except Exception as e:
            raise HTTPException(status_code=500, detail=f"Error training regressor: {str(e)}")

        # Prepare future dataframe
        future_df = test_df[['timestamp', 'job_type', 'job_type_encoded',
                            'feedback_score', 'years_of_experience']].rename(columns={'timestamp': 'ds'})

        future_df['dayofweek'] = future_df['ds'].dt.dayofweek
        future_df['month'] = future_df['ds'].dt.month
        future_df['year'] = future_df['ds'].dt.year
        future_df['dayofyear'] = future_df['ds'].dt.dayofyear
        future_df['is_weekend'] = future_df['dayofweek'].isin([5, 6]).astype(int)

        try:
            future_df[['job_type_scaled', 'years_exp_scaled']] = scaler.transform(
                future_df[['job_type_encoded', 'years_of_experience']]
            )
            future_df['job_exp_interaction'] = future_df['job_type_scaled'] * future_df['years_exp_scaled']
        except Exception as e:
            raise HTTPException(status_code=500, detail=f"Error transforming future dataframe: {str(e)}")

        # Predict job/no-job
        try:
            future_df['has_job_predicted'] = classifier.predict(
                future_df[['dayofweek', 'month', 'year', 'dayofyear',
                          'is_weekend', 'job_type_encoded', 'feedback_score',
                          'years_of_experience']]
            )
        except Exception as e:
            raise HTTPException(status_code=500, detail=f"Error predicting has_job: {str(e)}")

        # Evaluate classifier accuracy
        test_df['has_job'] = (test_df['job_type'] != "No Job").astype(int)
        try:
            acc = accuracy_score(test_df['has_job'], future_df['has_job_predicted'])
            results['classification_metrics']['accuracy'] = round(acc * 100, 2)
        except Exception as e:
            raise HTTPException(status_code=500, detail=f"Error calculating accuracy: {str(e)}")

        # Predict wages
        try:
            future_df['yhat'] = regressor.predict(
                future_df[['dayofweek', 'month', 'year', 'dayofyear',
                          'is_weekend', 'job_type_scaled', 'feedback_score',
                          'years_exp_scaled', 'job_exp_interaction']]
            )
        except Exception as e:
            raise HTTPException(status_code=500, detail=f"Error predicting wages: {str(e)}")

        # Apply job prediction mask
        final_forecast_df = future_df.copy()
        final_forecast_df['yhat'] = np.where(final_forecast_df['has_job_predicted'] == 0, 0, final_forecast_df['yhat'])
        final_forecast_df['yhat'] = np.minimum(final_forecast_df['yhat'], wage_cap)

        # Uncertainty intervals
        try:
            predictions = regressor.predict(X_train_reg)
            std_dev = np.std([tree.predict(X_train_reg) for tree in regressor.estimators_], axis=0)
            future_df['yhat_lower'] = np.maximum(final_forecast_df['yhat'] - 1.96 * std_dev.mean(), 0)
            future_df['yhat_upper'] = final_forecast_df['yhat'] + 1.96 * std_dev.mean()
            final_forecast_df['yhat_lower'] = np.where(final_forecast_df['has_job_predicted'] == 0, 0, future_df['yhat_lower'])
            final_forecast_df['yhat_upper'] = np.where(final_forecast_df['has_job_predicted'] == 0, 0, future_df['yhat_upper'])
        except Exception as e:
            raise HTTPException(status_code=500, detail=f"Error calculating uncertainty intervals: {str(e)}")

        # Evaluation
        try:
            comparison_df = pd.merge(
                test_df[['timestamp', 'contracted_wage']].rename(columns={'timestamp': 'ds', 'contracted_wage': 'y'}),
                final_forecast_df[['ds', 'yhat', 'yhat_lower', 'yhat_upper']], on='ds'
            )

            valid_comparison_df = comparison_df[comparison_df['y'] > 0]
            if not valid_comparison_df.empty:
                weights = valid_comparison_df['y'] / valid_comparison_df['y'].mean()
                mae = np.average([abs(a - p) for a, p in zip(valid_comparison_df['y'], valid_comparison_df['yhat'])], weights=weights)
                mape = np.average([abs((a - p) / a) * 100 for a, p in zip(valid_comparison_df['y'], valid_comparison_df['yhat'])], weights=weights)
            else:
                mae = np.nan
                mape = np.nan

            results['classification_metrics']['mae'] = round(mae, 2) if not np.isnan(mae) else None
            results['classification_metrics']['mape'] = round(mape, 2) if not np.isnan(mape) else None
        except Exception as e:
            raise HTTPException(status_code=500, detail=f"Error evaluating predictions: {str(e)}")

        # Plot results
        try:
            plt.figure(figsize=(12, 6))
            plt.plot(comparison_df['ds'], comparison_df['y'], 'o-', label='Actual Values', markersize=4)
            plt.plot(comparison_df['ds'], comparison_df['yhat'], '-', label='Forecasted Values')
            plt.fill_between(comparison_df['ds'], comparison_df['yhat_lower'], comparison_df['yhat_upper'],
                            color='gray', alpha=0.2, label='Uncertainty Interval')
            plt.title('Actual vs. Forecasted Daily Earnings (Last 20% of Dataset)')
            plt.xlabel('Date')
            plt.ylabel('Contracted Wage')
            plt.legend()
            plt.grid(True)
            plt.xticks(rotation=45)
            plt.tight_layout()

            buffer = BytesIO()
            plt.savefig(buffer, format='png')
            buffer.seek(0)
            plot_base64 = base64.b64encode(buffer.getvalue()).decode('utf-8')
            results['plot'] = f'data:image/png;base64,{plot_base64}'
            plt.close()
        except Exception as e:
            raise HTTPException(status_code=500, detail=f"Error generating plot: {str(e)}")

        # Worker Profile for Microfinance
        try:
            worker_data = df.copy()

            avg_daily_earning = worker_data[worker_data['contracted_wage'] > 0]['contracted_wage'].mean()
            avg_monthly_earning = avg_daily_earning * 30 if not np.isnan(avg_daily_earning) else 0

            job_distribution = worker_data['job_type'].value_counts(normalize=True) * 100

            avg_feedback = worker_data['feedback_score'].mean()

            workholic_index = job_distribution.drop(labels=['No Job'], errors='ignore').sum() / 100

            if avg_daily_earning > 0:
                earning_stability = worker_data[worker_data['contracted_wage'] > 0]['contracted_wage'].std() / avg_daily_earning
            else:
                earning_stability = np.nan

            results['worker_profile'] = {
                'average_daily_earning': round(avg_daily_earning, 2) if not np.isnan(avg_daily_earning) else None,
                'estimated_monthly_earning': round(avg_monthly_earning, 2) if not np.isnan(avg_monthly_earning) else None,
                'job_distribution': job_distribution.round(2).to_dict(),
                'average_feedback_score': round(avg_feedback, 2) if not np.isnan(avg_feedback) else None,
                'workholic_index': round(workholic_index, 2) if not np.isnan(workholic_index) else None,
                'earning_stability': round(earning_stability, 2) if not np.isnan(earning_stability) else None
            }
        except Exception as e:
            raise HTTPException(status_code=500, detail=f"Error generating worker profile: {str(e)}")

        def convert_to_serializable(obj):
            if isinstance(obj, np.floating):
                return float(obj)
            if isinstance(obj, np.integer):
                return int(obj)
            if isinstance(obj, np.ndarray):
                return obj.tolist()
            return obj

        return json.loads(json.dumps(results, default=convert_to_serializable))

    except Exception as e:
        raise HTTPException(status_code=500, detail=f"Error processing request: {str(e)}")

if __name__ == "__main__":
    import uvicorn
    uvicorn.run(app, host="0.0.0.0", port=8000)