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| import os | |
| import sys | |
| import pandas as pd | |
| import numpy as np | |
| import joblib | |
| from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split | |
| from sklearn.ensemble import RandomForestClassifier | |
| from sklearn.metrics import classification_report | |
| # Ensure project root is in path | |
| project_root = os.path.abspath(os.path.join(os.path.dirname(__file__), "..")) | |
| if project_root not in sys.path: | |
| sys.path.append(project_root) | |
| from src.config_loader import CONFIG | |
| from src.logger_config import logger | |
| def train_challenger_rf(data_path: str, model_output_path: str) -> None: | |
| """Trains a Random Forest classifier as a Challenger model shadow candidate. | |
| Args: | |
| data_path: Path to the clean CSV dataset. | |
| model_output_path: Output path for the serialized RF model. | |
| """ | |
| logger.info(f"Loading cleaned dataset from {data_path} for Challenger training...") | |
| try: | |
| df = pd.read_csv(data_path) | |
| df['InvoiceDate'] = pd.to_datetime(df['InvoiceDate']) | |
| cutoff_days = CONFIG["parameters"]["cutoff_offset_days"] | |
| cutoff_date = df['InvoiceDate'].max() - pd.DateOffset(days=cutoff_days) | |
| train_data = df[df['InvoiceDate'] < cutoff_date].copy() | |
| test_target_data = df[df['InvoiceDate'] >= cutoff_date].copy() | |
| active_customers = [str(int(x)) for x in test_target_data['Customer ID'].dropna().unique()] | |
| # Aggregate features | |
| features = train_data.groupby('Customer ID').agg({ | |
| 'InvoiceDate': lambda x: (cutoff_date - x.max()).days, | |
| 'Invoice': 'nunique', | |
| 'Total Price': 'mean', | |
| 'Quantity': 'mean' | |
| }).reset_index() | |
| features.rename(columns={ | |
| 'InvoiceDate': 'Recency', | |
| 'Invoice': 'Frequency', | |
| 'Total Price': 'Monetary', | |
| 'Quantity': 'AvgBucketSize' | |
| }, inplace=True) | |
| features['Customer ID'] = features['Customer ID'].astype(str) | |
| # Advanced features | |
| df_sorted = train_data.sort_values(['Customer ID', 'InvoiceDate']) | |
| invoices = df_sorted.drop_duplicates(subset=['Customer ID', 'Invoice']).copy() | |
| invoices['PrevInvoiceDate'] = invoices.groupby('Customer ID')['InvoiceDate'].shift(1) | |
| invoices['DaysBetween'] = (invoices['InvoiceDate'] - invoices['PrevInvoiceDate']).dt.days | |
| avg_days_between = invoices.groupby('Customer ID')['DaysBetween'].mean().reset_index() | |
| avg_days_between.rename(columns={'DaysBetween': 'AvgDaysBetween'}, inplace=True) | |
| avg_days_between['Customer ID'] = avg_days_between['Customer ID'].astype(str) | |
| features = pd.merge(features, avg_days_between, on='Customer ID', how='left') | |
| single_buyer_impute = CONFIG["parameters"]["single_order_imputation_days"] | |
| features['AvgDaysBetween'] = features['AvgDaysBetween'].fillna(single_buyer_impute) | |
| features['Recency_to_AvgDaysRatio'] = features['Recency'] / (features['AvgDaysBetween'] + 1e-5) | |
| recent_window = CONFIG["parameters"]["recent_purchase_window_days"] | |
| recent_cutoff = cutoff_date - pd.DateOffset(days=recent_window) | |
| recent_invoices = train_data[train_data['InvoiceDate'] >= recent_cutoff].groupby('Customer ID')['Invoice'].nunique().reset_index() | |
| recent_invoices.rename(columns={'Invoice': 'RecentInvoices'}, inplace=True) | |
| recent_invoices['Customer ID'] = recent_invoices['Customer ID'].astype(str) | |
| features = pd.merge(features, recent_invoices, on='Customer ID', how='left') | |
| features['RecentInvoices'] = features['RecentInvoices'].fillna(0) | |
| features['Recent_Orders_Ratio'] = features['RecentInvoices'] / features['Frequency'] | |
| features.drop(columns=['RecentInvoices'], inplace=True) | |
| customer_country = train_data.groupby('Customer ID')['Country'].first().reset_index() | |
| customer_country['Customer ID'] = customer_country['Customer ID'].astype(str) | |
| customer_country['Is_UK'] = (customer_country['Country'] == 'United Kingdom').astype(int) | |
| features = pd.merge(features, customer_country[['Customer ID', 'Is_UK']], on='Customer ID', how='left') | |
| features['Is_Churn'] = features['Customer ID'].apply(lambda x: 0 if x in active_customers else 1) | |
| feature_cols = [ | |
| 'Recency', 'Frequency', 'Monetary', 'AvgBucketSize', | |
| 'AvgDaysBetween', 'Recency_to_AvgDaysRatio', 'Recent_Orders_Ratio', 'Is_UK' | |
| ] | |
| X = features[feature_cols] | |
| y = features['Is_Churn'] | |
| X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(X, y, test_size=0.2, random_state=42) | |
| logger.info("Initializing RandomForest challenger classifier...") | |
| rf = RandomForestClassifier( | |
| n_estimators=100, | |
| max_depth=6, | |
| class_weight="balanced", | |
| random_state=42 | |
| ) | |
| logger.info("Fitting Random Forest challenger on training set...") | |
| rf.fit(X_train, y_train) | |
| logger.info("Evaluating Challenger model on hold-out validation:") | |
| y_pred = rf.predict(X_test) | |
| report = classification_report(y_test, y_pred) | |
| logger.info(f"\n{report}") | |
| os.makedirs(os.path.dirname(model_output_path), exist_ok=True) | |
| logger.info(f"Saving serialized Random Forest challenger model to {model_output_path}...") | |
| joblib.dump(rf, model_output_path) | |
| logger.info("Challenger RF model training complete!") | |
| except Exception as e: | |
| logger.error(f"Challenger training failed: {str(e)}") | |
| raise e | |
| if __name__ == "__main__": | |
| DATA_PATH = CONFIG["paths"]["clean_data"] | |
| MODEL_OUT = os.path.join(project_root, "models", "churn_rf_model.pkl") | |
| try: | |
| train_challenger_rf(DATA_PATH, MODEL_OUT) | |
| except Exception: | |
| sys.exit(1) | |