import os import sys import pandas as pd import numpy as np import joblib from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split from xgboost import XGBClassifier from sklearn.metrics import classification_report # Ensure project root is in path project_root = os.path.abspath(os.path.join(os.path.dirname(__file__), "..")) if project_root not in sys.path: sys.path.append(project_root) from src.config_loader import CONFIG from src.logger_config import logger def train_churn_model(data_path: str, model_output_path: str) -> None: """Performs feature engineering on clean customer history, trains an XGBoost model, saves the trained model `.pkl` to disk. Args: data_path: Path to the clean CSV dataset. model_output_path: Output path for the serialized XGBoost model. """ logger.info(f"Loading cleaned dataset from {data_path}...") try: df = pd.read_csv(data_path) df['InvoiceDate'] = pd.to_datetime(df['InvoiceDate']) logger.info("Computing cutoff date for prediction window...") cutoff_days = CONFIG["parameters"]["cutoff_offset_days"] cutoff_date = df['InvoiceDate'].max() - pd.DateOffset(days=cutoff_days) logger.info(f"Reference snapshot cutoff date: {cutoff_date.strftime('%Y-%m-%d')}") logger.info("Splitting dataset into history vs target prediction window...") train_data = df[df['InvoiceDate'] < cutoff_date].copy() test_target_data = df[df['InvoiceDate'] >= cutoff_date].copy() # Identify active customers (members of active list are non-churners) active_customers = [str(int(x)) for x in test_target_data['Customer ID'].dropna().unique()] logger.info("Engineering base RFM features...") features = train_data.groupby('Customer ID').agg({ 'InvoiceDate': lambda x: (cutoff_date - x.max()).days, # Recency 'Invoice': 'nunique', # Frequency 'Total Price': 'mean', # Avg Monetary 'Quantity': 'mean' # Avg Basket Size }).reset_index() features.rename(columns={ 'InvoiceDate': 'Recency', 'Invoice': 'Frequency', 'Total Price': 'Monetary', 'Quantity': 'AvgBucketSize' }, inplace=True) features['Customer ID'] = features['Customer ID'].astype(str) logger.info("Engineering advanced MLE features...") # 1. Calculate Inter-purchase Time (AvgDaysBetween) df_sorted = train_data.sort_values(['Customer ID', 'InvoiceDate']) invoices = df_sorted.drop_duplicates(subset=['Customer ID', 'Invoice']).copy() invoices['PrevInvoiceDate'] = invoices.groupby('Customer ID')['InvoiceDate'].shift(1) invoices['DaysBetween'] = (invoices['InvoiceDate'] - invoices['PrevInvoiceDate']).dt.days avg_days_between = invoices.groupby('Customer ID')['DaysBetween'].mean().reset_index() avg_days_between.rename(columns={'DaysBetween': 'AvgDaysBetween'}, inplace=True) avg_days_between['Customer ID'] = avg_days_between['Customer ID'].astype(str) features = pd.merge(features, avg_days_between, on='Customer ID', how='left') # Impute single purchase buyers with config default single_buyer_impute = CONFIG["parameters"]["single_order_imputation_days"] features['AvgDaysBetween'] = features['AvgDaysBetween'].fillna(single_buyer_impute) # 2. Recency to AvgDaysBetween Ratio features['Recency_to_AvgDaysRatio'] = features['Recency'] / (features['AvgDaysBetween'] + 1e-5) # 3. Recent Orders Ratio (last 60 days of training window) recent_window = CONFIG["parameters"]["recent_purchase_window_days"] recent_cutoff = cutoff_date - pd.DateOffset(days=recent_window) recent_invoices = train_data[train_data['InvoiceDate'] >= recent_cutoff].groupby('Customer ID')['Invoice'].nunique().reset_index() recent_invoices.rename(columns={'Invoice': 'RecentInvoices'}, inplace=True) recent_invoices['Customer ID'] = recent_invoices['Customer ID'].astype(str) features = pd.merge(features, recent_invoices, on='Customer ID', how='left') features['RecentInvoices'] = features['RecentInvoices'].fillna(0) features['Recent_Orders_Ratio'] = features['RecentInvoices'] / features['Frequency'] features.drop(columns=['RecentInvoices'], inplace=True) # 4. Is UK Customer customer_country = train_data.groupby('Customer ID')['Country'].first().reset_index() customer_country['Customer ID'] = customer_country['Customer ID'].astype(str) customer_country['Is_UK'] = (customer_country['Country'] == 'United Kingdom').astype(int) features = pd.merge(features, customer_country[['Customer ID', 'Is_UK']], on='Customer ID', how='left') # Generate target labels features['Is_Churn'] = features['Customer ID'].apply(lambda x: 0 if x in active_customers else 1) logger.info(f"Target Label Generation complete. Churn class ratio: {features['Is_Churn'].mean():.2%}") # Split features and labels feature_cols = [ 'Recency', 'Frequency', 'Monetary', 'AvgBucketSize', 'AvgDaysBetween', 'Recency_to_AvgDaysRatio', 'Recent_Orders_Ratio', 'Is_UK' ] X = features[feature_cols] y = features['Is_Churn'] X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(X, y, test_size=0.2, random_state=42) logger.info("Initializing XGBoost classifier with config hyperparameters...") hyperparams = CONFIG["model_hyperparameters"] xgb = XGBClassifier( n_estimators=hyperparams["n_estimators"], learning_rate=hyperparams["learning_rate"], max_depth=hyperparams["max_depth"], subsample=hyperparams["subsample"], colsample_bytree=hyperparams["colsample_bytree"], scale_pos_weight=hyperparams["scale_pos_weight"], random_state=hyperparams["random_state"] ) logger.info("Fitting model on training set...") xgb.fit(X_train, y_train) logger.info("Evaluating model on validation hold-out set:") y_pred = xgb.predict(X_test) report = classification_report(y_test, y_pred) logger.info(f"\n{report}") # Ensure parent folder exists os.makedirs(os.path.dirname(model_output_path), exist_ok=True) logger.info(f"Saving serialized model to {model_output_path}...") joblib.dump(xgb, model_output_path) logger.info("Model training pipeline complete!") except Exception as e: logger.error(f"Model training failed with error: {str(e)}") raise e if __name__ == "__main__": DATA_PATH = CONFIG["paths"]["clean_data"] MODEL_PATH = CONFIG["paths"]["model"] try: train_churn_model(DATA_PATH, MODEL_PATH) except Exception: sys.exit(1)