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# app.py
import os
import math
from datetime import datetime
import yfinance as yf
import pandas as pd
from flask import jsonify
import numpy as np
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
from flask import Flask, render_template, request
from statsmodels.tsa.arima.model import ARIMA
from sklearn.metrics import mean_squared_error
import praw, re
from pandas.tseries.offsets import BDay
from textblob import TextBlob
import simplejson
import nltk
# nltk.download('punkt', quiet=True)
app = Flask(__name__, static_folder='static', template_folder='templates')
REDDIT_ID = os.getenv("REDDIT_ID")
REDDIT_SECRET = os.getenv("REDDIT_SECRET")
@app.route('/', methods=['GET'])
def index():
# Renders your form; rename your HTML to templates/index.html
return render_template('forecaster.html')
@app.route('/insertintotable', methods=['POST'])
def insertintotable():
quote = request.form['nm']
# ββ 1) Fetch exactly two years of raw + adjusted OHLCV via yfinance ββ
end = datetime.now()
start = datetime(end.year - 2, end.month, end.day)
df = yf.download(
quote,
start=start,
end=end,
auto_adjust=False, # ensures separate 'Adj Close'
actions=False
).reset_index()
if df.empty:
return render_template('forecaster.html', not_found=True)
# Guarantee 'Adj Close' column
if 'Adj Close' not in df.columns:
df['Adj Close'] = df['Close']
# Take the very last row as a Series for display & recommendation
latest = df.iloc[-1]
def ARIMA_ALGO(df):
# β 1) Ensure a DateTimeIndex β
if 'Date' in df.columns:
df = df.copy()
df['Date'] = pd.to_datetime(df['Date'])
dfi = df.set_index('Date')
else:
dfi = df.copy()
dfi.index = pd.to_datetime(dfi.index)
# β 2) Pick the first matching price column β
for col in ('Adj Close','adjClose','Adj_close','Close','Price'):
if col in dfi.columns:
raw = dfi[col]
break
else:
raise KeyError("No price column found.")
# β 3) Flatten to 1-D, coerce to floats, preserve original dates β
arr = pd.to_numeric(raw.values.flatten(), errors='coerce')
series = pd.Series(arr, index=raw.index).bfill().astype(float)
# β 4) Train/test split (65/35) β
split = int(len(series) * 0.65)
train, test = series.iloc[:split], series.iloc[split:]
# β 5) Rolling ARIMA + 7-day ahead β
history, preds_all = list(train), []
m = ARIMA(history, order=(6,1,0)).fit()
for t in range(len(test) + 7):
model = m.apply(history)
yhat = float(model.forecast()[0])
preds_all.append(yhat)
history.append(test.iloc[t] if t < len(test) else yhat)
# β 6) Compute RMSE on the test slice β
rmse = math.sqrt(mean_squared_error(test, preds_all[:len(test)]))
tomorrow= preds_all[-7]
# β 7) Build DataFrames for plotting β
# β history_df: entire past β
history_df = pd.DataFrame({'Adj Close': series.values}, index=series.index)
# β predict_df: only the 7 βfutureβ days β
future_idx = pd.date_range(series.index[-1], periods=8, freq='B')[1:]
# here I use freq='B' to skip weekends
last7 = preds_all[-7:]
predict_df = pd.DataFrame({'ARIMA': last7}, index=future_idx)
return preds_all, rmse, tomorrow, history_df, predict_df
# Run ARIMA
preds, rmse, tomorrow, hist_df, pred_df = ARIMA_ALGO(df)
# Reset index so βDateβ is a column
hist_df = (
hist_df
.reset_index()
.rename(columns={
'index': 'Date',
'History':'Adj Close' # rename to exactly match your latest['Adj Close']
})
)
pred_df = pred_df.reset_index().rename(columns={'index':'Date'})
# ββ 3) Sentiment analysis ββ
def retrieving_tweets_polarity(symbol):
reddit = praw.Reddit(
client_id=REDDIT_ID,
client_secret=REDDIT_SECRET,
user_agent='SentimentAnalysis'
)
posts = reddit.subreddit('all').search(symbol, limit=300, sort='new')
pos = neg = 0
texts = []
total_pol = 0
for post in posts:
txt = (post.title or post.selftext or "")
txt = re.sub(r'&|:', '', txt).encode('ascii','ignore').decode()
blob = TextBlob(txt)
pol = sum(s.sentiment.polarity for s in blob.sentences)
total_pol += pol
if pol>0: pos+=1
if pol<0: neg+=1
texts.append(txt)
avg_pol = total_pol / len(texts) if texts else 0
neu = max(0, len(texts) - pos - neg)
label = "Overall Positive" if avg_pol>0 else "Overall Negative"
return avg_pol, texts, label, pos, neg, neu
global_pol, tweets, tw_pol, pos, neg, neu = retrieving_tweets_polarity(quote)
# ββ 4) Recommendation ββ
mean7 = hist_df['Adj Close'].tail(7).mean()
adj_val = float(latest['Adj Close'])
if adj_val < mean7 and global_pol > 0:
idea, decision = "RISE", "BUY"
else:
idea, decision = "FALL", "SELL"
# ββ 5) Write out JSON for the dashboard ββ
trends = hist_df[['Date','Adj Close']].dropna().to_dict('records')
past_preds = pred_df[['Date','ARIMA']].tail(7).to_dict('records')
forecast = pred_df[['Date','ARIMA']].to_dict('records')
# --- new: full series (history + all preds) ---
full = trends + [
{"Date": r["Date"], "Adj Close": r["ARIMA"]}
for r in forecast
]
pie = [
{"sizes": pos, "labels": "Positive"},
{"sizes": neg, "labels": "Negative"},
{"sizes": neu, "labels": "Neutral"},
]
with open("static/assets/js/pie.json", "w", encoding='utf-8') as f:
simplejson.dump(pie, f, default= str, ignore_nan=True, ensure_ascii=False, indent=4)
with open("static/assets/js/trends.json", "w", encoding='utf-8') as f:
simplejson.dump(trends, f, default= str, ignore_nan=True, ensure_ascii=False, indent=4)
with open("static/assets/js/pastpreds.json","w", encoding='utf-8') as f:
simplejson.dump(past_preds, f, default=str, ignore_nan=True, ensure_ascii=False, indent=4)
with open("static/assets/js/forecast.json","w", encoding='utf-8') as f:
simplejson.dump(forecast, f, default=str, ignore_nan=True, ensure_ascii=False, indent=4)
with open("static/assets/js/full.json","w") as f:
simplejson.dump(full, f, default=str, ignore_nan=True, ensure_ascii=False, indent=4)
# ββ 6) Render the final template ββ
dates_array = pred_df['Date'].dt.strftime('%Y-%m-%d').tail(7).to_numpy().reshape(-1,1)
forecast_array_ar = np.round(pred_df['ARIMA'].tail(7).to_numpy(), 2).reshape(-1,1)
return render_template(
'resultsf.html',
quote=quote,
arima_pred=round(tomorrow,2),
open_s=latest['Open'],
high_s=latest['High'],
low_s=latest['Low'],
close_s=latest['Close'],
adj_close=latest['Adj Close'],
vol=latest['Volume'],
tw_list=tweets,
tw_pol=tw_pol,
idea=idea,
decision=decision,
dates=dates_array,
forecast_set_ar=forecast_array_ar,
error_arima=round(rmse,2)
)
if __name__ == "__main__":
print("π Starting Flask app...")
app.run(debug=True, host="0.0.0.0", port=7860)
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