tables/frequency_hourly/leaderboard_SQL.csv

model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
Chronos-2,93.18181818181816,54.953225710108875,0.0,1.8287922303125,0.0,0.0
TiRex,81.36363636363635,46.668743596982175,0.0,1.5771957561079546,0.0,0.0
TimesFM-2.5,77.27272727272728,46.31983629666182,0.0,35.73234459616477,0.13636363636363635,0.0
TabPFN-TS,74.09090909090908,48.743593703307816,0.0,303.87484716423296,0.0,0.0
Toto-1.0,72.2727272727273,45.95860067004889,0.0,66.451582385625,0.13636363636363635,0.0
FlowState,70.45454545454545,44.453296546133025,0.0,3.043251233854167,0.13636363636363635,0.0
Moirai-2.0,67.72727272727272,44.43807099079537,0.0,2.693870382954546,0.4090909090909091,0.0
Chronos-Bolt,67.04545454545455,43.86628908183108,0.0,1.18742705375,0.0,0.0
TFT,64.0909090909091,43.30535103216901,7018.033380476477,5.207965206041667,0.0,0.0
PatchTST,58.4090909090909,40.39134574673249,5248.721533981875,6.349855852499999,0.0,0.0
DeepAR,58.06818181818182,39.97944767271597,10059.792668950715,9.620176696875001,0.0,4.545454545454546
Sundial-Base,57.72727272727273,42.152213930229635,0.0,8.613333634910715,0.0,0.0
CatBoost,42.95454545454547,30.253084957838638,211.43542631645835,6.230126684431818,0.0,0.0
LightGBM,39.77272727272727,27.020920595575927,22.5747511634375,4.555509813977272,0.0,0.0
AutoARIMA,36.13636363636363,16.197587961183302,0.0,1885.5145473599553,0.0,0.0
Stat. Ensemble,30.681818181818176,10.597669802300436,0.0,2145.1257867486606,0.0,0.0
Seasonal Naive,20.56818181818182,0.0,0.0,0.5409932320192308,0.0,0.0
AutoTheta,14.772727272727273,-18.399683360301424,0.0,5.730209390000001,0.0,0.0
AutoETS,11.59090909090909,-115.54487654562027,0.0,13.387819541051137,0.0,0.0
Naive,8.863636363636363,-88.45846014959294,0.0,0.48306351999999997,0.0,0.0
Drift,2.954545454545454,-93.63271001234882,0.0,0.5387751224999999,0.0,0.0