File size: 14,392 Bytes
d4397a6
 
86cf9ec
 
169601b
86cf9ec
169601b
86cf9ec
 
169601b
 
86cf9ec
169601b
 
86cf9ec
 
169601b
86cf9ec
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
169601b
86cf9ec
 
169601b
86cf9ec
169601b
86cf9ec
 
169601b
 
86cf9ec
169601b
 
86cf9ec
 
169601b
86cf9ec
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
169601b
86cf9ec
 
169601b
86cf9ec
d4397a6
86cf9ec
 
169601b
 
86cf9ec
169601b
 
86cf9ec
 
169601b
86cf9ec
 
 
 
 
 
d4397a6
86cf9ec
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
169601b
86cf9ec
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
169601b
86cf9ec
 
169601b
86cf9ec
169601b
86cf9ec
 
d4397a6
169601b
86cf9ec
169601b
 
86cf9ec
 
169601b
 
86cf9ec
 
169601b
86cf9ec
169601b
86cf9ec
 
169601b
d4397a6
86cf9ec
169601b
 
86cf9ec
 
169601b
86cf9ec
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
169601b
86cf9ec
 
169601b
86cf9ec
169601b
86cf9ec
 
169601b
 
86cf9ec
169601b
 
86cf9ec
 
169601b
 
86cf9ec
 
169601b
86cf9ec
169601b
86cf9ec
 
169601b
 
86cf9ec
169601b
 
86cf9ec
 
169601b
86cf9ec
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
169601b
86cf9ec
 
169601b
86cf9ec
169601b
86cf9ec
 
169601b
 
86cf9ec
169601b
 
86cf9ec
 
d4397a6
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
218
219
220
221
222
223
224
225
226
227
228
229
230
231
232
233
234
235
236
237
238
239
240
241
242
243
244
245
246
247
248
249
250
251
252
253
254
255
256
257
258
model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.706,0.471,0.941,0.004,-0.042,0.052
Chronos-2,FlowState,0.706,0.471,0.882,0.062,-0.033,0.139
Chronos-2,TiRex,0.765,0.587,0.941,0.09,0.029,0.154
Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.882,0.706,1.0,0.074,-0.013,0.155
Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.824,0.647,1.0,0.094,0.007,0.17
Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.824,0.647,1.0,0.136,0.042,0.219
Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.765,0.588,0.941,0.156,0.083,0.229
Chronos-2,Stat. Ensemble,0.824,0.647,1.0,0.254,0.121,0.374
Chronos-2,Sundial-Base,0.941,0.824,1.0,0.223,0.102,0.311
Chronos-2,TFT,0.882,0.706,1.0,0.291,0.16,0.412
Chronos-2,AutoARIMA,0.941,0.824,1.0,0.306,0.193,0.402
Chronos-2,AutoETS,0.824,0.647,1.0,0.583,0.277,0.786
Chronos-2,LightGBM,0.941,0.824,1.0,0.315,0.216,0.407
Chronos-2,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.333,0.248,0.419
Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,0.941,0.824,1.0,0.47,0.339,0.574
TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.294,0.059,0.529,-0.004,-0.055,0.041
TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.529,0.294,0.765,0.058,-0.051,0.154
TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.588,0.353,0.824,0.086,0.006,0.171
TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.529,0.294,0.765,0.07,-0.02,0.164
TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.706,0.471,0.882,0.091,0.001,0.184
TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.706,0.471,0.941,0.132,0.025,0.236
TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.706,0.471,0.941,0.152,0.057,0.243
TabPFN-TS,Stat. Ensemble,0.765,0.529,0.941,0.251,0.112,0.368
TabPFN-TS,Sundial-Base,0.941,0.824,1.0,0.219,0.106,0.311
TabPFN-TS,TFT,0.824,0.588,1.0,0.288,0.153,0.409
TabPFN-TS,AutoARIMA,0.882,0.706,1.0,0.303,0.19,0.389
TabPFN-TS,AutoETS,0.765,0.529,0.941,0.582,0.263,0.79
TabPFN-TS,LightGBM,0.882,0.706,1.0,0.312,0.202,0.412
TabPFN-TS,CatBoost,0.941,0.824,1.0,0.331,0.233,0.424
TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,0.941,0.824,1.0,0.467,0.343,0.569
FlowState,Chronos-2,0.294,0.118,0.529,-0.066,-0.162,0.032
FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.471,0.235,0.706,-0.062,-0.182,0.049
FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
FlowState,TiRex,0.588,0.353,0.824,0.03,-0.018,0.087
FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.588,0.353,0.824,0.013,-0.031,0.055
FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.647,0.412,0.882,0.034,-0.042,0.103
FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.706,0.471,0.882,0.079,0.003,0.164
FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.765,0.588,0.941,0.1,-0.001,0.196
FlowState,Stat. Ensemble,0.824,0.647,1.0,0.204,0.049,0.347
FlowState,Sundial-Base,0.882,0.706,1.0,0.171,0.103,0.237
FlowState,TFT,0.765,0.529,0.941,0.244,0.114,0.354
FlowState,AutoARIMA,0.882,0.706,1.0,0.26,0.121,0.369
FlowState,AutoETS,0.824,0.647,1.0,0.557,0.246,0.776
FlowState,LightGBM,0.882,0.706,1.0,0.269,0.169,0.362
FlowState,CatBoost,0.882,0.706,1.0,0.289,0.19,0.383
FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.941,0.824,1.0,0.434,0.317,0.535
TiRex,Chronos-2,0.235,0.059,0.413,-0.099,-0.182,-0.03
TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.412,0.176,0.647,-0.095,-0.206,-0.006
TiRex,FlowState,0.412,0.176,0.647,-0.031,-0.095,0.018
TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.471,0.235,0.706,-0.018,-0.058,0.013
TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.765,0.529,0.941,0.004,-0.049,0.05
TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.765,0.587,0.941,0.05,-0.016,0.112
TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.882,0.706,1.0,0.072,0.01,0.134
TiRex,Stat. Ensemble,0.765,0.529,0.941,0.18,0.039,0.314
TiRex,Sundial-Base,0.882,0.706,1.0,0.145,0.058,0.21
TiRex,TFT,0.765,0.529,0.941,0.221,0.111,0.324
TiRex,AutoARIMA,0.882,0.706,1.0,0.237,0.118,0.336
TiRex,AutoETS,0.765,0.529,0.941,0.546,0.218,0.771
TiRex,LightGBM,0.824,0.647,1.0,0.246,0.155,0.332
TiRex,CatBoost,0.882,0.706,1.0,0.267,0.185,0.349
TiRex,Seasonal Naive,0.941,0.824,1.0,0.417,0.297,0.517
TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.118,0.0,0.294,-0.08,-0.183,0.013
TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.471,0.235,0.706,-0.075,-0.197,0.02
TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.412,0.176,0.647,-0.013,-0.059,0.03
TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.529,0.294,0.765,0.018,-0.013,0.055
TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.647,0.441,0.853,0.022,-0.021,0.069
TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.765,0.588,0.941,0.067,0.003,0.131
TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.706,0.529,0.941,0.089,0.008,0.164
TimesFM-2.5,Stat. Ensemble,0.824,0.647,1.0,0.194,0.052,0.328
TimesFM-2.5,Sundial-Base,0.882,0.706,1.0,0.16,0.096,0.212
TimesFM-2.5,TFT,0.824,0.647,1.0,0.234,0.126,0.33
TimesFM-2.5,AutoARIMA,0.882,0.706,1.0,0.25,0.13,0.351
TimesFM-2.5,AutoETS,0.824,0.647,1.0,0.552,0.23,0.773
TimesFM-2.5,LightGBM,0.882,0.706,1.0,0.26,0.169,0.346
TimesFM-2.5,CatBoost,0.882,0.706,1.0,0.28,0.195,0.362
TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.427,0.32,0.524
Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.176,0.0,0.353,-0.104,-0.205,-0.007
Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.294,0.118,0.529,-0.1,-0.225,-0.001
Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.353,0.118,0.588,-0.036,-0.115,0.04
Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.235,0.059,0.471,-0.004,-0.052,0.047
Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.353,0.147,0.559,-0.022,-0.074,0.02
Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.647,0.412,0.853,0.046,-0.017,0.122
Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.647,0.412,0.882,0.068,0.003,0.137
Chronos-Bolt,Stat. Ensemble,0.765,0.529,0.941,0.176,0.046,0.302
Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,0.882,0.706,1.0,0.142,0.079,0.197
Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.824,0.588,1.0,0.217,0.115,0.31
Chronos-Bolt,AutoARIMA,0.882,0.706,1.0,0.233,0.12,0.33
Chronos-Bolt,AutoETS,0.824,0.647,1.0,0.547,0.218,0.773
Chronos-Bolt,LightGBM,0.882,0.706,1.0,0.243,0.152,0.332
Chronos-Bolt,CatBoost,0.882,0.706,1.0,0.264,0.169,0.355
Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.414,0.309,0.505
Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.176,0.0,0.353,-0.157,-0.28,-0.043
Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.294,0.059,0.529,-0.152,-0.31,-0.026
Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.294,0.118,0.529,-0.085,-0.196,-0.003
Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.235,0.059,0.413,-0.053,-0.127,0.016
Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.235,0.059,0.412,-0.072,-0.15,-0.003
Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.353,0.147,0.588,-0.048,-0.139,0.017
Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.647,0.412,0.824,0.023,-0.038,0.079
Moirai-2.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.706,0.471,0.882,0.136,0.007,0.263
Moirai-2.0,Sundial-Base,0.824,0.647,1.0,0.1,-0.015,0.189
Moirai-2.0,TFT,0.706,0.471,0.882,0.179,0.022,0.307
Moirai-2.0,AutoARIMA,0.765,0.529,0.941,0.196,0.06,0.317
Moirai-2.0,AutoETS,0.706,0.471,0.882,0.528,0.181,0.765
Moirai-2.0,LightGBM,0.882,0.706,1.0,0.207,0.136,0.271
Moirai-2.0,CatBoost,0.941,0.824,1.0,0.229,0.161,0.293
Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.882,0.706,1.0,0.386,0.258,0.495
Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.235,0.059,0.412,-0.185,-0.298,-0.091
Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.294,0.059,0.529,-0.18,-0.321,-0.06
Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.235,0.059,0.412,-0.111,-0.244,0.001
Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.118,0.0,0.294,-0.078,-0.154,-0.01
Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.294,0.059,0.471,-0.097,-0.196,-0.008
Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.353,0.118,0.588,-0.073,-0.159,-0.003
Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.353,0.176,0.588,-0.024,-0.085,0.036
Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
Toto-1.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.647,0.412,0.882,0.116,0.012,0.226
Toto-1.0,Sundial-Base,0.765,0.529,0.941,0.079,-0.042,0.181
Toto-1.0,TFT,0.765,0.529,0.941,0.16,0.022,0.284
Toto-1.0,AutoARIMA,0.765,0.529,0.941,0.177,0.077,0.274
Toto-1.0,AutoETS,0.706,0.471,0.882,0.519,0.175,0.758
Toto-1.0,LightGBM,0.882,0.706,1.0,0.188,0.118,0.252
Toto-1.0,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.21,0.151,0.276
Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,0.941,0.824,1.0,0.371,0.247,0.476
Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-2,0.176,0.0,0.353,-0.34,-0.597,-0.138
Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS,0.235,0.059,0.471,-0.334,-0.582,-0.126
Stat. Ensemble,FlowState,0.176,0.0,0.353,-0.257,-0.532,-0.051
Stat. Ensemble,TiRex,0.235,0.059,0.471,-0.219,-0.459,-0.041
Stat. Ensemble,TimesFM-2.5,0.176,0.0,0.353,-0.241,-0.488,-0.055
Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-Bolt,0.235,0.059,0.471,-0.214,-0.433,-0.048
Stat. Ensemble,Moirai-2.0,0.294,0.118,0.529,-0.158,-0.358,-0.007
Stat. Ensemble,Toto-1.0,0.353,0.118,0.588,-0.131,-0.292,-0.012
Stat. Ensemble,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
Stat. Ensemble,Sundial-Base,0.412,0.176,0.647,-0.042,-0.256,0.132
Stat. Ensemble,TFT,0.588,0.353,0.824,0.05,-0.178,0.231
Stat. Ensemble,AutoARIMA,0.529,0.294,0.765,0.07,-0.035,0.195
Stat. Ensemble,AutoETS,0.706,0.471,0.884,0.467,0.051,0.734
Stat. Ensemble,LightGBM,0.647,0.412,0.882,0.081,-0.051,0.197
Stat. Ensemble,CatBoost,0.588,0.353,0.824,0.107,-0.035,0.229
Stat. Ensemble,Seasonal Naive,0.941,0.824,1.0,0.289,0.169,0.395
Sundial-Base,Chronos-2,0.059,0.0,0.176,-0.286,-0.452,-0.114
Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS,0.059,0.0,0.176,-0.281,-0.451,-0.119
Sundial-Base,FlowState,0.118,0.0,0.294,-0.206,-0.31,-0.114
Sundial-Base,TiRex,0.118,0.0,0.294,-0.17,-0.266,-0.062
Sundial-Base,TimesFM-2.5,0.118,0.0,0.294,-0.191,-0.269,-0.106
Sundial-Base,Chronos-Bolt,0.118,0.0,0.294,-0.165,-0.245,-0.086
Sundial-Base,Moirai-2.0,0.176,0.0,0.353,-0.111,-0.232,0.015
Sundial-Base,Toto-1.0,0.235,0.059,0.471,-0.086,-0.22,0.04
Sundial-Base,Stat. Ensemble,0.588,0.353,0.824,0.04,-0.152,0.204
Sundial-Base,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
Sundial-Base,TFT,0.588,0.353,0.824,0.088,-0.033,0.194
Sundial-Base,AutoARIMA,0.706,0.471,0.941,0.107,-0.056,0.237
Sundial-Base,AutoETS,0.647,0.412,0.882,0.475,0.09,0.736
Sundial-Base,LightGBM,0.765,0.529,0.941,0.118,-0.026,0.248
Sundial-Base,CatBoost,0.824,0.647,1.0,0.143,-0.001,0.275
Sundial-Base,Seasonal Naive,0.824,0.647,0.943,0.318,0.194,0.423
TFT,Chronos-2,0.118,0.0,0.294,-0.41,-0.701,-0.191
TFT,TabPFN-TS,0.176,0.0,0.412,-0.404,-0.691,-0.18
TFT,FlowState,0.235,0.059,0.471,-0.323,-0.547,-0.128
TFT,TiRex,0.235,0.059,0.471,-0.283,-0.478,-0.124
TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.176,0.0,0.353,-0.306,-0.494,-0.144
TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.176,0.0,0.412,-0.277,-0.449,-0.13
TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.294,0.118,0.529,-0.219,-0.444,-0.023
TFT,Toto-1.0,0.235,0.059,0.471,-0.19,-0.397,-0.023
TFT,Stat. Ensemble,0.412,0.176,0.647,-0.052,-0.301,0.151
TFT,Sundial-Base,0.412,0.176,0.647,-0.096,-0.241,0.032
TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
TFT,AutoARIMA,0.412,0.176,0.647,0.021,-0.115,0.151
TFT,AutoETS,0.588,0.353,0.824,0.434,-0.024,0.724
TFT,LightGBM,0.471,0.235,0.706,0.033,-0.174,0.216
TFT,CatBoost,0.529,0.294,0.765,0.06,-0.158,0.241
TFT,Seasonal Naive,0.765,0.529,0.941,0.252,0.099,0.378
AutoARIMA,Chronos-2,0.059,0.0,0.176,-0.44,-0.673,-0.239
AutoARIMA,TabPFN-TS,0.118,0.0,0.294,-0.434,-0.637,-0.235
AutoARIMA,FlowState,0.118,0.0,0.294,-0.351,-0.585,-0.138
AutoARIMA,TiRex,0.118,0.0,0.294,-0.31,-0.505,-0.134
AutoARIMA,TimesFM-2.5,0.118,0.0,0.294,-0.334,-0.542,-0.149
AutoARIMA,Chronos-Bolt,0.118,0.0,0.294,-0.304,-0.493,-0.136
AutoARIMA,Moirai-2.0,0.235,0.059,0.471,-0.244,-0.465,-0.063
AutoARIMA,Toto-1.0,0.235,0.059,0.471,-0.216,-0.377,-0.083
AutoARIMA,Stat. Ensemble,0.471,0.235,0.706,-0.075,-0.242,0.034
AutoARIMA,Sundial-Base,0.294,0.059,0.529,-0.12,-0.31,0.053
AutoARIMA,TFT,0.588,0.353,0.824,-0.021,-0.177,0.103
AutoARIMA,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
AutoARIMA,AutoETS,0.588,0.353,0.824,0.42,-0.002,0.715
AutoARIMA,LightGBM,0.588,0.353,0.824,0.013,-0.176,0.165
AutoARIMA,CatBoost,0.471,0.235,0.706,0.04,-0.137,0.184
AutoARIMA,Seasonal Naive,0.882,0.706,1.0,0.236,0.096,0.346
AutoETS,Chronos-2,0.176,0.0,0.353,-1.4,-3.668,-0.383
AutoETS,TabPFN-TS,0.235,0.059,0.471,-1.391,-3.76,-0.357
AutoETS,FlowState,0.176,0.0,0.353,-1.258,-3.473,-0.326
AutoETS,TiRex,0.235,0.059,0.471,-1.201,-3.366,-0.279
AutoETS,TimesFM-2.5,0.176,0.0,0.353,-1.233,-3.406,-0.299
AutoETS,Chronos-Bolt,0.176,0.0,0.353,-1.206,-3.408,-0.279
AutoETS,Moirai-2.0,0.294,0.118,0.529,-1.118,-3.264,-0.221
AutoETS,Toto-1.0,0.294,0.118,0.529,-1.078,-3.135,-0.213
AutoETS,Stat. Ensemble,0.294,0.116,0.529,-0.877,-2.759,-0.053
AutoETS,Sundial-Base,0.353,0.118,0.588,-0.903,-2.791,-0.099
AutoETS,TFT,0.412,0.176,0.647,-0.768,-2.623,0.023
AutoETS,AutoARIMA,0.412,0.176,0.647,-0.724,-2.513,0.002
AutoETS,AutoETS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
AutoETS,LightGBM,0.471,0.235,0.706,-0.716,-2.549,0.029
AutoETS,CatBoost,0.529,0.294,0.765,-0.668,-2.437,0.071
AutoETS,Seasonal Naive,0.706,0.529,0.882,-0.385,-1.856,0.2
LightGBM,Chronos-2,0.059,0.0,0.176,-0.459,-0.687,-0.276
LightGBM,TabPFN-TS,0.118,0.0,0.294,-0.452,-0.699,-0.253
LightGBM,FlowState,0.118,0.0,0.294,-0.368,-0.568,-0.204
LightGBM,TiRex,0.176,0.0,0.353,-0.327,-0.496,-0.183
LightGBM,TimesFM-2.5,0.118,0.0,0.294,-0.351,-0.529,-0.204
LightGBM,Chronos-Bolt,0.118,0.0,0.294,-0.321,-0.498,-0.18
LightGBM,Moirai-2.0,0.118,0.0,0.294,-0.26,-0.372,-0.158
LightGBM,Toto-1.0,0.118,0.0,0.294,-0.231,-0.337,-0.133
LightGBM,Stat. Ensemble,0.353,0.118,0.588,-0.089,-0.245,0.049
LightGBM,Sundial-Base,0.235,0.059,0.471,-0.134,-0.331,0.026
LightGBM,TFT,0.529,0.294,0.765,-0.034,-0.276,0.149
LightGBM,AutoARIMA,0.412,0.176,0.647,-0.013,-0.197,0.15
LightGBM,AutoETS,0.529,0.294,0.765,0.417,-0.03,0.718
LightGBM,LightGBM,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
LightGBM,CatBoost,0.353,0.118,0.588,0.028,-0.02,0.087
LightGBM,Seasonal Naive,0.765,0.529,0.941,0.226,0.07,0.353
CatBoost,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.5,-0.722,-0.329
CatBoost,TabPFN-TS,0.059,0.0,0.176,-0.494,-0.737,-0.304
CatBoost,FlowState,0.118,0.0,0.294,-0.407,-0.621,-0.235
CatBoost,TiRex,0.118,0.0,0.294,-0.365,-0.537,-0.227
CatBoost,TimesFM-2.5,0.118,0.0,0.294,-0.389,-0.567,-0.242
CatBoost,Chronos-Bolt,0.118,0.0,0.294,-0.359,-0.549,-0.204
CatBoost,Moirai-2.0,0.059,0.0,0.176,-0.296,-0.415,-0.191
CatBoost,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.266,-0.382,-0.178
CatBoost,Stat. Ensemble,0.412,0.176,0.647,-0.12,-0.297,0.033
CatBoost,Sundial-Base,0.176,0.0,0.353,-0.166,-0.379,0.001
CatBoost,TFT,0.471,0.235,0.706,-0.064,-0.317,0.136
CatBoost,AutoARIMA,0.529,0.294,0.765,-0.042,-0.226,0.121
CatBoost,AutoETS,0.471,0.235,0.706,0.4,-0.076,0.709
CatBoost,LightGBM,0.647,0.412,0.882,-0.028,-0.096,0.02
CatBoost,CatBoost,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
CatBoost,Seasonal Naive,0.706,0.471,0.882,0.204,0.019,0.346
Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.059,0.0,0.176,-0.885,-1.345,-0.512
Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.059,0.0,0.176,-0.877,-1.323,-0.523
Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.059,0.0,0.176,-0.768,-1.152,-0.464
Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.059,0.0,0.176,-0.715,-1.069,-0.423
Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.745,-1.103,-0.471
Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.707,-1.02,-0.448
Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.118,0.0,0.294,-0.629,-0.978,-0.347
Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.059,0.0,0.176,-0.591,-0.907,-0.328
Seasonal Naive,Stat. Ensemble,0.059,0.0,0.176,-0.407,-0.653,-0.204
Seasonal Naive,Sundial-Base,0.176,0.057,0.353,-0.465,-0.735,-0.241
Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.235,0.059,0.471,-0.336,-0.608,-0.11
Seasonal Naive,AutoARIMA,0.118,0.0,0.294,-0.309,-0.53,-0.106
Seasonal Naive,AutoETS,0.294,0.118,0.471,0.278,-0.25,0.65
Seasonal Naive,LightGBM,0.235,0.059,0.471,-0.292,-0.544,-0.075
Seasonal Naive,CatBoost,0.294,0.118,0.529,-0.256,-0.53,-0.019
Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0