Update results

pages/fev_bench.py

@@ -3,7 +3,6 @@ from pathlib import Path
 
 sys.path.append(str(Path(__file__).parent))
 
-import fev
 import pandas as pd
 import streamlit as st
 from streamlit.elements.lib.column_types import ColumnConfig
@@ -20,14 +19,15 @@ from src.task_groups import (
     DOMAIN_GROUPS,
     FREQUENCY_GROUPS,
     MINI_TASKS,
-    get_task_group,
 )
 from src.utils import (
     COLORS,
     construct_pairwise_chart,
+    filter_hidden_models,
     format_leaderboard,
     format_metric_name,
     get_metric_description,
+    validate_model_metadata,
 )
 
 st.set_page_config(layout="wide", page_title="fev leaderboard", page_icon=":material/trophy:")
@@ -128,7 +128,11 @@ with cols[1] as main_container:
     st.markdown(TITLE, unsafe_allow_html=True)
 
     metric_df = get_leaderboard(selected_metric, group_dir).sort_values(by=SORT_COL, ascending=False)
+    metric_df = filter_hidden_models(metric_df, "model_name")
+    validate_model_metadata(metric_df["model_name"])
+
     pairwise_df = get_pairwise(selected_metric, group_dir)
+    pairwise_df = filter_hidden_models(filter_hidden_models(pairwise_df, "model_1"), "model_2")
 
     st.markdown("## :material/trophy: Leaderboard", unsafe_allow_html=True)
     st.markdown(get_subset_description(selected_group_type, selected_subgroup, len(task_list)), unsafe_allow_html=True)

save_tables.py

@@ -1,6 +1,7 @@
 #!/usr/bin/env python3
 
 import argparse
+import importlib.util
 import io
 import sys
 from pathlib import Path
@@ -13,18 +14,31 @@ import fev
 import pandas as pd
 
 from src.task_groups import ALL_TASKS, DOMAIN_GROUPS, FREQUENCY_GROUPS, MINI_TASKS
-from src.utils import format_leaderboard
 
 GITHUB_REPO = "autogluon/fev"
 RESULTS_PATH = "benchmarks/fev_bench/results"
 
-# Constants from the main app
-BASELINE_MODEL = "Seasonal Naive"
-LEAKAGE_IMPUTATION_MODEL = "Chronos-Bolt"
-SORT_COL = "win_rate"
-N_RESAMPLES_FOR_CI = 1000
-TOP_K_MODELS_TO_PLOT = 15
-AVAILABLE_METRICS = ["SQL", "MASE", "WQL", "WAPE"]
+# Default location of the local fev clone (sibling of this repo); override with --fev-repo
+DEFAULT_FEV_REPO = Path(__file__).resolve().parent.parent / "core"
+
+
+def load_fev_bench_module(fev_repo: Path):
+    """Load shared compute logic from the fev repo's figure-generation script.
+
+    This keeps the leaderboard and the fev paper-figure script using a single source of truth for
+    the benchmark config (baseline/leakage models, metrics) and the leaderboard/pairwise compute.
+    """
+    script_path = fev_repo / "scripts" / "generate_fev_bench_figures.py"
+    if not script_path.exists():
+        raise FileNotFoundError(
+            f"Could not find the fev figure script at {script_path}. "
+            "Clone autogluon/fev next to this repo, or pass --fev-repo with your local fev checkout."
+        )
+    spec = importlib.util.spec_from_file_location("fev_bench_figures", script_path)
+    module = importlib.util.module_from_spec(spec)
+    spec.loader.exec_module(module)
+    return module
+
 
 # All task groups to generate tables for
 TASK_GROUPS = {
@@ -77,43 +91,12 @@ def load_summaries_from_github(commit: str) -> pd.DataFrame:
     return pd.concat(dfs, ignore_index=True)
 
 
-def compute_leaderboard(summaries: pd.DataFrame, metric_name: str) -> pd.DataFrame:
-    lb = fev.analysis.leaderboard(
-        summaries=summaries,
-        metric_column=metric_name,
-        missing_strategy="impute",
-        baseline_model=BASELINE_MODEL,
-        leakage_imputation_model=LEAKAGE_IMPUTATION_MODEL,
-        normalize_time_per_n_forecasts=100,
-    )
-    lb = lb.astype("float64").reset_index()
-
-    lb["skill_score"] = lb["skill_score"] * 100
-    lb["win_rate"] = lb["win_rate"] * 100
-    lb["num_failures"] = lb["num_failures"] / summaries["task_name"].nunique() * 100
-    return lb
-
-
-def compute_pairwise(summaries: pd.DataFrame, metric_name: str, included_models: list[str]) -> pd.DataFrame:
-    if BASELINE_MODEL not in included_models:
-        included_models = included_models + [BASELINE_MODEL]
-
-    return (
-        fev.analysis.pairwise_comparison(
-            summaries,
-            included_models=included_models,
-            metric_column=metric_name,
-            baseline_model=BASELINE_MODEL,
-            missing_strategy="impute",
-            n_resamples=N_RESAMPLES_FOR_CI,
-            leakage_imputation_model=LEAKAGE_IMPUTATION_MODEL,
-        )
-        .round(3)
-        .reset_index()
-    )
-
-
-def compute_pivot_table(summaries: pd.DataFrame, metric_name: str) -> tuple[pd.DataFrame, pd.DataFrame, pd.DataFrame]:
+def compute_pivot_table(
+    summaries: pd.DataFrame,
+    metric_name: str,
+    baseline_model: str,
+    leakage_imputation_model: str,
+) -> tuple[pd.DataFrame, pd.DataFrame, pd.DataFrame]:
     errors = fev.pivot_table(summaries=summaries, metric_column=metric_name, task_columns=["task_name"])
     train_overlap = (
         fev.pivot_table(summaries=summaries, metric_column="trained_on_this_dataset", task_columns=["task_name"])
@@ -125,10 +108,10 @@ def compute_pivot_table(summaries: pd.DataFrame, metric_name: str) -> tuple[pd.D
     is_leakage_imputed = train_overlap
 
     # Handle imputations
-    errors = errors.mask(train_overlap, errors[LEAKAGE_IMPUTATION_MODEL], axis=0)
+    errors = errors.mask(train_overlap, errors[leakage_imputation_model], axis=0)
     for col in errors.columns:
-        if col != BASELINE_MODEL:
-            errors[col] = errors[col].fillna(errors[BASELINE_MODEL])
+        if col != baseline_model:
+            errors[col] = errors[col].fillna(errors[baseline_model])
 
     errors = errors[errors.rank(axis=1).mean().sort_values().index]
     is_imputed_baseline = is_imputed_baseline[errors.columns]
@@ -170,8 +153,24 @@ def main():
         type=Path,
         help="Path to a local directory containing result CSV files (skips GitHub fetching)",
     )
+    parser.add_argument(
+        "--fev-repo",
+        type=Path,
+        default=DEFAULT_FEV_REPO,
+        help=f"Path to a local clone of the fev repo, used for shared compute logic (default: {DEFAULT_FEV_REPO})",
+    )
     args = parser.parse_args()
 
+    # Load shared benchmark config + compute layer from the fev repo (single source of truth)
+    fev_bench = load_fev_bench_module(args.fev_repo)
+    baseline_model = fev_bench.BASELINE_MODEL
+    leakage_imputation_model = fev_bench.LEAKAGE_IMPUTATION_MODEL
+    sort_col = fev_bench.SORT_COL
+    top_k_models_to_plot = fev_bench.TOP_K_MODELS_TO_PLOT
+    available_metrics = fev_bench.AVAILABLE_METRICS
+    compute_leaderboard = fev_bench.compute_leaderboard
+    compute_pairwise = fev_bench.compute_pairwise
+
     # Create tables directory
     tables_dir = Path("tables")
     tables_dir.mkdir(exist_ok=True)
@@ -188,9 +187,11 @@ def main():
     print("Saved: summaries.csv")
 
     # Generate pivot tables (full version only, at root level)
-    for metric in AVAILABLE_METRICS:
+    for metric in available_metrics:
         print(f"Processing pivot table for {metric}...")
-        pivot_df, baseline_imputed, leakage_imputed = compute_pivot_table(summaries, metric)
+        pivot_df, baseline_imputed, leakage_imputed = compute_pivot_table(
+            summaries, metric, baseline_model, leakage_imputation_model
+        )
         pivot_df.to_csv(tables_dir / f"pivot_{metric}.csv", index=False)
         baseline_imputed.to_csv(tables_dir / f"pivot_{metric}_baseline_imputed.csv", index=False)
         leakage_imputed.to_csv(tables_dir / f"pivot_{metric}_leakage_imputed.csv", index=False)
@@ -214,14 +215,14 @@ def main():
         actual_tasks = group_summaries["task_name"].nunique()
         print(f"  Found {actual_tasks} tasks in summaries")
 
-        for metric in AVAILABLE_METRICS:
+        for metric in available_metrics:
             # Compute leaderboard for this group
             leaderboard_df = compute_leaderboard(group_summaries, metric)
             leaderboard_df.to_csv(group_dir / f"leaderboard_{metric}.csv", index=False)
 
             # Get top models for pairwise comparison
             top_k_models = (
-                leaderboard_df.sort_values(by=SORT_COL, ascending=False).head(TOP_K_MODELS_TO_PLOT)["model_name"].tolist()
+                leaderboard_df.sort_values(by=sort_col, ascending=False).head(top_k_models_to_plot)["model_name"].tolist()
             )
 
             # Compute pairwise comparison

src/strings.py

@@ -48,7 +48,7 @@ Results for various forecasting models on 100 tasks of the **fev-bench** benchma
 FEV_BENCHMARK_DETAILS = f"""
 {TABLE_INFO}
 
-Task definitions and the detailed results are available on [GitHub](https://github.com/autogluon/fev/tree/main/benchmarks/). Datasets used for evaluation are available on [Hugging Face](https://huggingface.co/datasets/autogluon/fev_datasets).
+Task definitions and the detailed results are available on [GitHub](https://github.com/autogluon/fev/tree/main/benchmarks/fev_bench/). For model wrappers, see [`models/`](https://github.com/autogluon/fev/tree/main/models). Datasets used for evaluation are available on [Hugging Face](https://huggingface.co/datasets/autogluon/fev_datasets).
 """
 
 CITATION_HEADER = """

src/utils.py

@@ -48,9 +48,12 @@ MODEL_CONFIG = {
     "timesfm-2.5": ("google/timesfm-2.5-200m-pytorch", "Google", True, "pretrained"),
     # Toto Models
     "toto-1.0": ("Datadog/Toto-Open-Base-1.0", "Datadog", True, "pretrained"),
+    "toto-2.0-2.5b": ("Datadog/Toto-2.0-2.5B", "Datadog", True, "pretrained"),
+    "toto-2.0-22m": ("Datadog/Toto-2.0-22m", "Datadog", True, "pretrained"),
     # Other Models
     "tirex": ("NX-AI/TiRex", "NX-AI", True, "pretrained"),
     "tabpfn-ts": ("Prior-Labs/TabPFN-v2-reg", "Prior Labs", True, "pretrained"),
+    "tabpfn-ts-3": ("Prior-Labs/TabPFN-2.5-reg", "Prior Labs", True, "pretrained"),
     "sundial-base": ("thuml/sundial-base-128m", "Tsinghua University", True, "pretrained"),
     "ttm-r2": ("ibm-granite/granite-timeseries-ttm-r2", "IBM", True, "pretrained"),
     "flowstate": ("ibm-granite/granite-timeseries-flowstate-r1", "IBM", True, "pretrained"),
@@ -111,6 +114,25 @@ def get_metric_description(metric_name: str):
     return ALL_METRICS[metric_name][1]
 
 
+# Models excluded from the leaderboard display (redundant Toto-2.0 sizes; keep 2.5B and 22m)
+HIDDEN_MODELS = ["Toto-2.0-1B", "Toto-2.0-313m", "Toto-2.0-4m"]
+
+
+def filter_hidden_models(df: pd.DataFrame, model_column: str = "model_name") -> pd.DataFrame:
+    """Drop rows for models in HIDDEN_MODELS based on the given model-name column."""
+    return df[~df[model_column].isin(HIDDEN_MODELS)]
+
+
+def validate_model_metadata(model_names) -> None:
+    """Raise if any displayed model lacks a MODEL_CONFIG entry (organization, link, type, etc.)."""
+    missing = sorted({m for m in model_names if MODEL_CONFIG.get(m.lower()) is None})
+    if missing:
+        raise ValueError(
+            f"Missing MODEL_CONFIG metadata (organization, link, type) for models: {missing}. "
+            "Add entries to MODEL_CONFIG in src/utils.py."
+        )
+
+
 def get_model_link(model_name):
     config = MODEL_CONFIG.get(model_name.lower())
     if not config or not config[0]:
@@ -233,9 +255,10 @@ def construct_bar_chart(df: pd.DataFrame, col: str, metric_name: str):
 
 
 def construct_pairwise_chart(df: pd.DataFrame, col: str, metric_name: str):
+    # Color ranges kept in sync with the fev repo's generate_fev_bench_figures.py
     config = {
         "win_rate": ("Win Rate", [0, 100], 50, f"abs(datum.{col} - 50) > 30"),
-        "skill_score": ("Skill Score", [-15, 15], 0, f"abs(datum.{col}) > 10"),
+        "skill_score": ("Skill Score", [-30, 30], 0, f"abs(datum.{col}) > 20"),
     }
     cbar_label, domain, domain_mid, text_condition = config[col]
 

tables/domain_cloud/leaderboard_MASE.csv

@@ -1,22 +1,28 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Toto-1.0,92.00000000000001,41.88927928450025,0.0,45.854219394249995,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-2,90.0,42.51579967639686,0.0,1.1862588189,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,84.50000000000001,40.26605676264323,0.0,6.434508300230608,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,79.5,38.09940061802194,0.0,0.20884203875396826,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,66.25000000000001,35.5798994200739,0.0,0.35171731723214283,0.1,0.0
-FlowState,63.5,30.68598311802213,0.0,12.472611368300264,0.0,0.0
-TFT,61.87499999999999,34.39379489295074,1003.5120332510221,1.1076982505700976,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,61.0,34.444932595485724,0.0,7.874095355196429,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,60.24999999999999,34.304846616783294,1068.4652680383783,0.7892402496428571,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,59.25,30.890375949929528,0.0,0.21284866287857143,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,55.49999999999999,31.182648441489537,0.0,285.2805137923404,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,52.49999999999999,28.99041616417205,123.37088255733154,0.43462186795918367,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,47.0,25.641579380120593,1590.4637105111146,1.558186748969388,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,39.49999999999999,21.217567102831968,7.053590123430682,0.3469036807346939,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,31.375000000000004,12.457381191619765,0.0,140.07917045413043,0.0,5.0
-AutoARIMA,28.125,13.156560456056853,0.0,18.324502920714288,0.0,5.0
-AutoTheta,20.75,6.832233363582574,0.0,4.0546638315458425,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,20.375,9.008132945543156,0.0,2.9907604154761906,0.0,15.0
-Naive,17.0,-25.50199781747715,0.0,0.43933051720441596,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,13.25,0.0,0.0,0.5176203110585994,0.0,0.0
-Drift,6.500000000000002,-32.85429098273796,0.0,0.4190869192562794,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,96.15384615384616,47.105140103596796,0.0,5.064579399732653,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,95.38461538461539,47.049179559947774,0.0,2.3743196950416188,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,92.3076923076923,46.485472580621256,0.0,0.9745701860666667,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,84.03846153846153,43.92623198246986,0.0,0.13920661274489796,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,78.46153846153847,41.88927928450025,0.0,45.854219394249995,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,75.76923076923077,42.51579967639686,0.0,1.1862588189,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,73.07692307692307,40.931171483779714,0.0,0.09261558033545919,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,70.57692307692308,40.26605676264323,0.0,6.434508300230608,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,65.96153846153847,38.09940061802194,0.0,0.20884203875396826,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,53.46153846153846,35.5798994200739,0.0,0.35171731723214283,0.1,0.0
+FlowState,52.88461538461537,30.68598311802213,0.0,12.472611368300264,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,52.11538461538462,34.02528132692776,0.0,431.5150328579276,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,50.0,34.304846616783294,1068.4652680383783,0.7892402496428571,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,49.61538461538462,34.444932595485724,0.0,7.874095355196429,0.0,0.0
+TFT,49.51923076923076,34.39379489295074,1003.5120332510221,1.1076982505700976,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,47.69230769230769,30.890375949929528,0.0,0.21284866287857143,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,45.19230769230769,31.182648441489537,0.0,285.2805137923404,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,41.730769230769226,28.99041616417205,123.37088255733154,0.43462186795918367,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,37.5,25.641579380120593,1590.4637105111146,1.558186748969388,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,30.961538461538456,21.217567102831968,7.053590123430682,0.3469036807346939,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,24.71153846153846,12.457381191619765,0.0,140.07917045413043,0.0,5.0
+AutoARIMA,22.01923076923077,13.156560456056853,0.0,18.324502920714288,0.0,5.0
+AutoTheta,16.153846153846153,6.832233363582574,0.0,4.0546638315458425,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,16.057692307692307,9.008132945543156,0.0,2.9907604154761906,0.0,15.0
+Naive,13.076923076923078,-25.50199781747715,0.0,0.43933051720441596,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,10.576923076923077,0.0,0.0,0.5176203110585994,0.0,0.0
+Drift,5.0,-32.85429098273796,0.0,0.4190869192562794,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_cloud/leaderboard_SQL.csv

@@ -1,22 +1,28 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Toto-1.0,93.0,63.05875031595707,0.0,45.854219394249995,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-2,91.24999999999999,63.92789670076326,0.0,1.1862588189,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,85.50000000000001,61.98663035039822,0.0,6.434508300230608,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,82.5,60.871565834690514,0.0,0.20884203875396826,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,70.25,58.416109773202194,0.0,0.35171731723214283,0.1,0.0
-FlowState,67.0,55.917373913965896,0.0,12.472611368300264,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,63.37499999999999,56.65838528437654,1068.4652680383783,0.7892402496428571,0.0,0.0
-TFT,62.74999999999999,56.101100728840805,1003.5120332510221,1.1076982505700976,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,59.25,54.85929046462743,0.0,0.21284866287857143,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,58.750000000000014,56.64773521043558,0.0,7.874095355196429,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,56.25,54.882167458139385,0.0,285.2805137923404,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,51.12500000000001,50.20430422932948,1590.4637105111146,1.558186748969388,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,42.75000000000001,46.25315473529981,123.37088255733154,0.43462186795918367,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,34.75,40.369919076130486,7.053590123430682,0.3469036807346939,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,33.87500000000001,34.1099179045811,0.0,18.324502920714288,0.0,5.0
-Stat. Ensemble,30.375000000000004,21.741616773476768,0.0,140.07917045413043,0.0,5.0
-AutoETS,21.624999999999996,-26.853793282334813,0.0,2.9907604154761906,0.0,15.0
-AutoTheta,16.0,-2.114517117703918,0.0,4.0546638315458425,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,15.875,0.0,0.0,0.5176203110585994,0.0,0.0
-Naive,10.75,-102.14853947002402,0.0,0.43933051720441596,0.0,0.0
-Drift,3.0000000000000004,-110.24318719846286,0.0,0.4190869192562794,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,96.92307692307693,66.67609437659667,0.0,5.064579399732653,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,95.57692307692308,66.67229326421315,0.0,2.3743196950416188,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,92.6923076923077,66.42835118245338,0.0,0.9745701860666667,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,85.38461538461539,64.64905946685398,0.0,0.13920661274489796,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,78.46153846153844,63.05875031595707,0.0,45.854219394249995,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,76.92307692307693,63.92789670076326,0.0,1.1862588189,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,74.8076923076923,62.51740509789393,0.0,0.09261558033545919,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,70.76923076923077,61.98663035039822,0.0,6.434508300230608,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,67.6923076923077,60.871565834690514,0.0,0.20884203875396826,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,59.23076923076924,59.42246884042356,0.0,431.5150328579276,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,56.15384615384615,58.416109773202194,0.0,0.35171731723214283,0.1,0.0
+FlowState,55.00000000000001,55.917373913965896,0.0,12.472611368300264,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,51.05769230769231,56.65838528437654,1068.4652680383783,0.7892402496428571,0.0,0.0
+TFT,49.807692307692314,56.101100728840805,1003.5120332510221,1.1076982505700976,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,46.92307692307692,54.85929046462743,0.0,0.21284866287857143,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,46.73076923076923,56.64773521043558,0.0,7.874095355196429,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,44.80769230769231,54.882167458139385,0.0,285.2805137923404,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,40.09615384615385,50.20430422932948,1590.4637105111146,1.558186748969388,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,33.07692307692308,46.25315473529981,123.37088255733154,0.43462186795918367,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,26.73076923076923,40.369919076130486,7.053590123430682,0.3469036807346939,0.0,0.0
+AutoARIMA,26.05769230769231,34.1099179045811,0.0,18.324502920714288,0.0,5.0
+Stat. Ensemble,23.365384615384613,21.741616773476768,0.0,140.07917045413043,0.0,5.0
+AutoETS,16.634615384615387,-26.853793282334813,0.0,2.9907604154761906,0.0,15.0
+AutoTheta,12.307692307692308,-2.114517117703918,0.0,4.0546638315458425,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,12.211538461538462,0.0,0.0,0.5176203110585994,0.0,0.0
+Naive,8.26923076923077,-102.14853947002402,0.0,0.43933051720441596,0.0,0.0
+Drift,2.3076923076923084,-110.24318719846286,0.0,0.4190869192562794,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_cloud/leaderboard_WAPE.csv

@@ -1,22 +1,28 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Toto-1.0,92.25000000000001,47.09252281338565,0.0,45.854219394249995,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-2,91.50000000000003,50.57276323971893,0.0,1.1862588189,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,84.50000000000001,46.24771958720855,0.0,6.434508300230608,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,79.25,44.520635260445665,0.0,0.20884203875396826,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,70.0,44.39308253523333,0.0,12.472611368300264,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,68.25,42.79254856807111,0.0,0.35171731723214283,0.1,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,63.25000000000001,42.304181829008726,0.0,285.2805137923404,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,61.999999999999986,42.75818805959519,1068.4652680383783,0.7892402496428571,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,61.5,39.89366883509092,0.0,0.21284866287857143,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,61.5,41.966358434053696,0.0,7.874095355196429,0.0,0.0
-TFT,58.62499999999999,37.9920627846737,1003.5120332510221,1.1076982505700976,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,49.25000000000001,34.58752644878078,123.37088255733154,0.43462186795918367,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,47.00000000000001,31.125782577257844,1590.4637105111146,1.558186748969388,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,39.0,27.03716130150796,7.053590123430682,0.3469036807346939,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,28.625,17.59542897915567,0.0,140.07917045413043,0.0,5.0
-AutoARIMA,24.874999999999996,16.5309827995087,0.0,18.324502920714288,0.0,5.0
-AutoETS,19.124999999999996,5.6618608202705705,0.0,2.9907604154761906,0.0,15.0
-AutoTheta,17.25,12.660865320459136,0.0,4.0546638315458425,0.0,0.0
-Naive,16.25,4.49837321934039,0.0,0.43933051720441596,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,10.0,0.0,0.0,0.5176203110585994,0.0,0.0
-Drift,6.0,-1.7537853153904326,0.0,0.4190869192562794,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,96.92307692307693,53.71035361627254,0.0,5.064579399732653,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,95.19230769230768,53.096830919470946,0.0,2.3743196950416188,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,92.88461538461537,52.69411150627982,0.0,0.9745701860666667,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,85.57692307692307,50.191472774349634,0.0,0.13920661274489796,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,77.8846153846154,50.57276323971893,0.0,1.1862588189,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,77.50000000000001,47.09252281338565,0.0,45.854219394249995,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,72.88461538461539,47.10219495180865,0.0,0.09261558033545919,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,69.42307692307695,46.24771958720855,0.0,6.434508300230608,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,65.00000000000001,44.520635260445665,0.0,0.20884203875396826,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,58.269230769230774,46.210313482546184,0.0,431.5150328579276,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,57.30769230769231,44.39308253523333,0.0,12.472611368300264,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,54.807692307692314,42.79254856807111,0.0,0.35171731723214283,0.1,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,51.53846153846155,42.304181829008726,0.0,285.2805137923404,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,50.76923076923078,42.75818805959519,1068.4652680383783,0.7892402496428571,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,49.23076923076924,41.966358434053696,0.0,7.874095355196429,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,48.84615384615385,39.89366883509092,0.0,0.21284866287857143,0.0,0.0
+TFT,46.44230769230769,37.9920627846737,1003.5120332510221,1.1076982505700976,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,38.26923076923077,34.58752644878078,123.37088255733154,0.43462186795918367,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,37.3076923076923,31.125782577257844,1590.4637105111146,1.558186748969388,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,30.0,27.03716130150796,7.053590123430682,0.3469036807346939,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,22.01923076923077,17.59542897915567,0.0,140.07917045413043,0.0,5.0
+AutoARIMA,19.134615384615383,16.5309827995087,0.0,18.324502920714288,0.0,5.0
+AutoETS,14.711538461538462,5.6618608202705705,0.0,2.9907604154761906,0.0,15.0
+AutoTheta,13.26923076923077,12.660865320459136,0.0,4.0546638315458425,0.0,0.0
+Naive,12.5,4.49837321934039,0.0,0.43933051720441596,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,7.6923076923076925,0.0,0.0,0.5176203110585994,0.0,0.0
+Drift,4.615384615384617,-1.7537853153904326,0.0,0.4190869192562794,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_cloud/leaderboard_WQL.csv

@@ -1,22 +1,28 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Chronos-2,92.75000000000003,66.94397676250325,0.0,1.1862588189,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,91.5,64.46135334372015,0.0,45.854219394249995,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,84.50000000000001,63.7537487246866,0.0,6.434508300230608,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,82.99999999999999,62.74382048246822,0.0,0.20884203875396826,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,73.25000000000001,62.649468493586056,0.0,12.472611368300264,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,72.0,61.08750954950368,0.0,0.35171731723214283,0.1,0.0
-PatchTST,65.12499999999999,59.71037333425973,1068.4652680383783,0.7892402496428571,0.0,0.0
-TFT,61.74999999999999,55.556509382143545,1003.5120332510221,1.1076982505700976,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,60.25,58.15816295699815,0.0,0.21284866287857143,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,59.999999999999986,58.432181218600874,0.0,285.2805137923404,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,57.50000000000001,59.21372871831863,0.0,7.874095355196429,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,50.62500000000002,50.79429174981283,1590.4637105111146,1.558186748969388,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,42.5,46.843426009989976,123.37088255733154,0.43462186795918367,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,35.75000000000001,40.70772252024998,7.053590123430682,0.3469036807346939,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,31.375000000000004,34.821696297938075,0.0,18.324502920714288,0.0,5.0
-Stat. Ensemble,27.125,22.34504540092107,0.0,140.07917045413043,0.0,5.0
-AutoETS,18.125,-39.995047645386684,0.0,2.9907604154761906,0.0,15.0
-AutoTheta,15.499999999999996,7.361982676335321,0.0,4.0546638315458425,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,14.375000000000002,0.0,0.0,0.5176203110585994,0.0,0.0
-Naive,9.75,-64.9788901369484,0.0,0.43933051720441596,0.0,0.0
-Drift,3.2499999999999996,-71.7471743825873,0.0,0.4190869192562794,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,97.88461538461539,69.03469555605878,0.0,5.064579399732653,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,95.57692307692308,68.75529346896873,0.0,2.3743196950416188,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,92.3076923076923,68.41066967488192,0.0,0.9745701860666667,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,85.57692307692307,66.78327813931047,0.0,0.13920661274489796,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,78.65384615384616,66.94397676250325,0.0,1.1862588189,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,76.15384615384617,64.46135334372015,0.0,45.854219394249995,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,74.23076923076923,64.42603072886158,0.0,0.09261558033545919,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,69.03846153846153,63.7537487246866,0.0,6.434508300230608,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,67.5,62.74382048246822,0.0,0.20884203875396826,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,63.07692307692309,64.3601359782909,0.0,431.5150328579276,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,59.80769230769231,62.649468493586056,0.0,12.472611368300264,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,57.30769230769231,61.08750954950368,0.0,0.35171731723214283,0.1,0.0
+PatchTST,52.211538461538474,59.71037333425973,1068.4652680383783,0.7892402496428571,0.0,0.0
+TFT,49.03846153846153,55.556509382143545,1003.5120332510221,1.1076982505700976,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,47.5,58.432181218600874,0.0,285.2805137923404,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,46.92307692307692,58.15816295699815,0.0,0.21284866287857143,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,45.38461538461539,59.21372871831863,0.0,7.874095355196429,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,39.71153846153846,50.79429174981283,1590.4637105111146,1.558186748969388,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,32.69230769230769,46.843426009989976,123.37088255733154,0.43462186795918367,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,27.500000000000004,40.70772252024998,7.053590123430682,0.3469036807346939,0.0,0.0
+AutoARIMA,24.134615384615383,34.821696297938075,0.0,18.324502920714288,0.0,5.0
+Stat. Ensemble,20.865384615384613,22.34504540092107,0.0,140.07917045413043,0.0,5.0
+AutoETS,13.942307692307693,-39.995047645386684,0.0,2.9907604154761906,0.0,15.0
+AutoTheta,11.923076923076922,7.361982676335321,0.0,4.0546638315458425,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,11.057692307692307,0.0,0.0,0.5176203110585994,0.0,0.0
+Naive,7.500000000000001,-64.9788901369484,0.0,0.43933051720441596,0.0,0.0
+Drift,2.5,-71.7471743825873,0.0,0.4190869192562794,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_cloud/pairwise_MASE.csv

@@ -1,257 +1,290 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.001,-0.011,0.012
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.012,0.002,0.024
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.057,0.031,0.088
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.09,0.05,0.136
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.08,0.048,0.124
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.105,0.061,0.155
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.114,0.07,0.181
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.145,0.082,0.223
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.237,0.125,0.356
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.179,0.114,0.268
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.198,0.107,0.308
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.194,0.136,0.259
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.195,0.12,0.276
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Sundial-Base,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.193,0.121,0.274
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.235,0.163,0.308
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.471,0.37,0.587
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.001,-0.012,0.011
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.011,0.001,0.022
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.056,0.028,0.092
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.089,0.051,0.132
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.079,0.042,0.127
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.104,0.06,0.157
+Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.114,0.068,0.183
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.145,0.084,0.223
+Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.236,0.115,0.36
+Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.178,0.112,0.271
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.197,0.101,0.318
+Toto-2.0-1B,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.193,0.137,0.254
+Toto-2.0-1B,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.194,0.117,0.277
+Toto-2.0-1B,Sundial-Base,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.192,0.113,0.275
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.234,0.16,0.311
+Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.47,0.372,0.586
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.012,-0.024,-0.002
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.011,-0.023,-0.001
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.046,0.025,0.076
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.079,0.045,0.121
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.069,0.033,0.115
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.094,0.056,0.144
+Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.104,0.058,0.173
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.135,0.076,0.212
+Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.228,0.113,0.349
+Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.169,0.107,0.26
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.189,0.093,0.302
+Toto-2.0-313m,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.184,0.131,0.249
+Toto-2.0-313m,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.185,0.105,0.268
+Toto-2.0-313m,Sundial-Base,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.184,0.104,0.266
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.226,0.157,0.3
+Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.465,0.364,0.583
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.06,-0.096,-0.032
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.059,-0.102,-0.029
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.048,-0.082,-0.026
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.035,0.012,0.064
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.025,-0.013,0.052
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.051,0.03,0.076
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+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.094,0.047,0.149
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+Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.13,0.081,0.2
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.15,0.058,0.249
+Toto-2.0-22m,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.145,0.093,0.21
+Toto-2.0-22m,PatchTST,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.146,0.069,0.221
+Toto-2.0-22m,Sundial-Base,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.145,0.073,0.217
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.189,0.128,0.252
+Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.439,0.34,0.551
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.099,-0.157,-0.052
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 Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.65,0.45,0.85,-0.011,-0.063,0.027
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.7,0.45,0.9,0.016,-0.007,0.04
 Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.027,-0.02,0.072
 Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.061,0.027,0.114
-Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.098,0.052,0.164
 Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.162,0.041,0.286
+Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.098,0.052,0.164
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 Toto-1.0,TFT,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.114,0.071,0.159
-Toto-1.0,Sundial-Base,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.114,0.037,0.182
 Toto-1.0,PatchTST,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.115,0.034,0.185
+Toto-1.0,Sundial-Base,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.114,0.037,0.182
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.159,0.094,0.224
-Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.156,0.082,0.237
-Toto-1.0,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.182,0.123,0.255
-Toto-1.0,DeepAR,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.219,0.136,0.34
-Toto-1.0,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.262,0.17,0.377
-Toto-1.0,Stat. Ensemble,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.336,0.244,0.439
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.419,0.323,0.528
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.087,-0.141,-0.05
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 Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.35,0.15,0.55,0.011,-0.028,0.059
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.35,0.8,0.027,-0.006,0.067
 Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.038,0.009,0.071
 Chronos-2,TiRex,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.071,0.022,0.128
-Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.108,0.053,0.168
 Chronos-2,FlowState,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.171,0.067,0.29
+Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.108,0.053,0.168
+Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.129,0.052,0.222
 Chronos-2,TFT,0.85,0.699,1.0,0.124,0.065,0.193
-Chronos-2,Sundial-Base,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.123,0.07,0.182
 Chronos-2,PatchTST,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.125,0.065,0.189
+Chronos-2,Sundial-Base,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.123,0.07,0.182
 Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.168,0.101,0.231
-Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.165,0.099,0.241
-Chronos-2,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.19,0.13,0.258
-Chronos-2,DeepAR,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.227,0.129,0.346
-Chronos-2,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.27,0.186,0.379
-Chronos-2,Stat. Ensemble,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.343,0.247,0.444
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.425,0.331,0.534
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.117,-0.184,-0.065
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+Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.083,0.05,0.134
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+Toto-2.0-4m,TFT,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.1,0.046,0.16
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+Toto-2.0-4m,Sundial-Base,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.099,0.025,0.157
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.145,0.092,0.201
+Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.409,0.315,0.516
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.129,-0.22,-0.075
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.128,-0.224,-0.073
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 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.028,-0.078,0.02
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.039,-0.077,-0.009
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 TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.035,-0.0,0.077
-TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.073,0.035,0.115
 TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.138,0.03,0.267
+TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.073,0.035,0.115
+TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.095,0.024,0.186
 TimesFM-2.5,TFT,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.09,0.017,0.163
-TimesFM-2.5,Sundial-Base,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.089,0.041,0.137
 TimesFM-2.5,PatchTST,0.8,0.649,0.95,0.091,0.037,0.142
+TimesFM-2.5,Sundial-Base,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.089,0.041,0.137
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.136,0.068,0.199
-TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.132,0.065,0.213
-TimesFM-2.5,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.159,0.112,0.209
-TimesFM-2.5,DeepAR,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.197,0.114,0.296
-TimesFM-2.5,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.242,0.161,0.341
-TimesFM-2.5,Stat. Ensemble,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.318,0.234,0.407
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.403,0.318,0.501
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.17,-0.287,-0.09
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.169,-0.287,-0.092
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.157,-0.27,-0.083
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 TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.065,-0.129,-0.028
 TiRex,Chronos-2,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.077,-0.146,-0.022
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.048,-0.091,-0.017
 TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.036,-0.083,0.0
 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.039,0.014,0.065
 TiRex,FlowState,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.107,-0.02,0.236
+TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.039,0.014,0.065
+TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.062,-0.03,0.149
 TiRex,TFT,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.056,-0.02,0.121
-TiRex,Sundial-Base,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.056,-0.026,0.115
 TiRex,PatchTST,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.058,-0.029,0.118
+TiRex,Sundial-Base,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.056,-0.026,0.115
 TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.104,0.038,0.166
-TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.101,0.027,0.176
-TiRex,CatBoost,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.128,0.082,0.178
-TiRex,DeepAR,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.168,0.1,0.259
-TiRex,LightGBM,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.214,0.136,0.316
-TiRex,Stat. Ensemble,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.293,0.211,0.384
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.381,0.295,0.476
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.109,-0.196,-0.055
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.121,-0.202,-0.056
-Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.078,-0.13,-0.036
-Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.041,-0.07,-0.015
-Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.071,-0.062,0.201
-Moirai-2.0,TFT,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.018,-0.08,0.104
-Moirai-2.0,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.017,-0.056,0.065
-Moirai-2.0,PatchTST,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.019,-0.064,0.081
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.65,0.425,0.825,0.068,-0.002,0.135
-Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.064,-0.007,0.143
-Moirai-2.0,CatBoost,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.093,0.044,0.145
-Moirai-2.0,DeepAR,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.134,0.067,0.219
-Moirai-2.0,LightGBM,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.182,0.102,0.29
-Moirai-2.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.264,0.181,0.354
-Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.356,0.268,0.451
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 FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.193,-0.401,-0.043
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.206,-0.408,-0.072
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 FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.16,-0.363,-0.031
 FlowState,TiRex,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.12,-0.308,0.02
-FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.076,-0.251,0.058
 FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.076,-0.251,0.058
+FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.051,-0.155,0.045
 FlowState,TFT,0.55,0.3,0.75,-0.057,-0.249,0.076
-FlowState,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.25,0.7,-0.057,-0.195,0.034
 FlowState,PatchTST,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.055,-0.227,0.056
+FlowState,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.25,0.7,-0.057,-0.195,0.034
 FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.003,-0.136,0.112
-FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.55,0.35,0.75,-0.007,-0.123,0.099
-FlowState,CatBoost,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.024,-0.165,0.147
-FlowState,DeepAR,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.068,-0.138,0.239
-FlowState,LightGBM,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.12,-0.029,0.25
-FlowState,Stat. Ensemble,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.208,0.067,0.328
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.307,0.147,0.442
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.218,-0.367,-0.129
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.217,-0.371,-0.126
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+Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.024,-0.061,0.104
+Moirai-2.0,TFT,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.018,-0.08,0.104
+Moirai-2.0,PatchTST,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.019,-0.064,0.081
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+Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.65,0.425,0.825,0.068,-0.002,0.135
+Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.356,0.268,0.451
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.247,-0.446,-0.12
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.246,-0.466,-0.113
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.233,-0.432,-0.103
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.177,-0.331,-0.061
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+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.148,-0.286,-0.055
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+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.066,-0.176,0.03
+TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.048,-0.047,0.134
+TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.024,-0.116,0.057
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,TFT,0.6,0.4,0.8,-0.006,-0.164,0.102
+TabPFN-TS-3,PatchTST,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.004,-0.118,0.077
+TabPFN-TS-3,Sundial-Base,0.55,0.35,0.75,-0.006,-0.078,0.047
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.45,0.25,0.65,0.045,-0.057,0.144
+TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.34,0.224,0.444
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+TFT,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.17,-0.266,-0.102
 TFT,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.129,-0.188,-0.076
 TFT,Chronos-2,0.15,0.0,0.301,-0.141,-0.239,-0.069
+TFT,Toto-2.0-4m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.111,-0.191,-0.048
 TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.098,-0.194,-0.017
 TFT,TiRex,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.06,-0.138,0.02
-TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.018,-0.117,0.074
 TFT,FlowState,0.45,0.25,0.7,0.053,-0.082,0.2
+TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.018,-0.117,0.074
+TFT,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.2,0.6,0.006,-0.113,0.141
 TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TFT,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.001,-0.1,0.085
 TFT,PatchTST,0.575,0.375,0.8,0.001,-0.11,0.092
+TFT,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.001,-0.1,0.085
 TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.051,-0.051,0.135
-TFT,TabPFN-TS,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.047,-0.059,0.154
-TFT,CatBoost,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.076,-0.018,0.182
-TFT,DeepAR,0.625,0.425,0.825,0.118,0.022,0.265
-TFT,LightGBM,0.8,0.65,0.95,0.167,0.04,0.319
-TFT,Stat. Ensemble,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.251,0.14,0.37
 TFT,Seasonal Naive,0.925,0.824,1.0,0.344,0.234,0.473
-Sundial-Base,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.128,-0.223,-0.038
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-2,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.14,-0.222,-0.075
-Sundial-Base,TimesFM-2.5,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.097,-0.159,-0.043
-Sundial-Base,TiRex,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.059,-0.129,0.025
-Sundial-Base,Moirai-2.0,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.018,-0.069,0.053
-Sundial-Base,FlowState,0.5,0.3,0.75,0.054,-0.035,0.163
-Sundial-Base,TFT,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.001,-0.093,0.091
-Sundial-Base,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,PatchTST,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.002,-0.049,0.047
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.25,0.7,0.051,-0.023,0.126
-Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.047,-0.03,0.119
-Sundial-Base,CatBoost,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.077,0.0,0.151
-Sundial-Base,DeepAR,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.118,0.023,0.231
-Sundial-Base,LightGBM,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.168,0.074,0.284
-Sundial-Base,Stat. Ensemble,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.251,0.159,0.35
-Sundial-Base,Seasonal Naive,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.344,0.246,0.453
+PatchTST,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.242,-0.381,-0.137
+PatchTST,Toto-2.0-1B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.241,-0.383,-0.132
+PatchTST,Toto-2.0-313m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.228,-0.366,-0.118
+PatchTST,Toto-2.0-22m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.172,-0.283,-0.074
 PatchTST,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.131,-0.227,-0.035
 PatchTST,Chronos-2,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.143,-0.234,-0.07
+PatchTST,Toto-2.0-4m,0.15,0.0,0.301,-0.112,-0.197,-0.02
 PatchTST,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.05,0.351,-0.1,-0.166,-0.038
 PatchTST,TiRex,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.061,-0.134,0.028
-PatchTST,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.02,-0.089,0.06
 PatchTST,FlowState,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.052,-0.059,0.185
+PatchTST,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.02,-0.089,0.06
+PatchTST,TabPFN-TS-3,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.004,-0.084,0.105
 PatchTST,TFT,0.425,0.2,0.625,-0.001,-0.101,0.099
-PatchTST,Sundial-Base,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.002,-0.049,0.046
 PatchTST,PatchTST,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,Sundial-Base,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.002,-0.049,0.046
 PatchTST,Chronos-Bolt,0.45,0.2,0.65,0.049,-0.039,0.137
-PatchTST,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.045,-0.055,0.144
-PatchTST,CatBoost,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.075,-0.003,0.155
-PatchTST,DeepAR,0.7,0.5,0.875,0.117,0.017,0.235
-PatchTST,LightGBM,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.166,0.07,0.287
-PatchTST,Stat. Ensemble,0.875,0.725,1.0,0.25,0.165,0.344
 PatchTST,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.775,1.0,0.343,0.237,0.456
+Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.239,-0.378,-0.138
+Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-1B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.238,-0.378,-0.128
+Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-313m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.225,-0.362,-0.117
+Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-22m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.169,-0.277,-0.079
+Sundial-Base,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.128,-0.223,-0.038
+Sundial-Base,Chronos-2,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.14,-0.222,-0.075
+Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-4m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.11,-0.186,-0.025
+Sundial-Base,TimesFM-2.5,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.097,-0.159,-0.043
+Sundial-Base,TiRex,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.059,-0.129,0.025
+Sundial-Base,FlowState,0.5,0.3,0.75,0.054,-0.035,0.163
+Sundial-Base,Moirai-2.0,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.018,-0.069,0.053
+Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS-3,0.45,0.25,0.65,0.006,-0.049,0.073
+Sundial-Base,TFT,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.001,-0.093,0.091
+Sundial-Base,PatchTST,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.002,-0.049,0.047
+Sundial-Base,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.25,0.7,0.051,-0.023,0.126
+Sundial-Base,Seasonal Naive,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.344,0.246,0.453
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.307,-0.445,-0.194
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.305,-0.452,-0.191
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.291,-0.429,-0.186
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.232,-0.336,-0.147
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.189,-0.288,-0.104
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.202,-0.3,-0.112
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.17,-0.252,-0.101
 Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.157,-0.248,-0.073
 Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.116,-0.198,-0.039
-Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.35,0.175,0.575,-0.073,-0.156,0.002
 Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.003,-0.127,0.12
+Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.35,0.175,0.575,-0.073,-0.156,0.002
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.55,0.35,0.75,-0.048,-0.169,0.054
 Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.053,-0.156,0.049
-Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.3,0.75,-0.054,-0.144,0.022
 Chronos-Bolt,PatchTST,0.55,0.35,0.8,-0.052,-0.159,0.037
+Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.3,0.75,-0.054,-0.144,0.022
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.55,0.35,0.75,-0.004,-0.119,0.091
-Chronos-Bolt,CatBoost,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.027,-0.069,0.119
-Chronos-Bolt,DeepAR,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.071,-0.053,0.212
-Chronos-Bolt,LightGBM,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.123,0.02,0.247
-Chronos-Bolt,Stat. Ensemble,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.211,0.106,0.324
 Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.309,0.185,0.434
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.184,-0.311,-0.09
-TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.197,-0.318,-0.11
-TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.152,-0.27,-0.07
-TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.112,-0.214,-0.028
-TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.068,-0.167,0.007
-TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.45,0.25,0.65,0.007,-0.11,0.109
-TabPFN-TS,TFT,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.049,-0.182,0.056
-TabPFN-TS,Sundial-Base,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.05,-0.135,0.029
-TabPFN-TS,PatchTST,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.048,-0.168,0.053
-TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.45,0.25,0.65,0.004,-0.1,0.106
-TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,CatBoost,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.031,-0.093,0.135
-TabPFN-TS,DeepAR,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.075,-0.055,0.195
-TabPFN-TS,LightGBM,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.126,-0.001,0.259
-TabPFN-TS,Stat. Ensemble,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.214,0.071,0.347
-TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.312,0.171,0.441
-CatBoost,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.222,-0.342,-0.14
-CatBoost,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.235,-0.347,-0.15
-CatBoost,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.189,-0.264,-0.127
-CatBoost,TiRex,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.147,-0.217,-0.09
-CatBoost,Moirai-2.0,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.102,-0.17,-0.046
-CatBoost,FlowState,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.024,-0.172,0.142
-CatBoost,TFT,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.082,-0.223,0.018
-CatBoost,Sundial-Base,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.083,-0.177,-0.0
-CatBoost,PatchTST,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.081,-0.183,0.003
-CatBoost,Chronos-Bolt,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.027,-0.135,0.064
-CatBoost,TabPFN-TS,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.032,-0.157,0.085
-CatBoost,CatBoost,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,DeepAR,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.045,-0.055,0.142
-CatBoost,LightGBM,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.099,0.036,0.185
-CatBoost,Stat. Ensemble,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.189,0.115,0.265
-CatBoost,Seasonal Naive,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.29,0.213,0.377
-DeepAR,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.28,-0.514,-0.157
-DeepAR,Chronos-2,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.294,-0.529,-0.148
-DeepAR,TimesFM-2.5,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.245,-0.421,-0.129
-DeepAR,TiRex,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.201,-0.35,-0.111
-DeepAR,Moirai-2.0,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.154,-0.28,-0.072
-DeepAR,FlowState,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.073,-0.315,0.122
-DeepAR,TFT,0.375,0.175,0.575,-0.133,-0.361,-0.022
-DeepAR,Sundial-Base,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.134,-0.301,-0.024
-DeepAR,PatchTST,0.3,0.125,0.5,-0.132,-0.307,-0.018
-DeepAR,Chronos-Bolt,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.076,-0.27,0.05
-DeepAR,TabPFN-TS,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.081,-0.242,0.053
-DeepAR,CatBoost,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.047,-0.165,0.053
-DeepAR,DeepAR,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,LightGBM,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.056,-0.065,0.198
-DeepAR,Stat. Ensemble,0.725,0.525,0.9,0.151,0.055,0.254
-DeepAR,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.775,1.0,0.256,0.171,0.346
-LightGBM,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.356,-0.604,-0.205
-LightGBM,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.371,-0.61,-0.228
-LightGBM,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.319,-0.518,-0.192
-LightGBM,TiRex,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.273,-0.462,-0.158
-LightGBM,Moirai-2.0,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.223,-0.409,-0.113
-LightGBM,FlowState,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.137,-0.333,0.029
-LightGBM,TFT,0.2,0.05,0.35,-0.201,-0.469,-0.041
-LightGBM,Sundial-Base,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.202,-0.397,-0.08
-LightGBM,PatchTST,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.199,-0.402,-0.075
-LightGBM,Chronos-Bolt,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.14,-0.329,-0.02
-LightGBM,TabPFN-TS,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.145,-0.349,0.001
-LightGBM,CatBoost,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.109,-0.227,-0.037
-LightGBM,DeepAR,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.059,-0.247,0.061
-LightGBM,LightGBM,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,Stat. Ensemble,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.1,0.011,0.184
-LightGBM,Seasonal Naive,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.212,0.108,0.31
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.506,-0.784,-0.322
-Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.523,-0.799,-0.328
-Stat. Ensemble,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.466,-0.687,-0.306
-Stat. Ensemble,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.414,-0.625,-0.267
-Stat. Ensemble,Moirai-2.0,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.359,-0.549,-0.221
-Stat. Ensemble,FlowState,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.263,-0.487,-0.071
-Stat. Ensemble,TFT,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.334,-0.588,-0.163
-Stat. Ensemble,Sundial-Base,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.335,-0.537,-0.189
-Stat. Ensemble,PatchTST,0.125,0.0,0.275,-0.333,-0.525,-0.197
-Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-Bolt,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.267,-0.479,-0.119
-Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.272,-0.532,-0.077
-Stat. Ensemble,CatBoost,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.233,-0.361,-0.13
-Stat. Ensemble,DeepAR,0.275,0.1,0.475,-0.177,-0.34,-0.058
-Stat. Ensemble,LightGBM,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.111,-0.225,-0.011
-Stat. Ensemble,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,Seasonal Naive,0.825,0.675,0.95,0.125,0.01,0.21
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.891,-1.422,-0.588
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.889,-1.413,-0.593
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.869,-1.396,-0.571
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.783,-1.229,-0.515
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.721,-1.121,-0.477
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.74,-1.148,-0.496
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.693,-1.065,-0.459
 Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.674,-1.003,-0.466
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.615,-0.909,-0.418
-Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.552,-0.822,-0.365
 Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.443,-0.793,-0.172
+Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.552,-0.822,-0.365
+Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.516,-0.797,-0.289
 Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.075,0.0,0.176,-0.524,-0.897,-0.305
-Seasonal Naive,Sundial-Base,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.525,-0.83,-0.326
 Seasonal Naive,PatchTST,0.1,0.0,0.225,-0.522,-0.838,-0.31
+Seasonal Naive,Sundial-Base,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.525,-0.83,-0.326
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.447,-0.766,-0.228
-Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.453,-0.788,-0.206
-Seasonal Naive,CatBoost,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.408,-0.606,-0.271
-Seasonal Naive,DeepAR,0.1,0.0,0.225,-0.345,-0.53,-0.206
-Seasonal Naive,LightGBM,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.269,-0.45,-0.122
-Seasonal Naive,Stat. Ensemble,0.175,0.05,0.325,-0.142,-0.265,-0.01
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_cloud/pairwise_SQL.csv

@@ -1,257 +1,257 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.7,0.5,0.851,0.0,-0.014,0.012
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.007,-0.005,0.02
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.057,0.035,0.084
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.098,0.06,0.139
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.076,0.052,0.104
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.111,0.069,0.154
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.123,0.081,0.177
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.148,0.088,0.214
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.179,0.107,0.265
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.244,0.135,0.358
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.199,0.13,0.271
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.231,0.156,0.306
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.241,0.165,0.317
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.262,0.194,0.323
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.667,0.566,0.758
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.3,0.149,0.5,-0.0,-0.012,0.014
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
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+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.057,0.031,0.089
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 Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.028,-0.025,0.076
 Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.056,0.022,0.104
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 Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.162,0.04,0.284
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 Toto-1.0,PatchTST,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.148,0.055,0.221
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 Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.182,0.124,0.236
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-Toto-1.0,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.439,0.352,0.531
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.631,0.52,0.73
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 Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.2,0.6,0.024,-0.018,0.074
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
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 Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.051,0.017,0.09
 Chronos-2,TiRex,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.078,0.024,0.139
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 Chronos-2,FlowState,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.182,0.078,0.296
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 Chronos-2,PatchTST,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.168,0.103,0.231
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 Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.201,0.134,0.261
-Chronos-2,Sundial-Base,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.168,0.118,0.222
-Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.2,0.145,0.253
-Chronos-2,DeepAR,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.276,0.172,0.38
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-Chronos-2,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.395,0.318,0.493
-Chronos-2,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.453,0.362,0.541
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.639,0.533,0.735
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 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.029,-0.082,0.024
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.054,-0.099,-0.017
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 TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.028,-0.014,0.08
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 TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.138,0.034,0.263
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 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.158,0.095,0.217
-TimesFM-2.5,Sundial-Base,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.123,0.079,0.165
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-TimesFM-2.5,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.363,0.285,0.455
-TimesFM-2.5,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.423,0.346,0.5
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.62,0.519,0.713
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 TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.059,-0.116,-0.023
 TiRex,Chronos-2,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.085,-0.162,-0.025
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 TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.029,-0.086,0.013
 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
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 TiRex,FlowState,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.112,-0.021,0.241
-TiRex,TFT,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.109,0.017,0.181
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 TiRex,PatchTST,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.097,-0.003,0.171
+TiRex,TFT,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.109,0.017,0.181
 TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.133,0.073,0.186
-TiRex,Sundial-Base,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.097,0.013,0.151
-TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.133,0.061,0.202
-TiRex,DeepAR,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.214,0.14,0.296
-TiRex,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.272,0.23,0.322
-TiRex,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.344,0.273,0.435
-TiRex,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.406,0.323,0.488
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.609,0.499,0.709
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-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.153,-0.249,-0.074
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-Moirai-2.0,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.369,0.286,0.449
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 FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.193,-0.397,-0.041
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 FlowState,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.127,-0.318,0.02
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 FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,TFT,0.55,0.3,0.75,-0.004,-0.165,0.115
+FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.06,-0.225,0.076
 FlowState,PatchTST,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.017,-0.152,0.083
+FlowState,TFT,0.55,0.3,0.75,-0.004,-0.165,0.115
 FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.023,-0.108,0.139
-FlowState,Sundial-Base,0.75,0.55,0.95,-0.017,-0.149,0.071
-FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.023,-0.136,0.146
-FlowState,DeepAR,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.115,-0.045,0.263
-FlowState,CatBoost,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.18,0.026,0.285
-FlowState,LightGBM,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.261,0.132,0.377
-FlowState,AutoARIMA,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.331,0.195,0.442
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.559,0.424,0.672
-TFT,Toto-1.0,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.188,-0.277,-0.106
-TFT,Chronos-2,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.217,-0.348,-0.107
-TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.155,-0.277,-0.042
-TFT,TiRex,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.122,-0.221,-0.018
-TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.35,0.15,0.6,-0.056,-0.166,0.049
-TFT,FlowState,0.45,0.25,0.7,0.004,-0.13,0.142
-TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TFT,PatchTST,0.575,0.375,0.8,-0.013,-0.135,0.076
-TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.028,-0.073,0.104
-TFT,Sundial-Base,0.65,0.45,0.85,-0.013,-0.115,0.08
-TFT,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.027,-0.103,0.135
-TFT,DeepAR,0.575,0.375,0.775,0.118,0.024,0.252
-TFT,CatBoost,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.183,0.08,0.296
-TFT,LightGBM,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.264,0.142,0.413
-TFT,AutoARIMA,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.334,0.218,0.454
-TFT,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.561,0.416,0.683
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.248,-0.371,-0.15
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.248,-0.383,-0.148
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.239,-0.371,-0.142
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.176,-0.267,-0.104
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.126,-0.203,-0.068
+Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.153,-0.249,-0.074
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.109,-0.169,-0.065
+Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.094,-0.167,-0.039
+Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.063,-0.099,-0.03
+Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.55,0.35,0.75,-0.025,-0.116,0.035
+Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.057,-0.083,0.184
+Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,PatchTST,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.041,-0.065,0.115
+Moirai-2.0,TFT,0.65,0.4,0.85,0.053,-0.052,0.142
+Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.079,0.017,0.14
+Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.584,0.469,0.689
+PatchTST,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.301,-0.442,-0.186
+PatchTST,Toto-2.0-1B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.3,-0.452,-0.175
+PatchTST,Toto-2.0-313m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.291,-0.438,-0.17
+PatchTST,Toto-2.0-22m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.226,-0.344,-0.113
 PatchTST,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.173,-0.284,-0.058
 PatchTST,Chronos-2,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.202,-0.3,-0.115
+PatchTST,Toto-2.0-4m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.156,-0.256,-0.049
 PatchTST,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.05,0.351,-0.14,-0.23,-0.061
 PatchTST,TiRex,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.108,-0.207,0.003
-PatchTST,Moirai-2.0,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.042,-0.129,0.061
+PatchTST,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.068,-0.144,0.012
 PatchTST,FlowState,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.017,-0.09,0.132
-PatchTST,TFT,0.425,0.2,0.625,0.013,-0.082,0.119
+PatchTST,Moirai-2.0,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.042,-0.129,0.061
 PatchTST,PatchTST,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,TFT,0.425,0.2,0.625,0.013,-0.082,0.119
 PatchTST,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.2,0.6,0.04,-0.034,0.126
-PatchTST,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.0,-0.051,0.051
-PatchTST,TabPFN-TS,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.039,-0.055,0.124
-PatchTST,DeepAR,0.75,0.575,0.9,0.13,0.036,0.239
-PatchTST,CatBoost,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.194,0.092,0.285
-PatchTST,LightGBM,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.273,0.159,0.397
-PatchTST,AutoARIMA,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.342,0.248,0.437
 PatchTST,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.567,0.435,0.68
+TFT,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.317,-0.464,-0.198
+TFT,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.317,-0.457,-0.195
+TFT,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.308,-0.444,-0.191
+TFT,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.242,-0.363,-0.144
+TFT,Toto-1.0,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.188,-0.277,-0.106
+TFT,Chronos-2,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.217,-0.348,-0.107
+TFT,Toto-2.0-4m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.171,-0.267,-0.084
+TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.155,-0.277,-0.042
+TFT,TiRex,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.122,-0.221,-0.018
+TFT,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.082,-0.21,0.049
+TFT,FlowState,0.45,0.25,0.7,0.004,-0.13,0.142
+TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.35,0.15,0.6,-0.056,-0.166,0.049
+TFT,PatchTST,0.575,0.375,0.8,-0.013,-0.135,0.076
+TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.028,-0.073,0.104
+TFT,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.561,0.416,0.683
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.355,-0.477,-0.24
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.354,-0.487,-0.237
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.345,-0.466,-0.235
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.277,-0.37,-0.188
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.222,-0.31,-0.141
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.251,-0.352,-0.155
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.204,-0.279,-0.137
 Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.187,-0.277,-0.105
 Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.154,-0.229,-0.079
-Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.086,-0.162,-0.017
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.35,0.15,0.6,-0.112,-0.239,-0.008
 Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.024,-0.161,0.097
-Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.028,-0.116,0.068
+Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.086,-0.162,-0.017
 Chronos-Bolt,PatchTST,0.6,0.4,0.8,-0.042,-0.144,0.033
+Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.028,-0.116,0.068
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.4,0.8,-0.041,-0.133,0.036
-Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.4,0.8,-0.001,-0.117,0.105
-Chronos-Bolt,DeepAR,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.093,-0.005,0.208
-Chronos-Bolt,CatBoost,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.16,0.077,0.242
-Chronos-Bolt,LightGBM,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.243,0.147,0.355
-Chronos-Bolt,AutoARIMA,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.315,0.215,0.421
 Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.549,0.413,0.67
-Sundial-Base,Toto-1.0,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.174,-0.267,-0.077
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-2,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.202,-0.285,-0.134
-Sundial-Base,TimesFM-2.5,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.14,-0.198,-0.085
-Sundial-Base,TiRex,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.108,-0.178,-0.013
-Sundial-Base,Moirai-2.0,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.043,-0.1,0.043
-Sundial-Base,FlowState,0.25,0.05,0.45,0.017,-0.076,0.129
-Sundial-Base,TFT,0.35,0.15,0.55,0.012,-0.086,0.103
-Sundial-Base,PatchTST,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.0,-0.053,0.049
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.2,0.6,0.04,-0.037,0.117
-Sundial-Base,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.039,-0.041,0.115
-Sundial-Base,DeepAR,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.129,0.026,0.238
-Sundial-Base,CatBoost,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.193,0.125,0.262
-Sundial-Base,LightGBM,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.273,0.187,0.379
-Sundial-Base,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.342,0.259,0.424
-Sundial-Base,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.566,0.454,0.668
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.221,-0.332,-0.126
-TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.251,-0.339,-0.17
-TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.187,-0.285,-0.104
-TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.153,-0.253,-0.065
-TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.085,-0.183,0.003
-TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.023,-0.171,0.12
-TabPFN-TS,TFT,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.028,-0.156,0.093
-TabPFN-TS,PatchTST,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.041,-0.141,0.053
-TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.2,0.6,0.001,-0.117,0.105
-TabPFN-TS,Sundial-Base,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.041,-0.13,0.04
-TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,DeepAR,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.094,-0.029,0.217
-TabPFN-TS,CatBoost,0.65,0.4,0.85,0.161,0.06,0.257
-TabPFN-TS,LightGBM,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.243,0.125,0.369
-TabPFN-TS,AutoARIMA,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.315,0.196,0.422
-TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.549,0.413,0.669
-DeepAR,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.348,-0.571,-0.205
-DeepAR,Chronos-2,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.38,-0.614,-0.207
-DeepAR,TimesFM-2.5,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.31,-0.491,-0.165
-DeepAR,TiRex,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.273,-0.42,-0.162
-DeepAR,Moirai-2.0,0.15,0.0,0.301,-0.197,-0.326,-0.1
-DeepAR,FlowState,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.13,-0.357,0.043
-DeepAR,TFT,0.425,0.225,0.625,-0.134,-0.336,-0.024
-DeepAR,PatchTST,0.25,0.1,0.425,-0.149,-0.315,-0.038
-DeepAR,Chronos-Bolt,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.103,-0.263,0.005
-DeepAR,Sundial-Base,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.149,-0.312,-0.027
-DeepAR,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.104,-0.277,0.028
-DeepAR,DeepAR,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,CatBoost,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.074,-0.05,0.187
-DeepAR,LightGBM,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.165,0.046,0.308
-DeepAR,AutoARIMA,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.244,0.15,0.332
-DeepAR,Seasonal Naive,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.502,0.353,0.633
-CatBoost,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.455,-0.606,-0.359
-CatBoost,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.49,-0.638,-0.372
-CatBoost,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.414,-0.524,-0.325
-CatBoost,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.374,-0.474,-0.299
-CatBoost,Moirai-2.0,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.292,-0.404,-0.201
-CatBoost,FlowState,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.219,-0.399,-0.026
-CatBoost,TFT,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.224,-0.42,-0.087
-CatBoost,PatchTST,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.24,-0.398,-0.102
-CatBoost,Chronos-Bolt,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.191,-0.32,-0.084
-CatBoost,Sundial-Base,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.24,-0.356,-0.143
-CatBoost,TabPFN-TS,0.35,0.15,0.6,-0.191,-0.346,-0.064
-CatBoost,DeepAR,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.079,-0.23,0.047
-CatBoost,CatBoost,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,LightGBM,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.099,0.036,0.185
-CatBoost,AutoARIMA,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.184,0.072,0.291
-CatBoost,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.463,0.329,0.589
-LightGBM,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.614,-0.934,-0.429
-LightGBM,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.653,-0.973,-0.466
-LightGBM,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.569,-0.835,-0.398
-LightGBM,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.524,-0.771,-0.376
-LightGBM,Moirai-2.0,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.434,-0.685,-0.285
-LightGBM,FlowState,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.353,-0.604,-0.152
-LightGBM,TFT,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.358,-0.703,-0.165
-LightGBM,PatchTST,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.376,-0.659,-0.19
-LightGBM,Chronos-Bolt,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.321,-0.55,-0.173
-LightGBM,Sundial-Base,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.375,-0.609,-0.231
-LightGBM,TabPFN-TS,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.322,-0.586,-0.143
-LightGBM,DeepAR,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.197,-0.445,-0.048
-LightGBM,CatBoost,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.109,-0.227,-0.037
-LightGBM,LightGBM,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,AutoARIMA,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.095,-0.08,0.229
-LightGBM,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.404,0.231,0.555
-AutoARIMA,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.784,-1.131,-0.544
-AutoARIMA,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.827,-1.177,-0.569
-AutoARIMA,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.733,-1.002,-0.528
-AutoARIMA,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.684,-0.952,-0.476
-AutoARIMA,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.585,-0.816,-0.401
-AutoARIMA,FlowState,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.495,-0.794,-0.243
-AutoARIMA,TFT,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.501,-0.831,-0.279
-AutoARIMA,PatchTST,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.52,-0.778,-0.329
-AutoARIMA,Chronos-Bolt,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.46,-0.729,-0.274
-AutoARIMA,Sundial-Base,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.52,-0.737,-0.349
-AutoARIMA,TabPFN-TS,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.46,-0.731,-0.244
-AutoARIMA,DeepAR,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.323,-0.497,-0.176
-AutoARIMA,CatBoost,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.226,-0.41,-0.077
-AutoARIMA,LightGBM,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.105,-0.297,0.074
-AutoARIMA,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,Seasonal Naive,0.925,0.8,1.0,0.341,0.205,0.472
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-2.001,-3.137,-1.304
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-2.001,-3.152,-1.302
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.979,-3.139,-1.28
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.829,-2.894,-1.168
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.707,-2.709,-1.085
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.772,-2.77,-1.139
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.668,-2.646,-1.063
 Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.631,-2.486,-1.077
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.556,-2.437,-0.997
-Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.405,-2.214,-0.883
+Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.464,-2.271,-0.947
 Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.05,0.0,0.15,-1.268,-2.052,-0.736
-Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.1,0.0,0.25,-1.278,-2.153,-0.713
+Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.405,-2.214,-0.883
 Seasonal Naive,PatchTST,0.1,0.0,0.25,-1.307,-2.121,-0.769
+Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.1,0.0,0.25,-1.278,-2.153,-0.713
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.1,0.0,0.25,-1.215,-2.027,-0.704
-Seasonal Naive,Sundial-Base,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.307,-2.016,-0.832
-Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.05,0.0,0.15,-1.216,-2.025,-0.703
-Seasonal Naive,DeepAR,0.15,0.0,0.3,-1.008,-1.722,-0.547
-Seasonal Naive,CatBoost,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.861,-1.432,-0.49
-Seasonal Naive,LightGBM,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.677,-1.249,-0.301
-Seasonal Naive,AutoARIMA,0.075,0.0,0.2,-0.518,-0.895,-0.258
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_cloud/pairwise_WAPE.csv

@@ -1,257 +1,290 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
-Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.65,0.45,0.85,-0.07,-0.211,0.014
-Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.016,-0.049,0.069
-Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.046,-0.002,0.1
-Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.049,-0.12,0.172
-Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.075,0.014,0.139
-Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.85,0.699,1.0,0.083,0.012,0.143
-Toto-1.0,PatchTST,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.076,-0.112,0.188
-Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.12,0.051,0.182
-Toto-1.0,Sundial-Base,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.088,-0.012,0.164
-Toto-1.0,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.147,0.082,0.222
-Toto-1.0,CatBoost,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.191,0.124,0.268
-Toto-1.0,DeepAR,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.232,0.144,0.35
-Toto-1.0,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.275,0.174,0.398
-Toto-1.0,Stat. Ensemble,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.358,0.266,0.464
-Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.471,0.37,0.58
-Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.35,0.15,0.55,0.066,-0.014,0.174
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.65,0.4,0.85,0.013,-0.0,0.033
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.021,0.003,0.051
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.071,0.029,0.124
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.063,0.023,0.11
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.125,0.053,0.213
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.125,0.066,0.193
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.139,0.086,0.203
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.166,0.087,0.257
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.168,0.079,0.256
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.139,0.049,0.245
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.191,0.114,0.276
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.198,0.141,0.267
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.191,0.095,0.279
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.202,0.143,0.273
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.23,0.156,0.302
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.537,0.421,0.654
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.35,0.15,0.6,-0.013,-0.034,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.009,-0.002,0.023
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.058,0.025,0.099
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.051,-0.006,0.103
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.113,0.051,0.188
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.113,0.062,0.171
+Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.127,0.081,0.191
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.155,0.082,0.239
+Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.157,0.056,0.251
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.128,0.019,0.239
+Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.18,0.109,0.265
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.187,0.136,0.254
+Toto-2.0-1B,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.181,0.07,0.275
+Toto-2.0-1B,Sundial-Base,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.192,0.13,0.263
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.22,0.152,0.285
+Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.531,0.419,0.647
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.022,-0.054,-0.003
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.009,-0.023,0.002
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.05,0.024,0.082
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.043,-0.025,0.097
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.106,0.048,0.177
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.106,0.06,0.159
+Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.12,0.076,0.18
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.147,0.08,0.229
+Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.149,0.038,0.248
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.121,-0.004,0.231
+Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.173,0.108,0.251
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.18,0.131,0.245
+Toto-2.0-313m,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.174,0.052,0.27
+Toto-2.0-313m,Sundial-Base,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.185,0.12,0.257
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.213,0.151,0.275
+Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.527,0.414,0.642
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.076,-0.142,-0.03
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.062,-0.11,-0.026
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.053,-0.089,-0.025
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.8,0.6,0.95,-0.008,-0.096,0.044
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.059,0.02,0.114
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.058,0.034,0.085
+Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.073,0.036,0.118
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.102,0.053,0.16
+Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.104,-0.035,0.209
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.074,-0.075,0.178
+Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.129,0.081,0.192
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.137,0.098,0.186
+Toto-2.0-22m,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.13,-0.014,0.227
+Toto-2.0-22m,Sundial-Base,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.142,0.068,0.206
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.171,0.122,0.223
+Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.502,0.392,0.613
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.068,-0.124,-0.023
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.054,-0.115,0.006
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.045,-0.107,0.024
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.05,0.4,0.008,-0.046,0.087
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.35,0.15,0.55,0.066,-0.014,0.174
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.35,0.8,0.066,0.005,0.155
 Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.08,0.03,0.14
 Chronos-2,TiRex,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.109,0.032,0.209
 Chronos-2,FlowState,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.111,0.049,0.183
+Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.081,0.019,0.155
 Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.136,0.059,0.226
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.143,0.087,0.216
 Chronos-2,PatchTST,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.137,0.061,0.205
-Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.178,0.103,0.259
 Chronos-2,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.148,0.099,0.198
-Chronos-2,TFT,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.203,0.088,0.331
-Chronos-2,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.244,0.169,0.326
-Chronos-2,DeepAR,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.282,0.158,0.409
-Chronos-2,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.323,0.222,0.429
-Chronos-2,Stat. Ensemble,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.4,0.295,0.505
+Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.178,0.103,0.259
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.506,0.388,0.617
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.016,-0.074,0.047
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.143,-0.27,-0.056
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.128,-0.232,-0.054
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.118,-0.215,-0.05
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.062,-0.128,-0.021
+Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.65,0.45,0.85,-0.07,-0.211,0.014
+Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.75,0.55,0.95,-0.0,-0.046,0.03
+Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.016,-0.049,0.069
+Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.046,-0.002,0.1
+Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.049,-0.12,0.172
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.85,0.699,1.0,0.016,-0.189,0.136
+Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.075,0.014,0.139
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.85,0.699,1.0,0.083,0.012,0.143
+Toto-1.0,PatchTST,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.076,-0.112,0.188
+Toto-1.0,Sundial-Base,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.088,-0.012,0.164
+Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.12,0.051,0.182
+Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.471,0.37,0.58
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.143,-0.239,-0.07
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.128,-0.206,-0.066
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.118,-0.189,-0.063
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.062,-0.093,-0.036
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.4,0.2,0.65,-0.07,-0.184,-0.005
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.25,0.05,0.45,0.0,-0.031,0.044
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.016,-0.025,0.049
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.047,0.016,0.086
+Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.049,-0.109,0.156
+Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.017,-0.155,0.119
+Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.075,0.041,0.122
+Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.083,0.042,0.126
+Toto-2.0-4m,PatchTST,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.076,-0.082,0.173
+Toto-2.0-4m,Sundial-Base,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.088,0.005,0.15
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.12,0.077,0.168
+Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.471,0.364,0.579
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.161,-0.255,-0.094
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.146,-0.236,-0.088
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.136,-0.22,-0.082
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.079,-0.134,-0.037
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.088,-0.162,-0.031
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.016,-0.074,0.047
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.016,-0.052,0.025
 TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.031,-0.009,0.083
 TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.033,-0.09,0.123
+TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.001,-0.121,0.081
 TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.06,0.024,0.101
 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.068,0.034,0.105
 TimesFM-2.5,PatchTST,0.8,0.649,0.95,0.061,-0.066,0.141
-TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.106,0.065,0.148
 TimesFM-2.5,Sundial-Base,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.074,0.024,0.112
-TimesFM-2.5,TFT,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.133,0.039,0.248
-TimesFM-2.5,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.178,0.129,0.23
-TimesFM-2.5,DeepAR,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.22,0.126,0.316
-TimesFM-2.5,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.263,0.172,0.371
-TimesFM-2.5,Stat. Ensemble,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.348,0.261,0.445
+TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.106,0.065,0.148
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.462,0.364,0.568
-TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.049,-0.111,0.002
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.199,-0.346,-0.095
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.183,-0.313,-0.089
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.173,-0.296,-0.087
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.114,-0.191,-0.056
 TiRex,Chronos-2,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.122,-0.264,-0.033
+TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.049,-0.111,0.002
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.049,-0.094,-0.016
 TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.032,-0.091,0.009
 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TiRex,FlowState,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.002,-0.176,0.116
+TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.75,0.55,0.901,-0.031,-0.219,0.065
 TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.03,0.004,0.056
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.038,-0.012,0.083
 TiRex,PatchTST,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.031,-0.152,0.138
-TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.077,0.03,0.124
 TiRex,Sundial-Base,0.85,0.7,0.95,0.044,-0.063,0.112
-TiRex,TFT,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.105,0.0,0.22
-TiRex,CatBoost,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.152,0.107,0.198
-TiRex,DeepAR,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.194,0.118,0.28
-TiRex,LightGBM,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.24,0.158,0.347
-TiRex,Stat. Ensemble,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.327,0.239,0.42
+TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.077,0.03,0.124
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.445,0.35,0.545
-FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.051,-0.208,0.107
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.201,-0.344,-0.085
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.186,-0.335,-0.059
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.175,-0.33,-0.04
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.116,-0.264,0.034
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.125,-0.224,-0.051
+FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.051,-0.208,0.107
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.051,-0.185,0.099
 FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.035,-0.141,0.083
 FlowState,TiRex,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.002,-0.131,0.149
 FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.034,-0.124,0.05
 FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.028,-0.093,0.164
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.036,-0.086,0.162
 FlowState,PatchTST,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.029,-0.068,0.106
-FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.5,0.851,0.075,-0.004,0.187
 FlowState,Sundial-Base,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.042,-0.051,0.116
-FlowState,TFT,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.103,-0.059,0.259
-FlowState,CatBoost,0.8,0.649,0.95,0.15,0.054,0.264
-FlowState,DeepAR,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.193,0.023,0.35
-FlowState,LightGBM,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.238,0.134,0.354
-FlowState,Stat. Ensemble,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.325,0.226,0.433
+FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.5,0.851,0.075,-0.004,0.187
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.444,0.326,0.558
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.081,-0.162,-0.014
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.162,-0.325,-0.051
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.147,-0.313,-0.019
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.137,-0.3,0.004
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.08,-0.217,0.07
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.088,-0.184,-0.019
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.15,0.0,0.301,-0.017,-0.157,0.159
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.017,-0.135,0.134
+TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.001,-0.088,0.108
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.25,0.099,0.45,0.03,-0.07,0.179
+TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.033,-0.052,0.11
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.06,-0.026,0.187
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.068,-0.013,0.181
+TabPFN-TS-3,PatchTST,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.06,-0.007,0.116
+TabPFN-TS-3,Sundial-Base,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.073,0.003,0.144
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.105,-0.001,0.226
+TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.462,0.342,0.578
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.236,-0.382,-0.129
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.22,-0.36,-0.122
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.209,-0.335,-0.121
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.149,-0.238,-0.089
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.157,-0.292,-0.062
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.081,-0.162,-0.014
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.081,-0.139,-0.043
 Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.064,-0.112,-0.025
 Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.031,-0.06,-0.004
 Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.029,-0.197,0.085
+Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.064,-0.23,0.026
 Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.55,0.35,0.8,0.008,-0.035,0.053
 Moirai-2.0,PatchTST,0.55,0.3,0.75,0.001,-0.174,0.1
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.048,0.003,0.096
 Moirai-2.0,Sundial-Base,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.014,-0.074,0.068
-Moirai-2.0,TFT,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.077,-0.033,0.206
-Moirai-2.0,CatBoost,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.125,0.08,0.173
-Moirai-2.0,DeepAR,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.169,0.095,0.251
-Moirai-2.0,LightGBM,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.216,0.129,0.33
-Moirai-2.0,Stat. Ensemble,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.306,0.219,0.401
+Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.048,0.003,0.096
 Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.428,0.333,0.532
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.15,0.0,0.301,-0.091,-0.166,-0.012
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.246,-0.363,-0.164
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.23,-0.341,-0.157
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.22,-0.324,-0.151
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.158,-0.228,-0.109
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.167,-0.275,-0.095
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.15,0.0,0.301,-0.091,-0.166,-0.012
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.091,-0.145,-0.043
 TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.073,-0.118,-0.035
 TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.04,-0.091,0.012
 TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.038,-0.193,0.079
+TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.073,-0.221,0.013
 TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.45,0.2,0.65,-0.009,-0.056,0.034
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TabPFN-TS,PatchTST,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.008,-0.175,0.096
-TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.04,-0.028,0.105
 TabPFN-TS,Sundial-Base,0.45,0.25,0.65,0.006,-0.077,0.073
-TabPFN-TS,TFT,0.5,0.299,0.7,0.07,-0.052,0.204
-TabPFN-TS,CatBoost,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.118,0.054,0.183
-TabPFN-TS,DeepAR,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.162,0.066,0.264
-TabPFN-TS,LightGBM,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.209,0.108,0.334
-TabPFN-TS,Stat. Ensemble,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.3,0.193,0.406
+TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.04,-0.028,0.105
 TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.423,0.304,0.541
-PatchTST,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.082,-0.232,0.1
+PatchTST,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.237,-0.387,-0.105
+PatchTST,Toto-2.0-1B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.22,-0.379,-0.075
+PatchTST,Toto-2.0-313m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.21,-0.37,-0.055
+PatchTST,Toto-2.0-22m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.149,-0.294,0.013
 PatchTST,Chronos-2,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.158,-0.258,-0.065
+PatchTST,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.082,-0.232,0.1
+PatchTST,Toto-2.0-4m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.082,-0.209,0.075
 PatchTST,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.05,0.351,-0.065,-0.165,0.062
 PatchTST,TiRex,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.032,-0.16,0.132
 PatchTST,FlowState,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.029,-0.118,0.064
+PatchTST,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.064,-0.131,0.007
 PatchTST,Moirai-2.0,0.45,0.25,0.7,-0.001,-0.111,0.148
 PatchTST,TabPFN-TS,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.008,-0.107,0.149
 PatchTST,PatchTST,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.048,-0.064,0.191
 PatchTST,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.014,-0.05,0.089
-PatchTST,TFT,0.525,0.3,0.75,0.077,-0.073,0.248
-PatchTST,CatBoost,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.125,0.018,0.25
-PatchTST,DeepAR,0.75,0.55,0.925,0.169,0.039,0.321
-PatchTST,LightGBM,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.215,0.088,0.359
-PatchTST,Stat. Ensemble,0.875,0.725,1.0,0.305,0.183,0.428
+PatchTST,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.048,-0.064,0.191
 PatchTST,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.775,1.0,0.428,0.289,0.553
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.136,-0.223,-0.053
-Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.216,-0.349,-0.115
-Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.118,-0.174,-0.069
-Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.083,-0.141,-0.031
-Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.3,0.149,0.5,-0.081,-0.231,0.004
-Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.051,-0.106,-0.003
-Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.042,-0.117,0.028
-Chronos-Bolt,PatchTST,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.05,-0.235,0.06
-Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.4,0.8,-0.036,-0.131,0.028
-Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.031,-0.093,0.17
-Chronos-Bolt,CatBoost,0.8,0.65,0.95,0.081,0.034,0.139
-Chronos-Bolt,DeepAR,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.127,0.014,0.24
-Chronos-Bolt,LightGBM,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.176,0.09,0.281
-Chronos-Bolt,Stat. Ensemble,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.271,0.182,0.376
-Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.399,0.295,0.512
-Sundial-Base,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.097,-0.196,0.012
+Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.254,-0.375,-0.167
+Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-1B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.237,-0.356,-0.15
+Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-313m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.227,-0.346,-0.137
+Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-22m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.165,-0.26,-0.073
 Sundial-Base,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.174,-0.247,-0.11
+Sundial-Base,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.097,-0.196,0.012
+Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-4m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.097,-0.177,-0.005
 Sundial-Base,TimesFM-2.5,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.08,-0.126,-0.024
 Sundial-Base,TiRex,0.15,0.05,0.3,-0.046,-0.126,0.059
 Sundial-Base,FlowState,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.044,-0.131,0.048
+Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.079,-0.169,-0.003
 Sundial-Base,Moirai-2.0,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.014,-0.073,0.069
 Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS,0.55,0.35,0.75,-0.006,-0.078,0.071
 Sundial-Base,PatchTST,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.014,-0.098,0.047
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.2,0.6,0.034,-0.029,0.116
 Sundial-Base,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,TFT,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.064,-0.048,0.195
-Sundial-Base,CatBoost,0.75,0.55,0.901,0.113,0.042,0.19
-Sundial-Base,DeepAR,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.157,0.056,0.275
-Sundial-Base,LightGBM,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.205,0.1,0.327
-Sundial-Base,Stat. Ensemble,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.296,0.201,0.399
+Sundial-Base,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.2,0.6,0.034,-0.029,0.116
 Sundial-Base,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.42,0.312,0.53
-TFT,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.172,-0.286,-0.089
-TFT,Chronos-2,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.255,-0.494,-0.096
-TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.154,-0.33,-0.041
-TFT,TiRex,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.118,-0.281,-0.0
-TFT,FlowState,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.115,-0.35,0.056
-TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.084,-0.259,0.032
-TFT,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.3,0.701,-0.075,-0.256,0.049
-TFT,PatchTST,0.475,0.25,0.7,-0.083,-0.33,0.068
-TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.032,-0.205,0.085
-TFT,Sundial-Base,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.068,-0.242,0.046
-TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TFT,CatBoost,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.052,-0.106,0.182
-TFT,DeepAR,0.625,0.425,0.8,0.1,-0.04,0.245
-TFT,LightGBM,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.15,-0.01,0.32
-TFT,Stat. Ensemble,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.248,0.14,0.372
-TFT,Seasonal Naive,0.975,0.925,1.0,0.38,0.273,0.502
-CatBoost,Toto-1.0,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.236,-0.366,-0.141
-CatBoost,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.323,-0.485,-0.203
-CatBoost,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.217,-0.298,-0.148
-CatBoost,TiRex,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.179,-0.247,-0.12
-CatBoost,FlowState,0.2,0.05,0.351,-0.176,-0.359,-0.057
-CatBoost,Moirai-2.0,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.143,-0.209,-0.087
-CatBoost,TabPFN-TS,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.134,-0.223,-0.057
-CatBoost,PatchTST,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.143,-0.333,-0.019
-CatBoost,Chronos-Bolt,0.2,0.05,0.35,-0.088,-0.161,-0.035
-CatBoost,Sundial-Base,0.25,0.099,0.45,-0.127,-0.235,-0.044
-CatBoost,TFT,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.055,-0.223,0.096
-CatBoost,CatBoost,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,DeepAR,0.55,0.349,0.75,0.05,-0.062,0.143
-CatBoost,LightGBM,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.103,0.034,0.2
-CatBoost,Stat. Ensemble,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.206,0.119,0.301
-CatBoost,Seasonal Naive,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.346,0.235,0.461
-DeepAR,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.302,-0.538,-0.169
-DeepAR,Chronos-2,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.393,-0.693,-0.187
-DeepAR,TimesFM-2.5,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.281,-0.461,-0.144
-DeepAR,TiRex,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.241,-0.389,-0.134
-DeepAR,FlowState,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.239,-0.538,-0.023
-DeepAR,Moirai-2.0,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.204,-0.334,-0.104
-DeepAR,TabPFN-TS,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.194,-0.358,-0.07
-DeepAR,PatchTST,0.25,0.075,0.45,-0.203,-0.474,-0.04
-DeepAR,Chronos-Bolt,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.146,-0.316,-0.014
-DeepAR,Sundial-Base,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.187,-0.379,-0.059
-DeepAR,TFT,0.375,0.2,0.575,-0.111,-0.324,0.039
-DeepAR,CatBoost,0.45,0.25,0.651,-0.053,-0.167,0.058
-DeepAR,DeepAR,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,LightGBM,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.056,-0.071,0.22
-DeepAR,Stat. Ensemble,0.825,0.65,0.975,0.164,0.057,0.278
-DeepAR,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.775,1.0,0.311,0.207,0.415
-LightGBM,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.379,-0.662,-0.211
-LightGBM,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.476,-0.751,-0.286
-LightGBM,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.357,-0.59,-0.208
-LightGBM,TiRex,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.315,-0.531,-0.187
-LightGBM,FlowState,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.312,-0.548,-0.155
-LightGBM,Moirai-2.0,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.275,-0.493,-0.149
-LightGBM,TabPFN-TS,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.265,-0.502,-0.121
-LightGBM,PatchTST,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.275,-0.56,-0.096
-LightGBM,Chronos-Bolt,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.214,-0.39,-0.099
-LightGBM,Sundial-Base,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.257,-0.486,-0.111
-LightGBM,TFT,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.177,-0.471,0.009
-LightGBM,CatBoost,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.115,-0.251,-0.035
-LightGBM,DeepAR,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.059,-0.283,0.066
-LightGBM,LightGBM,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.115,0.028,0.196
-LightGBM,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.27,0.154,0.38
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.558,-0.864,-0.362
-Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.667,-1.019,-0.418
-Stat. Ensemble,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.533,-0.803,-0.353
-Stat. Ensemble,TiRex,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.485,-0.724,-0.314
-Stat. Ensemble,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.482,-0.763,-0.292
-Stat. Ensemble,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.44,-0.671,-0.281
-Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.428,-0.684,-0.24
-Stat. Ensemble,PatchTST,0.125,0.0,0.275,-0.44,-0.749,-0.225
-Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.371,-0.603,-0.222
-Stat. Ensemble,Sundial-Base,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.42,-0.665,-0.251
-Stat. Ensemble,TFT,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.329,-0.592,-0.163
-Stat. Ensemble,CatBoost,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.26,-0.43,-0.135
-Stat. Ensemble,DeepAR,0.175,0.025,0.35,-0.196,-0.386,-0.06
-Stat. Ensemble,LightGBM,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.129,-0.243,-0.029
-Stat. Ensemble,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,Seasonal Naive,0.925,0.8,1.0,0.176,0.098,0.253
-Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.89,-1.38,-0.588
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.298,-0.433,-0.184
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.281,-0.399,-0.179
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.271,-0.38,-0.178
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.207,-0.287,-0.139
+Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.216,-0.349,-0.115
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.136,-0.223,-0.053
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.136,-0.201,-0.083
+Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.118,-0.174,-0.069
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.083,-0.141,-0.031
+Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.3,0.149,0.5,-0.081,-0.231,0.004
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.117,-0.293,0.001
+Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.051,-0.106,-0.003
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.042,-0.117,0.028
+Chronos-Bolt,PatchTST,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.05,-0.235,0.06
+Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.4,0.8,-0.036,-0.131,0.028
+Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.399,0.295,0.512
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.16,-1.888,-0.726
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.132,-1.83,-0.721
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.114,-1.794,-0.707
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.008,-1.587,-0.645
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.023,-1.609,-0.634
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.89,-1.38,-0.588
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.89,-1.375,-0.572
 Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.86,-1.313,-0.572
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.802,-1.198,-0.539
 Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.798,-1.26,-0.483
+Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.859,-1.369,-0.521
 Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.748,-1.138,-0.499
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.733,-1.18,-0.436
 Seasonal Naive,PatchTST,0.1,0.0,0.225,-0.747,-1.237,-0.406
-Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.664,-1.049,-0.418
 Seasonal Naive,Sundial-Base,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.723,-1.13,-0.453
-Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.025,0.0,0.075,-0.613,-1.008,-0.376
-Seasonal Naive,CatBoost,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.529,-0.855,-0.308
-Seasonal Naive,DeepAR,0.1,0.0,0.225,-0.452,-0.709,-0.26
-Seasonal Naive,LightGBM,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.371,-0.612,-0.183
-Seasonal Naive,Stat. Ensemble,0.075,0.0,0.2,-0.214,-0.339,-0.109
+Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.664,-1.049,-0.418
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_cloud/pairwise_WQL.csv

@@ -1,257 +1,290 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.009,-0.004,0.026
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.02,-0.002,0.053
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.068,0.033,0.117
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.063,0.029,0.097
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.129,0.058,0.225
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.13,0.069,0.205
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.146,0.095,0.204
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.169,0.091,0.263
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.131,0.047,0.222
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.171,0.084,0.255
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.204,0.129,0.288
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.231,0.124,0.326
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.303,0.177,0.432
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.255,0.193,0.317
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.26,0.189,0.332
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.69,0.609,0.766
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.009,-0.027,0.004
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.011,-0.002,0.03
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.059,0.03,0.097
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.055,0.005,0.095
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.121,0.056,0.205
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.122,0.068,0.187
+Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.138,0.091,0.191
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.161,0.088,0.248
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.123,0.025,0.223
+Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.163,0.068,0.254
+Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.197,0.125,0.279
+Toto-2.0-1B,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.224,0.107,0.322
+Toto-2.0-1B,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.297,0.176,0.423
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.248,0.189,0.311
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.253,0.186,0.32
+Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.688,0.607,0.763
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.02,-0.056,0.002
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.011,-0.03,0.002
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+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.049,0.028,0.073
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.044,-0.025,0.093
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.111,0.054,0.181
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.112,0.065,0.165
+Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.128,0.087,0.182
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.152,0.086,0.227
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.114,-0.005,0.22
+Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.154,0.045,0.251
+Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.188,0.124,0.259
+Toto-2.0-313m,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.216,0.083,0.318
+Toto-2.0-313m,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.289,0.173,0.418
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.24,0.183,0.302
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.245,0.185,0.304
+Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.684,0.602,0.763
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+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.8,0.6,0.95,-0.005,-0.088,0.044
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.065,0.023,0.123
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.066,0.036,0.1
+Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.084,0.052,0.121
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.108,0.057,0.168
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.068,-0.074,0.168
+Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.111,-0.022,0.213
+Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.146,0.095,0.205
+Toto-2.0-22m,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.176,0.029,0.281
+Toto-2.0-22m,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.253,0.14,0.374
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.201,0.146,0.262
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.206,0.157,0.257
+Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.668,0.584,0.745
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.068,-0.107,-0.03
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+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.046,-0.103,0.024
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.05,0.4,0.005,-0.046,0.081
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.35,0.15,0.55,0.07,-0.014,0.185
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.35,0.8,0.071,0.004,0.171
 Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.088,0.033,0.155
 Chronos-2,TiRex,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.113,0.032,0.222
+Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.072,0.011,0.147
 Chronos-2,FlowState,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.115,0.05,0.188
 Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.151,0.066,0.248
 Chronos-2,PatchTST,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.18,0.08,0.27
 Chronos-2,TFT,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.256,0.118,0.395
-Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.21,0.134,0.3
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.205,0.141,0.274
-Chronos-2,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.19,0.145,0.236
-Chronos-2,DeepAR,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.328,0.194,0.454
-Chronos-2,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.378,0.313,0.448
-Chronos-2,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.442,0.357,0.536
-Chronos-2,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.493,0.393,0.591
+Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.21,0.134,0.3
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.669,0.582,0.746
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+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.07,-0.141,-0.024
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.65,0.45,0.85,-0.075,-0.227,0.014
 Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.001,-0.04,0.028
 Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.02,-0.047,0.073
 Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.046,0.0,0.095
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.003,-0.211,0.127
 Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.049,-0.131,0.178
 Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.087,0.029,0.145
 Toto-1.0,PatchTST,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.118,-0.078,0.246
 Toto-1.0,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.2,0.108,0.294
-Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.151,0.089,0.21
 Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.145,0.066,0.217
-Toto-1.0,Sundial-Base,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.129,0.024,0.2
-Toto-1.0,DeepAR,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.278,0.182,0.386
-Toto-1.0,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.331,0.275,0.395
-Toto-1.0,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.401,0.317,0.505
-Toto-1.0,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.455,0.379,0.537
+Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.151,0.089,0.21
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.645,0.563,0.725
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.149,-0.258,-0.075
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.139,-0.23,-0.073
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+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.071,-0.112,-0.038
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.4,0.2,0.65,-0.076,-0.207,-0.004
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.001,-0.029,0.038
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.019,-0.028,0.056
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.8,0.649,0.95,0.045,0.016,0.082
+Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.002,-0.182,0.109
+Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.048,-0.128,0.162
+Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.086,0.049,0.128
+Toto-2.0-4m,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.117,-0.066,0.232
+Toto-2.0-4m,TFT,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.2,0.09,0.31
+Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.144,0.08,0.213
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.15,0.107,0.197
+Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.644,0.559,0.727
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.171,-0.256,-0.105
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.16,-0.236,-0.1
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.147,-0.223,-0.095
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.091,-0.138,-0.055
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.097,-0.183,-0.034
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.02,-0.079,0.045
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.019,-0.059,0.027
 TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.027,-0.018,0.086
+TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.4,0.8,-0.017,-0.149,0.071
 TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.03,-0.104,0.121
 TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.069,0.028,0.116
 TimesFM-2.5,PatchTST,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.1,-0.044,0.208
 TimesFM-2.5,TFT,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.184,0.06,0.307
-TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.134,0.092,0.179
 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.65,0.95,0.128,0.067,0.195
-TimesFM-2.5,Sundial-Base,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.111,0.06,0.148
-TimesFM-2.5,DeepAR,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.263,0.157,0.368
-TimesFM-2.5,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.318,0.274,0.365
-TimesFM-2.5,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.389,0.312,0.484
-TimesFM-2.5,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.444,0.365,0.532
+TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.134,0.092,0.179
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.638,0.557,0.714
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.203,-0.356,-0.1
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.192,-0.33,-0.096
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.179,-0.294,-0.094
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.122,-0.202,-0.061
 TiRex,Chronos-2,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.127,-0.285,-0.033
 TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.048,-0.105,-0.0
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.2,0.05,0.351,-0.047,-0.089,-0.016
 TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.028,-0.095,0.018
 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.7,0.5,0.9,-0.045,-0.247,0.06
 TiRex,FlowState,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.003,-0.19,0.122
 TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.043,0.019,0.07
 TiRex,PatchTST,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.075,-0.133,0.211
 TiRex,TFT,0.85,0.7,0.95,0.162,0.034,0.285
-TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.11,0.064,0.155
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.104,0.027,0.178
-TiRex,Sundial-Base,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.087,-0.025,0.153
-TiRex,DeepAR,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.243,0.15,0.337
-TiRex,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.299,0.255,0.343
-TiRex,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.372,0.297,0.467
-TiRex,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.428,0.358,0.508
+TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.11,0.064,0.155
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.627,0.54,0.71
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.151,-0.285,-0.049
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.141,-0.286,-0.025
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.128,-0.282,0.005
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.073,-0.202,0.069
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.078,-0.172,-0.012
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.003,-0.146,0.175
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.002,-0.123,0.154
+TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.2,0.6,0.017,-0.077,0.13
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.5,0.043,-0.064,0.198
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.046,-0.042,0.123
+TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.399,0.8,0.084,-0.013,0.224
+TabPFN-TS-3,PatchTST,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.115,0.011,0.208
+TabPFN-TS-3,TFT,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.198,0.019,0.365
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.143,0.058,0.248
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.148,0.036,0.276
+TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.644,0.549,0.724
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.206,-0.343,-0.092
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.195,-0.34,-0.073
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.182,-0.334,-0.047
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.124,-0.271,0.021
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.13,-0.232,-0.053
 FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.051,-0.217,0.116
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.05,-0.194,0.113
 FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.03,-0.137,0.094
 FlowState,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.003,-0.139,0.159
+FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.048,-0.141,0.04
 FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.25,0.7,0.04,-0.089,0.189
 FlowState,PatchTST,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.073,-0.056,0.185
 FlowState,TFT,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.16,-0.028,0.323
-FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.649,0.95,0.107,0.023,0.228
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.101,-0.03,0.222
-FlowState,Sundial-Base,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.084,0.002,0.154
-FlowState,DeepAR,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.241,0.063,0.401
-FlowState,CatBoost,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.297,0.215,0.392
-FlowState,LightGBM,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.37,0.279,0.47
-FlowState,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.427,0.309,0.537
+FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.649,0.95,0.107,0.023,0.228
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.626,0.538,0.704
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.257,-0.404,-0.148
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.245,-0.387,-0.143
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.232,-0.35,-0.142
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.171,-0.257,-0.105
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.177,-0.33,-0.071
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.095,-0.17,-0.03
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.094,-0.147,-0.052
 Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.074,-0.131,-0.029
 Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.044,-0.075,-0.02
+Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.2,0.601,-0.092,-0.288,0.013
 Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.5,0.3,0.75,-0.042,-0.233,0.082
 Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Moirai-2.0,PatchTST,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.034,-0.175,0.172
 Moirai-2.0,TFT,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.124,-0.012,0.26
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.85,0.699,0.975,0.07,0.023,0.118
 Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.064,-0.017,0.142
-Moirai-2.0,Sundial-Base,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.046,-0.056,0.104
-Moirai-2.0,DeepAR,0.85,0.699,1.0,0.209,0.118,0.304
-Moirai-2.0,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.268,0.22,0.319
-Moirai-2.0,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.344,0.261,0.45
-Moirai-2.0,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.403,0.327,0.491
+Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.85,0.699,0.975,0.07,0.023,0.118
 Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.611,0.523,0.693
+PatchTST,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.301,-0.483,-0.142
+PatchTST,Toto-2.0-1B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.289,-0.474,-0.119
+PatchTST,Toto-2.0-313m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.275,-0.467,-0.091
+PatchTST,Toto-2.0-22m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.213,-0.392,-0.029
 PatchTST,Chronos-2,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.219,-0.369,-0.087
 PatchTST,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.134,-0.327,0.072
+PatchTST,Toto-2.0-4m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.133,-0.303,0.062
 PatchTST,TimesFM-2.5,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.112,-0.262,0.042
 PatchTST,TiRex,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.081,-0.267,0.118
+PatchTST,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.13,-0.262,-0.011
 PatchTST,FlowState,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.079,-0.227,0.053
 PatchTST,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.035,-0.208,0.149
 PatchTST,PatchTST,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 PatchTST,TFT,0.425,0.225,0.625,0.093,-0.057,0.271
-PatchTST,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.037,-0.124,0.209
 PatchTST,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.6,0.95,0.031,-0.127,0.186
-PatchTST,Sundial-Base,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.012,-0.1,0.119
-PatchTST,DeepAR,0.85,0.7,0.975,0.181,0.049,0.342
-PatchTST,CatBoost,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.242,0.117,0.366
-PatchTST,LightGBM,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.32,0.179,0.456
-PatchTST,AutoARIMA,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.382,0.25,0.512
+PatchTST,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.037,-0.124,0.209
 PatchTST,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.597,0.477,0.698
+TFT,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.435,-0.762,-0.215
+TFT,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.422,-0.733,-0.214
+TFT,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.407,-0.717,-0.209
+TFT,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.338,-0.598,-0.163
 TFT,Chronos-2,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.344,-0.652,-0.133
 TFT,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.251,-0.415,-0.121
+TFT,Toto-2.0-4m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.249,-0.449,-0.099
 TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.226,-0.442,-0.064
 TFT,TiRex,0.15,0.05,0.3,-0.193,-0.399,-0.035
+TFT,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.247,-0.574,-0.019
 TFT,FlowState,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.19,-0.477,0.027
 TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.142,-0.351,0.012
 TFT,PatchTST,0.575,0.375,0.775,-0.103,-0.372,0.054
 TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.062,-0.262,0.087
 TFT,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.4,0.8,-0.069,-0.3,0.102
-TFT,Sundial-Base,0.7,0.5,0.9,-0.09,-0.29,0.057
-TFT,DeepAR,0.575,0.35,0.775,0.097,-0.054,0.233
-TFT,CatBoost,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.164,0.007,0.3
-TFT,LightGBM,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.25,0.086,0.416
-TFT,AutoARIMA,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.318,0.222,0.425
+TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.062,-0.262,0.087
 TFT,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.556,0.443,0.658
-Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.266,-0.429,-0.154
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.177,-0.267,-0.098
-Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.154,-0.218,-0.101
-Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.123,-0.183,-0.069
-Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.2,0.05,0.351,-0.12,-0.295,-0.023
-Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.15,0.025,0.301,-0.075,-0.134,-0.024
-Chronos-Bolt,PatchTST,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.039,-0.264,0.11
-Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.059,-0.096,0.207
-Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.55,0.35,0.75,-0.007,-0.108,0.094
-Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,0.55,0.35,0.75,-0.026,-0.135,0.046
-Chronos-Bolt,DeepAR,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.15,0.021,0.271
-Chronos-Bolt,CatBoost,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.213,0.167,0.267
-Chronos-Bolt,LightGBM,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.294,0.213,0.39
-Chronos-Bolt,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.358,0.268,0.458
-Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.582,0.486,0.675
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.342,-0.464,-0.239
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.33,-0.452,-0.234
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.316,-0.433,-0.224
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.251,-0.355,-0.171
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.257,-0.377,-0.164
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.17,-0.277,-0.07
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.168,-0.271,-0.087
 TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.05,0.35,-0.147,-0.242,-0.072
 TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.116,-0.216,-0.027
+TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.166,-0.33,-0.061
 TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.113,-0.285,0.029
 TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.068,-0.165,0.016
 TabPFN-TS,PatchTST,0.25,0.05,0.4,-0.032,-0.229,0.112
 TabPFN-TS,TFT,0.4,0.2,0.6,0.065,-0.114,0.231
-TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.45,0.25,0.65,0.007,-0.104,0.097
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,Sundial-Base,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.019,-0.118,0.067
-TabPFN-TS,DeepAR,0.45,0.25,0.65,0.155,0.02,0.291
-TabPFN-TS,CatBoost,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.218,0.128,0.299
-TabPFN-TS,LightGBM,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.299,0.185,0.424
-TabPFN-TS,AutoARIMA,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.362,0.252,0.466
+TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.45,0.25,0.65,0.007,-0.104,0.097
 TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.584,0.475,0.679
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.234,-0.309,-0.169
-Sundial-Base,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.148,-0.251,-0.025
-Sundial-Base,TimesFM-2.5,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.125,-0.173,-0.063
-Sundial-Base,TiRex,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.095,-0.18,0.025
-Sundial-Base,FlowState,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.092,-0.182,-0.002
-Sundial-Base,Moirai-2.0,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.048,-0.116,0.053
-Sundial-Base,PatchTST,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.012,-0.135,0.091
-Sundial-Base,TFT,0.3,0.1,0.5,0.082,-0.06,0.225
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-Bolt,0.45,0.25,0.65,0.025,-0.048,0.119
-Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.019,-0.071,0.106
-Sundial-Base,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,DeepAR,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.171,0.043,0.303
-Sundial-Base,CatBoost,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.233,0.171,0.301
-Sundial-Base,LightGBM,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.312,0.219,0.422
-Sundial-Base,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.374,0.28,0.471
-Sundial-Base,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.592,0.504,0.674
-DeepAR,Chronos-2,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.489,-0.831,-0.241
-DeepAR,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.385,-0.628,-0.222
-DeepAR,TimesFM-2.5,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.358,-0.582,-0.186
-DeepAR,TiRex,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.321,-0.509,-0.177
-DeepAR,FlowState,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.317,-0.669,-0.067
-DeepAR,Moirai-2.0,0.15,0.0,0.301,-0.265,-0.436,-0.133
-DeepAR,PatchTST,0.15,0.025,0.3,-0.221,-0.519,-0.052
-DeepAR,TFT,0.425,0.225,0.65,-0.107,-0.304,0.051
-DeepAR,Chronos-Bolt,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.176,-0.371,-0.021
-DeepAR,TabPFN-TS,0.55,0.35,0.75,-0.184,-0.41,-0.02
-DeepAR,Sundial-Base,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.206,-0.434,-0.045
-DeepAR,DeepAR,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,CatBoost,0.5,0.3,0.75,0.074,-0.052,0.197
-DeepAR,LightGBM,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.17,0.021,0.333
-DeepAR,AutoARIMA,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.245,0.159,0.333
-DeepAR,Seasonal Naive,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.508,0.376,0.622
-CatBoost,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.608,-0.812,-0.455
-CatBoost,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.496,-0.653,-0.379
-CatBoost,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.467,-0.575,-0.378
-CatBoost,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.427,-0.522,-0.342
-CatBoost,FlowState,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.423,-0.645,-0.274
-CatBoost,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.366,-0.469,-0.281
-CatBoost,PatchTST,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.319,-0.578,-0.133
-CatBoost,TFT,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.196,-0.428,-0.007
-CatBoost,Chronos-Bolt,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.27,-0.365,-0.2
-CatBoost,TabPFN-TS,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.279,-0.426,-0.147
-CatBoost,Sundial-Base,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.303,-0.43,-0.206
-CatBoost,DeepAR,0.5,0.25,0.7,-0.08,-0.245,0.049
-CatBoost,CatBoost,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,LightGBM,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.103,0.034,0.2
-CatBoost,AutoARIMA,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.184,0.073,0.298
-CatBoost,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.468,0.349,0.58
-LightGBM,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.794,-1.155,-0.555
-LightGBM,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.668,-1.02,-0.464
-LightGBM,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.636,-0.937,-0.454
-LightGBM,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.591,-0.875,-0.423
-LightGBM,FlowState,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.587,-0.887,-0.387
-LightGBM,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.524,-0.817,-0.354
-LightGBM,PatchTST,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.472,-0.84,-0.218
-LightGBM,TFT,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.334,-0.711,-0.095
-LightGBM,Chronos-Bolt,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.417,-0.639,-0.271
-LightGBM,TabPFN-TS,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.426,-0.735,-0.227
-LightGBM,Sundial-Base,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.454,-0.731,-0.281
-LightGBM,DeepAR,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.205,-0.498,-0.021
-LightGBM,CatBoost,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.115,-0.251,-0.035
-LightGBM,LightGBM,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,AutoARIMA,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.09,-0.077,0.213
-LightGBM,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.407,0.265,0.526
-AutoARIMA,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.972,-1.444,-0.647
-AutoARIMA,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.834,-1.16,-0.609
-AutoARIMA,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.798,-1.136,-0.575
-AutoARIMA,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.749,-1.031,-0.557
-AutoARIMA,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.745,-1.16,-0.448
-AutoARIMA,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.675,-0.965,-0.486
-AutoARIMA,PatchTST,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.618,-1.048,-0.334
-AutoARIMA,TFT,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.467,-0.739,-0.286
-AutoARIMA,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.558,-0.844,-0.366
-AutoARIMA,TabPFN-TS,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.568,-0.874,-0.337
-AutoARIMA,Sundial-Base,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.598,-0.891,-0.389
-AutoARIMA,DeepAR,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.325,-0.5,-0.189
-AutoARIMA,CatBoost,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.226,-0.424,-0.079
-AutoARIMA,LightGBM,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.099,-0.27,0.071
-AutoARIMA,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,Seasonal Naive,0.925,0.8,1.0,0.348,0.228,0.464
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.351,-0.498,-0.233
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.339,-0.471,-0.228
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.325,-0.437,-0.227
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.26,-0.345,-0.186
+Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.266,-0.429,-0.154
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.177,-0.267,-0.098
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.176,-0.246,-0.12
+Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.154,-0.218,-0.101
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.123,-0.183,-0.069
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.174,-0.382,-0.037
+Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.2,0.05,0.351,-0.12,-0.295,-0.023
+Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.15,0.025,0.301,-0.075,-0.134,-0.024
+Chronos-Bolt,PatchTST,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.039,-0.264,0.11
+Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.059,-0.096,0.207
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.55,0.35,0.75,-0.007,-0.108,0.094
+Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.582,0.486,0.675
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-2.229,-3.277,-1.556
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-2.201,-3.228,-1.546
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-2.166,-3.211,-1.516
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-2.011,-2.926,-1.406
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-2.025,-2.936,-1.394
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.814,-2.639,-1.287
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.811,-2.664,-1.269
 Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.759,-2.495,-1.259
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.684,-2.448,-1.175
+Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.806,-2.622,-1.215
 Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.677,-2.381,-1.163
 Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.57,-2.259,-1.095
 Seasonal Naive,PatchTST,0.1,0.0,0.25,-1.482,-2.307,-0.914
 Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.1,0.0,0.25,-1.25,-1.926,-0.795
-Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.39,-2.073,-0.945
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.406,-2.118,-0.903
-Seasonal Naive,Sundial-Base,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.452,-2.065,-1.017
-Seasonal Naive,DeepAR,0.15,0.0,0.3,-1.032,-1.647,-0.604
-Seasonal Naive,CatBoost,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.881,-1.379,-0.536
-Seasonal Naive,LightGBM,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.687,-1.108,-0.36
-Seasonal Naive,AutoARIMA,0.075,0.0,0.2,-0.534,-0.865,-0.295
+Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.39,-2.073,-0.945
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_econ/leaderboard_MASE.csv

@@ -1,22 +1,28 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Stat. Ensemble,86.25,38.47702197421158,0.0,73.43481351955408,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,76.25,36.87592044073875,0.0,0.16472977363175062,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,75.41666666666667,36.739370201928836,0.20454036927361854,0.03409663050126502,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-2,72.91666666666667,36.307128273958256,0.0,0.14791438772454144,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,70.83333333333333,35.908870624227376,0.0,1.5253584038361796,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,69.58333333333333,35.21482359572895,0.0,0.8205954025996205,0.16666666666666666,0.0
-CatBoost,69.16666666666667,35.982559330359685,3.42108969184492,0.03905346701454776,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,60.833333333333314,32.41516602344565,0.0,5.0937543479594325,0.16666666666666666,0.0
-AutoARIMA,59.166666666666664,33.893658085803416,0.0,6.5345976113161015,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,55.41666666666667,32.52926186802178,0.0,0.9578271612919038,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,54.166666666666664,32.83344751489832,0.0,0.3095206282094962,0.16666666666666666,0.0
-Drift,53.33333333333334,29.639454067966152,0.0,0.4198026182352941,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,52.91666666666666,34.19057001716027,0.0,52.326198869129215,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,42.08333333333333,30.133730029400986,0.0,0.1587546411616528,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,40.416666666666664,28.236498726126015,0.0,0.21986280235955058,0.16666666666666666,0.0
-DeepAR,31.25,24.302560020818376,546.7685936688092,0.18274403532732447,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,22.916666666666664,19.70951503418047,0.0,8.00438149490214,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,17.916666666666668,15.279108700450617,310.3190003231231,0.1605401314516129,0.0,0.0
-Naive,16.666666666666668,15.593612422240255,0.0,0.46331807906862743,0.0,0.0
-TFT,14.166666666666666,9.838087249658834,445.02348117965687,0.18857640938013914,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,8.333333333333332,0.0,0.0,0.41450250024509805,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,80.76923076923077,38.47702197421158,0.0,73.43481351955408,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,76.6025641025641,37.883510512986405,0.0,0.2300832338301921,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,74.99999999999999,37.647796213911036,0.0,2.4167769806179775,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,72.11538461538463,37.637104246897856,0.0,0.9865880503225806,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,71.79487179487182,37.649421436010044,0.0,5.236902611304615,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,70.19230769230771,36.87592044073875,0.0,0.16472977363175062,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,69.55128205128204,36.307128273958256,0.0,0.14791438772454144,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,68.58974358974356,36.739370201928836,0.20454036927361854,0.03409663050126502,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,65.7051282051282,35.908870624227376,0.0,1.5253584038361796,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,64.1025641025641,35.21482359572895,0.0,0.8205954025996205,0.16666666666666666,0.0
+CatBoost,63.14102564102565,35.982559330359685,3.42108969184492,0.03905346701454776,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,58.33333333333333,35.180832137280916,0.0,0.1810118077664009,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,57.692307692307686,32.41516602344565,0.0,5.0937543479594325,0.16666666666666666,0.0
+AutoARIMA,53.84615384615385,33.893658085803416,0.0,6.5345976113161015,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,50.0,34.19057001716027,0.0,52.326198869129215,0.0,0.0
+AutoTheta,50.0,32.52926186802178,0.0,0.9578271612919038,0.0,0.0
+Drift,47.756410256410255,29.639454067966152,0.0,0.4198026182352941,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,47.43589743589744,32.83344751489832,0.0,0.3095206282094962,0.16666666666666666,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,37.50000000000001,30.133730029400986,0.0,0.1587546411616528,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,37.179487179487175,28.575629786307356,0.0,190.9822121554963,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,36.858974358974365,28.236498726126015,0.0,0.21986280235955058,0.16666666666666666,0.0
+DeepAR,28.205128205128204,24.302560020818376,546.7685936688092,0.18274403532732447,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,19.871794871794872,19.70951503418047,0.0,8.00438149490214,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,15.064102564102566,15.279108700450617,310.3190003231231,0.1605401314516129,0.0,0.0
+Naive,13.782051282051283,15.593612422240255,0.0,0.46331807906862743,0.0,0.0
+TFT,11.538461538461538,9.838087249658834,445.02348117965687,0.18857640938013914,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,7.3717948717948705,0.0,0.0,0.41450250024509805,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_econ/leaderboard_SQL.csv

@@ -1,22 +1,28 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-TiRex,87.5,38.16787226217255,0.0,0.16472977363175062,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-2,85.83333333333334,37.73601252203713,0.0,0.14791438772454144,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,81.66666666666667,37.119576639717835,0.0,73.43481351955408,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,75.0,35.273957411546085,0.0,0.8205954025996205,0.16666666666666666,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,68.33333333333333,35.173459448094114,0.0,52.326198869129215,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,67.91666666666667,33.496371356107844,0.0,5.0937543479594325,0.16666666666666666,0.0
-AutoETS,67.5,29.18586393990128,0.0,1.5253584038361796,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,61.66666666666666,32.772070331944484,0.0,0.3095206282094962,0.16666666666666666,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,57.08333333333334,31.81815534740079,0.0,0.1587546411616528,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,56.666666666666664,31.72145242450589,0.0,6.5345976113161015,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,49.58333333333333,29.079628766325204,0.0,0.21986280235955058,0.16666666666666666,0.0
-AutoTheta,48.33333333333334,29.61896808086114,0.0,0.9578271612919038,0.0,0.0
-Drift,47.083333333333336,25.58270375016218,0.0,0.4198026182352941,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,43.749999999999986,25.12762288287479,546.7685936688092,0.18274403532732447,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,34.166666666666664,24.325044506495818,0.20454036927361854,0.03409663050126502,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,27.916666666666668,23.419716355230047,3.42108969184492,0.03905346701454776,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,25.416666666666664,16.930294384775955,310.3190003231231,0.1605401314516129,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,20.0,14.510260955147846,0.0,8.00438149490214,0.0,0.0
-Naive,17.91666666666667,11.510640002523509,0.0,0.46331807906862743,0.0,0.0
-TFT,17.5,9.329379481293765,445.02348117965687,0.18857640938013914,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,9.166666666666664,0.0,0.0,0.41450250024509805,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,80.76923076923077,37.73601252203713,0.0,0.14791438772454144,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,80.76923076923077,38.16787226217255,0.0,0.16472977363175062,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,80.44871794871794,38.54527045088485,0.0,5.236902611304615,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,80.12820512820512,38.30540837943911,0.0,2.4167769806179775,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,79.8076923076923,38.27714813601945,0.0,0.9865880503225806,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,79.48717948717949,38.28322277552283,0.0,0.2300832338301921,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,72.75641025641025,37.119576639717835,0.0,73.43481351955408,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,68.26923076923077,35.273957411546085,0.0,0.8205954025996205,0.16666666666666666,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,65.06410256410257,35.90432755342822,0.0,0.1810118077664009,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,61.85897435897437,33.496371356107844,0.0,5.0937543479594325,0.16666666666666666,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,61.21794871794872,35.173459448094114,0.0,52.326198869129215,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,58.974358974358964,29.18586393990128,0.0,1.5253584038361796,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,52.564102564102576,32.772070331944484,0.0,0.3095206282094962,0.16666666666666666,0.0
+AutoARIMA,50.32051282051282,31.72145242450589,0.0,6.5345976113161015,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,49.03846153846153,31.81815534740079,0.0,0.1587546411616528,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,42.30769230769231,29.079628766325204,0.0,0.21986280235955058,0.16666666666666666,0.0
+AutoTheta,41.34615384615385,29.61896808086114,0.0,0.9578271612919038,0.0,0.0
+Drift,40.705128205128204,25.58270375016218,0.0,0.4198026182352941,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,40.38461538461539,29.19971717461506,0.0,190.9822121554963,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,38.141025641025635,25.12762288287479,546.7685936688092,0.18274403532732447,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,28.846153846153843,24.325044506495818,0.20454036927361854,0.03409663050126502,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,23.717948717948715,23.419716355230047,3.42108969184492,0.03905346701454776,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,20.51282051282051,16.930294384775955,310.3190003231231,0.1605401314516129,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,16.346153846153847,14.510260955147846,0.0,8.00438149490214,0.0,0.0
+Naive,14.423076923076925,11.510640002523509,0.0,0.46331807906862743,0.0,0.0
+TFT,14.102564102564102,9.329379481293765,445.02348117965687,0.18857640938013914,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,7.692307692307692,0.0,0.0,0.41450250024509805,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_econ/leaderboard_WAPE.csv

@@ -1,22 +1,28 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-TiRex,77.91666666666667,37.758720587285445,0.0,0.16472977363175062,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,74.16666666666666,38.177219528557146,0.0,73.43481351955408,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-2,71.25,36.558735189016225,0.0,0.14791438772454144,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,67.08333333333336,33.97875884401389,0.0,5.0937543479594325,0.16666666666666666,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,66.66666666666666,35.89256072267927,0.0,0.3095206282094962,0.16666666666666666,0.0
-FlowState,65.41666666666667,37.645403955852096,0.0,0.8205954025996205,0.16666666666666666,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,64.16666666666666,36.531743334435674,0.0,52.326198869129215,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,62.5,34.84116662551825,0.0,1.5253584038361796,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,62.083333333333336,35.20082715344605,3.42108969184492,0.03905346701454776,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,60.41666666666667,35.02206834104291,0.20454036927361854,0.03409663050126502,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,54.58333333333333,35.732170334358024,0.0,6.5345976113161015,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,53.75,30.478143266802604,0.0,0.1587546411616528,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,51.66666666666666,28.277512977220987,0.0,0.21986280235955058,0.16666666666666666,0.0
-AutoTheta,48.33333333333335,31.812923074763923,0.0,0.9578271612919038,0.0,0.0
-Drift,48.33333333333334,28.435824921980835,0.0,0.4198026182352941,0.0,0.0
-Naive,24.58333333333333,15.872310498117715,0.0,0.46331807906862743,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,22.916666666666668,17.737235971841127,0.0,8.00438149490214,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,22.08333333333333,19.60425306556468,546.7685936688092,0.18274403532732447,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,20.0,15.619782622761335,310.3190003231231,0.1605401314516129,0.0,0.0
-TFT,19.583333333333336,6.946074243338563,445.02348117965687,0.18857640938013914,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,12.5,0.0,0.0,0.41450250024509805,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,80.76923076923079,38.80502192761649,0.0,2.4167769806179775,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,79.8076923076923,39.10703314170318,0.0,5.236902611304615,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,76.28205128205128,38.257695402459,0.0,0.9865880503225806,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,72.43589743589743,37.906655236674865,0.0,0.2300832338301921,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,71.15384615384616,37.758720587285445,0.0,0.16472977363175062,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,66.34615384615384,38.177219528557146,0.0,73.43481351955408,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,64.74358974358974,36.558735189016225,0.0,0.14791438772454144,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,60.897435897435905,33.97875884401389,0.0,5.0937543479594325,0.16666666666666666,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,60.57692307692308,35.89256072267927,0.0,0.3095206282094962,0.16666666666666666,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,59.294871794871796,36.531743334435674,0.0,52.326198869129215,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,58.974358974358964,37.645403955852096,0.0,0.8205954025996205,0.16666666666666666,0.0
+CatBoost,56.730769230769226,35.20082715344605,3.42108969184492,0.03905346701454776,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,55.44871794871795,33.31225235226658,0.0,0.1810118077664009,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,55.44871794871795,34.84116662551825,0.0,1.5253584038361796,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,53.84615384615385,35.02206834104291,0.20454036927361854,0.03409663050126502,0.0,0.0
+AutoARIMA,50.32051282051282,35.732170334358024,0.0,6.5345976113161015,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,47.11538461538461,30.478143266802604,0.0,0.1587546411616528,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,45.51282051282052,29.457560079978773,0.0,190.9822121554963,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,45.1923076923077,28.277512977220987,0.0,0.21986280235955058,0.16666666666666666,0.0
+AutoTheta,42.94871794871795,31.812923074763923,0.0,0.9578271612919038,0.0,0.0
+Drift,42.94871794871795,28.435824921980835,0.0,0.4198026182352941,0.0,0.0
+Naive,20.192307692307693,15.872310498117715,0.0,0.46331807906862743,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,19.230769230769226,17.737235971841127,0.0,8.00438149490214,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,18.269230769230766,19.60425306556468,546.7685936688092,0.18274403532732447,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,18.269230769230766,15.619782622761335,310.3190003231231,0.1605401314516129,0.0,0.0
+TFT,16.025641025641026,6.946074243338563,445.02348117965687,0.18857640938013914,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,11.217948717948719,0.0,0.0,0.41450250024509805,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_econ/leaderboard_WQL.csv

@@ -1,22 +1,28 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-TiRex,85.0,42.09146596586096,0.0,0.16472977363175062,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-2,80.41666666666666,40.960757337476025,0.0,0.14791438772454144,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,75.41666666666667,40.9054936267241,0.0,0.8205954025996205,0.16666666666666666,0.0
-Toto-1.0,72.91666666666667,38.100769058535434,0.0,5.0937543479594325,0.16666666666666666,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,71.25,39.266493040907115,0.0,0.3095206282094962,0.16666666666666666,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,69.58333333333333,40.20371520247606,0.0,52.326198869129215,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,68.33333333333333,37.992090519620156,0.0,73.43481351955408,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,64.16666666666666,35.534952430792764,0.0,0.1587546411616528,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,62.916666666666664,36.76571988294681,0.0,1.5253584038361796,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,58.75,32.793225265991246,0.0,0.21986280235955058,0.16666666666666666,0.0
-AutoARIMA,53.333333333333336,34.44615311952015,0.0,6.5345976113161015,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,43.75,29.146207850323268,0.0,0.9578271612919038,0.0,0.0
-Drift,37.49999999999999,23.828649343246187,0.0,0.4198026182352941,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,34.166666666666664,21.869167576579297,546.7685936688092,0.18274403532732447,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,32.91666666666667,26.0945614678313,3.42108969184492,0.03905346701454776,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,32.49999999999999,25.89068156049532,0.20454036927361854,0.03409663050126502,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,27.499999999999996,19.911167839333967,310.3190003231231,0.1605401314516129,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,24.583333333333325,17.532849869365606,0.0,8.00438149490214,0.0,0.0
-TFT,20.833333333333336,9.939963215759995,445.02348117965687,0.18857640938013914,0.0,0.0
-Naive,20.833333333333332,11.371958531244664,0.0,0.46331807906862743,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,13.333333333333334,0.0,0.0,0.41450250024509805,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,83.01282051282051,42.35200647023204,0.0,2.4167769806179775,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,81.41025641025641,42.8032329067254,0.0,5.236902611304615,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,77.88461538461537,42.088190864136244,0.0,0.9865880503225806,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,77.56410256410255,42.09146596586096,0.0,0.16472977363175062,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,76.92307692307693,42.320942130283335,0.0,0.2300832338301921,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,72.11538461538463,40.960757337476025,0.0,0.14791438772454144,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,66.98717948717949,40.9054936267241,0.0,0.8205954025996205,0.16666666666666666,0.0
+Toto-1.0,64.4230769230769,38.100769058535434,0.0,5.0937543479594325,0.16666666666666666,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,63.78205128205128,40.20371520247606,0.0,52.326198869129215,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,63.14102564102565,39.266493040907115,0.0,0.3095206282094962,0.16666666666666666,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,62.5,38.36462827294697,0.0,0.1810118077664009,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,59.93589743589743,37.992090519620156,0.0,73.43481351955408,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,54.807692307692314,35.534952430792764,0.0,0.1587546411616528,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,53.846153846153854,36.76571988294681,0.0,1.5253584038361796,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,51.28205128205129,34.00880337940215,0.0,190.9822121554963,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,49.67948717948719,32.793225265991246,0.0,0.21986280235955058,0.16666666666666666,0.0
+AutoARIMA,48.07692307692308,34.44615311952015,0.0,6.5345976113161015,0.0,0.0
+AutoTheta,38.46153846153847,29.146207850323268,0.0,0.9578271612919038,0.0,0.0
+Drift,32.37179487179487,23.828649343246187,0.0,0.4198026182352941,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,27.564102564102562,26.0945614678313,3.42108969184492,0.03905346701454776,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,27.564102564102562,25.89068156049532,0.20454036927361854,0.03409663050126502,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,27.243589743589748,21.869167576579297,546.7685936688092,0.18274403532732447,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,23.717948717948715,19.911167839333967,310.3190003231231,0.1605401314516129,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,19.551282051282044,17.532849869365606,0.0,8.00438149490214,0.0,0.0
+TFT,17.307692307692307,9.939963215759995,445.02348117965687,0.18857640938013914,0.0,0.0
+Naive,16.987179487179485,11.371958531244664,0.0,0.46331807906862743,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,11.85897435897436,0.0,0.0,0.41450250024509805,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_econ/pairwise_MASE.csv

@@ -1,257 +1,290 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
 Stat. Ensemble,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.248,0.75,0.01,-0.034,0.052
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.013,-0.041,0.068
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.013,-0.041,0.064
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-313m,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.013,-0.039,0.064
+Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-2,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.034,-0.014,0.087
 Stat. Ensemble,TiRex,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.025,-0.023,0.072
 Stat. Ensemble,LightGBM,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.027,-0.0,0.06
-Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-2,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.034,-0.014,0.087
-Stat. Ensemble,FlowState,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.05,-0.001,0.104
 Stat. Ensemble,AutoETS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.04,0.016,0.067
+Stat. Ensemble,FlowState,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.05,-0.001,0.104
 Stat. Ensemble,CatBoost,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.039,0.005,0.073
 Stat. Ensemble,Toto-1.0,0.75,0.417,1.0,0.09,0.024,0.151
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-4m,0.667,0.333,0.917,0.051,0.007,0.097
 Stat. Ensemble,AutoARIMA,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.069,0.021,0.135
-Stat. Ensemble,AutoTheta,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.088,0.053,0.126
-Stat. Ensemble,Drift,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.126,0.051,0.221
-Stat. Ensemble,TimesFM-2.5,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.084,0.03,0.143
 Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.065,0.019,0.104
 Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.119,0.068,0.168
-Stat. Ensemble,Moirai-2.0,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.143,0.081,0.197
 Stat. Ensemble,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.385,0.289,0.476
+Toto-2.0-22m,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.25,0.752,-0.01,-0.055,0.033
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.004,-0.028,0.04
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.004,-0.029,0.034
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.004,-0.023,0.031
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.025,-0.041,0.081
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.016,-0.02,0.048
+Toto-2.0-22m,LightGBM,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.018,-0.021,0.053
+Toto-2.0-22m,AutoETS,0.667,0.333,0.917,0.031,-0.008,0.068
+Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.041,-0.025,0.105
+Toto-2.0-22m,CatBoost,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.03,-0.012,0.069
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.081,0.012,0.155
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.042,0.025,0.061
+Toto-2.0-22m,AutoARIMA,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.06,-0.015,0.145
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.056,-0.008,0.109
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.111,0.063,0.16
+Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.379,0.266,0.482
+Toto-2.0-1B,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.013,-0.073,0.039
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.004,-0.041,0.028
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.0,-0.013,0.013
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.0,-0.011,0.011
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.5,0.25,0.752,0.021,-0.027,0.076
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.012,-0.019,0.044
+Toto-2.0-1B,LightGBM,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.014,-0.046,0.063
+Toto-2.0-1B,AutoETS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.027,-0.016,0.071
+Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.038,-0.045,0.096
+Toto-2.0-1B,CatBoost,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.026,-0.035,0.074
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.077,0.011,0.152
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.038,-0.006,0.081
+Toto-2.0-1B,AutoARIMA,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.057,-0.021,0.126
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.053,-0.01,0.108
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.108,0.058,0.154
+Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.376,0.262,0.473
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Stat. Ensemble,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.013,-0.068,0.039
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.004,-0.035,0.028
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.0,-0.014,0.013
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.0,-0.01,0.009
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.417,0.167,0.75,0.021,-0.024,0.072
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.012,-0.011,0.037
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,LightGBM,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.014,-0.043,0.067
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,AutoETS,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.027,-0.011,0.068
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.038,-0.043,0.103
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,CatBoost,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.026,-0.033,0.076
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.077,0.001,0.158
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.038,-0.002,0.085
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,AutoARIMA,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.057,-0.023,0.135
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.053,-0.002,0.104
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.108,0.058,0.156
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.376,0.263,0.471
+Toto-2.0-313m,Stat. Ensemble,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.014,-0.068,0.037
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.004,-0.032,0.023
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.0,-0.011,0.011
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.0,-0.009,0.01
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.417,0.167,0.75,0.021,-0.03,0.075
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.012,-0.013,0.041
+Toto-2.0-313m,LightGBM,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.014,-0.041,0.063
+Toto-2.0-313m,AutoETS,0.5,0.25,0.752,0.027,-0.011,0.069
+Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.037,-0.043,0.1
+Toto-2.0-313m,CatBoost,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.026,-0.03,0.075
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.077,0.006,0.155
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.038,0.001,0.08
+Toto-2.0-313m,AutoARIMA,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.057,-0.022,0.132
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.052,-0.005,0.105
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.107,0.058,0.157
+Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.376,0.262,0.475
+Chronos-2,Stat. Ensemble,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.035,-0.095,0.014
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.025,-0.088,0.039
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.248,0.75,-0.022,-0.082,0.027
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.583,0.25,0.833,-0.022,-0.077,0.024
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.583,0.25,0.833,-0.021,-0.081,0.029
+Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,TiRex,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.009,-0.045,0.026
+Chronos-2,LightGBM,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.007,-0.068,0.055
+Chronos-2,AutoETS,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.006,-0.027,0.041
+Chronos-2,FlowState,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.017,-0.064,0.092
+Chronos-2,CatBoost,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.005,-0.055,0.067
+Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.058,-0.037,0.145
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.017,-0.054,0.091
+Chronos-2,AutoARIMA,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.037,-0.046,0.122
+Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.032,-0.011,0.071
+Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.088,0.044,0.143
+Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.363,0.264,0.451
 TiRex,Stat. Ensemble,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.026,-0.078,0.023
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.016,-0.051,0.019
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.012,-0.046,0.018
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.012,-0.038,0.011
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.012,-0.043,0.012
+TiRex,Chronos-2,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.009,-0.026,0.043
 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TiRex,LightGBM,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.002,-0.051,0.049
-TiRex,Chronos-2,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.009,-0.026,0.043
-TiRex,FlowState,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.026,-0.05,0.091
 TiRex,AutoETS,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.015,-0.013,0.045
+TiRex,FlowState,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.026,-0.05,0.091
 TiRex,CatBoost,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.014,-0.041,0.062
 TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.066,-0.019,0.149
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.026,-0.02,0.076
 TiRex,AutoARIMA,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.045,-0.033,0.133
-TiRex,AutoTheta,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.064,-0.009,0.126
-TiRex,Drift,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.103,-0.002,0.214
-TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.06,0.02,0.109
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.041,-0.006,0.085
 TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.097,0.05,0.149
-TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.12,0.05,0.194
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.369,0.261,0.466
 LightGBM,Stat. Ensemble,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.028,-0.064,0.0
+LightGBM,Toto-2.0-22m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.018,-0.056,0.02
+LightGBM,Toto-2.0-1B,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.015,-0.068,0.044
+LightGBM,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.015,-0.072,0.042
+LightGBM,Toto-2.0-313m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.014,-0.067,0.04
+LightGBM,Chronos-2,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.007,-0.059,0.064
 LightGBM,TiRex,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.002,-0.051,0.049
 LightGBM,LightGBM,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,Chronos-2,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.007,-0.059,0.064
-LightGBM,FlowState,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.024,-0.019,0.072
 LightGBM,AutoETS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.013,-0.03,0.049
+LightGBM,FlowState,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.024,-0.019,0.072
 LightGBM,CatBoost,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.012,-0.002,0.026
 LightGBM,Toto-1.0,0.667,0.333,0.917,0.064,-0.009,0.132
+LightGBM,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.024,-0.016,0.063
 LightGBM,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.043,-0.012,0.11
-LightGBM,AutoTheta,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.062,0.019,0.108
-LightGBM,Drift,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.101,0.037,0.181
-LightGBM,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.058,-0.011,0.121
 LightGBM,TabPFN-TS,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.039,-0.028,0.085
 LightGBM,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.095,0.053,0.136
-LightGBM,Moirai-2.0,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.118,0.051,0.177
 LightGBM,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.367,0.267,0.458
-Chronos-2,Stat. Ensemble,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.035,-0.095,0.014
-Chronos-2,TiRex,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.009,-0.045,0.026
-Chronos-2,LightGBM,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.007,-0.068,0.055
-Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-2,FlowState,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.017,-0.064,0.092
-Chronos-2,AutoETS,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.006,-0.027,0.041
-Chronos-2,CatBoost,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.005,-0.055,0.067
-Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.058,-0.037,0.145
-Chronos-2,AutoARIMA,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.037,-0.046,0.122
-Chronos-2,AutoTheta,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.056,-0.023,0.124
-Chronos-2,Drift,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.095,-0.024,0.22
-Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.052,0.004,0.099
-Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.032,-0.011,0.071
-Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.088,0.044,0.143
-Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.112,0.045,0.186
-Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.363,0.264,0.451
-FlowState,Stat. Ensemble,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.053,-0.117,0.001
-FlowState,TiRex,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.026,-0.1,0.048
-FlowState,LightGBM,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.024,-0.077,0.019
-FlowState,Chronos-2,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.017,-0.102,0.06
-FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,AutoETS,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.011,-0.083,0.049
-FlowState,CatBoost,0.667,0.417,0.917,-0.012,-0.06,0.028
-FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.583,0.292,0.833,0.041,-0.047,0.127
-FlowState,AutoARIMA,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.02,-0.017,0.055
-FlowState,AutoTheta,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.04,-0.015,0.097
-FlowState,Drift,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.079,-0.007,0.177
-FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.035,-0.024,0.103
-FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.016,-0.058,0.073
-FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.833,0.625,1.0,0.073,0.02,0.125
-FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.833,0.625,1.0,0.097,0.02,0.172
-FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.352,0.265,0.429
 AutoETS,Stat. Ensemble,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.042,-0.072,-0.016
+AutoETS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.333,0.083,0.667,-0.032,-0.073,0.008
+AutoETS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.028,-0.076,0.015
+AutoETS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.028,-0.073,0.011
+AutoETS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.248,0.75,-0.028,-0.074,0.011
+AutoETS,Chronos-2,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.006,-0.043,0.026
 AutoETS,TiRex,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.015,-0.047,0.013
 AutoETS,LightGBM,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.013,-0.052,0.029
-AutoETS,Chronos-2,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.006,-0.043,0.026
-AutoETS,FlowState,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.011,-0.051,0.077
 AutoETS,AutoETS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,FlowState,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.011,-0.051,0.077
 AutoETS,CatBoost,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.001,-0.04,0.039
 AutoETS,Toto-1.0,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.052,-0.025,0.122
+AutoETS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.011,-0.035,0.059
 AutoETS,AutoARIMA,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.03,-0.036,0.112
-AutoETS,AutoTheta,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.05,-0.003,0.1
-AutoETS,Drift,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.089,-0.005,0.196
-AutoETS,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.046,-0.003,0.098
 AutoETS,TabPFN-TS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.026,-0.015,0.065
 AutoETS,Chronos-Bolt,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.083,0.041,0.127
-AutoETS,Moirai-2.0,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.107,0.05,0.164
 AutoETS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.359,0.256,0.456
+FlowState,Stat. Ensemble,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.053,-0.117,0.001
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.043,-0.117,0.025
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.039,-0.107,0.043
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.039,-0.114,0.041
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.039,-0.112,0.041
+FlowState,Chronos-2,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.017,-0.102,0.06
+FlowState,TiRex,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.026,-0.1,0.048
+FlowState,LightGBM,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.024,-0.077,0.019
+FlowState,AutoETS,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.011,-0.083,0.049
+FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,CatBoost,0.667,0.417,0.917,-0.012,-0.06,0.028
+FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.583,0.292,0.833,0.041,-0.047,0.127
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.001,-0.075,0.068
+FlowState,AutoARIMA,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.02,-0.017,0.055
+FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.016,-0.058,0.073
+FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.833,0.625,1.0,0.073,0.02,0.125
+FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.352,0.265,0.429
 CatBoost,Stat. Ensemble,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.041,-0.078,-0.005
+CatBoost,Toto-2.0-22m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.031,-0.074,0.012
+CatBoost,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.027,-0.08,0.034
+CatBoost,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.027,-0.083,0.032
+CatBoost,Toto-2.0-313m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.027,-0.081,0.029
+CatBoost,Chronos-2,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.005,-0.071,0.052
 CatBoost,TiRex,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.014,-0.066,0.039
 CatBoost,LightGBM,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.012,-0.026,0.002
-CatBoost,Chronos-2,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.005,-0.071,0.052
-CatBoost,FlowState,0.333,0.083,0.583,0.012,-0.029,0.057
 CatBoost,AutoETS,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.001,-0.041,0.039
+CatBoost,FlowState,0.333,0.083,0.583,0.012,-0.029,0.057
 CatBoost,CatBoost,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 CatBoost,Toto-1.0,0.667,0.333,0.917,0.053,-0.022,0.121
+CatBoost,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.012,-0.033,0.054
 CatBoost,AutoARIMA,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.032,-0.023,0.093
-CatBoost,AutoTheta,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.051,0.005,0.102
-CatBoost,Drift,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.09,0.019,0.173
-CatBoost,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.047,-0.019,0.108
 CatBoost,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.027,-0.036,0.075
 CatBoost,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.084,0.046,0.12
-CatBoost,Moirai-2.0,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.108,0.045,0.165
 CatBoost,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.36,0.26,0.448
 Toto-1.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.25,0.0,0.583,-0.099,-0.177,-0.024
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.088,-0.183,-0.012
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.084,-0.179,-0.012
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.084,-0.188,-0.001
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.084,-0.184,-0.006
+Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.061,-0.169,0.035
 Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.071,-0.175,0.019
 Toto-1.0,LightGBM,0.333,0.083,0.667,-0.068,-0.152,0.009
-Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.061,-0.169,0.035
-Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.417,0.167,0.708,-0.043,-0.146,0.045
 Toto-1.0,AutoETS,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.055,-0.139,0.025
+Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.417,0.167,0.708,-0.043,-0.146,0.045
 Toto-1.0,CatBoost,0.333,0.083,0.667,-0.056,-0.138,0.021
 Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.043,-0.126,0.025
 Toto-1.0,AutoARIMA,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.022,-0.108,0.05
-Toto-1.0,AutoTheta,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.002,-0.089,0.078
-Toto-1.0,Drift,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.039,-0.065,0.134
-Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.667,0.417,0.917,-0.006,-0.103,0.064
 Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.667,0.417,0.917,-0.027,-0.153,0.074
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.5,0.958,0.033,-0.034,0.097
-Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.833,0.625,0.958,0.058,0.018,0.107
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.324,0.198,0.433
+Toto-2.0-4m,Stat. Ensemble,0.333,0.083,0.667,-0.054,-0.108,-0.007
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.044,-0.065,-0.026
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.04,-0.088,0.006
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.04,-0.093,0.002
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.039,-0.087,-0.001
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.018,-0.1,0.051
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.027,-0.082,0.019
+Toto-2.0-4m,LightGBM,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.025,-0.068,0.016
+Toto-2.0-4m,AutoETS,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.011,-0.063,0.034
+Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.001,-0.073,0.07
+Toto-2.0-4m,CatBoost,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.013,-0.057,0.032
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.041,-0.025,0.112
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.019,-0.063,0.108
+Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.015,-0.064,0.08
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.072,0.02,0.128
+Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.352,0.226,0.462
 AutoARIMA,Stat. Ensemble,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.074,-0.156,-0.022
+AutoARIMA,Toto-2.0-22m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.064,-0.169,0.015
+AutoARIMA,Toto-2.0-1B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.06,-0.145,0.02
+AutoARIMA,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.06,-0.156,0.022
+AutoARIMA,Toto-2.0-313m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.06,-0.152,0.021
+AutoARIMA,Chronos-2,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.038,-0.139,0.044
 AutoARIMA,TiRex,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.047,-0.154,0.032
 AutoARIMA,LightGBM,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.045,-0.124,0.012
-AutoARIMA,Chronos-2,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.038,-0.139,0.044
-AutoARIMA,FlowState,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.02,-0.058,0.017
 AutoARIMA,AutoETS,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.031,-0.126,0.035
+AutoARIMA,FlowState,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.02,-0.058,0.017
 AutoARIMA,CatBoost,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.033,-0.102,0.023
 AutoARIMA,Toto-1.0,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.022,-0.052,0.097
+AutoARIMA,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.02,-0.121,0.059
 AutoARIMA,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,AutoTheta,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.02,-0.063,0.093
-AutoARIMA,Drift,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.06,-0.052,0.172
-AutoARIMA,TimesFM-2.5,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.016,-0.047,0.078
 AutoARIMA,TabPFN-TS,0.667,0.333,0.917,-0.005,-0.093,0.062
 AutoARIMA,Chronos-Bolt,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.054,-0.009,0.113
-AutoARIMA,Moirai-2.0,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.079,-0.006,0.156
 AutoARIMA,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.339,0.256,0.422
-AutoTheta,Stat. Ensemble,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.097,-0.144,-0.056
-AutoTheta,TiRex,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.069,-0.144,0.009
-AutoTheta,LightGBM,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.067,-0.122,-0.019
-AutoTheta,Chronos-2,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.059,-0.142,0.022
-AutoTheta,FlowState,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.041,-0.108,0.015
-AutoTheta,AutoETS,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.053,-0.111,0.003
-AutoTheta,CatBoost,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.054,-0.113,-0.005
-AutoTheta,Toto-1.0,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.002,-0.084,0.082
-AutoTheta,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.021,-0.102,0.059
-AutoTheta,AutoTheta,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,Drift,0.333,0.083,0.583,0.041,-0.014,0.136
-AutoTheta,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.005,-0.086,0.079
-AutoTheta,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.248,0.75,-0.025,-0.095,0.033
-AutoTheta,Chronos-Bolt,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.034,-0.034,0.1
-AutoTheta,Moirai-2.0,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.06,-0.011,0.123
-AutoTheta,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.325,0.231,0.412
-Drift,Stat. Ensemble,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.144,-0.284,-0.054
-Drift,TiRex,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.115,-0.273,0.002
-Drift,LightGBM,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.112,-0.22,-0.038
-Drift,Chronos-2,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.105,-0.282,0.024
-Drift,FlowState,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.086,-0.216,0.007
-Drift,AutoETS,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.098,-0.244,0.005
-Drift,CatBoost,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.099,-0.209,-0.02
-Drift,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.041,-0.155,0.061
-Drift,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.064,-0.208,0.05
-Drift,AutoTheta,0.667,0.417,0.917,-0.043,-0.158,0.014
-Drift,Drift,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Drift,TimesFM-2.5,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.048,-0.227,0.071
-Drift,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.248,0.75,-0.069,-0.247,0.038
-Drift,Chronos-Bolt,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.007,-0.119,0.086
-Drift,Moirai-2.0,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.02,-0.09,0.108
-Drift,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.296,0.127,0.41
-TimesFM-2.5,Stat. Ensemble,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.092,-0.167,-0.031
-TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.064,-0.122,-0.02
-TimesFM-2.5,LightGBM,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.062,-0.138,0.01
-TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.055,-0.11,-0.004
-TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.037,-0.115,0.024
-TimesFM-2.5,AutoETS,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.048,-0.109,0.003
-TimesFM-2.5,CatBoost,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.049,-0.121,0.019
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.333,0.083,0.583,0.006,-0.068,0.093
-TimesFM-2.5,AutoARIMA,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.016,-0.085,0.045
-TimesFM-2.5,AutoTheta,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.005,-0.086,0.079
-TimesFM-2.5,Drift,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.045,-0.076,0.185
-TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.021,-0.081,0.034
-TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.039,-0.007,0.091
-TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.064,-0.008,0.143
-TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.328,0.226,0.415
 TabPFN-TS,Stat. Ensemble,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.07,-0.116,-0.02
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.059,-0.122,0.008
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.055,-0.121,0.01
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.055,-0.116,0.002
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.055,-0.117,0.005
+TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.033,-0.076,0.011
 TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.043,-0.093,0.006
 TabPFN-TS,LightGBM,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.04,-0.093,0.028
-TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.033,-0.076,0.011
-TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.016,-0.079,0.055
 TabPFN-TS,AutoETS,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.027,-0.069,0.015
+TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.016,-0.079,0.055
 TabPFN-TS,CatBoost,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.028,-0.081,0.035
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.333,0.083,0.583,0.026,-0.08,0.132
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.015,-0.087,0.06
 TabPFN-TS,AutoARIMA,0.333,0.083,0.667,0.004,-0.067,0.085
-TabPFN-TS,AutoTheta,0.5,0.25,0.752,0.025,-0.035,0.086
-TabPFN-TS,Drift,0.5,0.25,0.752,0.065,-0.04,0.198
-TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.02,-0.036,0.075
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.058,-0.009,0.122
-TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.583,0.331,0.833,0.083,-0.005,0.174
 TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.342,0.249,0.435
 Chronos-Bolt,Stat. Ensemble,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.136,-0.202,-0.073
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.125,-0.191,-0.068
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.121,-0.182,-0.062
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.121,-0.185,-0.061
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.12,-0.186,-0.062
+Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.097,-0.167,-0.046
 Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.107,-0.175,-0.053
 Chronos-Bolt,LightGBM,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.104,-0.157,-0.056
-Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.097,-0.167,-0.046
-Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.167,0.0,0.375,-0.078,-0.143,-0.02
 Chronos-Bolt,AutoETS,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.09,-0.145,-0.043
+Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.167,0.0,0.375,-0.078,-0.143,-0.02
 Chronos-Bolt,CatBoost,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.091,-0.136,-0.049
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.25,0.042,0.5,-0.034,-0.107,0.033
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.078,-0.146,-0.021
 Chronos-Bolt,AutoARIMA,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.057,-0.128,0.009
-Chronos-Bolt,AutoTheta,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.036,-0.112,0.033
-Chronos-Bolt,Drift,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.007,-0.094,0.106
-Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.04,-0.1,0.007
 Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.062,-0.138,0.008
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.026,-0.016,0.079
 Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.301,0.198,0.389
-Moirai-2.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.166,-0.245,-0.088
-Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.137,-0.24,-0.053
-Moirai-2.0,LightGBM,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.134,-0.216,-0.054
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.127,-0.229,-0.048
-Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.167,0.0,0.375,-0.108,-0.208,-0.021
-Moirai-2.0,AutoETS,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.12,-0.196,-0.053
-Moirai-2.0,CatBoost,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.121,-0.198,-0.047
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.167,0.042,0.375,-0.062,-0.12,-0.019
-Moirai-2.0,AutoARIMA,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.086,-0.185,0.006
-Moirai-2.0,AutoTheta,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.064,-0.141,0.011
-Moirai-2.0,Drift,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.02,-0.121,0.083
-Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.068,-0.166,0.008
-Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.417,0.167,0.669,-0.09,-0.211,0.005
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.027,-0.086,0.015
-Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.282,0.162,0.388
 Seasonal Naive,Stat. Ensemble,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.625,-0.907,-0.407
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.61,-0.932,-0.362
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.604,-0.897,-0.355
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.604,-0.891,-0.357
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.604,-0.904,-0.354
+Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.57,-0.821,-0.358
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.584,-0.872,-0.353
 Seasonal Naive,LightGBM,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.581,-0.845,-0.364
-Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.57,-0.821,-0.358
-Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.544,-0.752,-0.36
 Seasonal Naive,AutoETS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.56,-0.837,-0.345
+Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.544,-0.752,-0.36
 Seasonal Naive,CatBoost,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.562,-0.812,-0.352
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.48,-0.763,-0.247
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.543,-0.858,-0.292
 Seasonal Naive,AutoARIMA,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.513,-0.73,-0.344
-Seasonal Naive,AutoTheta,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.482,-0.7,-0.301
-Seasonal Naive,Drift,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.421,-0.694,-0.146
-Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.489,-0.709,-0.292
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.52,-0.769,-0.332
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.431,-0.638,-0.246
-Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.393,-0.634,-0.193
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_econ/pairwise_SQL.csv

@@ -1,257 +1,257 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.002,-0.033,0.024
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.006,-0.031,0.017
 TiRex,Chronos-2,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.007,-0.028,0.036
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.002,-0.03,0.024
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.25,0.833,-0.002,-0.037,0.033
 TiRex,Stat. Ensemble,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.017,-0.034,0.06
 TiRex,FlowState,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.045,-0.023,0.098
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.667,0.415,0.917,0.035,-0.011,0.083
 TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.667,0.333,0.917,0.07,-0.008,0.143
-TiRex,AutoETS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.127,0.025,0.268
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.046,0.002,0.086
-TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.08,0.038,0.122
+TiRex,AutoETS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.127,0.025,0.268
 TiRex,AutoARIMA,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.094,0.019,0.181
+TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.08,0.038,0.122
 TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.093,0.05,0.141
-TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.128,0.063,0.197
-TiRex,Drift,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.169,0.055,0.293
-TiRex,AutoTheta,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.121,0.053,0.185
-TiRex,DeepAR,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.174,0.088,0.262
-TiRex,LightGBM,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.183,0.143,0.22
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.382,0.282,0.467
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.002,-0.025,0.032
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.004,-0.018,0.01
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.417,0.167,0.75,0.009,-0.036,0.055
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.0,-0.016,0.014
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.167,0.75,0.0,-0.03,0.027
+Toto-2.0-1B,Stat. Ensemble,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.019,-0.04,0.068
+Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.047,-0.032,0.1
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.037,-0.006,0.08
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.072,0.013,0.134
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.048,-0.007,0.097
+Toto-2.0-1B,AutoETS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.129,0.018,0.268
+Toto-2.0-1B,AutoARIMA,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.096,0.016,0.174
+Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.082,0.045,0.115
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.095,0.048,0.139
+Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.383,0.278,0.469
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.006,-0.017,0.03
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.004,-0.011,0.018
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.417,0.167,0.75,0.013,-0.029,0.057
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.583,0.331,0.833,0.004,-0.006,0.014
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.004,-0.024,0.036
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Stat. Ensemble,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.023,-0.033,0.071
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.051,-0.024,0.108
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.041,0.0,0.089
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.076,0.006,0.146
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.052,0.005,0.095
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,AutoETS,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.132,0.027,0.27
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,AutoARIMA,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.1,0.018,0.186
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.086,0.05,0.122
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.099,0.05,0.146
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.385,0.285,0.47
 Chronos-2,TiRex,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.007,-0.037,0.027
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.583,0.25,0.833,-0.009,-0.059,0.035
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.583,0.25,0.833,-0.013,-0.06,0.028
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.167,0.833,-0.009,-0.06,0.036
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.167,0.833,-0.009,-0.065,0.049
 Chronos-2,Stat. Ensemble,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.01,-0.042,0.051
 Chronos-2,FlowState,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.038,-0.034,0.106
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.667,0.415,0.917,0.029,-0.035,0.098
 Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.667,0.333,0.917,0.064,-0.021,0.141
-Chronos-2,AutoETS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.121,0.02,0.261
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.04,0.005,0.072
-Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.074,0.039,0.111
+Chronos-2,AutoETS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.121,0.02,0.261
 Chronos-2,AutoARIMA,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.088,0.009,0.174
+Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.074,0.039,0.111
 Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.087,0.043,0.142
-Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.122,0.059,0.192
-Chronos-2,Drift,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.163,0.036,0.303
-Chronos-2,AutoTheta,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.115,0.046,0.178
-Chronos-2,DeepAR,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.168,0.087,0.249
-Chronos-2,LightGBM,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.177,0.128,0.232
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.377,0.286,0.457
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.002,-0.025,0.029
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.0,-0.015,0.015
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.417,0.167,0.669,-0.004,-0.014,0.006
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.5,0.167,0.833,0.009,-0.038,0.056
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.583,0.25,0.833,-0.0,-0.024,0.024
+Toto-2.0-313m,Stat. Ensemble,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.018,-0.031,0.064
+Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.046,-0.02,0.099
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.037,0.001,0.079
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.072,0.005,0.139
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.048,0.0,0.09
+Toto-2.0-313m,AutoETS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.128,0.025,0.267
+Toto-2.0-313m,AutoARIMA,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.096,0.02,0.177
+Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.082,0.041,0.12
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.095,0.047,0.142
+Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.383,0.283,0.468
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.5,0.167,0.75,0.002,-0.034,0.036
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.25,0.833,-0.0,-0.028,0.029
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.004,-0.038,0.023
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.5,0.167,0.833,0.009,-0.051,0.061
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.417,0.167,0.75,0.0,-0.025,0.023
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,Stat. Ensemble,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.019,-0.03,0.062
+Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.046,-0.012,0.098
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.037,0.019,0.057
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.072,0.016,0.131
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.048,-0.011,0.096
+Toto-2.0-22m,AutoETS,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.128,0.025,0.268
+Toto-2.0-22m,AutoARIMA,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.096,0.021,0.181
+Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.082,0.025,0.13
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.095,0.055,0.138
+Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.383,0.284,0.473
 Stat. Ensemble,TiRex,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.017,-0.064,0.033
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.019,-0.072,0.039
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.023,-0.076,0.032
 Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-2,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.01,-0.053,0.04
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-313m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.019,-0.069,0.03
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-22m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.019,-0.066,0.029
 Stat. Ensemble,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Stat. Ensemble,FlowState,0.5,0.167,0.75,0.029,-0.016,0.073
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-4m,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.019,-0.029,0.073
 Stat. Ensemble,Toto-1.0,0.667,0.333,0.917,0.054,-0.012,0.118
-Stat. Ensemble,AutoETS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.112,0.011,0.257
 Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.03,-0.01,0.063
-Stat. Ensemble,TimesFM-2.5,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.065,0.013,0.121
+Stat. Ensemble,AutoETS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.112,0.011,0.257
 Stat. Ensemble,AutoARIMA,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.079,0.03,0.146
+Stat. Ensemble,TimesFM-2.5,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.065,0.013,0.121
 Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.078,0.024,0.131
-Stat. Ensemble,Moirai-2.0,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.113,0.048,0.171
-Stat. Ensemble,Drift,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.155,0.061,0.279
-Stat. Ensemble,AutoTheta,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.107,0.07,0.148
-Stat. Ensemble,DeepAR,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.16,0.078,0.259
-Stat. Ensemble,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.169,0.139,0.21
 Stat. Ensemble,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.371,0.288,0.452
 FlowState,TiRex,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.047,-0.109,0.023
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.049,-0.112,0.031
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.053,-0.121,0.024
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.04,-0.118,0.033
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.049,-0.109,0.02
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.049,-0.109,0.012
 FlowState,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.25,0.833,-0.029,-0.079,0.016
 FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.01,-0.079,0.052
 FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.583,0.292,0.833,0.027,-0.057,0.11
-FlowState,AutoETS,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.086,-0.042,0.243
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.002,-0.065,0.055
-FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.667,0.417,0.875,0.037,-0.024,0.11
+FlowState,AutoETS,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.086,-0.042,0.243
 FlowState,AutoARIMA,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.052,0.005,0.102
+FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.667,0.417,0.875,0.037,-0.024,0.11
 FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.833,0.625,1.0,0.051,-0.002,0.101
-FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.833,0.625,1.0,0.087,0.013,0.162
-FlowState,Drift,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.13,0.042,0.241
-FlowState,AutoTheta,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.08,0.03,0.133
-FlowState,DeepAR,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.136,0.063,0.219
-FlowState,LightGBM,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.145,0.102,0.18
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.353,0.274,0.424
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.333,0.083,0.585,-0.037,-0.091,0.011
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.039,-0.087,0.006
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.043,-0.097,-0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.333,0.083,0.585,-0.029,-0.108,0.034
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.038,-0.086,-0.001
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.039,-0.06,-0.019
+Toto-2.0-4m,Stat. Ensemble,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.019,-0.079,0.028
+Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.01,-0.055,0.073
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.036,-0.022,0.097
+Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.011,-0.067,0.07
+Toto-2.0-4m,AutoETS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.095,-0.02,0.241
+Toto-2.0-4m,AutoARIMA,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.061,-0.023,0.155
+Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.047,-0.027,0.112
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.06,0.01,0.112
+Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.359,0.246,0.458
 Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.333,0.083,0.667,-0.076,-0.167,0.008
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.078,-0.155,-0.013
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.082,-0.171,-0.006
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.333,0.083,0.667,-0.068,-0.164,0.021
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.077,-0.162,-0.005
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.078,-0.151,-0.017
 Toto-1.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.333,0.083,0.667,-0.058,-0.134,0.012
 Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.417,0.167,0.708,-0.027,-0.124,0.054
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.038,-0.107,0.022
 Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,AutoETS,0.5,0.25,0.752,0.061,-0.086,0.229
 Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.667,0.417,0.917,-0.026,-0.134,0.065
-Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.5,0.958,0.011,-0.075,0.076
+Toto-1.0,AutoETS,0.5,0.25,0.752,0.061,-0.086,0.229
 Toto-1.0,AutoARIMA,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.026,-0.059,0.101
+Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.5,0.958,0.011,-0.075,0.076
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.667,0.417,0.875,0.025,-0.031,0.083
-Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.833,0.625,0.958,0.062,0.021,0.111
-Toto-1.0,Drift,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.106,-0.014,0.216
-Toto-1.0,AutoTheta,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.055,-0.029,0.136
-Toto-1.0,DeepAR,0.75,0.5,0.919,0.112,0.002,0.233
-Toto-1.0,LightGBM,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.121,0.055,0.184
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.335,0.215,0.436
-AutoETS,TiRex,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.145,-0.367,-0.025
-AutoETS,Chronos-2,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.137,-0.354,-0.02
-AutoETS,Stat. Ensemble,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.126,-0.345,-0.012
-AutoETS,FlowState,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.094,-0.322,0.04
-AutoETS,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.248,0.75,-0.065,-0.298,0.08
-AutoETS,AutoETS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.25,0.833,-0.092,-0.306,0.025
-AutoETS,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.053,-0.259,0.072
-AutoETS,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.167,0.75,-0.037,-0.271,0.112
-AutoETS,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.5,1.0,-0.039,-0.251,0.086
-AutoETS,Moirai-2.0,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.001,-0.211,0.131
-AutoETS,Drift,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.048,-0.2,0.237
-AutoETS,AutoTheta,0.75,0.5,1.0,-0.006,-0.228,0.119
-AutoETS,DeepAR,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.054,-0.175,0.203
-AutoETS,LightGBM,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.064,-0.129,0.175
-AutoETS,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.292,0.084,0.43
 TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.048,-0.094,-0.002
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.051,-0.107,0.007
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.055,-0.105,-0.005
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.041,-0.077,-0.005
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.05,-0.099,-0.0
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.05,-0.106,0.011
 TabPFN-TS,Stat. Ensemble,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.031,-0.067,0.009
 TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.002,-0.058,0.061
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.011,-0.075,0.062
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.333,0.083,0.583,0.025,-0.069,0.118
-TabPFN-TS,AutoETS,0.5,0.167,0.75,0.085,-0.026,0.234
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.036,-0.012,0.086
+TabPFN-TS,AutoETS,0.5,0.167,0.75,0.085,-0.026,0.234
 TabPFN-TS,AutoARIMA,0.667,0.415,0.917,0.051,-0.02,0.134
+TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.036,-0.012,0.086
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.049,-0.015,0.114
-TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.583,0.331,0.833,0.086,0.005,0.17
-TabPFN-TS,Drift,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.129,0.014,0.28
-TabPFN-TS,AutoTheta,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.079,0.026,0.129
-TabPFN-TS,DeepAR,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.134,0.05,0.228
-TabPFN-TS,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.143,0.098,0.204
 TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.352,0.266,0.435
-TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.087,-0.139,-0.039
-TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.08,-0.124,-0.041
-TimesFM-2.5,Stat. Ensemble,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.069,-0.137,-0.014
-TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.333,0.125,0.583,-0.039,-0.124,0.024
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.25,0.042,0.5,-0.011,-0.082,0.07
-TimesFM-2.5,AutoETS,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.051,-0.077,0.205
-TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.037,-0.094,0.012
-TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,AutoARIMA,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.015,-0.066,0.089
-TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.014,-0.034,0.072
-TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.052,-0.014,0.127
-TimesFM-2.5,Drift,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.097,-0.046,0.255
-TimesFM-2.5,AutoTheta,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.045,-0.043,0.116
-TimesFM-2.5,DeepAR,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.102,0.009,0.194
-TimesFM-2.5,LightGBM,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.112,0.044,0.176
-TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.328,0.224,0.407
+AutoETS,TiRex,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.145,-0.367,-0.025
+AutoETS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.148,-0.366,-0.018
+AutoETS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.152,-0.369,-0.028
+AutoETS,Chronos-2,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.137,-0.354,-0.02
+AutoETS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.147,-0.365,-0.025
+AutoETS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.147,-0.367,-0.026
+AutoETS,Stat. Ensemble,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.126,-0.345,-0.012
+AutoETS,FlowState,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.094,-0.322,0.04
+AutoETS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.105,-0.317,0.019
+AutoETS,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.248,0.75,-0.065,-0.298,0.08
+AutoETS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.25,0.833,-0.092,-0.306,0.025
+AutoETS,AutoETS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.167,0.75,-0.037,-0.271,0.112
+AutoETS,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.053,-0.259,0.072
+AutoETS,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.5,1.0,-0.039,-0.251,0.086
+AutoETS,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.292,0.084,0.43
 AutoARIMA,TiRex,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.104,-0.221,-0.019
+AutoARIMA,Toto-2.0-1B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.107,-0.211,-0.017
+AutoARIMA,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.111,-0.228,-0.019
 AutoARIMA,Chronos-2,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.097,-0.21,-0.009
+AutoARIMA,Toto-2.0-313m,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.106,-0.216,-0.02
+AutoARIMA,Toto-2.0-22m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.106,-0.221,-0.021
 AutoARIMA,Stat. Ensemble,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.086,-0.171,-0.031
 AutoARIMA,FlowState,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.055,-0.113,-0.005
+AutoARIMA,Toto-2.0-4m,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.065,-0.184,0.022
 AutoARIMA,Toto-1.0,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.027,-0.113,0.056
-AutoARIMA,AutoETS,0.5,0.25,0.833,0.036,-0.126,0.213
 AutoARIMA,TabPFN-TS,0.333,0.083,0.585,-0.053,-0.154,0.02
-AutoARIMA,TimesFM-2.5,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.016,-0.097,0.062
+AutoARIMA,AutoETS,0.5,0.25,0.833,0.036,-0.126,0.213
 AutoARIMA,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+AutoARIMA,TimesFM-2.5,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.016,-0.097,0.062
 AutoARIMA,Chronos-Bolt,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.001,-0.08,0.069
-AutoARIMA,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.037,-0.064,0.125
-AutoARIMA,Drift,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.082,-0.049,0.224
-AutoARIMA,AutoTheta,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.03,-0.058,0.107
-AutoARIMA,DeepAR,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.088,-0.009,0.203
-AutoARIMA,LightGBM,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.098,0.012,0.161
 AutoARIMA,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.317,0.242,0.396
+TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.087,-0.139,-0.039
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.09,-0.13,-0.047
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.094,-0.139,-0.053
+TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.08,-0.124,-0.041
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.089,-0.136,-0.042
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.089,-0.15,-0.026
+TimesFM-2.5,Stat. Ensemble,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.069,-0.137,-0.014
+TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.333,0.125,0.583,-0.039,-0.124,0.024
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.049,-0.126,0.026
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.25,0.042,0.5,-0.011,-0.082,0.07
+TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.037,-0.094,0.012
+TimesFM-2.5,AutoETS,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.051,-0.077,0.205
+TimesFM-2.5,AutoARIMA,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.015,-0.066,0.089
+TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.014,-0.034,0.072
+TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.328,0.224,0.407
 Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.103,-0.164,-0.052
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.105,-0.162,-0.05
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.109,-0.171,-0.053
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.095,-0.165,-0.044
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.105,-0.165,-0.049
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.105,-0.159,-0.058
 Chronos-Bolt,Stat. Ensemble,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.084,-0.151,-0.024
 Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.167,0.0,0.375,-0.053,-0.113,0.002
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.064,-0.126,-0.01
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.333,0.125,0.583,-0.025,-0.09,0.03
-Chronos-Bolt,AutoETS,0.25,0.0,0.5,0.037,-0.094,0.201
 Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.052,-0.128,0.014
-Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.014,-0.077,0.032
+Chronos-Bolt,AutoETS,0.25,0.0,0.5,0.037,-0.094,0.201
 Chronos-Bolt,AutoARIMA,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.001,-0.074,0.074
+Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.014,-0.077,0.032
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.039,-0.001,0.09
-Chronos-Bolt,Drift,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.084,-0.028,0.199
-Chronos-Bolt,AutoTheta,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.031,-0.044,0.102
-Chronos-Bolt,DeepAR,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.089,0.02,0.168
-Chronos-Bolt,LightGBM,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.099,0.057,0.138
 Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.318,0.219,0.402
-Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.147,-0.245,-0.067
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.139,-0.237,-0.063
-Moirai-2.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.128,-0.206,-0.05
-Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.167,0.0,0.375,-0.096,-0.194,-0.013
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.167,0.042,0.375,-0.066,-0.124,-0.022
-Moirai-2.0,AutoETS,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.002,-0.151,0.175
-Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.417,0.167,0.669,-0.094,-0.205,-0.005
-Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.055,-0.145,0.014
-Moirai-2.0,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.039,-0.142,0.06
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.04,-0.099,0.001
-Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,Drift,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.047,-0.076,0.17
-Moirai-2.0,AutoTheta,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.008,-0.087,0.069
-Moirai-2.0,DeepAR,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.053,-0.038,0.15
-Moirai-2.0,LightGBM,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.063,-0.006,0.126
-Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.291,0.176,0.391
-Drift,TiRex,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.204,-0.414,-0.058
-Drift,Chronos-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.195,-0.435,-0.037
-Drift,Stat. Ensemble,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.183,-0.386,-0.065
-Drift,FlowState,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.15,-0.317,-0.044
-Drift,Toto-1.0,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.119,-0.275,0.014
-Drift,AutoETS,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.051,-0.31,0.166
-Drift,TabPFN-TS,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.148,-0.389,-0.015
-Drift,TimesFM-2.5,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.107,-0.342,0.044
-Drift,AutoARIMA,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.09,-0.289,0.047
-Drift,Chronos-Bolt,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.091,-0.248,0.027
-Drift,Moirai-2.0,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.049,-0.204,0.07
-Drift,Drift,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Drift,AutoTheta,0.75,0.5,0.917,-0.057,-0.232,0.028
-Drift,DeepAR,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.006,-0.184,0.147
-Drift,LightGBM,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.017,-0.107,0.097
-Drift,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.256,0.054,0.378
-AutoTheta,TiRex,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.138,-0.227,-0.056
-AutoTheta,Chronos-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.13,-0.217,-0.048
-AutoTheta,Stat. Ensemble,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.119,-0.173,-0.075
-AutoTheta,FlowState,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.087,-0.153,-0.031
-AutoTheta,Toto-1.0,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.058,-0.158,0.029
-AutoTheta,AutoETS,0.25,0.0,0.5,0.006,-0.136,0.186
-AutoTheta,TabPFN-TS,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.086,-0.148,-0.026
-AutoTheta,TimesFM-2.5,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.047,-0.131,0.041
-AutoTheta,AutoARIMA,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.031,-0.12,0.055
-AutoTheta,Chronos-Bolt,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.032,-0.114,0.042
-AutoTheta,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.008,-0.075,0.08
-AutoTheta,Drift,0.25,0.083,0.5,0.054,-0.029,0.188
-AutoTheta,AutoTheta,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,DeepAR,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.06,-0.039,0.16
-AutoTheta,LightGBM,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.07,0.01,0.126
-AutoTheta,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.296,0.216,0.375
-DeepAR,TiRex,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.211,-0.354,-0.096
-DeepAR,Chronos-2,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.202,-0.331,-0.095
-DeepAR,Stat. Ensemble,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.191,-0.35,-0.084
-DeepAR,FlowState,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.157,-0.28,-0.067
-DeepAR,Toto-1.0,0.25,0.081,0.5,-0.126,-0.304,-0.002
-DeepAR,AutoETS,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.057,-0.255,0.149
-DeepAR,TabPFN-TS,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.155,-0.295,-0.052
-DeepAR,TimesFM-2.5,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.114,-0.24,-0.009
-DeepAR,AutoARIMA,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.097,-0.255,0.009
-DeepAR,Chronos-Bolt,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.098,-0.202,-0.02
-DeepAR,Moirai-2.0,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.056,-0.177,0.037
-DeepAR,Drift,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.006,-0.172,0.155
-DeepAR,AutoTheta,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.064,-0.191,0.037
-DeepAR,DeepAR,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,LightGBM,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.011,-0.102,0.102
-DeepAR,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.251,0.17,0.336
-LightGBM,TiRex,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.224,-0.283,-0.166
-LightGBM,Chronos-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.215,-0.303,-0.147
-LightGBM,Stat. Ensemble,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.203,-0.265,-0.161
-LightGBM,FlowState,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.169,-0.219,-0.113
-LightGBM,Toto-1.0,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.138,-0.226,-0.058
-LightGBM,AutoETS,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.069,-0.212,0.115
-LightGBM,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.167,-0.256,-0.109
-LightGBM,TimesFM-2.5,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.126,-0.214,-0.046
-LightGBM,AutoARIMA,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.108,-0.192,-0.012
-LightGBM,Chronos-Bolt,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.11,-0.161,-0.06
-LightGBM,Moirai-2.0,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.067,-0.144,0.006
-LightGBM,Drift,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.017,-0.107,0.096
-LightGBM,AutoTheta,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.075,-0.144,-0.011
-LightGBM,DeepAR,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.011,-0.113,0.092
-LightGBM,LightGBM,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,Seasonal Naive,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.243,0.126,0.34
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.617,-0.877,-0.392
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.621,-0.884,-0.386
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.627,-0.887,-0.398
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.606,-0.842,-0.401
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.62,-0.881,-0.394
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.62,-0.898,-0.396
 Seasonal Naive,Stat. Ensemble,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.59,-0.824,-0.404
 Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.545,-0.736,-0.377
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.56,-0.847,-0.326
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.504,-0.774,-0.274
-Seasonal Naive,AutoETS,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.412,-0.755,-0.091
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.543,-0.769,-0.363
-Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.487,-0.686,-0.288
+Seasonal Naive,AutoETS,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.412,-0.755,-0.091
 Seasonal Naive,AutoARIMA,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.465,-0.656,-0.319
+Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.487,-0.686,-0.288
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.467,-0.673,-0.28
-Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.41,-0.643,-0.214
-Seasonal Naive,Drift,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.344,-0.607,-0.057
-Seasonal Naive,AutoTheta,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.421,-0.599,-0.275
-Seasonal Naive,DeepAR,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.336,-0.505,-0.204
-Seasonal Naive,LightGBM,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.321,-0.515,-0.144
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_econ/pairwise_WAPE.csv

@@ -1,257 +1,290 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.005,-0.023,0.01
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.009,-0.017,0.033
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.014,-0.085,0.08
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.017,-0.022,0.044
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.035,-0.015,0.078
+Toto-2.0-1B,Stat. Ensemble,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.01,-0.138,0.106
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.073,-0.013,0.157
+Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.5,0.917,0.045,-0.002,0.093
+Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.019,-0.152,0.114
+Toto-2.0-1B,CatBoost,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.056,-0.124,0.175
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.036,-0.112,0.136
+Toto-2.0-1B,AutoETS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.061,-0.038,0.14
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.082,-0.005,0.154
+Toto-2.0-1B,LightGBM,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.058,-0.123,0.17
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.12,0.045,0.197
+Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.388,0.248,0.515
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.005,-0.01,0.022
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.014,-0.007,0.033
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.019,-0.065,0.083
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.022,-0.004,0.046
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.04,0.0,0.076
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Stat. Ensemble,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.015,-0.114,0.104
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.078,-0.001,0.164
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.5,0.917,0.05,0.012,0.094
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.023,-0.13,0.115
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,CatBoost,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.06,-0.104,0.172
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.041,-0.09,0.131
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,AutoETS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.065,-0.017,0.138
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.087,0.01,0.16
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,LightGBM,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.063,-0.102,0.168
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.124,0.054,0.199
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.391,0.26,0.511
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.009,-0.034,0.017
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.014,-0.034,0.007
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.006,-0.071,0.063
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.008,-0.021,0.035
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.027,-0.018,0.066
+Toto-2.0-313m,Stat. Ensemble,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.001,-0.131,0.091
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.065,-0.011,0.147
+Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.037,-0.004,0.079
+Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.01,-0.142,0.106
+Toto-2.0-313m,CatBoost,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.047,-0.108,0.154
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.027,-0.108,0.124
+Toto-2.0-313m,AutoETS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.052,-0.025,0.119
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.074,0.005,0.14
+Toto-2.0-313m,LightGBM,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.05,-0.104,0.149
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.112,0.053,0.179
+Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.383,0.252,0.506
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.015,-0.086,0.078
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.02,-0.091,0.061
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.006,-0.067,0.066
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.5,0.248,0.75,0.002,-0.05,0.058
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.021,-0.055,0.091
+Toto-2.0-22m,Stat. Ensemble,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.004,-0.084,0.066
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.059,-0.005,0.12
+Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.031,-0.046,0.105
+Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.004,-0.084,0.08
+Toto-2.0-22m,CatBoost,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.042,-0.064,0.136
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.022,-0.074,0.112
+Toto-2.0-22m,AutoETS,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.047,-0.016,0.095
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.069,0.048,0.092
+Toto-2.0-22m,LightGBM,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.044,-0.056,0.129
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.107,0.057,0.155
+Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.379,0.262,0.497
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.017,-0.046,0.022
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.022,-0.048,0.004
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.008,-0.036,0.021
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.25,0.752,-0.002,-0.061,0.048
 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,Stat. Ensemble,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.007,-0.118,0.073
 TiRex,Chronos-2,0.667,0.333,0.917,0.019,-0.026,0.055
+TiRex,Stat. Ensemble,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.007,-0.118,0.073
 TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.25,0.833,0.057,-0.011,0.131
 TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.833,0.667,1.0,0.029,-0.01,0.066
 TiRex,FlowState,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.002,-0.132,0.081
-TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.019,-0.098,0.11
 TiRex,CatBoost,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.039,-0.111,0.151
+TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.019,-0.098,0.11
 TiRex,AutoETS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.045,-0.022,0.113
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.067,0.006,0.127
 TiRex,LightGBM,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.042,-0.105,0.143
-TiRex,AutoARIMA,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.032,-0.075,0.116
 TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.105,0.043,0.176
-TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.132,0.04,0.235
-TiRex,Drift,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.13,-0.069,0.279
-TiRex,AutoTheta,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.087,-0.092,0.23
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.378,0.252,0.503
-Stat. Ensemble,TiRex,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.007,-0.079,0.105
-Stat. Ensemble,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-2,0.333,0.083,0.583,0.026,-0.052,0.124
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-1.0,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.064,-0.025,0.153
-Stat. Ensemble,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.036,-0.044,0.138
-Stat. Ensemble,FlowState,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.009,-0.049,0.064
-Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.026,-0.033,0.082
-Stat. Ensemble,CatBoost,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.046,-0.019,0.117
-Stat. Ensemble,AutoETS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.051,0.006,0.104
-Stat. Ensemble,LightGBM,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.049,-0.01,0.104
-Stat. Ensemble,AutoARIMA,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.038,-0.015,0.077
-Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.111,0.016,0.202
-Stat. Ensemble,Moirai-2.0,0.667,0.333,0.917,0.138,0.035,0.235
-Stat. Ensemble,Drift,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.136,0.017,0.263
-Stat. Ensemble,AutoTheta,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.093,0.006,0.186
-Stat. Ensemble,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.382,0.284,0.478
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.037,-0.085,0.015
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.042,-0.082,-0.0
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.028,-0.07,0.018
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.022,-0.1,0.052
 Chronos-2,TiRex,0.333,0.083,0.667,-0.019,-0.059,0.025
-Chronos-2,Stat. Ensemble,0.667,0.417,0.917,-0.026,-0.142,0.05
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,Stat. Ensemble,0.667,0.417,0.917,-0.026,-0.142,0.05
 Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.25,0.833,0.039,-0.047,0.129
 Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.167,0.75,0.01,-0.025,0.05
 Chronos-2,FlowState,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.017,-0.169,0.081
-Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.0,-0.134,0.102
 Chronos-2,CatBoost,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.021,-0.142,0.136
+Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.0,-0.134,0.102
 Chronos-2,AutoETS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.026,-0.04,0.085
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.049,-0.031,0.135
 Chronos-2,LightGBM,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.024,-0.139,0.134
-Chronos-2,AutoARIMA,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.013,-0.106,0.11
 Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.087,0.014,0.175
-Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.667,0.333,0.917,0.115,0.018,0.219
-Chronos-2,Drift,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.114,-0.101,0.291
-Chronos-2,AutoTheta,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.07,-0.127,0.214
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.366,0.237,0.489
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.01,-0.119,0.121
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.015,-0.116,0.103
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-313m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.001,-0.1,0.116
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-22m,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.004,-0.071,0.077
+Stat. Ensemble,TiRex,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.007,-0.079,0.105
+Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-2,0.333,0.083,0.583,0.026,-0.052,0.124
+Stat. Ensemble,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-1.0,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.064,-0.025,0.153
+Stat. Ensemble,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.036,-0.044,0.138
+Stat. Ensemble,FlowState,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.009,-0.049,0.064
+Stat. Ensemble,CatBoost,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.046,-0.019,0.117
+Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.026,-0.033,0.082
+Stat. Ensemble,AutoETS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.051,0.006,0.104
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-4m,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.073,-0.009,0.154
+Stat. Ensemble,LightGBM,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.049,-0.01,0.104
+Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.111,0.016,0.202
+Stat. Ensemble,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.382,0.284,0.478
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.079,-0.187,0.013
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.084,-0.196,0.001
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.069,-0.173,0.011
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.063,-0.136,0.005
 Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.5,0.167,0.75,-0.061,-0.151,0.011
-Toto-1.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.068,-0.181,0.024
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.5,0.167,0.75,-0.041,-0.149,0.045
+Toto-1.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.068,-0.181,0.024
 Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.03,-0.139,0.05
 Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.059,-0.205,0.059
-Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.04,-0.192,0.084
 Toto-1.0,CatBoost,0.583,0.25,0.833,-0.019,-0.168,0.102
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.04,-0.192,0.084
 Toto-1.0,AutoETS,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.013,-0.1,0.062
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.248,0.75,0.01,-0.051,0.066
 Toto-1.0,LightGBM,0.5,0.25,0.833,-0.016,-0.165,0.098
-Toto-1.0,AutoARIMA,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.027,-0.138,0.071
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.542,0.958,0.05,0.006,0.093
-Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.75,0.542,0.958,0.079,0.026,0.145
-Toto-1.0,Drift,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.077,-0.098,0.198
-Toto-1.0,AutoTheta,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.032,-0.141,0.168
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.34,0.203,0.463
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.083,0.5,-0.048,-0.103,0.002
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.083,0.5,-0.053,-0.103,-0.012
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.038,-0.085,0.004
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.032,-0.118,0.044
 TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.167,0.0,0.333,-0.03,-0.071,0.01
-TimesFM-2.5,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.037,-0.161,0.042
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.5,0.25,0.833,-0.011,-0.052,0.025
+TimesFM-2.5,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.037,-0.161,0.042
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.029,-0.053,0.122
 TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.028,-0.174,0.06
-TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.01,-0.144,0.086
 TimesFM-2.5,CatBoost,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.011,-0.151,0.126
+TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.01,-0.144,0.086
 TimesFM-2.5,AutoETS,0.583,0.331,0.833,0.016,-0.058,0.087
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.039,-0.044,0.124
 TimesFM-2.5,LightGBM,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.013,-0.148,0.118
-TimesFM-2.5,AutoARIMA,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.002,-0.108,0.082
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.667,0.417,0.875,0.078,0.002,0.167
-TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.106,0.001,0.216
-TimesFM-2.5,Drift,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.104,-0.116,0.272
-TimesFM-2.5,AutoTheta,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.06,-0.138,0.209
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.359,0.235,0.479
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.019,-0.129,0.132
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.024,-0.13,0.115
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.01,-0.119,0.124
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.004,-0.087,0.077
 FlowState,TiRex,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.002,-0.088,0.117
-FlowState,Stat. Ensemble,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.009,-0.068,0.047
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.017,-0.088,0.144
+FlowState,Stat. Ensemble,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.009,-0.068,0.047
 FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.056,-0.062,0.17
 FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.027,-0.064,0.149
 FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.018,-0.056,0.079
 FlowState,CatBoost,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.038,-0.03,0.127
+FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.018,-0.056,0.079
 FlowState,AutoETS,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.043,-0.045,0.131
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.065,-0.028,0.157
 FlowState,LightGBM,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.04,-0.011,0.111
-FlowState,AutoARIMA,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.03,-0.016,0.077
 FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.583,0.332,0.833,0.103,-0.011,0.214
-FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.583,0.332,0.833,0.131,-0.007,0.259
-FlowState,Drift,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.129,0.015,0.255
-FlowState,AutoTheta,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.086,-0.015,0.205
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.376,0.258,0.488
-TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.02,-0.124,0.089
-TabPFN-TS,Stat. Ensemble,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.027,-0.089,0.032
-TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.0,-0.113,0.119
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.039,-0.092,0.161
-TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.01,-0.095,0.126
-TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.018,-0.086,0.053
-TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,CatBoost,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.021,-0.065,0.101
-TabPFN-TS,AutoETS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.026,-0.063,0.099
-TabPFN-TS,LightGBM,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.023,-0.053,0.095
-TabPFN-TS,AutoARIMA,0.583,0.333,0.917,0.012,-0.076,0.092
-TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.583,0.331,0.833,0.087,-0.047,0.2
-TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.583,0.331,0.833,0.115,-0.032,0.239
-TabPFN-TS,Drift,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.113,-0.009,0.25
-TabPFN-TS,AutoTheta,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.069,-0.015,0.161
-TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.365,0.273,0.457
+CatBoost,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.059,-0.212,0.11
+CatBoost,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.064,-0.208,0.094
+CatBoost,Toto-2.0-313m,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.05,-0.181,0.097
+CatBoost,Toto-2.0-22m,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.044,-0.157,0.06
 CatBoost,TiRex,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.041,-0.178,0.1
-CatBoost,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.048,-0.133,0.018
 CatBoost,Chronos-2,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.021,-0.157,0.125
+CatBoost,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.048,-0.133,0.018
 CatBoost,Toto-1.0,0.417,0.167,0.75,0.019,-0.114,0.144
 CatBoost,TimesFM-2.5,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.011,-0.145,0.131
 CatBoost,FlowState,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.039,-0.146,0.029
-CatBoost,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.021,-0.113,0.061
 CatBoost,CatBoost,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.021,-0.113,0.061
 CatBoost,AutoETS,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.006,-0.085,0.101
+CatBoost,Toto-2.0-4m,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.028,-0.083,0.129
 CatBoost,LightGBM,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.003,-0.02,0.023
-CatBoost,AutoARIMA,0.583,0.25,0.833,-0.008,-0.127,0.076
 CatBoost,Chronos-Bolt,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.068,-0.042,0.181
-CatBoost,Moirai-2.0,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.097,-0.019,0.21
-CatBoost,Drift,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.095,0.001,0.192
-CatBoost,AutoTheta,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.05,-0.023,0.119
 CatBoost,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.352,0.249,0.443
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.037,-0.158,0.101
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.042,-0.151,0.082
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.028,-0.142,0.097
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.022,-0.126,0.069
+TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.02,-0.124,0.089
+TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.0,-0.113,0.119
+TabPFN-TS,Stat. Ensemble,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.027,-0.089,0.032
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.039,-0.092,0.161
+TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.01,-0.095,0.126
+TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.018,-0.086,0.053
+TabPFN-TS,CatBoost,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.021,-0.065,0.101
+TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,AutoETS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.026,-0.063,0.099
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.583,0.331,0.833,0.048,-0.067,0.151
+TabPFN-TS,LightGBM,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.023,-0.053,0.095
+TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.583,0.331,0.833,0.087,-0.047,0.2
+TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.365,0.273,0.457
+AutoETS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.065,-0.163,0.036
+AutoETS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.07,-0.16,0.017
+AutoETS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.055,-0.135,0.025
+AutoETS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.049,-0.105,0.016
 AutoETS,TiRex,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.047,-0.127,0.022
-AutoETS,Stat. Ensemble,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.054,-0.115,-0.006
 AutoETS,Chronos-2,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.027,-0.093,0.039
+AutoETS,Stat. Ensemble,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.054,-0.115,-0.006
 AutoETS,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.013,-0.066,0.091
 AutoETS,TimesFM-2.5,0.417,0.167,0.669,-0.016,-0.095,0.055
 AutoETS,FlowState,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.045,-0.151,0.043
-AutoETS,TabPFN-TS,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.027,-0.11,0.059
 AutoETS,CatBoost,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.006,-0.113,0.079
+AutoETS,TabPFN-TS,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.027,-0.11,0.059
 AutoETS,AutoETS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.023,-0.034,0.101
 AutoETS,LightGBM,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.003,-0.108,0.075
-AutoETS,AutoARIMA,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.014,-0.108,0.063
 AutoETS,Chronos-Bolt,0.667,0.333,0.917,0.063,-0.003,0.135
-AutoETS,Moirai-2.0,0.667,0.333,0.917,0.092,0.012,0.167
-AutoETS,Drift,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.09,-0.071,0.231
-AutoETS,AutoTheta,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.044,-0.086,0.148
 AutoETS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.348,0.248,0.455
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.09,-0.182,0.005
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.095,-0.19,-0.011
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.08,-0.163,-0.005
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.074,-0.101,-0.051
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.071,-0.145,-0.006
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.051,-0.155,0.03
+Toto-2.0-4m,Stat. Ensemble,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.079,-0.182,0.009
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.25,0.752,-0.01,-0.071,0.048
+Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.04,-0.142,0.043
+Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.069,-0.186,0.027
+Toto-2.0-4m,CatBoost,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.029,-0.148,0.077
+Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.417,0.167,0.669,-0.051,-0.178,0.063
+Toto-2.0-4m,AutoETS,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.023,-0.112,0.033
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,LightGBM,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.026,-0.143,0.069
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.041,0.002,0.082
+Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.333,0.197,0.46
+LightGBM,Toto-2.0-1B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.062,-0.204,0.11
+LightGBM,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.067,-0.202,0.093
+LightGBM,Toto-2.0-313m,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.052,-0.175,0.094
+LightGBM,Toto-2.0-22m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.046,-0.148,0.053
 LightGBM,TiRex,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.044,-0.167,0.095
-LightGBM,Stat. Ensemble,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.051,-0.116,0.01
 LightGBM,Chronos-2,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.024,-0.154,0.122
+LightGBM,Stat. Ensemble,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.051,-0.116,0.01
 LightGBM,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.167,0.75,0.016,-0.108,0.142
 LightGBM,TimesFM-2.5,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.014,-0.134,0.129
 LightGBM,FlowState,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.042,-0.124,0.011
-LightGBM,TabPFN-TS,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.024,-0.105,0.05
 LightGBM,CatBoost,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.003,-0.024,0.02
+LightGBM,TabPFN-TS,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.024,-0.105,0.05
 LightGBM,AutoETS,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.003,-0.081,0.098
+LightGBM,Toto-2.0-4m,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.026,-0.074,0.125
 LightGBM,LightGBM,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.011,-0.107,0.063
 LightGBM,Chronos-Bolt,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.065,-0.039,0.177
-LightGBM,Moirai-2.0,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.094,-0.024,0.211
-LightGBM,Drift,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.092,0.0,0.192
-LightGBM,AutoTheta,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.047,-0.024,0.121
 LightGBM,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.35,0.246,0.442
-AutoARIMA,TiRex,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.033,-0.131,0.07
-AutoARIMA,Stat. Ensemble,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.04,-0.084,0.014
-AutoARIMA,Chronos-2,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.013,-0.124,0.096
-AutoARIMA,Toto-1.0,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.027,-0.076,0.121
-AutoARIMA,TimesFM-2.5,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.003,-0.089,0.098
-AutoARIMA,FlowState,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.031,-0.083,0.016
-AutoARIMA,TabPFN-TS,0.417,0.083,0.667,-0.013,-0.102,0.071
-AutoARIMA,CatBoost,0.417,0.167,0.75,0.008,-0.083,0.113
-AutoARIMA,AutoETS,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.014,-0.067,0.097
-AutoARIMA,LightGBM,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.011,-0.067,0.096
-AutoARIMA,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,Chronos-Bolt,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.076,-0.037,0.184
-AutoARIMA,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.104,-0.025,0.23
-AutoARIMA,Drift,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.102,-0.037,0.249
-AutoARIMA,AutoTheta,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.057,-0.064,0.19
-AutoARIMA,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.357,0.24,0.471
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.136,-0.246,-0.047
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.142,-0.249,-0.058
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.126,-0.218,-0.055
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.12,-0.184,-0.061
 Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.117,-0.213,-0.045
-Chronos-Bolt,Stat. Ensemble,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.125,-0.253,-0.016
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.096,-0.213,-0.014
+Chronos-Bolt,Stat. Ensemble,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.125,-0.253,-0.016
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.25,0.042,0.458,-0.053,-0.102,-0.006
 Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.333,0.125,0.583,-0.084,-0.2,-0.002
 Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.417,0.167,0.668,-0.115,-0.272,0.01
-Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.417,0.167,0.669,-0.095,-0.249,0.045
 Chronos-Bolt,CatBoost,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.073,-0.221,0.041
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.417,0.167,0.669,-0.095,-0.249,0.045
 Chronos-Bolt,AutoETS,0.333,0.083,0.667,-0.067,-0.156,0.003
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.042,-0.089,-0.002
 Chronos-Bolt,LightGBM,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.07,-0.216,0.037
-Chronos-Bolt,AutoARIMA,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.082,-0.226,0.035
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.031,-0.022,0.094
-Chronos-Bolt,Drift,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.029,-0.15,0.149
-Chronos-Bolt,AutoTheta,0.667,0.417,0.917,-0.02,-0.201,0.115
 Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.305,0.17,0.432
-Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.152,-0.307,-0.042
-Moirai-2.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.333,0.083,0.667,-0.16,-0.308,-0.037
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.333,0.083,0.667,-0.131,-0.281,-0.018
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.25,0.042,0.458,-0.086,-0.169,-0.026
-Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.119,-0.275,-0.001
-Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.417,0.167,0.668,-0.15,-0.35,0.007
-Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.417,0.167,0.669,-0.13,-0.314,0.031
-Moirai-2.0,CatBoost,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.107,-0.266,0.019
-Moirai-2.0,AutoETS,0.333,0.083,0.667,-0.101,-0.201,-0.012
-Moirai-2.0,LightGBM,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.104,-0.268,0.024
-Moirai-2.0,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.116,-0.299,0.024
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.032,-0.104,0.022
-Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,Drift,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.002,-0.195,0.127
-Moirai-2.0,AutoTheta,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.052,-0.228,0.084
-Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.283,0.152,0.405
-Drift,TiRex,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.15,-0.388,0.065
-Drift,Stat. Ensemble,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.158,-0.356,-0.017
-Drift,Chronos-2,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.128,-0.41,0.092
-Drift,Toto-1.0,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.084,-0.247,0.089
-Drift,TimesFM-2.5,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.116,-0.374,0.104
-Drift,FlowState,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.148,-0.342,-0.015
-Drift,TabPFN-TS,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.128,-0.334,0.009
-Drift,CatBoost,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.104,-0.237,-0.001
-Drift,AutoETS,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.098,-0.3,0.066
-Drift,LightGBM,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.101,-0.238,-0.0
-Drift,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.114,-0.332,0.036
-Drift,Chronos-Bolt,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.029,-0.175,0.13
-Drift,Moirai-2.0,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.002,-0.146,0.163
-Drift,Drift,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Drift,AutoTheta,0.75,0.5,1.0,-0.05,-0.184,0.016
-Drift,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.284,0.11,0.391
-AutoTheta,TiRex,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.096,-0.299,0.084
-AutoTheta,Stat. Ensemble,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.103,-0.229,-0.006
-AutoTheta,Chronos-2,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.075,-0.273,0.113
-AutoTheta,Toto-1.0,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.033,-0.201,0.124
-AutoTheta,TimesFM-2.5,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.064,-0.263,0.122
-AutoTheta,FlowState,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.094,-0.258,0.014
-AutoTheta,TabPFN-TS,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.074,-0.192,0.015
-AutoTheta,CatBoost,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.052,-0.135,0.022
-AutoTheta,AutoETS,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.046,-0.174,0.079
-AutoTheta,LightGBM,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.049,-0.138,0.023
-AutoTheta,AutoARIMA,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.061,-0.235,0.061
-AutoTheta,Chronos-Bolt,0.333,0.083,0.583,0.019,-0.13,0.167
-AutoTheta,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.049,-0.092,0.186
-AutoTheta,Drift,0.25,0.0,0.5,0.047,-0.016,0.156
-AutoTheta,AutoTheta,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.318,0.237,0.391
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.634,-1.063,-0.329
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.642,-1.045,-0.352
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.62,-1.022,-0.337
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.61,-0.988,-0.356
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.607,-1.014,-0.337
-Seasonal Naive,Stat. Ensemble,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.618,-0.915,-0.396
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.576,-0.957,-0.311
+Seasonal Naive,Stat. Ensemble,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.618,-0.915,-0.396
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.515,-0.863,-0.255
 Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.56,-0.92,-0.308
 Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.604,-0.954,-0.348
-Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.576,-0.842,-0.375
 Seasonal Naive,CatBoost,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.543,-0.796,-0.331
+Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.576,-0.842,-0.375
 Seasonal Naive,AutoETS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.535,-0.834,-0.33
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.5,-0.851,-0.245
 Seasonal Naive,LightGBM,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.539,-0.791,-0.326
-Seasonal Naive,AutoARIMA,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.556,-0.891,-0.315
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.438,-0.76,-0.205
-Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.394,-0.681,-0.179
-Seasonal Naive,Drift,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.397,-0.643,-0.124
-Seasonal Naive,AutoTheta,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.467,-0.643,-0.311
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_econ/pairwise_WQL.csv

@@ -1,257 +1,257 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.008,-0.037,0.017
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.005,-0.033,0.035
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.004,-0.047,0.042
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.001,-0.102,0.066
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.024,-0.03,0.068
+Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.024,-0.148,0.118
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.069,-0.007,0.141
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.036,-0.093,0.128
+Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.5,0.917,0.051,0.008,0.092
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.065,-0.05,0.147
+Toto-2.0-1B,Stat. Ensemble,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.07,-0.103,0.189
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.106,0.031,0.179
+Toto-2.0-1B,AutoETS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.088,-0.019,0.161
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.126,0.02,0.229
+Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.424,0.268,0.551
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.008,-0.017,0.035
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.012,-0.006,0.031
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.5,0.25,0.752,0.012,-0.023,0.05
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.008,-0.067,0.071
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.031,-0.005,0.066
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.032,-0.113,0.118
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.076,0.004,0.152
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.043,-0.062,0.119
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.058,0.023,0.098
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.072,-0.015,0.154
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Stat. Ensemble,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.078,-0.064,0.184
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.113,0.048,0.183
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,AutoETS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.095,0.016,0.157
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.133,0.053,0.22
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.428,0.293,0.546
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.005,-0.036,0.032
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.013,-0.032,0.006
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.667,0.417,0.917,-0.0,-0.036,0.031
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.75,0.5,1.0,-0.004,-0.07,0.045
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.019,-0.026,0.058
+Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.02,-0.121,0.107
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.064,0.003,0.132
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.032,-0.07,0.111
+Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.046,0.006,0.086
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.06,-0.02,0.135
+Toto-2.0-313m,Stat. Ensemble,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.066,-0.074,0.17
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.102,0.048,0.161
+Toto-2.0-313m,AutoETS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.084,0.01,0.142
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.122,0.04,0.206
+Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.421,0.285,0.539
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.005,-0.044,0.045
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.248,0.75,-0.012,-0.052,0.022
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.333,0.083,0.583,0.0,-0.031,0.034
 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.004,-0.057,0.046
 TiRex,Chronos-2,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.019,-0.029,0.058
 TiRex,FlowState,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.02,-0.099,0.09
 TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.667,0.333,0.917,0.064,0.009,0.124
-TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.833,0.667,1.0,0.047,0.005,0.084
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.032,-0.059,0.112
+TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.833,0.667,1.0,0.047,0.005,0.084
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.06,-0.009,0.128
 TiRex,Stat. Ensemble,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.066,-0.055,0.161
 TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.102,0.047,0.167
 TiRex,AutoETS,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.084,0.017,0.145
-TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.138,0.051,0.236
-TiRex,AutoARIMA,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.117,-0.008,0.227
-TiRex,AutoTheta,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.183,0.017,0.322
-TiRex,Drift,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.24,0.039,0.386
-TiRex,DeepAR,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.259,0.166,0.353
-TiRex,CatBoost,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.216,0.106,0.306
+TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.122,0.031,0.221
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.421,0.287,0.546
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.001,-0.071,0.093
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.008,-0.076,0.063
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.25,0.0,0.5,0.004,-0.047,0.066
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.004,-0.048,0.054
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.023,-0.054,0.089
+Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.024,-0.06,0.092
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.068,0.015,0.122
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.035,-0.049,0.113
+Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.05,-0.027,0.127
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.064,0.041,0.091
+Toto-2.0-22m,Stat. Ensemble,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.07,-0.032,0.161
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.105,0.063,0.147
+Toto-2.0-22m,AutoETS,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.088,0.02,0.13
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.126,0.027,0.212
+Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.423,0.3,0.539
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.024,-0.072,0.029
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.032,-0.07,0.005
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.019,-0.061,0.025
 Chronos-2,TiRex,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.02,-0.062,0.028
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.024,-0.098,0.052
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-2,FlowState,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.001,-0.142,0.096
 Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.25,0.833,0.046,-0.028,0.132
-Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.667,0.333,0.917,0.028,-0.008,0.061
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.013,-0.089,0.095
+Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.667,0.333,0.917,0.028,-0.008,0.061
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.667,0.415,0.917,0.042,-0.047,0.135
 Chronos-2,Stat. Ensemble,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.048,-0.082,0.141
 Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.084,0.014,0.167
 Chronos-2,AutoETS,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.066,0.004,0.112
-Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.667,0.333,0.917,0.122,0.031,0.22
-Chronos-2,AutoARIMA,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.099,-0.035,0.22
-Chronos-2,AutoTheta,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.167,-0.006,0.299
-Chronos-2,Drift,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.225,0.01,0.391
-Chronos-2,DeepAR,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.244,0.151,0.333
-Chronos-2,CatBoost,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.201,0.081,0.289
+Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.105,0.023,0.193
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.41,0.281,0.527
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.025,-0.134,0.129
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.033,-0.134,0.102
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.02,-0.119,0.108
 FlowState,TiRex,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.02,-0.099,0.09
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.025,-0.101,0.057
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.001,-0.106,0.124
 FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.583,0.332,0.833,0.045,-0.064,0.156
-FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.027,-0.07,0.156
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.012,-0.07,0.076
+FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.027,-0.07,0.156
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.041,-0.039,0.119
 FlowState,Stat. Ensemble,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.047,-0.025,0.119
 FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.583,0.332,0.833,0.083,-0.022,0.187
 FlowState,AutoETS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.065,-0.019,0.146
-FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.583,0.332,0.833,0.121,-0.009,0.243
-FlowState,AutoARIMA,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.099,0.019,0.191
-FlowState,AutoTheta,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.166,0.06,0.274
-FlowState,Drift,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.224,0.102,0.342
-FlowState,DeepAR,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.244,0.145,0.334
-FlowState,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.2,0.147,0.268
+FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.105,-0.014,0.213
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.409,0.289,0.52
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.074,-0.164,0.007
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.082,-0.179,-0.004
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.069,-0.151,-0.003
 Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.333,0.083,0.667,-0.069,-0.142,-0.009
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.073,-0.139,-0.015
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.5,0.167,0.75,-0.048,-0.153,0.028
 Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.417,0.167,0.668,-0.047,-0.184,0.06
 Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.019,-0.113,0.05
 Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.035,-0.158,0.074
+Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.019,-0.113,0.05
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.004,-0.072,0.047
 Toto-1.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.002,-0.131,0.109
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.833,0.667,1.0,0.04,0.003,0.076
 Toto-1.0,AutoETS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.021,-0.072,0.095
-Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.917,0.792,1.0,0.079,0.024,0.151
-Toto-1.0,AutoARIMA,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.056,-0.084,0.182
-Toto-1.0,AutoTheta,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.126,-0.047,0.265
-Toto-1.0,Drift,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.187,-0.006,0.318
-Toto-1.0,DeepAR,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.208,0.101,0.304
-Toto-1.0,CatBoost,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.162,0.041,0.257
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.062,-0.067,0.171
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.381,0.237,0.506
-TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.167,0.0,0.333,-0.049,-0.092,-0.005
-TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.333,0.083,0.667,-0.029,-0.064,0.008
-TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.028,-0.185,0.066
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.019,-0.052,0.102
-TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.016,-0.13,0.074
-TimesFM-2.5,Stat. Ensemble,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.021,-0.12,0.113
-TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.058,-0.015,0.143
-TimesFM-2.5,AutoETS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.04,-0.045,0.104
-TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.096,-0.002,0.206
-TimesFM-2.5,AutoARIMA,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.074,-0.073,0.186
-TimesFM-2.5,AutoTheta,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.143,-0.049,0.286
-TimesFM-2.5,Drift,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.203,-0.028,0.375
-TimesFM-2.5,DeepAR,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.223,0.112,0.322
-TimesFM-2.5,CatBoost,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.178,0.046,0.276
-TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.393,0.257,0.517
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.037,-0.147,0.085
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.045,-0.135,0.059
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.033,-0.125,0.065
 TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.033,-0.126,0.056
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.037,-0.127,0.046
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.013,-0.105,0.082
 TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.012,-0.082,0.066
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.034,-0.08,0.137
-TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.015,-0.08,0.115
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.015,-0.08,0.115
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.583,0.331,0.833,0.03,-0.068,0.123
 TabPFN-TS,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.25,0.833,0.036,-0.043,0.12
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.583,0.331,0.833,0.072,-0.043,0.173
 TabPFN-TS,AutoETS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.054,-0.021,0.112
-TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.583,0.331,0.833,0.11,-0.023,0.223
-TabPFN-TS,AutoARIMA,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.088,-0.016,0.201
-TabPFN-TS,AutoTheta,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.156,0.047,0.26
-TabPFN-TS,Drift,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.215,0.057,0.367
-TabPFN-TS,DeepAR,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.235,0.112,0.332
-TabPFN-TS,CatBoost,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.191,0.112,0.266
+TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.094,0.028,0.164
 TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.402,0.302,0.502
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.083,0.5,-0.054,-0.101,-0.008
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.062,-0.108,-0.023
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.049,-0.094,-0.006
+TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.167,0.0,0.333,-0.049,-0.092,-0.005
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.053,-0.146,0.027
+TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.333,0.083,0.667,-0.029,-0.064,0.008
+TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.028,-0.185,0.066
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.019,-0.052,0.102
+TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.016,-0.13,0.074
+TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.015,-0.091,0.11
+TimesFM-2.5,Stat. Ensemble,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.021,-0.12,0.113
+TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.058,-0.015,0.143
+TimesFM-2.5,AutoETS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.04,-0.045,0.104
+TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.08,-0.009,0.183
+TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.393,0.257,0.517
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.069,-0.172,0.048
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.078,-0.182,0.015
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.064,-0.156,0.019
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.064,-0.147,0.009
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.069,-0.101,-0.043
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.333,0.083,0.585,-0.044,-0.156,0.045
+Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.043,-0.135,0.037
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.004,-0.049,0.067
+Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.417,0.167,0.669,-0.031,-0.14,0.063
+Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.015,-0.124,0.083
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,Stat. Ensemble,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.006,-0.12,0.107
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.044,0.007,0.091
+Toto-2.0-4m,AutoETS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.025,-0.068,0.081
+Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.066,-0.059,0.161
+Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.384,0.244,0.506
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.076,-0.232,0.093
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.084,-0.226,0.061
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-313m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.071,-0.205,0.069
 Stat. Ensemble,TiRex,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.071,-0.192,0.052
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-22m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.075,-0.192,0.031
 Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-2,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.05,-0.164,0.076
 Stat. Ensemble,FlowState,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.049,-0.135,0.025
 Stat. Ensemble,Toto-1.0,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.002,-0.122,0.116
-Stat. Ensemble,TimesFM-2.5,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.021,-0.127,0.107
 Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.167,0.75,-0.037,-0.136,0.042
+Stat. Ensemble,TimesFM-2.5,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.021,-0.127,0.107
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-4m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.006,-0.12,0.107
 Stat. Ensemble,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-Bolt,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.038,-0.083,0.155
 Stat. Ensemble,AutoETS,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.019,-0.068,0.095
-Stat. Ensemble,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.077,-0.064,0.201
-Stat. Ensemble,AutoARIMA,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.054,-0.0,0.099
-Stat. Ensemble,AutoTheta,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.125,0.037,0.224
-Stat. Ensemble,Drift,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.186,0.041,0.338
-Stat. Ensemble,DeepAR,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.206,0.102,0.299
-Stat. Ensemble,CatBoost,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.161,0.062,0.245
+Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.06,-0.069,0.169
 Stat. Ensemble,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.38,0.283,0.482
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.118,-0.219,-0.032
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.127,-0.224,-0.051
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.113,-0.192,-0.051
 Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.113,-0.2,-0.049
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.118,-0.172,-0.068
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.092,-0.2,-0.014
 Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.417,0.167,0.668,-0.091,-0.23,0.021
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.167,0.0,0.333,-0.041,-0.083,-0.003
-Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.061,-0.167,0.014
 Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.417,0.167,0.669,-0.078,-0.208,0.042
+Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.061,-0.167,0.014
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.046,-0.101,-0.007
 Chronos-Bolt,Stat. Ensemble,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.04,-0.184,0.077
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-Bolt,AutoETS,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.019,-0.125,0.057
-Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.041,-0.012,0.105
-Chronos-Bolt,AutoARIMA,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.017,-0.147,0.157
-Chronos-Bolt,AutoTheta,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.09,-0.083,0.223
-Chronos-Bolt,Drift,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.154,-0.033,0.28
-Chronos-Bolt,DeepAR,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.175,0.087,0.257
-Chronos-Bolt,CatBoost,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.128,0.018,0.212
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.023,-0.104,0.122
 Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.355,0.212,0.48
+AutoETS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.097,-0.192,0.019
+AutoETS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.106,-0.186,-0.016
+AutoETS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.092,-0.165,-0.01
 AutoETS,TiRex,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.092,-0.169,-0.018
+AutoETS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.096,-0.149,-0.02
 AutoETS,Chronos-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.071,-0.126,-0.004
 AutoETS,FlowState,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.07,-0.17,0.018
 AutoETS,Toto-1.0,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.022,-0.104,0.067
-AutoETS,TimesFM-2.5,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.041,-0.116,0.043
 AutoETS,TabPFN-TS,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.057,-0.126,0.021
+AutoETS,TimesFM-2.5,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.041,-0.116,0.043
+AutoETS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.026,-0.088,0.063
 AutoETS,Stat. Ensemble,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.02,-0.105,0.064
 AutoETS,Chronos-Bolt,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.019,-0.06,0.111
 AutoETS,AutoETS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,Moirai-2.0,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.059,-0.034,0.15
-AutoETS,AutoARIMA,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.035,-0.082,0.151
-AutoETS,AutoTheta,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.108,-0.026,0.227
-AutoETS,Drift,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.17,-0.016,0.334
-AutoETS,DeepAR,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.191,0.101,0.272
-AutoETS,CatBoost,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.144,0.059,0.224
+AutoETS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.333,0.083,0.583,0.042,-0.041,0.131
 AutoETS,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.368,0.243,0.486
-Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.161,-0.309,-0.053
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.333,0.083,0.667,-0.138,-0.282,-0.032
-Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.417,0.167,0.668,-0.137,-0.321,0.009
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.083,0.0,0.208,-0.086,-0.178,-0.024
-Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.107,-0.259,0.002
-Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.417,0.167,0.669,-0.124,-0.287,0.023
-Moirai-2.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.084,-0.251,0.061
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.043,-0.118,0.012
-Moirai-2.0,AutoETS,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.063,-0.177,0.033
-Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,AutoARIMA,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.025,-0.226,0.141
-Moirai-2.0,AutoTheta,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.051,-0.119,0.187
-Moirai-2.0,Drift,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.118,-0.083,0.257
-Moirai-2.0,DeepAR,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.14,0.039,0.227
-Moirai-2.0,CatBoost,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.091,-0.029,0.185
-Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.328,0.183,0.456
-AutoARIMA,TiRex,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.132,-0.294,0.008
-AutoARIMA,Chronos-2,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.11,-0.282,0.034
-AutoARIMA,FlowState,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.109,-0.235,-0.02
-AutoARIMA,Toto-1.0,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.059,-0.222,0.077
-AutoARIMA,TimesFM-2.5,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.079,-0.228,0.068
-AutoARIMA,TabPFN-TS,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.096,-0.252,0.016
-AutoARIMA,Stat. Ensemble,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.057,-0.109,0.0
-AutoARIMA,Chronos-Bolt,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.017,-0.187,0.128
-AutoARIMA,AutoETS,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.037,-0.178,0.076
-AutoARIMA,Moirai-2.0,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.025,-0.164,0.185
-AutoARIMA,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,AutoTheta,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.075,-0.043,0.214
-AutoARIMA,Drift,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.139,-0.024,0.304
-AutoARIMA,DeepAR,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.161,0.025,0.281
-AutoARIMA,CatBoost,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.113,-0.028,0.232
-AutoARIMA,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.344,0.225,0.467
-AutoTheta,TiRex,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.224,-0.476,-0.017
-AutoTheta,Chronos-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.2,-0.426,0.006
-AutoTheta,FlowState,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.199,-0.378,-0.063
-AutoTheta,Toto-1.0,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.145,-0.36,0.045
-AutoTheta,TimesFM-2.5,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.167,-0.401,0.046
-AutoTheta,TabPFN-TS,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.185,-0.351,-0.05
-AutoTheta,Stat. Ensemble,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.143,-0.289,-0.038
-AutoTheta,Chronos-Bolt,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.099,-0.286,0.076
-AutoTheta,AutoETS,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.12,-0.293,0.025
-AutoTheta,Moirai-2.0,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.054,-0.229,0.106
-AutoTheta,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.081,-0.273,0.041
-AutoTheta,AutoTheta,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,Drift,0.333,0.083,0.583,0.07,-0.028,0.226
-AutoTheta,DeepAR,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.093,-0.048,0.214
-AutoTheta,CatBoost,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.041,-0.076,0.139
-AutoTheta,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.291,0.222,0.357
-Drift,TiRex,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.315,-0.628,-0.04
-Drift,Chronos-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.29,-0.643,-0.01
-Drift,FlowState,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.289,-0.52,-0.114
-Drift,Toto-1.0,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.231,-0.465,0.006
-Drift,TimesFM-2.5,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.254,-0.6,0.027
-Drift,TabPFN-TS,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.274,-0.581,-0.061
-Drift,Stat. Ensemble,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.228,-0.511,-0.043
-Drift,Chronos-Bolt,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.182,-0.389,0.032
-Drift,AutoETS,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.205,-0.5,0.015
-Drift,Moirai-2.0,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.133,-0.347,0.076
-Drift,AutoARIMA,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.162,-0.437,0.023
-Drift,AutoTheta,0.667,0.417,0.917,-0.075,-0.292,0.027
-Drift,Drift,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Drift,DeepAR,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.025,-0.175,0.187
-Drift,CatBoost,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.031,-0.213,0.102
-Drift,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.238,0.002,0.366
-DeepAR,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.349,-0.545,-0.2
-DeepAR,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.323,-0.498,-0.178
-DeepAR,FlowState,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.322,-0.501,-0.169
-DeepAR,Toto-1.0,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.262,-0.437,-0.113
-DeepAR,TimesFM-2.5,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.286,-0.474,-0.126
-DeepAR,TabPFN-TS,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.307,-0.498,-0.126
-DeepAR,Stat. Ensemble,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.26,-0.426,-0.114
-DeepAR,Chronos-Bolt,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.212,-0.345,-0.096
-DeepAR,AutoETS,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.236,-0.374,-0.112
-DeepAR,Moirai-2.0,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.163,-0.293,-0.041
-DeepAR,AutoARIMA,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.192,-0.391,-0.026
-DeepAR,AutoTheta,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.103,-0.272,0.045
-DeepAR,Drift,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.026,-0.23,0.149
-DeepAR,DeepAR,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,CatBoost,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.057,-0.184,0.06
-DeepAR,Seasonal Naive,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.219,0.07,0.365
-CatBoost,TiRex,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.276,-0.442,-0.119
-CatBoost,Chronos-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.252,-0.407,-0.088
-CatBoost,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.251,-0.366,-0.172
-CatBoost,Toto-1.0,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.194,-0.347,-0.043
-CatBoost,TimesFM-2.5,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.217,-0.382,-0.048
-CatBoost,TabPFN-TS,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.236,-0.363,-0.126
-CatBoost,Stat. Ensemble,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.192,-0.324,-0.067
-CatBoost,Chronos-Bolt,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.146,-0.268,-0.018
-CatBoost,AutoETS,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.169,-0.288,-0.063
-CatBoost,Moirai-2.0,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.1,-0.228,0.029
-CatBoost,AutoARIMA,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.127,-0.302,0.027
-CatBoost,AutoTheta,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.043,-0.161,0.071
-CatBoost,Drift,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.03,-0.113,0.175
-CatBoost,DeepAR,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.054,-0.063,0.155
-CatBoost,CatBoost,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,Seasonal Naive,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.261,0.126,0.384
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.145,-0.296,-0.02
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.154,-0.281,-0.055
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.14,-0.26,-0.042
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.14,-0.283,-0.031
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.144,-0.269,-0.028
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.118,-0.239,-0.023
+TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.117,-0.27,0.014
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.066,-0.207,0.063
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.104,-0.196,-0.029
+TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.087,-0.223,0.009
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.071,-0.192,0.056
+TabPFN-TS-3,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.064,-0.203,0.064
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.024,-0.139,0.094
+TabPFN-TS-3,AutoETS,0.667,0.417,0.917,-0.044,-0.15,0.039
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.34,0.243,0.432
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.735,-1.226,-0.367
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.748,-1.202,-0.414
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.727,-1.169,-0.398
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.727,-1.204,-0.402
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.734,-1.169,-0.429
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.694,-1.116,-0.391
 Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.692,-1.082,-0.407
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.616,-1.022,-0.311
-Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.647,-1.071,-0.346
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.672,-1.007,-0.432
+Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.647,-1.071,-0.346
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.622,-1.024,-0.323
 Seasonal Naive,Stat. Ensemble,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.613,-0.931,-0.394
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.551,-0.924,-0.269
 Seasonal Naive,AutoETS,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.581,-0.947,-0.321
-Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.488,-0.838,-0.223
-Seasonal Naive,AutoARIMA,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.525,-0.875,-0.291
-Seasonal Naive,AutoTheta,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.411,-0.556,-0.286
-Seasonal Naive,Drift,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.313,-0.578,-0.002
-Seasonal Naive,DeepAR,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.28,-0.576,-0.076
-Seasonal Naive,CatBoost,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.353,-0.625,-0.144
+Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.515,-0.759,-0.32
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_energy/leaderboard_MASE.csv

@@ -1,22 +1,28 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Chronos-2,90.00000000000001,35.398351985937104,0.0,3.4120501715909093,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,74.23076923076923,25.111125954829205,0.0,1.3324642875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,73.26923076923076,24.470577229456005,0.0,35.73234459616477,0.15384615384615385,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,73.07692307692307,29.948417313219487,0.0,308.48925294219475,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,69.61538461538461,24.79493112223894,0.0,1.1602838375000002,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,67.5,24.74097538777954,0.0,3.7859752799626865,0.15384615384615385,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,66.53846153846153,23.276855703905884,0.0,2.549116965535714,0.3076923076923077,0.0
-Sundial-Base,64.61538461538461,25.973733886600225,0.0,8.734264116875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
-Toto-1.0,63.46153846153847,22.17352687153604,0.0,64.32606581959577,0.15384615384615385,0.0
-TFT,54.61538461538462,24.332626654075018,7067.210990843215,5.868696277689394,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,50.480769230769226,20.515410969632153,13498.838423148572,8.687442574285715,0.0,11.538461538461538
-PatchTST,47.11538461538461,18.853426287300014,7221.856288165601,6.349855852499999,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,47.11538461538461,17.15191259995018,498.1807509,5.586804820681818,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,43.269230769230774,14.854815383201469,47.29828941238095,4.303395228143939,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,36.0576923076923,4.447406228151163,0.0,2051.548594149911,0.0,7.6923076923076925
-AutoARIMA,34.13461538461538,2.212327431466543,0.0,1885.5145473599553,0.0,7.6923076923076925
-Seasonal Naive,27.307692307692307,0.0,0.0,1.042975715,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,26.730769230769237,1.1815956958414753,0.0,6.6345268946875,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,18.076923076923077,-34.97549884253801,0.0,13.387819541051137,0.0,0.0
-Naive,16.057692307692307,-44.773921203129,0.0,1.0805920684374999,0.0,0.0
-Drift,6.730769230769232,-52.29912347479908,0.0,1.081847729375,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,85.79881656804733,35.398351985937104,0.0,3.4120501715909093,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,78.2544378698225,27.403361161284135,0.0,6.4650776003125,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,77.9585798816568,27.64063711794009,0.0,3.1623076374715904,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,76.92307692307693,34.00489490838103,0.0,822.0435218492969,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,75.88757396449704,27.247610226794162,0.0,1.5456846913541669,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,68.19526627218934,25.111125954829205,0.0,1.3324642875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,65.68047337278107,29.948417313219487,0.0,308.48925294219475,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,64.94082840236686,24.470577229456005,0.0,35.73234459616477,0.15384615384615385,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,63.90532544378698,25.222517255488896,0.0,0.7798815821022727,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,61.24260355029587,24.79493112223894,0.0,1.1602838375000002,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,60.20710059171597,24.74097538777954,0.0,3.7859752799626865,0.15384615384615385,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,58.72781065088757,23.276855703905884,0.0,2.549116965535714,0.3076923076923077,0.0
+Sundial-Base,56.360946745562124,25.973733886600225,0.0,8.734264116875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,56.06508875739645,21.834602126597346,0.0,0.7024468823376624,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,55.917159763313606,22.17352687153604,0.0,64.32606581959577,0.15384615384615385,0.0
+TFT,48.964497041420124,24.332626654075018,7067.210990843215,5.868696277689394,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,43.86094674556213,20.515410969632153,13498.838423148572,8.687442574285715,0.0,11.538461538461538
+PatchTST,40.828402366863905,18.853426287300014,7221.856288165601,6.349855852499999,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,40.8284023668639,17.15191259995018,498.1807509,5.586804820681818,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,37.721893491124256,14.854815383201469,47.29828941238095,4.303395228143939,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,28.180473372781062,4.447406228151163,0.0,2051.548594149911,0.0,7.6923076923076925
+AutoARIMA,26.8491124260355,2.212327431466543,0.0,1885.5145473599553,0.0,7.6923076923076925
+Seasonal Naive,22.33727810650887,0.0,0.0,1.042975715,0.0,0.0
+AutoTheta,20.857988165680474,1.1815956958414753,0.0,6.6345268946875,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,15.384615384615385,-34.97549884253801,0.0,13.387819541051137,0.0,0.0
+Naive,12.94378698224852,-44.773921203129,0.0,1.0805920684374999,0.0,0.0
+Drift,5.177514792899409,-52.29912347479908,0.0,1.081847729375,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_energy/leaderboard_SQL.csv

@@ -1,22 +1,28 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Chronos-2,92.11538461538463,43.696037899366445,0.0,3.4120501715909093,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,80.96153846153847,34.44791484004565,0.0,1.3324642875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,78.07692307692308,38.63838178079146,0.0,308.48925294219475,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,75.57692307692308,33.040194549839576,0.0,35.73234459616477,0.15384615384615385,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,71.34615384615385,32.881689430291104,0.0,1.1602838375000002,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,70.96153846153847,32.4100685185642,0.0,3.7859752799626865,0.15384615384615385,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,68.84615384615384,31.52282472603488,0.0,2.549116965535714,0.3076923076923077,0.0
-Toto-1.0,68.26923076923077,31.112045696230428,0.0,64.32606581959577,0.15384615384615385,0.0
-TFT,61.73076923076925,32.085719324643314,7067.210990843215,5.868696277689394,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,55.96153846153846,28.52842311909273,0.0,8.734264116875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
-DeepAR,53.17307692307692,26.66949092254881,13498.838423148572,8.687442574285715,0.0,11.538461538461538
-PatchTST,51.34615384615384,25.60679591439182,7221.856288165601,6.349855852499999,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,39.13461538461539,9.139931178596383,0.0,1885.5145473599553,0.0,7.6923076923076925
-Stat. Ensemble,35.67307692307692,6.196332966589502,0.0,2051.548594149911,0.0,7.6923076923076925
-CatBoost,32.69230769230768,8.874064288365757,498.1807509,5.586804820681818,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,29.038461538461537,6.34745033907752,47.29828941238095,4.303395228143939,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,25.769230769230774,0.0,0.0,1.042975715,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,22.307692307692303,-30.210229740669558,0.0,13.387819541051137,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,20.769230769230766,-10.643501874241924,0.0,6.6345268946875,0.0,0.0
-Naive,12.019230769230766,-60.57154490567112,0.0,1.0805920684374999,0.0,0.0
-Drift,4.230769230769231,-67.3016518958006,0.0,1.081847729375,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,87.13017751479289,43.696037899366445,0.0,3.4120501715909093,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,82.24852071005917,37.19233498724061,0.0,3.1623076374715904,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,81.50887573964496,36.942973998246586,0.0,6.4650776003125,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,79.28994082840238,42.12648526492014,0.0,822.0435218492969,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,78.55029585798816,36.69282240000613,0.0,1.5456846913541669,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,72.48520710059174,34.44791484004565,0.0,1.3324642875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,69.37869822485207,38.63838178079146,0.0,308.48925294219475,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,69.23076923076923,34.72199927167168,0.0,0.7798815821022727,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,66.27218934911244,33.040194549839576,0.0,35.73234459616477,0.15384615384615385,0.0
+FlowState,61.53846153846153,32.4100685185642,0.0,3.7859752799626865,0.15384615384615385,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,60.65088757396451,32.881689430291104,0.0,1.1602838375000002,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,59.319526627218934,31.52282472603488,0.0,2.549116965535714,0.3076923076923077,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,58.875739644970416,31.473352334477845,0.0,0.7024468823376624,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,57.692307692307686,31.112045696230428,0.0,64.32606581959577,0.15384615384615385,0.0
+TFT,53.99408284023669,32.085719324643314,7067.210990843215,5.868696277689394,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,46.59763313609467,28.52842311909273,0.0,8.734264116875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
+DeepAR,45.48816568047337,26.66949092254881,13498.838423148572,8.687442574285715,0.0,11.538461538461538
+PatchTST,44.230769230769226,25.60679591439182,7221.856288165601,6.349855852499999,0.0,0.0
+AutoARIMA,30.547337278106507,9.139931178596383,0.0,1885.5145473599553,0.0,7.6923076923076925
+Stat. Ensemble,28.032544378698226,6.196332966589502,0.0,2051.548594149911,0.0,7.6923076923076925
+CatBoost,26.62721893491124,8.874064288365757,498.1807509,5.586804820681818,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,23.520710059171595,6.34745033907752,47.29828941238095,4.303395228143939,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,19.82248520710059,0.0,0.0,1.042975715,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,18.047337278106507,-30.210229740669558,0.0,13.387819541051137,0.0,0.0
+AutoTheta,16.420118343195263,-10.643501874241924,0.0,6.6345268946875,0.0,0.0
+Naive,9.245562130177515,-60.57154490567112,0.0,1.0805920684374999,0.0,0.0
+Drift,3.2544378698224854,-67.3016518958006,0.0,1.081847729375,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_energy/leaderboard_WAPE.csv

@@ -1,22 +1,28 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Chronos-2,87.30769230769232,37.557901536977845,0.0,3.4120501715909093,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,68.65384615384616,27.322662354204475,0.0,1.3324642875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,68.46153846153847,26.65794953458317,0.0,35.73234459616477,0.15384615384615385,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,67.5,30.36322876478197,0.0,308.48925294219475,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,65.76923076923077,26.606852502371968,0.0,1.1602838375000002,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,64.61538461538461,25.99988075597758,0.0,2.549116965535714,0.3076923076923077,0.0
-FlowState,61.53846153846153,26.89142712985859,0.0,3.7859752799626865,0.15384615384615385,0.0
-Sundial-Base,60.57692307692307,28.265544600882,0.0,8.734264116875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
-Toto-1.0,58.84615384615385,24.207524581618266,0.0,64.32606581959577,0.15384615384615385,0.0
-TFT,55.38461538461539,26.59412613673687,7067.210990843215,5.868696277689394,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,49.423076923076934,20.65325504182872,7221.856288165601,6.349855852499999,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,48.46153846153848,20.63835609604817,47.29828941238095,4.303395228143939,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,48.36538461538463,21.82047445619971,13498.838423148572,8.687442574285715,0.0,11.538461538461538
-CatBoost,47.30769230769232,20.174610152005823,498.1807509,5.586804820681818,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,42.019230769230774,8.430993583997726,0.0,2051.548594149911,0.0,7.6923076923076925
-AutoARIMA,32.019230769230774,3.8316800542679386,0.0,1885.5145473599553,0.0,7.6923076923076925
-AutoTheta,28.46153846153846,4.200265666572001,0.0,6.6345268946875,0.0,0.0
-Naive,26.82692307692308,-29.595393529303713,0.0,1.0805920684374999,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,26.538461538461544,-24.06197476117884,0.0,13.387819541051137,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,25.0,0.0,0.0,1.042975715,0.0,0.0
-Drift,16.923076923076923,-36.91555319026642,0.0,1.081847729375,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,83.4319526627219,37.557901536977845,0.0,3.4120501715909093,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,76.77514792899409,31.032868019309202,0.0,3.1623076374715904,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,76.4792899408284,30.705322754813878,0.0,1.5456846913541669,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,74.40828402366863,30.308651726585033,0.0,6.4650776003125,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,71.7455621301775,34.61666637481101,0.0,822.0435218492969,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,65.97633136094674,28.863859566477203,0.0,0.7798815821022727,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,63.01775147928994,27.322662354204475,0.0,1.3324642875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,61.686390532544365,30.36322876478197,0.0,308.48925294219475,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,61.53846153846152,26.65794953458317,0.0,35.73234459616477,0.15384615384615385,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,57.98816568047337,26.606852502371968,0.0,1.1602838375000002,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,57.98816568047337,25.99988075597758,0.0,2.549116965535714,0.3076923076923077,0.0
+FlowState,54.88165680473372,26.89142712985859,0.0,3.7859752799626865,0.15384615384615385,0.0
+Sundial-Base,54.28994082840236,28.265544600882,0.0,8.734264116875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
+Toto-1.0,52.21893491124261,24.207524581618266,0.0,64.32606581959577,0.15384615384615385,0.0
+TFT,51.18343195266273,26.59412613673687,7067.210990843215,5.868696277689394,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,50.44378698224852,23.82250300845572,0.0,0.7024468823376624,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,44.67455621301776,20.65325504182872,7221.856288165601,6.349855852499999,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,43.121301775147934,21.82047445619971,13498.838423148572,8.687442574285715,0.0,11.538461538461538
+LightGBM,42.15976331360946,20.63835609604817,47.29828941238095,4.303395228143939,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,40.976331360946745,20.174610152005823,498.1807509,5.586804820681818,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,34.68934911242603,8.430993583997726,0.0,2051.548594149911,0.0,7.6923076923076925
+AutoARIMA,25.813609467455617,3.8316800542679386,0.0,1885.5145473599553,0.0,7.6923076923076925
+AutoETS,23.22485207100592,-24.06197476117884,0.0,13.387819541051137,0.0,0.0
+Naive,23.002958579881653,-29.595393529303713,0.0,1.0805920684374999,0.0,0.0
+AutoTheta,22.781065088757394,4.200265666572001,0.0,6.6345268946875,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,20.71005917159763,0.0,0.0,1.042975715,0.0,0.0
+Drift,14.792899408284027,-36.91555319026642,0.0,1.081847729375,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_energy/leaderboard_WQL.csv

@@ -1,22 +1,28 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Chronos-2,92.5,45.99295404026385,0.0,3.4120501715909093,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,78.46153846153847,37.015923795326046,0.0,1.3324642875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,76.34615384615384,39.634990899313024,0.0,308.48925294219475,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,73.84615384615384,35.74711028493935,0.0,35.73234459616477,0.15384615384615385,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,70.38461538461537,35.346534587472554,0.0,1.1602838375000002,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,70.38461538461537,35.238708603025636,0.0,3.7859752799626865,0.15384615384615385,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,68.46153846153847,34.54029716114274,0.0,2.549116965535714,0.3076923076923077,0.0
-Toto-1.0,66.34615384615385,33.68160197994784,0.0,64.32606581959577,0.15384615384615385,0.0
-TFT,62.11538461538463,34.858358688960024,7067.210990843215,5.868696277689394,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,55.19230769230769,31.420585268607393,0.0,8.734264116875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
-PatchTST,52.88461538461539,28.17762114987711,7221.856288165601,6.349855852499999,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,50.86538461538462,28.82551876839535,13498.838423148572,8.687442574285715,0.0,11.538461538461538
-Stat. Ensemble,38.75,11.001763956139254,0.0,2051.548594149911,0.0,7.6923076923076925
-LightGBM,38.46153846153847,13.804281918946282,47.29828941238095,4.303395228143939,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,37.01923076923076,10.956865003323434,0.0,1885.5145473599553,0.0,7.6923076923076925
-CatBoost,33.84615384615384,13.30060154143199,498.1807509,5.586804820681818,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,22.692307692307693,0.0,0.0,1.042975715,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,21.538461538461537,-4.896832310667398,0.0,6.6345268946875,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,20.769230769230766,-24.269495322854407,0.0,13.387819541051137,0.0,0.0
-Naive,12.98076923076923,-50.976730476610335,0.0,1.0805920684374999,0.0,0.0
-Drift,6.153846153846154,-57.44553171159505,0.0,1.081847729375,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,86.3905325443787,45.99295404026385,0.0,3.4120501715909093,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,83.57988165680473,40.95974538328001,0.0,3.1623076374715904,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,81.2130177514793,40.25120913531922,0.0,6.4650776003125,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,81.2130177514793,40.431908864449696,0.0,1.5456846913541669,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,75.88757396449704,43.103980194426214,0.0,822.0435218492969,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,71.15384615384616,38.501099243397576,0.0,0.7798815821022727,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,69.8224852071006,37.015923795326046,0.0,1.3324642875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,67.75147928994083,39.634990899313024,0.0,308.48925294219475,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,64.34911242603552,35.74711028493935,0.0,35.73234459616477,0.15384615384615385,0.0
+FlowState,60.20710059171598,35.238708603025636,0.0,3.7859752799626865,0.15384615384615385,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,59.911242603550285,35.346534587472554,0.0,1.1602838375000002,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,59.17159763313609,34.54029716114274,0.0,2.549116965535714,0.3076923076923077,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,57.10059171597632,33.916952411684484,0.0,0.7024468823376624,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,56.06508875739644,33.68160197994784,0.0,64.32606581959577,0.15384615384615385,0.0
+TFT,54.7337278106509,34.858358688960024,7067.210990843215,5.868696277689394,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,46.59763313609467,31.420585268607393,0.0,8.734264116875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
+PatchTST,45.857988165680474,28.17762114987711,7221.856288165601,6.349855852499999,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,44.1568047337278,28.82551876839535,13498.838423148572,8.687442574285715,0.0,11.538461538461538
+LightGBM,31.656804733727807,13.804281918946282,47.29828941238095,4.303395228143939,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,30.547337278106507,11.001763956139254,0.0,2051.548594149911,0.0,7.6923076923076925
+AutoARIMA,28.920118343195266,10.956865003323434,0.0,1885.5145473599553,0.0,7.6923076923076925
+CatBoost,27.66272189349112,13.30060154143199,498.1807509,5.586804820681818,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,17.45562130177515,0.0,0.0,1.042975715,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,17.011834319526628,-24.269495322854407,0.0,13.387819541051137,0.0,0.0
+AutoTheta,16.863905325443785,-4.896832310667398,0.0,6.6345268946875,0.0,0.0
+Naive,9.985207100591717,-50.976730476610335,0.0,1.0805920684374999,0.0,0.0
+Drift,4.733727810650888,-57.44553171159505,0.0,1.081847729375,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_energy/pairwise_MASE.csv

@@ -1,257 +1,257 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.11,0.043,0.177
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.107,0.04,0.174
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.112,0.04,0.182
+Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.021,-0.014,0.058
 Chronos-2,TiRex,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.137,0.066,0.203
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.078,0.038,0.118
 Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.145,0.072,0.212
-Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.141,0.078,0.202
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.885,0.769,1.0,0.136,0.072,0.201
 Chronos-2,FlowState,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.142,0.073,0.202
+Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.141,0.078,0.202
 Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.158,0.092,0.222
-Chronos-2,Sundial-Base,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.127,0.069,0.195
 Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.17,0.105,0.237
-Chronos-2,TFT,0.808,0.654,0.924,0.146,0.077,0.225
-Chronos-2,DeepAR,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.187,0.124,0.248
-Chronos-2,PatchTST,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.204,0.133,0.276
-Chronos-2,CatBoost,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.22,0.157,0.289
-Chronos-2,LightGBM,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.241,0.177,0.312
-Chronos-2,Stat. Ensemble,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.324,0.247,0.39
+Chronos-2,Sundial-Base,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.127,0.069,0.195
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.885,0.768,1.0,0.174,0.1,0.245
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.354,0.278,0.422
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.124,-0.214,-0.045
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.346,0.692,-0.003,-0.011,0.004
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.002,-0.013,0.016
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.1,-0.208,-0.003
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.031,0.007,0.055
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.654,0.462,0.846,-0.036,-0.133,0.042
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.039,0.01,0.071
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.029,0.016,0.042
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.035,-0.0,0.067
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.035,0.005,0.062
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.054,0.028,0.083
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.067,0.04,0.101
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Sundial-Base,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.019,-0.071,0.108
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.071,0.04,0.102
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.274,0.211,0.335
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.12,-0.211,-0.042
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.308,0.654,0.003,-0.004,0.011
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.005,-0.008,0.019
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.096,-0.205,0.001
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.034,0.011,0.059
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.615,0.423,0.808,-0.033,-0.13,0.048
+Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.042,0.012,0.074
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.032,0.02,0.046
+Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.039,0.004,0.069
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.038,0.007,0.066
+Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.057,0.034,0.083
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.07,0.043,0.102
+Toto-2.0-1B,Sundial-Base,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.023,-0.068,0.11
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.074,0.043,0.107
+Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.276,0.21,0.34
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.126,-0.222,-0.042
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.002,-0.016,0.013
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.005,-0.019,0.008
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.102,-0.213,-0.002
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.029,0.011,0.048
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.654,0.462,0.846,-0.039,-0.142,0.043
+Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.692,0.5,0.847,0.037,0.012,0.062
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.027,0.014,0.041
+Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.033,0.002,0.062
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.731,0.576,0.885,0.033,0.004,0.06
+Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.052,0.025,0.08
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.065,0.037,0.096
+Toto-2.0-313m,Sundial-Base,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.017,-0.072,0.099
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.069,0.039,0.098
+Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.272,0.206,0.336
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.022,-0.062,0.013
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.091,0.003,0.172
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.088,-0.001,0.17
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.093,0.002,0.175
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.119,0.032,0.197
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.058,0.011,0.101
+TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.126,0.038,0.206
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.615,0.423,0.77,0.117,0.034,0.194
+TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.123,0.036,0.198
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.654,0.462,0.809,0.122,0.043,0.198
+TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.14,0.054,0.22
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.152,0.072,0.227
+TabPFN-TS-3,Sundial-Base,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.108,0.038,0.185
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.156,0.071,0.231
+TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.34,0.265,0.41
 TiRex,Chronos-2,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.159,-0.255,-0.07
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.032,-0.059,-0.007
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.035,-0.063,-0.011
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.029,-0.051,-0.011
+TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.135,-0.246,-0.034
 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.069,-0.171,0.013
 TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.519,0.327,0.731,0.008,-0.015,0.033
-TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.558,0.385,0.731,0.004,-0.021,0.032
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.001,-0.024,0.017
 TiRex,FlowState,0.481,0.308,0.654,0.005,-0.022,0.033
+TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.558,0.385,0.731,0.004,-0.021,0.032
 TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.558,0.365,0.731,0.024,-0.003,0.056
-TiRex,Sundial-Base,0.75,0.596,0.904,-0.012,-0.103,0.066
 TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.673,0.5,0.846,0.038,0.011,0.068
-TiRex,TFT,0.692,0.5,0.885,0.01,-0.1,0.105
-TiRex,DeepAR,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.058,-0.036,0.136
-TiRex,PatchTST,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.077,-0.032,0.158
-TiRex,CatBoost,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.096,0.01,0.19
-TiRex,LightGBM,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.12,0.039,0.216
-TiRex,Stat. Ensemble,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.216,0.159,0.275
+TiRex,Sundial-Base,0.75,0.596,0.904,-0.012,-0.103,0.066
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.042,0.014,0.069
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.251,0.191,0.308
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.084,-0.133,-0.039
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.346,0.154,0.538,0.035,-0.043,0.117
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.385,0.192,0.577,0.032,-0.05,0.115
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.346,0.154,0.538,0.037,-0.045,0.124
+TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.061,-0.112,-0.012
 TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.065,-0.014,0.146
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.073,-0.003,0.152
-TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.069,0.002,0.143
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.063,-0.016,0.142
 TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.069,-0.011,0.143
+TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.069,0.002,0.143
 TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.087,0.008,0.169
-TabPFN-TS,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.054,-0.036,0.143
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.1,0.022,0.181
-TabPFN-TS,TFT,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.074,0.009,0.144
-TabPFN-TS,DeepAR,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.119,0.054,0.187
-TabPFN-TS,PatchTST,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.137,0.066,0.207
-TabPFN-TS,CatBoost,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.154,0.078,0.242
-TabPFN-TS,LightGBM,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.177,0.104,0.259
-TabPFN-TS,Stat. Ensemble,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.267,0.186,0.336
+TabPFN-TS,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.054,-0.036,0.143
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.104,0.018,0.188
 TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.299,0.216,0.373
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.169,-0.269,-0.077
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.04,-0.076,-0.01
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.044,-0.08,-0.012
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.308,0.153,0.5,-0.038,-0.066,-0.012
+TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.144,-0.259,-0.04
 TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.481,0.269,0.673,-0.009,-0.034,0.014
 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.078,-0.179,0.003
 TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.577,0.404,0.769,-0.004,-0.033,0.024
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.01,-0.044,0.02
 TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.538,0.365,0.712,-0.004,-0.035,0.027
+TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.577,0.404,0.769,-0.004,-0.033,0.024
 TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.615,0.442,0.808,0.016,-0.028,0.057
-TimesFM-2.5,Sundial-Base,0.596,0.423,0.788,-0.02,-0.113,0.062
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.692,0.519,0.846,0.03,-0.006,0.071
-TimesFM-2.5,TFT,0.692,0.5,0.847,0.002,-0.108,0.104
-TimesFM-2.5,DeepAR,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.05,-0.044,0.13
-TimesFM-2.5,PatchTST,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.069,-0.047,0.159
-TimesFM-2.5,CatBoost,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.088,-0.003,0.185
-TimesFM-2.5,LightGBM,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.113,0.028,0.215
-TimesFM-2.5,Stat. Ensemble,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.21,0.15,0.274
+TimesFM-2.5,Sundial-Base,0.596,0.423,0.788,-0.02,-0.113,0.062
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.034,-0.002,0.068
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.245,0.182,0.306
-Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.164,-0.254,-0.085
-Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.442,0.269,0.615,-0.004,-0.034,0.02
-Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.074,-0.167,-0.002
-Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.423,0.231,0.596,0.004,-0.025,0.032
-Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.462,0.288,0.635,0.001,-0.035,0.028
-Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.577,0.423,0.731,0.02,-0.022,0.064
-Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,0.558,0.365,0.731,-0.016,-0.106,0.062
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.577,0.404,0.75,0.034,-0.001,0.072
-Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.692,0.5,0.885,0.006,-0.09,0.099
-Chronos-Bolt,DeepAR,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.054,-0.045,0.134
-Chronos-Bolt,PatchTST,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.073,-0.045,0.164
-Chronos-Bolt,CatBoost,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.092,0.002,0.189
-Chronos-Bolt,LightGBM,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.117,0.036,0.209
-Chronos-Bolt,Stat. Ensemble,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.213,0.154,0.273
-Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.248,0.188,0.306
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.115,0.0,0.231,-0.158,-0.252,-0.077
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.03,-0.044,-0.016
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.033,-0.048,-0.021
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.028,-0.043,-0.014
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.385,0.23,0.577,-0.133,-0.241,-0.035
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.001,-0.018,0.024
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.067,-0.166,0.016
+Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.01,-0.02,0.042
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.423,0.268,0.615,0.006,-0.028,0.038
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.006,-0.025,0.036
+Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.025,0.002,0.052
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.039,0.013,0.071
+Toto-2.0-22m,Sundial-Base,0.654,0.462,0.808,-0.01,-0.105,0.074
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.043,0.016,0.073
+Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.252,0.188,0.315
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.165,-0.253,-0.079
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.037,-0.071,0.0
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.04,-0.074,-0.004
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.034,-0.066,-0.002
+FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.14,-0.246,-0.037
 FlowState,TiRex,0.519,0.346,0.692,-0.005,-0.034,0.022
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.074,-0.167,0.011
 FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.462,0.288,0.635,0.004,-0.027,0.034
-FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.538,0.365,0.712,-0.001,-0.029,0.034
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.577,0.385,0.732,-0.006,-0.039,0.027
 FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.538,0.365,0.712,-0.001,-0.029,0.034
 FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.462,0.307,0.635,0.019,-0.019,0.062
-FlowState,Sundial-Base,0.596,0.423,0.788,-0.017,-0.106,0.06
 FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.577,0.404,0.75,0.033,-0.002,0.073
-FlowState,TFT,0.692,0.5,0.847,0.005,-0.1,0.104
-FlowState,DeepAR,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.053,-0.045,0.139
-FlowState,PatchTST,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.073,-0.04,0.158
-FlowState,CatBoost,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.092,0.001,0.19
-FlowState,LightGBM,0.654,0.5,0.846,0.116,0.033,0.216
-FlowState,Stat. Ensemble,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.212,0.146,0.276
+FlowState,Sundial-Base,0.596,0.423,0.788,-0.017,-0.106,0.06
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.037,-0.003,0.077
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.247,0.177,0.309
+Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.164,-0.254,-0.085
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.036,-0.066,-0.005
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.039,-0.071,-0.007
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.269,0.115,0.424,-0.034,-0.064,-0.004
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.191,0.538,-0.14,-0.248,-0.045
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.442,0.269,0.615,-0.004,-0.034,0.02
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.074,-0.167,-0.002
+Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.423,0.231,0.596,0.004,-0.025,0.032
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.006,-0.037,0.025
+Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.462,0.288,0.635,0.001,-0.035,0.028
+Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.577,0.423,0.731,0.02,-0.022,0.064
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.577,0.404,0.75,0.034,-0.001,0.072
+Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,0.558,0.365,0.731,-0.016,-0.106,0.062
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.038,-0.001,0.077
+Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.248,0.188,0.306
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.188,-0.285,-0.101
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.057,-0.091,-0.029
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.06,-0.091,-0.035
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.055,-0.087,-0.026
+Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.163,-0.282,-0.057
 Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.442,0.269,0.635,-0.024,-0.059,0.003
 Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.095,-0.203,-0.008
 Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.385,0.192,0.558,-0.016,-0.061,0.027
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.423,0.269,0.577,-0.02,-0.068,0.021
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.026,-0.055,-0.002
 Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.538,0.365,0.693,-0.019,-0.066,0.018
+Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.423,0.269,0.577,-0.02,-0.068,0.021
 Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,Sundial-Base,0.635,0.462,0.789,-0.036,-0.136,0.048
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.615,0.462,0.788,0.014,-0.01,0.043
-Moirai-2.0,TFT,0.615,0.423,0.808,-0.014,-0.134,0.091
-Moirai-2.0,DeepAR,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.035,-0.058,0.115
-Moirai-2.0,PatchTST,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.055,-0.05,0.136
-Moirai-2.0,CatBoost,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.074,-0.016,0.165
-Moirai-2.0,LightGBM,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.099,0.014,0.195
-Moirai-2.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.197,0.124,0.263
+Moirai-2.0,Sundial-Base,0.635,0.462,0.789,-0.036,-0.136,0.048
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.615,0.423,0.769,0.018,-0.018,0.053
 Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.808,0.654,0.924,0.233,0.167,0.293
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.146,-0.242,-0.074
-Sundial-Base,TiRex,0.25,0.096,0.404,0.012,-0.071,0.093
-Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.057,-0.166,0.035
-Sundial-Base,TimesFM-2.5,0.404,0.212,0.577,0.02,-0.066,0.101
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-Bolt,0.442,0.269,0.635,0.016,-0.066,0.096
-Sundial-Base,FlowState,0.404,0.212,0.577,0.016,-0.064,0.096
-Sundial-Base,Moirai-2.0,0.365,0.211,0.538,0.035,-0.051,0.119
-Sundial-Base,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,Toto-1.0,0.481,0.308,0.654,0.049,-0.031,0.129
-Sundial-Base,TFT,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.022,-0.092,0.137
-Sundial-Base,DeepAR,0.654,0.462,0.809,0.069,-0.036,0.16
-Sundial-Base,PatchTST,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.088,-0.042,0.196
-Sundial-Base,CatBoost,0.769,0.614,0.923,0.106,0.014,0.193
-Sundial-Base,LightGBM,0.808,0.654,0.924,0.131,0.035,0.224
-Sundial-Base,Stat. Ensemble,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.225,0.145,0.3
-Sundial-Base,Seasonal Naive,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.26,0.177,0.334
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.205,-0.31,-0.117
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.072,-0.112,-0.041
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.076,-0.114,-0.045
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.07,-0.106,-0.039
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.179,-0.293,-0.078
 Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.327,0.154,0.5,-0.039,-0.073,-0.011
 Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.111,-0.221,-0.022
 Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.308,0.154,0.481,-0.03,-0.076,0.006
-Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.423,0.25,0.596,-0.035,-0.078,0.001
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.041,-0.077,-0.014
 Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.423,0.25,0.596,-0.034,-0.078,0.002
+Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.423,0.25,0.596,-0.035,-0.078,0.001
 Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.385,0.212,0.538,-0.014,-0.045,0.01
-Toto-1.0,Sundial-Base,0.519,0.346,0.692,-0.051,-0.149,0.03
 Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,TFT,0.615,0.423,0.808,-0.029,-0.148,0.074
-Toto-1.0,DeepAR,0.654,0.462,0.809,0.021,-0.073,0.101
-Toto-1.0,PatchTST,0.615,0.423,0.769,0.041,-0.081,0.135
-Toto-1.0,CatBoost,0.692,0.538,0.846,0.061,-0.023,0.15
-Toto-1.0,LightGBM,0.692,0.538,0.846,0.086,0.008,0.18
-Toto-1.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.885,0.769,1.0,0.186,0.116,0.251
+Toto-1.0,Sundial-Base,0.519,0.346,0.692,-0.051,-0.149,0.03
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.004,-0.026,0.027
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.222,0.159,0.278
-TFT,Chronos-2,0.192,0.076,0.346,-0.171,-0.291,-0.083
-TFT,TiRex,0.308,0.115,0.5,-0.01,-0.118,0.091
-TFT,TabPFN-TS,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.08,-0.168,-0.009
-TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.308,0.153,0.5,-0.002,-0.117,0.097
-TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.308,0.115,0.5,-0.006,-0.11,0.082
-TFT,FlowState,0.308,0.153,0.5,-0.005,-0.117,0.091
-TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.385,0.192,0.577,0.014,-0.1,0.118
-TFT,Sundial-Base,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.022,-0.158,0.084
-TFT,Toto-1.0,0.385,0.192,0.577,0.028,-0.08,0.129
-TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TFT,DeepAR,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.048,-0.02,0.118
-TFT,PatchTST,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.068,-0.003,0.135
-TFT,CatBoost,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.087,-0.039,0.193
-TFT,LightGBM,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.111,0.003,0.212
-TFT,Stat. Ensemble,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.208,0.11,0.288
-TFT,Seasonal Naive,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.243,0.154,0.321
-DeepAR,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.23,-0.329,-0.141
-DeepAR,TiRex,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.061,-0.157,0.035
-DeepAR,TabPFN-TS,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.135,-0.23,-0.057
-DeepAR,TimesFM-2.5,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.052,-0.15,0.043
-DeepAR,Chronos-Bolt,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.057,-0.154,0.043
-DeepAR,FlowState,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.056,-0.161,0.043
-DeepAR,Moirai-2.0,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.036,-0.129,0.055
-DeepAR,Sundial-Base,0.346,0.191,0.538,-0.074,-0.191,0.035
-DeepAR,Toto-1.0,0.346,0.191,0.538,-0.021,-0.112,0.068
-DeepAR,TFT,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.05,-0.133,0.019
-DeepAR,DeepAR,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,PatchTST,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.02,-0.053,0.083
-DeepAR,CatBoost,0.615,0.423,0.769,0.041,-0.044,0.124
-DeepAR,LightGBM,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.066,-0.013,0.16
-DeepAR,Stat. Ensemble,0.712,0.538,0.885,0.168,0.084,0.253
-DeepAR,Seasonal Naive,0.827,0.692,0.942,0.205,0.122,0.287
-PatchTST,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.256,-0.381,-0.154
-PatchTST,TiRex,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.084,-0.187,0.031
-PatchTST,TabPFN-TS,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.158,-0.261,-0.071
-PatchTST,TimesFM-2.5,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.074,-0.189,0.045
-PatchTST,Chronos-Bolt,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.079,-0.196,0.043
-PatchTST,FlowState,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.078,-0.188,0.038
-PatchTST,Moirai-2.0,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.058,-0.158,0.047
-PatchTST,Sundial-Base,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.096,-0.245,0.04
-PatchTST,Toto-1.0,0.385,0.231,0.577,-0.043,-0.156,0.075
-PatchTST,TFT,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.072,-0.156,0.003
-PatchTST,DeepAR,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.021,-0.091,0.051
-PatchTST,PatchTST,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,CatBoost,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.021,-0.104,0.133
-PatchTST,LightGBM,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.047,-0.072,0.159
-PatchTST,Stat. Ensemble,0.692,0.5,0.885,0.151,0.054,0.243
-PatchTST,Seasonal Naive,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.189,0.084,0.286
-CatBoost,Chronos-2,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.282,-0.407,-0.186
-CatBoost,TiRex,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.106,-0.235,-0.01
-CatBoost,TabPFN-TS,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.183,-0.319,-0.084
-CatBoost,TimesFM-2.5,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.097,-0.227,0.003
-CatBoost,Chronos-Bolt,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.102,-0.233,-0.002
-CatBoost,FlowState,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.101,-0.235,-0.001
-CatBoost,Moirai-2.0,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.08,-0.197,0.015
-CatBoost,Sundial-Base,0.231,0.077,0.386,-0.119,-0.239,-0.014
-CatBoost,Toto-1.0,0.308,0.154,0.462,-0.065,-0.176,0.022
-CatBoost,TFT,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.095,-0.239,0.038
-CatBoost,DeepAR,0.385,0.231,0.577,-0.042,-0.141,0.042
-CatBoost,PatchTST,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.021,-0.153,0.094
-CatBoost,CatBoost,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,LightGBM,0.692,0.538,0.846,0.027,-0.007,0.063
-CatBoost,Stat. Ensemble,0.692,0.5,0.885,0.133,0.007,0.229
-CatBoost,Seasonal Naive,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.172,0.062,0.26
-LightGBM,Chronos-2,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.318,-0.454,-0.215
-LightGBM,TiRex,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.137,-0.276,-0.041
-LightGBM,TabPFN-TS,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.215,-0.349,-0.116
-LightGBM,TimesFM-2.5,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.127,-0.274,-0.029
-LightGBM,Chronos-Bolt,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.132,-0.264,-0.038
-LightGBM,FlowState,0.346,0.154,0.5,-0.131,-0.276,-0.034
-LightGBM,Moirai-2.0,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.11,-0.242,-0.014
-LightGBM,Sundial-Base,0.192,0.076,0.346,-0.15,-0.289,-0.036
-LightGBM,Toto-1.0,0.308,0.154,0.462,-0.094,-0.22,-0.008
-LightGBM,TFT,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.125,-0.269,-0.003
-LightGBM,DeepAR,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.071,-0.19,0.013
-LightGBM,PatchTST,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.049,-0.189,0.067
-LightGBM,CatBoost,0.308,0.154,0.462,-0.028,-0.067,0.007
-LightGBM,LightGBM,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,Stat. Ensemble,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.109,-0.03,0.212
-LightGBM,Seasonal Naive,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.149,0.03,0.24
-Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-2,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.479,-0.638,-0.327
-Stat. Ensemble,TiRex,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.276,-0.38,-0.189
-Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.364,-0.507,-0.229
-Stat. Ensemble,TimesFM-2.5,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.265,-0.377,-0.177
-Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-Bolt,0.115,0.0,0.269,-0.271,-0.376,-0.181
-Stat. Ensemble,FlowState,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.27,-0.381,-0.171
-Stat. Ensemble,Moirai-2.0,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.245,-0.356,-0.141
-Stat. Ensemble,Sundial-Base,0.115,0.0,0.269,-0.291,-0.429,-0.169
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-1.0,0.115,0.0,0.231,-0.228,-0.335,-0.131
-Stat. Ensemble,TFT,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.263,-0.404,-0.124
-Stat. Ensemble,DeepAR,0.288,0.115,0.462,-0.202,-0.338,-0.092
-Stat. Ensemble,PatchTST,0.308,0.115,0.5,-0.178,-0.32,-0.057
-Stat. Ensemble,CatBoost,0.308,0.115,0.5,-0.153,-0.297,-0.007
-Stat. Ensemble,LightGBM,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.122,-0.269,0.029
-Stat. Ensemble,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,Seasonal Naive,0.692,0.519,0.865,0.044,0.003,0.082
+Sundial-Base,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.146,-0.242,-0.074
+Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.02,-0.121,0.066
+Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-1B,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.023,-0.124,0.063
+Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-313m,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.018,-0.11,0.067
+Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS-3,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.122,-0.227,-0.04
+Sundial-Base,TiRex,0.25,0.096,0.404,0.012,-0.071,0.093
+Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.057,-0.166,0.035
+Sundial-Base,TimesFM-2.5,0.404,0.212,0.577,0.02,-0.066,0.101
+Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-22m,0.346,0.192,0.538,0.01,-0.08,0.095
+Sundial-Base,FlowState,0.404,0.212,0.577,0.016,-0.064,0.096
+Sundial-Base,Chronos-Bolt,0.442,0.269,0.635,0.016,-0.066,0.096
+Sundial-Base,Moirai-2.0,0.365,0.211,0.538,0.035,-0.051,0.119
+Sundial-Base,Toto-1.0,0.481,0.308,0.654,0.049,-0.031,0.129
+Sundial-Base,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-4m,0.462,0.269,0.654,0.053,-0.034,0.143
+Sundial-Base,Seasonal Naive,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.26,0.177,0.334
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.115,0.0,0.232,-0.21,-0.324,-0.111
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.077,-0.114,-0.042
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.08,-0.12,-0.045
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.074,-0.109,-0.04
+Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.184,-0.3,-0.076
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.044,-0.074,-0.014
+Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.116,-0.231,-0.018
+Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.035,-0.073,0.002
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.045,-0.079,-0.016
+Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.039,-0.083,0.003
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.039,-0.083,0.001
+Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.385,0.231,0.577,-0.019,-0.056,0.018
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.004,-0.028,0.025
+Toto-2.0-4m,Sundial-Base,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.056,-0.168,0.033
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.218,0.167,0.276
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.548,-0.729,-0.384
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.377,-0.504,-0.267
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.382,-0.514,-0.266
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.375,-0.505,-0.259
+Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.515,-0.695,-0.36
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.335,-0.445,-0.237
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.428,-0.596,-0.276
 Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.324,-0.441,-0.223
-Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.33,-0.44,-0.232
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.115,0.0,0.269,-0.337,-0.46,-0.231
 Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.329,-0.447,-0.215
+Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.33,-0.44,-0.232
 Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.192,0.076,0.346,-0.303,-0.415,-0.201
-Seasonal Naive,Sundial-Base,0.115,0.0,0.269,-0.351,-0.501,-0.215
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.115,0.0,0.269,-0.285,-0.386,-0.189
-Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.322,-0.473,-0.182
-Seasonal Naive,DeepAR,0.173,0.058,0.308,-0.258,-0.402,-0.139
-Seasonal Naive,PatchTST,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.232,-0.4,-0.091
-Seasonal Naive,CatBoost,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.207,-0.351,-0.067
-Seasonal Naive,LightGBM,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.174,-0.316,-0.031
-Seasonal Naive,Stat. Ensemble,0.308,0.135,0.481,-0.047,-0.09,-0.003
+Seasonal Naive,Sundial-Base,0.115,0.0,0.269,-0.351,-0.501,-0.215
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.279,-0.381,-0.201
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_energy/pairwise_SQL.csv

@@ -1,257 +1,257 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.104,0.037,0.17
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.107,0.041,0.173
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.111,0.041,0.178
+Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.027,-0.009,0.067
 Chronos-2,TiRex,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.141,0.072,0.204
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.137,0.072,0.202
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.082,0.044,0.12
 Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.159,0.083,0.225
-Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.161,0.096,0.219
 Chronos-2,FlowState,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.167,0.099,0.227
 Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.178,0.111,0.242
+Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.161,0.096,0.219
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.885,0.768,1.0,0.178,0.104,0.248
 Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.183,0.115,0.249
 Chronos-2,TFT,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.171,0.1,0.25
-Chronos-2,Sundial-Base,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.212,0.157,0.275
-Chronos-2,DeepAR,0.885,0.769,1.0,0.232,0.166,0.297
-Chronos-2,PatchTST,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.243,0.162,0.32
-Chronos-2,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.38,0.299,0.452
-Chronos-2,Stat. Ensemble,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.4,0.321,0.466
-Chronos-2,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.382,0.331,0.438
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.437,0.368,0.497
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.116,-0.204,-0.038
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.538,0.346,0.692,0.004,-0.003,0.012
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.008,-0.003,0.02
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.085,-0.194,0.015
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.042,0.016,0.07
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.038,0.025,0.054
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.654,0.462,0.846,-0.024,-0.12,0.056
+Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.062,0.029,0.096
+Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.071,0.039,0.104
+Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.083,0.055,0.111
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.064,0.029,0.097
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.083,0.051,0.117
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.088,0.059,0.12
+Toto-2.0-1B,TFT,0.731,0.576,0.885,0.075,-0.029,0.172
+Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.372,0.312,0.433
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.12,-0.209,-0.043
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.462,0.308,0.654,-0.004,-0.012,0.003
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.692,0.538,0.846,0.004,-0.008,0.015
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.09,-0.198,0.008
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.038,0.013,0.065
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.034,0.021,0.048
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.654,0.462,0.846,-0.028,-0.125,0.049
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.058,0.025,0.092
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.067,0.035,0.101
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.885,0.768,1.0,0.079,0.051,0.108
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.885,0.768,1.0,0.061,0.028,0.091
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.08,0.048,0.112
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.885,0.769,1.0,0.085,0.057,0.115
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TFT,0.731,0.576,0.885,0.072,-0.035,0.17
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.369,0.312,0.43
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.124,-0.216,-0.043
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.008,-0.02,0.003
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.308,0.154,0.462,-0.004,-0.015,0.008
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.094,-0.204,0.006
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.034,0.013,0.057
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.769,0.614,0.923,0.03,0.017,0.045
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.615,0.423,0.808,-0.032,-0.133,0.048
+Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.055,0.025,0.084
+Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.063,0.034,0.094
+Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.075,0.046,0.105
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.057,0.023,0.089
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.076,0.046,0.105
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.081,0.051,0.111
+Toto-2.0-313m,TFT,0.692,0.5,0.885,0.068,-0.039,0.169
+Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.367,0.309,0.428
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.028,-0.072,0.009
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.079,-0.015,0.163
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.082,-0.008,0.165
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.086,-0.006,0.169
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.117,0.03,0.195
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.113,0.029,0.192
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.057,0.008,0.098
+TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.654,0.462,0.809,0.136,0.046,0.217
+TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.144,0.053,0.217
+TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.155,0.07,0.235
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.138,0.059,0.21
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.155,0.067,0.235
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.16,0.078,0.237
+TabPFN-TS-3,TFT,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.148,0.073,0.23
+TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.421,0.35,0.49
 TiRex,Chronos-2,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.164,-0.257,-0.078
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.044,-0.075,-0.016
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.04,-0.069,-0.013
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.035,-0.061,-0.013
+TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.133,-0.242,-0.031
 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.004,-0.029,0.02
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.068,-0.171,0.014
 TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.673,0.481,0.846,0.021,-0.002,0.045
-TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.577,0.885,0.023,-0.005,0.052
 TiRex,FlowState,0.635,0.461,0.808,0.03,0.003,0.06
 TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.788,0.615,0.923,0.043,0.014,0.075
+TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.577,0.885,0.023,-0.005,0.052
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.769,0.614,0.923,0.043,0.012,0.072
 TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.788,0.615,0.923,0.048,0.024,0.076
 TiRex,TFT,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.035,-0.07,0.132
-TiRex,Sundial-Base,0.788,0.635,0.923,0.083,0.009,0.153
-TiRex,DeepAR,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.106,0.011,0.184
-TiRex,PatchTST,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.119,0.006,0.204
-TiRex,AutoARIMA,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.279,0.212,0.354
-TiRex,Stat. Ensemble,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.301,0.231,0.376
-TiRex,CatBoost,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.281,0.212,0.353
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.344,0.286,0.404
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.159,-0.254,-0.077
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.115,0.0,0.269,-0.039,-0.057,-0.025
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.035,-0.05,-0.021
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.231,0.077,0.386,-0.031,-0.047,-0.018
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.128,-0.238,-0.029
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.462,0.269,0.654,0.004,-0.02,0.028
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.064,-0.17,0.021
+Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.025,-0.009,0.059
+Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.034,-0.001,0.07
+Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.047,0.018,0.075
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.692,0.5,0.885,0.027,-0.009,0.062
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.047,0.022,0.073
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.052,0.03,0.079
+Toto-2.0-22m,TFT,0.692,0.5,0.885,0.039,-0.071,0.141
+Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.347,0.288,0.407
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.09,-0.136,-0.046
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.346,0.154,0.538,0.023,-0.059,0.107
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.346,0.154,0.538,0.027,-0.051,0.111
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.385,0.192,0.577,0.031,-0.05,0.117
+TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.06,-0.109,-0.008
 TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.064,-0.014,0.146
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.06,-0.022,0.145
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.084,0.006,0.167
-TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.086,0.022,0.16
 TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.092,0.015,0.166
 TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.104,0.024,0.189
+TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.086,0.022,0.16
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.105,0.018,0.189
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.109,0.026,0.194
 TabPFN-TS,TFT,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.096,0.03,0.168
-TabPFN-TS,Sundial-Base,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.141,0.058,0.225
-TabPFN-TS,DeepAR,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.163,0.093,0.233
-TabPFN-TS,PatchTST,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.175,0.093,0.252
-TabPFN-TS,AutoARIMA,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.325,0.235,0.412
-TabPFN-TS,Stat. Ensemble,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.346,0.259,0.424
-TabPFN-TS,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.327,0.261,0.398
 TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.386,0.308,0.462
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.189,-0.291,-0.09
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.066,-0.106,-0.029
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.062,-0.102,-0.025
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.058,-0.092,-0.026
+TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.191,0.538,-0.157,-0.277,-0.048
 TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.327,0.154,0.519,-0.021,-0.047,0.002
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.026,-0.062,0.009
 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.091,-0.2,-0.006
 TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.538,0.365,0.712,0.002,-0.028,0.029
 TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.577,0.404,0.75,0.009,-0.023,0.04
 TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.615,0.442,0.808,0.022,-0.023,0.067
+TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.538,0.365,0.712,0.002,-0.028,0.029
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.023,-0.015,0.057
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.028,-0.012,0.068
 TimesFM-2.5,TFT,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.014,-0.1,0.121
-TimesFM-2.5,Sundial-Base,0.788,0.635,0.923,0.063,-0.021,0.143
-TimesFM-2.5,DeepAR,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.087,-0.014,0.169
-TimesFM-2.5,PatchTST,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.1,-0.022,0.197
-TimesFM-2.5,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.263,0.194,0.338
-TimesFM-2.5,Stat. Ensemble,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.286,0.211,0.364
-TimesFM-2.5,CatBoost,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.265,0.191,0.344
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.33,0.269,0.394
-Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.192,-0.28,-0.106
-Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.25,0.115,0.423,-0.024,-0.055,0.005
-Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.094,-0.19,-0.023
-Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.462,0.288,0.635,-0.002,-0.03,0.027
-Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.462,0.288,0.635,0.007,-0.03,0.039
-Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.327,0.654,0.02,-0.025,0.07
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.538,0.365,0.712,0.026,-0.013,0.068
-Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.012,-0.089,0.108
-Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,0.75,0.596,0.904,0.061,-0.024,0.136
-Chronos-Bolt,DeepAR,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.085,-0.018,0.167
-Chronos-Bolt,PatchTST,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.098,-0.023,0.194
-Chronos-Bolt,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.261,0.191,0.335
-Chronos-Bolt,Stat. Ensemble,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.284,0.214,0.358
-Chronos-Bolt,CatBoost,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.263,0.189,0.342
-Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.329,0.273,0.388
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.115,0.0,0.269,-0.2,-0.294,-0.11
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.076,-0.116,-0.04
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.072,-0.113,-0.036
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.068,-0.104,-0.035
+FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.168,-0.277,-0.057
 FlowState,TiRex,0.365,0.192,0.539,-0.031,-0.064,-0.003
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.035,-0.075,0.001
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.102,-0.199,-0.015
 FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.423,0.25,0.596,-0.009,-0.042,0.022
-FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.538,0.365,0.712,-0.007,-0.041,0.029
 FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.538,0.384,0.712,0.013,-0.029,0.059
+FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.538,0.365,0.712,-0.007,-0.041,0.029
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.654,0.462,0.809,0.014,-0.03,0.052
 FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.423,0.269,0.596,0.019,-0.019,0.059
 FlowState,TFT,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.005,-0.107,0.109
-FlowState,Sundial-Base,0.712,0.538,0.885,0.054,-0.029,0.13
-FlowState,DeepAR,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.078,-0.024,0.167
-FlowState,PatchTST,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.091,-0.027,0.182
-FlowState,AutoARIMA,0.885,0.769,1.0,0.256,0.181,0.338
-FlowState,Stat. Ensemble,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.279,0.201,0.363
-FlowState,CatBoost,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.258,0.184,0.339
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.324,0.259,0.389
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.216,-0.319,-0.125
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.09,-0.125,-0.058
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.115,0.0,0.232,-0.086,-0.122,-0.054
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.082,-0.117,-0.048
+Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.183,-0.308,-0.075
 Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.212,0.077,0.385,-0.045,-0.081,-0.014
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.049,-0.081,-0.018
 Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.116,-0.233,-0.025
 Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.385,0.192,0.558,-0.023,-0.071,0.023
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.346,0.673,-0.02,-0.075,0.025
 Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.462,0.288,0.616,-0.013,-0.062,0.029
 Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.346,0.673,-0.02,-0.075,0.025
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.001,-0.036,0.039
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.577,0.423,0.75,0.006,-0.016,0.034
 Moirai-2.0,TFT,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.008,-0.129,0.098
-Moirai-2.0,Sundial-Base,0.75,0.596,0.904,0.042,-0.051,0.124
-Moirai-2.0,DeepAR,0.654,0.462,0.809,0.066,-0.029,0.147
-Moirai-2.0,PatchTST,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.08,-0.033,0.167
-Moirai-2.0,AutoARIMA,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.246,0.167,0.331
-Moirai-2.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.27,0.187,0.356
-Moirai-2.0,CatBoost,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.249,0.177,0.322
 Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.315,0.249,0.385
+Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.192,-0.28,-0.106
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.069,-0.108,-0.029
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.115,0.0,0.232,-0.064,-0.101,-0.028
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.06,-0.097,-0.024
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.16,-0.266,-0.063
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.25,0.115,0.423,-0.024,-0.055,0.005
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.308,0.115,0.5,-0.028,-0.066,0.009
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.094,-0.19,-0.023
+Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.462,0.288,0.635,-0.002,-0.03,0.027
+Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.462,0.288,0.635,0.007,-0.03,0.039
+Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.327,0.654,0.02,-0.025,0.07
+Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.021,-0.023,0.063
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.538,0.365,0.712,0.026,-0.013,0.068
+Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.012,-0.089,0.108
+Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.329,0.273,0.388
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.115,0.0,0.232,-0.217,-0.33,-0.116
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.115,0.0,0.269,-0.091,-0.132,-0.054
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.087,-0.126,-0.05
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.082,-0.117,-0.049
+Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.184,-0.307,-0.072
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.231,0.077,0.386,-0.045,-0.078,-0.012
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.05,-0.079,-0.023
+Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.117,-0.234,-0.018
+Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.023,-0.061,0.015
+Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.346,0.191,0.538,-0.014,-0.054,0.029
+Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.001,-0.041,0.035
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.021,-0.067,0.023
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.005,-0.02,0.036
+Toto-2.0-4m,TFT,0.615,0.423,0.808,-0.009,-0.126,0.093
+Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.315,0.256,0.378
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.224,-0.332,-0.13
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.097,-0.136,-0.063
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.115,0.0,0.231,-0.092,-0.13,-0.06
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.088,-0.125,-0.054
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.19,-0.311,-0.085
 Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.212,0.077,0.385,-0.051,-0.082,-0.024
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.055,-0.085,-0.031
 Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.123,-0.241,-0.027
 Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.029,-0.073,0.011
-Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.462,0.288,0.635,-0.026,-0.072,0.013
 Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.577,0.404,0.731,-0.019,-0.063,0.019
 Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.423,0.25,0.577,-0.006,-0.035,0.016
+Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.462,0.288,0.635,-0.026,-0.072,0.013
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.005,-0.037,0.02
 Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-1.0,TFT,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.014,-0.138,0.092
-Toto-1.0,Sundial-Base,0.75,0.596,0.904,0.036,-0.053,0.113
-Toto-1.0,DeepAR,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.061,-0.039,0.142
-Toto-1.0,PatchTST,0.615,0.423,0.769,0.074,-0.05,0.169
-Toto-1.0,AutoARIMA,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.242,0.164,0.324
-Toto-1.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.266,0.185,0.346
-Toto-1.0,CatBoost,0.885,0.769,1.0,0.244,0.176,0.316
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.311,0.248,0.377
 TFT,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.206,-0.334,-0.111
+TFT,Toto-2.0-1B,0.269,0.115,0.424,-0.081,-0.208,0.029
+TFT,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.269,0.115,0.424,-0.077,-0.204,0.034
+TFT,Toto-2.0-313m,0.308,0.115,0.5,-0.073,-0.203,0.037
+TFT,TabPFN-TS-3,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.173,-0.298,-0.078
 TFT,TiRex,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.036,-0.151,0.066
+TFT,Toto-2.0-22m,0.308,0.115,0.5,-0.04,-0.165,0.067
 TFT,TabPFN-TS,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.107,-0.202,-0.031
 TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.014,-0.138,0.091
-TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.012,-0.121,0.082
 TFT,FlowState,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.005,-0.122,0.097
 TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.008,-0.108,0.114
+TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.012,-0.121,0.082
+TFT,Toto-2.0-4m,0.385,0.192,0.577,0.009,-0.102,0.112
 TFT,Toto-1.0,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.014,-0.102,0.121
 TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TFT,Sundial-Base,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.05,-0.077,0.156
-TFT,DeepAR,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.074,-0.014,0.155
-TFT,PatchTST,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.087,0.008,0.164
-TFT,AutoARIMA,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.253,0.134,0.349
-TFT,Stat. Ensemble,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.276,0.161,0.373
-TFT,CatBoost,0.885,0.769,1.0,0.255,0.15,0.342
 TFT,Seasonal Naive,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.321,0.223,0.403
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-2,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.269,-0.379,-0.186
-Sundial-Base,TiRex,0.212,0.077,0.365,-0.09,-0.18,-0.009
-Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.165,-0.29,-0.062
-Sundial-Base,TimesFM-2.5,0.212,0.077,0.365,-0.067,-0.168,0.021
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-Bolt,0.25,0.096,0.404,-0.065,-0.157,0.023
-Sundial-Base,FlowState,0.288,0.115,0.462,-0.057,-0.15,0.028
-Sundial-Base,Moirai-2.0,0.25,0.096,0.404,-0.044,-0.142,0.048
-Sundial-Base,Toto-1.0,0.25,0.096,0.404,-0.038,-0.127,0.05
-Sundial-Base,TFT,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.052,-0.184,0.071
-Sundial-Base,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,DeepAR,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.025,-0.089,0.128
-Sundial-Base,PatchTST,0.577,0.385,0.731,0.039,-0.107,0.161
-Sundial-Base,AutoARIMA,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.213,0.123,0.293
-Sundial-Base,Stat. Ensemble,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.238,0.15,0.314
-Sundial-Base,CatBoost,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.216,0.13,0.293
-Sundial-Base,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.285,0.209,0.359
-DeepAR,Chronos-2,0.115,0.0,0.231,-0.302,-0.423,-0.199
-DeepAR,TiRex,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.119,-0.226,-0.011
-DeepAR,TabPFN-TS,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.195,-0.304,-0.103
-DeepAR,TimesFM-2.5,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.095,-0.204,0.014
-DeepAR,Chronos-Bolt,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.093,-0.201,0.018
-DeepAR,FlowState,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.085,-0.201,0.023
-DeepAR,Moirai-2.0,0.346,0.191,0.538,-0.071,-0.172,0.029
-DeepAR,Toto-1.0,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.064,-0.165,0.037
-DeepAR,TFT,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.08,-0.184,0.014
-DeepAR,Sundial-Base,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.026,-0.147,0.082
-DeepAR,DeepAR,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,PatchTST,0.462,0.269,0.654,0.014,-0.074,0.094
-DeepAR,AutoARIMA,0.673,0.5,0.846,0.193,0.082,0.302
-DeepAR,Stat. Ensemble,0.673,0.5,0.846,0.218,0.111,0.323
-DeepAR,CatBoost,0.885,0.769,1.0,0.195,0.119,0.274
-DeepAR,Seasonal Naive,0.827,0.692,0.942,0.267,0.17,0.363
-PatchTST,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.321,-0.471,-0.193
-PatchTST,TiRex,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.135,-0.257,-0.006
-PatchTST,TabPFN-TS,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.212,-0.338,-0.103
-PatchTST,TimesFM-2.5,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.111,-0.245,0.021
-PatchTST,Chronos-Bolt,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.108,-0.241,0.022
-PatchTST,FlowState,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.101,-0.222,0.027
-PatchTST,Moirai-2.0,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.086,-0.2,0.032
-PatchTST,Toto-1.0,0.385,0.231,0.577,-0.08,-0.204,0.048
-PatchTST,TFT,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.095,-0.196,-0.008
-PatchTST,Sundial-Base,0.423,0.269,0.615,-0.041,-0.192,0.097
-PatchTST,DeepAR,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.014,-0.103,0.069
-PatchTST,PatchTST,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,AutoARIMA,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.181,0.048,0.308
-PatchTST,Stat. Ensemble,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.207,0.087,0.325
-PatchTST,CatBoost,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.184,0.07,0.283
-PatchTST,Seasonal Naive,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.256,0.142,0.364
-AutoARIMA,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.614,-0.823,-0.426
-AutoARIMA,TiRex,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.386,-0.548,-0.268
-AutoARIMA,TabPFN-TS,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.481,-0.701,-0.308
-AutoARIMA,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.357,-0.511,-0.24
-AutoARIMA,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.354,-0.503,-0.236
-AutoARIMA,FlowState,0.115,0.0,0.231,-0.344,-0.51,-0.221
-AutoARIMA,Moirai-2.0,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.327,-0.494,-0.2
-AutoARIMA,Toto-1.0,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.319,-0.48,-0.197
-AutoARIMA,TFT,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.338,-0.537,-0.155
-AutoARIMA,Sundial-Base,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.271,-0.414,-0.14
-AutoARIMA,DeepAR,0.327,0.154,0.5,-0.239,-0.433,-0.089
-AutoARIMA,PatchTST,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.221,-0.446,-0.05
-AutoARIMA,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,Stat. Ensemble,0.615,0.423,0.788,0.031,-0.004,0.067
-AutoARIMA,CatBoost,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.003,-0.142,0.14
-AutoARIMA,Seasonal Naive,0.885,0.769,0.981,0.091,0.061,0.123
-Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.666,-0.873,-0.473
-Stat. Ensemble,TiRex,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.431,-0.603,-0.3
-Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.529,-0.736,-0.349
-Stat. Ensemble,TimesFM-2.5,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.401,-0.573,-0.268
-Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-Bolt,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.398,-0.558,-0.272
-Stat. Ensemble,FlowState,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.388,-0.57,-0.252
-Stat. Ensemble,Moirai-2.0,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.37,-0.554,-0.23
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-1.0,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.362,-0.529,-0.227
-Stat. Ensemble,TFT,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.381,-0.594,-0.192
-Stat. Ensemble,Sundial-Base,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.312,-0.459,-0.176
-Stat. Ensemble,DeepAR,0.327,0.154,0.5,-0.279,-0.478,-0.124
-Stat. Ensemble,PatchTST,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.261,-0.481,-0.096
-Stat. Ensemble,AutoARIMA,0.385,0.212,0.577,-0.032,-0.071,0.004
-Stat. Ensemble,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,CatBoost,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.029,-0.187,0.124
-Stat. Ensemble,Seasonal Naive,0.731,0.558,0.885,0.062,0.012,0.107
-CatBoost,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.618,-0.78,-0.496
-CatBoost,TiRex,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.39,-0.545,-0.269
-CatBoost,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.485,-0.66,-0.354
-CatBoost,TimesFM-2.5,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.361,-0.525,-0.236
-CatBoost,Chronos-Bolt,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.358,-0.52,-0.234
-CatBoost,FlowState,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.348,-0.513,-0.225
-CatBoost,Moirai-2.0,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.331,-0.476,-0.215
-CatBoost,Toto-1.0,0.115,0.0,0.231,-0.323,-0.463,-0.214
-CatBoost,TFT,0.115,0.0,0.231,-0.342,-0.52,-0.176
-CatBoost,Sundial-Base,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.275,-0.415,-0.15
-CatBoost,DeepAR,0.115,0.0,0.231,-0.243,-0.378,-0.134
-CatBoost,PatchTST,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.225,-0.395,-0.075
-CatBoost,AutoARIMA,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.003,-0.163,0.124
-CatBoost,Stat. Ensemble,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.029,-0.141,0.157
-CatBoost,CatBoost,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,Seasonal Naive,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.089,-0.041,0.198
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.776,-0.987,-0.581
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.592,-0.765,-0.454
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.586,-0.754,-0.453
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.58,-0.749,-0.446
+Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.728,-0.962,-0.539
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.526,-0.679,-0.401
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.532,-0.686,-0.404
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.63,-0.858,-0.445
 Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.493,-0.65,-0.368
-Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.49,-0.633,-0.376
 Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.48,-0.638,-0.35
 Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.46,-0.627,-0.331
+Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.49,-0.633,-0.376
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.459,-0.608,-0.344
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.452,-0.604,-0.33
 Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.472,-0.675,-0.286
-Seasonal Naive,Sundial-Base,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.399,-0.56,-0.264
-Seasonal Naive,DeepAR,0.173,0.058,0.308,-0.364,-0.571,-0.205
-Seasonal Naive,PatchTST,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.344,-0.571,-0.166
-Seasonal Naive,AutoARIMA,0.115,0.019,0.231,-0.101,-0.14,-0.065
-Seasonal Naive,Stat. Ensemble,0.269,0.115,0.442,-0.066,-0.12,-0.012
-Seasonal Naive,CatBoost,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.097,-0.246,0.04
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_energy/pairwise_WAPE.csv

@@ -1,257 +1,257 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.099,0.028,0.168
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.095,0.019,0.17
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.104,0.03,0.173
+Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.045,-0.012,0.099
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.122,0.054,0.188
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.103,0.035,0.178
 Chronos-2,TiRex,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.141,0.074,0.204
 Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.149,0.075,0.214
-Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.149,0.081,0.219
 Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.156,0.089,0.221
+Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.149,0.081,0.219
 Chronos-2,FlowState,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.146,0.079,0.202
 Chronos-2,Sundial-Base,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.13,0.071,0.194
-Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.885,0.769,1.0,0.176,0.109,0.244
 Chronos-2,TFT,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.149,0.061,0.236
-Chronos-2,PatchTST,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.213,0.112,0.302
-Chronos-2,DeepAR,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.201,0.118,0.276
-Chronos-2,LightGBM,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.213,0.142,0.288
-Chronos-2,CatBoost,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.218,0.15,0.293
-Chronos-2,Stat. Ensemble,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.318,0.232,0.398
+Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.885,0.769,1.0,0.176,0.109,0.244
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.376,0.282,0.449
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.11,-0.202,-0.029
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.005,-0.026,0.012
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.006,-0.007,0.018
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.06,-0.174,0.05
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.026,0.005,0.044
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.005,-0.109,0.1
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.047,0.019,0.079
+Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.055,0.019,0.099
+Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.064,0.026,0.103
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.056,0.014,0.105
+Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.052,0.012,0.09
+Toto-2.0-313m,Sundial-Base,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.034,-0.073,0.132
+Toto-2.0-313m,TFT,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.056,-0.062,0.161
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.086,0.056,0.12
+Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.307,0.221,0.386
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.104,-0.204,-0.02
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.462,0.269,0.654,0.005,-0.012,0.025
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.01,-0.003,0.026
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.055,-0.17,0.057
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.03,0.006,0.053
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.01,-0.1,0.109
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.051,0.016,0.094
+Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.06,0.02,0.109
+Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.068,0.029,0.113
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.06,0.011,0.118
+Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.057,0.015,0.097
+Toto-2.0-1B,Sundial-Base,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.039,-0.069,0.14
+Toto-2.0-1B,TFT,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.06,-0.055,0.167
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.09,0.054,0.13
+Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.31,0.223,0.392
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.116,-0.209,-0.031
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.006,-0.018,0.007
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.011,-0.027,0.003
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.346,0.692,-0.066,-0.174,0.041
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.02,0.002,0.037
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.615,0.423,0.808,-0.001,-0.108,0.094
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.692,0.5,0.885,0.041,0.011,0.077
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.692,0.5,0.885,0.05,0.012,0.097
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.058,0.019,0.099
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.05,0.005,0.099
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.047,0.006,0.086
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Sundial-Base,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.028,-0.075,0.128
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TFT,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.051,-0.064,0.156
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.08,0.048,0.119
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.303,0.219,0.384
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.047,-0.11,0.012
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.056,-0.053,0.148
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.052,-0.061,0.145
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.308,0.654,0.062,-0.043,0.148
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.081,-0.016,0.164
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.061,-0.003,0.119
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.1,0.002,0.189
+TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.109,0.018,0.192
+TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.654,0.462,0.809,0.116,0.015,0.206
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.109,0.021,0.191
+TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.106,0.011,0.188
+TabPFN-TS-3,Sundial-Base,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.089,0.008,0.164
+TabPFN-TS-3,TFT,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.109,0.016,0.198
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.137,0.046,0.221
+TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.346,0.261,0.422
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.139,-0.232,-0.057
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.027,-0.046,-0.005
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.031,-0.055,-0.006
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.021,-0.039,-0.002
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.088,-0.197,0.015
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.022,-0.126,0.071
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.021,-0.012,0.058
+Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.03,-0.011,0.078
+Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.039,-0.002,0.079
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.031,-0.011,0.077
+Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.654,0.5,0.808,0.027,-0.018,0.066
+Toto-2.0-22m,Sundial-Base,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.008,-0.099,0.104
+Toto-2.0-22m,TFT,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.031,-0.082,0.131
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.061,0.032,0.094
+Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.289,0.209,0.365
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.115,-0.216,-0.036
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.005,-0.112,0.098
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.01,-0.123,0.091
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.385,0.192,0.577,0.001,-0.103,0.098
+TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.065,-0.135,0.003
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.021,-0.076,0.112
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.462,0.269,0.654,0.042,-0.07,0.138
 TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.051,-0.047,0.137
-TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.051,-0.035,0.132
 TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.059,-0.056,0.163
+TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.051,-0.035,0.132
 TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.047,-0.06,0.132
 TabPFN-TS,Sundial-Base,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.029,-0.086,0.132
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.081,-0.022,0.177
 TabPFN-TS,TFT,0.615,0.462,0.808,0.051,-0.037,0.133
-TabPFN-TS,PatchTST,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.122,0.043,0.201
-TabPFN-TS,DeepAR,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.109,0.04,0.174
-TabPFN-TS,LightGBM,0.692,0.538,0.847,0.123,0.035,0.22
-TabPFN-TS,CatBoost,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.128,0.017,0.234
-TabPFN-TS,Stat. Ensemble,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.24,0.135,0.332
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.081,-0.022,0.177
 TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.304,0.213,0.381
 TiRex,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.164,-0.256,-0.08
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.049,-0.085,-0.019
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.054,-0.104,-0.017
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.308,0.115,0.5,-0.043,-0.084,-0.011
+TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.112,-0.233,-0.002
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.022,-0.061,0.012
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.044,-0.161,0.065
 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.558,0.365,0.75,0.009,-0.023,0.041
-TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.481,0.308,0.673,0.01,-0.028,0.06
 TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.442,0.269,0.615,0.018,-0.013,0.051
+TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.481,0.308,0.673,0.01,-0.028,0.06
 TiRex,FlowState,0.519,0.346,0.692,0.006,-0.029,0.041
 TiRex,Sundial-Base,0.635,0.462,0.808,-0.013,-0.12,0.076
-TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.712,0.538,0.885,0.041,0.009,0.076
 TiRex,TFT,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.01,-0.106,0.113
-TiRex,PatchTST,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.084,-0.054,0.194
-TiRex,DeepAR,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.07,-0.044,0.169
-TiRex,LightGBM,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.084,-0.01,0.187
-TiRex,CatBoost,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.09,-0.003,0.186
-TiRex,Stat. Ensemble,0.808,0.654,0.924,0.206,0.125,0.286
+TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.712,0.538,0.885,0.041,0.009,0.076
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.273,0.184,0.352
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.175,-0.273,-0.081
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.058,-0.11,-0.019
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.063,-0.122,-0.021
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.308,0.115,0.5,-0.052,-0.107,-0.012
+TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.122,-0.238,-0.019
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.031,-0.085,0.011
 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.053,-0.159,0.045
 TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.442,0.25,0.635,-0.009,-0.043,0.023
 TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.327,0.674,0.001,-0.039,0.042
 TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.577,0.404,0.75,0.009,-0.046,0.062
+TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.327,0.674,0.001,-0.039,0.042
 TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.538,0.365,0.712,-0.003,-0.048,0.038
 TimesFM-2.5,Sundial-Base,0.596,0.423,0.788,-0.022,-0.12,0.067
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.654,0.481,0.808,0.032,-0.012,0.081
 TimesFM-2.5,TFT,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.001,-0.117,0.102
-TimesFM-2.5,PatchTST,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.076,-0.062,0.182
-TimesFM-2.5,DeepAR,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.062,-0.049,0.157
-TimesFM-2.5,LightGBM,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.076,-0.014,0.181
-TimesFM-2.5,CatBoost,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.081,-0.011,0.182
-TimesFM-2.5,Stat. Ensemble,0.808,0.615,0.962,0.199,0.119,0.279
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.654,0.481,0.808,0.032,-0.012,0.081
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.267,0.184,0.338
-Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.175,-0.28,-0.089
-Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.054,-0.152,0.034
-Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.519,0.327,0.692,-0.01,-0.064,0.027
-Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.326,0.673,-0.001,-0.044,0.038
-Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.577,0.404,0.731,0.008,-0.066,0.068
-Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.5,0.327,0.673,-0.004,-0.072,0.041
-Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,0.519,0.327,0.692,-0.023,-0.128,0.067
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.615,0.442,0.788,0.032,-0.022,0.08
-Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.692,0.5,0.885,0.0,-0.101,0.094
-Chronos-Bolt,PatchTST,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.075,-0.054,0.176
-Chronos-Bolt,DeepAR,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.061,-0.05,0.151
-Chronos-Bolt,LightGBM,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.075,-0.017,0.18
-Chronos-Bolt,CatBoost,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.081,-0.023,0.185
-Chronos-Bolt,Stat. Ensemble,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.198,0.108,0.286
-Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.266,0.183,0.339
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.115,0.0,0.269,-0.185,-0.284,-0.098
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.068,-0.114,-0.027
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.073,-0.128,-0.029
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.062,-0.11,-0.02
+Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.191,0.538,-0.132,-0.26,-0.016
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.04,-0.086,0.002
 Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.063,-0.195,0.053
 Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.558,0.385,0.731,-0.018,-0.054,0.013
 Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.423,0.25,0.596,-0.009,-0.067,0.044
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.423,0.269,0.596,-0.008,-0.073,0.062
 Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.423,0.269,0.596,-0.008,-0.073,0.062
 Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.538,0.365,0.712,-0.012,-0.065,0.03
 Moirai-2.0,Sundial-Base,0.596,0.423,0.769,-0.032,-0.143,0.065
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.577,0.404,0.75,0.024,-0.008,0.056
 Moirai-2.0,TFT,0.654,0.462,0.846,-0.008,-0.137,0.101
-Moirai-2.0,PatchTST,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.067,-0.064,0.182
-Moirai-2.0,DeepAR,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.053,-0.06,0.152
-Moirai-2.0,LightGBM,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.068,-0.023,0.17
-Moirai-2.0,CatBoost,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.073,-0.022,0.166
-Moirai-2.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.192,0.1,0.274
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.577,0.404,0.75,0.024,-0.008,0.056
 Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.808,0.654,0.924,0.26,0.164,0.341
+Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.175,-0.28,-0.089
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.059,-0.118,-0.014
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.064,-0.133,-0.011
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.053,-0.109,-0.005
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.123,-0.236,-0.021
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.032,-0.083,0.011
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.054,-0.152,0.034
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.519,0.327,0.692,-0.01,-0.064,0.027
+Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.326,0.673,-0.001,-0.044,0.038
+Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.577,0.404,0.731,0.008,-0.066,0.068
+Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.5,0.327,0.673,-0.004,-0.072,0.041
+Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,0.519,0.327,0.692,-0.023,-0.128,0.067
+Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.692,0.5,0.885,0.0,-0.101,0.094
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.615,0.442,0.788,0.032,-0.022,0.08
+Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.266,0.183,0.339
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.171,-0.253,-0.086
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.055,-0.098,-0.012
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.06,-0.108,-0.016
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.049,-0.094,-0.006
+FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.118,-0.231,-0.011
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.346,0.192,0.5,-0.028,-0.07,0.018
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.05,-0.152,0.056
 FlowState,TiRex,0.481,0.308,0.654,-0.006,-0.043,0.028
 FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.462,0.288,0.635,0.003,-0.04,0.046
-FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.327,0.673,0.004,-0.043,0.067
 FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.462,0.288,0.635,0.012,-0.031,0.061
+FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.327,0.673,0.004,-0.043,0.067
 FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 FlowState,Sundial-Base,0.558,0.385,0.75,-0.019,-0.118,0.069
-FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.327,0.692,0.035,-0.006,0.084
 FlowState,TFT,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.004,-0.109,0.108
-FlowState,PatchTST,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.079,-0.054,0.187
-FlowState,DeepAR,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.065,-0.053,0.17
-FlowState,LightGBM,0.615,0.462,0.808,0.079,-0.013,0.187
-FlowState,CatBoost,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.084,-0.012,0.181
-FlowState,Stat. Ensemble,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.202,0.112,0.282
+FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.327,0.692,0.035,-0.006,0.084
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.269,0.178,0.347
 Sundial-Base,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.149,-0.241,-0.077
+Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-313m,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.035,-0.153,0.068
+Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-1B,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.04,-0.162,0.064
+Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.029,-0.146,0.07
+Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.097,-0.196,-0.008
+Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-22m,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.008,-0.116,0.09
 Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.03,-0.153,0.08
 Sundial-Base,TiRex,0.365,0.192,0.538,0.013,-0.083,0.107
 Sundial-Base,TimesFM-2.5,0.404,0.212,0.577,0.022,-0.072,0.107
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-Bolt,0.481,0.308,0.673,0.023,-0.072,0.113
 Sundial-Base,Moirai-2.0,0.404,0.231,0.577,0.031,-0.069,0.125
+Sundial-Base,Chronos-Bolt,0.481,0.308,0.673,0.023,-0.072,0.113
 Sundial-Base,FlowState,0.442,0.25,0.615,0.019,-0.074,0.106
 Sundial-Base,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,Toto-1.0,0.519,0.327,0.712,0.054,-0.039,0.14
 Sundial-Base,TFT,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.023,-0.095,0.144
-Sundial-Base,PatchTST,0.577,0.346,0.769,0.096,-0.054,0.224
-Sundial-Base,DeepAR,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.082,-0.036,0.188
-Sundial-Base,LightGBM,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.096,-0.017,0.204
-Sundial-Base,CatBoost,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.101,0.012,0.187
-Sundial-Base,Stat. Ensemble,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.217,0.12,0.307
+Sundial-Base,Toto-1.0,0.519,0.327,0.712,0.054,-0.039,0.14
 Sundial-Base,Seasonal Naive,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.283,0.183,0.364
-Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.115,0.0,0.231,-0.214,-0.323,-0.123
-Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.088,-0.215,0.022
-Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.288,0.115,0.462,-0.043,-0.083,-0.009
-Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.346,0.192,0.519,-0.033,-0.088,0.012
-Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.385,0.212,0.558,-0.033,-0.087,0.021
-Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.423,0.25,0.596,-0.024,-0.06,0.008
-Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.5,0.308,0.673,-0.037,-0.092,0.006
-Toto-1.0,Sundial-Base,0.481,0.288,0.673,-0.057,-0.163,0.038
-Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,TFT,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.033,-0.162,0.081
-Toto-1.0,PatchTST,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.045,-0.102,0.164
-Toto-1.0,DeepAR,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.031,-0.093,0.134
-Toto-1.0,LightGBM,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.045,-0.045,0.146
-Toto-1.0,CatBoost,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.051,-0.041,0.142
-Toto-1.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.172,0.083,0.258
-Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,0.846,0.654,0.962,0.242,0.151,0.321
 TFT,Chronos-2,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.176,-0.309,-0.065
+TFT,Toto-2.0-313m,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.059,-0.192,0.058
+TFT,Toto-2.0-1B,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.064,-0.2,0.052
+TFT,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.053,-0.184,0.06
+TFT,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.123,-0.247,-0.017
+TFT,Toto-2.0-22m,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.032,-0.151,0.076
 TFT,TabPFN-TS,0.385,0.192,0.538,-0.054,-0.153,0.036
 TFT,TiRex,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.01,-0.127,0.096
 TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.001,-0.113,0.105
-TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.308,0.115,0.5,-0.0,-0.104,0.092
 TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.346,0.154,0.538,0.008,-0.113,0.12
+TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.308,0.115,0.5,-0.0,-0.104,0.092
 TFT,FlowState,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.004,-0.121,0.098
 TFT,Sundial-Base,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.023,-0.169,0.087
-TFT,Toto-1.0,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.031,-0.088,0.139
 TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TFT,PatchTST,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.075,-0.01,0.157
-TFT,DeepAR,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.061,-0.017,0.142
-TFT,LightGBM,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.075,-0.048,0.188
-TFT,CatBoost,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.08,-0.062,0.204
-TFT,Stat. Ensemble,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.198,0.093,0.282
+TFT,Toto-1.0,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.031,-0.088,0.139
 TFT,Seasonal Naive,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.266,0.174,0.342
-PatchTST,Chronos-2,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.271,-0.432,-0.126
-PatchTST,TabPFN-TS,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.139,-0.252,-0.045
-PatchTST,TiRex,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.092,-0.241,0.051
-PatchTST,TimesFM-2.5,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.082,-0.222,0.059
-PatchTST,Chronos-Bolt,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.081,-0.214,0.051
-PatchTST,Moirai-2.0,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.072,-0.223,0.06
-PatchTST,FlowState,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.085,-0.231,0.051
-PatchTST,Sundial-Base,0.423,0.231,0.654,-0.106,-0.288,0.051
-PatchTST,Toto-1.0,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.047,-0.196,0.093
-PatchTST,TFT,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.081,-0.187,0.01
-PatchTST,PatchTST,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,DeepAR,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.015,-0.084,0.06
-PatchTST,LightGBM,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.0,-0.137,0.131
-PatchTST,CatBoost,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.006,-0.154,0.155
-PatchTST,Stat. Ensemble,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.133,0.012,0.248
-PatchTST,Seasonal Naive,0.731,0.576,0.885,0.207,0.106,0.306
-DeepAR,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.252,-0.381,-0.134
-DeepAR,TabPFN-TS,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.123,-0.21,-0.042
-DeepAR,TiRex,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.076,-0.203,0.042
-DeepAR,TimesFM-2.5,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.066,-0.187,0.047
-DeepAR,Chronos-Bolt,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.065,-0.177,0.047
-DeepAR,Moirai-2.0,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.056,-0.179,0.057
-DeepAR,FlowState,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.069,-0.205,0.051
-DeepAR,Sundial-Base,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.09,-0.232,0.035
-DeepAR,Toto-1.0,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.031,-0.155,0.085
-DeepAR,TFT,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.065,-0.166,0.017
-DeepAR,PatchTST,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.015,-0.063,0.078
-DeepAR,DeepAR,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,LightGBM,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.015,-0.082,0.12
-DeepAR,CatBoost,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.021,-0.093,0.134
-DeepAR,Stat. Ensemble,0.596,0.423,0.769,0.146,0.036,0.25
-DeepAR,Seasonal Naive,0.827,0.692,0.942,0.218,0.128,0.307
-LightGBM,Chronos-2,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.271,-0.405,-0.166
-LightGBM,TabPFN-TS,0.308,0.153,0.462,-0.14,-0.282,-0.037
-LightGBM,TiRex,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.092,-0.23,0.01
-LightGBM,TimesFM-2.5,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.082,-0.221,0.014
-LightGBM,Chronos-Bolt,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.081,-0.219,0.017
-LightGBM,Moirai-2.0,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.072,-0.205,0.023
-LightGBM,FlowState,0.385,0.192,0.538,-0.086,-0.23,0.013
-LightGBM,Sundial-Base,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.106,-0.256,0.016
-LightGBM,Toto-1.0,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.047,-0.171,0.043
-LightGBM,TFT,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.081,-0.232,0.046
-LightGBM,PatchTST,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.0,-0.15,0.12
-LightGBM,DeepAR,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.015,-0.137,0.075
-LightGBM,LightGBM,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,CatBoost,0.462,0.269,0.654,0.006,-0.055,0.061
-LightGBM,Stat. Ensemble,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.133,-0.007,0.243
-LightGBM,Seasonal Naive,0.808,0.615,0.923,0.206,0.082,0.307
-CatBoost,Chronos-2,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.278,-0.415,-0.177
-CatBoost,TabPFN-TS,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.146,-0.306,-0.017
-CatBoost,TiRex,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.098,-0.228,0.003
-CatBoost,TimesFM-2.5,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.088,-0.222,0.01
-CatBoost,Chronos-Bolt,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.088,-0.228,0.022
-CatBoost,Moirai-2.0,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.079,-0.199,0.022
-CatBoost,FlowState,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.092,-0.221,0.012
-CatBoost,Sundial-Base,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.113,-0.23,-0.012
-CatBoost,Toto-1.0,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.053,-0.166,0.039
-CatBoost,TFT,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.087,-0.256,0.059
-CatBoost,PatchTST,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.006,-0.184,0.134
-CatBoost,DeepAR,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.021,-0.155,0.085
-CatBoost,LightGBM,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.006,-0.065,0.052
-CatBoost,CatBoost,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,Stat. Ensemble,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.128,-0.008,0.238
-CatBoost,Seasonal Naive,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.202,0.07,0.303
-Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-2,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.466,-0.661,-0.303
-Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.315,-0.496,-0.157
-Stat. Ensemble,TiRex,0.192,0.076,0.346,-0.26,-0.4,-0.143
-Stat. Ensemble,TimesFM-2.5,0.192,0.038,0.385,-0.249,-0.387,-0.135
-Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-Bolt,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.248,-0.4,-0.121
-Stat. Ensemble,Moirai-2.0,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.237,-0.377,-0.111
-Stat. Ensemble,FlowState,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.253,-0.393,-0.126
-Stat. Ensemble,Sundial-Base,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.276,-0.443,-0.136
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-1.0,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.208,-0.348,-0.091
-Stat. Ensemble,TFT,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.247,-0.393,-0.103
-Stat. Ensemble,PatchTST,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.154,-0.33,-0.012
-Stat. Ensemble,DeepAR,0.404,0.231,0.577,-0.171,-0.333,-0.037
-Stat. Ensemble,LightGBM,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.154,-0.322,0.007
-Stat. Ensemble,CatBoost,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.147,-0.313,0.008
-Stat. Ensemble,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,Seasonal Naive,0.731,0.558,0.885,0.084,0.037,0.13
+Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.115,0.0,0.231,-0.214,-0.323,-0.123
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.094,-0.136,-0.059
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.099,-0.15,-0.058
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.088,-0.135,-0.051
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.159,-0.284,-0.048
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.065,-0.104,-0.033
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.088,-0.215,0.022
+Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.288,0.115,0.462,-0.043,-0.083,-0.009
+Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.346,0.192,0.519,-0.033,-0.088,0.012
+Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.423,0.25,0.596,-0.024,-0.06,0.008
+Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.385,0.212,0.558,-0.033,-0.087,0.021
+Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.5,0.308,0.673,-0.037,-0.092,0.006
+Toto-1.0,Sundial-Base,0.481,0.288,0.673,-0.057,-0.163,0.038
+Toto-1.0,TFT,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.033,-0.162,0.081
+Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,0.846,0.654,0.962,0.242,0.151,0.321
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.601,-0.814,-0.393
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.443,-0.63,-0.284
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.45,-0.645,-0.288
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.435,-0.623,-0.28
+Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.529,-0.73,-0.353
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.406,-0.574,-0.264
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.436,-0.616,-0.27
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.115,0.0,0.269,-0.376,-0.544,-0.225
 Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.363,-0.511,-0.225
-Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.363,-0.513,-0.225
 Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.192,0.076,0.346,-0.351,-0.517,-0.196
+Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.363,-0.513,-0.225
 Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.368,-0.532,-0.217
 Seasonal Naive,Sundial-Base,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.394,-0.572,-0.225
-Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.154,0.038,0.346,-0.319,-0.473,-0.178
 Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.362,-0.521,-0.21
-Seasonal Naive,PatchTST,0.269,0.115,0.424,-0.26,-0.44,-0.119
-Seasonal Naive,DeepAR,0.173,0.058,0.308,-0.279,-0.443,-0.147
-Seasonal Naive,LightGBM,0.192,0.077,0.385,-0.26,-0.442,-0.09
-Seasonal Naive,CatBoost,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.253,-0.434,-0.075
-Seasonal Naive,Stat. Ensemble,0.269,0.115,0.442,-0.092,-0.149,-0.038
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.154,0.038,0.346,-0.319,-0.473,-0.178
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_energy/pairwise_WQL.csv

@@ -1,257 +1,257 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.085,0.012,0.16
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.093,0.022,0.164
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.096,0.024,0.164
+Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.051,-0.003,0.106
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.122,0.052,0.188
 Chronos-2,TiRex,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.143,0.076,0.204
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.105,0.046,0.172
 Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.159,0.086,0.224
-Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.165,0.099,0.23
 Chronos-2,FlowState,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.166,0.098,0.224
 Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.175,0.108,0.243
-Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.885,0.769,1.0,0.186,0.119,0.252
+Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.165,0.099,0.23
 Chronos-2,TFT,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.171,0.091,0.255
-Chronos-2,Sundial-Base,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.212,0.16,0.273
-Chronos-2,PatchTST,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.248,0.158,0.33
-Chronos-2,DeepAR,0.885,0.769,1.0,0.241,0.168,0.309
-Chronos-2,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.373,0.318,0.434
-Chronos-2,Stat. Ensemble,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.393,0.316,0.461
-Chronos-2,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.393,0.313,0.464
+Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.885,0.769,1.0,0.186,0.119,0.252
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.183,0.114,0.247
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.46,0.384,0.522
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.093,-0.19,-0.012
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.009,-0.011,0.036
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.012,-0.002,0.029
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.038,-0.155,0.074
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.04,0.019,0.065
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.063,0.022,0.115
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.022,-0.085,0.112
+Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.081,0.037,0.131
+Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.088,0.047,0.131
+Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.098,0.054,0.147
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.087,0.036,0.138
+Toto-2.0-1B,TFT,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.094,-0.013,0.193
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.11,0.074,0.153
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.107,0.065,0.155
+Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.41,0.333,0.481
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.103,-0.196,-0.022
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.009,-0.037,0.011
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.385,0.231,0.577,0.003,-0.012,0.018
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.047,-0.16,0.066
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.031,0.014,0.049
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.054,0.021,0.09
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.013,-0.097,0.104
+Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.073,0.032,0.121
+Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.08,0.042,0.122
+Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.808,0.654,0.924,0.09,0.047,0.134
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.079,0.033,0.131
+Toto-2.0-313m,TFT,0.731,0.576,0.885,0.086,-0.026,0.185
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.885,0.769,1.0,0.102,0.071,0.134
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.099,0.061,0.139
+Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.404,0.333,0.471
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.106,-0.196,-0.025
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.012,-0.03,0.002
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.615,0.423,0.769,-0.003,-0.018,0.012
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.05,-0.161,0.059
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.028,0.011,0.045
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.051,0.016,0.092
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.692,0.538,0.846,0.01,-0.093,0.098
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.07,0.031,0.118
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.077,0.036,0.12
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.087,0.046,0.133
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.076,0.031,0.122
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TFT,0.692,0.5,0.885,0.083,-0.025,0.185
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.099,0.067,0.137
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.096,0.057,0.137
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.403,0.329,0.473
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.053,-0.119,0.003
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.036,-0.08,0.134
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.045,-0.071,0.138
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.048,-0.063,0.139
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.075,-0.031,0.163
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.097,-0.002,0.184
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.057,-0.009,0.113
+TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.114,0.023,0.198
+TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.121,0.019,0.206
+TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.131,0.027,0.222
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.12,0.034,0.196
+TabPFN-TS-3,TFT,0.731,0.576,0.885,0.127,0.028,0.222
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.142,0.045,0.231
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.139,0.049,0.221
+TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.431,0.357,0.498
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.139,-0.231,-0.055
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.115,0.0,0.269,-0.042,-0.07,-0.019
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.032,-0.052,-0.014
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.029,-0.047,-0.011
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.081,-0.195,0.03
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.024,-0.012,0.064
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.019,-0.126,0.073
+Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.043,0.0,0.09
+Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.05,0.007,0.089
+Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.061,0.018,0.104
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.049,0.002,0.098
+Toto-2.0-22m,TFT,0.692,0.5,0.885,0.056,-0.058,0.156
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.073,0.047,0.104
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.069,0.038,0.103
+Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.385,0.315,0.453
 TiRex,Chronos-2,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.166,-0.256,-0.083
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.067,-0.129,-0.023
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.057,-0.099,-0.021
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.054,-0.102,-0.016
+TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.107,-0.225,0.002
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.024,-0.068,0.012
 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.043,-0.153,0.057
 TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.673,0.5,0.846,0.02,-0.015,0.053
-TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.712,0.538,0.865,0.026,-0.018,0.077
 TiRex,FlowState,0.596,0.404,0.769,0.027,-0.013,0.066
 TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.75,0.577,0.904,0.038,0.007,0.071
-TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.788,0.635,0.942,0.05,0.022,0.081
+TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.712,0.538,0.865,0.026,-0.018,0.077
 TiRex,TFT,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.033,-0.083,0.135
-TiRex,Sundial-Base,0.788,0.635,0.923,0.082,-0.005,0.162
-TiRex,PatchTST,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.123,-0.007,0.223
-TiRex,DeepAR,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.115,0.006,0.208
-TiRex,LightGBM,0.808,0.654,0.924,0.269,0.192,0.351
-TiRex,Stat. Ensemble,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.292,0.22,0.369
-TiRex,AutoARIMA,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.293,0.215,0.367
+TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.788,0.635,0.942,0.05,0.022,0.081
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.769,0.614,0.923,0.047,0.012,0.079
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.37,0.299,0.439
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.118,-0.207,-0.048
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.022,-0.126,0.078
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.013,-0.116,0.088
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.308,0.154,0.462,-0.01,-0.109,0.085
+TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.061,-0.128,0.009
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.018,-0.078,0.112
 TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.042,-0.06,0.132
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.061,-0.032,0.147
-TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.066,-0.013,0.144
 TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.068,-0.037,0.15
 TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.078,-0.027,0.177
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.09,-0.012,0.186
+TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.066,-0.013,0.144
 TabPFN-TS,TFT,0.615,0.462,0.808,0.073,-0.017,0.157
-TabPFN-TS,Sundial-Base,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.12,0.014,0.215
-TabPFN-TS,PatchTST,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.16,0.077,0.241
-TabPFN-TS,DeepAR,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.152,0.078,0.221
-TabPFN-TS,LightGBM,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.3,0.226,0.38
-TabPFN-TS,Stat. Ensemble,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.322,0.232,0.407
-TabPFN-TS,AutoARIMA,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.322,0.231,0.409
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.09,-0.012,0.186
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.087,-0.017,0.179
 TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.396,0.322,0.469
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.19,-0.289,-0.094
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.088,-0.15,-0.039
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.079,-0.137,-0.033
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.075,-0.134,-0.032
+TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.129,-0.247,-0.023
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.045,-0.098,-0.0
 TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.327,0.154,0.5,-0.02,-0.056,0.015
 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.064,-0.172,0.031
 TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.577,0.404,0.75,0.006,-0.031,0.046
 TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.538,0.365,0.712,0.008,-0.042,0.052
 TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.615,0.442,0.788,0.018,-0.038,0.072
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.654,0.481,0.808,0.031,-0.017,0.08
+TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.577,0.404,0.75,0.006,-0.031,0.046
 TimesFM-2.5,TFT,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.014,-0.101,0.121
-TimesFM-2.5,Sundial-Base,0.75,0.596,0.904,0.063,-0.029,0.147
-TimesFM-2.5,PatchTST,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.105,-0.029,0.21
-TimesFM-2.5,DeepAR,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.097,-0.015,0.186
-TimesFM-2.5,LightGBM,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.255,0.176,0.34
-TimesFM-2.5,Stat. Ensemble,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.278,0.204,0.356
-TimesFM-2.5,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.278,0.206,0.354
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.654,0.481,0.808,0.031,-0.017,0.08
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.028,-0.014,0.068
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.357,0.288,0.423
-Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.197,-0.299,-0.11
-Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.288,0.135,0.462,-0.027,-0.084,0.018
-Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.071,-0.168,0.013
-Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.423,0.25,0.596,-0.006,-0.048,0.03
-Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.5,0.326,0.674,0.002,-0.072,0.05
-Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.462,0.308,0.635,0.012,-0.062,0.076
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.615,0.442,0.769,0.025,-0.03,0.078
-Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.007,-0.099,0.108
-Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,0.75,0.596,0.904,0.057,-0.039,0.142
-Chronos-Bolt,PatchTST,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.1,-0.031,0.201
-Chronos-Bolt,DeepAR,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.092,-0.024,0.18
-Chronos-Bolt,LightGBM,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.25,0.171,0.336
-Chronos-Bolt,Stat. Ensemble,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.274,0.199,0.348
-Chronos-Bolt,AutoARIMA,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.274,0.199,0.354
-Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.353,0.287,0.417
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.199,-0.288,-0.109
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.097,-0.151,-0.049
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.087,-0.139,-0.043
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.084,-0.136,-0.038
+FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.138,-0.259,-0.02
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.053,-0.098,-0.007
 FlowState,TiRex,0.404,0.231,0.596,-0.028,-0.071,0.013
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.073,-0.177,0.036
 FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.462,0.288,0.635,-0.008,-0.055,0.04
-FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.326,0.674,-0.002,-0.052,0.067
 FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.538,0.365,0.712,0.011,-0.039,0.061
-FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.462,0.288,0.635,0.023,-0.024,0.072
+FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.326,0.674,-0.002,-0.052,0.067
 FlowState,TFT,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.006,-0.108,0.111
-FlowState,Sundial-Base,0.673,0.5,0.846,0.056,-0.036,0.14
-FlowState,PatchTST,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.098,-0.033,0.201
-FlowState,DeepAR,0.654,0.5,0.808,0.09,-0.021,0.192
-FlowState,LightGBM,0.846,0.731,0.962,0.249,0.172,0.34
-FlowState,Stat. Ensemble,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.272,0.194,0.35
-FlowState,AutoARIMA,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.273,0.193,0.353
+FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.462,0.288,0.635,0.023,-0.024,0.072
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.02,-0.033,0.065
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.352,0.275,0.427
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.212,-0.32,-0.122
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.109,-0.173,-0.057
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.192,0.076,0.346,-0.099,-0.154,-0.05
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.096,-0.154,-0.048
+Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.151,-0.285,-0.028
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.064,-0.116,-0.018
 Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.25,0.096,0.423,-0.039,-0.077,-0.007
 Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.084,-0.216,0.026
 Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.385,0.212,0.558,-0.019,-0.077,0.037
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.538,0.365,0.692,-0.012,-0.082,0.058
 Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.462,0.288,0.635,-0.011,-0.066,0.037
 Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.538,0.365,0.712,0.013,-0.016,0.045
+Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.538,0.365,0.692,-0.012,-0.082,0.058
 Moirai-2.0,TFT,0.615,0.423,0.808,-0.005,-0.135,0.104
-Moirai-2.0,Sundial-Base,0.788,0.654,0.923,0.045,-0.054,0.134
-Moirai-2.0,PatchTST,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.089,-0.033,0.194
-Moirai-2.0,DeepAR,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.08,-0.029,0.172
-Moirai-2.0,LightGBM,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.241,0.166,0.326
-Moirai-2.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.885,0.768,1.0,0.264,0.177,0.349
-Moirai-2.0,AutoARIMA,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.265,0.176,0.35
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.538,0.365,0.712,0.013,-0.016,0.045
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.009,-0.03,0.051
 Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.345,0.266,0.421
-Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.115,0.0,0.231,-0.228,-0.337,-0.135
-Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.212,0.058,0.365,-0.053,-0.088,-0.023
-Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.099,-0.228,0.012
-Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.346,0.192,0.519,-0.032,-0.087,0.017
-Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.385,0.231,0.558,-0.026,-0.085,0.029
-Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.538,0.365,0.712,-0.024,-0.078,0.023
-Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.462,0.288,0.635,-0.013,-0.047,0.016
-Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,TFT,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.018,-0.153,0.095
-Toto-1.0,Sundial-Base,0.712,0.557,0.865,0.033,-0.063,0.118
-Toto-1.0,PatchTST,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.077,-0.07,0.195
-Toto-1.0,DeepAR,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.068,-0.058,0.164
-Toto-1.0,LightGBM,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.231,0.157,0.313
-Toto-1.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.255,0.167,0.337
-Toto-1.0,AutoARIMA,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.255,0.168,0.34
-Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.337,0.259,0.412
+Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.197,-0.299,-0.11
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.095,-0.16,-0.038
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.085,-0.15,-0.035
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.082,-0.139,-0.032
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.136,-0.244,-0.035
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.051,-0.108,-0.002
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.288,0.135,0.462,-0.027,-0.084,0.018
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.071,-0.168,0.013
+Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.423,0.25,0.596,-0.006,-0.048,0.03
+Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.5,0.326,0.674,0.002,-0.072,0.05
+Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.462,0.308,0.635,0.012,-0.062,0.076
+Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.007,-0.099,0.108
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.615,0.442,0.769,0.025,-0.03,0.078
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.615,0.423,0.77,0.022,-0.038,0.07
+Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.353,0.287,0.417
 TFT,Chronos-2,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.206,-0.343,-0.101
+TFT,Toto-2.0-1B,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.103,-0.239,0.013
+TFT,Toto-2.0-313m,0.269,0.115,0.424,-0.094,-0.228,0.025
+TFT,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.308,0.115,0.5,-0.09,-0.226,0.024
+TFT,TabPFN-TS-3,0.269,0.115,0.424,-0.145,-0.286,-0.029
+TFT,Toto-2.0-22m,0.308,0.115,0.5,-0.059,-0.185,0.055
 TFT,TiRex,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.034,-0.156,0.076
 TFT,TabPFN-TS,0.385,0.192,0.538,-0.079,-0.186,0.017
 TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.014,-0.138,0.092
-TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.008,-0.122,0.09
 TFT,FlowState,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.006,-0.125,0.097
 TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.385,0.192,0.577,0.005,-0.116,0.119
-TFT,Toto-1.0,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.018,-0.106,0.133
+TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.008,-0.122,0.09
 TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TFT,Sundial-Base,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.05,-0.088,0.161
-TFT,PatchTST,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.093,0.014,0.17
-TFT,DeepAR,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.085,-0.006,0.172
-TFT,LightGBM,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.244,0.14,0.339
-TFT,Stat. Ensemble,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.268,0.164,0.356
-TFT,AutoARIMA,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.268,0.156,0.363
+TFT,Toto-1.0,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.018,-0.106,0.133
+TFT,Toto-2.0-4m,0.385,0.192,0.577,0.014,-0.104,0.123
 TFT,Seasonal Naive,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.349,0.256,0.43
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-2,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.27,-0.375,-0.19
-Sundial-Base,TiRex,0.212,0.077,0.365,-0.089,-0.193,0.005
-Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.136,-0.274,-0.015
-Sundial-Base,TimesFM-2.5,0.25,0.096,0.404,-0.067,-0.172,0.029
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-Bolt,0.25,0.096,0.404,-0.061,-0.166,0.037
-Sundial-Base,FlowState,0.327,0.154,0.5,-0.059,-0.163,0.035
-Sundial-Base,Moirai-2.0,0.212,0.077,0.346,-0.048,-0.154,0.052
-Sundial-Base,Toto-1.0,0.288,0.135,0.443,-0.034,-0.134,0.059
-Sundial-Base,TFT,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.053,-0.193,0.081
-Sundial-Base,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,PatchTST,0.462,0.269,0.615,0.045,-0.112,0.174
-Sundial-Base,DeepAR,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.036,-0.09,0.144
-Sundial-Base,LightGBM,0.808,0.654,0.924,0.204,0.101,0.303
-Sundial-Base,Stat. Ensemble,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.229,0.136,0.314
-Sundial-Base,AutoARIMA,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.23,0.14,0.313
-Sundial-Base,Seasonal Naive,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.314,0.227,0.393
-PatchTST,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.33,-0.493,-0.187
-PatchTST,TiRex,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.14,-0.287,0.007
-PatchTST,TabPFN-TS,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.19,-0.317,-0.084
-PatchTST,TimesFM-2.5,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.118,-0.267,0.028
-PatchTST,Chronos-Bolt,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.111,-0.252,0.03
-PatchTST,FlowState,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.109,-0.251,0.032
-PatchTST,Moirai-2.0,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.097,-0.241,0.032
-PatchTST,Toto-1.0,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.083,-0.243,0.066
-PatchTST,TFT,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.103,-0.205,-0.014
-PatchTST,Sundial-Base,0.538,0.385,0.731,-0.047,-0.211,0.101
-PatchTST,PatchTST,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,DeepAR,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.009,-0.094,0.076
-PatchTST,LightGBM,0.692,0.538,0.846,0.167,0.045,0.276
-PatchTST,Stat. Ensemble,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.193,0.071,0.314
-PatchTST,AutoARIMA,0.692,0.538,0.885,0.193,0.062,0.32
-PatchTST,Seasonal Naive,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.282,0.177,0.386
-DeepAR,Chronos-2,0.115,0.0,0.231,-0.318,-0.448,-0.201
-DeepAR,TiRex,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.13,-0.262,-0.006
-DeepAR,TabPFN-TS,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.179,-0.284,-0.085
-DeepAR,TimesFM-2.5,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.108,-0.228,0.015
-DeepAR,Chronos-Bolt,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.101,-0.219,0.023
-DeepAR,FlowState,0.346,0.192,0.5,-0.099,-0.237,0.021
-DeepAR,Moirai-2.0,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.087,-0.208,0.028
-DeepAR,Toto-1.0,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.073,-0.196,0.054
-DeepAR,TFT,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.093,-0.208,0.006
-DeepAR,Sundial-Base,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.038,-0.168,0.082
-DeepAR,PatchTST,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.009,-0.082,0.086
-DeepAR,DeepAR,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,LightGBM,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.174,0.092,0.267
-DeepAR,Stat. Ensemble,0.635,0.461,0.827,0.2,0.09,0.31
-DeepAR,AutoARIMA,0.596,0.404,0.769,0.201,0.084,0.315
-DeepAR,Seasonal Naive,0.827,0.692,0.942,0.288,0.189,0.384
-LightGBM,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.596,-0.767,-0.466
-LightGBM,TiRex,0.192,0.076,0.346,-0.369,-0.541,-0.237
-LightGBM,TabPFN-TS,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.428,-0.612,-0.293
-LightGBM,TimesFM-2.5,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.342,-0.516,-0.213
-LightGBM,Chronos-Bolt,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.333,-0.505,-0.207
-LightGBM,FlowState,0.154,0.038,0.269,-0.331,-0.516,-0.208
-LightGBM,Moirai-2.0,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.317,-0.484,-0.199
-LightGBM,Toto-1.0,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.3,-0.456,-0.186
-LightGBM,TFT,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.323,-0.514,-0.162
-LightGBM,Sundial-Base,0.192,0.076,0.346,-0.257,-0.435,-0.112
-LightGBM,PatchTST,0.308,0.154,0.462,-0.2,-0.381,-0.047
-LightGBM,DeepAR,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.211,-0.363,-0.101
-LightGBM,LightGBM,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,Stat. Ensemble,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.031,-0.135,0.165
-LightGBM,AutoARIMA,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.032,-0.137,0.173
-LightGBM,Seasonal Naive,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.138,-0.001,0.25
-Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.648,-0.856,-0.462
-Stat. Ensemble,TiRex,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.413,-0.584,-0.282
-Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.474,-0.686,-0.302
-Stat. Ensemble,TimesFM-2.5,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.385,-0.552,-0.256
-Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-Bolt,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.377,-0.535,-0.249
-Stat. Ensemble,FlowState,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.374,-0.538,-0.241
-Stat. Ensemble,Moirai-2.0,0.115,0.0,0.232,-0.36,-0.537,-0.214
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-1.0,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.342,-0.507,-0.201
-Stat. Ensemble,TFT,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.366,-0.553,-0.197
-Stat. Ensemble,Sundial-Base,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.298,-0.457,-0.157
-Stat. Ensemble,PatchTST,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.239,-0.458,-0.077
-Stat. Ensemble,DeepAR,0.365,0.173,0.539,-0.25,-0.45,-0.099
-Stat. Ensemble,LightGBM,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.033,-0.197,0.119
-Stat. Ensemble,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.327,0.692,0.001,-0.03,0.029
-Stat. Ensemble,Seasonal Naive,0.808,0.654,0.942,0.11,0.065,0.15
-AutoARIMA,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.649,-0.867,-0.455
-AutoARIMA,TiRex,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.414,-0.58,-0.274
-AutoARIMA,TabPFN-TS,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.475,-0.693,-0.301
-AutoARIMA,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.386,-0.548,-0.259
-AutoARIMA,Chronos-Bolt,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.377,-0.548,-0.248
-AutoARIMA,FlowState,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.375,-0.547,-0.239
-AutoARIMA,Moirai-2.0,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.36,-0.538,-0.214
-AutoARIMA,Toto-1.0,0.115,0.0,0.269,-0.343,-0.514,-0.202
-AutoARIMA,TFT,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.367,-0.569,-0.185
-AutoARIMA,Sundial-Base,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.298,-0.456,-0.163
-AutoARIMA,PatchTST,0.308,0.115,0.462,-0.24,-0.47,-0.066
-AutoARIMA,DeepAR,0.404,0.231,0.596,-0.251,-0.46,-0.092
-AutoARIMA,LightGBM,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.033,-0.209,0.12
-AutoARIMA,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.308,0.673,-0.001,-0.03,0.029
-AutoARIMA,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,Seasonal Naive,0.885,0.769,0.981,0.11,0.072,0.147
+Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.115,0.0,0.231,-0.228,-0.337,-0.135
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.123,-0.18,-0.08
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.115,0.0,0.231,-0.113,-0.155,-0.077
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.11,-0.158,-0.072
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.166,-0.3,-0.047
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.078,-0.117,-0.049
+Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.212,0.058,0.365,-0.053,-0.088,-0.023
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.099,-0.228,0.012
+Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.346,0.192,0.519,-0.032,-0.087,0.017
+Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.538,0.365,0.712,-0.024,-0.078,0.023
+Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.462,0.288,0.635,-0.013,-0.047,0.016
+Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.385,0.231,0.558,-0.026,-0.085,0.029
+Toto-1.0,TFT,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.018,-0.153,0.095
+Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.577,0.385,0.731,-0.004,-0.04,0.026
+Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.337,0.259,0.412
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.224,-0.327,-0.128
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.119,-0.184,-0.069
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.109,-0.161,-0.065
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.106,-0.159,-0.06
+Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.161,-0.283,-0.052
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.075,-0.115,-0.039
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.231,0.077,0.386,-0.049,-0.086,-0.012
+Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.095,-0.218,0.017
+Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.028,-0.073,0.014
+Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.02,-0.07,0.032
+Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.01,-0.053,0.029
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.385,0.23,0.577,-0.022,-0.075,0.036
+Toto-2.0-4m,TFT,0.615,0.423,0.808,-0.014,-0.14,0.095
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.423,0.269,0.615,0.004,-0.027,0.038
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.339,0.27,0.408
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.852,-1.093,-0.622
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.694,-0.927,-0.5
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.679,-0.891,-0.5
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.674,-0.899,-0.491
+Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.758,-0.992,-0.556
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.626,-0.83,-0.46
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.588,-0.782,-0.427
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.657,-0.882,-0.476
 Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.556,-0.734,-0.404
-Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.547,-0.716,-0.403
 Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.544,-0.745,-0.38
 Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.528,-0.727,-0.362
-Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.508,-0.7,-0.35
+Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.547,-0.716,-0.403
 Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.535,-0.756,-0.344
-Seasonal Naive,Sundial-Base,0.115,0.0,0.269,-0.458,-0.646,-0.293
-Seasonal Naive,PatchTST,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.392,-0.628,-0.215
-Seasonal Naive,DeepAR,0.173,0.058,0.308,-0.405,-0.624,-0.234
-Seasonal Naive,LightGBM,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.16,-0.333,0.001
-Seasonal Naive,Stat. Ensemble,0.192,0.058,0.346,-0.124,-0.176,-0.069
-Seasonal Naive,AutoARIMA,0.115,0.019,0.231,-0.123,-0.173,-0.077
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.508,-0.7,-0.35
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.513,-0.688,-0.369
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_health/leaderboard_MASE.csv

@@ -1,22 +1,28 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-TimesFM-2.5,75.5,32.87474894024488,0.0,1.1256479395833334,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-2,73.0,31.78597649489514,0.0,0.3492251116666667,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,70.5,32.47588770643868,0.0,0.330588668125,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,70.0,34.55373879766452,0.0,53.951610824166664,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,68.5,27.93729353213241,0.0,1.679734656979167,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,66.75000000000001,33.79488506711863,0.0,0.3505868739583333,0.1,0.0
-LightGBM,63.0,33.38915880315173,1.2161332720833333,0.19742606979166666,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,61.999999999999986,33.16623383500657,13.210264008932292,0.19426541770833333,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,60.750000000000014,30.041136052707273,0.0,0.41178704374999997,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,60.00000000000001,31.700573837170467,0.0,9.804296426666667,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,53.0,29.22979017092695,0.0,191.30953815208332,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,52.000000000000014,22.70787609837541,0.0,8.29280267,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,52.0,28.071655328734924,0.0,2.5273205354166666,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,39.0,5.881738752268506,0.0,7.6933014760416665,0.0,0.0
-TFT,34.0,8.056299346355855,577.3621929408333,0.91290832015625,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,31.999999999999996,15.20916710141943,0.0,2.3246237520833333,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,27.999999999999993,12.927869318522445,812.3820815818749,0.4485787422916667,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,26.5,8.848833829469338,1252.3585836206248,0.9790481578125001,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,22.249999999999996,0.0,0.0,1.2681127877083334,0.0,0.0
-Naive,20.749999999999996,0.30982947391161586,0.0,1.2969351423177082,0.0,0.0
-Drift,20.5,7.491051482058886,0.0,1.3917920932291667,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,71.53846153846153,32.87474894024488,0.0,1.1256479395833334,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,70.3846153846154,31.78597649489514,0.0,0.3492251116666667,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,70.0,28.963255047296542,0.0,199.6776895770319,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,68.07692307692308,34.55373879766452,0.0,53.951610824166664,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,67.3076923076923,32.47588770643868,0.0,0.330588668125,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,64.23076923076924,27.93729353213241,0.0,1.679734656979167,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,63.65384615384616,33.79488506711863,0.0,0.3505868739583333,0.1,0.0
+LightGBM,63.46153846153846,33.38915880315173,1.2161332720833333,0.19742606979166666,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,62.69230769230768,33.16623383500657,13.210264008932292,0.19426541770833333,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,61.92307692307693,27.130941962281884,0.0,1.1242909435416668,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,61.53846153846154,27.02155839964281,0.0,5.925324101666666,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,57.6923076923077,27.354995059689568,0.0,0.4238227016666667,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,57.692307692307686,26.055688762834595,0.0,2.728815209166667,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,56.92307692307692,31.700573837170467,0.0,9.804296426666667,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,55.96153846153846,30.041136052707273,0.0,0.41178704374999997,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,55.769230769230774,28.997499277709025,0.0,0.36290417583333334,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,49.23076923076924,28.071655328734924,0.0,2.5273205354166666,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,49.230769230769226,29.22979017092695,0.0,191.30953815208332,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,45.769230769230774,22.70787609837541,0.0,8.29280267,0.0,0.0
+AutoARIMA,33.46153846153846,5.881738752268506,0.0,7.6933014760416665,0.0,0.0
+TFT,30.000000000000004,8.056299346355855,577.3621929408333,0.91290832015625,0.0,0.0
+AutoTheta,27.692307692307693,15.20916710141943,0.0,2.3246237520833333,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,24.230769230769234,8.848833829469338,1252.3585836206248,0.9790481578125001,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,23.461538461538453,12.927869318522445,812.3820815818749,0.4485787422916667,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,20.961538461538463,0.0,0.0,1.2681127877083334,0.0,0.0
+Naive,18.65384615384615,0.30982947391161586,0.0,1.2969351423177082,0.0,0.0
+Drift,18.461538461538467,7.491051482058886,0.0,1.3917920932291667,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_health/leaderboard_SQL.csv

@@ -1,22 +1,28 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Chronos-2,83.0,38.08875531260849,0.0,0.3492251116666667,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,79.5,38.03594071146331,0.0,1.1256479395833334,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,75.75,38.69101646514035,0.0,0.3505868739583333,0.1,0.0
-TiRex,72.5,36.908809542631595,0.0,0.330588668125,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,72.5,37.79500412291329,0.0,53.951610824166664,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,69.25000000000001,36.49963478571547,0.0,0.41178704374999997,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,67.5,37.78506660666954,0.0,9.804296426666667,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,63.000000000000014,32.77403706037661,0.0,1.679734656979167,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,56.50000000000001,31.12404358258436,0.0,2.5273205354166666,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,52.500000000000014,31.666899122864876,0.0,191.30953815208332,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,46.00000000000001,24.996902028028057,1.2161332720833333,0.19742606979166666,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,43.0,24.745890887412404,13.210264008932292,0.19426541770833333,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,41.99999999999999,23.555776042271713,0.0,8.29280267,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,40.0,8.15543220497067,0.0,7.6933014760416665,0.0,0.0
-TFT,38.49999999999999,13.487049535026774,577.3621929408333,0.91290832015625,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,32.99999999999999,17.70708962424181,812.3820815818749,0.4485787422916667,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,32.0,17.733419411019135,0.0,2.3246237520833333,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,27.0,13.730380882991922,1252.3585836206248,0.9790481578125001,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,21.749999999999996,0.0,0.0,1.2681127877083334,0.0,0.0
-Naive,17.75,-7.297793646802875,0.0,1.2969351423177082,0.0,0.0
-Drift,17.0,0.404190086867684,0.0,1.3917920932291667,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,80.38461538461537,38.08875531260849,0.0,0.3492251116666667,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,75.0,38.03594071146331,0.0,1.1256479395833334,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,69.61538461538463,33.76977925435224,0.0,1.1242909435416668,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,69.03846153846153,38.69101646514035,0.0,0.3505868739583333,0.1,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,68.46153846153847,37.79500412291329,0.0,53.951610824166664,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,67.6923076923077,36.908809542631595,0.0,0.330588668125,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,67.3076923076923,33.54660585794915,0.0,5.925324101666666,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,66.53846153846156,33.86938070997042,0.0,199.6776895770319,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,65.00000000000001,37.78506660666954,0.0,9.804296426666667,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,64.23076923076923,32.77732666419397,0.0,2.728815209166667,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,63.846153846153854,33.710262442699914,0.0,0.4238227016666667,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,63.26923076923075,36.49963478571547,0.0,0.41178704374999997,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,58.46153846153845,32.77403706037661,0.0,1.679734656979167,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,57.30769230769231,34.41096517434523,0.0,0.36290417583333334,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,53.07692307692308,31.12404358258436,0.0,2.5273205354166666,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,47.30769230769231,31.666899122864876,0.0,191.30953815208332,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,43.07692307692307,24.996902028028057,1.2161332720833333,0.19742606979166666,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,39.23076923076923,24.745890887412404,13.210264008932292,0.19426541770833333,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,36.92307692307691,23.555776042271713,0.0,8.29280267,0.0,0.0
+AutoARIMA,34.230769230769226,8.15543220497067,0.0,7.6933014760416665,0.0,0.0
+TFT,33.84615384615384,13.487049535026774,577.3621929408333,0.91290832015625,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,26.923076923076923,17.70708962424181,812.3820815818749,0.4485787422916667,0.0,0.0
+AutoTheta,26.15384615384615,17.733419411019135,0.0,2.3246237520833333,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,23.846153846153847,13.730380882991922,1252.3585836206248,0.9790481578125001,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,20.192307692307693,0.0,0.0,1.2681127877083334,0.0,0.0
+Naive,15.192307692307693,-7.297793646802875,0.0,1.2969351423177082,0.0,0.0
+Drift,13.846153846153847,0.404190086867684,0.0,1.3917920932291667,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_health/leaderboard_WAPE.csv

@@ -1,22 +1,28 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-TimesFM-2.5,75.0,30.236433011588616,0.0,1.1256479395833334,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,69.0,29.759653720585042,0.0,0.330588668125,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-2,69.0,29.12048347898083,0.0,0.3492251116666667,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,68.5,25.714346434991153,0.0,1.679734656979167,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,67.75,31.595921669939887,0.0,0.3505868739583333,0.1,0.0
-Toto-1.0,62.0,28.753205083598854,0.0,9.804296426666667,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,62.0,29.45241897965094,0.0,2.5273205354166666,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,61.5,29.1761523445201,0.0,53.951610824166664,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,61.5,29.6956210738891,0.0,191.30953815208332,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,58.75,25.883263022341175,0.0,0.41178704374999997,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,56.49999999999999,28.23998648969035,1.2161332720833333,0.19742606979166666,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,49.500000000000014,16.462366143379946,0.0,8.29280267,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,46.5,24.80079887494443,13.210264008932292,0.19426541770833333,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,41.0,15.90999185953288,0.0,7.6933014760416665,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,34.0,14.265515876146328,0.0,2.3246237520833333,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,31.999999999999996,4.835755105983619,1252.3585836206248,0.9790481578125001,0.0,0.0
-Naive,27.749999999999993,0.09410405602899852,0.0,1.2969351423177082,0.0,0.0
-Drift,27.500000000000004,6.995102476216641,0.0,1.3917920932291667,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,27.24999999999999,0.0,0.0,1.2681127877083334,0.0,0.0
-TFT,26.999999999999996,-0.6246028567987283,577.3621929408333,0.91290832015625,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,25.999999999999996,2.754946880183251,812.3820815818749,0.4485787422916667,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,70.0,30.236433011588616,0.0,1.1256479395833334,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,68.07692307692308,27.06736057976333,0.0,199.6776895770319,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,66.92307692307693,29.12048347898083,0.0,0.3492251116666667,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,64.99999999999999,23.803402469752132,0.0,5.925324101666666,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,64.61538461538461,29.759653720585042,0.0,0.330588668125,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,62.69230769230769,25.714346434991153,0.0,1.679734656979167,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,61.73076923076923,31.595921669939887,0.0,0.3505868739583333,0.1,0.0
+Toto-1.0,60.76923076923077,28.753205083598854,0.0,9.804296426666667,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,60.00000000000001,23.159110215973843,0.0,1.1242909435416668,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,59.23076923076923,23.737937635347716,0.0,0.4238227016666667,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,59.23076923076923,22.479955103457115,0.0,2.728815209166667,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,58.46153846153845,29.1761523445201,0.0,53.951610824166664,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,57.692307692307686,29.45241897965094,0.0,2.5273205354166666,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,56.92307692307692,29.6956210738891,0.0,191.30953815208332,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,56.53846153846154,24.961571876693643,0.0,0.36290417583333334,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,55.38461538461538,28.23998648969035,1.2161332720833333,0.19742606979166666,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,53.65384615384616,25.883263022341175,0.0,0.41178704374999997,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,47.692307692307686,24.80079887494443,13.210264008932292,0.19426541770833333,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,42.692307692307686,16.462366143379946,0.0,8.29280267,0.0,0.0
+AutoARIMA,37.3076923076923,15.90999185953288,0.0,7.6933014760416665,0.0,0.0
+AutoTheta,31.538461538461537,14.265515876146328,0.0,2.3246237520833333,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,28.84615384615385,4.835755105983619,1252.3585836206248,0.9790481578125001,0.0,0.0
+Drift,26.923076923076923,6.995102476216641,0.0,1.3917920932291667,0.0,0.0
+TFT,25.38461538461539,-0.6246028567987283,577.3621929408333,0.91290832015625,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,25.192307692307697,0.0,0.0,1.2681127877083334,0.0,0.0
+Naive,25.192307692307693,0.09410405602899852,0.0,1.2969351423177082,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,22.307692307692303,2.754946880183251,812.3820815818749,0.4485787422916667,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_health/leaderboard_WQL.csv

@@ -1,22 +1,28 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-TimesFM-2.5,78.49999999999999,40.552489916172874,0.0,1.1256479395833334,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-2,78.0,40.421377709866235,0.0,0.3492251116666667,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,77.25000000000001,41.64215770095807,0.0,0.3505868739583333,0.1,0.0
-TiRex,71.0,38.88592212674449,0.0,0.330588668125,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,66.75,38.083893021927985,0.0,0.41178704374999997,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,66.5,40.320844847410996,0.0,9.804296426666667,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,65.5,36.31335951896396,0.0,1.679734656979167,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,64.50000000000001,38.14282869293443,0.0,53.951610824166664,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,60.00000000000001,33.50707751988894,0.0,191.30953815208332,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,59.00000000000001,32.19312847125849,0.0,2.5273205354166666,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,43.50000000000001,19.925031039747566,0.0,7.6933014760416665,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,41.99999999999999,24.248203702135108,0.0,8.29280267,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,41.49999999999999,25.255259089696292,1.2161332720833333,0.19742606979166666,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,36.5,15.68929320376099,1252.3585836206248,0.9790481578125001,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,35.50000000000001,21.67302472205549,13.210264008932292,0.19426541770833333,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,35.0,18.143895495008643,0.0,2.3246237520833333,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,32.5,15.548311275264371,812.3820815818749,0.4485787422916667,0.0,0.0
-TFT,29.999999999999993,6.246826522995086,577.3621929408333,0.91290832015625,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,24.25,0.0,0.0,1.2681127877083334,0.0,0.0
-Drift,21.5,0.8421348846480603,0.0,1.3917920932291667,0.0,0.0
-Naive,20.749999999999996,-6.552998310854519,0.0,1.2969351423177082,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,74.6153846153846,40.421377709866235,0.0,0.3492251116666667,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,72.3076923076923,40.552489916172874,0.0,1.1256479395833334,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,69.8076923076923,41.64215770095807,0.0,0.3505868739583333,0.1,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,69.61538461538463,37.518925534209544,0.0,199.6776895770319,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,66.53846153846155,34.86494484839163,0.0,5.925324101666666,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,65.76923076923076,34.84636139478182,0.0,1.1242909435416668,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,65.00000000000001,38.88592212674449,0.0,0.330588668125,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,64.61538461538461,35.47613872211428,0.0,0.4238227016666667,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,64.61538461538461,40.320844847410996,0.0,9.804296426666667,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,63.07692307692309,34.52744790415115,0.0,2.728815209166667,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,60.76923076923077,38.14282869293443,0.0,53.951610824166664,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,60.57692307692307,38.083893021927985,0.0,0.41178704374999997,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,60.0,36.31335951896396,0.0,1.679734656979167,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,57.30769230769231,35.62915272518256,0.0,0.36290417583333334,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,55.38461538461539,33.50707751988894,0.0,191.30953815208332,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,54.61538461538462,32.19312847125849,0.0,2.5273205354166666,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,38.07692307692309,25.255259089696292,1.2161332720833333,0.19742606979166666,0.0,0.0
+AutoARIMA,37.692307692307686,19.925031039747566,0.0,7.6933014760416665,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,36.92307692307691,24.248203702135108,0.0,8.29280267,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,33.07692307692307,21.67302472205549,13.210264008932292,0.19426541770833333,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,32.30769230769231,15.68929320376099,1252.3585836206248,0.9790481578125001,0.0,0.0
+AutoTheta,30.76923076923077,18.143895495008643,0.0,2.3246237520833333,0.0,0.0
+TFT,28.076923076923077,6.246826522995086,577.3621929408333,0.91290832015625,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,27.307692307692307,15.548311275264371,812.3820815818749,0.4485787422916667,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,22.88461538461539,0.0,0.0,1.2681127877083334,0.0,0.0
+Drift,20.0,0.8421348846480603,0.0,1.3917920932291667,0.0,0.0
+Naive,18.269230769230766,-6.552998310854519,0.0,1.2969351423177082,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_health/pairwise_MASE.csv

@@ -1,257 +1,257 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
 TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.016,-0.093,0.11
+TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.055,-0.033,0.157
+TimesFM-2.5,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.008,-0.151,0.132
+TimesFM-2.5,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.004,-0.149,0.123
 TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.006,-0.088,0.075
-TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.069,-0.018,0.168
 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.7,0.4,1.0,-0.026,-0.178,0.069
+TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.069,-0.018,0.168
 TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.014,-0.094,0.036
-TimesFM-2.5,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.008,-0.151,0.132
-TimesFM-2.5,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.004,-0.149,0.123
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.08,-0.008,0.176
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.079,0.006,0.154
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.017,-0.09,0.111
-TimesFM-2.5,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.052,-0.167,0.215
-TimesFM-2.5,AutoETS,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.067,-0.126,0.221
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.076,-0.002,0.159
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.092,0.014,0.176
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.041,-0.026,0.112
-TimesFM-2.5,Sundial-Base,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.132,0.016,0.262
-TimesFM-2.5,AutoARIMA,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.287,0.092,0.44
-TimesFM-2.5,TFT,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.27,0.092,0.435
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.329,0.204,0.472
 Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.016,-0.124,0.085
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.04,-0.012,0.095
+Chronos-2,LightGBM,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.024,-0.166,0.118
+Chronos-2,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.021,-0.154,0.112
 Chronos-2,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.01,-0.052,0.023
-Chronos-2,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.053,-0.056,0.143
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.042,-0.101,0.001
+Chronos-2,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.053,-0.056,0.143
 Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.4,0.9,-0.03,-0.114,0.028
-Chronos-2,LightGBM,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.024,-0.166,0.118
-Chronos-2,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.021,-0.154,0.112
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.065,0.003,0.126
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.064,-0.022,0.16
 Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.001,-0.048,0.039
-Chronos-2,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.036,-0.098,0.168
-Chronos-2,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.052,-0.07,0.182
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.061,-0.014,0.133
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.077,0.004,0.159
 Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.025,-0.04,0.08
-Chronos-2,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.117,-0.048,0.245
-Chronos-2,AutoARIMA,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.275,0.078,0.425
-Chronos-2,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.258,0.071,0.437
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.318,0.17,0.455
+TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.058,-0.186,0.032
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.041,-0.105,0.012
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.066,-0.255,0.11
+TabPFN-TS-3,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.063,-0.234,0.102
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.052,-0.134,0.003
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.085,-0.189,-0.005
+TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.014,-0.051,0.075
+TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.073,-0.185,0.003
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.027,-0.07,0.11
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.025,-0.09,0.121
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.7,0.4,0.902,-0.04,-0.152,0.039
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.022,-0.093,0.114
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.039,-0.058,0.122
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.015,-0.067,0.028
+TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.29,0.176,0.398
+LightGBM,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.008,-0.152,0.131
+LightGBM,Chronos-2,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.024,-0.134,0.142
+LightGBM,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.062,-0.124,0.203
+LightGBM,LightGBM,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,CatBoost,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.003,-0.02,0.028
+LightGBM,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.014,-0.136,0.114
+LightGBM,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.018,-0.155,0.089
+LightGBM,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.076,-0.119,0.233
+LightGBM,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.006,-0.147,0.089
+LightGBM,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.087,-0.086,0.211
+LightGBM,Toto-2.0-313m,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.086,-0.093,0.211
+LightGBM,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.025,-0.107,0.126
+LightGBM,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.083,-0.079,0.19
+LightGBM,Toto-2.0-1B,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.099,-0.085,0.221
+LightGBM,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.048,-0.118,0.168
+LightGBM,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.334,0.122,0.504
+CatBoost,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.004,-0.14,0.129
+CatBoost,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.02,-0.127,0.134
+CatBoost,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.059,-0.114,0.189
+CatBoost,LightGBM,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.003,-0.029,0.019
+CatBoost,CatBoost,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.01,-0.126,0.107
+CatBoost,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.021,-0.14,0.076
+CatBoost,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.073,-0.112,0.218
+CatBoost,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.009,-0.137,0.079
+CatBoost,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.084,-0.076,0.205
+CatBoost,Toto-2.0-313m,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.083,-0.083,0.213
+CatBoost,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.021,-0.101,0.119
+CatBoost,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.08,-0.071,0.185
+CatBoost,Toto-2.0-1B,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.096,-0.073,0.217
+CatBoost,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.045,-0.115,0.157
+CatBoost,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.332,0.125,0.498
 TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.006,-0.081,0.081
 TiRex,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.01,-0.024,0.049
+TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.049,-0.003,0.118
+TiRex,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.014,-0.129,0.119
+TiRex,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.01,-0.12,0.112
 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.063,-0.026,0.146
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.032,-0.085,0.006
+TiRex,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.063,-0.026,0.146
 TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.4,0.9,-0.02,-0.063,0.015
-TiRex,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.014,-0.129,0.119
-TiRex,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.01,-0.12,0.112
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.075,-0.003,0.149
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.073,-0.012,0.166
 TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.011,-0.041,0.062
-TiRex,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.046,-0.108,0.181
-TiRex,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.061,-0.066,0.191
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.07,-0.006,0.145
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.087,0.004,0.168
 TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.035,-0.013,0.085
-TiRex,Sundial-Base,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.126,-0.013,0.252
-TiRex,AutoARIMA,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.283,0.074,0.447
-TiRex,TFT,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.266,0.076,0.443
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.325,0.184,0.464
-FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.074,-0.201,0.018
-FlowState,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.056,-0.167,0.053
-FlowState,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.067,-0.171,0.025
-FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.101,-0.239,0.014
-FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.088,-0.212,0.013
-FlowState,LightGBM,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.082,-0.303,0.107
-FlowState,CatBoost,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.078,-0.28,0.101
-FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.7,0.4,0.902,-0.055,-0.212,0.078
-FlowState,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.018,-0.264,0.186
-FlowState,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.002,-0.238,0.201
-FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.902,-0.03,-0.119,0.052
-FlowState,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.068,-0.006,0.133
-FlowState,AutoARIMA,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.234,-0.021,0.43
-FlowState,TFT,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.216,0.059,0.362
-FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.279,0.18,0.379
 TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,0.025,-0.074,0.151
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.041,-0.001,0.091
+TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.079,0.005,0.159
+TabPFN-TS,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.017,-0.098,0.134
+TabPFN-TS,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.021,-0.082,0.123
 TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.031,-0.006,0.079
-TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.092,-0.014,0.193
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.092,-0.014,0.193
 TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.011,-0.055,0.076
-TabPFN-TS,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.017,-0.098,0.134
-TabPFN-TS,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.021,-0.082,0.123
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.103,0.01,0.195
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.102,-0.005,0.22
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.042,-0.023,0.102
-TabPFN-TS,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.075,-0.039,0.191
-TabPFN-TS,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.09,-0.019,0.206
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.099,0.001,0.188
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.115,0.015,0.226
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.065,-0.002,0.145
-TabPFN-TS,Sundial-Base,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.153,-0.001,0.292
-TabPFN-TS,AutoARIMA,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.305,0.079,0.471
-TabPFN-TS,TFT,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.288,0.088,0.478
 TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.346,0.194,0.48
+FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.074,-0.201,0.018
+FlowState,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.056,-0.167,0.053
+FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.014,-0.081,0.048
+FlowState,LightGBM,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.082,-0.303,0.107
+FlowState,CatBoost,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.078,-0.28,0.101
+FlowState,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.067,-0.171,0.025
+FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.101,-0.239,0.014
+FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.088,-0.212,0.013
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.013,-0.135,0.139
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.011,-0.144,0.134
+FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.7,0.4,0.902,-0.055,-0.212,0.078
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.008,-0.146,0.136
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.025,-0.115,0.145
+FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.902,-0.03,-0.119,0.052
+FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.279,0.18,0.379
 Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.014,-0.037,0.086
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,0.029,-0.029,0.102
+Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.068,-0.003,0.156
+Moirai-2.0,LightGBM,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.006,-0.097,0.128
+Moirai-2.0,CatBoost,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.009,-0.086,0.121
 Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.6,0.02,-0.015,0.059
-Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.081,-0.013,0.175
 Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.012,-0.082,0.052
+Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.081,-0.013,0.175
 Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,LightGBM,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.006,-0.097,0.128
-Moirai-2.0,CatBoost,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.009,-0.086,0.121
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.093,-0.001,0.183
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.091,-0.01,0.186
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.031,-0.034,0.103
-Moirai-2.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.065,-0.09,0.204
-Moirai-2.0,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.08,-0.053,0.206
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.089,-0.002,0.173
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.105,0.003,0.197
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.45,1.0,0.054,0.003,0.111
-Moirai-2.0,Sundial-Base,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.143,0.011,0.27
-Moirai-2.0,AutoARIMA,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.297,0.077,0.458
-Moirai-2.0,TFT,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.28,0.082,0.456
 Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.338,0.203,0.482
-LightGBM,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.008,-0.152,0.131
-LightGBM,Chronos-2,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.024,-0.134,0.142
-LightGBM,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.014,-0.136,0.114
-LightGBM,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.076,-0.119,0.233
-LightGBM,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.018,-0.155,0.089
-LightGBM,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.006,-0.147,0.089
-LightGBM,LightGBM,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,CatBoost,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.003,-0.02,0.028
-LightGBM,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.025,-0.107,0.126
-LightGBM,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.059,-0.132,0.216
-LightGBM,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.074,-0.097,0.22
-LightGBM,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.048,-0.118,0.168
-LightGBM,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.138,-0.086,0.314
-LightGBM,AutoARIMA,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.292,0.018,0.468
-LightGBM,TFT,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.276,0.001,0.488
-LightGBM,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.334,0.122,0.504
-CatBoost,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.004,-0.14,0.129
-CatBoost,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.02,-0.127,0.134
-CatBoost,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.01,-0.126,0.107
-CatBoost,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.073,-0.112,0.218
-CatBoost,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.021,-0.14,0.076
-CatBoost,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.009,-0.137,0.079
-CatBoost,LightGBM,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.003,-0.029,0.019
-CatBoost,CatBoost,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.021,-0.101,0.119
-CatBoost,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.056,-0.114,0.205
-CatBoost,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.071,-0.088,0.211
-CatBoost,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.045,-0.115,0.157
-CatBoost,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.135,-0.079,0.306
-CatBoost,AutoARIMA,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.29,0.021,0.474
-CatBoost,TFT,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.273,0.015,0.482
-CatBoost,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.332,0.125,0.498
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.087,-0.213,0.008
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.07,-0.144,-0.003
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.027,-0.123,0.066
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,LightGBM,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.096,-0.268,0.079
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,CatBoost,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.092,-0.257,0.07
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.081,-0.175,0.003
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.115,-0.242,-0.01
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.013,-0.162,0.119
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.102,-0.223,0.001
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.002,-0.056,0.05
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.069,-0.137,-0.003
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.005,-0.046,0.029
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.013,-0.014,0.046
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.043,-0.145,0.039
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.27,0.097,0.424
+Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.086,-0.182,-0.006
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.068,-0.19,0.022
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.026,-0.138,0.082
+Toto-2.0-313m,LightGBM,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.094,-0.268,0.085
+Toto-2.0-313m,CatBoost,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.09,-0.27,0.077
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.079,-0.199,0.012
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.113,-0.282,0.005
+Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.011,-0.155,0.126
+Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.101,-0.229,0.01
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.001,-0.052,0.053
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.067,-0.183,0.012
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.003,-0.054,0.033
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.015,-0.01,0.046
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,1.0,-0.042,-0.144,0.049
+Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.271,0.114,0.434
 Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.017,-0.125,0.082
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.001,-0.041,0.045
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.098,0.6,0.039,-0.041,0.132
+Toto-1.0,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.025,-0.145,0.096
+Toto-1.0,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.022,-0.135,0.092
 Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.011,-0.066,0.039
-Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.3,0.098,0.6,0.052,-0.085,0.175
 Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.044,-0.113,0.022
+Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.3,0.098,0.6,0.052,-0.085,0.175
 Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.032,-0.115,0.033
-Toto-1.0,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.025,-0.145,0.096
-Toto-1.0,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.022,-0.135,0.092
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.064,0.003,0.121
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.063,-0.012,0.155
 Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.035,-0.091,0.147
-Toto-1.0,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.05,-0.056,0.159
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.06,-0.004,0.118
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.076,0.003,0.155
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.024,-0.058,0.096
-Toto-1.0,Sundial-Base,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.116,-0.071,0.268
-Toto-1.0,AutoARIMA,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.274,0.083,0.418
-Toto-1.0,TFT,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.257,0.054,0.451
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.317,0.15,0.473
-Stat. Ensemble,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.054,-0.274,0.143
-Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.037,-0.202,0.089
-Stat. Ensemble,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.048,-0.222,0.098
-Stat. Ensemble,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.018,-0.228,0.209
-Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.081,-0.236,0.037
-Stat. Ensemble,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.069,-0.256,0.083
-Stat. Ensemble,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.062,-0.275,0.117
-Stat. Ensemble,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.059,-0.258,0.103
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.036,-0.172,0.083
-Stat. Ensemble,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.016,-0.021,0.046
-Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.012,-0.181,0.137
-Stat. Ensemble,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.084,-0.19,0.289
-Stat. Ensemble,AutoARIMA,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.248,0.049,0.443
-Stat. Ensemble,TFT,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.23,-0.021,0.457
-Stat. Ensemble,Seasonal Naive,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.292,0.066,0.47
-AutoETS,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.072,-0.284,0.112
-AutoETS,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.054,-0.222,0.065
-AutoETS,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.065,-0.236,0.062
-AutoETS,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.002,-0.251,0.192
-AutoETS,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.099,-0.259,0.018
-AutoETS,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.086,-0.26,0.051
-AutoETS,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.08,-0.282,0.088
-AutoETS,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.076,-0.267,0.08
-AutoETS,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.053,-0.189,0.053
-AutoETS,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.016,-0.048,0.02
-AutoETS,AutoETS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.028,-0.2,0.11
-AutoETS,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.069,-0.2,0.272
-AutoETS,AutoARIMA,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.236,0.04,0.428
-AutoETS,TFT,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.218,-0.031,0.436
-AutoETS,Seasonal Naive,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.281,0.048,0.466
+Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.082,-0.189,0.002
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.065,-0.153,0.014
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.023,-0.129,0.085
+Toto-2.0-22m,LightGBM,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.091,-0.235,0.073
+Toto-2.0-22m,CatBoost,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.087,-0.228,0.066
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.076,-0.169,0.006
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.11,-0.231,-0.001
+Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.008,-0.157,0.127
+Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.097,-0.209,0.002
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.005,-0.03,0.044
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.003,-0.034,0.051
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.064,-0.134,0.003
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.018,-0.019,0.059
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.038,-0.146,0.054
+Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.274,0.095,0.44
+Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.102,-0.213,-0.014
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.084,-0.188,-0.005
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.041,-0.139,0.055
+Toto-2.0-1B,LightGBM,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.11,-0.283,0.078
+Toto-2.0-1B,CatBoost,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.106,-0.277,0.068
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.095,-0.202,-0.004
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.13,-0.292,-0.015
+Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.026,-0.169,0.103
+Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.117,-0.246,-0.003
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.013,-0.048,0.014
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.015,-0.048,0.01
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.083,-0.183,-0.003
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.018,-0.063,0.019
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.057,-0.153,0.026
+Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.261,0.1,0.412
 Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.042,-0.127,0.025
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.026,-0.087,0.038
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.015,-0.029,0.063
+Chronos-Bolt,LightGBM,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.05,-0.201,0.106
+Chronos-Bolt,CatBoost,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.047,-0.186,0.103
 Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.036,-0.092,0.013
-Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.3,0.098,0.6,0.029,-0.055,0.107
 Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.069,-0.169,0.002
+Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.3,0.098,0.6,0.029,-0.055,0.107
 Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.25,0.0,0.55,-0.057,-0.125,-0.003
-Chronos-Bolt,LightGBM,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.05,-0.201,0.106
-Chronos-Bolt,CatBoost,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.047,-0.186,0.103
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.041,-0.04,0.127
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.3,0.0,0.6,0.04,-0.052,0.126
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.024,-0.106,0.054
-Chronos-Bolt,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.011,-0.158,0.153
-Chronos-Bolt,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.027,-0.124,0.167
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.037,-0.057,0.127
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.054,-0.027,0.133
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.095,-0.022,0.198
-Chronos-Bolt,AutoARIMA,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.257,0.058,0.42
-Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.239,0.078,0.39
 Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.3,0.183,0.423
-Sundial-Base,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.151,-0.355,-0.017
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.133,-0.325,0.046
-Sundial-Base,TiRex,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.145,-0.337,0.012
-Sundial-Base,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.073,-0.154,0.006
-Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.181,-0.413,0.001
-Sundial-Base,Moirai-2.0,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.167,-0.37,-0.011
-Sundial-Base,LightGBM,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.16,-0.459,0.079
-Sundial-Base,CatBoost,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.156,-0.441,0.073
-Sundial-Base,Toto-1.0,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.132,-0.366,0.066
-Sundial-Base,Stat. Ensemble,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.092,-0.406,0.159
-Sundial-Base,AutoETS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.075,-0.373,0.167
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.105,-0.246,0.021
-Sundial-Base,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.179,-0.134,0.405
-Sundial-Base,TFT,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.159,0.014,0.284
-Sundial-Base,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.227,0.146,0.302
-AutoARIMA,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.402,-0.787,-0.101
-AutoARIMA,Chronos-2,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.38,-0.738,-0.085
-AutoARIMA,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.394,-0.807,-0.08
-AutoARIMA,FlowState,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.306,-0.754,0.021
-AutoARIMA,TabPFN-TS,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.438,-0.89,-0.086
-AutoARIMA,Moirai-2.0,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.422,-0.846,-0.083
-AutoARIMA,LightGBM,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.413,-0.88,-0.018
-AutoARIMA,CatBoost,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.408,-0.902,-0.021
-AutoARIMA,Toto-1.0,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.378,-0.718,-0.091
-AutoARIMA,Stat. Ensemble,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.33,-0.795,-0.052
-AutoARIMA,AutoETS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.309,-0.748,-0.041
-AutoARIMA,Chronos-Bolt,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.345,-0.725,-0.062
-AutoARIMA,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.218,-0.682,0.118
-AutoARIMA,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,TFT,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.024,-0.336,0.22
-AutoARIMA,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.059,-0.309,0.333
-TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.37,-0.769,-0.101
-TFT,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.348,-0.775,-0.077
-TFT,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.362,-0.797,-0.083
-TFT,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.276,-0.567,-0.062
-TFT,TabPFN-TS,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.405,-0.916,-0.096
-TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.389,-0.837,-0.089
-TFT,LightGBM,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.38,-0.953,-0.001
-TFT,CatBoost,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.376,-0.929,-0.015
-TFT,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.346,-0.821,-0.057
-TFT,Stat. Ensemble,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.299,-0.842,0.02
-TFT,AutoETS,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.278,-0.773,0.03
-TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.314,-0.64,-0.085
-TFT,Sundial-Base,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.19,-0.396,-0.014
-TFT,AutoARIMA,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.023,-0.283,0.251
-TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TFT,Seasonal Naive,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.081,-0.027,0.177
 Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.49,-0.893,-0.257
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.466,-0.835,-0.204
+Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.408,-0.661,-0.214
+Seasonal Naive,LightGBM,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.501,-1.017,-0.14
+Seasonal Naive,CatBoost,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.496,-0.991,-0.143
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.481,-0.865,-0.226
-Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.388,-0.61,-0.22
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.528,-0.922,-0.241
+Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.388,-0.61,-0.22
 Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.51,-0.93,-0.255
-Seasonal Naive,LightGBM,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.501,-1.017,-0.14
-Seasonal Naive,CatBoost,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.496,-0.991,-0.143
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.37,-0.735,-0.107
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.372,-0.767,-0.129
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.464,-0.899,-0.177
-Seasonal Naive,Stat. Ensemble,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.413,-0.885,-0.07
-Seasonal Naive,AutoETS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.39,-0.872,-0.051
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.377,-0.787,-0.105
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.352,-0.7,-0.111
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.429,-0.732,-0.224
-Seasonal Naive,Sundial-Base,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.294,-0.433,-0.171
-Seasonal Naive,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.062,-0.499,0.236
-Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.088,-0.216,0.026
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_health/pairwise_SQL.csv

@@ -1,257 +1,257 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.001,-0.091,0.094
-Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.4,0.9,-0.01,-0.086,0.045
-Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.005,-0.032,0.03
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.068,-0.001,0.133
 Chronos-2,TiRex,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.019,-0.022,0.054
-Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.025,-0.035,0.08
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.065,-0.023,0.154
+Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.064,0.009,0.119
+Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.005,-0.032,0.03
+Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.4,0.9,-0.01,-0.086,0.045
 Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.598,1.0,0.005,-0.053,0.052
-Chronos-2,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.079,-0.021,0.16
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.079,0.002,0.157
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.066,-0.016,0.142
+Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.025,-0.035,0.08
 Chronos-2,AutoETS,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.101,-0.023,0.231
-Chronos-2,Stat. Ensemble,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.094,-0.039,0.227
-Chronos-2,LightGBM,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.175,0.055,0.3
-Chronos-2,AutoARIMA,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.326,0.106,0.481
-Chronos-2,CatBoost,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.177,0.066,0.294
-Chronos-2,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.19,0.034,0.308
-Chronos-2,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.284,0.095,0.462
+Chronos-2,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.079,-0.021,0.16
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.056,0.012,0.113
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.381,0.242,0.504
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.001,-0.104,0.084
 TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.4,0.9,-0.011,-0.085,0.035
-TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.004,-0.096,0.075
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.068,-0.024,0.165
 TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.018,-0.05,0.072
-TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.024,-0.032,0.08
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.064,-0.006,0.141
+TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.063,-0.014,0.15
+TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.004,-0.096,0.075
+TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.4,0.9,-0.011,-0.085,0.035
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.004,-0.105,0.104
-TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.078,0.001,0.158
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.078,0.004,0.156
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.065,-0.012,0.149
+TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.024,-0.032,0.08
 TimesFM-2.5,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.1,-0.086,0.252
-TimesFM-2.5,Stat. Ensemble,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.093,-0.113,0.257
-TimesFM-2.5,LightGBM,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.174,0.054,0.302
-TimesFM-2.5,AutoARIMA,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.325,0.109,0.484
-TimesFM-2.5,CatBoost,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.177,0.057,0.294
-TimesFM-2.5,Sundial-Base,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.189,0.085,0.301
-TimesFM-2.5,TFT,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.284,0.108,0.444
+TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.078,0.001,0.158
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.055,-0.059,0.151
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.38,0.264,0.511
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,0.01,-0.047,0.079
-Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.1,0.6,0.011,-0.036,0.078
-Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.014,-0.035,0.072
-Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.028,-0.009,0.068
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.65,0.35,0.9,0.035,-0.011,0.083
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.015,-0.052,0.084
-Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.088,-0.002,0.175
-Moirai-2.0,AutoETS,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.11,-0.022,0.239
-Moirai-2.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.103,-0.055,0.246
-Moirai-2.0,LightGBM,0.8,0.598,1.0,0.183,0.084,0.299
-Moirai-2.0,AutoARIMA,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.332,0.099,0.498
-Moirai-2.0,CatBoost,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.185,0.091,0.295
-Moirai-2.0,Sundial-Base,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.198,0.072,0.318
-Moirai-2.0,TFT,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.291,0.086,0.467
-Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.387,0.253,0.522
-TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.005,-0.031,0.031
-TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.004,-0.081,0.087
-TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.015,-0.077,0.034
-TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.014,-0.023,0.052
-TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.02,-0.025,0.07
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.0,-0.071,0.059
-TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.075,-0.015,0.159
-TabPFN-TS,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.097,-0.022,0.22
-TabPFN-TS,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.09,-0.039,0.217
-TabPFN-TS,LightGBM,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.171,0.063,0.29
-TabPFN-TS,AutoARIMA,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.323,0.093,0.492
-TabPFN-TS,CatBoost,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.173,0.077,0.285
-TabPFN-TS,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.186,0.052,0.297
-TabPFN-TS,TFT,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.281,0.095,0.454
-TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.378,0.247,0.498
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.073,-0.154,0.001
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.072,-0.198,0.023
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.053,-0.145,0.024
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.003,-0.059,0.046
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.005,-0.107,0.091
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.068,-0.169,0.018
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.084,-0.205,0.013
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.068,-0.141,0.001
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.011,-0.022,0.045
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.002,-0.046,0.032
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.047,-0.159,0.041
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.035,-0.115,0.171
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.011,-0.142,0.135
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.7,0.4,0.902,-0.013,-0.083,0.04
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.335,0.163,0.479
 TiRex,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.019,-0.057,0.021
 TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.018,-0.077,0.048
-TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.029,-0.073,0.009
-TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.014,-0.055,0.023
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.051,-0.025,0.126
 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.006,-0.035,0.045
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.047,-0.034,0.126
+TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.046,0.001,0.108
+TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.014,-0.055,0.023
+TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.029,-0.073,0.009
 TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.7,0.4,0.902,-0.014,-0.082,0.044
-TiRex,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.062,-0.016,0.132
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.061,-0.016,0.136
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.048,-0.028,0.12
+TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.006,-0.035,0.045
 TiRex,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.084,-0.051,0.223
-TiRex,Stat. Ensemble,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.077,-0.082,0.222
-TiRex,LightGBM,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.159,0.041,0.292
-TiRex,AutoARIMA,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.313,0.094,0.48
-TiRex,CatBoost,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.162,0.05,0.286
-TiRex,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.175,0.044,0.286
-TiRex,TFT,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.271,0.083,0.442
+TiRex,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.062,-0.016,0.132
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.038,-0.018,0.105
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.369,0.24,0.497
-Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.026,-0.086,0.033
-Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.025,-0.087,0.031
-Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.35,0.1,0.65,-0.036,-0.091,0.01
-Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.021,-0.075,0.024
-Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.006,-0.048,0.033
-Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.021,-0.1,0.057
-Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.055,-0.03,0.134
-Chronos-Bolt,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.078,-0.063,0.207
-Chronos-Bolt,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.071,-0.088,0.209
-Chronos-Bolt,LightGBM,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.153,0.032,0.287
-Chronos-Bolt,AutoARIMA,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.309,0.096,0.471
-Chronos-Bolt,CatBoost,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.156,0.036,0.284
-Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.169,0.052,0.27
-Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.266,0.092,0.423
-Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.365,0.247,0.481
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.07,-0.182,0.022
+Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.069,-0.164,0.006
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.003,-0.049,0.056
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.05,-0.144,0.033
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.002,-0.106,0.105
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.065,-0.175,0.032
+Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.08,-0.195,0.018
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.065,-0.178,0.016
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.015,-0.006,0.041
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.001,-0.037,0.027
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.043,-0.147,0.047
+Toto-2.0-313m,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.038,-0.148,0.182
+Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.015,-0.121,0.142
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.5,1.0,-0.01,-0.112,0.051
+Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.338,0.182,0.488
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.068,-0.135,-0.009
+TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.067,-0.177,0.013
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.005,-0.1,0.097
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.048,-0.121,-0.001
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.002,-0.117,0.096
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.063,-0.126,-0.004
+TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.079,-0.194,-0.004
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.063,-0.191,0.029
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.016,-0.087,0.104
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.002,-0.12,0.097
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.041,-0.106,0.011
+TabPFN-TS-3,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.04,-0.124,0.197
+TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.016,-0.048,0.076
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.008,-0.099,0.077
+TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.339,0.227,0.44
+TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.005,-0.031,0.031
+TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.004,-0.081,0.087
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.064,-0.018,0.144
+TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.014,-0.023,0.052
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.061,-0.033,0.149
+TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.059,0.004,0.112
+TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.015,-0.077,0.034
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.0,-0.071,0.059
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.075,-0.01,0.157
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.062,-0.032,0.135
+TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.02,-0.025,0.07
+TabPFN-TS,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.097,-0.022,0.22
+TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.075,-0.015,0.159
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.052,-0.001,0.105
+TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.378,0.247,0.498
+Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,0.01,-0.047,0.079
+Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.1,0.6,0.011,-0.036,0.078
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.077,-0.013,0.17
+Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.028,-0.009,0.068
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.074,-0.018,0.163
+Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.073,0.004,0.162
+Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.014,-0.035,0.072
+Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.015,-0.052,0.084
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.088,-0.004,0.174
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.075,-0.01,0.156
+Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.65,0.35,0.9,0.035,-0.011,0.083
+Moirai-2.0,AutoETS,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.11,-0.022,0.239
+Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.088,-0.002,0.175
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.065,-0.007,0.142
+Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.387,0.253,0.522
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.402,-0.005,-0.054,0.05
 Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.004,-0.116,0.095
-Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.015,-0.092,0.049
-Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.0,-0.063,0.066
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.064,-0.001,0.124
 Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.3,0.098,0.6,0.014,-0.046,0.076
-Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.02,-0.06,0.091
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.061,-0.016,0.151
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.059,-0.03,0.161
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.0,-0.063,0.066
+Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.015,-0.092,0.049
 Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.075,-0.06,0.197
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.074,-0.0,0.151
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.061,-0.006,0.123
+Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.02,-0.06,0.091
 Toto-1.0,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.097,-0.011,0.203
-Toto-1.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.09,-0.032,0.203
-Toto-1.0,LightGBM,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.171,0.07,0.277
-Toto-1.0,AutoARIMA,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.323,0.112,0.478
-Toto-1.0,CatBoost,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.173,0.076,0.273
-Toto-1.0,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.186,0.0,0.333
-Toto-1.0,TFT,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.281,0.068,0.478
+Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.075,-0.06,0.197
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.051,0.004,0.099
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.378,0.214,0.526
-FlowState,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.086,-0.191,0.02
-FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.085,-0.187,-0.001
-FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.097,-0.213,0.002
-FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.081,-0.189,0.015
-FlowState,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.066,-0.152,0.016
-FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.059,-0.154,0.03
-FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.081,-0.245,0.057
-FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.024,-0.199,0.224
-FlowState,Stat. Ensemble,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.016,-0.228,0.22
-FlowState,LightGBM,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.104,-0.092,0.273
-FlowState,AutoARIMA,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.268,0.006,0.467
-FlowState,CatBoost,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.107,-0.072,0.263
-FlowState,Sundial-Base,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.121,0.039,0.189
-FlowState,TFT,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.223,0.049,0.377
-FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.328,0.22,0.435
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.086,-0.186,-0.002
+Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.085,-0.185,-0.005
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.012,-0.047,0.021
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.065,-0.157,0.015
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.015,-0.043,0.005
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.017,-0.116,0.08
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.081,-0.186,0.01
+Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.096,-0.211,0.004
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.08,-0.177,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.014,-0.051,0.017
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.059,-0.158,0.025
+Toto-2.0-1B,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.024,-0.154,0.166
+Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.0,-0.137,0.124
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.7,0.4,0.902,-0.025,-0.119,0.034
+Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.328,0.168,0.472
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.071,-0.166,0.015
+Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.07,-0.175,0.011
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.002,-0.033,0.044
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.051,-0.137,0.027
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.001,-0.028,0.036
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.002,-0.107,0.107
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.066,-0.156,0.031
+Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.081,-0.185,0.01
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.065,-0.14,0.006
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.014,-0.017,0.048
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.044,-0.148,0.046
+Toto-2.0-22m,AutoETS,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.038,-0.112,0.17
+Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.014,-0.129,0.14
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.7,0.4,0.902,-0.011,-0.081,0.041
+Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.337,0.162,0.491
+Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.026,-0.086,0.033
+Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.025,-0.087,0.031
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.044,-0.043,0.137
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.006,-0.048,0.033
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.041,-0.05,0.128
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.04,-0.011,0.095
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.021,-0.075,0.024
+Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.35,0.1,0.65,-0.036,-0.091,0.01
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.021,-0.1,0.057
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.055,-0.026,0.136
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.042,-0.048,0.129
+Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.078,-0.063,0.207
+Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.055,-0.03,0.134
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.032,-0.046,0.115
+Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.365,0.247,0.481
 AutoETS,Chronos-2,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.112,-0.3,0.023
 AutoETS,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.112,-0.337,0.079
-AutoETS,Moirai-2.0,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.123,-0.313,0.022
-AutoETS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.107,-0.282,0.021
+AutoETS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.036,-0.207,0.103
 AutoETS,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.092,-0.288,0.049
-AutoETS,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.085,-0.262,0.059
+AutoETS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.04,-0.223,0.129
+AutoETS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.042,-0.246,0.111
+AutoETS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.107,-0.282,0.021
+AutoETS,Moirai-2.0,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.123,-0.313,0.022
 AutoETS,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.107,-0.254,0.011
-AutoETS,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.025,-0.289,0.166
+AutoETS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.025,-0.199,0.134
+AutoETS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.039,-0.204,0.101
+AutoETS,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.085,-0.262,0.059
 AutoETS,AutoETS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.008,-0.047,0.04
-AutoETS,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.082,-0.113,0.254
-AutoETS,AutoARIMA,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.25,0.032,0.456
-AutoETS,CatBoost,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.085,-0.101,0.243
-AutoETS,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.099,-0.174,0.293
-AutoETS,TFT,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.204,-0.057,0.436
+AutoETS,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.025,-0.289,0.166
+AutoETS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.05,-0.187,0.052
 AutoETS,Seasonal Naive,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.311,0.076,0.492
-Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-2,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.104,-0.293,0.038
-Stat. Ensemble,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.103,-0.346,0.101
-Stat. Ensemble,Moirai-2.0,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.115,-0.326,0.052
-Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.099,-0.278,0.037
-Stat. Ensemble,TiRex,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.083,-0.285,0.076
-Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.076,-0.264,0.081
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.098,-0.254,0.031
-Stat. Ensemble,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.016,-0.283,0.185
-Stat. Ensemble,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.008,-0.041,0.045
-Stat. Ensemble,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.089,-0.123,0.263
-Stat. Ensemble,AutoARIMA,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.256,0.052,0.456
-Stat. Ensemble,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.092,-0.11,0.256
-Stat. Ensemble,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.106,-0.182,0.31
-Stat. Ensemble,TFT,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.21,-0.047,0.444
-Stat. Ensemble,Seasonal Naive,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.317,0.085,0.492
-LightGBM,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.211,-0.429,-0.058
-LightGBM,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.21,-0.432,-0.057
-LightGBM,Moirai-2.0,0.2,0.0,0.402,-0.223,-0.426,-0.092
-LightGBM,TabPFN-TS,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.206,-0.409,-0.067
-LightGBM,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.189,-0.412,-0.042
-LightGBM,Chronos-Bolt,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.181,-0.403,-0.033
-LightGBM,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.206,-0.384,-0.075
-LightGBM,FlowState,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.116,-0.375,0.084
-LightGBM,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.089,-0.34,0.102
-LightGBM,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.098,-0.356,0.11
-LightGBM,LightGBM,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,AutoARIMA,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.183,-0.19,0.407
-LightGBM,CatBoost,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.003,-0.02,0.028
-LightGBM,Sundial-Base,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.019,-0.25,0.223
-LightGBM,TFT,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.133,-0.239,0.393
-LightGBM,Seasonal Naive,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.25,0.017,0.438
-AutoARIMA,Chronos-2,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.483,-0.928,-0.119
-AutoARIMA,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.482,-0.938,-0.122
-AutoARIMA,Moirai-2.0,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.498,-0.991,-0.109
-AutoARIMA,TabPFN-TS,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.476,-0.968,-0.102
-AutoARIMA,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.456,-0.922,-0.104
-AutoARIMA,Chronos-Bolt,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.446,-0.89,-0.106
-AutoARIMA,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.476,-0.916,-0.126
-AutoARIMA,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.366,-0.877,-0.006
-AutoARIMA,AutoETS,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.333,-0.839,-0.033
-AutoARIMA,Stat. Ensemble,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.344,-0.837,-0.055
-AutoARIMA,LightGBM,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.225,-0.687,0.16
-AutoARIMA,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,CatBoost,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.22,-0.695,0.16
-AutoARIMA,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.201,-0.711,0.14
-AutoARIMA,TFT,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.062,-0.392,0.197
-AutoARIMA,Seasonal Naive,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.082,-0.298,0.358
-CatBoost,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.216,-0.417,-0.07
-CatBoost,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.214,-0.417,-0.06
-CatBoost,Moirai-2.0,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.227,-0.419,-0.101
-CatBoost,TabPFN-TS,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.21,-0.398,-0.083
-CatBoost,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.193,-0.401,-0.053
-CatBoost,Chronos-Bolt,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.185,-0.397,-0.038
-CatBoost,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.21,-0.376,-0.082
-CatBoost,FlowState,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.119,-0.358,0.067
-CatBoost,AutoETS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.093,-0.321,0.092
-CatBoost,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.101,-0.345,0.099
-CatBoost,LightGBM,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.003,-0.029,0.019
-CatBoost,AutoARIMA,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.181,-0.19,0.41
-CatBoost,CatBoost,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,Sundial-Base,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.016,-0.24,0.213
-CatBoost,TFT,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.13,-0.224,0.383
-CatBoost,Seasonal Naive,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.247,0.025,0.432
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.235,-0.445,-0.035
-Sundial-Base,TimesFM-2.5,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.234,-0.43,-0.092
-Sundial-Base,Moirai-2.0,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.247,-0.467,-0.078
-Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.229,-0.422,-0.055
-Sundial-Base,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.212,-0.4,-0.046
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-Bolt,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.204,-0.37,-0.055
-Sundial-Base,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.229,-0.499,-0.0
-Sundial-Base,FlowState,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.137,-0.232,-0.04
-Sundial-Base,AutoETS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.11,-0.415,0.148
-Sundial-Base,Stat. Ensemble,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.119,-0.45,0.154
-Sundial-Base,LightGBM,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.019,-0.287,0.2
-Sundial-Base,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.168,-0.162,0.415
-Sundial-Base,CatBoost,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.016,-0.271,0.194
-Sundial-Base,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,TFT,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.116,-0.051,0.26
-Sundial-Base,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.236,0.136,0.326
-TFT,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.397,-0.858,-0.105
-TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.396,-0.797,-0.121
-TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.411,-0.876,-0.094
-TFT,TabPFN-TS,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.391,-0.831,-0.105
-TFT,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.371,-0.791,-0.091
-TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.362,-0.733,-0.102
-TFT,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.391,-0.914,-0.073
-TFT,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.287,-0.605,-0.052
-TFT,AutoETS,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.256,-0.773,0.054
-TFT,Stat. Ensemble,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.266,-0.798,0.045
-TFT,LightGBM,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.153,-0.648,0.193
-TFT,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.058,-0.245,0.281
-TFT,CatBoost,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.15,-0.622,0.183
-TFT,Sundial-Base,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.132,-0.352,0.048
-TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TFT,Seasonal Naive,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.135,0.014,0.251
+FlowState,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.086,-0.191,0.02
+FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.085,-0.187,-0.001
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.012,-0.156,0.124
+FlowState,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.066,-0.152,0.016
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.015,-0.165,0.108
+FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.017,-0.083,0.046
+FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.081,-0.189,0.015
+FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.097,-0.213,0.002
+FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.081,-0.245,0.057
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.0,-0.142,0.121
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.014,-0.163,0.114
+FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.059,-0.154,0.03
+FlowState,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.024,-0.199,0.224
+FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.025,-0.158,0.102
+FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.328,0.22,0.435
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.059,-0.127,-0.012
+Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.059,-0.177,0.056
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.3,0.098,0.6,0.013,-0.041,0.077
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.04,-0.118,0.018
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.5,0.01,-0.053,0.101
+Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.008,-0.084,0.09
+Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.054,-0.117,0.001
+Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.07,-0.165,0.007
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.054,-0.109,-0.004
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.3,0.098,0.6,0.024,-0.035,0.106
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.3,0.098,0.6,0.011,-0.043,0.075
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.033,-0.129,0.044
+Toto-2.0-4m,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.048,-0.055,0.158
+Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.024,-0.113,0.136
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.344,0.172,0.491
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.615,-1.015,-0.319
 Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.614,-1.045,-0.359
-Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.631,-1.091,-0.338
-Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.608,-0.992,-0.328
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.505,-0.918,-0.195
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.585,-0.99,-0.316
-Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.575,-0.927,-0.328
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.51,-0.953,-0.223
+Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.512,-0.787,-0.293
+Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.608,-0.992,-0.328
+Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.631,-1.091,-0.338
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.607,-1.108,-0.272
-Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.488,-0.769,-0.282
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.488,-0.893,-0.202
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.509,-0.966,-0.194
+Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.575,-0.927,-0.328
 Seasonal Naive,AutoETS,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.452,-0.969,-0.082
-Seasonal Naive,Stat. Ensemble,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.463,-0.968,-0.092
-Seasonal Naive,LightGBM,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.333,-0.779,-0.017
-Seasonal Naive,AutoARIMA,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.089,-0.559,0.23
-Seasonal Naive,CatBoost,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.329,-0.759,-0.025
-Seasonal Naive,Sundial-Base,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.308,-0.483,-0.157
-Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.156,-0.336,-0.014
+Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.488,-0.769,-0.282
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.525,-0.963,-0.208
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_health/pairwise_WAPE.csv

@@ -1,257 +1,290 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
 TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.007,-0.063,0.073
+TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.043,-0.042,0.157
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.084,-0.022,0.202
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.016,-0.108,0.137
+TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.007,-0.063,0.073
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.092,-0.021,0.205
 TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.02,-0.124,0.049
 TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.061,-0.057,0.195
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.021,-0.095,0.138
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.1,-0.007,0.209
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.085,-0.01,0.182
 TimesFM-2.5,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.011,-0.166,0.152
-TimesFM-2.5,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.008,-0.184,0.15
 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.015,-0.089,0.113
-TimesFM-2.5,LightGBM,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.028,-0.115,0.163
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.07,-0.046,0.188
+TimesFM-2.5,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.008,-0.184,0.15
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.059,-0.012,0.139
-TimesFM-2.5,CatBoost,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.072,-0.078,0.192
-TimesFM-2.5,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.165,0.037,0.307
-TimesFM-2.5,AutoARIMA,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.17,0.027,0.288
-TimesFM-2.5,AutoTheta,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.186,0.053,0.339
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.302,0.151,0.466
-TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.007,-0.078,0.059
-TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.009,-0.062,0.084
-TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.027,-0.087,0.031
-TiRex,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.054,-0.089,0.201
-TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.014,-0.053,0.073
-TiRex,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.004,-0.139,0.133
-TiRex,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.001,-0.156,0.132
-TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.008,-0.044,0.069
-TiRex,LightGBM,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.021,-0.093,0.143
-TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.052,-0.028,0.146
-TiRex,CatBoost,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.066,-0.043,0.17
-TiRex,Sundial-Base,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.159,-0.02,0.324
-TiRex,AutoARIMA,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.165,0.011,0.282
-TiRex,AutoTheta,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.181,0.01,0.351
-TiRex,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.298,0.098,0.478
+TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.045,-0.186,0.041
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.043,-0.069,0.141
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.029,-0.128,0.059
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.038,-0.168,0.031
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.051,-0.101,0.171
+TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.066,-0.193,0.03
+TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.018,-0.084,0.109
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.024,-0.153,0.076
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.059,-0.072,0.167
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.044,-0.115,0.149
+TabPFN-TS-3,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.034,-0.196,0.113
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.03,-0.11,0.034
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.028,-0.108,0.134
+TabPFN-TS-3,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.037,-0.182,0.1
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.016,-0.04,0.071
+TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.271,0.109,0.406
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.092,-0.253,0.021
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.045,-0.164,0.065
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.075,-0.188,0.016
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.085,-0.194,0.009
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.008,-0.043,0.054
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.114,-0.286,0.022
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.026,-0.249,0.151
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.069,-0.145,-0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.017,-0.012,0.05
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.001,-0.076,0.055
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.08,-0.321,0.104
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.076,-0.183,0.012
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.015,-0.072,0.028
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Stat. Ensemble,0.7,0.4,1.0,-0.084,-0.324,0.095
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,1.0,-0.028,-0.167,0.084
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.238,-0.014,0.419
 Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.016,-0.159,0.097
-Chronos-2,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.009,-0.092,0.059
+Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.028,-0.062,0.114
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.07,-0.016,0.158
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.009,-0.092,0.059
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.078,-0.034,0.196
 Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.036,-0.144,0.052
 Chronos-2,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.046,-0.141,0.185
 Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.005,-0.065,0.075
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.086,-0.012,0.196
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.071,-0.036,0.181
 Chronos-2,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.005,-0.165,0.134
-Chronos-2,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.008,-0.16,0.126
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.7,0.4,0.9,-0.001,-0.035,0.025
-Chronos-2,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.012,-0.131,0.145
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.055,-0.026,0.131
+Chronos-2,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.008,-0.16,0.126
 Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.044,-0.071,0.143
-Chronos-2,CatBoost,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.057,-0.044,0.16
-Chronos-2,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.152,-0.069,0.311
-Chronos-2,AutoARIMA,0.8,0.598,1.0,0.157,-0.004,0.306
-Chronos-2,AutoTheta,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.173,-0.029,0.334
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.291,0.052,0.471
+TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.007,-0.078,0.059
+TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.037,-0.032,0.144
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.078,-0.009,0.162
+TiRex,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.009,-0.062,0.084
+TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.086,-0.013,0.18
+TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.027,-0.087,0.031
+TiRex,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.054,-0.089,0.201
+TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.014,-0.053,0.073
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.094,0.0,0.183
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.079,-0.005,0.156
+TiRex,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.004,-0.139,0.133
+TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.008,-0.044,0.069
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.064,-0.008,0.139
+TiRex,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.001,-0.156,0.132
+TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.052,-0.028,0.146
+TiRex,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.298,0.098,0.478
+Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.101,-0.258,0.021
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.054,-0.207,0.092
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.008,-0.057,0.041
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.084,-0.243,0.033
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.094,-0.22,0.013
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.123,-0.32,0.036
+Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.034,-0.278,0.17
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.079,-0.187,0.009
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.009,-0.011,0.033
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.008,-0.04,0.026
+Toto-2.0-313m,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.089,-0.353,0.109
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.085,-0.231,0.029
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.024,-0.111,0.031
+Toto-2.0-313m,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.093,-0.357,0.102
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.037,-0.193,0.102
+Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.232,-0.027,0.431
 Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.019,-0.052,0.11
-Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.026,-0.032,0.08
+Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.062,-0.031,0.162
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.102,-0.023,0.223
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.035,-0.055,0.126
+Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.026,-0.032,0.08
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.11,-0.037,0.242
 Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.079,-0.061,0.204
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.04,-0.045,0.126
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.118,-0.024,0.242
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.103,-0.025,0.22
 Moirai-2.0,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.03,-0.08,0.138
-Moirai-2.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.027,-0.093,0.134
 Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.034,-0.041,0.101
-Moirai-2.0,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.047,-0.06,0.159
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.3,0.0,0.6,0.088,-0.021,0.191
+Moirai-2.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.027,-0.093,0.134
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.45,1.0,0.077,-0.001,0.158
-Moirai-2.0,CatBoost,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.09,-0.028,0.191
-Moirai-2.0,Sundial-Base,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.181,0.029,0.327
-Moirai-2.0,AutoARIMA,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.187,0.016,0.325
-Moirai-2.0,AutoTheta,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.202,0.043,0.355
 Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.316,0.124,0.487
 FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.065,-0.242,0.054
-FlowState,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.058,-0.251,0.082
+FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.019,-0.122,0.078
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.025,-0.178,0.199
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.048,-0.227,0.124
+FlowState,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.058,-0.251,0.082
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.033,-0.204,0.217
 FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.086,-0.257,0.058
 FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.043,-0.273,0.14
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.042,-0.177,0.214
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.026,-0.204,0.195
 FlowState,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.053,-0.274,0.151
-FlowState,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.057,-0.267,0.131
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.049,-0.208,0.096
-FlowState,LightGBM,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.035,-0.286,0.16
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.01,-0.216,0.197
+FlowState,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.057,-0.267,0.131
 FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,1.0,-0.002,-0.133,0.112
-FlowState,CatBoost,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.012,-0.213,0.185
-FlowState,Sundial-Base,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.111,0.02,0.203
-FlowState,AutoARIMA,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.117,-0.144,0.314
-FlowState,AutoTheta,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.134,0.004,0.24
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.257,0.128,0.376
 Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.021,-0.161,0.087
-Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.014,-0.079,0.051
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.023,-0.082,0.133
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.065,0.0,0.126
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.005,-0.081,0.061
+Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.014,-0.079,0.051
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.073,-0.009,0.157
 Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.042,-0.144,0.043
 Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.041,-0.163,0.214
 Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.081,0.004,0.159
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.066,-0.014,0.143
 Toto-1.0,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.01,-0.17,0.12
-Toto-1.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.013,-0.172,0.119
 Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.006,-0.073,0.057
-Toto-1.0,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.007,-0.126,0.133
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.051,0.011,0.086
+Toto-1.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.013,-0.172,0.119
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.039,-0.077,0.133
-Toto-1.0,CatBoost,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.053,-0.053,0.162
-Toto-1.0,Sundial-Base,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.147,-0.078,0.321
-Toto-1.0,AutoARIMA,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.153,0.028,0.267
-Toto-1.0,AutoTheta,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.169,-0.036,0.343
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.288,0.053,0.476
+Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.111,-0.265,0.007
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.063,-0.2,0.067
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.017,-0.053,0.012
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.094,-0.243,0.012
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.104,-0.223,-0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.009,-0.035,0.011
+Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.133,-0.319,0.023
+Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.044,-0.272,0.151
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.088,-0.189,-0.004
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.016,-0.069,0.026
+Toto-2.0-1B,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.099,-0.356,0.093
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.095,-0.226,0.007
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.033,-0.119,0.023
+Toto-2.0-1B,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.103,-0.358,0.083
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.046,-0.196,0.08
+Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.225,-0.025,0.414
+Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.093,-0.222,0.01
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.046,-0.175,0.103
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.001,-0.058,0.071
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.076,-0.22,0.035
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.086,-0.185,0.005
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.008,-0.027,0.038
+Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.115,-0.282,0.025
+Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.027,-0.243,0.169
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.07,-0.166,0.013
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.016,-0.027,0.064
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.081,-0.33,0.102
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.077,-0.203,0.031
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.016,-0.098,0.049
+Toto-2.0-22m,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.085,-0.337,0.105
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.029,-0.176,0.113
+Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.237,-0.01,0.447
 AutoETS,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.011,-0.179,0.143
-AutoETS,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.004,-0.153,0.122
+AutoETS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.033,-0.128,0.164
+AutoETS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.074,-0.116,0.243
 AutoETS,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.005,-0.154,0.142
+AutoETS,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.004,-0.153,0.122
+AutoETS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.082,-0.122,0.261
 AutoETS,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.031,-0.16,0.074
 AutoETS,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.05,-0.178,0.215
 AutoETS,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.01,-0.136,0.145
+AutoETS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.09,-0.102,0.262
+AutoETS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.075,-0.114,0.248
 AutoETS,AutoETS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,Stat. Ensemble,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.003,-0.04,0.045
 AutoETS,TabPFN-TS,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.004,-0.146,0.122
-AutoETS,LightGBM,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.017,-0.124,0.154
+AutoETS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.06,-0.106,0.211
+AutoETS,Stat. Ensemble,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.003,-0.04,0.045
 AutoETS,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.048,-0.082,0.166
-AutoETS,CatBoost,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.062,-0.075,0.18
-AutoETS,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.155,-0.058,0.327
-AutoETS,AutoARIMA,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.161,0.007,0.335
-AutoETS,AutoTheta,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.177,0.008,0.343
 AutoETS,Seasonal Naive,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.295,0.066,0.481
-Stat. Ensemble,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.008,-0.176,0.156
-Stat. Ensemble,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.001,-0.153,0.135
-Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.008,-0.145,0.138
-Stat. Ensemble,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.028,-0.155,0.085
-Stat. Ensemble,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.054,-0.15,0.211
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.013,-0.135,0.147
-Stat. Ensemble,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.003,-0.047,0.039
-Stat. Ensemble,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.007,-0.134,0.123
-Stat. Ensemble,LightGBM,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.02,-0.128,0.157
-Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.051,-0.066,0.167
-Stat. Ensemble,CatBoost,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.065,-0.063,0.186
-Stat. Ensemble,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.158,-0.054,0.323
-Stat. Ensemble,AutoARIMA,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.164,0.009,0.335
-Stat. Ensemble,AutoTheta,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.18,0.025,0.327
-Stat. Ensemble,Seasonal Naive,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.297,0.08,0.468
 TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.015,-0.128,0.082
-TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.008,-0.074,0.042
+TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.029,-0.035,0.099
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.071,-0.012,0.155
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,0.001,-0.026,0.034
+TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.008,-0.074,0.042
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.078,-0.03,0.188
 TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.035,-0.112,0.039
 TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.047,-0.106,0.172
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.006,-0.061,0.068
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.086,-0.007,0.184
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.071,-0.032,0.169
 TabPFN-TS,AutoETS,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.004,-0.139,0.128
-TabPFN-TS,Stat. Ensemble,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.007,-0.14,0.118
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.013,-0.115,0.145
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.056,-0.024,0.127
+TabPFN-TS,Stat. Ensemble,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.007,-0.14,0.118
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.044,-0.043,0.124
-TabPFN-TS,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.058,-0.037,0.163
-TabPFN-TS,Sundial-Base,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.152,-0.041,0.301
-TabPFN-TS,AutoARIMA,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.158,0.004,0.297
-TabPFN-TS,AutoTheta,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.174,0.001,0.322
 TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.292,0.081,0.459
-LightGBM,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.029,-0.195,0.103
-LightGBM,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.022,-0.167,0.085
-LightGBM,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.012,-0.17,0.116
-LightGBM,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.049,-0.189,0.057
-LightGBM,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.034,-0.19,0.223
-LightGBM,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.007,-0.153,0.112
-LightGBM,AutoETS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.017,-0.182,0.11
-LightGBM,Stat. Ensemble,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.021,-0.186,0.113
-LightGBM,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.013,-0.169,0.103
-LightGBM,LightGBM,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.032,-0.148,0.159
-LightGBM,CatBoost,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.046,0.001,0.094
-LightGBM,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.141,-0.109,0.329
-LightGBM,AutoARIMA,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.147,-0.07,0.303
-LightGBM,AutoTheta,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.163,-0.07,0.356
-LightGBM,Seasonal Naive,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.282,0.037,0.481
+Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.076,-0.232,0.044
+Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.029,-0.154,0.097
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.015,-0.029,0.067
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.059,-0.15,0.025
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.068,-0.161,0.008
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.023,-0.032,0.1
+Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.4,1.0,-0.097,-0.237,0.021
+Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.01,-0.245,0.177
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.053,-0.095,-0.011
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.032,-0.024,0.107
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.016,-0.052,0.089
+Toto-2.0-4m,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.064,-0.267,0.096
+Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.06,-0.145,0.024
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,Stat. Ensemble,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.067,-0.263,0.091
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,-0.012,-0.159,0.103
+Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.25,-0.021,0.452
+Stat. Ensemble,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.008,-0.176,0.156
+Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.036,-0.111,0.154
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.3,0.0,0.6,0.077,-0.105,0.245
+Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.008,-0.145,0.138
+Stat. Ensemble,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.001,-0.153,0.135
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.085,-0.113,0.263
+Stat. Ensemble,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.028,-0.155,0.085
+Stat. Ensemble,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.054,-0.15,0.211
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.013,-0.135,0.147
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.093,-0.091,0.264
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.078,-0.117,0.252
+Stat. Ensemble,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.003,-0.047,0.039
+Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.007,-0.134,0.123
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.063,-0.1,0.208
+Stat. Ensemble,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.051,-0.066,0.167
+Stat. Ensemble,Seasonal Naive,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.297,0.08,0.468
 Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.062,-0.161,0.011
-Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.055,-0.171,0.027
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.016,-0.076,0.038
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.3,0.0,0.6,0.027,-0.091,0.143
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.046,-0.167,0.066
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.055,-0.171,0.027
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.035,-0.114,0.162
 Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.25,0.0,0.55,-0.084,-0.188,0.001
 Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.3,0.0,0.6,0.002,-0.126,0.117
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.04,-0.154,0.072
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.044,-0.087,0.164
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.028,-0.127,0.149
 Chronos-Bolt,AutoETS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.051,-0.199,0.076
-Chronos-Bolt,Stat. Ensemble,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.054,-0.201,0.062
 Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.046,-0.142,0.041
-Chronos-Bolt,LightGBM,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.033,-0.189,0.129
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.3,0.1,0.6,0.012,-0.115,0.137
+Chronos-Bolt,Stat. Ensemble,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.054,-0.201,0.062
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,CatBoost,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.014,-0.125,0.155
-Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.113,-0.012,0.219
-Chronos-Bolt,AutoARIMA,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.119,-0.028,0.247
-Chronos-Bolt,AutoTheta,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.136,0.026,0.244
 Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.259,0.102,0.399
-CatBoost,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.078,-0.237,0.072
-CatBoost,TiRex,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.071,-0.205,0.041
-CatBoost,Chronos-2,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.061,-0.19,0.042
-CatBoost,Moirai-2.0,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.099,-0.237,0.027
-CatBoost,FlowState,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.012,-0.227,0.176
-CatBoost,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.055,-0.193,0.05
-CatBoost,AutoETS,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.066,-0.219,0.07
-CatBoost,Stat. Ensemble,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.07,-0.229,0.06
-CatBoost,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.062,-0.195,0.036
-CatBoost,LightGBM,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.048,-0.104,-0.001
-CatBoost,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.015,-0.184,0.111
-CatBoost,CatBoost,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.1,-0.167,0.296
-CatBoost,AutoARIMA,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.106,-0.092,0.266
-CatBoost,AutoTheta,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.123,-0.104,0.318
-CatBoost,Seasonal Naive,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.248,-0.011,0.457
-Sundial-Base,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.197,-0.444,-0.038
-Sundial-Base,TiRex,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.189,-0.48,0.02
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.179,-0.452,0.064
-Sundial-Base,Moirai-2.0,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.221,-0.487,-0.03
-Sundial-Base,FlowState,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.125,-0.254,-0.021
-Sundial-Base,Toto-1.0,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.173,-0.473,0.072
-Sundial-Base,AutoETS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.184,-0.486,0.055
-Sundial-Base,Stat. Ensemble,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.188,-0.476,0.051
-Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.18,-0.431,0.039
-Sundial-Base,LightGBM,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.164,-0.489,0.099
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-Bolt,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.127,-0.281,0.012
-Sundial-Base,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.111,-0.421,0.143
-Sundial-Base,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,AutoARIMA,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.007,-0.283,0.227
-Sundial-Base,AutoTheta,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.026,-0.073,0.109
-Sundial-Base,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.165,0.065,0.256
-AutoARIMA,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.205,-0.404,-0.028
-AutoARIMA,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.197,-0.394,-0.011
-AutoARIMA,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.402,-0.186,-0.441,0.004
-AutoARIMA,Moirai-2.0,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.229,-0.482,-0.016
-AutoARIMA,FlowState,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.132,-0.457,0.126
-AutoARIMA,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.18,-0.364,-0.029
-AutoARIMA,AutoETS,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.192,-0.504,-0.007
-AutoARIMA,Stat. Ensemble,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.196,-0.504,-0.009
-AutoARIMA,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.187,-0.423,-0.004
-AutoARIMA,LightGBM,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.172,-0.435,0.066
-AutoARIMA,Chronos-Bolt,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.135,-0.328,0.027
-AutoARIMA,CatBoost,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.118,-0.363,0.085
-AutoARIMA,Sundial-Base,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.007,-0.294,0.221
-AutoARIMA,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,AutoTheta,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.019,-0.198,0.22
-AutoARIMA,Seasonal Naive,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.159,-0.099,0.377
-AutoTheta,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.229,-0.512,-0.056
-AutoTheta,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.221,-0.54,-0.01
-AutoTheta,Chronos-2,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.21,-0.501,0.029
-AutoTheta,Moirai-2.0,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.253,-0.55,-0.045
-AutoTheta,FlowState,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.154,-0.316,-0.004
-AutoTheta,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.203,-0.522,0.035
-AutoTheta,AutoETS,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.215,-0.521,-0.009
-AutoTheta,Stat. Ensemble,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.219,-0.486,-0.025
-AutoTheta,TabPFN-TS,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.211,-0.476,-0.001
-AutoTheta,LightGBM,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.195,-0.552,0.066
-AutoTheta,Chronos-Bolt,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.157,-0.323,-0.027
-AutoTheta,CatBoost,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.14,-0.466,0.094
-AutoTheta,Sundial-Base,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.026,-0.122,0.068
-AutoTheta,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.02,-0.282,0.166
-AutoTheta,AutoTheta,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,Seasonal Naive,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.143,0.04,0.238
 Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.433,-0.874,-0.179
-Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.424,-0.915,-0.109
+Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.371,-0.684,-0.122
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.312,-0.721,0.014
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.411,-0.889,-0.054
+Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.424,-0.915,-0.109
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.301,-0.758,0.027
 Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.462,-0.951,-0.141
 Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.346,-0.602,-0.147
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.404,-0.91,-0.055
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.29,-0.707,0.024
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.311,-0.809,0.009
 Seasonal Naive,AutoETS,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.417,-0.928,-0.07
-Seasonal Naive,Stat. Ensemble,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.422,-0.879,-0.087
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.412,-0.85,-0.089
-Seasonal Naive,LightGBM,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.394,-0.927,-0.038
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.333,-0.826,0.02
+Seasonal Naive,Stat. Ensemble,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.422,-0.879,-0.087
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.349,-0.664,-0.113
-Seasonal Naive,CatBoost,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.33,-0.841,0.011
-Seasonal Naive,Sundial-Base,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.197,-0.344,-0.069
-Seasonal Naive,AutoARIMA,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.189,-0.604,0.09
-Seasonal Naive,AutoTheta,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.166,-0.312,-0.041
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_health/pairwise_WQL.csv

@@ -1,257 +1,257 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.046,-0.035,0.122
 Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.002,-0.119,0.095
 Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.021,-0.11,0.055
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.085,0.001,0.166
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.077,-0.036,0.182
 Chronos-2,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.025,-0.055,0.099
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.086,-0.028,0.197
 Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.002,-0.077,0.077
-Chronos-2,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.065,-0.097,0.191
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.09,-0.002,0.181
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.037,-0.004,0.081
-Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.038,-0.07,0.13
-Chronos-2,AutoETS,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.121,-0.042,0.298
+Chronos-2,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.065,-0.097,0.191
 Chronos-2,Stat. Ensemble,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.104,-0.054,0.262
-Chronos-2,AutoARIMA,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.256,0.07,0.408
-Chronos-2,LightGBM,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.203,0.08,0.321
-Chronos-2,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.214,0.006,0.359
-Chronos-2,DeepAR,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.293,0.066,0.485
-Chronos-2,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.239,0.15,0.334
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.074,-0.014,0.154
+Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.038,-0.07,0.13
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.404,0.211,0.549
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.049,-0.139,0.034
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.051,-0.162,0.018
+TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.071,-0.195,0.021
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.041,-0.071,0.15
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.032,-0.123,0.132
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.7,0.4,0.9,-0.022,-0.141,0.042
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.041,-0.111,0.159
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.047,-0.192,0.064
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.046,-0.084,0.147
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.01,-0.076,0.047
+TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.019,-0.074,0.107
+TabPFN-TS-3,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.06,-0.125,0.244
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.029,-0.109,0.137
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.009,-0.078,0.056
+TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.375,0.232,0.495
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.002,-0.105,0.106
+TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.049,-0.018,0.139
 TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.019,-0.109,0.043
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.087,-0.017,0.208
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.079,-0.017,0.17
 TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.027,-0.023,0.085
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.088,-0.024,0.197
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.004,-0.109,0.114
-TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.067,-0.041,0.182
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.092,-0.007,0.198
 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.039,-0.028,0.11
-TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.04,-0.018,0.102
-TimesFM-2.5,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.123,-0.074,0.306
+TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.067,-0.041,0.182
 TimesFM-2.5,Stat. Ensemble,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.106,-0.099,0.28
-TimesFM-2.5,AutoARIMA,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.258,0.079,0.398
-TimesFM-2.5,LightGBM,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.205,0.084,0.326
-TimesFM-2.5,Sundial-Base,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.215,0.091,0.339
-TimesFM-2.5,DeepAR,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.295,0.112,0.488
-TimesFM-2.5,CatBoost,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.241,0.12,0.347
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.076,-0.032,0.192
+TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.04,-0.018,0.102
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.406,0.261,0.536
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.02,-0.058,0.099
+Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.066,-0.021,0.163
 Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.018,-0.045,0.098
 Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.104,-0.014,0.215
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.096,-0.019,0.201
 Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.045,-0.008,0.103
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.104,-0.032,0.225
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.022,-0.059,0.098
-Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.084,-0.05,0.203
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.109,-0.011,0.22
 Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.057,-0.016,0.126
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.5,0.951,0.057,-0.013,0.128
-Moirai-2.0,AutoETS,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.139,-0.02,0.311
+Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.084,-0.05,0.203
 Moirai-2.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.122,-0.048,0.277
-Moirai-2.0,AutoARIMA,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.271,0.072,0.423
-Moirai-2.0,LightGBM,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.219,0.118,0.326
-Moirai-2.0,Sundial-Base,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.23,0.079,0.368
-Moirai-2.0,DeepAR,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.308,0.089,0.505
-Moirai-2.0,CatBoost,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.255,0.152,0.347
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.093,-0.008,0.191
+Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.5,0.951,0.057,-0.013,0.128
 Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.416,0.242,0.564
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.093,-0.199,-0.001
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.042,-0.176,0.067
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.096,-0.262,0.017
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.116,-0.274,0.014
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.009,-0.097,0.053
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.066,-0.178,0.021
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.0,-0.07,0.057
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.091,-0.179,-0.009
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.005,-0.032,0.038
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.053,-0.158,0.036
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.023,-0.265,0.157
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.02,-0.187,0.215
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.012,-0.061,0.03
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.052,-0.219,0.063
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.349,0.118,0.513
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.083,-0.222,0.035
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.033,-0.152,0.11
+Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.085,-0.205,0.017
+Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.106,-0.251,0.019
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.009,-0.056,0.088
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.056,-0.134,0.016
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.01,-0.023,0.039
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.081,-0.186,0.005
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.014,-0.027,0.061
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.043,-0.15,0.064
+Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.013,-0.226,0.175
+Toto-2.0-22m,Stat. Ensemble,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.03,-0.21,0.238
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.002,-0.072,0.055
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.042,-0.184,0.09
+Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.355,0.161,0.532
 TiRex,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.026,-0.11,0.052
+TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.1,0.6,0.022,-0.044,0.123
 TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.028,-0.093,0.023
 TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.047,-0.114,0.007
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.062,-0.022,0.151
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.053,-0.016,0.118
 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.062,-0.026,0.149
 TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.024,-0.099,0.043
-TiRex,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.04,-0.104,0.184
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.067,-0.01,0.141
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.012,-0.046,0.072
-TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.013,-0.067,0.096
-TiRex,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.099,-0.083,0.284
+TiRex,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.04,-0.104,0.184
 TiRex,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.081,-0.109,0.258
-TiRex,AutoARIMA,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.237,0.052,0.375
-TiRex,LightGBM,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.182,0.065,0.311
-TiRex,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.193,0.021,0.346
-TiRex,DeepAR,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.275,0.062,0.486
-TiRex,CatBoost,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.22,0.108,0.325
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.051,-0.017,0.121
+TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.013,-0.067,0.096
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.389,0.216,0.543
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.094,-0.246,0.028
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.043,-0.188,0.1
+Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.096,-0.245,0.023
+Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.116,-0.291,0.031
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.0,-0.06,0.065
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.01,-0.041,0.022
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.066,-0.175,0.026
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.092,-0.205,0.003
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.005,-0.023,0.037
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.053,-0.178,0.058
+Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.023,-0.259,0.177
+Toto-2.0-313m,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.02,-0.231,0.24
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.7,0.4,1.0,-0.012,-0.085,0.04
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.052,-0.209,0.086
+Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.348,0.132,0.525
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.002,-0.084,0.072
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.045,-0.068,0.161
 Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.004,-0.128,0.098
 Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.023,-0.109,0.056
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.084,0.009,0.152
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.075,-0.005,0.157
 Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.023,-0.045,0.09
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.084,-0.003,0.17
 Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.063,-0.138,0.234
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.088,0.013,0.159
 Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.035,-0.044,0.112
-Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.036,-0.076,0.13
-Toto-1.0,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.12,-0.05,0.302
+Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.063,-0.138,0.234
 Toto-1.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.102,-0.06,0.272
-Toto-1.0,AutoARIMA,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.255,0.091,0.39
-Toto-1.0,LightGBM,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.202,0.1,0.306
-Toto-1.0,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.212,-0.008,0.377
-Toto-1.0,DeepAR,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.292,0.046,0.51
-Toto-1.0,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.238,0.152,0.327
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.073,0.021,0.123
+Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.036,-0.076,0.13
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.403,0.197,0.565
-FlowState,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.069,-0.237,0.088
-FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.071,-0.222,0.039
-FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.091,-0.255,0.048
-FlowState,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.042,-0.225,0.094
-FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.067,-0.305,0.121
-FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.03,-0.177,0.097
-FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.029,-0.166,0.091
-FlowState,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.061,-0.186,0.293
-FlowState,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.042,-0.2,0.257
-FlowState,AutoARIMA,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.205,-0.072,0.407
-FlowState,LightGBM,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.148,-0.059,0.322
-FlowState,Sundial-Base,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.159,0.069,0.251
-FlowState,DeepAR,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.245,0.077,0.394
-FlowState,CatBoost,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.187,-0.009,0.337
-FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.363,0.225,0.479
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.099,-0.221,0.002
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.048,-0.173,0.078
+Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.101,-0.247,0.007
+Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.122,-0.282,0.011
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.005,-0.04,0.031
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.015,-0.065,0.026
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.071,-0.164,0.009
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.005,-0.039,0.023
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.097,-0.189,-0.013
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.058,-0.16,0.033
+Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.028,-0.249,0.159
+Toto-2.0-1B,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.015,-0.208,0.217
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.017,-0.074,0.028
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.057,-0.209,0.061
+Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.345,0.128,0.509
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.038,-0.088,0.004
+TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.01,-0.049,0.07
 TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.041,-0.123,0.027
 TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.06,-0.144,0.016
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.05,-0.037,0.136
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.041,-0.069,0.13
 TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.012,-0.077,0.044
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.051,-0.061,0.151
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.036,-0.126,0.043
-TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.029,-0.108,0.151
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.055,-0.034,0.138
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.001,-0.077,0.073
-TabPFN-TS,AutoETS,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.088,-0.08,0.261
+TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.029,-0.108,0.151
 TabPFN-TS,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.07,-0.09,0.224
-TabPFN-TS,AutoARIMA,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.228,0.057,0.368
-TabPFN-TS,LightGBM,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.172,0.059,0.302
-TabPFN-TS,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.183,0.005,0.317
-TabPFN-TS,DeepAR,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.266,0.062,0.457
-TabPFN-TS,CatBoost,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.21,0.113,0.317
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.039,-0.06,0.124
+TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.001,-0.077,0.073
 TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.381,0.215,0.518
-Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.039,-0.149,0.066
-Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.042,-0.113,0.018
-Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.25,0.049,0.5,-0.061,-0.147,0.013
-Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.013,-0.106,0.062
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.037,-0.15,0.071
-Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.028,-0.1,0.142
-Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.001,-0.078,0.072
-Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.087,-0.082,0.26
-Chronos-Bolt,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.069,-0.096,0.223
-Chronos-Bolt,AutoARIMA,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.227,0.053,0.371
-Chronos-Bolt,LightGBM,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.172,0.05,0.306
-Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.183,0.056,0.289
-Chronos-Bolt,DeepAR,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.266,0.093,0.443
-Chronos-Bolt,CatBoost,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.21,0.095,0.326
-Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.381,0.242,0.501
-AutoETS,Chronos-2,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.138,-0.424,0.04
-AutoETS,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.141,-0.442,0.069
-AutoETS,Moirai-2.0,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.162,-0.451,0.02
-AutoETS,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.11,-0.396,0.077
-AutoETS,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.136,-0.432,0.047
-AutoETS,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.065,-0.414,0.157
-AutoETS,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.096,-0.352,0.074
-AutoETS,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.095,-0.352,0.076
-AutoETS,AutoETS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.02,-0.081,0.039
-AutoETS,AutoARIMA,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.153,-0.023,0.348
-AutoETS,LightGBM,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.093,-0.145,0.277
-AutoETS,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.105,-0.213,0.319
-AutoETS,DeepAR,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.196,-0.113,0.452
-AutoETS,CatBoost,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.134,-0.059,0.291
-AutoETS,Seasonal Naive,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.322,0.097,0.505
+FlowState,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.069,-0.237,0.088
+FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.019,-0.12,0.069
+FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.071,-0.222,0.039
+FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.091,-0.255,0.048
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.022,-0.186,0.209
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.013,-0.212,0.184
+FlowState,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.042,-0.225,0.094
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.023,-0.215,0.206
+FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.067,-0.305,0.121
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.027,-0.189,0.2
+FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.03,-0.177,0.097
+FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.042,-0.2,0.257
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.011,-0.213,0.192
+FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.029,-0.166,0.091
+FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.363,0.225,0.479
 Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-2,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.116,-0.354,0.051
+Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.064,-0.323,0.111
 Stat. Ensemble,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.119,-0.389,0.09
 Stat. Ensemble,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.139,-0.384,0.045
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.021,-0.274,0.158
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-22m,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.031,-0.312,0.174
 Stat. Ensemble,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.088,-0.347,0.099
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.021,-0.315,0.187
 Stat. Ensemble,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.114,-0.374,0.056
-Stat. Ensemble,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.044,-0.346,0.167
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.016,-0.277,0.172
 Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.075,-0.289,0.083
-Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.074,-0.287,0.088
-Stat. Ensemble,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.019,-0.04,0.075
+Stat. Ensemble,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.044,-0.346,0.167
 Stat. Ensemble,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,AutoARIMA,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.17,0.016,0.344
-Stat. Ensemble,LightGBM,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.11,-0.109,0.289
-Stat. Ensemble,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.122,-0.169,0.322
-Stat. Ensemble,DeepAR,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.211,-0.07,0.437
-Stat. Ensemble,CatBoost,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.151,-0.025,0.304
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.033,-0.308,0.153
+Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.074,-0.287,0.088
 Stat. Ensemble,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.335,0.128,0.5
-AutoARIMA,Chronos-2,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.344,-0.689,-0.075
-AutoARIMA,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.347,-0.661,-0.086
-AutoARIMA,Moirai-2.0,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.372,-0.733,-0.077
-AutoARIMA,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.31,-0.6,-0.054
-AutoARIMA,Toto-1.0,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.342,-0.64,-0.1
-AutoARIMA,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.257,-0.686,0.068
-AutoARIMA,TabPFN-TS,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.295,-0.582,-0.06
-AutoARIMA,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.293,-0.591,-0.056
-AutoARIMA,AutoETS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.181,-0.533,0.023
-AutoARIMA,Stat. Ensemble,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.204,-0.524,-0.016
-AutoARIMA,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,LightGBM,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.071,-0.367,0.2
-AutoARIMA,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.057,-0.428,0.219
-AutoARIMA,DeepAR,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.05,-0.268,0.327
-AutoARIMA,CatBoost,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.022,-0.281,0.21
-AutoARIMA,Seasonal Naive,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.199,-0.062,0.407
-LightGBM,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.255,-0.472,-0.087
-LightGBM,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.257,-0.483,-0.092
-LightGBM,Moirai-2.0,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.281,-0.483,-0.134
-LightGBM,TiRex,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.223,-0.451,-0.069
-LightGBM,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.252,-0.44,-0.111
-LightGBM,FlowState,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.174,-0.474,0.056
-LightGBM,TabPFN-TS,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.208,-0.433,-0.063
-LightGBM,Chronos-Bolt,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.207,-0.44,-0.052
-LightGBM,AutoETS,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.102,-0.382,0.126
-LightGBM,Stat. Ensemble,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.124,-0.406,0.099
-LightGBM,AutoARIMA,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.067,-0.249,0.268
-LightGBM,LightGBM,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,Sundial-Base,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.013,-0.285,0.236
-LightGBM,DeepAR,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.113,-0.266,0.397
-LightGBM,CatBoost,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.046,0.001,0.094
-LightGBM,Seasonal Naive,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.253,-0.036,0.458
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.271,-0.561,-0.006
-Sundial-Base,TimesFM-2.5,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.274,-0.513,-0.1
-Sundial-Base,Moirai-2.0,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.298,-0.582,-0.086
-Sundial-Base,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.24,-0.529,-0.021
-Sundial-Base,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.269,-0.605,0.008
-Sundial-Base,FlowState,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.189,-0.335,-0.074
-Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.225,-0.464,-0.005
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-Bolt,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.223,-0.407,-0.059
-Sundial-Base,AutoETS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.117,-0.469,0.175
-Sundial-Base,Stat. Ensemble,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.139,-0.475,0.145
-Sundial-Base,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.054,-0.28,0.3
-Sundial-Base,LightGBM,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.013,-0.31,0.222
-Sundial-Base,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,DeepAR,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.102,-0.047,0.246
-Sundial-Base,CatBoost,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.033,-0.254,0.258
-Sundial-Base,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.242,0.118,0.351
-DeepAR,Chronos-2,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.415,-0.941,-0.07
-DeepAR,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.418,-0.952,-0.126
-DeepAR,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.445,-1.02,-0.098
-DeepAR,TiRex,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.38,-0.945,-0.066
-DeepAR,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.413,-1.041,-0.048
-DeepAR,FlowState,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.324,-0.65,-0.084
-DeepAR,TabPFN-TS,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.363,-0.841,-0.066
-DeepAR,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.362,-0.795,-0.103
-DeepAR,AutoETS,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.243,-0.826,0.101
-DeepAR,Stat. Ensemble,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.268,-0.778,0.065
-DeepAR,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.053,-0.485,0.212
-DeepAR,LightGBM,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.128,-0.659,0.21
-DeepAR,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.113,-0.326,0.045
-DeepAR,DeepAR,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.076,-0.576,0.233
-DeepAR,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.157,0.03,0.272
-CatBoost,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.315,-0.5,-0.176
-CatBoost,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.318,-0.532,-0.136
-CatBoost,Moirai-2.0,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.342,-0.53,-0.18
-CatBoost,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.282,-0.482,-0.121
-CatBoost,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.312,-0.485,-0.179
-CatBoost,FlowState,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.23,-0.509,0.009
-CatBoost,TabPFN-TS,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.266,-0.463,-0.128
-CatBoost,Chronos-Bolt,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.265,-0.484,-0.104
-CatBoost,AutoETS,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.155,-0.411,0.056
-CatBoost,Stat. Ensemble,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.178,-0.437,0.024
-CatBoost,AutoARIMA,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.022,-0.266,0.22
-CatBoost,LightGBM,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.048,-0.104,-0.001
-CatBoost,Sundial-Base,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.034,-0.347,0.202
-CatBoost,DeepAR,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.071,-0.304,0.365
-CatBoost,CatBoost,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,Seasonal Naive,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.217,-0.068,0.419
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.08,-0.182,0.014
+Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.03,-0.158,0.098
+Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.083,-0.238,0.031
+Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.103,-0.236,0.007
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.012,-0.031,0.058
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.002,-0.058,0.067
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.053,-0.137,0.017
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.3,0.0,0.6,0.012,-0.042,0.079
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.079,-0.14,-0.021
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.017,-0.029,0.069
+Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.041,-0.141,0.057
+Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.011,-0.238,0.175
+Toto-2.0-4m,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.032,-0.18,0.236
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.04,-0.195,0.079
+Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.356,0.131,0.533
+Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.039,-0.149,0.066
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.009,-0.059,0.073
+Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.042,-0.113,0.018
+Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.25,0.049,0.5,-0.061,-0.147,0.013
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.049,-0.067,0.18
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.04,-0.099,0.156
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.013,-0.106,0.062
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.05,-0.094,0.173
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.037,-0.15,0.071
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.054,-0.065,0.173
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.001,-0.078,0.072
+Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.028,-0.1,0.142
+Chronos-Bolt,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.069,-0.096,0.223
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.038,-0.086,0.163
+Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.381,0.242,0.501
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.678,-1.217,-0.268
+Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.6,-0.979,-0.302
 Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.682,-1.155,-0.354
 Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.714,-1.293,-0.32
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.535,-1.053,-0.133
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.55,-1.137,-0.191
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.636,-1.186,-0.275
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.535,-1.104,-0.153
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.676,-1.297,-0.246
-Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.57,-0.92,-0.291
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.527,-1.038,-0.147
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.617,-1.074,-0.273
-Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.615,-1.006,-0.319
-Seasonal Naive,AutoETS,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.475,-1.018,-0.108
+Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.57,-0.92,-0.291
 Seasonal Naive,Stat. Ensemble,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.504,-0.999,-0.146
-Seasonal Naive,AutoARIMA,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.249,-0.686,0.058
-Seasonal Naive,LightGBM,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.338,-0.847,0.034
-Seasonal Naive,Sundial-Base,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.32,-0.542,-0.134
-Seasonal Naive,DeepAR,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.186,-0.374,-0.031
-Seasonal Naive,CatBoost,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.277,-0.722,0.064
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.553,-1.14,-0.15
+Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.615,-1.006,-0.319
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_mobility/leaderboard_MASE.csv

@@ -1,22 +1,28 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Chronos-2,95.0,31.297845826674763,0.0,0.3612539066666667,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,89.28571428571429,30.08997810079499,0.0,1.0402703727564104,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,85.0,28.869849458291053,0.0,0.34079166541795664,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,84.28571428571429,28.358976057331542,0.0,1.8156494689102565,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,63.57142857142857,25.573203950705693,0.0,32.678425597307694,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,62.5,25.335908970299936,0.0,2.231891133374613,1.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,62.5,25.335908970299936,0.0,0.2157764139102564,0.0,0.0
-TFT,61.42857142857143,21.59101828180743,235.31247926551285,0.31370569066666665,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,60.0,24.532719864713304,0.0,157.00341927416665,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,58.57142857142858,23.393412693458927,0.0,7.825935737058823,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,48.57142857142858,20.158757124750093,467.93394356724366,1.364175630448718,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,45.714285714285715,19.233879992772206,2.110697158974359,0.21163459766666667,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,45.00000000000001,18.807513597537383,21.985520585705128,0.26383776833333333,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,45.00000000000001,16.989509965321957,225.99726746077397,0.38466677993589743,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,35.71428571428571,7.694422260326506,0.0,226.8116654464487,0.0,14.285714285714285
-AutoARIMA,28.57142857142857,3.300627782307375,0.0,166.32244655789742,0.0,14.285714285714285
-AutoTheta,25.71428571428572,2.2840445944943277,0.0,2.6991318023333335,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,24.28571428571429,0.0,0.0,0.17224587897435897,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,20.0,-16.79021320144407,0.0,7.4220258999999995,0.0,0.0
-Naive,7.857142857142856,-40.74006367145597,0.0,0.193622721474359,0.0,0.0
-Drift,1.4285714285714286,-55.85219582340872,0.0,0.1885455092948718,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,90.1098901098901,31.297845826674763,0.0,0.3612539066666667,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,86.26373626373626,29.93744282184213,0.0,2.398295585576923,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,83.51648351648353,30.08997810079499,0.0,1.0402703727564104,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,81.86813186813187,29.655413564276433,0.0,1.0909461926282051,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,80.76923076923077,29.34036054759431,0.0,5.510428407333333,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,78.02197802197803,28.358976057331542,0.0,1.8156494689102565,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,76.92307692307693,28.869849458291053,0.0,0.34079166541795664,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,68.68131868131869,27.624459375998768,0.0,0.22678239423076924,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,67.03296703296702,26.238904121348316,0.0,258.6113400144229,0.0,0.0
+TFT,55.494505494505496,21.59101828180743,235.31247926551285,0.31370569066666665,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,53.2967032967033,25.573203950705693,0.0,32.678425597307694,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,53.02197802197802,25.335908970299936,0.0,2.231891133374613,1.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,53.02197802197802,25.335908970299936,0.0,0.2157764139102564,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,50.0,24.532719864713304,0.0,157.00341927416665,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,49.99999999999999,23.393412693458927,0.0,7.825935737058823,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,49.45054945054945,23.095596464945533,0.0,0.17352653333333334,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,41.208791208791204,18.807513597537383,21.985520585705128,0.26383776833333333,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,40.65934065934066,20.158757124750093,467.93394356724366,1.364175630448718,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,40.65934065934066,19.233879992772206,2.110697158974359,0.21163459766666667,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,36.81318681318681,16.989509965321957,225.99726746077397,0.38466677993589743,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,28.021978021978022,7.694422260326506,0.0,226.8116654464487,0.0,14.285714285714285
+AutoARIMA,22.527472527472526,3.300627782307375,0.0,166.32244655789742,0.0,14.285714285714285
+AutoTheta,20.32967032967033,2.2840445944943277,0.0,2.6991318023333335,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,19.230769230769234,0.0,0.0,0.17224587897435897,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,15.934065934065936,-16.79021320144407,0.0,7.4220258999999995,0.0,0.0
+Naive,6.043956043956044,-40.74006367145597,0.0,0.193622721474359,0.0,0.0
+Drift,1.0989010989010988,-55.85219582340872,0.0,0.1885455092948718,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_mobility/leaderboard_SQL.csv

@@ -1,22 +1,28 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Chronos-2,96.42857142857144,44.0257301550027,0.0,0.3612539066666667,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,92.85714285714286,42.67646308976785,0.0,1.0402703727564104,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,87.14285714285714,42.05186473784456,0.0,0.34079166541795664,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,84.28571428571429,41.10947919178341,0.0,1.8156494689102565,0.0,0.0
-TFT,67.85714285714285,35.28274979848835,235.31247926551285,0.31370569066666665,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,67.85714285714285,39.04058286932375,0.0,32.678425597307694,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,63.21428571428572,37.28267455060899,0.0,0.2157764139102564,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,63.21428571428572,37.28267455060899,0.0,2.231891133374613,1.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,62.14285714285715,36.53371858952617,0.0,157.00341927416665,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,59.285714285714285,34.81362887689631,467.93394356724366,1.364175630448718,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,52.142857142857146,28.352379402273474,225.99726746077397,0.38466677993589743,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,50.0,33.55369921291073,0.0,7.825935737058823,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,36.42857142857142,12.567557563101495,0.0,166.32244655789742,0.0,14.285714285714285
-CatBoost,33.57142857142858,18.14162293295429,21.985520585705128,0.26383776833333333,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,32.85714285714286,18.571486122225835,2.110697158974359,0.21163459766666667,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,32.14285714285714,5.668302598674924,0.0,226.8116654464487,0.0,14.285714285714285
-Seasonal Naive,23.57142857142857,0.0,0.0,0.17224587897435897,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,21.428571428571427,-26.740946175062753,0.0,2.6991318023333335,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,14.285714285714285,-344.79628797747506,0.0,7.4220258999999995,0.0,0.0
-Naive,7.142857142857142,-146.7179766143382,0.0,0.193622721474359,0.0,0.0
-Drift,2.142857142857143,-161.010293113985,0.0,0.1885455092948718,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,92.30769230769232,44.0257301550027,0.0,0.3612539066666667,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,86.26373626373626,42.67646308976785,0.0,1.0402703727564104,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,85.16483516483517,42.89784402878507,0.0,2.398295585576923,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,81.31868131868131,42.58037472652917,0.0,1.0909461926282051,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,80.21978021978022,42.389618394267615,0.0,5.510428407333333,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,79.67032967032968,42.05186473784456,0.0,0.34079166541795664,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,75.82417582417584,41.10947919178341,0.0,1.8156494689102565,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,73.62637362637362,39.7795308730858,0.0,258.6113400144229,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,70.87912087912088,41.25081408595533,0.0,0.22678239423076924,0.0,0.0
+TFT,60.439560439560445,35.28274979848835,235.31247926551285,0.31370569066666665,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,55.494505494505496,39.04058286932375,0.0,32.678425597307694,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,55.49450549450549,37.62294495333535,0.0,0.17352653333333334,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,53.2967032967033,36.53371858952617,0.0,157.00341927416665,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,53.02197802197802,37.28267455060899,0.0,2.231891133374613,1.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,53.02197802197802,37.28267455060899,0.0,0.2157764139102564,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,50.54945054945055,34.81362887689631,467.93394356724366,1.364175630448718,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,43.95604395604395,28.352379402273474,225.99726746077397,0.38466677993589743,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,40.65934065934066,33.55369921291073,0.0,7.825935737058823,0.0,0.0
+AutoARIMA,28.57142857142857,12.567557563101495,0.0,166.32244655789742,0.0,14.285714285714285
+CatBoost,26.373626373626376,18.14162293295429,21.985520585705128,0.26383776833333333,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,25.27472527472528,5.668302598674924,0.0,226.8116654464487,0.0,14.285714285714285
+LightGBM,25.274725274725274,18.571486122225835,2.110697158974359,0.21163459766666667,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,18.131868131868128,0.0,0.0,0.17224587897435897,0.0,0.0
+AutoTheta,16.483516483516482,-26.740946175062753,0.0,2.6991318023333335,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,11.538461538461537,-344.79628797747506,0.0,7.4220258999999995,0.0,0.0
+Naive,5.4945054945054945,-146.7179766143382,0.0,0.193622721474359,0.0,0.0
+Drift,1.6483516483516485,-161.010293113985,0.0,0.1885455092948718,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_mobility/leaderboard_WAPE.csv

@@ -1,22 +1,28 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Chronos-2,94.28571428571428,31.4266145251638,0.0,0.3612539066666667,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,89.28571428571429,30.138028587482914,0.0,1.0402703727564104,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,84.28571428571429,28.54102491089481,0.0,1.8156494689102565,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,78.57142857142857,28.6697990451958,0.0,0.34079166541795664,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,63.57142857142858,25.92723519256259,0.0,32.678425597307694,0.0,0.0
-TFT,63.57142857142857,22.688998509483994,235.31247926551285,0.31370569066666665,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,62.857142857142875,25.32355760868511,0.0,157.00341927416665,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,61.78571428571429,25.18849985695557,0.0,2.231891133374613,1.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,61.78571428571429,25.18849985695557,0.0,0.2157764139102564,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,56.42857142857143,23.330206407241285,0.0,7.825935737058823,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,55.00000000000001,21.081187839834037,467.93394356724366,1.364175630448718,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,46.428571428571445,16.97148442691696,225.99726746077397,0.38466677993589743,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,45.714285714285715,19.108828334469262,21.985520585705128,0.26383776833333333,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,44.28571428571429,19.415152538379978,2.110697158974359,0.21163459766666667,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,36.42857142857142,6.5098083173125705,0.0,226.8116654464487,0.0,14.285714285714285
-AutoARIMA,31.428571428571434,2.9139047191151235,0.0,166.32244655789742,0.0,14.285714285714285
-Seasonal Naive,24.28571428571429,0.0,0.0,0.17224587897435897,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,22.14285714285714,0.04374386375031181,0.0,2.6991318023333335,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,18.571428571428573,-23.08073712658869,0.0,7.4220258999999995,0.0,0.0
-Naive,7.857142857142856,-43.56382539762269,0.0,0.193622721474359,0.0,0.0
-Drift,1.4285714285714286,-58.78908533558298,0.0,0.1885455092948718,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,87.36263736263736,31.4266145251638,0.0,0.3612539066666667,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,84.06593406593406,30.040761293064854,0.0,2.398295585576923,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,82.96703296703298,29.64325026676846,0.0,1.0909461926282051,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,82.41758241758244,30.138028587482914,0.0,1.0402703727564104,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,81.86813186813187,29.487453453885294,0.0,5.510428407333333,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,76.92307692307693,28.54102491089481,0.0,1.8156494689102565,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,70.87912087912088,27.003058480070795,0.0,258.6113400144229,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,69.78021978021978,28.6697990451958,0.0,0.34079166541795664,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,69.23076923076923,27.95924087455105,0.0,0.22678239423076924,0.0,0.0
+TFT,57.692307692307686,22.688998509483994,235.31247926551285,0.31370569066666665,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,53.84615384615385,25.32355760868511,0.0,157.00341927416665,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,53.2967032967033,25.92723519256259,0.0,32.678425597307694,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,51.92307692307693,25.18849985695557,0.0,2.231891133374613,1.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,51.92307692307693,25.18849985695557,0.0,0.2157764139102564,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,50.54945054945055,22.970522942844074,0.0,0.17352653333333334,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,48.35164835164835,23.330206407241285,0.0,7.825935737058823,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,45.604395604395606,21.081187839834037,467.93394356724366,1.364175630448718,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,42.307692307692314,19.108828334469262,21.985520585705128,0.26383776833333333,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,39.010989010989015,19.415152538379978,2.110697158974359,0.21163459766666667,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,37.912087912087905,16.97148442691696,225.99726746077397,0.38466677993589743,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,28.57142857142857,6.5098083173125705,0.0,226.8116654464487,0.0,14.285714285714285
+AutoARIMA,24.725274725274726,2.9139047191151235,0.0,166.32244655789742,0.0,14.285714285714285
+Seasonal Naive,19.230769230769234,0.0,0.0,0.17224587897435897,0.0,0.0
+AutoTheta,17.582417582417584,0.04374386375031181,0.0,2.6991318023333335,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,14.835164835164836,-23.08073712658869,0.0,7.4220258999999995,0.0,0.0
+Naive,6.043956043956044,-43.56382539762269,0.0,0.193622721474359,0.0,0.0
+Drift,1.0989010989010988,-58.78908533558298,0.0,0.1885455092948718,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_mobility/leaderboard_WQL.csv

@@ -1,22 +1,28 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Chronos-2,95.00000000000001,44.54705190137261,0.0,0.3612539066666667,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,92.14285714285715,43.23343389055629,0.0,1.0402703727564104,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,83.57142857142857,42.41994460150037,0.0,0.34079166541795664,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,82.85714285714286,41.75327825678771,0.0,1.8156494689102565,0.0,0.0
-TFT,70.71428571428572,36.840744132528904,235.31247926551285,0.31370569066666665,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,68.57142857142857,39.810526410008265,0.0,32.678425597307694,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,65.00000000000001,37.74075942414697,0.0,157.00341927416665,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,63.57142857142858,36.14199113093005,467.93394356724366,1.364175630448718,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,63.21428571428572,37.73183131937476,0.0,0.2157764139102564,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,63.21428571428572,37.73183131937476,0.0,2.231891133374613,1.0,0.0
-PatchTST,49.999999999999986,28.980793211199895,225.99726746077397,0.38466677993589743,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,49.28571428571428,34.17893470020018,0.0,7.825935737058823,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,37.142857142857146,12.839232215840235,0.0,166.32244655789742,0.0,14.285714285714285
-CatBoost,34.285714285714285,19.204492596603718,21.985520585705128,0.26383776833333333,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,32.85714285714286,19.51045461394707,2.110697158974359,0.21163459766666667,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,30.0,3.9294085240204057,0.0,226.8116654464487,0.0,14.285714285714285
-Seasonal Naive,24.28571428571428,0.0,0.0,0.17224587897435897,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,20.71428571428571,-35.07795159983096,0.0,2.6991318023333335,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,14.285714285714285,-351.4556695151647,0.0,7.4220258999999995,0.0,0.0
-Naive,7.142857142857142,-144.85036530396843,0.0,0.193622721474359,0.0,0.0
-Drift,2.142857142857143,-159.03481525283004,0.0,0.1885455092948718,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,89.56043956043958,44.54705190137261,0.0,0.3612539066666667,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,85.71428571428572,43.23343389055629,0.0,1.0402703727564104,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,85.71428571428571,43.57639471435733,0.0,2.398295585576923,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,82.96703296703298,43.15731600629924,0.0,5.510428407333333,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,81.86813186813188,43.095077993747296,0.0,1.0909461926282051,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,76.37362637362635,40.91138061014927,0.0,258.6113400144229,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,73.62637362637362,41.75327825678771,0.0,1.8156494689102565,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,73.07692307692307,42.41994460150037,0.0,0.34079166541795664,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,70.87912087912088,41.89301824181608,0.0,0.22678239423076924,0.0,0.0
+TFT,63.73626373626373,36.840744132528904,235.31247926551285,0.31370569066666665,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,56.04395604395604,37.74075942414697,0.0,157.00341927416665,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,55.494505494505496,39.810526410008265,0.0,32.678425597307694,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,54.395604395604394,38.05335876302368,0.0,0.17352653333333334,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,53.84615384615385,36.14199113093005,467.93394356724366,1.364175630448718,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,53.02197802197802,37.73183131937476,0.0,2.231891133374613,1.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,53.02197802197802,37.73183131937476,0.0,0.2157764139102564,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,41.208791208791204,34.17893470020018,0.0,7.825935737058823,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,40.65934065934066,28.980793211199895,225.99726746077397,0.38466677993589743,0.0,0.0
+AutoARIMA,29.120879120879124,12.839232215840235,0.0,166.32244655789742,0.0,14.285714285714285
+CatBoost,26.923076923076927,19.204492596603718,21.985520585705128,0.26383776833333333,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,25.82417582417583,19.51045461394707,2.110697158974359,0.21163459766666667,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,23.626373626373628,3.9294085240204057,0.0,226.8116654464487,0.0,14.285714285714285
+Seasonal Naive,18.68131868131868,0.0,0.0,0.17224587897435897,0.0,0.0
+AutoTheta,15.934065934065933,-35.07795159983096,0.0,2.6991318023333335,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,11.538461538461537,-351.4556695151647,0.0,7.4220258999999995,0.0,0.0
+Naive,5.4945054945054945,-144.85036530396843,0.0,0.193622721474359,0.0,0.0
+Drift,1.6483516483516485,-159.03481525283004,0.0,0.1885455092948718,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_mobility/pairwise_MASE.csv

@@ -1,257 +1,257 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.019,-0.004,0.059
 Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.017,-0.024,0.061
-Chronos-2,TiRex,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.034,0.009,0.076
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.023,-0.005,0.069
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.028,-0.004,0.074
 Chronos-2,FlowState,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.041,0.003,0.083
+Chronos-2,TiRex,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.034,0.009,0.076
+Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.069,0.01,0.138
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.051,0.009,0.117
 Chronos-2,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.124,0.027,0.265
 Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.077,0.03,0.14
-Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.08,0.037,0.13
 Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.08,0.037,0.13
-Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.09,0.05,0.128
+Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.08,0.037,0.13
 Chronos-2,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.103,0.061,0.146
-Chronos-2,DeepAR,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.14,0.052,0.228
-Chronos-2,PatchTST,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.172,0.064,0.287
-Chronos-2,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.149,0.093,0.204
-Chronos-2,CatBoost,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.154,0.087,0.216
-Chronos-2,Stat. Ensemble,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.256,0.172,0.327
+Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.09,0.05,0.128
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.313,0.233,0.391
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.02,-0.063,0.004
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.002,-0.038,0.036
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.004,-0.002,0.01
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.008,-0.002,0.02
+Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.022,-0.007,0.059
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.015,0.005,0.027
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.05,0.004,0.118
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.032,0.008,0.063
+Toto-2.0-1B,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.106,0.001,0.254
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.059,0.03,0.093
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.062,0.022,0.111
+Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.062,0.022,0.111
+Toto-2.0-1B,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.085,0.039,0.135
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.072,0.039,0.098
+Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.299,0.225,0.368
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.018,-0.065,0.024
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.002,-0.038,0.037
 TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.017,-0.021,0.051
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.006,-0.035,0.042
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.011,-0.025,0.043
 TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.024,0.01,0.038
+TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.017,-0.021,0.051
+TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.052,0.008,0.103
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.034,-0.024,0.09
 TimesFM-2.5,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.108,0.007,0.239
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.061,-0.003,0.117
-TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.064,0.022,0.113
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.064,0.022,0.113
-TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.074,0.041,0.11
+TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.064,0.022,0.113
 TimesFM-2.5,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.087,0.048,0.127
-TimesFM-2.5,DeepAR,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.124,0.041,0.194
-TimesFM-2.5,PatchTST,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.158,0.068,0.25
-TimesFM-2.5,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.134,0.085,0.179
-TimesFM-2.5,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.139,0.084,0.192
-TimesFM-2.5,Stat. Ensemble,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.243,0.15,0.334
+TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.074,0.041,0.11
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.301,0.204,0.39
-TiRex,Chronos-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.035,-0.082,-0.009
-TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.017,-0.054,0.02
-TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.007,-0.022,0.044
-TiRex,TFT,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.093,-0.014,0.239
-TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.044,0.016,0.075
-TiRex,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.047,0.014,0.095
-TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.047,0.014,0.095
-TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.057,0.024,0.087
-TiRex,Sundial-Base,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.071,0.027,0.116
-TiRex,DeepAR,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.109,0.041,0.174
-TiRex,PatchTST,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.143,0.053,0.243
-TiRex,LightGBM,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.119,0.045,0.186
-TiRex,CatBoost,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.124,0.052,0.194
-TiRex,Stat. Ensemble,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.229,0.138,0.31
-TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.289,0.214,0.356
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.024,-0.074,0.005
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.004,-0.011,0.002
+Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.006,-0.044,0.033
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.004,-0.004,0.013
+Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.018,-0.014,0.057
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.011,-0.002,0.025
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.046,0.0,0.113
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.028,0.006,0.055
+Toto-2.0-313m,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.103,-0.008,0.254
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.055,0.028,0.086
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.058,0.019,0.105
+Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.058,0.019,0.105
+Toto-2.0-313m,Sundial-Base,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.082,0.03,0.133
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.068,0.033,0.098
+Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.297,0.224,0.365
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.028,-0.079,0.004
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.009,-0.021,0.002
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.011,-0.045,0.024
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.004,-0.014,0.004
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.014,-0.014,0.047
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.007,-0.009,0.02
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.042,0.004,0.101
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.024,-0.007,0.052
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.099,-0.014,0.25
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.051,0.019,0.083
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.054,0.022,0.092
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.054,0.022,0.092
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Sundial-Base,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.078,0.028,0.127
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.064,0.03,0.094
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.293,0.215,0.364
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.043,-0.09,-0.003
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.023,-0.062,0.007
 FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.025,-0.039,-0.01
-FlowState,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.007,-0.046,0.022
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.018,-0.06,0.014
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.014,-0.049,0.014
 FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.007,-0.046,0.022
+FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.029,-0.01,0.081
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.01,-0.052,0.063
 FlowState,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.086,-0.018,0.218
 FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.037,-0.027,0.09
-FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.04,0.002,0.079
 FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.04,0.002,0.079
-FlowState,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.051,0.026,0.083
+FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.04,0.002,0.079
 FlowState,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.065,0.032,0.097
-FlowState,DeepAR,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.103,0.016,0.176
-FlowState,PatchTST,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.137,0.045,0.232
-FlowState,LightGBM,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.113,0.057,0.162
-FlowState,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.118,0.058,0.171
-FlowState,Stat. Ensemble,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.224,0.132,0.31
+FlowState,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.051,0.026,0.083
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.284,0.193,0.366
+TiRex,Chronos-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.035,-0.082,-0.009
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.015,-0.028,-0.005
+TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.017,-0.054,0.02
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.011,-0.026,0.002
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.007,-0.02,0.009
+TiRex,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.007,-0.022,0.044
+TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.036,-0.006,0.104
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.017,-0.007,0.048
+TiRex,TFT,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.093,-0.014,0.239
+TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.044,0.016,0.075
+TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.047,0.014,0.095
+TiRex,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.047,0.014,0.095
+TiRex,Sundial-Base,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.071,0.027,0.116
+TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.057,0.024,0.087
+TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.289,0.214,0.356
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.074,-0.16,-0.01
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.053,-0.134,-0.004
+TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.055,-0.115,-0.009
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.049,-0.128,-0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.044,-0.112,-0.004
+TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.03,-0.088,0.01
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.037,-0.116,0.006
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.019,-0.118,0.04
+TabPFN-TS-3,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.059,-0.093,0.223
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.009,-0.092,0.07
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.012,-0.03,0.051
+TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.012,-0.03,0.051
+TabPFN-TS-3,Sundial-Base,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.037,-0.032,0.097
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.023,-0.046,0.074
+TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.262,0.138,0.349
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.053,-0.133,-0.009
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.033,-0.067,-0.008
+Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.035,-0.099,0.024
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.029,-0.058,-0.006
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.024,-0.055,0.007
+Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.01,-0.067,0.049
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.018,-0.05,0.007
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.019,-0.042,0.106
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.077,-0.063,0.239
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.028,0.015,0.041
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.031,-0.021,0.093
+Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.031,-0.021,0.093
+Toto-2.0-22m,Sundial-Base,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.055,-0.011,0.119
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.041,-0.007,0.085
+Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.276,0.213,0.338
 TFT,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.141,-0.36,-0.027
+TFT,Toto-2.0-1B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.119,-0.341,-0.001
 TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.122,-0.315,-0.008
-TFT,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.102,-0.314,0.014
+TFT,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.115,-0.341,0.008
+TFT,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.11,-0.334,0.014
 TFT,FlowState,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.094,-0.279,0.017
+TFT,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.102,-0.314,0.014
+TFT,TabPFN-TS-3,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.063,-0.288,0.085
+TFT,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.083,-0.314,0.06
 TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TFT,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.054,-0.283,0.085
-TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.05,-0.267,0.086
 TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.05,-0.267,0.086
-TFT,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.429,1.0,-0.039,-0.214,0.071
+TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.05,-0.267,0.086
 TFT,Sundial-Base,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.024,-0.166,0.073
-TFT,DeepAR,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.018,-0.146,0.144
-TFT,PatchTST,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.055,-0.018,0.143
-TFT,LightGBM,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.029,-0.096,0.119
-TFT,CatBoost,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.034,-0.08,0.124
-TFT,Stat. Ensemble,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.151,-0.073,0.305
+TFT,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.429,1.0,-0.039,-0.214,0.071
 TFT,Seasonal Naive,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.216,0.01,0.356
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.083,-0.163,-0.031
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.062,-0.103,-0.031
 Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.065,-0.133,0.003
-Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.046,-0.081,-0.016
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.058,-0.094,-0.029
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.053,-0.09,-0.019
 Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.039,-0.099,0.026
+Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.046,-0.081,-0.016
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.009,-0.076,0.084
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.028,-0.043,-0.016
 Toto-1.0,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.051,-0.093,0.221
 Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.003,-0.048,0.065
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.003,-0.048,0.065
-Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.014,-0.045,0.069
+Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.003,-0.048,0.065
 Toto-1.0,Sundial-Base,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.028,-0.042,0.098
-Toto-1.0,DeepAR,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.068,0.005,0.126
-Toto-1.0,PatchTST,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.103,0.011,0.223
-Toto-1.0,LightGBM,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.078,-0.027,0.17
-Toto-1.0,CatBoost,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.083,-0.02,0.175
-Toto-1.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.194,0.083,0.282
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.014,-0.045,0.069
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.256,0.189,0.319
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.087,-0.149,-0.038
-Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.068,-0.127,-0.022
-Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.05,-0.105,-0.014
-Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.042,-0.086,-0.002
-Moirai-2.0,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.048,-0.094,0.21
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.003,-0.07,0.045
-Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.011,-0.045,0.059
-Moirai-2.0,Sundial-Base,0.429,0.0,0.714,0.025,-0.024,0.08
-Moirai-2.0,DeepAR,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.065,-0.038,0.147
-Moirai-2.0,PatchTST,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.101,-0.023,0.224
-Moirai-2.0,LightGBM,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.076,-0.002,0.147
-Moirai-2.0,CatBoost,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.08,0.006,0.157
-Moirai-2.0,Stat. Ensemble,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.191,0.105,0.277
-Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.253,0.16,0.33
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.087,-0.149,-0.038
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.066,-0.125,-0.023
 Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.068,-0.127,-0.022
-Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.05,-0.105,-0.014
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.061,-0.117,-0.019
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.057,-0.102,-0.022
 Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.042,-0.086,-0.002
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.05,-0.105,-0.014
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.012,-0.053,0.029
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.032,-0.103,0.021
 Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.048,-0.094,0.21
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.003,-0.07,0.045
-Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.011,-0.045,0.059
+Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,0.429,0.0,0.714,0.025,-0.024,0.08
-Chronos-Bolt,DeepAR,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.065,-0.038,0.147
-Chronos-Bolt,PatchTST,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.101,-0.023,0.224
-Chronos-Bolt,LightGBM,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.076,-0.002,0.147
-Chronos-Bolt,CatBoost,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.08,0.006,0.157
-Chronos-Bolt,Stat. Ensemble,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.191,0.105,0.277
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.011,-0.045,0.059
 Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.253,0.16,0.33
-TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.098,-0.147,-0.053
-TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.079,-0.124,-0.042
-TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.061,-0.096,-0.025
-TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.053,-0.09,-0.026
-TabPFN-TS,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,0.038,-0.077,0.177
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.014,-0.074,0.043
-TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.011,-0.062,0.043
-TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.011,-0.062,0.043
-TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,Sundial-Base,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.015,-0.021,0.051
-TabPFN-TS,DeepAR,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.055,-0.033,0.139
-TabPFN-TS,PatchTST,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.091,-0.01,0.198
-TabPFN-TS,LightGBM,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.066,-0.012,0.13
-TabPFN-TS,CatBoost,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.071,-0.015,0.14
-TabPFN-TS,Stat. Ensemble,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.182,0.097,0.259
-TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.245,0.162,0.319
+Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.087,-0.149,-0.038
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.066,-0.125,-0.023
+Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.068,-0.127,-0.022
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.061,-0.117,-0.019
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.057,-0.102,-0.022
+Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.042,-0.086,-0.002
+Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.05,-0.105,-0.014
+Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.012,-0.053,0.029
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.032,-0.103,0.021
+Moirai-2.0,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.048,-0.094,0.21
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.003,-0.07,0.045
+Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,Sundial-Base,0.429,0.0,0.714,0.025,-0.024,0.08
+Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.011,-0.045,0.059
+Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.253,0.16,0.33
 Sundial-Base,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.115,-0.171,-0.065
+Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.093,-0.156,-0.04
 Sundial-Base,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.096,-0.145,-0.05
-Sundial-Base,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.077,-0.131,-0.027
+Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.089,-0.154,-0.03
+Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.084,-0.146,-0.029
 Sundial-Base,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.069,-0.108,-0.033
+Sundial-Base,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.077,-0.131,-0.027
+Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS-3,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.039,-0.107,0.031
+Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-22m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.058,-0.135,0.011
 Sundial-Base,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.023,-0.079,0.143
 Sundial-Base,Toto-1.0,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.029,-0.109,0.04
-Sundial-Base,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.286,1.0,-0.026,-0.087,0.023
 Sundial-Base,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.286,1.0,-0.026,-0.087,0.023
-Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.015,-0.054,0.02
+Sundial-Base,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.286,1.0,-0.026,-0.087,0.023
 Sundial-Base,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,DeepAR,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.041,-0.049,0.129
-Sundial-Base,PatchTST,0.429,0.0,0.857,0.077,-0.018,0.169
-Sundial-Base,LightGBM,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.052,-0.007,0.108
-Sundial-Base,CatBoost,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.056,-0.007,0.113
-Sundial-Base,Stat. Ensemble,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.17,0.067,0.258
+Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.015,-0.054,0.02
 Sundial-Base,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.234,0.136,0.317
-DeepAR,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.162,-0.295,-0.054
-DeepAR,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.142,-0.24,-0.043
-DeepAR,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.122,-0.21,-0.043
-DeepAR,FlowState,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.114,-0.214,-0.017
-DeepAR,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.018,-0.169,0.127
-DeepAR,Toto-1.0,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.073,-0.144,-0.005
-DeepAR,Moirai-2.0,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.069,-0.172,0.036
-DeepAR,Chronos-Bolt,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.069,-0.172,0.036
-DeepAR,TabPFN-TS,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.058,-0.161,0.032
-DeepAR,Sundial-Base,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.042,-0.148,0.047
-DeepAR,DeepAR,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,PatchTST,0.429,0.0,0.718,0.038,-0.028,0.124
-DeepAR,LightGBM,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.011,-0.102,0.11
-DeepAR,CatBoost,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.017,-0.085,0.111
-DeepAR,Stat. Ensemble,0.571,0.143,1.0,0.135,-0.035,0.28
-DeepAR,Seasonal Naive,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.202,0.094,0.302
-PatchTST,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.208,-0.402,-0.069
-PatchTST,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.187,-0.334,-0.073
-PatchTST,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.167,-0.321,-0.056
-PatchTST,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.159,-0.303,-0.047
-PatchTST,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.059,-0.167,0.018
-PatchTST,Toto-1.0,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.115,-0.287,-0.011
-PatchTST,Moirai-2.0,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.112,-0.289,0.022
-PatchTST,Chronos-Bolt,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.112,-0.289,0.022
-PatchTST,TabPFN-TS,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.1,-0.246,0.01
-PatchTST,Sundial-Base,0.571,0.143,1.0,-0.084,-0.203,0.018
-PatchTST,DeepAR,0.571,0.282,1.0,-0.04,-0.142,0.028
-PatchTST,PatchTST,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,LightGBM,0.571,0.286,0.857,-0.028,-0.148,0.069
-PatchTST,CatBoost,0.571,0.286,0.857,-0.022,-0.126,0.062
-PatchTST,Stat. Ensemble,0.571,0.143,1.0,0.101,-0.123,0.266
-PatchTST,Seasonal Naive,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.17,-0.001,0.305
-LightGBM,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.176,-0.257,-0.102
-LightGBM,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.155,-0.218,-0.092
-LightGBM,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.135,-0.228,-0.047
-LightGBM,FlowState,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.127,-0.193,-0.061
-LightGBM,TFT,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.03,-0.135,0.088
-LightGBM,Toto-1.0,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.085,-0.205,0.026
-LightGBM,Moirai-2.0,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.082,-0.173,0.002
-LightGBM,Chronos-Bolt,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.082,-0.173,0.002
-LightGBM,TabPFN-TS,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.07,-0.15,0.012
-LightGBM,Sundial-Base,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.054,-0.121,0.007
-LightGBM,DeepAR,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.012,-0.123,0.093
-LightGBM,PatchTST,0.429,0.143,0.714,0.027,-0.074,0.129
-LightGBM,LightGBM,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,CatBoost,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.005,-0.015,0.025
-LightGBM,Stat. Ensemble,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.125,-0.02,0.25
-LightGBM,Seasonal Naive,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.192,0.04,0.318
-CatBoost,Chronos-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.182,-0.276,-0.095
-CatBoost,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.161,-0.238,-0.092
-CatBoost,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.141,-0.241,-0.055
-CatBoost,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.133,-0.207,-0.062
-CatBoost,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.035,-0.142,0.074
-CatBoost,Toto-1.0,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.091,-0.212,0.02
-CatBoost,Moirai-2.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.087,-0.187,-0.006
-CatBoost,Chronos-Bolt,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.087,-0.187,-0.006
-CatBoost,TabPFN-TS,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.076,-0.163,0.015
-CatBoost,Sundial-Base,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.06,-0.128,0.007
-CatBoost,DeepAR,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.017,-0.124,0.078
-CatBoost,PatchTST,0.429,0.143,0.714,0.022,-0.067,0.112
-CatBoost,LightGBM,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.005,-0.026,0.015
-CatBoost,CatBoost,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,Stat. Ensemble,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.12,-0.041,0.257
-CatBoost,Seasonal Naive,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.188,0.037,0.318
-Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.344,-0.487,-0.207
-Stat. Ensemble,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.32,-0.501,-0.176
-Stat. Ensemble,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.298,-0.45,-0.161
-Stat. Ensemble,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.288,-0.45,-0.152
-Stat. Ensemble,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.177,-0.438,0.068
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-1.0,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.24,-0.393,-0.09
-Stat. Ensemble,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.236,-0.384,-0.117
-Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.236,-0.384,-0.117
-Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.223,-0.35,-0.107
-Stat. Ensemble,Sundial-Base,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.205,-0.348,-0.072
-Stat. Ensemble,DeepAR,0.429,0.0,0.857,-0.156,-0.389,0.033
-Stat. Ensemble,PatchTST,0.429,0.0,0.857,-0.112,-0.363,0.109
-Stat. Ensemble,LightGBM,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.143,-0.333,0.019
-Stat. Ensemble,CatBoost,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.137,-0.346,0.039
-Stat. Ensemble,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,Seasonal Naive,0.786,0.5,1.0,0.077,-0.019,0.152
+TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.098,-0.147,-0.053
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.077,-0.108,-0.041
+TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.079,-0.124,-0.042
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.073,-0.108,-0.035
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.068,-0.103,-0.031
+TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.053,-0.09,-0.026
+TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.061,-0.096,-0.025
+TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.023,-0.079,0.044
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.043,-0.093,0.007
+TabPFN-TS,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,0.038,-0.077,0.177
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.014,-0.074,0.043
+TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.011,-0.062,0.043
+TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.011,-0.062,0.043
+TabPFN-TS,Sundial-Base,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.015,-0.021,0.051
+TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.245,0.162,0.319
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.456,-0.641,-0.304
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.427,-0.582,-0.291
 Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.43,-0.639,-0.257
-Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.406,-0.554,-0.272
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.422,-0.575,-0.289
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.415,-0.573,-0.274
 Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.396,-0.577,-0.238
+Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.406,-0.554,-0.272
+Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.356,-0.536,-0.16
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.382,-0.512,-0.27
 Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.275,-0.552,-0.01
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.344,-0.468,-0.232
-Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.339,-0.492,-0.191
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.339,-0.492,-0.191
-Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.325,-0.469,-0.194
+Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.339,-0.492,-0.191
 Seasonal Naive,Sundial-Base,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.305,-0.465,-0.157
-Seasonal Naive,DeepAR,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.252,-0.432,-0.104
-Seasonal Naive,PatchTST,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.205,-0.439,0.001
-Seasonal Naive,LightGBM,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.238,-0.466,-0.042
-Seasonal Naive,CatBoost,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.232,-0.467,-0.038
-Seasonal Naive,Stat. Ensemble,0.214,0.0,0.5,-0.083,-0.179,0.019
+Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.325,-0.469,-0.194
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_mobility/pairwise_SQL.csv

@@ -1,257 +1,257 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.024,-0.013,0.065
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.02,-0.007,0.057
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.025,-0.008,0.07
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.028,-0.004,0.074
 Chronos-2,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.034,0.012,0.07
 Chronos-2,FlowState,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.05,0.013,0.09
+Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.071,0.011,0.146
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.047,0.006,0.111
 Chronos-2,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.135,0.036,0.278
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.103,0.044,0.169
 Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.082,0.044,0.137
-Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.108,0.053,0.172
-Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.108,0.053,0.172
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.118,0.065,0.171
-Chronos-2,DeepAR,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.141,0.056,0.225
-Chronos-2,PatchTST,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.219,0.069,0.379
-Chronos-2,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.158,0.126,0.193
-Chronos-2,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.36,0.246,0.436
-Chronos-2,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.316,0.26,0.368
-Chronos-2,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.313,0.261,0.362
+Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.108,0.053,0.172
+Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.108,0.053,0.172
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.44,0.347,0.521
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.024,-0.069,0.013
 TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.004,-0.05,0.034
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.002,-0.046,0.042
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.005,-0.036,0.042
 TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.011,-0.028,0.042
 TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.027,0.016,0.038
+TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.048,0.009,0.096
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.024,-0.038,0.08
 TimesFM-2.5,TFT,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.114,0.011,0.253
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.081,0.002,0.157
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.06,0.005,0.11
-TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.086,0.044,0.139
-TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.086,0.044,0.139
 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.097,0.05,0.142
-TimesFM-2.5,DeepAR,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.121,0.027,0.196
-TimesFM-2.5,PatchTST,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.2,0.057,0.354
-TimesFM-2.5,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.137,0.109,0.169
-TimesFM-2.5,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.344,0.235,0.424
-TimesFM-2.5,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.3,0.252,0.344
-TimesFM-2.5,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.296,0.251,0.335
+TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.086,0.044,0.139
+TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.086,0.044,0.139
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.427,0.314,0.522
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.02,-0.06,0.007
+Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.004,-0.035,0.048
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.006,-0.001,0.014
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.009,-0.003,0.021
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.015,-0.002,0.031
+Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.03,-0.001,0.07
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.052,-0.001,0.124
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.028,0.005,0.058
+Toto-2.0-1B,TFT,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.118,0.011,0.273
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.085,0.042,0.131
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.063,0.038,0.093
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.1,0.047,0.164
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.09,0.028,0.164
+Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.09,0.028,0.164
+Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.429,0.332,0.513
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.026,-0.075,0.008
+Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.002,-0.044,0.044
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.006,-0.014,0.001
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.003,-0.004,0.012
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.009,-0.01,0.029
+Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.025,-0.008,0.065
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.047,-0.005,0.12
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.023,0.002,0.049
+Toto-2.0-313m,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.113,-0.0,0.271
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.079,0.038,0.121
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.058,0.034,0.085
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.095,0.038,0.16
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.084,0.023,0.155
+Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.084,0.023,0.155
+Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.426,0.327,0.51
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.029,-0.08,0.004
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.005,-0.044,0.035
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.009,-0.022,0.003
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.003,-0.012,0.004
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.006,-0.011,0.024
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.022,-0.008,0.055
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.043,-0.002,0.11
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.019,-0.005,0.045
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TFT,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.11,-0.003,0.266
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.076,0.031,0.122
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.055,0.03,0.081
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.092,0.036,0.156
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.081,0.027,0.148
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.081,0.027,0.148
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.424,0.323,0.51
 TiRex,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.035,-0.076,-0.012
 TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.011,-0.044,0.027
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.015,-0.032,0.002
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.009,-0.03,0.01
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.006,-0.024,0.011
 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TiRex,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.016,-0.011,0.051
+TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.038,-0.007,0.11
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.014,-0.013,0.045
 TiRex,TFT,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.105,0.005,0.253
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.071,0.022,0.119
 TiRex,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.049,0.029,0.073
-TiRex,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.076,0.024,0.15
-TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.076,0.024,0.15
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.087,0.029,0.145
-TiRex,DeepAR,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.111,0.039,0.178
-TiRex,PatchTST,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.191,0.056,0.356
-TiRex,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.128,0.09,0.167
-TiRex,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.337,0.221,0.422
-TiRex,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.292,0.229,0.35
-TiRex,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.288,0.222,0.346
+TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.076,0.024,0.15
+TiRex,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.076,0.024,0.15
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.421,0.325,0.506
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.052,-0.099,-0.013
 FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.027,-0.039,-0.016
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.031,-0.076,0.001
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.026,-0.07,0.008
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.022,-0.059,0.008
 FlowState,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.016,-0.053,0.01
 FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.282,0.857,0.022,-0.011,0.071
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.002,-0.062,0.048
 FlowState,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.09,-0.02,0.235
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.056,-0.021,0.125
 FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.034,-0.017,0.078
-FlowState,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.061,0.021,0.114
-FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.061,0.021,0.114
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.072,0.027,0.116
-FlowState,DeepAR,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.097,0.005,0.175
-FlowState,PatchTST,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.178,0.029,0.338
-FlowState,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.114,0.084,0.143
-FlowState,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.326,0.221,0.402
-FlowState,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.281,0.224,0.33
-FlowState,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.277,0.222,0.323
+FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.061,0.021,0.114
+FlowState,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.061,0.021,0.114
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.411,0.301,0.504
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.076,-0.171,-0.011
+TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.051,-0.107,-0.009
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.055,-0.142,0.001
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.049,-0.136,0.005
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.045,-0.123,0.002
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.039,-0.123,0.007
+TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.718,-0.023,-0.077,0.01
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.025,-0.127,0.037
+TabPFN-TS-3,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.069,-0.088,0.235
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.035,-0.085,0.113
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.012,-0.083,0.069
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.051,-0.028,0.118
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.04,0.014,0.074
+TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.04,0.014,0.074
+TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.398,0.268,0.502
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.05,-0.125,-0.006
+Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.025,-0.087,0.037
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.029,-0.062,-0.005
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.023,-0.051,-0.002
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.02,-0.047,0.005
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.014,-0.047,0.013
+Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.002,-0.05,0.058
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.024,-0.039,0.113
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.092,-0.042,0.259
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.058,0.027,0.092
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.036,0.023,0.051
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.074,-0.003,0.15
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.063,-0.005,0.147
+Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.063,-0.005,0.147
+Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.413,0.315,0.494
 TFT,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.156,-0.385,-0.038
 TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.129,-0.339,-0.011
+TFT,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.133,-0.375,-0.011
+TFT,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.127,-0.373,0.0
+TFT,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.123,-0.362,0.003
 TFT,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.117,-0.339,-0.005
 TFT,FlowState,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.099,-0.307,0.019
+TFT,TabPFN-TS-3,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.075,-0.306,0.081
+TFT,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.102,-0.35,0.04
 TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TFT,Toto-2.0-4m,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.038,-0.282,0.112
 TFT,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.062,-0.283,0.066
-TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.714,0.429,1.0,-0.032,-0.249,0.122
-TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,-0.032,-0.249,0.122
 TFT,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.429,1.0,-0.02,-0.156,0.074
-TFT,DeepAR,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.007,-0.157,0.129
-TFT,PatchTST,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.097,0.031,0.172
-TFT,Sundial-Base,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.026,-0.128,0.123
-TFT,AutoARIMA,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.26,0.086,0.398
-TFT,CatBoost,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.209,0.104,0.29
-TFT,LightGBM,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.205,0.093,0.288
+TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,-0.032,-0.249,0.122
+TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.714,0.429,1.0,-0.032,-0.249,0.122
 TFT,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.353,0.219,0.471
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.114,-0.204,-0.046
+Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.088,-0.186,-0.002
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.092,-0.151,-0.044
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.086,-0.137,-0.04
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.083,-0.139,-0.032
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.076,-0.135,-0.022
+Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.059,-0.143,0.021
+Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.036,-0.128,0.078
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.062,-0.101,-0.028
+Toto-2.0-4m,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.036,-0.126,0.22
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.023,-0.065,0.013
+Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.017,-0.076,0.116
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.005,-0.083,0.107
+Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.005,-0.083,0.107
+Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.376,0.285,0.456
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.089,-0.159,-0.046
 Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.063,-0.123,-0.005
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.068,-0.103,-0.039
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.062,-0.093,-0.035
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.058,-0.088,-0.03
 Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.052,-0.079,-0.03
 Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.035,-0.085,0.017
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.012,-0.074,0.076
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.038,-0.054,-0.023
 Toto-1.0,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.058,-0.071,0.221
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.023,-0.013,0.061
 Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.028,-0.04,0.11
-Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.028,-0.04,0.11
 Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.039,-0.039,0.113
-Toto-1.0,DeepAR,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.065,0.002,0.121
-Toto-1.0,PatchTST,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.149,0.013,0.325
-Toto-1.0,Sundial-Base,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.083,0.022,0.137
-Toto-1.0,AutoARIMA,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.303,0.17,0.399
-Toto-1.0,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.255,0.171,0.326
-Toto-1.0,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.251,0.161,0.323
+Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.028,-0.04,0.11
+Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.028,-0.04,0.11
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.39,0.294,0.473
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.12,-0.208,-0.056
-Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.094,-0.161,-0.046
-Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.082,-0.176,-0.025
-Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.065,-0.129,-0.022
-Moirai-2.0,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,0.031,-0.138,0.199
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.029,-0.124,0.038
-Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.012,-0.077,0.088
-Moirai-2.0,DeepAR,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.038,-0.102,0.142
-Moirai-2.0,PatchTST,0.429,0.0,0.857,0.125,-0.07,0.309
-Moirai-2.0,Sundial-Base,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.056,-0.0,0.102
-Moirai-2.0,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.283,0.173,0.358
-Moirai-2.0,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.234,0.171,0.299
-Moirai-2.0,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.23,0.167,0.29
-Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.373,0.248,0.474
-Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.12,-0.208,-0.056
-Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.094,-0.161,-0.046
-Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.082,-0.176,-0.025
-Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.065,-0.129,-0.022
-Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,0.031,-0.138,0.199
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.029,-0.124,0.038
-Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.012,-0.077,0.088
-Chronos-Bolt,DeepAR,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.038,-0.102,0.142
-Chronos-Bolt,PatchTST,0.429,0.0,0.857,0.125,-0.07,0.309
-Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.056,-0.0,0.102
-Chronos-Bolt,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.283,0.173,0.358
-Chronos-Bolt,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.234,0.171,0.299
-Chronos-Bolt,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.23,0.167,0.29
-Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.373,0.248,0.474
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.134,-0.206,-0.07
 TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.107,-0.165,-0.052
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.111,-0.196,-0.049
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.105,-0.19,-0.04
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.102,-0.184,-0.038
 TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.095,-0.17,-0.03
 TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.078,-0.131,-0.028
+TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.054,-0.134,0.027
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.08,-0.176,0.003
 TabPFN-TS,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,0.019,-0.08,0.135
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.017,-0.131,0.071
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.041,-0.127,0.037
-TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.012,-0.096,0.072
-TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.012,-0.096,0.072
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,DeepAR,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.026,-0.075,0.123
-TabPFN-TS,PatchTST,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.114,-0.029,0.261
-TabPFN-TS,Sundial-Base,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.045,0.011,0.085
-TabPFN-TS,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.274,0.176,0.365
-TabPFN-TS,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.225,0.159,0.285
-TabPFN-TS,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.221,0.16,0.277
+TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.012,-0.096,0.072
+TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.012,-0.096,0.072
 TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.365,0.268,0.459
-DeepAR,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.165,-0.291,-0.059
-DeepAR,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.137,-0.243,-0.028
-DeepAR,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.125,-0.216,-0.041
-DeepAR,FlowState,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.107,-0.212,-0.005
-DeepAR,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.007,-0.148,0.136
-DeepAR,Toto-1.0,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.069,-0.138,-0.002
-DeepAR,Moirai-2.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.039,-0.166,0.093
-DeepAR,Chronos-Bolt,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.039,-0.166,0.093
-DeepAR,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.027,-0.141,0.069
-DeepAR,DeepAR,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,PatchTST,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.09,-0.02,0.249
-DeepAR,Sundial-Base,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.019,-0.081,0.107
-DeepAR,AutoARIMA,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.254,0.068,0.388
-DeepAR,CatBoost,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.204,0.11,0.287
-DeepAR,LightGBM,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.199,0.1,0.286
-DeepAR,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.348,0.232,0.448
-PatchTST,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.28,-0.61,-0.074
-PatchTST,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.25,-0.548,-0.06
-PatchTST,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.236,-0.553,-0.059
-PatchTST,FlowState,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.217,-0.51,-0.029
-PatchTST,TFT,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.107,-0.208,-0.032
-PatchTST,Toto-1.0,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.175,-0.481,-0.013
-PatchTST,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.143,1.0,-0.142,-0.448,0.066
-PatchTST,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.143,1.0,-0.142,-0.448,0.066
-PatchTST,TabPFN-TS,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.129,-0.354,0.028
-PatchTST,DeepAR,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.099,-0.331,0.019
-PatchTST,PatchTST,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,Sundial-Base,0.571,0.143,1.0,-0.078,-0.315,0.092
-PatchTST,AutoARIMA,0.571,0.143,1.0,0.181,-0.066,0.372
-PatchTST,CatBoost,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.125,-0.054,0.249
-PatchTST,LightGBM,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.12,-0.076,0.256
-PatchTST,Seasonal Naive,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.284,0.113,0.428
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.187,-0.24,-0.145
-Sundial-Base,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.159,-0.203,-0.122
-Sundial-Base,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.147,-0.2,-0.098
-Sundial-Base,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.128,-0.167,-0.091
-Sundial-Base,TFT,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.027,-0.141,0.114
-Sundial-Base,Toto-1.0,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.09,-0.158,-0.023
-Sundial-Base,Moirai-2.0,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.059,-0.113,0.0
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-Bolt,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.059,-0.113,0.0
-Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.047,-0.092,-0.011
-Sundial-Base,DeepAR,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.019,-0.12,0.075
-Sundial-Base,PatchTST,0.429,0.0,0.857,0.073,-0.101,0.24
-Sundial-Base,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,AutoARIMA,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.24,0.125,0.325
-Sundial-Base,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.188,0.135,0.234
-Sundial-Base,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.184,0.134,0.229
-Sundial-Base,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.336,0.229,0.428
-AutoARIMA,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.562,-0.772,-0.326
-AutoARIMA,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.525,-0.736,-0.308
-AutoARIMA,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.509,-0.729,-0.283
-AutoARIMA,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.485,-0.673,-0.284
-AutoARIMA,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.351,-0.66,-0.094
-AutoARIMA,Toto-1.0,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.434,-0.664,-0.205
-AutoARIMA,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.394,-0.557,-0.21
-AutoARIMA,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.394,-0.557,-0.21
-AutoARIMA,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.378,-0.576,-0.214
-AutoARIMA,DeepAR,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.341,-0.635,-0.073
-AutoARIMA,PatchTST,0.429,0.0,0.857,-0.22,-0.592,0.062
-AutoARIMA,Sundial-Base,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.316,-0.481,-0.143
-AutoARIMA,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,CatBoost,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.068,-0.26,0.11
-AutoARIMA,LightGBM,0.429,0.143,0.718,-0.074,-0.253,0.102
-AutoARIMA,Seasonal Naive,0.786,0.5,1.0,0.126,-0.02,0.223
-CatBoost,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.462,-0.581,-0.352
-CatBoost,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.428,-0.524,-0.337
-CatBoost,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.413,-0.539,-0.297
-CatBoost,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.39,-0.492,-0.289
-CatBoost,TFT,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.265,-0.409,-0.116
-CatBoost,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.343,-0.484,-0.206
-CatBoost,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.305,-0.426,-0.206
-CatBoost,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.305,-0.426,-0.206
-CatBoost,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.29,-0.399,-0.189
-CatBoost,DeepAR,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.256,-0.402,-0.124
-CatBoost,PatchTST,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.143,-0.332,0.051
-CatBoost,Sundial-Base,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.232,-0.305,-0.156
-CatBoost,AutoARIMA,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.064,-0.124,0.207
-CatBoost,CatBoost,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,LightGBM,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.005,-0.026,0.015
-CatBoost,Seasonal Naive,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.181,0.004,0.329
-LightGBM,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.455,-0.566,-0.354
-LightGBM,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.421,-0.503,-0.335
-LightGBM,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.405,-0.53,-0.286
-LightGBM,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.383,-0.478,-0.285
-LightGBM,TFT,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.258,-0.405,-0.103
-LightGBM,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.336,-0.478,-0.192
-LightGBM,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.298,-0.408,-0.201
-LightGBM,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.298,-0.408,-0.201
-LightGBM,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.283,-0.383,-0.19
-LightGBM,DeepAR,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.249,-0.401,-0.111
-LightGBM,PatchTST,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.137,-0.344,0.07
-LightGBM,Sundial-Base,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.225,-0.298,-0.155
-LightGBM,AutoARIMA,0.571,0.282,0.857,0.069,-0.114,0.202
-LightGBM,CatBoost,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.005,-0.015,0.025
-LightGBM,LightGBM,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,Seasonal Naive,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.186,0.007,0.338
+Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.12,-0.208,-0.056
+Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.094,-0.161,-0.046
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.098,-0.195,-0.029
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.092,-0.184,-0.024
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.089,-0.173,-0.028
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.082,-0.176,-0.025
+Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.065,-0.129,-0.022
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.041,-0.08,-0.015
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.068,-0.173,0.005
+Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,0.031,-0.138,0.199
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.005,-0.12,0.077
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.029,-0.124,0.038
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.012,-0.077,0.088
+Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.373,0.248,0.474
+Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.12,-0.208,-0.056
+Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.094,-0.161,-0.046
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.098,-0.195,-0.029
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.092,-0.184,-0.024
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.089,-0.173,-0.028
+Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.082,-0.176,-0.025
+Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.065,-0.129,-0.022
+Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.041,-0.08,-0.015
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.068,-0.173,0.005
+Moirai-2.0,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,0.031,-0.138,0.199
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.005,-0.12,0.077
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.029,-0.124,0.038
+Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.012,-0.077,0.088
+Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.373,0.248,0.474
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.787,-1.087,-0.531
 Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.744,-1.092,-0.458
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.751,-1.054,-0.497
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.742,-1.042,-0.487
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.736,-1.042,-0.476
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.726,-1.023,-0.482
 Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.698,-1.017,-0.431
+Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.661,-1.007,-0.366
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.702,-0.977,-0.46
 Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.545,-0.89,-0.28
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.603,-0.837,-0.4
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.64,-0.897,-0.416
-Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.594,-0.902,-0.329
-Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.594,-0.902,-0.329
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.576,-0.849,-0.366
-Seasonal Naive,DeepAR,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.534,-0.811,-0.303
-Seasonal Naive,PatchTST,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.396,-0.747,-0.128
-Seasonal Naive,Sundial-Base,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.505,-0.749,-0.296
-Seasonal Naive,AutoARIMA,0.214,0.0,0.5,-0.144,-0.286,0.02
-Seasonal Naive,CatBoost,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.222,-0.489,-0.004
-Seasonal Naive,LightGBM,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.228,-0.511,-0.007
+Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.594,-0.902,-0.329
+Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.594,-0.902,-0.329
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_mobility/pairwise_WAPE.csv

@@ -1,257 +1,257 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.429,0.143,0.714,0.02,-0.008,0.067
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.143,0.714,0.025,-0.01,0.082
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.143,0.714,0.028,-0.01,0.083
 Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.018,-0.024,0.065
 Chronos-2,FlowState,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.04,0.004,0.081
+Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.061,0.008,0.13
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.048,0.009,0.112
 Chronos-2,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.039,0.011,0.084
 Chronos-2,TFT,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.113,0.018,0.255
 Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.074,0.03,0.134
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.11,0.045,0.18
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.082,0.049,0.113
-Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.083,0.038,0.134
 Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.083,0.038,0.134
-Chronos-2,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.106,0.06,0.154
-Chronos-2,DeepAR,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.131,0.048,0.222
-Chronos-2,PatchTST,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.174,0.062,0.296
-Chronos-2,CatBoost,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.152,0.084,0.214
-Chronos-2,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.149,0.09,0.203
-Chronos-2,Stat. Ensemble,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.267,0.178,0.34
+Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.083,0.038,0.134
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.314,0.232,0.391
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.571,0.286,0.857,-0.02,-0.072,0.008
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.006,-0.002,0.016
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.008,-0.003,0.02
+Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.001,-0.035,0.035
+Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.021,-0.013,0.061
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.042,-0.012,0.12
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.029,0.01,0.051
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.019,0.01,0.03
+Toto-2.0-1B,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.095,-0.026,0.244
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.056,0.031,0.083
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.092,0.039,0.143
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.063,0.025,0.097
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.065,0.022,0.12
+Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.065,0.022,0.12
+Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.3,0.224,0.371
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.571,0.286,0.857,-0.026,-0.09,0.01
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.006,-0.017,0.002
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.002,-0.006,0.013
+Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.007,-0.047,0.033
+Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.015,-0.025,0.057
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.036,-0.024,0.116
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.023,0.005,0.039
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.014,-0.005,0.03
+Toto-2.0-313m,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.09,-0.041,0.244
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.05,0.028,0.075
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.087,0.036,0.139
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.058,0.011,0.098
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.06,0.012,0.116
+Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.06,0.012,0.116
+Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.296,0.218,0.369
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.571,0.286,0.857,-0.028,-0.09,0.01
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.008,-0.02,0.003
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.002,-0.013,0.006
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.009,-0.047,0.026
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.013,-0.022,0.05
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.034,-0.02,0.104
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.021,-0.005,0.042
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.011,-0.008,0.027
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.088,-0.043,0.24
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.048,0.019,0.074
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.085,0.029,0.14
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.056,0.013,0.093
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.057,0.017,0.104
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.057,0.017,0.104
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.295,0.215,0.366
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.019,-0.069,0.024
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.001,-0.036,0.034
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.007,-0.035,0.045
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.009,-0.027,0.045
 TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.022,0.007,0.037
+TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,1.0,0.043,-0.004,0.104
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.03,-0.023,0.081
 TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.021,-0.017,0.056
 TimesFM-2.5,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.096,-0.01,0.224
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.057,-0.003,0.111
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.093,0.007,0.173
 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.064,0.035,0.097
-TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.066,0.024,0.118
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.066,0.024,0.118
-TimesFM-2.5,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.089,0.047,0.134
-TimesFM-2.5,DeepAR,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.115,0.041,0.183
-TimesFM-2.5,PatchTST,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.159,0.067,0.258
-TimesFM-2.5,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.136,0.078,0.19
-TimesFM-2.5,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.133,0.081,0.178
-TimesFM-2.5,Stat. Ensemble,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.253,0.155,0.341
+TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.066,0.024,0.118
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.301,0.204,0.392
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.042,-0.088,-0.004
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.021,-0.065,0.012
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.016,-0.06,0.024
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.013,-0.052,0.021
 FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.023,-0.039,-0.007
 FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.021,-0.021,0.077
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.008,-0.054,0.06
 FlowState,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.002,-0.043,0.031
 FlowState,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.076,-0.033,0.205
 FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.035,-0.029,0.088
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.072,-0.015,0.151
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.043,0.023,0.067
-FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.045,0.007,0.088
 FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.045,0.007,0.088
-FlowState,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.068,0.034,0.104
-FlowState,DeepAR,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.095,0.01,0.169
-FlowState,PatchTST,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.139,0.042,0.243
-FlowState,CatBoost,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.117,0.056,0.171
-FlowState,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.113,0.06,0.16
-FlowState,Stat. Ensemble,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.236,0.143,0.321
+FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.045,0.007,0.088
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.285,0.189,0.371
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.065,-0.149,-0.008
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.043,-0.136,0.012
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.038,-0.131,0.023
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.035,-0.116,0.02
+TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.0,0.857,-0.045,-0.116,0.004
+TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.022,-0.084,0.02
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.013,-0.121,0.057
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.023,-0.113,0.029
+TabPFN-TS-3,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.056,-0.099,0.215
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.015,-0.094,0.083
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.052,-0.07,0.139
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.022,-0.05,0.073
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.024,-0.016,0.062
+TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.024,-0.016,0.062
+TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.27,0.138,0.362
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.051,-0.127,-0.009
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.03,-0.054,-0.01
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.024,-0.041,-0.005
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.022,-0.044,0.005
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+Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.008,-0.064,0.051
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.013,-0.061,0.108
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.01,-0.036,0.011
+Toto-2.0-22m,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.068,-0.079,0.229
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.027,0.015,0.041
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.065,0.025,0.109
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.035,-0.018,0.083
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.037,-0.018,0.103
+Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.037,-0.018,0.103
+Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.28,0.212,0.347
 TiRex,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.04,-0.091,-0.011
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.02,-0.031,-0.01
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.014,-0.031,0.005
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.012,-0.028,0.008
 TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.021,-0.059,0.016
 TiRex,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.002,-0.031,0.041
+TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.023,-0.03,0.101
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.01,-0.011,0.034
 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TiRex,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.077,-0.044,0.226
 TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.037,0.012,0.063
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.074,0.019,0.125
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.045,0.01,0.078
-TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.047,0.006,0.101
 TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.047,0.006,0.101
-TiRex,Sundial-Base,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.07,0.022,0.12
-TiRex,DeepAR,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.096,0.033,0.157
-TiRex,PatchTST,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.141,0.051,0.248
-TiRex,CatBoost,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.118,0.043,0.189
-TiRex,LightGBM,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.115,0.041,0.182
-TiRex,Stat. Ensemble,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.237,0.146,0.318
+TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.047,0.006,0.101
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.287,0.21,0.357
 TFT,Chronos-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.127,-0.342,-0.018
+TFT,Toto-2.0-1B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.105,-0.322,0.025
+TFT,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.099,-0.323,0.04
+TFT,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.096,-0.317,0.041
 TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.107,-0.289,0.01
 TFT,FlowState,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.082,-0.258,0.032
+TFT,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.059,-0.273,0.09
+TFT,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.073,-0.296,0.073
 TFT,TiRex,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.084,-0.292,0.042
 TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TFT,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.044,-0.269,0.099
+TFT,Toto-2.0-4m,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.004,-0.235,0.154
 TFT,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.429,1.0,-0.035,-0.202,0.071
-TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.033,-0.24,0.101
 TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.033,-0.24,0.101
-TFT,Sundial-Base,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.008,-0.139,0.08
-TFT,DeepAR,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.02,-0.136,0.153
-TFT,PatchTST,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.069,0.002,0.157
-TFT,CatBoost,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.044,-0.072,0.132
-TFT,LightGBM,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.041,-0.078,0.126
-TFT,Stat. Ensemble,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.173,-0.047,0.327
+TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.033,-0.24,0.101
 TFT,Seasonal Naive,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.227,0.023,0.368
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.08,-0.155,-0.031
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.059,-0.09,-0.032
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.053,-0.081,-0.029
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.05,-0.08,-0.019
 Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.06,-0.125,0.003
 Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.037,-0.096,0.028
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.015,-0.09,0.086
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.028,-0.042,-0.015
 Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.038,-0.067,-0.013
 Toto-1.0,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.042,-0.11,0.212
 Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.038,0.004,0.084
 Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.008,-0.055,0.066
-Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.01,-0.044,0.076
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.01,-0.044,0.076
-Toto-1.0,Sundial-Base,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.034,-0.036,0.105
-Toto-1.0,DeepAR,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.061,0.002,0.119
-Toto-1.0,PatchTST,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.108,0.013,0.235
-Toto-1.0,CatBoost,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.084,-0.014,0.172
-Toto-1.0,LightGBM,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.081,-0.02,0.168
-Toto-1.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.208,0.105,0.297
+Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.01,-0.044,0.076
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.259,0.186,0.328
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.123,-0.219,-0.047
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.101,-0.167,-0.04
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.095,-0.161,-0.037
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.092,-0.162,-0.029
+Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.103,-0.209,-0.007
+Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.078,-0.178,0.014
+Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.055,-0.162,0.065
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.069,-0.122,-0.025
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.08,-0.142,-0.02
+Toto-2.0-4m,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.004,-0.183,0.19
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.04,-0.091,-0.004
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.032,-0.11,0.047
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.143,0.861,-0.03,-0.114,0.061
+Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.143,0.861,-0.03,-0.114,0.061
+Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.23,0.179,0.276
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.089,-0.128,-0.052
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.067,-0.108,-0.026
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.061,-0.108,-0.011
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.059,-0.102,-0.013
 TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.069,-0.108,-0.036
 TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.045,-0.072,-0.023
+TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.023,-0.079,0.047
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.037,-0.091,0.017
 TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.047,-0.085,-0.01
 TabPFN-TS,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,0.034,-0.077,0.168
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.008,-0.071,0.052
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.031,-0.049,0.099
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.286,1.0,0.002,-0.05,0.054
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.286,1.0,0.002,-0.05,0.054
-TabPFN-TS,Sundial-Base,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.026,-0.003,0.06
-TabPFN-TS,DeepAR,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.054,-0.032,0.137
-TabPFN-TS,PatchTST,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.101,-0.002,0.212
-TabPFN-TS,CatBoost,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.077,-0.003,0.142
-TabPFN-TS,LightGBM,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.073,0.006,0.131
-TabPFN-TS,Stat. Ensemble,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.201,0.111,0.282
+TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.286,1.0,0.002,-0.05,0.054
 TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.253,0.163,0.331
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.091,-0.155,-0.04
-Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.071,-0.134,-0.025
-Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.047,-0.096,-0.007
-Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.049,-0.112,-0.006
-Moirai-2.0,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.032,-0.112,0.193
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.01,-0.083,0.042
-Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.429,0.0,0.714,-0.002,-0.057,0.047
-Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,Sundial-Base,0.429,0.0,0.714,0.024,-0.026,0.082
-Moirai-2.0,DeepAR,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.052,-0.051,0.139
-Moirai-2.0,PatchTST,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.099,-0.026,0.23
-Moirai-2.0,CatBoost,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.075,0.003,0.151
-Moirai-2.0,LightGBM,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.072,-0.001,0.143
-Moirai-2.0,Stat. Ensemble,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.2,0.116,0.287
-Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.252,0.148,0.333
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.091,-0.155,-0.04
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.069,-0.136,-0.023
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.063,-0.131,-0.012
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.061,-0.116,-0.017
 Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.071,-0.134,-0.025
 Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.047,-0.096,-0.007
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.025,-0.066,0.016
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.038,-0.115,0.018
 Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.049,-0.112,-0.006
 Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.032,-0.112,0.193
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.01,-0.083,0.042
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.429,0.139,0.857,0.029,-0.065,0.103
 Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.429,0.0,0.714,-0.002,-0.057,0.047
-Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,0.429,0.0,0.714,0.024,-0.026,0.082
-Chronos-Bolt,DeepAR,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.052,-0.051,0.139
-Chronos-Bolt,PatchTST,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.099,-0.026,0.23
-Chronos-Bolt,CatBoost,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.075,0.003,0.151
-Chronos-Bolt,LightGBM,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.072,-0.001,0.143
-Chronos-Bolt,Stat. Ensemble,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.2,0.116,0.287
+Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.252,0.148,0.333
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.118,-0.182,-0.064
-Sundial-Base,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.097,-0.155,-0.049
-Sundial-Base,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.073,-0.116,-0.035
-Sundial-Base,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.075,-0.137,-0.022
-Sundial-Base,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.008,-0.087,0.122
-Sundial-Base,Toto-1.0,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.035,-0.117,0.035
-Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.027,-0.064,0.003
-Sundial-Base,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.286,1.0,-0.025,-0.089,0.026
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.286,1.0,-0.025,-0.089,0.026
-Sundial-Base,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,DeepAR,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.028,-0.056,0.119
-Sundial-Base,PatchTST,0.429,0.0,0.857,0.077,-0.02,0.174
-Sundial-Base,CatBoost,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.052,-0.014,0.109
-Sundial-Base,LightGBM,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.049,-0.009,0.105
-Sundial-Base,Stat. Ensemble,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.18,0.071,0.27
-Sundial-Base,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.233,0.129,0.32
-DeepAR,Chronos-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.151,-0.285,-0.051
-DeepAR,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.13,-0.224,-0.043
-DeepAR,FlowState,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.104,-0.204,-0.01
-DeepAR,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.106,-0.186,-0.034
-DeepAR,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.021,-0.18,0.12
-DeepAR,Toto-1.0,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.065,-0.135,-0.002
-DeepAR,TabPFN-TS,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.057,-0.159,0.031
-DeepAR,Moirai-2.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.055,-0.162,0.048
-DeepAR,Chronos-Bolt,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.055,-0.162,0.048
-DeepAR,Sundial-Base,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.029,-0.136,0.053
-DeepAR,DeepAR,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,PatchTST,0.429,0.0,0.718,0.049,-0.024,0.144
-DeepAR,CatBoost,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.024,-0.079,0.111
-DeepAR,LightGBM,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.021,-0.092,0.109
-DeepAR,Stat. Ensemble,0.571,0.143,1.0,0.156,0.001,0.294
-DeepAR,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.211,0.103,0.314
-PatchTST,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.211,-0.42,-0.066
-PatchTST,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.188,-0.348,-0.071
-PatchTST,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.162,-0.32,-0.044
-PatchTST,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.164,-0.331,-0.054
-PatchTST,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.074,-0.187,-0.002
-PatchTST,Toto-1.0,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.121,-0.306,-0.013
-PatchTST,TabPFN-TS,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.112,-0.269,0.002
-PatchTST,Moirai-2.0,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.11,-0.299,0.025
-PatchTST,Chronos-Bolt,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.11,-0.299,0.025
-PatchTST,Sundial-Base,0.571,0.143,1.0,-0.083,-0.21,0.019
-PatchTST,DeepAR,0.571,0.282,1.0,-0.052,-0.168,0.023
-PatchTST,PatchTST,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,CatBoost,0.571,0.286,0.857,-0.026,-0.149,0.068
-PatchTST,LightGBM,0.571,0.286,0.857,-0.03,-0.165,0.071
-PatchTST,Stat. Ensemble,0.571,0.143,1.0,0.112,-0.123,0.276
-PatchTST,Seasonal Naive,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.17,-0.015,0.309
-CatBoost,Chronos-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.18,-0.272,-0.092
-CatBoost,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.158,-0.234,-0.084
-CatBoost,FlowState,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.132,-0.206,-0.059
-CatBoost,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.134,-0.234,-0.045
-CatBoost,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.046,-0.152,0.067
-CatBoost,Toto-1.0,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.092,-0.208,0.014
-CatBoost,TabPFN-TS,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.083,-0.165,0.003
-CatBoost,Moirai-2.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.081,-0.177,-0.003
-CatBoost,Chronos-Bolt,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.081,-0.177,-0.003
-CatBoost,Sundial-Base,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.055,-0.123,0.014
-CatBoost,DeepAR,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.025,-0.125,0.073
-CatBoost,PatchTST,0.429,0.143,0.714,0.026,-0.073,0.13
-CatBoost,CatBoost,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,LightGBM,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.004,-0.023,0.015
-CatBoost,Stat. Ensemble,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.135,-0.027,0.273
-CatBoost,Seasonal Naive,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.191,0.039,0.324
-LightGBM,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.175,-0.255,-0.099
-LightGBM,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.153,-0.216,-0.088
-LightGBM,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.128,-0.191,-0.064
-LightGBM,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.13,-0.222,-0.042
-LightGBM,TFT,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.042,-0.144,0.073
-LightGBM,Toto-1.0,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.088,-0.202,0.019
-LightGBM,TabPFN-TS,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.079,-0.151,-0.006
-LightGBM,Moirai-2.0,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.077,-0.167,0.001
-LightGBM,Chronos-Bolt,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.077,-0.167,0.001
-LightGBM,Sundial-Base,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.051,-0.118,0.009
-LightGBM,DeepAR,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.021,-0.123,0.084
-LightGBM,PatchTST,0.429,0.143,0.714,0.029,-0.077,0.142
-LightGBM,CatBoost,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.004,-0.015,0.023
-LightGBM,LightGBM,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,Stat. Ensemble,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.138,-0.011,0.265
-LightGBM,Seasonal Naive,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.194,0.043,0.323
-Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.363,-0.516,-0.216
-Stat. Ensemble,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.338,-0.518,-0.184
-Stat. Ensemble,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.308,-0.473,-0.167
-Stat. Ensemble,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.311,-0.466,-0.171
-Stat. Ensemble,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.209,-0.485,0.045
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-1.0,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.262,-0.423,-0.117
-Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.252,-0.393,-0.125
-Stat. Ensemble,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.25,-0.402,-0.131
-Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.25,-0.402,-0.131
-Stat. Ensemble,Sundial-Base,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.219,-0.37,-0.076
-Stat. Ensemble,DeepAR,0.429,0.0,0.857,-0.185,-0.417,-0.001
-Stat. Ensemble,PatchTST,0.429,0.0,0.857,-0.126,-0.382,0.11
-Stat. Ensemble,CatBoost,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.156,-0.376,0.027
-Stat. Ensemble,LightGBM,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.16,-0.361,0.011
-Stat. Ensemble,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,Seasonal Naive,0.786,0.5,1.0,0.065,-0.036,0.134
+Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.091,-0.155,-0.04
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.069,-0.136,-0.023
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.063,-0.131,-0.012
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.061,-0.116,-0.017
+Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.071,-0.134,-0.025
+Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.047,-0.096,-0.007
+Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.025,-0.066,0.016
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.038,-0.115,0.018
+Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.049,-0.112,-0.006
+Moirai-2.0,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.032,-0.112,0.193
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.01,-0.083,0.042
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.429,0.139,0.857,0.029,-0.065,0.103
+Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.429,0.0,0.714,-0.002,-0.057,0.047
+Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.252,0.148,0.333
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.458,-0.643,-0.303
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.429,-0.591,-0.289
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.421,-0.584,-0.279
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.418,-0.577,-0.274
 Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.431,-0.644,-0.257
 Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.399,-0.59,-0.233
+Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.37,-0.567,-0.16
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.388,-0.53,-0.269
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.402,-0.555,-0.267
 Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.293,-0.583,-0.023
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.35,-0.487,-0.228
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.298,-0.382,-0.217
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.339,-0.495,-0.195
-Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.337,-0.499,-0.174
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.337,-0.499,-0.174
-Seasonal Naive,Sundial-Base,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.304,-0.47,-0.149
-Seasonal Naive,DeepAR,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.267,-0.458,-0.115
-Seasonal Naive,PatchTST,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.204,-0.446,0.015
-Seasonal Naive,CatBoost,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.236,-0.479,-0.041
-Seasonal Naive,LightGBM,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.241,-0.476,-0.045
-Seasonal Naive,Stat. Ensemble,0.214,0.0,0.5,-0.07,-0.154,0.035
+Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.337,-0.499,-0.174
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_mobility/pairwise_WQL.csv

@@ -1,257 +1,290 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.023,-0.013,0.065
-Chronos-2,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.037,0.014,0.072
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.017,-0.011,0.06
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.143,0.714,0.024,-0.011,0.075
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.026,-0.011,0.079
+Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.062,0.008,0.137
 Chronos-2,FlowState,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.048,0.014,0.086
+Chronos-2,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.037,0.014,0.072
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.046,0.006,0.107
 Chronos-2,TFT,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.122,0.025,0.267
-Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.079,0.044,0.129
 Chronos-2,DeepAR,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.132,0.051,0.216
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.105,0.046,0.169
+Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.079,0.044,0.129
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.109,0.058,0.168
-Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.109,0.05,0.179
 Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.109,0.05,0.179
-Chronos-2,PatchTST,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.219,0.067,0.383
-Chronos-2,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.158,0.123,0.197
-Chronos-2,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.364,0.247,0.444
-Chronos-2,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.314,0.255,0.366
-Chronos-2,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.311,0.26,0.36
+Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.109,0.05,0.179
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.445,0.347,0.528
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.024,-0.07,0.013
 TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.014,-0.025,0.047
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.006,-0.053,0.031
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.001,-0.04,0.04
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.002,-0.049,0.048
+TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.039,-0.001,0.094
 TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.025,0.015,0.036
+TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.014,-0.025,0.047
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.023,-0.039,0.08
 TimesFM-2.5,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.101,-0.006,0.24
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.057,0.004,0.105
 TimesFM-2.5,DeepAR,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.111,0.022,0.187
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.084,0.001,0.163
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.057,0.004,0.105
 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.088,0.042,0.134
-TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.088,0.043,0.149
 TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.088,0.043,0.149
-TimesFM-2.5,PatchTST,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.201,0.054,0.359
-TimesFM-2.5,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.138,0.104,0.173
-TimesFM-2.5,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.349,0.237,0.43
-TimesFM-2.5,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.297,0.247,0.342
-TimesFM-2.5,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.295,0.249,0.333
+TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.088,0.043,0.149
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.432,0.315,0.529
-TiRex,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.038,-0.078,-0.015
-TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.014,-0.049,0.024
-TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.011,-0.016,0.046
-TiRex,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.088,-0.023,0.237
-TiRex,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.043,0.026,0.064
-TiRex,DeepAR,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.098,0.032,0.162
-TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.075,0.013,0.139
-TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.075,0.017,0.156
-TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.075,0.017,0.156
-TiRex,PatchTST,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.189,0.052,0.357
-TiRex,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.125,0.081,0.169
-TiRex,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.339,0.218,0.429
-TiRex,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.287,0.221,0.347
-TiRex,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.285,0.217,0.342
-TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.424,0.325,0.511
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.018,-0.064,0.011
+Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.006,-0.032,0.05
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.007,-0.004,0.019
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.008,-0.001,0.022
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.045,-0.012,0.127
+Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.031,-0.002,0.073
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.02,0.006,0.035
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.029,0.01,0.052
+Toto-2.0-1B,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.107,-0.013,0.261
+Toto-2.0-1B,DeepAR,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.116,0.047,0.182
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.089,0.043,0.135
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.063,0.042,0.084
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.094,0.031,0.161
+Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.094,0.03,0.174
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.094,0.03,0.174
+Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.436,0.333,0.522
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.571,0.286,0.857,-0.025,-0.081,0.011
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.001,-0.042,0.038
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.007,-0.02,0.004
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.139,0.857,0.001,-0.009,0.009
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.038,-0.019,0.114
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.024,-0.01,0.06
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.013,-0.008,0.031
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.022,-0.0,0.042
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TFT,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.1,-0.028,0.257
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,DeepAR,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.11,0.039,0.172
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.082,0.034,0.131
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.056,0.033,0.077
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.087,0.019,0.157
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.087,0.027,0.16
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.087,0.027,0.16
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.432,0.323,0.521
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.026,-0.086,0.011
+Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.002,-0.051,0.046
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.009,-0.022,0.001
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.571,0.143,0.861,-0.001,-0.009,0.009
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.037,-0.03,0.122
+Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.023,-0.019,0.068
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.012,-0.012,0.032
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.021,0.007,0.035
+Toto-2.0-313m,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.099,-0.032,0.257
+Toto-2.0-313m,DeepAR,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.109,0.041,0.17
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.081,0.038,0.127
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.055,0.036,0.075
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.086,0.015,0.158
+Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.086,0.019,0.168
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.086,0.019,0.168
+Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.431,0.326,0.518
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.066,-0.159,-0.008
+TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.041,-0.104,0.001
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.047,-0.145,0.012
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.04,-0.129,0.019
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.038,-0.139,0.029
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.714,0.286,1.0,-0.014,-0.075,0.022
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.026,-0.119,0.026
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.017,-0.132,0.058
+TabPFN-TS-3,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.064,-0.093,0.23
+TabPFN-TS-3,DeepAR,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.075,-0.068,0.18
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.046,-0.078,0.134
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.018,-0.086,0.083
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.051,-0.033,0.119
+TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.051,0.029,0.085
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.051,0.029,0.085
+TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.409,0.27,0.515
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.05,-0.094,-0.014
 FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.026,-0.037,-0.015
-FlowState,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.012,-0.049,0.016
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.032,-0.079,0.002
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.025,-0.063,0.01
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.024,-0.073,0.019
+FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.286,0.0,0.714,0.014,-0.022,0.069
 FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.012,-0.049,0.016
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.002,-0.065,0.051
 FlowState,TFT,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.078,-0.035,0.221
-FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.032,-0.019,0.076
 FlowState,DeepAR,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.088,-0.002,0.167
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.06,-0.019,0.133
+FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.032,-0.019,0.076
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.064,0.021,0.112
-FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.065,0.02,0.123
 FlowState,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.065,0.02,0.123
-FlowState,PatchTST,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.18,0.027,0.345
-FlowState,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.115,0.081,0.148
-FlowState,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.332,0.225,0.413
-FlowState,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.279,0.223,0.327
-FlowState,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.276,0.221,0.321
+FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.065,0.02,0.123
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.418,0.304,0.514
+TiRex,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.038,-0.078,-0.015
+TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.014,-0.049,0.024
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.02,-0.037,-0.006
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.013,-0.032,0.007
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.012,-0.034,0.012
+TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.026,-0.027,0.107
+TiRex,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.011,-0.016,0.046
+TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.009,-0.017,0.041
+TiRex,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.088,-0.023,0.237
+TiRex,DeepAR,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.098,0.032,0.162
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.07,0.018,0.12
+TiRex,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.043,0.026,0.064
+TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.075,0.013,0.139
+TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.075,0.017,0.156
+TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.075,0.017,0.156
+TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.424,0.325,0.511
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.048,-0.12,-0.007
+Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.024,-0.086,0.038
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.03,-0.055,-0.01
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.022,-0.044,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.021,-0.037,-0.007
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.017,-0.062,0.117
+Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.002,-0.054,0.061
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.009,-0.042,0.017
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.08,-0.064,0.248
+Toto-2.0-22m,DeepAR,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.09,0.027,0.15
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.062,0.026,0.101
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.035,0.019,0.05
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.067,-0.017,0.149
+Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.067,-0.009,0.156
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.067,-0.009,0.156
+Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.419,0.32,0.502
 TFT,Chronos-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.139,-0.364,-0.026
 TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.113,-0.315,0.006
-TFT,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.097,-0.311,0.022
+TFT,Toto-2.0-1B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.119,-0.353,0.013
+TFT,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.111,-0.346,0.027
+TFT,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.11,-0.346,0.031
+TFT,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.069,-0.298,0.085
 TFT,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.084,-0.283,0.034
+TFT,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.097,-0.311,0.022
+TFT,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.087,-0.329,0.06
 TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TFT,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.049,-0.268,0.085
 TFT,DeepAR,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.011,-0.149,0.139
+TFT,Toto-2.0-4m,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.02,-0.262,0.136
+TFT,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.049,-0.268,0.085
 TFT,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.429,1.0,-0.014,-0.142,0.075
-TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,-0.014,-0.221,0.136
 TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.714,0.429,1.0,-0.014,-0.221,0.136
-TFT,PatchTST,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.111,0.037,0.199
-TFT,Sundial-Base,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.04,-0.101,0.132
-TFT,AutoARIMA,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.275,0.102,0.414
-TFT,CatBoost,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.218,0.115,0.296
-TFT,LightGBM,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.215,0.104,0.294
+TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,-0.014,-0.221,0.136
 TFT,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.368,0.241,0.486
-Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.085,-0.149,-0.046
-Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.06,-0.118,-0.004
-Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.045,-0.068,-0.027
-Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.033,-0.083,0.019
-Toto-1.0,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.047,-0.093,0.211
-Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,DeepAR,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.057,-0.003,0.114
-Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.033,-0.05,0.11
-Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.033,-0.037,0.12
-Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.033,-0.037,0.12
-Toto-1.0,PatchTST,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.152,0.015,0.332
-Toto-1.0,Sundial-Base,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.086,0.022,0.142
-Toto-1.0,AutoARIMA,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.309,0.177,0.408
-Toto-1.0,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.255,0.172,0.326
-Toto-1.0,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.252,0.165,0.322
-Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.398,0.296,0.483
 DeepAR,Chronos-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.152,-0.275,-0.053
 DeepAR,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.125,-0.231,-0.023
-DeepAR,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.109,-0.193,-0.033
+DeepAR,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.132,-0.222,-0.049
+DeepAR,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.123,-0.208,-0.04
+DeepAR,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.122,-0.205,-0.043
+DeepAR,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.081,-0.219,0.064
 DeepAR,FlowState,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.096,-0.2,0.002
+DeepAR,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.109,-0.193,-0.033
+DeepAR,Toto-2.0-22m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.099,-0.177,-0.027
 DeepAR,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.011,-0.162,0.13
-DeepAR,Toto-1.0,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.061,-0.128,0.003
 DeepAR,DeepAR,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,Toto-2.0-4m,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.031,-0.128,0.061
+DeepAR,Toto-1.0,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.061,-0.128,0.003
 DeepAR,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.026,-0.144,0.07
-DeepAR,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.143,1.0,-0.026,-0.155,0.105
 DeepAR,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.143,1.0,-0.026,-0.155,0.105
-DeepAR,PatchTST,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.101,-0.011,0.261
-DeepAR,Sundial-Base,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.03,-0.076,0.115
-DeepAR,AutoARIMA,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.267,0.087,0.403
-DeepAR,CatBoost,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.21,0.115,0.289
-DeepAR,LightGBM,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.207,0.105,0.288
+DeepAR,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.143,1.0,-0.026,-0.155,0.105
 DeepAR,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.361,0.239,0.468
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.117,-0.203,-0.048
+Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.091,-0.195,-0.001
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.098,-0.157,-0.045
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.09,-0.151,-0.035
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.089,-0.145,-0.039
+Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.048,-0.155,0.073
+Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.064,-0.154,0.019
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.076,-0.136,-0.018
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.066,-0.113,-0.026
+Toto-2.0-4m,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.019,-0.157,0.208
+Toto-2.0-4m,DeepAR,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.03,-0.065,0.113
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.029,-0.079,0.011
+Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.005,-0.099,0.113
+Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.005,-0.092,0.117
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.005,-0.092,0.117
+Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.381,0.287,0.465
+Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.085,-0.149,-0.046
+Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.06,-0.118,-0.004
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.067,-0.092,-0.044
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.059,-0.083,-0.034
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.058,-0.081,-0.037
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.019,-0.091,0.079
+Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.033,-0.083,0.019
+Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.045,-0.068,-0.027
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.036,-0.053,-0.019
+Toto-1.0,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.047,-0.093,0.211
+Toto-1.0,DeepAR,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.057,-0.003,0.114
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.028,-0.012,0.073
+Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.033,-0.05,0.11
+Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.033,-0.037,0.12
+Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.033,-0.037,0.12
+Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.398,0.296,0.483
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.123,-0.202,-0.061
 TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.097,-0.154,-0.044
-TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.081,-0.161,-0.013
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.103,-0.191,-0.032
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.095,-0.186,-0.02
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.094,-0.187,-0.015
+TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.054,-0.135,0.032
 TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.069,-0.126,-0.022
+TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.081,-0.161,-0.013
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.071,-0.175,0.017
 TabPFN-TS,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,0.014,-0.081,0.124
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.034,-0.124,0.047
 TabPFN-TS,DeepAR,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.025,-0.075,0.126
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.005,-0.127,0.09
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.034,-0.124,0.047
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.286,1.0,0.0,-0.087,0.086
 TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.286,1.0,0.0,-0.087,0.086
-TabPFN-TS,PatchTST,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.123,-0.021,0.271
-TabPFN-TS,Sundial-Base,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.054,0.021,0.093
-TabPFN-TS,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.286,0.182,0.383
-TabPFN-TS,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.229,0.167,0.289
-TabPFN-TS,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.226,0.171,0.281
+TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.286,1.0,0.0,-0.087,0.086
 TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.377,0.276,0.476
-Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.123,-0.218,-0.052
-Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.097,-0.175,-0.045
-Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.081,-0.185,-0.017
-Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.069,-0.14,-0.021
-Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,0.014,-0.158,0.181
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.035,-0.136,0.036
-Chronos-Bolt,DeepAR,0.429,0.0,0.857,0.025,-0.117,0.134
-Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.429,0.0,0.714,-0.0,-0.094,0.08
-Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,PatchTST,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.123,-0.075,0.313
-Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.054,-0.008,0.102
-Chronos-Bolt,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.286,0.176,0.361
-Chronos-Bolt,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.229,0.167,0.293
-Chronos-Bolt,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.226,0.166,0.286
-Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.377,0.246,0.48
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.123,-0.218,-0.052
 Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.097,-0.175,-0.045
-Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.081,-0.185,-0.017
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.104,-0.21,-0.031
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.095,-0.19,-0.027
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.094,-0.201,-0.019
+Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.054,-0.093,-0.03
 Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.069,-0.14,-0.021
+Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.081,-0.185,-0.017
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.072,-0.185,0.009
 Moirai-2.0,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,0.014,-0.158,0.181
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.035,-0.136,0.036
 Moirai-2.0,DeepAR,0.429,0.0,0.857,0.025,-0.117,0.134
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.005,-0.132,0.084
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.035,-0.136,0.036
 Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.429,0.0,0.714,-0.0,-0.094,0.08
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,PatchTST,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.123,-0.075,0.313
-Moirai-2.0,Sundial-Base,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.054,-0.008,0.102
-Moirai-2.0,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.286,0.176,0.361
-Moirai-2.0,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.229,0.167,0.293
-Moirai-2.0,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.226,0.166,0.286
+Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.377,0.246,0.48
-PatchTST,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.281,-0.62,-0.072
-PatchTST,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.251,-0.56,-0.057
-PatchTST,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.233,-0.555,-0.055
-PatchTST,FlowState,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.219,-0.527,-0.028
-PatchTST,TFT,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.124,-0.249,-0.038
-PatchTST,Toto-1.0,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.18,-0.497,-0.015
-PatchTST,DeepAR,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.112,-0.353,0.011
-PatchTST,TabPFN-TS,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.141,-0.372,0.021
-PatchTST,Chronos-Bolt,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.141,-0.456,0.07
-PatchTST,Moirai-2.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.141,-0.456,0.07
-PatchTST,PatchTST,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,Sundial-Base,0.571,0.143,1.0,-0.079,-0.325,0.091
-PatchTST,AutoARIMA,0.571,0.143,1.0,0.185,-0.072,0.38
-PatchTST,CatBoost,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.121,-0.071,0.255
-PatchTST,LightGBM,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.118,-0.089,0.255
-PatchTST,Seasonal Naive,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.29,0.12,0.434
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.187,-0.246,-0.141
-Sundial-Base,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.16,-0.209,-0.116
-Sundial-Base,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.143,-0.204,-0.088
-Sundial-Base,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.13,-0.173,-0.088
-Sundial-Base,TFT,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.042,-0.152,0.092
-Sundial-Base,Toto-1.0,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.094,-0.166,-0.023
-Sundial-Base,DeepAR,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.031,-0.13,0.071
-Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.057,-0.102,-0.021
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-Bolt,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.057,-0.113,0.008
-Sundial-Base,Moirai-2.0,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.057,-0.113,0.008
-Sundial-Base,PatchTST,0.429,0.0,0.857,0.073,-0.1,0.245
-Sundial-Base,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,AutoARIMA,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.245,0.13,0.336
-Sundial-Base,CatBoost,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.185,0.133,0.232
-Sundial-Base,LightGBM,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.182,0.136,0.228
-Sundial-Base,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.342,0.232,0.438
-AutoARIMA,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.572,-0.799,-0.328
-AutoARIMA,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.535,-0.754,-0.311
-AutoARIMA,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.514,-0.752,-0.279
-AutoARIMA,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.496,-0.703,-0.29
-AutoARIMA,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.38,-0.707,-0.114
-AutoARIMA,Toto-1.0,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.448,-0.689,-0.215
-AutoARIMA,DeepAR,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.365,-0.676,-0.095
-AutoARIMA,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.4,-0.621,-0.223
-AutoARIMA,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.4,-0.566,-0.214
-AutoARIMA,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.4,-0.566,-0.214
-AutoARIMA,PatchTST,0.429,0.0,0.857,-0.227,-0.612,0.067
-AutoARIMA,Sundial-Base,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.324,-0.507,-0.149
-AutoARIMA,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,CatBoost,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.079,-0.283,0.109
-AutoARIMA,LightGBM,0.429,0.143,0.718,-0.083,-0.275,0.102
-AutoARIMA,Seasonal Naive,0.786,0.5,1.0,0.128,-0.03,0.229
-CatBoost,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.457,-0.578,-0.342
-CatBoost,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.423,-0.52,-0.328
-CatBoost,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.403,-0.531,-0.283
-CatBoost,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.387,-0.486,-0.287
-CatBoost,TFT,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.279,-0.421,-0.13
-CatBoost,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.342,-0.483,-0.208
-CatBoost,DeepAR,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.265,-0.406,-0.13
-CatBoost,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.298,-0.406,-0.201
-CatBoost,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.298,-0.415,-0.2
-CatBoost,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.298,-0.415,-0.2
-CatBoost,PatchTST,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.138,-0.342,0.066
-CatBoost,Sundial-Base,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.228,-0.302,-0.154
-CatBoost,AutoARIMA,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.073,-0.122,0.221
-CatBoost,CatBoost,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,LightGBM,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.004,-0.023,0.015
-CatBoost,Seasonal Naive,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.192,0.01,0.345
-LightGBM,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.451,-0.563,-0.351
-LightGBM,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.418,-0.499,-0.332
-LightGBM,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.398,-0.521,-0.277
-LightGBM,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.382,-0.474,-0.284
-LightGBM,TFT,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.274,-0.417,-0.116
-LightGBM,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.337,-0.474,-0.197
-LightGBM,DeepAR,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.26,-0.404,-0.117
-LightGBM,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.293,-0.391,-0.206
-LightGBM,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.293,-0.401,-0.199
-LightGBM,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.293,-0.401,-0.199
-LightGBM,PatchTST,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.133,-0.342,0.082
-LightGBM,Sundial-Base,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.223,-0.295,-0.158
-LightGBM,AutoARIMA,0.571,0.282,0.857,0.077,-0.114,0.216
-LightGBM,CatBoost,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.004,-0.015,0.023
-LightGBM,LightGBM,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,Seasonal Naive,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.195,0.012,0.346
+Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.123,-0.218,-0.052
+Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.097,-0.175,-0.045
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.104,-0.21,-0.031
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.095,-0.19,-0.027
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.094,-0.201,-0.019
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.054,-0.093,-0.03
+Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.069,-0.14,-0.021
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.081,-0.185,-0.017
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.072,-0.185,0.009
+Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,0.014,-0.158,0.181
+Chronos-Bolt,DeepAR,0.429,0.0,0.857,0.025,-0.117,0.134
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.005,-0.132,0.084
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.035,-0.136,0.036
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.429,0.0,0.714,-0.0,-0.094,0.08
+Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.377,0.246,0.48
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.803,-1.12,-0.532
 Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.762,-1.122,-0.461
-Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.737,-1.043,-0.481
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.772,-1.094,-0.499
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.759,-1.087,-0.477
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.757,-1.076,-0.483
+Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.692,-1.063,-0.37
 Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.717,-1.057,-0.436
+Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.737,-1.043,-0.481
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.721,-1.008,-0.47
 Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.583,-0.946,-0.318
-Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.661,-0.934,-0.421
 Seasonal Naive,DeepAR,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.566,-0.879,-0.314
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.614,-0.868,-0.403
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.661,-0.934,-0.421
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.606,-0.908,-0.381
-Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.606,-0.925,-0.327
 Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.606,-0.925,-0.327
-Seasonal Naive,PatchTST,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.408,-0.765,-0.137
-Seasonal Naive,Sundial-Base,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.519,-0.778,-0.301
-Seasonal Naive,AutoARIMA,0.214,0.0,0.5,-0.147,-0.298,0.03
-Seasonal Naive,CatBoost,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.238,-0.526,-0.01
-Seasonal Naive,LightGBM,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.242,-0.529,-0.012
+Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.606,-0.925,-0.327
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_nature/leaderboard_MASE.csv

@@ -1,22 +1,28 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Chronos-2,93.0,32.66797317900995,0.0,1.2412635011904762,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,88.00000000000001,29.260350065108376,0.0,0.5982643197619048,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,81.0,29.357226912555344,0.0,3.96545264,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,80.5,28.93605738519158,0.0,0.48393358404761905,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,78.0,29.394157929053712,0.0,8.123959618571428,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,72.50000000000001,27.399232776718353,0.0,0.9636899613636363,0.6,0.0
-Sundial-Base,72.0,27.294413166287423,0.0,8.222455888744589,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,72.0,27.802663844137786,0.0,45.546909770000006,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,60.999999999999986,23.420687735560985,0.0,464.32897872499996,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,57.999999999999986,23.98149756470208,0.0,289.5137977333333,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,53.99999999999999,21.542038924284434,0.0,3.6892116628571427,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,41.99999999999999,17.97726241921238,0.0,74.60550639090908,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,33.0,-29.622695283539358,0.0,12.04727024095238,0.0,0.0
-TFT,26.000000000000007,11.739357763049185,4425.985155724524,3.3604472566666668,0.0,0.0
-Naive,25.999999999999996,7.795601696116828,0.0,1.2708901502164502,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,24.000000000000004,9.449688890714715,3313.3185033727273,3.1006886961904763,0.0,0.0
-Drift,20.0,4.078700196776586,0.0,1.1961910245238094,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,20.0,4.1721599099919455,7.8792804414285715,1.6888857054761903,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,18.0,4.184526702220593,101.213129105,2.2554284954545456,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,17.0,3.384538751976529,4186.5014168181815,5.73706040909091,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,14.000000000000002,0.0,0.0,1.2824682583333336,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,90.00000000000001,32.66797317900995,0.0,1.2412635011904762,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,83.07692307692308,29.260350065108376,0.0,0.5982643197619048,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,80.00000000000001,29.93563029482772,0.0,5.480653777619048,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,79.23076923076924,29.99164696817904,0.0,2.6320384638095238,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,76.92307692307693,29.754752173256584,0.0,1.0491609395238097,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,75.3846153846154,29.357226912555344,0.0,3.96545264,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,74.23076923076923,28.93605738519158,0.0,0.48393358404761905,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,72.3076923076923,29.394157929053712,0.0,8.123959618571428,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,68.46153846153847,28.76118230177598,0.0,0.288075893939394,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,66.53846153846152,27.399232776718353,0.0,0.9636899613636363,0.6,0.0
+Sundial-Base,65.38461538461537,27.294413166287423,0.0,8.222455888744589,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,63.84615384615384,27.802663844137786,0.0,45.546909770000006,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,62.30769230769231,27.78289022024678,0.0,0.2509964376623377,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,53.076923076923066,24.109596179935487,0.0,296.51637025115633,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,52.3076923076923,23.420687735560985,0.0,464.32897872499996,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,49.23076923076922,23.98149756470208,0.0,289.5137977333333,0.0,0.0
+AutoTheta,46.92307692307691,21.542038924284434,0.0,3.6892116628571427,0.0,0.0
+AutoARIMA,33.07692307692308,17.97726241921238,0.0,74.60550639090908,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,30.000000000000004,-29.622695283539358,0.0,12.04727024095238,0.0,0.0
+TFT,20.000000000000004,11.739357763049185,4425.985155724524,3.3604472566666668,0.0,0.0
+Naive,20.0,7.795601696116828,0.0,1.2708901502164502,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,18.46153846153846,9.449688890714715,3313.3185033727273,3.1006886961904763,0.0,0.0
+Drift,15.384615384615385,4.078700196776586,0.0,1.1961910245238094,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,15.384615384615385,4.1721599099919455,7.8792804414285715,1.6888857054761903,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,14.615384615384613,4.184526702220593,101.213129105,2.2554284954545456,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,13.076923076923078,3.384538751976529,4186.5014168181815,5.73706040909091,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,10.76923076923077,0.0,0.0,1.2824682583333336,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_nature/leaderboard_SQL.csv

@@ -1,22 +1,28 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Chronos-2,94.0,40.14261361598851,0.0,1.2412635011904762,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,91.00000000000001,37.43876342889425,0.0,0.5982643197619048,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,82.0,37.188322050437485,0.0,8.123959618571428,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,80.5,36.03582808206656,0.0,0.48393358404761905,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,80.0,36.31166826953211,0.0,3.96545264,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,74.5,34.85309081790271,0.0,0.9636899613636363,0.6,0.0
-Toto-1.0,74.0,35.99499337037837,0.0,45.546909770000006,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,70.0,32.757599647708304,0.0,289.5137977333333,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,61.999999999999986,30.90991527640704,0.0,8.222455888744589,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,48.999999999999986,17.231323121576647,0.0,464.32897872499996,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,48.0,22.423106139028192,0.0,74.60550639090908,0.0,0.0
-TFT,43.00000000000001,18.511138237688506,4425.985155724524,3.3604472566666668,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,39.0,17.09711611460085,3313.3185033727273,3.1006886961904763,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,34.0,9.609592105853038,4186.5014168181815,5.73706040909091,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,28.999999999999996,-136.42889638840893,0.0,12.04727024095238,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,24.000000000000004,0.0,0.0,1.2824682583333336,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,24.000000000000004,-2.841792105310592,0.0,3.6892116628571427,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,19.0,-6.491295800307162,101.213129105,2.2554284954545456,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,19.0,-6.505040508588555,7.8792804414285715,1.6888857054761903,0.0,0.0
-Naive,10.0,-23.56398425913284,0.0,1.2708901502164502,0.0,0.0
-Drift,4.0,-28.21332719128542,0.0,1.1961910245238094,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,90.76923076923077,40.14261361598851,0.0,1.2412635011904762,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,84.61538461538461,37.43876342889425,0.0,0.5982643197619048,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,82.30769230769232,37.83157222733069,0.0,5.480653777619048,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,80.00000000000001,37.66612649055474,0.0,2.6320384638095238,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,79.23076923076924,37.58550747009978,0.0,1.0491609395238097,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,76.15384615384616,37.188322050437485,0.0,8.123959618571428,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,73.84615384615384,36.31166826953211,0.0,3.96545264,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,72.6923076923077,36.03582808206656,0.0,0.48393358404761905,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,68.46153846153847,36.293037504059534,0.0,0.288075893939394,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,67.30769230769229,34.85309081790271,0.0,0.9636899613636363,0.6,0.0
+Toto-1.0,66.15384615384615,35.99499337037837,0.0,45.546909770000006,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,63.846153846153854,35.936651145406394,0.0,0.2509964376623377,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,61.53846153846153,32.679408744349004,0.0,296.51637025115633,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,59.23076923076922,32.757599647708304,0.0,289.5137977333333,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,50.76923076923075,30.90991527640704,0.0,8.222455888744589,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,42.3076923076923,17.231323121576647,0.0,464.32897872499996,0.0,0.0
+AutoARIMA,37.692307692307686,22.423106139028192,0.0,74.60550639090908,0.0,0.0
+TFT,33.07692307692308,18.511138237688506,4425.985155724524,3.3604472566666668,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,30.000000000000004,17.09711611460085,3313.3185033727273,3.1006886961904763,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,26.153846153846157,-136.42889638840893,0.0,12.04727024095238,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,26.153846153846157,9.609592105853038,4186.5014168181815,5.73706040909091,0.0,0.0
+AutoTheta,19.230769230769234,-2.841792105310592,0.0,3.6892116628571427,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,18.461538461538467,0.0,0.0,1.2824682583333336,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,14.615384615384617,-6.491295800307162,101.213129105,2.2554284954545456,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,14.615384615384613,-6.505040508588555,7.8792804414285715,1.6888857054761903,0.0,0.0
+Naive,7.6923076923076925,-23.56398425913284,0.0,1.2708901502164502,0.0,0.0
+Drift,3.076923076923077,-28.21332719128542,0.0,1.1961910245238094,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_nature/leaderboard_WAPE.csv

@@ -1,22 +1,28 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Chronos-2,88.00000000000001,47.03832863128653,0.0,1.2412635011904762,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,85.00000000000001,45.94421147950074,0.0,3.96545264,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,84.00000000000001,45.26550169523424,0.0,0.5982643197619048,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,83.0,45.658876884431066,0.0,45.546909770000006,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,78.0,45.234350223405905,0.0,8.123959618571428,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,77.5,44.270996715968245,0.0,0.48393358404761905,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,73.5,43.560110317907345,0.0,0.9636899613636363,0.6,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,68.0,42.24241790735197,0.0,289.5137977333333,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,55.999999999999986,36.39656206472499,0.0,464.32897872499996,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,53.99999999999998,37.25191993036196,0.0,3.6892116628571427,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,47.99999999999998,32.15916008390624,0.0,8.222455888744589,0.0,0.0
-TFT,39.0,31.89215730204118,4425.985155724524,3.3604472566666668,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,38.0,32.26789204762996,3313.3185033727273,3.1006886961904763,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,35.0,-7.089563361203255,0.0,12.04727024095238,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,35.0,30.485156307041137,4186.5014168181815,5.73706040909091,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,27.000000000000007,-5.351235687949107,0.0,74.60550639090908,0.0,0.0
-Naive,24.0,25.364806013828144,0.0,1.2708901502164502,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,16.0,0.0,0.0,1.2824682583333336,0.0,0.0
-Drift,15.0,15.777737575686047,0.0,1.1961910245238094,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,13.999999999999998,9.204507505376158,101.213129105,2.2554284954545456,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,12.000000000000002,-21.610796222594896,7.8792804414285715,1.6888857054761903,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,82.30769230769232,47.03832863128653,0.0,1.2412635011904762,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,80.76923076923079,47.015579237547286,0.0,2.6320384638095238,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,80.0,46.63720411823188,0.0,1.0491609395238097,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,78.46153846153848,46.712323883118025,0.0,5.480653777619048,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,77.69230769230771,45.94421147950074,0.0,3.96545264,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,76.92307692307693,45.26550169523424,0.0,0.5982643197619048,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,74.61538461538463,45.658876884431066,0.0,45.546909770000006,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,71.92307692307693,44.270996715968245,0.0,0.48393358404761905,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,70.76923076923076,45.234350223405905,0.0,8.123959618571428,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,69.23076923076923,45.58255213545739,0.0,0.288075893939394,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,67.3076923076923,43.560110317907345,0.0,0.9636899613636363,0.6,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,65.38461538461537,44.832337002858004,0.0,0.2509964376623377,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,61.53846153846154,43.22149190972845,0.0,296.51637025115633,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,56.92307692307692,42.24241790735197,0.0,289.5137977333333,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,47.692307692307686,36.39656206472499,0.0,464.32897872499996,0.0,0.0
+AutoTheta,46.153846153846146,37.25191993036196,0.0,3.6892116628571427,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,41.53846153846153,32.15916008390624,0.0,8.222455888744589,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,31.538461538461537,-7.089563361203255,0.0,12.04727024095238,0.0,0.0
+TFT,30.000000000000004,31.89215730204118,4425.985155724524,3.3604472566666668,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,29.230769230769237,32.26789204762996,3313.3185033727273,3.1006886961904763,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,26.923076923076923,30.485156307041137,4186.5014168181815,5.73706040909091,0.0,0.0
+AutoARIMA,20.76923076923077,-5.351235687949107,0.0,74.60550639090908,0.0,0.0
+Naive,18.46153846153846,25.364806013828144,0.0,1.2708901502164502,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,12.307692307692308,0.0,0.0,1.2824682583333336,0.0,0.0
+Drift,11.538461538461538,15.777737575686047,0.0,1.1961910245238094,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,10.769230769230768,9.204507505376158,101.213129105,2.2554284954545456,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,9.230769230769234,-21.610796222594896,7.8792804414285715,1.6888857054761903,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_nature/leaderboard_WQL.csv

@@ -1,22 +1,28 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-FlowState,87.00000000000001,65.46785431424527,0.0,3.96545264,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-2,85.99999999999997,65.09181820451573,0.0,1.2412635011904762,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,85.0,65.02250890932473,0.0,8.123959618571428,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,82.99999999999999,63.901555686088926,0.0,0.5982643197619048,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,82.0,64.33412565306647,0.0,45.546909770000006,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,78.49999999999999,63.27794107878868,0.0,0.48393358404761905,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,76.49999999999999,62.94483721709532,0.0,0.9636899613636363,0.6,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,68.0,62.22591860898127,0.0,289.5137977333333,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,51.99999999999999,52.74866339515212,0.0,8.222455888744589,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,50.99999999999999,56.14683480931129,3313.3185033727273,3.1006886961904763,0.0,0.0
-TFT,46.0,54.31239646459889,4425.985155724524,3.3604472566666668,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,42.00000000000001,53.40506481164482,4186.5014168181815,5.73706040909091,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,42.00000000000001,26.636130811588664,0.0,74.60550639090908,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,41.0,10.0322967065957,0.0,464.32897872499996,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,27.999999999999996,28.559039675458386,101.213129105,2.2554284954545456,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,26.0,0.0,0.0,1.2824682583333336,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,26.0,-162.5181303956725,0.0,12.04727024095238,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,20.0,4.312518151888689,7.8792804414285715,1.6888857054761903,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,19.000000000000004,-21.431026745629268,0.0,3.6892116628571427,0.0,0.0
-Naive,8.0,-59.16477242026188,0.0,1.2708901502164502,0.0,0.0
-Drift,3.0000000000000004,-65.48141502161853,0.0,1.1961910245238094,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,83.0769230769231,65.46785431424527,0.0,3.96545264,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,81.53846153846155,65.47877258222164,0.0,1.0491609395238097,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,80.76923076923079,65.09181820451573,0.0,1.2412635011904762,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,78.46153846153847,65.02250890932473,0.0,8.123959618571428,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,76.92307692307693,65.08289133257598,0.0,2.6320384638095238,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,76.15384615384616,63.901555686088926,0.0,0.5982643197619048,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,75.3846153846154,64.93808949583952,0.0,5.480653777619048,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,73.84615384615387,64.33412565306647,0.0,45.546909770000006,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,72.3076923076923,64.78913859128755,0.0,0.288075893939394,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,70.76923076923076,64.30734538835908,0.0,296.51637025115633,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,70.38461538461536,63.27794107878868,0.0,0.48393358404761905,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,68.07692307692305,62.94483721709532,0.0,0.9636899613636363,0.6,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,63.84615384615384,63.91544587103641,0.0,0.2509964376623377,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,56.92307692307691,62.22591860898127,0.0,289.5137977333333,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,41.53846153846153,52.74866339515212,0.0,8.222455888744589,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,39.23076923076923,56.14683480931129,3313.3185033727273,3.1006886961904763,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,36.153846153846146,10.0322967065957,0.0,464.32897872499996,0.0,0.0
+TFT,35.38461538461538,54.31239646459889,4425.985155724524,3.3604472566666668,0.0,0.0
+AutoARIMA,33.07692307692307,26.636130811588664,0.0,74.60550639090908,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,32.30769230769231,53.40506481164482,4186.5014168181815,5.73706040909091,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,23.07692307692308,-162.5181303956725,0.0,12.04727024095238,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,21.538461538461537,28.559039675458386,101.213129105,2.2554284954545456,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,20.0,0.0,0.0,1.2824682583333336,0.0,0.0
+AutoTheta,15.384615384615385,-21.431026745629268,0.0,3.6892116628571427,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,15.384615384615385,4.312518151888689,7.8792804414285715,1.6888857054761903,0.0,0.0
+Naive,6.153846153846154,-59.16477242026188,0.0,1.2708901502164502,0.0,0.0
+Drift,2.3076923076923084,-65.48141502161853,0.0,1.1961910245238094,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_nature/pairwise_MASE.csv

@@ -1,257 +1,257 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-2,TiRex,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.048,0.005,0.089
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.039,-0.004,0.083
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.038,-0.003,0.078
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.041,-0.004,0.092
 Chronos-2,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.047,-0.008,0.1
 Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.053,0.015,0.087
 Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.046,-0.001,0.096
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.055,0.006,0.112
 Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.073,0.024,0.118
 Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.067,0.023,0.124
 Chronos-2,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.074,0.027,0.116
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.068,0.023,0.117
+Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.113,0.073,0.151
 Chronos-2,Stat. Ensemble,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.121,0.066,0.172
-Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.114,0.082,0.138
-Chronos-2,AutoTheta,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.142,0.1,0.196
-Chronos-2,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.179,0.121,0.232
-Chronos-2,AutoETS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.481,0.137,0.781
-Chronos-2,Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.27,0.18,0.35
-Chronos-2,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.237,0.222,0.251
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.327,0.263,0.388
 TiRex,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.051,-0.097,-0.005
 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.01,-0.075,0.043
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.01,-0.076,0.039
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.007,-0.07,0.039
 TiRex,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.001,-0.061,0.046
 TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.005,-0.016,0.023
 TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.8,0.4,1.0,-0.002,-0.053,0.035
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.007,-0.056,0.052
 TiRex,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.026,0.004,0.054
 TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.02,-0.028,0.065
 TiRex,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.027,-0.0,0.055
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.02,-0.033,0.058
+TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.068,0.022,0.121
 TiRex,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.076,0.021,0.127
-TiRex,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.069,0.038,0.113
-TiRex,AutoTheta,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.098,0.035,0.158
-TiRex,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.138,0.103,0.17
-TiRex,AutoETS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.454,0.08,0.77
-TiRex,Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.233,0.143,0.307
-TiRex,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.199,0.154,0.242
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.293,0.222,0.364
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.041,-0.09,0.004
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.01,-0.045,0.07
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.001,-0.013,0.01
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.003,-0.014,0.013
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.008,-0.035,0.052
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.014,-0.051,0.078
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.008,-0.028,0.032
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.016,-0.004,0.03
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.035,-0.033,0.098
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.03,-0.005,0.057
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.036,-0.033,0.101
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.03,0.007,0.049
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.077,0.008,0.142
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.085,0.004,0.156
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.299,0.202,0.389
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.04,-0.084,0.003
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.01,-0.04,0.071
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.001,-0.01,0.013
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.003,-0.018,0.022
+Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.009,-0.033,0.045
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.015,-0.043,0.078
+Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.008,-0.03,0.032
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.017,-0.008,0.04
+Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.036,-0.027,0.092
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.03,-0.009,0.064
+Toto-2.0-1B,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.037,-0.024,0.096
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.031,0.006,0.048
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.078,0.012,0.139
+Toto-2.0-1B,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.086,0.014,0.152
+Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.3,0.204,0.387
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.043,-0.102,0.004
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.007,-0.04,0.065
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.003,-0.013,0.014
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.003,-0.022,0.017
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.006,-0.029,0.046
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.012,-0.047,0.071
+Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.005,-0.014,0.023
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.014,0.008,0.02
+Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.032,-0.028,0.089
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.027,0.007,0.049
+Toto-2.0-313m,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.034,-0.03,0.099
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.027,0.015,0.039
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.074,0.011,0.133
+Toto-2.0-313m,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.083,-0.004,0.15
+Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.298,0.2,0.385
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.049,-0.111,0.008
 FlowState,TiRex,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.001,-0.049,0.058
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.008,-0.055,0.034
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.009,-0.047,0.032
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.006,-0.049,0.029
 FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.006,-0.045,0.063
 FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.001,-0.036,0.025
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.008,-0.032,0.041
 FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.027,-0.007,0.071
 FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.022,-0.031,0.061
 FlowState,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.028,-0.018,0.084
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.022,-0.012,0.046
+FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.069,0.01,0.13
 FlowState,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.078,0.01,0.136
-FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.071,0.008,0.13
-FlowState,AutoTheta,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.1,0.044,0.14
-FlowState,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.139,0.089,0.2
-FlowState,AutoETS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.455,0.085,0.76
-FlowState,Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.234,0.186,0.282
-FlowState,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.2,0.15,0.244
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.294,0.19,0.386
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.055,-0.095,-0.016
 Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.005,-0.024,0.015
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.014,-0.085,0.048
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.015,-0.085,0.041
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.012,-0.077,0.045
 Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.006,-0.067,0.043
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.006,-0.064,0.045
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.002,-0.066,0.059
 Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.021,0.0,0.042
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.016,-0.035,0.074
 Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.023,-0.002,0.045
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.016,-0.043,0.067
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.064,0.025,0.106
 Chronos-Bolt,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.072,0.022,0.115
-Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.065,0.04,0.092
-Chronos-Bolt,AutoTheta,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.094,0.038,0.147
-Chronos-Bolt,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.134,0.106,0.161
-Chronos-Bolt,AutoETS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.452,0.092,0.768
-Chronos-Bolt,Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.229,0.131,0.311
-Chronos-Bolt,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.195,0.159,0.23
 Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.289,0.231,0.351
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.049,-0.106,0.001
 TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,0.002,-0.037,0.05
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.008,-0.033,0.027
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.009,-0.033,0.029
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.005,-0.024,0.014
 TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.001,-0.025,0.035
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.006,-0.047,0.06
 TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.009,-0.008,0.026
 TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.027,-0.016,0.068
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.022,0.003,0.038
 TimesFM-2.5,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.029,-0.029,0.08
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.022,0.013,0.035
+TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.07,0.008,0.13
 TimesFM-2.5,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.078,-0.01,0.138
-TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.071,0.019,0.124
-TimesFM-2.5,AutoTheta,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.1,0.026,0.153
-TimesFM-2.5,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.139,0.075,0.2
-TimesFM-2.5,AutoETS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.455,0.061,0.769
-TimesFM-2.5,Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.234,0.178,0.286
-TimesFM-2.5,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.2,0.146,0.241
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.294,0.196,0.38
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.058,-0.126,-0.006
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.007,-0.054,0.053
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.017,-0.031,0.004
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.018,-0.041,0.008
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.014,-0.02,-0.009
+Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.008,-0.043,0.031
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.002,-0.062,0.062
+Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.009,-0.027,0.008
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.019,-0.041,0.075
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.013,-0.005,0.034
+Toto-2.0-22m,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.02,-0.047,0.088
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.014,0.003,0.024
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.061,-0.004,0.124
+Toto-2.0-22m,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.07,-0.022,0.139
+Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.288,0.185,0.377
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.078,-0.134,-0.025
 Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.026,-0.057,-0.004
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.036,-0.109,0.032
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.037,-0.102,0.026
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.034,-0.098,0.027
 Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.028,-0.076,0.007
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.022,-0.044,0.0
 Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.028,-0.072,0.016
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.019,-0.081,0.04
 Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.006,-0.057,0.048
 Moirai-2.0,Sundial-Base,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.001,-0.02,0.027
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.005,-0.056,0.043
+Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.043,0.003,0.097
 Moirai-2.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.052,-0.001,0.095
-Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.045,0.005,0.088
-Moirai-2.0,AutoTheta,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.075,0.023,0.127
-Moirai-2.0,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.115,0.091,0.143
-Moirai-2.0,AutoETS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.44,0.072,0.758
-Moirai-2.0,Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.213,0.131,0.282
-Moirai-2.0,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.177,0.135,0.228
 Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.274,0.192,0.348
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.072,-0.141,-0.024
 Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.021,-0.07,0.028
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.03,-0.061,0.005
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.031,-0.068,0.009
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.028,-0.052,-0.007
 Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.022,-0.065,0.03
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.016,-0.08,0.034
 Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.023,-0.039,-0.004
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.013,-0.035,0.005
 Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.006,-0.05,0.054
 Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-1.0,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.007,-0.062,0.061
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.0,-0.02,0.02
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.049,-0.025,0.114
 Toto-1.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.057,-0.044,0.122
-Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.05,-0.01,0.105
-Toto-1.0,AutoTheta,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.08,-0.01,0.149
-Toto-1.0,AutoARIMA,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.12,0.045,0.185
-Toto-1.0,AutoETS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.443,0.023,0.768
-Toto-1.0,Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.217,0.158,0.276
-Toto-1.0,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.182,0.114,0.225
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.278,0.18,0.366
 Sundial-Base,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.08,-0.131,-0.028
 Sundial-Base,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.028,-0.058,0.0
+Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.038,-0.112,0.032
+Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.039,-0.106,0.024
+Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.035,-0.11,0.029
 Sundial-Base,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.029,-0.092,0.018
 Sundial-Base,Chronos-Bolt,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.023,-0.047,0.002
 Sundial-Base,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.03,-0.087,0.028
+Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.021,-0.096,0.045
 Sundial-Base,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.001,-0.027,0.02
 Sundial-Base,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.007,-0.065,0.059
 Sundial-Base,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.007,-0.068,0.05
+Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.042,-0.002,0.101
 Sundial-Base,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.051,0.02,0.078
-Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.044,-0.001,0.091
-Sundial-Base,AutoTheta,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.073,0.031,0.114
-Sundial-Base,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.114,0.089,0.135
-Sundial-Base,AutoETS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.439,0.081,0.757
-Sundial-Base,Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.211,0.125,0.295
-Sundial-Base,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.176,0.138,0.215
 Sundial-Base,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.273,0.2,0.344
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.073,-0.132,-0.023
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.021,-0.062,0.032
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.031,-0.051,-0.008
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.032,-0.05,-0.006
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.028,-0.041,-0.015
+Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.022,-0.049,0.012
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.016,-0.071,0.042
+Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.023,-0.036,-0.013
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.014,-0.025,-0.003
+Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.005,-0.045,0.053
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.0,-0.02,0.019
+Toto-2.0-4m,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.007,-0.053,0.064
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.048,-0.012,0.115
+Toto-2.0-4m,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.057,-0.028,0.117
+Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.278,0.175,0.368
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.127,-0.178,-0.079
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.073,-0.138,-0.022
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.083,-0.166,-0.008
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.084,-0.162,-0.012
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.08,-0.154,-0.011
+TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.074,-0.15,-0.01
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.068,-0.118,-0.026
+TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.075,-0.15,-0.008
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.065,-0.142,0.004
+TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.045,-0.108,-0.003
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.051,-0.129,0.025
+TabPFN-TS-3,Sundial-Base,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.044,-0.112,0.002
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.051,-0.13,0.012
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.009,-0.071,0.071
+TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.241,0.182,0.299
 Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.137,-0.208,-0.071
 Stat. Ensemble,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.083,-0.146,-0.021
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.093,-0.185,-0.004
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.094,-0.179,-0.015
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.09,-0.176,0.004
 Stat. Ensemble,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.084,-0.157,-0.01
 Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-Bolt,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.078,-0.131,-0.023
 Stat. Ensemble,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.085,-0.16,0.01
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.075,-0.161,0.021
 Stat. Ensemble,Moirai-2.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.055,-0.106,0.001
 Stat. Ensemble,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.061,-0.139,0.042
 Stat. Ensemble,Sundial-Base,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.053,-0.084,-0.02
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-4m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.06,-0.133,0.027
+Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.009,-0.077,0.066
 Stat. Ensemble,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.007,-0.079,0.06
-Stat. Ensemble,AutoTheta,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.024,-0.01,0.043
-Stat. Ensemble,AutoARIMA,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.066,0.02,0.102
-Stat. Ensemble,AutoETS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.409,0.063,0.736
-Stat. Ensemble,Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.169,0.069,0.275
-Stat. Ensemble,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.132,0.09,0.173
 Stat. Ensemble,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.234,0.151,0.311
-TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.129,-0.16,-0.089
-TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.075,-0.128,-0.04
-TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.076,-0.149,-0.008
-TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.07,-0.101,-0.041
-TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.077,-0.141,-0.019
-TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.047,-0.097,-0.005
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.053,-0.117,0.01
-TabPFN-TS,Sundial-Base,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.046,-0.101,0.001
-TabPFN-TS,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.007,-0.064,0.073
-TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,AutoTheta,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.031,-0.039,0.097
-TabPFN-TS,AutoARIMA,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.073,0.017,0.126
-TabPFN-TS,AutoETS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.414,0.029,0.754
-TabPFN-TS,Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.176,0.066,0.268
-TabPFN-TS,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.139,0.105,0.178
-TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.24,0.181,0.294
-AutoTheta,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.165,-0.243,-0.112
-AutoTheta,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.109,-0.187,-0.036
-AutoTheta,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.111,-0.162,-0.046
-AutoTheta,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.104,-0.173,-0.04
-AutoTheta,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.111,-0.18,-0.027
-AutoTheta,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.081,-0.146,-0.024
-AutoTheta,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.087,-0.176,0.01
-AutoTheta,Sundial-Base,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.079,-0.128,-0.032
-AutoTheta,Stat. Ensemble,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.025,-0.044,0.01
-AutoTheta,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.032,-0.107,0.038
-AutoTheta,AutoTheta,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,AutoARIMA,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.043,-0.018,0.103
-AutoTheta,AutoETS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.395,0.04,0.727
-AutoTheta,Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.149,0.059,0.244
-AutoTheta,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.111,0.07,0.141
-AutoTheta,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.215,0.115,0.304
-AutoARIMA,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.218,-0.302,-0.138
-AutoARIMA,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.16,-0.205,-0.115
-AutoARIMA,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.161,-0.25,-0.098
-AutoARIMA,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.154,-0.191,-0.118
-AutoARIMA,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.162,-0.249,-0.081
-AutoARIMA,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.13,-0.166,-0.1
-AutoARIMA,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.136,-0.227,-0.047
-AutoARIMA,Sundial-Base,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.128,-0.157,-0.098
-AutoARIMA,Stat. Ensemble,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.071,-0.114,-0.02
-AutoARIMA,TabPFN-TS,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.079,-0.145,-0.017
-AutoARIMA,AutoTheta,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.045,-0.115,0.018
-AutoARIMA,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,AutoETS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.367,-0.021,0.723
-AutoARIMA,Naive,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.11,-0.006,0.208
-AutoARIMA,TFT,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.071,0.006,0.131
-AutoARIMA,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.18,0.106,0.255
-AutoETS,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.925,-3.56,-0.159
-AutoETS,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.832,-3.354,-0.087
-AutoETS,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.835,-3.164,-0.092
-AutoETS,Chronos-Bolt,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.824,-3.308,-0.102
-AutoETS,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.836,-3.32,-0.065
-AutoETS,Moirai-2.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.785,-3.132,-0.077
-AutoETS,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.795,-3.312,-0.023
-AutoETS,Sundial-Base,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.783,-3.107,-0.088
-AutoETS,Stat. Ensemble,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.693,-2.794,-0.067
-AutoETS,TabPFN-TS,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.705,-3.06,-0.03
-AutoETS,AutoTheta,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.652,-2.668,-0.041
-AutoETS,AutoARIMA,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.58,-2.614,0.02
-AutoETS,AutoETS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,Naive,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.406,-2.121,0.194
-AutoETS,TFT,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.469,-2.405,0.098
-AutoETS,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.4,1.0,-0.296,-2.14,0.211
-Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.369,-0.538,-0.219
-Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.303,-0.442,-0.166
-Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.305,-0.393,-0.228
-Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.297,-0.451,-0.151
-Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.306,-0.4,-0.217
-Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.27,-0.392,-0.151
-Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.277,-0.382,-0.188
-Naive,Sundial-Base,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.268,-0.419,-0.143
-Naive,Stat. Ensemble,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.204,-0.379,-0.074
-Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.213,-0.365,-0.071
-Naive,AutoTheta,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.175,-0.322,-0.063
-Naive,AutoARIMA,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.124,-0.263,0.006
-Naive,AutoETS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.289,-0.24,0.68
-Naive,Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Naive,TFT,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.045,-0.178,0.071
-Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.078,-0.115,0.244
-TFT,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.311,-0.336,-0.285
-TFT,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.248,-0.318,-0.181
-TFT,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.249,-0.322,-0.176
-TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.242,-0.299,-0.189
-TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.25,-0.318,-0.171
-TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.216,-0.295,-0.156
-TFT,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.222,-0.29,-0.129
-TFT,Sundial-Base,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.214,-0.274,-0.16
-TFT,Stat. Ensemble,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.153,-0.209,-0.099
-TFT,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.161,-0.216,-0.118
-TFT,AutoTheta,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.125,-0.164,-0.075
-TFT,AutoARIMA,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.076,-0.151,-0.006
-TFT,AutoETS,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.319,-0.108,0.706
-TFT,Naive,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.043,-0.076,0.151
-TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TFT,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.117,0.033,0.197
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.485,-0.633,-0.357
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.414,-0.572,-0.285
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.427,-0.636,-0.254
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.428,-0.63,-0.257
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.424,-0.625,-0.25
 Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.416,-0.628,-0.234
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.407,-0.541,-0.3
 Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.416,-0.612,-0.244
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.404,-0.606,-0.227
 Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.377,-0.534,-0.238
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.385,-0.577,-0.22
 Seasonal Naive,Sundial-Base,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.375,-0.525,-0.251
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.385,-0.581,-0.213
+Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.318,-0.426,-0.222
 Seasonal Naive,Stat. Ensemble,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.306,-0.451,-0.178
-Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.315,-0.417,-0.221
-Seasonal Naive,AutoTheta,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.275,-0.437,-0.13
-Seasonal Naive,AutoARIMA,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.219,-0.342,-0.118
-Seasonal Naive,AutoETS,0.2,0.0,0.6,0.229,-0.268,0.682
-Seasonal Naive,Naive,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.085,-0.323,0.104
-Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.133,-0.246,-0.034
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_nature/pairwise_SQL.csv

@@ -1,257 +1,257 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-2,TiRex,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.043,-0.001,0.081
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.037,-0.009,0.087
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.04,-0.005,0.086
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.041,-0.004,0.098
 Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.047,-0.001,0.095
-Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.064,0.011,0.122
 Chronos-2,FlowState,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.06,0.007,0.111
+Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.064,0.011,0.122
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.06,0.007,0.128
 Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.065,0.02,0.122
 Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.081,0.019,0.139
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.066,0.022,0.117
+Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.111,0.065,0.152
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.11,0.078,0.134
 Chronos-2,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.134,0.097,0.169
-Chronos-2,Stat. Ensemble,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.277,0.141,0.391
-Chronos-2,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.228,0.161,0.29
-Chronos-2,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.265,0.244,0.286
-Chronos-2,PatchTST,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.278,0.207,0.342
-Chronos-2,AutoETS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.717,0.259,0.947
-Chronos-2,DeepAR,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.338,0.28,0.396
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.401,0.327,0.459
 TiRex,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.045,-0.089,0.001
 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.006,-0.072,0.052
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.004,-0.067,0.05
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.002,-0.064,0.049
 TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.004,-0.048,0.043
-TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.022,-0.007,0.049
 TiRex,FlowState,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.018,-0.036,0.059
+TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.022,-0.007,0.049
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.018,-0.051,0.077
 TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.023,-0.026,0.07
 TiRex,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.04,0.011,0.066
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.023,-0.029,0.062
+TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.071,0.028,0.123
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.07,0.036,0.109
 TiRex,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.094,0.065,0.123
-TiRex,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.244,0.109,0.36
-TiRex,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.194,0.139,0.239
-TiRex,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.232,0.186,0.279
-TiRex,PatchTST,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.245,0.146,0.342
-TiRex,AutoETS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.709,0.217,0.947
-TiRex,DeepAR,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.308,0.235,0.388
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.374,0.288,0.434
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.039,-0.096,0.009
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.006,-0.055,0.067
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.003,-0.005,0.011
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.004,-0.014,0.014
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.01,-0.025,0.036
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.024,-0.021,0.069
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.028,-0.061,0.114
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.024,-0.002,0.044
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.029,-0.006,0.053
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.046,-0.043,0.127
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.03,0.007,0.048
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.077,-0.001,0.148
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.075,0.012,0.135
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.1,0.047,0.151
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.378,0.265,0.462
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.041,-0.094,0.005
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.004,-0.052,0.063
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.003,-0.011,0.005
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.001,-0.018,0.017
+Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.008,-0.028,0.031
+Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.021,-0.019,0.06
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.025,-0.059,0.106
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.022,-0.006,0.049
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.026,-0.008,0.053
+Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.043,-0.041,0.124
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.027,0.004,0.043
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.074,0.002,0.145
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.073,0.017,0.131
+Toto-2.0-1B,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.098,0.049,0.145
+Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.377,0.269,0.459
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.043,-0.109,0.004
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.002,-0.051,0.06
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.004,-0.014,0.014
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.001,-0.017,0.017
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.006,-0.014,0.024
+Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.02,-0.017,0.065
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.024,-0.056,0.106
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.02,0.01,0.033
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.025,0.008,0.041
+Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.042,-0.039,0.116
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.026,0.013,0.038
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.073,0.003,0.138
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.072,0.015,0.124
+Toto-2.0-313m,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.097,0.042,0.142
+Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.376,0.261,0.456
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.049,-0.105,0.001
 TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.004,-0.045,0.045
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.01,-0.038,0.024
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.008,-0.032,0.027
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.006,-0.025,0.014
 TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.018,-0.051,0.092
 TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.014,-0.01,0.046
+TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.018,-0.051,0.092
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.014,-0.01,0.04
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.019,0.002,0.036
 TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.036,-0.024,0.101
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.02,0.012,0.03
+TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.067,0.005,0.127
 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.066,0.015,0.111
 TimesFM-2.5,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.091,0.045,0.13
-TimesFM-2.5,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.241,0.087,0.364
-TimesFM-2.5,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.19,0.111,0.261
-TimesFM-2.5,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.229,0.177,0.277
-TimesFM-2.5,PatchTST,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.242,0.177,0.332
-TimesFM-2.5,AutoETS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.709,0.198,0.947
-TimesFM-2.5,DeepAR,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.305,0.207,0.391
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.372,0.265,0.447
-Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.069,-0.139,-0.011
-Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.022,-0.052,0.007
-Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.018,-0.101,0.049
-Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.004,-0.091,0.054
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.001,-0.079,0.075
-Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.018,0.0,0.036
-Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.049,-0.008,0.093
-Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.074,0.025,0.114
-Chronos-Bolt,Stat. Ensemble,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.227,0.11,0.341
-Chronos-Bolt,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.175,0.141,0.216
-Chronos-Bolt,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.215,0.149,0.276
-Chronos-Bolt,PatchTST,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.228,0.105,0.341
-Chronos-Bolt,AutoETS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.705,0.221,0.947
-Chronos-Bolt,DeepAR,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.292,0.226,0.375
-Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.36,0.291,0.411
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.064,-0.124,-0.007
 FlowState,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.018,-0.062,0.035
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.024,-0.074,0.021
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.022,-0.064,0.019
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.02,-0.069,0.016
 FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.014,-0.048,0.01
-FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.004,-0.057,0.083
 FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.004,-0.057,0.083
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.0,-0.049,0.047
 FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.005,-0.045,0.044
 FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.022,-0.025,0.086
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.006,-0.029,0.031
+FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.054,-0.005,0.119
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.053,0.002,0.106
 FlowState,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.078,0.047,0.115
-FlowState,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.231,0.098,0.344
-FlowState,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.179,0.111,0.246
-FlowState,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.218,0.177,0.258
-FlowState,PatchTST,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.232,0.175,0.319
-FlowState,AutoETS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.709,0.209,0.947
-FlowState,DeepAR,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.295,0.2,0.386
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.363,0.261,0.444
+Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.069,-0.139,-0.011
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.022,-0.052,0.007
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.029,-0.129,0.058
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.026,-0.118,0.056
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.025,-0.119,0.053
+Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.018,-0.101,0.049
+Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.004,-0.091,0.054
+Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.004,-0.105,0.084
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.001,-0.079,0.075
+Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.018,0.0,0.036
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.002,-0.081,0.066
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.05,-0.008,0.107
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.049,-0.008,0.093
+Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.074,0.025,0.114
+Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.36,0.291,0.411
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.064,-0.146,-0.007
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.018,-0.084,0.048
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.025,-0.046,0.002
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.022,-0.051,0.006
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.021,-0.034,-0.01
+Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.014,-0.042,0.01
+Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.0,-0.049,0.046
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.004,-0.092,0.095
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.005,-0.012,0.025
+Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.022,-0.065,0.105
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.006,-0.017,0.023
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.054,-0.029,0.126
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.053,-0.018,0.112
+Toto-2.0-22m,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.078,0.012,0.13
+Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.363,0.235,0.45
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.069,-0.139,-0.02
 Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.023,-0.075,0.025
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.03,-0.056,0.006
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.027,-0.056,0.008
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.025,-0.043,-0.008
 Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.019,-0.037,-0.002
-Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.001,-0.081,0.073
 Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.005,-0.046,0.043
+Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.001,-0.081,0.073
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.005,-0.026,0.011
 Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.018,-0.054,0.084
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.001,-0.017,0.019
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.049,-0.029,0.116
 Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.048,-0.019,0.099
 Toto-1.0,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.074,0.014,0.117
-Toto-1.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.227,0.053,0.357
-Toto-1.0,AutoARIMA,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.175,0.081,0.251
-Toto-1.0,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.215,0.152,0.265
-Toto-1.0,PatchTST,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.228,0.149,0.321
-Toto-1.0,AutoETS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.703,0.168,0.947
-Toto-1.0,DeepAR,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.292,0.194,0.381
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.36,0.24,0.437
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.088,-0.161,-0.019
 Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.041,-0.07,-0.011
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.048,-0.145,0.041
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.045,-0.142,0.039
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.044,-0.132,0.037
 Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.037,-0.112,0.024
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.018,-0.037,0.0
 Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.023,-0.095,0.025
+Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.018,-0.037,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.023,-0.117,0.061
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.018,-0.091,0.051
 Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.017,-0.096,0.05
+Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.032,-0.023,0.092
 Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.031,-0.023,0.085
 Moirai-2.0,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.057,0.016,0.1
-Moirai-2.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.213,0.088,0.32
-Moirai-2.0,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.16,0.12,0.192
-Moirai-2.0,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.201,0.14,0.263
-Moirai-2.0,PatchTST,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.214,0.097,0.331
-Moirai-2.0,AutoETS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.703,0.201,0.947
-Moirai-2.0,DeepAR,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.279,0.198,0.369
 Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.349,0.271,0.409
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.07,-0.132,-0.023
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.024,-0.066,0.028
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.03,-0.05,-0.007
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.028,-0.045,-0.004
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.026,-0.04,-0.013
+Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.02,-0.031,-0.012
+Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.006,-0.031,0.028
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.002,-0.07,0.075
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.006,-0.023,0.017
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.001,-0.019,0.017
+Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.017,-0.052,0.087
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.048,-0.016,0.114
+Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.047,-0.005,0.102
+Toto-2.0-4m,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.073,0.026,0.11
+Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.359,0.248,0.44
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.125,-0.179,-0.069
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.076,-0.141,-0.029
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.083,-0.174,0.001
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.08,-0.169,-0.002
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.079,-0.16,-0.003
+TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.072,-0.145,-0.005
+TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.057,-0.135,0.005
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.052,-0.12,0.008
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.057,-0.144,0.028
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.052,-0.131,0.028
+TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.033,-0.101,0.023
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.051,-0.129,0.016
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.001,-0.02,0.018
+TabPFN-TS-3,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.026,-0.048,0.069
+TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.327,0.253,0.382
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.123,-0.155,-0.085
 TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.075,-0.123,-0.037
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.082,-0.156,-0.012
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.079,-0.151,-0.017
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.077,-0.142,-0.015
 TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.071,-0.125,-0.015
-TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.051,-0.102,0.008
 TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.056,-0.119,-0.002
+TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.051,-0.102,0.008
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.055,-0.126,0.017
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.051,-0.11,0.019
 TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.032,-0.093,0.023
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.05,-0.113,0.005
+TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.001,-0.018,0.02
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TabPFN-TS,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.027,-0.034,0.065
-TabPFN-TS,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.188,0.042,0.312
-TabPFN-TS,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.133,0.063,0.194
-TabPFN-TS,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.175,0.135,0.222
-TabPFN-TS,PatchTST,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.189,0.093,0.281
-TabPFN-TS,AutoETS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.691,0.17,0.944
-TabPFN-TS,DeepAR,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.256,0.17,0.345
 TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.328,0.245,0.386
 Sundial-Base,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.154,-0.204,-0.107
 Sundial-Base,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.104,-0.14,-0.07
+Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.111,-0.177,-0.049
+Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.108,-0.17,-0.051
+Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.107,-0.165,-0.044
 Sundial-Base,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.1,-0.149,-0.047
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-Bolt,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.08,-0.129,-0.025
 Sundial-Base,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.085,-0.13,-0.049
+Sundial-Base,Chronos-Bolt,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.08,-0.129,-0.025
+Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.084,-0.149,-0.012
 Sundial-Base,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.079,-0.133,-0.015
 Sundial-Base,Moirai-2.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.061,-0.111,-0.017
+Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-4m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.078,-0.124,-0.027
+Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS-3,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.026,-0.074,0.046
 Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.027,-0.07,0.032
 Sundial-Base,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.165,0.033,0.279
-Sundial-Base,AutoARIMA,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.109,0.055,0.16
-Sundial-Base,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.152,0.118,0.187
-Sundial-Base,PatchTST,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.167,0.082,0.254
-Sundial-Base,AutoETS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.688,0.16,0.945
-Sundial-Base,DeepAR,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.236,0.157,0.315
 Sundial-Base,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.309,0.223,0.39
-Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.383,-0.642,-0.164
-Stat. Ensemble,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.323,-0.563,-0.122
-Stat. Ensemble,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.318,-0.571,-0.095
-Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.294,-0.517,-0.124
-Stat. Ensemble,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.3,-0.524,-0.108
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.293,-0.556,-0.056
-Stat. Ensemble,Moirai-2.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.27,-0.472,-0.096
-Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.231,-0.454,-0.044
-Stat. Ensemble,Sundial-Base,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.198,-0.387,-0.035
-Stat. Ensemble,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,AutoARIMA,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.067,-0.189,0.034
-Stat. Ensemble,TFT,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.016,-0.209,0.146
-Stat. Ensemble,PatchTST,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.002,-0.246,0.206
-Stat. Ensemble,AutoETS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.658,0.124,0.942
-Stat. Ensemble,DeepAR,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.084,-0.121,0.236
-Stat. Ensemble,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.172,0.038,0.268
-AutoARIMA,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.296,-0.409,-0.191
-AutoARIMA,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.24,-0.314,-0.161
-AutoARIMA,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.235,-0.354,-0.125
-AutoARIMA,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.213,-0.275,-0.165
-AutoARIMA,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.218,-0.327,-0.125
-AutoARIMA,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.212,-0.335,-0.088
-AutoARIMA,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.191,-0.237,-0.136
-AutoARIMA,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.154,-0.24,-0.067
-AutoARIMA,Sundial-Base,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.123,-0.191,-0.059
-AutoARIMA,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.063,-0.035,0.159
-AutoARIMA,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,TFT,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.048,-0.038,0.127
-AutoARIMA,PatchTST,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.064,-0.086,0.187
-AutoARIMA,AutoETS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.662,0.092,0.943
-AutoARIMA,DeepAR,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.142,0.036,0.254
-AutoARIMA,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.224,0.153,0.289
-TFT,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.361,-0.4,-0.323
-TFT,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.303,-0.386,-0.229
-TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.297,-0.383,-0.215
-TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.274,-0.381,-0.176
-TFT,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.279,-0.348,-0.215
-TFT,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.273,-0.36,-0.179
-TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.251,-0.357,-0.163
-TFT,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.212,-0.286,-0.156
-TFT,Sundial-Base,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.179,-0.23,-0.134
-TFT,Stat. Ensemble,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.015,-0.172,0.173
-TFT,AutoARIMA,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.05,-0.145,0.036
-TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TFT,PatchTST,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.017,-0.061,0.087
-TFT,AutoETS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.641,-0.011,0.94
-TFT,DeepAR,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.098,0.018,0.178
-TFT,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.185,0.089,0.275
-PatchTST,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.385,-0.52,-0.261
-PatchTST,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.325,-0.52,-0.171
-PatchTST,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.32,-0.496,-0.215
-PatchTST,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.296,-0.517,-0.117
-PatchTST,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.302,-0.468,-0.212
-PatchTST,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.295,-0.474,-0.176
-PatchTST,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.273,-0.494,-0.108
-PatchTST,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.233,-0.392,-0.102
-PatchTST,Sundial-Base,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.2,-0.341,-0.089
-PatchTST,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.002,-0.259,0.197
-PatchTST,AutoARIMA,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.069,-0.231,0.079
-PatchTST,TFT,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.017,-0.096,0.057
-PatchTST,PatchTST,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,AutoETS,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.637,-0.086,0.939
-PatchTST,DeepAR,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.083,-0.009,0.199
-PatchTST,Seasonal Naive,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.171,0.003,0.313
-AutoETS,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-2.538,-17.795,-0.35
-AutoETS,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-2.44,-17.904,-0.278
-AutoETS,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.6,-2.436,-17.805,-0.247
-AutoETS,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-2.391,-17.776,-0.283
-AutoETS,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-2.439,-17.747,-0.264
-AutoETS,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-2.365,-17.71,-0.203
-AutoETS,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-2.363,-17.776,-0.252
-AutoETS,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-2.237,-17.009,-0.205
-AutoETS,Sundial-Base,0.2,0.0,0.6,-2.207,-17.119,-0.19
-AutoETS,Stat. Ensemble,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.926,-16.237,-0.142
-AutoETS,AutoARIMA,0.2,0.0,0.6,-1.958,-16.44,-0.102
-AutoETS,TFT,0.2,0.0,0.6,-1.788,-15.578,0.01
-AutoETS,PatchTST,0.4,0.0,0.8,-1.753,-15.268,0.079
-AutoETS,AutoETS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,DeepAR,0.4,0.0,0.8,-1.503,-14.764,0.114
-AutoETS,Seasonal Naive,0.6,0.2,1.0,-1.364,-14.138,0.138
-DeepAR,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.51,-0.656,-0.388
-DeepAR,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.445,-0.635,-0.307
-DeepAR,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.439,-0.641,-0.262
-DeepAR,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.413,-0.599,-0.292
-DeepAR,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.419,-0.628,-0.25
-DeepAR,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.412,-0.616,-0.241
-DeepAR,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.387,-0.586,-0.247
-DeepAR,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.344,-0.526,-0.205
-DeepAR,Sundial-Base,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.308,-0.459,-0.187
-DeepAR,Stat. Ensemble,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.092,-0.308,0.108
-DeepAR,AutoARIMA,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.165,-0.34,-0.037
-DeepAR,TFT,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.109,-0.216,-0.018
-DeepAR,PatchTST,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.09,-0.248,0.009
-DeepAR,AutoETS,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.601,-0.129,0.937
-DeepAR,DeepAR,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,Seasonal Naive,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.096,-0.021,0.206
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.671,-0.848,-0.486
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.598,-0.768,-0.404
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.609,-0.858,-0.361
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.604,-0.85,-0.369
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.602,-0.837,-0.353
 Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.592,-0.807,-0.36
-Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.563,-0.699,-0.411
 Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.57,-0.797,-0.352
+Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.563,-0.699,-0.411
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.57,-0.819,-0.307
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.562,-0.775,-0.315
 Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.535,-0.692,-0.371
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.561,-0.784,-0.329
+Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.485,-0.618,-0.339
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.487,-0.63,-0.324
 Seasonal Naive,Sundial-Base,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.447,-0.639,-0.286
-Seasonal Naive,Stat. Ensemble,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.208,-0.366,-0.039
-Seasonal Naive,AutoARIMA,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.289,-0.407,-0.181
-Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.227,-0.379,-0.097
-Seasonal Naive,PatchTST,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.206,-0.456,-0.003
-Seasonal Naive,AutoETS,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.577,-0.16,0.934
-Seasonal Naive,DeepAR,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.106,-0.26,0.021
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0