Add TiRex-2 results

pages/fev_bench.py

@@ -5,8 +5,6 @@ sys.path.append(str(Path(__file__).parent))
 
 import pandas as pd
 import streamlit as st
-from streamlit.elements.lib.column_types import ColumnConfig
-
 from src.strings import (
     CITATION_FEV,
     CITATION_HEADER,
@@ -31,22 +29,34 @@ from src.utils import (
     get_metric_description,
     validate_model_metadata,
 )
+from streamlit.elements.lib.column_types import ColumnConfig
 
-st.set_page_config(layout="wide", page_title="fev leaderboard", page_icon=":material/trophy:")
+st.set_page_config(
+    layout="wide", page_title="fev leaderboard", page_icon=":material/trophy:"
+)
 
 TITLE = "<h1 style='text-align: center; font-size: 350%;'>fev-bench</h1>"
 SORT_COL = "win_rate"
 AVAILABLE_METRICS = ["SQL", "MASE", "WQL", "WAPE"]
 
 # Group type options
-GROUP_TYPES = ["Full (100 tasks)", "Mini (20 tasks)", "By frequency", "By domain", "By task type"]
+GROUP_TYPES = [
+    "Full (100 tasks)",
+    "Mini (20 tasks)",
+    "By frequency",
+    "By domain",
+    "By task type",
+]
 FREQUENCY_OPTIONS = list(FREQUENCY_GROUPS.keys())
 DOMAIN_OPTIONS = list(DOMAIN_GROUPS.keys())
 TASK_TYPE_OPTIONS = list(TASK_TYPE_GROUPS.keys())
 
-def get_subset_description(group_type: str, subgroup: str | None, num_tasks: int) -> str:
+
+def get_subset_description(
+    group_type: str, subgroup: str | None, num_tasks: int, metric_name: str
+) -> str:
     """Generate a description of the current subset."""
-    base = f"Results for various forecasting models on **{num_tasks} tasks**"
+    base = f"Results for various forecasting models, measured using the **{metric_name}** metric, on **{num_tasks} tasks**"
     if group_type == "Full (100 tasks)":
         subset_desc = "from the full **fev-bench** benchmark"
     elif group_type == "Mini (20 tasks)":
@@ -58,7 +68,7 @@ def get_subset_description(group_type: str, subgroup: str | None, num_tasks: int
     else:  # By domain
         subset_desc = f"from the **{subgroup}** domain"
     paper_link = "[fev-bench: A Realistic Benchmark for Time Series Forecasting](https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.26468)"
-    return f"{base} {subset_desc}, as described in the paper {paper_link}."
+    return f"{base} {subset_desc}, as described in {paper_link}."
 
 
 # Mapping from UI selections to table directory names
@@ -94,7 +104,9 @@ def get_pairwise(metric_name: str, group_dir: str) -> pd.DataFrame:
 
 
 @st.cache_data()
-def get_pivot_table(metric_name: str) -> tuple[pd.DataFrame, pd.DataFrame, pd.DataFrame]:
+def get_pivot_table(
+    metric_name: str,
+) -> tuple[pd.DataFrame, pd.DataFrame, pd.DataFrame]:
     pivot_df = pd.read_csv(f"tables/pivot_{metric_name}.csv")
     baseline_imputed = pd.read_csv(f"tables/pivot_{metric_name}_baseline_imputed.csv")
     leakage_imputed = pd.read_csv(f"tables/pivot_{metric_name}_leakage_imputed.csv")
@@ -117,7 +129,9 @@ with st.sidebar:
     # Determine the directory to load tables from
     if selected_group_type in ["Full (100 tasks)", "Mini (20 tasks)"]:
         group_dir = GROUP_DIR_MAPPING[selected_group_type]
-        task_list = ALL_TASKS if selected_group_type == "Full (100 tasks)" else MINI_TASKS
+        task_list = (
+            ALL_TASKS if selected_group_type == "Full (100 tasks)" else MINI_TASKS
+        )
     else:
         group_dir = GROUP_DIR_MAPPING[selected_subgroup]
         if selected_group_type == "By frequency":
@@ -131,7 +145,9 @@ with st.sidebar:
 
     st.divider()
 
-    selected_metric = st.selectbox("Evaluation Metric", options=AVAILABLE_METRICS, format_func=format_metric_name)
+    selected_metric = st.selectbox(
+        "Evaluation Metric", options=AVAILABLE_METRICS, format_func=format_metric_name
+    )
     st.caption(get_metric_description(selected_metric))
 
 cols = st.columns(spec=[0.025, 0.95, 0.025])
@@ -139,15 +155,24 @@ cols = st.columns(spec=[0.025, 0.95, 0.025])
 with cols[1] as main_container:
     st.markdown(TITLE, unsafe_allow_html=True)
 
-    metric_df = get_leaderboard(selected_metric, group_dir).sort_values(by=SORT_COL, ascending=False)
+    metric_df = get_leaderboard(selected_metric, group_dir).sort_values(
+        by=SORT_COL, ascending=False
+    )
     metric_df = filter_hidden_models(metric_df, "model_name")
     validate_model_metadata(metric_df["model_name"])
 
     pairwise_df = get_pairwise(selected_metric, group_dir)
-    pairwise_df = filter_hidden_models(filter_hidden_models(pairwise_df, "model_1"), "model_2")
+    pairwise_df = filter_hidden_models(
+        filter_hidden_models(pairwise_df, "model_1"), "model_2"
+    )
 
     st.markdown("## :material/trophy: Leaderboard", unsafe_allow_html=True)
-    st.markdown(get_subset_description(selected_group_type, selected_subgroup, len(task_list)), unsafe_allow_html=True)
+    st.markdown(
+        get_subset_description(
+            selected_group_type, selected_subgroup, len(task_list), selected_metric
+        ),
+        unsafe_allow_html=True,
+    )
     df_styled = format_leaderboard(metric_df)
     st.dataframe(
         df_styled,
@@ -155,11 +180,21 @@ with cols[1] as main_container:
         hide_index=True,
         column_config={
             "model_name": ColumnConfig(label="Model Name", alignment="left"),
-            "win_rate": st.column_config.NumberColumn(label="Avg. win rate (%)", format="%.1f"),
-            "skill_score": st.column_config.NumberColumn(label="Skill score (%)", format="%.1f"),
-            "median_inference_time_s_per100": st.column_config.NumberColumn(label="Median runtime (s / 100 series)", format="%.1f"),
-            "training_corpus_overlap": st.column_config.NumberColumn(label="Leakage (%)", format="%d"),
-            "num_failures": st.column_config.NumberColumn(label="Failed tasks (%)", format="%.0f"),
+            "win_rate": st.column_config.NumberColumn(
+                label="Avg. win rate (%)", format="%.1f"
+            ),
+            "skill_score": st.column_config.NumberColumn(
+                label="Skill score (%)", format="%.1f"
+            ),
+            "median_inference_time_s_per100": st.column_config.NumberColumn(
+                label="Median runtime (s / 100 series)", format="%.1f"
+            ),
+            "training_corpus_overlap": st.column_config.NumberColumn(
+                label="Leakage (%)", format="%d"
+            ),
+            "num_failures": st.column_config.NumberColumn(
+                label="Failed tasks (%)", format="%.0f"
+            ),
             "zero_shot": ColumnConfig(label="Zero-shot", alignment="center"),
             "org": ColumnConfig(label="Organization", alignment="left"),
             "link": st.column_config.LinkColumn(label="Link", display_text="🔗"),
@@ -174,22 +209,30 @@ with cols[1] as main_container:
 
     with chart_col_1:
         st.altair_chart(
-            construct_pairwise_chart(pairwise_df, col="win_rate", metric_name=selected_metric),
+            construct_pairwise_chart(
+                pairwise_df, col="win_rate", metric_name=selected_metric
+            ),
             use_container_width=True,
         )
 
     with chart_col_2:
         st.altair_chart(
-            construct_pairwise_chart(pairwise_df, col="skill_score", metric_name=selected_metric),
+            construct_pairwise_chart(
+                pairwise_df, col="skill_score", metric_name=selected_metric
+            ),
             use_container_width=True,
         )
 
     with st.expander("See details"):
         st.markdown(PAIRWISE_BENCHMARK_DETAILS, unsafe_allow_html=True)
 
-    st.markdown("## :material/table_chart: Results for individual tasks", unsafe_allow_html=True)
+    st.markdown(
+        "## :material/table_chart: Results for individual tasks", unsafe_allow_html=True
+    )
     with st.expander("Show detailed results"):
-        st.markdown(get_pivot_legend("Seasonal Naive", "Chronos-Bolt"), unsafe_allow_html=True)
+        st.markdown(
+            get_pivot_legend("Seasonal Naive", "Chronos-Bolt"), unsafe_allow_html=True
+        )
         pivot_df, baseline_imputed, leakage_imputed = get_pivot_table(selected_metric)
         pivot_df = pivot_df.set_index("Task name")
         baseline_imputed = baseline_imputed.set_index("Task name")

src/strings.py

@@ -42,7 +42,7 @@ Task definitions and the detailed results are available on [GitHub](https://gith
 """
 
 FEV_BENCHMARK_BASIC_INFO = f"""
-Results for various forecasting models on 100 tasks of the **fev-bench** benchmark, as described in the paper [fev-bench: A Realistic Benchmark for Time Series Forecasting](https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.26468). {LEGEND}
+Results for various forecasting models on 100 tasks of the **fev-bench** benchmark, as described in [fev-bench: A Realistic Benchmark for Time Series Forecasting](https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.26468). {LEGEND}
 """
 
 FEV_BENCHMARK_DETAILS = f"""

src/utils.py

@@ -52,6 +52,7 @@ MODEL_CONFIG = {
     "toto-2.0-22m": ("Datadog/Toto-2.0-22m", "Datadog", True, "pretrained"),
     # Other Models
     "tirex": ("NX-AI/TiRex", "NX-AI", True, "pretrained"),
+    "tirex-2": ("NX-AI/TiRex-2-fevbench", "NX-AI", True, "pretrained"),
     "tabpfn-ts": ("Prior-Labs/TabPFN-v2-reg", "Prior Labs", True, "pretrained"),
     "tabpfn-ts-3": ("Prior-Labs/TabPFN-2.5-reg", "Prior Labs", True, "pretrained"),
     "sundial-base": ("thuml/sundial-base-128m", "Tsinghua University", True, "pretrained"),

tables/domain_cloud/leaderboard_MASE.csv

@@ -1,28 +1,29 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,96.15384615384616,47.105140103596796,0.0,5.064579399732653,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-1B,95.38461538461539,47.049179559947774,0.0,2.3743196950416188,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-313m,92.3076923076923,46.485472580621256,0.0,0.9745701860666667,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-22m,84.03846153846153,43.92623198246986,0.0,0.13920661274489796,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,78.46153846153847,41.88927928450025,0.0,45.854219394249995,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-2,75.76923076923077,42.51579967639686,0.0,1.1862588189,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-4m,73.07692307692307,40.931171483779714,0.0,0.09261558033545919,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,70.57692307692308,40.26605676264323,0.0,6.434508300230608,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,65.96153846153847,38.09940061802194,0.0,0.20884203875396826,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,53.46153846153846,35.5798994200739,0.0,0.35171731723214283,0.1,0.0
-FlowState,52.88461538461537,30.68598311802213,0.0,12.472611368300264,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS-3,52.11538461538462,34.02528132692776,0.0,431.5150328579276,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,50.0,34.304846616783294,1068.4652680383783,0.7892402496428571,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,49.61538461538462,34.444932595485724,0.0,7.874095355196429,0.0,0.0
-TFT,49.51923076923076,34.39379489295074,1003.5120332510221,1.1076982505700976,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,47.69230769230769,30.890375949929528,0.0,0.21284866287857143,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,45.19230769230769,31.182648441489537,0.0,285.2805137923404,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,41.730769230769226,28.99041616417205,123.37088255733154,0.43462186795918367,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,37.5,25.641579380120593,1590.4637105111146,1.558186748969388,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,30.961538461538456,21.217567102831968,7.053590123430682,0.3469036807346939,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,24.71153846153846,12.457381191619765,0.0,140.07917045413043,0.0,5.0
-AutoARIMA,22.01923076923077,13.156560456056853,0.0,18.324502920714288,0.0,5.0
-AutoTheta,16.153846153846153,6.832233363582574,0.0,4.0546638315458425,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,16.057692307692307,9.008132945543156,0.0,2.9907604154761906,0.0,15.0
-Naive,13.076923076923078,-25.50199781747715,0.0,0.43933051720441596,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,10.576923076923077,0.0,0.0,0.5176203110585994,0.0,0.0
-Drift,5.0,-32.85429098273796,0.0,0.4190869192562794,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,96.11111111111113,47.105140103596796,0.0,5.064579399732653,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,95.37037037037037,47.049179559947774,0.0,2.3743196950416188,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,92.4074074074074,46.485472580621256,0.0,0.9745701860666667,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,84.25925925925925,43.92623198246986,0.0,0.13920661274489796,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,78.70370370370371,41.88927928450025,0.0,45.854219394249995,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,75.55555555555556,42.51579967639686,0.0,1.1862588189,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,73.51851851851853,40.931171483779714,0.0,0.09261558033545919,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,69.44444444444444,40.26605676264323,0.0,6.434508300230608,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,67.96296296296298,39.65417127595432,0.0,0.19312244271691675,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,64.81481481481481,38.09940061802194,0.0,0.20884203875396826,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,52.03703703703704,35.5798994200739,0.0,0.35171731723214283,0.1,0.0
+FlowState,51.66666666666666,30.68598311802213,0.0,12.472611368300264,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,50.74074074074074,34.02528132692776,0.0,431.5150328579276,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,48.51851851851852,34.304846616783294,1068.4652680383783,0.7892402496428571,0.0,0.0
+TFT,48.425925925925924,34.39379489295074,1003.5120332510221,1.1076982505700976,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,48.14814814814816,34.444932595485724,0.0,7.874095355196429,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,46.11111111111111,30.890375949929528,0.0,0.21284866287857143,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,44.25925925925926,31.182648441489537,0.0,285.2805137923404,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,40.74074074074074,28.99041616417205,123.37088255733154,0.43462186795918367,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,36.48148148148148,25.641579380120593,1590.4637105111146,1.558186748969388,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,30.185185185185183,21.217567102831968,7.053590123430682,0.3469036807346939,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,23.98148148148148,12.457381191619765,0.0,140.07917045413043,0.0,5.0
+AutoARIMA,21.38888888888889,13.156560456056853,0.0,18.324502920714288,0.0,5.0
+AutoETS,15.64814814814815,9.008132945543156,0.0,2.9907604154761906,0.0,15.0
+AutoTheta,15.555555555555555,6.832233363582574,0.0,4.0546638315458425,0.0,0.0
+Naive,12.77777777777778,-25.50199781747715,0.0,0.43933051720441596,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,10.37037037037037,0.0,0.0,0.5176203110585994,0.0,0.0
+Drift,4.814814814814815,-32.85429098273796,0.0,0.4190869192562794,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_cloud/leaderboard_SQL.csv

@@ -1,28 +1,29 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,96.92307692307693,66.67609437659667,0.0,5.064579399732653,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-1B,95.57692307692308,66.67229326421315,0.0,2.3743196950416188,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-313m,92.6923076923077,66.42835118245338,0.0,0.9745701860666667,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-22m,85.38461538461539,64.64905946685398,0.0,0.13920661274489796,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,78.46153846153844,63.05875031595707,0.0,45.854219394249995,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-2,76.92307692307693,63.92789670076326,0.0,1.1862588189,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-4m,74.8076923076923,62.51740509789393,0.0,0.09261558033545919,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,70.76923076923077,61.98663035039822,0.0,6.434508300230608,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,67.6923076923077,60.871565834690514,0.0,0.20884203875396826,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS-3,59.23076923076924,59.42246884042356,0.0,431.5150328579276,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,56.15384615384615,58.416109773202194,0.0,0.35171731723214283,0.1,0.0
-FlowState,55.00000000000001,55.917373913965896,0.0,12.472611368300264,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,51.05769230769231,56.65838528437654,1068.4652680383783,0.7892402496428571,0.0,0.0
-TFT,49.807692307692314,56.101100728840805,1003.5120332510221,1.1076982505700976,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,46.92307692307692,54.85929046462743,0.0,0.21284866287857143,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,46.73076923076923,56.64773521043558,0.0,7.874095355196429,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,44.80769230769231,54.882167458139385,0.0,285.2805137923404,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,40.09615384615385,50.20430422932948,1590.4637105111146,1.558186748969388,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,33.07692307692308,46.25315473529981,123.37088255733154,0.43462186795918367,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,26.73076923076923,40.369919076130486,7.053590123430682,0.3469036807346939,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,26.05769230769231,34.1099179045811,0.0,18.324502920714288,0.0,5.0
-Stat. Ensemble,23.365384615384613,21.741616773476768,0.0,140.07917045413043,0.0,5.0
-AutoETS,16.634615384615387,-26.853793282334813,0.0,2.9907604154761906,0.0,15.0
-AutoTheta,12.307692307692308,-2.114517117703918,0.0,4.0546638315458425,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,12.211538461538462,0.0,0.0,0.5176203110585994,0.0,0.0
-Naive,8.26923076923077,-102.14853947002402,0.0,0.43933051720441596,0.0,0.0
-Drift,2.3076923076923084,-110.24318719846286,0.0,0.4190869192562794,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,97.03703703703704,66.67609437659667,0.0,5.064579399732653,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,95.55555555555557,66.67229326421315,0.0,2.3743196950416188,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,92.77777777777779,66.42835118245338,0.0,0.9745701860666667,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,85.74074074074073,64.64905946685398,0.0,0.13920661274489796,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,78.70370370370368,63.05875031595707,0.0,45.854219394249995,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,76.4814814814815,63.92789670076326,0.0,1.1862588189,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,75.0,62.51740509789393,0.0,0.09261558033545919,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,70.74074074074075,61.657338261486025,0.0,0.19312244271691675,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,69.81481481481482,61.98663035039822,0.0,6.434508300230608,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,66.48148148148148,60.871565834690514,0.0,0.20884203875396826,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,57.59259259259261,59.42246884042356,0.0,431.5150328579276,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,54.44444444444445,58.416109773202194,0.0,0.35171731723214283,0.1,0.0
+FlowState,53.51851851851852,55.917373913965896,0.0,12.472611368300264,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,49.351851851851855,56.65838528437654,1068.4652680383783,0.7892402496428571,0.0,0.0
+TFT,48.51851851851852,56.101100728840805,1003.5120332510221,1.1076982505700976,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,45.37037037037038,56.64773521043558,0.0,7.874095355196429,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,45.370370370370374,54.85929046462743,0.0,0.21284866287857143,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,43.7037037037037,54.882167458139385,0.0,285.2805137923404,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,38.7962962962963,50.20430422932948,1590.4637105111146,1.558186748969388,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,31.85185185185186,46.25315473529981,123.37088255733154,0.43462186795918367,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,25.740740740740737,40.369919076130486,7.053590123430682,0.3469036807346939,0.0,0.0
+AutoARIMA,25.092592592592595,34.1099179045811,0.0,18.324502920714288,0.0,5.0
+Stat. Ensemble,22.499999999999996,21.741616773476768,0.0,140.07917045413043,0.0,5.0
+AutoETS,16.01851851851852,-26.853793282334813,0.0,2.9907604154761906,0.0,15.0
+AutoTheta,11.851851851851853,-2.114517117703918,0.0,4.0546638315458425,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,11.759259259259258,0.0,0.0,0.5176203110585994,0.0,0.0
+Naive,7.962962962962965,-102.14853947002402,0.0,0.43933051720441596,0.0,0.0
+Drift,2.2222222222222228,-110.24318719846286,0.0,0.4190869192562794,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_cloud/leaderboard_WAPE.csv

@@ -1,28 +1,29 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,96.92307692307693,53.71035361627254,0.0,5.064579399732653,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-1B,95.19230769230768,53.096830919470946,0.0,2.3743196950416188,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-313m,92.88461538461537,52.69411150627982,0.0,0.9745701860666667,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-22m,85.57692307692307,50.191472774349634,0.0,0.13920661274489796,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-2,77.8846153846154,50.57276323971893,0.0,1.1862588189,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,77.50000000000001,47.09252281338565,0.0,45.854219394249995,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-4m,72.88461538461539,47.10219495180865,0.0,0.09261558033545919,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,69.42307692307695,46.24771958720855,0.0,6.434508300230608,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,65.00000000000001,44.520635260445665,0.0,0.20884203875396826,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS-3,58.269230769230774,46.210313482546184,0.0,431.5150328579276,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,57.30769230769231,44.39308253523333,0.0,12.472611368300264,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,54.807692307692314,42.79254856807111,0.0,0.35171731723214283,0.1,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,51.53846153846155,42.304181829008726,0.0,285.2805137923404,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,50.76923076923078,42.75818805959519,1068.4652680383783,0.7892402496428571,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,49.23076923076924,41.966358434053696,0.0,7.874095355196429,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,48.84615384615385,39.89366883509092,0.0,0.21284866287857143,0.0,0.0
-TFT,46.44230769230769,37.9920627846737,1003.5120332510221,1.1076982505700976,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,38.26923076923077,34.58752644878078,123.37088255733154,0.43462186795918367,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,37.3076923076923,31.125782577257844,1590.4637105111146,1.558186748969388,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,30.0,27.03716130150796,7.053590123430682,0.3469036807346939,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,22.01923076923077,17.59542897915567,0.0,140.07917045413043,0.0,5.0
-AutoARIMA,19.134615384615383,16.5309827995087,0.0,18.324502920714288,0.0,5.0
-AutoETS,14.711538461538462,5.6618608202705705,0.0,2.9907604154761906,0.0,15.0
-AutoTheta,13.26923076923077,12.660865320459136,0.0,4.0546638315458425,0.0,0.0
-Naive,12.5,4.49837321934039,0.0,0.43933051720441596,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,7.6923076923076925,0.0,0.0,0.5176203110585994,0.0,0.0
-Drift,4.615384615384617,-1.7537853153904326,0.0,0.4190869192562794,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,97.03703703703704,53.71035361627254,0.0,5.064579399732653,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,95.37037037037038,53.096830919470946,0.0,2.3743196950416188,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,93.14814814814815,52.69411150627982,0.0,0.9745701860666667,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,85.92592592592592,50.191472774349634,0.0,0.13920661274489796,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,78.14814814814817,50.57276323971893,0.0,1.1862588189,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,77.5925925925926,47.09252281338565,0.0,45.854219394249995,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,72.96296296296298,47.10219495180865,0.0,0.09261558033545919,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,68.33333333333333,46.55373683052376,0.0,0.19312244271691675,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,68.14814814814817,46.24771958720855,0.0,6.434508300230608,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,63.888888888888886,44.520635260445665,0.0,0.20884203875396826,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,56.85185185185186,46.210313482546184,0.0,431.5150328579276,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,56.11111111111112,44.39308253523333,0.0,12.472611368300264,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,53.51851851851852,42.79254856807111,0.0,0.35171731723214283,0.1,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,50.37037037037037,42.304181829008726,0.0,285.2805137923404,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,49.07407407407408,42.75818805959519,1068.4652680383783,0.7892402496428571,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,47.5925925925926,41.966358434053696,0.0,7.874095355196429,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,47.22222222222222,39.89366883509092,0.0,0.21284866287857143,0.0,0.0
+TFT,45.46296296296297,37.9920627846737,1003.5120332510221,1.1076982505700976,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,37.03703703703704,34.58752644878078,123.37088255733154,0.43462186795918367,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,36.11111111111111,31.125782577257844,1590.4637105111146,1.558186748969388,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,29.074074074074076,27.03716130150796,7.053590123430682,0.3469036807346939,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,21.38888888888889,17.59542897915567,0.0,140.07917045413043,0.0,5.0
+AutoARIMA,18.425925925925924,16.5309827995087,0.0,18.324502920714288,0.0,5.0
+AutoETS,14.351851851851851,5.6618608202705705,0.0,2.9907604154761906,0.0,15.0
+AutoTheta,12.77777777777778,12.660865320459136,0.0,4.0546638315458425,0.0,0.0
+Naive,12.222222222222221,4.49837321934039,0.0,0.43933051720441596,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,7.4074074074074066,0.0,0.0,0.5176203110585994,0.0,0.0
+Drift,4.4444444444444455,-1.7537853153904326,0.0,0.4190869192562794,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_cloud/leaderboard_WQL.csv

@@ -1,28 +1,29 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,97.88461538461539,69.03469555605878,0.0,5.064579399732653,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-1B,95.57692307692308,68.75529346896873,0.0,2.3743196950416188,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-313m,92.3076923076923,68.41066967488192,0.0,0.9745701860666667,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-22m,85.57692307692307,66.78327813931047,0.0,0.13920661274489796,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-2,78.65384615384616,66.94397676250325,0.0,1.1862588189,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,76.15384615384617,64.46135334372015,0.0,45.854219394249995,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-4m,74.23076923076923,64.42603072886158,0.0,0.09261558033545919,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,69.03846153846153,63.7537487246866,0.0,6.434508300230608,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,67.5,62.74382048246822,0.0,0.20884203875396826,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS-3,63.07692307692309,64.3601359782909,0.0,431.5150328579276,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,59.80769230769231,62.649468493586056,0.0,12.472611368300264,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,57.30769230769231,61.08750954950368,0.0,0.35171731723214283,0.1,0.0
-PatchTST,52.211538461538474,59.71037333425973,1068.4652680383783,0.7892402496428571,0.0,0.0
-TFT,49.03846153846153,55.556509382143545,1003.5120332510221,1.1076982505700976,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,47.5,58.432181218600874,0.0,285.2805137923404,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,46.92307692307692,58.15816295699815,0.0,0.21284866287857143,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,45.38461538461539,59.21372871831863,0.0,7.874095355196429,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,39.71153846153846,50.79429174981283,1590.4637105111146,1.558186748969388,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,32.69230769230769,46.843426009989976,123.37088255733154,0.43462186795918367,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,27.500000000000004,40.70772252024998,7.053590123430682,0.3469036807346939,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,24.134615384615383,34.821696297938075,0.0,18.324502920714288,0.0,5.0
-Stat. Ensemble,20.865384615384613,22.34504540092107,0.0,140.07917045413043,0.0,5.0
-AutoETS,13.942307692307693,-39.995047645386684,0.0,2.9907604154761906,0.0,15.0
-AutoTheta,11.923076923076922,7.361982676335321,0.0,4.0546638315458425,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,11.057692307692307,0.0,0.0,0.5176203110585994,0.0,0.0
-Naive,7.500000000000001,-64.9788901369484,0.0,0.43933051720441596,0.0,0.0
-Drift,2.5,-71.7471743825873,0.0,0.4190869192562794,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,97.96296296296296,69.03469555605878,0.0,5.064579399732653,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,95.74074074074075,68.75529346896873,0.0,2.3743196950416188,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,92.5925925925926,68.41066967488192,0.0,0.9745701860666667,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,86.11111111111111,66.78327813931047,0.0,0.13920661274489796,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,78.70370370370372,66.94397676250325,0.0,1.1862588189,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,76.2962962962963,64.46135334372015,0.0,45.854219394249995,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,73.88888888888887,64.42603072886158,0.0,0.09261558033545919,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,70.37037037037037,63.99709672683953,0.0,0.19312244271691675,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,67.77777777777779,63.7537487246866,0.0,6.434508300230608,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,66.29629629629629,62.74382048246822,0.0,0.20884203875396826,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,61.66666666666669,64.3601359782909,0.0,431.5150328579276,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,58.518518518518526,62.649468493586056,0.0,12.472611368300264,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,55.37037037037037,61.08750954950368,0.0,0.35171731723214283,0.1,0.0
+PatchTST,50.64814814814817,59.71037333425973,1068.4652680383783,0.7892402496428571,0.0,0.0
+TFT,47.77777777777778,55.556509382143545,1003.5120332510221,1.1076982505700976,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,46.2962962962963,58.432181218600874,0.0,285.2805137923404,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,45.18518518518518,58.15816295699815,0.0,0.21284866287857143,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,43.88888888888889,59.21372871831863,0.0,7.874095355196429,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,38.425925925925924,50.79429174981283,1590.4637105111146,1.558186748969388,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,31.48148148148148,46.843426009989976,123.37088255733154,0.43462186795918367,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,26.481481481481485,40.70772252024998,7.053590123430682,0.3469036807346939,0.0,0.0
+AutoARIMA,23.240740740740744,34.821696297938075,0.0,18.324502920714288,0.0,5.0
+Stat. Ensemble,20.09259259259259,22.34504540092107,0.0,140.07917045413043,0.0,5.0
+AutoETS,13.425925925925927,-39.995047645386684,0.0,2.9907604154761906,0.0,15.0
+AutoTheta,11.48148148148148,7.361982676335321,0.0,4.0546638315458425,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,10.648148148148149,0.0,0.0,0.5176203110585994,0.0,0.0
+Naive,7.222222222222223,-64.9788901369484,0.0,0.43933051720441596,0.0,0.0
+Drift,2.407407407407407,-71.7471743825873,0.0,0.4190869192562794,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_cloud/pairwise_MASE.csv

@@ -6,6 +6,7 @@ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.057,0.031,0.088
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.09,0.05,0.136
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.08,0.048,0.124
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.105,0.061,0.155
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.123,0.077,0.173
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.114,0.07,0.181
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.145,0.082,0.223
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.237,0.125,0.356
@@ -13,7 +14,6 @@ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.179,0.114,0.268
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.198,0.107,0.308
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.194,0.136,0.259
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.195,0.12,0.276
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Sundial-Base,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.193,0.121,0.274
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.235,0.163,0.308
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.471,0.37,0.587
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.001,-0.012,0.011
@@ -23,6 +23,7 @@ Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.056,0.028,0.092
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.089,0.051,0.132
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.079,0.042,0.127
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.104,0.06,0.157
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.123,0.077,0.175
 Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.114,0.068,0.183
 Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.145,0.084,0.223
 Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.236,0.115,0.36
@@ -30,7 +31,6 @@ Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.178,0.112,0.271
 Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.197,0.101,0.318
 Toto-2.0-1B,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.193,0.137,0.254
 Toto-2.0-1B,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.194,0.117,0.277
-Toto-2.0-1B,Sundial-Base,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.192,0.113,0.275
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.234,0.16,0.311
 Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.47,0.372,0.586
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.012,-0.024,-0.002
@@ -40,6 +40,7 @@ Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.046,0.025,0.076
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.079,0.045,0.121
 Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.069,0.033,0.115
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.094,0.056,0.144
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.113,0.073,0.158
 Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.104,0.058,0.173
 Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.135,0.076,0.212
 Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.228,0.113,0.349
@@ -47,7 +48,6 @@ Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.169,0.107,0.26
 Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.189,0.093,0.302
 Toto-2.0-313m,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.184,0.131,0.249
 Toto-2.0-313m,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.185,0.105,0.268
-Toto-2.0-313m,Sundial-Base,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.184,0.104,0.266
 Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.226,0.157,0.3
 Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.465,0.364,0.583
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.06,-0.096,-0.032
@@ -57,6 +57,7 @@ Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.035,0.012,0.064
 Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.025,-0.013,0.052
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.051,0.03,0.076
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.071,0.046,0.096
 Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.85,0.699,1.0,0.061,0.016,0.111
 Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.094,0.047,0.149
 Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.191,0.077,0.306
@@ -64,7 +65,6 @@ Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.13,0.081,0.2
 Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.15,0.058,0.249
 Toto-2.0-22m,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.145,0.093,0.21
 Toto-2.0-22m,PatchTST,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.146,0.069,0.221
-Toto-2.0-22m,Sundial-Base,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.145,0.073,0.217
 Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.189,0.128,0.252
 Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.439,0.34,0.551
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.099,-0.157,-0.052
@@ -74,6 +74,7 @@ Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.036,-0.068,-0.012
 Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.65,0.45,0.85,-0.011,-0.063,0.027
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.7,0.45,0.9,0.016,-0.007,0.04
+Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.037,0.014,0.059
 Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.027,-0.02,0.072
 Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.061,0.027,0.114
 Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.162,0.041,0.286
@@ -81,7 +82,6 @@ Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.098,0.052,0.164
 Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.119,0.024,0.226
 Toto-1.0,TFT,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.114,0.071,0.159
 Toto-1.0,PatchTST,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.115,0.034,0.185
-Toto-1.0,Sundial-Base,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.114,0.037,0.182
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.159,0.094,0.224
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.419,0.323,0.528
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.087,-0.141,-0.05
@@ -91,6 +91,7 @@ Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.025,-0.055,0.013
 Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.35,0.15,0.55,0.011,-0.028,0.059
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.35,0.8,0.027,-0.006,0.067
+Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.047,0.011,0.093
 Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.038,0.009,0.071
 Chronos-2,TiRex,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.071,0.022,0.128
 Chronos-2,FlowState,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.171,0.067,0.29
@@ -98,7 +99,6 @@ Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.108,0.053,0.168
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.129,0.052,0.222
 Chronos-2,TFT,0.85,0.699,1.0,0.124,0.065,0.193
 Chronos-2,PatchTST,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.125,0.065,0.189
-Chronos-2,Sundial-Base,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.123,0.07,0.182
 Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.168,0.101,0.231
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.425,0.331,0.534
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.117,-0.184,-0.065
@@ -108,6 +108,7 @@ Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.053,-0.083,-0.031
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.3,0.1,0.55,-0.016,-0.042,0.007
 Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.4,0.2,0.65,-0.028,-0.072,0.006
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.021,0.008,0.034
 Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.65,0.4,0.85,0.011,-0.032,0.048
 Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.046,0.017,0.083
 Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.85,0.699,1.0,0.148,0.032,0.269
@@ -115,9 +116,25 @@ Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.083,0.05,0.134
 Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.105,0.014,0.197
 Toto-2.0-4m,TFT,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.1,0.046,0.16
 Toto-2.0-4m,PatchTST,0.85,0.699,1.0,0.101,0.019,0.165
-Toto-2.0-4m,Sundial-Base,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.099,0.025,0.157
 Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.145,0.092,0.201
 Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.409,0.315,0.516
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.141,-0.209,-0.084
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.14,-0.212,-0.083
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.128,-0.188,-0.078
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.076,-0.106,-0.049
+TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.038,-0.063,-0.014
+TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.05,-0.103,-0.011
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.022,-0.035,-0.008
+TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.4,0.8,-0.01,-0.061,0.036
+TiRex-2,TiRex,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.025,-0.006,0.072
+TiRex-2,FlowState,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.129,0.009,0.25
+TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.063,0.027,0.121
+TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.085,-0.01,0.184
+TiRex-2,TFT,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.08,0.03,0.141
+TiRex-2,PatchTST,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.081,-0.011,0.149
+TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.127,0.072,0.184
+TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.397,0.293,0.51
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.129,-0.22,-0.075
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.128,-0.224,-0.073
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.116,-0.209,-0.061
@@ -125,6 +142,7 @@ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.15,0.0,0.301,-0.065,-0.125,-0.016
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.028,-0.078,0.02
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.039,-0.077,-0.009
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.35,0.15,0.6,-0.011,-0.05,0.031
+TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.4,0.2,0.6,0.01,-0.037,0.058
 TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.035,-0.0,0.077
 TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.138,0.03,0.267
@@ -132,7 +150,6 @@ TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.073,0.035,0.115
 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.095,0.024,0.186
 TimesFM-2.5,TFT,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.09,0.017,0.163
 TimesFM-2.5,PatchTST,0.8,0.649,0.95,0.091,0.037,0.142
-TimesFM-2.5,Sundial-Base,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.089,0.041,0.137
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.136,0.068,0.199
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.403,0.318,0.501
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.17,-0.287,-0.09
@@ -142,6 +159,7 @@ TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.104,-0.176,-0.05
 TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.065,-0.129,-0.028
 TiRex,Chronos-2,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.077,-0.146,-0.022
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.048,-0.091,-0.017
+TiRex,TiRex-2,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.026,-0.077,0.006
 TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.036,-0.083,0.0
 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TiRex,FlowState,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.107,-0.02,0.236
@@ -149,7 +167,6 @@ TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.039,0.014,0.065
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.062,-0.03,0.149
 TiRex,TFT,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.056,-0.02,0.121
 TiRex,PatchTST,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.058,-0.029,0.118
-TiRex,Sundial-Base,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.056,-0.026,0.115
 TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.104,0.038,0.166
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.381,0.295,0.476
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.31,-0.554,-0.142
@@ -159,6 +176,7 @@ FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.236,-0.442,-0.084
 FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.193,-0.401,-0.043
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.206,-0.408,-0.072
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.15,0.0,0.301,-0.173,-0.368,-0.033
+FlowState,TiRex-2,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.149,-0.333,-0.009
 FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.16,-0.363,-0.031
 FlowState,TiRex,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.12,-0.308,0.02
 FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
@@ -166,7 +184,6 @@ FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.076,-0.251,0.058
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.051,-0.155,0.045
 FlowState,TFT,0.55,0.3,0.75,-0.057,-0.249,0.076
 FlowState,PatchTST,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.055,-0.227,0.056
-FlowState,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.25,0.7,-0.057,-0.195,0.034
 FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.003,-0.136,0.112
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.307,0.147,0.442
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.218,-0.367,-0.129
@@ -176,6 +193,7 @@ Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.149,-0.25,-0.088
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.109,-0.196,-0.055
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.121,-0.202,-0.056
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.091,-0.155,-0.052
+Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.068,-0.137,-0.027
 Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.078,-0.13,-0.036
 Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.041,-0.07,-0.015
 Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.071,-0.062,0.201
@@ -183,7 +201,6 @@ Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.024,-0.061,0.104
 Moirai-2.0,TFT,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.018,-0.08,0.104
 Moirai-2.0,PatchTST,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.019,-0.064,0.081
-Moirai-2.0,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.017,-0.056,0.065
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.65,0.425,0.825,0.068,-0.002,0.135
 Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.356,0.268,0.451
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.247,-0.446,-0.12
@@ -193,6 +210,7 @@ TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.177,-0.331,-0.061
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.135,-0.291,-0.025
 TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.148,-0.286,-0.055
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.117,-0.245,-0.014
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.093,-0.225,0.01
 TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.104,-0.229,-0.025
 TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.066,-0.176,0.03
 TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.048,-0.047,0.134
@@ -200,7 +218,6 @@ TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.024,-0.116,0.057
 TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TabPFN-TS-3,TFT,0.6,0.4,0.8,-0.006,-0.164,0.102
 TabPFN-TS-3,PatchTST,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.004,-0.118,0.077
-TabPFN-TS-3,Sundial-Base,0.55,0.35,0.75,-0.006,-0.078,0.047
 TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.45,0.25,0.65,0.045,-0.057,0.144
 TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.34,0.224,0.444
 TFT,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.24,-0.35,-0.157
@@ -210,6 +227,7 @@ TFT,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.17,-0.266,-0.102
 TFT,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.129,-0.188,-0.076
 TFT,Chronos-2,0.15,0.0,0.301,-0.141,-0.239,-0.069
 TFT,Toto-2.0-4m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.111,-0.191,-0.048
+TFT,TiRex-2,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.087,-0.164,-0.03
 TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.098,-0.194,-0.017
 TFT,TiRex,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.06,-0.138,0.02
 TFT,FlowState,0.45,0.25,0.7,0.053,-0.082,0.2
@@ -217,7 +235,6 @@ TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.018,-0.117,0.074
 TFT,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.2,0.6,0.006,-0.113,0.141
 TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TFT,PatchTST,0.575,0.375,0.8,0.001,-0.11,0.092
-TFT,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.001,-0.1,0.085
 TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.051,-0.051,0.135
 TFT,Seasonal Naive,0.925,0.824,1.0,0.344,0.234,0.473
 PatchTST,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.242,-0.381,-0.137
@@ -227,6 +244,7 @@ PatchTST,Toto-2.0-22m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.172,-0.283,-0.074
 PatchTST,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.131,-0.227,-0.035
 PatchTST,Chronos-2,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.143,-0.234,-0.07
 PatchTST,Toto-2.0-4m,0.15,0.0,0.301,-0.112,-0.197,-0.02
+PatchTST,TiRex-2,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.089,-0.174,0.01
 PatchTST,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.05,0.351,-0.1,-0.166,-0.038
 PatchTST,TiRex,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.061,-0.134,0.028
 PatchTST,FlowState,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.052,-0.059,0.185
@@ -234,26 +252,8 @@ PatchTST,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.02,-0.089,0.06
 PatchTST,TabPFN-TS-3,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.004,-0.084,0.105
 PatchTST,TFT,0.425,0.2,0.625,-0.001,-0.101,0.099
 PatchTST,PatchTST,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,Sundial-Base,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.002,-0.049,0.046
 PatchTST,Chronos-Bolt,0.45,0.2,0.65,0.049,-0.039,0.137
 PatchTST,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.775,1.0,0.343,0.237,0.456
-Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.239,-0.378,-0.138
-Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-1B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.238,-0.378,-0.128
-Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-313m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.225,-0.362,-0.117
-Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-22m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.169,-0.277,-0.079
-Sundial-Base,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.128,-0.223,-0.038
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-2,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.14,-0.222,-0.075
-Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-4m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.11,-0.186,-0.025
-Sundial-Base,TimesFM-2.5,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.097,-0.159,-0.043
-Sundial-Base,TiRex,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.059,-0.129,0.025
-Sundial-Base,FlowState,0.5,0.3,0.75,0.054,-0.035,0.163
-Sundial-Base,Moirai-2.0,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.018,-0.069,0.053
-Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS-3,0.45,0.25,0.65,0.006,-0.049,0.073
-Sundial-Base,TFT,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.001,-0.093,0.091
-Sundial-Base,PatchTST,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.002,-0.049,0.047
-Sundial-Base,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.25,0.7,0.051,-0.023,0.126
-Sundial-Base,Seasonal Naive,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.344,0.246,0.453
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.307,-0.445,-0.194
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.305,-0.452,-0.191
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.291,-0.429,-0.186
@@ -261,6 +261,7 @@ Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.232,-0.336,-0.147
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.189,-0.288,-0.104
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.202,-0.3,-0.112
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.17,-0.252,-0.101
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.145,-0.225,-0.077
 Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.157,-0.248,-0.073
 Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.116,-0.198,-0.039
 Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.003,-0.127,0.12
@@ -268,7 +269,6 @@ Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.35,0.175,0.575,-0.073,-0.156,0.002
 Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.55,0.35,0.75,-0.048,-0.169,0.054
 Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.053,-0.156,0.049
 Chronos-Bolt,PatchTST,0.55,0.35,0.8,-0.052,-0.159,0.037
-Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.3,0.75,-0.054,-0.144,0.022
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.309,0.185,0.434
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.891,-1.422,-0.588
@@ -278,6 +278,7 @@ Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.783,-1.229,-0.515
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.721,-1.121,-0.477
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.74,-1.148,-0.496
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.693,-1.065,-0.459
+Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.657,-1.043,-0.414
 Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.674,-1.003,-0.466
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.615,-0.909,-0.418
 Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.443,-0.793,-0.172
@@ -285,6 +286,5 @@ Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.552,-0.822,-0.365
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.516,-0.797,-0.289
 Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.075,0.0,0.176,-0.524,-0.897,-0.305
 Seasonal Naive,PatchTST,0.1,0.0,0.225,-0.522,-0.838,-0.31
-Seasonal Naive,Sundial-Base,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.525,-0.83,-0.326
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.447,-0.766,-0.228
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_cloud/pairwise_SQL.csv

@@ -6,13 +6,14 @@ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.057,0.035,0.084
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.098,0.06,0.139
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.076,0.052,0.104
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.111,0.069,0.154
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.131,0.084,0.178
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.123,0.081,0.177
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.148,0.088,0.214
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.179,0.107,0.265
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.244,0.135,0.358
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.199,0.13,0.271
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.231,0.156,0.306
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.241,0.165,0.317
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.231,0.156,0.306
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.262,0.194,0.323
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.667,0.566,0.758
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.3,0.149,0.5,-0.0,-0.012,0.014
@@ -22,13 +23,14 @@ Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.057,0.031,0.089
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.098,0.058,0.137
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.076,0.045,0.113
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.111,0.067,0.159
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.131,0.083,0.181
 Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.123,0.079,0.184
 Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.148,0.088,0.217
 Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.179,0.102,0.272
 Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.244,0.129,0.364
 Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.199,0.129,0.277
-Toto-2.0-1B,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.231,0.149,0.311
 Toto-2.0-1B,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.241,0.163,0.314
+Toto-2.0-1B,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.231,0.149,0.311
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.262,0.192,0.328
 Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.667,0.566,0.759
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.007,-0.021,0.005
@@ -38,13 +40,14 @@ Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.05,0.03,0.076
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.091,0.055,0.129
 Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.069,0.038,0.106
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.104,0.064,0.149
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.124,0.08,0.171
 Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.117,0.072,0.179
 Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.142,0.084,0.212
 Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.173,0.093,0.266
 Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.238,0.125,0.356
 Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.193,0.124,0.271
-Toto-2.0-313m,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.225,0.146,0.305
 Toto-2.0-313m,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.235,0.16,0.307
+Toto-2.0-313m,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.225,0.146,0.305
 Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.256,0.19,0.318
 Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.664,0.561,0.758
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.061,-0.091,-0.036
@@ -54,13 +57,14 @@ Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.043,0.02,0.071
 Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.02,-0.019,0.047
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.057,0.034,0.082
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.078,0.049,0.106
 Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.85,0.699,1.0,0.07,0.023,0.119
 Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.097,0.053,0.149
 Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.129,0.048,0.211
 Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.198,0.085,0.312
 Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.15,0.094,0.211
-Toto-2.0-22m,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.184,0.101,0.256
 Toto-2.0-22m,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.195,0.126,0.267
+Toto-2.0-22m,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.184,0.101,0.256
 Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.217,0.158,0.27
 Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.646,0.539,0.743
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.109,-0.162,-0.064
@@ -70,13 +74,14 @@ Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.045,-0.076,-0.02
 Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.6,0.4,0.8,-0.024,-0.08,0.018
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.014,-0.008,0.036
+Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.037,0.012,0.06
 Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.028,-0.025,0.076
 Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.056,0.022,0.104
 Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.09,0.005,0.175
 Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.162,0.04,0.284
 Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.112,0.064,0.169
-Toto-1.0,PatchTST,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.148,0.055,0.221
 Toto-1.0,TFT,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.158,0.096,0.217
+Toto-1.0,PatchTST,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.148,0.055,0.221
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.182,0.124,0.236
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.631,0.52,0.73
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.082,-0.116,-0.055
@@ -86,13 +91,14 @@ Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.02,-0.049,0.019
 Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.2,0.6,0.024,-0.018,0.074
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.35,0.8,0.038,0.001,0.085
+Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.65,0.4,0.85,0.059,0.017,0.111
 Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.051,0.017,0.09
 Chronos-2,TiRex,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.078,0.024,0.139
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.111,0.053,0.183
 Chronos-2,FlowState,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.182,0.078,0.296
 Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.133,0.069,0.2
-Chronos-2,PatchTST,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.168,0.103,0.231
 Chronos-2,TFT,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.178,0.097,0.258
+Chronos-2,PatchTST,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.168,0.103,0.231
 Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.201,0.134,0.261
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.639,0.533,0.735
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.125,-0.182,-0.074
@@ -102,15 +108,33 @@ Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.06,-0.089,-0.035
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.015,-0.037,0.008
 Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.4,0.2,0.65,-0.039,-0.093,-0.001
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.022,0.009,0.035
 Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.65,0.4,0.85,0.014,-0.039,0.056
 Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.042,0.015,0.077
 Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.076,-0.009,0.147
 Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.15,0.028,0.27
 Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.099,0.061,0.145
-Toto-2.0-4m,PatchTST,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.135,0.047,0.204
 Toto-2.0-4m,TFT,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.146,0.077,0.211
+Toto-2.0-4m,PatchTST,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.135,0.047,0.204
 Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.17,0.12,0.218
 Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.625,0.515,0.726
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.151,-0.216,-0.092
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.09
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.142,-0.206,-0.087
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.085,-0.119,-0.051
+TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.038,-0.064,-0.012
+TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.35,0.15,0.6,-0.063,-0.125,-0.017
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.023,-0.037,-0.009
+TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.55,0.349,0.75,-0.009,-0.07,0.04
+TiRex-2,TiRex,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.02,-0.01,0.064
+TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.055,-0.036,0.135
+TiRex-2,FlowState,0.85,0.699,1.0,0.13,0.007,0.247
+TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.078,0.043,0.128
+TiRex-2,TFT,0.85,0.7,0.95,0.127,0.064,0.19
+TiRex-2,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.115,0.021,0.184
+TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.151,0.106,0.197
+TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.617,0.505,0.72
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.141,-0.216,-0.088
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.141,-0.226,-0.086
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.132,-0.218,-0.078
@@ -118,13 +142,14 @@ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.15,0.0,0.301,-0.075,-0.136,-0.024
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.029,-0.082,0.024
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.054,-0.099,-0.017
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.35,0.15,0.6,-0.014,-0.059,0.038
+TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.45,0.25,0.651,0.009,-0.041,0.065
 TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.028,-0.014,0.08
 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.063,0.005,0.129
 TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.138,0.034,0.263
 TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.086,0.038,0.143
-TimesFM-2.5,PatchTST,0.8,0.649,0.95,0.123,0.058,0.187
 TimesFM-2.5,TFT,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.134,0.04,0.217
+TimesFM-2.5,PatchTST,0.8,0.649,0.95,0.123,0.058,0.187
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.158,0.095,0.217
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.62,0.519,0.713
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.174,-0.273,-0.097
@@ -134,13 +159,14 @@ TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.107,-0.176,-0.056
 TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.059,-0.116,-0.023
 TiRex,Chronos-2,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.085,-0.162,-0.025
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.044,-0.083,-0.015
+TiRex,TiRex-2,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.02,-0.068,0.01
 TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.029,-0.086,0.013
 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.036,-0.056,0.102
 TiRex,FlowState,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.112,-0.021,0.241
 TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.059,0.03,0.09
-TiRex,PatchTST,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.097,-0.003,0.171
 TiRex,TFT,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.109,0.017,0.181
+TiRex,PatchTST,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.097,-0.003,0.171
 TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.133,0.073,0.186
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.609,0.499,0.709
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.218,-0.361,-0.12
@@ -150,13 +176,14 @@ TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.148,-0.267,-0.05
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.098,-0.212,-0.005
 TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.125,-0.223,-0.057
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.083,-0.172,0.009
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.058,-0.156,0.035
 TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.067,-0.148,-0.006
 TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.037,-0.113,0.053
 TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.08,-0.032,0.187
 TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.45,0.25,0.65,0.024,-0.037,0.104
-TabPFN-TS-3,PatchTST,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.064,-0.012,0.126
 TabPFN-TS-3,TFT,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.076,-0.051,0.174
+TabPFN-TS-3,PatchTST,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.064,-0.012,0.126
 TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.65,0.4,0.85,0.101,0.008,0.193
 TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.594,0.486,0.694
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.323,-0.558,-0.156
@@ -166,13 +193,14 @@ FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.247,-0.453,-0.093
 FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.193,-0.397,-0.041
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.222,-0.421,-0.084
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.176,-0.37,-0.029
+FlowState,TiRex-2,0.15,0.0,0.301,-0.15,-0.328,-0.007
 FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.16,-0.356,-0.035
 FlowState,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.127,-0.318,0.02
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.086,-0.23,0.031
 FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.06,-0.225,0.076
-FlowState,PatchTST,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.017,-0.152,0.083
 FlowState,TFT,0.55,0.3,0.75,-0.004,-0.165,0.115
+FlowState,PatchTST,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.017,-0.152,0.083
 FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.023,-0.108,0.139
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.559,0.424,0.672
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.248,-0.371,-0.15
@@ -182,31 +210,16 @@ Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.176,-0.267,-0.104
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.126,-0.203,-0.068
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.153,-0.249,-0.074
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.109,-0.169,-0.065
+Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.085,-0.146,-0.045
 Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.094,-0.167,-0.039
 Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.063,-0.099,-0.03
 Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.55,0.35,0.75,-0.025,-0.116,0.035
 Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.057,-0.083,0.184
 Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,PatchTST,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.041,-0.065,0.115
 Moirai-2.0,TFT,0.65,0.4,0.85,0.053,-0.052,0.142
+Moirai-2.0,PatchTST,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.041,-0.065,0.115
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.079,0.017,0.14
 Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.584,0.469,0.689
-PatchTST,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.301,-0.442,-0.186
-PatchTST,Toto-2.0-1B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.3,-0.452,-0.175
-PatchTST,Toto-2.0-313m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.291,-0.438,-0.17
-PatchTST,Toto-2.0-22m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.226,-0.344,-0.113
-PatchTST,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.173,-0.284,-0.058
-PatchTST,Chronos-2,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.202,-0.3,-0.115
-PatchTST,Toto-2.0-4m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.156,-0.256,-0.049
-PatchTST,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.05,0.351,-0.14,-0.23,-0.061
-PatchTST,TiRex,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.108,-0.207,0.003
-PatchTST,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.068,-0.144,0.012
-PatchTST,FlowState,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.017,-0.09,0.132
-PatchTST,Moirai-2.0,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.042,-0.129,0.061
-PatchTST,PatchTST,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,TFT,0.425,0.2,0.625,0.013,-0.082,0.119
-PatchTST,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.2,0.6,0.04,-0.034,0.126
-PatchTST,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.567,0.435,0.68
 TFT,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.317,-0.464,-0.198
 TFT,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.317,-0.457,-0.195
 TFT,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.308,-0.444,-0.191
@@ -214,15 +227,33 @@ TFT,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.242,-0.363,-0.144
 TFT,Toto-1.0,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.188,-0.277,-0.106
 TFT,Chronos-2,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.217,-0.348,-0.107
 TFT,Toto-2.0-4m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.171,-0.267,-0.084
+TFT,TiRex-2,0.15,0.05,0.3,-0.145,-0.235,-0.068
 TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.155,-0.277,-0.042
 TFT,TiRex,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.122,-0.221,-0.018
 TFT,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.082,-0.21,0.049
 TFT,FlowState,0.45,0.25,0.7,0.004,-0.13,0.142
 TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.35,0.15,0.6,-0.056,-0.166,0.049
-TFT,PatchTST,0.575,0.375,0.8,-0.013,-0.135,0.076
 TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TFT,PatchTST,0.575,0.375,0.8,-0.013,-0.135,0.076
 TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.028,-0.073,0.104
 TFT,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.561,0.416,0.683
+PatchTST,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.301,-0.442,-0.186
+PatchTST,Toto-2.0-1B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.3,-0.452,-0.175
+PatchTST,Toto-2.0-313m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.291,-0.438,-0.17
+PatchTST,Toto-2.0-22m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.226,-0.344,-0.113
+PatchTST,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.173,-0.284,-0.058
+PatchTST,Chronos-2,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.202,-0.3,-0.115
+PatchTST,Toto-2.0-4m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.156,-0.256,-0.049
+PatchTST,TiRex-2,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.13,-0.226,-0.022
+PatchTST,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.05,0.351,-0.14,-0.23,-0.061
+PatchTST,TiRex,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.108,-0.207,0.003
+PatchTST,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.068,-0.144,0.012
+PatchTST,FlowState,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.017,-0.09,0.132
+PatchTST,Moirai-2.0,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.042,-0.129,0.061
+PatchTST,TFT,0.425,0.2,0.625,0.013,-0.082,0.119
+PatchTST,PatchTST,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.2,0.6,0.04,-0.034,0.126
+PatchTST,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.567,0.435,0.68
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.355,-0.477,-0.24
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.354,-0.487,-0.237
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.345,-0.466,-0.235
@@ -230,13 +261,14 @@ Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.277,-0.37,-0.188
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.222,-0.31,-0.141
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.251,-0.352,-0.155
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.204,-0.279,-0.137
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.177,-0.246,-0.119
 Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.187,-0.277,-0.105
 Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.154,-0.229,-0.079
 Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.35,0.15,0.6,-0.112,-0.239,-0.008
 Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.024,-0.161,0.097
 Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.086,-0.162,-0.017
-Chronos-Bolt,PatchTST,0.6,0.4,0.8,-0.042,-0.144,0.033
 Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.028,-0.116,0.068
+Chronos-Bolt,PatchTST,0.6,0.4,0.8,-0.042,-0.144,0.033
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.549,0.413,0.67
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-2.001,-3.137,-1.304
@@ -246,12 +278,13 @@ Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.829,-2.894,-1.168
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.707,-2.709,-1.085
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.772,-2.77,-1.139
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.668,-2.646,-1.063
+Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.608,-2.568,-1.019
 Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.631,-2.486,-1.077
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.556,-2.437,-0.997
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.464,-2.271,-0.947
 Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.05,0.0,0.15,-1.268,-2.052,-0.736
 Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.405,-2.214,-0.883
-Seasonal Naive,PatchTST,0.1,0.0,0.25,-1.307,-2.121,-0.769
 Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.1,0.0,0.25,-1.278,-2.153,-0.713
+Seasonal Naive,PatchTST,0.1,0.0,0.25,-1.307,-2.121,-0.769
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.1,0.0,0.25,-1.215,-2.027,-0.704
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_cloud/pairwise_WAPE.csv

@@ -6,14 +6,14 @@ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.071,0.029,0.124
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.063,0.023,0.11
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.125,0.053,0.213
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.125,0.066,0.193
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.134,0.073,0.209
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.139,0.086,0.203
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.166,0.087,0.257
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.168,0.079,0.256
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.139,0.049,0.245
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.191,0.114,0.276
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.198,0.141,0.267
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.191,0.114,0.276
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.191,0.095,0.279
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.202,0.143,0.273
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.23,0.156,0.302
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.537,0.421,0.654
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.35,0.15,0.6,-0.013,-0.034,0.0
@@ -23,14 +23,14 @@ Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.058,0.025,0.099
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.051,-0.006,0.103
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.113,0.051,0.188
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.113,0.062,0.171
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.122,0.069,0.184
 Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.127,0.081,0.191
 Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.155,0.082,0.239
 Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.157,0.056,0.251
 Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.128,0.019,0.239
-Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.18,0.109,0.265
 Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.187,0.136,0.254
+Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.18,0.109,0.265
 Toto-2.0-1B,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.181,0.07,0.275
-Toto-2.0-1B,Sundial-Base,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.192,0.13,0.263
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.22,0.152,0.285
 Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.531,0.419,0.647
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.022,-0.054,-0.003
@@ -40,14 +40,14 @@ Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.05,0.024,0.082
 Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.043,-0.025,0.097
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.106,0.048,0.177
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.106,0.06,0.159
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.115,0.068,0.169
 Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.12,0.076,0.18
 Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.147,0.08,0.229
 Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.149,0.038,0.248
 Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.121,-0.004,0.231
-Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.173,0.108,0.251
 Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.18,0.131,0.245
+Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.173,0.108,0.251
 Toto-2.0-313m,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.174,0.052,0.27
-Toto-2.0-313m,Sundial-Base,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.185,0.12,0.257
 Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.213,0.151,0.275
 Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.527,0.414,0.642
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.076,-0.142,-0.03
@@ -57,14 +57,14 @@ Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.8,0.6,0.95,-0.008,-0.096,0.044
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.059,0.02,0.114
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.058,0.034,0.085
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.068,0.042,0.099
 Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.073,0.036,0.118
 Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.102,0.053,0.16
 Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.104,-0.035,0.209
 Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.074,-0.075,0.178
-Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.129,0.081,0.192
 Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.137,0.098,0.186
+Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.129,0.081,0.192
 Toto-2.0-22m,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.13,-0.014,0.227
-Toto-2.0-22m,Sundial-Base,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.142,0.068,0.206
 Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.171,0.122,0.223
 Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.502,0.392,0.613
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.068,-0.124,-0.023
@@ -74,14 +74,14 @@ Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.05,0.4,0.008,-0.046,0.087
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.35,0.15,0.55,0.066,-0.014,0.174
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.35,0.8,0.066,0.005,0.155
+Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.075,0.013,0.169
 Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.08,0.03,0.14
 Chronos-2,TiRex,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.109,0.032,0.209
 Chronos-2,FlowState,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.111,0.049,0.183
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.081,0.019,0.155
-Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.136,0.059,0.226
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.143,0.087,0.216
+Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.136,0.059,0.226
 Chronos-2,PatchTST,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.137,0.061,0.205
-Chronos-2,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.148,0.099,0.198
 Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.178,0.103,0.259
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.506,0.388,0.617
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.143,-0.27,-0.056
@@ -91,14 +91,14 @@ Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.062,-0.128,-0.021
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.65,0.45,0.85,-0.07,-0.211,0.014
 Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.75,0.55,0.95,-0.0,-0.046,0.03
+Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.8,0.65,0.95,0.01,-0.05,0.046
 Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.016,-0.049,0.069
 Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.046,-0.002,0.1
 Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.049,-0.12,0.172
 Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.85,0.699,1.0,0.016,-0.189,0.136
-Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.075,0.014,0.139
 Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.85,0.699,1.0,0.083,0.012,0.143
+Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.075,0.014,0.139
 Toto-1.0,PatchTST,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.076,-0.112,0.188
-Toto-1.0,Sundial-Base,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.088,-0.012,0.164
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.12,0.051,0.182
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.471,0.37,0.58
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.143,-0.239,-0.07
@@ -108,16 +108,33 @@ Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.062,-0.093,-0.036
 Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.4,0.2,0.65,-0.07,-0.184,-0.005
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.25,0.05,0.45,0.0,-0.031,0.044
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.01,-0.012,0.033
 Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.016,-0.025,0.049
 Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.047,0.016,0.086
 Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.049,-0.109,0.156
 Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.017,-0.155,0.119
-Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.075,0.041,0.122
 Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.083,0.042,0.126
+Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.075,0.041,0.122
 Toto-2.0-4m,PatchTST,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.076,-0.082,0.173
-Toto-2.0-4m,Sundial-Base,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.088,0.005,0.15
 Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.12,0.077,0.168
 Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.471,0.364,0.579
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.155,-0.264,-0.079
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.14,-0.226,-0.074
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.13,-0.204,-0.073
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.073,-0.11,-0.044
+TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.081,-0.204,-0.013
+TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.05,0.35,-0.01,-0.049,0.047
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.01,-0.034,0.012
+TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.006,-0.055,0.053
+TiRex-2,TiRex,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.037,0.003,0.082
+TiRex-2,FlowState,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.039,-0.135,0.155
+TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.65,0.95,0.006,-0.176,0.12
+TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.074,0.027,0.122
+TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.066,0.026,0.12
+TiRex-2,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.066,-0.107,0.169
+TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.111,0.066,0.165
+TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.466,0.355,0.579
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.161,-0.255,-0.094
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.146,-0.236,-0.088
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.136,-0.22,-0.082
@@ -125,14 +142,14 @@ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.079,-0.134,-0.037
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.088,-0.162,-0.031
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.016,-0.074,0.047
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.016,-0.052,0.025
+TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.006,-0.056,0.052
 TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.031,-0.009,0.083
 TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.033,-0.09,0.123
 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.001,-0.121,0.081
-TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.06,0.024,0.101
 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.068,0.034,0.105
+TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.06,0.024,0.101
 TimesFM-2.5,PatchTST,0.8,0.649,0.95,0.061,-0.066,0.141
-TimesFM-2.5,Sundial-Base,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.074,0.024,0.112
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.106,0.065,0.148
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.462,0.364,0.568
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.199,-0.346,-0.095
@@ -142,14 +159,14 @@ TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.114,-0.191,-0.056
 TiRex,Chronos-2,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.122,-0.264,-0.033
 TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.049,-0.111,0.002
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.049,-0.094,-0.016
+TiRex,TiRex-2,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.038,-0.09,-0.003
 TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.032,-0.091,0.009
 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TiRex,FlowState,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.002,-0.176,0.116
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.75,0.55,0.901,-0.031,-0.219,0.065
-TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.03,0.004,0.056
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.038,-0.012,0.083
+TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.03,0.004,0.056
 TiRex,PatchTST,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.031,-0.152,0.138
-TiRex,Sundial-Base,0.85,0.7,0.95,0.044,-0.063,0.112
 TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.077,0.03,0.124
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.445,0.35,0.545
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.201,-0.344,-0.085
@@ -159,14 +176,14 @@ FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.116,-0.264,0.034
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.125,-0.224,-0.051
 FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.051,-0.208,0.107
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.051,-0.185,0.099
+FlowState,TiRex-2,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.04,-0.183,0.119
 FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.035,-0.141,0.083
 FlowState,TiRex,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.002,-0.131,0.149
 FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.034,-0.124,0.05
-FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.028,-0.093,0.164
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.036,-0.086,0.162
+FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.028,-0.093,0.164
 FlowState,PatchTST,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.029,-0.068,0.106
-FlowState,Sundial-Base,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.042,-0.051,0.116
 FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.5,0.851,0.075,-0.004,0.187
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.444,0.326,0.558
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.162,-0.325,-0.051
@@ -176,33 +193,16 @@ TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.08,-0.217,0.07
 TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.088,-0.184,-0.019
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.15,0.0,0.301,-0.017,-0.157,0.159
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.017,-0.135,0.134
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.2,0.05,0.35,-0.006,-0.137,0.15
 TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.001,-0.088,0.108
 TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.25,0.099,0.45,0.03,-0.07,0.179
 TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.033,-0.052,0.11
 TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.06,-0.026,0.187
 TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.068,-0.013,0.181
+TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.06,-0.026,0.187
 TabPFN-TS-3,PatchTST,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.06,-0.007,0.116
-TabPFN-TS-3,Sundial-Base,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.073,0.003,0.144
 TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.105,-0.001,0.226
 TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.462,0.342,0.578
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.236,-0.382,-0.129
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.22,-0.36,-0.122
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.209,-0.335,-0.121
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.149,-0.238,-0.089
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.157,-0.292,-0.062
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.081,-0.162,-0.014
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.081,-0.139,-0.043
-Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.064,-0.112,-0.025
-Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.031,-0.06,-0.004
-Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.029,-0.197,0.085
-Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.064,-0.23,0.026
-Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.55,0.35,0.8,0.008,-0.035,0.053
-Moirai-2.0,PatchTST,0.55,0.3,0.75,0.001,-0.174,0.1
-Moirai-2.0,Sundial-Base,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.014,-0.074,0.068
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.048,0.003,0.096
-Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.428,0.333,0.532
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.246,-0.363,-0.164
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.23,-0.341,-0.157
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.22,-0.324,-0.151
@@ -210,16 +210,33 @@ TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.158,-0.228,-0.109
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.167,-0.275,-0.095
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.15,0.0,0.301,-0.091,-0.166,-0.012
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.091,-0.145,-0.043
+TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.08,-0.139,-0.028
 TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.073,-0.118,-0.035
 TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.04,-0.091,0.012
 TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.038,-0.193,0.079
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.073,-0.221,0.013
-TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.45,0.2,0.65,-0.009,-0.056,0.034
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.45,0.2,0.65,-0.009,-0.056,0.034
 TabPFN-TS,PatchTST,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.008,-0.175,0.096
-TabPFN-TS,Sundial-Base,0.45,0.25,0.65,0.006,-0.077,0.073
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.04,-0.028,0.105
 TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.423,0.304,0.541
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.236,-0.382,-0.129
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.22,-0.36,-0.122
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.209,-0.335,-0.121
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.149,-0.238,-0.089
+Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.157,-0.292,-0.062
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.081,-0.162,-0.014
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.081,-0.139,-0.043
+Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.07,-0.136,-0.027
+Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.064,-0.112,-0.025
+Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.031,-0.06,-0.004
+Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.029,-0.197,0.085
+Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.064,-0.23,0.026
+Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.55,0.35,0.8,0.008,-0.035,0.053
+Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,PatchTST,0.55,0.3,0.75,0.001,-0.174,0.1
+Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.048,0.003,0.096
+Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.428,0.333,0.532
 PatchTST,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.237,-0.387,-0.105
 PatchTST,Toto-2.0-1B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.22,-0.379,-0.075
 PatchTST,Toto-2.0-313m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.21,-0.37,-0.055
@@ -227,33 +244,16 @@ PatchTST,Toto-2.0-22m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.149,-0.294,0.013
 PatchTST,Chronos-2,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.158,-0.258,-0.065
 PatchTST,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.082,-0.232,0.1
 PatchTST,Toto-2.0-4m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.082,-0.209,0.075
+PatchTST,TiRex-2,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.071,-0.204,0.097
 PatchTST,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.05,0.351,-0.065,-0.165,0.062
 PatchTST,TiRex,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.032,-0.16,0.132
 PatchTST,FlowState,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.029,-0.118,0.064
 PatchTST,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.064,-0.131,0.007
-PatchTST,Moirai-2.0,0.45,0.25,0.7,-0.001,-0.111,0.148
 PatchTST,TabPFN-TS,0.55,0.35,0.75,0.008,-0.107,0.149
+PatchTST,Moirai-2.0,0.45,0.25,0.7,-0.001,-0.111,0.148
 PatchTST,PatchTST,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.014,-0.05,0.089
 PatchTST,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.048,-0.064,0.191
 PatchTST,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.775,1.0,0.428,0.289,0.553
-Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.254,-0.375,-0.167
-Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-1B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.237,-0.356,-0.15
-Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-313m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.227,-0.346,-0.137
-Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-22m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.165,-0.26,-0.073
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.174,-0.247,-0.11
-Sundial-Base,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.097,-0.196,0.012
-Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-4m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.097,-0.177,-0.005
-Sundial-Base,TimesFM-2.5,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.08,-0.126,-0.024
-Sundial-Base,TiRex,0.15,0.05,0.3,-0.046,-0.126,0.059
-Sundial-Base,FlowState,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.044,-0.131,0.048
-Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.079,-0.169,-0.003
-Sundial-Base,Moirai-2.0,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.014,-0.073,0.069
-Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS,0.55,0.35,0.75,-0.006,-0.078,0.071
-Sundial-Base,PatchTST,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.014,-0.098,0.047
-Sundial-Base,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.2,0.6,0.034,-0.029,0.116
-Sundial-Base,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.42,0.312,0.53
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.298,-0.433,-0.184
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.281,-0.399,-0.179
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.271,-0.38,-0.178
@@ -261,14 +261,14 @@ Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.207,-0.287,-0.139
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.216,-0.349,-0.115
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.136,-0.223,-0.053
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.136,-0.201,-0.083
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.125,-0.197,-0.071
 Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.118,-0.174,-0.069
 Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.083,-0.141,-0.031
 Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.3,0.149,0.5,-0.081,-0.231,0.004
 Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.117,-0.293,0.001
-Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.051,-0.106,-0.003
 Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.45,0.25,0.65,-0.042,-0.117,0.028
+Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.051,-0.106,-0.003
 Chronos-Bolt,PatchTST,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.05,-0.235,0.06
-Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.4,0.8,-0.036,-0.131,0.028
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.399,0.295,0.512
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.16,-1.888,-0.726
@@ -278,13 +278,13 @@ Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.008,-1.587,-0.645
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.023,-1.609,-0.634
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.89,-1.38,-0.588
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.89,-1.375,-0.572
+Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.871,-1.377,-0.55
 Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.86,-1.313,-0.572
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.802,-1.198,-0.539
 Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.798,-1.26,-0.483
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.859,-1.369,-0.521
-Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.748,-1.138,-0.499
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.733,-1.18,-0.436
+Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.748,-1.138,-0.499
 Seasonal Naive,PatchTST,0.1,0.0,0.225,-0.747,-1.237,-0.406
-Seasonal Naive,Sundial-Base,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.723,-1.13,-0.453
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.664,-1.049,-0.418
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_cloud/pairwise_WQL.csv

@@ -6,6 +6,7 @@ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.068,0.033,0.117
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.063,0.029,0.097
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.129,0.058,0.225
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.13,0.069,0.205
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.14,0.077,0.222
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.146,0.095,0.204
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.169,0.091,0.263
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.131,0.047,0.222
@@ -13,7 +14,6 @@ Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.171,0.084,0.255
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.204,0.129,0.288
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.231,0.124,0.326
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.303,0.177,0.432
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.255,0.193,0.317
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.26,0.189,0.332
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.69,0.609,0.766
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.009,-0.027,0.004
@@ -23,6 +23,7 @@ Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.059,0.03,0.097
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.055,0.005,0.095
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.121,0.056,0.205
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.122,0.068,0.187
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.132,0.076,0.205
 Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.138,0.091,0.191
 Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.161,0.088,0.248
 Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.123,0.025,0.223
@@ -30,7 +31,6 @@ Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.163,0.068,0.254
 Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.197,0.125,0.279
 Toto-2.0-1B,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.224,0.107,0.322
 Toto-2.0-1B,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.297,0.176,0.423
-Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.248,0.189,0.311
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.253,0.186,0.32
 Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.688,0.607,0.763
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.02,-0.056,0.002
@@ -40,6 +40,7 @@ Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.049,0.028,0.073
 Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.044,-0.025,0.093
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.111,0.054,0.181
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.112,0.065,0.165
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.123,0.074,0.182
 Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.128,0.087,0.182
 Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.152,0.086,0.227
 Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.114,-0.005,0.22
@@ -47,7 +48,6 @@ Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.154,0.045,0.251
 Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.188,0.124,0.259
 Toto-2.0-313m,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.216,0.083,0.318
 Toto-2.0-313m,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.289,0.173,0.418
-Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.24,0.183,0.302
 Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.245,0.185,0.304
 Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.684,0.602,0.763
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.073,-0.133,-0.034
@@ -57,6 +57,7 @@ Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.8,0.6,0.95,-0.005,-0.088,0.044
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.065,0.023,0.123
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.066,0.036,0.1
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.077,0.044,0.12
 Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.084,0.052,0.121
 Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.108,0.057,0.168
 Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.068,-0.074,0.168
@@ -64,7 +65,6 @@ Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.111,-0.022,0.213
 Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.146,0.095,0.205
 Toto-2.0-22m,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.176,0.029,0.281
 Toto-2.0-22m,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.253,0.14,0.374
-Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.201,0.146,0.262
 Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.206,0.157,0.257
 Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.668,0.584,0.745
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.068,-0.107,-0.03
@@ -74,6 +74,7 @@ Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.05,0.4,0.005,-0.046,0.081
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.35,0.15,0.55,0.07,-0.014,0.185
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.35,0.8,0.071,0.004,0.171
+Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.082,0.016,0.185
 Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.088,0.033,0.155
 Chronos-2,TiRex,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.113,0.032,0.222
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.072,0.011,0.147
@@ -81,7 +82,6 @@ Chronos-2,FlowState,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.115,0.05,0.188
 Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.151,0.066,0.248
 Chronos-2,PatchTST,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.18,0.08,0.27
 Chronos-2,TFT,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.256,0.118,0.395
-Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.205,0.141,0.274
 Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.21,0.134,0.3
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.669,0.582,0.746
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.148,-0.291,-0.061
@@ -91,6 +91,7 @@ Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.07,-0.141,-0.024
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.65,0.45,0.85,-0.075,-0.227,0.014
 Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.001,-0.04,0.028
+Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.8,0.65,0.95,0.013,-0.041,0.047
 Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.02,-0.047,0.073
 Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.046,0.0,0.095
 Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.003,-0.211,0.127
@@ -98,7 +99,6 @@ Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.75,0.55,0.9,0.049,-0.131,0.178
 Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.087,0.029,0.145
 Toto-1.0,PatchTST,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.118,-0.078,0.246
 Toto-1.0,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.2,0.108,0.294
-Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.145,0.066,0.217
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.151,0.089,0.21
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.645,0.563,0.725
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.149,-0.258,-0.075
@@ -108,6 +108,7 @@ Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.071,-0.112,-0.038
 Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.4,0.2,0.65,-0.076,-0.207,-0.004
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.001,-0.029,0.038
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.012,-0.009,0.034
 Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.019,-0.028,0.056
 Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.8,0.649,0.95,0.045,0.016,0.082
 Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.002,-0.182,0.109
@@ -115,9 +116,25 @@ Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.048,-0.128,0.162
 Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.086,0.049,0.128
 Toto-2.0-4m,PatchTST,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.117,-0.066,0.232
 Toto-2.0-4m,TFT,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.2,0.09,0.31
-Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.144,0.08,0.213
 Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.15,0.107,0.197
 Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.644,0.559,0.727
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.163,-0.286,-0.084
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.152,-0.258,-0.082
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.14,-0.222,-0.08
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.084,-0.136,-0.046
+TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.089,-0.227,-0.017
+TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.05,0.35,-0.013,-0.049,0.039
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.012,-0.035,0.009
+TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.007,-0.056,0.053
+TiRex-2,TiRex,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.034,0.004,0.075
+TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.75,0.6,0.9,-0.01,-0.207,0.11
+TiRex-2,FlowState,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.036,-0.151,0.155
+TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.95,0.85,1.0,0.075,0.041,0.122
+TiRex-2,PatchTST,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.106,-0.096,0.232
+TiRex-2,TFT,0.85,0.7,0.95,0.19,0.073,0.312
+TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.14,0.099,0.185
+TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.64,0.55,0.728
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.171,-0.256,-0.105
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.16,-0.236,-0.1
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.147,-0.223,-0.095
@@ -125,6 +142,7 @@ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.091,-0.138,-0.055
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.097,-0.183,-0.034
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.02,-0.079,0.045
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.019,-0.059,0.027
+TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.007,-0.056,0.053
 TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.027,-0.018,0.086
 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.4,0.8,-0.017,-0.149,0.071
@@ -132,7 +150,6 @@ TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.03,-0.104,0.121
 TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.069,0.028,0.116
 TimesFM-2.5,PatchTST,0.85,0.7,1.0,0.1,-0.044,0.208
 TimesFM-2.5,TFT,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.184,0.06,0.307
-TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.65,0.95,0.128,0.067,0.195
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.134,0.092,0.179
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.638,0.557,0.714
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.203,-0.356,-0.1
@@ -142,6 +159,7 @@ TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.122,-0.202,-0.061
 TiRex,Chronos-2,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.127,-0.285,-0.033
 TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.048,-0.105,-0.0
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.2,0.05,0.351,-0.047,-0.089,-0.016
+TiRex,TiRex-2,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.035,-0.081,-0.004
 TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.028,-0.095,0.018
 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.7,0.5,0.9,-0.045,-0.247,0.06
@@ -149,7 +167,6 @@ TiRex,FlowState,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.003,-0.19,0.122
 TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.043,0.019,0.07
 TiRex,PatchTST,0.8,0.6,0.95,0.075,-0.133,0.211
 TiRex,TFT,0.85,0.7,0.95,0.162,0.034,0.285
-TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.55,0.95,0.104,0.027,0.178
 TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.11,0.064,0.155
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.627,0.54,0.71
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.151,-0.285,-0.049
@@ -159,6 +176,7 @@ TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.073,-0.202,0.069
 TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.078,-0.172,-0.012
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.003,-0.146,0.175
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.002,-0.123,0.154
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.25,0.1,0.4,0.01,-0.124,0.172
 TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.2,0.6,0.017,-0.077,0.13
 TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.5,0.043,-0.064,0.198
 TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
@@ -166,7 +184,6 @@ TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.046,-0.042,0.123
 TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.399,0.8,0.084,-0.013,0.224
 TabPFN-TS-3,PatchTST,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.115,0.011,0.208
 TabPFN-TS-3,TFT,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.198,0.019,0.365
-TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.143,0.058,0.248
 TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.85,0.65,1.0,0.148,0.036,0.276
 TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.644,0.549,0.724
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.206,-0.343,-0.092
@@ -176,6 +193,7 @@ FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.124,-0.271,0.021
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.13,-0.232,-0.053
 FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.25,0.1,0.45,-0.051,-0.217,0.116
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.05,-0.194,0.113
+FlowState,TiRex-2,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.037,-0.184,0.131
 FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.03,-0.137,0.094
 FlowState,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.003,-0.139,0.159
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.048,-0.141,0.04
@@ -183,7 +201,6 @@ FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.25,0.7,0.04,-0.089,0.189
 FlowState,PatchTST,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.073,-0.056,0.185
 FlowState,TFT,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.16,-0.028,0.323
-FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.65,0.45,0.85,0.101,-0.03,0.222
 FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.649,0.95,0.107,0.023,0.228
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.626,0.538,0.704
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.257,-0.404,-0.148
@@ -193,6 +210,7 @@ Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.171,-0.257,-0.105
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.177,-0.33,-0.071
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.095,-0.17,-0.03
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.094,-0.147,-0.052
+Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.081,-0.139,-0.043
 Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.074,-0.131,-0.029
 Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.044,-0.075,-0.02
 Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.2,0.601,-0.092,-0.288,0.013
@@ -200,7 +218,6 @@ Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.5,0.3,0.75,-0.042,-0.233,0.082
 Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Moirai-2.0,PatchTST,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.034,-0.175,0.172
 Moirai-2.0,TFT,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.124,-0.012,0.26
-Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.064,-0.017,0.142
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.85,0.699,0.975,0.07,0.023,0.118
 Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.611,0.523,0.693
 PatchTST,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.301,-0.483,-0.142
@@ -210,6 +227,7 @@ PatchTST,Toto-2.0-22m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.213,-0.392,-0.029
 PatchTST,Chronos-2,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.219,-0.369,-0.087
 PatchTST,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.134,-0.327,0.072
 PatchTST,Toto-2.0-4m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.133,-0.303,0.062
+PatchTST,TiRex-2,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.119,-0.302,0.088
 PatchTST,TimesFM-2.5,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.112,-0.262,0.042
 PatchTST,TiRex,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.081,-0.267,0.118
 PatchTST,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.13,-0.262,-0.011
@@ -217,7 +235,6 @@ PatchTST,FlowState,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.079,-0.227,0.053
 PatchTST,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.035,-0.208,0.149
 PatchTST,PatchTST,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 PatchTST,TFT,0.425,0.225,0.625,0.093,-0.057,0.271
-PatchTST,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.6,0.95,0.031,-0.127,0.186
 PatchTST,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.4,0.8,0.037,-0.124,0.209
 PatchTST,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.597,0.477,0.698
 TFT,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.435,-0.762,-0.215
@@ -227,6 +244,7 @@ TFT,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.338,-0.598,-0.163
 TFT,Chronos-2,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.344,-0.652,-0.133
 TFT,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.251,-0.415,-0.121
 TFT,Toto-2.0-4m,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.249,-0.449,-0.099
+TFT,TiRex-2,0.15,0.05,0.3,-0.234,-0.453,-0.079
 TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.226,-0.442,-0.064
 TFT,TiRex,0.15,0.05,0.3,-0.193,-0.399,-0.035
 TFT,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.247,-0.574,-0.019
@@ -234,26 +252,8 @@ TFT,FlowState,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.19,-0.477,0.027
 TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.142,-0.351,0.012
 TFT,PatchTST,0.575,0.375,0.775,-0.103,-0.372,0.054
 TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TFT,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.4,0.8,-0.069,-0.3,0.102
 TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.3,0.7,-0.062,-0.262,0.087
 TFT,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.75,1.0,0.556,0.443,0.658
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.342,-0.464,-0.239
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.33,-0.452,-0.234
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.316,-0.433,-0.224
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.251,-0.355,-0.171
-TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.257,-0.377,-0.164
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.05,0.4,-0.17,-0.277,-0.07
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.15,0.0,0.3,-0.168,-0.271,-0.087
-TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.05,0.35,-0.147,-0.242,-0.072
-TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.25,0.05,0.45,-0.116,-0.216,-0.027
-TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.166,-0.33,-0.061
-TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.35,0.15,0.55,-0.113,-0.285,0.029
-TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.068,-0.165,0.016
-TabPFN-TS,PatchTST,0.25,0.05,0.4,-0.032,-0.229,0.112
-TabPFN-TS,TFT,0.4,0.2,0.6,0.065,-0.114,0.231
-TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.45,0.25,0.65,0.007,-0.104,0.097
-TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.584,0.475,0.679
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.351,-0.498,-0.233
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.339,-0.471,-0.228
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.325,-0.437,-0.227
@@ -261,6 +261,7 @@ Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.26,-0.345,-0.186
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.266,-0.429,-0.154
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.05,0.0,0.15,-0.177,-0.267,-0.098
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.176,-0.246,-0.12
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.162,-0.227,-0.11
 Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.154,-0.218,-0.101
 Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.1,0.0,0.25,-0.123,-0.183,-0.069
 Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.15,0.0,0.35,-0.174,-0.382,-0.037
@@ -268,7 +269,6 @@ Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.2,0.05,0.351,-0.12,-0.295,-0.023
 Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.15,0.025,0.301,-0.075,-0.134,-0.024
 Chronos-Bolt,PatchTST,0.4,0.2,0.6,-0.039,-0.264,0.11
 Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.5,0.3,0.7,0.059,-0.096,0.207
-Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.55,0.35,0.75,-0.007,-0.108,0.094
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.582,0.486,0.675
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-2.229,-3.277,-1.556
@@ -278,6 +278,7 @@ Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-2.011,-2.926,-1.406
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-2.025,-2.936,-1.394
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.814,-2.639,-1.287
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.811,-2.664,-1.269
+Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.778,-2.67,-1.221
 Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.759,-2.495,-1.259
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.684,-2.448,-1.175
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.806,-2.622,-1.215
@@ -285,6 +286,5 @@ Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.677,-2.381,-1.163
 Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.57,-2.259,-1.095
 Seasonal Naive,PatchTST,0.1,0.0,0.25,-1.482,-2.307,-0.914
 Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.1,0.0,0.25,-1.25,-1.926,-0.795
-Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.406,-2.118,-0.903
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-1.39,-2.073,-0.945
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_econ/leaderboard_MASE.csv

@@ -1,28 +1,29 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Stat. Ensemble,80.76923076923077,38.47702197421158,0.0,73.43481351955408,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-22m,76.6025641025641,37.883510512986405,0.0,0.2300832338301921,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-1B,74.99999999999999,37.647796213911036,0.0,2.4167769806179775,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-313m,72.11538461538463,37.637104246897856,0.0,0.9865880503225806,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,71.79487179487182,37.649421436010044,0.0,5.236902611304615,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,70.19230769230771,36.87592044073875,0.0,0.16472977363175062,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-2,69.55128205128204,36.307128273958256,0.0,0.14791438772454144,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,68.58974358974356,36.739370201928836,0.20454036927361854,0.03409663050126502,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,65.7051282051282,35.908870624227376,0.0,1.5253584038361796,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,64.1025641025641,35.21482359572895,0.0,0.8205954025996205,0.16666666666666666,0.0
-CatBoost,63.14102564102565,35.982559330359685,3.42108969184492,0.03905346701454776,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-4m,58.33333333333333,35.180832137280916,0.0,0.1810118077664009,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,57.692307692307686,32.41516602344565,0.0,5.0937543479594325,0.16666666666666666,0.0
-AutoARIMA,53.84615384615385,33.893658085803416,0.0,6.5345976113161015,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,50.0,34.19057001716027,0.0,52.326198869129215,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,50.0,32.52926186802178,0.0,0.9578271612919038,0.0,0.0
-Drift,47.756410256410255,29.639454067966152,0.0,0.4198026182352941,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,47.43589743589744,32.83344751489832,0.0,0.3095206282094962,0.16666666666666666,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,37.50000000000001,30.133730029400986,0.0,0.1587546411616528,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS-3,37.179487179487175,28.575629786307356,0.0,190.9822121554963,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,36.858974358974365,28.236498726126015,0.0,0.21986280235955058,0.16666666666666666,0.0
-DeepAR,28.205128205128204,24.302560020818376,546.7685936688092,0.18274403532732447,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,19.871794871794872,19.70951503418047,0.0,8.00438149490214,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,15.064102564102566,15.279108700450617,310.3190003231231,0.1605401314516129,0.0,0.0
-Naive,13.782051282051283,15.593612422240255,0.0,0.46331807906862743,0.0,0.0
-TFT,11.538461538461538,9.838087249658834,445.02348117965687,0.18857640938013914,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,7.3717948717948705,0.0,0.0,0.41450250024509805,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,89.50617283950616,40.553930524399625,0.0,0.11294837920086495,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,79.320987654321,38.47702197421158,0.0,73.43481351955408,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,74.69135802469134,37.883510512986405,0.0,0.2300832338301921,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,72.83950617283949,37.647796213911036,0.0,2.4167769806179775,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,70.06172839506173,37.637104246897856,0.0,0.9865880503225806,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,69.7530864197531,37.649421436010044,0.0,5.236902611304615,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,67.59259259259261,36.87592044073875,0.0,0.16472977363175062,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,67.5925925925926,36.307128273958256,0.0,0.14791438772454144,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,66.358024691358,36.739370201928836,0.20454036927361854,0.03409663050126502,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,63.58024691358024,35.908870624227376,0.0,1.5253584038361796,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,62.34567901234568,35.21482359572895,0.0,0.8205954025996205,0.16666666666666666,0.0
+CatBoost,61.41975308641976,35.982559330359685,3.42108969184492,0.03905346701454776,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,56.48148148148149,35.180832137280916,0.0,0.1810118077664009,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,56.172839506172835,32.41516602344565,0.0,5.0937543479594325,0.16666666666666666,0.0
+AutoARIMA,52.160493827160494,33.893658085803416,0.0,6.5345976113161015,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,48.76543209876543,34.19057001716027,0.0,52.326198869129215,0.0,0.0
+AutoTheta,48.456790123456784,32.52926186802178,0.0,0.9578271612919038,0.0,0.0
+Drift,46.29629629629629,29.639454067966152,0.0,0.4198026182352941,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,45.98765432098766,32.83344751489832,0.0,0.3095206282094962,0.16666666666666666,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,36.111111111111114,30.133730029400986,0.0,0.1587546411616528,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,36.11111111111111,28.575629786307356,0.0,190.9822121554963,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,35.49382716049383,28.236498726126015,0.0,0.21986280235955058,0.16666666666666666,0.0
+DeepAR,27.469135802469136,24.302560020818376,546.7685936688092,0.18274403532732447,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,19.444444444444443,19.70951503418047,0.0,8.00438149490214,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,14.506172839506174,15.279108700450617,310.3190003231231,0.1605401314516129,0.0,0.0
+Naive,13.271604938271608,15.593612422240255,0.0,0.46331807906862743,0.0,0.0
+TFT,11.111111111111112,9.838087249658834,445.02348117965687,0.18857640938013914,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,7.098765432098765,0.0,0.0,0.41450250024509805,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_econ/leaderboard_SQL.csv

@@ -1,28 +1,29 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Chronos-2,80.76923076923077,37.73601252203713,0.0,0.14791438772454144,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,80.76923076923077,38.16787226217255,0.0,0.16472977363175062,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,80.44871794871794,38.54527045088485,0.0,5.236902611304615,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-1B,80.12820512820512,38.30540837943911,0.0,2.4167769806179775,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-313m,79.8076923076923,38.27714813601945,0.0,0.9865880503225806,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-22m,79.48717948717949,38.28322277552283,0.0,0.2300832338301921,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,72.75641025641025,37.119576639717835,0.0,73.43481351955408,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,68.26923076923077,35.273957411546085,0.0,0.8205954025996205,0.16666666666666666,0.0
-Toto-2.0-4m,65.06410256410257,35.90432755342822,0.0,0.1810118077664009,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,61.85897435897437,33.496371356107844,0.0,5.0937543479594325,0.16666666666666666,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,61.21794871794872,35.173459448094114,0.0,52.326198869129215,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,58.974358974358964,29.18586393990128,0.0,1.5253584038361796,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,52.564102564102576,32.772070331944484,0.0,0.3095206282094962,0.16666666666666666,0.0
-AutoARIMA,50.32051282051282,31.72145242450589,0.0,6.5345976113161015,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,49.03846153846153,31.81815534740079,0.0,0.1587546411616528,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,42.30769230769231,29.079628766325204,0.0,0.21986280235955058,0.16666666666666666,0.0
-AutoTheta,41.34615384615385,29.61896808086114,0.0,0.9578271612919038,0.0,0.0
-Drift,40.705128205128204,25.58270375016218,0.0,0.4198026182352941,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS-3,40.38461538461539,29.19971717461506,0.0,190.9822121554963,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,38.141025641025635,25.12762288287479,546.7685936688092,0.18274403532732447,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,28.846153846153843,24.325044506495818,0.20454036927361854,0.03409663050126502,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,23.717948717948715,23.419716355230047,3.42108969184492,0.03905346701454776,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,20.51282051282051,16.930294384775955,310.3190003231231,0.1605401314516129,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,16.346153846153847,14.510260955147846,0.0,8.00438149490214,0.0,0.0
-Naive,14.423076923076925,11.510640002523509,0.0,0.46331807906862743,0.0,0.0
-TFT,14.102564102564102,9.329379481293765,445.02348117965687,0.18857640938013914,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,7.692307692307692,0.0,0.0,0.41450250024509805,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,92.90123456790123,41.37587435805797,0.0,0.11294837920086495,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,78.08641975308643,37.73601252203713,0.0,0.14791438772454144,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,78.08641975308642,38.54527045088485,0.0,5.236902611304615,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,77.77777777777779,38.16787226217255,0.0,0.16472977363175062,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,77.77777777777779,38.30540837943911,0.0,2.4167769806179775,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,77.46913580246914,38.28322277552283,0.0,0.2300832338301921,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,77.46913580246914,38.27714813601945,0.0,0.9865880503225806,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,70.67901234567903,37.119576639717835,0.0,73.43481351955408,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,66.35802469135803,35.273957411546085,0.0,0.8205954025996205,0.16666666666666666,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,62.96296296296296,35.90432755342822,0.0,0.1810118077664009,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,59.56790123456791,33.496371356107844,0.0,5.0937543479594325,0.16666666666666666,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,59.5679012345679,35.173459448094114,0.0,52.326198869129215,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,56.79012345679012,29.18586393990128,0.0,1.5253584038361796,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,50.92592592592594,32.772070331944484,0.0,0.3095206282094962,0.16666666666666666,0.0
+AutoARIMA,48.76543209876543,31.72145242450589,0.0,6.5345976113161015,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,47.22222222222223,31.81815534740079,0.0,0.1587546411616528,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,40.74074074074074,29.079628766325204,0.0,0.21986280235955058,0.16666666666666666,0.0
+AutoTheta,40.123456790123456,29.61896808086114,0.0,0.9578271612919038,0.0,0.0
+Drift,39.50617283950618,25.58270375016218,0.0,0.4198026182352941,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,39.19753086419753,29.19971717461506,0.0,190.9822121554963,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,37.03703703703703,25.12762288287479,546.7685936688092,0.18274403532732447,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,27.777777777777775,24.325044506495818,0.20454036927361854,0.03409663050126502,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,22.839506172839506,23.419716355230047,3.42108969184492,0.03905346701454776,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,19.753086419753085,16.930294384775955,310.3190003231231,0.1605401314516129,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,15.74074074074074,14.510260955147846,0.0,8.00438149490214,0.0,0.0
+Naive,13.88888888888889,11.510640002523509,0.0,0.46331807906862743,0.0,0.0
+TFT,13.580246913580249,9.329379481293765,445.02348117965687,0.18857640938013914,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,7.4074074074074066,0.0,0.0,0.41450250024509805,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_econ/leaderboard_WAPE.csv

@@ -1,28 +1,29 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Toto-2.0-1B,80.76923076923079,38.80502192761649,0.0,2.4167769806179775,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,79.8076923076923,39.10703314170318,0.0,5.236902611304615,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-313m,76.28205128205128,38.257695402459,0.0,0.9865880503225806,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-22m,72.43589743589743,37.906655236674865,0.0,0.2300832338301921,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,71.15384615384616,37.758720587285445,0.0,0.16472977363175062,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,66.34615384615384,38.177219528557146,0.0,73.43481351955408,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-2,64.74358974358974,36.558735189016225,0.0,0.14791438772454144,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,60.897435897435905,33.97875884401389,0.0,5.0937543479594325,0.16666666666666666,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,60.57692307692308,35.89256072267927,0.0,0.3095206282094962,0.16666666666666666,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,59.294871794871796,36.531743334435674,0.0,52.326198869129215,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,58.974358974358964,37.645403955852096,0.0,0.8205954025996205,0.16666666666666666,0.0
-CatBoost,56.730769230769226,35.20082715344605,3.42108969184492,0.03905346701454776,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-4m,55.44871794871795,33.31225235226658,0.0,0.1810118077664009,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,55.44871794871795,34.84116662551825,0.0,1.5253584038361796,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,53.84615384615385,35.02206834104291,0.20454036927361854,0.03409663050126502,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,50.32051282051282,35.732170334358024,0.0,6.5345976113161015,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,47.11538461538461,30.478143266802604,0.0,0.1587546411616528,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS-3,45.51282051282052,29.457560079978773,0.0,190.9822121554963,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,45.1923076923077,28.277512977220987,0.0,0.21986280235955058,0.16666666666666666,0.0
-AutoTheta,42.94871794871795,31.812923074763923,0.0,0.9578271612919038,0.0,0.0
-Drift,42.94871794871795,28.435824921980835,0.0,0.4198026182352941,0.0,0.0
-Naive,20.192307692307693,15.872310498117715,0.0,0.46331807906862743,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,19.230769230769226,17.737235971841127,0.0,8.00438149490214,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,18.269230769230766,19.60425306556468,546.7685936688092,0.18274403532732447,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,18.269230769230766,15.619782622761335,310.3190003231231,0.1605401314516129,0.0,0.0
-TFT,16.025641025641026,6.946074243338563,445.02348117965687,0.18857640938013914,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,11.217948717948719,0.0,0.0,0.41450250024509805,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,87.96296296296296,42.13247790984753,0.0,0.11294837920086495,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,79.320987654321,38.80502192761649,0.0,2.4167769806179775,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,78.39506172839506,39.10703314170318,0.0,5.236902611304615,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,74.38271604938271,38.257695402459,0.0,0.9865880503225806,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,70.98765432098764,37.906655236674865,0.0,0.2300832338301921,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,68.82716049382715,37.758720587285445,0.0,0.16472977363175062,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,64.50617283950618,38.177219528557146,0.0,73.43481351955408,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,63.271604938271594,36.558735189016225,0.0,0.14791438772454144,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,58.95061728395062,33.97875884401389,0.0,5.0937543479594325,0.16666666666666666,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,58.64197530864198,35.89256072267927,0.0,0.3095206282094962,0.16666666666666666,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,58.0246913580247,36.531743334435674,0.0,52.326198869129215,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,57.098765432098766,37.645403955852096,0.0,0.8205954025996205,0.16666666666666666,0.0
+CatBoost,55.24691358024691,35.20082715344605,3.42108969184492,0.03905346701454776,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,53.70370370370371,33.31225235226658,0.0,0.1810118077664009,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,53.703703703703695,34.84116662551825,0.0,1.5253584038361796,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,52.160493827160494,35.02206834104291,0.20454036927361854,0.03409663050126502,0.0,0.0
+AutoARIMA,48.76543209876543,35.732170334358024,0.0,6.5345976113161015,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,45.37037037037037,30.478143266802604,0.0,0.1587546411616528,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,44.1358024691358,29.457560079978773,0.0,190.9822121554963,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,43.51851851851852,28.277512977220987,0.0,0.21986280235955058,0.16666666666666666,0.0
+Drift,41.66666666666666,28.435824921980835,0.0,0.4198026182352941,0.0,0.0
+AutoTheta,41.66666666666666,31.812923074763923,0.0,0.9578271612919038,0.0,0.0
+Naive,19.444444444444446,15.872310498117715,0.0,0.46331807906862743,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,18.827160493827154,17.737235971841127,0.0,8.00438149490214,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,17.59259259259259,15.619782622761335,310.3190003231231,0.1605401314516129,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,17.59259259259259,19.60425306556468,546.7685936688092,0.18274403532732447,0.0,0.0
+TFT,15.432098765432098,6.946074243338563,445.02348117965687,0.18857640938013914,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,10.80246913580247,0.0,0.0,0.41450250024509805,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_econ/leaderboard_WQL.csv

@@ -1,28 +1,29 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Toto-2.0-1B,83.01282051282051,42.35200647023204,0.0,2.4167769806179775,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,81.41025641025641,42.8032329067254,0.0,5.236902611304615,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-313m,77.88461538461537,42.088190864136244,0.0,0.9865880503225806,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,77.56410256410255,42.09146596586096,0.0,0.16472977363175062,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-22m,76.92307692307693,42.320942130283335,0.0,0.2300832338301921,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-2,72.11538461538463,40.960757337476025,0.0,0.14791438772454144,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,66.98717948717949,40.9054936267241,0.0,0.8205954025996205,0.16666666666666666,0.0
-Toto-1.0,64.4230769230769,38.100769058535434,0.0,5.0937543479594325,0.16666666666666666,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,63.78205128205128,40.20371520247606,0.0,52.326198869129215,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,63.14102564102565,39.266493040907115,0.0,0.3095206282094962,0.16666666666666666,0.0
-Toto-2.0-4m,62.5,38.36462827294697,0.0,0.1810118077664009,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,59.93589743589743,37.992090519620156,0.0,73.43481351955408,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,54.807692307692314,35.534952430792764,0.0,0.1587546411616528,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,53.846153846153854,36.76571988294681,0.0,1.5253584038361796,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS-3,51.28205128205129,34.00880337940215,0.0,190.9822121554963,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,49.67948717948719,32.793225265991246,0.0,0.21986280235955058,0.16666666666666666,0.0
-AutoARIMA,48.07692307692308,34.44615311952015,0.0,6.5345976113161015,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,38.46153846153847,29.146207850323268,0.0,0.9578271612919038,0.0,0.0
-Drift,32.37179487179487,23.828649343246187,0.0,0.4198026182352941,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,27.564102564102562,26.0945614678313,3.42108969184492,0.03905346701454776,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,27.564102564102562,25.89068156049532,0.20454036927361854,0.03409663050126502,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,27.243589743589748,21.869167576579297,546.7685936688092,0.18274403532732447,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,23.717948717948715,19.911167839333967,310.3190003231231,0.1605401314516129,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,19.551282051282044,17.532849869365606,0.0,8.00438149490214,0.0,0.0
-TFT,17.307692307692307,9.939963215759995,445.02348117965687,0.18857640938013914,0.0,0.0
-Naive,16.987179487179485,11.371958531244664,0.0,0.46331807906862743,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,11.85897435897436,0.0,0.0,0.41450250024509805,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,89.50617283950616,45.53906787899109,0.0,0.11294837920086495,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,81.17283950617283,42.35200647023204,0.0,2.4167769806179775,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,79.93827160493827,42.8032329067254,0.0,5.236902611304615,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,75.61728395061728,42.088190864136244,0.0,0.9865880503225806,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,75.0,42.320942130283335,0.0,0.2300832338301921,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,75.0,42.09146596586096,0.0,0.16472977363175062,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,70.06172839506173,40.960757337476025,0.0,0.14791438772454144,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,64.81481481481482,40.9054936267241,0.0,0.8205954025996205,0.16666666666666666,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,62.65432098765431,40.20371520247606,0.0,52.326198869129215,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,62.34567901234568,38.100769058535434,0.0,5.0937543479594325,0.16666666666666666,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,61.111111111111114,39.266493040907115,0.0,0.3095206282094962,0.16666666666666666,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,60.493827160493844,38.36462827294697,0.0,0.1810118077664009,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,58.333333333333336,37.992090519620156,0.0,73.43481351955408,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,52.77777777777777,35.534952430792764,0.0,0.1587546411616528,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,52.160493827160494,36.76571988294681,0.0,1.5253584038361796,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,49.691358024691354,34.00880337940215,0.0,190.9822121554963,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,47.83950617283951,32.793225265991246,0.0,0.21986280235955058,0.16666666666666666,0.0
+AutoARIMA,46.60493827160494,34.44615311952015,0.0,6.5345976113161015,0.0,0.0
+AutoTheta,37.345679012345684,29.146207850323268,0.0,0.9578271612919038,0.0,0.0
+Drift,31.481481481481477,23.828649343246187,0.0,0.4198026182352941,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,26.851851851851844,25.89068156049532,0.20454036927361854,0.03409663050126502,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,26.851851851851844,26.0945614678313,3.42108969184492,0.03905346701454776,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,26.234567901234566,21.869167576579297,546.7685936688092,0.18274403532732447,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,22.8395061728395,19.911167839333967,310.3190003231231,0.1605401314516129,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,18.827160493827154,17.532849869365606,0.0,8.00438149490214,0.0,0.0
+TFT,16.666666666666664,9.939963215759995,445.02348117965687,0.18857640938013914,0.0,0.0
+Naive,16.358024691358022,11.371958531244664,0.0,0.46331807906862743,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,11.419753086419755,0.0,0.0,0.41450250024509805,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_econ/pairwise_MASE.csv

@@ -1,9 +1,27 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
+TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,Stat. Ensemble,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.034,-0.011,0.076
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.75,0.5,0.917,0.043,0.018,0.069
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.047,0.018,0.074
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.047,0.02,0.07
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.047,0.015,0.075
+TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.067,0.014,0.124
+TiRex-2,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.058,0.032,0.092
+TiRex-2,LightGBM,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.06,0.015,0.103
+TiRex-2,AutoETS,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.072,0.036,0.112
+TiRex-2,FlowState,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.082,0.013,0.144
+TiRex-2,CatBoost,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.071,0.024,0.117
+TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.12,0.051,0.194
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.083,0.049,0.122
+TiRex-2,AutoARIMA,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.101,0.036,0.173
+TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.149,0.095,0.205
+TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.406,0.298,0.505
+Stat. Ensemble,TiRex-2,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.035,-0.083,0.011
 Stat. Ensemble,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.248,0.75,0.01,-0.034,0.052
 Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.013,-0.041,0.068
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.013,-0.041,0.064
 Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-313m,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.013,-0.039,0.064
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.013,-0.041,0.064
 Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-2,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.034,-0.014,0.087
 Stat. Ensemble,TiRex,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.025,-0.023,0.072
 Stat. Ensemble,LightGBM,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.027,-0.0,0.06
@@ -13,14 +31,14 @@ Stat. Ensemble,CatBoost,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.039,0.005,0.073
 Stat. Ensemble,Toto-1.0,0.75,0.417,1.0,0.09,0.024,0.151
 Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-4m,0.667,0.333,0.917,0.051,0.007,0.097
 Stat. Ensemble,AutoARIMA,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.069,0.021,0.135
-Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.065,0.019,0.104
 Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.119,0.068,0.168
 Stat. Ensemble,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.385,0.289,0.476
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.25,0.083,0.5,-0.045,-0.074,-0.018
 Toto-2.0-22m,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.25,0.752,-0.01,-0.055,0.033
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.004,-0.028,0.04
-Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.004,-0.029,0.034
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.004,-0.023,0.031
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.004,-0.029,0.034
 Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.025,-0.041,0.081
 Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.016,-0.02,0.048
 Toto-2.0-22m,LightGBM,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.018,-0.021,0.053
@@ -30,14 +48,14 @@ Toto-2.0-22m,CatBoost,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.03,-0.012,0.069
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.081,0.012,0.155
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.042,0.025,0.061
 Toto-2.0-22m,AutoARIMA,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.06,-0.015,0.145
-Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.056,-0.008,0.109
 Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.111,0.063,0.16
 Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.379,0.266,0.482
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.049,-0.08,-0.018
 Toto-2.0-1B,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.013,-0.073,0.039
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.004,-0.041,0.028
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.0,-0.013,0.013
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.0,-0.011,0.011
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.0,-0.013,0.013
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.5,0.25,0.752,0.021,-0.027,0.076
 Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.012,-0.019,0.044
 Toto-2.0-1B,LightGBM,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.014,-0.046,0.063
@@ -47,31 +65,14 @@ Toto-2.0-1B,CatBoost,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.026,-0.035,0.074
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.077,0.011,0.152
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.038,-0.006,0.081
 Toto-2.0-1B,AutoARIMA,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.057,-0.021,0.126
-Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.053,-0.01,0.108
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.108,0.058,0.154
 Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.376,0.262,0.473
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Stat. Ensemble,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.013,-0.068,0.039
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.004,-0.035,0.028
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.0,-0.014,0.013
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.0,-0.01,0.009
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.417,0.167,0.75,0.021,-0.024,0.072
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.012,-0.011,0.037
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,LightGBM,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.014,-0.043,0.067
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,AutoETS,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.027,-0.011,0.068
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.038,-0.043,0.103
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,CatBoost,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.026,-0.033,0.076
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.077,0.001,0.158
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.038,-0.002,0.085
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,AutoARIMA,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.057,-0.023,0.135
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.053,-0.002,0.104
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.108,0.058,0.156
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.376,0.263,0.471
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.049,-0.076,-0.021
 Toto-2.0-313m,Stat. Ensemble,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.014,-0.068,0.037
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.004,-0.032,0.023
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.0,-0.011,0.011
-Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.0,-0.009,0.01
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.0,-0.009,0.01
 Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.417,0.167,0.75,0.021,-0.03,0.075
 Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.012,-0.013,0.041
 Toto-2.0-313m,LightGBM,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.014,-0.041,0.063
@@ -81,14 +82,31 @@ Toto-2.0-313m,CatBoost,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.026,-0.03,0.075
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.077,0.006,0.155
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.038,0.001,0.08
 Toto-2.0-313m,AutoARIMA,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.057,-0.022,0.132
-Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.052,-0.005,0.105
 Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.107,0.058,0.157
 Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.376,0.262,0.475
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.049,-0.082,-0.015
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Stat. Ensemble,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.013,-0.068,0.039
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.004,-0.035,0.028
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.0,-0.014,0.013
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.0,-0.01,0.009
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.417,0.167,0.75,0.021,-0.024,0.072
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.012,-0.011,0.037
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,LightGBM,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.014,-0.043,0.067
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,AutoETS,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.027,-0.011,0.068
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.038,-0.043,0.103
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,CatBoost,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.026,-0.033,0.076
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.077,0.001,0.158
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.038,-0.002,0.085
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,AutoARIMA,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.057,-0.023,0.135
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.108,0.058,0.156
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.376,0.263,0.471
+Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.071,-0.141,-0.014
 Chronos-2,Stat. Ensemble,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.035,-0.095,0.014
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.025,-0.088,0.039
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.248,0.75,-0.022,-0.082,0.027
-Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.583,0.25,0.833,-0.022,-0.077,0.024
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.583,0.25,0.833,-0.021,-0.081,0.029
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.583,0.25,0.833,-0.022,-0.077,0.024
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-2,TiRex,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.009,-0.045,0.026
 Chronos-2,LightGBM,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.007,-0.068,0.055
@@ -98,14 +116,14 @@ Chronos-2,CatBoost,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.005,-0.055,0.067
 Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.058,-0.037,0.145
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.017,-0.054,0.091
 Chronos-2,AutoARIMA,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.037,-0.046,0.122
-Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.032,-0.011,0.071
 Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.088,0.044,0.143
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.363,0.264,0.451
+TiRex,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.062,-0.101,-0.033
 TiRex,Stat. Ensemble,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.026,-0.078,0.023
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.016,-0.051,0.019
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.012,-0.046,0.018
-TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.012,-0.038,0.011
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.012,-0.043,0.012
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.012,-0.038,0.011
 TiRex,Chronos-2,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.009,-0.026,0.043
 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TiRex,LightGBM,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.002,-0.051,0.049
@@ -115,14 +133,14 @@ TiRex,CatBoost,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.014,-0.041,0.062
 TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.066,-0.019,0.149
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.026,-0.02,0.076
 TiRex,AutoARIMA,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.045,-0.033,0.133
-TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.041,-0.006,0.085
 TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.097,0.05,0.149
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.369,0.261,0.466
+LightGBM,TiRex-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.064,-0.114,-0.016
 LightGBM,Stat. Ensemble,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.028,-0.064,0.0
 LightGBM,Toto-2.0-22m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.018,-0.056,0.02
 LightGBM,Toto-2.0-1B,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.015,-0.068,0.044
-LightGBM,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.015,-0.072,0.042
 LightGBM,Toto-2.0-313m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.014,-0.067,0.04
+LightGBM,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.015,-0.072,0.042
 LightGBM,Chronos-2,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.007,-0.059,0.064
 LightGBM,TiRex,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.002,-0.051,0.049
 LightGBM,LightGBM,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
@@ -132,14 +150,14 @@ LightGBM,CatBoost,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.012,-0.002,0.026
 LightGBM,Toto-1.0,0.667,0.333,0.917,0.064,-0.009,0.132
 LightGBM,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.024,-0.016,0.063
 LightGBM,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.043,-0.012,0.11
-LightGBM,TabPFN-TS,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.039,-0.028,0.085
 LightGBM,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.095,0.053,0.136
 LightGBM,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.367,0.267,0.458
+AutoETS,TiRex-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.078,-0.126,-0.037
 AutoETS,Stat. Ensemble,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.042,-0.072,-0.016
 AutoETS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.333,0.083,0.667,-0.032,-0.073,0.008
 AutoETS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.028,-0.076,0.015
-AutoETS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.028,-0.073,0.011
 AutoETS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.248,0.75,-0.028,-0.074,0.011
+AutoETS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.028,-0.073,0.011
 AutoETS,Chronos-2,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.006,-0.043,0.026
 AutoETS,TiRex,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.015,-0.047,0.013
 AutoETS,LightGBM,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.013,-0.052,0.029
@@ -149,14 +167,14 @@ AutoETS,CatBoost,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.001,-0.04,0.039
 AutoETS,Toto-1.0,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.052,-0.025,0.122
 AutoETS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.011,-0.035,0.059
 AutoETS,AutoARIMA,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.03,-0.036,0.112
-AutoETS,TabPFN-TS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.026,-0.015,0.065
 AutoETS,Chronos-Bolt,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.083,0.041,0.127
 AutoETS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.359,0.256,0.456
+FlowState,TiRex-2,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.09,-0.168,-0.013
 FlowState,Stat. Ensemble,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.053,-0.117,0.001
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.043,-0.117,0.025
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.039,-0.107,0.043
-FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.039,-0.114,0.041
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.039,-0.112,0.041
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.039,-0.114,0.041
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.017,-0.102,0.06
 FlowState,TiRex,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.026,-0.1,0.048
 FlowState,LightGBM,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.024,-0.077,0.019
@@ -166,14 +184,14 @@ FlowState,CatBoost,0.667,0.417,0.917,-0.012,-0.06,0.028
 FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.583,0.292,0.833,0.041,-0.047,0.127
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.001,-0.075,0.068
 FlowState,AutoARIMA,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.02,-0.017,0.055
-FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.016,-0.058,0.073
 FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.833,0.625,1.0,0.073,0.02,0.125
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.352,0.265,0.429
+CatBoost,TiRex-2,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.077,-0.133,-0.024
 CatBoost,Stat. Ensemble,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.041,-0.078,-0.005
 CatBoost,Toto-2.0-22m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.031,-0.074,0.012
 CatBoost,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.027,-0.08,0.034
-CatBoost,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.027,-0.083,0.032
 CatBoost,Toto-2.0-313m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.027,-0.081,0.029
+CatBoost,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.027,-0.083,0.032
 CatBoost,Chronos-2,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.005,-0.071,0.052
 CatBoost,TiRex,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.014,-0.066,0.039
 CatBoost,LightGBM,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.012,-0.026,0.002
@@ -183,14 +201,14 @@ CatBoost,CatBoost,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 CatBoost,Toto-1.0,0.667,0.333,0.917,0.053,-0.022,0.121
 CatBoost,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.012,-0.033,0.054
 CatBoost,AutoARIMA,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.032,-0.023,0.093
-CatBoost,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.027,-0.036,0.075
 CatBoost,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.084,0.046,0.12
 CatBoost,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.36,0.26,0.448
+Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.137,-0.24,-0.054
 Toto-1.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.25,0.0,0.583,-0.099,-0.177,-0.024
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.088,-0.183,-0.012
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.084,-0.179,-0.012
-Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.084,-0.188,-0.001
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.084,-0.184,-0.006
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.084,-0.188,-0.001
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.061,-0.169,0.035
 Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.071,-0.175,0.019
 Toto-1.0,LightGBM,0.333,0.083,0.667,-0.068,-0.152,0.009
@@ -200,14 +218,14 @@ Toto-1.0,CatBoost,0.333,0.083,0.667,-0.056,-0.138,0.021
 Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.043,-0.126,0.025
 Toto-1.0,AutoARIMA,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.022,-0.108,0.05
-Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.667,0.417,0.917,-0.027,-0.153,0.074
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.5,0.958,0.033,-0.034,0.097
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.324,0.198,0.433
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.09,-0.139,-0.051
 Toto-2.0-4m,Stat. Ensemble,0.333,0.083,0.667,-0.054,-0.108,-0.007
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.044,-0.065,-0.026
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.04,-0.088,0.006
-Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.04,-0.093,0.002
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.039,-0.087,-0.001
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.04,-0.093,0.002
 Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.018,-0.1,0.051
 Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.027,-0.082,0.019
 Toto-2.0-4m,LightGBM,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.025,-0.068,0.016
@@ -217,14 +235,14 @@ Toto-2.0-4m,CatBoost,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.013,-0.057,0.032
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.041,-0.025,0.112
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-4m,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.019,-0.063,0.108
-Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.015,-0.064,0.08
 Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.072,0.02,0.128
 Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.352,0.226,0.462
+AutoARIMA,TiRex-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.112,-0.209,-0.037
 AutoARIMA,Stat. Ensemble,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.074,-0.156,-0.022
 AutoARIMA,Toto-2.0-22m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.064,-0.169,0.015
 AutoARIMA,Toto-2.0-1B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.06,-0.145,0.02
-AutoARIMA,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.06,-0.156,0.022
 AutoARIMA,Toto-2.0-313m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.06,-0.152,0.021
+AutoARIMA,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.06,-0.156,0.022
 AutoARIMA,Chronos-2,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.038,-0.139,0.044
 AutoARIMA,TiRex,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.047,-0.154,0.032
 AutoARIMA,LightGBM,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.045,-0.124,0.012
@@ -234,31 +252,14 @@ AutoARIMA,CatBoost,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.033,-0.102,0.023
 AutoARIMA,Toto-1.0,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.022,-0.052,0.097
 AutoARIMA,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.02,-0.121,0.059
 AutoARIMA,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,TabPFN-TS,0.667,0.333,0.917,-0.005,-0.093,0.062
 AutoARIMA,Chronos-Bolt,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.054,-0.009,0.113
 AutoARIMA,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.339,0.256,0.422
-TabPFN-TS,Stat. Ensemble,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.07,-0.116,-0.02
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.059,-0.122,0.008
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.055,-0.121,0.01
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.055,-0.116,0.002
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.055,-0.117,0.005
-TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.033,-0.076,0.011
-TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.043,-0.093,0.006
-TabPFN-TS,LightGBM,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.04,-0.093,0.028
-TabPFN-TS,AutoETS,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.027,-0.069,0.015
-TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.016,-0.079,0.055
-TabPFN-TS,CatBoost,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.028,-0.081,0.035
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.333,0.083,0.583,0.026,-0.08,0.132
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.015,-0.087,0.06
-TabPFN-TS,AutoARIMA,0.333,0.083,0.667,0.004,-0.067,0.085
-TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.058,-0.009,0.122
-TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.342,0.249,0.435
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.175,-0.258,-0.106
 Chronos-Bolt,Stat. Ensemble,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.136,-0.202,-0.073
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.125,-0.191,-0.068
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.121,-0.182,-0.062
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.121,-0.185,-0.061
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.12,-0.186,-0.062
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.121,-0.185,-0.061
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.097,-0.167,-0.046
 Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.107,-0.175,-0.053
 Chronos-Bolt,LightGBM,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.104,-0.157,-0.056
@@ -268,14 +269,14 @@ Chronos-Bolt,CatBoost,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.091,-0.136,-0.049
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.25,0.042,0.5,-0.034,-0.107,0.033
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.078,-0.146,-0.021
 Chronos-Bolt,AutoARIMA,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.057,-0.128,0.009
-Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.062,-0.138,0.008
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.301,0.198,0.389
+Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.682,-1.021,-0.425
 Seasonal Naive,Stat. Ensemble,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.625,-0.907,-0.407
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.61,-0.932,-0.362
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.604,-0.897,-0.355
-Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.604,-0.891,-0.357
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.604,-0.904,-0.354
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.604,-0.891,-0.357
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.57,-0.821,-0.358
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.584,-0.872,-0.353
 Seasonal Naive,LightGBM,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.581,-0.845,-0.364
@@ -285,6 +286,5 @@ Seasonal Naive,CatBoost,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.562,-0.812,-0.352
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.48,-0.763,-0.247
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.543,-0.858,-0.292
 Seasonal Naive,AutoARIMA,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.513,-0.73,-0.344
-Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.52,-0.769,-0.332
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.431,-0.638,-0.246
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_econ/pairwise_SQL.csv

@@ -1,26 +1,28 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
-TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.002,-0.033,0.024
-TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.006,-0.031,0.017
-TiRex,Chronos-2,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.007,-0.028,0.036
-TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.002,-0.03,0.024
-TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.25,0.833,-0.002,-0.037,0.033
-TiRex,Stat. Ensemble,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.017,-0.034,0.06
-TiRex,FlowState,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.045,-0.023,0.098
-TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.667,0.415,0.917,0.035,-0.011,0.083
-TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.667,0.333,0.917,0.07,-0.008,0.143
-TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.046,0.002,0.086
-TiRex,AutoETS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.127,0.025,0.268
-TiRex,AutoARIMA,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.094,0.019,0.181
-TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.08,0.038,0.122
-TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.093,0.05,0.141
-TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.382,0.282,0.467
-Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.002,-0.025,0.032
+TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.05,0.019,0.077
+TiRex-2,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.052,0.026,0.086
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.046,0.014,0.077
+TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.058,0.014,0.109
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.75,0.5,0.917,0.05,0.023,0.079
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.05,0.022,0.076
+TiRex-2,Stat. Ensemble,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.068,0.024,0.107
+TiRex-2,FlowState,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.094,0.027,0.152
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.085,0.049,0.126
+TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.118,0.061,0.181
+TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.096,0.05,0.138
+TiRex-2,AutoETS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.172,0.075,0.301
+TiRex-2,AutoARIMA,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.141,0.074,0.215
+TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.128,0.08,0.174
+TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.14,0.09,0.195
+TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.414,0.318,0.502
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.052,-0.083,-0.019
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.002,-0.025,0.032
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.004,-0.018,0.01
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.417,0.167,0.75,0.009,-0.036,0.055
-Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.0,-0.016,0.014
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.167,0.75,0.0,-0.03,0.027
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.0,-0.016,0.014
 Toto-2.0-1B,Stat. Ensemble,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.019,-0.04,0.068
 Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.047,-0.032,0.1
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.037,-0.006,0.08
@@ -31,12 +33,30 @@ Toto-2.0-1B,AutoARIMA,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.096,0.016,0.174
 Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.082,0.045,0.115
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.095,0.048,0.139
 Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.383,0.278,0.469
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.006,-0.017,0.03
+TiRex,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.055,-0.094,-0.027
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.002,-0.033,0.024
+TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.006,-0.031,0.017
+TiRex,Chronos-2,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.007,-0.028,0.036
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.25,0.833,-0.002,-0.037,0.033
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.002,-0.03,0.024
+TiRex,Stat. Ensemble,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.017,-0.034,0.06
+TiRex,FlowState,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.045,-0.023,0.098
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.667,0.415,0.917,0.035,-0.011,0.083
+TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.667,0.333,0.917,0.07,-0.008,0.143
+TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.046,0.002,0.086
+TiRex,AutoETS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.127,0.025,0.268
+TiRex,AutoARIMA,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.094,0.019,0.181
+TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.08,0.038,0.122
+TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.093,0.05,0.141
+TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.382,0.282,0.467
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.048,-0.084,-0.015
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.004,-0.011,0.018
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.006,-0.017,0.03
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.417,0.167,0.75,0.013,-0.029,0.057
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.583,0.331,0.833,0.004,-0.006,0.014
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.004,-0.024,0.036
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.583,0.331,0.833,0.004,-0.006,0.014
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Stat. Ensemble,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.023,-0.033,0.071
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.051,-0.024,0.108
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.041,0.0,0.089
@@ -47,12 +67,13 @@ Toto-2.0-2.5B,AutoARIMA,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.1,0.018,0.186
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.086,0.05,0.122
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.099,0.05,0.146
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.385,0.285,0.47
-Chronos-2,TiRex,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.007,-0.037,0.027
+Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.062,-0.123,-0.014
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.583,0.25,0.833,-0.009,-0.059,0.035
+Chronos-2,TiRex,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.007,-0.037,0.027
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.583,0.25,0.833,-0.013,-0.06,0.028
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.167,0.833,-0.009,-0.06,0.036
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.167,0.833,-0.009,-0.065,0.049
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.167,0.833,-0.009,-0.06,0.036
 Chronos-2,Stat. Ensemble,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.01,-0.042,0.051
 Chronos-2,FlowState,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.038,-0.034,0.106
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.667,0.415,0.917,0.029,-0.035,0.098
@@ -63,28 +84,13 @@ Chronos-2,AutoARIMA,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.088,0.009,0.174
 Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.074,0.039,0.111
 Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.087,0.043,0.142
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.377,0.286,0.457
-Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.002,-0.025,0.029
-Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.0,-0.015,0.015
-Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.417,0.167,0.669,-0.004,-0.014,0.006
-Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.5,0.167,0.833,0.009,-0.038,0.056
-Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.583,0.25,0.833,-0.0,-0.024,0.024
-Toto-2.0-313m,Stat. Ensemble,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.018,-0.031,0.064
-Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.046,-0.02,0.099
-Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.037,0.001,0.079
-Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.072,0.005,0.139
-Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.048,0.0,0.09
-Toto-2.0-313m,AutoETS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.128,0.025,0.267
-Toto-2.0-313m,AutoARIMA,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.096,0.02,0.177
-Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.082,0.041,0.12
-Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.095,0.047,0.142
-Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.383,0.283,0.468
-Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.5,0.167,0.75,0.002,-0.034,0.036
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.25,0.083,0.5,-0.053,-0.086,-0.024
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.25,0.833,-0.0,-0.028,0.029
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.5,0.167,0.75,0.002,-0.034,0.036
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.004,-0.038,0.023
 Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.5,0.167,0.833,0.009,-0.051,0.061
-Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.417,0.167,0.75,0.0,-0.025,0.023
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.417,0.167,0.75,0.0,-0.025,0.023
 Toto-2.0-22m,Stat. Ensemble,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.019,-0.03,0.062
 Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.046,-0.012,0.098
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.037,0.019,0.057
@@ -95,12 +101,30 @@ Toto-2.0-22m,AutoARIMA,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.096,0.021,0.181
 Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.082,0.025,0.13
 Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.095,0.055,0.138
 Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.383,0.284,0.473
-Stat. Ensemble,TiRex,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.017,-0.064,0.033
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.053,-0.082,-0.023
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.0,-0.015,0.015
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.002,-0.025,0.029
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.417,0.167,0.669,-0.004,-0.014,0.006
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.5,0.167,0.833,0.009,-0.038,0.056
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.583,0.25,0.833,-0.0,-0.024,0.024
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,Stat. Ensemble,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.018,-0.031,0.064
+Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.046,-0.02,0.099
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.037,0.001,0.079
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.072,0.005,0.139
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.048,0.0,0.09
+Toto-2.0-313m,AutoETS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.128,0.025,0.267
+Toto-2.0-313m,AutoARIMA,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.096,0.02,0.177
+Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.082,0.041,0.12
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.095,0.047,0.142
+Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.383,0.283,0.468
+Stat. Ensemble,TiRex-2,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.073,-0.119,-0.024
 Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.019,-0.072,0.039
+Stat. Ensemble,TiRex,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.017,-0.064,0.033
 Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.023,-0.076,0.032
 Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-2,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.01,-0.053,0.04
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-313m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.019,-0.069,0.03
 Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-22m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.019,-0.066,0.029
+Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-313m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.019,-0.069,0.03
 Stat. Ensemble,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Stat. Ensemble,FlowState,0.5,0.167,0.75,0.029,-0.016,0.073
 Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-4m,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.019,-0.029,0.073
@@ -111,12 +135,13 @@ Stat. Ensemble,AutoARIMA,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.079,0.03,0.146
 Stat. Ensemble,TimesFM-2.5,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.065,0.013,0.121
 Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.078,0.024,0.131
 Stat. Ensemble,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.371,0.288,0.452
-FlowState,TiRex,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.047,-0.109,0.023
+FlowState,TiRex-2,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.104,-0.179,-0.028
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.049,-0.112,0.031
+FlowState,TiRex,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.047,-0.109,0.023
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.053,-0.121,0.024
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.04,-0.118,0.033
-FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.049,-0.109,0.02
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.049,-0.109,0.012
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.049,-0.109,0.02
 FlowState,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.25,0.833,-0.029,-0.079,0.016
 FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.01,-0.079,0.052
@@ -127,12 +152,13 @@ FlowState,AutoARIMA,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.052,0.005,0.102
 FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.667,0.417,0.875,0.037,-0.024,0.11
 FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.833,0.625,1.0,0.051,-0.002,0.101
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.353,0.274,0.424
-Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.333,0.083,0.585,-0.037,-0.091,0.011
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.093,-0.144,-0.052
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.039,-0.087,0.006
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.333,0.083,0.585,-0.037,-0.091,0.011
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.043,-0.097,-0.0
 Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.333,0.083,0.585,-0.029,-0.108,0.034
-Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.038,-0.086,-0.001
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.039,-0.06,-0.019
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.038,-0.086,-0.001
 Toto-2.0-4m,Stat. Ensemble,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.019,-0.079,0.028
 Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.01,-0.055,0.073
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
@@ -143,12 +169,13 @@ Toto-2.0-4m,AutoARIMA,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.061,-0.023,0.155
 Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.047,-0.027,0.112
 Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.06,0.01,0.112
 Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.359,0.246,0.458
-Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.333,0.083,0.667,-0.076,-0.167,0.008
+Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.134,-0.221,-0.065
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.078,-0.155,-0.013
+Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.333,0.083,0.667,-0.076,-0.167,0.008
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.082,-0.171,-0.006
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.333,0.083,0.667,-0.068,-0.164,0.021
-Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.077,-0.162,-0.005
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.078,-0.151,-0.017
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.077,-0.162,-0.005
 Toto-1.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.333,0.083,0.667,-0.058,-0.134,0.012
 Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.417,0.167,0.708,-0.027,-0.124,0.054
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.038,-0.107,0.022
@@ -159,12 +186,13 @@ Toto-1.0,AutoARIMA,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.026,-0.059,0.101
 Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.5,0.958,0.011,-0.075,0.076
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.667,0.417,0.875,0.025,-0.031,0.083
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.335,0.215,0.436
-TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.048,-0.094,-0.002
+TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.106,-0.16,-0.053
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.051,-0.107,0.007
+TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.048,-0.094,-0.002
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.055,-0.105,-0.005
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.041,-0.077,-0.005
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.05,-0.099,-0.0
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.05,-0.106,0.011
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.05,-0.099,-0.0
 TabPFN-TS,Stat. Ensemble,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.031,-0.067,0.009
 TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.002,-0.058,0.061
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.011,-0.075,0.062
@@ -175,12 +203,13 @@ TabPFN-TS,AutoARIMA,0.667,0.415,0.917,0.051,-0.02,0.134
 TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.036,-0.012,0.086
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.049,-0.015,0.114
 TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.352,0.266,0.435
-AutoETS,TiRex,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.145,-0.367,-0.025
+AutoETS,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.208,-0.431,-0.081
 AutoETS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.148,-0.366,-0.018
+AutoETS,TiRex,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.145,-0.367,-0.025
 AutoETS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.152,-0.369,-0.028
 AutoETS,Chronos-2,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.137,-0.354,-0.02
-AutoETS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.147,-0.365,-0.025
 AutoETS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.147,-0.367,-0.026
+AutoETS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.147,-0.365,-0.025
 AutoETS,Stat. Ensemble,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.126,-0.345,-0.012
 AutoETS,FlowState,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.094,-0.322,0.04
 AutoETS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.105,-0.317,0.019
@@ -191,12 +220,13 @@ AutoETS,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.167,0.75,-0.037,-0.271,0.112
 AutoETS,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.053,-0.259,0.072
 AutoETS,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.5,1.0,-0.039,-0.251,0.086
 AutoETS,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.292,0.084,0.43
-AutoARIMA,TiRex,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.104,-0.221,-0.019
+AutoARIMA,TiRex-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.165,-0.274,-0.08
 AutoARIMA,Toto-2.0-1B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.107,-0.211,-0.017
+AutoARIMA,TiRex,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.104,-0.221,-0.019
 AutoARIMA,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.111,-0.228,-0.019
 AutoARIMA,Chronos-2,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.097,-0.21,-0.009
-AutoARIMA,Toto-2.0-313m,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.106,-0.216,-0.02
 AutoARIMA,Toto-2.0-22m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.106,-0.221,-0.021
+AutoARIMA,Toto-2.0-313m,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.106,-0.216,-0.02
 AutoARIMA,Stat. Ensemble,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.086,-0.171,-0.031
 AutoARIMA,FlowState,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.055,-0.113,-0.005
 AutoARIMA,Toto-2.0-4m,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.065,-0.184,0.022
@@ -207,12 +237,13 @@ AutoARIMA,AutoARIMA,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 AutoARIMA,TimesFM-2.5,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.016,-0.097,0.062
 AutoARIMA,Chronos-Bolt,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.001,-0.08,0.069
 AutoARIMA,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.317,0.242,0.396
-TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.087,-0.139,-0.039
+TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.147,-0.211,-0.087
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.09,-0.13,-0.047
+TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.087,-0.139,-0.039
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.094,-0.139,-0.053
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.08,-0.124,-0.041
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.089,-0.136,-0.042
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.089,-0.15,-0.026
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.089,-0.136,-0.042
 TimesFM-2.5,Stat. Ensemble,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.069,-0.137,-0.014
 TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.333,0.125,0.583,-0.039,-0.124,0.024
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.049,-0.126,0.026
@@ -223,12 +254,13 @@ TimesFM-2.5,AutoARIMA,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.015,-0.066,0.089
 TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.014,-0.034,0.072
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.328,0.224,0.407
-Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.103,-0.164,-0.052
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.163,-0.242,-0.099
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.105,-0.162,-0.05
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.103,-0.164,-0.052
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.109,-0.171,-0.053
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.095,-0.165,-0.044
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.105,-0.165,-0.049
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.105,-0.159,-0.058
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.105,-0.165,-0.049
 Chronos-Bolt,Stat. Ensemble,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.084,-0.151,-0.024
 Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.167,0.0,0.375,-0.053,-0.113,0.002
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.064,-0.126,-0.01
@@ -239,12 +271,13 @@ Chronos-Bolt,AutoARIMA,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.001,-0.074,0.074
 Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.014,-0.077,0.032
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.318,0.219,0.402
-Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.617,-0.877,-0.392
+Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.706,-1.009,-0.467
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.621,-0.884,-0.386
+Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.617,-0.877,-0.392
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.627,-0.887,-0.398
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.606,-0.842,-0.401
-Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.62,-0.881,-0.394
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.62,-0.898,-0.396
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.62,-0.881,-0.394
 Seasonal Naive,Stat. Ensemble,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.59,-0.824,-0.404
 Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.545,-0.736,-0.377
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.56,-0.847,-0.326

tables/domain_econ/pairwise_WAPE.csv

@@ -1,4 +1,22 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
+TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.054,-0.019,0.135
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.05,-0.021,0.117
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.063,-0.007,0.135
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.068,0.017,0.127
+TiRex-2,TiRex,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.07,0.023,0.119
+TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.088,0.017,0.151
+TiRex-2,Stat. Ensemble,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.064,-0.008,0.14
+TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.124,0.043,0.2
+TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.097,0.043,0.154
+TiRex-2,CatBoost,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.107,-0.003,0.217
+TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.088,0.001,0.173
+TiRex-2,FlowState,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.072,-0.004,0.126
+TiRex-2,AutoETS,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.112,0.051,0.185
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.132,0.068,0.203
+TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.168,0.089,0.254
+TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.421,0.305,0.538
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.058,-0.156,0.019
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.005,-0.023,0.01
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.009,-0.017,0.033
@@ -8,14 +26,14 @@ Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.035,-0.015,0.078
 Toto-2.0-1B,Stat. Ensemble,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.01,-0.138,0.106
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.073,-0.013,0.157
 Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.5,0.917,0.045,-0.002,0.093
-Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.019,-0.152,0.114
 Toto-2.0-1B,CatBoost,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.056,-0.124,0.175
 Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.036,-0.112,0.136
+Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.019,-0.152,0.114
 Toto-2.0-1B,AutoETS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.061,-0.038,0.14
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.082,-0.005,0.154
-Toto-2.0-1B,LightGBM,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.058,-0.123,0.17
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.12,0.045,0.197
 Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.388,0.248,0.515
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.052,-0.132,0.021
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.005,-0.01,0.022
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.014,-0.007,0.033
@@ -25,14 +43,14 @@ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.04,0.0,0.076
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Stat. Ensemble,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.015,-0.114,0.104
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.078,-0.001,0.164
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.75,0.5,0.917,0.05,0.012,0.094
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.023,-0.13,0.115
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,CatBoost,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.06,-0.104,0.172
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.041,-0.09,0.131
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.023,-0.13,0.115
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,AutoETS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.065,-0.017,0.138
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.087,0.01,0.16
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,LightGBM,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.063,-0.102,0.168
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.124,0.054,0.199
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.391,0.26,0.511
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.067,-0.156,0.007
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.009,-0.034,0.017
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.014,-0.034,0.007
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
@@ -42,14 +60,14 @@ Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.027,-0.018,0.066
 Toto-2.0-313m,Stat. Ensemble,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.001,-0.131,0.091
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.065,-0.011,0.147
 Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.037,-0.004,0.079
-Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.01,-0.142,0.106
 Toto-2.0-313m,CatBoost,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.047,-0.108,0.154
 Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.027,-0.108,0.124
+Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.01,-0.142,0.106
 Toto-2.0-313m,AutoETS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.052,-0.025,0.119
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.074,0.005,0.14
-Toto-2.0-313m,LightGBM,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.05,-0.104,0.149
 Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.112,0.053,0.179
 Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.383,0.252,0.506
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.073,-0.145,-0.018
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.015,-0.086,0.078
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.02,-0.091,0.061
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.006,-0.067,0.066
@@ -59,14 +77,14 @@ Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.021,-0.055,0.091
 Toto-2.0-22m,Stat. Ensemble,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.004,-0.084,0.066
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.059,-0.005,0.12
 Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.031,-0.046,0.105
-Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.004,-0.084,0.08
 Toto-2.0-22m,CatBoost,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.042,-0.064,0.136
 Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.022,-0.074,0.112
+Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.004,-0.084,0.08
 Toto-2.0-22m,AutoETS,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.047,-0.016,0.095
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.069,0.048,0.092
-Toto-2.0-22m,LightGBM,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.044,-0.056,0.129
 Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.107,0.057,0.155
 Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.379,0.262,0.497
+TiRex,TiRex-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.076,-0.135,-0.023
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.017,-0.046,0.022
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.022,-0.048,0.004
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.008,-0.036,0.021
@@ -76,14 +94,14 @@ TiRex,Chronos-2,0.667,0.333,0.917,0.019,-0.026,0.055
 TiRex,Stat. Ensemble,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.007,-0.118,0.073
 TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.25,0.833,0.057,-0.011,0.131
 TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.833,0.667,1.0,0.029,-0.01,0.066
-TiRex,FlowState,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.002,-0.132,0.081
 TiRex,CatBoost,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.039,-0.111,0.151
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.019,-0.098,0.11
+TiRex,FlowState,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.002,-0.132,0.081
 TiRex,AutoETS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.045,-0.022,0.113
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.067,0.006,0.127
-TiRex,LightGBM,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.042,-0.105,0.143
 TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.105,0.043,0.176
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.378,0.252,0.503
+Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.096,-0.178,-0.018
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.037,-0.085,0.015
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.042,-0.082,-0.0
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.028,-0.07,0.018
@@ -93,14 +111,14 @@ Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-2,Stat. Ensemble,0.667,0.417,0.917,-0.026,-0.142,0.05
 Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.25,0.833,0.039,-0.047,0.129
 Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.167,0.75,0.01,-0.025,0.05
-Chronos-2,FlowState,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.017,-0.169,0.081
 Chronos-2,CatBoost,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.021,-0.142,0.136
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.0,-0.134,0.102
+Chronos-2,FlowState,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.017,-0.169,0.081
 Chronos-2,AutoETS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.026,-0.04,0.085
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.049,-0.031,0.135
-Chronos-2,LightGBM,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.024,-0.139,0.134
 Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.087,0.014,0.175
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.366,0.237,0.489
+Stat. Ensemble,TiRex-2,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.068,-0.163,0.008
 Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.01,-0.119,0.121
 Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.015,-0.116,0.103
 Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-313m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.001,-0.1,0.116
@@ -110,14 +128,14 @@ Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-2,0.333,0.083,0.583,0.026,-0.052,0.124
 Stat. Ensemble,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Stat. Ensemble,Toto-1.0,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.064,-0.025,0.153
 Stat. Ensemble,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.036,-0.044,0.138
-Stat. Ensemble,FlowState,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.009,-0.049,0.064
 Stat. Ensemble,CatBoost,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.046,-0.019,0.117
 Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.026,-0.033,0.082
+Stat. Ensemble,FlowState,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.009,-0.049,0.064
 Stat. Ensemble,AutoETS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.051,0.006,0.104
 Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-4m,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.073,-0.009,0.154
-Stat. Ensemble,LightGBM,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.049,-0.01,0.104
 Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.111,0.016,0.202
 Stat. Ensemble,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.382,0.284,0.478
+Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.141,-0.249,-0.045
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.079,-0.187,0.013
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.084,-0.196,0.001
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.069,-0.173,0.011
@@ -127,14 +145,14 @@ Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.5,0.167,0.75,-0.041,-0.149,0.045
 Toto-1.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.068,-0.181,0.024
 Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.03,-0.139,0.05
-Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.059,-0.205,0.059
 Toto-1.0,CatBoost,0.583,0.25,0.833,-0.019,-0.168,0.102
 Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.04,-0.192,0.084
+Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.059,-0.205,0.059
 Toto-1.0,AutoETS,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.013,-0.1,0.062
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.248,0.75,0.01,-0.051,0.066
-Toto-1.0,LightGBM,0.5,0.25,0.833,-0.016,-0.165,0.098
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.542,0.958,0.05,0.006,0.093
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.34,0.203,0.463
+TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.108,-0.182,-0.045
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.083,0.5,-0.048,-0.103,0.002
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.083,0.5,-0.053,-0.103,-0.012
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.038,-0.085,0.004
@@ -144,31 +162,14 @@ TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.5,0.25,0.833,-0.011,-0.052,0.025
 TimesFM-2.5,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.037,-0.161,0.042
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.029,-0.053,0.122
 TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.028,-0.174,0.06
 TimesFM-2.5,CatBoost,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.011,-0.151,0.126
 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.01,-0.144,0.086
+TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.028,-0.174,0.06
 TimesFM-2.5,AutoETS,0.583,0.331,0.833,0.016,-0.058,0.087
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.039,-0.044,0.124
-TimesFM-2.5,LightGBM,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.013,-0.148,0.118
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.667,0.417,0.875,0.078,0.002,0.167
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.359,0.235,0.479
-FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.019,-0.129,0.132
-FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.024,-0.13,0.115
-FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.01,-0.119,0.124
-FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.004,-0.087,0.077
-FlowState,TiRex,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.002,-0.088,0.117
-FlowState,Chronos-2,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.017,-0.088,0.144
-FlowState,Stat. Ensemble,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.009,-0.068,0.047
-FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.056,-0.062,0.17
-FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.027,-0.064,0.149
-FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,CatBoost,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.038,-0.03,0.127
-FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.018,-0.056,0.079
-FlowState,AutoETS,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.043,-0.045,0.131
-FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.065,-0.028,0.157
-FlowState,LightGBM,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.04,-0.011,0.111
-FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.583,0.332,0.833,0.103,-0.011,0.214
-FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.376,0.258,0.488
+CatBoost,TiRex-2,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.12,-0.278,0.003
 CatBoost,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.059,-0.212,0.11
 CatBoost,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.064,-0.208,0.094
 CatBoost,Toto-2.0-313m,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.05,-0.181,0.097
@@ -178,14 +179,14 @@ CatBoost,Chronos-2,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.021,-0.157,0.125
 CatBoost,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.048,-0.133,0.018
 CatBoost,Toto-1.0,0.417,0.167,0.75,0.019,-0.114,0.144
 CatBoost,TimesFM-2.5,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.011,-0.145,0.131
-CatBoost,FlowState,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.039,-0.146,0.029
 CatBoost,CatBoost,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 CatBoost,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.021,-0.113,0.061
+CatBoost,FlowState,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.039,-0.146,0.029
 CatBoost,AutoETS,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.006,-0.085,0.101
 CatBoost,Toto-2.0-4m,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.028,-0.083,0.129
-CatBoost,LightGBM,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.003,-0.02,0.023
 CatBoost,Chronos-Bolt,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.068,-0.042,0.181
 CatBoost,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.352,0.249,0.443
+TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.097,-0.209,-0.001
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.037,-0.158,0.101
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.042,-0.151,0.082
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.028,-0.142,0.097
@@ -195,14 +196,31 @@ TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.0,-0.113,0.119
 TabPFN-TS,Stat. Ensemble,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.027,-0.089,0.032
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.039,-0.092,0.161
 TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.01,-0.095,0.126
-TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.018,-0.086,0.053
 TabPFN-TS,CatBoost,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.021,-0.065,0.101
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.018,-0.086,0.053
 TabPFN-TS,AutoETS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.026,-0.063,0.099
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.583,0.331,0.833,0.048,-0.067,0.151
-TabPFN-TS,LightGBM,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.023,-0.053,0.095
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.583,0.331,0.833,0.087,-0.047,0.2
 TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.365,0.273,0.457
+FlowState,TiRex-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.078,-0.144,0.004
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.019,-0.129,0.132
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.024,-0.13,0.115
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.01,-0.119,0.124
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.004,-0.087,0.077
+FlowState,TiRex,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.002,-0.088,0.117
+FlowState,Chronos-2,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.017,-0.088,0.144
+FlowState,Stat. Ensemble,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.009,-0.068,0.047
+FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.056,-0.062,0.17
+FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.027,-0.064,0.149
+FlowState,CatBoost,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.038,-0.03,0.127
+FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.018,-0.056,0.079
+FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,AutoETS,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.043,-0.045,0.131
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.065,-0.028,0.157
+FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.583,0.332,0.833,0.103,-0.011,0.214
+FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.376,0.258,0.488
+AutoETS,TiRex-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.126,-0.227,-0.054
 AutoETS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.065,-0.163,0.036
 AutoETS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.07,-0.16,0.017
 AutoETS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.055,-0.135,0.025
@@ -212,14 +230,14 @@ AutoETS,Chronos-2,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.027,-0.093,0.039
 AutoETS,Stat. Ensemble,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.054,-0.115,-0.006
 AutoETS,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.013,-0.066,0.091
 AutoETS,TimesFM-2.5,0.417,0.167,0.669,-0.016,-0.095,0.055
-AutoETS,FlowState,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.045,-0.151,0.043
 AutoETS,CatBoost,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.006,-0.113,0.079
 AutoETS,TabPFN-TS,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.027,-0.11,0.059
+AutoETS,FlowState,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.045,-0.151,0.043
 AutoETS,AutoETS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 AutoETS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.023,-0.034,0.101
-AutoETS,LightGBM,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.003,-0.108,0.075
 AutoETS,Chronos-Bolt,0.667,0.333,0.917,0.063,-0.003,0.135
 AutoETS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.348,0.248,0.455
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.152,-0.255,-0.073
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.09,-0.182,0.005
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.095,-0.19,-0.011
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.08,-0.163,-0.005
@@ -229,31 +247,14 @@ Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.051,-0.155,0.03
 Toto-2.0-4m,Stat. Ensemble,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.079,-0.182,0.009
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.25,0.752,-0.01,-0.071,0.048
 Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.04,-0.142,0.043
-Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.069,-0.186,0.027
 Toto-2.0-4m,CatBoost,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.029,-0.148,0.077
 Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.417,0.167,0.669,-0.051,-0.178,0.063
+Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.069,-0.186,0.027
 Toto-2.0-4m,AutoETS,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.023,-0.112,0.033
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-4m,LightGBM,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.026,-0.143,0.069
 Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.041,0.002,0.082
 Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.333,0.197,0.46
-LightGBM,Toto-2.0-1B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.062,-0.204,0.11
-LightGBM,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.067,-0.202,0.093
-LightGBM,Toto-2.0-313m,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.052,-0.175,0.094
-LightGBM,Toto-2.0-22m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.046,-0.148,0.053
-LightGBM,TiRex,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.044,-0.167,0.095
-LightGBM,Chronos-2,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.024,-0.154,0.122
-LightGBM,Stat. Ensemble,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.051,-0.116,0.01
-LightGBM,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.167,0.75,0.016,-0.108,0.142
-LightGBM,TimesFM-2.5,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.014,-0.134,0.129
-LightGBM,FlowState,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.042,-0.124,0.011
-LightGBM,CatBoost,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.003,-0.024,0.02
-LightGBM,TabPFN-TS,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.024,-0.105,0.05
-LightGBM,AutoETS,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.003,-0.081,0.098
-LightGBM,Toto-2.0-4m,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.026,-0.074,0.125
-LightGBM,LightGBM,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,Chronos-Bolt,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.065,-0.039,0.177
-LightGBM,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.35,0.246,0.442
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.201,-0.34,-0.098
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.136,-0.246,-0.047
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.142,-0.249,-0.058
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.126,-0.218,-0.055
@@ -263,14 +264,14 @@ Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.096,-0.213,-0.014
 Chronos-Bolt,Stat. Ensemble,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.125,-0.253,-0.016
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.25,0.042,0.458,-0.053,-0.102,-0.006
 Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.333,0.125,0.583,-0.084,-0.2,-0.002
-Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.417,0.167,0.668,-0.115,-0.272,0.01
 Chronos-Bolt,CatBoost,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.073,-0.221,0.041
 Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.417,0.167,0.669,-0.095,-0.249,0.045
+Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.417,0.167,0.668,-0.115,-0.272,0.01
 Chronos-Bolt,AutoETS,0.333,0.083,0.667,-0.067,-0.156,0.003
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.042,-0.089,-0.002
-Chronos-Bolt,LightGBM,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.07,-0.216,0.037
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.305,0.17,0.432
+Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.728,-1.165,-0.439
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.634,-1.063,-0.329
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.642,-1.045,-0.352
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.62,-1.022,-0.337
@@ -280,11 +281,10 @@ Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.576,-0.957,-0.311
 Seasonal Naive,Stat. Ensemble,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.618,-0.915,-0.396
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.515,-0.863,-0.255
 Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.56,-0.92,-0.308
-Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.604,-0.954,-0.348
 Seasonal Naive,CatBoost,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.543,-0.796,-0.331
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.576,-0.842,-0.375
+Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.604,-0.954,-0.348
 Seasonal Naive,AutoETS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.535,-0.834,-0.33
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.5,-0.851,-0.245
-Seasonal Naive,LightGBM,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.539,-0.791,-0.326
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.438,-0.76,-0.205
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_econ/pairwise_WQL.csv

@@ -1,4 +1,21 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
+TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.667,0.333,0.917,0.055,-0.019,0.139
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.583,0.25,0.833,0.048,-0.025,0.117
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.06,-0.008,0.128
+TiRex-2,TiRex,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.06,0.02,0.102
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.75,0.5,0.917,0.056,-0.002,0.12
+TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.078,0.01,0.141
+TiRex-2,FlowState,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.078,-0.002,0.138
+TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.12,0.047,0.19
+TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.089,0.016,0.164
+TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.103,0.049,0.166
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.116,0.049,0.192
+TiRex-2,Stat. Ensemble,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.122,0.04,0.196
+TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.155,0.081,0.238
+TiRex-2,AutoETS,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.139,0.08,0.207
+TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.455,0.337,0.57
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.333,0.083,0.667,-0.059,-0.161,0.019
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.008,-0.037,0.017
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.005,-0.033,0.035
@@ -13,8 +30,8 @@ Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.065,-0.05,0.147
 Toto-2.0-1B,Stat. Ensemble,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.07,-0.103,0.189
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.106,0.031,0.179
 Toto-2.0-1B,AutoETS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.088,-0.019,0.161
-Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.126,0.02,0.229
 Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.424,0.268,0.551
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.417,0.167,0.75,-0.05,-0.132,0.024
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.008,-0.017,0.035
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.012,-0.006,0.031
@@ -29,8 +46,8 @@ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.072,-0.015,0.154
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Stat. Ensemble,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.078,-0.064,0.184
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.113,0.048,0.183
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,AutoETS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.095,0.016,0.157
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.133,0.053,0.22
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.428,0.293,0.546
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.063,-0.147,0.008
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.005,-0.036,0.032
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.013,-0.032,0.006
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
@@ -45,8 +62,8 @@ Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.06,-0.02,0.135
 Toto-2.0-313m,Stat. Ensemble,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.066,-0.074,0.17
 Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.102,0.048,0.161
 Toto-2.0-313m,AutoETS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.084,0.01,0.142
-Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.122,0.04,0.206
 Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.421,0.285,0.539
+TiRex,TiRex-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.063,-0.114,-0.021
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.005,-0.044,0.045
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.248,0.75,-0.012,-0.052,0.022
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.333,0.083,0.583,0.0,-0.031,0.034
@@ -61,8 +78,8 @@ TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.06,-0.009,0.128
 TiRex,Stat. Ensemble,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.066,-0.055,0.161
 TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.102,0.047,0.167
 TiRex,AutoETS,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.084,0.017,0.145
-TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.122,0.031,0.221
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.421,0.287,0.546
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.25,0.083,0.5,-0.059,-0.136,0.002
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.001,-0.071,0.093
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.008,-0.076,0.063
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.25,0.0,0.5,0.004,-0.047,0.066
@@ -77,8 +94,8 @@ Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.064,0.041,0.091
 Toto-2.0-22m,Stat. Ensemble,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.07,-0.032,0.161
 Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.105,0.063,0.147
 Toto-2.0-22m,AutoETS,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.088,0.02,0.13
-Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.126,0.027,0.212
 Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.423,0.3,0.539
+Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.084,-0.164,-0.01
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.024,-0.072,0.029
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.032,-0.07,0.005
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.417,0.167,0.667,-0.019,-0.061,0.025
@@ -93,8 +110,8 @@ Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.667,0.415,0.917,0.042,-0.047,0.135
 Chronos-2,Stat. Ensemble,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.048,-0.082,0.141
 Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.084,0.014,0.167
 Chronos-2,AutoETS,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.066,0.004,0.112
-Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.105,0.023,0.193
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.41,0.281,0.527
+FlowState,TiRex-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.085,-0.16,0.002
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.025,-0.134,0.129
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.033,-0.134,0.102
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.02,-0.119,0.108
@@ -109,8 +126,8 @@ FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.041,-0.039,0.119
 FlowState,Stat. Ensemble,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.047,-0.025,0.119
 FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.583,0.332,0.833,0.083,-0.022,0.187
 FlowState,AutoETS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.065,-0.019,0.146
-FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.105,-0.014,0.213
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.409,0.289,0.52
+Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.137,-0.234,-0.049
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.074,-0.164,0.007
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.082,-0.179,-0.004
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.069,-0.151,-0.003
@@ -125,8 +142,8 @@ Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.004,-0.072,0.047
 Toto-1.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.002,-0.131,0.109
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.833,0.667,1.0,0.04,0.003,0.076
 Toto-1.0,AutoETS,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.021,-0.072,0.095
-Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.062,-0.067,0.171
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.381,0.237,0.506
+TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.098,-0.197,-0.016
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.037,-0.147,0.085
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.045,-0.135,0.059
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.033,-0.125,0.065
@@ -141,8 +158,8 @@ TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.583,0.331,0.833,0.03,-0.068,0.123
 TabPFN-TS,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.25,0.833,0.036,-0.043,0.12
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.583,0.331,0.833,0.072,-0.043,0.173
 TabPFN-TS,AutoETS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.054,-0.021,0.112
-TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.094,0.028,0.164
 TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.402,0.302,0.502
+TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.115,-0.199,-0.052
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.083,0.5,-0.054,-0.101,-0.008
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.062,-0.108,-0.023
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.049,-0.094,-0.006
@@ -157,8 +174,8 @@ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.015,-0.091,0.11
 TimesFM-2.5,Stat. Ensemble,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.021,-0.12,0.113
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.583,0.333,0.833,0.058,-0.015,0.143
 TimesFM-2.5,AutoETS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.04,-0.045,0.104
-TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.08,-0.009,0.183
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.393,0.257,0.517
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.132,-0.238,-0.051
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.069,-0.172,0.048
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.078,-0.182,0.015
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.064,-0.156,0.019
@@ -173,8 +190,8 @@ Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-4m,Stat. Ensemble,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.006,-0.12,0.107
 Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.044,0.007,0.091
 Toto-2.0-4m,AutoETS,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.025,-0.068,0.081
-Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.75,0.5,1.0,0.066,-0.059,0.161
 Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.384,0.244,0.506
+Stat. Ensemble,TiRex-2,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.139,-0.244,-0.042
 Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.076,-0.232,0.093
 Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.084,-0.226,0.061
 Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-313m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.071,-0.205,0.069
@@ -189,8 +206,8 @@ Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-4m,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.006,-0.12,0.107
 Stat. Ensemble,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-Bolt,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.038,-0.083,0.155
 Stat. Ensemble,AutoETS,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.019,-0.068,0.095
-Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.25,0.75,0.06,-0.069,0.169
 Stat. Ensemble,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.38,0.283,0.482
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.184,-0.312,-0.088
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.118,-0.219,-0.032
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.127,-0.224,-0.051
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.113,-0.192,-0.051
@@ -205,8 +222,8 @@ Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.046,-0.101,-0.007
 Chronos-Bolt,Stat. Ensemble,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.04,-0.184,0.077
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-Bolt,AutoETS,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.019,-0.125,0.057
-Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.667,0.417,0.917,0.023,-0.104,0.122
 Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.833,0.583,1.0,0.355,0.212,0.48
+AutoETS,TiRex-2,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.161,-0.26,-0.087
 AutoETS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.097,-0.192,0.019
 AutoETS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.106,-0.186,-0.016
 AutoETS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.092,-0.165,-0.01
@@ -221,24 +238,8 @@ AutoETS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.026,-0.088,0.063
 AutoETS,Stat. Ensemble,0.583,0.333,0.833,-0.02,-0.105,0.064
 AutoETS,Chronos-Bolt,0.417,0.167,0.667,0.019,-0.06,0.111
 AutoETS,AutoETS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.333,0.083,0.583,0.042,-0.041,0.131
 AutoETS,Seasonal Naive,0.917,0.75,1.0,0.368,0.243,0.486
-TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.145,-0.296,-0.02
-TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.154,-0.281,-0.055
-TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.14,-0.26,-0.042
-TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.14,-0.283,-0.031
-TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.144,-0.269,-0.028
-TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.118,-0.239,-0.023
-TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.117,-0.27,0.014
-TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.066,-0.207,0.063
-TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.104,-0.196,-0.029
-TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.087,-0.223,0.009
-TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.25,0.0,0.5,-0.071,-0.192,0.056
-TabPFN-TS-3,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.25,0.75,-0.064,-0.203,0.064
-TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.333,0.083,0.583,-0.024,-0.139,0.094
-TabPFN-TS-3,AutoETS,0.667,0.417,0.917,-0.044,-0.15,0.039
-TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.34,0.243,0.432
+Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.836,-1.325,-0.508
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.735,-1.226,-0.367
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.748,-1.202,-0.414
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.727,-1.169,-0.398
@@ -253,5 +254,4 @@ Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.622,-1.024,-0.323
 Seasonal Naive,Stat. Ensemble,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.613,-0.931,-0.394
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.167,0.0,0.417,-0.551,-0.924,-0.269
 Seasonal Naive,AutoETS,0.083,0.0,0.25,-0.581,-0.947,-0.321
-Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.515,-0.759,-0.32
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_energy/leaderboard_MASE.csv

@@ -1,28 +1,29 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Chronos-2,85.79881656804733,35.398351985937104,0.0,3.4120501715909093,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,78.2544378698225,27.403361161284135,0.0,6.4650776003125,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-1B,77.9585798816568,27.64063711794009,0.0,3.1623076374715904,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS-3,76.92307692307693,34.00489490838103,0.0,822.0435218492969,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-313m,75.88757396449704,27.247610226794162,0.0,1.5456846913541669,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,68.19526627218934,25.111125954829205,0.0,1.3324642875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,65.68047337278107,29.948417313219487,0.0,308.48925294219475,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,64.94082840236686,24.470577229456005,0.0,35.73234459616477,0.15384615384615385,0.0
-Toto-2.0-22m,63.90532544378698,25.222517255488896,0.0,0.7798815821022727,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,61.24260355029587,24.79493112223894,0.0,1.1602838375000002,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,60.20710059171597,24.74097538777954,0.0,3.7859752799626865,0.15384615384615385,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,58.72781065088757,23.276855703905884,0.0,2.549116965535714,0.3076923076923077,0.0
-Sundial-Base,56.360946745562124,25.973733886600225,0.0,8.734264116875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
-Toto-2.0-4m,56.06508875739645,21.834602126597346,0.0,0.7024468823376624,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,55.917159763313606,22.17352687153604,0.0,64.32606581959577,0.15384615384615385,0.0
-TFT,48.964497041420124,24.332626654075018,7067.210990843215,5.868696277689394,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,43.86094674556213,20.515410969632153,13498.838423148572,8.687442574285715,0.0,11.538461538461538
-PatchTST,40.828402366863905,18.853426287300014,7221.856288165601,6.349855852499999,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,40.8284023668639,17.15191259995018,498.1807509,5.586804820681818,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,37.721893491124256,14.854815383201469,47.29828941238095,4.303395228143939,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,28.180473372781062,4.447406228151163,0.0,2051.548594149911,0.0,7.6923076923076925
-AutoARIMA,26.8491124260355,2.212327431466543,0.0,1885.5145473599553,0.0,7.6923076923076925
-Seasonal Naive,22.33727810650887,0.0,0.0,1.042975715,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,20.857988165680474,1.1815956958414753,0.0,6.6345268946875,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,15.384615384615385,-34.97549884253801,0.0,13.387819541051137,0.0,0.0
-Naive,12.94378698224852,-44.773921203129,0.0,1.0805920684374999,0.0,0.0
-Drift,5.177514792899409,-52.29912347479908,0.0,1.081847729375,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,84.75783475783474,35.398351985937104,0.0,3.4120501715909093,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,77.35042735042735,27.64063711794009,0.0,3.1623076374715904,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,77.20797720797721,27.403361161284135,0.0,6.4650776003125,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,75.92592592592594,34.00489490838103,0.0,822.0435218492969,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,75.7834757834758,32.34547171146631,0.0,1.0366915774648078,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,74.92877492877491,27.247610226794162,0.0,1.5456846913541669,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,66.52421652421651,25.111125954829205,0.0,1.3324642875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,64.52991452991454,29.948417313219487,0.0,308.48925294219475,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,63.817663817663814,24.470577229456005,0.0,35.73234459616477,0.15384615384615385,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,63.10541310541311,25.222517255488896,0.0,0.7798815821022727,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,60.25641025641026,24.79493112223894,0.0,1.1602838375000002,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,58.974358974358964,24.74097538777954,0.0,3.7859752799626865,0.15384615384615385,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,57.692307692307686,23.276855703905884,0.0,2.549116965535714,0.3076923076923077,0.0
+Sundial-Base,54.98575498575499,25.973733886600225,0.0,8.734264116875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
+Toto-1.0,54.98575498575499,22.17352687153604,0.0,64.32606581959577,0.15384615384615385,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,54.7008547008547,21.834602126597346,0.0,0.7024468823376624,0.0,0.0
+TFT,47.86324786324787,24.332626654075018,7067.210990843215,5.868696277689394,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,42.52136752136752,20.515410969632153,13498.838423148572,8.687442574285715,0.0,11.538461538461538
+PatchTST,39.743589743589745,18.853426287300014,7221.856288165601,6.349855852499999,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,39.60113960113959,17.15191259995018,498.1807509,5.586804820681818,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,36.75213675213675,14.854815383201469,47.29828941238095,4.303395228143939,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,27.27920227920228,4.447406228151163,0.0,2051.548594149911,0.0,7.6923076923076925
+AutoARIMA,26.139601139601137,2.212327431466543,0.0,1885.5145473599553,0.0,7.6923076923076925
+Seasonal Naive,21.652421652421648,0.0,0.0,1.042975715,0.0,0.0
+AutoTheta,20.085470085470085,1.1815956958414753,0.0,6.6345268946875,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,15.242165242165239,-34.97549884253801,0.0,13.387819541051137,0.0,0.0
+Naive,12.606837606837603,-44.773921203129,0.0,1.0805920684374999,0.0,0.0
+Drift,4.985754985754986,-52.29912347479908,0.0,1.081847729375,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_energy/leaderboard_SQL.csv

@@ -1,28 +1,29 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Chronos-2,87.13017751479289,43.696037899366445,0.0,3.4120501715909093,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-1B,82.24852071005917,37.19233498724061,0.0,3.1623076374715904,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,81.50887573964496,36.942973998246586,0.0,6.4650776003125,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS-3,79.28994082840238,42.12648526492014,0.0,822.0435218492969,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-313m,78.55029585798816,36.69282240000613,0.0,1.5456846913541669,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,72.48520710059174,34.44791484004565,0.0,1.3324642875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,69.37869822485207,38.63838178079146,0.0,308.48925294219475,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-22m,69.23076923076923,34.72199927167168,0.0,0.7798815821022727,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,66.27218934911244,33.040194549839576,0.0,35.73234459616477,0.15384615384615385,0.0
-FlowState,61.53846153846153,32.4100685185642,0.0,3.7859752799626865,0.15384615384615385,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,60.65088757396451,32.881689430291104,0.0,1.1602838375000002,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,59.319526627218934,31.52282472603488,0.0,2.549116965535714,0.3076923076923077,0.0
-Toto-2.0-4m,58.875739644970416,31.473352334477845,0.0,0.7024468823376624,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,57.692307692307686,31.112045696230428,0.0,64.32606581959577,0.15384615384615385,0.0
-TFT,53.99408284023669,32.085719324643314,7067.210990843215,5.868696277689394,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,46.59763313609467,28.52842311909273,0.0,8.734264116875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
-DeepAR,45.48816568047337,26.66949092254881,13498.838423148572,8.687442574285715,0.0,11.538461538461538
-PatchTST,44.230769230769226,25.60679591439182,7221.856288165601,6.349855852499999,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,30.547337278106507,9.139931178596383,0.0,1885.5145473599553,0.0,7.6923076923076925
-Stat. Ensemble,28.032544378698226,6.196332966589502,0.0,2051.548594149911,0.0,7.6923076923076925
-CatBoost,26.62721893491124,8.874064288365757,498.1807509,5.586804820681818,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,23.520710059171595,6.34745033907752,47.29828941238095,4.303395228143939,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,19.82248520710059,0.0,0.0,1.042975715,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,18.047337278106507,-30.210229740669558,0.0,13.387819541051137,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,16.420118343195263,-10.643501874241924,0.0,6.6345268946875,0.0,0.0
-Naive,9.245562130177515,-60.57154490567112,0.0,1.0805920684374999,0.0,0.0
-Drift,3.2544378698224854,-67.3016518958006,0.0,1.081847729375,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,85.6125356125356,43.696037899366445,0.0,3.4120501715909093,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,81.05413105413105,37.19233498724061,0.0,3.1623076374715904,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,80.34188034188034,40.955040522328076,0.0,1.0366915774648078,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,80.34188034188034,36.942973998246586,0.0,6.4650776003125,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,77.92022792022793,42.12648526492014,0.0,822.0435218492969,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,77.4928774928775,36.69282240000613,0.0,1.5456846913541669,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,70.94017094017097,34.44791484004565,0.0,1.3324642875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,68.23361823361823,34.72199927167168,0.0,0.7798815821022727,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,68.0911680911681,38.63838178079146,0.0,308.48925294219475,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,64.81481481481481,33.040194549839576,0.0,35.73234459616477,0.15384615384615385,0.0
+FlowState,60.25641025641024,32.4100685185642,0.0,3.7859752799626865,0.15384615384615385,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,58.974358974358985,32.881689430291104,0.0,1.1602838375000002,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,57.83475783475783,31.52282472603488,0.0,2.549116965535714,0.3076923076923077,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,57.12250712250713,31.473352334477845,0.0,0.7024468823376624,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,56.41025641025641,31.112045696230428,0.0,64.32606581959577,0.15384615384615385,0.0
+TFT,52.70655270655271,32.085719324643314,7067.210990843215,5.868696277689394,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,45.15669515669515,28.52842311909273,0.0,8.734264116875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
+DeepAR,43.94586894586894,26.66949092254881,13498.838423148572,8.687442574285715,0.0,11.538461538461538
+PatchTST,43.01994301994302,25.60679591439182,7221.856288165601,6.349855852499999,0.0,0.0
+AutoARIMA,29.700854700854695,9.139931178596383,0.0,1885.5145473599553,0.0,7.6923076923076925
+Stat. Ensemble,27.136752136752136,6.196332966589502,0.0,2051.548594149911,0.0,7.6923076923076925
+CatBoost,25.64102564102563,8.874064288365757,498.1807509,5.586804820681818,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,22.649572649572647,6.34745033907752,47.29828941238095,4.303395228143939,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,19.08831908831909,0.0,0.0,1.042975715,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,17.66381766381766,-30.210229740669558,0.0,13.387819541051137,0.0,0.0
+AutoTheta,15.811965811965809,-10.643501874241924,0.0,6.6345268946875,0.0,0.0
+Naive,8.903133903133902,-60.57154490567112,0.0,1.0805920684374999,0.0,0.0
+Drift,3.133903133903134,-67.3016518958006,0.0,1.081847729375,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_energy/leaderboard_WAPE.csv

@@ -1,28 +1,29 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Chronos-2,83.4319526627219,37.557901536977845,0.0,3.4120501715909093,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-1B,76.77514792899409,31.032868019309202,0.0,3.1623076374715904,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-313m,76.4792899408284,30.705322754813878,0.0,1.5456846913541669,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,74.40828402366863,30.308651726585033,0.0,6.4650776003125,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS-3,71.7455621301775,34.61666637481101,0.0,822.0435218492969,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-22m,65.97633136094674,28.863859566477203,0.0,0.7798815821022727,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,63.01775147928994,27.322662354204475,0.0,1.3324642875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,61.686390532544365,30.36322876478197,0.0,308.48925294219475,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,61.53846153846152,26.65794953458317,0.0,35.73234459616477,0.15384615384615385,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,57.98816568047337,26.606852502371968,0.0,1.1602838375000002,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,57.98816568047337,25.99988075597758,0.0,2.549116965535714,0.3076923076923077,0.0
-FlowState,54.88165680473372,26.89142712985859,0.0,3.7859752799626865,0.15384615384615385,0.0
-Sundial-Base,54.28994082840236,28.265544600882,0.0,8.734264116875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
-Toto-1.0,52.21893491124261,24.207524581618266,0.0,64.32606581959577,0.15384615384615385,0.0
-TFT,51.18343195266273,26.59412613673687,7067.210990843215,5.868696277689394,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-4m,50.44378698224852,23.82250300845572,0.0,0.7024468823376624,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,44.67455621301776,20.65325504182872,7221.856288165601,6.349855852499999,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,43.121301775147934,21.82047445619971,13498.838423148572,8.687442574285715,0.0,11.538461538461538
-LightGBM,42.15976331360946,20.63835609604817,47.29828941238095,4.303395228143939,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,40.976331360946745,20.174610152005823,498.1807509,5.586804820681818,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,34.68934911242603,8.430993583997726,0.0,2051.548594149911,0.0,7.6923076923076925
-AutoARIMA,25.813609467455617,3.8316800542679386,0.0,1885.5145473599553,0.0,7.6923076923076925
-AutoETS,23.22485207100592,-24.06197476117884,0.0,13.387819541051137,0.0,0.0
-Naive,23.002958579881653,-29.595393529303713,0.0,1.0805920684374999,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,22.781065088757394,4.200265666572001,0.0,6.6345268946875,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,20.71005917159763,0.0,0.0,1.042975715,0.0,0.0
-Drift,14.792899408284027,-36.91555319026642,0.0,1.081847729375,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,82.62108262108262,37.557901536977845,0.0,3.4120501715909093,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,76.06837606837607,31.032868019309202,0.0,3.1623076374715904,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,75.64102564102564,30.705322754813878,0.0,1.5456846913541669,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,73.78917378917377,30.308651726585033,0.0,6.4650776003125,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,71.36752136752136,34.43124058342566,0.0,1.0366915774648078,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,70.7977207977208,34.61666637481101,0.0,822.0435218492969,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,65.24216524216523,28.863859566477203,0.0,0.7798815821022727,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,62.25071225071225,27.322662354204475,0.0,1.3324642875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,60.68376068376068,26.65794953458317,0.0,35.73234459616477,0.15384615384615385,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,60.541310541310544,30.36322876478197,0.0,308.48925294219475,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,57.122507122507116,26.606852502371968,0.0,1.1602838375000002,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,56.837606837606835,25.99988075597758,0.0,2.549116965535714,0.3076923076923077,0.0
+FlowState,53.84615384615385,26.89142712985859,0.0,3.7859752799626865,0.15384615384615385,0.0
+Sundial-Base,53.13390313390314,28.265544600882,0.0,8.734264116875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
+Toto-1.0,51.85185185185185,24.207524581618266,0.0,64.32606581959577,0.15384615384615385,0.0
+TFT,50.142450142450144,26.59412613673687,7067.210990843215,5.868696277689394,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,49.43019943019942,23.82250300845572,0.0,0.7024468823376624,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,43.73219373219374,20.65325504182872,7221.856288165601,6.349855852499999,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,41.95156695156697,21.82047445619971,13498.838423148572,8.687442574285715,0.0,11.538461538461538
+LightGBM,41.3105413105413,20.63835609604817,47.29828941238095,4.303395228143939,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,40.028490028490026,20.174610152005823,498.1807509,5.586804820681818,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,33.97435897435897,8.430993583997726,0.0,2051.548594149911,0.0,7.6923076923076925
+AutoARIMA,25.28490028490028,3.8316800542679386,0.0,1885.5145473599553,0.0,7.6923076923076925
+AutoETS,22.93447293447294,-24.06197476117884,0.0,13.387819541051137,0.0,0.0
+Naive,22.578347578347575,-29.595393529303713,0.0,1.0805920684374999,0.0,0.0
+AutoTheta,22.222222222222218,4.200265666572001,0.0,6.6345268946875,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,20.08547008547008,0.0,0.0,1.042975715,0.0,0.0
+Drift,14.529914529914533,-36.91555319026642,0.0,1.081847729375,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_energy/leaderboard_WQL.csv

@@ -1,28 +1,29 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Chronos-2,86.3905325443787,45.99295404026385,0.0,3.4120501715909093,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-1B,83.57988165680473,40.95974538328001,0.0,3.1623076374715904,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,81.2130177514793,40.25120913531922,0.0,6.4650776003125,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-313m,81.2130177514793,40.431908864449696,0.0,1.5456846913541669,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS-3,75.88757396449704,43.103980194426214,0.0,822.0435218492969,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-22m,71.15384615384616,38.501099243397576,0.0,0.7798815821022727,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,69.8224852071006,37.015923795326046,0.0,1.3324642875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,67.75147928994083,39.634990899313024,0.0,308.48925294219475,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,64.34911242603552,35.74711028493935,0.0,35.73234459616477,0.15384615384615385,0.0
-FlowState,60.20710059171598,35.238708603025636,0.0,3.7859752799626865,0.15384615384615385,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,59.911242603550285,35.346534587472554,0.0,1.1602838375000002,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,59.17159763313609,34.54029716114274,0.0,2.549116965535714,0.3076923076923077,0.0
-Toto-2.0-4m,57.10059171597632,33.916952411684484,0.0,0.7024468823376624,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,56.06508875739644,33.68160197994784,0.0,64.32606581959577,0.15384615384615385,0.0
-TFT,54.7337278106509,34.858358688960024,7067.210990843215,5.868696277689394,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,46.59763313609467,31.420585268607393,0.0,8.734264116875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
-PatchTST,45.857988165680474,28.17762114987711,7221.856288165601,6.349855852499999,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,44.1568047337278,28.82551876839535,13498.838423148572,8.687442574285715,0.0,11.538461538461538
-LightGBM,31.656804733727807,13.804281918946282,47.29828941238095,4.303395228143939,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,30.547337278106507,11.001763956139254,0.0,2051.548594149911,0.0,7.6923076923076925
-AutoARIMA,28.920118343195266,10.956865003323434,0.0,1885.5145473599553,0.0,7.6923076923076925
-CatBoost,27.66272189349112,13.30060154143199,498.1807509,5.586804820681818,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,17.45562130177515,0.0,0.0,1.042975715,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,17.011834319526628,-24.269495322854407,0.0,13.387819541051137,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,16.863905325443785,-4.896832310667398,0.0,6.6345268946875,0.0,0.0
-Naive,9.985207100591717,-50.976730476610335,0.0,1.0805920684374999,0.0,0.0
-Drift,4.733727810650888,-57.44553171159505,0.0,1.081847729375,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,85.32763532763533,45.99295404026385,0.0,3.4120501715909093,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,82.6210826210826,40.95974538328001,0.0,3.1623076374715904,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,80.19943019943021,40.25120913531922,0.0,6.4650776003125,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,80.1994301994302,40.431908864449696,0.0,1.5456846913541669,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,78.20512820512819,43.430525812131435,0.0,1.0366915774648078,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,74.92877492877494,43.103980194426214,0.0,822.0435218492969,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,70.37037037037037,38.501099243397576,0.0,0.7798815821022727,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,68.66096866096866,37.015923795326046,0.0,1.3324642875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,66.66666666666669,39.634990899313024,0.0,308.48925294219475,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,62.96296296296296,35.74711028493935,0.0,35.73234459616477,0.15384615384615385,0.0
+FlowState,58.68945868945868,35.238708603025636,0.0,3.7859752799626865,0.15384615384615385,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,58.4045584045584,35.346534587472554,0.0,1.1602838375000002,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,57.692307692307686,34.54029716114274,0.0,2.549116965535714,0.3076923076923077,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,55.55555555555555,33.916952411684484,0.0,0.7024468823376624,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,54.84330484330483,33.68160197994784,0.0,64.32606581959577,0.15384615384615385,0.0
+TFT,53.27635327635329,34.858358688960024,7067.210990843215,5.868696277689394,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,45.29914529914529,31.420585268607393,0.0,8.734264116875,0.038461538461538464,0.0
+PatchTST,44.58689458689459,28.17762114987711,7221.856288165601,6.349855852499999,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,42.8062678062678,28.82551876839535,13498.838423148572,8.687442574285715,0.0,11.538461538461538
+LightGBM,30.484330484330478,13.804281918946282,47.29828941238095,4.303395228143939,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,29.558404558404554,11.001763956139254,0.0,2051.548594149911,0.0,7.6923076923076925
+AutoARIMA,28.133903133903132,10.956865003323434,0.0,1885.5145473599553,0.0,7.6923076923076925
+CatBoost,26.638176638176635,13.30060154143199,498.1807509,5.586804820681818,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,16.80911680911681,0.0,0.0,1.042975715,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,16.666666666666664,-24.269495322854407,0.0,13.387819541051137,0.0,0.0
+AutoTheta,16.23931623931624,-4.896832310667398,0.0,6.6345268946875,0.0,0.0
+Naive,9.615384615384617,-50.976730476610335,0.0,1.0805920684374999,0.0,0.0
+Drift,4.5584045584045585,-57.44553171159505,0.0,1.081847729375,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_energy/pairwise_MASE.csv

@@ -3,6 +3,7 @@ Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.11,0.043,0.177
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.107,0.04,0.174
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.112,0.04,0.182
+Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.045,0.001,0.092
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.021,-0.014,0.058
 Chronos-2,TiRex,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.137,0.066,0.203
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.078,0.038,0.118
@@ -13,12 +14,12 @@ Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.141,0.078,0.202
 Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.158,0.092,0.222
 Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.17,0.105,0.237
 Chronos-2,Sundial-Base,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.127,0.069,0.195
-Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.885,0.768,1.0,0.174,0.1,0.245
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.354,0.278,0.422
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.124,-0.214,-0.045
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.346,0.692,-0.003,-0.011,0.004
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.002,-0.013,0.016
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.073,-0.162,-0.001
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.1,-0.208,-0.003
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.031,0.007,0.055
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.654,0.462,0.846,-0.036,-0.133,0.042
@@ -29,12 +30,12 @@ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.035,0.005,0.062
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.054,0.028,0.083
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.067,0.04,0.101
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Sundial-Base,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.019,-0.071,0.108
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.071,0.04,0.102
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.274,0.211,0.335
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.12,-0.211,-0.042
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.308,0.654,0.003,-0.004,0.011
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.005,-0.008,0.019
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.615,0.423,0.808,-0.07,-0.162,0.004
 Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.096,-0.205,0.001
 Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.034,0.011,0.059
 Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.615,0.423,0.808,-0.033,-0.13,0.048
@@ -45,12 +46,12 @@ Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.038,0.007,0.066
 Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.057,0.034,0.083
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.07,0.043,0.102
 Toto-2.0-1B,Sundial-Base,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.023,-0.068,0.11
-Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.074,0.043,0.107
 Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.276,0.21,0.34
 Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.126,-0.222,-0.042
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.002,-0.016,0.013
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.005,-0.019,0.008
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.075,-0.172,0.001
 Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.102,-0.213,-0.002
 Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.029,0.011,0.048
 Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.654,0.462,0.846,-0.039,-0.142,0.043
@@ -61,12 +62,28 @@ Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.731,0.576,0.885,0.033,0.004,0.06
 Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.052,0.025,0.08
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.065,0.037,0.096
 Toto-2.0-313m,Sundial-Base,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.017,-0.072,0.099
-Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.069,0.039,0.098
 Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.272,0.206,0.336
+TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.047,-0.101,-0.001
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.068,0.001,0.14
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.385,0.192,0.577,0.065,-0.004,0.139
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.07,-0.001,0.147
+TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.025,-0.087,0.028
+TiRex-2,TiRex,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.097,0.031,0.165
+TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.034,-0.02,0.085
+TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.104,0.032,0.177
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.095,0.029,0.163
+TiRex-2,FlowState,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.101,0.03,0.169
+TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.1,0.031,0.175
+TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.692,0.538,0.846,0.118,0.055,0.181
+TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,0.692,0.538,0.846,0.131,0.065,0.2
+TiRex-2,Sundial-Base,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.086,0.006,0.164
+TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.323,0.243,0.395
 TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.022,-0.062,0.013
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.091,0.003,0.172
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.088,-0.001,0.17
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.093,0.002,0.175
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.025,-0.029,0.08
 TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.119,0.032,0.197
 TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.058,0.011,0.101
@@ -77,12 +94,12 @@ TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.654,0.462,0.809,0.122,0.043,0.198
 TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.14,0.054,0.22
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.152,0.072,0.227
 TabPFN-TS-3,Sundial-Base,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.108,0.038,0.185
-TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.156,0.071,0.231
 TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.34,0.265,0.41
 TiRex,Chronos-2,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.159,-0.255,-0.07
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.032,-0.059,-0.007
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.035,-0.063,-0.011
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.029,-0.051,-0.011
+TiRex,TiRex-2,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.107,-0.198,-0.032
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.135,-0.246,-0.034
 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.069,-0.171,0.013
@@ -93,12 +110,12 @@ TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.558,0.385,0.731,0.004,-0.021,0.032
 TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.558,0.365,0.731,0.024,-0.003,0.056
 TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.673,0.5,0.846,0.038,0.011,0.068
 TiRex,Sundial-Base,0.75,0.596,0.904,-0.012,-0.103,0.066
-TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.042,0.014,0.069
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.251,0.191,0.308
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.084,-0.133,-0.039
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.346,0.154,0.538,0.035,-0.043,0.117
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.385,0.192,0.577,0.032,-0.05,0.115
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.346,0.154,0.538,0.037,-0.045,0.124
+TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.035,-0.093,0.02
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.061,-0.112,-0.012
 TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.065,-0.014,0.146
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
@@ -109,12 +126,12 @@ TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.069,0.002,0.143
 TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.087,0.008,0.169
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.1,0.022,0.181
 TabPFN-TS,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.054,-0.036,0.143
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.104,0.018,0.188
 TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.299,0.216,0.373
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.169,-0.269,-0.077
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.04,-0.076,-0.01
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.044,-0.08,-0.012
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.308,0.153,0.5,-0.038,-0.066,-0.012
+TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.116,-0.214,-0.033
 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.144,-0.259,-0.04
 TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.481,0.269,0.673,-0.009,-0.034,0.014
 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.078,-0.179,0.003
@@ -125,12 +142,12 @@ TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.577,0.404,0.769,-0.004,-0.033,0.024
 TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.615,0.442,0.808,0.016,-0.028,0.057
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.692,0.519,0.846,0.03,-0.006,0.071
 TimesFM-2.5,Sundial-Base,0.596,0.423,0.788,-0.02,-0.113,0.062
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.034,-0.002,0.068
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.245,0.182,0.306
 Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.115,0.0,0.231,-0.158,-0.252,-0.077
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.03,-0.044,-0.016
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.033,-0.048,-0.021
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.028,-0.043,-0.014
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.105,-0.195,-0.029
 Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.385,0.23,0.577,-0.133,-0.241,-0.035
 Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.001,-0.018,0.024
 Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.067,-0.166,0.016
@@ -141,12 +158,12 @@ Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.006,-0.025,0.036
 Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.025,0.002,0.052
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.039,0.013,0.071
 Toto-2.0-22m,Sundial-Base,0.654,0.462,0.808,-0.01,-0.105,0.074
-Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.043,0.016,0.073
 Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.252,0.188,0.315
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.165,-0.253,-0.079
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.037,-0.071,0.0
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.04,-0.074,-0.004
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.034,-0.066,-0.002
+FlowState,TiRex-2,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.112,-0.204,-0.031
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.14,-0.246,-0.037
 FlowState,TiRex,0.519,0.346,0.692,-0.005,-0.034,0.022
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.074,-0.167,0.011
@@ -157,12 +174,12 @@ FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.538,0.365,0.712,-0.001,-0.029,0.034
 FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.462,0.307,0.635,0.019,-0.019,0.062
 FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.577,0.404,0.75,0.033,-0.002,0.073
 FlowState,Sundial-Base,0.596,0.423,0.788,-0.017,-0.106,0.06
-FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.037,-0.003,0.077
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.247,0.177,0.309
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.164,-0.254,-0.085
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.036,-0.066,-0.005
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.039,-0.071,-0.007
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.269,0.115,0.424,-0.034,-0.064,-0.004
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.112,-0.213,-0.032
 Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.191,0.538,-0.14,-0.248,-0.045
 Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.442,0.269,0.615,-0.004,-0.034,0.02
 Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.074,-0.167,-0.002
@@ -173,12 +190,12 @@ Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.577,0.423,0.731,0.02,-0.022,0.064
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.577,0.404,0.75,0.034,-0.001,0.072
 Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,0.558,0.365,0.731,-0.016,-0.106,0.062
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.038,-0.001,0.077
 Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.248,0.188,0.306
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.188,-0.285,-0.101
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.057,-0.091,-0.029
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.06,-0.091,-0.035
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.055,-0.087,-0.026
+Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.308,0.154,0.462,-0.134,-0.221,-0.058
 Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.163,-0.282,-0.057
 Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.442,0.269,0.635,-0.024,-0.059,0.003
 Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.095,-0.203,-0.008
@@ -189,12 +206,12 @@ Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.423,0.269,0.577,-0.02,-0.068,0.021
 Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.615,0.462,0.788,0.014,-0.01,0.043
 Moirai-2.0,Sundial-Base,0.635,0.462,0.789,-0.036,-0.136,0.048
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.615,0.423,0.769,0.018,-0.018,0.053
 Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.808,0.654,0.924,0.233,0.167,0.293
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.205,-0.31,-0.117
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.072,-0.112,-0.041
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.076,-0.114,-0.045
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.07,-0.106,-0.039
+Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.308,0.154,0.462,-0.15,-0.25,-0.07
 Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.179,-0.293,-0.078
 Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.327,0.154,0.5,-0.039,-0.073,-0.011
 Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.111,-0.221,-0.022
@@ -205,12 +222,12 @@ Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.423,0.25,0.596,-0.035,-0.078,0.001
 Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.385,0.212,0.538,-0.014,-0.045,0.01
 Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-1.0,Sundial-Base,0.519,0.346,0.692,-0.051,-0.149,0.03
-Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.004,-0.026,0.027
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.222,0.159,0.278
 Sundial-Base,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.146,-0.242,-0.074
 Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.02,-0.121,0.066
 Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-1B,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.023,-0.124,0.063
 Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-313m,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.018,-0.11,0.067
+Sundial-Base,TiRex-2,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.094,-0.196,-0.006
 Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS-3,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.122,-0.227,-0.04
 Sundial-Base,TiRex,0.25,0.096,0.404,0.012,-0.071,0.093
 Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.057,-0.166,0.035
@@ -221,28 +238,12 @@ Sundial-Base,Chronos-Bolt,0.442,0.269,0.635,0.016,-0.066,0.096
 Sundial-Base,Moirai-2.0,0.365,0.211,0.538,0.035,-0.051,0.119
 Sundial-Base,Toto-1.0,0.481,0.308,0.654,0.049,-0.031,0.129
 Sundial-Base,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-4m,0.462,0.269,0.654,0.053,-0.034,0.143
 Sundial-Base,Seasonal Naive,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.26,0.177,0.334
-Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.115,0.0,0.232,-0.21,-0.324,-0.111
-Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.077,-0.114,-0.042
-Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.08,-0.12,-0.045
-Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.074,-0.109,-0.04
-Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.184,-0.3,-0.076
-Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.044,-0.074,-0.014
-Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.116,-0.231,-0.018
-Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.035,-0.073,0.002
-Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.045,-0.079,-0.016
-Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.039,-0.083,0.003
-Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.039,-0.083,0.001
-Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.385,0.231,0.577,-0.019,-0.056,0.018
-Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.004,-0.028,0.025
-Toto-2.0-4m,Sundial-Base,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.056,-0.168,0.033
-Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.218,0.167,0.276
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.548,-0.729,-0.384
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.377,-0.504,-0.267
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.382,-0.514,-0.266
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.375,-0.505,-0.259
+Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.478,-0.652,-0.321
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.515,-0.695,-0.36
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.335,-0.445,-0.237
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.428,-0.596,-0.276
@@ -253,5 +254,4 @@ Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.33,-0.44,-0.232
 Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.192,0.076,0.346,-0.303,-0.415,-0.201
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.115,0.0,0.269,-0.285,-0.386,-0.189
 Seasonal Naive,Sundial-Base,0.115,0.0,0.269,-0.351,-0.501,-0.215
-Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.279,-0.381,-0.201
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_energy/pairwise_SQL.csv

@@ -2,6 +2,7 @@ model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_l
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.104,0.037,0.17
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.107,0.041,0.173
+Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.462,0.269,0.654,0.046,0.003,0.094
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.111,0.041,0.178
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.027,-0.009,0.067
 Chronos-2,TiRex,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.141,0.072,0.204
@@ -11,13 +12,13 @@ Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.159,0.083,0.225
 Chronos-2,FlowState,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.167,0.099,0.227
 Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.178,0.111,0.242
 Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.161,0.096,0.219
-Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.885,0.768,1.0,0.178,0.104,0.248
 Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.183,0.115,0.249
-Chronos-2,TFT,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.171,0.1,0.25
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.885,0.768,1.0,0.178,0.104,0.248
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.437,0.368,0.497
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.116,-0.204,-0.038
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.538,0.346,0.692,0.004,-0.003,0.012
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.064,-0.157,0.009
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.008,-0.003,0.02
 Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.085,-0.194,0.015
 Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.042,0.016,0.07
@@ -27,13 +28,13 @@ Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.062,0.029,0.096
 Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.071,0.039,0.104
 Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.083,0.055,0.111
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.064,0.029,0.097
-Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.083,0.051,0.117
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.088,0.059,0.12
-Toto-2.0-1B,TFT,0.731,0.576,0.885,0.075,-0.029,0.172
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.083,0.051,0.117
 Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.372,0.312,0.433
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.12,-0.209,-0.043
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.462,0.308,0.654,-0.004,-0.012,0.003
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.068,-0.162,0.007
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.692,0.538,0.846,0.004,-0.008,0.015
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.09,-0.198,0.008
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.038,0.013,0.065
@@ -43,13 +44,29 @@ Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.058,0.025,0.092
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.067,0.035,0.101
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.885,0.768,1.0,0.079,0.051,0.108
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.885,0.768,1.0,0.061,0.028,0.091
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.08,0.048,0.112
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.885,0.769,1.0,0.085,0.057,0.115
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,TFT,0.731,0.576,0.885,0.072,-0.035,0.17
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.08,0.048,0.112
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.369,0.312,0.43
+TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.049,-0.104,-0.003
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.06,-0.009,0.136
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.064,-0.007,0.139
+TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.067,-0.004,0.147
+TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.02,-0.087,0.038
+TiRex-2,TiRex,0.692,0.538,0.846,0.099,0.033,0.169
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.095,0.027,0.165
+TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.038,-0.015,0.087
+TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.118,0.044,0.193
+TiRex-2,FlowState,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.126,0.058,0.197
+TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.138,0.076,0.204
+TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.12,0.05,0.194
+TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.143,0.077,0.212
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.885,0.769,1.0,0.138,0.066,0.209
+TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.41,0.334,0.479
 Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.124,-0.216,-0.043
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.008,-0.02,0.003
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.308,0.154,0.462,-0.004,-0.015,0.008
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.072,-0.172,0.004
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.094,-0.204,0.006
 Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.034,0.013,0.057
@@ -59,13 +76,13 @@ Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.055,0.025,0.084
 Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.063,0.034,0.094
 Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.075,0.046,0.105
 Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.057,0.023,0.089
-Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.076,0.046,0.105
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.081,0.051,0.111
-Toto-2.0-313m,TFT,0.692,0.5,0.885,0.068,-0.039,0.169
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.076,0.046,0.105
 Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.367,0.309,0.428
 TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.028,-0.072,0.009
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.079,-0.015,0.163
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.082,-0.008,0.165
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.02,-0.04,0.08
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.086,-0.006,0.169
 TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.117,0.03,0.195
@@ -75,13 +92,13 @@ TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.654,0.462,0.809,0.136,0.046,0.217
 TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.144,0.053,0.217
 TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.155,0.07,0.235
 TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.138,0.059,0.21
-TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.155,0.067,0.235
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.16,0.078,0.237
-TabPFN-TS-3,TFT,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.148,0.073,0.23
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.155,0.067,0.235
 TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.421,0.35,0.49
 TiRex,Chronos-2,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.164,-0.257,-0.078
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.044,-0.075,-0.016
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.04,-0.069,-0.013
+TiRex,TiRex-2,0.308,0.154,0.462,-0.11,-0.204,-0.034
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.035,-0.061,-0.013
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.133,-0.242,-0.031
 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
@@ -91,13 +108,13 @@ TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.673,0.481,0.846,0.021,-0.002,0.045
 TiRex,FlowState,0.635,0.461,0.808,0.03,0.003,0.06
 TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.788,0.615,0.923,0.043,0.014,0.075
 TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.577,0.885,0.023,-0.005,0.052
-TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.769,0.614,0.923,0.043,0.012,0.072
 TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.788,0.615,0.923,0.048,0.024,0.076
-TiRex,TFT,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.035,-0.07,0.132
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.769,0.614,0.923,0.043,0.012,0.072
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.344,0.286,0.404
 Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.159,-0.254,-0.077
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.115,0.0,0.269,-0.039,-0.057,-0.025
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.035,-0.05,-0.021
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.106,-0.198,-0.028
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.231,0.077,0.386,-0.031,-0.047,-0.018
 Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.128,-0.238,-0.029
 Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.462,0.269,0.654,0.004,-0.02,0.028
@@ -107,13 +124,13 @@ Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.025,-0.009,0.059
 Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.034,-0.001,0.07
 Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.047,0.018,0.075
 Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.692,0.5,0.885,0.027,-0.009,0.062
-Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.047,0.022,0.073
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.052,0.03,0.079
-Toto-2.0-22m,TFT,0.692,0.5,0.885,0.039,-0.071,0.141
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.047,0.022,0.073
 Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.347,0.288,0.407
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.09,-0.136,-0.046
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.346,0.154,0.538,0.023,-0.059,0.107
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.346,0.154,0.538,0.027,-0.051,0.111
+TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.039,-0.095,0.015
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.385,0.192,0.577,0.031,-0.05,0.117
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.06,-0.109,-0.008
 TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.064,-0.014,0.146
@@ -123,13 +140,13 @@ TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.084,0.006,0.167
 TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.092,0.015,0.166
 TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.104,0.024,0.189
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.086,0.022,0.16
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.105,0.018,0.189
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.109,0.026,0.194
-TabPFN-TS,TFT,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.096,0.03,0.168
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.105,0.018,0.189
 TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.386,0.308,0.462
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.189,-0.291,-0.09
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.066,-0.106,-0.029
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.062,-0.102,-0.025
+TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.134,-0.24,-0.046
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.058,-0.092,-0.026
 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.191,0.538,-0.157,-0.277,-0.048
 TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.327,0.154,0.519,-0.021,-0.047,0.002
@@ -139,13 +156,13 @@ TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.577,0.404,0.75,0.009,-0.023,0.04
 TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.615,0.442,0.808,0.022,-0.023,0.067
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.538,0.365,0.712,0.002,-0.028,0.029
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.023,-0.015,0.057
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.028,-0.012,0.068
-TimesFM-2.5,TFT,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.014,-0.1,0.121
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.023,-0.015,0.057
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.33,0.269,0.394
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.115,0.0,0.269,-0.2,-0.294,-0.11
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.076,-0.116,-0.04
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.072,-0.113,-0.036
+FlowState,TiRex-2,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.145,-0.245,-0.061
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.068,-0.104,-0.035
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.168,-0.277,-0.057
 FlowState,TiRex,0.365,0.192,0.539,-0.031,-0.064,-0.003
@@ -155,13 +172,13 @@ FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.423,0.25,0.596,-0.009,-0.042,0.022
 FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.538,0.384,0.712,0.013,-0.029,0.059
 FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.538,0.365,0.712,-0.007,-0.041,0.029
-FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.654,0.462,0.809,0.014,-0.03,0.052
 FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.423,0.269,0.596,0.019,-0.019,0.059
-FlowState,TFT,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.005,-0.107,0.109
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.654,0.462,0.809,0.014,-0.03,0.052
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.324,0.259,0.389
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.216,-0.319,-0.125
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.09,-0.125,-0.058
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.115,0.0,0.232,-0.086,-0.122,-0.054
+Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.16,-0.257,-0.082
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.082,-0.117,-0.048
 Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.183,-0.308,-0.075
 Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.212,0.077,0.385,-0.045,-0.081,-0.014
@@ -171,13 +188,13 @@ Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.385,0.192,0.558,-0.023,-0.071,0.023
 Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.462,0.288,0.616,-0.013,-0.062,0.029
 Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.346,0.673,-0.02,-0.075,0.025
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.001,-0.036,0.039
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.577,0.423,0.75,0.006,-0.016,0.034
-Moirai-2.0,TFT,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.008,-0.129,0.098
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.001,-0.036,0.039
 Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.315,0.249,0.385
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.192,-0.28,-0.106
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.069,-0.108,-0.029
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.115,0.0,0.232,-0.064,-0.101,-0.028
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.137,-0.24,-0.053
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.06,-0.097,-0.024
 Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.16,-0.266,-0.063
 Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.25,0.115,0.423,-0.024,-0.055,0.005
@@ -187,29 +204,13 @@ Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.462,0.288,0.635,-0.002,-0.03,0.027
 Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.462,0.288,0.635,0.007,-0.03,0.039
 Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.327,0.654,0.02,-0.025,0.07
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.021,-0.023,0.063
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.538,0.365,0.712,0.026,-0.013,0.068
-Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.012,-0.089,0.108
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.021,-0.023,0.063
 Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.329,0.273,0.388
-Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.115,0.0,0.232,-0.217,-0.33,-0.116
-Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.115,0.0,0.269,-0.091,-0.132,-0.054
-Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.087,-0.126,-0.05
-Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.082,-0.117,-0.049
-Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.184,-0.307,-0.072
-Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.231,0.077,0.386,-0.045,-0.078,-0.012
-Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.05,-0.079,-0.023
-Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.117,-0.234,-0.018
-Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.023,-0.061,0.015
-Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.346,0.191,0.538,-0.014,-0.054,0.029
-Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.001,-0.041,0.035
-Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.021,-0.067,0.023
-Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.005,-0.02,0.036
-Toto-2.0-4m,TFT,0.615,0.423,0.808,-0.009,-0.126,0.093
-Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.315,0.256,0.378
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.224,-0.332,-0.13
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.097,-0.136,-0.063
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.115,0.0,0.231,-0.092,-0.13,-0.06
+Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.167,-0.27,-0.084
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.088,-0.125,-0.054
 Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.19,-0.311,-0.085
 Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.212,0.077,0.385,-0.051,-0.082,-0.024
@@ -219,29 +220,29 @@ Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.029,-0.073,0.011
 Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.577,0.404,0.731,-0.019,-0.063,0.019
 Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.423,0.25,0.577,-0.006,-0.035,0.016
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.462,0.288,0.635,-0.026,-0.072,0.013
-Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.005,-0.037,0.02
 Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,TFT,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.014,-0.138,0.092
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.005,-0.037,0.02
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.311,0.248,0.377
-TFT,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.206,-0.334,-0.111
-TFT,Toto-2.0-1B,0.269,0.115,0.424,-0.081,-0.208,0.029
-TFT,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.269,0.115,0.424,-0.077,-0.204,0.034
-TFT,Toto-2.0-313m,0.308,0.115,0.5,-0.073,-0.203,0.037
-TFT,TabPFN-TS-3,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.173,-0.298,-0.078
-TFT,TiRex,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.036,-0.151,0.066
-TFT,Toto-2.0-22m,0.308,0.115,0.5,-0.04,-0.165,0.067
-TFT,TabPFN-TS,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.107,-0.202,-0.031
-TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.014,-0.138,0.091
-TFT,FlowState,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.005,-0.122,0.097
-TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.008,-0.108,0.114
-TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.012,-0.121,0.082
-TFT,Toto-2.0-4m,0.385,0.192,0.577,0.009,-0.102,0.112
-TFT,Toto-1.0,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.014,-0.102,0.121
-TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TFT,Seasonal Naive,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.321,0.223,0.403
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.115,0.0,0.232,-0.217,-0.33,-0.116
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.115,0.0,0.269,-0.091,-0.132,-0.054
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.087,-0.126,-0.05
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.115,0.0,0.231,-0.161,-0.264,-0.071
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.082,-0.117,-0.049
+Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.184,-0.307,-0.072
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.231,0.077,0.386,-0.045,-0.078,-0.012
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.05,-0.079,-0.023
+Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.117,-0.234,-0.018
+Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.023,-0.061,0.015
+Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.346,0.191,0.538,-0.014,-0.054,0.029
+Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.001,-0.041,0.035
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.021,-0.067,0.023
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.005,-0.02,0.036
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.315,0.256,0.378
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.776,-0.987,-0.581
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.592,-0.765,-0.454
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.586,-0.754,-0.453
+Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.694,-0.92,-0.5
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.58,-0.749,-0.446
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.728,-0.962,-0.539
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.526,-0.679,-0.401
@@ -251,7 +252,6 @@ Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.493,-0.65,-0.368
 Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.48,-0.638,-0.35
 Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.46,-0.627,-0.331
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.49,-0.633,-0.376
-Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.459,-0.608,-0.344
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.452,-0.604,-0.33
-Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.472,-0.675,-0.286
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.459,-0.608,-0.344
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_energy/pairwise_WAPE.csv

@@ -3,6 +3,7 @@ Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.099,0.028,0.168
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.095,0.019,0.17
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.104,0.03,0.173
+Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.048,0.002,0.096
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.045,-0.012,0.099
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.122,0.054,0.188
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.103,0.035,0.178
@@ -12,13 +13,13 @@ Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.156,0.089,0.221
 Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.149,0.081,0.219
 Chronos-2,FlowState,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.146,0.079,0.202
 Chronos-2,Sundial-Base,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.13,0.071,0.194
-Chronos-2,TFT,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.149,0.061,0.236
 Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.885,0.769,1.0,0.176,0.109,0.244
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.376,0.282,0.449
 Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.11,-0.202,-0.029
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.005,-0.026,0.012
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.006,-0.007,0.018
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.057,-0.158,0.028
 Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.06,-0.174,0.05
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.026,0.005,0.044
 Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.005,-0.109,0.1
@@ -28,13 +29,13 @@ Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.064,0.026,0.103
 Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.056,0.014,0.105
 Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.052,0.012,0.09
 Toto-2.0-313m,Sundial-Base,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.034,-0.073,0.132
-Toto-2.0-313m,TFT,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.056,-0.062,0.161
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.086,0.056,0.12
 Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.307,0.221,0.386
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.104,-0.204,-0.02
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.462,0.269,0.654,0.005,-0.012,0.025
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.01,-0.003,0.026
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.052,-0.153,0.034
 Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.055,-0.17,0.057
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.03,0.006,0.053
 Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.01,-0.1,0.109
@@ -44,13 +45,13 @@ Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.068,0.029,0.113
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.06,0.011,0.118
 Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.057,0.015,0.097
 Toto-2.0-1B,Sundial-Base,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.039,-0.069,0.14
-Toto-2.0-1B,TFT,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.06,-0.055,0.167
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.09,0.054,0.13
 Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.31,0.223,0.392
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.116,-0.209,-0.031
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.006,-0.018,0.007
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.011,-0.027,0.003
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.063,-0.16,0.02
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.346,0.692,-0.066,-0.174,0.041
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.02,0.002,0.037
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.615,0.423,0.808,-0.001,-0.108,0.094
@@ -60,13 +61,29 @@ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.058,0.019,0.099
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.05,0.005,0.099
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.047,0.006,0.086
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Sundial-Base,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.028,-0.075,0.128
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,TFT,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.051,-0.064,0.156
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.08,0.048,0.119
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.303,0.219,0.384
+TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.05,-0.106,-0.002
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.462,0.269,0.654,0.054,-0.029,0.137
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.049,-0.035,0.133
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.059,-0.02,0.138
+TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.003,-0.078,0.069
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.078,0.004,0.154
+TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.058,-0.019,0.139
+TiRex-2,TiRex,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.098,0.027,0.167
+TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.615,0.423,0.769,0.106,0.033,0.182
+TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.114,0.041,0.183
+TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.107,0.025,0.193
+TiRex-2,FlowState,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.103,0.027,0.175
+TiRex-2,Sundial-Base,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.086,0.001,0.169
+TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.135,0.059,0.211
+TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.344,0.247,0.425
 TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.047,-0.11,0.012
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.056,-0.053,0.148
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.052,-0.061,0.145
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.308,0.654,0.062,-0.043,0.148
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.462,0.269,0.654,0.003,-0.074,0.072
 TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.081,-0.016,0.164
 TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.061,-0.003,0.119
@@ -76,13 +93,13 @@ TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.654,0.462,0.809,0.116,0.015,0.206
 TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.109,0.021,0.191
 TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.106,0.011,0.188
 TabPFN-TS-3,Sundial-Base,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.089,0.008,0.164
-TabPFN-TS-3,TFT,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.109,0.016,0.198
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.137,0.046,0.221
 TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.346,0.261,0.422
 Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.139,-0.232,-0.057
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.027,-0.046,-0.005
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.031,-0.055,-0.006
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.021,-0.039,-0.002
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.085,-0.181,-0.004
 Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.088,-0.197,0.015
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.022,-0.126,0.071
@@ -92,13 +109,13 @@ Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.039,-0.002,0.079
 Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.031,-0.011,0.077
 Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.654,0.5,0.808,0.027,-0.018,0.066
 Toto-2.0-22m,Sundial-Base,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.008,-0.099,0.104
-Toto-2.0-22m,TFT,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.031,-0.082,0.131
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.061,0.032,0.094
 Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.289,0.209,0.365
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.115,-0.216,-0.036
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.005,-0.112,0.098
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.01,-0.123,0.091
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.385,0.192,0.577,0.001,-0.103,0.098
+TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.062,-0.161,0.018
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.065,-0.135,0.003
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.021,-0.076,0.112
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
@@ -108,13 +125,13 @@ TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.059,-0.056,0.163
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.051,-0.035,0.132
 TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.047,-0.06,0.132
 TabPFN-TS,Sundial-Base,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.029,-0.086,0.132
-TabPFN-TS,TFT,0.615,0.462,0.808,0.051,-0.037,0.133
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.081,-0.022,0.177
 TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.304,0.213,0.381
 TiRex,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.164,-0.256,-0.08
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.049,-0.085,-0.019
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.054,-0.104,-0.017
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.308,0.115,0.5,-0.043,-0.084,-0.011
+TiRex,TiRex-2,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.108,-0.201,-0.027
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.112,-0.233,-0.002
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.022,-0.061,0.012
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.044,-0.161,0.065
@@ -124,13 +141,13 @@ TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.442,0.269,0.615,0.018,-0.013,0.051
 TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.481,0.308,0.673,0.01,-0.028,0.06
 TiRex,FlowState,0.519,0.346,0.692,0.006,-0.029,0.041
 TiRex,Sundial-Base,0.635,0.462,0.808,-0.013,-0.12,0.076
-TiRex,TFT,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.01,-0.106,0.113
 TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.712,0.538,0.885,0.041,0.009,0.076
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.273,0.184,0.352
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.175,-0.273,-0.081
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.058,-0.11,-0.019
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.063,-0.122,-0.021
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.308,0.115,0.5,-0.052,-0.107,-0.012
+TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.385,0.231,0.577,-0.119,-0.222,-0.034
 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.122,-0.238,-0.019
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.031,-0.085,0.011
 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.053,-0.159,0.045
@@ -140,13 +157,13 @@ TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.577,0.404,0.75,0.009,-0.046,0.062
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.327,0.674,0.001,-0.039,0.042
 TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.538,0.365,0.712,-0.003,-0.048,0.038
 TimesFM-2.5,Sundial-Base,0.596,0.423,0.788,-0.022,-0.12,0.067
-TimesFM-2.5,TFT,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.001,-0.117,0.102
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.654,0.481,0.808,0.032,-0.012,0.081
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.267,0.184,0.338
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.115,0.0,0.269,-0.185,-0.284,-0.098
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.068,-0.114,-0.027
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.073,-0.128,-0.029
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.062,-0.11,-0.02
+Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.129,-0.223,-0.043
 Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.191,0.538,-0.132,-0.26,-0.016
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.04,-0.086,0.002
 Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.063,-0.195,0.053
@@ -156,13 +173,13 @@ Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.423,0.269,0.596,-0.008,-0.073,0.062
 Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.538,0.365,0.712,-0.012,-0.065,0.03
 Moirai-2.0,Sundial-Base,0.596,0.423,0.769,-0.032,-0.143,0.065
-Moirai-2.0,TFT,0.654,0.462,0.846,-0.008,-0.137,0.101
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.577,0.404,0.75,0.024,-0.008,0.056
 Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.808,0.654,0.924,0.26,0.164,0.341
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.175,-0.28,-0.089
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.059,-0.118,-0.014
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.064,-0.133,-0.011
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.053,-0.109,-0.005
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.119,-0.24,-0.026
 Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.123,-0.236,-0.021
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.032,-0.083,0.011
 Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.054,-0.152,0.034
@@ -172,13 +189,13 @@ Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.577,0.404,0.731,0.008,-0.066,0.068
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.5,0.327,0.673,-0.004,-0.072,0.041
 Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,0.519,0.327,0.692,-0.023,-0.128,0.067
-Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.692,0.5,0.885,0.0,-0.101,0.094
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.615,0.442,0.788,0.032,-0.022,0.08
 Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.266,0.183,0.339
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.171,-0.253,-0.086
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.055,-0.098,-0.012
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.06,-0.108,-0.016
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.049,-0.094,-0.006
+FlowState,TiRex-2,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.115,-0.212,-0.027
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.118,-0.231,-0.011
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.346,0.192,0.5,-0.028,-0.07,0.018
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.05,-0.152,0.056
@@ -188,13 +205,13 @@ FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.462,0.288,0.635,0.012,-0.031,0.061
 FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.327,0.673,0.004,-0.043,0.067
 FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 FlowState,Sundial-Base,0.558,0.385,0.75,-0.019,-0.118,0.069
-FlowState,TFT,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.004,-0.109,0.108
 FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.327,0.692,0.035,-0.006,0.084
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.769,0.577,0.923,0.269,0.178,0.347
 Sundial-Base,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.149,-0.241,-0.077
 Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-313m,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.035,-0.153,0.068
 Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-1B,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.04,-0.162,0.064
 Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.029,-0.146,0.07
+Sundial-Base,TiRex-2,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.094,-0.203,-0.001
 Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.097,-0.196,-0.008
 Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-22m,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.008,-0.116,0.09
 Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.03,-0.153,0.08
@@ -204,29 +221,13 @@ Sundial-Base,Moirai-2.0,0.404,0.231,0.577,0.031,-0.069,0.125
 Sundial-Base,Chronos-Bolt,0.481,0.308,0.673,0.023,-0.072,0.113
 Sundial-Base,FlowState,0.442,0.25,0.615,0.019,-0.074,0.106
 Sundial-Base,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,TFT,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.023,-0.095,0.144
 Sundial-Base,Toto-1.0,0.519,0.327,0.712,0.054,-0.039,0.14
 Sundial-Base,Seasonal Naive,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.283,0.183,0.364
-TFT,Chronos-2,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.176,-0.309,-0.065
-TFT,Toto-2.0-313m,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.059,-0.192,0.058
-TFT,Toto-2.0-1B,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.064,-0.2,0.052
-TFT,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.053,-0.184,0.06
-TFT,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.123,-0.247,-0.017
-TFT,Toto-2.0-22m,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.032,-0.151,0.076
-TFT,TabPFN-TS,0.385,0.192,0.538,-0.054,-0.153,0.036
-TFT,TiRex,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.01,-0.127,0.096
-TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.001,-0.113,0.105
-TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.346,0.154,0.538,0.008,-0.113,0.12
-TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.308,0.115,0.5,-0.0,-0.104,0.092
-TFT,FlowState,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.004,-0.121,0.098
-TFT,Sundial-Base,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.023,-0.169,0.087
-TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TFT,Toto-1.0,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.031,-0.088,0.139
-TFT,Seasonal Naive,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.266,0.174,0.342
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.115,0.0,0.231,-0.214,-0.323,-0.123
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.094,-0.136,-0.059
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.099,-0.15,-0.058
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.088,-0.135,-0.051
+Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.156,-0.268,-0.062
 Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.159,-0.284,-0.048
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.065,-0.104,-0.033
 Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.088,-0.215,0.022
@@ -236,13 +237,13 @@ Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.423,0.25,0.596,-0.024,-0.06,0.008
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.385,0.212,0.558,-0.033,-0.087,0.021
 Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.5,0.308,0.673,-0.037,-0.092,0.006
 Toto-1.0,Sundial-Base,0.481,0.288,0.673,-0.057,-0.163,0.038
-Toto-1.0,TFT,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.033,-0.162,0.081
 Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,0.846,0.654,0.962,0.242,0.151,0.321
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.601,-0.814,-0.393
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.443,-0.63,-0.284
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.45,-0.645,-0.288
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.435,-0.623,-0.28
+Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.525,-0.739,-0.328
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.529,-0.73,-0.353
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.406,-0.574,-0.264
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.436,-0.616,-0.27
@@ -252,6 +253,5 @@ Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.192,0.076,0.346,-0.351,-0.517,-0.196
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.363,-0.513,-0.225
 Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.231,0.077,0.423,-0.368,-0.532,-0.217
 Seasonal Naive,Sundial-Base,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.394,-0.572,-0.225
-Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.362,-0.521,-0.21
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.154,0.038,0.346,-0.319,-0.473,-0.178
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_energy/pairwise_WQL.csv

@@ -1,257 +1,257 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.085,0.012,0.16
-Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.093,0.022,0.164
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.096,0.024,0.164
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.093,0.022,0.164
+Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.045,-0.001,0.094
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.051,-0.003,0.106
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.122,0.052,0.188
 Chronos-2,TiRex,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.143,0.076,0.204
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.105,0.046,0.172
 Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.159,0.086,0.224
 Chronos-2,FlowState,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.166,0.098,0.224
-Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.175,0.108,0.243
 Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.165,0.099,0.23
-Chronos-2,TFT,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.171,0.091,0.255
+Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.175,0.108,0.243
 Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.885,0.769,1.0,0.186,0.119,0.252
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.183,0.114,0.247
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.46,0.384,0.522
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.093,-0.19,-0.012
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.009,-0.011,0.036
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.012,-0.002,0.029
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.009,-0.011,0.036
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.044,-0.148,0.041
 Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.038,-0.155,0.074
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.885,0.731,1.0,0.04,0.019,0.065
 Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.063,0.022,0.115
 Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.022,-0.085,0.112
 Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.081,0.037,0.131
 Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.088,0.047,0.131
-Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.098,0.054,0.147
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.087,0.036,0.138
-Toto-2.0-1B,TFT,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.094,-0.013,0.193
+Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.098,0.054,0.147
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.11,0.074,0.153
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.107,0.065,0.155
 Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.41,0.333,0.481
-Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.103,-0.196,-0.022
-Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.009,-0.037,0.011
-Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.385,0.231,0.577,0.003,-0.012,0.018
-Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.047,-0.16,0.066
-Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.031,0.014,0.049
-Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.054,0.021,0.09
-Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.013,-0.097,0.104
-Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.073,0.032,0.121
-Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.08,0.042,0.122
-Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.808,0.654,0.924,0.09,0.047,0.134
-Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.079,0.033,0.131
-Toto-2.0-313m,TFT,0.731,0.576,0.885,0.086,-0.026,0.185
-Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.885,0.769,1.0,0.102,0.071,0.134
-Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.099,0.061,0.139
-Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.404,0.333,0.471
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.106,-0.196,-0.025
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.012,-0.03,0.002
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.615,0.423,0.769,-0.003,-0.018,0.012
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.615,0.423,0.769,-0.003,-0.018,0.012
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.056,-0.158,0.027
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.05,-0.161,0.059
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.028,0.011,0.045
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.051,0.016,0.092
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.692,0.538,0.846,0.01,-0.093,0.098
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.07,0.031,0.118
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.077,0.036,0.12
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.087,0.046,0.133
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.076,0.031,0.122
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,TFT,0.692,0.5,0.885,0.083,-0.025,0.185
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.087,0.046,0.133
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.099,0.067,0.137
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.096,0.057,0.137
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.403,0.329,0.473
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.103,-0.196,-0.022
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.009,-0.037,0.011
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.385,0.231,0.577,0.003,-0.012,0.018
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.538,0.346,0.731,-0.053,-0.156,0.03
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.047,-0.16,0.066
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.031,0.014,0.049
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.054,0.021,0.09
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.013,-0.097,0.104
+Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.073,0.032,0.121
+Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.08,0.042,0.122
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.079,0.033,0.131
+Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.808,0.654,0.924,0.09,0.047,0.134
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.885,0.769,1.0,0.102,0.071,0.134
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.099,0.061,0.139
+Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.404,0.333,0.471
+TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.047,-0.104,0.001
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.042,-0.043,0.129
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.462,0.269,0.654,0.053,-0.028,0.137
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.462,0.269,0.654,0.05,-0.031,0.135
+TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.006,-0.078,0.082
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.08,0.002,0.161
+TiRex-2,TiRex,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.102,0.031,0.173
+TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.063,-0.006,0.135
+TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.12,0.044,0.196
+TiRex-2,FlowState,0.808,0.654,0.923,0.126,0.052,0.194
+TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.125,0.045,0.209
+TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.136,0.067,0.203
+TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.147,0.069,0.224
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.144,0.068,0.221
+TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.434,0.355,0.506
 TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.053,-0.119,0.003
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.036,-0.08,0.134
-TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.045,-0.071,0.138
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.048,-0.063,0.139
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.045,-0.071,0.138
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.006,-0.089,0.073
 TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.075,-0.031,0.163
 TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.097,-0.002,0.184
 TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.057,-0.009,0.113
 TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.114,0.023,0.198
 TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.121,0.019,0.206
-TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.131,0.027,0.222
 TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.731,0.577,0.885,0.12,0.034,0.196
-TabPFN-TS-3,TFT,0.731,0.576,0.885,0.127,0.028,0.222
+TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.131,0.027,0.222
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.654,0.462,0.808,0.142,0.045,0.231
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.692,0.5,0.846,0.139,0.049,0.221
 TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.431,0.357,0.498
 Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.139,-0.231,-0.055
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.115,0.0,0.269,-0.042,-0.07,-0.019
-Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.032,-0.052,-0.014
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.029,-0.047,-0.011
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.032,-0.052,-0.014
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.087,-0.192,-0.002
 Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.081,-0.195,0.03
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.024,-0.012,0.064
 Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.019,-0.126,0.073
 Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.043,0.0,0.09
 Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.05,0.007,0.089
-Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.061,0.018,0.104
 Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.769,0.615,0.923,0.049,0.002,0.098
-Toto-2.0-22m,TFT,0.692,0.5,0.885,0.056,-0.058,0.156
+Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.731,0.538,0.885,0.061,0.018,0.104
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.073,0.047,0.104
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.808,0.654,0.962,0.069,0.038,0.103
 Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.385,0.315,0.453
 TiRex,Chronos-2,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.166,-0.256,-0.083
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.067,-0.129,-0.023
-TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.057,-0.099,-0.021
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.054,-0.102,-0.016
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.057,-0.099,-0.021
+TiRex,TiRex-2,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.113,-0.209,-0.032
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.107,-0.225,0.002
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.024,-0.068,0.012
 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.308,0.692,-0.043,-0.153,0.057
 TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.673,0.5,0.846,0.02,-0.015,0.053
 TiRex,FlowState,0.596,0.404,0.769,0.027,-0.013,0.066
-TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.75,0.577,0.904,0.038,0.007,0.071
 TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.712,0.538,0.865,0.026,-0.018,0.077
-TiRex,TFT,0.654,0.462,0.846,0.033,-0.083,0.135
+TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.75,0.577,0.904,0.038,0.007,0.071
 TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.788,0.635,0.942,0.05,0.022,0.081
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.769,0.614,0.923,0.047,0.012,0.079
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.37,0.299,0.439
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.118,-0.207,-0.048
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.022,-0.126,0.078
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.013,-0.116,0.088
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.308,0.154,0.462,-0.01,-0.109,0.085
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.013,-0.116,0.088
+TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.067,-0.156,0.006
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.061,-0.128,0.009
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.018,-0.078,0.112
 TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.5,0.308,0.692,0.042,-0.06,0.132
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.061,-0.032,0.147
 TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.068,-0.037,0.15
-TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.078,-0.027,0.177
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.066,-0.013,0.144
-TabPFN-TS,TFT,0.615,0.462,0.808,0.073,-0.017,0.157
+TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.078,-0.027,0.177
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.09,-0.012,0.186
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.087,-0.017,0.179
 TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.396,0.322,0.469
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.19,-0.289,-0.094
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.088,-0.15,-0.039
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.079,-0.137,-0.033
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.075,-0.134,-0.032
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.079,-0.137,-0.033
+TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.136,-0.244,-0.046
 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.129,-0.247,-0.023
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.045,-0.098,-0.0
 TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.327,0.154,0.5,-0.02,-0.056,0.015
 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.064,-0.172,0.031
 TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.538,0.365,0.712,0.008,-0.042,0.052
-TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.615,0.442,0.788,0.018,-0.038,0.072
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.577,0.404,0.75,0.006,-0.031,0.046
-TimesFM-2.5,TFT,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.014,-0.101,0.121
+TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.615,0.442,0.788,0.018,-0.038,0.072
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.654,0.481,0.808,0.031,-0.017,0.08
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.615,0.423,0.808,0.028,-0.014,0.068
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.357,0.288,0.423
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.199,-0.288,-0.109
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.097,-0.151,-0.049
-FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.087,-0.139,-0.043
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.084,-0.136,-0.038
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.087,-0.139,-0.043
+FlowState,TiRex-2,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.145,-0.241,-0.055
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.138,-0.259,-0.02
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.053,-0.098,-0.007
 FlowState,TiRex,0.404,0.231,0.596,-0.028,-0.071,0.013
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.073,-0.177,0.036
 FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.462,0.288,0.635,-0.008,-0.055,0.04
 FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.538,0.365,0.712,0.011,-0.039,0.061
 FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.326,0.674,-0.002,-0.052,0.067
-FlowState,TFT,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.006,-0.108,0.111
+FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.538,0.365,0.712,0.011,-0.039,0.061
 FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.462,0.288,0.635,0.023,-0.024,0.072
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.02,-0.033,0.065
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.352,0.275,0.427
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.212,-0.32,-0.122
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.109,-0.173,-0.057
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.192,0.076,0.346,-0.099,-0.154,-0.05
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.096,-0.154,-0.048
-Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.151,-0.285,-0.028
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.064,-0.116,-0.018
-Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.25,0.096,0.423,-0.039,-0.077,-0.007
-Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.084,-0.216,0.026
-Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.385,0.212,0.558,-0.019,-0.077,0.037
-Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.462,0.288,0.635,-0.011,-0.066,0.037
-Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.538,0.365,0.692,-0.012,-0.082,0.058
-Moirai-2.0,TFT,0.615,0.423,0.808,-0.005,-0.135,0.104
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.538,0.365,0.712,0.013,-0.016,0.045
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.009,-0.03,0.051
-Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.345,0.266,0.421
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.197,-0.299,-0.11
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.095,-0.16,-0.038
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.085,-0.15,-0.035
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.082,-0.139,-0.032
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.085,-0.15,-0.035
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.143,-0.264,-0.047
 Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.269,0.115,0.423,-0.136,-0.244,-0.035
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.051,-0.108,-0.002
 Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.288,0.135,0.462,-0.027,-0.084,0.018
 Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.071,-0.168,0.013
 Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.423,0.25,0.596,-0.006,-0.048,0.03
 Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.5,0.326,0.674,0.002,-0.072,0.05
-Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.462,0.308,0.635,0.012,-0.062,0.076
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.577,0.385,0.769,0.007,-0.099,0.108
+Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.462,0.308,0.635,0.012,-0.062,0.076
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.615,0.442,0.769,0.025,-0.03,0.078
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.615,0.423,0.77,0.022,-0.038,0.07
 Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.353,0.287,0.417
-TFT,Chronos-2,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.206,-0.343,-0.101
-TFT,Toto-2.0-1B,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.103,-0.239,0.013
-TFT,Toto-2.0-313m,0.269,0.115,0.424,-0.094,-0.228,0.025
-TFT,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.308,0.115,0.5,-0.09,-0.226,0.024
-TFT,TabPFN-TS-3,0.269,0.115,0.424,-0.145,-0.286,-0.029
-TFT,Toto-2.0-22m,0.308,0.115,0.5,-0.059,-0.185,0.055
-TFT,TiRex,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.034,-0.156,0.076
-TFT,TabPFN-TS,0.385,0.192,0.538,-0.079,-0.186,0.017
-TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.014,-0.138,0.092
-TFT,FlowState,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.006,-0.125,0.097
-TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.385,0.192,0.577,0.005,-0.116,0.119
-TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.008,-0.122,0.09
-TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TFT,Toto-1.0,0.423,0.231,0.615,0.018,-0.106,0.133
-TFT,Toto-2.0-4m,0.385,0.192,0.577,0.014,-0.104,0.123
-TFT,Seasonal Naive,0.846,0.692,0.962,0.349,0.256,0.43
+Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.212,-0.32,-0.122
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.109,-0.173,-0.057
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.192,0.077,0.346,-0.096,-0.154,-0.048
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.192,0.076,0.346,-0.099,-0.154,-0.05
+Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.157,-0.255,-0.072
+Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.154,0.538,-0.151,-0.285,-0.028
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.269,0.115,0.462,-0.064,-0.116,-0.018
+Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.25,0.096,0.423,-0.039,-0.077,-0.007
+Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.084,-0.216,0.026
+Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.385,0.212,0.558,-0.019,-0.077,0.037
+Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.462,0.288,0.635,-0.011,-0.066,0.037
+Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.538,0.365,0.692,-0.012,-0.082,0.058
+Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.538,0.365,0.712,0.013,-0.016,0.045
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.538,0.346,0.731,0.009,-0.03,0.051
+Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.923,0.808,1.0,0.345,0.266,0.421
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.115,0.0,0.231,-0.228,-0.337,-0.135
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.123,-0.18,-0.08
-Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.115,0.0,0.231,-0.113,-0.155,-0.077
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.11,-0.158,-0.072
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.115,0.0,0.231,-0.113,-0.155,-0.077
+Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.231,0.077,0.385,-0.172,-0.289,-0.074
 Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.346,0.192,0.538,-0.166,-0.3,-0.047
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.078,-0.117,-0.049
 Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.212,0.058,0.365,-0.053,-0.088,-0.023
 Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.423,0.231,0.615,-0.099,-0.228,0.012
 Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.346,0.192,0.519,-0.032,-0.087,0.017
 Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.538,0.365,0.712,-0.024,-0.078,0.023
-Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.462,0.288,0.635,-0.013,-0.047,0.016
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.385,0.231,0.558,-0.026,-0.085,0.029
-Toto-1.0,TFT,0.577,0.385,0.769,-0.018,-0.153,0.095
+Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.462,0.288,0.635,-0.013,-0.047,0.016
 Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.577,0.385,0.731,-0.004,-0.04,0.026
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,0.962,0.885,1.0,0.337,0.259,0.412
 Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.224,-0.327,-0.128
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.119,-0.184,-0.069
-Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.109,-0.161,-0.065
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.106,-0.159,-0.06
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.109,-0.161,-0.065
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.168,-0.283,-0.072
 Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.308,0.154,0.5,-0.161,-0.283,-0.052
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.192,0.038,0.346,-0.075,-0.115,-0.039
 Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.231,0.077,0.386,-0.049,-0.086,-0.012
 Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.095,-0.218,0.017
 Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.385,0.192,0.577,-0.028,-0.073,0.014
 Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.02,-0.07,0.032
-Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.01,-0.053,0.029
 Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.385,0.23,0.577,-0.022,-0.075,0.036
-Toto-2.0-4m,TFT,0.615,0.423,0.808,-0.014,-0.14,0.095
+Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.462,0.269,0.654,-0.01,-0.053,0.029
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.423,0.269,0.615,0.004,-0.027,0.038
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.339,0.27,0.408
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.852,-1.093,-0.622
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.694,-0.927,-0.5
-Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.679,-0.891,-0.5
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.674,-0.899,-0.491
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.679,-0.891,-0.5
+Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.768,-1.023,-0.55
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.758,-0.992,-0.556
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.626,-0.83,-0.46
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.588,-0.782,-0.427
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.657,-0.882,-0.476
 Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.556,-0.734,-0.404
 Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.544,-0.745,-0.38
-Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.528,-0.727,-0.362
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.547,-0.716,-0.403
-Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.154,0.038,0.308,-0.535,-0.756,-0.344
+Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.077,0.0,0.192,-0.528,-0.727,-0.362
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.038,0.0,0.115,-0.508,-0.7,-0.35
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.513,-0.688,-0.369
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_health/leaderboard_MASE.csv

@@ -1,28 +1,29 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-TimesFM-2.5,71.53846153846153,32.87474894024488,0.0,1.1256479395833334,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-2,70.3846153846154,31.78597649489514,0.0,0.3492251116666667,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS-3,70.0,28.963255047296542,0.0,199.6776895770319,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,68.07692307692308,34.55373879766452,0.0,53.951610824166664,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,67.3076923076923,32.47588770643868,0.0,0.330588668125,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,64.23076923076924,27.93729353213241,0.0,1.679734656979167,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,63.65384615384616,33.79488506711863,0.0,0.3505868739583333,0.1,0.0
-LightGBM,63.46153846153846,33.38915880315173,1.2161332720833333,0.19742606979166666,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,62.69230769230768,33.16623383500657,13.210264008932292,0.19426541770833333,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-313m,61.92307692307693,27.130941962281884,0.0,1.1242909435416668,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,61.53846153846154,27.02155839964281,0.0,5.925324101666666,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-22m,57.6923076923077,27.354995059689568,0.0,0.4238227016666667,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-1B,57.692307692307686,26.055688762834595,0.0,2.728815209166667,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,56.92307692307692,31.700573837170467,0.0,9.804296426666667,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,55.96153846153846,30.041136052707273,0.0,0.41178704374999997,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-4m,55.769230769230774,28.997499277709025,0.0,0.36290417583333334,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,49.23076923076924,28.071655328734924,0.0,2.5273205354166666,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,49.230769230769226,29.22979017092695,0.0,191.30953815208332,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,45.769230769230774,22.70787609837541,0.0,8.29280267,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,33.46153846153846,5.881738752268506,0.0,7.6933014760416665,0.0,0.0
-TFT,30.000000000000004,8.056299346355855,577.3621929408333,0.91290832015625,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,27.692307692307693,15.20916710141943,0.0,2.3246237520833333,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,24.230769230769234,8.848833829469338,1252.3585836206248,0.9790481578125001,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,23.461538461538453,12.927869318522445,812.3820815818749,0.4485787422916667,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,20.961538461538463,0.0,0.0,1.2681127877083334,0.0,0.0
-Naive,18.65384615384615,0.30982947391161586,0.0,1.2969351423177082,0.0,0.0
-Drift,18.461538461538467,7.491051482058886,0.0,1.3917920932291667,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,80.37037037037038,34.9166343514373,0.0,0.3575023838736039,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,70.37037037037038,32.87474894024488,0.0,1.1256479395833334,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,68.88888888888891,31.78597649489514,0.0,0.3492251116666667,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,68.51851851851852,28.963255047296542,0.0,199.6776895770319,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,66.66666666666666,34.55373879766452,0.0,53.951610824166664,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,65.18518518518519,32.47588770643868,0.0,0.330588668125,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,63.33333333333334,27.93729353213241,0.0,1.679734656979167,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,62.96296296296296,33.38915880315173,1.2161332720833333,0.19742606979166666,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,62.22222222222222,33.16623383500657,13.210264008932292,0.19426541770833333,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,62.03703703703704,33.79488506711863,0.0,0.3505868739583333,0.1,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,60.74074074074075,27.130941962281884,0.0,1.1242909435416668,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,60.74074074074075,27.02155839964281,0.0,5.925324101666666,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,56.666666666666664,26.055688762834595,0.0,2.728815209166667,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,56.2962962962963,27.354995059689568,0.0,0.4238227016666667,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,55.18518518518518,31.700573837170467,0.0,9.804296426666667,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,54.629629629629626,30.041136052707273,0.0,0.41178704374999997,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,54.07407407407408,28.997499277709025,0.0,0.36290417583333334,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,48.14814814814816,28.071655328734924,0.0,2.5273205354166666,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,48.148148148148145,29.22979017092695,0.0,191.30953815208332,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,44.81481481481482,22.70787609837541,0.0,8.29280267,0.0,0.0
+AutoARIMA,32.59259259259259,5.881738752268506,0.0,7.6933014760416665,0.0,0.0
+TFT,28.888888888888886,8.056299346355855,577.3621929408333,0.91290832015625,0.0,0.0
+AutoTheta,26.666666666666668,15.20916710141943,0.0,2.3246237520833333,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,23.333333333333336,8.848833829469338,1252.3585836206248,0.9790481578125001,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,22.592592592592585,12.927869318522445,812.3820815818749,0.4485787422916667,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,20.185185185185187,0.0,0.0,1.2681127877083334,0.0,0.0
+Naive,17.962962962962962,0.30982947391161586,0.0,1.2969351423177082,0.0,0.0
+Drift,17.77777777777778,7.491051482058886,0.0,1.3917920932291667,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_health/leaderboard_SQL.csv

@@ -1,28 +1,29 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Chronos-2,80.38461538461537,38.08875531260849,0.0,0.3492251116666667,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,75.0,38.03594071146331,0.0,1.1256479395833334,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-313m,69.61538461538463,33.76977925435224,0.0,1.1242909435416668,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,69.03846153846153,38.69101646514035,0.0,0.3505868739583333,0.1,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,68.46153846153847,37.79500412291329,0.0,53.951610824166664,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,67.6923076923077,36.908809542631595,0.0,0.330588668125,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,67.3076923076923,33.54660585794915,0.0,5.925324101666666,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS-3,66.53846153846156,33.86938070997042,0.0,199.6776895770319,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,65.00000000000001,37.78506660666954,0.0,9.804296426666667,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-1B,64.23076923076923,32.77732666419397,0.0,2.728815209166667,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-22m,63.846153846153854,33.710262442699914,0.0,0.4238227016666667,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,63.26923076923075,36.49963478571547,0.0,0.41178704374999997,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,58.46153846153845,32.77403706037661,0.0,1.679734656979167,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-4m,57.30769230769231,34.41096517434523,0.0,0.36290417583333334,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,53.07692307692308,31.12404358258436,0.0,2.5273205354166666,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,47.30769230769231,31.666899122864876,0.0,191.30953815208332,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,43.07692307692307,24.996902028028057,1.2161332720833333,0.19742606979166666,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,39.23076923076923,24.745890887412404,13.210264008932292,0.19426541770833333,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,36.92307692307691,23.555776042271713,0.0,8.29280267,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,34.230769230769226,8.15543220497067,0.0,7.6933014760416665,0.0,0.0
-TFT,33.84615384615384,13.487049535026774,577.3621929408333,0.91290832015625,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,26.923076923076923,17.70708962424181,812.3820815818749,0.4485787422916667,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,26.15384615384615,17.733419411019135,0.0,2.3246237520833333,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,23.846153846153847,13.730380882991922,1252.3585836206248,0.9790481578125001,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,20.192307692307693,0.0,0.0,1.2681127877083334,0.0,0.0
-Naive,15.192307692307693,-7.297793646802875,0.0,1.2969351423177082,0.0,0.0
-Drift,13.846153846153847,0.404190086867684,0.0,1.3917920932291667,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,84.44444444444444,39.425727939082535,0.0,0.3575023838736039,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,78.51851851851852,38.08875531260849,0.0,0.3492251116666667,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,73.33333333333336,38.03594071146331,0.0,1.1256479395833334,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,68.51851851851852,33.76977925435224,0.0,1.1242909435416668,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,67.5925925925926,38.69101646514035,0.0,0.3505868739583333,0.1,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,66.66666666666666,37.79500412291329,0.0,53.951610824166664,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,65.92592592592594,33.54660585794915,0.0,5.925324101666666,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,65.55555555555556,36.908809542631595,0.0,0.330588668125,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,64.81481481481482,33.86938070997042,0.0,199.6776895770319,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,63.703703703703695,37.78506660666954,0.0,9.804296426666667,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,62.5925925925926,32.77732666419397,0.0,2.728815209166667,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,62.22222222222222,33.710262442699914,0.0,0.4238227016666667,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,61.66666666666666,36.49963478571547,0.0,0.41178704374999997,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,57.03703703703704,32.77403706037661,0.0,1.679734656979167,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,55.18518518518518,34.41096517434523,0.0,0.36290417583333334,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,52.22222222222223,31.12404358258436,0.0,2.5273205354166666,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,46.666666666666664,31.666899122864876,0.0,191.30953815208332,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,41.851851851851855,24.996902028028057,1.2161332720833333,0.19742606979166666,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,37.77777777777778,24.745890887412404,13.210264008932292,0.19426541770833333,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,36.29629629629629,23.555776042271713,0.0,8.29280267,0.0,0.0
+AutoARIMA,33.33333333333333,8.15543220497067,0.0,7.6933014760416665,0.0,0.0
+TFT,32.59259259259259,13.487049535026774,577.3621929408333,0.91290832015625,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,25.925925925925924,17.70708962424181,812.3820815818749,0.4485787422916667,0.0,0.0
+AutoTheta,25.185185185185183,17.733419411019135,0.0,2.3246237520833333,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,22.962962962962962,13.730380882991922,1252.3585836206248,0.9790481578125001,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,19.444444444444446,0.0,0.0,1.2681127877083334,0.0,0.0
+Naive,14.629629629629632,-7.297793646802875,0.0,1.2969351423177082,0.0,0.0
+Drift,13.333333333333334,0.404190086867684,0.0,1.3917920932291667,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_health/leaderboard_WAPE.csv

@@ -1,28 +1,29 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-TimesFM-2.5,70.0,30.236433011588616,0.0,1.1256479395833334,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS-3,68.07692307692308,27.06736057976333,0.0,199.6776895770319,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-2,66.92307692307693,29.12048347898083,0.0,0.3492251116666667,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,64.99999999999999,23.803402469752132,0.0,5.925324101666666,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,64.61538461538461,29.759653720585042,0.0,0.330588668125,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,62.69230769230769,25.714346434991153,0.0,1.679734656979167,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,61.73076923076923,31.595921669939887,0.0,0.3505868739583333,0.1,0.0
-Toto-1.0,60.76923076923077,28.753205083598854,0.0,9.804296426666667,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-313m,60.00000000000001,23.159110215973843,0.0,1.1242909435416668,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-22m,59.23076923076923,23.737937635347716,0.0,0.4238227016666667,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-1B,59.23076923076923,22.479955103457115,0.0,2.728815209166667,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,58.46153846153845,29.1761523445201,0.0,53.951610824166664,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,57.692307692307686,29.45241897965094,0.0,2.5273205354166666,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,56.92307692307692,29.6956210738891,0.0,191.30953815208332,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-4m,56.53846153846154,24.961571876693643,0.0,0.36290417583333334,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,55.38461538461538,28.23998648969035,1.2161332720833333,0.19742606979166666,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,53.65384615384616,25.883263022341175,0.0,0.41178704374999997,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,47.692307692307686,24.80079887494443,13.210264008932292,0.19426541770833333,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,42.692307692307686,16.462366143379946,0.0,8.29280267,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,37.3076923076923,15.90999185953288,0.0,7.6933014760416665,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,31.538461538461537,14.265515876146328,0.0,2.3246237520833333,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,28.84615384615385,4.835755105983619,1252.3585836206248,0.9790481578125001,0.0,0.0
-Drift,26.923076923076923,6.995102476216641,0.0,1.3917920932291667,0.0,0.0
-TFT,25.38461538461539,-0.6246028567987283,577.3621929408333,0.91290832015625,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,25.192307692307697,0.0,0.0,1.2681127877083334,0.0,0.0
-Naive,25.192307692307693,0.09410405602899852,0.0,1.2969351423177082,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,22.307692307692303,2.754946880183251,812.3820815818749,0.4485787422916667,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,69.62962962962965,30.236433011588616,0.0,1.1256479395833334,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,68.14814814814817,26.601930748682324,0.0,0.3575023838736039,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,67.77777777777779,27.06736057976333,0.0,199.6776895770319,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,66.2962962962963,29.12048347898083,0.0,0.3492251116666667,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,64.07407407407408,23.803402469752132,0.0,5.925324101666666,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,63.70370370370372,29.759653720585042,0.0,0.330588668125,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,62.22222222222222,25.714346434991153,0.0,1.679734656979167,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,60.92592592592593,31.595921669939887,0.0,0.3505868739583333,0.1,0.0
+Toto-1.0,60.370370370370374,28.753205083598854,0.0,9.804296426666667,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,59.25925925925927,23.159110215973843,0.0,1.1242909435416668,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,58.51851851851851,23.737937635347716,0.0,0.4238227016666667,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,58.14814814814815,22.479955103457115,0.0,2.728815209166667,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,57.407407407407405,29.1761523445201,0.0,53.951610824166664,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,56.666666666666664,29.45241897965094,0.0,2.5273205354166666,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,55.92592592592594,24.961571876693643,0.0,0.36290417583333334,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,55.925925925925924,29.6956210738891,0.0,191.30953815208332,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,54.81481481481482,28.23998648969035,1.2161332720833333,0.19742606979166666,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,52.77777777777778,25.883263022341175,0.0,0.41178704374999997,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,47.77777777777777,24.80079887494443,13.210264008932292,0.19426541770833333,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,41.85185185185184,16.462366143379946,0.0,8.29280267,0.0,0.0
+AutoARIMA,36.66666666666667,15.90999185953288,0.0,7.6933014760416665,0.0,0.0
+AutoTheta,30.740740740740733,14.265515876146328,0.0,2.3246237520833333,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,28.148148148148156,4.835755105983619,1252.3585836206248,0.9790481578125001,0.0,0.0
+Drift,26.296296296296294,6.995102476216641,0.0,1.3917920932291667,0.0,0.0
+TFT,24.814814814814813,-0.6246028567987283,577.3621929408333,0.91290832015625,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,24.629629629629633,0.0,0.0,1.2681127877083334,0.0,0.0
+Naive,24.629629629629626,0.09410405602899852,0.0,1.2969351423177082,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,21.851851851851848,2.754946880183251,812.3820815818749,0.4485787422916667,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_health/leaderboard_WQL.csv

@@ -1,28 +1,29 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Chronos-2,74.6153846153846,40.421377709866235,0.0,0.3492251116666667,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,72.3076923076923,40.552489916172874,0.0,1.1256479395833334,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,69.8076923076923,41.64215770095807,0.0,0.3505868739583333,0.1,0.0
-TabPFN-TS-3,69.61538461538463,37.518925534209544,0.0,199.6776895770319,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,66.53846153846155,34.86494484839163,0.0,5.925324101666666,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-313m,65.76923076923076,34.84636139478182,0.0,1.1242909435416668,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,65.00000000000001,38.88592212674449,0.0,0.330588668125,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-22m,64.61538461538461,35.47613872211428,0.0,0.4238227016666667,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,64.61538461538461,40.320844847410996,0.0,9.804296426666667,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-1B,63.07692307692309,34.52744790415115,0.0,2.728815209166667,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,60.76923076923077,38.14282869293443,0.0,53.951610824166664,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,60.57692307692307,38.083893021927985,0.0,0.41178704374999997,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,60.0,36.31335951896396,0.0,1.679734656979167,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-4m,57.30769230769231,35.62915272518256,0.0,0.36290417583333334,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,55.38461538461539,33.50707751988894,0.0,191.30953815208332,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,54.61538461538462,32.19312847125849,0.0,2.5273205354166666,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,38.07692307692309,25.255259089696292,1.2161332720833333,0.19742606979166666,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,37.692307692307686,19.925031039747566,0.0,7.6933014760416665,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,36.92307692307691,24.248203702135108,0.0,8.29280267,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,33.07692307692307,21.67302472205549,13.210264008932292,0.19426541770833333,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,32.30769230769231,15.68929320376099,1252.3585836206248,0.9790481578125001,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,30.76923076923077,18.143895495008643,0.0,2.3246237520833333,0.0,0.0
-TFT,28.076923076923077,6.246826522995086,577.3621929408333,0.91290832015625,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,27.307692307692307,15.548311275264371,812.3820815818749,0.4485787422916667,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,22.88461538461539,0.0,0.0,1.2681127877083334,0.0,0.0
-Drift,20.0,0.8421348846480603,0.0,1.3917920932291667,0.0,0.0
-Naive,18.269230769230766,-6.552998310854519,0.0,1.2969351423177082,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,73.7037037037037,40.421377709866235,0.0,0.3492251116666667,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,71.48148148148148,40.552489916172874,0.0,1.1256479395833334,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,71.48148148148148,37.313049400685664,0.0,0.3575023838736039,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,69.07407407407405,41.64215770095807,0.0,0.3505868739583333,0.1,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,68.51851851851852,37.518925534209544,0.0,199.6776895770319,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,65.18518518518519,34.86494484839163,0.0,5.925324101666666,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,64.81481481481481,34.84636139478182,0.0,1.1242909435416668,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,64.07407407407408,38.88592212674449,0.0,0.330588668125,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,64.07407407407408,40.320844847410996,0.0,9.804296426666667,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,62.96296296296296,35.47613872211428,0.0,0.4238227016666667,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,61.851851851851855,34.52744790415115,0.0,2.728815209166667,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,60.0,38.14282869293443,0.0,53.951610824166664,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,59.814814814814824,38.083893021927985,0.0,0.41178704374999997,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,59.25925925925925,36.31335951896396,0.0,1.679734656979167,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,56.2962962962963,35.62915272518256,0.0,0.36290417583333334,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,54.81481481481482,33.50707751988894,0.0,191.30953815208332,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,54.074074074074076,32.19312847125849,0.0,2.5273205354166666,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,37.777777777777786,25.255259089696292,1.2161332720833333,0.19742606979166666,0.0,0.0
+AutoARIMA,36.666666666666664,19.925031039747566,0.0,7.6933014760416665,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,36.29629629629629,24.248203702135108,0.0,8.29280267,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,32.592592592592595,21.67302472205549,13.210264008932292,0.19426541770833333,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,31.481481481481477,15.68929320376099,1252.3585836206248,0.9790481578125001,0.0,0.0
+AutoTheta,30.0,18.143895495008643,0.0,2.3246237520833333,0.0,0.0
+TFT,27.037037037037038,6.246826522995086,577.3621929408333,0.91290832015625,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,26.66666666666666,15.548311275264371,812.3820815818749,0.4485787422916667,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,22.40740740740741,0.0,0.0,1.2681127877083334,0.0,0.0
+Drift,19.62962962962963,0.8421348846480603,0.0,1.3917920932291667,0.0,0.0
+Naive,17.96296296296296,-6.552998310854519,0.0,1.2969351423177082,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_health/pairwise_MASE.csv

@@ -1,11 +1,29 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
+TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.03,-0.041,0.111
+TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.046,0.007,0.092
+TiRex-2,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.023,-0.068,0.13
+TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.084,0.014,0.165
+TiRex-2,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.026,-0.061,0.126
+TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.006,-0.051,0.055
+TiRex-2,TiRex,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.036,0.002,0.069
+TiRex-2,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.097,-0.012,0.196
+TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.017,-0.034,0.061
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.108,0.039,0.166
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.107,0.031,0.187
+TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.047,0.018,0.081
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.104,0.042,0.158
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.12,0.044,0.19
+TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.07,0.005,0.131
+TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.349,0.2,0.495
+TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.031,-0.125,0.04
 TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.016,-0.093,0.11
-TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.055,-0.033,0.157
 TimesFM-2.5,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.008,-0.151,0.132
+TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.055,-0.033,0.157
 TimesFM-2.5,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.004,-0.149,0.123
-TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.006,-0.088,0.075
 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.7,0.4,1.0,-0.026,-0.178,0.069
+TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.006,-0.088,0.075
 TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.069,-0.018,0.168
 TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.014,-0.094,0.036
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.08,-0.008,0.176
@@ -15,13 +33,14 @@ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.076,-0.002,0.159
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.092,0.014,0.176
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.041,-0.026,0.112
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.329,0.204,0.472
+Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.048,-0.102,-0.007
 Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.016,-0.124,0.085
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.04,-0.012,0.095
 Chronos-2,LightGBM,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.024,-0.166,0.118
+Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.04,-0.012,0.095
 Chronos-2,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.021,-0.154,0.112
-Chronos-2,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.01,-0.052,0.023
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.042,-0.101,0.001
+Chronos-2,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.01,-0.052,0.023
 Chronos-2,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.053,-0.056,0.143
 Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.4,0.9,-0.03,-0.114,0.028
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.065,0.003,0.126
@@ -31,29 +50,14 @@ Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.061,-0.014,0.133
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.077,0.004,0.159
 Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.025,-0.04,0.08
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.318,0.17,0.455
-TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.058,-0.186,0.032
-TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.041,-0.105,0.012
-TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS-3,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.066,-0.255,0.11
-TabPFN-TS-3,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.063,-0.234,0.102
-TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.052,-0.134,0.003
-TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.085,-0.189,-0.005
-TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.014,-0.051,0.075
-TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.073,-0.185,0.003
-TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.027,-0.07,0.11
-TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.025,-0.09,0.121
-TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.7,0.4,0.902,-0.04,-0.152,0.039
-TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.022,-0.093,0.114
-TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.039,-0.058,0.122
-TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.015,-0.067,0.028
-TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.29,0.176,0.398
+LightGBM,TiRex-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.023,-0.149,0.064
 LightGBM,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.008,-0.152,0.131
 LightGBM,Chronos-2,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.024,-0.134,0.142
-LightGBM,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.062,-0.124,0.203
 LightGBM,LightGBM,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.062,-0.124,0.203
 LightGBM,CatBoost,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.003,-0.02,0.028
-LightGBM,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.014,-0.136,0.114
 LightGBM,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.018,-0.155,0.089
+LightGBM,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.014,-0.136,0.114
 LightGBM,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.076,-0.119,0.233
 LightGBM,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.006,-0.147,0.089
 LightGBM,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.087,-0.086,0.211
@@ -63,13 +67,31 @@ LightGBM,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.083,-0.079,0.19
 LightGBM,Toto-2.0-1B,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.099,-0.085,0.221
 LightGBM,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.048,-0.118,0.168
 LightGBM,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.334,0.122,0.504
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.091,-0.198,-0.014
+TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.058,-0.186,0.032
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.041,-0.105,0.012
+TabPFN-TS-3,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.066,-0.255,0.11
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.063,-0.234,0.102
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.085,-0.189,-0.005
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.052,-0.134,0.003
+TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.014,-0.051,0.075
+TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.073,-0.185,0.003
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.027,-0.07,0.11
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.025,-0.09,0.121
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.7,0.4,0.902,-0.04,-0.152,0.039
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.022,-0.093,0.114
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.039,-0.058,0.122
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.015,-0.067,0.028
+TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.29,0.176,0.398
+CatBoost,TiRex-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.027,-0.144,0.058
 CatBoost,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.004,-0.14,0.129
 CatBoost,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.02,-0.127,0.134
-CatBoost,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.059,-0.114,0.189
 CatBoost,LightGBM,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.003,-0.029,0.019
+CatBoost,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.059,-0.114,0.189
 CatBoost,CatBoost,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.01,-0.126,0.107
 CatBoost,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.021,-0.14,0.076
+CatBoost,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.01,-0.126,0.107
 CatBoost,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.073,-0.112,0.218
 CatBoost,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.009,-0.137,0.079
 CatBoost,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.084,-0.076,0.205
@@ -79,29 +101,14 @@ CatBoost,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.08,-0.071,0.185
 CatBoost,Toto-2.0-1B,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.096,-0.073,0.217
 CatBoost,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.045,-0.115,0.157
 CatBoost,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.332,0.125,0.498
-TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.006,-0.081,0.081
-TiRex,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.01,-0.024,0.049
-TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.049,-0.003,0.118
-TiRex,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.014,-0.129,0.119
-TiRex,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.01,-0.12,0.112
-TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.032,-0.085,0.006
-TiRex,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.063,-0.026,0.146
-TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.4,0.9,-0.02,-0.063,0.015
-TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.075,-0.003,0.149
-TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.073,-0.012,0.166
-TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.011,-0.041,0.062
-TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.07,-0.006,0.145
-TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.087,0.004,0.168
-TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.035,-0.013,0.085
-TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.325,0.184,0.464
+TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.006,-0.059,0.049
 TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,0.025,-0.074,0.151
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.041,-0.001,0.091
-TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.079,0.005,0.159
 TabPFN-TS,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.017,-0.098,0.134
+TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.079,0.005,0.159
 TabPFN-TS,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.021,-0.082,0.123
-TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.031,-0.006,0.079
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.031,-0.006,0.079
 TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.092,-0.014,0.193
 TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.011,-0.055,0.076
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.103,0.01,0.195
@@ -111,13 +118,31 @@ TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.099,0.001,0.188
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.115,0.015,0.226
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.065,-0.002,0.145
 TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.346,0.194,0.48
+TiRex,TiRex-2,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.038,-0.075,-0.002
+TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.006,-0.081,0.081
+TiRex,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.01,-0.024,0.049
+TiRex,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.014,-0.129,0.119
+TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.049,-0.003,0.118
+TiRex,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.01,-0.12,0.112
+TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.032,-0.085,0.006
+TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.063,-0.026,0.146
+TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.4,0.9,-0.02,-0.063,0.015
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.075,-0.003,0.149
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.073,-0.012,0.166
+TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.011,-0.041,0.062
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.07,-0.006,0.145
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.087,0.004,0.168
+TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.035,-0.013,0.085
+TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.325,0.184,0.464
+FlowState,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.107,-0.244,0.012
 FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.074,-0.201,0.018
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.056,-0.167,0.053
-FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.014,-0.081,0.048
 FlowState,LightGBM,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.082,-0.303,0.107
+FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.014,-0.081,0.048
 FlowState,CatBoost,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.078,-0.28,0.101
-FlowState,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.067,-0.171,0.025
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.101,-0.239,0.014
+FlowState,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.067,-0.171,0.025
 FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.088,-0.212,0.013
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.013,-0.135,0.139
@@ -127,13 +152,14 @@ FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.008,-0.146,0.136
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.025,-0.115,0.145
 FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.902,-0.03,-0.119,0.052
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.279,0.18,0.379
+Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.017,-0.065,0.033
 Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.014,-0.037,0.086
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,0.029,-0.029,0.102
-Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.068,-0.003,0.156
 Moirai-2.0,LightGBM,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.006,-0.097,0.128
+Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.068,-0.003,0.156
 Moirai-2.0,CatBoost,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.009,-0.086,0.121
-Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.6,0.02,-0.015,0.059
 Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.012,-0.082,0.052
+Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.6,0.02,-0.015,0.059
 Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.081,-0.013,0.175
 Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.093,-0.001,0.183
@@ -143,13 +169,14 @@ Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.089,-0.002,0.173
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.105,0.003,0.197
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.45,1.0,0.054,0.003,0.111
 Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.338,0.203,0.482
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.121,-0.2,-0.041
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.087,-0.213,0.008
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.07,-0.144,-0.003
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.027,-0.123,0.066
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,LightGBM,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.096,-0.268,0.079
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.027,-0.123,0.066
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,CatBoost,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.092,-0.257,0.07
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.081,-0.175,0.003
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.115,-0.242,-0.01
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.081,-0.175,0.003
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.013,-0.162,0.119
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.102,-0.223,0.001
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
@@ -159,13 +186,14 @@ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.005,-0.046,0.029
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.013,-0.014,0.046
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.043,-0.145,0.039
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.27,0.097,0.424
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.12,-0.231,-0.032
 Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.086,-0.182,-0.006
 Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.068,-0.19,0.022
-Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.026,-0.138,0.082
 Toto-2.0-313m,LightGBM,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.094,-0.268,0.085
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.026,-0.138,0.082
 Toto-2.0-313m,CatBoost,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.09,-0.27,0.077
-Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.079,-0.199,0.012
 Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.113,-0.282,0.005
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.079,-0.199,0.012
 Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.011,-0.155,0.126
 Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.101,-0.229,0.01
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.001,-0.052,0.053
@@ -175,13 +203,14 @@ Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.003,-0.054,0.033
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.015,-0.01,0.046
 Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,1.0,-0.042,-0.144,0.049
 Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.271,0.114,0.434
+Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.049,-0.089,-0.019
 Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.017,-0.125,0.082
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.001,-0.041,0.045
-Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.098,0.6,0.039,-0.041,0.132
 Toto-1.0,LightGBM,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.025,-0.145,0.096
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.098,0.6,0.039,-0.041,0.132
 Toto-1.0,CatBoost,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.022,-0.135,0.092
-Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.011,-0.066,0.039
 Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.044,-0.113,0.022
+Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.011,-0.066,0.039
 Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.3,0.098,0.6,0.052,-0.085,0.175
 Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.032,-0.115,0.033
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.064,0.003,0.121
@@ -191,13 +220,14 @@ Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.06,-0.004,0.118
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.076,0.003,0.155
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.024,-0.058,0.096
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.317,0.15,0.473
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.116,-0.187,-0.044
 Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.082,-0.189,0.002
 Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.065,-0.153,0.014
-Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.023,-0.129,0.085
 Toto-2.0-22m,LightGBM,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.091,-0.235,0.073
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.023,-0.129,0.085
 Toto-2.0-22m,CatBoost,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.087,-0.228,0.066
-Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.076,-0.169,0.006
 Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.11,-0.231,-0.001
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.076,-0.169,0.006
 Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.008,-0.157,0.127
 Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.097,-0.209,0.002
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.005,-0.03,0.044
@@ -207,13 +237,14 @@ Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.018,-0.019,0.059
 Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.038,-0.146,0.054
 Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.274,0.095,0.44
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.136,-0.234,-0.047
 Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.102,-0.213,-0.014
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.084,-0.188,-0.005
-Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.041,-0.139,0.055
 Toto-2.0-1B,LightGBM,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.11,-0.283,0.078
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.041,-0.139,0.055
 Toto-2.0-1B,CatBoost,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.106,-0.277,0.068
-Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.095,-0.202,-0.004
 Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.13,-0.292,-0.015
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.095,-0.202,-0.004
 Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.026,-0.169,0.103
 Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.117,-0.246,-0.003
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.013,-0.048,0.014
@@ -223,13 +254,14 @@ Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.018,-0.063,0.019
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.057,-0.153,0.026
 Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.261,0.1,0.412
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.075,-0.151,-0.005
 Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.042,-0.127,0.025
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.026,-0.087,0.038
-Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.015,-0.029,0.063
 Chronos-Bolt,LightGBM,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.05,-0.201,0.106
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.015,-0.029,0.063
 Chronos-Bolt,CatBoost,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.047,-0.186,0.103
-Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.036,-0.092,0.013
 Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.069,-0.169,0.002
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.036,-0.092,0.013
 Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.3,0.098,0.6,0.029,-0.055,0.107
 Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.25,0.0,0.55,-0.057,-0.125,-0.003
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.041,-0.04,0.127
@@ -239,13 +271,14 @@ Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.037,-0.057,0.127
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.054,-0.027,0.133
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.3,0.183,0.423
+Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.536,-0.978,-0.25
 Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.49,-0.893,-0.257
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.466,-0.835,-0.204
-Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.408,-0.661,-0.214
 Seasonal Naive,LightGBM,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.501,-1.017,-0.14
+Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.408,-0.661,-0.214
 Seasonal Naive,CatBoost,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.496,-0.991,-0.143
-Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.481,-0.865,-0.226
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.528,-0.922,-0.241
+Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.481,-0.865,-0.226
 Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.388,-0.61,-0.22
 Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.51,-0.93,-0.255
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.37,-0.735,-0.107

tables/domain_health/pairwise_SQL.csv

@@ -1,257 +1,257 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
+TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.022,-0.01,0.059
+TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.022,-0.04,0.096
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.088,0.023,0.15
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.085,0.014,0.154
+TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.026,-0.001,0.06
+TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.084,0.022,0.151
+TiRex-2,TiRex,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.04,0.008,0.069
+TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.012,-0.031,0.053
+TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.026,-0.023,0.077
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.099,0.03,0.163
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.086,0.02,0.144
+TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.046,-0.007,0.098
+TiRex-2,FlowState,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.099,0.005,0.182
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.076,0.033,0.123
+TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.394,0.256,0.521
+Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.022,-0.062,0.01
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.001,-0.091,0.094
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.068,-0.001,0.133
-Chronos-2,TiRex,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.019,-0.022,0.054
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.065,-0.023,0.154
-Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.064,0.009,0.119
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.005,-0.032,0.03
+Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.064,0.009,0.119
+Chronos-2,TiRex,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.019,-0.022,0.054
 Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.4,0.9,-0.01,-0.086,0.045
 Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.598,1.0,0.005,-0.053,0.052
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.079,0.002,0.157
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.066,-0.016,0.142
 Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.025,-0.035,0.08
-Chronos-2,AutoETS,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.101,-0.023,0.231
 Chronos-2,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.079,-0.021,0.16
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.056,0.012,0.113
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.381,0.242,0.504
+TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.023,-0.106,0.039
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.001,-0.104,0.084
 TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.068,-0.024,0.165
-TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.018,-0.05,0.072
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.064,-0.006,0.141
-TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.063,-0.014,0.15
 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.004,-0.096,0.075
+TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.063,-0.014,0.15
+TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.018,-0.05,0.072
 TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.4,0.9,-0.011,-0.085,0.035
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.004,-0.105,0.104
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.078,0.004,0.156
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.065,-0.012,0.149
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.024,-0.032,0.08
-TimesFM-2.5,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.1,-0.086,0.252
 TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.078,0.001,0.158
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.055,-0.059,0.151
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.38,0.264,0.511
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.097,-0.177,-0.023
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.073,-0.154,0.001
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.072,-0.198,0.023
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.053,-0.145,0.024
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.003,-0.059,0.046
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.005,-0.107,0.091
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.068,-0.169,0.018
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.005,-0.107,0.091
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.053,-0.145,0.024
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.084,-0.205,0.013
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.068,-0.141,0.001
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.011,-0.022,0.045
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.002,-0.046,0.032
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.047,-0.159,0.041
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.035,-0.115,0.171
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.011,-0.142,0.135
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.7,0.4,0.902,-0.013,-0.083,0.04
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.335,0.163,0.479
-TiRex,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.019,-0.057,0.021
-TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.018,-0.077,0.048
-TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.051,-0.025,0.126
-TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.047,-0.034,0.126
-TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.046,0.001,0.108
-TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.014,-0.055,0.023
-TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.029,-0.073,0.009
-TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.7,0.4,0.902,-0.014,-0.082,0.044
-TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.061,-0.016,0.136
-TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.048,-0.028,0.12
-TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.006,-0.035,0.045
-TiRex,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.084,-0.051,0.223
-TiRex,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.062,-0.016,0.132
-TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.038,-0.018,0.105
-TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.369,0.24,0.497
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.093,-0.182,-0.014
 Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.07,-0.182,0.022
 Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.069,-0.164,0.006
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.003,-0.049,0.056
-Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.05,-0.144,0.033
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.002,-0.106,0.105
 Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.065,-0.175,0.032
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.002,-0.106,0.105
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.05,-0.144,0.033
 Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.08,-0.195,0.018
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.065,-0.178,0.016
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.015,-0.006,0.041
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.001,-0.037,0.027
 Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.043,-0.147,0.047
-Toto-2.0-313m,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.038,-0.148,0.182
 Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.015,-0.121,0.142
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.5,1.0,-0.01,-0.112,0.051
 Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.338,0.182,0.488
-TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.068,-0.135,-0.009
-TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.067,-0.177,0.013
-TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.005,-0.1,0.097
-TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.048,-0.121,-0.001
-TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.002,-0.117,0.096
-TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.063,-0.126,-0.004
-TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.079,-0.194,-0.004
-TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.063,-0.191,0.029
-TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.016,-0.087,0.104
-TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.002,-0.12,0.097
-TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.041,-0.106,0.011
-TabPFN-TS-3,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.04,-0.124,0.197
-TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.016,-0.048,0.076
-TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.008,-0.099,0.077
-TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.339,0.227,0.44
+TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.027,-0.064,0.001
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.005,-0.031,0.031
 TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.004,-0.081,0.087
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.064,-0.018,0.144
-TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.014,-0.023,0.052
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.061,-0.033,0.149
-TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.059,0.004,0.112
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.059,0.004,0.112
+TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.014,-0.023,0.052
 TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.015,-0.077,0.034
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.0,-0.071,0.059
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.075,-0.01,0.157
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.062,-0.032,0.135
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.02,-0.025,0.07
-TabPFN-TS,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.097,-0.022,0.22
 TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.075,-0.015,0.159
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.052,-0.001,0.105
 TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.378,0.247,0.498
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.092,-0.178,-0.023
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.068,-0.135,-0.009
+TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.067,-0.177,0.013
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.005,-0.1,0.097
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.002,-0.117,0.096
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.063,-0.126,-0.004
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.048,-0.121,-0.001
+TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.079,-0.194,-0.004
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.063,-0.191,0.029
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.016,-0.087,0.104
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.002,-0.12,0.097
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.041,-0.106,0.011
+TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.016,-0.048,0.076
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.008,-0.099,0.077
+TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.339,0.227,0.44
+TiRex,TiRex-2,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.042,-0.074,-0.008
+TiRex,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.019,-0.057,0.021
+TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.018,-0.077,0.048
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.051,-0.025,0.126
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.047,-0.034,0.126
+TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.014,-0.055,0.023
+TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.046,0.001,0.108
+TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.029,-0.073,0.009
+TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.7,0.4,0.902,-0.014,-0.082,0.044
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.061,-0.016,0.136
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.048,-0.028,0.12
+TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.006,-0.035,0.045
+TiRex,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.062,-0.016,0.132
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.038,-0.018,0.105
+TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.369,0.24,0.497
+Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.012,-0.056,0.03
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,0.01,-0.047,0.079
 Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.1,0.6,0.011,-0.036,0.078
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.077,-0.013,0.17
-Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.028,-0.009,0.068
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.074,-0.018,0.163
-Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.073,0.004,0.162
 Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.014,-0.035,0.072
+Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.073,0.004,0.162
+Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.028,-0.009,0.068
 Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.015,-0.052,0.084
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.088,-0.004,0.174
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.075,-0.01,0.156
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.65,0.35,0.9,0.035,-0.011,0.083
-Moirai-2.0,AutoETS,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.11,-0.022,0.239
 Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.088,-0.002,0.175
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.065,-0.007,0.142
 Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.387,0.253,0.522
+Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.027,-0.084,0.022
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.402,-0.005,-0.054,0.05
 Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.004,-0.116,0.095
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.064,-0.001,0.124
-Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.3,0.098,0.6,0.014,-0.046,0.076
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.061,-0.016,0.151
-Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.059,-0.03,0.161
 Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.0,-0.063,0.066
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.059,-0.03,0.161
+Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.3,0.098,0.6,0.014,-0.046,0.076
 Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.015,-0.092,0.049
 Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.074,-0.0,0.151
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.061,-0.006,0.123
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.02,-0.06,0.091
-Toto-1.0,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.097,-0.011,0.203
 Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.075,-0.06,0.197
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.051,0.004,0.099
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.378,0.214,0.526
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.11,-0.195,-0.031
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.086,-0.186,-0.002
 Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.085,-0.185,-0.005
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.012,-0.047,0.021
-Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.065,-0.157,0.015
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.015,-0.043,0.005
-Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.017,-0.116,0.08
 Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.081,-0.186,0.01
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.017,-0.116,0.08
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.065,-0.157,0.015
 Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.096,-0.211,0.004
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.08,-0.177,0.0
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.014,-0.051,0.017
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.059,-0.158,0.025
-Toto-2.0-1B,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.024,-0.154,0.166
 Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.0,-0.137,0.124
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.7,0.4,0.902,-0.025,-0.119,0.034
 Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.328,0.168,0.472
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.094,-0.168,-0.021
 Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.071,-0.166,0.015
 Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.07,-0.175,0.011
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.002,-0.033,0.044
-Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.051,-0.137,0.027
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.001,-0.028,0.036
-Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.002,-0.107,0.107
 Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.066,-0.156,0.031
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.002,-0.107,0.107
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.051,-0.137,0.027
 Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.081,-0.185,0.01
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.065,-0.14,0.006
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.014,-0.017,0.048
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.044,-0.148,0.046
-Toto-2.0-22m,AutoETS,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.038,-0.112,0.17
 Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.014,-0.129,0.14
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.7,0.4,0.902,-0.011,-0.081,0.041
 Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.337,0.162,0.491
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.048,-0.108,0.007
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.026,-0.086,0.033
 Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.025,-0.087,0.031
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.044,-0.043,0.137
-Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.006,-0.048,0.033
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.041,-0.05,0.128
-Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.04,-0.011,0.095
 Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.021,-0.075,0.024
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.04,-0.011,0.095
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.006,-0.048,0.033
 Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.35,0.1,0.65,-0.036,-0.091,0.01
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.021,-0.1,0.057
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.055,-0.026,0.136
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.042,-0.048,0.129
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.078,-0.063,0.207
 Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.055,-0.03,0.134
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.032,-0.046,0.115
 Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.365,0.247,0.481
-AutoETS,Chronos-2,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.112,-0.3,0.023
-AutoETS,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.112,-0.337,0.079
-AutoETS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.036,-0.207,0.103
-AutoETS,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.092,-0.288,0.049
-AutoETS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.04,-0.223,0.129
-AutoETS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.042,-0.246,0.111
-AutoETS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.107,-0.282,0.021
-AutoETS,Moirai-2.0,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.123,-0.313,0.022
-AutoETS,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.107,-0.254,0.011
-AutoETS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.025,-0.199,0.134
-AutoETS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.039,-0.204,0.101
-AutoETS,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.085,-0.262,0.059
-AutoETS,AutoETS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.025,-0.289,0.166
-AutoETS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.05,-0.187,0.052
-AutoETS,Seasonal Naive,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.311,0.076,0.492
+FlowState,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.11,-0.222,-0.005
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.086,-0.191,0.02
 FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.085,-0.187,-0.001
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.012,-0.156,0.124
-FlowState,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.066,-0.152,0.016
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.015,-0.165,0.108
-FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.017,-0.083,0.046
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.081,-0.189,0.015
+FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.017,-0.083,0.046
+FlowState,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.066,-0.152,0.016
 FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.097,-0.213,0.002
 FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.081,-0.245,0.057
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.0,-0.142,0.121
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.014,-0.163,0.114
 FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.059,-0.154,0.03
-FlowState,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.024,-0.199,0.224
 FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.025,-0.158,0.102
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.328,0.22,0.435
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.083,-0.14,-0.034
 Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.059,-0.127,-0.012
 Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.059,-0.177,0.056
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.3,0.098,0.6,0.013,-0.041,0.077
-Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.04,-0.118,0.018
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.5,0.01,-0.053,0.101
-Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.008,-0.084,0.09
 Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.054,-0.117,0.001
+Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.008,-0.084,0.09
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.04,-0.118,0.018
 Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.07,-0.165,0.007
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.054,-0.109,-0.004
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.3,0.098,0.6,0.024,-0.035,0.106
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.3,0.098,0.6,0.011,-0.043,0.075
 Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.033,-0.129,0.044
-Toto-2.0-4m,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.048,-0.055,0.158
 Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.024,-0.113,0.136
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.344,0.172,0.491
+Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.651,-1.086,-0.344
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.615,-1.015,-0.319
 Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.614,-1.045,-0.359
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.505,-0.918,-0.195
-Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.585,-0.99,-0.316
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.51,-0.953,-0.223
-Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.512,-0.787,-0.293
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.608,-0.992,-0.328
+Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.512,-0.787,-0.293
+Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.585,-0.99,-0.316
 Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.631,-1.091,-0.338
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.607,-1.108,-0.272
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.488,-0.893,-0.202
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.509,-0.966,-0.194
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.575,-0.927,-0.328
-Seasonal Naive,AutoETS,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.452,-0.969,-0.082
 Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.488,-0.769,-0.282
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.525,-0.963,-0.208
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_health/pairwise_WAPE.csv

@@ -1,290 +1,290 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
-TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.043,-0.042,0.157
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.084,-0.022,0.202
-TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.016,-0.108,0.137
-TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.007,-0.063,0.073
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.092,-0.021,0.205
-TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.02,-0.124,0.049
-TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.061,-0.057,0.195
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.021,-0.095,0.138
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.1,-0.007,0.209
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.085,-0.01,0.182
-TimesFM-2.5,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.011,-0.166,0.152
-TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.015,-0.089,0.113
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.07,-0.046,0.188
-TimesFM-2.5,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.008,-0.184,0.15
-TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.059,-0.012,0.139
-TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.302,0.151,0.466
-TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.045,-0.186,0.041
 TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.043,-0.069,0.141
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.006,-0.116,0.104
+TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.045,-0.186,0.041
 TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.029,-0.128,0.059
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.043,-0.069,0.141
 TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.038,-0.168,0.031
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.051,-0.101,0.171
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.024,-0.153,0.076
 TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.066,-0.193,0.03
 TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.018,-0.084,0.109
-TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.024,-0.153,0.076
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.059,-0.072,0.167
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.044,-0.115,0.149
 TabPFN-TS-3,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.034,-0.196,0.113
 TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.03,-0.11,0.034
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.028,-0.108,0.134
-TabPFN-TS-3,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.037,-0.182,0.1
 TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.016,-0.04,0.071
 TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.271,0.109,0.406
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.092,-0.253,0.021
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.045,-0.164,0.065
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.075,-0.188,0.016
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.085,-0.194,0.009
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.008,-0.043,0.054
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.114,-0.286,0.022
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.026,-0.249,0.151
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.069,-0.145,-0.0
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.017,-0.012,0.05
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.001,-0.076,0.055
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.08,-0.321,0.104
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.076,-0.183,0.012
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.015,-0.072,0.028
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Stat. Ensemble,0.7,0.4,1.0,-0.084,-0.324,0.095
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,1.0,-0.028,-0.167,0.084
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.238,-0.014,0.419
-Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.016,-0.159,0.097
+TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.006,-0.116,0.104
+TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.052,-0.18,0.036
+TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.036,-0.156,0.044
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.037,0.003,0.073
+TiRex-2,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.045,-0.141,0.028
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.045,-0.002,0.099
+TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.03,-0.111,0.031
+TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.073,-0.232,0.042
+TiRex-2,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.012,-0.194,0.191
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.053,0.016,0.093
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.038,-0.02,0.091
+TiRex-2,AutoETS,0.7,0.4,1.0,-0.04,-0.265,0.136
+TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.7,0.4,1.0,-0.036,-0.145,0.04
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.022,-0.047,0.077
+TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.01,-0.111,0.117
+TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.266,0.03,0.446
+TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.043,-0.042,0.157
+TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.05,-0.037,0.153
+TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.016,-0.108,0.137
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.084,-0.022,0.202
+TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.007,-0.063,0.073
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.092,-0.021,0.205
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.021,-0.095,0.138
+TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.02,-0.124,0.049
+TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.061,-0.057,0.195
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.1,-0.007,0.209
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.085,-0.01,0.182
+TimesFM-2.5,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.011,-0.166,0.152
+TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.015,-0.089,0.113
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.07,-0.046,0.188
+TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.059,-0.012,0.139
+TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.302,0.151,0.466
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.028,-0.062,0.114
-Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.07,-0.016,0.158
+Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.034,-0.047,0.135
+Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.016,-0.159,0.097
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.07,-0.016,0.158
 Chronos-2,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.009,-0.092,0.059
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.078,-0.034,0.196
+Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.005,-0.065,0.075
 Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.036,-0.144,0.052
 Chronos-2,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.046,-0.141,0.185
-Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.005,-0.065,0.075
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.086,-0.012,0.196
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.071,-0.036,0.181
 Chronos-2,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.005,-0.165,0.134
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.7,0.4,0.9,-0.001,-0.035,0.025
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.055,-0.026,0.131
-Chronos-2,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.008,-0.16,0.126
 Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.044,-0.071,0.143
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.291,0.052,0.471
-TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.007,-0.078,0.059
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.045,-0.164,0.065
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.038,-0.079,-0.003
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.092,-0.253,0.021
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.075,-0.188,0.016
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.085,-0.194,0.009
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.008,-0.043,0.054
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.069,-0.145,-0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.114,-0.286,0.022
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.026,-0.249,0.151
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.017,-0.012,0.05
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.001,-0.076,0.055
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.08,-0.321,0.104
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.076,-0.183,0.012
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.015,-0.072,0.028
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,1.0,-0.028,-0.167,0.084
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.238,-0.014,0.419
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.037,-0.032,0.144
-TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.078,-0.009,0.162
+TiRex,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.043,-0.029,0.123
+TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.007,-0.078,0.059
 TiRex,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.009,-0.062,0.084
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.078,-0.009,0.162
 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.086,-0.013,0.18
+TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.014,-0.053,0.073
 TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.027,-0.087,0.031
 TiRex,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.054,-0.089,0.201
-TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.014,-0.053,0.073
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.094,0.0,0.183
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.079,-0.005,0.156
 TiRex,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.004,-0.139,0.133
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.008,-0.044,0.069
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.064,-0.008,0.139
-TiRex,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.001,-0.156,0.132
 TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.052,-0.028,0.146
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.298,0.098,0.478
-Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.101,-0.258,0.021
 Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.054,-0.207,0.092
-Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.008,-0.057,0.041
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.047,-0.109,0.002
+Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.101,-0.258,0.021
 Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.084,-0.243,0.033
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.008,-0.057,0.041
 Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.094,-0.22,0.013
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.079,-0.187,0.009
 Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.123,-0.32,0.036
 Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.034,-0.278,0.17
-Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.079,-0.187,0.009
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.009,-0.011,0.033
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.008,-0.04,0.026
 Toto-2.0-313m,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.089,-0.353,0.109
 Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.085,-0.231,0.029
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.024,-0.111,0.031
-Toto-2.0-313m,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.093,-0.357,0.102
 Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.037,-0.193,0.102
 Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.232,-0.027,0.431
-Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.019,-0.052,0.11
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.023,-0.082,0.133
+Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.029,-0.032,0.1
+Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.021,-0.161,0.087
+Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.005,-0.081,0.061
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.065,0.0,0.126
+Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.014,-0.079,0.051
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.073,-0.009,0.157
+Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.042,-0.144,0.043
+Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.041,-0.163,0.214
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.081,0.004,0.159
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.066,-0.014,0.143
+Toto-1.0,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.01,-0.17,0.12
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.006,-0.073,0.057
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.051,0.011,0.086
+Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.039,-0.077,0.133
+Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.288,0.053,0.476
 Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.062,-0.031,0.162
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.102,-0.023,0.223
+Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.068,-0.044,0.188
+Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.019,-0.052,0.11
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.035,-0.055,0.126
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.102,-0.023,0.223
 Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.026,-0.032,0.08
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.11,-0.037,0.242
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.04,-0.045,0.126
 Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.079,-0.061,0.204
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.04,-0.045,0.126
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.118,-0.024,0.242
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.103,-0.025,0.22
 Moirai-2.0,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.03,-0.08,0.138
 Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.034,-0.041,0.101
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.3,0.0,0.6,0.088,-0.021,0.191
-Moirai-2.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.027,-0.093,0.134
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.45,1.0,0.077,-0.001,0.158
 Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.316,0.124,0.487
-FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.065,-0.242,0.054
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.019,-0.122,0.078
-FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.025,-0.178,0.199
+FlowState,TiRex-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.012,-0.236,0.162
+FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.065,-0.242,0.054
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.048,-0.227,0.124
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.025,-0.178,0.199
 FlowState,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.058,-0.251,0.082
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.033,-0.204,0.217
+FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.043,-0.273,0.14
 FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.086,-0.257,0.058
 FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.043,-0.273,0.14
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.042,-0.177,0.214
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.026,-0.204,0.195
 FlowState,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.053,-0.274,0.151
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.049,-0.208,0.096
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.01,-0.216,0.197
-FlowState,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.057,-0.267,0.131
 FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,1.0,-0.002,-0.133,0.112
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.257,0.128,0.376
-Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.021,-0.161,0.087
-Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.023,-0.082,0.133
-Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.065,0.0,0.126
-Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.005,-0.081,0.061
-Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.014,-0.079,0.051
-Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.073,-0.009,0.157
-Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.042,-0.144,0.043
-Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.041,-0.163,0.214
-Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.081,0.004,0.159
-Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.066,-0.014,0.143
-Toto-1.0,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.01,-0.17,0.12
-Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.006,-0.073,0.057
-Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.051,0.011,0.086
-Toto-1.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.013,-0.172,0.119
-Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.039,-0.077,0.133
-Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.288,0.053,0.476
-Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.111,-0.265,0.007
 Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.063,-0.2,0.067
-Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.017,-0.053,0.012
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.056,-0.102,-0.016
+Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.111,-0.265,0.007
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.094,-0.243,0.012
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.017,-0.053,0.012
 Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.104,-0.223,-0.0
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.009,-0.035,0.011
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.088,-0.189,-0.004
 Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.133,-0.319,0.023
 Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.044,-0.272,0.151
-Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.088,-0.189,-0.004
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.016,-0.069,0.026
 Toto-2.0-1B,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.099,-0.356,0.093
 Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.095,-0.226,0.007
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.033,-0.119,0.023
-Toto-2.0-1B,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.103,-0.358,0.083
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.046,-0.196,0.08
 Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.225,-0.025,0.414
-Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.093,-0.222,0.01
 Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.046,-0.175,0.103
-Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.001,-0.058,0.071
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.039,-0.1,0.019
+Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.093,-0.222,0.01
 Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.076,-0.22,0.035
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.001,-0.058,0.071
 Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.086,-0.185,0.005
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.008,-0.027,0.038
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.07,-0.166,0.013
 Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.115,-0.282,0.025
 Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.027,-0.243,0.169
-Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.07,-0.166,0.013
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.016,-0.027,0.064
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-22m,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.081,-0.33,0.102
 Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.077,-0.203,0.031
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.016,-0.098,0.049
-Toto-2.0-22m,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.085,-0.337,0.105
 Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.029,-0.176,0.113
 Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.237,-0.01,0.447
-AutoETS,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.011,-0.179,0.143
 AutoETS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.033,-0.128,0.164
-AutoETS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.074,-0.116,0.243
+AutoETS,TiRex-2,0.3,0.0,0.6,0.039,-0.158,0.21
+AutoETS,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.011,-0.179,0.143
 AutoETS,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.005,-0.154,0.142
+AutoETS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.074,-0.116,0.243
 AutoETS,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.004,-0.153,0.122
 AutoETS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.082,-0.122,0.261
+AutoETS,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.01,-0.136,0.145
 AutoETS,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.031,-0.16,0.074
 AutoETS,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.05,-0.178,0.215
-AutoETS,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.01,-0.136,0.145
 AutoETS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.09,-0.102,0.262
 AutoETS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.075,-0.114,0.248
 AutoETS,AutoETS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 AutoETS,TabPFN-TS,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.004,-0.146,0.122
 AutoETS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.06,-0.106,0.211
-AutoETS,Stat. Ensemble,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.003,-0.04,0.045
 AutoETS,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.048,-0.082,0.166
 AutoETS,Seasonal Naive,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.295,0.066,0.481
-TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.015,-0.128,0.082
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.029,-0.035,0.099
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.071,-0.012,0.155
+TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.3,0.0,0.6,0.035,-0.042,0.127
+TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.015,-0.128,0.082
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,0.001,-0.026,0.034
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.071,-0.012,0.155
 TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.008,-0.074,0.042
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.078,-0.03,0.188
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.006,-0.061,0.068
 TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.035,-0.112,0.039
 TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.047,-0.106,0.172
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.006,-0.061,0.068
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.086,-0.007,0.184
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.071,-0.032,0.169
 TabPFN-TS,AutoETS,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.004,-0.139,0.128
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.056,-0.024,0.127
-TabPFN-TS,Stat. Ensemble,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.007,-0.14,0.118
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.044,-0.043,0.124
 TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.292,0.081,0.459
-Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.076,-0.232,0.044
 Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.029,-0.154,0.097
-Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.015,-0.029,0.067
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.022,-0.083,0.045
+Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.076,-0.232,0.044
 Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.059,-0.15,0.025
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.015,-0.029,0.067
 Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.068,-0.161,0.008
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.023,-0.032,0.1
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.053,-0.095,-0.011
 Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.4,1.0,-0.097,-0.237,0.021
 Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.01,-0.245,0.177
-Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.053,-0.095,-0.011
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.032,-0.024,0.107
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.016,-0.052,0.089
 Toto-2.0-4m,AutoETS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.064,-0.267,0.096
 Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.06,-0.145,0.024
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-4m,Stat. Ensemble,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.067,-0.263,0.091
 Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,-0.012,-0.159,0.103
 Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.25,-0.021,0.452
-Stat. Ensemble,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.008,-0.176,0.156
-Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.036,-0.111,0.154
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.3,0.0,0.6,0.077,-0.105,0.245
-Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.008,-0.145,0.138
-Stat. Ensemble,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.001,-0.153,0.135
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.085,-0.113,0.263
-Stat. Ensemble,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.028,-0.155,0.085
-Stat. Ensemble,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.054,-0.15,0.211
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.013,-0.135,0.147
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.093,-0.091,0.264
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.078,-0.117,0.252
-Stat. Ensemble,AutoETS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.003,-0.047,0.039
-Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.007,-0.134,0.123
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.063,-0.1,0.208
-Stat. Ensemble,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.051,-0.066,0.167
-Stat. Ensemble,Seasonal Naive,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.297,0.08,0.468
-Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.062,-0.161,0.011
 Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.016,-0.076,0.038
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.3,0.0,0.6,0.027,-0.091,0.143
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.01,-0.133,0.1
+Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.062,-0.161,0.011
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.046,-0.167,0.066
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.3,0.0,0.6,0.027,-0.091,0.143
 Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.055,-0.171,0.027
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.035,-0.114,0.162
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.04,-0.154,0.072
 Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.25,0.0,0.55,-0.084,-0.188,0.001
 Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.3,0.0,0.6,0.002,-0.126,0.117
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.04,-0.154,0.072
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.044,-0.087,0.164
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.028,-0.127,0.149
 Chronos-Bolt,AutoETS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.051,-0.199,0.076
 Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.046,-0.142,0.041
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.3,0.1,0.6,0.012,-0.115,0.137
-Chronos-Bolt,Stat. Ensemble,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.054,-0.201,0.062
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.259,0.102,0.399
-Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.433,-0.874,-0.179
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.371,-0.684,-0.122
-Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.312,-0.721,0.014
+Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.362,-0.804,-0.031
+Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.433,-0.874,-0.179
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.411,-0.889,-0.054
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.312,-0.721,0.014
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.424,-0.915,-0.109
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.301,-0.758,0.027
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.404,-0.91,-0.055
 Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.462,-0.951,-0.141
 Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.346,-0.602,-0.147
-Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.404,-0.91,-0.055
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.29,-0.707,0.024
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.311,-0.809,0.009
 Seasonal Naive,AutoETS,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.417,-0.928,-0.07
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.412,-0.85,-0.089
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.333,-0.826,0.02
-Seasonal Naive,Stat. Ensemble,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.422,-0.879,-0.087
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.349,-0.664,-0.113
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_health/pairwise_WQL.csv

@@ -1,257 +1,257 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.05,-0.019,0.145
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.046,-0.035,0.122
 Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.002,-0.119,0.095
 Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.021,-0.11,0.055
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.085,0.001,0.166
-Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.077,-0.036,0.182
+Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.002,-0.077,0.077
 Chronos-2,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.025,-0.055,0.099
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.086,-0.028,0.197
-Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.002,-0.077,0.077
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.077,-0.036,0.182
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.09,-0.002,0.181
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.037,-0.004,0.081
 Chronos-2,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.065,-0.097,0.191
-Chronos-2,Stat. Ensemble,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.104,-0.054,0.262
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.074,-0.014,0.154
 Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.038,-0.07,0.13
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.404,0.211,0.549
+TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.052,-0.169,0.019
+TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.003,-0.092,0.089
+TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.054,-0.16,0.018
+TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.074,-0.213,0.029
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.038,-0.014,0.093
+TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.05,-0.15,0.034
+TiRex-2,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.026,-0.096,0.031
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.038,-0.022,0.097
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.028,-0.034,0.082
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.043,0.002,0.089
+TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.013,-0.092,0.052
+TiRex-2,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.016,-0.164,0.17
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.026,-0.044,0.089
+TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.012,-0.128,0.083
+TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.373,0.19,0.521
 TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.049,-0.139,0.034
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.003,-0.097,0.084
 TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.051,-0.162,0.018
 TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.071,-0.195,0.021
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.041,-0.071,0.15
-TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.032,-0.123,0.132
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.047,-0.192,0.064
 TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.7,0.4,0.9,-0.022,-0.141,0.042
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.041,-0.111,0.159
-TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.047,-0.192,0.064
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.032,-0.123,0.132
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.046,-0.084,0.147
 TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.01,-0.076,0.047
 TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.019,-0.074,0.107
-TabPFN-TS-3,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.06,-0.125,0.244
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.5,1.0,0.029,-0.109,0.137
 TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.009,-0.078,0.056
 TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.375,0.232,0.495
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.002,-0.105,0.106
+TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.052,-0.018,0.138
 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.049,-0.018,0.139
 TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.019,-0.109,0.043
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.087,-0.017,0.208
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.079,-0.017,0.17
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.004,-0.109,0.114
 TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.027,-0.023,0.085
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.088,-0.024,0.197
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.004,-0.109,0.114
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.079,-0.017,0.17
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.092,-0.007,0.198
 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.039,-0.028,0.11
 TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.067,-0.041,0.182
-TimesFM-2.5,Stat. Ensemble,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.106,-0.099,0.28
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.076,-0.032,0.192
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.04,-0.018,0.102
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.406,0.261,0.536
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.02,-0.058,0.099
+Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.069,-0.03,0.176
 Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.066,-0.021,0.163
 Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.018,-0.045,0.098
 Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.104,-0.014,0.215
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.096,-0.019,0.201
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.022,-0.059,0.098
 Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.045,-0.008,0.103
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.104,-0.032,0.225
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.022,-0.059,0.098
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.096,-0.019,0.201
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.109,-0.011,0.22
 Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.057,-0.016,0.126
 Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.084,-0.05,0.203
-Moirai-2.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.122,-0.048,0.277
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.093,-0.008,0.191
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.75,0.5,0.951,0.057,-0.013,0.128
 Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.416,0.242,0.564
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.093,-0.199,-0.001
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.039,-0.102,0.014
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.042,-0.176,0.067
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.096,-0.262,0.017
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.116,-0.274,0.014
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.009,-0.097,0.053
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.091,-0.179,-0.009
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.066,-0.178,0.021
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.0,-0.07,0.057
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.091,-0.179,-0.009
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.009,-0.097,0.053
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.005,-0.032,0.038
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.053,-0.158,0.036
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.023,-0.265,0.157
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.02,-0.187,0.215
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.012,-0.061,0.03
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.052,-0.219,0.063
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.349,0.118,0.513
-Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.083,-0.222,0.035
-Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.033,-0.152,0.11
-Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.085,-0.205,0.017
-Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.106,-0.251,0.019
-Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.009,-0.056,0.088
-Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.056,-0.134,0.016
-Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.01,-0.023,0.039
-Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.081,-0.186,0.005
-Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.014,-0.027,0.061
-Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.043,-0.15,0.064
-Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.013,-0.226,0.175
-Toto-2.0-22m,Stat. Ensemble,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.03,-0.21,0.238
-Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.002,-0.072,0.055
-Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.042,-0.184,0.09
-Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.355,0.161,0.532
+Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.002,-0.084,0.072
+Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.048,-0.035,0.131
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.045,-0.068,0.161
+Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.004,-0.128,0.098
+Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.023,-0.109,0.056
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.084,0.009,0.152
+Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.023,-0.045,0.09
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.084,-0.003,0.17
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.075,-0.005,0.157
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.088,0.013,0.159
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.035,-0.044,0.112
+Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.063,-0.138,0.234
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.073,0.021,0.123
+Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.036,-0.076,0.13
+Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.403,0.197,0.565
 TiRex,Chronos-2,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.026,-0.11,0.052
+TiRex,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.025,-0.032,0.088
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.1,0.6,0.022,-0.044,0.123
 TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.028,-0.093,0.023
 TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.047,-0.114,0.007
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.062,-0.022,0.151
-TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.053,-0.016,0.118
+TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.024,-0.099,0.043
 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.062,-0.026,0.149
-TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.024,-0.099,0.043
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.053,-0.016,0.118
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.067,-0.01,0.141
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.012,-0.046,0.072
 TiRex,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.04,-0.104,0.184
-TiRex,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.081,-0.109,0.258
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.051,-0.017,0.121
 TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.013,-0.067,0.096
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.389,0.216,0.543
 Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.094,-0.246,0.028
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.039,-0.107,0.021
 Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.043,-0.188,0.1
 Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.096,-0.245,0.023
 Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.116,-0.291,0.031
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.0,-0.06,0.065
-Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.01,-0.041,0.022
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.092,-0.205,0.003
 Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.066,-0.175,0.026
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.092,-0.205,0.003
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.01,-0.041,0.022
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.005,-0.023,0.037
 Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.053,-0.178,0.058
 Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.023,-0.259,0.177
-Toto-2.0-313m,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.02,-0.231,0.24
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.7,0.4,1.0,-0.012,-0.085,0.04
 Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.052,-0.209,0.086
 Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.348,0.132,0.525
-Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.002,-0.084,0.072
-Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.045,-0.068,0.161
-Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.004,-0.128,0.098
-Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.023,-0.109,0.056
-Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.084,0.009,0.152
-Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.075,-0.005,0.157
-Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.023,-0.045,0.09
-Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.084,-0.003,0.17
-Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.088,0.013,0.159
-Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.035,-0.044,0.112
-Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.063,-0.138,0.234
-Toto-1.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.102,-0.06,0.272
-Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.7,0.4,0.902,0.073,0.021,0.123
-Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.036,-0.076,0.13
-Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.403,0.197,0.565
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.083,-0.222,0.035
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.029,-0.089,0.033
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.033,-0.152,0.11
+Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.085,-0.205,0.017
+Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.106,-0.251,0.019
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.009,-0.056,0.088
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.081,-0.186,0.005
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.056,-0.134,0.016
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.01,-0.023,0.039
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.7,0.4,1.0,0.014,-0.027,0.061
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.043,-0.15,0.064
+Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.013,-0.226,0.175
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.002,-0.072,0.055
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.042,-0.184,0.09
+Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.355,0.161,0.532
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.099,-0.221,0.002
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.044,-0.097,-0.002
 Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.048,-0.173,0.078
 Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.101,-0.247,0.007
 Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.122,-0.282,0.011
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.005,-0.04,0.031
-Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.015,-0.065,0.026
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.097,-0.189,-0.013
 Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.071,-0.164,0.009
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.005,-0.039,0.023
-Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.097,-0.189,-0.013
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.015,-0.065,0.026
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.058,-0.16,0.033
 Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.028,-0.249,0.159
-Toto-2.0-1B,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.3,0.9,0.015,-0.208,0.217
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.017,-0.074,0.028
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.057,-0.209,0.061
 Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.345,0.128,0.509
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.038,-0.088,0.004
+TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.013,-0.055,0.084
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.01,-0.049,0.07
 TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.041,-0.123,0.027
 TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.06,-0.144,0.016
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.05,-0.037,0.136
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.041,-0.069,0.13
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.036,-0.126,0.043
 TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.012,-0.077,0.044
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.051,-0.061,0.151
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.036,-0.126,0.043
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.041,-0.069,0.13
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.055,-0.034,0.138
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.029,-0.108,0.151
-TabPFN-TS,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.07,-0.09,0.224
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.7,0.4,0.9,0.039,-0.06,0.124
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.001,-0.077,0.073
 TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.381,0.215,0.518
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.069,-0.237,0.088
+FlowState,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.016,-0.205,0.141
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.019,-0.12,0.069
 FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.071,-0.222,0.039
 FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.091,-0.255,0.048
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.022,-0.186,0.209
-FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.013,-0.212,0.184
+FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.067,-0.305,0.121
 FlowState,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.042,-0.225,0.094
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.023,-0.215,0.206
-FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.067,-0.305,0.121
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.013,-0.212,0.184
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.027,-0.189,0.2
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.03,-0.177,0.097
 FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.042,-0.2,0.257
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.011,-0.213,0.192
 FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.029,-0.166,0.091
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.9,0.7,1.0,0.363,0.225,0.479
-Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-2,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.116,-0.354,0.051
-Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.064,-0.323,0.111
-Stat. Ensemble,TimesFM-2.5,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.119,-0.389,0.09
-Stat. Ensemble,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.139,-0.384,0.045
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.021,-0.274,0.158
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-22m,0.3,0.0,0.6,-0.031,-0.312,0.174
-Stat. Ensemble,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.088,-0.347,0.099
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.021,-0.315,0.187
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.114,-0.374,0.056
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.016,-0.277,0.172
-Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.075,-0.289,0.083
-Stat. Ensemble,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.044,-0.346,0.167
-Stat. Ensemble,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.033,-0.308,0.153
-Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.074,-0.287,0.088
-Stat. Ensemble,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.335,0.128,0.5
 Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.08,-0.182,0.014
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.027,-0.098,0.042
 Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.2,0.0,0.5,-0.03,-0.158,0.098
 Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.083,-0.238,0.031
 Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.103,-0.236,0.007
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.012,-0.031,0.058
-Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.002,-0.058,0.067
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.079,-0.14,-0.021
 Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.4,0.1,0.7,-0.053,-0.137,0.017
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.3,0.0,0.6,0.012,-0.042,0.079
-Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.3,0.098,0.6,-0.079,-0.14,-0.021
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.002,-0.058,0.067
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.017,-0.029,0.069
 Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.041,-0.141,0.057
 Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.011,-0.238,0.175
-Toto-2.0-4m,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.032,-0.18,0.236
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.3,0.9,-0.04,-0.195,0.079
 Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,0.8,0.6,1.0,0.356,0.131,0.533
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.039,-0.149,0.066
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.012,-0.091,0.113
 Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.009,-0.059,0.073
 Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.042,-0.113,0.018
 Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.25,0.049,0.5,-0.061,-0.147,0.013
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.049,-0.067,0.18
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.04,-0.099,0.156
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.037,-0.15,0.071
 Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.3,0.1,0.6,-0.013,-0.106,0.062
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.05,-0.094,0.173
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.037,-0.15,0.071
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.04,-0.099,0.156
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.054,-0.065,0.173
 Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.2,0.8,-0.001,-0.078,0.072
 Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.028,-0.1,0.142
-Chronos-Bolt,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.2,0.8,0.069,-0.096,0.223
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.1,0.7,0.038,-0.086,0.163
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.381,0.242,0.501
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.678,-1.217,-0.268
+Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.595,-1.088,-0.234
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.6,-0.979,-0.302
 Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.682,-1.155,-0.354
 Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.714,-1.293,-0.32
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.535,-1.053,-0.133
-Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.55,-1.137,-0.191
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.676,-1.297,-0.246
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.636,-1.186,-0.275
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.535,-1.104,-0.153
-Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.676,-1.297,-0.246
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.55,-1.137,-0.191
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.527,-1.038,-0.147
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.617,-1.074,-0.273
 Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.1,0.0,0.3,-0.57,-0.92,-0.291
-Seasonal Naive,Stat. Ensemble,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.504,-0.999,-0.146
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.2,0.0,0.4,-0.553,-1.14,-0.15
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.615,-1.006,-0.319
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_mobility/leaderboard_MASE.csv

@@ -1,28 +1,29 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Chronos-2,90.1098901098901,31.297845826674763,0.0,0.3612539066666667,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-1B,86.26373626373626,29.93744282184213,0.0,2.398295585576923,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,83.51648351648353,30.08997810079499,0.0,1.0402703727564104,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-313m,81.86813186813187,29.655413564276433,0.0,1.0909461926282051,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,80.76923076923077,29.34036054759431,0.0,5.510428407333333,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,78.02197802197803,28.358976057331542,0.0,1.8156494689102565,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,76.92307692307693,28.869849458291053,0.0,0.34079166541795664,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-22m,68.68131868131869,27.624459375998768,0.0,0.22678239423076924,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS-3,67.03296703296702,26.238904121348316,0.0,258.6113400144229,0.0,0.0
-TFT,55.494505494505496,21.59101828180743,235.31247926551285,0.31370569066666665,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,53.2967032967033,25.573203950705693,0.0,32.678425597307694,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,53.02197802197802,25.335908970299936,0.0,2.231891133374613,1.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,53.02197802197802,25.335908970299936,0.0,0.2157764139102564,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,50.0,24.532719864713304,0.0,157.00341927416665,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,49.99999999999999,23.393412693458927,0.0,7.825935737058823,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-4m,49.45054945054945,23.095596464945533,0.0,0.17352653333333334,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,41.208791208791204,18.807513597537383,21.985520585705128,0.26383776833333333,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,40.65934065934066,20.158757124750093,467.93394356724366,1.364175630448718,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,40.65934065934066,19.233879992772206,2.110697158974359,0.21163459766666667,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,36.81318681318681,16.989509965321957,225.99726746077397,0.38466677993589743,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,28.021978021978022,7.694422260326506,0.0,226.8116654464487,0.0,14.285714285714285
-AutoARIMA,22.527472527472526,3.300627782307375,0.0,166.32244655789742,0.0,14.285714285714285
-AutoTheta,20.32967032967033,2.2840445944943277,0.0,2.6991318023333335,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,19.230769230769234,0.0,0.0,0.17224587897435897,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,15.934065934065936,-16.79021320144407,0.0,7.4220258999999995,0.0,0.0
-Naive,6.043956043956044,-40.74006367145597,0.0,0.193622721474359,0.0,0.0
-Drift,1.0989010989010988,-55.85219582340872,0.0,0.1885455092948718,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,89.41798941798943,31.297845826674763,0.0,0.3612539066666667,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,86.24338624338625,29.93744282184213,0.0,2.398295585576923,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,82.53968253968256,30.08997810079499,0.0,1.0402703727564104,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,82.01058201058203,29.655413564276433,0.0,1.0909461926282051,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,80.42328042328043,29.34036054759431,0.0,5.510428407333333,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,77.24867724867725,28.358976057331542,0.0,1.8156494689102565,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,76.1904761904762,28.869849458291053,0.0,0.34079166541795664,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,70.8994708994709,28.6618144795166,0.0,0.11997201882198961,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,67.1957671957672,27.624459375998768,0.0,0.22678239423076924,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,66.13756613756613,26.238904121348316,0.0,258.6113400144229,0.0,0.0
+TFT,54.4973544973545,21.59101828180743,235.31247926551285,0.31370569066666665,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,52.116402116402114,25.335908970299936,0.0,0.2157764139102564,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,52.116402116402114,25.335908970299936,0.0,2.231891133374613,1.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,51.322751322751316,25.573203950705693,0.0,32.678425597307694,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,48.67724867724868,24.532719864713304,0.0,157.00341927416665,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,48.67724867724867,23.393412693458927,0.0,7.825935737058823,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,48.148148148148145,23.095596464945533,0.0,0.17352653333333334,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,40.74074074074075,18.807513597537383,21.985520585705128,0.26383776833333333,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,40.21164021164021,19.233879992772206,2.110697158974359,0.21163459766666667,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,40.21164021164021,20.158757124750093,467.93394356724366,1.364175630448718,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,35.978835978835974,16.989509965321957,225.99726746077397,0.38466677993589743,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,26.984126984126984,7.694422260326506,0.0,226.8116654464487,0.0,14.285714285714285
+AutoARIMA,21.693121693121693,3.300627782307375,0.0,166.32244655789742,0.0,14.285714285714285
+AutoTheta,19.576719576719576,2.2840445944943277,0.0,2.6991318023333335,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,18.51851851851852,0.0,0.0,0.17224587897435897,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,15.343915343915343,-16.79021320144407,0.0,7.4220258999999995,0.0,0.0
+Naive,5.82010582010582,-40.74006367145597,0.0,0.193622721474359,0.0,0.0
+Drift,1.0582010582010581,-55.85219582340872,0.0,0.1885455092948718,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_mobility/leaderboard_SQL.csv

@@ -1,28 +1,29 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Chronos-2,92.30769230769232,44.0257301550027,0.0,0.3612539066666667,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,86.26373626373626,42.67646308976785,0.0,1.0402703727564104,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-1B,85.16483516483517,42.89784402878507,0.0,2.398295585576923,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-313m,81.31868131868131,42.58037472652917,0.0,1.0909461926282051,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,80.21978021978022,42.389618394267615,0.0,5.510428407333333,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,79.67032967032968,42.05186473784456,0.0,0.34079166541795664,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,75.82417582417584,41.10947919178341,0.0,1.8156494689102565,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS-3,73.62637362637362,39.7795308730858,0.0,258.6113400144229,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-22m,70.87912087912088,41.25081408595533,0.0,0.22678239423076924,0.0,0.0
-TFT,60.439560439560445,35.28274979848835,235.31247926551285,0.31370569066666665,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,55.494505494505496,39.04058286932375,0.0,32.678425597307694,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-4m,55.49450549450549,37.62294495333535,0.0,0.17352653333333334,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,53.2967032967033,36.53371858952617,0.0,157.00341927416665,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,53.02197802197802,37.28267455060899,0.0,2.231891133374613,1.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,53.02197802197802,37.28267455060899,0.0,0.2157764139102564,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,50.54945054945055,34.81362887689631,467.93394356724366,1.364175630448718,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,43.95604395604395,28.352379402273474,225.99726746077397,0.38466677993589743,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,40.65934065934066,33.55369921291073,0.0,7.825935737058823,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,28.57142857142857,12.567557563101495,0.0,166.32244655789742,0.0,14.285714285714285
-CatBoost,26.373626373626376,18.14162293295429,21.985520585705128,0.26383776833333333,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,25.27472527472528,5.668302598674924,0.0,226.8116654464487,0.0,14.285714285714285
-LightGBM,25.274725274725274,18.571486122225835,2.110697158974359,0.21163459766666667,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,18.131868131868128,0.0,0.0,0.17224587897435897,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,16.483516483516482,-26.740946175062753,0.0,2.6991318023333335,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,11.538461538461537,-344.79628797747506,0.0,7.4220258999999995,0.0,0.0
-Naive,5.4945054945054945,-146.7179766143382,0.0,0.193622721474359,0.0,0.0
-Drift,1.6483516483516485,-161.010293113985,0.0,0.1885455092948718,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,91.53439153439155,44.0257301550027,0.0,0.3612539066666667,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,85.18518518518519,42.67646308976785,0.0,1.0402703727564104,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,84.65608465608466,42.89784402878507,0.0,2.398295585576923,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,80.95238095238095,42.58037472652917,0.0,1.0909461926282051,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,79.36507936507937,42.05186473784456,0.0,0.34079166541795664,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,79.36507936507937,42.389618394267615,0.0,5.510428407333333,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,75.13227513227513,41.88624154012951,0.0,0.11997201882198961,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,75.13227513227513,41.10947919178341,0.0,1.8156494689102565,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,72.48677248677248,39.7795308730858,0.0,258.6113400144229,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,69.3121693121693,41.25081408595533,0.0,0.22678239423076924,0.0,0.0
+TFT,59.25925925925925,35.28274979848835,235.31247926551285,0.31370569066666665,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,53.96825396825397,37.62294495333535,0.0,0.17352653333333334,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,53.43915343915344,39.04058286932375,0.0,32.678425597307694,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,52.116402116402114,37.28267455060899,0.0,0.2157764139102564,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,52.116402116402114,37.28267455060899,0.0,2.231891133374613,1.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,51.85185185185185,36.53371858952617,0.0,157.00341927416665,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,49.2063492063492,34.81362887689631,467.93394356724366,1.364175630448718,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,42.85714285714285,28.352379402273474,225.99726746077397,0.38466677993589743,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,39.15343915343915,33.55369921291073,0.0,7.825935737058823,0.0,0.0
+AutoARIMA,27.513227513227516,12.567557563101495,0.0,166.32244655789742,0.0,14.285714285714285
+CatBoost,25.396825396825403,18.14162293295429,21.985520585705128,0.26383776833333333,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,24.33862433862434,5.668302598674924,0.0,226.8116654464487,0.0,14.285714285714285
+LightGBM,24.33862433862434,18.571486122225835,2.110697158974359,0.21163459766666667,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,17.460317460317455,0.0,0.0,0.17224587897435897,0.0,0.0
+AutoTheta,15.873015873015872,-26.740946175062753,0.0,2.6991318023333335,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,11.111111111111109,-344.79628797747506,0.0,7.4220258999999995,0.0,0.0
+Naive,5.291005291005291,-146.7179766143382,0.0,0.193622721474359,0.0,0.0
+Drift,1.5873015873015872,-161.010293113985,0.0,0.1885455092948718,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_mobility/leaderboard_WAPE.csv

@@ -1,28 +1,29 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Chronos-2,87.36263736263736,31.4266145251638,0.0,0.3612539066666667,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-1B,84.06593406593406,30.040761293064854,0.0,2.398295585576923,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-313m,82.96703296703298,29.64325026676846,0.0,1.0909461926282051,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,82.41758241758244,30.138028587482914,0.0,1.0402703727564104,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,81.86813186813187,29.487453453885294,0.0,5.510428407333333,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,76.92307692307693,28.54102491089481,0.0,1.8156494689102565,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS-3,70.87912087912088,27.003058480070795,0.0,258.6113400144229,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,69.78021978021978,28.6697990451958,0.0,0.34079166541795664,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-22m,69.23076923076923,27.95924087455105,0.0,0.22678239423076924,0.0,0.0
-TFT,57.692307692307686,22.688998509483994,235.31247926551285,0.31370569066666665,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,53.84615384615385,25.32355760868511,0.0,157.00341927416665,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,53.2967032967033,25.92723519256259,0.0,32.678425597307694,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,51.92307692307693,25.18849985695557,0.0,2.231891133374613,1.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,51.92307692307693,25.18849985695557,0.0,0.2157764139102564,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-4m,50.54945054945055,22.970522942844074,0.0,0.17352653333333334,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,48.35164835164835,23.330206407241285,0.0,7.825935737058823,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,45.604395604395606,21.081187839834037,467.93394356724366,1.364175630448718,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,42.307692307692314,19.108828334469262,21.985520585705128,0.26383776833333333,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,39.010989010989015,19.415152538379978,2.110697158974359,0.21163459766666667,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,37.912087912087905,16.97148442691696,225.99726746077397,0.38466677993589743,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,28.57142857142857,6.5098083173125705,0.0,226.8116654464487,0.0,14.285714285714285
-AutoARIMA,24.725274725274726,2.9139047191151235,0.0,166.32244655789742,0.0,14.285714285714285
-Seasonal Naive,19.230769230769234,0.0,0.0,0.17224587897435897,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,17.582417582417584,0.04374386375031181,0.0,2.6991318023333335,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,14.835164835164836,-23.08073712658869,0.0,7.4220258999999995,0.0,0.0
-Naive,6.043956043956044,-43.56382539762269,0.0,0.193622721474359,0.0,0.0
-Drift,1.0989010989010988,-58.78908533558298,0.0,0.1885455092948718,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,86.77248677248677,31.4266145251638,0.0,0.3612539066666667,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,84.65608465608466,30.040761293064854,0.0,2.398295585576923,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,83.06878306878308,29.64325026676846,0.0,1.0909461926282051,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,82.01058201058201,29.487453453885294,0.0,5.510428407333333,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,81.48148148148148,30.138028587482914,0.0,1.0402703727564104,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,76.1904761904762,28.54102491089481,0.0,1.8156494689102565,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,69.84126984126985,28.23741951420192,0.0,0.11997201882198961,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,69.84126984126985,27.003058480070795,0.0,258.6113400144229,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,69.31216931216932,28.6697990451958,0.0,0.34079166541795664,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,67.1957671957672,27.95924087455105,0.0,0.22678239423076924,0.0,0.0
+TFT,57.14285714285714,22.688998509483994,235.31247926551285,0.31370569066666665,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,52.38095238095239,25.32355760868511,0.0,157.00341927416665,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,51.322751322751316,25.92723519256259,0.0,32.678425597307694,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,51.05820105820106,25.18849985695557,0.0,0.2157764139102564,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,51.05820105820106,25.18849985695557,0.0,2.231891133374613,1.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,49.2063492063492,22.970522942844074,0.0,0.17352653333333334,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,47.08994708994709,23.330206407241285,0.0,7.825935737058823,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,44.97354497354497,21.081187839834037,467.93394356724366,1.364175630448718,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,41.798941798941804,19.108828334469262,21.985520585705128,0.26383776833333333,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,38.62433862433862,19.415152538379978,2.110697158974359,0.21163459766666667,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,37.03703703703703,16.97148442691696,225.99726746077397,0.38466677993589743,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,27.513227513227513,6.5098083173125705,0.0,226.8116654464487,0.0,14.285714285714285
+AutoARIMA,23.809523809523807,2.9139047191151235,0.0,166.32244655789742,0.0,14.285714285714285
+Seasonal Naive,18.51851851851852,0.0,0.0,0.17224587897435897,0.0,0.0
+AutoTheta,16.931216931216934,0.04374386375031181,0.0,2.6991318023333335,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,14.285714285714285,-23.08073712658869,0.0,7.4220258999999995,0.0,0.0
+Naive,5.82010582010582,-43.56382539762269,0.0,0.193622721474359,0.0,0.0
+Drift,1.0582010582010581,-58.78908533558298,0.0,0.1885455092948718,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_mobility/leaderboard_WQL.csv

@@ -1,28 +1,29 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Chronos-2,89.56043956043958,44.54705190137261,0.0,0.3612539066666667,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,85.71428571428572,43.23343389055629,0.0,1.0402703727564104,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,88.88888888888889,44.54705190137261,0.0,0.3612539066666667,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-1B,85.71428571428571,43.57639471435733,0.0,2.398295585576923,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,82.96703296703298,43.15731600629924,0.0,5.510428407333333,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-313m,81.86813186813188,43.095077993747296,0.0,1.0909461926282051,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS-3,76.37362637362635,40.91138061014927,0.0,258.6113400144229,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,73.62637362637362,41.75327825678771,0.0,1.8156494689102565,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,73.07692307692307,42.41994460150037,0.0,0.34079166541795664,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-22m,70.87912087912088,41.89301824181608,0.0,0.22678239423076924,0.0,0.0
-TFT,63.73626373626373,36.840744132528904,235.31247926551285,0.31370569066666665,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,56.04395604395604,37.74075942414697,0.0,157.00341927416665,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,55.494505494505496,39.810526410008265,0.0,32.678425597307694,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-4m,54.395604395604394,38.05335876302368,0.0,0.17352653333333334,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,53.84615384615385,36.14199113093005,467.93394356724366,1.364175630448718,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,53.02197802197802,37.73183131937476,0.0,2.231891133374613,1.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,53.02197802197802,37.73183131937476,0.0,0.2157764139102564,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,41.208791208791204,34.17893470020018,0.0,7.825935737058823,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,40.65934065934066,28.980793211199895,225.99726746077397,0.38466677993589743,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,29.120879120879124,12.839232215840235,0.0,166.32244655789742,0.0,14.285714285714285
-CatBoost,26.923076923076927,19.204492596603718,21.985520585705128,0.26383776833333333,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,25.82417582417583,19.51045461394707,2.110697158974359,0.21163459766666667,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,23.626373626373628,3.9294085240204057,0.0,226.8116654464487,0.0,14.285714285714285
-Seasonal Naive,18.68131868131868,0.0,0.0,0.17224587897435897,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,15.934065934065933,-35.07795159983096,0.0,2.6991318023333335,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,11.538461538461537,-351.4556695151647,0.0,7.4220258999999995,0.0,0.0
-Naive,5.4945054945054945,-144.85036530396843,0.0,0.193622721474359,0.0,0.0
-Drift,1.6483516483516485,-159.03481525283004,0.0,0.1885455092948718,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,84.65608465608467,43.23343389055629,0.0,1.0402703727564104,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,83.06878306878306,43.15731600629924,0.0,5.510428407333333,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,82.01058201058203,43.095077993747296,0.0,1.0909461926282051,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,75.13227513227511,40.91138061014927,0.0,258.6113400144229,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,73.01587301587303,42.41994460150037,0.0,0.34079166541795664,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,73.01587301587301,41.75327825678771,0.0,1.8156494689102565,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,71.95767195767195,41.95261502258993,0.0,0.11997201882198961,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,69.3121693121693,41.89301824181608,0.0,0.22678239423076924,0.0,0.0
+TFT,62.433862433862416,36.840744132528904,235.31247926551285,0.31370569066666665,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,54.497354497354486,37.74075942414697,0.0,157.00341927416665,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,53.43915343915344,39.810526410008265,0.0,32.678425597307694,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,52.910052910052904,36.14199113093005,467.93394356724366,1.364175630448718,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,52.910052910052904,38.05335876302368,0.0,0.17352653333333334,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,52.116402116402114,37.73183131937476,0.0,0.2157764139102564,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,52.116402116402114,37.73183131937476,0.0,2.231891133374613,1.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,40.21164021164021,34.17893470020018,0.0,7.825935737058823,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,39.682539682539684,28.980793211199895,225.99726746077397,0.38466677993589743,0.0,0.0
+AutoARIMA,28.042328042328045,12.839232215840235,0.0,166.32244655789742,0.0,14.285714285714285
+CatBoost,25.92592592592593,19.204492596603718,21.985520585705128,0.26383776833333333,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,24.86772486772487,19.51045461394707,2.110697158974359,0.21163459766666667,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,22.751322751322753,3.9294085240204057,0.0,226.8116654464487,0.0,14.285714285714285
+Seasonal Naive,17.989417989417987,0.0,0.0,0.17224587897435897,0.0,0.0
+AutoTheta,15.343915343915343,-35.07795159983096,0.0,2.6991318023333335,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,11.111111111111109,-351.4556695151647,0.0,7.4220258999999995,0.0,0.0
+Naive,5.291005291005291,-144.85036530396843,0.0,0.193622721474359,0.0,0.0
+Drift,1.5873015873015872,-159.03481525283004,0.0,0.1885455092948718,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_mobility/pairwise_MASE.csv

@@ -1,257 +1,257 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.019,-0.004,0.059
-Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.017,-0.024,0.061
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.023,-0.005,0.069
+Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.017,-0.024,0.061
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.028,-0.004,0.074
 Chronos-2,FlowState,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.041,0.003,0.083
 Chronos-2,TiRex,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.034,0.009,0.076
+Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.037,0.005,0.089
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.069,0.01,0.138
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.051,0.009,0.117
 Chronos-2,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.124,0.027,0.265
-Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.077,0.03,0.14
-Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.08,0.037,0.13
 Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.08,0.037,0.13
-Chronos-2,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.103,0.061,0.146
+Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.08,0.037,0.13
+Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.077,0.03,0.14
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.09,0.05,0.128
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.313,0.233,0.391
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.02,-0.063,0.004
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.002,-0.038,0.036
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.004,-0.002,0.01
+Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.002,-0.038,0.036
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.008,-0.002,0.02
 Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.022,-0.007,0.059
 Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.015,0.005,0.027
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.018,0.006,0.034
 Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.05,0.004,0.118
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.032,0.008,0.063
 Toto-2.0-1B,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.106,0.001,0.254
-Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.059,0.03,0.093
-Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.062,0.022,0.111
 Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.062,0.022,0.111
-Toto-2.0-1B,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.085,0.039,0.135
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.062,0.022,0.111
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.059,0.03,0.093
 Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.072,0.039,0.098
 Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.299,0.225,0.368
-TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.018,-0.065,0.024
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.002,-0.038,0.037
-TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.006,-0.035,0.042
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.011,-0.025,0.043
-TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.024,0.01,0.038
-TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.017,-0.021,0.051
-TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.052,0.008,0.103
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.034,-0.024,0.09
-TimesFM-2.5,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.108,0.007,0.239
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.061,-0.003,0.117
-TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.064,0.022,0.113
-TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.064,0.022,0.113
-TimesFM-2.5,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.087,0.048,0.127
-TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.074,0.041,0.11
-TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.301,0.204,0.39
 Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.024,-0.074,0.005
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.004,-0.011,0.002
-Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.006,-0.044,0.033
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.006,-0.044,0.033
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.004,-0.004,0.013
 Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.018,-0.014,0.057
 Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.011,-0.002,0.025
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.014,0.003,0.027
 Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.046,0.0,0.113
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.028,0.006,0.055
 Toto-2.0-313m,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.103,-0.008,0.254
-Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.055,0.028,0.086
-Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.058,0.019,0.105
 Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.058,0.019,0.105
-Toto-2.0-313m,Sundial-Base,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.082,0.03,0.133
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.058,0.019,0.105
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.055,0.028,0.086
 Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.068,0.033,0.098
 Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.297,0.224,0.365
+TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.018,-0.065,0.024
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.002,-0.038,0.037
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.006,-0.035,0.042
+TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.011,-0.025,0.043
+TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.024,0.01,0.038
+TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.017,-0.021,0.051
+TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.02,-0.024,0.062
+TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.052,0.008,0.103
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.034,-0.024,0.09
+TimesFM-2.5,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.108,0.007,0.239
+TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.064,0.022,0.113
+TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.064,0.022,0.113
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.061,-0.003,0.117
+TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.074,0.041,0.11
+TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.301,0.204,0.39
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.028,-0.079,0.004
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.009,-0.021,0.002
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.011,-0.045,0.024
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.004,-0.014,0.004
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.011,-0.045,0.024
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.014,-0.014,0.047
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.007,-0.009,0.02
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.01,-0.004,0.022
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.042,0.004,0.101
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.024,-0.007,0.052
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.099,-0.014,0.25
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.051,0.019,0.083
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.054,0.022,0.092
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.054,0.022,0.092
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Sundial-Base,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.078,0.028,0.127
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.054,0.022,0.092
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.051,0.019,0.083
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.064,0.03,0.094
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.293,0.215,0.364
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.043,-0.09,-0.003
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.023,-0.062,0.007
-FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.025,-0.039,-0.01
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.018,-0.06,0.014
+FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.025,-0.039,-0.01
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.014,-0.049,0.014
 FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 FlowState,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.007,-0.046,0.022
+FlowState,TiRex-2,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.004,-0.049,0.032
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.029,-0.01,0.081
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.01,-0.052,0.063
 FlowState,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.086,-0.018,0.218
-FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.037,-0.027,0.09
-FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.04,0.002,0.079
 FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.04,0.002,0.079
-FlowState,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.065,0.032,0.097
+FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.04,0.002,0.079
+FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.037,-0.027,0.09
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.051,0.026,0.083
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.284,0.193,0.366
 TiRex,Chronos-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.035,-0.082,-0.009
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.015,-0.028,-0.005
-TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.017,-0.054,0.02
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.011,-0.026,0.002
+TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.017,-0.054,0.02
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.007,-0.02,0.009
 TiRex,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.007,-0.022,0.044
 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,TiRex-2,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.003,-0.01,0.018
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.036,-0.006,0.104
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.017,-0.007,0.048
 TiRex,TFT,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.093,-0.014,0.239
-TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.044,0.016,0.075
-TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.047,0.014,0.095
 TiRex,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.047,0.014,0.095
-TiRex,Sundial-Base,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.071,0.027,0.116
+TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.047,0.014,0.095
+TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.044,0.016,0.075
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.057,0.024,0.087
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.289,0.214,0.356
+TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.038,-0.098,-0.005
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.018,-0.035,-0.006
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.014,-0.027,-0.003
+TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.02,-0.066,0.024
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.01,-0.022,0.004
+TiRex-2,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.004,-0.033,0.047
+TiRex-2,TiRex,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.003,-0.018,0.01
+TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.033,-0.011,0.103
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.014,-0.004,0.032
+TiRex-2,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.09,-0.031,0.244
+TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.045,0.005,0.092
+TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.045,0.005,0.092
+TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.041,0.019,0.065
+TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.055,0.02,0.088
+TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.287,0.218,0.352
 TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.074,-0.16,-0.01
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.053,-0.134,-0.004
-TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.055,-0.115,-0.009
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.049,-0.128,-0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.055,-0.115,-0.009
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.044,-0.112,-0.004
 TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.03,-0.088,0.01
 TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.037,-0.116,0.006
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.034,-0.114,0.011
 TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.019,-0.118,0.04
 TabPFN-TS-3,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.059,-0.093,0.223
-TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.009,-0.092,0.07
-TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.012,-0.03,0.051
 TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.012,-0.03,0.051
-TabPFN-TS-3,Sundial-Base,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.037,-0.032,0.097
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.012,-0.03,0.051
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.009,-0.092,0.07
 TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.023,-0.046,0.074
 TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.262,0.138,0.349
 Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.053,-0.133,-0.009
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.033,-0.067,-0.008
-Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.035,-0.099,0.024
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.029,-0.058,-0.006
+Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.035,-0.099,0.024
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.024,-0.055,0.007
 Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.01,-0.067,0.049
 Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.018,-0.05,0.007
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.015,-0.033,0.004
 Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.019,-0.042,0.106
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-22m,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.077,-0.063,0.239
-Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.028,0.015,0.041
-Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.031,-0.021,0.093
 Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.031,-0.021,0.093
-Toto-2.0-22m,Sundial-Base,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.055,-0.011,0.119
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.031,-0.021,0.093
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.028,0.015,0.041
 Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.041,-0.007,0.085
 Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.276,0.213,0.338
 TFT,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.141,-0.36,-0.027
 TFT,Toto-2.0-1B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.119,-0.341,-0.001
-TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.122,-0.315,-0.008
 TFT,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.115,-0.341,0.008
+TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.122,-0.315,-0.008
 TFT,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.11,-0.334,0.014
 TFT,FlowState,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.094,-0.279,0.017
 TFT,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.102,-0.314,0.014
+TFT,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.099,-0.323,0.03
 TFT,TabPFN-TS-3,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.063,-0.288,0.085
 TFT,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.083,-0.314,0.06
 TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TFT,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.054,-0.283,0.085
-TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.05,-0.267,0.086
 TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.05,-0.267,0.086
-TFT,Sundial-Base,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.024,-0.166,0.073
+TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.05,-0.267,0.086
+TFT,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.054,-0.283,0.085
 TFT,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.429,1.0,-0.039,-0.214,0.071
 TFT,Seasonal Naive,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.216,0.01,0.356
-Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.083,-0.163,-0.031
-Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.062,-0.103,-0.031
-Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.065,-0.133,0.003
-Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.058,-0.094,-0.029
-Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.053,-0.09,-0.019
-Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.039,-0.099,0.026
-Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.046,-0.081,-0.016
-Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.009,-0.076,0.084
-Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.028,-0.043,-0.016
-Toto-1.0,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.051,-0.093,0.221
-Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.003,-0.048,0.065
-Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.003,-0.048,0.065
-Toto-1.0,Sundial-Base,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.028,-0.042,0.098
-Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.014,-0.045,0.069
-Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.256,0.189,0.319
-Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.087,-0.149,-0.038
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.066,-0.125,-0.023
-Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.068,-0.127,-0.022
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.061,-0.117,-0.019
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.057,-0.102,-0.022
-Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.042,-0.086,-0.002
-Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.05,-0.105,-0.014
-Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.012,-0.053,0.029
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.032,-0.103,0.021
-Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.048,-0.094,0.21
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.003,-0.07,0.045
-Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,0.429,0.0,0.714,0.025,-0.024,0.08
-Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.011,-0.045,0.059
-Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.253,0.16,0.33
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.087,-0.149,-0.038
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.066,-0.125,-0.023
-Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.068,-0.127,-0.022
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.061,-0.117,-0.019
+Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.068,-0.127,-0.022
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.057,-0.102,-0.022
 Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.042,-0.086,-0.002
 Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.05,-0.105,-0.014
+Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.047,-0.101,-0.005
 Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.012,-0.053,0.029
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.032,-0.103,0.021
 Moirai-2.0,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.048,-0.094,0.21
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.003,-0.07,0.045
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,Sundial-Base,0.429,0.0,0.714,0.025,-0.024,0.08
+Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.003,-0.07,0.045
 Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.011,-0.045,0.059
 Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.253,0.16,0.33
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.115,-0.171,-0.065
-Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.093,-0.156,-0.04
-Sundial-Base,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.096,-0.145,-0.05
-Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.089,-0.154,-0.03
-Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.084,-0.146,-0.029
-Sundial-Base,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.069,-0.108,-0.033
-Sundial-Base,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.077,-0.131,-0.027
-Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS-3,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.039,-0.107,0.031
-Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-22m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.058,-0.135,0.011
-Sundial-Base,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.023,-0.079,0.143
-Sundial-Base,Toto-1.0,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.029,-0.109,0.04
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.286,1.0,-0.026,-0.087,0.023
-Sundial-Base,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.286,1.0,-0.026,-0.087,0.023
-Sundial-Base,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.015,-0.054,0.02
-Sundial-Base,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.234,0.136,0.317
+Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.087,-0.149,-0.038
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.066,-0.125,-0.023
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.061,-0.117,-0.019
+Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.068,-0.127,-0.022
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.057,-0.102,-0.022
+Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.042,-0.086,-0.002
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.05,-0.105,-0.014
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.047,-0.101,-0.005
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.012,-0.053,0.029
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.032,-0.103,0.021
+Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.048,-0.094,0.21
+Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.003,-0.07,0.045
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.011,-0.045,0.059
+Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.253,0.16,0.33
+Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.083,-0.163,-0.031
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.062,-0.103,-0.031
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.058,-0.094,-0.029
+Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.065,-0.133,0.003
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.053,-0.09,-0.019
+Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.039,-0.099,0.026
+Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.046,-0.081,-0.016
+Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.043,-0.069,-0.019
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.009,-0.076,0.084
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.028,-0.043,-0.016
+Toto-1.0,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.051,-0.093,0.221
+Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.003,-0.048,0.065
+Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.003,-0.048,0.065
+Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.014,-0.045,0.069
+Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.256,0.189,0.319
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.098,-0.147,-0.053
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.077,-0.108,-0.041
-TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.079,-0.124,-0.042
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.073,-0.108,-0.035
+TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.079,-0.124,-0.042
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.068,-0.103,-0.031
 TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.053,-0.09,-0.026
 TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.061,-0.096,-0.025
+TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.058,-0.096,-0.02
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.023,-0.079,0.044
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.043,-0.093,0.007
 TabPFN-TS,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,0.038,-0.077,0.177
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.014,-0.074,0.043
-TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.011,-0.062,0.043
 TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.011,-0.062,0.043
-TabPFN-TS,Sundial-Base,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.015,-0.021,0.051
+TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.011,-0.062,0.043
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.014,-0.074,0.043
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.245,0.162,0.319
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.456,-0.641,-0.304
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.427,-0.582,-0.291
-Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.43,-0.639,-0.257
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.422,-0.575,-0.289
+Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.43,-0.639,-0.257
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.415,-0.573,-0.274
 Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.396,-0.577,-0.238
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.406,-0.554,-0.272
+Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.402,-0.542,-0.279
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.356,-0.536,-0.16
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.382,-0.512,-0.27
 Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.275,-0.552,-0.01
-Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.344,-0.468,-0.232
-Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.339,-0.492,-0.191
 Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.339,-0.492,-0.191
-Seasonal Naive,Sundial-Base,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.305,-0.465,-0.157
+Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.339,-0.492,-0.191
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.344,-0.468,-0.232
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.325,-0.469,-0.194
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_mobility/pairwise_SQL.csv

@@ -1,257 +1,257 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.024,-0.013,0.065
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.02,-0.007,0.057
+Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.024,-0.013,0.065
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.025,-0.008,0.07
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.028,-0.004,0.074
 Chronos-2,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.034,0.012,0.07
+Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.037,0.006,0.085
 Chronos-2,FlowState,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.05,0.013,0.09
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.071,0.011,0.146
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.047,0.006,0.111
 Chronos-2,TFT,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.135,0.036,0.278
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.103,0.044,0.169
 Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.082,0.044,0.137
-Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.118,0.065,0.171
 Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.108,0.053,0.172
 Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.108,0.053,0.172
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.44,0.347,0.521
-TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.024,-0.069,0.013
-TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.004,-0.05,0.034
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.002,-0.046,0.042
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.005,-0.036,0.042
-TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.011,-0.028,0.042
-TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.027,0.016,0.038
-TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.048,0.009,0.096
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.024,-0.038,0.08
-TimesFM-2.5,TFT,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.114,0.011,0.253
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.081,0.002,0.157
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.06,0.005,0.11
-TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.097,0.05,0.142
-TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.086,0.044,0.139
-TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.086,0.044,0.139
-TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.427,0.314,0.522
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.02,-0.06,0.007
-Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.004,-0.035,0.048
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.004,-0.035,0.048
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.006,-0.001,0.014
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.009,-0.003,0.021
 Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.015,-0.002,0.031
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.017,0.002,0.036
 Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.03,-0.001,0.07
 Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.052,-0.001,0.124
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.028,0.005,0.058
 Toto-2.0-1B,TFT,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.118,0.011,0.273
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.085,0.042,0.131
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.063,0.038,0.093
-Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.1,0.047,0.164
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.09,0.028,0.164
 Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.09,0.028,0.164
 Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.429,0.332,0.513
+TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.024,-0.069,0.013
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.004,-0.05,0.034
+TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.002,-0.046,0.042
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.005,-0.036,0.042
+TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.011,-0.028,0.042
+TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.014,-0.031,0.055
+TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.027,0.016,0.038
+TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.048,0.009,0.096
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.024,-0.038,0.08
+TimesFM-2.5,TFT,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.114,0.011,0.253
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.081,0.002,0.157
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.06,0.005,0.11
+TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.086,0.044,0.139
+TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.086,0.044,0.139
+TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.427,0.314,0.522
 Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.026,-0.075,0.008
-Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.002,-0.044,0.044
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.006,-0.014,0.001
+Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.002,-0.044,0.044
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.003,-0.004,0.012
 Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.009,-0.01,0.029
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.012,-0.002,0.028
 Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.025,-0.008,0.065
 Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.047,-0.005,0.12
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.023,0.002,0.049
 Toto-2.0-313m,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.113,-0.0,0.271
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.079,0.038,0.121
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.058,0.034,0.085
-Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.095,0.038,0.16
 Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.084,0.023,0.155
 Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.084,0.023,0.155
 Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.426,0.327,0.51
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.029,-0.08,0.004
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.005,-0.044,0.035
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.009,-0.022,0.003
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.005,-0.044,0.035
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.003,-0.012,0.004
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.006,-0.011,0.024
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.571,0.286,1.0,0.009,-0.004,0.022
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.022,-0.008,0.055
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.043,-0.002,0.11
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.019,-0.005,0.045
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TFT,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.11,-0.003,0.266
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.076,0.031,0.122
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.055,0.03,0.081
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.092,0.036,0.156
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.081,0.027,0.148
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.081,0.027,0.148
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.424,0.323,0.51
 TiRex,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.035,-0.076,-0.012
-TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.011,-0.044,0.027
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.015,-0.032,0.002
+TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.011,-0.044,0.027
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.009,-0.03,0.01
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.006,-0.024,0.011
 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,TiRex-2,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.003,-0.01,0.017
 TiRex,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.016,-0.011,0.051
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.038,-0.007,0.11
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.014,-0.013,0.045
 TiRex,TFT,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.105,0.005,0.253
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.071,0.022,0.119
 TiRex,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.049,0.029,0.073
-TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.087,0.029,0.145
 TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.076,0.024,0.15
 TiRex,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.076,0.024,0.15
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.421,0.325,0.506
+TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.038,-0.093,-0.006
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.018,-0.037,-0.002
+TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.014,-0.058,0.03
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.012,-0.029,0.002
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.0,0.714,-0.009,-0.023,0.004
+TiRex-2,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.003,-0.017,0.01
+TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.013,-0.021,0.052
+TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.035,-0.01,0.108
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.011,-0.008,0.031
+TiRex-2,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.102,-0.012,0.258
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.068,0.027,0.109
+TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.047,0.029,0.063
+TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.073,0.019,0.145
+TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.073,0.019,0.145
+TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.419,0.322,0.502
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.052,-0.099,-0.013
-FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.027,-0.039,-0.016
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.031,-0.076,0.001
+FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.027,-0.039,-0.016
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.026,-0.07,0.008
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.022,-0.059,0.008
 FlowState,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.016,-0.053,0.01
+FlowState,TiRex-2,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.013,-0.054,0.021
 FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.282,0.857,0.022,-0.011,0.071
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.002,-0.062,0.048
 FlowState,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.09,-0.02,0.235
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.056,-0.021,0.125
 FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.034,-0.017,0.078
-FlowState,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.072,0.027,0.116
 FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.061,0.021,0.114
 FlowState,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.061,0.021,0.114
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.411,0.301,0.504
 TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.076,-0.171,-0.011
-TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.051,-0.107,-0.009
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.055,-0.142,0.001
+TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.051,-0.107,-0.009
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.049,-0.136,0.005
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.045,-0.123,0.002
 TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.039,-0.123,0.007
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.036,-0.121,0.01
 TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.718,-0.023,-0.077,0.01
 TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.025,-0.127,0.037
 TabPFN-TS-3,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.069,-0.088,0.235
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.035,-0.085,0.113
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.012,-0.083,0.069
-TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.051,-0.028,0.118
 TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.04,0.014,0.074
 TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.04,0.014,0.074
 TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.398,0.268,0.502
 Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.05,-0.125,-0.006
-Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.025,-0.087,0.037
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.029,-0.062,-0.005
+Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.025,-0.087,0.037
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.023,-0.051,-0.002
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.02,-0.047,0.005
 Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.014,-0.047,0.013
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.011,-0.032,0.007
 Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.002,-0.05,0.058
 Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.024,-0.039,0.113
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-22m,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.092,-0.042,0.259
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.058,0.027,0.092
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.036,0.023,0.051
-Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.074,-0.003,0.15
 Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.063,-0.005,0.147
 Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.063,-0.005,0.147
 Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.413,0.315,0.494
 TFT,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.156,-0.385,-0.038
-TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.129,-0.339,-0.011
 TFT,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.133,-0.375,-0.011
+TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.129,-0.339,-0.011
 TFT,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.127,-0.373,0.0
 TFT,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.123,-0.362,0.003
 TFT,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.117,-0.339,-0.005
+TFT,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.114,-0.347,0.012
 TFT,FlowState,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.099,-0.307,0.019
 TFT,TabPFN-TS-3,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.075,-0.306,0.081
 TFT,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.102,-0.35,0.04
 TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TFT,Toto-2.0-4m,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.038,-0.282,0.112
 TFT,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.062,-0.283,0.066
-TFT,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.429,1.0,-0.02,-0.156,0.074
 TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,-0.032,-0.249,0.122
 TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.714,0.429,1.0,-0.032,-0.249,0.122
 TFT,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.353,0.219,0.471
 Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.114,-0.204,-0.046
-Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.088,-0.186,-0.002
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.092,-0.151,-0.044
+Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.088,-0.186,-0.002
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.086,-0.137,-0.04
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.083,-0.139,-0.032
 Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.076,-0.135,-0.022
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.073,-0.122,-0.028
 Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.059,-0.143,0.021
 Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.036,-0.128,0.078
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.062,-0.101,-0.028
 Toto-2.0-4m,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.036,-0.126,0.22
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.023,-0.065,0.013
-Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.017,-0.076,0.116
 Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.005,-0.083,0.107
 Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.005,-0.083,0.107
 Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.376,0.285,0.456
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.089,-0.159,-0.046
-Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.063,-0.123,-0.005
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.068,-0.103,-0.039
+Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.063,-0.123,-0.005
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.062,-0.093,-0.035
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.058,-0.088,-0.03
 Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.052,-0.079,-0.03
+Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.049,-0.068,-0.03
 Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.035,-0.085,0.017
 Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.012,-0.074,0.076
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.038,-0.054,-0.023
 Toto-1.0,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.058,-0.071,0.221
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.023,-0.013,0.061
 Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.039,-0.039,0.113
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.028,-0.04,0.11
 Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.028,-0.04,0.11
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.39,0.294,0.473
-TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.134,-0.206,-0.07
-TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.107,-0.165,-0.052
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.111,-0.196,-0.049
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.105,-0.19,-0.04
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.102,-0.184,-0.038
-TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.095,-0.17,-0.03
-TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.078,-0.131,-0.028
-TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.054,-0.134,0.027
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.08,-0.176,0.003
-TabPFN-TS,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,0.019,-0.08,0.135
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.017,-0.131,0.071
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.041,-0.127,0.037
-TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.012,-0.096,0.072
-TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.012,-0.096,0.072
-TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.365,0.268,0.459
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.12,-0.208,-0.056
-Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.094,-0.161,-0.046
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.098,-0.195,-0.029
+Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.094,-0.161,-0.046
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.092,-0.184,-0.024
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.089,-0.173,-0.028
 Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.082,-0.176,-0.025
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.079,-0.17,-0.019
 Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.065,-0.129,-0.022
 Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.041,-0.08,-0.015
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.068,-0.173,0.005
 Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,0.031,-0.138,0.199
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.005,-0.12,0.077
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.029,-0.124,0.038
-Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.012,-0.077,0.088
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.373,0.248,0.474
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.12,-0.208,-0.056
-Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.094,-0.161,-0.046
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.098,-0.195,-0.029
+Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.094,-0.161,-0.046
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.092,-0.184,-0.024
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.089,-0.173,-0.028
 Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.082,-0.176,-0.025
+Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.079,-0.17,-0.019
 Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.065,-0.129,-0.022
 Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.041,-0.08,-0.015
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.068,-0.173,0.005
 Moirai-2.0,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,0.031,-0.138,0.199
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.005,-0.12,0.077
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.029,-0.124,0.038
-Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.012,-0.077,0.088
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.373,0.248,0.474
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.787,-1.087,-0.531
-Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.744,-1.092,-0.458
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.751,-1.054,-0.497
+Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.744,-1.092,-0.458
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.742,-1.042,-0.487
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.736,-1.042,-0.476
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.726,-1.023,-0.482
+Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.721,-1.008,-0.475
 Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.698,-1.017,-0.431
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.661,-1.007,-0.366
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.702,-0.977,-0.46
 Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.545,-0.89,-0.28
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.603,-0.837,-0.4
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.64,-0.897,-0.416
-Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.576,-0.849,-0.366
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.594,-0.902,-0.329
 Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.594,-0.902,-0.329
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_mobility/pairwise_WAPE.csv

@@ -5,15 +5,15 @@ Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.143,0.714,0.025,-0.01,0.082
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.143,0.714,0.028,-0.01,0.083
 Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.018,-0.024,0.065
 Chronos-2,FlowState,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.04,0.004,0.081
+Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.044,0.007,0.106
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.061,0.008,0.13
-Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.048,0.009,0.112
 Chronos-2,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.039,0.011,0.084
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.048,0.009,0.112
 Chronos-2,TFT,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.113,0.018,0.255
-Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.074,0.03,0.134
-Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.11,0.045,0.18
-Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.082,0.049,0.113
-Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.083,0.038,0.134
 Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.083,0.038,0.134
+Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.083,0.038,0.134
+Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.082,0.049,0.113
+Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.074,0.03,0.134
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.314,0.232,0.391
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.571,0.286,0.857,-0.02,-0.072,0.008
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
@@ -21,15 +21,15 @@ Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.006,-0.002,0.016
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.008,-0.003,0.02
 Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.001,-0.035,0.035
 Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.021,-0.013,0.061
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.025,0.011,0.044
 Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.042,-0.012,0.12
-Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.029,0.01,0.051
 Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.019,0.01,0.03
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.029,0.01,0.051
 Toto-2.0-1B,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.095,-0.026,0.244
-Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.056,0.031,0.083
-Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.092,0.039,0.143
-Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.063,0.025,0.097
-Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.065,0.022,0.12
 Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.065,0.022,0.12
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.065,0.022,0.12
+Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.063,0.025,0.097
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.056,0.031,0.083
 Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.3,0.224,0.371
 Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.571,0.286,0.857,-0.026,-0.09,0.01
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.006,-0.017,0.002
@@ -37,15 +37,15 @@ Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.002,-0.006,0.013
 Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.007,-0.047,0.033
 Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.015,-0.025,0.057
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.02,0.007,0.033
 Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.036,-0.024,0.116
-Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.023,0.005,0.039
 Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.014,-0.005,0.03
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.023,0.005,0.039
 Toto-2.0-313m,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.09,-0.041,0.244
-Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.05,0.028,0.075
-Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.087,0.036,0.139
-Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.058,0.011,0.098
-Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.06,0.012,0.116
 Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.06,0.012,0.116
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.06,0.012,0.116
+Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.058,0.011,0.098
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.05,0.028,0.075
 Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.296,0.218,0.369
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.571,0.286,0.857,-0.028,-0.09,0.01
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.008,-0.02,0.003
@@ -53,15 +53,15 @@ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.002,-0.013,0.006
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.009,-0.047,0.026
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.013,-0.022,0.05
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.017,0.0,0.034
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.034,-0.02,0.104
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.021,-0.005,0.042
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.011,-0.008,0.027
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.021,-0.005,0.042
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.088,-0.043,0.24
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.048,0.019,0.074
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.085,0.029,0.14
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.056,0.013,0.093
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.057,0.017,0.104
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.057,0.017,0.104
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.057,0.017,0.104
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.056,0.013,0.093
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.048,0.019,0.074
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.295,0.215,0.366
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.019,-0.069,0.024
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.001,-0.036,0.034
@@ -69,15 +69,15 @@ TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.007,-0.035,0.045
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.009,-0.027,0.045
 TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.022,0.007,0.037
+TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.026,-0.023,0.074
 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,1.0,0.043,-0.004,0.104
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.03,-0.023,0.081
 TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.021,-0.017,0.056
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.03,-0.023,0.081
 TimesFM-2.5,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.096,-0.01,0.224
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.057,-0.003,0.111
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.093,0.007,0.173
-TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.064,0.035,0.097
-TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.066,0.024,0.118
 TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.066,0.024,0.118
+TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.066,0.024,0.118
+TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.064,0.035,0.097
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.057,-0.003,0.111
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.301,0.204,0.392
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.042,-0.088,-0.004
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.021,-0.065,0.012
@@ -85,173 +85,173 @@ FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.016,-0.06,0.024
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.013,-0.052,0.021
 FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.023,-0.039,-0.007
 FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,TiRex-2,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.004,-0.048,0.051
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.021,-0.021,0.077
-FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.008,-0.054,0.06
 FlowState,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.002,-0.043,0.031
+FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.008,-0.054,0.06
 FlowState,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.076,-0.033,0.205
-FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.035,-0.029,0.088
-FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.072,-0.015,0.151
-FlowState,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.043,0.023,0.067
-FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.045,0.007,0.088
 FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.045,0.007,0.088
+FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.045,0.007,0.088
+FlowState,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.043,0.023,0.067
+FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.035,-0.029,0.088
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.285,0.189,0.371
+TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.047,-0.119,-0.007
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.026,-0.046,-0.011
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.02,-0.034,-0.007
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.018,-0.035,-0.0
+TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.027,-0.08,0.022
+TiRex-2,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.004,-0.054,0.045
+TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.017,-0.051,0.103
+TiRex-2,TiRex,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.006,-0.029,0.012
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.004,-0.006,0.011
+TiRex-2,TFT,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.072,-0.075,0.231
+TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.041,-0.011,0.099
+TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.041,-0.011,0.099
+TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.039,-0.009,0.081
+TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.031,0.014,0.05
+TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.282,0.211,0.351
 TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.065,-0.149,-0.008
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.043,-0.136,0.012
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.038,-0.131,0.023
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.035,-0.116,0.02
 TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.0,0.857,-0.045,-0.116,0.004
 TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.022,-0.084,0.02
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.017,-0.114,0.048
 TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.013,-0.121,0.057
 TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.023,-0.113,0.029
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.013,-0.121,0.057
 TabPFN-TS-3,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.056,-0.099,0.215
-TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.015,-0.094,0.083
-TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.052,-0.07,0.139
-TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.022,-0.05,0.073
-TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.024,-0.016,0.062
 TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.024,-0.016,0.062
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.024,-0.016,0.062
+TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.022,-0.05,0.073
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.015,-0.094,0.083
 TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.27,0.138,0.362
-Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.051,-0.127,-0.009
-Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.03,-0.054,-0.01
-Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.024,-0.041,-0.005
-Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.022,-0.044,0.005
-Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.031,-0.088,0.023
-Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.008,-0.064,0.051
-Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.013,-0.061,0.108
-Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.01,-0.036,0.011
-Toto-2.0-22m,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.068,-0.079,0.229
-Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.027,0.015,0.041
-Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.065,0.025,0.109
-Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.035,-0.018,0.083
-Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.037,-0.018,0.103
-Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.037,-0.018,0.103
-Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.28,0.212,0.347
 TiRex,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.04,-0.091,-0.011
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.02,-0.031,-0.01
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.014,-0.031,0.005
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.012,-0.028,0.008
 TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.021,-0.059,0.016
 TiRex,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.002,-0.031,0.041
+TiRex,TiRex-2,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.006,-0.012,0.028
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.023,-0.03,0.101
-TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.01,-0.011,0.034
 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.01,-0.011,0.034
 TiRex,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.077,-0.044,0.226
-TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.037,0.012,0.063
-TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.074,0.019,0.125
-TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.045,0.01,0.078
-TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.047,0.006,0.101
 TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.047,0.006,0.101
+TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.047,0.006,0.101
+TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.045,0.01,0.078
+TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.037,0.012,0.063
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.287,0.21,0.357
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.051,-0.127,-0.009
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.03,-0.054,-0.01
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.024,-0.041,-0.005
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.022,-0.044,0.005
+Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.031,-0.088,0.023
+Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.008,-0.064,0.051
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.004,-0.011,0.006
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.013,-0.061,0.108
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.01,-0.036,0.011
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.068,-0.079,0.229
+Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.037,-0.018,0.103
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.037,-0.018,0.103
+Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.035,-0.018,0.083
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.027,0.015,0.041
+Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.28,0.212,0.347
 TFT,Chronos-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.127,-0.342,-0.018
 TFT,Toto-2.0-1B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.105,-0.322,0.025
 TFT,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.099,-0.323,0.04
 TFT,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.096,-0.317,0.041
 TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.107,-0.289,0.01
 TFT,FlowState,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.082,-0.258,0.032
+TFT,TiRex-2,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.077,-0.3,0.069
 TFT,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.059,-0.273,0.09
-TFT,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.073,-0.296,0.073
 TFT,TiRex,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.084,-0.292,0.042
+TFT,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.073,-0.296,0.073
 TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TFT,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.044,-0.269,0.099
-TFT,Toto-2.0-4m,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.004,-0.235,0.154
-TFT,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.429,1.0,-0.035,-0.202,0.071
-TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.033,-0.24,0.101
 TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.033,-0.24,0.101
+TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.033,-0.24,0.101
+TFT,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.429,1.0,-0.035,-0.202,0.071
+TFT,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.044,-0.269,0.099
 TFT,Seasonal Naive,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.227,0.023,0.368
-Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.08,-0.155,-0.031
-Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.059,-0.09,-0.032
-Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.053,-0.081,-0.029
-Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.05,-0.08,-0.019
-Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.06,-0.125,0.003
-Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.037,-0.096,0.028
-Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.015,-0.09,0.086
-Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.028,-0.042,-0.015
-Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.038,-0.067,-0.013
-Toto-1.0,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.042,-0.11,0.212
-Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.038,0.004,0.084
-Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.008,-0.055,0.066
-Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.01,-0.044,0.076
-Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.01,-0.044,0.076
-Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.259,0.186,0.328
-Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.123,-0.219,-0.047
-Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.101,-0.167,-0.04
-Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.095,-0.161,-0.037
-Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.092,-0.162,-0.029
-Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.103,-0.209,-0.007
-Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.078,-0.178,0.014
-Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.055,-0.162,0.065
-Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.069,-0.122,-0.025
-Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.08,-0.142,-0.02
-Toto-2.0-4m,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.004,-0.183,0.19
-Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.04,-0.091,-0.004
-Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.032,-0.11,0.047
-Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.143,0.861,-0.03,-0.114,0.061
-Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.143,0.861,-0.03,-0.114,0.061
-Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.23,0.179,0.276
-TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.089,-0.128,-0.052
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.067,-0.108,-0.026
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.061,-0.108,-0.011
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.059,-0.102,-0.013
-TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.069,-0.108,-0.036
-TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.045,-0.072,-0.023
-TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.023,-0.079,0.047
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.037,-0.091,0.017
-TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.047,-0.085,-0.01
-TabPFN-TS,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,0.034,-0.077,0.168
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.008,-0.071,0.052
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.031,-0.049,0.099
-TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.286,1.0,0.002,-0.05,0.054
-TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.286,1.0,0.002,-0.05,0.054
-TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.253,0.163,0.331
-Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.091,-0.155,-0.04
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.069,-0.136,-0.023
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.063,-0.131,-0.012
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.061,-0.116,-0.017
-Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.071,-0.134,-0.025
-Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.047,-0.096,-0.007
-Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.025,-0.066,0.016
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.038,-0.115,0.018
-Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.049,-0.112,-0.006
-Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.032,-0.112,0.193
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.01,-0.083,0.042
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.429,0.139,0.857,0.029,-0.065,0.103
-Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.429,0.0,0.714,-0.002,-0.057,0.047
-Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.252,0.148,0.333
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.091,-0.155,-0.04
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.069,-0.136,-0.023
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.063,-0.131,-0.012
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.061,-0.116,-0.017
 Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.071,-0.134,-0.025
 Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.047,-0.096,-0.007
+Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.042,-0.109,0.011
 Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.025,-0.066,0.016
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.038,-0.115,0.018
 Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.049,-0.112,-0.006
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.038,-0.115,0.018
 Moirai-2.0,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.032,-0.112,0.193
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.01,-0.083,0.042
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.429,0.139,0.857,0.029,-0.065,0.103
-Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.429,0.0,0.714,-0.002,-0.057,0.047
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.429,0.0,0.714,-0.002,-0.057,0.047
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.01,-0.083,0.042
 Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.252,0.148,0.333
+Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.091,-0.155,-0.04
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.069,-0.136,-0.023
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.063,-0.131,-0.012
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.061,-0.116,-0.017
+Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.071,-0.134,-0.025
+Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.047,-0.096,-0.007
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.042,-0.109,0.011
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.025,-0.066,0.016
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.049,-0.112,-0.006
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.038,-0.115,0.018
+Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.032,-0.112,0.193
+Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.429,0.0,0.714,-0.002,-0.057,0.047
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.01,-0.083,0.042
+Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.252,0.148,0.333
+TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.089,-0.128,-0.052
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.067,-0.108,-0.026
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.061,-0.108,-0.011
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.059,-0.102,-0.013
+TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.069,-0.108,-0.036
+TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.045,-0.072,-0.023
+TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.041,-0.088,0.009
+TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.023,-0.079,0.047
+TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.047,-0.085,-0.01
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.037,-0.091,0.017
+TabPFN-TS,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,0.034,-0.077,0.168
+TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.286,1.0,0.002,-0.05,0.054
+TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.286,1.0,0.002,-0.05,0.054
+TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.008,-0.071,0.052
+TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.253,0.163,0.331
+Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.08,-0.155,-0.031
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.059,-0.09,-0.032
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.053,-0.081,-0.029
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.05,-0.08,-0.019
+Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.06,-0.125,0.003
+Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.037,-0.096,0.028
+Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.032,-0.053,-0.014
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.015,-0.09,0.086
+Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.038,-0.067,-0.013
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.028,-0.042,-0.015
+Toto-1.0,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.042,-0.11,0.212
+Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.01,-0.044,0.076
+Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.01,-0.044,0.076
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.008,-0.055,0.066
+Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.259,0.186,0.328
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.458,-0.643,-0.303
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.429,-0.591,-0.289
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.421,-0.584,-0.279
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.418,-0.577,-0.274
 Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.431,-0.644,-0.257
 Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.399,-0.59,-0.233
+Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.393,-0.54,-0.267
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.37,-0.567,-0.16
-Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.388,-0.53,-0.269
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.402,-0.555,-0.267
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.388,-0.53,-0.269
 Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.293,-0.583,-0.023
-Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.35,-0.487,-0.228
-Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.298,-0.382,-0.217
-Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.339,-0.495,-0.195
-Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.337,-0.499,-0.174
 Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.337,-0.499,-0.174
+Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.337,-0.499,-0.174
+Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.339,-0.495,-0.195
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.35,-0.487,-0.228
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_mobility/pairwise_WQL.csv

@@ -1,290 +1,290 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.023,-0.013,0.065
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.017,-0.011,0.06
+Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.023,-0.013,0.065
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.143,0.714,0.024,-0.011,0.075
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.026,-0.011,0.079
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.062,0.008,0.137
+Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.045,0.008,0.102
 Chronos-2,FlowState,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.048,0.014,0.086
 Chronos-2,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.037,0.014,0.072
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.046,0.006,0.107
 Chronos-2,TFT,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.122,0.025,0.267
 Chronos-2,DeepAR,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.132,0.051,0.216
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.105,0.046,0.169
-Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.079,0.044,0.129
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.109,0.058,0.168
-Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.109,0.05,0.179
+Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.079,0.044,0.129
 Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.109,0.05,0.179
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.445,0.347,0.528
-TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.024,-0.07,0.013
-TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.006,-0.053,0.031
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.001,-0.04,0.04
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.002,-0.049,0.048
-TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.039,-0.001,0.094
-TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.025,0.015,0.036
-TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.014,-0.025,0.047
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.023,-0.039,0.08
-TimesFM-2.5,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.101,-0.006,0.24
-TimesFM-2.5,DeepAR,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.111,0.022,0.187
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.084,0.001,0.163
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.057,0.004,0.105
-TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.088,0.042,0.134
-TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.088,0.043,0.149
-TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.088,0.043,0.149
-TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.432,0.315,0.529
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.018,-0.064,0.011
-Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.006,-0.032,0.05
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.006,-0.032,0.05
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.007,-0.004,0.019
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.008,-0.001,0.022
 Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.045,-0.012,0.127
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.028,0.012,0.048
 Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.031,-0.002,0.073
 Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.02,0.006,0.035
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.029,0.01,0.052
 Toto-2.0-1B,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.107,-0.013,0.261
 Toto-2.0-1B,DeepAR,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.116,0.047,0.182
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.089,0.043,0.135
-Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.063,0.042,0.084
 Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.094,0.031,0.161
-Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.094,0.03,0.174
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.063,0.042,0.084
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.094,0.03,0.174
 Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.436,0.333,0.522
+TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.024,-0.07,0.013
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.006,-0.053,0.031
+TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.001,-0.04,0.04
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.002,-0.049,0.048
+TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.039,-0.001,0.094
+TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.022,-0.03,0.071
+TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.025,0.015,0.036
+TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.014,-0.025,0.047
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.023,-0.039,0.08
+TimesFM-2.5,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.101,-0.006,0.24
+TimesFM-2.5,DeepAR,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.111,0.022,0.187
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.084,0.001,0.163
+TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.088,0.042,0.134
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.057,0.004,0.105
+TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.088,0.043,0.149
+TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.432,0.315,0.529
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.571,0.286,0.857,-0.025,-0.081,0.011
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.001,-0.042,0.038
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.007,-0.02,0.004
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.001,-0.042,0.038
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.139,0.857,0.001,-0.009,0.009
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.038,-0.019,0.114
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.021,0.004,0.037
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.024,-0.01,0.06
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.013,-0.008,0.031
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.022,-0.0,0.042
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TFT,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.1,-0.028,0.257
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,DeepAR,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.11,0.039,0.172
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.082,0.034,0.131
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.056,0.033,0.077
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.087,0.019,0.157
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.087,0.027,0.16
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.056,0.033,0.077
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.087,0.027,0.16
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.432,0.323,0.521
 Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.026,-0.086,0.011
-Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.002,-0.051,0.046
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.009,-0.022,0.001
+Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.002,-0.051,0.046
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.571,0.143,0.861,-0.001,-0.009,0.009
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.037,-0.03,0.122
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.02,0.008,0.032
 Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.023,-0.019,0.068
 Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.012,-0.012,0.032
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.021,0.007,0.035
 Toto-2.0-313m,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.099,-0.032,0.257
 Toto-2.0-313m,DeepAR,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.109,0.041,0.17
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.081,0.038,0.127
-Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.055,0.036,0.075
 Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.086,0.015,0.158
-Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.086,0.019,0.168
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.055,0.036,0.075
 Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.086,0.019,0.168
 Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.431,0.326,0.518
 TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.066,-0.159,-0.008
-TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.041,-0.104,0.001
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.047,-0.145,0.012
+TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.041,-0.104,0.001
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.04,-0.129,0.019
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.038,-0.139,0.029
 TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.018,-0.123,0.051
 TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.714,0.286,1.0,-0.014,-0.075,0.022
 TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.026,-0.119,0.026
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.017,-0.132,0.058
 TabPFN-TS-3,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.064,-0.093,0.23
 TabPFN-TS-3,DeepAR,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.075,-0.068,0.18
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.046,-0.078,0.134
-TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.018,-0.086,0.083
 TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.051,-0.033,0.119
-TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.051,0.029,0.085
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.018,-0.086,0.083
 TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.051,0.029,0.085
 TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.409,0.27,0.515
+TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.047,-0.114,-0.008
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.029,-0.051,-0.012
+TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.023,-0.076,0.029
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.021,-0.038,-0.004
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.02,-0.034,-0.008
+TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.018,-0.053,0.11
+TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.003,-0.043,0.051
+TiRex-2,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.008,-0.034,0.012
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.001,-0.01,0.011
+TiRex-2,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.081,-0.058,0.241
+TiRex-2,DeepAR,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.091,0.025,0.153
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.063,0.023,0.105
+TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.068,-0.009,0.143
+TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.036,0.022,0.05
+TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.068,0.001,0.151
+TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.42,0.321,0.501
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.05,-0.094,-0.014
-FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.026,-0.037,-0.015
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.032,-0.079,0.002
+FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.026,-0.037,-0.015
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.025,-0.063,0.01
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.024,-0.073,0.019
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.286,0.0,0.714,0.014,-0.022,0.069
+FlowState,TiRex-2,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.003,-0.054,0.042
 FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 FlowState,TiRex,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.012,-0.049,0.016
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.002,-0.065,0.051
 FlowState,TFT,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.078,-0.035,0.221
 FlowState,DeepAR,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.088,-0.002,0.167
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.06,-0.019,0.133
-FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.032,-0.019,0.076
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.064,0.021,0.112
-FlowState,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.065,0.02,0.123
+FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.032,-0.019,0.076
 FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.065,0.02,0.123
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.418,0.304,0.514
 TiRex,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.038,-0.078,-0.015
-TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.014,-0.049,0.024
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.02,-0.037,-0.006
+TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.014,-0.049,0.024
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.013,-0.032,0.007
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.012,-0.034,0.012
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.026,-0.027,0.107
+TiRex,TiRex-2,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.008,-0.012,0.033
 TiRex,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.011,-0.016,0.046
 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.571,0.286,0.857,0.009,-0.017,0.041
 TiRex,TFT,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.088,-0.023,0.237
 TiRex,DeepAR,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.098,0.032,0.162
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.07,0.018,0.12
-TiRex,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.043,0.026,0.064
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.075,0.013,0.139
-TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.075,0.017,0.156
+TiRex,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.043,0.026,0.064
 TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.075,0.017,0.156
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.424,0.325,0.511
 Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.048,-0.12,-0.007
-Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.024,-0.086,0.038
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.03,-0.055,-0.01
+Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.024,-0.086,0.038
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.022,-0.044,0.0
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.021,-0.037,-0.007
 Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.017,-0.062,0.117
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.001,-0.011,0.01
 Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.002,-0.054,0.061
 Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.009,-0.042,0.017
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-22m,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.08,-0.064,0.248
 Toto-2.0-22m,DeepAR,0.857,0.571,1.0,0.09,0.027,0.15
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.062,0.026,0.101
-Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.035,0.019,0.05
 Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.286,1.0,0.067,-0.017,0.149
-Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.067,-0.009,0.156
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.035,0.019,0.05
 Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.067,-0.009,0.156
 Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.419,0.32,0.502
 TFT,Chronos-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.139,-0.364,-0.026
-TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.113,-0.315,0.006
 TFT,Toto-2.0-1B,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.119,-0.353,0.013
+TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.113,-0.315,0.006
 TFT,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.111,-0.346,0.027
 TFT,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.11,-0.346,0.031
 TFT,TabPFN-TS-3,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.069,-0.298,0.085
+TFT,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.088,-0.317,0.055
 TFT,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.714,-0.084,-0.283,0.034
 TFT,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.097,-0.311,0.022
 TFT,Toto-2.0-22m,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.087,-0.329,0.06
 TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TFT,DeepAR,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.011,-0.149,0.139
 TFT,Toto-2.0-4m,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.02,-0.262,0.136
-TFT,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.049,-0.268,0.085
 TFT,TabPFN-TS,0.714,0.429,1.0,-0.014,-0.142,0.075
-TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.714,0.429,1.0,-0.014,-0.221,0.136
+TFT,Toto-1.0,0.571,0.282,0.857,-0.049,-0.268,0.085
 TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.714,0.429,1.0,-0.014,-0.221,0.136
 TFT,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.368,0.241,0.486
 DeepAR,Chronos-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.152,-0.275,-0.053
-DeepAR,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.125,-0.231,-0.023
 DeepAR,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.132,-0.222,-0.049
+DeepAR,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.125,-0.231,-0.023
 DeepAR,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.123,-0.208,-0.04
 DeepAR,Toto-2.0-313m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.122,-0.205,-0.043
 DeepAR,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.081,-0.219,0.064
+DeepAR,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.1,-0.18,-0.025
 DeepAR,FlowState,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.096,-0.2,0.002
 DeepAR,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.109,-0.193,-0.033
 DeepAR,Toto-2.0-22m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.099,-0.177,-0.027
 DeepAR,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.011,-0.162,0.13
 DeepAR,DeepAR,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 DeepAR,Toto-2.0-4m,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.031,-0.128,0.061
-DeepAR,Toto-1.0,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.061,-0.128,0.003
 DeepAR,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.026,-0.144,0.07
-DeepAR,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.143,1.0,-0.026,-0.155,0.105
+DeepAR,Toto-1.0,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.061,-0.128,0.003
 DeepAR,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.143,1.0,-0.026,-0.155,0.105
 DeepAR,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.361,0.239,0.468
 Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.117,-0.203,-0.048
-Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.091,-0.195,-0.001
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.098,-0.157,-0.045
+Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.091,-0.195,-0.001
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.09,-0.151,-0.035
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.089,-0.145,-0.039
 Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.048,-0.155,0.073
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.067,-0.117,-0.023
 Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.064,-0.154,0.019
 Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.076,-0.136,-0.018
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.066,-0.113,-0.026
 Toto-2.0-4m,TFT,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.019,-0.157,0.208
 Toto-2.0-4m,DeepAR,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.03,-0.065,0.113
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.029,-0.079,0.011
 Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.005,-0.099,0.113
-Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.005,-0.092,0.117
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.029,-0.079,0.011
 Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.005,-0.092,0.117
 Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.381,0.287,0.465
-Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.085,-0.149,-0.046
-Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.06,-0.118,-0.004
-Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.067,-0.092,-0.044
-Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.059,-0.083,-0.034
-Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.058,-0.081,-0.037
-Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.019,-0.091,0.079
-Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.033,-0.083,0.019
-Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.045,-0.068,-0.027
-Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.036,-0.053,-0.019
-Toto-1.0,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.047,-0.093,0.211
-Toto-1.0,DeepAR,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.057,-0.003,0.114
-Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.028,-0.012,0.073
-Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.033,-0.05,0.11
-Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.033,-0.037,0.12
-Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.033,-0.037,0.12
-Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.398,0.296,0.483
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.123,-0.202,-0.061
-TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.097,-0.154,-0.044
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.103,-0.191,-0.032
+TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.097,-0.154,-0.044
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.095,-0.186,-0.02
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.094,-0.187,-0.015
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.054,-0.135,0.032
+TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.073,-0.166,0.009
 TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.069,-0.126,-0.022
 TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.081,-0.161,-0.013
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.714,-0.071,-0.175,0.017
 TabPFN-TS,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,0.014,-0.081,0.124
 TabPFN-TS,DeepAR,0.429,0.143,0.857,0.025,-0.075,0.126
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.571,0.143,0.857,-0.005,-0.127,0.09
-TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.034,-0.124,0.047
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.571,0.286,1.0,0.0,-0.087,0.086
+TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.034,-0.124,0.047
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.286,1.0,0.0,-0.087,0.086
 TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.377,0.276,0.476
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.123,-0.218,-0.052
-Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.097,-0.175,-0.045
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.104,-0.21,-0.031
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.095,-0.19,-0.027
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.094,-0.201,-0.019
-Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.054,-0.093,-0.03
-Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.069,-0.14,-0.021
-Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.081,-0.185,-0.017
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.072,-0.185,0.009
-Moirai-2.0,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,0.014,-0.158,0.181
-Moirai-2.0,DeepAR,0.429,0.0,0.857,0.025,-0.117,0.134
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.005,-0.132,0.084
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.035,-0.136,0.036
-Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.429,0.0,0.714,-0.0,-0.094,0.08
-Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.377,0.246,0.48
+Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.085,-0.149,-0.046
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.067,-0.092,-0.044
+Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.06,-0.118,-0.004
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.059,-0.083,-0.034
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.058,-0.081,-0.037
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.019,-0.091,0.079
+Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.037,-0.053,-0.023
+Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.429,0.143,0.857,-0.033,-0.083,0.019
+Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.045,-0.068,-0.027
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.036,-0.053,-0.019
+Toto-1.0,TFT,0.429,0.143,0.718,0.047,-0.093,0.211
+Toto-1.0,DeepAR,0.714,0.429,1.0,0.057,-0.003,0.114
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.028,-0.012,0.073
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.571,0.143,0.857,0.033,-0.05,0.11
+Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.571,0.143,0.861,0.033,-0.037,0.12
+Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.398,0.296,0.483
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.123,-0.218,-0.052
-Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.097,-0.175,-0.045
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.104,-0.21,-0.031
+Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.097,-0.175,-0.045
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.095,-0.19,-0.027
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.094,-0.201,-0.019
 Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.054,-0.093,-0.03
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.073,-0.178,-0.001
 Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.069,-0.14,-0.021
 Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.143,0.0,0.429,-0.081,-0.185,-0.017
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.286,0.0,0.571,-0.072,-0.185,0.009
 Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.286,0.0,0.571,0.014,-0.158,0.181
 Chronos-Bolt,DeepAR,0.429,0.0,0.857,0.025,-0.117,0.134
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.005,-0.132,0.084
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.035,-0.136,0.036
 Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.429,0.0,0.714,-0.0,-0.094,0.08
-Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.429,0.139,0.857,-0.035,-0.136,0.036
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.377,0.246,0.48
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.803,-1.12,-0.532
-Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.762,-1.122,-0.461
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.772,-1.094,-0.499
+Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.762,-1.122,-0.461
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.759,-1.087,-0.477
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.757,-1.076,-0.483
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.692,-1.063,-0.37
+Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.723,-1.006,-0.472
 Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.717,-1.057,-0.436
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.737,-1.043,-0.481
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.721,-1.008,-0.47
 Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.583,-0.946,-0.318
 Seasonal Naive,DeepAR,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.566,-0.879,-0.314
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.614,-0.868,-0.403
-Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.661,-0.934,-0.421
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.606,-0.908,-0.381
-Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.606,-0.925,-0.327
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.661,-0.934,-0.421
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.606,-0.925,-0.327
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_nature/leaderboard_MASE.csv

@@ -1,28 +1,29 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Chronos-2,90.00000000000001,32.66797317900995,0.0,1.2412635011904762,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,83.07692307692308,29.260350065108376,0.0,0.5982643197619048,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,80.00000000000001,29.93563029482772,0.0,5.480653777619048,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-1B,79.23076923076924,29.99164696817904,0.0,2.6320384638095238,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-313m,76.92307692307693,29.754752173256584,0.0,1.0491609395238097,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,75.3846153846154,29.357226912555344,0.0,3.96545264,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,74.23076923076923,28.93605738519158,0.0,0.48393358404761905,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,72.3076923076923,29.394157929053712,0.0,8.123959618571428,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-22m,68.46153846153847,28.76118230177598,0.0,0.288075893939394,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,66.53846153846152,27.399232776718353,0.0,0.9636899613636363,0.6,0.0
-Sundial-Base,65.38461538461537,27.294413166287423,0.0,8.222455888744589,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,63.84615384615384,27.802663844137786,0.0,45.546909770000006,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-4m,62.30769230769231,27.78289022024678,0.0,0.2509964376623377,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS-3,53.076923076923066,24.109596179935487,0.0,296.51637025115633,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,52.3076923076923,23.420687735560985,0.0,464.32897872499996,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,49.23076923076922,23.98149756470208,0.0,289.5137977333333,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,46.92307692307691,21.542038924284434,0.0,3.6892116628571427,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,33.07692307692308,17.97726241921238,0.0,74.60550639090908,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,30.000000000000004,-29.622695283539358,0.0,12.04727024095238,0.0,0.0
-TFT,20.000000000000004,11.739357763049185,4425.985155724524,3.3604472566666668,0.0,0.0
-Naive,20.0,7.795601696116828,0.0,1.2708901502164502,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,18.46153846153846,9.449688890714715,3313.3185033727273,3.1006886961904763,0.0,0.0
-Drift,15.384615384615385,4.078700196776586,0.0,1.1961910245238094,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,15.384615384615385,4.1721599099919455,7.8792804414285715,1.6888857054761903,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,14.615384615384613,4.184526702220593,101.213129105,2.2554284954545456,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,13.076923076923078,3.384538751976529,4186.5014168181815,5.73706040909091,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,10.76923076923077,0.0,0.0,1.2824682583333336,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,89.62962962962963,32.66797317900995,0.0,1.2412635011904762,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,82.22222222222223,30.201739251352212,0.0,0.5037701877188825,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,80.74074074074076,29.260350065108376,0.0,0.5982643197619048,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,78.51851851851853,29.93563029482772,0.0,5.480653777619048,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,77.77777777777779,29.99164696817904,0.0,2.6320384638095238,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,74.81481481481482,29.357226912555344,0.0,3.96545264,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,74.81481481481481,29.754752173256584,0.0,1.0491609395238097,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,72.96296296296296,28.93605738519158,0.0,0.48393358404761905,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,71.11111111111111,29.394157929053712,0.0,8.123959618571428,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,66.66666666666666,28.76118230177598,0.0,0.288075893939394,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,64.81481481481481,27.399232776718353,0.0,0.9636899613636363,0.6,0.0
+Sundial-Base,63.70370370370368,27.294413166287423,0.0,8.222455888744589,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,62.222222222222214,27.802663844137786,0.0,45.546909770000006,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,60.74074074074074,27.78289022024678,0.0,0.2509964376623377,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,51.11111111111111,24.109596179935487,0.0,296.51637025115633,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,51.11111111111109,23.420687735560985,0.0,464.32897872499996,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,47.4074074074074,23.98149756470208,0.0,289.5137977333333,0.0,0.0
+AutoTheta,45.18518518518517,21.542038924284434,0.0,3.6892116628571427,0.0,0.0
+AutoARIMA,31.85185185185186,17.97726241921238,0.0,74.60550639090908,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,29.629629629629626,-29.622695283539358,0.0,12.04727024095238,0.0,0.0
+TFT,19.259259259259263,11.739357763049185,4425.985155724524,3.3604472566666668,0.0,0.0
+Naive,19.25925925925926,7.795601696116828,0.0,1.2708901502164502,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,17.77777777777778,9.449688890714715,3313.3185033727273,3.1006886961904763,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,14.814814814814813,4.1721599099919455,7.8792804414285715,1.6888857054761903,0.0,0.0
+Drift,14.814814814814813,4.078700196776586,0.0,1.1961910245238094,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,14.074074074074073,4.184526702220593,101.213129105,2.2554284954545456,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,12.592592592592592,3.384538751976529,4186.5014168181815,5.73706040909091,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,10.370370370370372,0.0,0.0,1.2824682583333336,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_nature/leaderboard_SQL.csv

@@ -1,28 +1,29 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Chronos-2,90.76923076923077,40.14261361598851,0.0,1.2412635011904762,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,84.61538461538461,37.43876342889425,0.0,0.5982643197619048,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,82.30769230769232,37.83157222733069,0.0,5.480653777619048,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-1B,80.00000000000001,37.66612649055474,0.0,2.6320384638095238,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-313m,79.23076923076924,37.58550747009978,0.0,1.0491609395238097,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,76.15384615384616,37.188322050437485,0.0,8.123959618571428,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,73.84615384615384,36.31166826953211,0.0,3.96545264,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,72.6923076923077,36.03582808206656,0.0,0.48393358404761905,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-22m,68.46153846153847,36.293037504059534,0.0,0.288075893939394,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,67.30769230769229,34.85309081790271,0.0,0.9636899613636363,0.6,0.0
-Toto-1.0,66.15384615384615,35.99499337037837,0.0,45.546909770000006,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-4m,63.846153846153854,35.936651145406394,0.0,0.2509964376623377,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS-3,61.53846153846153,32.679408744349004,0.0,296.51637025115633,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,59.23076923076922,32.757599647708304,0.0,289.5137977333333,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,50.76923076923075,30.90991527640704,0.0,8.222455888744589,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,42.3076923076923,17.231323121576647,0.0,464.32897872499996,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,37.692307692307686,22.423106139028192,0.0,74.60550639090908,0.0,0.0
-TFT,33.07692307692308,18.511138237688506,4425.985155724524,3.3604472566666668,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,30.000000000000004,17.09711611460085,3313.3185033727273,3.1006886961904763,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,26.153846153846157,-136.42889638840893,0.0,12.04727024095238,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,26.153846153846157,9.609592105853038,4186.5014168181815,5.73706040909091,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,19.230769230769234,-2.841792105310592,0.0,3.6892116628571427,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,18.461538461538467,0.0,0.0,1.2824682583333336,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,14.615384615384617,-6.491295800307162,101.213129105,2.2554284954545456,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,14.615384615384613,-6.505040508588555,7.8792804414285715,1.6888857054761903,0.0,0.0
-Naive,7.6923076923076925,-23.56398425913284,0.0,1.2708901502164502,0.0,0.0
-Drift,3.076923076923077,-28.21332719128542,0.0,1.1961910245238094,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,90.37037037037038,40.14261361598851,0.0,1.2412635011904762,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,85.92592592592594,38.09386445171089,0.0,0.5037701877188825,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,82.22222222222221,37.43876342889425,0.0,0.5982643197619048,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,80.74074074074075,37.83157222733069,0.0,5.480653777619048,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,78.51851851851853,37.66612649055474,0.0,2.6320384638095238,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,77.03703703703704,37.58550747009978,0.0,1.0491609395238097,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,74.81481481481481,37.188322050437485,0.0,8.123959618571428,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,71.85185185185185,36.31166826953211,0.0,3.96545264,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,71.48148148148147,36.03582808206656,0.0,0.48393358404761905,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,66.66666666666666,36.293037504059534,0.0,0.288075893939394,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,65.55555555555554,34.85309081790271,0.0,0.9636899613636363,0.6,0.0
+Toto-1.0,64.44444444444444,35.99499337037837,0.0,45.546909770000006,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,62.22222222222222,35.936651145406394,0.0,0.2509964376623377,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,59.25925925925925,32.679408744349004,0.0,296.51637025115633,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,57.03703703703703,32.757599647708304,0.0,289.5137977333333,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,48.888888888888886,30.90991527640704,0.0,8.222455888744589,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,40.740740740740726,17.231323121576647,0.0,464.32897872499996,0.0,0.0
+AutoARIMA,36.29629629629629,22.423106139028192,0.0,74.60550639090908,0.0,0.0
+TFT,31.85185185185186,18.511138237688506,4425.985155724524,3.3604472566666668,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,28.888888888888893,17.09711611460085,3313.3185033727273,3.1006886961904763,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,25.185185185185187,-136.42889638840893,0.0,12.04727024095238,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,25.185185185185183,9.609592105853038,4186.5014168181815,5.73706040909091,0.0,0.0
+AutoTheta,18.518518518518523,-2.841792105310592,0.0,3.6892116628571427,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,17.777777777777782,0.0,0.0,1.2824682583333336,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,14.074074074074074,-6.491295800307162,101.213129105,2.2554284954545456,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,14.074074074074073,-6.505040508588555,7.8792804414285715,1.6888857054761903,0.0,0.0
+Naive,7.4074074074074066,-23.56398425913284,0.0,1.2708901502164502,0.0,0.0
+Drift,2.9629629629629632,-28.21332719128542,0.0,1.1961910245238094,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_nature/leaderboard_WAPE.csv

@@ -1,28 +1,29 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-Chronos-2,82.30769230769232,47.03832863128653,0.0,1.2412635011904762,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-1B,80.76923076923079,47.015579237547286,0.0,2.6320384638095238,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-313m,80.0,46.63720411823188,0.0,1.0491609395238097,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,78.46153846153848,46.712323883118025,0.0,5.480653777619048,0.0,0.0
-FlowState,77.69230769230771,45.94421147950074,0.0,3.96545264,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,76.92307692307693,45.26550169523424,0.0,0.5982643197619048,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,74.61538461538463,45.658876884431066,0.0,45.546909770000006,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,71.92307692307693,44.270996715968245,0.0,0.48393358404761905,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,70.76923076923076,45.234350223405905,0.0,8.123959618571428,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-22m,69.23076923076923,45.58255213545739,0.0,0.288075893939394,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,67.3076923076923,43.560110317907345,0.0,0.9636899613636363,0.6,0.0
-Toto-2.0-4m,65.38461538461537,44.832337002858004,0.0,0.2509964376623377,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS-3,61.53846153846154,43.22149190972845,0.0,296.51637025115633,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,56.92307692307692,42.24241790735197,0.0,289.5137977333333,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,47.692307692307686,36.39656206472499,0.0,464.32897872499996,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,46.153846153846146,37.25191993036196,0.0,3.6892116628571427,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,41.53846153846153,32.15916008390624,0.0,8.222455888744589,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,31.538461538461537,-7.089563361203255,0.0,12.04727024095238,0.0,0.0
-TFT,30.000000000000004,31.89215730204118,4425.985155724524,3.3604472566666668,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,29.230769230769237,32.26789204762996,3313.3185033727273,3.1006886961904763,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,26.923076923076923,30.485156307041137,4186.5014168181815,5.73706040909091,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,20.76923076923077,-5.351235687949107,0.0,74.60550639090908,0.0,0.0
-Naive,18.46153846153846,25.364806013828144,0.0,1.2708901502164502,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,12.307692307692308,0.0,0.0,1.2824682583333336,0.0,0.0
-Drift,11.538461538461538,15.777737575686047,0.0,1.1961910245238094,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,10.769230769230768,9.204507505376158,101.213129105,2.2554284954545456,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,9.230769230769234,-21.610796222594896,7.8792804414285715,1.6888857054761903,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,82.22222222222223,46.261525282913595,0.0,0.5037701877188825,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,80.74074074074076,47.03832863128653,0.0,1.2412635011904762,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,79.25925925925928,47.015579237547286,0.0,2.6320384638095238,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,78.51851851851852,46.63720411823188,0.0,1.0491609395238097,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,77.03703703703705,46.712323883118025,0.0,5.480653777619048,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,77.03703703703702,45.94421147950074,0.0,3.96545264,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,75.55555555555556,45.26550169523424,0.0,0.5982643197619048,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,73.33333333333334,45.658876884431066,0.0,45.546909770000006,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,70.0,44.270996715968245,0.0,0.48393358404761905,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,69.62962962962962,45.234350223405905,0.0,8.123959618571428,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,68.14814814814815,45.58255213545739,0.0,0.288075893939394,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,65.55555555555556,43.560110317907345,0.0,0.9636899613636363,0.6,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,64.44444444444444,44.832337002858004,0.0,0.2509964376623377,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,59.25925925925925,43.22149190972845,0.0,296.51637025115633,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,54.81481481481482,42.24241790735197,0.0,289.5137977333333,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,45.92592592592592,36.39656206472499,0.0,464.32897872499996,0.0,0.0
+AutoTheta,44.44444444444443,37.25191993036196,0.0,3.6892116628571427,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,39.99999999999999,32.15916008390624,0.0,8.222455888744589,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,31.111111111111107,-7.089563361203255,0.0,12.04727024095238,0.0,0.0
+TFT,28.888888888888893,31.89215730204118,4425.985155724524,3.3604472566666668,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,28.148148148148156,32.26789204762996,3313.3185033727273,3.1006886961904763,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,25.925925925925924,30.485156307041137,4186.5014168181815,5.73706040909091,0.0,0.0
+AutoARIMA,20.0,-5.351235687949107,0.0,74.60550639090908,0.0,0.0
+Naive,17.77777777777778,25.364806013828144,0.0,1.2708901502164502,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,11.851851851851853,0.0,0.0,1.2824682583333336,0.0,0.0
+Drift,11.11111111111111,15.777737575686047,0.0,1.1961910245238094,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,10.37037037037037,9.204507505376158,101.213129105,2.2554284954545456,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,8.888888888888891,-21.610796222594896,7.8792804414285715,1.6888857054761903,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_nature/leaderboard_WQL.csv

@@ -1,28 +1,29 @@
 model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures
-FlowState,83.0769230769231,65.46785431424527,0.0,3.96545264,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-313m,81.53846153846155,65.47877258222164,0.0,1.0491609395238097,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-2,80.76923076923079,65.09181820451573,0.0,1.2412635011904762,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,78.46153846153847,65.02250890932473,0.0,8.123959618571428,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-1B,76.92307692307693,65.08289133257598,0.0,2.6320384638095238,0.0,0.0
-TiRex,76.15384615384616,63.901555686088926,0.0,0.5982643197619048,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,75.3846153846154,64.93808949583952,0.0,5.480653777619048,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,73.84615384615387,64.33412565306647,0.0,45.546909770000006,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-22m,72.3076923076923,64.78913859128755,0.0,0.288075893939394,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS-3,70.76923076923076,64.30734538835908,0.0,296.51637025115633,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,70.38461538461536,63.27794107878868,0.0,0.48393358404761905,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,68.07692307692305,62.94483721709532,0.0,0.9636899613636363,0.6,0.0
-Toto-2.0-4m,63.84615384615384,63.91544587103641,0.0,0.2509964376623377,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,56.92307692307691,62.22591860898127,0.0,289.5137977333333,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,41.53846153846153,52.74866339515212,0.0,8.222455888744589,0.0,0.0
-PatchTST,39.23076923076923,56.14683480931129,3313.3185033727273,3.1006886961904763,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,36.153846153846146,10.0322967065957,0.0,464.32897872499996,0.0,0.0
-TFT,35.38461538461538,54.31239646459889,4425.985155724524,3.3604472566666668,0.0,0.0
-AutoARIMA,33.07692307692307,26.636130811588664,0.0,74.60550639090908,0.0,0.0
-DeepAR,32.30769230769231,53.40506481164482,4186.5014168181815,5.73706040909091,0.0,0.0
-AutoETS,23.07692307692308,-162.5181303956725,0.0,12.04727024095238,0.0,0.0
-CatBoost,21.538461538461537,28.559039675458386,101.213129105,2.2554284954545456,0.0,0.0
-Seasonal Naive,20.0,0.0,0.0,1.2824682583333336,0.0,0.0
-AutoTheta,15.384615384615385,-21.431026745629268,0.0,3.6892116628571427,0.0,0.0
-LightGBM,15.384615384615385,4.312518151888689,7.8792804414285715,1.6888857054761903,0.0,0.0
-Naive,6.153846153846154,-59.16477242026188,0.0,1.2708901502164502,0.0,0.0
-Drift,2.3076923076923084,-65.48141502161853,0.0,1.1961910245238094,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,83.70370370370372,65.24685534837047,0.0,0.5037701877188825,0.0,0.0
+FlowState,82.22222222222224,65.46785431424527,0.0,3.96545264,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,80.00000000000001,65.47877258222164,0.0,1.0491609395238097,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,79.25925925925928,65.09181820451573,0.0,1.2412635011904762,0.0,0.0
+TimesFM-2.5,77.03703703703702,65.02250890932473,0.0,8.123959618571428,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-1B,75.55555555555557,65.08289133257598,0.0,2.6320384638095238,0.0,0.0
+TiRex,74.81481481481481,63.901555686088926,0.0,0.5982643197619048,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,74.07407407407408,64.93808949583952,0.0,5.480653777619048,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,71.85185185185186,64.33412565306647,0.0,45.546909770000006,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,71.11111111111111,64.78913859128755,0.0,0.288075893939394,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS-3,69.62962962962963,64.30734538835908,0.0,296.51637025115633,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,68.51851851851849,63.27794107878868,0.0,0.48393358404761905,0.0,0.0
+Moirai-2.0,65.55555555555554,62.94483721709532,0.0,0.9636899613636363,0.6,0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,62.222222222222214,63.91544587103641,0.0,0.2509964376623377,0.0,0.0
+TabPFN-TS,54.8148148148148,62.22591860898127,0.0,289.5137977333333,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,39.99999999999999,52.74866339515212,0.0,8.222455888744589,0.0,0.0
+PatchTST,37.77777777777778,56.14683480931129,3313.3185033727273,3.1006886961904763,0.0,0.0
+Stat. Ensemble,34.81481481481481,10.0322967065957,0.0,464.32897872499996,0.0,0.0
+TFT,34.074074074074076,54.31239646459889,4425.985155724524,3.3604472566666668,0.0,0.0
+AutoARIMA,31.851851851851848,26.636130811588664,0.0,74.60550639090908,0.0,0.0
+DeepAR,31.11111111111111,53.40506481164482,4186.5014168181815,5.73706040909091,0.0,0.0
+AutoETS,22.222222222222225,-162.5181303956725,0.0,12.04727024095238,0.0,0.0
+CatBoost,20.74074074074074,28.559039675458386,101.213129105,2.2554284954545456,0.0,0.0
+Seasonal Naive,19.25925925925926,0.0,0.0,1.2824682583333336,0.0,0.0
+LightGBM,14.814814814814813,4.312518151888689,7.8792804414285715,1.6888857054761903,0.0,0.0
+AutoTheta,14.814814814814813,-21.431026745629268,0.0,3.6892116628571427,0.0,0.0
+Naive,5.9259259259259265,-59.16477242026188,0.0,1.2708901502164502,0.0,0.0
+Drift,2.2222222222222228,-65.48141502161853,0.0,1.1961910245238094,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_nature/pairwise_MASE.csv

@@ -1,5 +1,6 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.035,0.009,0.061
 Chronos-2,TiRex,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.048,0.005,0.089
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.039,-0.004,0.083
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.038,-0.003,0.078
@@ -9,13 +10,29 @@ Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.053,0.015,0.087
 Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.046,-0.001,0.096
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.055,0.006,0.112
 Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.073,0.024,0.118
-Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.067,0.023,0.124
 Chronos-2,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.074,0.027,0.116
+Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.067,0.023,0.124
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.068,0.023,0.117
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.113,0.073,0.151
-Chronos-2,Stat. Ensemble,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.121,0.066,0.172
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.327,0.263,0.388
+TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.037,-0.065,-0.009
+TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,TiRex,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.013,-0.01,0.032
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.004,-0.048,0.044
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.003,-0.047,0.038
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.006,-0.047,0.048
+TiRex-2,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.012,-0.043,0.062
+TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.018,-0.009,0.042
+TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.011,-0.03,0.051
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.02,-0.036,0.063
+TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.039,0.001,0.069
+TiRex-2,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.04,0.009,0.071
+TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.033,-0.005,0.077
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.033,-0.013,0.073
+TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.08,0.036,0.136
+TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.302,0.232,0.375
 TiRex,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.051,-0.097,-0.005
+TiRex,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.013,-0.033,0.01
 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.01,-0.075,0.043
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.01,-0.076,0.039
@@ -25,13 +42,13 @@ TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.005,-0.016,0.023
 TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.8,0.4,1.0,-0.002,-0.053,0.035
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.007,-0.056,0.052
 TiRex,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.026,0.004,0.054
-TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.02,-0.028,0.065
 TiRex,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.027,-0.0,0.055
+TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.02,-0.028,0.065
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.02,-0.033,0.058
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.068,0.022,0.121
-TiRex,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.076,0.021,0.127
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.293,0.222,0.364
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.041,-0.09,0.004
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.004,-0.046,0.046
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.01,-0.045,0.07
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.001,-0.013,0.01
@@ -41,13 +58,13 @@ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.014,-0.051,0.078
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.008,-0.028,0.032
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.016,-0.004,0.03
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.035,-0.033,0.098
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.03,-0.005,0.057
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.036,-0.033,0.101
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.03,-0.005,0.057
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.03,0.007,0.049
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.077,0.008,0.142
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.085,0.004,0.156
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.299,0.202,0.389
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.04,-0.084,0.003
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.003,-0.039,0.045
 Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.01,-0.04,0.071
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.001,-0.01,0.013
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
@@ -57,13 +74,13 @@ Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.015,-0.043,0.078
 Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.008,-0.03,0.032
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.017,-0.008,0.04
 Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.036,-0.027,0.092
-Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.03,-0.009,0.064
 Toto-2.0-1B,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.037,-0.024,0.096
+Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.03,-0.009,0.064
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.031,0.006,0.048
 Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.078,0.012,0.139
-Toto-2.0-1B,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.086,0.014,0.152
 Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.3,0.204,0.387
 Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.043,-0.102,0.004
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.006,-0.05,0.045
 Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.007,-0.04,0.065
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.003,-0.013,0.014
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.003,-0.022,0.017
@@ -73,13 +90,13 @@ Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.012,-0.047,0.071
 Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.005,-0.014,0.023
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.014,0.008,0.02
 Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.032,-0.028,0.089
-Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.027,0.007,0.049
 Toto-2.0-313m,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.034,-0.03,0.099
+Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.027,0.007,0.049
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.027,0.015,0.039
 Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.074,0.011,0.133
-Toto-2.0-313m,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.083,-0.004,0.15
 Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.298,0.2,0.385
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.049,-0.111,0.008
+FlowState,TiRex-2,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.012,-0.066,0.041
 FlowState,TiRex,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.001,-0.049,0.058
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.008,-0.055,0.034
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.009,-0.047,0.032
@@ -89,13 +106,13 @@ FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.006,-0.045,0.063
 FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.001,-0.036,0.025
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.008,-0.032,0.041
 FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.027,-0.007,0.071
-FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.022,-0.031,0.061
 FlowState,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.028,-0.018,0.084
+FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.022,-0.031,0.061
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.022,-0.012,0.046
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.069,0.01,0.13
-FlowState,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.078,0.01,0.136
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.294,0.19,0.386
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.055,-0.095,-0.016
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.018,-0.044,0.009
 Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.005,-0.024,0.015
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.014,-0.085,0.048
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.015,-0.085,0.041
@@ -105,13 +122,13 @@ Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.006,-0.064,0.045
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.002,-0.066,0.059
 Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.021,0.0,0.042
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.016,-0.035,0.074
 Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.023,-0.002,0.045
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.016,-0.035,0.074
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.016,-0.043,0.067
 Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.064,0.025,0.106
-Chronos-Bolt,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.072,0.022,0.115
 Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.289,0.231,0.351
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.049,-0.106,0.001
+TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.012,-0.053,0.029
 TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,0.002,-0.037,0.05
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.008,-0.033,0.027
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.009,-0.033,0.029
@@ -121,13 +138,13 @@ TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.006,-0.047,0.06
 TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.009,-0.008,0.026
 TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.027,-0.016,0.068
-TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.022,0.003,0.038
 TimesFM-2.5,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.029,-0.029,0.08
+TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.022,0.003,0.038
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.022,0.013,0.035
 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.07,0.008,0.13
-TimesFM-2.5,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.078,-0.01,0.138
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.294,0.196,0.38
 Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.058,-0.126,-0.006
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.021,-0.068,0.035
 Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.007,-0.054,0.053
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.017,-0.031,0.004
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.018,-0.041,0.008
@@ -137,13 +154,13 @@ Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.002,-0.062,0.062
 Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.009,-0.027,0.008
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.019,-0.041,0.075
-Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.013,-0.005,0.034
 Toto-2.0-22m,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.02,-0.047,0.088
+Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.013,-0.005,0.034
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.014,0.003,0.024
 Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.061,-0.004,0.124
-Toto-2.0-22m,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.07,-0.022,0.139
 Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.288,0.185,0.377
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.078,-0.134,-0.025
+Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.04,-0.074,-0.001
 Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.026,-0.057,-0.004
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.036,-0.109,0.032
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.037,-0.102,0.026
@@ -153,29 +170,13 @@ Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.022,-0.044,0.0
 Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.028,-0.072,0.016
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.019,-0.081,0.04
 Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.006,-0.057,0.048
 Moirai-2.0,Sundial-Base,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.001,-0.02,0.027
+Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.006,-0.057,0.048
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.005,-0.056,0.043
 Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.043,0.003,0.097
-Moirai-2.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.052,-0.001,0.095
 Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.274,0.192,0.348
-Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.072,-0.141,-0.024
-Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.021,-0.07,0.028
-Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.03,-0.061,0.005
-Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.031,-0.068,0.009
-Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.028,-0.052,-0.007
-Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.022,-0.065,0.03
-Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.016,-0.08,0.034
-Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.023,-0.039,-0.004
-Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.013,-0.035,0.005
-Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.006,-0.05,0.054
-Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-1.0,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.007,-0.062,0.061
-Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.0,-0.02,0.02
-Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.049,-0.025,0.114
-Toto-1.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.057,-0.044,0.122
-Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.278,0.18,0.366
 Sundial-Base,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.08,-0.131,-0.028
+Sundial-Base,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.042,-0.076,-0.009
 Sundial-Base,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.028,-0.058,0.0
 Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.038,-0.112,0.032
 Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.039,-0.106,0.024
@@ -185,13 +186,29 @@ Sundial-Base,Chronos-Bolt,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.023,-0.047,0.002
 Sundial-Base,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.03,-0.087,0.028
 Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.021,-0.096,0.045
 Sundial-Base,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.001,-0.027,0.02
-Sundial-Base,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.007,-0.065,0.059
 Sundial-Base,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Sundial-Base,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.007,-0.065,0.059
 Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.007,-0.068,0.05
 Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.042,-0.002,0.101
-Sundial-Base,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.051,0.02,0.078
 Sundial-Base,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.273,0.2,0.344
+Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.072,-0.141,-0.024
+Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.034,-0.083,0.005
+Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.021,-0.07,0.028
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.03,-0.061,0.005
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.031,-0.068,0.009
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.028,-0.052,-0.007
+Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.022,-0.065,0.03
+Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.016,-0.08,0.034
+Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.023,-0.039,-0.004
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.013,-0.035,0.005
+Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.006,-0.05,0.054
+Toto-1.0,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.007,-0.062,0.061
+Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.0,-0.02,0.02
+Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.049,-0.025,0.114
+Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.278,0.18,0.366
 Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.073,-0.132,-0.023
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.035,-0.079,0.012
 Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.021,-0.062,0.032
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.031,-0.051,-0.008
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.032,-0.05,-0.006
@@ -201,13 +218,13 @@ Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.016,-0.071,0.042
 Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.023,-0.036,-0.013
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.014,-0.025,-0.003
 Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.005,-0.045,0.053
-Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.0,-0.02,0.019
 Toto-2.0-4m,Sundial-Base,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.007,-0.053,0.064
+Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.0,-0.02,0.019
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.048,-0.012,0.115
-Toto-2.0-4m,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.057,-0.028,0.117
 Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.278,0.175,0.368
 TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.127,-0.178,-0.079
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.087,-0.157,-0.037
 TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.073,-0.138,-0.022
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.083,-0.166,-0.008
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.084,-0.162,-0.012
@@ -217,29 +234,13 @@ TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.068,-0.118,-0.026
 TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.075,-0.15,-0.008
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.065,-0.142,0.004
 TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.045,-0.108,-0.003
-TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.051,-0.129,0.025
 TabPFN-TS-3,Sundial-Base,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.044,-0.112,0.002
+TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.051,-0.129,0.025
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.051,-0.13,0.012
 TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS-3,Stat. Ensemble,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.009,-0.071,0.071
 TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.241,0.182,0.299
-Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.137,-0.208,-0.071
-Stat. Ensemble,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.083,-0.146,-0.021
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.093,-0.185,-0.004
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.094,-0.179,-0.015
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.09,-0.176,0.004
-Stat. Ensemble,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.084,-0.157,-0.01
-Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-Bolt,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.078,-0.131,-0.023
-Stat. Ensemble,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.085,-0.16,0.01
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.075,-0.161,0.021
-Stat. Ensemble,Moirai-2.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.055,-0.106,0.001
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.061,-0.139,0.042
-Stat. Ensemble,Sundial-Base,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.053,-0.084,-0.02
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-4m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.06,-0.133,0.027
-Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.009,-0.077,0.066
-Stat. Ensemble,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.234,0.151,0.311
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.485,-0.633,-0.357
+Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.433,-0.6,-0.302
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.414,-0.572,-0.285
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.427,-0.636,-0.254
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.428,-0.63,-0.257
@@ -249,9 +250,8 @@ Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.407,-0.541,-0.3
 Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.416,-0.612,-0.244
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.404,-0.606,-0.227
 Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.377,-0.534,-0.238
-Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.385,-0.577,-0.22
 Seasonal Naive,Sundial-Base,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.375,-0.525,-0.251
+Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.385,-0.577,-0.22
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.385,-0.581,-0.213
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.318,-0.426,-0.222
-Seasonal Naive,Stat. Ensemble,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.306,-0.451,-0.178
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_nature/pairwise_SQL.csv

@@ -1,5 +1,6 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
 Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.033,0.009,0.058
 Chronos-2,TiRex,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.043,-0.001,0.081
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.037,-0.009,0.087
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.04,-0.005,0.086
@@ -13,9 +14,25 @@ Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.081,0.019,0.139
 Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.066,0.022,0.117
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.111,0.065,0.152
 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.11,0.078,0.134
-Chronos-2,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.134,0.097,0.169
 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.401,0.327,0.459
+TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.034,-0.061,-0.009
+TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,TiRex,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.01,-0.012,0.03
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.004,-0.049,0.047
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.007,-0.048,0.047
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.008,-0.045,0.057
+TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.014,-0.029,0.053
+TiRex-2,FlowState,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.028,-0.027,0.075
+TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.032,-0.013,0.076
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.028,-0.031,0.086
+TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.033,-0.007,0.077
+TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.05,0.003,0.091
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.034,-0.014,0.075
+TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.08,0.034,0.134
+TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.079,0.051,0.118
+TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.381,0.298,0.44
 TiRex,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.045,-0.089,0.001
+TiRex,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.011,-0.03,0.011
 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.006,-0.072,0.052
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.004,-0.067,0.05
@@ -29,9 +46,9 @@ TiRex,Moirai-2.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.04,0.011,0.066
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.023,-0.029,0.062
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.071,0.028,0.123
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.07,0.036,0.109
-TiRex,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.094,0.065,0.123
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.374,0.288,0.434
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.039,-0.096,0.009
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.004,-0.05,0.047
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.006,-0.055,0.067
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.003,-0.005,0.011
@@ -45,9 +62,9 @@ Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.046,-0.043,0.127
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.03,0.007,0.048
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.077,-0.001,0.148
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.075,0.012,0.135
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.1,0.047,0.151
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.378,0.265,0.462
 Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.041,-0.094,0.005
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.007,-0.049,0.046
 Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.004,-0.052,0.063
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.003,-0.011,0.005
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
@@ -61,9 +78,9 @@ Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.043,-0.041,0.124
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.027,0.004,0.043
 Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.074,0.002,0.145
 Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.073,0.017,0.131
-Toto-2.0-1B,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.098,0.049,0.145
 Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.377,0.269,0.459
 Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.043,-0.109,0.004
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.008,-0.06,0.043
 Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.002,-0.051,0.06
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.004,-0.014,0.014
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.001,-0.017,0.017
@@ -77,9 +94,9 @@ Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.042,-0.039,0.116
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.026,0.013,0.038
 Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.073,0.003,0.138
 Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.072,0.015,0.124
-Toto-2.0-313m,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.097,0.042,0.142
 Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.376,0.261,0.456
 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.049,-0.105,0.001
+TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.015,-0.056,0.029
 TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.004,-0.045,0.045
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.01,-0.038,0.024
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.008,-0.032,0.027
@@ -93,9 +110,9 @@ TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.036,-0.024,0.101
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.02,0.012,0.03
 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.067,0.005,0.127
 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.066,0.015,0.111
-TimesFM-2.5,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.091,0.045,0.13
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.372,0.265,0.447
 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.064,-0.124,-0.007
+FlowState,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.029,-0.081,0.026
 FlowState,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.018,-0.062,0.035
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.024,-0.074,0.021
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.022,-0.064,0.019
@@ -109,9 +126,9 @@ FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.022,-0.025,0.086
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.006,-0.029,0.031
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.054,-0.005,0.119
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.053,0.002,0.106
-FlowState,Sundial-Base,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.078,0.047,0.115
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.363,0.261,0.444
 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.069,-0.139,-0.011
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.033,-0.082,0.013
 Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.022,-0.052,0.007
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.029,-0.129,0.058
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.026,-0.118,0.056
@@ -125,9 +142,9 @@ Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.018,0.0,0.036
 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.002,-0.081,0.066
 Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.05,-0.008,0.107
 Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.049,-0.008,0.093
-Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.074,0.025,0.114
 Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.36,0.291,0.411
 Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.064,-0.146,-0.007
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.029,-0.094,0.03
 Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.018,-0.084,0.048
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.025,-0.046,0.002
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.022,-0.051,0.006
@@ -141,9 +158,9 @@ Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.022,-0.065,0.105
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.006,-0.017,0.023
 Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.054,-0.029,0.126
 Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.053,-0.018,0.112
-Toto-2.0-22m,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.078,0.012,0.13
 Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.363,0.235,0.45
 Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.069,-0.139,-0.02
+Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.034,-0.083,0.007
 Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.023,-0.075,0.025
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.03,-0.056,0.006
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.027,-0.056,0.008
@@ -157,9 +174,9 @@ Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.018,-0.054,0.084
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.001,-0.017,0.019
 Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.049,-0.029,0.116
 Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.048,-0.019,0.099
-Toto-1.0,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.074,0.014,0.117
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.36,0.24,0.437
 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.088,-0.161,-0.019
+Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.052,-0.1,-0.003
 Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.041,-0.07,-0.011
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.048,-0.145,0.041
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.045,-0.142,0.039
@@ -173,9 +190,9 @@ Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.017,-0.096,0.05
 Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.032,-0.023,0.092
 Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.031,-0.023,0.085
-Moirai-2.0,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.057,0.016,0.1
 Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.349,0.271,0.409
 Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.07,-0.132,-0.023
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.035,-0.081,0.014
 Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.024,-0.066,0.028
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.03,-0.05,-0.007
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.028,-0.045,-0.004
@@ -189,9 +206,9 @@ Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.017,-0.052,0.087
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.048,-0.016,0.114
 Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.047,-0.005,0.102
-Toto-2.0-4m,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.073,0.026,0.11
 Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.359,0.248,0.44
 TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.125,-0.179,-0.069
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.087,-0.155,-0.036
 TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.076,-0.141,-0.029
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.083,-0.174,0.001
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.08,-0.169,-0.002
@@ -205,9 +222,9 @@ TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.033,-0.101,0.023
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.051,-0.129,0.016
 TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.001,-0.02,0.018
-TabPFN-TS-3,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.026,-0.048,0.069
 TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.327,0.253,0.382
 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.123,-0.155,-0.085
+TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.086,-0.133,-0.054
 TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.075,-0.123,-0.037
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.082,-0.156,-0.012
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.079,-0.151,-0.017
@@ -221,25 +238,9 @@ TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.032,-0.093,0.023
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.05,-0.113,0.005
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.001,-0.018,0.02
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,Sundial-Base,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.027,-0.034,0.065
 TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.328,0.245,0.386
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.154,-0.204,-0.107
-Sundial-Base,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.104,-0.14,-0.07
-Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.111,-0.177,-0.049
-Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.108,-0.17,-0.051
-Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.107,-0.165,-0.044
-Sundial-Base,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.1,-0.149,-0.047
-Sundial-Base,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.085,-0.13,-0.049
-Sundial-Base,Chronos-Bolt,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.08,-0.129,-0.025
-Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.084,-0.149,-0.012
-Sundial-Base,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.079,-0.133,-0.015
-Sundial-Base,Moirai-2.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.061,-0.111,-0.017
-Sundial-Base,Toto-2.0-4m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.078,-0.124,-0.027
-Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS-3,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.026,-0.074,0.046
-Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.027,-0.07,0.032
-Sundial-Base,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Sundial-Base,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.309,0.223,0.39
 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.671,-0.848,-0.486
+Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.615,-0.785,-0.424
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.598,-0.768,-0.404
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.609,-0.858,-0.361
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.604,-0.85,-0.369
@@ -253,5 +254,4 @@ Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.535,-0.692,-0.371
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.561,-0.784,-0.329
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.485,-0.618,-0.339
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.487,-0.63,-0.324
-Seasonal Naive,Sundial-Base,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.447,-0.639,-0.286
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0

tables/domain_nature/pairwise_WAPE.csv

@@ -1,257 +1,257 @@
 model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper
+TiRex-2,TiRex-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.014,-0.095,0.045
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.007,-0.088,0.051
+TiRex-2,Chronos-2,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.015,-0.037,0.004
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.008,-0.091,0.055
+TiRex-2,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.006,-0.063,0.064
+TiRex-2,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.018,-0.004,0.04
+TiRex-2,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.011,-0.058,0.079
+TiRex-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.019,-0.033,0.061
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.012,-0.07,0.073
+TiRex-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.036,0.0,0.072
+TiRex-2,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.048,0.007,0.087
+TiRex-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.026,-0.045,0.083
+TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS-3,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.054,0.025,0.08
+TiRex-2,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.07,0.05,0.092
+TiRex-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.463,0.255,0.614
+Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.014,-0.047,0.086
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.0,-0.075,0.085
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.007,-0.009,0.023
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.0,-0.075,0.085
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.006,-0.007,0.019
 Toto-2.0-1B,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.02,-0.026,0.058
 Toto-2.0-1B,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.032,-0.024,0.098
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.025,-0.014,0.056
 Toto-2.0-1B,TimesFM-2.5,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.033,-0.015,0.073
-Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.049,-0.027,0.14
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.026,0.001,0.049
+Toto-2.0-1B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.049,-0.027,0.14
 Toto-2.0-1B,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.061,-0.014,0.146
 Toto-2.0-1B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.04,0.018,0.054
 Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.067,0.012,0.119
 Toto-2.0-1B,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.083,0.021,0.141
-Toto-2.0-1B,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.167,0.061,0.258
 Toto-2.0-1B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.47,0.223,0.641
-Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.0,-0.093,0.07
-Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.008,-0.085,0.082
-Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.006,-0.093,0.086
-Chronos-2,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.02,-0.057,0.091
-Chronos-2,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.032,-0.008,0.069
-Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.025,-0.062,0.112
-Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.033,-0.03,0.091
-Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.05,0.01,0.084
-Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.027,-0.075,0.106
-Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.062,0.015,0.106
-Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.04,-0.046,0.113
-Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.067,0.024,0.103
-Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.083,0.052,0.108
-Chronos-2,Stat. Ensemble,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.167,0.11,0.209
-Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.47,0.277,0.613
+Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.007,-0.054,0.081
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.007,-0.023,0.009
-Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.008,-0.089,0.079
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.008,-0.089,0.079
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.001,-0.016,0.015
 Toto-2.0-313m,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.013,-0.036,0.056
 Toto-2.0-313m,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.025,-0.032,0.086
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.018,-0.005,0.036
 Toto-2.0-313m,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.026,-0.015,0.065
-Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.042,-0.036,0.137
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-22m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.019,0.005,0.033
+Toto-2.0-313m,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.042,-0.036,0.137
 Toto-2.0-313m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.055,-0.024,0.143
 Toto-2.0-313m,Toto-2.0-4m,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.033,0.023,0.042
 Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.06,0.004,0.112
 Toto-2.0-313m,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.076,0.017,0.134
-Toto-2.0-313m,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.161,0.045,0.253
 Toto-2.0-313m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.466,0.224,0.639
+Chronos-2,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.014,-0.004,0.035
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-1B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.0,-0.093,0.07
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.008,-0.085,0.082
+Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.006,-0.093,0.086
+Chronos-2,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.02,-0.057,0.091
+Chronos-2,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.032,-0.008,0.069
+Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.025,-0.062,0.112
+Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.033,-0.03,0.091
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.027,-0.075,0.106
+Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.05,0.01,0.084
+Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.062,0.015,0.106
+Chronos-2,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.04,-0.046,0.113
+Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.067,0.024,0.103
+Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.083,0.052,0.108
+Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.47,0.277,0.613
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.008,-0.058,0.083
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.006,-0.019,0.007
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.006,-0.094,0.085
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-313m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.001,-0.015,0.016
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.006,-0.094,0.085
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,FlowState,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.014,-0.039,0.064
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.026,-0.036,0.094
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-1.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.019,-0.019,0.044
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.027,-0.024,0.076
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.044,-0.045,0.137
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-22m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.021,-0.007,0.049
+Toto-2.0-2.5B,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.044,-0.045,0.137
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.056,-0.027,0.14
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.034,0.012,0.051
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.061,0.0,0.122
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.077,0.011,0.143
-Toto-2.0-2.5B,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.162,0.048,0.258
 Toto-2.0-2.5B,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.467,0.22,0.642
+FlowState,TiRex-2,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.006,-0.069,0.059
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.02,-0.062,0.025
-FlowState,Chronos-2,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.021,-0.1,0.054
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.013,-0.059,0.035
+FlowState,Chronos-2,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.021,-0.1,0.054
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.014,-0.068,0.038
 FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 FlowState,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.012,-0.033,0.064
 FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.005,-0.042,0.05
 FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.013,-0.024,0.042
-FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.03,-0.032,0.114
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.007,-0.039,0.051
+FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.03,-0.032,0.114
 FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.042,-0.006,0.114
 FlowState,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.02,-0.016,0.058
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.048,0.008,0.086
 FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.064,0.003,0.118
-FlowState,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.15,0.044,0.241
 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.459,0.212,0.633
+TiRex,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.019,-0.042,0.004
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.033,-0.109,0.024
-TiRex,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.033,-0.074,0.008
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.026,-0.095,0.031
+TiRex,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.033,-0.074,0.008
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.027,-0.104,0.035
 TiRex,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.013,-0.069,0.032
 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.007,-0.073,0.05
 TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.001,-0.044,0.032
-TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.018,-0.014,0.055
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.006,-0.085,0.045
+TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.018,-0.014,0.055
 TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.03,0.002,0.06
 TiRex,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.008,-0.058,0.056
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.036,0.007,0.062
 TiRex,TabPFN-TS,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.052,0.023,0.09
-TiRex,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.139,0.054,0.207
 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.453,0.224,0.614
+Toto-1.0,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.011,-0.086,0.055
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.026,-0.059,0.014
-Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.026,-0.126,0.058
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.018,-0.037,0.005
+Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.026,-0.126,0.058
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.02,-0.046,0.018
 Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.005,-0.053,0.04
 Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.007,-0.053,0.068
 Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.008,-0.026,0.04
-Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.025,-0.071,0.118
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.001,-0.022,0.024
+Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.025,-0.071,0.118
 Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.037,-0.046,0.125
 Toto-1.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.015,-0.004,0.032
 Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.043,-0.022,0.089
 Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.059,-0.005,0.118
-Toto-1.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.146,0.008,0.24
 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.457,0.212,0.633
+TimesFM-2.5,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.019,-0.065,0.032
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.034,-0.079,0.015
-TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.034,-0.1,0.029
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.026,-0.069,0.014
+TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.034,-0.1,0.029
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.028,-0.083,0.023
 TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.013,-0.043,0.024
 TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.001,-0.034,0.042
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.008,-0.042,0.025
 TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.017,-0.042,0.095
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-22m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.006,-0.047,0.027
+TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.017,-0.042,0.095
 TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.03,-0.029,0.101
 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.007,-0.027,0.04
 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.035,0.002,0.058
 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.052,0.014,0.087
-TimesFM-2.5,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.139,0.029,0.214
 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.452,0.216,0.62
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.052,-0.163,0.026
-Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.052,-0.092,-0.01
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.044,-0.158,0.035
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.046,-0.159,0.043
-Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.031,-0.129,0.031
-Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.018,-0.059,0.013
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.026,-0.134,0.066
-Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.018,-0.105,0.041
-Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.024,-0.149,0.059
-Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.013,0.0,0.025
-Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.01,-0.118,0.065
-Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.018,-0.044,0.058
-Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.035,-0.023,0.083
-Chronos-Bolt,Stat. Ensemble,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.124,0.057,0.191
-Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.443,0.234,0.607
+Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.013,-0.078,0.066
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.027,-0.052,-0.001
-Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.027,-0.118,0.07
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.02,-0.035,-0.005
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.027,-0.118,0.07
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.021,-0.051,0.007
 Toto-2.0-22m,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.007,-0.054,0.037
 Toto-2.0-22m,TiRex,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.006,-0.047,0.078
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-1.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.001,-0.024,0.021
 Toto-2.0-22m,TimesFM-2.5,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.006,-0.028,0.045
-Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.024,-0.063,0.13
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Toto-2.0-22m,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.024,-0.063,0.13
 Toto-2.0-22m,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.036,-0.042,0.136
 Toto-2.0-22m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.014,0.0,0.027
 Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.042,-0.012,0.095
 Toto-2.0-22m,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.058,-0.003,0.121
-Toto-2.0-22m,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.144,0.024,0.238
 Toto-2.0-22m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.456,0.207,0.632
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.037,-0.078,-0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.052,-0.163,0.026
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.044,-0.158,0.035
+Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.052,-0.092,-0.01
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.046,-0.159,0.043
+Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.031,-0.129,0.031
+Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.018,-0.059,0.013
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.026,-0.134,0.066
+Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.018,-0.105,0.041
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.024,-0.149,0.059
+Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
+Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.7,0.5,0.9,0.013,0.0,0.025
+Chronos-Bolt,Toto-2.0-4m,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.01,-0.118,0.065
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.018,-0.044,0.058
+Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.035,-0.023,0.083
+Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.443,0.234,0.607
+Moirai-2.0,TiRex-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.05,-0.095,-0.007
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.065,-0.171,0.013
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.066,-0.119,-0.015
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-313m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.058,-0.167,0.024
+Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.066,-0.119,-0.015
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.059,-0.163,0.027
 Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.044,-0.129,0.006
 Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.031,-0.064,-0.002
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.039,-0.143,0.044
 Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.031,-0.112,0.028
-Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.013,-0.026,0.0
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-22m,0.6,0.2,1.0,-0.037,-0.158,0.04
+Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.3,0.1,0.5,-0.013,-0.026,0.0
 Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Moirai-2.0,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.023,-0.125,0.049
 Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS-3,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.006,-0.053,0.048
 Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.023,-0.033,0.075
-Moirai-2.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.113,0.032,0.187
 Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.436,0.216,0.604
+Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.027,-0.09,0.043
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.041,-0.057,-0.019
-Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.042,-0.127,0.044
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.034,-0.044,-0.024
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-2,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.042,-0.127,0.044
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.035,-0.054,-0.012
 Toto-2.0-4m,FlowState,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.021,-0.061,0.016
 Toto-2.0-4m,TiRex,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.008,-0.059,0.055
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.015,-0.034,0.004
 Toto-2.0-4m,TimesFM-2.5,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.007,-0.042,0.027
-Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.01,-0.069,0.106
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.014,-0.028,-0.0
+Toto-2.0-4m,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.0,0.8,0.01,-0.069,0.106
 Toto-2.0-4m,Moirai-2.0,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.023,-0.051,0.111
 Toto-2.0-4m,Toto-2.0-4m,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS-3,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.028,-0.021,0.076
 Toto-2.0-4m,TabPFN-TS,0.6,0.2,1.0,0.045,-0.012,0.103
-Toto-2.0-4m,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.133,0.01,0.228
 Toto-2.0-4m,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.448,0.193,0.627
+TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.057,-0.087,-0.026
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-1B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.072,-0.135,-0.012
-TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.072,-0.115,-0.025
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.064,-0.126,-0.004
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-2,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.072,-0.115,-0.025
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.066,-0.139,-0.0
 TabPFN-TS-3,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.05,-0.094,-0.008
 TabPFN-TS-3,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.037,-0.066,-0.007
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.045,-0.097,0.021
 TabPFN-TS-3,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.037,-0.061,-0.002
-TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.019,-0.061,0.042
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.043,-0.105,0.012
+TabPFN-TS-3,Chronos-Bolt,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.019,-0.061,0.042
 TabPFN-TS-3,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.006,-0.05,0.05
 TabPFN-TS-3,Toto-2.0-4m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.029,-0.082,0.021
 TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS-3,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
 TabPFN-TS-3,TabPFN-TS,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.017,-0.009,0.036
-TabPFN-TS-3,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.107,0.025,0.169
 TabPFN-TS-3,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.432,0.202,0.599
+TabPFN-TS,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.075,-0.101,-0.053
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.09,-0.164,-0.021
-TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.091,-0.121,-0.055
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.082,-0.155,-0.017
+TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.091,-0.121,-0.055
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.084,-0.167,-0.011
 TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.068,-0.133,-0.003
 TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.055,-0.099,-0.024
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.063,-0.133,0.005
 TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.055,-0.096,-0.014
-TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.036,-0.09,0.023
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.061,-0.138,0.003
+TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.036,-0.09,0.023
 TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.023,-0.081,0.032
 TabPFN-TS,Toto-2.0-4m,0.4,0.0,0.8,-0.047,-0.115,0.012
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS-3,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.017,-0.038,0.009
 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-TabPFN-TS,Stat. Ensemble,0.8,0.4,1.0,0.092,0.013,0.141
 TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.422,0.201,0.584
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-1B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.2,-0.347,-0.065
-Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.201,-0.264,-0.123
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-313m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.192,-0.338,-0.047
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.194,-0.347,-0.05
-Stat. Ensemble,FlowState,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.177,-0.317,-0.046
-Stat. Ensemble,TiRex,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.162,-0.262,-0.057
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-1.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.17,-0.317,-0.008
-Stat. Ensemble,TimesFM-2.5,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.161,-0.273,-0.03
-Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.141,-0.236,-0.06
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-22m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.169,-0.313,-0.025
-Stat. Ensemble,Moirai-2.0,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.127,-0.23,-0.034
-Stat. Ensemble,Toto-2.0-4m,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.153,-0.295,-0.01
-Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS-3,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.12,-0.204,-0.026
-Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS,0.2,0.0,0.6,-0.101,-0.164,-0.013
-Stat. Ensemble,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0
-Stat. Ensemble,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.364,0.157,0.52
+Seasonal Naive,TiRex-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.861,-1.593,-0.343
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-1B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.887,-1.789,-0.287
-Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.888,-1.587,-0.384
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-313m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.874,-1.771,-0.289
+Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.888,-1.587,-0.384
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-2.5B,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.877,-1.79,-0.282
 Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.85,-1.727,-0.27
 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.827,-1.591,-0.288
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.84,-1.726,-0.269
 Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.826,-1.634,-0.276
-Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.794,-1.545,-0.305
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-22m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.838,-1.718,-0.26
+Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.794,-1.545,-0.305
 Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.772,-1.526,-0.276
 Seasonal Naive,Toto-2.0-4m,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.813,-1.682,-0.24
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS-3,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.761,-1.492,-0.253
 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.731,-1.406,-0.252
-Seasonal Naive,Stat. Ensemble,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.572,-1.083,-0.187
 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0