model_name,win_rate,skill_score,median_training_time_s_per100,median_inference_time_s_per100,training_corpus_overlap,num_failures Chronos-2,96.42857142857144,44.0257301550027,0.0,0.3612539066666667,0.0,0.0 TimesFM-2.5,92.85714285714286,42.67646308976785,0.0,1.0402703727564104,0.0,0.0 TiRex,87.14285714285714,42.05186473784456,0.0,0.34079166541795664,0.0,0.0 FlowState,84.28571428571429,41.10947919178341,0.0,1.8156494689102565,0.0,0.0 TFT,67.85714285714285,35.28274979848835,235.31247926551285,0.31370569066666665,0.0,0.0 Toto-1.0,67.85714285714285,39.04058286932375,0.0,32.678425597307694,0.0,0.0 Chronos-Bolt,63.21428571428572,37.28267455060899,0.0,0.2157764139102564,0.0,0.0 Moirai-2.0,63.21428571428572,37.28267455060899,0.0,2.231891133374613,1.0,0.0 TabPFN-TS,62.14285714285715,36.53371858952617,0.0,157.00341927416665,0.0,0.0 DeepAR,59.285714285714285,34.81362887689631,467.93394356724366,1.364175630448718,0.0,0.0 PatchTST,52.142857142857146,28.352379402273474,225.99726746077397,0.38466677993589743,0.0,0.0 Sundial-Base,50.0,33.55369921291073,0.0,7.825935737058823,0.0,0.0 AutoARIMA,36.42857142857142,12.567557563101495,0.0,166.32244655789742,0.0,14.285714285714285 CatBoost,33.57142857142858,18.14162293295429,21.985520585705128,0.26383776833333333,0.0,0.0 LightGBM,32.85714285714286,18.571486122225835,2.110697158974359,0.21163459766666667,0.0,0.0 Stat. Ensemble,32.14285714285714,5.668302598674924,0.0,226.8116654464487,0.0,14.285714285714285 Seasonal Naive,23.57142857142857,0.0,0.0,0.17224587897435897,0.0,0.0 AutoTheta,21.428571428571427,-26.740946175062753,0.0,2.6991318023333335,0.0,0.0 AutoETS,14.285714285714285,-344.79628797747506,0.0,7.4220258999999995,0.0,0.0 Naive,7.142857142857142,-146.7179766143382,0.0,0.193622721474359,0.0,0.0 Drift,2.142857142857143,-161.010293113985,0.0,0.1885455092948718,0.0,0.0