model_1,model_2,win_rate,win_rate_lower,win_rate_upper,skill_score,skill_score_lower,skill_score_upper Chronos-2,Chronos-2,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0 Chronos-2,TimesFM-2.5,0.773,0.591,0.955,0.157,0.08,0.228 Chronos-2,TabPFN-TS,0.909,0.773,1.0,0.102,0.048,0.151 Chronos-2,TiRex,0.864,0.682,1.0,0.166,0.089,0.238 Chronos-2,Toto-1.0,0.818,0.636,0.955,0.18,0.099,0.26 Chronos-2,FlowState,0.909,0.773,1.0,0.174,0.102,0.236 Chronos-2,Moirai-2.0,0.909,0.773,1.0,0.182,0.113,0.247 Chronos-2,Chronos-Bolt,0.909,0.773,1.0,0.177,0.11,0.243 Chronos-2,TFT,0.773,0.591,0.955,0.212,0.084,0.332 Chronos-2,Sundial-Base,0.909,0.773,1.0,0.18,0.113,0.248 Chronos-2,PatchTST,0.773,0.591,0.955,0.2,0.106,0.299 Chronos-2,DeepAR,0.818,0.636,0.955,0.226,0.13,0.332 Chronos-2,CatBoost,0.909,0.773,1.0,0.225,0.153,0.299 Chronos-2,LightGBM,0.955,0.864,1.0,0.256,0.174,0.342 Chronos-2,Stat. Ensemble,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.398,0.304,0.484 Chronos-2,Seasonal Naive,0.955,0.864,1.0,0.484,0.381,0.579 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-2,0.227,0.045,0.409,-0.186,-0.295,-0.087 TimesFM-2.5,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0 TimesFM-2.5,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.273,0.727,-0.066,-0.174,0.019 TimesFM-2.5,TiRex,0.5,0.273,0.727,0.011,-0.023,0.047 TimesFM-2.5,Toto-1.0,0.477,0.295,0.659,0.027,-0.022,0.073 TimesFM-2.5,FlowState,0.614,0.409,0.795,0.02,-0.011,0.054 TimesFM-2.5,Moirai-2.0,0.614,0.409,0.795,0.029,-0.011,0.069 TimesFM-2.5,Chronos-Bolt,0.523,0.341,0.705,0.024,-0.007,0.059 TimesFM-2.5,TFT,0.636,0.409,0.818,0.065,-0.099,0.212 TimesFM-2.5,Sundial-Base,0.682,0.5,0.864,0.028,-0.096,0.132 TimesFM-2.5,PatchTST,0.773,0.591,0.955,0.051,-0.105,0.164 TimesFM-2.5,DeepAR,0.773,0.591,0.91,0.082,-0.067,0.211 TimesFM-2.5,CatBoost,0.727,0.545,0.864,0.081,-0.011,0.162 TimesFM-2.5,LightGBM,0.727,0.545,0.909,0.118,0.013,0.221 TimesFM-2.5,Stat. Ensemble,0.955,0.864,1.0,0.286,0.19,0.384 TimesFM-2.5,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.388,0.28,0.499 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-2,0.091,0.0,0.227,-0.113,-0.178,-0.05 TabPFN-TS,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.273,0.727,0.062,-0.02,0.148 TabPFN-TS,TabPFN-TS,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0 TabPFN-TS,TiRex,0.455,0.272,0.682,0.072,-0.018,0.158 TabPFN-TS,Toto-1.0,0.545,0.364,0.727,0.087,-0.015,0.189 TabPFN-TS,FlowState,0.591,0.364,0.773,0.081,0.004,0.156 TabPFN-TS,Moirai-2.0,0.636,0.455,0.818,0.089,0.013,0.163 TabPFN-TS,Chronos-Bolt,0.636,0.455,0.818,0.084,0.009,0.163 TabPFN-TS,TFT,0.591,0.364,0.774,0.122,-0.012,0.246 TabPFN-TS,Sundial-Base,0.636,0.409,0.818,0.087,-0.014,0.174 TabPFN-TS,PatchTST,0.636,0.409,0.818,0.109,0.024,0.202 TabPFN-TS,DeepAR,0.773,0.591,0.955,0.139,0.055,0.229 TabPFN-TS,CatBoost,0.727,0.545,0.909,0.137,0.062,0.214 TabPFN-TS,LightGBM,0.773,0.591,0.955,0.172,0.095,0.252 TabPFN-TS,Stat. Ensemble,0.909,0.773,1.0,0.33,0.235,0.419 TabPFN-TS,Seasonal Naive,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.426,0.322,0.523 TiRex,Chronos-2,0.136,0.0,0.318,-0.199,-0.312,-0.097 TiRex,TimesFM-2.5,0.5,0.273,0.727,-0.011,-0.05,0.023 TiRex,TabPFN-TS,0.545,0.318,0.728,-0.077,-0.188,0.018 TiRex,TiRex,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0 TiRex,Toto-1.0,0.636,0.409,0.818,0.017,-0.042,0.059 TiRex,FlowState,0.5,0.273,0.682,0.01,-0.031,0.048 TiRex,Moirai-2.0,0.545,0.318,0.773,0.019,-0.004,0.039 TiRex,Chronos-Bolt,0.591,0.364,0.773,0.013,-0.016,0.042 TiRex,TFT,0.591,0.364,0.773,0.055,-0.118,0.201 TiRex,Sundial-Base,0.682,0.5,0.864,0.017,-0.108,0.123 TiRex,PatchTST,0.636,0.409,0.818,0.04,-0.101,0.156 TiRex,DeepAR,0.682,0.5,0.864,0.072,-0.068,0.191 TiRex,CatBoost,0.727,0.545,0.909,0.071,-0.024,0.154 TiRex,LightGBM,0.773,0.591,0.909,0.108,-0.003,0.208 TiRex,Stat. Ensemble,0.955,0.864,1.0,0.278,0.191,0.365 TiRex,Seasonal Naive,0.955,0.864,1.0,0.382,0.279,0.484 Toto-1.0,Chronos-2,0.182,0.045,0.364,-0.219,-0.352,-0.11 Toto-1.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.523,0.341,0.705,-0.028,-0.079,0.021 Toto-1.0,TabPFN-TS,0.455,0.273,0.636,-0.096,-0.233,0.014 Toto-1.0,TiRex,0.364,0.182,0.591,-0.017,-0.062,0.04 Toto-1.0,Toto-1.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0 Toto-1.0,FlowState,0.477,0.273,0.659,-0.007,-0.058,0.044 Toto-1.0,Moirai-2.0,0.523,0.34,0.705,0.002,-0.052,0.064 Toto-1.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.614,0.432,0.795,-0.003,-0.05,0.044 Toto-1.0,TFT,0.636,0.409,0.818,0.039,-0.128,0.181 Toto-1.0,Sundial-Base,0.591,0.364,0.773,0.0,-0.139,0.12 Toto-1.0,PatchTST,0.545,0.318,0.773,0.024,-0.146,0.162 Toto-1.0,DeepAR,0.682,0.5,0.864,0.057,-0.112,0.212 Toto-1.0,CatBoost,0.591,0.364,0.773,0.055,-0.054,0.16 Toto-1.0,LightGBM,0.682,0.5,0.864,0.093,-0.034,0.221 Toto-1.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.864,0.727,1.0,0.266,0.168,0.367 Toto-1.0,Seasonal Naive,0.909,0.773,1.0,0.371,0.26,0.487 FlowState,Chronos-2,0.091,0.0,0.227,-0.211,-0.309,-0.113 FlowState,TimesFM-2.5,0.386,0.205,0.591,-0.021,-0.057,0.011 FlowState,TabPFN-TS,0.409,0.227,0.636,-0.088,-0.184,-0.004 FlowState,TiRex,0.5,0.318,0.727,-0.01,-0.05,0.03 FlowState,Toto-1.0,0.523,0.341,0.727,0.007,-0.046,0.055 FlowState,FlowState,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0 FlowState,Moirai-2.0,0.477,0.295,0.682,0.009,-0.026,0.05 FlowState,Chronos-Bolt,0.568,0.364,0.75,0.004,-0.039,0.04 FlowState,TFT,0.636,0.409,0.818,0.045,-0.118,0.194 FlowState,Sundial-Base,0.682,0.5,0.864,0.007,-0.118,0.11 FlowState,PatchTST,0.636,0.409,0.818,0.031,-0.106,0.146 FlowState,DeepAR,0.727,0.545,0.909,0.063,-0.084,0.199 FlowState,CatBoost,0.545,0.318,0.773,0.062,-0.036,0.152 FlowState,LightGBM,0.682,0.5,0.864,0.099,-0.016,0.211 FlowState,Stat. Ensemble,0.909,0.773,1.0,0.271,0.171,0.37 FlowState,Seasonal Naive,0.864,0.682,1.0,0.376,0.259,0.489 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-2,0.091,0.0,0.227,-0.222,-0.328,-0.127 Moirai-2.0,TimesFM-2.5,0.386,0.205,0.591,-0.03,-0.074,0.011 Moirai-2.0,TabPFN-TS,0.364,0.182,0.545,-0.098,-0.195,-0.013 Moirai-2.0,TiRex,0.455,0.227,0.682,-0.019,-0.041,0.004 Moirai-2.0,Toto-1.0,0.477,0.295,0.66,-0.002,-0.068,0.049 Moirai-2.0,FlowState,0.523,0.318,0.705,-0.009,-0.052,0.025 Moirai-2.0,Moirai-2.0,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0 Moirai-2.0,Chronos-Bolt,0.523,0.364,0.682,-0.006,-0.036,0.022 Moirai-2.0,TFT,0.591,0.364,0.773,0.037,-0.137,0.189 Moirai-2.0,Sundial-Base,0.636,0.455,0.818,-0.002,-0.122,0.099 Moirai-2.0,PatchTST,0.636,0.453,0.818,0.022,-0.112,0.133 Moirai-2.0,DeepAR,0.636,0.409,0.818,0.055,-0.083,0.17 Moirai-2.0,CatBoost,0.682,0.5,0.864,0.053,-0.039,0.132 Moirai-2.0,LightGBM,0.727,0.545,0.909,0.091,-0.009,0.19 Moirai-2.0,Stat. Ensemble,0.909,0.773,1.0,0.264,0.177,0.352 Moirai-2.0,Seasonal Naive,0.955,0.864,1.0,0.37,0.264,0.475 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-2,0.091,0.0,0.227,-0.215,-0.32,-0.123 Chronos-Bolt,TimesFM-2.5,0.477,0.295,0.659,-0.025,-0.062,0.007 Chronos-Bolt,TabPFN-TS,0.364,0.182,0.545,-0.092,-0.195,-0.009 Chronos-Bolt,TiRex,0.409,0.227,0.636,-0.013,-0.043,0.016 Chronos-Bolt,Toto-1.0,0.386,0.205,0.568,0.003,-0.046,0.048 Chronos-Bolt,FlowState,0.432,0.25,0.636,-0.004,-0.042,0.038 Chronos-Bolt,Moirai-2.0,0.477,0.318,0.636,0.005,-0.022,0.035 Chronos-Bolt,Chronos-Bolt,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0 Chronos-Bolt,TFT,0.591,0.364,0.773,0.042,-0.124,0.192 Chronos-Bolt,Sundial-Base,0.636,0.455,0.818,0.004,-0.123,0.11 Chronos-Bolt,PatchTST,0.636,0.409,0.818,0.028,-0.112,0.151 Chronos-Bolt,DeepAR,0.636,0.409,0.818,0.06,-0.077,0.183 Chronos-Bolt,CatBoost,0.636,0.409,0.818,0.058,-0.033,0.145 Chronos-Bolt,LightGBM,0.682,0.5,0.864,0.096,-0.01,0.199 Chronos-Bolt,Stat. Ensemble,0.909,0.773,1.0,0.268,0.177,0.362 Chronos-Bolt,Seasonal Naive,0.955,0.864,1.0,0.373,0.266,0.484 TFT,Chronos-2,0.227,0.045,0.409,-0.268,-0.497,-0.091 TFT,TimesFM-2.5,0.364,0.182,0.591,-0.069,-0.269,0.09 TFT,TabPFN-TS,0.409,0.226,0.636,-0.14,-0.327,0.011 TFT,TiRex,0.409,0.227,0.636,-0.058,-0.251,0.106 TFT,Toto-1.0,0.364,0.182,0.591,-0.04,-0.221,0.113 TFT,FlowState,0.364,0.182,0.591,-0.048,-0.24,0.106 TFT,Moirai-2.0,0.409,0.227,0.636,-0.038,-0.233,0.121 TFT,Chronos-Bolt,0.409,0.227,0.636,-0.044,-0.238,0.11 TFT,TFT,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0 TFT,Sundial-Base,0.591,0.409,0.773,-0.04,-0.266,0.114 TFT,PatchTST,0.614,0.386,0.796,-0.015,-0.16,0.087 TFT,DeepAR,0.614,0.409,0.818,0.019,-0.113,0.166 TFT,CatBoost,0.636,0.409,0.818,0.017,-0.17,0.17 TFT,LightGBM,0.682,0.455,0.864,0.056,-0.101,0.21 TFT,Stat. Ensemble,0.727,0.545,0.909,0.236,0.111,0.351 TFT,Seasonal Naive,0.886,0.75,1.0,0.346,0.224,0.457 Sundial-Base,Chronos-2,0.091,0.0,0.227,-0.22,-0.33,-0.127 Sundial-Base,TimesFM-2.5,0.318,0.136,0.5,-0.028,-0.152,0.088 Sundial-Base,TabPFN-TS,0.364,0.182,0.591,-0.096,-0.21,0.014 Sundial-Base,TiRex,0.318,0.136,0.5,-0.017,-0.14,0.098 Sundial-Base,Toto-1.0,0.409,0.227,0.636,-0.0,-0.137,0.122 Sundial-Base,FlowState,0.318,0.136,0.5,-0.007,-0.124,0.106 Sundial-Base,Moirai-2.0,0.364,0.182,0.545,0.002,-0.109,0.109 Sundial-Base,Chronos-Bolt,0.364,0.182,0.545,-0.004,-0.124,0.11 Sundial-Base,TFT,0.409,0.227,0.591,0.038,-0.129,0.21 Sundial-Base,Sundial-Base,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0 Sundial-Base,PatchTST,0.545,0.318,0.773,0.024,-0.126,0.177 Sundial-Base,DeepAR,0.545,0.364,0.773,0.056,-0.08,0.207 Sundial-Base,CatBoost,0.773,0.591,0.955,0.055,-0.01,0.11 Sundial-Base,LightGBM,0.727,0.545,0.909,0.093,-0.003,0.187 Sundial-Base,Stat. Ensemble,0.818,0.636,0.955,0.266,0.154,0.376 Sundial-Base,Seasonal Naive,0.955,0.864,1.0,0.371,0.263,0.473 PatchTST,Chronos-2,0.227,0.045,0.409,-0.25,-0.426,-0.118 PatchTST,TimesFM-2.5,0.227,0.045,0.409,-0.054,-0.196,0.095 PatchTST,TabPFN-TS,0.364,0.182,0.591,-0.123,-0.253,-0.024 PatchTST,TiRex,0.364,0.182,0.591,-0.042,-0.185,0.091 PatchTST,Toto-1.0,0.455,0.227,0.682,-0.025,-0.194,0.127 PatchTST,FlowState,0.364,0.182,0.591,-0.032,-0.171,0.096 PatchTST,Moirai-2.0,0.364,0.182,0.547,-0.023,-0.154,0.101 PatchTST,Chronos-Bolt,0.364,0.182,0.591,-0.028,-0.178,0.101 PatchTST,TFT,0.386,0.204,0.614,0.015,-0.095,0.138 PatchTST,Sundial-Base,0.455,0.227,0.682,-0.025,-0.215,0.112 PatchTST,PatchTST,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0 PatchTST,DeepAR,0.523,0.318,0.727,0.033,-0.068,0.143 PatchTST,CatBoost,0.545,0.364,0.727,0.031,-0.122,0.163 PatchTST,LightGBM,0.545,0.318,0.773,0.07,-0.076,0.203 PatchTST,Stat. Ensemble,0.773,0.591,0.91,0.248,0.125,0.359 PatchTST,Seasonal Naive,0.841,0.681,0.977,0.356,0.222,0.477 DeepAR,Chronos-2,0.182,0.045,0.364,-0.293,-0.497,-0.15 DeepAR,TimesFM-2.5,0.227,0.09,0.409,-0.09,-0.267,0.063 DeepAR,TabPFN-TS,0.227,0.045,0.409,-0.161,-0.296,-0.058 DeepAR,TiRex,0.318,0.136,0.5,-0.078,-0.237,0.064 DeepAR,Toto-1.0,0.318,0.136,0.5,-0.06,-0.269,0.1 DeepAR,FlowState,0.273,0.091,0.455,-0.068,-0.248,0.077 DeepAR,Moirai-2.0,0.364,0.182,0.591,-0.058,-0.204,0.077 DeepAR,Chronos-Bolt,0.364,0.182,0.591,-0.064,-0.224,0.072 DeepAR,TFT,0.386,0.182,0.591,-0.019,-0.198,0.101 DeepAR,Sundial-Base,0.455,0.227,0.636,-0.06,-0.26,0.074 DeepAR,PatchTST,0.477,0.273,0.682,-0.034,-0.166,0.064 DeepAR,DeepAR,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0 DeepAR,CatBoost,0.5,0.273,0.727,-0.002,-0.139,0.114 DeepAR,LightGBM,0.591,0.409,0.773,0.038,-0.061,0.133 DeepAR,Stat. Ensemble,0.818,0.636,0.955,0.222,0.13,0.308 DeepAR,Seasonal Naive,0.955,0.886,1.0,0.333,0.238,0.422 CatBoost,Chronos-2,0.091,0.0,0.227,-0.29,-0.426,-0.181 CatBoost,TimesFM-2.5,0.273,0.136,0.455,-0.088,-0.193,0.011 CatBoost,TabPFN-TS,0.273,0.091,0.455,-0.159,-0.272,-0.066 CatBoost,TiRex,0.273,0.091,0.455,-0.076,-0.182,0.024 CatBoost,Toto-1.0,0.409,0.227,0.636,-0.058,-0.19,0.051 CatBoost,FlowState,0.455,0.227,0.682,-0.066,-0.179,0.035 CatBoost,Moirai-2.0,0.318,0.136,0.5,-0.056,-0.152,0.037 CatBoost,Chronos-Bolt,0.364,0.182,0.591,-0.062,-0.169,0.032 CatBoost,TFT,0.364,0.182,0.591,-0.017,-0.206,0.145 CatBoost,Sundial-Base,0.227,0.045,0.409,-0.058,-0.123,0.01 CatBoost,PatchTST,0.455,0.273,0.636,-0.032,-0.194,0.109 CatBoost,DeepAR,0.5,0.273,0.727,0.002,-0.128,0.122 CatBoost,CatBoost,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0 CatBoost,LightGBM,0.682,0.455,0.864,0.04,-0.024,0.101 CatBoost,Stat. Ensemble,0.727,0.545,0.909,0.223,0.115,0.324 CatBoost,Seasonal Naive,0.864,0.727,1.0,0.335,0.228,0.43 LightGBM,Chronos-2,0.045,0.0,0.136,-0.344,-0.52,-0.21 LightGBM,TimesFM-2.5,0.273,0.091,0.455,-0.133,-0.284,-0.013 LightGBM,TabPFN-TS,0.227,0.045,0.409,-0.208,-0.338,-0.105 LightGBM,TiRex,0.227,0.091,0.409,-0.121,-0.262,0.003 LightGBM,Toto-1.0,0.318,0.136,0.5,-0.102,-0.283,0.033 LightGBM,FlowState,0.318,0.136,0.5,-0.11,-0.268,0.016 LightGBM,Moirai-2.0,0.273,0.091,0.455,-0.1,-0.235,0.009 LightGBM,Chronos-Bolt,0.318,0.136,0.5,-0.106,-0.249,0.01 LightGBM,TFT,0.318,0.136,0.545,-0.06,-0.267,0.092 LightGBM,Sundial-Base,0.273,0.091,0.455,-0.102,-0.231,0.003 LightGBM,PatchTST,0.455,0.227,0.682,-0.076,-0.255,0.07 LightGBM,DeepAR,0.409,0.227,0.591,-0.04,-0.154,0.057 LightGBM,CatBoost,0.318,0.136,0.545,-0.042,-0.113,0.024 LightGBM,LightGBM,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0 LightGBM,Stat. Ensemble,0.773,0.591,0.91,0.191,0.077,0.291 LightGBM,Seasonal Naive,0.909,0.773,1.0,0.307,0.216,0.39 Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-2,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.661,-0.939,-0.436 Stat. Ensemble,TimesFM-2.5,0.045,0.0,0.136,-0.4,-0.624,-0.234 Stat. Ensemble,TabPFN-TS,0.091,0.0,0.227,-0.492,-0.722,-0.308 Stat. Ensemble,TiRex,0.045,0.0,0.136,-0.385,-0.575,-0.236 Stat. Ensemble,Toto-1.0,0.136,0.0,0.273,-0.362,-0.58,-0.201 Stat. Ensemble,FlowState,0.091,0.0,0.227,-0.372,-0.587,-0.206 Stat. Ensemble,Moirai-2.0,0.091,0.0,0.227,-0.359,-0.543,-0.215 Stat. Ensemble,Chronos-Bolt,0.091,0.0,0.227,-0.367,-0.568,-0.215 Stat. Ensemble,TFT,0.273,0.091,0.455,-0.309,-0.541,-0.125 Stat. Ensemble,Sundial-Base,0.182,0.045,0.364,-0.362,-0.603,-0.182 Stat. Ensemble,PatchTST,0.227,0.09,0.409,-0.329,-0.56,-0.142 Stat. Ensemble,DeepAR,0.182,0.045,0.364,-0.285,-0.444,-0.149 Stat. Ensemble,CatBoost,0.273,0.091,0.455,-0.287,-0.478,-0.13 Stat. Ensemble,LightGBM,0.227,0.09,0.409,-0.235,-0.41,-0.084 Stat. Ensemble,Stat. Ensemble,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0 Stat. Ensemble,Seasonal Naive,0.818,0.636,0.955,0.144,0.078,0.224 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-2,0.045,0.0,0.136,-0.94,-1.374,-0.616 Seasonal Naive,TimesFM-2.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.635,-0.996,-0.389 Seasonal Naive,TabPFN-TS,0.0,0.0,0.0,-0.743,-1.097,-0.476 Seasonal Naive,TiRex,0.045,0.0,0.136,-0.617,-0.937,-0.386 Seasonal Naive,Toto-1.0,0.091,0.0,0.227,-0.59,-0.949,-0.351 Seasonal Naive,FlowState,0.136,0.0,0.318,-0.602,-0.958,-0.35 Seasonal Naive,Moirai-2.0,0.045,0.0,0.136,-0.587,-0.905,-0.359 Seasonal Naive,Chronos-Bolt,0.045,0.0,0.136,-0.596,-0.938,-0.363 Seasonal Naive,TFT,0.114,0.0,0.25,-0.529,-0.843,-0.288 Seasonal Naive,Sundial-Base,0.045,0.0,0.136,-0.59,-0.896,-0.357 Seasonal Naive,PatchTST,0.159,0.023,0.319,-0.552,-0.911,-0.285 Seasonal Naive,DeepAR,0.045,0.0,0.114,-0.5,-0.729,-0.313 Seasonal Naive,CatBoost,0.136,0.0,0.273,-0.503,-0.754,-0.295 Seasonal Naive,LightGBM,0.091,0.0,0.227,-0.443,-0.64,-0.276 Seasonal Naive,Stat. Ensemble,0.182,0.045,0.364,-0.168,-0.288,-0.085 Seasonal Naive,Seasonal Naive,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.0,0.0,0.0