app.py

import yfinance as yf
import gradio as gr
import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
from datetime import date, timedelta
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
from sklearn.metrics import mean_absolute_error
import xgboost as xgb
import lightgbm as lgb
from sklearn.ensemble import HistGradientBoostingRegressor
#import catboost as cb
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt

def fetch_data(symbol, start, end):
    df = yf.download(symbol, start=start, end=end)
    df = df[['Close']].reset_index()
    df.columns = ['Date', 'Close']
    return df

def preprocess_data(df, n_days):
    df['Target'] = df['Close'].shift(-n_days)
    df.dropna(inplace=True)
    df['Date'] = pd.to_datetime(df['Date'])
    df['Year'] = df['Date'].dt.year
    df['Month'] = df['Date'].dt.month
    df['Day'] = df['Date'].dt.day
    X = df[['Year', 'Month', 'Day', 'Close']]
    y = df['Target']
    return X, y

def train_predict(symbol, start_date, end_date, forecast_days):
    # Fetch and preprocess data
    df = fetch_data(symbol, start_date, end_date)
    X, y = preprocess_data(df, forecast_days)
    
    # Train-test split
    X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(X, y, test_size=0.2, random_state=42)
    
    # Define models
    models = {
        'XGBoost': xgb.XGBRegressor(),
        'LightGBM': lgb.LGBMRegressor(),
    #    'CatBoost': catboost.CatBoostRegressor(),
        'HistGradientBoosting': HistGradientBoostingRegressor()
    }
    
    results = {}
    
    for name, model in models.items():
        model.fit(X_train, y_train)
        preds = model.predict(X_test)
        mae = mean_absolute_error(y_test, preds)
        
        future_dates = [end_date + timedelta(days=i) for i in range(1, forecast_days + 1)]
        future_df = pd.DataFrame({
            'Year': [date.year for date in future_dates],
            'Month': [date.month for date in future_dates],
            'Day': [date.day for date in future_dates],
            'Close': [df['Close'].iloc[-1]] * forecast_days
        })
        
        future_preds = model.predict(future_df)
        results[name] = {'mae': mae, 'future_preds': future_preds.tolist()}
    
    return df, results

def plot_results(df, end_date, forecast_days, results):
    # Plot historical data
    plt.figure(figsize=(14, 7))
    plt.plot(df['Date'], df['Close'], label='Historical Data')
    plt.xlabel('Date')
    plt.ylabel('Close Price')
    plt.title('Historical Stock Data')
    plt.grid(True)
    plt.tight_layout()
    
    historical_path = 'historical_data.png'
    plt.savefig(historical_path)
    plt.close()

    # Plot future predictions
    plt.figure(figsize=(14, 7))
    future_dates = [end_date + timedelta(days=i) for i in range(1, forecast_days + 1)]
    
    for model, result in results.items():
        plt.plot(future_dates, result['future_preds'], label=f'{model} Predictions')
    
    plt.xlabel('Date')
    plt.ylabel('Close Price')
    plt.title('Future Stock Price Predictions')
    plt.legend()
    plt.grid(True)
    plt.tight_layout()
    
    prediction_path = 'future_predictions.png'
    plt.savefig(prediction_path)
    plt.close()
    
    return historical_path, prediction_path

def gradio_interface(symbol, years_of_data, forecast_days):
    end_date = date.today()
    start_date = date(end_date.year - years_of_data, end_date.month, end_date.day)
    
    df, results = train_predict(symbol, start_date, end_date, forecast_days)
    historical_path, prediction_path = plot_results(df, end_date, forecast_days, results)
    
    output = f"## Prediction Results for {symbol}\n"
    output += f"Training Period: {start_date} to {end_date}\n\n"
    
    for model, result in results.items():
        output += f"### {model}\n"
        output += f"Mean Absolute Error: {result['mae']}\n"
        output += f"Future Predictions: {result['future_preds']}\n\n"
    
    return historical_path, prediction_path

interface = gr.Interface(
    fn=gradio_interface,
    inputs=[
        gr.Textbox(label="Stock Symbol (e.g., ^NSEI for Nifty 50, ^BSESN for Sensex)"),
        gr.Slider(label="Years of Data", minimum=1, maximum=10, step=1),
        gr.Slider(label="Forecast Days", minimum=1, maximum=30, step=1)
    ],
    outputs=["image", "image"],
    title="Stock Price Prediction",
    description="Predict future stock prices using XGBoost, LightGBM, CatBoost, and HistGradientBoosting models."
)

if __name__ == "__main__":
    interface.launch()