{ "spec": { "sesoi": 0.05, "sesoi_preregistered": "docs/ROADMAP_PUBLICATION.md W2.d", "n_boot": 10000, "seed": 42, "ci_level": 0.9, "champion": "generalization_champion.json", "champion_macro_gen_f1": 0.014606 }, "granularity": "per-dataset (3 held-out sources x 5 retrains = 15 paired deltas). Per-pair rows do not exist for the retrain series (only the shipped pipeline was scored on the 42-pair bench); within-retrain deltas are clustered, hence the retrain-level robustness check below.", "per_retrain": [ { "retrain": "challenger seed31", "file": "generalization_challenger.json", "macro_gen_f1": 0.018031, "macro_delta": 0.003426, "per_dataset_delta": { "flights": -0.000224, "rayyan": 0.0, "ed2_restaurants": 0.010502 } }, { "retrain": "v7 seed32 (unicode-punct archetype)", "file": "generalization_v7.json", "macro_gen_f1": 0.018056, "macro_delta": 0.00345, "per_dataset_delta": { "flights": -0.000224, "rayyan": 0.0, "ed2_restaurants": 0.010576 } }, { "retrain": "v8 seed33 (+109k harvested alias vocabs)", "file": "generalization_v8.json", "macro_gen_f1": 0.01499, "macro_delta": 0.000384, "per_dataset_delta": { "flights": -0.000224, "rayyan": 0.0, "ed2_restaurants": 0.001376 } }, { "retrain": "v9 seed34 (+MusicBrainz hints, gidcl pairs)", "file": "generalization_v9.json", "macro_gen_f1": 0.018056, "macro_delta": 0.00345, "per_dataset_delta": { "flights": -0.000224, "rayyan": 0.0, "ed2_restaurants": 0.010576 } }, { "retrain": "v10 seed35 (suspects-contract)", "file": "generalization_v10.json", "macro_gen_f1": 0.017985, "macro_delta": 0.003379, "per_dataset_delta": { "flights": -0.000224, "rayyan": 0.0, "ed2_restaurants": 0.010363 } } ], "pooled_per_dataset": { "p_lower": 1.6749348114846273e-16, "p_upper": 8.026727463976254e-16, "p_tost": 8.026727463976254e-16, "n": 15, "mean": 0.0028180313740872823, "sd": 0.004813618391779787, "ci90_bootstrap": [ 0.0008, 0.004909 ], "ci90_width": 0.00411, "equivalent_at_sesoi": true }, "retrain_level_robustness": { "p_lower": 5.283351030621728e-08, "p_upper": 8.29508218524675e-08, "p_tost": 8.29508218524675e-08, "n": 5, "mean": 0.0028178, "sd": 0.0013608442967511013 }, "caveat": "GEN-F1 sits near floor (champion 0.015 absolute), so the bound certifies absence of movement on a low-dynamic-range metric; the CI width (~0.004) shows the data could have detected effects an order of magnitude smaller than the 0.05 SESOI.", "paper_sentence": "Across the five-retrain series the mean held-out GEN-F1 delta (retrain minus champion, per-dataset, n=15) is +0.0028 (90\\% bootstrap CI [+0.0008, +0.0049]); TOST rejects effects larger than the pre-registered $\\pm$0.05 SESOI (p = 8.0e-16), and the retrain-level check (n=5 macro deltas) agrees (p = 8.3e-08)." }