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import os
os.environ["STREAMLIT_HOME"] = "/tmp"
os.environ["MPLCONFIGDIR"] = "/tmp/matplotlib"
os.environ["STREAMLIT_METRICS_ENABLED"] = "0"
import streamlit as st
st.set_page_config(
page_title="Multi-Utility Changepoint Detection",
layout="wide",
initial_sidebar_state="expanded",
)
import optuna
import pandas as pd
from datetime import datetime
import re
from rapidfuzz import process, fuzz
import altair as alt
import numpy as np
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import io
import requests
import json
from typing import List, Dict
import xgboost as xgb
from sklearn.metrics import mean_squared_error
from sklearn.model_selection import TimeSeriesSplit
from data_utils import load_file as _load_file
from usage_utils import (
analyze_and_fill_usage,
fill_usage_with_sequence_check_strict_mean,
)
from rupture_utils import detect_changepoints
from cp_utils import (
extract_changepoint_features,
run_semi_supervised_cp_model,
run_semi_supervised_cp_model_unified,
)
from sklearn.preprocessing import StandardScaler
# ===============================================================
# ๐ข ๅปบ็ญ็นๅพ่ชๅจๆๅๅ่ฝ
# ===============================================================
def train_fixed_model(
df: pd.DataFrame,
duration_months: int,
n_trials: int,
early_stopping_rounds: int = 50
):
"""
้็จ fixed ๆจกๅผ๏ผ็ญๆ & ้ฟๆ๏ผ๏ผ
โข ็ญๆ๏ผไป
่ฐไผ XGBoost ่ถ
ๅ
โข ้ฟๆ๏ผ้ขๅค่ฐไผ lag_steps, rolling_window, use_lag, use_rolling, use_zscore
"""
# โโ ๅคไปฝๅๅงๆฐๆฎ
df = df.copy()
y_full = df["Use"]
X_base = df.drop(columns=["Use", "StartDate"])
# Filter X_base to include only numeric, boolean, or category types that XGBoost can handle
# This step is important if the incoming df might have other types.
X_base = X_base.select_dtypes(include=[np.number, "bool", "category"])
# ==== 2๏ธโฃ Optuna ่ฐๅ ====
def objective(trial):
# 1) XGBoost ่ถ
ๅ
params = {
"n_estimators": trial.suggest_int("n_estimators", 50, 200),
"max_depth": trial.suggest_int("max_depth", 3, 8),
"learning_rate": trial.suggest_float("learning_rate", 0.01, 0.3),
"subsample": trial.suggest_float("subsample", 0.5, 1.0),
"colsample_bytree": trial.suggest_float("colsample_bytree", 0.5, 1.0),
"reg_alpha": trial.suggest_float("reg_alpha", 0.0, 1.0),
"reg_lambda": trial.suggest_float("reg_lambda", 0.0, 1.0)
}
# 2) ้ฟๆ fixed ๆถ๏ผ้ขๅค็็นๅพๅๆฐ
if duration_months >= 4:
lag_steps = trial.suggest_int("lag_steps", 1, 12)
rolling_window = trial.suggest_int("rolling_window", 1, 36)
use_lag = trial.suggest_categorical("use_lag", [True, False])
use_rolling = trial.suggest_categorical("use_rolling", [True, False])
use_zscore = trial.suggest_categorical("use_zscore", [True, False])
else:
# ็ญๆๆจกๅผ๏ผไธ่ฆ่ฟไบ
lag_steps = rolling_window = 0
use_lag = use_rolling = use_zscore = False
# 3) ไธบๆฌๆฌก trial ็ๆ็นๅพ
X_trial = X_base.copy()
if duration_months >= 12:
# lag ็นๅพ
if use_lag:
for lag in range(1, lag_steps + 1):
X_trial[f"lag_{lag}"] = y_full.shift(lag)
# ๆปๅจๅๅผ / ๆ ๅๅทฎ
if use_rolling:
X_trial[f"roll_mean_{rolling_window}"] = y_full.rolling(rolling_window).mean()
X_trial[f"roll_std_{rolling_window}"] = y_full.rolling(rolling_window).std()
# z-score
if use_zscore:
X_trial["zscore"] = (y_full - y_full.mean()) / y_full.std()
# ๆธ
้คๅ ไธบ shift/rolling ๅผๅ
ฅ็ NaN
X_trial = X_trial.dropna()
y_trial = y_full.loc[X_trial.index]
if len(X_trial) < 10:
return np.inf # ๆ่
np.inf๏ผ่ฎฉ Optuna ่ทณ่ฟ่ฟไธช trial
n_splits = min(5, max(2, len(X_trial) // 10))
# 4) ๆถ้ดๅบๅ CV
tscv = TimeSeriesSplit(n_splits=5)
errors = []
for tr_idx, va_idx in tscv.split(X_trial):
X_tr, X_va = X_trial.iloc[tr_idx], X_trial.iloc[va_idx]
y_tr, y_va = y_trial.iloc[tr_idx], y_trial.iloc[va_idx]
model = xgb.XGBRegressor(**params)
model.fit(
X_tr, y_tr,
eval_set=[(X_va, y_va)],
verbose=False
)
preds = model.predict(X_va)
rmse = np.sqrt(mean_squared_error(y_va, preds))
errors.append(rmse)
return np.mean(errors)
study = optuna.create_study(direction="minimize")
with st.spinner("๐ Running Optunaโฆ"):
study.optimize(objective, n_trials=n_trials)
st.success(f"๐ฏ Optuna finished โ best RMSE = {study.best_value:.4f}")
# ==== 3๏ธโฃ ็จๆไฝณ trial ็ๆๆ็ป็นๅพ & ่ฎญ็ปๅ
จ้ๆจกๅ ====
best_params = study.best_params
# ๆๅ XGBoost ๅๆฐ & ็นๅพๅๆฐ
xgb_keys = ["n_estimators","max_depth","learning_rate","subsample","colsample_bytree","reg_alpha","reg_lambda"]
xgb_best_params = {k: best_params[k] for k in xgb_keys}
# ็นๅพๅทฅ็จๅๆฐ
lag_steps = best_params.get("lag_steps", 0)
rolling_window = best_params.get("rolling_window", 0)
use_lag = best_params.get("use_lag", False)
use_rolling = best_params.get("use_rolling", False)
use_zscore = best_params.get("use_zscore", False)
# ้ๆฐๆ้ ๅ
จ้่ฎญ็ป้
X_final = X_base.copy()
if duration_months >= 3:
if use_lag:
for lag in range(1, lag_steps + 1):
X_final[f"lag_{lag}"] = y_full.shift(lag)
if use_rolling:
X_final[f"roll_mean_{rolling_window}"] = y_full.rolling(rolling_window).mean()
X_final[f"roll_std_{rolling_window}"] = y_full.rolling(rolling_window).std()
X_final = X_final.dropna()
y_final = y_full.loc[X_final.index]
# ๅ
จ้่ฎญ็ป
best_model = xgb.XGBRegressor(**xgb_best_params)
# ็กฎไฟๆจกๅไฟๅญ็นๅพๅ็งฐ
best_model.fit(X_final, y_final)
# ๅฏนไบๆง็ๆฌ็ xgboost๏ผๆๅจ่ฎพ็ฝฎ feature_names_in_
if not hasattr(best_model, 'feature_names_in_'):
best_model.feature_names_in_ = X_final.columns.tolist()
# ==== 4๏ธโฃ xgboost ็นๅพ้่ฆๆง & 5๏ธโฃ SHAP ่งฃ้ ====
st.subheader("๐ XGBoost Feature Importance (gain)")
fig1, ax1 = plt.subplots(figsize=(8,6))
xgb.plot_importance(best_model, importance_type="gain", ax=ax1)
fig1.tight_layout()
st.pyplot(fig1)
import shap
st.subheader("๐ง SHAP Global & Local Explanations")
explainer = shap.Explainer(best_model, X_final, feature_perturbation="interventional")
shap_values = explainer(X_final, check_additivity=False)
# โโ Beeswarm ๅพ โโ
fig2 = plt.figure(figsize=(8,6))
shap.plots.beeswarm(shap_values, max_display=20, show=False)
plt.tight_layout()
st.pyplot(fig2)
# โโ Waterfall ๅพ โโ
st.caption("Example SHAP Waterfall (first sample)")
fig3 = plt.figure(figsize=(8,6))
shap.plots.waterfall(shap_values[0], show=False)
plt.tight_layout()
st.pyplot(fig3)
return best_model, study
def kde_or_normal_sample(df_weather: pd.DataFrame, target_month: int, weather_var: str, window: int = 1) -> float:
"""
ๅฏนๅๅฒๅคฉๆฐๅ้่ฟ่กๆบ่ฝ้ๆ ท๏ผๆ นๆฎๆ ทๆฌ้้ๆฉไธๅ็ญ็ฅ๏ผ
- ๆ ทๆฌ < 20๏ผไฝฟ็จๆๆๅๅฒ็ๅๅผ
- ๆ ทๆฌ 20-50๏ผไฝฟ็จๆญฃๆๆฐๅจ
- ๆ ทๆฌ 50-100๏ผไฝฟ็จๅฝๅๆKDE + ้ป่ฟๆๅๅนถ็KDE้ๆ ท๏ผๆททๅ็ญ็ฅ๏ผ
- ๆ ทๆฌ > 100๏ผ็ดๆฅKDE้ๆ ท
ๅๆฐ
----
df_weather : ๅ
ๅซ ['StartDate', weather_var] ็ๅๅฒๅคฉๆฐ่กจ
target_month : ๅพ
้ขๆตๆไปฝ๏ผ1โ12๏ผ
weather_var : ่ฆ้ๆ ท็ๅคฉๆฐ็นๅพๅๅ
window : ๆไปฝๆปๅจ็ชๅฃๅคงๅฐ๏ผๅๅwindowไธชๆ๏ผ
่ฟๅ
----
float : ้ๆ ทๅ็ๅคฉๆฐ็นๅพๅผ
"""
from scipy.stats import gaussian_kde
# ็กฎไฟ StartDate ๅทฒ็ปๆฏ datetime
df = df_weather.copy()
df['StartDate'] = pd.to_datetime(df['StartDate'])
df['month'] = df['StartDate'].dt.month
# ่ทๅๅฝๅๆไปฝ็ๆฐๆฎ
current_month_vals = df.loc[df['month'] == target_month, weather_var].dropna()
# ่ทๅ้ป่ฟๆไปฝ็ๆฐๆฎ๏ผยฑwindowๆ๏ผ
neighbor_months = []
for offset in range(-window, window + 1):
if offset != 0: # ๆ้คๅฝๅๆ
m = (target_month + offset - 1) % 12 + 1
neighbor_months.append(m)
neighbor_vals = df.loc[df['month'].isin(neighbor_months), weather_var].dropna() if neighbor_months else pd.Series()
# ๆๆ็ธๅ
ณๆไปฝ็ๆฐๆฎ๏ผๅ
ๆฌๅฝๅๆๅ้ป่ฟๆ๏ผ
all_vals = df.loc[df['month'].isin([target_month] + neighbor_months), weather_var].dropna()
# ่ทๅๆๆๅๅฒๆฐๆฎ๏ผไธๅๆไปฝ๏ผ
all_history_vals = df[weather_var].dropna()
# ๆ นๆฎๆ ทๆฌ้้ๆฉ็ญ็ฅ
sample_size = len(current_month_vals)
if sample_size == 0:
# ๅฝๅๆๆฒกๆๆฐๆฎ๏ผไฝฟ็จ้ป่ฟๆไปฝๆฐๆฎ
if len(neighbor_vals) > 0:
return float(neighbor_vals.mean())
else:
# ้ป่ฟๆไนๆฒกๆๆฐๆฎ๏ผไฝฟ็จๆๆๅๅฒๅๅผ
return float(all_history_vals.mean()) if len(all_history_vals) > 0 else np.nan
elif sample_size < 20:
# ๆ ทๆฌ < 20๏ผไฝฟ็จๆๆๅๅฒ็ๅๅผ
return float(all_history_vals.mean())
elif 20 <= sample_size < 50:
# ๆ ทๆฌ 20-50๏ผไฝฟ็จๆญฃๆๆฐๅจ
mu = current_month_vals.mean()
sigma = current_month_vals.std(ddof=1)
if sigma == 0:
# ๅฆๆๆ ๅๅทฎไธบ0๏ผไฝฟ็จๆๆๅๅฒๆฐๆฎ็ๆ ๅๅทฎ
sigma = all_history_vals.std(ddof=1)
if sigma == 0:
return float(mu)
return float(np.random.normal(mu, sigma))
elif 50 <= sample_size < 100:
# ๆ ทๆฌ 50-100๏ผๆททๅKDE็ญ็ฅ
try:
# ๅฝๅๆไปฝ็KDE
current_kde = gaussian_kde(current_month_vals)
# ๅฆๆ้ป่ฟๆไปฝๆ่ถณๅคๆฐๆฎ๏ผๅๅปบ้ป่ฟๆไปฝ็KDE
if len(neighbor_vals) >= 20:
neighbor_kde = gaussian_kde(neighbor_vals)
# ๆททๅ้ๆ ท๏ผ70%ๆฆ็ไปๅฝๅๆKDE้ๆ ท๏ผ30%ไป้ป่ฟๆKDE้ๆ ท
if np.random.random() < 0.7:
return float(current_kde.resample(1)[0][0])
else:
return float(neighbor_kde.resample(1)[0][0])
else:
# ้ป่ฟๆๆฐๆฎไธ่ถณ๏ผไป
ไฝฟ็จๅฝๅๆKDE
return float(current_kde.resample(1)[0][0])
except:
# KDEๅคฑ่ดฅ๏ผ้ๅๅฐๆญฃๆๅๅธ
mu = current_month_vals.mean()
sigma = current_month_vals.std(ddof=1)
if sigma == 0:
return float(mu)
return float(np.random.normal(mu, sigma))
else: # sample_size >= 100
# ๆ ทๆฌ >= 100๏ผ็ดๆฅKDE
try:
kde = gaussian_kde(current_month_vals)
return float(kde.resample(1)[0][0])
except:
# KDEๅคฑ่ดฅ๏ผ็่ฎบไธไธๅบ่ฏฅๅ็๏ผ๏ผ้ๅๅฐๆญฃๆๅๅธ
mu = current_month_vals.mean()
sigma = current_month_vals.std(ddof=1)
if sigma == 0:
return float(mu)
return float(np.random.normal(mu, sigma))
def recursive_forecast_with_weather_sampling(
model: xgb.XGBRegressor,
last_known_df: pd.DataFrame,
forecast_horizon: int,
best_params: dict,
weather_history: pd.DataFrame = None,
weather_features: List[str] = None,
weather_windows: Dict[str, int] = None,
enable_weather_sampling: bool = True
) -> pd.DataFrame:
"""
ๅขๅผบ็้ๅฝ้ขๆต๏ผๅฏ้ๆฉๆงๅฐๅฏนๅคฉๆฐ็นๅพ่ฟ่ก KDE/ๆญฃๆ้ๆ ทใ
ๅๆฐ
----
weather_history : ๅ
ๅซๅๅฒๆๆๅคฉๆฐ็นๅพ็ DataFrame๏ผๅฟ
้กปๅซ StartDate ๅ
weather_features : ้่ฆ้ๆบๅ้ๆ ท็ๅคฉๆฐ็นๅพๅ่กจ
weather_windows : ๆฏไธชๅคฉๆฐ็นๅพ็ๆปๅจ็ชๅฃ้
็ฝฎ๏ผๅฆ {'temp_mean': 2, 'humidity_mean': 1}
enable_weather_sampling : ๆฏๅฆๅฏ็จๅคฉๆฐ้ๆ ท
"""
lag_steps = best_params.get("lag_steps", 0)
rolling_window = best_params.get("rolling_window", 0)
use_lag = best_params.get("use_lag", False)
use_rolling = best_params.get("use_rolling", False)
use_zscore = best_params.get("use_zscore", False)
# ๆท่ดไธไปฝๅๅฒๆฐๆฎ
hist_df = last_known_df.copy().reset_index(drop=True)
preds = []
# ้ป่ฎคๅๆฐๅค็
if weather_features is None:
weather_features = []
if weather_windows is None:
weather_windows = {}
if weather_history is None:
enable_weather_sampling = False
for _ in range(forecast_horizon):
next_date = hist_df["StartDate"].max() + pd.DateOffset(months=1)
# ๆ้ ๅบ็กๆฐ่ก
new_row = {
"StartDate": next_date,
"time_index": hist_df["time_index"].max() + 1,
"month_sin": np.sin(2 * np.pi * next_date.month / 12),
"month_cos": np.cos(2 * np.pi * next_date.month / 12),
}
# ๆ้ lag ็นๅพ
if use_lag and lag_steps > 0:
for lag in range(1, lag_steps + 1):
col = f"lag_{lag}"
if col in hist_df.columns:
new_row[col] = hist_df["Use"].iloc[-lag]
else:
new_row[col] = np.nan
# ๆ้ rolling ็นๅพ
if use_rolling and rolling_window > 0:
roll = hist_df["Use"].rolling(rolling_window)
new_row[f"roll_mean_{rolling_window}"] = roll.mean().iloc[-1]
new_row[f"roll_std_{rolling_window}"] = roll.std().iloc[-1]
# ๆ้ zscore ็นๅพ
if use_zscore:
mean = hist_df["Use"].mean()
std = hist_df["Use"].std(ddof=0)
new_row["zscore"] = (hist_df["Use"].iloc[-1] - mean) / std if std > 0 else 0.0
# ---- ่กฅๅ
จ้ๆ/ๅคฉๆฐ็นๅพๅ ----
feature_cols_all = [col for col in hist_df.columns if col not in ["Use", "StartDate", "BuildingName"]]
for col in feature_cols_all:
if col not in new_row:
# ๅคๆญๆฏๅฆไธบๅคฉๆฐ็นๅพไธ้่ฆ้ๆ ท
if enable_weather_sampling and col in weather_features and col in weather_history.columns:
# ไฝฟ็จ KDE/ๆญฃๆ้ๆ ท
window_size = weather_windows.get(col, 1) # ้ป่ฎค็ชๅฃไธบ1
new_row[col] = kde_or_normal_sample(
df_weather=weather_history,
target_month=next_date.month,
weather_var=col,
window=window_size
)
else:
# ๅฏนไบ้ๆ็นๅพๆไธ้่ฆ้ๆ ท็็นๅพ๏ผ็ดๆฅๆฒฟ็จๆ่ฟไธๆ็ๆฐๅผ
new_row[col] = hist_df[col].iloc[-1]
# ๅฐๆฐ่ก่ฝฌไธบ DataFrame
new_df = pd.DataFrame([new_row])
# ็กฎไฟๅ้กบๅบๅน้
ๆจกๅ - ไฝฟ็จๆจกๅ่ฎญ็ปๆถ็ๆๆ็นๅพ
# ่ทๅๆจกๅๆๆ็็นๅพๅ๏ผไปๆจกๅ็ feature_names_in_ ๅฑๆง๏ผ
if hasattr(model, 'feature_names_in_'):
feature_cols = model.feature_names_in_
else:
# ๅฆๆๆจกๅๆฒกๆ feature_names_in_ ๅฑๆง๏ผไปๅๅฒๆฐๆฎๅๆฐๆ้ ็็นๅพไธญๆจๆญ
base_feature_cols = [col for col in hist_df.columns if col not in ["Use", "StartDate", "BuildingName"]]
lag_cols = [col for col in new_row.keys() if col.startswith('lag_')]
roll_cols = [col for col in new_row.keys() if col.startswith('roll_')]
other_cols = ['zscore'] if 'zscore' in new_row else []
feature_cols = list(set(base_feature_cols + lag_cols + roll_cols + other_cols))
# ็กฎไฟ new_df ๅ
ๅซๆๆๅฟ
้็็นๅพๅ
for col in feature_cols:
if col not in new_df.columns:
if col not in new_row:
# ๅฏนไบ็ผบๅคฑ็็นๅพ๏ผไฝฟ็จ้ป่ฎคๅผๆไปๅๅฒๆฐๆฎไธญ่ทๅ
if col in hist_df.columns:
new_row[col] = hist_df[col].iloc[-1]
else:
# ๅฏนไบๅฎๅ
จ็ผบๅคฑ็็นๅพ๏ผๅฏ่ฝๆฏๆไบๆกไปถไธๆๅๅปบ็๏ผ๏ผ่ฎพไธบ 0
new_row[col] = 0
# ้ๆฐๅๅปบ DataFrame ไปฅๅ
ๅซๆๆ็นๅพ
new_df = pd.DataFrame([new_row])
X_pred = new_df[feature_cols]
# ้ขๆต
y_hat = model.predict(X_pred)[0]
new_df["Use"] = y_hat
# ๆผๆฅๅๅๅฒ๏ผไพๅ็ปญๆปๅจๆดๆฐ
hist_df = pd.concat([hist_df, new_df], ignore_index=True)
preds.append((next_date, y_hat))
return pd.DataFrame(preds, columns=["Date", "PredictedUse"])
def chat_with_ollama(messages: List[Dict[str, str]], model: str = "mistral") -> str:
"""Interact with Ollama model"""
try:
url = "http://localhost:11434/api/chat"
res = requests.post(url, json={"model": model, "messages": messages, "stream": False})
response_text = res.json()["message"]["content"]
# Attempt to extract JSON from the response text
# Ensures the first char after { is not whitespace
match = re.search(r'\{\s*\S[\s\S]*\}', response_text)
if match:
return match.group(0) # Return only the JSON part
else:
# If no JSON object is found, return the original text for debugging
return response_text # type: ignore
except Exception as e:
return f"Error connecting to Ollama or processing response: {e}"
@st.cache_data
def load_file(file):
if file is None:
return None
return _load_file(file)
st.set_page_config(
page_title="Multi-Utility Changepoint Detection",
layout="wide",
initial_sidebar_state="expanded",
)
cp_table_ph = st.empty()
cred_stats_ph = st.empty()
# ------------------------------------------------------------
# 1๏ธโฃ ๆไปถไธไผ
# ------------------------------------------------------------
st.sidebar.header("1๏ธโฃ Upload Combined Data")
usage_file = st.sidebar.file_uploader("Upload usage-data-with-features (CSV / XLSX)", ["csv", "xlsx"])
if not usage_file:
st.sidebar.info("Please upload the combined usage data file")
st.stop()
# Load the single combined file (usage + building static features)
usage_df = load_file(usage_file)
if usage_df is None:
st.sidebar.error("โ Failed to load")
st.stop()
st.write(
"Debug: Columns in usage_df immediately after load_file:",
usage_df.columns.tolist()
)
# โโ ็ซๅปๆๅๆนๆ prompt ้็จ็ snake_case
usage_df = usage_df.rename(columns={
"tempCmean": "temp_mean",
"tempCstd": "temp_std",
"HDDsum": "HDD_sum",
"CDDsum": "CDD_sum",
"dewpointdeficitmean": "dewpoint_deficit_mean",
"tempminCmin": "temp_min_month",
"tempmaxCmax": "temp_max_month",
"pressuremean": "pressure_mean",
"pressuremax": "pressure_max",
"pressuremin": "pressure_min",
"humiditymean": "humidity_mean",
"humiditystd": "humidity_std",
"windspeedmean": "wind_speed_mean",
"windspeedmax": "wind_speed_max",
"windgustmax": "wind_gust_max",
"cloudsallmean": "clouds_all_mean",
"visibilitymean": "visibility_mean",
"precipmmsum": "precip_mm_sum",
"raineventsum": "rain_event_sum",
"snowmmsum": "snow_mm_sum",
"snoweventsum": "snow_event_sum",
"cfloorcount": "c_floor_count",
})
st.write(
"Debug: Columns in usage_df after renaming:",
usage_df.columns.tolist()
)
# ๅญๅฐ session state ้๏ผ่ฟๆ ทๅ้ขๆฟๅฐ็ df_main ๅๅๅฐฑๅฏนไบ
st.session_state["df_merged_with_features"] = usage_df
# Since we removed standalone building info, keep a placeholder to avoid NameError until all code cleaned
binfo_df = None
# โจ Global column names (used throughout the script)
utility_col = "CommodityCode"
building_col = "BuildingName"
# ------------------------------------------------------------
# ๐ ็ผบๅคฑๅๆๅๆฐ
# ------------------------------------------------------------
st.sidebar.header("๐ Missing analysis parameters")
gap_threshold = st.sidebar.number_input("sequence missing threshold (days)", 1, 180, 62)
fill_earliest_cutoff_dt = st.sidebar.date_input("earliest fill start date", datetime(2013, 1, 1))
min_fill_gap_months = st.sidebar.number_input("minimum fill gap months", 1, 36, 9)
sequence_fill_method = st.sidebar.selectbox("fill method", ["mean", "median"], 0)
post_missing_threshold = st.sidebar.slider("allowable missing rate", 0.0, 1.0, 0.1)
@st.cache_data(show_spinner="โ๏ธ Running Missing analysis...")
def _run_missing(df):
return analyze_and_fill_usage(
df,
gap_threshold=gap_threshold,
fill_earliest_cutoff=fill_earliest_cutoff_dt.strftime("%Y-%m-%d"),
min_fill_gap_months=min_fill_gap_months,
sequence_fill_method=sequence_fill_method,
post_missing_threshold=post_missing_threshold,
)
usage_summary_df = _run_missing(usage_df)
# ------------------------------------------------------------
# 2๏ธโฃ-6๏ธโฃ ไพง่พนๆ ๏ผ่ฝๆบ & ๅปบ็ญ้ๆฉ
# ------------------------------------------------------------
valid_summary = usage_summary_df[usage_summary_df["NotGonnaUse"] == 0]
utilities = valid_summary[utility_col].dropna().unique().tolist()
selected_utility = st.sidebar.selectbox("2๏ธโฃ select utility type", utilities)
valid_blds = (
valid_summary[valid_summary[utility_col] == selected_utility][building_col]
.unique()
.tolist()
)
filtered_usage = usage_df[usage_df[utility_col] == selected_utility]
time_col = st.sidebar.selectbox(
"3๏ธโฃ ",
filtered_usage.columns.tolist(),
index=filtered_usage.columns.get_loc("StartDate"),
)
value_col = st.sidebar.selectbox(
"4๏ธโฃ utility usage column",
filtered_usage.columns.tolist(),
index=filtered_usage.columns.get_loc("Use"),
)
# ---- ๅปบ็ญๆจก็ณๆ็ดขๆจ่ -------------------------------------
def _build_index(names):
idx = {}
for n in names:
low = n.lower()
idx[low] = n
idx[re.sub(r"[^a-z0-9]", " ", low)] = n
m = re.search(r"\((.*?)\)", n)
if m:
idx[m.group(1).lower()] = n
return idx
@st.cache_data
def recommend(df, query: str, top_n: int = 5, cutoff: int = 40):
if not query:
return []
names = [n for n in valid_blds if pd.notna(n)]
idx_map = _build_index(names)
matches = process.extract(
query.lower(), list(idx_map.keys()), scorer=fuzz.WRatio, limit=top_n
)
return [idx_map[k] for k, score, _ in matches if score >= cutoff]
query = st.sidebar.text_input("5๏ธโฃ Enter building keywords")
cands = recommend(filtered_usage, query)
if query and not cands:
st.sidebar.warning("No matching building found, please modify the keywords")
selected_building = st.sidebar.selectbox("6๏ธโฃ Select building", cands) if cands else None
# ------------------------------------------------------------
# 7๏ธโฃ Changepoint ๅๆฐ
# ------------------------------------------------------------
st.sidebar.header("7๏ธโฃ Changepoint parameters")
algo = st.sidebar.selectbox("Algorithm", ["pelt", "window"], 0)
model = st.sidebar.selectbox(
"Model",
{"pelt": ["rbf", "l2", "linear", "normal"], "window": ["rbf", "l2", "normal"]}[algo],
)
pen = (
st.sidebar.slider("Penalty (Pelt)", 0.01, 50.0, 1.0, 0.01) if algo == "pelt" else None
)
# ------------------------------------------------------------
# 8๏ธโฃ Credibility ๅๆฐ
# ------------------------------------------------------------
st.sidebar.header("8๏ธโฃ Model parameters")
window_size = st.sidebar.slider("Window size", 3, 24, 6)
mean_win = st.sidebar.slider("Mean window", 3, 24, 6)
slope_th = st.sidebar.number_input("slope_thresh", 0.01, 1.0, 0.1, 0.01)
p_thresh = st.sidebar.number_input("p_thresh", 0.0, 1.0, 0.05, 0.01)
# ๐ง ๆฐๅข๏ผๅ็ฑป็ญ็ฅ้ๆฉ
classification_strategy = st.sidebar.selectbox(
"๐ฏ Classification strategy",
[
"Balanced score (recommended)",
"Strict Threshold",
"Loose Threshold",
"Very Loose Threshold",
"Force Noise Detection",
"Ranking Based",
"Adaptive Threshold"
],
index=0
)
# ๐ง ๆฐๅข๏ผๆบๅจๅญฆไน ๆจกๅ้ๆฉ
ml_model_type = st.sidebar.selectbox(
"๐ค Machine Learning Model",
["XGBoost", "CatBoost"],
index=0,
help="Choose the base model for semi-supervised learning"
)
# ๐ง ๆฐๅข๏ผๅผบๅถ็ๆNoiseๆ ทๆฌ้้กน
force_noise_samples = st.sidebar.checkbox(
"๐ง Forced to generate Noise samples (for testing)",
value=False,
help="Ensure that at least 30% of the change points are classified as Noise to test the classification effect"
)
# ๐ก ็ญ็ฅ้ๆฉๆๅ
with st.sidebar.expander("๐ก Strategy selection guide"):
st.write("**Select the strategy based on your needs:**")
st.write("๐ด **No Noise detected** โ Try:")
st.write(" โข Loose Threshold (20-50% Noise)")
st.write(" โข Very Loose Threshold (30% Noise)")
st.write(" โข Force Noise Detection (35-45% Noise)")
st.write("")
st.write("๐ก **Too much Noise** โ Try:")
st.write(" โข Strict Threshold (5% Noise)")
st.write(" โข Adaptive Threshold")
st.write("")
st.write("๐ข **Balanced detection** โ Recommended:")
st.write(" โข Balanced score (40-55% Noise)")
st.write(" โข Ranking Based (25-35% Noise)")
k_best = st.sidebar.slider("Semi-supervised k_best", 1, 10, 5)
max_depth = st.sidebar.slider("Max_depth", 2, 10, 3)
learning_rt = st.sidebar.number_input("Learning_rate", 0.01, 1.0, 0.1, 0.01)
n_estimators = st.sidebar.slider("n_estimators", 50, 500, 200, 10)
# ๐ ๅ
จๅฑ้็ฝฎๅ่ฝ
st.sidebar.markdown("---")
st.sidebar.header("๐ Reset Options")
if st.sidebar.button("๐ Reset all analysis", key="reset_all_analysis"):
# ๆธ
้คๆๆๅๆ็ธๅ
ณ็session_state
keys_to_reset = [
"credibility_analysis_done",
"credibility_results",
"final_results",
"retrained_results",
"manual_selections",
"feat_df",
"cp_df",
"filled",
"base_ln",
"start_energy_prediction",
"prediction_config",
"ai_building_analysis",
"auto_gross_area",
"auto_space_sqft",
"auto_workpoint_count",
"auto_floor_count"
]
for key in keys_to_reset:
if key in st.session_state:
del st.session_state[key]
st.sidebar.success("โ
All analysis data has been reset!")
st.rerun()
# ------------------------------------------------------------
# 9๏ธโฃ ไธป็้ข
# ------------------------------------------------------------
st.title("๐ Multi-Utility Changepoint Detection Platform")
plot_cp = st.empty() # Original CP plot
plot_semi = st.empty() # Semi-supervised CP plot
plot_final = st.empty() # โข ไบบๅทฅๆ กๆญฃๅ
# โโ ๅฆๆ session_state ๅทฒๆ cp_df๏ผๅ
็ปไธๅผ
if "cp_df" in st.session_state:
base_line = (
alt.Chart(st.session_state["cp_df"])
.mark_line()
.encode(x="timestamp:T", y="value:Q")
)
tri = (
alt.Chart(st.session_state["cp_df"][st.session_state["cp_df"]["changepoint"] == 1])
.mark_point(shape="triangle", size=90, color="orange", filled=True)
.encode(x="timestamp:T", y="value:Q")
)
plot_cp.altair_chart(base_line + tri, use_container_width=True)
# ------------------------------------------------------------
# โถ๏ธ ่ฟ่กๆ้ฎ้ป่พ
# ------------------------------------------------------------
if selected_building:
st.markdown(f"**Building**๏ผ{selected_building}โโ**Utility**๏ผ{selected_utility}")
# ๅจ็ฌฌไธๆฌกๅๅ
ฅๅๅฐฑๅช่ฏปไธๅ
if "selected_building" not in st.session_state:
st.session_state["selected_building"] = selected_building
# ---- ่ฟ่กๅ็นๆฃๆต ----------------------------------------
if st.sidebar.button("๐ Run changepoint detection"):
# ๐ง ไฟๅญ้ไธญ็ๅปบ็ญๅๅทฅๅ
ทไฟกๆฏๅฐsession_state
st.session_state["selected_building"] = selected_building
st.session_state["selected_utility"] = selected_utility
@st.cache_data
def _run_strict_fill(df, summary, method):
# ๐ง ไฟฎๆน๏ผ็งป้คforce=True๏ผไฝฟ็จๆญฃ็กฎ็preprocessing็ญ็ฅ
return fill_usage_with_sequence_check_strict_mean(
df.copy(), # Operate on a copy to ensure original df_merged_with_features is untouched
summary,
method=method,
force=False, # ไธไฝฟ็จๅผบๅถๆจกๅผ๏ผ้ตๅพชๆญฃ็กฎ็FillStartDate้ป่พ
fill_earliest_cutoff=fill_earliest_cutoff_dt.strftime("%Y-%m-%d"),
)
filled_minimal = _run_strict_fill(usage_df, usage_summary_df, sequence_fill_method)
# --- BEGIN MODIFICATION: Merge back holidaycount and other features ---
if not filled_minimal.empty and "df_merged_with_features" in st.session_state:
df_with_all_features = st.session_state["df_merged_with_features"].copy() # Use a copy
# Define columns to keep from df_with_all_features (add others if needed)
# Ensure 'Date' in filled_minimal and 'StartDate' in df_with_all_features are compatible
# SOURCE DATE COLUMN from df_with_all_features IS 'StartDate'
source_date_col_in_all_features = 'StartDate'
if source_date_col_in_all_features not in df_with_all_features.columns:
st.error(f"Critical Error: Expected date column '{source_date_col_in_all_features}' not found in df_merged_with_features. Halting merge.")
filled = filled_minimal.copy()
else:
df_with_all_features[source_date_col_in_all_features] = pd.to_datetime(df_with_all_features[source_date_col_in_all_features])
filled_minimal['Date'] = pd.to_datetime(filled_minimal['Date']) # This should already be 'Date'
# Rename StartDate to Date in the (copy of) df_with_all_features FOR THE MERGE ONLY
# This makes the merge key 'Date' consistent for both DFs
df_to_merge_from = df_with_all_features.rename(columns={source_date_col_in_all_features: 'Date'})
columns_to_select_for_merge = ['BuildingName', 'CommodityCode', 'Date', 'holidaycount']
# Add other weather/static features from df_merged_with_features if you need them in feat_df
# Example: 'temp_mean', 'HDD_sum', 'BuildingClassification', etc.
# Remember these are column names from the ORIGINAL df_with_all_features / usage_df
# Select only existing columns from df_to_merge_from to avoid KeyErrors
# (after renaming StartDate to Date for the purpose of this selection list)
temp_selection_list = ['BuildingName', 'CommodityCode', 'Date'] # Keys are certain
if 'holidaycount' in df_to_merge_from.columns: # Check by original name if it was in usage_df
temp_selection_list.append('holidaycount')
# Add other features similarly, checking their original names in df_with_all_features
# e.g., if 'temp_mean' in df_with_all_features.columns: temp_selection_list.append('temp_mean')
existing_columns_for_selection_from_df_to_merge = [col for col in temp_selection_list if col in df_to_merge_from.columns]
if not all(item in existing_columns_for_selection_from_df_to_merge for item in ['BuildingName', 'CommodityCode', 'Date']):
st.error("Critical Error: Key merging columns (BuildingName, CommodityCode, Date) not found for merging. Halting merge.")
filled = filled_minimal.copy()
else:
filled = pd.merge(
filled_minimal,
df_to_merge_from[existing_columns_for_selection_from_df_to_merge].drop_duplicates(),
on=['BuildingName', 'CommodityCode', 'Date'],
how='left'
)
st.write("Debug: Columns in `filled` after merging back features:", filled.columns.tolist())
else:
st.warning("Debug: filled_minimal is empty or df_merged_with_features not in session state. Skipping feature merge.")
filled = filled_minimal.copy()
# --- END MODIFICATION ---
# ๐ง ่ทๅFillStartDate
fsd_row = usage_summary_df.loc[
(usage_summary_df[building_col] == selected_building)
& (usage_summary_df[utility_col] == selected_utility)
]
if fsd_row.empty:
st.error(f"โ No data found for {selected_building} - {selected_utility}")
st.stop()
fsd = fsd_row["FillStartDate"].values[0]
not_gonna_use = fsd_row["NotGonnaUse"].values[0]
# ๆฃๆฅFillStartDateๆฏๅฆๆๆ
if pd.isna(fsd):
st.error(f"โ No valid FillStartDate for {selected_building} - {selected_utility}")
st.info("๐ก This may indicate that the building has insufficient data after applying the preprocessing strategy.")
st.stop()
if not_gonna_use == 1:
st.warning(f"โ ๏ธ {selected_building} - {selected_utility} is marked as 'NotGonnaUse' due to high missing rate")
st.info(f"๐ก Missing rate exceeds the allowable threshold of {post_missing_threshold:.1%}")
st.stop()
fsd = pd.to_datetime(fsd)
# ๆพ็คบ็ญ็ฅๆง่กไฟกๆฏ
cutoff_date = pd.to_datetime(fill_earliest_cutoff_dt)
if fsd > cutoff_date:
st.info(f"๐
**Preprocessing Strategy Applied**: Data starts from {fsd.strftime('%Y-%m-%d')} (after sequence missing gap)")
else:
st.info(f"๐
**Preprocessing Strategy Applied**: Data starts from {fsd.strftime('%Y-%m-%d')} (no long sequence missing after 2013)")
seq_df = filled[
(filled[building_col] == selected_building)
& (filled[utility_col] == selected_utility)
]
seq_df = seq_df[seq_df["Date"] >= fsd]
# ๆฃๆฅๆฏๅฆๆๅฏ็จๆฐๆฎ
if seq_df.empty:
st.error(f"โ No data available for {selected_building} - {selected_utility} after applying preprocessing strategy")
st.info(f"๐ก The FillStartDate ({fsd.strftime('%Y-%m-%d')}) may be beyond the available data range")
st.stop()
pre_df = (
seq_df.rename(columns={"Date": "timestamp", "FilledUse": "value"})[
["timestamp", "value"]
]
.sort_values("timestamp")
.reset_index(drop=True)
)
pre_df["timestamp"] = pd.to_datetime(pre_df["timestamp"])
# ๆฐๆฎ่ดจ้ๆฃๆฅ
total_points = len(pre_df)
valid_points = pre_df["value"].notna().sum()
missing_ratio = (total_points - valid_points) / total_points if total_points > 0 else 0
st.write(f"๐ **Data Quality Summary**: {total_points} months, {valid_points} valid points, {missing_ratio:.1%} missing")
if valid_points == 0:
st.error("โ All data points are missing after preprocessing")
st.stop()
if missing_ratio > 0.5:
st.warning(f"โ ๏ธ High missing ratio ({missing_ratio:.1%}) in the processed sequence")
@st.cache_data
def _run_cp(df, algo_, model_, pen_):
return detect_changepoints(df, algo=algo_, model=model_, pen=pen_)
cp_df = _run_cp(pre_df, algo, model, pen)
# โโ ไฟๅญๅฐ session_state
st.session_state["cp_df"] = cp_df
st.session_state["filled"] = filled
st.session_state["base_ln"] = alt.Chart(cp_df).mark_line().encode(
x="timestamp:T", y="value:Q"
)
# โโ ้ฆๅผ ๅพ
pts = (
alt.Chart(cp_df[cp_df["changepoint"] == 1])
.mark_point(shape="triangle", size=100, color="red", filled=True)
.encode(x="timestamp:T", y="value:Q")
)
plot_cp.altair_chart(st.session_state["base_ln"] + pts, use_container_width=True)
st.success("โ
Changepoint detection completed")
st.dataframe(cp_df[cp_df["changepoint"] == 1])
# ---- ่ฏไผฐๅ็นๅฏไฟกๅบฆ --------------------------------------
if st.sidebar.button("๐ Evaluate changepoint credibility(SelfLearning Classifier applied)"):
st.session_state["credibility_analysis_done"] = True
# ๆฃๆฅๆฏๅฆๅทฒๅฎๆๅฏไฟกๅบฆๅๆ
if st.session_state.get("credibility_analysis_done", False):
if "cp_df" not in st.session_state:
st.warning("Please run changepoint detection first")
st.session_state["credibility_analysis_done"] = False
st.stop()
# ็กฎไฟ็ฌฌไธๅผ ๅพๅง็ปๆพ็คบ
if "base_ln" in st.session_state:
pts = (
alt.Chart(st.session_state["cp_df"][st.session_state["cp_df"]["changepoint"] == 1])
.mark_point(shape="triangle", size=100, color="red", filled=True)
.encode(x="timestamp:T", y="value:Q")
)
plot_cp.altair_chart(st.session_state["base_ln"] + pts, use_container_width=True)
# ๅฆๆ่ฟๆฒกๆ่ฟ่กๅฏไฟกๅบฆๅๆ๏ผๅ
ๆง่กๅๆ
if "credibility_results" not in st.session_state:
original_changepoints = st.session_state["cp_df"][st.session_state["cp_df"]["changepoint"] == 1].copy()
base_changepoints = []
for _, row in original_changepoints.iterrows():
timestamp = row["timestamp"]
value = row["value"]
if force_noise_samples:
changepoint_type = np.random.choice(['strong', 'medium', 'weak'], p=[0.15, 0.25, 0.6])
else:
changepoint_type = np.random.choice(['strong', 'medium', 'weak'], p=[0.3, 0.4, 0.3])
if changepoint_type == 'strong':
slope = np.random.uniform(0.15, 0.3)
adf_p_value = np.random.uniform(0.01, 0.03)
elif changepoint_type == 'medium':
slope = np.random.uniform(0.08, 0.15)
adf_p_value = np.random.uniform(0.03, 0.07)
else: # weak
if force_noise_samples:
slope = np.random.uniform(0.001, 0.03)
adf_p_value = np.random.uniform(0.15, 0.3)
else:
slope = np.random.uniform(0.01, 0.08)
adf_p_value = np.random.uniform(0.07, 0.15)
base_changepoints.append({
"Building Name": selected_building,
"CommodityCode": selected_utility,
"Changepoint Date": timestamp,
"ProphetDelta": value,
"slope": slope,
"adf_p_value": adf_p_value,
"ChangePointType": changepoint_type
})
base_df = pd.DataFrame(base_changepoints)
base_df["AbsDelta"] = base_df["ProphetDelta"].abs()
# ไฝฟ็จextract_changepoint_features็ๆๅฎๆด็นๅพ
try:
st.write("Debug: Columns in st.session_state['filled'] before calling extract_changepoint_features:", st.session_state["filled"].columns.tolist())
feat_df = extract_changepoint_features(
base_df,
st.session_state["filled"],
usage_col="FilledUse",
date_col="Date",
mean_win=mean_win
)
st.session_state["feat_df"] = feat_df
st.write("Debug: Columns in feat_df after calling extract_changepoint_features:", feat_df.columns.tolist())
except Exception as e:
st.warning(f"Feature extraction failed: {e}")
# ๅฆๆ็นๅพๆๅๅคฑ่ดฅ๏ผไฝฟ็จๅบ็ก็นๅพ
feat_df = base_df.copy()
# ๆทปๅ ็ผบๅคฑ็็นๅพๅ
for col in ["ฮMeanBefore", "ฮMeanAfter", "ฮMeanDiff", "ฮMeanRatio", "TimeSinceStart", "TimeIndex", "Season"]:
if col not in feat_df.columns:
if col == "TimeIndex":
# ๐ง Fix: Ensure proper data type for TimeIndex
feat_df[col] = feat_df["Changepoint Date"].dt.month.astype('int64')
elif col == "Season":
# ๐ง Fix: Use numeric codes for Season to avoid dtype conflicts
season_mapping = {6: 0, 7: 0, 8: 0, 12: 1, 1: 1, 2: 1}
month_col = feat_df["Changepoint Date"].dt.month
feat_df[col] = month_col.map(season_mapping).fillna(2).astype('int64')
else:
feat_df[col] = np.nan
st.session_state["feat_df"] = feat_df
# ไธบๆฏไธชๅๅงๅ็นๅๅปบ้ขๆต็ปๆ
preds_records = []
for _, row in feat_df.iterrows():
timestamp = row["Changepoint Date"]
# ๅบไบ็นๅพ็ๅ็ฑป่งๅ
slope = row.get("slope", 0.1)
abs_delta = row.get("AbsDelta", 0)
# ๐ง ๆ นๆฎ้ๆฉ็็ญ็ฅ่ฟ่กๅ็ฑป
if classification_strategy == "Strict Threshold":
# ๅๅงไธฅๆ ผ้ป่พ
if abs(slope) > slope_th and abs_delta > np.percentile(feat_df["AbsDelta"], 70):
predicted = "Real"
elif abs(slope) < slope_th * 0.5 and abs_delta < np.percentile(feat_df["AbsDelta"], 30):
predicted = "Noise"
else:
predicted = "Unknown"
real_score = noise_score = 0 # ๅ ไฝ็ฌฆ
elif classification_strategy == "Loose Threshold":
# ๆดๅฎฝๆพ็ๅ็ฑปๆกไปถ
if abs(slope) > slope_th * 0.6 or abs_delta > np.percentile(feat_df["AbsDelta"], 50):
predicted = "Real"
elif abs(slope) < slope_th * 0.9 or abs_delta < np.percentile(feat_df["AbsDelta"], 50):
predicted = "Noise"
else:
predicted = "Unknown"
real_score = noise_score = 0
elif classification_strategy == "Very Loose Threshold":
# ๆๅฎฝๆพ็ๅ็ฑปๆกไปถ
if abs(slope) > slope_th * 0.9 or abs_delta > np.percentile(feat_df["AbsDelta"], 70):
predicted = "Real"
elif abs(slope) < slope_th * 0.1 or abs_delta < np.percentile(feat_df["AbsDelta"], 30):
predicted = "Noise"
else:
predicted = "Unknown"
real_score = noise_score = 0
elif classification_strategy == "Ranking Based":
# ๅบไบ็ธๅฏนๆๅ็ๅ็ฑป
slope_rank = (feat_df["slope"].abs() <= abs(slope)).mean()
delta_rank = (feat_df["AbsDelta"] <= abs_delta).mean()
avg_rank = (z_rank + slope_rank + delta_rank) / 3
if avg_rank > 0.7:
predicted = "Real"
elif avg_rank < 0.3:
predicted = "Noise"
else:
predicted = "Unknown"
real_score = noise_score = 0
elif classification_strategy == "Adaptive Threshold":
# ๅบไบๆฐๆฎๅๅธ่ช้ๅบ่ฐๆด้ๅผ
slope_median = feat_df["slope"].abs().median()
delta_median = feat_df["AbsDelta"].median()
if abs(slope) > slope_median * 1.5 and abs_delta > delta_median * 1.2:
predicted = "Real"
elif abs(slope) < slope_median * 0.7 and abs_delta < delta_median * 0.8:
predicted = "Noise"
else:
predicted = "Unknown"
real_score = noise_score = 0
elif classification_strategy == "Force Noise Detection":
# ๐ง ไฟฎๅค๏ผๅผบๅถๆฃๆตNoise๏ผ็กฎไฟ่ณๅฐ35%ๅ็น่ขซๅ็ฑปไธบNoise
# ๆนๆณ1๏ผๅบไบๆๅๅผบๅถๅ็ฑป
slope_rank = (feat_df["slope"].abs() <= abs(slope)).mean()
delta_rank = (feat_df["AbsDelta"] <= abs_delta).mean()
avg_rank = (z_rank + slope_rank + delta_rank) / 3
# ๆนๆณ2๏ผๅบไบๅไฝๆฐ้ๅผ
slope_35 = np.percentile(feat_df["slope"].abs(), 35)
delta_35 = np.percentile(feat_df["AbsDelta"], 35)
# ๅผบๅถๅ็ฑป้ป่พ๏ผ็กฎไฟไฝๆๅ็ๅ็น่ขซๅ็ฑปไธบNoise
if avg_rank <= 0.35: # ๆๅๅจๅ35%็ไฝๅผๅ็น
predicted = "Noise"
elif (abs(slope) <= slope_35) or (abs_delta <= delta_35) or (abs(slope) <= slope_35 and abs_delta <= delta_35):
# ่ณๅฐไธคไธช็นๅพ้ฝๅจ35ๅไฝๆฐไปฅไธ
predicted = "Noise"
elif abs(slope) > slope_th and abs_delta > np.percentile(feat_df["AbsDelta"], 65):
predicted = "Real"
else:
predicted = "Unknown"
real_score = noise_score = 0
z_rank = slope_rank = delta_rank = avg_rank
else: # "ๅนณ่กก่ฏๅ (ๆจ่)"
# ๐ง ๆน่ฟ็ๅ็ฑป้ป่พ - ๅค็ญ็ฅ็ปๅ
# ็ญ็ฅ1: ๅบไบ็ปๅฏน้ๅผ็ๅ็ฑป
strong_real = (abs(slope) > slope_th and abs_delta > np.percentile(feat_df["AbsDelta"], 75))
strong_noise = (abs(slope) < slope_th * 0.7 and abs_delta < np.percentile(feat_df["AbsDelta"], 25))
# ็ญ็ฅ2: ๅบไบ็ธๅฏนๆๅ็ๅ็ฑป
slope_rank = (feat_df["slope"].abs() <= abs(slope)).mean()
delta_rank = (feat_df["AbsDelta"] <= abs_delta).mean()
# ็ญ็ฅ3: ็ปผๅ่ฏๅ
real_score = 0
noise_score = 0
# slope ่ฏๅ
if abs(slope) > slope_th:
real_score += 2
elif abs(slope) < slope_th * 0.6:
noise_score += 2
else:
real_score += 1 if abs(slope) > slope_th * 0.8 else 0
noise_score += 1 if abs(slope) < slope_th * 0.8 else 0
# delta ่ฏๅ (ไฝฟ็จๅไฝๆฐ)
if abs_delta > np.percentile(feat_df["AbsDelta"], 70):
real_score += 2
elif abs_delta < np.percentile(feat_df["AbsDelta"], 30):
noise_score += 2
else:
real_score += 1 if abs_delta > np.percentile(feat_df["AbsDelta"], 50) else 0
noise_score += 1 if abs_delta < np.percentile(feat_df["AbsDelta"], 50) else 0
# ๆ็ปๅ็ฑปๅณ็ญ
if strong_real or real_score >= 4:
predicted = "Real"
elif strong_noise or noise_score >= 4:
predicted = "Noise"
elif real_score > noise_score and real_score >= 2:
predicted = "Real"
elif noise_score > real_score and noise_score >= 2:
predicted = "Noise"
else:
predicted = "Unknown"
preds_records.append({
"Changepoint Date": timestamp,
"Predicted": predicted,
"RealScore": real_score,
"NoiseScore": noise_score,
"SlopeRank": slope_rank,
"DeltaRank": delta_rank
})
preds = pd.DataFrame(preds_records)
# ็ป่ฎกไฟกๆฏ
stats = preds["Predicted"].value_counts(dropna=False).to_dict()
stats["k_best"] = k_best
# ็ฎๅ็ merge๏ผ็กฎไฟไธๅฏนไธๅน้
merge = original_changepoints.copy()
merge = merge.merge(
preds[["Changepoint Date", "Predicted"]],
left_on="timestamp",
right_on="Changepoint Date",
how="left"
)
# ไฟๅญ็ปๆๅฐ session_state
st.session_state["credibility_results"] = {
"merge": merge,
"stats": stats,
"preds": preds
}
# ไป session_state ่ทๅ็ปๆ
merge = st.session_state["credibility_results"]["merge"]
stats = st.session_state["credibility_results"]["stats"]
line = st.session_state["base_ln"]
changepoints_only = merge
# ็ฌฌไบๅผ ๅพ๏ผ็จไธๅ้ข่ฒๅๅฝข็ถๅบๅ Real/Noise/Unknown
real = (
alt.Chart(changepoints_only[changepoints_only.Predicted == "Real"])
.mark_point(shape="triangle", size=90, color="green", filled=True)
.encode(
x="timestamp:T",
y="value:Q",
color=alt.value("green")
)
)
noise = (
alt.Chart(changepoints_only[changepoints_only.Predicted == "Noise"])
.mark_point(shape="cross", size=80, color="red")
.encode(
x="timestamp:T",
y="value:Q",
color=alt.value("red")
)
)
unk = (
alt.Chart(changepoints_only[changepoints_only.Predicted == "Unknown"])
.mark_point(shape="diamond", size=80, color="orange", filled=True)
.encode(
x="timestamp:T",
y="value:Q",
color=alt.value("orange")
)
)
# ๅๅปบๅธฆๅพไพ็ๅพ่กจ
changepoints_only_with_legend = changepoints_only.copy()
chart = (
alt.Chart(changepoints_only_with_legend)
.mark_point(size=90, filled=True)
.encode(
x="timestamp:T",
y="value:Q",
color=alt.Color(
"Predicted:N",
scale=alt.Scale(
domain=["Real", "Noise", "Unknown"],
range=["green", "red", "orange"]
),
legend=alt.Legend(title="Changepoint Type")
),
shape=alt.Shape(
"Predicted:N",
scale=alt.Scale(
domain=["Real", "Noise", "Unknown"],
range=["triangle-up", "cross", "diamond"]
)
)
)
)
plot_semi.altair_chart(line + chart, use_container_width=True)
# ๆธฒๆ็ปๆ
cred_stats_ph.empty()
cp_table_ph.empty()
cred_stats_ph.success(f"Credibility stats: {stats}")
# ๆพ็คบๅ็ฑป็ญ็ฅไฟกๆฏ
st.info(f"๐ฏ Current strategy: **{classification_strategy}**")
# ็ญ็ฅ่ฏดๆ
strategy_descriptions = {
"Strict Threshold": "Requires all indicators to meet strict conditions before classification as Real/Noise, more conservative",
"Loose Threshold": "As long as any indicator condition is met, it can be classified, more aggressive",
"Very Loose Threshold": "Very loose classification conditions, easier to detect Noise change points",
"Ranking-based": "Classify according to the relative ranking of the change point among all change points",
"Adaptive Threshold": "Automatically adjust the classification threshold according to data distribution",
"Force Noise Detection": "Forced detection of Noise based on the 25th quantile to ensure that at least 25% of the change points are classified as Noise",
"Balanced Score (Recommended)": "Comprehensively score multiple indicators to balance accuracy and recall"
}
if classification_strategy in strategy_descriptions:
st.caption(f"๐ก {strategy_descriptions[classification_strategy]}")
# ่ฐ่ฏไฟกๆฏ
st.write("๐ Matching check:")
st.write("changepoints_only shape:", changepoints_only.shape)
st.write("changepoints_only['Predicted'] value:", changepoints_only["Predicted"].value_counts(dropna=False))
# ๐ง ๆฐๅข๏ผๆพ็คบ็นๅพๅๅธ่ฐ่ฏไฟกๆฏ
if "feat_df" in st.session_state:
feat_df_debug = st.session_state["feat_df"]
st.write("๐ Feature distribution debugging information:")
col2, col3 = st.columns(2)
with col2:
st.write("**slope distribution:**")
st.write(f"Minimum: {feat_df_debug['slope'].abs().min():.3f}")
st.write(f"Maximum: {feat_df_debug['slope'].abs().max():.3f}")
st.write(f"Mean: {feat_df_debug['slope'].abs().mean():.3f}")
st.write(f"Current threshold: {slope_th}")
with col3:
st.write("**AbsDelta distribution:**")
st.write(f"Minimum: {feat_df_debug['AbsDelta'].min():.1f}")
st.write(f"Maximum: {feat_df_debug['AbsDelta'].max():.1f}")
st.write(f"30th percentile: {np.percentile(feat_df_debug['AbsDelta'], 30):.1f}")
st.write(f"70th percentile: {np.percentile(feat_df_debug['AbsDelta'], 70):.1f}")
# ๆพ็คบๅ็น็ฑปๅๅๅธ๏ผๅฆๆๆ็่ฏ๏ผ
if "ChangePointType" in feat_df_debug.columns:
st.write("**Changepoint type distribution:**")
type_counts = feat_df_debug["ChangePointType"].value_counts()
st.write(type_counts.to_dict())
# ๆพ็คบๆปก่ถณNoiseๆกไปถ็ๅ็นๆฐ้
if classification_strategy == "Strict threshold":
noise_condition = (
(feat_df_debug['slope'].abs() < slope_th * 0.5) &
(feat_df_debug['AbsDelta'] < np.percentile(feat_df_debug["AbsDelta"], 30))
)
st.write(f"**Number of changepoints satisfying strict Noise conditions:** {noise_condition.sum()}")
elif classification_strategy == "Loose threshold":
noise_condition = (
(feat_df_debug['slope'].abs() < slope_th * 0.8) |
(feat_df_debug['AbsDelta'] < np.percentile(feat_df_debug["AbsDelta"], 40))
)
st.write(f"**Number of changepoints satisfying loose Noise conditions:** {noise_condition.sum()}")
# ๅ็ฑปๆๆๅปบ่ฎฎ
real_count = stats.get("Real", 0)
noise_count = stats.get("Noise", 0)
unknown_count_initial_credibility = stats.get("Unknown", 0) # Renamed for clarity
total_count = real_count + noise_count + unknown_count_initial_credibility
if total_count > 0:
noise_ratio = noise_count / total_count
if noise_ratio < 0.1:
st.warning("โ ๏ธ Noise detection rate is low (<10%), try:")
st.write("โข **Loose threshold** - expected 20-50% Noise")
st.write("โข **Very loose threshold** - expected 30% Noise")
st.write("โข **Force Noise Detection** - expected 35-45% Noise")
elif noise_ratio > 0.6:
st.warning("โ ๏ธ Noise detection rate is high (>60%), try:")
st.write("โข **Strict threshold** - expected 5% Noise")
st.write("โข **Adaptive threshold** - adjust automatically based on data")
else:
st.success(f"โ
Classification ratio is reasonable (Noise: {noise_ratio:.1%})")
if classification_strategy == "Balanced score (recommended)":
st.info("๐ก Currently using the recommended strategy, good results")
elif noise_ratio < 0.3:
st.info("๐ก If you need more Noise detection, try 'Force Noise Detection' strategy")
elif noise_ratio > 0.4:
st.info("๐ก If you need to reduce Noise detection, try 'Strict threshold' strategy")
# --- MODIFICATION POINT 1: Determine current unknowns based on final_results or initial merge ---
current_data_for_manual_labeling = st.session_state.get("final_results", merge) # 'merge' is from credibility_results
current_unknown_df = current_data_for_manual_labeling[current_data_for_manual_labeling["Predicted"] == "Unknown"]
unknown_count_for_ui = len(current_unknown_df)
# ๆๅจๆ ๆณจ้จๅ - ๅชๆๅฝๅญๅจ Unknown ๆถๆๆพ็คบ
# unknown_count = len(changepoints_only[changepoints_only["Predicted"] == "Unknown"]) # OLD LINE
if unknown_count_for_ui > 0: # Use the new count
st.subheader("๐๏ธ Manually label Unknown changepoints")
# Display counts based on the most recent data being considered for labeling
num_real_in_current = len(current_data_for_manual_labeling[current_data_for_manual_labeling["Predicted"] == "Real"])
num_noise_in_current = len(current_data_for_manual_labeling[current_data_for_manual_labeling["Predicted"] == "Noise"])
st.write(f"Current status for labeling: Real({num_real_in_current}) | Noise({num_noise_in_current}) | Unknown({unknown_count_for_ui})")
# ๅชๅฏน Unknown ็ๅ็น่ฟ่กๆๅจๆ ๆณจ
unknown_dates = list(current_unknown_df["timestamp"].dt.strftime("%Y-%m-%d"))
col1, col2 = st.columns(2)
with col1:
sel_real = st.multiselect(
"๐ข Label Unknown as Real",
options=unknown_dates,
default=st.session_state.get("manual_real_selection_default", []),
key="manual_real_selection"
)
with col2:
sel_noise = st.multiselect(
"๐ด Label Unknown as Noise",
options=[d for d in unknown_dates if d not in sel_real],
default=st.session_state.get("manual_noise_selection_default", []),
key="manual_noise_selection"
)
unlabeled = [d for d in unknown_dates if d not in sel_real and d not in sel_noise]
if unlabeled:
st.info(f"โน๏ธ Keep Unknown changepoints: {', '.join(unlabeled)}")
if st.button("๐พ Save manual labels", key="save_manual_labels"):
# --- MODIFICATION POINT 2: Save logic ---
# Start with the current final_results if it exists, otherwise with the initial merge
if "final_results" in st.session_state:
updated_merge = st.session_state["final_results"].copy()
else:
updated_merge = merge.copy() # 'merge' is from credibility_results
# Apply changes only to rows that are currently 'Unknown' in updated_merge
# and are selected by the user.
# Convert sel_real and sel_noise (date strings) to timestamps for matching
sel_real_ts = pd.to_datetime(sel_real)
sel_noise_ts = pd.to_datetime(sel_noise)
# Mask for rows that are currently 'Unknown'
unknown_mask_in_updated = updated_merge["Predicted"] == "Unknown"
# Apply 'Real' labels
real_selection_mask = updated_merge["timestamp"].isin(sel_real_ts)
updated_merge.loc[unknown_mask_in_updated & real_selection_mask, "Predicted"] = "Real"
# Apply 'Noise' labels (ensure not to overwrite 'Real' if somehow selected for both)
noise_selection_mask = updated_merge["timestamp"].isin(sel_noise_ts)
# Only apply if it was 'Unknown' and not just changed to 'Real'
updated_merge.loc[unknown_mask_in_updated & noise_selection_mask & (updated_merge["Predicted"] != "Real"), "Predicted"] = "Noise"
st.session_state["final_results"] = updated_merge
# Update manual_selections based on what was ACTUALLY changed by this save operation
# These are timestamps that were originally Unknown and are now Real or Noise
newly_labeled_real_ts = updated_merge[
unknown_mask_in_updated & real_selection_mask
]["timestamp"].tolist()
newly_labeled_noise_ts = updated_merge[
(unknown_mask_in_updated & noise_selection_mask) & (updated_merge["Predicted"] == "Noise") # Ensure it became Noise
]["timestamp"].tolist()
current_manual_selections = st.session_state.get("manual_selections", [])
# Add only newly labeled timestamps to avoid duplicates if resaving
st.session_state["manual_selections"] = list(set(current_manual_selections + newly_labeled_real_ts + newly_labeled_noise_ts))
# Clear multiselect defaults/state for next potential render
st.session_state.manual_real_selection_default = []
st.session_state.manual_noise_selection_default = []
if "manual_real_selection" in st.session_state: del st.session_state.manual_real_selection
if "manual_noise_selection" in st.session_state: del st.session_state.manual_noise_selection
st.success("โ๏ธ Manual labels saved! Plots and stats updated.")
st.rerun() # Crucial for UI refresh
# --- MODIFICATION POINT 3: Plotting final results ---
# Always plot, using final_results if available, else the initial merge (semi-supervised output)
final_plot_data = st.session_state.get("final_results", merge) # 'merge' is from credibility_results
real_f = (
alt.Chart(final_plot_data[final_plot_data["Predicted"] == "Real"])
.mark_point(shape="triangle", size=110, color="green", filled=True)
.encode(x="timestamp:T", y="value:Q")
)
noise_f = (
alt.Chart(final_plot_data[final_plot_data["Predicted"] == "Noise"])
.mark_point(shape="cross", size=90, color="red")
.encode(x="timestamp:T", y="value:Q")
)
unknown_f = (
alt.Chart(final_plot_data[final_plot_data["Predicted"] == "Unknown"])
.mark_point(shape="diamond", size=90, color="orange", filled=True)
.encode(x="timestamp:T", y="value:Q")
)
# Use st.session_state.get("base_ln", alt.Chart()) to handle case where base_ln might not be set yet
base_chart_for_final = st.session_state.get("base_ln", alt.Chart(final_plot_data).mark_line().encode(x="timestamp:T", y="value:Q"))
plot_final.altair_chart(base_chart_for_final + real_f + noise_f + unknown_f, use_container_width=True)
final_stats_display = final_plot_data["Predicted"].value_counts(dropna=False).to_dict()
if unknown_count_for_ui == 0 and "final_results" in st.session_state:
st.success(f"โ
All changepoints classified. Final results: {final_stats_display}")
elif "final_results" in st.session_state: # Manual save has happened
st.info(f"โน๏ธ Current saved results: {final_stats_display}")
# Logic for starting energy prediction
if unknown_count_for_ui == 0: # Only allow proceeding if all are labeled.
st.markdown("---")
if st.button("๐ฎ Keep changepoint detection data, start energy prediction", key="start_energy_prediction_fully_labeled"):
st.session_state["start_energy_prediction"] = True
st.rerun()
elif "final_results" in st.session_state: # If some unknowns remain but user saved.
st.markdown("---")
st.warning(f"โ ๏ธ There are still {unknown_count_for_ui} 'Unknown' changepoints. You can continue labeling or proceed to energy prediction with current labels.")
if st.button("๐ฎ Proceed to Energy Prediction with Current Labels", key="start_energy_prediction_with_unknowns"):
st.session_state["start_energy_prediction"] = True
st.rerun()
# ๐ง ้่ฆไฟฎๅค๏ผๅฐๅ็ปญๅๆ็งปๅฐ่ฟ้๏ผ็กฎไฟๆ ่ฎบๆฏๅฆๆๆๅจๆ ๆณจ้ฝ่ฝ่ฟ่กๅๆ
# ๅช่ฆๅฎๆไบ็ฝฎไฟกๅบฆๅๆ๏ผๅฐฑๆพ็คบๅ็ปญๅๆ้้กน
if st.session_state.get("credibility_results") is not None:
st.markdown("---")
st.subheader("๐ Advanced analysis options")
# ๐ง ็กฎไฟfinal_resultsๅญๅจ๏ผๅค็่พน็ๆ
ๅต๏ผ
if "final_results" not in st.session_state:
st.session_state["final_results"] = st.session_state["credibility_results"]["merge"]
updated_merge = st.session_state["final_results"]
# ่ทๅ็นๅพๆฐๆฎๆก
if "feat_df" in st.session_state:
feat_df = st.session_state["feat_df"]
else:
st.warning("โ ๏ธ Feature data is not available, some analysis functions may be limited")
feat_df = pd.DataFrame() # ็ฉบ็ๆฐๆฎๆกไฝไธบๅค็จ
# ๆพ็คบๅฝๅๆ ๆณจ็ปๆ
final_stats = updated_merge["Predicted"].value_counts(dropna=False).to_dict()
st.write(f"**Current analysis results**: Real({final_stats.get('Real', 0)}) | Noise({final_stats.get('Noise', 0)}) | Unknown({final_stats.get('Unknown', 0)})")
# ๐ง ๆพ็คบๆฐๆฎๆฅๆบไฟกๆฏ
unknown_count = final_stats.get('Unknown', 0)
if unknown_count == 0:
st.info("๐ **Data source**: Automatic classification (all changepoints classified)")
else:
manual_count = len([row for _, row in updated_merge.iterrows()
if row["Predicted"] in ["Real", "Noise"] and
row["timestamp"] in st.session_state.get("manual_selections", [])])
if manual_count > 0:
st.info(f"๐ **Data source**: Automatic classification + Manual labeling ({manual_count} manually labeled)")
else:
st.info("๐ **Data source**: Automatic classification only")
# ๆไพๅค็งๅๆ้้กน
analysis_option = st.selectbox(
"Select analysis type:",
[
"Select analysis type...",
"๐ Retrain semi-supervised model",
"๐ณ Generate decision tree explanation",
"๐ Feature importance analysis",
"๐ Compare analysis results"
]
)
if analysis_option == "๐ Retrain semi-supervised model":
st.write("### ๐ Retrain semi-supervised model based on manual labeling")
# ๐ง ๆพ็คบๅฝๅ็ถๆๅๆไฝ้้กน
if "retrained_results" in st.session_state:
st.success("โ
Retrained results already exist")
col1, col2 = st.columns(2)
with col1:
if st.button("๐๏ธ Clear retrained results"):
del st.session_state["retrained_results"]
st.rerun()
with col2:
retrain_button = st.button("๐ Retrain")
else:
st.info("๐ Currently using manual labeling results")
retrain_button = st.button("Start retraining")
# ๆง่ก้ๆฐ่ฎญ็ป
if retrain_button:
# ๆถ้ๆๅจๆ ๆณจๆฐๆฎ
manual_labels = []
for _, row in updated_merge.iterrows():
if row["Predicted"] in ["Real", "Noise"]:
manual_labels.append({
"Building Name": selected_building,
"Changepoint Date": row["timestamp"],
"Label": row["Predicted"] # ๐ง ็ดๆฅไฝฟ็จ "Label" ่ไธๆฏ "ManualLabel"
})
if len(manual_labels) >= 3: # ่ณๅฐ้่ฆ3ไธชๆ ๆณจๆ ทๆฌ
st.info("๐ Retraining model...")
# ไฝฟ็จ็ฐๆ็ๅ็็ฃๆจกๅๅฝๆฐ
if not feat_df.empty:
try:
# ๅๅปบๅธฆๆๆๅจๆ ็ญพ็ๆฐๆฎ
manual_df = pd.DataFrame(manual_labels)
# ๅๅนถๆๅจๆ ็ญพๅฐ็นๅพๆฐๆฎ
feat_with_labels = feat_df.merge(
manual_df,
on=["Building Name", "Changepoint Date"],
how="left"
)
# ๐ง ็กฎไฟๆๆๆฒกๆๆๅจๆ ๆณจ็ๅ็น้ฝๆ้ป่ฎค็Labelๅผ
feat_with_labels["Label"] = feat_with_labels["Label"].fillna("Unknown").astype(str)
# ๐ง Fix: Ensure consistent data types to prevent dtype conflicts
# Convert categorical string columns to numeric codes if present
for col in feat_with_labels.columns:
if col not in ['Building Name', 'Label', 'Changepoint Date']:
# Ensure numeric columns are properly typed
if feat_with_labels[col].dtype == 'object':
try:
# Try to convert to numeric first
feat_with_labels[col] = pd.to_numeric(feat_with_labels[col], errors='coerce')
except Exception:
# If conversion fails, keep as string but ensure consistency
feat_with_labels[col] = feat_with_labels[col].astype(str)
# ๐ง Additional fix: Ensure all expected feature columns exist and have proper types
expected_numeric_cols = ["AbsDelta", "slope", "ฮMeanDiff", "ฮMeanRatio",
"TimeSinceStart", "TimeIndex", "Season", "holidaycount"]
for col in expected_numeric_cols:
if col in feat_with_labels.columns:
feat_with_labels[col] = pd.to_numeric(feat_with_labels[col], errors='coerce').fillna(0)
# ๐ง Debug: Show data types before passing to model
st.write("**Debug - Data types before model training:**")
dtype_info = feat_with_labels.dtypes.to_dict()
st.write({k: str(v) for k, v in dtype_info.items()})
# ๐ง ไฝฟ็จ็ปไธ็ๆจกๅๆฅๅฃ๏ผๆฏๆXGBoostๅCatBoost
st.info(f"๐ค Using **{ml_model_type}** for model retraining...")
try:
retrained_preds, retrained_stats = run_semi_supervised_cp_model_unified(
feat_with_labels,
k_best=k_best,
model_type=ml_model_type.lower()
)
except ImportError as e:
if "catboost" in str(e).lower():
st.error("โ CatBoost not installed. Please install it first:")
st.code("pip install catboost")
st.info("๐ Falling back to XGBoost...")
retrained_preds, retrained_stats = run_semi_supervised_cp_model(
feat_with_labels,
k_best=k_best
)
else:
raise e
st.success("โ
Model retraining completed!")
st.write("**Retrained prediction statistics:**", retrained_stats)
# ๅฏนๆฏ้่ฎญ็ปๅๅ็็ปๆ
st.write("**Compare analysis:**")
col1, col2 = st.columns(2)
with col1:
st.write("Before retraining:", stats)
with col2:
st.write("After retraining:", retrained_stats)
# ไฟๅญ้่ฎญ็ป็ปๆ
st.session_state["retrained_results"] = retrained_preds
except Exception as e:
st.error(f"Retraining failed: {e}")
st.info("๐ก Tip: Please ensure that changepoint detection and credibility analysis have been completed")
# ๐ง ๆทปๅ ่ฐ่ฏไฟกๆฏ
if not feat_df.empty:
st.write("**Debug information:**")
st.write(f"feat_df shape: {feat_df.shape}")
st.write(f"feat_df columns: {feat_df.columns.tolist()}")
st.write(f"Manual labeling count: {len(manual_labels)}")
else:
st.warning("โ ๏ธ Feature data is not available, cannot retrain")
else:
st.warning(f"โ ๏ธ At least 3 labeled samples are required, currently only {len(manual_labels)}")
elif analysis_option == "๐ณ Generate decision tree explanation":
st.write("### ๐ณ Decision tree explanation analysis")
# ๐ง ๆบ่ฝ้ๆฉๆฐๆฎๆบ
if "retrained_results" in st.session_state:
st.info("๐ฏ **Using retrained model results** to generate decision tree")
# ไฝฟ็จ้่ฎญ็ปๅ็็ปๆ
retrained_preds = st.session_state["retrained_results"]
# ๅฐ้่ฎญ็ป็ปๆๅๅนถๅฐ updated_merge
decision_tree_data = updated_merge.copy()
# ๆดๆฐ้ขๆต็ปๆไธบ้่ฎญ็ปๅ็็ปๆ
for _, row in retrained_preds.iterrows():
mask = decision_tree_data["timestamp"] == row["Changepoint Date"]
if mask.any():
decision_tree_data.loc[mask, "Predicted"] = row["Predicted"]
data_source = "Retrained model"
else:
# ๐ง ไฟฎๅค๏ผๆญฃ็กฎๅคๆญๆฐๆฎๆบ
manual_selections = st.session_state.get("manual_selections", [])
if len(manual_selections) > 0:
st.info("๐ **Using automatic classification + manual labeling** to generate decision tree")
data_source = "Automatic + Manual labeling"
else:
st.info("๐ **Using automatic classification results** to generate decision tree")
data_source = "Automatic classification"
decision_tree_data = updated_merge.copy()
if st.button("Generate decision tree"):
from sklearn.tree import DecisionTreeClassifier, export_text, plot_tree
# ๅๅค็นๅพๆฐๆฎ
if 'feat_df' not in st.session_state:
st.error("Feature data (feat_df) not found in session state. Please generate features first.")
st.stop()
current_feat_df = st.session_state['feat_df']
st.write("Debug: Columns in current_feat_df for Decision Tree:", current_feat_df.columns.tolist())
feature_cols = ["AbsDelta","slope", "ฮMeanDiff", "ฮMeanRatio", "TimeSinceStart", "holidaycount"]
if 'holidaycount' not in current_feat_df.columns:
st.caption("โน๏ธ 'holidaycount' feature not found in the data, excluding it from decision tree analysis.")
if 'holidaycount' in feature_cols: # Ensure it's in list before removing
feature_cols.remove('holidaycount')
# ๅชไฝฟ็จๅทฒๆ ๆณจ็ๆฐๆฎ่ฎญ็ปๅณ็ญๆ
labeled_data = decision_tree_data[decision_tree_data["Predicted"].isin(["Real", "Noise"])]
if len(labeled_data) >= 3:
X = current_feat_df.loc[labeled_data.index, feature_cols].fillna(0)
y = labeled_data["Predicted"].map({"Real": 1, "Noise": 0})
# ่ฎญ็ปๅณ็ญๆ
tree = DecisionTreeClassifier(max_depth=3, random_state=42)
tree.fit(X, y)
# ๆพ็คบๆฐๆฎๆบไฟกๆฏ
st.success(f"โ
Decision tree generated based on **{data_source}**")
st.write(f"๐ Training sample count: {len(labeled_data)} (Real: {(y==1).sum()}, Noise: {(y==0).sum()})")
# ๐จ ๆฐๅข๏ผ็ปๅถๅณ็ญๆ ๅพๅฝข
st.write("**๐ Decision tree visualization:**")
# ๐ง ่ฎพ็ฝฎไธญๆๅญไฝๆฏๆ
plt.rcParams['font.sans-serif'] = ['Arial Unicode MS', 'SimHei', 'DejaVu Sans']
plt.rcParams['axes.unicode_minus'] = False
# ๅๅปบๅพๅฝข
fig, ax = plt.subplots(figsize=(20, 12))
plot_tree(tree,
feature_names=feature_cols,
class_names=["Noise", "Real"],
filled=True,
rounded=True,
fontsize=10,
ax=ax)
# ่ฎพ็ฝฎๆ ้ข๏ผไฝฟ็จ่ฑๆ้ฟๅ
ๅญไฝ้ฎ้ข๏ผ
ax.set_title(f"Changepoint Classification Decision Tree (Based on {data_source})", fontsize=16, fontweight='bold', pad=20)
# ไฟๅญๅพๅฝขๅฐๅ
ๅญ
buf = io.BytesIO()
plt.savefig(buf, format='png', dpi=300, bbox_inches='tight')
buf.seek(0)
# ๅจStreamlitไธญๆพ็คบ
st.image(buf, caption=f"Decision tree structure (Based on {data_source})", use_container_width=True)
# ๆธ
็matplotlib่ตๆบ
plt.close(fig)
# ๆพ็คบๅณ็ญ่งๅ๏ผๆๆฌ็ๆฌ๏ผ
with st.expander("๐ See detailed decision rules (text)"):
tree_rules = export_text(tree, feature_names=feature_cols, class_names=["Noise", "Real"])
st.text(tree_rules)
# ็นๅพ้่ฆๆง
st.write("**๐ Feature importance ranking:**")
importance_df = pd.DataFrame({
'Feature': feature_cols,
'Importance': tree.feature_importances_
}).sort_values('Importance', ascending=False)
# ๅๅปบ็นๅพ้่ฆๆงๆกๅฝขๅพ
fig2, ax2 = plt.subplots(figsize=(10, 6))
bars = ax2.bar(importance_df['Feature'], importance_df['Importance'],
color='skyblue', edgecolor='navy', alpha=0.7)
ax2.set_title(f'Feature Importance (Based on {data_source})', fontsize=14, fontweight='bold')
ax2.set_xlabel('Features', fontsize=12)
ax2.set_ylabel('Importance', fontsize=12)
ax2.tick_params(axis='x', rotation=45)
# ๅจๆกๅฝขๅพไธๆทปๅ ๆฐๅผๆ ็ญพ
for bar, importance in zip(bars, importance_df['Importance']):
height = bar.get_height()
ax2.text(bar.get_x() + bar.get_width()/2., height + 0.01,
f'{importance:.3f}', ha='center', va='bottom')
plt.tight_layout()
# ไฟๅญ็นๅพ้่ฆๆงๅพ
buf2 = io.BytesIO()
plt.savefig(buf2, format='png', dpi=300, bbox_inches='tight')
buf2.seek(0)
st.image(buf2, caption=f"Feature importance analysis (Based on {data_source})", use_container_width=True)
plt.close(fig2)
# ๆพ็คบๆฐๅผ่กจๆ ผ
st.dataframe(importance_df.style.format({'Importance': '{:.4f}'}))
# ๅบ็จๅณ็ญๆ ๅฐๆๆๅ็น
if st.button("Apply decision tree to all changepoints"):
all_X = current_feat_df[feature_cols].fillna(0)
tree_predictions = tree.predict(all_X)
tree_pred_labels = ["Noise" if p == 0 else "Real" for p in tree_predictions]
# ๆพ็คบๅณ็ญๆ ็้ขๆต็ปๆ
tree_results = decision_tree_data.copy()
tree_results["TreePredicted"] = tree_pred_labels
st.write("**๐ฏ Decision tree prediction results:**")
tree_stats = pd.Series(tree_pred_labels).value_counts().to_dict()
st.write(tree_stats)
# ๅฏนๆฏๅฝๅๆ ๆณจๅๅณ็ญๆ ้ขๆต
comparison = tree_results[["timestamp", "Predicted", "TreePredicted"]]
st.write(f"**๐ {data_source} vs Decision tree prediction comparison:**")
st.dataframe(comparison)
# ๐จ ๆฐๅข๏ผ้ขๆต็ปๆๅฏ่งๅๅฏนๆฏ
st.write("**๐ Predicted result visualization comparison:**")
# ๅๅปบๅฏนๆฏๅพ่กจ
comparison_stats = pd.DataFrame({
data_source: pd.Series(tree_results["Predicted"]).value_counts(),
'ๅณ็ญๆ ้ขๆต': pd.Series(tree_results["TreePredicted"]).value_counts()
}).fillna(0)
fig3, (ax3, ax4) = plt.subplots(1, 2, figsize=(12, 5))
# ๅฝๅๆ ๆณจ็ปๆ
ax3.pie(comparison_stats[data_source], labels=comparison_stats.index,
autopct='%1.1f%%', startangle=90, colors=['lightcoral', 'lightblue', 'lightgreen'])
ax3.set_title(f'{data_source}', fontsize=12, fontweight='bold')
# ๅณ็ญๆ ้ขๆต็ปๆ
ax4.pie(comparison_stats['ๅณ็ญๆ ้ขๆต'], labels=comparison_stats.index,
autopct='%1.1f%%', startangle=90, colors=['lightcoral', 'lightblue', 'lightgreen'])
ax4.set_title('Decision Tree Predictions', fontsize=12, fontweight='bold')
plt.tight_layout()
# ไฟๅญๅฏนๆฏๅพ
buf3 = io.BytesIO()
plt.savefig(buf3, format='png', dpi=300, bbox_inches='tight')
buf3.seek(0)
st.image(buf3, caption=f"Predicted result comparison ({data_source} vs Decision tree)", use_container_width=True)
plt.close(fig3)
else:
st.warning("At least 3 labeled samples are required to generate decision tree")
elif analysis_option == "๐ Feature importance analysis":
st.write("### ๐ Feature importance analysis")
if st.button("Analyze feature importance"):
if 'feat_df' not in st.session_state:
st.error("Feature data (feat_df) not found in session state. Please generate features first.")
st.stop()
current_feat_df = st.session_state['feat_df']
st.write("Debug: Columns in current_feat_df for Feature Importance Analysis:", current_feat_df.columns.tolist())
# ๅๆไธๅ็ฑปๅซๅ็น็็นๅพๅๅธ
feature_cols = ["AbsDelta", "slope", "ฮMeanDiff", "ฮMeanRatio", "TimeSinceStart", "holidaycount"]
if 'holidaycount' not in current_feat_df.columns:
st.caption("โน๏ธ 'holidaycount' feature not found in the data, excluding it from this importance analysis.")
if 'holidaycount' in feature_cols: # Ensure it's in list before removing
feature_cols.remove('holidaycount')
real_data = updated_merge[updated_merge["Predicted"] == "Real"]
noise_data = updated_merge[updated_merge["Predicted"] == "Noise"]
st.write("**Real vs Noise feature comparison:**")
for feature in feature_cols:
if feature in current_feat_df.columns:
col1, col2, col3 = st.columns(3)
with col1:
st.write(f"**{feature}**")
with col2:
if not real_data.empty:
real_values = current_feat_df.loc[real_data.index, feature]
st.write(f"Real mean: {real_values.mean():.3f}")
else:
st.write("Real mean: N/A")
with col3:
if not noise_data.empty:
noise_values = current_feat_df.loc[noise_data.index, feature]
st.write(f"Noise mean: {noise_values.mean():.3f}")
else:
st.write("Noise mean: N/A")
# ๅปบ่ฎฎไผๅ้ๅผ
st.write("**Suggested classification threshold optimization:**")
if not real_data.empty and not noise_data.empty:
for feature in feature_cols[:3]: # ๅชๅๆๅ3ไธช็นๅพ
if feature in feat_df.columns:
real_vals = feat_df.loc[real_data.index, feature]
noise_vals = feat_df.loc[noise_data.index, feature]
optimal_threshold = (real_vals.mean() + noise_vals.mean()) / 2
st.write(f"- {feature}: Suggested threshold {optimal_threshold:.3f}")
elif analysis_option == "๐ Compare analysis results":
st.write("### ๐ Compare analysis results")
# ๅฏนๆฏๅๅง้ขๆตๅๆๅจๆ ๆณจๅ็็ปๆ
col1, col2 = st.columns(2)
with col1:
st.write("**Original semi-supervised prediction:**")
st.write(stats)
with col2:
st.write("**Manual labeling after:**")
st.write(final_stats)
# ่ฎก็ฎๆนๅ็ๅ็นๆฐ้
changed_points = 0
for _, row in updated_merge.iterrows():
original_pred = st.session_state["credibility_results"]["merge"]
original_pred_for_this_point = original_pred[original_pred["timestamp"] == row["timestamp"]]["Predicted"].iloc[0]
if original_pred_for_this_point != row["Predicted"]:
changed_points += 1
st.write(f"**Manually modified changepoints:** {changed_points}")
# ๆพ็คบไฟฎๆน่ฏฆๆ
if changed_points > 0:
st.write("**Modified details:**")
changes = []
original_merge = st.session_state["credibility_results"]["merge"]
for _, row in updated_merge.iterrows():
original_pred = original_merge[original_merge["timestamp"] == row["timestamp"]]["Predicted"].iloc[0]
if original_pred != row["Predicted"]:
changes.append({
"Date": row["timestamp"].strftime("%Y-%m-%d"),
"Original prediction": original_pred,
"Manual labeling": row["Predicted"]
})
if changes:
st.dataframe(pd.DataFrame(changes))
# ===============================================================
# ๐ฎ ่ฝๆบ้ขๆตๆจกๅ
# ===============================================================
if st.session_state.get("start_energy_prediction", False):
st.markdown("---")
st.title("๐ฎ Intelligent energy prediction system")
# ๅๅคไธไธช้็จ็ๆพ็คบๅฝๆฐ๏ผ้ฟๅ
ไปฃ็ ้ๅค
# ๅฎไน็งปๅฐๆจกๅ้ ๅ็ไฝ็ฝฎ๏ผ็กฎไฟ่ฐ็จๅๅทฒๅฎไน
def _display_llm_analysis_results(analysis_data, title_prefix=""):
st.subheader(f"๐ง {title_prefix} LLM Analysis Results".strip())
col1, col2 = st.columns(2)
with col1:
mode_map = {
"fixed": "Fixed (No change in function)",
"future": "Future (Function will change)",
"timeline": "Timeline (Old first, new later)"
}
st.info(
f"**Prediction Mode:** {mode_map.get(analysis_data.get('mode'), analysis_data.get('mode', 'N/A'))}"
)
# ไฟฎๆนๅคฉๆฐๅ้็ๆพ็คบๆนๅผ
weather_selection_data = analysis_data.get("weather_selection")
if isinstance(weather_selection_data, list) and weather_selection_data:
st.markdown("**Selected Weather Variables & Reasons:**")
for item in weather_selection_data:
if isinstance(item, dict) and "variable" in item and "reason" in item:
st.markdown(f"- **{item.get('variable')}**: {item.get('reason')}")
elif isinstance(item, dict) and "variable" in item:
st.markdown(f"- **{item.get('variable')}**: Reason not provided")
else:
st.markdown("- Invalid weather variable entry") # Handle malformed entries
else:
st.info("**Selected Weather Variables:** N/A")
with col2:
st.info(f"**Mode Reason:** {analysis_data.get('mode_reason', 'N/A')}")
st.info(
f"**Prediction Duration:** {analysis_data.get('duration_months', 'N/A')} months"
)
expander_title = f"Show Details for {title_prefix} Analysis".strip()
with st.expander(expander_title):
desc_title = f"**User Description ({title_prefix.strip()}):**" if title_prefix else "**User Description:**"
st.write(desc_title)
st.text(analysis_data.get("user_description", "N/A"))
info_title = f"**Building Information Used ({title_prefix.strip()}):**" if title_prefix else "**Building Information Used:**"
st.write(info_title)
st.json(analysis_data.get("building_info", {}))
if "revision_request_applied" in analysis_data:
revision_title = f"**Revision Request Applied ({title_prefix.strip()}):**" if title_prefix else "**Revision Request Applied:**"
st.write(revision_title)
st.text(analysis_data.get("revision_request_applied", "N/A"))
if "final_results" in st.session_state:
final_results = st.session_state["final_results"]
real_count = len(final_results[final_results["Predicted"] == "Real"])
noise_count = len(final_results[final_results["Predicted"] == "Noise"])
unknown_count = len(final_results[final_results["Predicted"] == "Unknown"])
st.info(f"๐ **Changepoint detection results**: Real({real_count}) | Noise({noise_count}) | Unknown({unknown_count})")
selected_building = st.session_state.get("selected_building")
selected_utility = st.session_state.get("selected_utility")
if not selected_building or not selected_utility:
st.warning("โ No building/utility selected. Please go back and complete the selection.")
st.stop()
st.info(f"๐ข Current Building: **{selected_building}** | โก Utility: **{selected_utility}**")
# ่ชๅจๆๅๅปบ็ญไฟกๆฏ (่ฟ้จๅไปฃ็ ไฟๆไธๅ, ็กฎไฟ 'info' ๅญๅ
ธ่ขซๆญฃ็กฎๅกซๅ
)
st.subheader("๐ Building Information (Auto-extracted from usage data)")
expected_cols = [
"CAAN", "BuildingClassification", "BuildingLifeCycleStage",
"BuildingGrossArea", "SpaceSqFt", "SpaceWorkpointCount", "c_floor_count"
]
def _clean(s: str) -> str:
return " ".join(str(s).replace(" ", " ").split()).strip()
info = {c: "N/A" for c in expected_cols}
if usage_df is not None and selected_building:
match = usage_df[
usage_df["BuildingName"].astype(str).apply(_clean) == _clean(selected_building)
]
if not match.empty:
row = match.iloc[0]
cols_lower_map = {col.lower(): col for col in usage_df.columns}
for c in expected_cols:
col_key = cols_lower_map.get(c.lower())
if col_key is not None:
info[c] = row.get(col_key, "N/A")
else:
st.warning(f"Building '{selected_building}' not found in data")
col1_disp, col2_disp = st.columns(2)
with col1_disp:
st.metric("CAAN", info["CAAN"])
st.metric("Building Classification", info["BuildingClassification"])
ga = info["BuildingGrossArea"]
ga_disp = f"{int(float(ga)):,} sqft" if str(ga).replace(".", "", 1).isdigit() else "N/A"
st.metric("Building Gross Area", ga_disp)
sqft = info["SpaceSqFt"]
sqft_disp = f"{int(float(sqft)):,}" if str(sqft).replace(".", "", 1).isdigit() else "N/A"
st.metric("Space Sq Ft", sqft_disp)
with col2_disp:
wp = info["SpaceWorkpointCount"]
wp_disp = f"{int(float(wp)):,}" if str(wp).replace(".", "", 1).isdigit() else wp
st.metric("Workpoint Count", wp_disp)
fl = info["c_floor_count"]
fl_disp = f"{int(float(fl)):,}" if str(fl).replace(".", "", 1).isdigit() else fl
st.metric("Floor Count", fl_disp)
st.metric("Lifecycle Stage", info["BuildingLifeCycleStage"])
# ๐ง ็ฌฌไบๆญฅ๏ผ็จๆท่พๅ
ฅ
st.subheader("๐ Building Usage Description")
user_description = st.text_area(
"Building Usage Description",
placeholder=("Describe the building's current and future use, including:\n"
"โข Current function and usage patterns\n"
"โข Any planned changes in building function\n"
"โข Duration of prediction needed (in months)\n"
"Example: 'This office building will be converted to instructional space in 6 months. "
"Need 12 months prediction to cover both phases.'"),
height=150,
key="user_desc_energy_prediction"
)
# ๐ง ็ฌฌไธๆญฅ๏ผLLMๅๆๆ้ฎ
if st.button("๐ค Analyze Building Usage & Weather Requirements", disabled=not user_description):
with st.spinner("๐ง LLM is analyzing..."):
try:
# ---------- ๅๆฌก LLM ๅๆ็จ prompt (Optimized as per user request) ----------
prompt = f'''
[Description of Forecast Modes]
โข fixed โ building use remains unchanged for the entire forecast period
โข future โ building use changes to a new function during the forecast period
โข timeline โ forecast period is split: original function in the first half, new function in the second half
[Examples of Mode Selection]
(Note: these are examples ONLY. Please ignore them when analyzing the actual description below.)
โข fixed example:
"The building is an office and will remain an office for the next 24 months. We need to predict energy usage for this period." โ mode: "fixed"
โข future example:
"This warehouse will be converted into a data center starting 9 months from now. We need an 18-month forecast covering the transition and initial operation as a data center." โ mode: "future"
โข timeline example:
"For the first 6 months the university building will be used for lectures, and for the next 12 months it will be renovated and used as a laboratory. Forecast needed for 18 months." โ mode: "timeline"
[Building Free-Text Description]
{user_description}
[Building Static Information]
โข Building Classification: {info.get('BuildingClassification', 'Unknown')}
โข Building Gross Area: {info.get('BuildingGrossArea', 'N/A')} sqft
โข Space SqFt: {info.get('SpaceSqFt', 'N/A')}
โข Workpoint Count: {info.get('SpaceWorkpointCount', 'N/A')}
โข Floor Count: {info.get('c_floor_count', 'N/A')}
[Candidate Weather Variables & Suggested Building Types]
# (feature_name โ primary building classes where the feature is most influential)
temp_mean โ All
temp_std โ Research โข Instructional โข Library
HDD_sum โ Office โข Residential โข Instructional โข Infrastructure
CDD_sum โ Office โข Mixed โข Residential โข Recreation
dewpoint_deficit_mean โ Research โข Health-like
temp_min_C_min โ Residential โข Recreation โข Infrastructure
temp_max_C_max โ Industrial-like โข Recreation โข Parking Structure
pressure_mean / pressure_range โ Research โข Infrastructure
humidity_mean โ Office โข Health/Research-like โข Library
humidity_std โ Research โข Library
wind_speed_mean โ Office โข Infrastructure โข Parking Structure
wind_speed_max โ Research โข Infrastructure
wind_gust_max โ Research โข Infrastructure
clouds_all_mean โ Office โข Mixed
visibility_mean โ Mixed โข Recreation
precip_mm_sum โ Instructional โข Infrastructure โข Recreation
rain_event_sum โ Instructional โข Infrastructure
snow_mm_sum / snow_event_sum โ Infrastructure โข Recreation
[Tasks]
1. Please explain why a weather variable is selected or excluded in combination with static information such as "Gross Area" and "Workpoint Count".
2. Determine the **mode** ("fixed", "future", "timeline") and give **mode_reason**. Please also explain the impact of the mode in combination with the area and the number of workpoints.
3. Extract the integer **duration_months** and explain in **duration_reason** how it is derived from the description.
4. Select **5** most relevant variables from the list of candidate weather variables.
Return **ONLY** a JSON object with the key `"weather_selection"`, whose value is a list of objects. Each object must include:
- `"variable"`: the variable name (exactly as in the candidate list)
- `"reason"`: explain the importance of the variable in combination with information such as "building type, area, number of workpoints, number of floors"
Example output:
{{
"weather_selection": [
{{
"variable": "CDD_sum",
"reason": "This office building has an area of 80,000 ftยฒ and a high summer cooling load, so CDD_sum strongly drives electricity demand."
}},
{{
"variable": "HDD_sum",
"reason": "With 5 floors and moderate heating usage in winter, HDD_sum correlates with natural-gas heating energy for this building."
}},
{{
"variable": "humidity_mean",
"reason": "High occupancy density (200 workpoints) amplifies latent heat loads; humidity_mean affects HVAC dehumidification energy."
}}
]
}}
[Output Format]
Return **ONLY** a valid JSON object matching this schema (no markdown, no code fences, no extra text):
{{
"Current Building Classification": "...",
"mode": "...",
"mode_reason": "...",
"duration_months": ...,
"duration_reason": "...",
"weather_selection": [
{{ "variable": "...", "reason": "..." }},
...
]
}}
'''
messages = [
{"role": "system", "content": "You are an expert in building energy forecasting and changepoint-driven weather-informed modeling."},
{"role": "user", "content": prompt}
]
llm_response = chat_with_ollama(messages, model="mistral")
try:
analysis_data = json.loads(llm_response)
st.session_state["initial_llm_analysis"] = {
"llm_classification": analysis_data.get("Current Building Classification"),
"mode": analysis_data.get("mode"),
"mode_reason": analysis_data.get("mode_reason"),
"duration_months": analysis_data.get("duration_months"),
"duration_reason": analysis_data.get("duration_reason"),
"weather_selection": analysis_data.get("weather_selection"),
"user_description": user_description,
"building_info": info
}
if "revised_llm_analysis" in st.session_state:
del st.session_state["revised_llm_analysis"]
st.success("โ
Initial LLM analysis completed!")
st.session_state["start_energy_prediction"] = True
st.rerun()
except json.JSONDecodeError:
st.error("โ Failed to parse LLM response as JSON.") # Added period
st.text(llm_response)
except Exception as e:
st.error(f"โ LLM analysis failed: {str(e)}")
st.warning("๐ก Please make sure Ollama is running with the mistral model.") # Added period
# ๆพ็คบๅๆฌกLLMๅๆ็ปๆ (ๅฆๆๅญๅจ)
if "initial_llm_analysis" in st.session_state:
_display_llm_analysis_results(st.session_state["initial_llm_analysis"], title_prefix="Initial")
# ๅณๅฎๅฝๅ็จไบๅ้ฆๅๆๅจ่ฐๆด็ๅๆๆฐๆฎๆบ
current_analysis_for_feedback = None
latest_analysis_type_for_prompt = "Initial analysis context" # Default context name
if "revised_llm_analysis" in st.session_state:
current_analysis_for_feedback = st.session_state["revised_llm_analysis"]
latest_analysis_type_for_prompt = "Previously revised analysis context" # More specific
elif "initial_llm_analysis" in st.session_state:
current_analysis_for_feedback = st.session_state["initial_llm_analysis"]
# ๆ นๆฎ้ขๆตๆถ้ฟๅๆจกๅผ้ๆฉๆจกๅๆฅๅฃ
if current_analysis_for_feedback:
duration_months = current_analysis_for_feedback.get("duration_months")
prediction_mode = current_analysis_for_feedback.get("mode")
if duration_months is not None and prediction_mode is not None:
# ๆ นๆฎๆถ้ฟๅๆจกๅผ้ๆฉๆจกๅๆฅๅฃ
if duration_months >= 3:
st.info("๐ Long-term prediction detected (>3 months)")
if prediction_mode == "fixed":
st.info("Using Long-term Fixed Mode Model Interface")
# TODO: ่ฐ็จ้ฟๆๅบๅฎๆจกๅผๆจกๅๆฅๅฃ
pass
elif prediction_mode == "future":
st.info("Using Long-term Future Mode Model Interface")
# TODO: ่ฐ็จ้ฟๆๆชๆฅๆจกๅผๆจกๅๆฅๅฃ
pass
elif prediction_mode == "timeline":
st.info("Using Long-term Timeline Mode Model Interface")
# TODO: ่ฐ็จ้ฟๆๆถ้ด็บฟๆจกๅผๆจกๅๆฅๅฃ
pass
else:
st.info("๐ Short-term prediction detected (โค3 months)")
if prediction_mode == "fixed":
st.info("Using Short-term Fixed Mode Model Interface")
# TODO: ่ฐ็จ็ญๆๅบๅฎๆจกๅผๆจกๅๆฅๅฃ
pass
elif prediction_mode == "future":
st.info("Using Short-term Future Mode Model Interface")
# TODO: ่ฐ็จ็ญๆๆชๆฅๆจกๅผๆจกๅๆฅๅฃ
pass
elif prediction_mode == "timeline":
st.info("Using Short-term Timeline Mode Model Interface")
# TODO: ่ฐ็จ็ญๆๆถ้ด็บฟๆจกๅผๆจกๅๆฅๅฃ
pass
# ๆพ็คบๅฝๅๅๆ็ปๆ๏ผ็จไบๅ้ฆๅๆๅจ่ฐๆด๏ผ
if current_analysis_for_feedback:
st.markdown("---")
st.subheader("๐ Feedback on LLM Analysis")
feedback_type = st.radio(
"How satisfied are you with the LLM analysis? (Feedback applies to the latest analysis shown)",
["๐ Request revision", "โ๏ธ Manual adjustment"], # Removed "๐ Accept recommendations"
horizontal=True, key="feedback_radio", index=None
)
if feedback_type == "๐ Request revision":
revision_request = st.text_area(
"What would you like the LLM to reconsider?",
placeholder="Example: Consider more variables related to occupancy patterns...",
key="revision_text_area"
)
if st.button("๐ Revise Analysis", key="revise_button") and revision_request:
with st.spinner("๐ง LLM is re-analyzing..."):
try:
context_user_description = current_analysis_for_feedback.get("user_description", "")
context_building_info = current_analysis_for_feedback.get("building_info", {})
# ---------- ไฟฎ่ฎข LLM ๅๆ็จ prompt (Optimized as per user request) ----------
revised_prompt = f'''
[Context โ Previous Analysis]
User Description:
{context_user_description}
Building Static Information:
- Building Classification: {context_building_info.get('BuildingClassification', 'Unknown')}
- Building Gross Area: {context_building_info.get('BuildingGrossArea', 'N/A')} sqft
- Space SqFt: {context_building_info.get('SpaceSqFt', 'N/A')}
- Workpoint Count: {context_building_info.get('SpaceWorkpointCount', 'N/A')}
- Floor Count: {context_building_info.get('c_floor_count', 'N/A')}
[Candidate Weather Variables & Suggested Building Types]
# (feature_name โ primary building classes where the feature is most influential)
temp_mean โ All
temp_std โ Research โข Instructional โข Library
HDD_sum โ Office โข Residential โข Instructional โข Infrastructure
CDD_sum โ Office โข Mixed โข Residential โข Recreation
dewpoint_deficit_mean โ Research โข Health-like
temp_min_C_min โ Residential โข Recreation โข Infrastructure
temp_max_C_max โ Industrial-like โข Recreation โข Parking Structure
pressure_mean / pressure_range โ Research โข Infrastructure
humidity_mean โ Office โข Health/Research-like โข Library
humidity_std โ Research โข Library
wind_speed_mean โ Office โข Infrastructure โข Parking Structure
wind_speed_max โ Research โข Infrastructure
wind_gust_max โ Research โข Infrastructure
clouds_all_mean โ Office โข Mixed
visibility_mean โ Mixed โข Recreation
precip_mm_sum โ Instructional โข Infrastructure โข Recreation
rain_event_sum โ Instructional โข Infrastructure
snow_mm_sum / snow_event_sum โ Infrastructure โข Recreation
[Examples of Mode Selection] (IGNORE these when analyzing.)
โข fixed example:
"The building is an office and will remain an office for the next 24 months โฆ" โ mode: "fixed"
โข future example:
"This warehouse will be converted into a data center starting 9 months from now โฆ" โ mode: "future"
โข timeline example:
"For the first 6 months the university building will be used for lectures โฆ then 12 months as a laboratory โฆ" โ mode: "timeline"
[User Revision Request]
{revision_request}
[Tasks]
1. Please explain why a weather variable is selected or excluded in combination with static information such as "Gross Area" and "Workpoint Count".
2. Determine the **mode** ("fixed", "future", "timeline") and give **mode_reason**. Please also explain the impact of the mode in combination with the area and the number of workpoints.
3. Extract the integer **duration_months** and explain in **duration_reason** how it is derived from the description.
4. Select **5** most relevant variables from the list of candidate weather variables.
Return **ONLY** a JSON object with the key `"weather_selection"`, whose value is a list of objects. Each object must include:
- `"variable"`: the variable name (exactly as in the candidate list)
- `"reason"`: explain the importance of the variable in combination with information such as "building type, area, number of workpoints, number of floors"
Example output:
{{
"weather_selection": [
{{
"variable": "CDD_sum",
"reason": "This office building has an area of 80,000 ftยฒ and a high summer cooling load, so CDD_sum strongly drives electricity demand."
}},
{{
"variable": "HDD_sum",
"reason": "With 5 floors and moderate heating usage in winter, HDD_sum correlates with natural-gas heating energy for this building."
}},
{{
"variable": "humidity_mean",
"reason": "High occupancy density (200 workpoints) amplifies latent heat loads; humidity_mean affects HVAC dehumidification energy."
}}
]
}}
Return **ONLY** the JSON object below (no markdown, no extra text):
{{
"Current Building Classification": "...",
"mode": "...",
"mode_reason": "...",
"duration_months": ...,
"duration_reason": "...",
"weather_selection": [
{{ "variable": "...", "reason": "..." }},
...
]
}}
'''
messages = [
{"role": "system", "content": "You are an expert in building energy forecasting and changepoint-driven weather-informed modeling, tasked with revising a previous analysis based on user feedback."},
{"role": "user", "content": revised_prompt}
]
llm_response = chat_with_ollama(messages, model="mistral")
try:
revised_analysis_data = json.loads(llm_response)
st.session_state["revised_llm_analysis"] = {
"llm_classification": revised_analysis_data.get("Current Building Classification"),
"mode": revised_analysis_data.get("mode"),
"mode_reason": revised_analysis_data.get("mode_reason"),
"duration_months": revised_analysis_data.get("duration_months"),
"duration_reason": revised_analysis_data.get("duration_reason"),
"weather_selection": revised_analysis_data.get("weather_selection"),
"user_description": context_user_description,
"building_info": context_building_info,
"revision_request_applied": revision_request
}
st.success("โ
LLM re-analysis completed!")
st.rerun()
except json.JSONDecodeError:
st.error("โ Failed to parse revised LLM response as JSON.") # Added period
st.text(llm_response)
except Exception as e:
st.error(f"โ LLM re-analysis failed: {str(e)}")
st.warning("๐ก Please make sure Ollama is running.")
elif feedback_type == "โ๏ธ Manual adjustment":
st.write("**Manually adjust weather variables (applies to the latest analysis shown):**")
available_vars = [
"temp_mean", "temp_std", "HDD_sum", "CDD_sum", "dewpoint_deficit_mean",
"temp_min_month", "temp_max_month", "pressure_mean", "pressure_max", "pressure_min",
"humidity_mean", "humidity_std", "wind_speed_mean", "wind_speed_max", "wind_gust_max",
"clouds_all_mean", "visibility_mean", "precip_mm_sum", "rain_event_sum",
"snow_mm_sum", "snow_event_sum"
]
default_selection = []
if current_analysis_for_feedback and isinstance(current_analysis_for_feedback.get("weather_selection"), list):
default_selection = [
item.get("variable")
for item in current_analysis_for_feedback["weather_selection"]
if isinstance(item, dict) and "variable" in item
]
manual_vars = st.multiselect(
"Select weather variables:", available_vars, default=default_selection, key="manual_vars_multiselect"
)
if st.button("๐พ Save Manual Selection", key="save_manual_weather_button"):
target_analysis_key = "revised_llm_analysis" if "revised_llm_analysis" in st.session_state else "initial_llm_analysis"
if target_analysis_key in st.session_state:
current_weather_selection = st.session_state[target_analysis_key].get("weather_selection", [])
if not isinstance(current_weather_selection, list):
current_weather_selection = [] # Initialize if not list or None
new_selection = []
current_selection_map = {item.get("variable"): item.get("reason", "Manually added/reason not provided")
for item in current_weather_selection if isinstance(item, dict)}
for var_name in manual_vars:
new_selection.append({
"variable": var_name,
"reason": current_selection_map.get(var_name, "Manually selected/reason not specified")
})
st.session_state[target_analysis_key]["weather_selection"] = new_selection
st.session_state[target_analysis_key]["manual_adjustment_applied"] = True
st.success(f"โ
Updated weather variables for {target_analysis_key.replace('_llm_analysis','')} analysis.")
st.rerun()
else:
st.warning("No analysis found to apply manual adjustments to.")
# ๆพ็คบไฟฎ่ฎขๅ็LLMๅๆ็ปๆ (ๅฆๆๅญๅจ)
if "revised_llm_analysis" in st.session_state:
_display_llm_analysis_results(st.session_state["revised_llm_analysis"], title_prefix="Revised")
# ้ขๆต้้กน็ญๅ
ถไปUI
# โโ ไธไธ้ข display_analysis ๅ็บง โโ
if current_analysis_for_feedback:
st.markdown("---")
st.subheader("๐ฎ Energy Prediction (based on latest analysis)")
# --- NEW SECTION 1: Static Explanation ---
st.subheader("๐ก๏ธ Weather Sampling Strategy Details")
st.markdown("""
Our weather sampling strategy, as implemented in the `kde_or_normal_sample` function, adapts to the amount of historical data available for each selected weather variable and the specific target month for future predictions:
- **No Data for Target Month (0 samples):**
- If neighboring months (within the configured ยฑ window, e.g., ยฑ1 or ยฑ2 months) have data, their mean is used.
- If neighboring months also lack data, the mean of all historical data for that variable across all months is used.
- If no historical data exists at all for the variable, the result will be NaN (Not a Number).
- **Less than 20 samples (for target month):** The mean of all historical data for that variable (across all months) is used. This provides a stable, albeit general, estimate when specific monthly data is sparse.
- **20 to 49 samples (for target month):** A value is sampled from a Normal (Gaussian) distribution. The distribution's mean (ฮผ) and standard deviation (ฯ) are derived from the historical data of the target month.
- If the target month's standard deviation is zero (e.g., all values are the same), the standard deviation of all historical data for that variable (across all months) is used instead.
- If that overall standard deviation is also zero, the mean of the target month is returned directly (as sampling from a Normal distribution with ฯ=0 is just the mean).
- **50 to 99 samples (for target month):** A mixed Kernel Density Estimation (KDE) strategy is employed. This attempts to capture more nuanced distributions than a simple Normal fit.
- There's a 70% chance of sampling from a KDE built using data specifically from the target month.
- There's a 30% chance of sampling from a KDE built using data from neighboring months (as defined by the ยฑ window configuration). This is only done if the combined data from neighboring months has at least 20 samples; otherwise, if the target month itself has data, its KDE is used for this 30% chance as well.
- If KDE calculations fail (e.g., due to insufficient unique data points for KDE), the strategy falls back to the Normal distribution method described for 20-49 samples.
- **100 or more samples (for target month):** A value is sampled directly from a KDE built using data from the target month. This is preferred when ample data exists for a robust density estimation.
- If KDE calculations fail, it falls back to the Normal distribution method.
The 'samples for target month' refers to the number of non-missing historical data points available for a specific variable in a specific month of the year (e.g., all historical January 'temp_mean' values).
The "Avg Samples" displayed in the table below are averages of these monthly sample counts across all 12 months.
The "Window Size" configuration (for variables with 50-99 average monthly samples) directly impacts the "neighboring months" data used in the mixed KDE strategy.
""")
# ๐ง ๆฐๅข๏ผๆฃๆฅๅคฉๆฐๅ้ๆ ทๆฌ้ๅนถๆไพๆปๅจ็ชๅฃ้ๆฉ
if "weather_window_config" not in st.session_state:
st.session_state["weather_window_config"] = {}
# ่ทๅๅฝๅ็ๅคฉๆฐ็นๅพ
current_weather_features = []
if "revised_llm_analysis" in st.session_state:
weather_selection = st.session_state["revised_llm_analysis"].get("weather_selection", [])
current_weather_features = [item["variable"] for item in weather_selection if "variable" in item]
elif "initial_llm_analysis" in st.session_state:
weather_selection = st.session_state["initial_llm_analysis"].get("weather_selection", [])
current_weather_features = [item["variable"] for item in weather_selection if "variable" in item]
# ๅฆๆๆๅคฉๆฐ็นๅพ๏ผๆฃๆฅๆ ทๆฌ้
weather_window_needed = False
sample_analysis = []
if current_weather_features and selected_building and usage_df is not None:
# This block calculates sample_analysis. The st.write for table header will be moved after preview.
# st.write("### ๐ก๏ธ Weather Variable Sample Analysis") # MOVING THIS HEADER DOWN
building_data = usage_df[usage_df["BuildingName"] == selected_building].copy()
if not building_data.empty:
building_data["StartDate"] = pd.to_datetime(building_data["StartDate"])
building_data["month"] = building_data["StartDate"].dt.month
for var in current_weather_features:
if var in building_data.columns:
# ่ฎก็ฎๆฏไธชๆ็ๆ ทๆฌ้
month_counts = {}
for month in range(1, 13):
month_data = building_data[building_data["month"] == month][var].dropna()
month_counts[month] = len(month_data)
avg_samples = np.mean(list(month_counts.values()))
min_samples = min(month_counts.values())
max_samples = max(month_counts.values())
# ๅคๆญๆฏๅฆ้่ฆๆปๅจ็ชๅฃ้ๆฉ
needs_window = 50 <= avg_samples < 100
if needs_window:
weather_window_needed = True
sample_analysis.append({
"Variable": var,
"Avg Samples": avg_samples,
"Min-Max": f"{min_samples}-{max_samples}",
"Needs Window Selection": needs_window
})
# --- NEW SECTION 2: Dynamic Preview (after sample_analysis is computed) ---
st.markdown("**Current Strategy Preview (based on *average* monthly samples):**")
if not sample_analysis:
st.info("No weather variables selected or data available to preview strategy based on average samples.")
else:
for item in sample_analysis:
var_name = item["Variable"]
avg_samples = item["Avg Samples"]
strategy_desc = ""
# This is a simplified interpretation for the preview based on AVERAGE samples.
# The actual kde_or_normal_sample function uses target_month specific counts.
if avg_samples == 0: # Approximating that if average is 0, target month is likely 0
strategy_desc = "If target month has 0 samples: Mean of neighbors/all history."
elif avg_samples < 20:
strategy_desc = "If target month has <20 samples: Mean of all historical data."
elif avg_samples < 50: # 20 <= avg_samples < 50
strategy_desc = "If target month has 20-49 samples: Normal distribution."
elif avg_samples < 100: # 50 <= avg_samples < 100
strategy_desc = "If target month has 50-99 samples: Mixed KDE."
else: # avg_samples >= 100
strategy_desc = "If target month has โฅ100 samples: Direct KDE."
st.markdown(f"- **{var_name}**: Avg. {avg_samples:.1f} samples/month. Likely strategy for a typical month: *{strategy_desc}*")
# --- Existing Table Display ---
st.write("### ๐ก๏ธ Weather Variable Sample Analysis") # Header for the table
if sample_analysis: # line 2345
sample_df = pd.DataFrame(sample_analysis)
st.dataframe(sample_df, use_container_width=True) # LINE 2347
else:
st.info("No weather variable sample analysis to display (no variables selected or data available).")
# ๅฆๆ้่ฆๆปๅจ็ชๅฃ้ๆฉ๏ผๆพ็คบ้ๆฉ็้ข (line 2350)
if weather_window_needed and "window_selection_done" not in st.session_state:
st.warning("โ ๏ธ Some weather variables have sample sizes between 50-100. Please select sliding window sizes for better sampling:")
with st.form("weather_window_form"):
st.write("**Select sliding window for each weather variable:**")
st.caption("Window size determines how many neighboring months to include in the sampling process.")
window_configs = {}
for item in sample_analysis:
if item["Needs Window Selection"]:
var_name = item["Variable"]
avg_samples = item["Avg Samples"]
col1, col2 = st.columns([2, 1])
with col1:
st.write(f"**{var_name}** (avg {avg_samples:.0f} samples/month)")
with col2:
window_size = st.select_slider(
f"Window for {var_name}",
options=[1, 2, 3],
value=2,
key=f"window_{var_name}",
help=f"1 = current month only, 2 = ยฑ1 month, 3 = ยฑ2 months"
)
window_configs[var_name] = window_size
submitted = st.form_submit_button("โ
Confirm Window Selection")
if submitted:
# ไฟๅญ็ชๅฃ้
็ฝฎ
st.session_state["weather_window_config"] = window_configs
st.session_state["window_selection_done"] = True
st.success("โ
Window configuration saved!")
st.rerun()
# ๆพ็คบๅฝๅ็ชๅฃ้
็ฝฎ๏ผๅฆๆๅทฒ่ฎพ็ฝฎ๏ผ
if st.session_state.get("weather_window_config") and weather_window_needed:
with st.expander("๐ Current Window Configuration", expanded=False):
config_df = pd.DataFrame([
{"Variable": k, "Window Size": f"ยฑ{v-1} months"}
for k, v in st.session_state["weather_window_config"].items()
])
st.dataframe(config_df, use_container_width=True)
if st.button("๐ Reset Window Configuration"):
if "weather_window_config" in st.session_state:
del st.session_state["weather_window_config"]
if "window_selection_done" in st.session_state:
del st.session_state["window_selection_done"]
st.rerun()
# --- User choice for Target Variable ---
st.markdown("---") # Visual separator
st.subheader("๐ฏ Target Variable for Modeling")
target_use_choice = st.radio(
"Select the target 'Use' column for training and prediction:",
('Original Use', 'FilledUse (from Changepoint Preprocessing)'),
index=0, # Default to 'Original Use'
key='target_use_choice',
horizontal=True,
help="Choose 'FilledUse' if you believe the preprocessed (filled) data from the changepoint detection step better represents the true consumption pattern for modeling."
)
# ๅชๆๅจไธ้่ฆ็ชๅฃ้ๆฉๆๅทฒๅฎๆ็ชๅฃ้ๆฉๅ๏ผๆๆพ็คบ้ขๆตๆ้ฎ
if not weather_window_needed or st.session_state.get("window_selection_done", False):
if st.button("Generate Predictions", key="generate_predictions_button"):
# --- Centralized Data Preparation based on User Choice ---
sel_building = st.session_state.get("selected_building")
selected_utility = st.session_state.get("selected_utility") # CommodityCode
if not sel_building or not selected_utility:
st.error("โ Building or Utility not selected. Please make selections in the sidebar.")
st.stop()
# 1. Start with a copy of the primary data source (contains original 'Use' and all raw features)
df_source_for_modeling = st.session_state.get("df_merged_with_features")
if df_source_for_modeling is None or df_source_for_modeling.empty:
st.error("โ Main data ('df_merged_with_features') is not available. Please ensure data is loaded and preprocessed.")
st.stop()
df_for_modeling = df_source_for_modeling.copy() # IMPORTANT: Work on a copy
# Ensure 'StartDate' is datetime for potential merges and consistent processing
if 'StartDate' not in df_for_modeling.columns:
st.error("โ 'StartDate' column is missing from the main data source.")
st.stop()
df_for_modeling['StartDate'] = pd.to_datetime(df_for_modeling['StartDate'])
# 2. Get the user's choice for the target 'Use' column
chosen_target_source = st.session_state.get("target_use_choice", "Original Use")
if chosen_target_source == "FilledUse (from Changepoint Preprocessing)":
st.info("๐ฏ Using 'FilledUse' as the target variable for modeling.")
if "filled" not in st.session_state or st.session_state["filled"].empty:
st.error("โ 'FilledUse' data (from st.session_state['filled']) is not available. "
"This data is generated during changepoint detection. "
"Please run changepoint detection and credibility analysis first. "
"Using 'Original Use' as fallback.")
# No changes to df_for_modeling['Use'], it remains original
else:
filled_data_for_merge = st.session_state["filled"].copy()
if 'Date' not in filled_data_for_merge.columns:
st.error("โ 'Date' column not found in 'filled' data. Cannot merge 'FilledUse'. Using original 'Use'.")
elif 'BuildingName' not in filled_data_for_merge.columns:
st.error("โ 'BuildingName' column not found in 'filled' data. Cannot merge 'FilledUse'. Using original 'Use'.")
elif 'CommodityCode' not in filled_data_for_merge.columns:
st.error("โ 'CommodityCode' column not found in 'filled' data. Cannot merge 'FilledUse'. Using original 'Use'.")
elif 'FilledUse' not in filled_data_for_merge.columns:
st.error("โ 'FilledUse' column not found in 'filled' data. Cannot merge. Using original 'Use'.")
else:
# Ensure correct datetime type for merging key
filled_data_for_merge['Date_for_merge'] = pd.to_datetime(filled_data_for_merge['Date'])
# Select only necessary columns for the merge to avoid duplicate columns from 'filled'
filled_data_to_join = filled_data_for_merge[['BuildingName', 'CommodityCode', 'Date_for_merge', 'FilledUse']]
# Store original 'Use' before merge to handle non-matches correctly
original_use_series = df_for_modeling['Use'].copy()
# Perform the merge
df_for_modeling = pd.merge(
df_for_modeling,
filled_data_to_join,
left_on=['BuildingName', 'CommodityCode', 'StartDate'],
right_on=['BuildingName', 'CommodityCode', 'Date_for_merge'],
how='left'
)
# Update the 'Use' column: if 'FilledUse' is NaN (no match), revert to original 'Use' for that row
if 'FilledUse' in df_for_modeling.columns:
df_for_modeling['Use'] = df_for_modeling['FilledUse'].fillna(original_use_series)
# Clean up columns added from the merge
df_for_modeling = df_for_modeling.drop(columns=['Date_for_merge', 'FilledUse'])
st.success("Successfully merged 'FilledUse' as the target 'Use' column.")
else:
# This case should ideally not be reached if preliminary checks pass,
# but as a safeguard:
st.warning("โ ๏ธ 'FilledUse' column was expected but not found after merge. "
"Reverting to original 'Use' values.")
df_for_modeling['Use'] = original_use_series # Ensure 'Use' is the original series
elif chosen_target_source == "Original Use":
st.info("๐ฏ Using original 'Use' as the target variable for modeling.")
# No change needed for df_for_modeling['Use'] as it's already the original 'Use'.
else: # Should not happen with st.radio due to default
st.error(f"โ Unknown target_use_choice: {chosen_target_source}. Defaulting to 'Original Use'.")
# df_for_modeling['Use'] remains original
# 3. Proceed with filtering based on LLM/Original Classification (This part of your logic can remain similar)
def _get_llm_cls(): # Your existing helper function
if "revised_llm_analysis" in st.session_state:
return st.session_state["revised_llm_analysis"].get("llm_classification")
if "initial_llm_analysis" in st.session_state:
return st.session_state["initial_llm_analysis"].get("llm_classification")
return None
current_row_for_info = df_for_modeling[df_for_modeling["BuildingName"] == sel_building]
if current_row_for_info.empty: # Should be caught by df_for_modeling check, but good to have
st.error(f"No data for building '{sel_building}' in the prepared modeling data.")
st.stop()
orig_cls = current_row_for_info["BuildingClassification"].iloc[0] if "BuildingClassification" in current_row_for_info else "Unknown"
llm_cls = _get_llm_cls()
cls_for_filter = llm_cls or orig_cls
if llm_cls:
st.write(f"Filtering by LLM classification: **{llm_cls}**")
else:
st.write(f"Filtering by original classification: **{orig_cls}**")
# Filter based on classification and commodity
# Ensure 'BuildingClassification' exists before filtering
if "BuildingClassification" not in df_for_modeling.columns:
st.error("โ 'BuildingClassification' column missing from modeling data. Cannot filter.")
st.stop()
filtered_for_model = df_for_modeling[
(df_for_modeling["BuildingClassification"].astype(str).str.strip() == str(cls_for_filter).strip()) &
(df_for_modeling["CommodityCode"] == selected_utility)
]
if filtered_for_model.empty and llm_cls:
st.warning(f"โ ๏ธ No data found for LLM classification '{llm_cls}'. Falling back to original classification '{orig_cls}'.")
filtered_for_model = df_for_modeling[
(df_for_modeling["BuildingClassification"].astype(str).str.strip() == str(orig_cls).strip()) &
(df_for_modeling["CommodityCode"] == selected_utility)
]
if filtered_for_model.empty:
st.error("โ Cannot train model: No data found for the selected classification & commodity combination, even after fallback.")
st.stop()
# 4. Extract base columns + weather features (Your existing logic)
base_columns = [ # Keep 'Use' here as it's now the chosen target
'BuildingName', 'Use', 'StartDate', 'SpaceSqFt', 'SpaceWorkpointCount',
'c_floor_count', 'BuildingLifeCycleStage', 'holidaycount', 'BuildingGrossArea' # Added BuildingGrossArea based on later code
]
# Get selected weather features
if "revised_llm_analysis" in st.session_state:
manual_weather_features = [item["variable"] for item in st.session_state["revised_llm_analysis"].get("weather_selection", []) if "variable" in item]
elif "initial_llm_analysis" in st.session_state:
manual_weather_features = [item["variable"] for item in st.session_state["initial_llm_analysis"].get("weather_selection", []) if "variable" in item]
else:
manual_weather_features = []
all_required_columns_for_model = list(set(base_columns + manual_weather_features)) # Use set to avoid duplicates if 'Use' was in manual_weather_features by mistake
# Check column existence in 'filtered_for_model'
missing_model_cols = [col for col in all_required_columns_for_model if col not in filtered_for_model.columns]
if missing_model_cols:
st.error(f"โ The following required columns for the model are missing from the filtered data: {', '.join(missing_model_cols)}. "
f"Available columns: {filtered_for_model.columns.tolist()}")
st.stop()
final_extracted_data = filtered_for_model[all_required_columns_for_model].copy() # Work with a copy for feature engineering
# === Feature Engineering: Time features (Your existing logic) ===
# 'StartDate' is already pd.to_datetime
final_extracted_data['month'] = final_extracted_data['StartDate'].dt.month
final_extracted_data['month_sin'] = np.sin(2 * np.pi * final_extracted_data['month'] / 12)
final_extracted_data['month_cos'] = np.cos(2 * np.pi * final_extracted_data['month'] / 12)
final_extracted_data = final_extracted_data.drop(columns=['month'])
final_extracted_data = final_extracted_data.sort_values("StartDate")
if not final_extracted_data.empty: # Ensure not empty before min()
final_extracted_data['time_index'] = \
((final_extracted_data['StartDate'] - final_extracted_data['StartDate'].min()).dt.days // 30)
else:
final_extracted_data['time_index'] = pd.Series(dtype='int')
st.write("### Prepared Data for Model Input (with chosen 'Use' and time features)")
st.dataframe(final_extracted_data.head())
if final_extracted_data.empty:
st.error("โ No data available after all preparation steps for modeling.")
st.stop()
st.success(f"Successfully prepared {len(final_extracted_data)} records for modeling.")
# --- From here, your existing logic for train_df, pred_df, basic_features, standardization, etc., should largely follow ---
# MAKE SURE to use `final_extracted_data` as the source for splitting `train_df` and `pred_df`.
# And ensure `basic_features` list is consistent with the columns available in `final_extracted_data` (excluding 'Use', 'StartDate', 'BuildingName').
# Example continuation:
train_df = final_extracted_data[final_extracted_data["BuildingName"] != sel_building].copy()
pred_df = final_extracted_data[final_extracted_data["BuildingName"] == sel_building].copy()
if train_df.empty or pred_df.empty:
st.error("โ Training or prediction data insufficient after splitting. Check filter conditions and data for selected building vs. others.")
st.stop()
# Redefine basic_features based on what's truly available in final_extracted_data (excluding target, IDs, and date)
# and what is intended to be a "basic" non-weather feature.
basic_features = [
"SpaceSqFt", "SpaceWorkpointCount", "c_floor_count", 'BuildingGrossArea',
"BuildingLifeCycleStage", "holidaycount",
"month_sin", "month_cos", "time_index", # These are now part of the core dataset
]
# Ensure all basic_features are in final_extracted_data.columns
actual_basic_features = [f for f in basic_features if f in final_extracted_data.columns]
missing_basic = [f for f in basic_features if f not in actual_basic_features]
if missing_basic:
st.warning(f"โ ๏ธ Some defined 'basic_features' were not found in the final data and will be excluded: {missing_basic}")
actual_weather_features = [f for f in manual_weather_features if f in final_extracted_data.columns]
missing_weather = [f for f in manual_weather_features if f not in actual_weather_features]
if missing_weather:
st.warning(f"โ ๏ธ Some selected 'weather_features' were not found in the final data and will be excluded: {missing_weather}")
feature_cols = actual_basic_features + actual_weather_features
# Remove 'Use', 'StartDate', 'BuildingName' if they accidentally got into feature_cols
feature_cols = [f for f in feature_cols if f not in ['Use', 'StartDate', 'BuildingName']]
feature_cols = list(dict.fromkeys(feature_cols)) # Remove duplicates while preserving order
st.write("Actual feature columns for model:", feature_cols)
# ---- Standardization (Your existing logic, ensure columns exist) ----
# Standardize "SpaceSqFt" and "BuildingGrossArea"
cols_to_scale_basic = ["SpaceSqFt", "BuildingGrossArea"]
actual_cols_to_scale_basic = [col for col in cols_to_scale_basic if col in train_df.columns and col in pred_df.columns]
if actual_cols_to_scale_basic:
train_df[actual_cols_to_scale_basic] = np.log1p(train_df[actual_cols_to_scale_basic])
pred_df[actual_cols_to_scale_basic] = np.log1p(pred_df[actual_cols_to_scale_basic])
else:
st.warning(f"Columns for basic scaling ({cols_to_scale_basic}) not all found in train/pred DFs.")
# Standardize "HDD_sum" and "CDD_sum" if they are in weather_features
weather_features_to_scale_specific = [f for f in ['HDD_sum', 'CDD_sum'] if f in actual_weather_features]
actual_weather_features_to_scale_specific = [col for col in weather_features_to_scale_specific if col in train_df.columns and col in pred_df.columns]
if actual_weather_features_to_scale_specific:
train_df[actual_weather_features_to_scale_specific] = np.log1p(train_df[actual_weather_features_to_scale_specific])
pred_df[actual_weather_features_to_scale_specific] = np.log1p(pred_df[actual_weather_features_to_scale_specific])
# ---- Prepare training data (Your existing logic) ----
# Ensure 'Use' and 'StartDate' are present for this step
required_for_input_df = ["StartDate", "Use"] + feature_cols
actual_cols_for_input_df = [col for col in required_for_input_df if col in train_df.columns]
train_input_df = train_df[actual_cols_for_input_df].copy()
# 'StartDate' is already datetime
for col in feature_cols: # Iterate only over actual feature_cols
if col in train_input_df.columns and train_input_df[col].dtype == "object":
train_input_df[col] = train_input_df[col].astype("category").cat.codes
train_input_df = train_input_df.reset_index(drop=True)
# ---- Prepare the last-known frame (Your existing logic) ----
actual_cols_for_last_known_df = [col for col in required_for_input_df if col in pred_df.columns]
last_known_df = pred_df[actual_cols_for_last_known_df].copy()
# 'StartDate' is already datetime
for col in feature_cols: # Iterate only over actual feature_cols
if col in last_known_df.columns and last_known_df[col].dtype == "object":
last_known_df[col] = last_known_df[col].astype("category").cat.codes
last_known_df = last_known_df.reset_index(drop=True)
# ---- Train model (Your existing logic) ----
# Retrieve duration_months from the correct analysis state
duration_months = None
analysis_source_for_duration = st.session_state.get("revised_llm_analysis", st.session_state.get("initial_llm_analysis"))
if analysis_source_for_duration:
duration_months = analysis_source_for_duration.get("duration_months")
if duration_months is None:
st.error("โ Prediction duration (duration_months) not found in LLM analysis. Cannot train model.")
st.stop()
if not isinstance(duration_months, int) or duration_months <=0:
st.error(f"โ Invalid prediction duration: {duration_months}. Must be a positive integer.")
st.stop()
if train_input_df.empty or 'Use' not in train_input_df.columns or len(feature_cols) == 0:
st.error("โ Training input data is empty or critical columns ('Use', features) are missing. Cannot train model.")
st.stop()
st.write(f"Training model with {len(train_input_df)} samples and {len(feature_cols)} features.")
st.dataframe(train_input_df.head())
best_model, study = train_fixed_model(
df=train_input_df, # train_input_df already has 'Use' and features
duration_months=duration_months,
n_trials=100, # Kept low for speed in example
early_stopping_rounds=50,
)
# ---- Forecast (Your existing logic) ----
weather_windows_config = st.session_state.get("weather_window_config", {})
weather_windows = {col: weather_windows_config.get(col, 2) for col in actual_weather_features} # Use actual_weather_features
if last_known_df.empty:
st.error("โ Last known data for prediction is empty. Cannot forecast.")
st.stop()
future_df = recursive_forecast_with_weather_sampling(
model=best_model,
last_known_df=last_known_df, # last_known_df also has 'Use' and features
forecast_horizon=duration_months,
best_params=study.best_params,
weather_history=df_source_for_modeling[df_source_for_modeling["BuildingName"] == sel_building], # Use original df_source_for_modeling for weather history
weather_features=actual_weather_features, # Use actual_weather_features
weather_windows=weather_windows,
enable_weather_sampling=True
)
# ---- Visualise (Your existing logic) ----
# Use pred_df (which has the chosen 'Use' column) for historical actuals in the plot
st.subheader(f"๐ฎ Energy Usage Forecast for {selected_building} (Target: {chosen_target_source})")
historical_data_for_plot = pred_df[["StartDate", "Use"]].copy() # 'Use' here is the one chosen by the user
historical_data_for_plot.columns = ["Date", "ActualUse"]
historical_data_for_plot["Type"] = "Historical"
forecast_data_for_plot = future_df.copy()
if not forecast_data_for_plot.empty:
# Ensure column names from recursive_forecast_with_weather_sampling are consistent
# It returns ["Date", "PredictedUse"]
forecast_data_for_plot.columns = ["Date", "ForecastUse"]
forecast_data_for_plot["Type"] = "Forecast"
# Combine for plotting (ActualUse vs ForecastUse)
# Need to align column names for y-axis
plot_data_hist = historical_data_for_plot.rename(columns={"ActualUse": "EnergyUsage"})
plot_data_fcst = forecast_data_for_plot.rename(columns={"ForecastUse": "EnergyUsage"})
combined_data = pd.concat([plot_data_hist, plot_data_fcst], ignore_index=True)
combined_data["Date"] = pd.to_datetime(combined_data["Date"])
# ... (Your existing Altair chart plotting logic, ensure y-axis is 'EnergyUsage') ...
# Example for Altair chart:
historical_line = alt.Chart(combined_data[combined_data["Type"] == "Historical"]).mark_line(
color='steelblue', strokeWidth=2
).encode(
x=alt.X('Date:T', title='Date'),
y=alt.Y('EnergyUsage:Q', title=f'Energy Usage ({chosen_target_source})'),
tooltip=['Date:T', 'EnergyUsage:Q']
)
# Prepare data for the connecting line and the solid forecast line
if not historical_data_for_plot.empty and not forecast_data_for_plot.empty:
last_hist_point = historical_data_for_plot.iloc[[-1]].rename(columns={"ActualUse": "EnergyUsage"})
first_fcst_point = forecast_data_for_plot.iloc[[0]].rename(columns={"ForecastUse": "EnergyUsage"})
# Data for the connecting line segment
connecting_line_data = pd.concat([
last_hist_point[['Date', 'EnergyUsage']],
first_fcst_point[['Date', 'EnergyUsage']]
]).reset_index(drop=True)
connecting_line_chart = alt.Chart(connecting_line_data).mark_line(
color='red', strokeWidth=2
).encode(
x='Date:T',
y='EnergyUsage:Q'
)
# Data for the main forecast line (ensure it starts from the first forecast point)
# The forecast_data_for_plot already has 'EnergyUsage' as the y-column due to combined_data preparation
forecast_plot_points = combined_data[combined_data["Type"] == "Forecast"]
forecast_line = alt.Chart(forecast_plot_points).mark_line(
color='red', strokeWidth=2 # Changed to solid red
).encode(
x='Date:T',
y='EnergyUsage:Q',
tooltip=['Date:T', 'EnergyUsage:Q']
)
# Add points, divider, etc. as before
last_historical_date = historical_data_for_plot["Date"].max()
divider = alt.Chart(pd.DataFrame({'Date': [last_historical_date]})).mark_rule(
color='gray', strokeDash=[3,3], opacity=0.5
).encode(x='Date:T')
chart = (historical_line + forecast_line + connecting_line_chart + divider).properties(
width=800, height=400,
title=f"{selected_utility} Usage: Historical vs {duration_months}-Month Forecast"
).interactive()
else: # Fallback if data is missing for connection
# Original forecast line (dashed) if connection isn't possible
forecast_line = alt.Chart(combined_data[combined_data["Type"] == "Forecast"]).mark_line(
color='red', strokeWidth=2, strokeDash=[5,5] # Kept dashed for fallback
).encode(
x='Date:T',
y='EnergyUsage:Q',
tooltip=['Date:T', 'EnergyUsage:Q']
)
last_historical_date = historical_data_for_plot["Date"].max() if not historical_data_for_plot.empty else pd.Timestamp.now()
divider = alt.Chart(pd.DataFrame({'Date': [last_historical_date]})).mark_rule(
color='gray', strokeDash=[3,3], opacity=0.5
).encode(x='Date:T')
chart = (historical_line + forecast_line + divider).properties(
width=800, height=400,
title=f"{selected_utility} Usage: Historical vs {duration_months}-Month Forecast"
).interactive()
st.altair_chart(chart, use_container_width=True)
# ... (Your existing metrics display logic, ensure it uses the correct columns) ...
col1, col2, col3 = st.columns(3)
with col1:
st.metric("Historical Data Points", len(historical_data_for_plot))
with col2:
st.metric("Forecast Horizon", f"{duration_months} months")
with col3:
avg_historical = historical_data_for_plot["ActualUse"].mean() if not historical_data_for_plot.empty else 0
avg_forecast = forecast_data_for_plot["ForecastUse"].mean() if not forecast_data_for_plot.empty else 0
change_pct = ((avg_forecast - avg_historical) / avg_historical * 100) if avg_historical != 0 else 0
st.metric("Avg. Change", f"{change_pct:+.1f}%")
# Display the forecast table
if not forecast_data_for_plot.empty:
st.subheader("๐
Monthly Forecasted Usage")
display_forecast_df = forecast_data_for_plot[['Date', 'ForecastUse']].copy()
display_forecast_df['Date'] = display_forecast_df['Date'].dt.strftime('%Y-%m-%d')
display_forecast_df.rename(columns={'ForecastUse': 'Predicted Energy Use'}, inplace=True)
st.dataframe(display_forecast_df.set_index('Date'), use_container_width=True)
else:
st.info("No forecast data to display in table.")
else:
st.warning("โ ๏ธ Forecast data is empty. Cannot visualize or display table.")
# ... (Your existing weather sampling strategy display logic) ...
# ่ฟๅๆ้ฎ
st.markdown("---")
if st.button("โ Return to Changepoint Detection", key="return_to_cp_button"):
st.session_state["start_energy_prediction"] = False
st.rerun()
# The following block needs to be correctly indented to be part of the main script execution flow,
# specifically within the 'if selected_building:' block where it was originally intended for credibility analysis.
# This indentation was lost in previous edits and needs to be restored.
# Corrected indentation for the credibility analysis block:
if st.session_state.get("credibility_analysis_done", False): # This line should align with other top-level 'if's in the 'if selected_building:' block
if "cp_df" not in st.session_state:
st.warning("Please run changepoint detection first")
st.session_state["credibility_analysis_done"] = False
st.stop()
if "base_ln" in st.session_state:
pts = (
alt.Chart(st.session_state["cp_df"][st.session_state["cp_df"]["changepoint"] == 1])
.mark_point(shape="triangle", size=100, color="red", filled=True)
.encode(x="timestamp:T", y="value:Q")
)
plot_cp.altair_chart(st.session_state["base_ln"] + pts, use_container_width=True)
if "credibility_results" not in st.session_state:
original_changepoints = st.session_state["cp_df"][st.session_state["cp_df"]["changepoint"] == 1].copy()
base_changepoints = []
for _, row in original_changepoints.iterrows():
timestamp = row["timestamp"]
value = row["value"]
if force_noise_samples:
changepoint_type = np.random.choice(['strong', 'medium', 'weak'], p=[0.15, 0.25, 0.6])
else:
changepoint_type = np.random.choice(['strong', 'medium', 'weak'], p=[0.3, 0.4, 0.3])
if changepoint_type == 'strong':
z_score = np.random.uniform(2.5, 4.0)
slope = np.random.uniform(0.15, 0.3)
adf_p_value = np.random.uniform(0.01, 0.03)
elif changepoint_type == 'medium':
z_score = np.random.uniform(1.5, 2.5)
slope = np.random.uniform(0.08, 0.15)
adf_p_value = np.random.uniform(0.03, 0.07)
else: # weak
if force_noise_samples:
z_score = np.random.uniform(0.2, 0.8)
slope = np.random.uniform(0.001, 0.03)
adf_p_value = np.random.uniform(0.15, 0.3)
else:
z_score = np.random.uniform(0.5, 1.5)
slope = np.random.uniform(0.01, 0.08)
adf_p_value = np.random.uniform(0.07, 0.15)
base_changepoints.append({
"Building Name": selected_building,
"CommodityCode": selected_utility,
"Changepoint Date": timestamp,
"ProphetDelta": value,
"z_score": z_score,
"slope": slope,
"adf_p_value": adf_p_value,
"ChangePointType": changepoint_type
})
base_df = pd.DataFrame(base_changepoints)
base_df["AbsDelta"] = base_df["ProphetDelta"].abs()
# ... (The rest of the credibility analysis logic from the original file)
# This includes feature extraction, prediction loop, stats calculation, plotting, etc.
# Ensure this entire block is correctly indented under the
# 'if st.session_state.get("credibility_analysis_done", False):' condition.
# Due to length, the full credibility block is not repeated here but needs to be present and correctly indented in your actual app.py
st.write("DEBUG-state",
start_pred=st.session_state.get("start_energy_prediction"),
bld=st.session_state.get("selected_building"),
utl=st.session_state.get("selected_utility")) |