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Update app.py
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app.py
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@@ -563,445 +563,6 @@ st.plotly_chart(fig_bar)
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# # In[ ]:
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#
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final_df = pd.read_csv('./data/training.csv')
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final_df.tail()
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# # GROUP STAGE MODELING
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# ### Choosing a model
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# In[4]:
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# I save the original data frame in a flag to then train the final pipeline
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pipe_DF = final_df
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# Dummies for categorical columns
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final_df = pd.get_dummies(final_df)
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# I split the dataset into training, testing and validation.
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# In[5]:
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X = final_df.drop('Team1_Result',axis=1)
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y = final_df['Team1_Result']
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from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
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X_train, X_val, y_train, y_val = train_test_split(X, y, test_size=0.1, random_state=42)
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X_hold_test, X_test, y_hold_test, y_test = train_test_split(X_val, y_val, test_size=0.5, random_state=42)
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# Scaling
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# In[6]:
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from sklearn.preprocessing import StandardScaler
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scaler = StandardScaler()
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X_train = scaler.fit_transform(X_train)
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X_test = scaler.transform(X_test)
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X_hold_test = scaler.transform(X_hold_test)
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# Defining function to display the confusion matrix quickly.
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# In[7]:
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from sklearn.metrics import classification_report,ConfusionMatrixDisplay
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def metrics_display(model):
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model.fit(X_train,y_train)
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y_pred = model.predict(X_test)
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print(classification_report(y_test,y_pred))
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ConfusionMatrixDisplay.from_predictions(y_test,y_pred);
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# * **Random Forest**
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# In[8]:
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from sklearn.ensemble import RandomForestClassifier
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metrics_display(RandomForestClassifier())
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# * **Ada Boost Classifier**
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# In[9]:
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from sklearn.ensemble import AdaBoostClassifier
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metrics_display(AdaBoostClassifier())
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# * **XGB Boost**
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# In[10]:
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from xgboost import XGBClassifier
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metrics_display(XGBClassifier(use_label_encoder=False))
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# * **Neural network**
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#
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#
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# In[11]:
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import keras
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from keras import Sequential
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from keras.layers import Dense,Dropout
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from keras import Input
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X_train.shape
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# In[12]:
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model = Sequential()
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model.add(Input(shape=(404,)))
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model.add(Dense(300,activation='relu'))
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model.add(Dropout(0.3))
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model.add(Dense(200,activation='relu'))
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model.add(Dropout(0.3))
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model.add(Dense(100,activation='relu'))
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model.add(Dropout(0.3))
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model.add(Dense(3,activation='softmax'))
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model.compile(loss='sparse_categorical_crossentropy', optimizer='adam', metrics=['accuracy'])
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model.fit(X_train,y_train,epochs=10,validation_split=0.2)
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y_pred1 = model.predict(X_test)
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y_pred1 = np.argmax(y_pred1,axis=1)
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print(classification_report(y_test,y_pred1))
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ConfusionMatrixDisplay.from_predictions(y_test,y_pred1)
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# The XGBoost model performs better than the others, so I will tune its hyperparameters and evaluate the performance based on the validation dataset.
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# ### XGB Boost - Tuning & Hold-out Validation
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# In[13]:
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from sklearn.model_selection import GridSearchCV
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from sklearn.metrics import accuracy_score
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# Make a dictionary of hyperparameter values to search
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search_space = {
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"n_estimators" : [200,250,300,350,400,450,500],
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"max_depth" : [3,4,5,6,7,8,9],
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"gamma" : [0.001,0.01,0.1],
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"learning_rate" : [0.001,0.01,0.1]
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}
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# In[14]:
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# make a GridSearchCV object
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GS = GridSearchCV(estimator = XGBClassifier(use_label_encoder=False),
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param_grid = search_space,
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scoring = 'accuracy',
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cv = 5,
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verbose = 4)
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# Uncomment the following line to enable the tuning. The best result I found was: gamma = 0.01, learning_rate = 0.01, n_estimators = 300, max_depth = 4
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# In[15]:
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#GS.fit(X_train,y_train)
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# To get only the best hyperparameter values
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# In[16]:
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#print(GS.best_params_)
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# Initially, I validate the model with its default parameters, and then I will validate it with its tuned parameters.
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# * **Default Hyperparameters**
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# In[17]:
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model = XGBClassifier()
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model.fit(X_train,y_train)
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y_pred = model.predict(X_hold_test)
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print(classification_report(y_hold_test,y_pred))
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ConfusionMatrixDisplay.from_predictions(y_hold_test,y_pred);
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# * **Tuned Hyperparameters**
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# In[18]:
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model = XGBClassifier(use_label_encoder = False, gamma = 0.01, learning_rate = 0.01, n_estimators = 300, max_depth = 4)
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model.fit(X_train,y_train)
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y_pred = model.predict(X_hold_test)
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print(classification_report(y_hold_test,y_pred))
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ConfusionMatrixDisplay.from_predictions(y_hold_test,y_pred);
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# The model improves a bit, so I will create a pipe to use the model later easily.
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# ### Creating a pipeline for the XGB model
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# In[19]:
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from sklearn.preprocessing import OneHotEncoder
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from sklearn.compose import make_column_transformer
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column_trans = make_column_transformer(
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(OneHotEncoder(),['Team1', 'Team2']),remainder='passthrough')
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pipe_X = pipe_DF.drop('Team1_Result',axis=1)
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pipe_y = pipe_DF['Team1_Result']
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from sklearn.pipeline import make_pipeline
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pipe_League = make_pipeline(column_trans,StandardScaler(with_mean=False),XGBClassifier(use_label_encoder=False, gamma= 0.01, learning_rate= 0.01, n_estimators= 300, max_depth= 4))
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pipe_League.fit(pipe_X,pipe_y)
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# In[20]:
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import joblib
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joblib.dump(pipe_League,"./groups_stage_prediction.pkl")
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# # KNOCKOUT STAGE MODELING
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# ### Choosing the model
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#
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# Removing Draw status.
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# In[21]:
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knock_df = pipe_DF[pipe_DF['Team1_Result'] != 2]
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# In[22]:
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pipe_knock_df = knock_df
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knock_df = pd.get_dummies(knock_df)
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X = knock_df.drop('Team1_Result',axis=1)
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y = knock_df['Team1_Result']
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X_train, X_val, y_train, y_val = train_test_split(X, y, test_size=0.2, random_state=42)
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X_hold_test, X_test, y_hold_test, y_test = train_test_split(X_val, y_val, test_size=0.5, random_state=42)
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# * **Ada Boost Classifier**
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# In[23]:
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metrics_display(AdaBoostClassifier())
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# * **Random Forest**
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#
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# In[26]:
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metrics_display(RandomForestClassifier())
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# * **XGB Boost**
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# In[27]:
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metrics_display(XGBClassifier(use_label_encoder=False))
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# * **Neural network**
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# In[28]:
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X_train.shape
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# In[30]:
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model = Sequential()
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model.add(Input(shape=(399,)))
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model.add(Dense(300,activation='relu'))
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model.add(Dropout(0.3))
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model.add(Dense(200,activation='relu'))
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model.add(Dropout(0.3))
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model.add(Dense(100,activation='relu'))
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model.add(Dropout(0.3))
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model.add(Dense(2,activation='softmax'))
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model.compile(loss='sparse_categorical_crossentropy', optimizer='adam', metrics=['accuracy'])
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model.fit(X_train,y_train,epochs=10,validation_split=0.2)
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y_pred1 = model.predict(X_test)
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y_pred1 = np.argmax(y_pred1,axis=1)
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print(classification_report(y_test,y_pred1))
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ConfusionMatrixDisplay.from_predictions(y_test,y_pred1)
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# All models have very similar performance. Therefore I will tune the Random Forest model and the XGB Boost.
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# ### Random Forest - Tuning & Hold-out Validation
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# In[31]:
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search_space = {
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"max_depth" : [11,12,13,14,15,16],
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"max_leaf_nodes" : [170,180,190,200,210,220,230],
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"min_samples_leaf" : [3,4,5,6,7,8],
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"n_estimators" : [310,320,330,340,350]
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}
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# In[32]:
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GS = GridSearchCV(estimator = RandomForestClassifier(),
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param_grid = search_space,
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scoring = 'accuracy',
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cv = 5,
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verbose = 4)
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# Uncomment the following lines to enable the tuning. The best result I found was: max_depth = 16, n_estimators = 320, max_leaf_nodes = 190, min_samples_leaf = 5
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# In[33]:
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#GS.fit(X_train,y_train)
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# In[34]:
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#print(GS.best_params_)
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# * **Default Hyperparameters**
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# In[35]:
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model = RandomForestClassifier()
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model.fit(X_train,y_train)
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y_pred = model.predict(X_hold_test)
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print(classification_report(y_hold_test,y_pred))
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ConfusionMatrixDisplay.from_predictions(y_hold_test,y_pred);
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# * **Tuned Hyperparameters**
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# In[36]:
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model = RandomForestClassifier(max_depth= 16, n_estimators=320, max_leaf_nodes= 190, min_samples_leaf= 5)
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model.fit(X_train,y_train)
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y_pred = model.predict(X_hold_test)
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print(classification_report(y_hold_test,y_pred))
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ConfusionMatrixDisplay.from_predictions(y_hold_test,y_pred);
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# The Random Forest greatly improves performance with the tuned hyperparameters; let's see the XGB Boost model.
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# ### XGB Boost - Tuning & Hold-out Validation
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# In[37]:
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search_space = {
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"n_estimators" : [300,350,400,450,500,550,600],
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"max_depth" : [3,4,5,6,7,8,9],
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"gamma" : [0.001,0.01,0.1],
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"learning_rate" : [0.001,0.01]
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}
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# In[38]:
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GS = GridSearchCV(estimator = XGBClassifier(use_label_encoder=False),
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param_grid = search_space,
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scoring = 'accuracy',
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cv = 5,
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verbose = 4)
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# In[39]:
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#GS.fit(X_train,y_train)
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# In[40]:
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#print(GS.best_params_) # to get only the best hyperparameter values that we searched for
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# Uncomment the following lines to enable the tuning. The best result I found was: gamma = 0.01, learning_rate = 0.01, max_depth = 5, n_estimators = 500
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# * **Default Hyperparameters**
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# In[41]:
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model = XGBClassifier()
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model.fit(X_train,y_train)
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y_pred = model.predict(X_hold_test)
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| 972 |
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print(classification_report(y_hold_test,y_pred))
|
| 973 |
-
ConfusionMatrixDisplay.from_predictions(y_hold_test,y_pred);
|
| 974 |
-
|
| 975 |
-
|
| 976 |
-
# * **Tuned Hyperparameters**
|
| 977 |
-
|
| 978 |
-
# In[42]:
|
| 979 |
-
|
| 980 |
-
|
| 981 |
-
model = XGBClassifier(gamma=0.01,learning_rate=0.01, max_depth=5, n_estimators=500)
|
| 982 |
-
model.fit(X_train,y_train)
|
| 983 |
-
y_pred = model.predict(X_hold_test)
|
| 984 |
-
print(classification_report(y_hold_test,y_pred))
|
| 985 |
-
ConfusionMatrixDisplay.from_predictions(y_hold_test,y_pred);
|
| 986 |
-
|
| 987 |
-
|
| 988 |
-
# The model does not improve notably. However, it does improve compared to the Random Forest.
|
| 989 |
-
|
| 990 |
-
# ### Creating a pipeline for the XGB Boost model
|
| 991 |
-
|
| 992 |
-
# In[43]:
|
| 993 |
-
|
| 994 |
-
|
| 995 |
-
pipe_X = pipe_knock_df.drop('Team1_Result',axis=1)
|
| 996 |
-
pipe_y = pipe_knock_df['Team1_Result']
|
| 997 |
-
pipe_knock = make_pipeline(column_trans,StandardScaler(with_mean=False),XGBClassifier(gamma=0.01,learning_rate=0.01, max_depth=5, n_estimators=500))
|
| 998 |
-
pipe_knock.fit(pipe_X,pipe_y)
|
| 999 |
-
|
| 1000 |
-
|
| 1001 |
-
# In[44]:
|
| 1002 |
-
|
| 1003 |
-
|
| 1004 |
-
joblib.dump(pipe_knock,"./knockout_stage_prediction.pkl")
|
| 1005 |
|
| 1006 |
st.title("FIFA winner predication")
|
| 1007 |
st.write('This app predict 2022 FIFA winner')
|
|
|
|
| 563 |
# # In[ ]:
|
| 564 |
#
|
| 565 |
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|
| 566 |
|
| 567 |
st.title("FIFA winner predication")
|
| 568 |
st.write('This app predict 2022 FIFA winner')
|