app.py

import streamlit as st
import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
from sklearn.preprocessing import MinMaxScaler
from sklearn.metrics import mean_squared_error, mean_absolute_error
from tensorflow.keras.models import Sequential
from tensorflow.keras.layers import Dense, LSTM, Dropout
from datetime import timedelta

# Title and description
st.title("Stock Price Prediction with LSTM")
st.write("This application uses LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) neural networks to predict stock prices.")

# Load the data directly (replace 'AAPL_dataset_copied.csv' with your actual file path)
data = pd.read_csv('AAPL_dataset_copied.csv')

# Convert 'date' column to datetime and set as index
data['date'] = pd.to_datetime(data['date'])
data.set_index('date', inplace=True)

# Select only the 'Close' column
data = data[['close']]

# Show the first few rows of the dataset
st.subheader("Dataset Preview")
st.write(data.head())

# Normalize the data for faster convergence
scaler = MinMaxScaler(feature_range=(0, 1))
data['close_scaled'] = scaler.fit_transform(data[['close']])

# Split data into training (70%), validation (15%), and testing (15%) sets
train_size = int(len(data) * 0.7)
val_size = int(len(data) * 0.15)
train_data = data['close_scaled'][:train_size].values.reshape(-1, 1)
val_data = data['close_scaled'][train_size:train_size + val_size].values.reshape(-1, 1)
test_data = data['close_scaled'][train_size + val_size:].values.reshape(-1, 1)

# Function to create sequences for LSTM
def create_sequences(dataset, time_step=60):
    X, Y = [], []
    for i in range(len(dataset) - time_step):
        X.append(dataset[i:(i + time_step), 0])
        Y.append(dataset[i + time_step, 0])
    return np.array(X), np.array(Y)

# Define time step (e.g., 60 days)
time_step = 60
X_train, y_train = create_sequences(train_data, time_step)
X_val, y_val = create_sequences(val_data, time_step)
X_test, y_test = create_sequences(test_data, time_step)

# Reshape input to be [samples, time steps, features] for LSTM
X_train = X_train.reshape(X_train.shape[0], X_train.shape[1], 1)
X_val = X_val.reshape(X_val.shape[0], X_val.shape[1], 1)
X_test = X_test.reshape(X_test.shape[0], X_test.shape[1], 1)

# Build the LSTM model with Dropout for regularization
model = Sequential([
    LSTM(100, return_sequences=True, input_shape=(X_train.shape[1], 1)),
    Dropout(0.2),
    LSTM(50, return_sequences=True),
    Dropout(0.2),
    LSTM(50, return_sequences=False),
    Dropout(0.2),
    Dense(25),
    Dense(1)
])

# Compile the model with Adam optimizer and mean squared error loss
model.compile(optimizer='adam', loss='mean_squared_error', metrics=['mean_absolute_error'])

# Train the model without EarlyStopping
st.write("Training the LSTM model...")
history = model.fit(X_train, y_train, validation_data=(X_val, y_val),
                    epochs=50, batch_size=64, verbose=1)

# Evaluate on the test data
test_loss, test_mae = model.evaluate(X_test, y_test, verbose=0)

# Make predictions on the test data
train_predict = model.predict(X_train)
val_predict = model.predict(X_val)
test_predict = model.predict(X_test)

# Inverse transform the predictions and actual values to original scale
train_predict = scaler.inverse_transform(train_predict)
val_predict = scaler.inverse_transform(val_predict)
test_predict = scaler.inverse_transform(test_predict)
y_train = scaler.inverse_transform([y_train])
y_val = scaler.inverse_transform([y_val])
y_test = scaler.inverse_transform([y_test])

# Calculate evaluation metrics
train_rmse = np.sqrt(mean_squared_error(y_train[0], train_predict[:,0]))
val_rmse = np.sqrt(mean_squared_error(y_val[0], val_predict[:,0]))
test_rmse = np.sqrt(mean_squared_error(y_test[0], test_predict[:,0]))

train_mae = mean_absolute_error(y_train[0], train_predict[:,0])
val_mae = mean_absolute_error(y_val[0], val_predict[:,0])
test_mae = mean_absolute_error(y_test[0], test_predict[:,0])

# Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) as accuracy
mape = np.mean(np.abs((y_test[0] - test_predict[:, 0]) / y_test[0])) * 100
accuracy = 100 - mape

st.write(f"LSTM Model - Train RMSE: {train_rmse:.2f}, Train MAE: {train_mae:.2f}")
st.write(f"LSTM Model - Validation RMSE: {val_rmse:.2f}, Validation MAE: {val_mae:.2f}")
st.write(f"LSTM Model - Test RMSE: {test_rmse:.2f}, Test MAE: {test_mae:.2f}")
st.write(f"LSTM Model - Test Accuracy: {accuracy:.2f}%")

# Plot the results
st.subheader("Prediction Results")
plt.figure(figsize=(14,6))
plt.plot(data.index[:train_size], scaler.inverse_transform(train_data), label='Training Data')
plt.plot(data.index[train_size + time_step:train_size + time_step + len(val_predict)], val_predict, label='Validation Predictions')
plt.plot(data.index[train_size + val_size + time_step:], test_predict, label='Test Predictions')
plt.plot(data.index[train_size + val_size + time_step:], y_test[0], label='Actual Test Data')
plt.xlabel('Date')
plt.ylabel('Stock Price')
plt.legend(['Training Data', 'Validation Predictions', 'Test Predictions', 'Actual Test Data'], loc='upper left')
st.pyplot(plt)

# User-defined future prediction days
num_days_to_predict = st.slider("Select the number of days to predict into the future", min_value=1, max_value=30, value=10)

# Predict future prices for the next 'num_days_to_predict' days
temp_input = np.array(test_data[-time_step:]).reshape(-1).tolist()
lst_output = []

for i in range(num_days_to_predict):
    if len(temp_input) > time_step:
        x_input = np.array(temp_input[-time_step:])
        x_input = x_input.reshape((1, time_step, 1))
        yhat = model.predict(x_input, verbose=0)
        temp_input.append(yhat[0][0])
        lst_output.append(yhat[0][0])
    else:
        x_input = np.array(temp_input).reshape((1, time_step, 1))
        yhat = model.predict(x_input, verbose=0)
        temp_input.append(yhat[0][0])
        lst_output.append(yhat[0][0])

# Inverse transform future predictions to the original scale
future_predictions = scaler.inverse_transform(np.array(lst_output).reshape(-1, 1))

# Generate dates for future predictions
last_date = data.index[-1]
future_dates = [last_date + timedelta(days=i) for i in range(1, num_days_to_predict + 1)]

# Display future predictions with dates
st.subheader(f"Future Predictions for the next {num_days_to_predict} days:")
future_df = pd.DataFrame({'Date': future_dates, 'Predicted Price (LSTM)': future_predictions.flatten()})
st.write(future_df)