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import pandas as pd
import cvxpy as cp
import warnings
from typing import Optional, List, Dict, Any, Tuple
from dataclasses import dataclass
from config import Color, logger
from core_types import PortfolioState, ForecastResult
@dataclass
class TaggedConstraint:
name: str
constraint: cp.Constraint
display: bool = True
@dataclass
class CVXPYResult:
weights: Optional[pd.Series]
display_constraints: Dict[str, float]
binding_constraints: Dict[str, float]
relaxation_log: List[str]
error: Optional[str] = None
class CVXPYOptimizationEngine:
def __init__(self,
tickers: List[str],
returns_df: pd.DataFrame,
forecast: ForecastResult,
state: PortfolioState,
cfg: dict,
macro: Optional[dict],
spread_map: Optional[dict],
risk_input: int,
risk_factor: float,
capital: float,
adv_proxy: float,
safe_min: float,
asset_max: float,
sector_limit: float,
allow_shorts: bool,
durations: np.ndarray,
b_min: float,
b_max: float,
has_basis: bool,
max_turnover: float,
stability_spreads: np.ndarray,
stab_lambda: float,
silent: bool = False,
opt_params: Any = None):
self.tickers = tickers
self.n = len(tickers)
self.returns_df = returns_df
self.forecast = forecast
self.state = state
self.cfg = cfg
self.macro = macro
self.spread_map = spread_map
self.risk_input = risk_input
self.risk_factor = risk_factor
self.capital = capital
self.adv_proxy = adv_proxy
self.safe_min = safe_min
self.asset_max = asset_max
self.sector_limit = sector_limit
self.allow_shorts = allow_shorts
self.durations = durations
self.b_min = b_min
self.b_max = b_max
self.has_basis = has_basis
self.max_turnover = max_turnover
self.stability_spreads = stability_spreads
self.stab_lambda = stab_lambda
self.silent = silent
self.opt_params = opt_params
self.max_assets = self.cfg.get("max_assets", 0)
self.dropped_indices = []
self.solver_feas_tol = 5e-4
# Prepare core matrices
self.Sigma = self._prepare_covariance()
self.exp_rets_arr = np.nan_to_num(self.forecast.expected_returns.values, nan=0.0, posinf=0.0, neginf=0.0)
self.ret_matrix = self._prepare_return_matrix()
self.vol_arr = np.nan_to_num(self.forecast.covariance_result.volatility.values, nan=0.0, posinf=0.0, neginf=0.0)
self.beta_vals = np.nan_to_num(self.forecast.betas.values if self.forecast.betas is not None else np.ones(self.n), nan=1.0)
# Base variables
self.w = cp.Variable(self.n)
self.dw = cp.Variable(self.n)
self.short_w = cp.Variable(self.n)
self.sell_w = cp.Variable(self.n)
self.t_impact = None
if isinstance(self.state.current_weights, pd.Series):
self.prev_w = self.state.current_weights.drop(labels=['CASH'], errors='ignore').reindex(self.tickers).fillna(0.0).values
elif self.state.current_weights is not None and len(self.state.current_weights) > 0:
self.prev_w = np.asarray(self.state.current_weights)[:self.n]
else:
self.prev_w = np.zeros(self.n)
def _prepare_covariance(self) -> np.ndarray:
Sigma_raw = self.forecast.covariance_result.covariance.values
Sigma_raw = np.nan_to_num(Sigma_raw, nan=0.0, posinf=0.0, neginf=0.0)
Sigma = (Sigma_raw + Sigma_raw.T) / 2.0
Sigma = Sigma + np.eye(self.n) * 1e-8
if getattr(self.opt_params, 'use_fast_ewm_cov', False):
return Sigma
eigvals_psd, eigvecs_psd = np.linalg.eigh(Sigma)
Sigma = (eigvecs_psd * np.maximum(eigvals_psd, 1e-8)) @ eigvecs_psd.T
Sigma = (Sigma + Sigma.T) / 2.0
return Sigma
def _prepare_return_matrix(self) -> np.ndarray:
ret_matrix = np.nan_to_num(self.returns_df.values, nan=0.0, posinf=0.0, neginf=0.0)
if hasattr(self.forecast, 'garch_info') and self.forecast.garch_info:
for i, ticker in enumerate(self.tickers):
multiplier = np.sqrt(self.forecast.garch_info.get(ticker, {}).get('scale', 1.0))
ret_matrix[:, i] *= multiplier
return ret_matrix
def _apply_warm_start(self):
e2e_ws = self.cfg.get('_e2e_warm_start')
if e2e_ws is not None:
try:
ws_arr = np.asarray(e2e_ws, dtype=float).flatten()[:self.n]
if ws_arr.shape == (self.n,) and np.all(np.isfinite(ws_arr)):
self.w.value = ws_arr
if not self.silent:
logger.info("E2E warm-start applied to CVXPY solver.")
except Exception as e:
logger.warning(f"E2E warm-start failed: {e}")
def _build_risk_measure(self):
risk_measure = self.cfg.get('_risk_measure', 'Mean-Variance')
T_obs_daily = len(self.returns_df)
baseline_rf = self.cfg.get('baseline_risk_factor', 3.0)
risk_tilt = baseline_rf / max(self.risk_factor, 0.5)
cvar_alpha = self.cfg.get('cvar_alpha', 0.95)
cvar_lambda = self.cfg.get('cvar_lambda', 0.5) * (0.2 + 0.8 * risk_tilt)
regime_severity = self.macro.get("hmm_regime", {}).get("severity_score", 1.0) if self.macro else 1.0
if regime_severity > 1.5:
cvar_alpha = 0.99
cvar_lambda *= regime_severity
if cvar_alpha >= 0.999:
cvar_alpha = 0.99
risk_penalty = 0.0
risk_measure_constraints = []
VOL_TARGETS = {
1: 0.03, 2: 0.05, 3: 0.07, 4: 0.09, 5: 0.12,
6: 0.15, 7: 0.18, 8: 0.21, 9: 0.24, 10: 0.28
}
if risk_measure == 'Mean-Variance':
target_vol = VOL_TARGETS.get(int(round(self.risk_factor)), 0.15)
vol_slack = cp.Variable(nonneg=True)
risk_penalty = 100.0 * vol_slack
portfolio_variance = cp.quad_form(self.w, cp.psd_wrap(self.Sigma))
risk_measure_constraints = [portfolio_variance <= (target_vol**2) + vol_slack]
elif risk_measure == 'CVaR':
VaR = cp.Variable(1)
u_var = cp.Variable(T_obs_daily)
risk_penalty = cvar_lambda * (VaR[0] + (1.0 / (T_obs_daily * (1.0 - cvar_alpha))) * cp.sum(u_var))
risk_measure_constraints = [u_var >= -(self.ret_matrix @ self.w) - VaR[0], u_var >= 0]
elif risk_measure == 'CDaR':
C_rets = self.ret_matrix @ self.w
C = cp.cumsum(C_rets)
M = cp.Variable(T_obs_daily)
cdar_cons = [M >= C, M[0] >= 0]
for i in range(1, T_obs_daily):
cdar_cons.append(M[i] >= M[i-1])
D = M - C
VaR_CDaR = cp.Variable(1)
u_cdar = cp.Variable(T_obs_daily)
risk_penalty = cvar_lambda * (VaR_CDaR[0] + (1.0 / (T_obs_daily * (1.0 - cvar_alpha))) * cp.sum(u_cdar))
risk_measure_constraints = cdar_cons + [u_cdar >= D - VaR_CDaR[0], u_cdar >= 0]
elif risk_measure == 'Max Loss':
max_loss_var = cp.Variable(1)
risk_penalty = self.risk_factor * max_loss_var[0]
risk_measure_constraints = [max_loss_var >= -(self.ret_matrix @ self.w)]
elif risk_measure == 'MAD':
mu_port = self.w.T @ self.exp_rets_arr
abs_dev = cp.Variable(T_obs_daily)
risk_penalty = self.risk_factor * cp.sum(abs_dev) / T_obs_daily
risk_measure_constraints = [abs_dev >= (self.ret_matrix @ self.w) - mu_port, abs_dev >= mu_port - (self.ret_matrix @ self.w)]
elif risk_measure == 'Semi-Variance':
downside_dev = cp.Variable(T_obs_daily)
risk_penalty = (self.risk_factor / 2) * cp.sum_squares(downside_dev) / T_obs_daily
risk_measure_constraints = [downside_dev >= -(self.ret_matrix @ self.w), downside_dev >= 0]
else:
portfolio_variance = cp.quad_form(self.w, cp.psd_wrap(self.Sigma))
risk_penalty = (self.risk_factor / 2) * portfolio_variance
# Conditional CVaR Constraint Formulation
use_cvar = self.cfg.get('cvar_enabled', True)
cvar_cost = 0.0
cvar_constraints = []
if use_cvar and risk_measure == 'Mean-Variance':
cvar_ret_matrix = self.ret_matrix
if regime_severity > 1.5 and self.macro:
hmm_details = self.macro.get("hmm_regime", {}).get("details", {})
state_seq = hmm_details.get("state_sequence")
if state_seq is not None:
crash_mask = np.array(state_seq) == 2
if len(crash_mask) == self.ret_matrix.shape[0]:
slice_mask = crash_mask
elif len(crash_mask) > self.ret_matrix.shape[0]:
slice_mask = crash_mask[-self.ret_matrix.shape[0]:]
else:
pad = np.zeros(self.ret_matrix.shape[0] - len(crash_mask), dtype=bool)
slice_mask = np.concatenate([pad, crash_mask])
n_crash = int(np.sum(slice_mask))
if n_crash >= 21:
cvar_ret_matrix = self.ret_matrix[slice_mask]
if not self.silent:
print(f" {Color.DIM}ℹ CVaR conditioned on {n_crash} crash-regime days (of {self.ret_matrix.shape[0]} total).{Color.RESET}")
T_cvar = cvar_ret_matrix.shape[0]
VaR = cp.Variable(1)
u = cp.Variable(T_cvar)
cvar_cost = cvar_lambda * (VaR[0] + (1.0 / (T_cvar * (1.0 - cvar_alpha))) * cp.sum(u))
cvar_constraints = [u >= -(cvar_ret_matrix @ self.w) - VaR[0], u >= 0]
return risk_penalty, risk_measure_constraints, cvar_cost, cvar_constraints
def _get_problem(self, use_beta, widen_beta, use_dur, cur_min, cur_max, cur_sec, cur_turn, use_factors=True, active_cvar=None):
cons_dict = {}
def add_cons(name, cons, display=True):
cons_dict[name] = TaggedConstraint(name, cons, display)
add_cons("Fully Invested", (cp.sum(self.w) == 1.0), False)
base_gross_cap = self.cfg.get("gross_leverage_cap", 1.0)
adj_gross_cap = min(base_gross_cap * 1.5, base_gross_cap + (abs(cur_min) * 1.5)) if self.allow_shorts else base_gross_cap
add_cons("Gross Leverage Cap", (cp.norm(self.w, 1) <= adj_gross_cap), False)
add_cons(f"Single Asset Floor ({cur_min:.1%})", (self.w >= cur_min), False)
add_cons(f"Single Asset Cap ({cur_max:.1%})", (self.w <= cur_max), False)
if self.t_impact is not None:
impact_cons = [cp.norm(cp.vstack([2 * self.dw[i], self.t_impact[i] - 1]), 2) <= self.t_impact[i] + 1 for i in range(self.n)]
add_cons("Market Impact SOCP", impact_cons, False)
add_cons("Short Position Bounds", (self.short_w >= -self.w), False)
add_cons("DW Nonneg", (self.dw >= 0), False)
add_cons("Short W Nonneg", (self.short_w >= 0), False)
add_cons("Sell W Nonneg", (self.sell_w >= 0), False)
if self.dropped_indices:
add_cons(f"Cardinality Pruning", (self.w[self.dropped_indices] == 0), True)
if np.any(self.prev_w):
add_cons("Trade Size Tracking (Buys)", (self.dw >= self.w - self.prev_w), False)
add_cons("Trade Size Tracking (Sells)", (self.dw >= self.prev_w - self.w), False)
add_cons("Sell Volume Tracking", (self.sell_w >= self.prev_w - self.w), False)
if cur_turn < 10.0:
add_cons(f"Max Turnover ({cur_turn:.0%})", (cp.sum(self.dw) <= cur_turn), False)
else:
add_cons("Trade Size Tracking (Buys)", (self.dw >= self.w), False)
add_cons("Trade Size Tracking (Sells)", (self.dw >= -self.w), False)
add_cons("Sell Volume Tracking", (self.sell_w >= -self.w), False)
if cur_turn < 10.0:
add_cons(f"Max Turnover ({cur_turn:.0%})", (cp.sum(self.dw) <= cur_turn), False)
sector_map = self.cfg.get("sector_map", {})
for sector in set(sector_map.values()):
idx = [i for i, t in enumerate(self.tickers) if sector_map.get(t) == sector]
if idx:
if self.allow_shorts:
max_gross_allowed = max(0.80, abs(cur_min) * len(idx))
add_cons(f"Sector Gross Exposure ({sector})", (cp.norm(self.w[idx], 1) <= min(cur_sec * 2.0, max_gross_allowed)), True)
else:
add_cons(f"Sector Concentration Limit ({sector})", (cp.sum(self.w[idx]) <= cur_sec), True)
custom_constraints = self.cfg.get("custom_constraints") or []
for cc in custom_constraints:
asset = cc.get("asset")
limit = float(cc.get("limit", 0))
direction = cc.get("direction", "max")
if asset in self.tickers:
idx = self.tickers.index(asset)
if direction == "max":
add_cons(f"Custom Max ({asset} <= {limit:.1%})", (self.w[idx] <= limit), True)
elif direction == "min":
add_cons(f"Custom Min ({asset} >= {limit:.1%})", (self.w[idx] >= limit), True)
elif asset and asset.startswith("Sector:"):
sector = asset.split(":", 1)[1].strip()
idx = [i for i, t in enumerate(self.tickers) if sector_map.get(t) == sector]
if idx:
if direction == "max":
add_cons(f"Custom Sector Max ({sector} <= {limit:.1%})", (cp.sum(self.w[idx]) <= limit), True)
elif direction == "min":
add_cons(f"Custom Sector Min ({sector} >= {limit:.1%})", (cp.sum(self.w[idx]) >= limit), True)
if active_cvar is None:
active_cvar = []
ff_betas = self.forecast.ff_betas
if use_factors and self.cfg.get("factor_neutrality", False) and ff_betas is not None:
if 'HML' in ff_betas.columns:
hml_loadings = np.nan_to_num(ff_betas['HML'].values)
add_cons("Factor Neutrality (HML)", (cp.abs(self.w.T @ hml_loadings) <= 0.05), True)
if 'SMB' in ff_betas.columns:
smb_loadings = np.nan_to_num(ff_betas['SMB'].values)
add_cons("Factor Neutrality (SMB)", (cp.abs(self.w.T @ smb_loadings) <= 0.05), True)
if use_factors and self.cfg.get("risk_budgeting", False) and np.any(self.prev_w):
port_var_prev = self.prev_w.T @ self.Sigma @ self.prev_w
if port_var_prev > 1e-6:
marginal_risk = (self.Sigma @ self.prev_w) / port_var_prev
add_cons("Risk Budgeting (Max 15%)", (cp.multiply(self.w, marginal_risk) <= 0.15), True)
flat_cons = []
for tc in cons_dict.values():
if isinstance(tc.constraint, list):
flat_cons.extend(tc.constraint)
else:
flat_cons.append(tc.constraint)
cons_list = flat_cons + active_cvar + self.risk_measure_constraints
if use_beta:
eff_b_min = max(0.0, self.b_min - 0.3) if widen_beta else self.b_min
eff_b_max = self.b_max + 0.3 if widen_beta else self.b_max
beta_cons_labeled = {
f"Beta Target Min ({eff_b_min:.1f})": (self.w.T @ self.beta_vals >= eff_b_min),
f"Beta Target Max ({eff_b_max:.1f})": (self.w.T @ self.beta_vals <= eff_b_max)
}
for k, v in beta_cons_labeled.items():
add_cons(k, v, True)
cons_list += list(beta_cons_labeled.values())
if use_dur and any(self.durations > 0):
min_dur = self.cfg.get("min_duration", 0.0)
max_dur = self.cfg.get("max_duration", 50.0)
port_duration = self.w.T @ self.durations
if min_dur > 0:
add_cons(f"Min Duration ({min_dur}y)", (port_duration >= min_dur), True)
if max_dur < 50.0:
add_cons(f"Max Duration ({max_dur}y)", (port_duration <= max_dur), True)
cons_list += [cons_dict[k].constraint for k in cons_dict if "Duration" in k]
if active_cvar:
dynamic_obj = cp.Maximize(self.base_objective_term - self.cvar_cost)
else:
dynamic_obj = cp.Maximize(self.base_objective_term)
return cp.Problem(dynamic_obj, cons_list), cons_dict, cons_list
def _solution_violations(self, w_val, use_beta, widen_beta, use_dur, cur_min, cur_max, cur_sec, cur_turn):
vals = np.asarray(w_val, dtype=float)
violations = []
if vals.shape != (self.n,) or not np.all(np.isfinite(vals)):
return ["solution contains non-finite or mis-shaped weights"]
total_weight = float(np.sum(vals))
gross_weight = float(np.sum(np.abs(vals)))
base_gross_cap = self.cfg.get("gross_leverage_cap", 1.0)
adj_gross_cap = min(base_gross_cap * 1.5, base_gross_cap + (abs(cur_min) * 1.5)) if self.allow_shorts else base_gross_cap
if total_weight > 1.0 + self.solver_feas_tol:
violations.append(f"sum(w)={total_weight:.4f} exceeds 100% budget")
if gross_weight > adj_gross_cap + self.solver_feas_tol:
violations.append(f"gross={gross_weight:.4f} exceeds cap {adj_gross_cap:.4f}")
if float(np.min(vals)) < cur_min - self.solver_feas_tol:
violations.append(f"min weight {float(np.min(vals)):.4f} below {cur_min:.4f}")
if float(np.max(vals)) > cur_max + self.solver_feas_tol:
violations.append(f"max weight {float(np.max(vals)):.4f} above {cur_max:.4f}")
if cur_turn < 10.0:
prev = self.prev_w if np.any(self.prev_w) else np.zeros(self.n)
turnover = float(np.sum(np.abs(vals - prev)))
if turnover > cur_turn + self.solver_feas_tol:
violations.append(f"turnover={turnover:.4f} exceeds cap {cur_turn:.4f}")
sector_map = self.cfg.get("sector_map", {})
for sector in set(sector_map.values()):
idx = [i for i, t in enumerate(self.tickers) if sector_map.get(t) == sector]
if not idx:
continue
if self.allow_shorts:
sector_gross = float(np.sum(np.abs(vals[idx])))
sector_gross_cap = min(cur_sec * 2.0, 0.80)
if sector_gross > sector_gross_cap + self.solver_feas_tol:
violations.append(f"{sector} sector gross={sector_gross:.4f} exceeds cap {sector_gross_cap:.4f}")
else:
sector_weight = float(np.sum(vals[idx]))
if sector_weight > cur_sec + self.solver_feas_tol:
violations.append(f"{sector} sector={sector_weight:.4f} exceeds cap {cur_sec:.4f}")
if use_beta:
eff_b_min = max(0.0, self.b_min - 0.3) if widen_beta else self.b_min
eff_b_max = self.b_max + 0.3 if widen_beta else self.b_max
beta = float(vals @ self.beta_vals)
if beta < eff_b_min - self.solver_feas_tol or beta > eff_b_max + self.solver_feas_tol:
violations.append(f"beta={beta:.4f} outside target {eff_b_min:.4f}-{eff_b_max:.4f}")
if use_dur and any(self.durations > 0):
port_duration = float(vals @ self.durations)
min_dur = self.cfg.get("min_duration", 0.0)
max_dur = self.cfg.get("max_duration", 50.0)
if min_dur > 0 and port_duration < min_dur - self.solver_feas_tol:
violations.append(f"duration={port_duration:.4f} below {min_dur:.4f}")
if max_dur < 50.0 and port_duration > max_dur + self.solver_feas_tol:
violations.append(f"duration={port_duration:.4f} above {max_dur:.4f}")
return violations
def _solve_prob(self, prob, use_beta, widen_beta, use_dur, cur_min, cur_max, cur_sec, cur_turn, use_factors=True, is_deep_relaxation=False):
if np.any(self.prev_w):
self.w.value = self.prev_w
try:
solvers_to_try = [cp.CLARABEL] if is_deep_relaxation else [cp.CLARABEL, cp.HIGHS]
for solver in solvers_to_try:
if solver not in cp.installed_solvers():
continue
try:
solve_opts = {"warm_start": True}
if solver == cp.SCS:
solve_opts.update({"eps_abs": 1e-5, "eps_rel": 1e-5, "eps_gap": 1e-5})
if solver == cp.OSQP:
solve_opts.update({"max_iter": 100000})
if not self.silent:
logger.debug(f"Attempting solver {solver}...")
prob.solve(solver=solver, **solve_opts)
if not self.silent:
logger.debug(f"Solver {solver} finished with status {prob.status}.")
if self.w.value is not None:
logger.debug(f"Solver {solver} returned weights shape {np.shape(self.w.value)}")
if prob.status in [cp.OPTIMAL, cp.OPTIMAL_INACCURATE]:
break
except Exception as exc:
if not self.silent:
logger.warning(f"Solver {solver} failed: {exc}")
continue
if prob.status not in [cp.OPTIMAL, cp.OPTIMAL_INACCURATE]:
if not self.silent:
logger.warning(f"No viable solution found. Final status {prob.status}.")
return False, f"Solver status: {prob.status}"
if self.w.value is not None:
w_val = np.asarray(self.w.value).flatten()
w_val = np.nan_to_num(w_val, nan=0.0, posinf=0.0, neginf=0.0)
if w_val.shape != (self.n,) or not np.all(np.isfinite(w_val)):
return False, "Non-finite or mis-shaped weights"
self.w.value = w_val
violations = self._solution_violations(self.w.value, use_beta, widen_beta, use_dur, cur_min, cur_max, cur_sec, cur_turn)
if not violations:
if prob.status == cp.OPTIMAL_INACCURATE and not self.silent:
logger.warning(f"Solver converged to OPTIMAL_INACCURATE. Constraint violations were within accepted tolerances ({self.solver_feas_tol}).")
return True, ""
old_tol = self.solver_feas_tol
self.solver_feas_tol = 1e-3
violations_1e3 = self._solution_violations(self.w.value, use_beta, widen_beta, use_dur, cur_min, cur_max, cur_sec, cur_turn)
self.solver_feas_tol = old_tol
if not violations_1e3 and violations:
if not self.silent:
logger.warning(f"Solution had violations in the [5e-4, 1e-3] band and was rejected: {violations}")
else:
if not self.silent:
logger.warning(f"Solution rejected due to specific violations: {violations}")
return False, f"Constraint violations: {violations}"
return False, "Weights are None"
except Exception as exc:
logger.error(f"Optimization solver exception: {exc}")
raise
def solve(self) -> CVXPYResult:
self._apply_warm_start()
# Build base objective components
expected_portfolio_return = self.w.T @ self.exp_rets_arr
rfr = self.cfg.get("risk_free_rate", 0.0)
cash_yield = (1.0 - cp.sum(self.w)) * rfr
from execution import calibrate_gamma
ac_gamma = self.cfg.get("tc_volume_profile", None)
if ac_gamma is None:
# Dynamically calculate gamma for each asset
gammas = np.array([calibrate_gamma(self.adv_proxy, v) for v in self.vol_arr])
impact_coeffs = gammas * self.vol_arr * np.sqrt(self.capital / self.adv_proxy)
else:
impact_coeffs = ac_gamma * self.vol_arr * np.sqrt(self.capital / self.adv_proxy)
market_impact_penalty = 0.0
if ac_gamma is None or ac_gamma > 0:
self.t_impact = cp.Variable(self.n, nonneg=True)
market_impact_penalty = cp.sum(cp.multiply(impact_coeffs, self.t_impact))
spreads_arr = np.array([self.spread_map.get(t, 0.0008) for t in self.tickers]) if self.spread_map else np.full(self.n, 0.0008)
tc = self.cfg.get("transaction_cost", 0.001)
friction_arr = spreads_arr + tc
tc_lambda = 1.0 / max(self.risk_factor, 0.1)
tc_cost = tc_lambda * cp.sum(cp.multiply(self.dw, friction_arr))
borrow_cost = self.cfg.get('short_borrow_cost', 0.0)
borrow_drag = borrow_cost * cp.sum(self.short_w)
stab_penalty = self.stab_lambda * cp.sum(cp.multiply(self.stability_spreads, cp.square(self.w))) if self.stab_lambda > 0 else 0.0
tax_cost = 0.0
if self.has_basis:
tax_cost = cp.sum(cp.multiply(self.sell_w, self.state.gain_fractions * self.state.tax_rates))
risk_penalty, self.risk_measure_constraints, self.cvar_cost, cvar_constraints = self._build_risk_measure()
self.base_objective_term = (
expected_portfolio_return
+ cash_yield
- risk_penalty
- tc_cost
- market_impact_penalty
- tax_cost
- borrow_drag
- stab_penalty
)
use_cvar = self.cfg.get('cvar_enabled', True)
def run_relaxation_loop():
prob = None
relaxation_log = []
_ss = self.safe_min if not self.allow_shorts else -1.0
stage_params = [
("Base", True, False, True, True, self.safe_min, self.asset_max, self.sector_limit, self.max_turnover, None),
("Widen Beta", True, True, True, True, self.safe_min, self.asset_max, self.sector_limit, self.max_turnover, "Widened portfolio beta targets."),
("Drop Beta", False, False, True, True, self.safe_min, self.asset_max, self.sector_limit, self.max_turnover, "Dropped portfolio beta target constraints."),
("Drop Duration", False, False, False, True, self.safe_min, self.asset_max, self.sector_limit, self.max_turnover, "Dropped portfolio duration targets."),
("Drop Factors", False, False, False, False, self.safe_min, self.asset_max, self.sector_limit, self.max_turnover, "Dropped Factor Neutrality/Risk Budgeting."),
("Remove Min Weights", False, False, False, False, _ss, self.asset_max, self.sector_limit, self.max_turnover, "Removed minimum asset weight limits."),
("Relax Sector Caps", False, False, False, False, _ss, self.asset_max, min(1.0,self.sector_limit*2), self.max_turnover, "Doubled sector concentration limits."),
("Remove Turnover", False, False, False, False, _ss, self.asset_max, min(1.0,self.sector_limit*2), 2.0, "Removed maximum turnover constraint."),
("Unconstrained", False, False, False, False, _ss, 1.0, 1.0, 2.0, "Removed maximum single-asset weight limits."),
]
for cvar_pass, cvar_active in enumerate([True, False]):
relaxation_log = []
active_cvar = list(cvar_constraints) if (use_cvar and cvar_active) else []
for stage_idx, (name, use_beta, widen_beta, use_dur, use_factors, cur_min, cur_max, cur_sec, cur_turn, log_msg) in enumerate(stage_params):
prob, cons_dict, cons_list = self._get_problem(use_beta, widen_beta, use_dur, cur_min, cur_max, cur_sec, cur_turn, use_factors, active_cvar)
is_deep = stage_idx >= 5
solved, reason = self._solve_prob(prob, use_beta, widen_beta, use_dur, cur_min, cur_max, cur_sec, cur_turn, use_factors, is_deep_relaxation=is_deep)
if solved:
if log_msg:
relaxation_log.append(log_msg)
if stage_idx >= 7:
print(f"\n {Color.YELLOW}⚠ WARNING: Optimization dropped into 'Unconstrained' mode. Original constraints abandoned due to mathematical infeasibility.{Color.RESET}")
if not self.silent:
logger.warning("Optimization dropped into 'Unconstrained' mode.")
elif stage_idx >= 4:
print(f"\n {Color.YELLOW}⚠ WARNING: Optimization hit deep relaxation (Stage {stage_idx}). Constraints heavily modified.{Color.RESET}")
if not self.silent:
logger.warning(f"Optimization hit deep relaxation (Stage {stage_idx}).")
return prob, cons_dict, cons_list, relaxation_log
relaxation_log.append(f"Stage '{name}' failed: {reason}")
if log_msg:
relaxation_log.append(log_msg)
if prob is not None and not self.silent:
logger.debug(f"All relaxations failed. Final prob.status was: {prob.status}")
return None, None, None, relaxation_log
if not self.silent:
print(f" Solving convex optimization (β range {self.b_min:.1f}–{self.b_max:.1f})...", end="", flush=True)
prob, final_cons_dict, final_cons_list, relaxation_log = run_relaxation_loop()
# --- Cardinality Constraint Heuristic ---
if prob is not None and prob.status in [cp.OPTIMAL, cp.OPTIMAL_INACCURATE] and self.max_assets > 0:
w_val = np.asarray(self.w.value).flatten()
active_mask = np.abs(w_val) > 1e-4
if np.sum(active_mask) > self.max_assets:
num_to_drop = int(np.sum(active_mask)) - self.max_assets
active_indices = np.where(active_mask)[0]
sorted_by_weight = active_indices[np.argsort(np.abs(w_val[active_indices]))]
drop_candidates = list(sorted_by_weight[:num_to_drop])
feasible_drop = False
while len(drop_candidates) > 0 and not feasible_drop:
self.dropped_indices = drop_candidates
prob_card, cons_dict_card, cons_list_card, log_card = run_relaxation_loop()
if prob_card is not None and prob_card.status in [cp.OPTIMAL, cp.OPTIMAL_INACCURATE]:
prob = prob_card
final_cons_dict = cons_dict_card
final_cons_list = cons_list_card
relaxation_log.extend(log_card)
relaxation_log.append(f"Applied Cardinality Constraint (max {self.max_assets} assets), pruned {len(drop_candidates)} assets.")
feasible_drop = True
else:
drop_candidates.pop()
if not feasible_drop:
relaxation_log.append("Failed to safely apply cardinality constraint (infeasible bounds). Maintaining continuous weights.")
self.dropped_indices = []
prob, final_cons_dict, final_cons_list, log_card = run_relaxation_loop()
# ---------------------------------------
if prob is None:
return CVXPYResult(None, {}, {}, relaxation_log, "All relaxation stages exhausted.")
if prob.status not in [cp.OPTIMAL, cp.OPTIMAL_INACCURATE] or self.w.value is None:
return CVXPYResult(None, {}, {}, relaxation_log, "Solver failed to find optimal status.")
best_w = pd.Series(self.w.value.copy(), index=self.tickers)
display_constraints: Dict[str, float] = {}
binding_constraints: Dict[str, float] = {}
if prob.status in [cp.OPTIMAL, cp.OPTIMAL_INACCURATE] and len(final_cons_list) > 0:
display_constraints = self._diagnose_binding_constraints(final_cons_dict)
binding_constraints = display_constraints
return CVXPYResult(best_w, display_constraints, binding_constraints, relaxation_log)
def _diagnose_binding_constraints(self, cons_dict, tolerance=1e-4):
binding = {}
if cons_dict is None:
return binding
for name, tc in cons_dict.items():
if not tc.display:
continue
c = tc.constraint
if isinstance(c, list):
duals = []
for sub_c in c:
if hasattr(sub_c, 'dual_value') and sub_c.dual_value is not None:
duals.extend(np.array(sub_c.dual_value).flatten())
if duals:
vals = np.array(duals)
sig_vals = vals[np.abs(vals) > tolerance]
if len(sig_vals) > 0:
binding[name] = float(np.mean(sig_vals))
continue
if hasattr(c, 'dual_value') and c.dual_value is not None:
vals = np.array(c.dual_value).flatten()
sig_vals = vals[np.abs(vals) > tolerance]
if len(sig_vals) > 0:
binding[name] = float(np.mean(sig_vals))
return binding
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