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Update app.py
Browse files
app.py
CHANGED
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@@ -48,21 +48,37 @@ logging.basicConfig(
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parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(description='Typhoon Analysis Dashboard')
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parser.add_argument('--data_path', type=str, default=os.getcwd(), help='Path to the data directory')
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args = parser.parse_args()
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DATA_PATH = args.data_path
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#
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# Ensure directory exists
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# Update
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ONI_DATA_PATH = os.path.join(DATA_PATH, 'oni_data.csv')
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TYPHOON_DATA_PATH = os.path.join(DATA_PATH, 'processed_typhoon_data.csv')
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MERGED_DATA_CSV = os.path.join(DATA_PATH, 'merged_typhoon_era5_data.csv')
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# IBTrACS settings
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BASIN_FILES = {
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'EP': 'ibtracs.EP.list.v04r01.csv',
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'NA': 'ibtracs.NA.list.v04r01.csv',
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@@ -118,62 +134,295 @@ regions = {
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"Philippines": {"lat_min": 5, "lat_max": 21, "lon_min": 115, "lon_max": 130}
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}
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# -----------------------------
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# ONI and Typhoon Data Functions
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# -----------------------------
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def download_oni_file(url, filename):
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def convert_oni_ascii_to_csv(input_file, output_file):
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data = defaultdict(lambda: [''] * 12)
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season_to_month = {'DJF':12, 'JFM':1, 'FMA':2, 'MAM':3, 'AMJ':4, 'MJJ':5,
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'JJA':6, 'JAS':7, 'ASO':8, 'SON':9, 'OND':10, 'NDJ':11}
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if
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if season
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def update_oni_data():
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url = "https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/indices/oni.ascii.txt"
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temp_file = os.path.join(DATA_PATH, "temp_oni.ascii.txt")
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input_file = os.path.join(DATA_PATH, "oni.ascii.txt")
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output_file = ONI_DATA_PATH
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else:
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-
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def
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oni_data = pd.DataFrame({'Year': [], 'Jan': [], 'Feb': [], 'Mar': [], 'Apr': [],
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'May': [], 'Jun': [], 'Jul': [], 'Aug': [], 'Sep': [],
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'Oct': [], 'Nov': [], 'Dec': []})
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# Try to load ONI data or create it
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if not os.path.exists(oni_path):
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logging.warning(f"ONI data file not found: {oni_path}")
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update_oni_data()
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try:
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oni_data = pd.read_csv(oni_path)
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except Exception as e:
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logging.error(f"Error loading ONI data: {e}")
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update_oni_data()
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except Exception as e:
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logging.error(f"Still can't load ONI data: {e}")
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#
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if os.path.exists(typhoon_path):
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try:
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typhoon_data = pd.read_csv(typhoon_path, low_memory=False)
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logging.error(f"Error loading typhoon data: {e}")
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typhoon_data = pd.DataFrame()
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else:
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logging.error(f"Typhoon data file not found: {typhoon_path}")
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# Download WP typhoon data directly from IBTrACS if available
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try:
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if LOCAL_IBTRACS_PATH and os.path.exists(LOCAL_IBTRACS_PATH):
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logging.info("Loading WP data from local IBTrACS file")
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wp_data = pd.read_csv(LOCAL_IBTRACS_PATH, low_memory=False)
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typhoon_data = wp_data
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logging.info(f"Loaded {len(typhoon_data)} WP records from IBTrACS")
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else:
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response = requests.get(IBTRACS_BASE_URL + BASIN_FILES['WP'])
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if response.status_code == 200:
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os.makedirs(os.path.dirname(LOCAL_IBTRACS_PATH), exist_ok=True)
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with open(LOCAL_IBTRACS_PATH, 'wb') as f:
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f.write(response.content)
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wp_data = pd.read_csv(LOCAL_IBTRACS_PATH, low_memory=False)
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typhoon_data = wp_data
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logging.info(f"Downloaded and loaded {len(typhoon_data)} WP records")
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except Exception as e:
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logging.error(f"
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return oni_data, typhoon_data
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def process_oni_data(oni_data):
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oni_long = oni_data.melt(id_vars=['Year'], var_name='Month', value_name='ONI')
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month_map = {'Jan':'01','Feb':'02','Mar':'03','Apr':'04','May':'05','Jun':'06',
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'Jul':'07','Aug':'08','Sep':'09','Oct':'10','Nov':'11','Dec':'12'}
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return oni_long
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def process_typhoon_data(typhoon_data):
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typhoon_data['ISO_TIME'] = pd.to_datetime(typhoon_data['ISO_TIME'], errors='coerce')
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typhoon_data['USA_WIND'] = pd.to_numeric(typhoon_data['USA_WIND'], errors='coerce')
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typhoon_data['USA_PRES'] = pd.to_numeric(typhoon_data['USA_PRES'], errors='coerce')
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typhoon_data['LON'] = pd.to_numeric(typhoon_data['LON'], errors='coerce')
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logging.info(f"Unique basins in typhoon_data: {typhoon_data['SID'].str[:2].unique()}")
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typhoon_max = typhoon_data.groupby('SID').agg({
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'USA_WIND':'max','USA_PRES':'min','ISO_TIME':'first','SEASON':'first','NAME':'first',
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'LAT':'first','LON':'first'
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}).reset_index()
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typhoon_max['Month'] = typhoon_max['ISO_TIME'].dt.strftime('%m')
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typhoon_max['Year'] = typhoon_max['ISO_TIME'].dt.year
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typhoon_max['Category'] = typhoon_max['USA_WIND'].apply(categorize_typhoon)
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return typhoon_max
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def merge_data(oni_long, typhoon_max):
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return pd.merge(typhoon_max, oni_long, on=['Year','Month'])
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def categorize_typhoon(wind_speed):
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if wind_speed >= 137:
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return 'C5 Super Typhoon'
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elif wind_speed >= 113:
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return 'Tropical Depression'
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def classify_enso_phases(oni_value):
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if isinstance(oni_value, pd.Series):
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oni_value = oni_value.iloc[0]
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if oni_value >= 0.5:
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# -----------------------------
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# Regression Functions
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# -----------------------------
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def perform_wind_regression(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month):
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start_date = datetime(start_year, start_month, 1)
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end_date = datetime(end_year, end_month, 28)
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data = merged_data[(merged_data['ISO_TIME']>=start_date) & (merged_data['ISO_TIME']<=end_date)].dropna(subset=['USA_WIND','ONI'])
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data['severe_typhoon'] = (data['USA_WIND']>=64).astype(int)
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X = sm.add_constant(data['ONI'])
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y = data['severe_typhoon']
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def perform_pressure_regression(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month):
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start_date = datetime(start_year, start_month, 1)
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end_date = datetime(end_year, end_month, 28)
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data = merged_data[(merged_data['ISO_TIME']>=start_date) & (merged_data['ISO_TIME']<=end_date)].dropna(subset=['USA_PRES','ONI'])
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data['intense_typhoon'] = (data['USA_PRES']<=950).astype(int)
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X = sm.add_constant(data['ONI'])
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y = data['intense_typhoon']
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def perform_longitude_regression(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month):
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start_date = datetime(start_year, start_month, 1)
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end_date = datetime(end_year, end_month, 28)
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data = merged_data[(merged_data['ISO_TIME']>=start_date) & (merged_data['ISO_TIME']<=end_date)].dropna(subset=['LON','ONI'])
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data['western_typhoon'] = (data['LON']<=140).astype(int)
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X = sm.add_constant(data['ONI'])
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y = data['western_typhoon']
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# -----------------------------
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def load_ibtracs_data():
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ibtracs_data = {}
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for basin, filename in BASIN_FILES.items():
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local_path = os.path.join(DATA_PATH, filename)
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if not os.path.exists(local_path):
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logging.info(f"Downloading {basin} basin file...")
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response = requests.get(IBTRACS_BASE_URL+filename)
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response.raise_for_status()
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with open(local_path, 'wb') as f:
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f.write(response.content)
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logging.info(f"Downloaded {basin} basin file.")
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try:
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logging.info(f"--> Starting to read in IBTrACS data for basin {basin}")
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ds = tracks.TrackDataset(source='ibtracs', ibtracs_url=local_path)
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logging.info(f"--> Completed reading in IBTrACS data for basin {basin}")
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ibtracs_data[basin] = ds
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except ValueError as e:
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logging.warning(f"Skipping basin {basin} due to error: {e}")
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| 350 |
-
ibtracs_data[basin] = None
|
| 351 |
-
return ibtracs_data
|
| 352 |
-
|
| 353 |
-
ibtracs = load_ibtracs_data()
|
| 354 |
-
|
| 355 |
-
# -----------------------------
|
| 356 |
-
# Load & Process Data
|
| 357 |
-
# -----------------------------
|
| 358 |
-
update_oni_data()
|
| 359 |
-
oni_data, typhoon_data = load_data(ONI_DATA_PATH, TYPHOON_DATA_PATH)
|
| 360 |
-
oni_long = process_oni_data(oni_data)
|
| 361 |
-
typhoon_max = process_typhoon_data(typhoon_data)
|
| 362 |
-
merged_data = merge_data(oni_long, typhoon_max)
|
| 363 |
|
| 364 |
# -----------------------------
|
| 365 |
# Visualization Functions
|
| 366 |
# -----------------------------
|
|
|
|
| 367 |
def generate_typhoon_tracks(filtered_data, typhoon_search):
|
|
|
|
| 368 |
fig = go.Figure()
|
| 369 |
for sid in filtered_data['SID'].unique():
|
| 370 |
storm_data = filtered_data[filtered_data['SID'] == sid]
|
|
@@ -390,6 +697,7 @@ def generate_typhoon_tracks(filtered_data, typhoon_search):
|
|
| 390 |
return fig
|
| 391 |
|
| 392 |
def generate_wind_oni_scatter(filtered_data, typhoon_search):
|
|
|
|
| 393 |
fig = px.scatter(filtered_data, x='ONI', y='USA_WIND', color='Category',
|
| 394 |
hover_data=['NAME','Year','Category'],
|
| 395 |
title='Wind Speed vs ONI',
|
|
@@ -407,6 +715,7 @@ def generate_wind_oni_scatter(filtered_data, typhoon_search):
|
|
| 407 |
return fig
|
| 408 |
|
| 409 |
def generate_pressure_oni_scatter(filtered_data, typhoon_search):
|
|
|
|
| 410 |
fig = px.scatter(filtered_data, x='ONI', y='USA_PRES', color='Category',
|
| 411 |
hover_data=['NAME','Year','Category'],
|
| 412 |
title='Pressure vs ONI',
|
|
@@ -424,21 +733,26 @@ def generate_pressure_oni_scatter(filtered_data, typhoon_search):
|
|
| 424 |
return fig
|
| 425 |
|
| 426 |
def generate_regression_analysis(filtered_data):
|
|
|
|
| 427 |
fig = px.scatter(filtered_data, x='LON', y='ONI', hover_data=['NAME'],
|
| 428 |
title='Typhoon Generation Longitude vs ONI (All Years)')
|
| 429 |
if len(filtered_data) > 1:
|
| 430 |
X = np.array(filtered_data['LON']).reshape(-1,1)
|
| 431 |
y = filtered_data['ONI']
|
| 432 |
-
|
| 433 |
-
|
| 434 |
-
|
| 435 |
-
|
| 436 |
-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 437 |
else:
|
| 438 |
slopes_text = "Insufficient data for regression"
|
| 439 |
return fig, slopes_text
|
| 440 |
|
| 441 |
def generate_main_analysis(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month, enso_phase, typhoon_search):
|
|
|
|
| 442 |
start_date = datetime(start_year, start_month, 1)
|
| 443 |
end_date = datetime(end_year, end_month, 28)
|
| 444 |
filtered_data = merged_data[(merged_data['ISO_TIME']>=start_date) & (merged_data['ISO_TIME']<=end_date)].copy()
|
|
@@ -452,6 +766,7 @@ def generate_main_analysis(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month, enso_ph
|
|
| 452 |
return tracks_fig, wind_scatter, pressure_scatter, regression_fig, slopes_text
|
| 453 |
|
| 454 |
def get_full_tracks(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month, enso_phase, typhoon_search):
|
|
|
|
| 455 |
start_date = datetime(start_year, start_month, 1)
|
| 456 |
end_date = datetime(end_year, end_month, 28)
|
| 457 |
filtered_data = merged_data[(merged_data['ISO_TIME']>=start_date) & (merged_data['ISO_TIME']<=end_date)].copy()
|
|
@@ -464,7 +779,7 @@ def get_full_tracks(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month, enso_phase, ty
|
|
| 464 |
for sid in unique_storms:
|
| 465 |
storm_data = typhoon_data[typhoon_data['SID']==sid]
|
| 466 |
name = storm_data['NAME'].iloc[0] if pd.notnull(storm_data['NAME'].iloc[0]) else "Unnamed"
|
| 467 |
-
basin = storm_data['SID'].iloc[0][:2]
|
| 468 |
storm_oni = filtered_data[filtered_data['SID']==sid]['ONI'].iloc[0]
|
| 469 |
color = 'red' if storm_oni>=0.5 else ('blue' if storm_oni<=-0.5 else 'green')
|
| 470 |
fig.add_trace(go.Scattergeo(
|
|
@@ -508,21 +823,25 @@ def get_full_tracks(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month, enso_phase, ty
|
|
| 508 |
return fig, f"Total typhoons displayed: {count}"
|
| 509 |
|
| 510 |
def get_wind_analysis(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month, enso_phase, typhoon_search):
|
|
|
|
| 511 |
results = generate_main_analysis(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month, enso_phase, typhoon_search)
|
| 512 |
regression = perform_wind_regression(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month)
|
| 513 |
return results[1], regression
|
| 514 |
|
| 515 |
def get_pressure_analysis(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month, enso_phase, typhoon_search):
|
|
|
|
| 516 |
results = generate_main_analysis(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month, enso_phase, typhoon_search)
|
| 517 |
regression = perform_pressure_regression(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month)
|
| 518 |
return results[2], regression
|
| 519 |
|
| 520 |
def get_longitude_analysis(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month, enso_phase, typhoon_search):
|
|
|
|
| 521 |
results = generate_main_analysis(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month, enso_phase, typhoon_search)
|
| 522 |
regression = perform_longitude_regression(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month)
|
| 523 |
return results[3], results[4], regression
|
| 524 |
|
| 525 |
def categorize_typhoon_by_standard(wind_speed, standard='atlantic'):
|
|
|
|
| 526 |
if standard=='taiwan':
|
| 527 |
wind_speed_ms = wind_speed * 0.514444
|
| 528 |
if wind_speed_ms >= 51.0:
|
|
@@ -548,11 +867,13 @@ def categorize_typhoon_by_standard(wind_speed, standard='atlantic'):
|
|
| 548 |
return 'Tropical Depression', atlantic_standard['Tropical Depression']['hex']
|
| 549 |
|
| 550 |
# -----------------------------
|
| 551 |
-
#
|
| 552 |
# -----------------------------
|
|
|
|
| 553 |
def update_route_clusters(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month, enso_value, season):
|
|
|
|
| 554 |
try:
|
| 555 |
-
# Merge raw typhoon data with ONI
|
| 556 |
raw_data = typhoon_data.copy()
|
| 557 |
raw_data['Year'] = raw_data['ISO_TIME'].dt.year
|
| 558 |
raw_data['Month'] = raw_data['ISO_TIME'].dt.strftime('%m')
|
|
@@ -578,7 +899,7 @@ def update_route_clusters(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month, enso_val
|
|
| 578 |
logging.info("WP regional filter returned no data; using all filtered data.")
|
| 579 |
wp_data = merged_raw
|
| 580 |
|
| 581 |
-
# Group by storm ID
|
| 582 |
all_storms_data = []
|
| 583 |
for sid, group in wp_data.groupby('SID'):
|
| 584 |
group = group.sort_values('ISO_TIME')
|
|
@@ -587,20 +908,22 @@ def update_route_clusters(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month, enso_val
|
|
| 587 |
lons = group['LON'].astype(float).values
|
| 588 |
if len(lons) < 2:
|
| 589 |
continue
|
| 590 |
-
#
|
| 591 |
wind = group['USA_WIND'].astype(float).values if 'USA_WIND' in group.columns else None
|
| 592 |
pres = group['USA_PRES'].astype(float).values if 'USA_PRES' in group.columns else None
|
| 593 |
all_storms_data.append((sid, lons, lats, times, wind, pres))
|
|
|
|
| 594 |
logging.info(f"Storms available for TSNE after grouping: {len(all_storms_data)}")
|
| 595 |
if not all_storms_data:
|
| 596 |
return go.Figure(), go.Figure(), make_subplots(rows=2, cols=1), "No valid storms for clustering."
|
| 597 |
|
| 598 |
-
# Interpolate each storm's route
|
| 599 |
max_length = max(len(item[1]) for item in all_storms_data)
|
| 600 |
route_vectors = []
|
| 601 |
wind_curves = []
|
| 602 |
pres_curves = []
|
| 603 |
storm_ids = []
|
|
|
|
| 604 |
for sid, lons, lats, times, wind, pres in all_storms_data:
|
| 605 |
t = np.linspace(0, 1, len(lons))
|
| 606 |
t_new = np.linspace(0, 1, max_length)
|
|
@@ -610,12 +933,15 @@ def update_route_clusters(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month, enso_val
|
|
| 610 |
except Exception as ex:
|
| 611 |
logging.error(f"Interpolation error for storm {sid}: {ex}")
|
| 612 |
continue
|
|
|
|
| 613 |
route_vector = np.column_stack((lon_interp, lat_interp)).flatten()
|
| 614 |
if np.isnan(route_vector).any():
|
| 615 |
continue
|
|
|
|
| 616 |
route_vectors.append(route_vector)
|
| 617 |
storm_ids.append(sid)
|
| 618 |
-
|
|
|
|
| 619 |
if wind is not None and len(wind) >= 2:
|
| 620 |
try:
|
| 621 |
wind_interp = interp1d(t, wind, kind='linear', fill_value='extrapolate')(t_new)
|
|
@@ -624,6 +950,7 @@ def update_route_clusters(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month, enso_val
|
|
| 624 |
wind_interp = np.full(max_length, np.nan)
|
| 625 |
else:
|
| 626 |
wind_interp = np.full(max_length, np.nan)
|
|
|
|
| 627 |
if pres is not None and len(pres) >= 2:
|
| 628 |
try:
|
| 629 |
pres_interp = interp1d(t, pres, kind='linear', fill_value='extrapolate')(t_new)
|
|
@@ -632,8 +959,10 @@ def update_route_clusters(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month, enso_val
|
|
| 632 |
pres_interp = np.full(max_length, np.nan)
|
| 633 |
else:
|
| 634 |
pres_interp = np.full(max_length, np.nan)
|
|
|
|
| 635 |
wind_curves.append(wind_interp)
|
| 636 |
pres_curves.append(pres_interp)
|
|
|
|
| 637 |
logging.info(f"Storms with valid route vectors: {len(route_vectors)}")
|
| 638 |
if len(route_vectors) == 0:
|
| 639 |
return go.Figure(), go.Figure(), make_subplots(rows=2, cols=1), "No valid storms after interpolation."
|
|
@@ -646,7 +975,7 @@ def update_route_clusters(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month, enso_val
|
|
| 646 |
tsne = TSNE(n_components=2, random_state=42, verbose=1)
|
| 647 |
tsne_results = tsne.fit_transform(route_vectors)
|
| 648 |
|
| 649 |
-
# Dynamic DBSCAN
|
| 650 |
selected_labels = None
|
| 651 |
selected_eps = None
|
| 652 |
for eps in np.linspace(1.0, 10.0, 91):
|
|
@@ -657,16 +986,19 @@ def update_route_clusters(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month, enso_val
|
|
| 657 |
selected_labels = labels
|
| 658 |
selected_eps = eps
|
| 659 |
break
|
|
|
|
| 660 |
if selected_labels is None:
|
| 661 |
selected_eps = 5.0
|
| 662 |
dbscan = DBSCAN(eps=selected_eps, min_samples=3)
|
| 663 |
selected_labels = dbscan.fit_predict(tsne_results)
|
|
|
|
| 664 |
logging.info(f"Selected DBSCAN eps: {selected_eps:.2f} yielding {len(set(selected_labels)-{-1})} clusters.")
|
| 665 |
|
| 666 |
# TSNE scatter plot
|
| 667 |
fig_tsne = go.Figure()
|
| 668 |
colors = px.colors.qualitative.Safe
|
| 669 |
unique_labels = sorted(set(selected_labels) - {-1})
|
|
|
|
| 670 |
for i, label in enumerate(unique_labels):
|
| 671 |
indices = np.where(selected_labels == label)[0]
|
| 672 |
fig_tsne.add_trace(go.Scatter(
|
|
@@ -676,6 +1008,7 @@ def update_route_clusters(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month, enso_val
|
|
| 676 |
marker=dict(color=colors[i % len(colors)]),
|
| 677 |
name=f"Cluster {label}"
|
| 678 |
))
|
|
|
|
| 679 |
noise_indices = np.where(selected_labels == -1)[0]
|
| 680 |
if len(noise_indices) > 0:
|
| 681 |
fig_tsne.add_trace(go.Scatter(
|
|
@@ -685,15 +1018,17 @@ def update_route_clusters(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month, enso_val
|
|
| 685 |
marker=dict(color='grey'),
|
| 686 |
name='Noise'
|
| 687 |
))
|
|
|
|
| 688 |
fig_tsne.update_layout(
|
| 689 |
title="t-SNE of Storm Routes",
|
| 690 |
xaxis_title="t-SNE Dim 1",
|
| 691 |
yaxis_title="t-SNE Dim 2"
|
| 692 |
)
|
| 693 |
|
| 694 |
-
#
|
| 695 |
fig_routes = go.Figure()
|
| 696 |
-
cluster_stats = []
|
|
|
|
| 697 |
for i, label in enumerate(unique_labels):
|
| 698 |
indices = np.where(selected_labels == label)[0]
|
| 699 |
cluster_ids = [storm_ids[j] for j in indices]
|
|
@@ -702,6 +1037,7 @@ def update_route_clusters(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month, enso_val
|
|
| 702 |
mean_route = mean_vector.reshape((max_length, 2))
|
| 703 |
mean_lon = mean_route[:, 0]
|
| 704 |
mean_lat = mean_route[:, 1]
|
|
|
|
| 705 |
fig_routes.add_trace(go.Scattergeo(
|
| 706 |
lon=mean_lon,
|
| 707 |
lat=mean_lat,
|
|
@@ -709,17 +1045,19 @@ def update_route_clusters(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month, enso_val
|
|
| 709 |
line=dict(width=4, color=colors[i % len(colors)]),
|
| 710 |
name=f"Cluster {label} Mean Route"
|
| 711 |
))
|
| 712 |
-
|
|
|
|
| 713 |
cluster_winds = wind_curves[indices, :]
|
| 714 |
cluster_pres = pres_curves[indices, :]
|
| 715 |
mean_wind_curve = np.nanmean(cluster_winds, axis=0)
|
| 716 |
mean_pres_curve = np.nanmean(cluster_pres, axis=0)
|
| 717 |
cluster_stats.append((label, mean_wind_curve, mean_pres_curve))
|
| 718 |
|
| 719 |
-
# Create
|
| 720 |
x_axis = np.linspace(0, 1, max_length)
|
| 721 |
fig_stats = make_subplots(rows=2, cols=1, shared_xaxes=True,
|
| 722 |
subplot_titles=("Mean Wind Speed (knots)", "Mean MSLP (hPa)"))
|
|
|
|
| 723 |
for i, (label, wind_curve, pres_curve) in enumerate(cluster_stats):
|
| 724 |
fig_stats.add_trace(go.Scatter(
|
| 725 |
x=x_axis,
|
|
@@ -728,6 +1066,7 @@ def update_route_clusters(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month, enso_val
|
|
| 728 |
line=dict(width=2, color=colors[i % len(colors)]),
|
| 729 |
name=f"Cluster {label} Mean Wind"
|
| 730 |
), row=1, col=1)
|
|
|
|
| 731 |
fig_stats.add_trace(go.Scatter(
|
| 732 |
x=x_axis,
|
| 733 |
y=pres_curve,
|
|
@@ -735,6 +1074,7 @@ def update_route_clusters(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month, enso_val
|
|
| 735 |
line=dict(width=2, color=colors[i % len(colors)]),
|
| 736 |
name=f"Cluster {label} Mean MSLP"
|
| 737 |
), row=2, col=1)
|
|
|
|
| 738 |
fig_stats.update_layout(
|
| 739 |
title="Cluster Mean Curves",
|
| 740 |
xaxis_title="Normalized Route Index",
|
|
@@ -746,28 +1086,34 @@ def update_route_clusters(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month, enso_val
|
|
| 746 |
|
| 747 |
info = f"TSNE clustering complete. Selected eps: {selected_eps:.2f}. Clusters: {len(unique_labels)}."
|
| 748 |
return fig_tsne, fig_routes, fig_stats, info
|
|
|
|
| 749 |
except Exception as e:
|
| 750 |
logging.error(f"Error in TSNE clustering: {e}")
|
| 751 |
return go.Figure(), go.Figure(), make_subplots(rows=2, cols=1), f"Error in TSNE clustering: {e}"
|
| 752 |
|
| 753 |
# -----------------------------
|
| 754 |
-
# Animation Functions
|
| 755 |
# -----------------------------
|
|
|
|
| 756 |
def generate_track_video_from_csv(year, storm_id, standard):
|
|
|
|
| 757 |
storm_df = typhoon_data[typhoon_data['SID'] == storm_id].copy()
|
| 758 |
if storm_df.empty:
|
| 759 |
logging.error(f"No data found for storm: {storm_id}")
|
| 760 |
return None
|
|
|
|
| 761 |
storm_df = storm_df.sort_values('ISO_TIME')
|
| 762 |
lats = storm_df['LAT'].astype(float).values
|
| 763 |
lons = storm_df['LON'].astype(float).values
|
| 764 |
times = pd.to_datetime(storm_df['ISO_TIME']).values
|
|
|
|
| 765 |
if 'USA_WIND' in storm_df.columns:
|
| 766 |
winds = pd.to_numeric(storm_df['USA_WIND'], errors='coerce').values
|
| 767 |
else:
|
| 768 |
winds = np.full(len(lats), np.nan)
|
|
|
|
| 769 |
storm_name = storm_df['NAME'].iloc[0]
|
| 770 |
-
basin = storm_df['SID'].iloc[0][:2]
|
| 771 |
season = storm_df['SEASON'].iloc[0]
|
| 772 |
|
| 773 |
min_lat, max_lat = np.min(lats), np.max(lats)
|
|
@@ -790,7 +1136,6 @@ def generate_track_video_from_csv(year, storm_id, standard):
|
|
| 790 |
point, = ax.plot([], [], 'o', markersize=8, transform=ccrs.PlateCarree())
|
| 791 |
date_text = ax.text(0.02, 0.02, '', transform=ax.transAxes, fontsize=10,
|
| 792 |
bbox=dict(facecolor='white', alpha=0.8))
|
| 793 |
-
# Display storm name and basin in a dynamic sidebar
|
| 794 |
storm_info_text = fig.text(0.70, 0.60, '', fontsize=10,
|
| 795 |
bbox=dict(facecolor='white', alpha=0.8, boxstyle='round,pad=0.5'))
|
| 796 |
|
|
@@ -823,87 +1168,90 @@ def generate_track_video_from_csv(year, storm_id, standard):
|
|
| 823 |
|
| 824 |
ani = animation.FuncAnimation(fig, update, init_func=init, frames=len(times),
|
| 825 |
interval=200, blit=True, repeat=True)
|
| 826 |
-
|
| 827 |
-
|
| 828 |
-
|
| 829 |
-
|
| 830 |
-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 831 |
|
| 832 |
def simplified_track_video(year, basin, typhoon, standard):
|
|
|
|
| 833 |
if not typhoon:
|
| 834 |
return None
|
| 835 |
storm_id = typhoon.split('(')[-1].strip(')')
|
| 836 |
return generate_track_video_from_csv(year, storm_id, standard)
|
| 837 |
|
| 838 |
# -----------------------------
|
| 839 |
-
# Typhoon Options
|
| 840 |
# -----------------------------
|
| 841 |
-
basin_to_prefix = {
|
| 842 |
-
"All Basins": "all",
|
| 843 |
-
"NA - North Atlantic": "NA",
|
| 844 |
-
"EP - Eastern North Pacific": "EP",
|
| 845 |
-
"WP - Western North Pacific": "WP"
|
| 846 |
-
}
|
| 847 |
|
| 848 |
-
def
|
|
|
|
| 849 |
try:
|
| 850 |
-
|
| 851 |
-
|
| 852 |
-
|
| 853 |
-
|
| 854 |
-
|
| 855 |
-
|
| 856 |
-
|
| 857 |
-
|
| 858 |
-
|
| 859 |
-
|
| 860 |
-
|
| 861 |
-
|
| 862 |
-
|
| 863 |
-
|
| 864 |
-
|
| 865 |
-
|
| 866 |
-
|
| 867 |
-
|
| 868 |
-
|
| 869 |
-
if season_data.summary().empty:
|
| 870 |
-
logging.error("No storms found for given year and basin.")
|
| 871 |
-
return gr.update(choices=[], value=None)
|
| 872 |
-
combined_summary = season_data.summary()
|
| 873 |
-
options = []
|
| 874 |
-
for i in range(len(combined_summary)):
|
| 875 |
-
try:
|
| 876 |
-
name = combined_summary['name'][i] if pd.notnull(combined_summary['name'][i]) else "Unnamed"
|
| 877 |
-
storm_id = combined_summary['id'][i]
|
| 878 |
-
options.append(f"{name} ({storm_id})")
|
| 879 |
-
except Exception:
|
| 880 |
-
continue
|
| 881 |
-
return gr.update(choices=options, value=options[0] if options else None)
|
| 882 |
-
except Exception as e:
|
| 883 |
-
logging.error(f"Error in update_typhoon_options: {e}")
|
| 884 |
-
return gr.update(choices=[], value=None)
|
| 885 |
-
|
| 886 |
-
def update_typhoon_options_anim(year, basin):
|
| 887 |
-
try:
|
| 888 |
-
data = typhoon_data.copy()
|
| 889 |
-
data['Year'] = data['ISO_TIME'].dt.year
|
| 890 |
-
season_data = data[data['Year'] == int(year)]
|
| 891 |
-
if season_data.empty:
|
| 892 |
-
logging.error(f"No storms found for year {year} in animation update.")
|
| 893 |
return gr.update(choices=[], value=None)
|
| 894 |
-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 895 |
options = []
|
| 896 |
-
|
| 897 |
-
|
| 898 |
-
|
| 899 |
-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 900 |
except Exception as e:
|
| 901 |
-
logging.error(f"Error in
|
| 902 |
return gr.update(choices=[], value=None)
|
| 903 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 904 |
# -----------------------------
|
| 905 |
# Gradio Interface
|
| 906 |
# -----------------------------
|
|
|
|
| 907 |
with gr.Blocks(title="Typhoon Analysis Dashboard") as demo:
|
| 908 |
gr.Markdown("# Typhoon Analysis Dashboard")
|
| 909 |
|
|
@@ -918,10 +1266,14 @@ with gr.Blocks(title="Typhoon Analysis Dashboard") as demo:
|
|
| 918 |
- **Wind Analysis**: Examine wind speed vs ONI relationships.
|
| 919 |
- **Pressure Analysis**: Analyze pressure vs ONI relationships.
|
| 920 |
- **Longitude Analysis**: Study typhoon generation longitude vs ONI.
|
| 921 |
-
- **Path Animation**: View animated storm tracks on a
|
| 922 |
-
- **TSNE Cluster**: Perform t-SNE clustering on
|
| 923 |
-
|
| 924 |
-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 925 |
|
| 926 |
with gr.Tab("Track Visualization"):
|
| 927 |
with gr.Row():
|
|
@@ -987,7 +1339,6 @@ with gr.Blocks(title="Typhoon Analysis Dashboard") as demo:
|
|
| 987 |
with gr.Tab("Tropical Cyclone Path Animation"):
|
| 988 |
with gr.Row():
|
| 989 |
year_dropdown = gr.Dropdown(label="Year", choices=[str(y) for y in range(1950, 2025)], value="2000")
|
| 990 |
-
# Create a hidden component for basin constant; always "All Basins"
|
| 991 |
basin_constant = gr.Textbox(value="All Basins", visible=False)
|
| 992 |
with gr.Row():
|
| 993 |
typhoon_dropdown = gr.Dropdown(label="Tropical Cyclone")
|
|
@@ -996,15 +1347,16 @@ with gr.Blocks(title="Typhoon Analysis Dashboard") as demo:
|
|
| 996 |
path_video = gr.Video(label="Tropical Cyclone Path Animation", format="mp4", interactive=False, elem_id="path_video")
|
| 997 |
animation_info = gr.Markdown("""
|
| 998 |
### Animation Instructions
|
| 999 |
-
1. Select a year
|
| 1000 |
2. Choose a tropical cyclone from the populated list.
|
| 1001 |
3. Select a classification standard (Atlantic or Taiwan).
|
| 1002 |
4. Click "Generate Animation".
|
| 1003 |
-
5. The animation displays the storm track on a
|
| 1004 |
-
The sidebar shows the storm name and basin.
|
| 1005 |
""")
|
| 1006 |
-
# Update typhoon dropdown using
|
| 1007 |
-
year_dropdown.change(fn=
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1008 |
animate_btn.click(fn=simplified_track_video,
|
| 1009 |
inputs=[year_dropdown, basin_constant, typhoon_dropdown, standard_dropdown],
|
| 1010 |
outputs=path_video)
|
|
@@ -1026,4 +1378,5 @@ with gr.Blocks(title="Typhoon Analysis Dashboard") as demo:
|
|
| 1026 |
inputs=[tsne_start_year, tsne_start_month, tsne_end_year, tsne_end_month, tsne_enso_phase, tsne_season],
|
| 1027 |
outputs=[tsne_plot, routes_plot, stats_plot, cluster_info])
|
| 1028 |
|
| 1029 |
-
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 48 |
parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(description='Typhoon Analysis Dashboard')
|
| 49 |
parser.add_argument('--data_path', type=str, default=os.getcwd(), help='Path to the data directory')
|
| 50 |
args = parser.parse_args()
|
|
|
|
| 51 |
|
| 52 |
+
# Enhanced data path handling for HuggingFace Spaces
|
| 53 |
+
if 'SPACE_ID' in os.environ:
|
| 54 |
+
# Running on HuggingFace Spaces
|
| 55 |
+
DATA_PATH = '/tmp/typhoon_data'
|
| 56 |
+
os.makedirs(DATA_PATH, exist_ok=True)
|
| 57 |
+
logging.info(f"Running on HuggingFace Spaces, using data path: {DATA_PATH}")
|
| 58 |
+
else:
|
| 59 |
+
# Local development
|
| 60 |
+
DATA_PATH = os.environ.get('DATA_PATH', tempfile.gettempdir())
|
| 61 |
|
| 62 |
+
# Ensure directory exists and is writable
|
| 63 |
+
try:
|
| 64 |
+
os.makedirs(DATA_PATH, exist_ok=True)
|
| 65 |
+
# Test write permissions
|
| 66 |
+
test_file = os.path.join(DATA_PATH, 'test_write.txt')
|
| 67 |
+
with open(test_file, 'w') as f:
|
| 68 |
+
f.write('test')
|
| 69 |
+
os.remove(test_file)
|
| 70 |
+
logging.info(f"Data directory is writable: {DATA_PATH}")
|
| 71 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 72 |
+
logging.warning(f"Data directory not writable, using temp dir: {e}")
|
| 73 |
+
DATA_PATH = tempfile.mkdtemp()
|
| 74 |
+
logging.info(f"Using temporary directory: {DATA_PATH}")
|
| 75 |
|
| 76 |
+
# Update file paths
|
| 77 |
ONI_DATA_PATH = os.path.join(DATA_PATH, 'oni_data.csv')
|
| 78 |
TYPHOON_DATA_PATH = os.path.join(DATA_PATH, 'processed_typhoon_data.csv')
|
| 79 |
MERGED_DATA_CSV = os.path.join(DATA_PATH, 'merged_typhoon_era5_data.csv')
|
| 80 |
|
| 81 |
+
# IBTrACS settings
|
| 82 |
BASIN_FILES = {
|
| 83 |
'EP': 'ibtracs.EP.list.v04r01.csv',
|
| 84 |
'NA': 'ibtracs.NA.list.v04r01.csv',
|
|
|
|
| 134 |
"Philippines": {"lat_min": 5, "lat_max": 21, "lon_min": 115, "lon_max": 130}
|
| 135 |
}
|
| 136 |
|
| 137 |
+
# -----------------------------
|
| 138 |
+
# Utility Functions for HF Spaces
|
| 139 |
+
# -----------------------------
|
| 140 |
+
|
| 141 |
+
def safe_file_write(file_path, data_frame, backup_dir=None):
|
| 142 |
+
"""Safely write DataFrame to CSV with backup and error handling"""
|
| 143 |
+
try:
|
| 144 |
+
# Create directory if it doesn't exist
|
| 145 |
+
os.makedirs(os.path.dirname(file_path), exist_ok=True)
|
| 146 |
+
|
| 147 |
+
# Try to write to a temporary file first
|
| 148 |
+
temp_path = file_path + '.tmp'
|
| 149 |
+
data_frame.to_csv(temp_path, index=False)
|
| 150 |
+
|
| 151 |
+
# If successful, rename to final file
|
| 152 |
+
os.rename(temp_path, file_path)
|
| 153 |
+
logging.info(f"Successfully saved {len(data_frame)} records to {file_path}")
|
| 154 |
+
return True
|
| 155 |
+
|
| 156 |
+
except PermissionError as e:
|
| 157 |
+
logging.warning(f"Permission denied writing to {file_path}: {e}")
|
| 158 |
+
if backup_dir:
|
| 159 |
+
try:
|
| 160 |
+
backup_path = os.path.join(backup_dir, os.path.basename(file_path))
|
| 161 |
+
data_frame.to_csv(backup_path, index=False)
|
| 162 |
+
logging.info(f"Saved to backup location: {backup_path}")
|
| 163 |
+
return True
|
| 164 |
+
except Exception as backup_e:
|
| 165 |
+
logging.error(f"Failed to save to backup location: {backup_e}")
|
| 166 |
+
return False
|
| 167 |
+
|
| 168 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 169 |
+
logging.error(f"Error saving file {file_path}: {e}")
|
| 170 |
+
# Clean up temp file if it exists
|
| 171 |
+
if os.path.exists(temp_path):
|
| 172 |
+
try:
|
| 173 |
+
os.remove(temp_path)
|
| 174 |
+
except:
|
| 175 |
+
pass
|
| 176 |
+
return False
|
| 177 |
+
|
| 178 |
+
def get_fallback_data_dir():
|
| 179 |
+
"""Get a fallback data directory that's guaranteed to be writable"""
|
| 180 |
+
fallback_dirs = [
|
| 181 |
+
tempfile.gettempdir(),
|
| 182 |
+
'/tmp',
|
| 183 |
+
os.path.expanduser('~'),
|
| 184 |
+
os.getcwd()
|
| 185 |
+
]
|
| 186 |
+
|
| 187 |
+
for directory in fallback_dirs:
|
| 188 |
+
try:
|
| 189 |
+
test_dir = os.path.join(directory, 'typhoon_fallback')
|
| 190 |
+
os.makedirs(test_dir, exist_ok=True)
|
| 191 |
+
test_file = os.path.join(test_dir, 'test.txt')
|
| 192 |
+
with open(test_file, 'w') as f:
|
| 193 |
+
f.write('test')
|
| 194 |
+
os.remove(test_file)
|
| 195 |
+
return test_dir
|
| 196 |
+
except:
|
| 197 |
+
continue
|
| 198 |
+
|
| 199 |
+
# If all else fails, use current directory
|
| 200 |
+
return os.getcwd()
|
| 201 |
+
|
| 202 |
# -----------------------------
|
| 203 |
# ONI and Typhoon Data Functions
|
| 204 |
# -----------------------------
|
| 205 |
+
|
| 206 |
def download_oni_file(url, filename):
|
| 207 |
+
"""Download ONI file with retry logic"""
|
| 208 |
+
max_retries = 3
|
| 209 |
+
for attempt in range(max_retries):
|
| 210 |
+
try:
|
| 211 |
+
response = requests.get(url, timeout=30)
|
| 212 |
+
response.raise_for_status()
|
| 213 |
+
with open(filename, 'wb') as f:
|
| 214 |
+
f.write(response.content)
|
| 215 |
+
return True
|
| 216 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 217 |
+
logging.warning(f"Attempt {attempt + 1} failed to download ONI: {e}")
|
| 218 |
+
if attempt < max_retries - 1:
|
| 219 |
+
time.sleep(2 ** attempt) # Exponential backoff
|
| 220 |
+
else:
|
| 221 |
+
logging.error(f"Failed to download ONI after {max_retries} attempts")
|
| 222 |
+
return False
|
| 223 |
|
| 224 |
def convert_oni_ascii_to_csv(input_file, output_file):
|
| 225 |
+
"""Convert ONI ASCII format to CSV"""
|
| 226 |
data = defaultdict(lambda: [''] * 12)
|
| 227 |
season_to_month = {'DJF':12, 'JFM':1, 'FMA':2, 'MAM':3, 'AMJ':4, 'MJJ':5,
|
| 228 |
'JJA':6, 'JAS':7, 'ASO':8, 'SON':9, 'OND':10, 'NDJ':11}
|
| 229 |
+
|
| 230 |
+
try:
|
| 231 |
+
with open(input_file, 'r') as f:
|
| 232 |
+
lines = f.readlines()[1:] # Skip header
|
| 233 |
+
for line in lines:
|
| 234 |
+
parts = line.split()
|
| 235 |
+
if len(parts) >= 4:
|
| 236 |
+
season, year, anom = parts[0], parts[1], parts[-1]
|
| 237 |
+
if season in season_to_month:
|
| 238 |
+
month = season_to_month[season]
|
| 239 |
+
if season == 'DJF':
|
| 240 |
+
year = str(int(year)-1)
|
| 241 |
+
data[year][month-1] = anom
|
| 242 |
+
|
| 243 |
+
# Write to CSV with safe write
|
| 244 |
+
df = pd.DataFrame(data).T.reset_index()
|
| 245 |
+
df.columns = ['Year','Jan','Feb','Mar','Apr','May','Jun','Jul','Aug','Sep','Oct','Nov','Dec']
|
| 246 |
+
df = df.sort_values('Year').reset_index(drop=True)
|
| 247 |
+
|
| 248 |
+
return safe_file_write(output_file, df, get_fallback_data_dir())
|
| 249 |
+
|
| 250 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 251 |
+
logging.error(f"Error converting ONI file: {e}")
|
| 252 |
+
return False
|
| 253 |
|
| 254 |
def update_oni_data():
|
| 255 |
+
"""Update ONI data with error handling"""
|
| 256 |
url = "https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/indices/oni.ascii.txt"
|
| 257 |
temp_file = os.path.join(DATA_PATH, "temp_oni.ascii.txt")
|
| 258 |
input_file = os.path.join(DATA_PATH, "oni.ascii.txt")
|
| 259 |
output_file = ONI_DATA_PATH
|
| 260 |
+
|
| 261 |
+
try:
|
| 262 |
+
if download_oni_file(url, temp_file):
|
| 263 |
+
if not os.path.exists(input_file) or not os.path.exists(output_file):
|
| 264 |
+
os.rename(temp_file, input_file)
|
| 265 |
+
convert_oni_ascii_to_csv(input_file, output_file)
|
| 266 |
+
else:
|
| 267 |
+
os.remove(temp_file)
|
| 268 |
else:
|
| 269 |
+
# Create fallback ONI data if download fails
|
| 270 |
+
logging.warning("Creating fallback ONI data")
|
| 271 |
+
create_fallback_oni_data(output_file)
|
| 272 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 273 |
+
logging.error(f"Error updating ONI data: {e}")
|
| 274 |
+
create_fallback_oni_data(output_file)
|
| 275 |
+
|
| 276 |
+
def create_fallback_oni_data(output_file):
|
| 277 |
+
"""Create minimal ONI data for testing"""
|
| 278 |
+
years = range(2000, 2025)
|
| 279 |
+
months = ['Jan','Feb','Mar','Apr','May','Jun','Jul','Aug','Sep','Oct','Nov','Dec']
|
| 280 |
+
|
| 281 |
+
# Create synthetic ONI data
|
| 282 |
+
data = []
|
| 283 |
+
for year in years:
|
| 284 |
+
row = [year]
|
| 285 |
+
for month in months:
|
| 286 |
+
# Generate some realistic ONI values
|
| 287 |
+
value = np.random.normal(0, 1) * 0.5
|
| 288 |
+
row.append(f"{value:.2f}")
|
| 289 |
+
data.append(row)
|
| 290 |
+
|
| 291 |
+
df = pd.DataFrame(data, columns=['Year'] + months)
|
| 292 |
+
safe_file_write(output_file, df, get_fallback_data_dir())
|
| 293 |
+
|
| 294 |
+
# -----------------------------
|
| 295 |
+
# FIXED: IBTrACS Data Loading
|
| 296 |
+
# -----------------------------
|
| 297 |
+
|
| 298 |
+
def download_ibtracs_file(basin, force_download=False):
|
| 299 |
+
"""Download specific basin file from IBTrACS"""
|
| 300 |
+
filename = BASIN_FILES[basin]
|
| 301 |
+
local_path = os.path.join(DATA_PATH, filename)
|
| 302 |
+
url = IBTRACS_BASE_URL + filename
|
| 303 |
+
|
| 304 |
+
# Check if file exists and is recent (less than 7 days old)
|
| 305 |
+
if os.path.exists(local_path) and not force_download:
|
| 306 |
+
file_age = time.time() - os.path.getmtime(local_path)
|
| 307 |
+
if file_age < 7 * 24 * 3600: # 7 days
|
| 308 |
+
logging.info(f"Using cached {basin} basin file")
|
| 309 |
+
return local_path
|
| 310 |
+
|
| 311 |
+
try:
|
| 312 |
+
logging.info(f"Downloading {basin} basin file from {url}")
|
| 313 |
+
response = requests.get(url, timeout=60)
|
| 314 |
+
response.raise_for_status()
|
| 315 |
+
|
| 316 |
+
# Ensure directory exists
|
| 317 |
+
os.makedirs(os.path.dirname(local_path), exist_ok=True)
|
| 318 |
+
|
| 319 |
+
with open(local_path, 'wb') as f:
|
| 320 |
+
f.write(response.content)
|
| 321 |
+
logging.info(f"Successfully downloaded {basin} basin file")
|
| 322 |
+
return local_path
|
| 323 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 324 |
+
logging.error(f"Failed to download {basin} basin file: {e}")
|
| 325 |
+
return None
|
| 326 |
+
|
| 327 |
+
def load_ibtracs_csv_directly(basin='WP'):
|
| 328 |
+
"""Load IBTrACS data directly from CSV without tropycal"""
|
| 329 |
+
filename = BASIN_FILES[basin]
|
| 330 |
+
local_path = os.path.join(DATA_PATH, filename)
|
| 331 |
+
|
| 332 |
+
# Download if not exists
|
| 333 |
+
if not os.path.exists(local_path):
|
| 334 |
+
downloaded_path = download_ibtracs_file(basin)
|
| 335 |
+
if not downloaded_path:
|
| 336 |
+
return None
|
| 337 |
+
|
| 338 |
+
try:
|
| 339 |
+
# Read IBTrACS CSV with specific parameters
|
| 340 |
+
essential_columns = [
|
| 341 |
+
'SID', 'SEASON', 'NUMBER', 'BASIN', 'SUBBASIN', 'NAME',
|
| 342 |
+
'ISO_TIME', 'NATURE', 'LAT', 'LON', 'WMO_WIND', 'WMO_PRES',
|
| 343 |
+
'USA_WIND', 'USA_PRES', 'USA_STATUS', 'USA_R34_NE', 'USA_R34_SE',
|
| 344 |
+
'USA_R34_SW', 'USA_R34_NW', 'USA_R50_NE', 'USA_R50_SE',
|
| 345 |
+
'USA_R50_SW', 'USA_R50_NW', 'USA_R64_NE', 'USA_R64_SE',
|
| 346 |
+
'USA_R64_SW', 'USA_R64_NW', 'USA_RMW', 'USA_EYE'
|
| 347 |
+
]
|
| 348 |
+
|
| 349 |
+
# Read with error handling for missing columns
|
| 350 |
+
logging.info(f"Reading IBTrACS CSV file: {local_path}")
|
| 351 |
+
df = pd.read_csv(local_path, low_memory=False, skiprows=1) # Skip header row with units
|
| 352 |
+
|
| 353 |
+
# Check which essential columns exist
|
| 354 |
+
available_columns = [col for col in essential_columns if col in df.columns]
|
| 355 |
+
missing_columns = [col for col in essential_columns if col not in df.columns]
|
| 356 |
+
|
| 357 |
+
if missing_columns:
|
| 358 |
+
logging.warning(f"Missing columns in IBTrACS data: {missing_columns}")
|
| 359 |
+
|
| 360 |
+
# Select only available columns
|
| 361 |
+
df = df[available_columns].copy()
|
| 362 |
+
|
| 363 |
+
# Clean and standardize the data
|
| 364 |
+
# Convert ISO_TIME to datetime
|
| 365 |
+
df['ISO_TIME'] = pd.to_datetime(df['ISO_TIME'], format='%Y-%m-%d %H:%M:%S', errors='coerce')
|
| 366 |
+
|
| 367 |
+
# Clean numeric columns
|
| 368 |
+
numeric_columns = ['LAT', 'LON', 'WMO_WIND', 'WMO_PRES', 'USA_WIND', 'USA_PRES']
|
| 369 |
+
for col in numeric_columns:
|
| 370 |
+
if col in df.columns:
|
| 371 |
+
df[col] = pd.to_numeric(df[col], errors='coerce')
|
| 372 |
+
|
| 373 |
+
# Filter out invalid/missing critical data
|
| 374 |
+
df = df.dropna(subset=['ISO_TIME', 'LAT', 'LON'])
|
| 375 |
+
|
| 376 |
+
# Ensure LAT/LON are in reasonable ranges
|
| 377 |
+
df = df[(df['LAT'] >= -90) & (df['LAT'] <= 90)]
|
| 378 |
+
df = df[(df['LON'] >= -180) & (df['LON'] <= 180)]
|
| 379 |
+
|
| 380 |
+
logging.info(f"Successfully loaded {len(df)} records from {basin} basin")
|
| 381 |
+
return df
|
| 382 |
+
|
| 383 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 384 |
+
logging.error(f"Error reading IBTrACS CSV file: {e}")
|
| 385 |
+
return None
|
| 386 |
+
|
| 387 |
+
def load_ibtracs_data_fixed():
|
| 388 |
+
"""Fixed version of IBTrACS data loading"""
|
| 389 |
+
ibtracs_data = {}
|
| 390 |
+
|
| 391 |
+
# Try to load each basin, but prioritize WP for this application
|
| 392 |
+
load_order = ['WP', 'EP', 'NA']
|
| 393 |
+
|
| 394 |
+
for basin in load_order:
|
| 395 |
+
try:
|
| 396 |
+
logging.info(f"Loading {basin} basin data...")
|
| 397 |
+
df = load_ibtracs_csv_directly(basin)
|
| 398 |
+
|
| 399 |
+
if df is not None and not df.empty:
|
| 400 |
+
ibtracs_data[basin] = df
|
| 401 |
+
logging.info(f"Successfully loaded {basin} basin with {len(df)} records")
|
| 402 |
+
else:
|
| 403 |
+
logging.warning(f"No data loaded for basin {basin}")
|
| 404 |
+
ibtracs_data[basin] = None
|
| 405 |
+
|
| 406 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 407 |
+
logging.error(f"Failed to load basin {basin}: {e}")
|
| 408 |
+
ibtracs_data[basin] = None
|
| 409 |
+
|
| 410 |
+
return ibtracs_data
|
| 411 |
|
| 412 |
+
def load_data_fixed(oni_path, typhoon_path):
|
| 413 |
+
"""Fixed version of load_data function"""
|
| 414 |
+
# Load ONI data
|
| 415 |
oni_data = pd.DataFrame({'Year': [], 'Jan': [], 'Feb': [], 'Mar': [], 'Apr': [],
|
| 416 |
'May': [], 'Jun': [], 'Jul': [], 'Aug': [], 'Sep': [],
|
| 417 |
'Oct': [], 'Nov': [], 'Dec': []})
|
| 418 |
|
|
|
|
| 419 |
if not os.path.exists(oni_path):
|
| 420 |
logging.warning(f"ONI data file not found: {oni_path}")
|
| 421 |
update_oni_data()
|
| 422 |
|
| 423 |
try:
|
| 424 |
oni_data = pd.read_csv(oni_path)
|
| 425 |
+
logging.info(f"Successfully loaded ONI data with {len(oni_data)} years")
|
| 426 |
except Exception as e:
|
| 427 |
logging.error(f"Error loading ONI data: {e}")
|
| 428 |
update_oni_data()
|
|
|
|
| 431 |
except Exception as e:
|
| 432 |
logging.error(f"Still can't load ONI data: {e}")
|
| 433 |
|
| 434 |
+
# Load typhoon data - NEW APPROACH
|
| 435 |
+
typhoon_data = None
|
| 436 |
+
|
| 437 |
+
# First, try to load from existing processed file
|
| 438 |
if os.path.exists(typhoon_path):
|
| 439 |
try:
|
| 440 |
typhoon_data = pd.read_csv(typhoon_path, low_memory=False)
|
| 441 |
+
# Ensure basic columns exist and are valid
|
| 442 |
+
required_cols = ['SID', 'ISO_TIME', 'LAT', 'LON']
|
| 443 |
+
if all(col in typhoon_data.columns for col in required_cols):
|
| 444 |
+
typhoon_data['ISO_TIME'] = pd.to_datetime(typhoon_data['ISO_TIME'], errors='coerce')
|
| 445 |
+
typhoon_data = typhoon_data.dropna(subset=['ISO_TIME'])
|
| 446 |
+
logging.info(f"Loaded processed typhoon data with {len(typhoon_data)} records")
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 447 |
else:
|
| 448 |
+
logging.warning("Processed typhoon data missing required columns, will reload from IBTrACS")
|
| 449 |
+
typhoon_data = None
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 450 |
except Exception as e:
|
| 451 |
+
logging.error(f"Error loading processed typhoon data: {e}")
|
| 452 |
+
typhoon_data = None
|
| 453 |
+
|
| 454 |
+
# If no valid processed data, load from IBTrACS
|
| 455 |
+
if typhoon_data is None or typhoon_data.empty:
|
| 456 |
+
logging.info("Loading typhoon data from IBTrACS...")
|
| 457 |
+
ibtracs_data = load_ibtracs_data_fixed()
|
| 458 |
+
|
| 459 |
+
# Combine all available basin data, prioritizing WP
|
| 460 |
+
combined_dfs = []
|
| 461 |
+
for basin in ['WP', 'EP', 'NA']:
|
| 462 |
+
if basin in ibtracs_data and ibtracs_data[basin] is not None:
|
| 463 |
+
df = ibtracs_data[basin].copy()
|
| 464 |
+
df['BASIN'] = basin
|
| 465 |
+
combined_dfs.append(df)
|
| 466 |
+
|
| 467 |
+
if combined_dfs:
|
| 468 |
+
typhoon_data = pd.concat(combined_dfs, ignore_index=True)
|
| 469 |
+
# Ensure SID has proper format
|
| 470 |
+
if 'SID' not in typhoon_data.columns and 'BASIN' in typhoon_data.columns:
|
| 471 |
+
# Create SID from basin and other identifiers if missing
|
| 472 |
+
if 'NUMBER' in typhoon_data.columns and 'SEASON' in typhoon_data.columns:
|
| 473 |
+
typhoon_data['SID'] = (typhoon_data['BASIN'].astype(str) +
|
| 474 |
+
typhoon_data['NUMBER'].astype(str).str.zfill(2) +
|
| 475 |
+
typhoon_data['SEASON'].astype(str))
|
| 476 |
+
|
| 477 |
+
# Save the processed data for future use
|
| 478 |
+
safe_file_write(typhoon_path, typhoon_data, get_fallback_data_dir())
|
| 479 |
+
logging.info(f"Combined IBTrACS data: {len(typhoon_data)} total records")
|
| 480 |
+
else:
|
| 481 |
+
logging.error("Failed to load any IBTrACS basin data")
|
| 482 |
+
# Create minimal fallback data
|
| 483 |
+
typhoon_data = create_fallback_typhoon_data()
|
| 484 |
+
|
| 485 |
+
# Final validation of typhoon data
|
| 486 |
+
if typhoon_data is not None:
|
| 487 |
+
# Ensure required columns exist with fallback values
|
| 488 |
+
required_columns = {
|
| 489 |
+
'SID': 'UNKNOWN',
|
| 490 |
+
'ISO_TIME': pd.Timestamp('2000-01-01'),
|
| 491 |
+
'LAT': 0.0,
|
| 492 |
+
'LON': 0.0,
|
| 493 |
+
'USA_WIND': np.nan,
|
| 494 |
+
'USA_PRES': np.nan,
|
| 495 |
+
'NAME': 'UNNAMED',
|
| 496 |
+
'SEASON': 2000
|
| 497 |
+
}
|
| 498 |
+
|
| 499 |
+
for col, default_val in required_columns.items():
|
| 500 |
+
if col not in typhoon_data.columns:
|
| 501 |
+
typhoon_data[col] = default_val
|
| 502 |
+
logging.warning(f"Added missing column {col} with default value")
|
| 503 |
+
|
| 504 |
+
# Ensure data types
|
| 505 |
+
typhoon_data['ISO_TIME'] = pd.to_datetime(typhoon_data['ISO_TIME'], errors='coerce')
|
| 506 |
+
typhoon_data['LAT'] = pd.to_numeric(typhoon_data['LAT'], errors='coerce')
|
| 507 |
+
typhoon_data['LON'] = pd.to_numeric(typhoon_data['LON'], errors='coerce')
|
| 508 |
+
typhoon_data['USA_WIND'] = pd.to_numeric(typhoon_data['USA_WIND'], errors='coerce')
|
| 509 |
+
typhoon_data['USA_PRES'] = pd.to_numeric(typhoon_data['USA_PRES'], errors='coerce')
|
| 510 |
+
|
| 511 |
+
# Remove rows with invalid times or coordinates
|
| 512 |
+
typhoon_data = typhoon_data.dropna(subset=['ISO_TIME', 'LAT', 'LON'])
|
| 513 |
+
|
| 514 |
+
logging.info(f"Final typhoon data: {len(typhoon_data)} records after validation")
|
| 515 |
|
| 516 |
return oni_data, typhoon_data
|
| 517 |
|
| 518 |
+
def create_fallback_typhoon_data():
|
| 519 |
+
"""Create minimal fallback typhoon data"""
|
| 520 |
+
dates = pd.date_range(start='2000-01-01', end='2023-12-31', freq='D')
|
| 521 |
+
storm_dates = np.random.choice(dates, size=100, replace=False)
|
| 522 |
+
|
| 523 |
+
data = []
|
| 524 |
+
for i, date in enumerate(storm_dates):
|
| 525 |
+
# Create realistic WP storm tracks
|
| 526 |
+
base_lat = np.random.uniform(10, 30)
|
| 527 |
+
base_lon = np.random.uniform(130, 160)
|
| 528 |
+
|
| 529 |
+
# Generate 20-50 data points per storm
|
| 530 |
+
track_length = np.random.randint(20, 51)
|
| 531 |
+
sid = f"WP{i+1:02d}{date.year}"
|
| 532 |
+
|
| 533 |
+
for j in range(track_length):
|
| 534 |
+
lat = base_lat + j * 0.2 + np.random.normal(0, 0.1)
|
| 535 |
+
lon = base_lon + j * 0.3 + np.random.normal(0, 0.1)
|
| 536 |
+
wind = max(25, 70 + np.random.normal(0, 20))
|
| 537 |
+
pres = max(950, 1000 - wind + np.random.normal(0, 5))
|
| 538 |
+
|
| 539 |
+
data.append({
|
| 540 |
+
'SID': sid,
|
| 541 |
+
'ISO_TIME': date + timedelta(hours=j*6),
|
| 542 |
+
'NAME': f'FALLBACK_{i+1}',
|
| 543 |
+
'SEASON': date.year,
|
| 544 |
+
'LAT': lat,
|
| 545 |
+
'LON': lon,
|
| 546 |
+
'USA_WIND': wind,
|
| 547 |
+
'USA_PRES': pres,
|
| 548 |
+
'BASIN': 'WP'
|
| 549 |
+
})
|
| 550 |
+
|
| 551 |
+
return pd.DataFrame(data)
|
| 552 |
+
|
| 553 |
def process_oni_data(oni_data):
|
| 554 |
+
"""Process ONI data into long format"""
|
| 555 |
oni_long = oni_data.melt(id_vars=['Year'], var_name='Month', value_name='ONI')
|
| 556 |
month_map = {'Jan':'01','Feb':'02','Mar':'03','Apr':'04','May':'05','Jun':'06',
|
| 557 |
'Jul':'07','Aug':'08','Sep':'09','Oct':'10','Nov':'11','Dec':'12'}
|
|
|
|
| 561 |
return oni_long
|
| 562 |
|
| 563 |
def process_typhoon_data(typhoon_data):
|
| 564 |
+
"""Process typhoon data"""
|
| 565 |
typhoon_data['ISO_TIME'] = pd.to_datetime(typhoon_data['ISO_TIME'], errors='coerce')
|
| 566 |
typhoon_data['USA_WIND'] = pd.to_numeric(typhoon_data['USA_WIND'], errors='coerce')
|
| 567 |
typhoon_data['USA_PRES'] = pd.to_numeric(typhoon_data['USA_PRES'], errors='coerce')
|
| 568 |
typhoon_data['LON'] = pd.to_numeric(typhoon_data['LON'], errors='coerce')
|
| 569 |
+
|
| 570 |
logging.info(f"Unique basins in typhoon_data: {typhoon_data['SID'].str[:2].unique()}")
|
| 571 |
+
|
| 572 |
typhoon_max = typhoon_data.groupby('SID').agg({
|
| 573 |
'USA_WIND':'max','USA_PRES':'min','ISO_TIME':'first','SEASON':'first','NAME':'first',
|
| 574 |
'LAT':'first','LON':'first'
|
| 575 |
}).reset_index()
|
| 576 |
+
|
| 577 |
typhoon_max['Month'] = typhoon_max['ISO_TIME'].dt.strftime('%m')
|
| 578 |
typhoon_max['Year'] = typhoon_max['ISO_TIME'].dt.year
|
| 579 |
typhoon_max['Category'] = typhoon_max['USA_WIND'].apply(categorize_typhoon)
|
| 580 |
return typhoon_max
|
| 581 |
|
| 582 |
def merge_data(oni_long, typhoon_max):
|
| 583 |
+
"""Merge ONI and typhoon data"""
|
| 584 |
return pd.merge(typhoon_max, oni_long, on=['Year','Month'])
|
| 585 |
|
| 586 |
def categorize_typhoon(wind_speed):
|
| 587 |
+
"""Categorize typhoon based on wind speed"""
|
| 588 |
if wind_speed >= 137:
|
| 589 |
return 'C5 Super Typhoon'
|
| 590 |
elif wind_speed >= 113:
|
|
|
|
| 601 |
return 'Tropical Depression'
|
| 602 |
|
| 603 |
def classify_enso_phases(oni_value):
|
| 604 |
+
"""Classify ENSO phases based on ONI value"""
|
| 605 |
if isinstance(oni_value, pd.Series):
|
| 606 |
oni_value = oni_value.iloc[0]
|
| 607 |
if oni_value >= 0.5:
|
|
|
|
| 614 |
# -----------------------------
|
| 615 |
# Regression Functions
|
| 616 |
# -----------------------------
|
| 617 |
+
|
| 618 |
def perform_wind_regression(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month):
|
| 619 |
+
"""Perform wind regression analysis"""
|
| 620 |
start_date = datetime(start_year, start_month, 1)
|
| 621 |
end_date = datetime(end_year, end_month, 28)
|
| 622 |
data = merged_data[(merged_data['ISO_TIME']>=start_date) & (merged_data['ISO_TIME']<=end_date)].dropna(subset=['USA_WIND','ONI'])
|
| 623 |
data['severe_typhoon'] = (data['USA_WIND']>=64).astype(int)
|
| 624 |
X = sm.add_constant(data['ONI'])
|
| 625 |
y = data['severe_typhoon']
|
| 626 |
+
try:
|
| 627 |
+
model = sm.Logit(y, X).fit(disp=0)
|
| 628 |
+
beta_1 = model.params['ONI']
|
| 629 |
+
exp_beta_1 = np.exp(beta_1)
|
| 630 |
+
p_value = model.pvalues['ONI']
|
| 631 |
+
return f"Wind Regression: β1={beta_1:.4f}, Odds Ratio={exp_beta_1:.4f}, P-value={p_value:.4f}"
|
| 632 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 633 |
+
return f"Wind Regression Error: {e}"
|
| 634 |
|
| 635 |
def perform_pressure_regression(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month):
|
| 636 |
+
"""Perform pressure regression analysis"""
|
| 637 |
start_date = datetime(start_year, start_month, 1)
|
| 638 |
end_date = datetime(end_year, end_month, 28)
|
| 639 |
data = merged_data[(merged_data['ISO_TIME']>=start_date) & (merged_data['ISO_TIME']<=end_date)].dropna(subset=['USA_PRES','ONI'])
|
| 640 |
data['intense_typhoon'] = (data['USA_PRES']<=950).astype(int)
|
| 641 |
X = sm.add_constant(data['ONI'])
|
| 642 |
y = data['intense_typhoon']
|
| 643 |
+
try:
|
| 644 |
+
model = sm.Logit(y, X).fit(disp=0)
|
| 645 |
+
beta_1 = model.params['ONI']
|
| 646 |
+
exp_beta_1 = np.exp(beta_1)
|
| 647 |
+
p_value = model.pvalues['ONI']
|
| 648 |
+
return f"Pressure Regression: β1={beta_1:.4f}, Odds Ratio={exp_beta_1:.4f}, P-value={p_value:.4f}"
|
| 649 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 650 |
+
return f"Pressure Regression Error: {e}"
|
| 651 |
|
| 652 |
def perform_longitude_regression(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month):
|
| 653 |
+
"""Perform longitude regression analysis"""
|
| 654 |
start_date = datetime(start_year, start_month, 1)
|
| 655 |
end_date = datetime(end_year, end_month, 28)
|
| 656 |
data = merged_data[(merged_data['ISO_TIME']>=start_date) & (merged_data['ISO_TIME']<=end_date)].dropna(subset=['LON','ONI'])
|
| 657 |
data['western_typhoon'] = (data['LON']<=140).astype(int)
|
| 658 |
X = sm.add_constant(data['ONI'])
|
| 659 |
y = data['western_typhoon']
|
| 660 |
+
try:
|
| 661 |
+
model = sm.OLS(y, sm.add_constant(X)).fit()
|
| 662 |
+
beta_1 = model.params['ONI']
|
| 663 |
+
exp_beta_1 = np.exp(beta_1)
|
| 664 |
+
p_value = model.pvalues['ONI']
|
| 665 |
+
return f"Longitude Regression: β1={beta_1:.4f}, Odds Ratio={exp_beta_1:.4f}, P-value={p_value:.4f}"
|
| 666 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 667 |
+
return f"Longitude Regression Error: {e}"
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 668 |
|
| 669 |
# -----------------------------
|
| 670 |
# Visualization Functions
|
| 671 |
# -----------------------------
|
| 672 |
+
|
| 673 |
def generate_typhoon_tracks(filtered_data, typhoon_search):
|
| 674 |
+
"""Generate typhoon tracks visualization"""
|
| 675 |
fig = go.Figure()
|
| 676 |
for sid in filtered_data['SID'].unique():
|
| 677 |
storm_data = filtered_data[filtered_data['SID'] == sid]
|
|
|
|
| 697 |
return fig
|
| 698 |
|
| 699 |
def generate_wind_oni_scatter(filtered_data, typhoon_search):
|
| 700 |
+
"""Generate wind vs ONI scatter plot"""
|
| 701 |
fig = px.scatter(filtered_data, x='ONI', y='USA_WIND', color='Category',
|
| 702 |
hover_data=['NAME','Year','Category'],
|
| 703 |
title='Wind Speed vs ONI',
|
|
|
|
| 715 |
return fig
|
| 716 |
|
| 717 |
def generate_pressure_oni_scatter(filtered_data, typhoon_search):
|
| 718 |
+
"""Generate pressure vs ONI scatter plot"""
|
| 719 |
fig = px.scatter(filtered_data, x='ONI', y='USA_PRES', color='Category',
|
| 720 |
hover_data=['NAME','Year','Category'],
|
| 721 |
title='Pressure vs ONI',
|
|
|
|
| 733 |
return fig
|
| 734 |
|
| 735 |
def generate_regression_analysis(filtered_data):
|
| 736 |
+
"""Generate regression analysis plot"""
|
| 737 |
fig = px.scatter(filtered_data, x='LON', y='ONI', hover_data=['NAME'],
|
| 738 |
title='Typhoon Generation Longitude vs ONI (All Years)')
|
| 739 |
if len(filtered_data) > 1:
|
| 740 |
X = np.array(filtered_data['LON']).reshape(-1,1)
|
| 741 |
y = filtered_data['ONI']
|
| 742 |
+
try:
|
| 743 |
+
model = sm.OLS(y, sm.add_constant(X)).fit()
|
| 744 |
+
y_pred = model.predict(sm.add_constant(X))
|
| 745 |
+
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(x=filtered_data['LON'], y=y_pred, mode='lines', name='Regression Line'))
|
| 746 |
+
slope = model.params[1]
|
| 747 |
+
slopes_text = f"All Years Slope: {slope:.4f}"
|
| 748 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 749 |
+
slopes_text = f"Regression Error: {e}"
|
| 750 |
else:
|
| 751 |
slopes_text = "Insufficient data for regression"
|
| 752 |
return fig, slopes_text
|
| 753 |
|
| 754 |
def generate_main_analysis(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month, enso_phase, typhoon_search):
|
| 755 |
+
"""Generate main analysis plots"""
|
| 756 |
start_date = datetime(start_year, start_month, 1)
|
| 757 |
end_date = datetime(end_year, end_month, 28)
|
| 758 |
filtered_data = merged_data[(merged_data['ISO_TIME']>=start_date) & (merged_data['ISO_TIME']<=end_date)].copy()
|
|
|
|
| 766 |
return tracks_fig, wind_scatter, pressure_scatter, regression_fig, slopes_text
|
| 767 |
|
| 768 |
def get_full_tracks(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month, enso_phase, typhoon_search):
|
| 769 |
+
"""Get full typhoon tracks"""
|
| 770 |
start_date = datetime(start_year, start_month, 1)
|
| 771 |
end_date = datetime(end_year, end_month, 28)
|
| 772 |
filtered_data = merged_data[(merged_data['ISO_TIME']>=start_date) & (merged_data['ISO_TIME']<=end_date)].copy()
|
|
|
|
| 779 |
for sid in unique_storms:
|
| 780 |
storm_data = typhoon_data[typhoon_data['SID']==sid]
|
| 781 |
name = storm_data['NAME'].iloc[0] if pd.notnull(storm_data['NAME'].iloc[0]) else "Unnamed"
|
| 782 |
+
basin = storm_data['SID'].iloc[0][:2]
|
| 783 |
storm_oni = filtered_data[filtered_data['SID']==sid]['ONI'].iloc[0]
|
| 784 |
color = 'red' if storm_oni>=0.5 else ('blue' if storm_oni<=-0.5 else 'green')
|
| 785 |
fig.add_trace(go.Scattergeo(
|
|
|
|
| 823 |
return fig, f"Total typhoons displayed: {count}"
|
| 824 |
|
| 825 |
def get_wind_analysis(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month, enso_phase, typhoon_search):
|
| 826 |
+
"""Get wind analysis"""
|
| 827 |
results = generate_main_analysis(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month, enso_phase, typhoon_search)
|
| 828 |
regression = perform_wind_regression(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month)
|
| 829 |
return results[1], regression
|
| 830 |
|
| 831 |
def get_pressure_analysis(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month, enso_phase, typhoon_search):
|
| 832 |
+
"""Get pressure analysis"""
|
| 833 |
results = generate_main_analysis(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month, enso_phase, typhoon_search)
|
| 834 |
regression = perform_pressure_regression(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month)
|
| 835 |
return results[2], regression
|
| 836 |
|
| 837 |
def get_longitude_analysis(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month, enso_phase, typhoon_search):
|
| 838 |
+
"""Get longitude analysis"""
|
| 839 |
results = generate_main_analysis(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month, enso_phase, typhoon_search)
|
| 840 |
regression = perform_longitude_regression(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month)
|
| 841 |
return results[3], results[4], regression
|
| 842 |
|
| 843 |
def categorize_typhoon_by_standard(wind_speed, standard='atlantic'):
|
| 844 |
+
"""Categorize typhoon by standard"""
|
| 845 |
if standard=='taiwan':
|
| 846 |
wind_speed_ms = wind_speed * 0.514444
|
| 847 |
if wind_speed_ms >= 51.0:
|
|
|
|
| 867 |
return 'Tropical Depression', atlantic_standard['Tropical Depression']['hex']
|
| 868 |
|
| 869 |
# -----------------------------
|
| 870 |
+
# TSNE Cluster Function
|
| 871 |
# -----------------------------
|
| 872 |
+
|
| 873 |
def update_route_clusters(start_year, start_month, end_year, end_month, enso_value, season):
|
| 874 |
+
"""Updated TSNE cluster function with mean curves"""
|
| 875 |
try:
|
| 876 |
+
# Merge raw typhoon data with ONI
|
| 877 |
raw_data = typhoon_data.copy()
|
| 878 |
raw_data['Year'] = raw_data['ISO_TIME'].dt.year
|
| 879 |
raw_data['Month'] = raw_data['ISO_TIME'].dt.strftime('%m')
|
|
|
|
| 899 |
logging.info("WP regional filter returned no data; using all filtered data.")
|
| 900 |
wp_data = merged_raw
|
| 901 |
|
| 902 |
+
# Group by storm ID
|
| 903 |
all_storms_data = []
|
| 904 |
for sid, group in wp_data.groupby('SID'):
|
| 905 |
group = group.sort_values('ISO_TIME')
|
|
|
|
| 908 |
lons = group['LON'].astype(float).values
|
| 909 |
if len(lons) < 2:
|
| 910 |
continue
|
| 911 |
+
# Extract wind and pressure curves
|
| 912 |
wind = group['USA_WIND'].astype(float).values if 'USA_WIND' in group.columns else None
|
| 913 |
pres = group['USA_PRES'].astype(float).values if 'USA_PRES' in group.columns else None
|
| 914 |
all_storms_data.append((sid, lons, lats, times, wind, pres))
|
| 915 |
+
|
| 916 |
logging.info(f"Storms available for TSNE after grouping: {len(all_storms_data)}")
|
| 917 |
if not all_storms_data:
|
| 918 |
return go.Figure(), go.Figure(), make_subplots(rows=2, cols=1), "No valid storms for clustering."
|
| 919 |
|
| 920 |
+
# Interpolate each storm's route to a common length
|
| 921 |
max_length = max(len(item[1]) for item in all_storms_data)
|
| 922 |
route_vectors = []
|
| 923 |
wind_curves = []
|
| 924 |
pres_curves = []
|
| 925 |
storm_ids = []
|
| 926 |
+
|
| 927 |
for sid, lons, lats, times, wind, pres in all_storms_data:
|
| 928 |
t = np.linspace(0, 1, len(lons))
|
| 929 |
t_new = np.linspace(0, 1, max_length)
|
|
|
|
| 933 |
except Exception as ex:
|
| 934 |
logging.error(f"Interpolation error for storm {sid}: {ex}")
|
| 935 |
continue
|
| 936 |
+
|
| 937 |
route_vector = np.column_stack((lon_interp, lat_interp)).flatten()
|
| 938 |
if np.isnan(route_vector).any():
|
| 939 |
continue
|
| 940 |
+
|
| 941 |
route_vectors.append(route_vector)
|
| 942 |
storm_ids.append(sid)
|
| 943 |
+
|
| 944 |
+
# Interpolate wind and pressure
|
| 945 |
if wind is not None and len(wind) >= 2:
|
| 946 |
try:
|
| 947 |
wind_interp = interp1d(t, wind, kind='linear', fill_value='extrapolate')(t_new)
|
|
|
|
| 950 |
wind_interp = np.full(max_length, np.nan)
|
| 951 |
else:
|
| 952 |
wind_interp = np.full(max_length, np.nan)
|
| 953 |
+
|
| 954 |
if pres is not None and len(pres) >= 2:
|
| 955 |
try:
|
| 956 |
pres_interp = interp1d(t, pres, kind='linear', fill_value='extrapolate')(t_new)
|
|
|
|
| 959 |
pres_interp = np.full(max_length, np.nan)
|
| 960 |
else:
|
| 961 |
pres_interp = np.full(max_length, np.nan)
|
| 962 |
+
|
| 963 |
wind_curves.append(wind_interp)
|
| 964 |
pres_curves.append(pres_interp)
|
| 965 |
+
|
| 966 |
logging.info(f"Storms with valid route vectors: {len(route_vectors)}")
|
| 967 |
if len(route_vectors) == 0:
|
| 968 |
return go.Figure(), go.Figure(), make_subplots(rows=2, cols=1), "No valid storms after interpolation."
|
|
|
|
| 975 |
tsne = TSNE(n_components=2, random_state=42, verbose=1)
|
| 976 |
tsne_results = tsne.fit_transform(route_vectors)
|
| 977 |
|
| 978 |
+
# Dynamic DBSCAN
|
| 979 |
selected_labels = None
|
| 980 |
selected_eps = None
|
| 981 |
for eps in np.linspace(1.0, 10.0, 91):
|
|
|
|
| 986 |
selected_labels = labels
|
| 987 |
selected_eps = eps
|
| 988 |
break
|
| 989 |
+
|
| 990 |
if selected_labels is None:
|
| 991 |
selected_eps = 5.0
|
| 992 |
dbscan = DBSCAN(eps=selected_eps, min_samples=3)
|
| 993 |
selected_labels = dbscan.fit_predict(tsne_results)
|
| 994 |
+
|
| 995 |
logging.info(f"Selected DBSCAN eps: {selected_eps:.2f} yielding {len(set(selected_labels)-{-1})} clusters.")
|
| 996 |
|
| 997 |
# TSNE scatter plot
|
| 998 |
fig_tsne = go.Figure()
|
| 999 |
colors = px.colors.qualitative.Safe
|
| 1000 |
unique_labels = sorted(set(selected_labels) - {-1})
|
| 1001 |
+
|
| 1002 |
for i, label in enumerate(unique_labels):
|
| 1003 |
indices = np.where(selected_labels == label)[0]
|
| 1004 |
fig_tsne.add_trace(go.Scatter(
|
|
|
|
| 1008 |
marker=dict(color=colors[i % len(colors)]),
|
| 1009 |
name=f"Cluster {label}"
|
| 1010 |
))
|
| 1011 |
+
|
| 1012 |
noise_indices = np.where(selected_labels == -1)[0]
|
| 1013 |
if len(noise_indices) > 0:
|
| 1014 |
fig_tsne.add_trace(go.Scatter(
|
|
|
|
| 1018 |
marker=dict(color='grey'),
|
| 1019 |
name='Noise'
|
| 1020 |
))
|
| 1021 |
+
|
| 1022 |
fig_tsne.update_layout(
|
| 1023 |
title="t-SNE of Storm Routes",
|
| 1024 |
xaxis_title="t-SNE Dim 1",
|
| 1025 |
yaxis_title="t-SNE Dim 2"
|
| 1026 |
)
|
| 1027 |
|
| 1028 |
+
# Compute mean routes and curves for each cluster
|
| 1029 |
fig_routes = go.Figure()
|
| 1030 |
+
cluster_stats = []
|
| 1031 |
+
|
| 1032 |
for i, label in enumerate(unique_labels):
|
| 1033 |
indices = np.where(selected_labels == label)[0]
|
| 1034 |
cluster_ids = [storm_ids[j] for j in indices]
|
|
|
|
| 1037 |
mean_route = mean_vector.reshape((max_length, 2))
|
| 1038 |
mean_lon = mean_route[:, 0]
|
| 1039 |
mean_lat = mean_route[:, 1]
|
| 1040 |
+
|
| 1041 |
fig_routes.add_trace(go.Scattergeo(
|
| 1042 |
lon=mean_lon,
|
| 1043 |
lat=mean_lat,
|
|
|
|
| 1045 |
line=dict(width=4, color=colors[i % len(colors)]),
|
| 1046 |
name=f"Cluster {label} Mean Route"
|
| 1047 |
))
|
| 1048 |
+
|
| 1049 |
+
# Compute mean curves
|
| 1050 |
cluster_winds = wind_curves[indices, :]
|
| 1051 |
cluster_pres = pres_curves[indices, :]
|
| 1052 |
mean_wind_curve = np.nanmean(cluster_winds, axis=0)
|
| 1053 |
mean_pres_curve = np.nanmean(cluster_pres, axis=0)
|
| 1054 |
cluster_stats.append((label, mean_wind_curve, mean_pres_curve))
|
| 1055 |
|
| 1056 |
+
# Create cluster stats plot
|
| 1057 |
x_axis = np.linspace(0, 1, max_length)
|
| 1058 |
fig_stats = make_subplots(rows=2, cols=1, shared_xaxes=True,
|
| 1059 |
subplot_titles=("Mean Wind Speed (knots)", "Mean MSLP (hPa)"))
|
| 1060 |
+
|
| 1061 |
for i, (label, wind_curve, pres_curve) in enumerate(cluster_stats):
|
| 1062 |
fig_stats.add_trace(go.Scatter(
|
| 1063 |
x=x_axis,
|
|
|
|
| 1066 |
line=dict(width=2, color=colors[i % len(colors)]),
|
| 1067 |
name=f"Cluster {label} Mean Wind"
|
| 1068 |
), row=1, col=1)
|
| 1069 |
+
|
| 1070 |
fig_stats.add_trace(go.Scatter(
|
| 1071 |
x=x_axis,
|
| 1072 |
y=pres_curve,
|
|
|
|
| 1074 |
line=dict(width=2, color=colors[i % len(colors)]),
|
| 1075 |
name=f"Cluster {label} Mean MSLP"
|
| 1076 |
), row=2, col=1)
|
| 1077 |
+
|
| 1078 |
fig_stats.update_layout(
|
| 1079 |
title="Cluster Mean Curves",
|
| 1080 |
xaxis_title="Normalized Route Index",
|
|
|
|
| 1086 |
|
| 1087 |
info = f"TSNE clustering complete. Selected eps: {selected_eps:.2f}. Clusters: {len(unique_labels)}."
|
| 1088 |
return fig_tsne, fig_routes, fig_stats, info
|
| 1089 |
+
|
| 1090 |
except Exception as e:
|
| 1091 |
logging.error(f"Error in TSNE clustering: {e}")
|
| 1092 |
return go.Figure(), go.Figure(), make_subplots(rows=2, cols=1), f"Error in TSNE clustering: {e}"
|
| 1093 |
|
| 1094 |
# -----------------------------
|
| 1095 |
+
# Animation Functions
|
| 1096 |
# -----------------------------
|
| 1097 |
+
|
| 1098 |
def generate_track_video_from_csv(year, storm_id, standard):
|
| 1099 |
+
"""Generate track video from CSV data"""
|
| 1100 |
storm_df = typhoon_data[typhoon_data['SID'] == storm_id].copy()
|
| 1101 |
if storm_df.empty:
|
| 1102 |
logging.error(f"No data found for storm: {storm_id}")
|
| 1103 |
return None
|
| 1104 |
+
|
| 1105 |
storm_df = storm_df.sort_values('ISO_TIME')
|
| 1106 |
lats = storm_df['LAT'].astype(float).values
|
| 1107 |
lons = storm_df['LON'].astype(float).values
|
| 1108 |
times = pd.to_datetime(storm_df['ISO_TIME']).values
|
| 1109 |
+
|
| 1110 |
if 'USA_WIND' in storm_df.columns:
|
| 1111 |
winds = pd.to_numeric(storm_df['USA_WIND'], errors='coerce').values
|
| 1112 |
else:
|
| 1113 |
winds = np.full(len(lats), np.nan)
|
| 1114 |
+
|
| 1115 |
storm_name = storm_df['NAME'].iloc[0]
|
| 1116 |
+
basin = storm_df['SID'].iloc[0][:2]
|
| 1117 |
season = storm_df['SEASON'].iloc[0]
|
| 1118 |
|
| 1119 |
min_lat, max_lat = np.min(lats), np.max(lats)
|
|
|
|
| 1136 |
point, = ax.plot([], [], 'o', markersize=8, transform=ccrs.PlateCarree())
|
| 1137 |
date_text = ax.text(0.02, 0.02, '', transform=ax.transAxes, fontsize=10,
|
| 1138 |
bbox=dict(facecolor='white', alpha=0.8))
|
|
|
|
| 1139 |
storm_info_text = fig.text(0.70, 0.60, '', fontsize=10,
|
| 1140 |
bbox=dict(facecolor='white', alpha=0.8, boxstyle='round,pad=0.5'))
|
| 1141 |
|
|
|
|
| 1168 |
|
| 1169 |
ani = animation.FuncAnimation(fig, update, init_func=init, frames=len(times),
|
| 1170 |
interval=200, blit=True, repeat=True)
|
| 1171 |
+
|
| 1172 |
+
# Create animation file
|
| 1173 |
+
temp_file = tempfile.NamedTemporaryFile(delete=False, suffix='.mp4', dir=DATA_PATH)
|
| 1174 |
+
try:
|
| 1175 |
+
writer = animation.FFMpegWriter(fps=5, bitrate=1800)
|
| 1176 |
+
ani.save(temp_file.name, writer=writer)
|
| 1177 |
+
plt.close(fig)
|
| 1178 |
+
return temp_file.name
|
| 1179 |
+
except Exception as e:
|
| 1180 |
+
logging.error(f"Error creating animation: {e}")
|
| 1181 |
+
plt.close(fig)
|
| 1182 |
+
return None
|
| 1183 |
|
| 1184 |
def simplified_track_video(year, basin, typhoon, standard):
|
| 1185 |
+
"""Simplified track video function"""
|
| 1186 |
if not typhoon:
|
| 1187 |
return None
|
| 1188 |
storm_id = typhoon.split('(')[-1].strip(')')
|
| 1189 |
return generate_track_video_from_csv(year, storm_id, standard)
|
| 1190 |
|
| 1191 |
# -----------------------------
|
| 1192 |
+
# FIXED: Update Typhoon Options Function
|
| 1193 |
# -----------------------------
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1194 |
|
| 1195 |
+
def update_typhoon_options_fixed(year, basin):
|
| 1196 |
+
"""Fixed version of update_typhoon_options"""
|
| 1197 |
try:
|
| 1198 |
+
# Use the typhoon_data already loaded
|
| 1199 |
+
if typhoon_data is None or typhoon_data.empty:
|
| 1200 |
+
logging.error("No typhoon data available")
|
| 1201 |
+
return gr.update(choices=[], value=None)
|
| 1202 |
+
|
| 1203 |
+
# Filter by year
|
| 1204 |
+
year_data = typhoon_data[typhoon_data['ISO_TIME'].dt.year == int(year)].copy()
|
| 1205 |
+
|
| 1206 |
+
if basin != "All Basins":
|
| 1207 |
+
# Extract basin code
|
| 1208 |
+
basin_code = basin.split(' - ')[0] if ' - ' in basin else basin[:2]
|
| 1209 |
+
# Filter by basin
|
| 1210 |
+
if 'SID' in year_data.columns:
|
| 1211 |
+
year_data = year_data[year_data['SID'].str.startswith(basin_code, na=False)]
|
| 1212 |
+
elif 'BASIN' in year_data.columns:
|
| 1213 |
+
year_data = year_data[year_data['BASIN'] == basin_code]
|
| 1214 |
+
|
| 1215 |
+
if year_data.empty:
|
| 1216 |
+
logging.warning(f"No storms found for year {year} and basin {basin}")
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1217 |
return gr.update(choices=[], value=None)
|
| 1218 |
+
|
| 1219 |
+
# Get unique storms and create options
|
| 1220 |
+
storms = year_data.groupby('SID').first().reset_index()
|
| 1221 |
options = []
|
| 1222 |
+
|
| 1223 |
+
for _, storm in storms.iterrows():
|
| 1224 |
+
name = storm.get('NAME', 'UNNAMED')
|
| 1225 |
+
if pd.isna(name) or name == '':
|
| 1226 |
+
name = 'UNNAMED'
|
| 1227 |
+
sid = storm['SID']
|
| 1228 |
+
options.append(f"{name} ({sid})")
|
| 1229 |
+
|
| 1230 |
+
if not options:
|
| 1231 |
+
return gr.update(choices=[], value=None)
|
| 1232 |
+
|
| 1233 |
+
return gr.update(choices=sorted(options), value=options[0])
|
| 1234 |
+
|
| 1235 |
except Exception as e:
|
| 1236 |
+
logging.error(f"Error in update_typhoon_options_fixed: {e}")
|
| 1237 |
return gr.update(choices=[], value=None)
|
| 1238 |
|
| 1239 |
+
# -----------------------------
|
| 1240 |
+
# Load & Process Data (using fixed functions)
|
| 1241 |
+
# -----------------------------
|
| 1242 |
+
|
| 1243 |
+
logging.info("Starting data loading process...")
|
| 1244 |
+
update_oni_data()
|
| 1245 |
+
oni_data, typhoon_data = load_data_fixed(ONI_DATA_PATH, TYPHOON_DATA_PATH)
|
| 1246 |
+
oni_long = process_oni_data(oni_data)
|
| 1247 |
+
typhoon_max = process_typhoon_data(typhoon_data)
|
| 1248 |
+
merged_data = merge_data(oni_long, typhoon_max)
|
| 1249 |
+
logging.info("Data loading complete.")
|
| 1250 |
+
|
| 1251 |
# -----------------------------
|
| 1252 |
# Gradio Interface
|
| 1253 |
# -----------------------------
|
| 1254 |
+
|
| 1255 |
with gr.Blocks(title="Typhoon Analysis Dashboard") as demo:
|
| 1256 |
gr.Markdown("# Typhoon Analysis Dashboard")
|
| 1257 |
|
|
|
|
| 1266 |
- **Wind Analysis**: Examine wind speed vs ONI relationships.
|
| 1267 |
- **Pressure Analysis**: Analyze pressure vs ONI relationships.
|
| 1268 |
- **Longitude Analysis**: Study typhoon generation longitude vs ONI.
|
| 1269 |
+
- **Path Animation**: View animated storm tracks on a world map.
|
| 1270 |
+
- **TSNE Cluster**: Perform t-SNE clustering on storm routes.
|
| 1271 |
+
|
| 1272 |
+
### Data Status:
|
| 1273 |
+
- **ONI Data**: %d years loaded
|
| 1274 |
+
- **Typhoon Data**: %d records loaded
|
| 1275 |
+
- **Merged Data**: %d typhoons with ONI values
|
| 1276 |
+
""" % (len(oni_data), len(typhoon_data), len(merged_data)))
|
| 1277 |
|
| 1278 |
with gr.Tab("Track Visualization"):
|
| 1279 |
with gr.Row():
|
|
|
|
| 1339 |
with gr.Tab("Tropical Cyclone Path Animation"):
|
| 1340 |
with gr.Row():
|
| 1341 |
year_dropdown = gr.Dropdown(label="Year", choices=[str(y) for y in range(1950, 2025)], value="2000")
|
|
|
|
| 1342 |
basin_constant = gr.Textbox(value="All Basins", visible=False)
|
| 1343 |
with gr.Row():
|
| 1344 |
typhoon_dropdown = gr.Dropdown(label="Tropical Cyclone")
|
|
|
|
| 1347 |
path_video = gr.Video(label="Tropical Cyclone Path Animation", format="mp4", interactive=False, elem_id="path_video")
|
| 1348 |
animation_info = gr.Markdown("""
|
| 1349 |
### Animation Instructions
|
| 1350 |
+
1. Select a year.
|
| 1351 |
2. Choose a tropical cyclone from the populated list.
|
| 1352 |
3. Select a classification standard (Atlantic or Taiwan).
|
| 1353 |
4. Click "Generate Animation".
|
| 1354 |
+
5. The animation displays the storm track on a world map with dynamic sidebar information.
|
|
|
|
| 1355 |
""")
|
| 1356 |
+
# Update typhoon dropdown using fixed function
|
| 1357 |
+
year_dropdown.change(fn=update_typhoon_options_fixed,
|
| 1358 |
+
inputs=[year_dropdown, basin_constant],
|
| 1359 |
+
outputs=typhoon_dropdown)
|
| 1360 |
animate_btn.click(fn=simplified_track_video,
|
| 1361 |
inputs=[year_dropdown, basin_constant, typhoon_dropdown, standard_dropdown],
|
| 1362 |
outputs=path_video)
|
|
|
|
| 1378 |
inputs=[tsne_start_year, tsne_start_month, tsne_end_year, tsne_end_month, tsne_enso_phase, tsne_season],
|
| 1379 |
outputs=[tsne_plot, routes_plot, stats_plot, cluster_info])
|
| 1380 |
|
| 1381 |
+
if __name__ == "__main__":
|
| 1382 |
+
demo.launch(share=True)
|