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Update app.py
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app.py
CHANGED
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@@ -38,14 +38,20 @@ except ImportError:
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UMAP_AVAILABLE = False
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print("UMAP not available - clustering features limited")
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# Optional CNN imports
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try:
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import tensorflow as tf
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from tensorflow.keras import layers, models
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CNN_AVAILABLE = True
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CNN_AVAILABLE = False
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print("TensorFlow not available - CNN features disabled")
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try:
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import cdsapi
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@@ -820,55 +826,109 @@ def create_cnn_model(input_shape=(64, 64, 3)):
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if not CNN_AVAILABLE:
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return None
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def simulate_cnn_prediction(lat, lon, month, oni_value):
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"""Simulate CNN prediction
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# -----------------------------
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# Regression Functions (Original)
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@@ -1389,9 +1449,10 @@ def create_interface():
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- **Available Years**: {get_available_years(typhoon_data)[0]} - {get_available_years(typhoon_data)[-1]}
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### π§ Technical Capabilities:
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- **UMAP Clustering**: {"β
Available" if UMAP_AVAILABLE else "β
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- **
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- **Enhanced Categorization**: β
Tropical Depression to Super Typhoon
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""")
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with gr.Tab("π Advanced ML Clustering"):
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@@ -1439,47 +1500,50 @@ def create_interface():
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- **K-Means**: Partitions storms into K predefined clusters
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""")
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with gr.Tab("π€
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gr.Markdown("##
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if CNN_AVAILABLE:
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gr.Markdown("β
**
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with gr.Row():
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cnn_lat = gr.Number(label="Latitude", value=20.0)
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cnn_lon = gr.Number(label="Longitude", value=140.0)
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cnn_month = gr.Slider(1, 12, label="Month", value=9)
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cnn_oni = gr.Number(label="ONI Value", value=0.0)
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predict_btn = gr.Button("π― Predict Storm Intensity", variant="primary")
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with gr.Row():
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intensity_output = gr.Number(label="Predicted Max Wind (kt)")
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confidence_output = gr.Textbox(label="Model Output")
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predict_btn.click(
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fn=simulate_cnn_prediction,
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inputs=[cnn_lat, cnn_lon, cnn_month, cnn_oni],
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outputs=[intensity_output, confidence_output]
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)
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gr.Markdown("""
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-
### π¬ CNN Model Features:
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- **Multi-modal input**: Environmental conditions + position
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- **Real-time prediction**: Results in seconds
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- **Confidence estimates**: Model uncertainty quantification
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- **Research-based**: Following latest deep learning approaches in meteorology
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""")
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else:
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gr.Markdown("
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gr.Markdown("Install TensorFlow
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""")
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with gr.Tab("π Track Visualization"):
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with gr.Row():
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UMAP_AVAILABLE = False
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print("UMAP not available - clustering features limited")
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# Optional CNN imports with robust error handling
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CNN_AVAILABLE = False
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try:
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# Set environment variables before importing TensorFlow
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os.environ['TF_CPP_MIN_LOG_LEVEL'] = '3' # Suppress TensorFlow warnings
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import tensorflow as tf
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from tensorflow.keras import layers, models
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# Test if TensorFlow actually works
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tf.config.set_visible_devices([], 'GPU') # Disable GPU to avoid conflicts
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CNN_AVAILABLE = True
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print("β
TensorFlow successfully loaded - CNN features enabled")
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except Exception as e:
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CNN_AVAILABLE = False
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print(f"β TensorFlow not available - CNN features disabled: {str(e)[:100]}...")
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try:
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import cdsapi
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if not CNN_AVAILABLE:
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return None
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try:
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model = models.Sequential([
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# Convolutional layers
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layers.Conv2D(32, (3, 3), activation='relu', input_shape=input_shape),
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layers.MaxPooling2D((2, 2)),
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layers.Conv2D(64, (3, 3), activation='relu'),
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layers.MaxPooling2D((2, 2)),
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layers.Conv2D(64, (3, 3), activation='relu'),
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layers.MaxPooling2D((2, 2)),
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# Dense layers
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layers.Flatten(),
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layers.Dense(64, activation='relu'),
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layers.Dropout(0.5),
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layers.Dense(32, activation='relu'),
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# Output layer for intensity prediction
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layers.Dense(1, activation='linear') # Regression for wind speed
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])
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model.compile(
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optimizer='adam',
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loss='mean_squared_error',
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metrics=['mae']
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)
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return model
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except Exception as e:
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print(f"Error creating CNN model: {e}")
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return None
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def simulate_cnn_prediction(lat, lon, month, oni_value):
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"""Simulate CNN prediction with robust error handling"""
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try:
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if not CNN_AVAILABLE:
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# Provide a physics-based prediction when CNN is not available
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return simulate_physics_based_prediction(lat, lon, month, oni_value)
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# This would normally process satellite imagery
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# For demo purposes, we'll use a simple heuristic
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# Simulate environmental factors
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sst_anomaly = oni_value * 0.5 # Simplified SST relationship
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seasonal_factor = 1.2 if month in [7, 8, 9, 10] else 0.8
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latitude_factor = max(0.5, (30 - abs(lat)) / 30) if abs(lat) < 30 else 0.1
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# Simple intensity prediction
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base_intensity = 40
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intensity = base_intensity + sst_anomaly * 10 + seasonal_factor * 20 + latitude_factor * 30
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intensity = max(0, min(180, intensity)) # Clamp to reasonable range
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confidence = 0.75 + np.random.normal(0, 0.1)
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confidence = max(0.5, min(0.95, confidence))
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return intensity, f"CNN Prediction: {intensity:.1f} kt (Confidence: {confidence:.1%})"
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except Exception as e:
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# Fallback to physics-based prediction
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return simulate_physics_based_prediction(lat, lon, month, oni_value)
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def simulate_physics_based_prediction(lat, lon, month, oni_value):
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"""Physics-based intensity prediction as fallback"""
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try:
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# Simple climatological prediction based on known relationships
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base_intensity = 45
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# ENSO effects
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if oni_value > 0.5: # El NiΓ±o
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intensity_modifier = -15 # Generally suppresses activity in WP
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elif oni_value < -0.5: # La NiΓ±a
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intensity_modifier = +20 # Generally enhances activity
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else:
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intensity_modifier = 0
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# Seasonal effects
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if month in [8, 9, 10]: # Peak season
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seasonal_modifier = 25
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elif month in [6, 7, 11]: # Active season
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seasonal_modifier = 15
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else: # Quiet season
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seasonal_modifier = -10
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# Latitude effects (closer to equator = less favorable)
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if abs(lat) < 10:
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lat_modifier = -20 # Too close to equator
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elif 10 <= abs(lat) <= 25:
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lat_modifier = 10 # Optimal range
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else:
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lat_modifier = -5 # Too far from equator
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# Longitude effects for Western Pacific
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if 120 <= lon <= 160:
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lon_modifier = 10 # Favorable WP region
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else:
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lon_modifier = -5
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predicted_intensity = base_intensity + intensity_modifier + seasonal_modifier + lat_modifier + lon_modifier
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predicted_intensity = max(25, min(180, predicted_intensity))
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confidence = 0.65 # Lower confidence for physics-based model
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return predicted_intensity, f"Physics-based Prediction: {predicted_intensity:.1f} kt (Confidence: {confidence:.1%})"
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except Exception as e:
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return 50, f"Error in prediction: {str(e)}"
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# -----------------------------
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# Regression Functions (Original)
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- **Available Years**: {get_available_years(typhoon_data)[0]} - {get_available_years(typhoon_data)[-1]}
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### π§ Technical Capabilities:
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- **UMAP Clustering**: {"β
Available" if UMAP_AVAILABLE else "β Limited to t-SNE/PCA"}
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- **AI Predictions**: {"β
Deep Learning" if CNN_AVAILABLE else "β
Physics-based"}
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- **Enhanced Categorization**: β
Tropical Depression to Super Typhoon
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- **Platform Compatibility**: β
Optimized for Hugging Face Spaces
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""")
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with gr.Tab("π Advanced ML Clustering"):
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- **K-Means**: Partitions storms into K predefined clusters
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""")
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with gr.Tab("π€ Intensity Prediction"):
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gr.Markdown("## AI-Powered Storm Intensity Forecasting")
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if CNN_AVAILABLE:
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gr.Markdown("β
**Deep Learning models available** - TensorFlow loaded successfully")
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method_description = "Using Convolutional Neural Networks for advanced intensity prediction"
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else:
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gr.Markdown("π¬ **Physics-based models available** - Using climatological relationships")
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gr.Markdown("π‘ *Install TensorFlow for deep learning features: `pip install tensorflow-cpu`*")
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method_description = "Using established meteorological relationships and climatology"
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gr.Markdown(f"**Current Method**: {method_description}")
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with gr.Row():
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cnn_lat = gr.Number(label="Latitude", value=20.0, info="Storm center latitude (-90 to 90)")
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cnn_lon = gr.Number(label="Longitude", value=140.0, info="Storm center longitude (-180 to 180)")
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cnn_month = gr.Slider(1, 12, label="Month", value=9, info="Month of year (1=Jan, 12=Dec)")
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cnn_oni = gr.Number(label="ONI Value", value=0.0, info="Current ENSO index (-3 to 3)")
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predict_btn = gr.Button("π― Predict Storm Intensity", variant="primary")
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with gr.Row():
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intensity_output = gr.Number(label="Predicted Max Wind (kt)")
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confidence_output = gr.Textbox(label="Model Output & Confidence")
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predict_btn.click(
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fn=simulate_cnn_prediction,
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inputs=[cnn_lat, cnn_lon, cnn_month, cnn_oni],
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outputs=[intensity_output, confidence_output]
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)
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gr.Markdown("""
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### π§ Prediction Features:
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- **Environmental Analysis**: Considers ENSO, latitude, seasonality
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- **Real-time Capable**: Predictions in milliseconds
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- **Confidence Scoring**: Uncertainty quantification included
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- **Robust Fallbacks**: Works with or without deep learning libraries
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### π Interpretation Guide:
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- **25-33 kt**: Tropical Depression (TD)
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- **34-63 kt**: Tropical Storm (TS)
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- **64+ kt**: Typhoon categories (C1-C5)
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- **100+ kt**: Major typhoon (C3+)
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"""))
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with gr.Tab("π Track Visualization"):
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with gr.Row():
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