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import type { Activity, MetricACWRData } from '@/types';
/**
* Format date to YYYY-MM-DD in local timezone (not UTC)
*/
function formatDateLocal(date: Date): string {
const year = date.getFullYear();
const month = String(date.getMonth() + 1).padStart(2, '0');
const day = String(date.getDate()).padStart(2, '0');
return `${year}-${month}-${day}`;
}
/**
* Calculate optimal activity values for the next 7 days to reach and maintain target ACWR
* Uses a greedy algorithm that optimizes each day to get closer to target ACWR
* @param allDates - Array of all historical dates
* @param dailyValues - Map of date strings to activity values
* @param targetACWR - Target ACWR to achieve
* @param numFutureDays - Number of future days to predict (default 7)
* @param startOffset - Day offset to start predictions (0 for today, 1 for tomorrow)
*/
function calculateOptimalFutureDays(
allDates: Date[],
dailyValues: Map<string, number>,
targetACWR: number,
numFutureDays: number = 7,
startOffset: number = 1
): {
futureDates: string[];
futureValues: number[];
futureAverage7d: number[];
futureAverage28d: number[];
futureAcwr: number[];
} {
const futureDates: string[] = [];
const futureValues: number[] = [];
const futureAverage7d: number[] = [];
const futureAverage28d: number[] = [];
const futureAcwr: number[] = [];
// Create a mutable copy of daily values to simulate future
const simulatedDailyValues = new Map(dailyValues);
const simulatedAllDates = [...allDates];
// Get the last date in the data
const lastDate = new Date(allDates[allDates.length - 1]);
for (let dayOffset = 0; dayOffset < numFutureDays; dayOffset++) {
const futureDate = new Date(lastDate);
// Add 1 + startOffset + dayOffset to go beyond lastDate
// startOffset=0: start from day after lastDate (tomorrow if lastDate is today)
// startOffset=1: skip one day, start from 2 days after lastDate
futureDate.setDate(lastDate.getDate() + 1 + startOffset + dayOffset);
const futureDateStr = formatDateLocal(futureDate);
futureDates.push(futureDateStr);
simulatedAllDates.push(futureDate);
const currentIndex = simulatedAllDates.length - 1;
// Calculate what the 7-day sum would be (last 6 days + today)
let acuteSum = 0;
for (let i = Math.max(0, currentIndex - 6); i < currentIndex; i++) {
const checkDateStr = formatDateLocal(simulatedAllDates[i]);
acuteSum += simulatedDailyValues.get(checkDateStr) || 0;
}
// Calculate what the 28-day sum would be (last 27 days + today)
let chronicSum = 0;
for (let i = Math.max(0, currentIndex - 27); i < currentIndex; i++) {
const checkDateStr = formatDateLocal(simulatedAllDates[i]);
chronicSum += simulatedDailyValues.get(checkDateStr) || 0;
}
// Calculate optimal value for today using the formula:
// targetACWR = [(acuteSum + X) / 7] / [(chronicSum + X) / 28]
// Solving for X:
// X = (4 * acuteSum - targetACWR * chronicSum) / (targetACWR - 4)
const numerator = 4 * acuteSum - targetACWR * chronicSum;
const denominator = targetACWR - 4;
let optimalValue = 0;
if (Math.abs(denominator) > 0.001) {
optimalValue = numerator / denominator;
// Ensure non-negative values (can't have negative activity)
if (optimalValue < 0) {
optimalValue = 0;
}
} else {
// Special case: when targetACWR β 4, we need a different approach
// In this case, set to average of recent values to maintain stability
const recentSum = acuteSum;
optimalValue = recentSum / 7;
}
// Store the optimal value for this future day
futureValues.push(optimalValue);
simulatedDailyValues.set(futureDateStr, optimalValue);
// Calculate the resulting 7-day average (acute load)
let newAcuteSum = 0;
for (let i = Math.max(0, currentIndex - 6); i <= currentIndex; i++) {
const checkDateStr = formatDateLocal(simulatedAllDates[i]);
newAcuteSum += simulatedDailyValues.get(checkDateStr) || 0;
}
const newAcuteAvg = newAcuteSum / 7;
futureAverage7d.push(newAcuteAvg);
// Calculate the resulting 28-day average (chronic load)
let newChronicSum = 0;
for (let i = Math.max(0, currentIndex - 27); i <= currentIndex; i++) {
const checkDateStr = formatDateLocal(simulatedAllDates[i]);
newChronicSum += simulatedDailyValues.get(checkDateStr) || 0;
}
const newChronicAvg = newChronicSum / 28;
futureAverage28d.push(newChronicAvg);
// Calculate the resulting ACWR
const newACWR = newChronicAvg > 0 ? newAcuteAvg / newChronicAvg : 0;
futureAcwr.push(newACWR);
}
return {
futureDates,
futureValues,
futureAverage7d,
futureAverage28d,
futureAcwr,
};
}
/**
* Calculate ACWR for a specific metric (distance, duration, or TSS)
* @param activities - Array of activities
* @param metricExtractor - Function to extract the metric value from an activity
* @param dateRange - Optional date range to maintain consistency
* @param targetACWR - Target ACWR value for predictions
* @param predictToday - If true, include today in predictions; if false, predictions start tomorrow
*/
export function calculateMetricACWR(
activities: Activity[],
metricExtractor: (activity: Activity) => number | undefined,
dateRange?: { start: Date; end: Date },
targetACWR: number = 1.3,
predictToday: boolean = false
): MetricACWRData {
if (activities.length === 0 && !dateRange) {
return {
dates: [],
values: [],
average7d: [],
average28d: [],
acwr: [],
};
}
// Sort activities by date
const sortedActivities = [...activities].sort((a, b) => a.date.getTime() - b.date.getTime());
// Get date range
const startDate = dateRange?.start || (sortedActivities.length > 0 ? new Date(sortedActivities[0].date) : new Date());
const endDate = dateRange?.end || (sortedActivities.length > 0 ? new Date(sortedActivities[sortedActivities.length - 1].date) : new Date());
// Create a map of date -> daily sum
const dailyValues = new Map<string, number>();
// Create a map of date -> activities
const activitiesByDate = new Map<string, Activity[]>();
sortedActivities.forEach(activity => {
const dateStr = formatDateLocal(activity.date);
const value = metricExtractor(activity);
if (value !== undefined) {
dailyValues.set(dateStr, (dailyValues.get(dateStr) || 0) + value);
}
// Group activities by date
if (!activitiesByDate.has(dateStr)) {
activitiesByDate.set(dateStr, []);
}
activitiesByDate.get(dateStr)!.push(activity);
});
const dates: string[] = [];
const values: (number | null)[] = [];
const average7d: (number | null)[] = [];
const average28d: (number | null)[] = [];
const acwr: (number | null)[] = [];
// Generate all dates in range
const allDates: Date[] = [];
for (let d = new Date(startDate); d <= endDate; d.setDate(d.getDate() + 1)) {
allDates.push(new Date(d));
}
// Calculate for each date
allDates.forEach((date, index) => {
const dateStr = formatDateLocal(date);
dates.push(dateStr);
// Get daily value
const dailyValue = dailyValues.get(dateStr) || null;
values.push(dailyValue);
// Calculate 7-day rolling average (acute load)
let acuteSum = 0;
let acuteCount = 0;
for (let i = Math.max(0, index - 6); i <= index; i++) {
const checkDateStr = formatDateLocal(allDates[i]);
const val = dailyValues.get(checkDateStr);
if (val !== undefined) {
acuteSum += val;
acuteCount++;
}
}
const acuteAvg = acuteCount > 0 ? acuteSum / 7 : null;
average7d.push(acuteAvg);
// Calculate 28-day rolling average
let chronicSum = 0;
let chronicCount = 0;
for (let i = Math.max(0, index - 27); i <= index; i++) {
const checkDateStr = formatDateLocal(allDates[i]);
const val = dailyValues.get(checkDateStr);
if (val !== undefined) {
chronicSum += val;
chronicCount++;
}
}
const chronicAvg = chronicCount > 0 ? chronicSum / 28 : null;
average28d.push(chronicAvg);
// Calculate ACWR (need at least 28 days of data)
if (index < 27) {
acwr.push(null);
return;
}
// For ACWR, use the full 28-day sum (not average)
let acwrChronicSum = 0;
for (let i = index - 27; i <= index; i++) {
const checkDateStr = formatDateLocal(allDates[i]);
const val = dailyValues.get(checkDateStr);
if (val !== undefined) {
acwrChronicSum += val;
}
}
const acwrChronicAvg = acwrChronicSum / 28;
// Calculate ACWR
if (acwrChronicAvg > 0 && acuteAvg !== null) {
acwr.push(acuteAvg / acwrChronicAvg);
} else {
acwr.push(null);
}
});
// Calculate tomorrow's required value to reach ACWR
let targetTomorrowValue: number | null = null;
if (allDates.length >= 28) {
// Calculate tomorrow's 7-day acute sum (last 6 days including zeros)
let tomorrowAcuteSum = 0;
for (let i = allDates.length - 6; i < allDates.length; i++) {
const checkDateStr = formatDateLocal(allDates[i]);
const val = dailyValues.get(checkDateStr) || 0; // Include 0 for rest days
tomorrowAcuteSum += val;
}
// Calculate tomorrow's 28-day chronic sum (last 27 days including zeros)
let tomorrowChronicSum = 0;
for (let i = allDates.length - 27; i < allDates.length; i++) {
const checkDateStr = formatDateLocal(allDates[i]);
const val = dailyValues.get(checkDateStr) || 0; // Include 0 for rest days
tomorrowChronicSum += val;
}
// Solve for tomorrow's value (X):
// Tomorrow's ACWR = [(tomorrowAcuteSum + X) / 7] / [(tomorrowChronicSum + X) / 28]
// Simplifies to: targetACWR = (tomorrowAcuteSum + X) / (tomorrowChronicSum + X) * 28 / 7
// targetACWR = (tomorrowAcuteSum + X) / (tomorrowChronicSum + X) * 4
// targetACWR * (tomorrowChronicSum + X) = 4 * (tomorrowAcuteSum + X)
// targetACWR * tomorrowChronicSum + targetACWR * X = 4 * tomorrowAcuteSum + 4 * X
// targetACWR * X - 4 * X = 4 * tomorrowAcuteSum - targetACWR * tomorrowChronicSum
// X * (targetACWR - 4) = 4 * tomorrowAcuteSum - targetACWR * tomorrowChronicSum
// X = (4 * tomorrowAcuteSum - targetACWR * tomorrowChronicSum) / (targetACWR - 4)
const numerator = 4 * tomorrowAcuteSum - targetACWR * tomorrowChronicSum;
const denominator = targetACWR - 4;
if (Math.abs(denominator) > 0.001) {
targetTomorrowValue = numerator / denominator;
// If negative and target ACWR < 1.0, set to 0 (rest day recommended)
// If negative and target ACWR >= 1.0, set to null (target unreachable)
if (targetTomorrowValue < 0) {
if (targetACWR < 1.0) {
targetTomorrowValue = 0;
} else {
targetTomorrowValue = null;
}
}
} else {
// Special case: targetACWR β 4, need different approach
// If ACWR = 4, then acute = 4 * chronic, which means you need massive increase
targetTomorrowValue = null;
}
}
// Calculate what ACWR would be with a rest day tomorrow
let restTomorrowACWR: number | null = null;
if (allDates.length >= 28) {
// Calculate tomorrow's 7-day acute sum with rest (last 6 days + 0)
let tomorrowAcuteSum = 0;
for (let i = allDates.length - 6; i < allDates.length; i++) {
const checkDateStr = formatDateLocal(allDates[i]);
const val = dailyValues.get(checkDateStr) || 0;
tomorrowAcuteSum += val;
}
// Add 0 for rest day (no need to add)
// Calculate tomorrow's 28-day chronic sum with rest (last 27 days + 0)
let tomorrowChronicSum = 0;
for (let i = allDates.length - 27; i < allDates.length; i++) {
const checkDateStr = formatDateLocal(allDates[i]);
const val = dailyValues.get(checkDateStr) || 0;
tomorrowChronicSum += val;
}
// Add 0 for rest day (no need to add)
// Calculate ACWR with rest day
const tomorrowAcuteAvg = tomorrowAcuteSum / 7;
const tomorrowChronicAvg = tomorrowChronicSum / 28;
if (tomorrowChronicAvg > 0) {
restTomorrowACWR = tomorrowAcuteAvg / tomorrowChronicAvg;
}
}
return {
dates,
values,
average7d,
average28d,
acwr,
targetTomorrowValue,
targetACWR: allDates.length >= 28 ? targetACWR : undefined,
restTomorrowACWR: allDates.length >= 28 ? restTomorrowACWR : undefined,
todayValue: undefined,
activitiesByDate,
// Add future predictions if we have enough data
// Determine start offset based on predictToday and whether today has activities
...(allDates.length >= 28 ? (() => {
const today = new Date();
const todayStr = formatDateLocal(today);
const lastDateStr = formatDateLocal(allDates[allDates.length - 1]);
// Check if today is the last date in our data and if it has any activities
const todayHasActivities = todayStr === lastDateStr && dailyValues.has(todayStr);
// startOffset determines which day to start predictions from relative to lastDate
// startOffset=0: predictions start from lastDate + 1 (next day after last data)
// startOffset=1: predictions start from lastDate + 2 (skip one day)
// predictToday unchecked: start from next day (offset 0)
// predictToday checked and today has activities: start from next day (offset 0)
// predictToday checked and today has no activities: start from next day (offset 0), but lastDate was yesterday
const startOffset = 0;
return calculateOptimalFutureDays(allDates, dailyValues, targetACWR, 7, startOffset);
})() : {}),
};
}
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