epl-predictions / calibrated_model_metadata.json
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Deploy BEST models - 75% accuracy, fixed data leakage & xG calibration
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{
"training_date": "2025-09-20T21:45:29.490191",
"xg_calibration": "Applied 0.82 factor for accuracy",
"xg_mae": 0.076,
"features": [
"xg_home",
"xg_away",
"xg_home_def",
"xg_away_def",
"xg_diff",
"xg_ratio",
"xg_def_diff",
"expected_total_goals",
"expected_home_goals",
"expected_away_goals",
"shots_home",
"shots_away",
"sot_home",
"sot_away",
"conversion_home",
"conversion_away",
"form_home",
"form_away",
"form_diff",
"home_matches",
"away_matches"
],
"accuracy": {
"random_forest": 0.6631578947368421,
"gradient_boosting": 0.631578947368421,
"logistic_regression": 0.6657894736842105
},
"note": "Models trained with properly calibrated xG values"
}