#!/usr/bin/env python3 """ # TODO: Needs to be integrated into the itbench_leaderboard module # This script calculates ICC (Intraclass Correlation Coefficient) and other # consistency metrics for agent evaluation results. Consistency Analysis for Agent Leaderboard Results. Computes ICC (Intraclass Correlation Coefficient) to measure the reliability and consistency of agent responses across multiple trials per scenario. ICC answers: "Of all the variance observed, how much is due to actual scenario difficulty (signal) vs. random model variability (noise/flakiness)?" Interpretation: ICC > 0.9: Excellent consistency ICC 0.75-0.9: Good consistency ICC 0.5-0.75: Moderate consistency ICC < 0.5: Poor consistency (high flakiness) Usage: python -m itbench_leaderboard.consistency --results-dir leaderboard_results/results python -m itbench_leaderboard.consistency --results-file path/to/results.json """ import argparse import json import sys from dataclasses import dataclass, field from pathlib import Path from typing import Optional import numpy as np @dataclass class ConsistencyMetrics: """Container for all consistency metrics.""" # Core ICC metrics icc: float flakiness_ratio: float # 1 - ICC # ANOVA components msb: float # Mean Square Between (between-scenario variance) msw: float # Mean Square Within (within-scenario variance) # Within-scenario consistency mean_within_std: float mean_agreement_rate: float repeatability_coefficient: float # Summary stats n_scenarios: int n_trials: int n_flaky_scenarios: int flaky_scenarios: list = field(default_factory=list) # Per-scenario breakdown scenario_details: dict = field(default_factory=dict) def __str__(self) -> str: return ( f"ICC: {self.icc:.4f} (flakiness: {self.flakiness_ratio:.4f})\n" f"MSB (between): {self.msb:.4f}, MSW (within): {self.msw:.4f}\n" f"Mean within-std: {self.mean_within_std:.4f}\n" f"Agreement rate: {self.mean_agreement_rate:.4f}\n" f"Repeatability coef: {self.repeatability_coefficient:.4f}\n" f"Flaky scenarios: {self.n_flaky_scenarios}/{self.n_scenarios}" ) def load_results(filepath: Path) -> dict: """Load results JSON file.""" with open(filepath, "r") as f: return json.load(f) def extract_trial_scores( results: dict, metric: str = "root_cause_entity_f1" ) -> dict[str, list[float]]: """ Extract per-trial scores for a given metric from results. Args: results: Loaded JSON results metric: The metric name to extract (default: root_cause_entity_f1) Returns: Dict mapping scenario_id -> list of trial scores """ scenario_trials = {} scenarios = results.get("scenarios", {}) for scenario_id, scenario_data in scenarios.items(): runs = scenario_data.get("runs", []) trial_scores = [] for run in runs: scores = run.get("scores", {}) score = scores.get(metric) # Handle None/null values if score is None: score = 0.0 trial_scores.append(float(score)) if trial_scores: scenario_trials[scenario_id] = trial_scores return scenario_trials def calculate_agreement_rate(trials: list[float], tolerance: float = 0.1) -> float: """ Calculate agreement rate between trial pairs. Args: trials: List of trial scores tolerance: Maximum difference to consider as "agreement" Returns: Fraction of trial pairs that agree (0-1) """ from itertools import combinations if len(trials) < 2: return 1.0 pairs = list(combinations(trials, 2)) agreements = sum(1 for a, b in pairs if abs(a - b) <= tolerance) return agreements / len(pairs) def compute_icc(scenario_trials: dict[str, list[float]]) -> ConsistencyMetrics: """ Compute ICC(1,1) - one-way random effects model. The ICC formula: ICC = (MSB - MSW) / (MSB + (k-1) * MSW) Where: MSB = k * Var(scenario_means) [between-scenario variance] MSW = Mean(Var(trials per scenario)) [within-scenario variance] k = number of trials per scenario Args: scenario_trials: Dict mapping scenario_id -> list of trial scores Returns: ConsistencyMetrics with ICC and related metrics """ # Convert to numpy array scenarios = list(scenario_trials.keys()) # Ensure all scenarios have same number of trials n_trials_list = [len(trials) for trials in scenario_trials.values()] if len(set(n_trials_list)) > 1: # Pad or truncate to minimum k = min(n_trials_list) scores = np.array([scenario_trials[s][:k] for s in scenarios]) else: k = n_trials_list[0] if n_trials_list else 0 scores = np.array([scenario_trials[s] for s in scenarios]) n_scenarios = len(scenarios) if n_scenarios == 0 or k == 0: return ConsistencyMetrics( icc=float('nan'), flakiness_ratio=float('nan'), msb=0.0, msw=0.0, mean_within_std=0.0, mean_agreement_rate=1.0, repeatability_coefficient=0.0, n_scenarios=0, n_trials=0, n_flaky_scenarios=0, ) # Calculate scenario means scenario_means = np.mean(scores, axis=1) # Between-scenario variance (MSB) # MSB = k * Var(scenario means) msb = k * np.var(scenario_means, ddof=1) if n_scenarios > 1 else 0.0 # Within-scenario variance (MSW) # MSW = average of within-scenario variances within_vars = np.var(scores, axis=1, ddof=1) if k > 1 else np.zeros(n_scenarios) msw = np.mean(within_vars) # ICC(1,1) formula denominator = msb + (k - 1) * msw if denominator > 0: icc = (msb - msw) / denominator icc = max(0.0, icc) # ICC can be negative, clip to 0 else: icc = float('nan') if msw == 0 and msb == 0 else 0.0 # Within-scenario standard deviations within_stds = np.std(scores, axis=1, ddof=1) if k > 1 else np.zeros(n_scenarios) mean_within_std = np.mean(within_stds) # Agreement rates agreement_rates = [ calculate_agreement_rate(scenario_trials[s]) for s in scenarios ] mean_agreement_rate = np.mean(agreement_rates) # Repeatability coefficient (95% of repeat differences < RC) rc = 1.96 * np.sqrt(2 * msw) if msw > 0 else 0.0 # Identify flaky scenarios (high within-variance) flaky_threshold = 0.3 flaky_scenarios = [ (s, float(std)) for s, std in zip(scenarios, within_stds) if std > flaky_threshold ] # Per-scenario details scenario_details = {} for i, s in enumerate(scenarios): scenario_details[s] = { "trials": scenario_trials[s], "mean": float(scenario_means[i]), "std": float(within_stds[i]), "agreement_rate": agreement_rates[i], "is_flaky": within_stds[i] > flaky_threshold, } return ConsistencyMetrics( icc=float(icc), flakiness_ratio=float(1 - icc) if not np.isnan(icc) else float('nan'), msb=float(msb), msw=float(msw), mean_within_std=float(mean_within_std), mean_agreement_rate=float(mean_agreement_rate), repeatability_coefficient=float(rc), n_scenarios=n_scenarios, n_trials=k, n_flaky_scenarios=len(flaky_scenarios), flaky_scenarios=flaky_scenarios, scenario_details=scenario_details, ) def analyze_results_file( filepath: Path, metrics: list[str] | None = None, ) -> dict[str, ConsistencyMetrics]: """ Analyze a single results file for multiple metrics. Args: filepath: Path to the results JSON file metrics: List of metrics to analyze. Defaults to common metrics. Returns: Dict mapping metric_name -> ConsistencyMetrics """ if metrics is None: metrics = [ "root_cause_entity_f1", "root_cause_proximity_with_fp_f1", "propagation_chain", ] results = load_results(filepath) analysis = {} for metric in metrics: scenario_trials = extract_trial_scores(results, metric) if scenario_trials: analysis[metric] = compute_icc(scenario_trials) return analysis def compare_models( results_dir: Path, model_patterns: list[str], metric: str = "root_cause_entity_f1", ) -> dict[str, ConsistencyMetrics]: """ Compare ICC across multiple models. Args: results_dir: Directory containing results JSON files model_patterns: List of model name patterns to match metric: The metric to analyze Returns: Dict mapping model_name -> ConsistencyMetrics """ comparison = {} for pattern in model_patterns: # Find matching file matches = list(results_dir.glob(f"*{pattern}*.json")) if not matches: print(f"Warning: No file found for pattern '{pattern}'", file=sys.stderr) continue filepath = matches[0] print(f"Analyzing: {filepath.name}") results = load_results(filepath) scenario_trials = extract_trial_scores(results, metric) if scenario_trials: model_name = results.get("agent_name", filepath.stem) comparison[model_name] = compute_icc(scenario_trials) return comparison def print_comparison_table( comparison: dict[str, ConsistencyMetrics], metric: str, ) -> None: """Print a formatted comparison table.""" print(f"\n{'='*80}") print(f"ICC Comparison for metric: {metric}") print(f"{'='*80}\n") # Header print(f"{'Model':<55} {'ICC':>8} {'Flaky%':>8} {'Std':>8} {'Agree%':>8}") print("-" * 91) # Sort by ICC descending sorted_models = sorted( comparison.items(), key=lambda x: x[1].icc if not np.isnan(x[1].icc) else -1, reverse=True ) for model, metrics in sorted_models: # Truncate model name if too long display_name = model[:52] + "..." if len(model) > 55 else model icc_str = f"{metrics.icc:.4f}" if not np.isnan(metrics.icc) else "N/A" flaky_pct = f"{metrics.flakiness_ratio*100:.1f}%" if not np.isnan(metrics.flakiness_ratio) else "N/A" print( f"{display_name:<55} " f"{icc_str:>8} " f"{flaky_pct:>8} " f"{metrics.mean_within_std:>8.4f} " f"{metrics.mean_agreement_rate*100:>7.1f}%" ) print("\nInterpretation:") print(" ICC > 0.9: Excellent consistency") print(" ICC 0.75-0.9: Good consistency") print(" ICC 0.5-0.75: Moderate consistency") print(" ICC < 0.5: Poor consistency (high flakiness)") def print_detailed_report( model_name: str, metrics_analysis: dict[str, ConsistencyMetrics], ) -> None: """Print detailed report for a single model.""" print(f"\n{'='*80}") print(f"Detailed Consistency Report: {model_name}") print(f"{'='*80}\n") for metric_name, cm in metrics_analysis.items(): print(f"\n--- {metric_name} ---") print(cm) if cm.flaky_scenarios: print(f"\nFlaky scenarios (std > 0.3):") for scenario, std in sorted(cm.flaky_scenarios, key=lambda x: -x[1])[:10]: details = cm.scenario_details.get(scenario, {}) trials = details.get("trials", []) print(f" {scenario}: std={std:.3f}, trials={trials}") def main(): parser = argparse.ArgumentParser( description="Calculate ICC and consistency metrics for leaderboard results", formatter_class=argparse.RawDescriptionHelpFormatter, epilog=__doc__, ) parser.add_argument( "--results-dir", type=Path, default=Path("leaderboard_results/results"), help="Directory containing results JSON files", ) parser.add_argument( "--results-file", type=Path, help="Analyze a single results file", ) parser.add_argument( "--models", nargs="+", default=[ "react with code_Azure_o4-mini", "react with code_Azure_gpt-5.1-2025-11-13", "react with code_gcp_gemini-3-pro-preview", "react with code_GCP_gemini-2.5-pro", ], help="Model name patterns to compare", ) parser.add_argument( "--metric", type=str, default="root_cause_entity_f1", help="Metric to analyze (default: root_cause_entity_f1)", ) parser.add_argument( "--all-metrics", action="store_true", help="Analyze all common metrics", ) parser.add_argument( "--detailed", action="store_true", help="Show detailed per-scenario breakdown", ) parser.add_argument( "--output-json", type=Path, help="Save results to JSON file", ) args = parser.parse_args() # Determine metrics to analyze if args.all_metrics: metrics = [ "root_cause_entity_f1", "root_cause_entity_precision", "root_cause_entity_recall", "root_cause_proximity_with_fp_f1", "propagation_chain", "fault_localization_component_identification", ] else: metrics = [args.metric] results_to_save = {} if args.results_file: # Single file analysis print(f"Analyzing: {args.results_file}") analysis = analyze_results_file(args.results_file, metrics) results = load_results(args.results_file) model_name = results.get("agent_name", args.results_file.stem) print_detailed_report(model_name, analysis) results_to_save[model_name] = { m: { "icc": cm.icc, "flakiness_ratio": cm.flakiness_ratio, "mean_within_std": cm.mean_within_std, "mean_agreement_rate": cm.mean_agreement_rate, "n_flaky_scenarios": cm.n_flaky_scenarios, "n_scenarios": cm.n_scenarios, } for m, cm in analysis.items() } else: # Multi-model comparison for metric in metrics: comparison = compare_models(args.results_dir, args.models, metric) print_comparison_table(comparison, metric) # Store results for model, cm in comparison.items(): if model not in results_to_save: results_to_save[model] = {} results_to_save[model][metric] = { "icc": cm.icc if not np.isnan(cm.icc) else None, "flakiness_ratio": cm.flakiness_ratio if not np.isnan(cm.flakiness_ratio) else None, "mean_within_std": cm.mean_within_std, "mean_agreement_rate": cm.mean_agreement_rate, "n_flaky_scenarios": cm.n_flaky_scenarios, "n_scenarios": cm.n_scenarios, } if args.detailed: for model, cm in comparison.items(): print_detailed_report(model, {metric: cm}) # Save to JSON if requested if args.output_json: with open(args.output_json, "w") as f: json.dump(results_to_save, f, indent=2) print(f"\nResults saved to: {args.output_json}") if __name__ == "__main__": main()