"""Shared utilities for synthetic datacenter verification modeling baselines.""" from __future__ import annotations import hashlib import json import math from datetime import datetime, timezone from pathlib import Path from typing import Any import numpy as np import pandas as pd from sklearn.compose import ColumnTransformer from sklearn.impute import SimpleImputer from sklearn.pipeline import Pipeline from sklearn.preprocessing import OneHotEncoder DEFAULT_SEED = 20260510 LABELS = [0, 1, 2, 3, 4] SPLITS = ["train", "validation", "test"] PROB_COLUMNS = [f"p_label_{label}" for label in LABELS] RAW_PROB_COLUMNS = [f"raw_p_label_{label}" for label in LABELS] BASE_EXCLUDED_COLUMNS = [ "feature_row_id", "dataset_id", "seed", "site_id", "scope_id_hash", "window_start", "window_end", "episode_id", "label_0_to_4", "label_confidence", "label_reason", "label_source", "raw_input_manifest_hash", "latent_workload_class", "scenario_family", "scenario_variant", "evidence_recipe_id", "counterfactual_group_id", "synthetic_counterfactual_role", "data_quality_regime", "privacy_tier", "collector_profile", "topology_class", "temporal_phase", "synthetic_hard_case_tags", "synthetic_evidence_profile", "capacity_evidence_only", "integrity_evidence_only", "physical_evidence_only", ] VERSION_COLUMNS_EXCLUDED = [ "feature_pipeline_version", "policy_threshold_version", "hardware_normalization_version", ] CRITICAL_COVERAGE_COLUMNS = [ "o1_coverage_fraction", "o2_coverage_fraction", "o4_coverage_fraction", "o7_coverage_fraction", "o8_coverage_fraction", "o14_coverage_fraction", ] CRITICAL_MISSING_REASON_COLUMNS = { "o1_coverage_fraction": "o1_missing_reason", "o2_coverage_fraction": "o2_missing_reason", "o4_coverage_fraction": "o4_missing_reason", "o7_coverage_fraction": "o7_missing_reason", "o8_coverage_fraction": "o8_missing_reason", "o14_coverage_fraction": "o14_missing_reason", } SELECTED_AUDIT_FEATURES = [ "policy_compute_ratio", "o2_max_concurrent_normalized_gpus", "o2_allocation_duration_hours", "o2_gpu_hours_policy_ratio", "o4_gpu_util_p95", "o4_gpu_util_duty_gt_70", "o7_synchronized_fabric_footprint", "o7_collective_periodicity_score", "o8_rack_power_fraction_p95", "o10_runtime_framework_class", "o11_checkpoint_periodicity_score", "o12_signed_ml_logs_present", "o12_declared_parameter_count_b", "o14_min_critical_coverage", "o14_gap_fraction_critical", "o13_confidential_compute_mode_fraction", "o2_elastic_resize_count", "o2_preemption_restart_count", "o2_account_linkage_confidence", "o4_hbm_pressure_duration_fraction", "o4_power_cap_active_fraction", "o7_account_flow_linkage_confidence", "o10_runtime_metadata_confidence", "o11_artifact_write_pattern_score", "o11_dataloader_read_pattern_score", "o12_log_delivery_delay_hours", "o12_log_completeness_fraction", "o4_missing_reason", "o7_missing_reason", "o12_missing_reason", ] def utc_now_iso() -> str: return datetime.now(timezone.utc).replace(microsecond=0).isoformat().replace("+00:00", "Z") def ensure_dir(path: Path) -> Path: path.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) return path def to_jsonable(value: Any) -> Any: if isinstance(value, (np.integer,)): return int(value) if isinstance(value, (np.floating,)): if math.isnan(float(value)): return None return float(value) if isinstance(value, (np.bool_,)): return bool(value) if isinstance(value, np.ndarray): return [to_jsonable(item) for item in value.tolist()] if isinstance(value, pd.Series): return [to_jsonable(item) for item in value.tolist()] if isinstance(value, pd.Timestamp): return value.isoformat() if value is pd.NA: return None return value def write_json(path: Path, payload: Any) -> None: path.write_text(json.dumps(payload, indent=2, sort_keys=True, default=to_jsonable) + "\n", encoding="utf-8") def read_json(path: Path) -> Any: return json.loads(path.read_text(encoding="utf-8")) def sha256_file(path: Path) -> str: digest = hashlib.sha256() with path.open("rb") as handle: for chunk in iter(lambda: handle.read(1024 * 1024), b""): digest.update(chunk) return f"sha256:{digest.hexdigest()}" def as_bool(value: Any, default: bool = False) -> bool: if value is None: return default try: if pd.isna(value): return default except TypeError: pass if isinstance(value, (bool, np.bool_)): return bool(value) text = str(value).strip().lower() if text in {"true", "t", "1", "yes", "y"}: return True if text in {"false", "f", "0", "no", "n"}: return False return default def as_float(value: Any, default: float = 0.0) -> float: if value is None: return default try: if pd.isna(value): return default except TypeError: pass try: return float(value) except (TypeError, ValueError): return default def row_float(row: pd.Series, column: str, default: float = 0.0) -> float: return as_float(row[column], default) if column in row else default def row_bool(row: pd.Series, column: str, default: bool = False) -> bool: return as_bool(row[column], default) if column in row else default def load_feature_table(path: Path) -> pd.DataFrame: df = pd.read_csv(path) required = { "feature_row_id", "episode_id", "latent_workload_class", "label_0_to_4", "capacity_possible", } missing = sorted(required - set(df.columns)) if missing: raise ValueError(f"feature table missing required columns: {missing}") df["label_0_to_4"] = df["label_0_to_4"].astype(int) return df def derive_dataset_dir(features_path: Path) -> Path: path = features_path.resolve() if path.parent.name == "features": return path.parent.parent return path.parent def split_summary(df: pd.DataFrame) -> dict[str, Any]: summary: dict[str, Any] = {} for split in SPLITS: part = df[df["split"] == split] summary[split] = { "rows": int(len(part)), "episodes": int(part["episode_id"].nunique()), "label_distribution": { str(label): int(count) for label, count in part["label_0_to_4"].value_counts().sort_index().items() }, "scenario_distribution": { str(name): int(count) for name, count in part["latent_workload_class"].value_counts().sort_index().items() }, } return summary def make_episode_split(df: pd.DataFrame, seed: int = DEFAULT_SEED) -> tuple[pd.DataFrame, dict[str, Any]]: """Create a deterministic scenario-stratified grouped split by episode_id.""" episode_df = ( df.groupby("episode_id", as_index=False) .agg( latent_workload_class=("latent_workload_class", "first"), label_mode=("label_0_to_4", lambda values: int(values.mode().iloc[0])), label_min=("label_0_to_4", "min"), label_max=("label_0_to_4", "max"), row_count=("feature_row_id", "count"), site_count=("site_id", "nunique") if "site_id" in df.columns else ("episode_id", "count"), ) .sort_values(["latent_workload_class", "episode_id"]) .reset_index(drop=True) ) rng = np.random.default_rng(seed) assignments: dict[str, str] = {} scenario_allocations: dict[str, dict[str, int]] = {} for scenario, scenario_rows in episode_df.groupby("latent_workload_class", sort=True): episode_ids = scenario_rows["episode_id"].to_numpy().copy() rng.shuffle(episode_ids) count = len(episode_ids) if count >= 3: validation_count = max(1, round(0.20 * count)) test_count = max(1, round(0.20 * count)) train_count = count - validation_count - test_count if train_count < 1: train_count = 1 if validation_count > test_count: validation_count -= 1 else: test_count -= 1 elif count == 2: train_count, validation_count, test_count = 1, 1, 0 else: train_count, validation_count, test_count = 1, 0, 0 for episode_id in episode_ids[:train_count]: assignments[str(episode_id)] = "train" for episode_id in episode_ids[train_count : train_count + validation_count]: assignments[str(episode_id)] = "validation" for episode_id in episode_ids[train_count + validation_count :]: assignments[str(episode_id)] = "test" scenario_allocations[str(scenario)] = { "episodes": int(count), "train": int(train_count), "validation": int(validation_count), "test": int(test_count), } split_df = df.copy() split_df["split"] = split_df["episode_id"].map(assignments) if split_df["split"].isna().any(): raise ValueError("episode split assignment failed for some rows") episode_assignments = [] split_lookup = dict(zip(episode_df["episode_id"], episode_df.index, strict=False)) for episode_id, split in sorted(assignments.items()): row = episode_df.iloc[split_lookup[episode_id]] episode_assignments.append( { "episode_id": episode_id, "split": split, "latent_workload_class": row["latent_workload_class"], "label_mode": int(row["label_mode"]), "label_min": int(row["label_min"]), "label_max": int(row["label_max"]), "row_count": int(row["row_count"]), } ) manifest = { "seed": int(seed), "method": "scenario_stratified_grouped_by_episode_id", "split_fractions_requested": {"train": 0.60, "validation": 0.20, "test": 0.20}, "leakage_prevention": "All rows from the same episode_id are assigned to exactly one split.", "scenario_allocations": scenario_allocations, "summary": split_summary(split_df), "episode_assignments": episode_assignments, } return split_df, manifest def apply_split_manifest(df: pd.DataFrame, split_manifest: dict[str, Any]) -> pd.DataFrame: assignments = { item["episode_id"]: item["split"] for item in split_manifest.get("episode_assignments", []) if "episode_id" in item and "split" in item } out = df.copy() out["split"] = out["episode_id"].map(assignments).fillna("unassigned") return out def determine_feature_columns(df: pd.DataFrame) -> tuple[list[str], dict[str, Any]]: requested_exclusions = BASE_EXCLUDED_COLUMNS + VERSION_COLUMNS_EXCLUDED present_exclusions = [column for column in requested_exclusions if column in df.columns] missing_requested = [column for column in requested_exclusions if column not in df.columns] feature_columns = [column for column in df.columns if column not in set(present_exclusions + ["split"])] feature_columns = [column for column in feature_columns if not column.startswith("raw_")] metadata = { "requested_excluded_columns": requested_exclusions, "present_excluded_columns": present_exclusions, "missing_requested_excluded_columns": missing_requested, "notes": [ "Identifier, label, direct leakage, site, and synthetic-only audit columns are excluded.", "scope_type and window_length_seconds are retained because they are valid deployment-time context.", "Constant version metadata columns are excluded from the baseline.", ], } return feature_columns, metadata def categorize_feature_columns(df: pd.DataFrame, feature_columns: list[str]) -> dict[str, list[str]]: numeric_columns: list[str] = [] categorical_columns: list[str] = [] for column in feature_columns: dtype = df[column].dtype if pd.api.types.is_numeric_dtype(dtype) or pd.api.types.is_bool_dtype(dtype): numeric_columns.append(column) else: categorical_columns.append(column) return {"numeric": numeric_columns, "categorical": categorical_columns} def make_preprocessor(df: pd.DataFrame, feature_columns: list[str]) -> ColumnTransformer: types = categorize_feature_columns(df, feature_columns) transformers: list[tuple[str, Pipeline, list[str]]] = [] if types["numeric"]: transformers.append( ( "numeric", Pipeline( steps=[ ("imputer", SimpleImputer(strategy="median", add_indicator=True)), ] ), types["numeric"], ) ) if types["categorical"]: try: encoder = OneHotEncoder(handle_unknown="ignore", sparse_output=False, dtype=np.float64) except TypeError: # pragma: no cover - compatibility for older scikit-learn encoder = OneHotEncoder(handle_unknown="ignore", sparse=False, dtype=np.float64) transformers.append( ( "categorical", Pipeline( steps=[ ("imputer", SimpleImputer(strategy="constant", fill_value="__missing__")), ("onehot", encoder), ] ), types["categorical"], ) ) return ColumnTransformer(transformers=transformers, remainder="drop", verbose_feature_names_out=True) def model_input_frame(df: pd.DataFrame, feature_columns: list[str]) -> pd.DataFrame: missing = [column for column in feature_columns if column not in df.columns] if missing: raise ValueError(f"feature table missing model feature columns: {missing}") return df.loc[:, feature_columns].copy() def probability_frame(model: Any, transformed_features: Any, prefix: str = "p_label") -> pd.DataFrame: raw = model.predict_proba(transformed_features) classes = [int(label) for label in model.classes_] data = np.zeros((raw.shape[0], len(LABELS)), dtype=float) for source_index, label in enumerate(classes): if label in LABELS: data[:, LABELS.index(label)] = raw[:, source_index] data = normalize_probability_array(data) return pd.DataFrame(data, columns=[f"{prefix}_{label}" for label in LABELS]) def normalize_probability_array(probs: np.ndarray) -> np.ndarray: probs = np.clip(np.asarray(probs, dtype=float), 0.0, 1.0) row_sums = probs.sum(axis=1) empty = row_sums <= 0 if np.any(empty): probs[empty, :] = 1.0 / len(LABELS) row_sums = probs.sum(axis=1) return probs / row_sums[:, None] def minimum_critical_coverage(df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.Series: coverage_values = [] for column in CRITICAL_COVERAGE_COLUMNS: if column in df.columns: coverage_values.append(pd.to_numeric(df[column], errors="coerce").fillna(0.0).clip(0.0, 1.0)) else: coverage_values.append(pd.Series(np.zeros(len(df)), index=df.index)) return pd.concat(coverage_values, axis=1).min(axis=1) def integrity_warning_series(df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.Series: warnings = pd.Series(False, index=df.index) checks = { "o14_gap_fraction_critical": (0.05, "gt"), "o14_min_critical_coverage": (0.80, "lt"), "o13_attestation_valid_fraction": (0.90, "lt"), "o13_confidential_compute_mode_fraction": (0.50, "gt"), "o14_counter_reset_count": (0.0, "gt"), } for column, (threshold, direction) in checks.items(): if column not in df.columns: continue values = pd.to_numeric(df[column], errors="coerce").fillna(0.0) if direction == "gt": warnings |= values > threshold else: warnings |= values < threshold if "o15_unapproved_physical_change_near_window" in df.columns: warnings |= df["o15_unapproved_physical_change_near_window"].map(as_bool) return warnings.astype(bool) def apply_capacity_gate(df: pd.DataFrame, probabilities: pd.DataFrame, high_label_cap: float = 0.02) -> pd.DataFrame: probs = probabilities.loc[:, PROB_COLUMNS].to_numpy(copy=True) if "capacity_possible" not in df.columns: return pd.DataFrame(normalize_probability_array(probs), columns=PROB_COLUMNS, index=probabilities.index) capacity_possible = df["capacity_possible"].map(as_bool).to_numpy() if "o17_external_capacity_conflict_score" in df.columns: external_conflict = pd.to_numeric(df["o17_external_capacity_conflict_score"], errors="coerce").fillna(0.0).to_numpy() else: external_conflict = np.zeros(len(df)) gate_mask = (~capacity_possible) & (external_conflict < 0.5) for row_index in np.where(gate_mask)[0]: high = probs[row_index, 2:5].sum() capped_high = min(float(high), high_label_cap) if high > 0: probs[row_index, 2:5] *= capped_high / high low_target = 1.0 - capped_high low = probs[row_index, 0:2].sum() if low > 0: probs[row_index, 0:2] *= low_target / low else: probs[row_index, 0] = low_target probs[row_index, 1] = 0.0 return pd.DataFrame(normalize_probability_array(probs), columns=PROB_COLUMNS, index=probabilities.index) def critical_missing_layers_for_row(row: pd.Series) -> str: layers: list[str] = [] for coverage_column, missing_column in CRITICAL_MISSING_REASON_COLUMNS.items(): coverage = row_float(row, coverage_column, 0.0) reason = str(row[missing_column]) if missing_column in row and not pd.isna(row[missing_column]) else "unknown" if coverage < 0.80 or reason not in {"observed", ""}: observable = coverage_column.split("_", 1)[0].upper() layers.append(f"{observable}:{reason}:coverage={coverage:.2f}") return "; ".join(layers) def top_evidence_for_row(row: pd.Series) -> str: evidence: list[str] = [] capacity = row_bool(row, "capacity_possible") external_conflict = row_float(row, "o17_external_capacity_conflict_score", 0.0) allocation_gpus = row_float(row, "o2_max_concurrent_normalized_gpus") allocation_hours = row_float(row, "o2_allocation_duration_hours") gpu_hours_ratio = row_float(row, "o2_gpu_hours_policy_ratio") gpu_util = row_float(row, "o4_gpu_util_p95") tensor = row_float(row, "o4_sm_tensor_active_p95") fabric_footprint = row_float(row, "o7_synchronized_fabric_footprint") fabric_periodicity = row_float(row, "o7_collective_periodicity_score") rack_power = row_float(row, "o8_rack_power_fraction_p95") checkpoint = row_float(row, "o11_checkpoint_periodicity_score") signed_logs = row_bool(row, "o12_signed_ml_logs_present") min_coverage = row_float(row, "o14_min_critical_coverage", 1.0) gap_fraction = row_float(row, "o14_gap_fraction_critical") cc_fraction = row_float(row, "o13_confidential_compute_mode_fraction") runtime = str(row["o10_runtime_framework_class"]) if "o10_runtime_framework_class" in row else "" if not capacity and external_conflict < 0.5: evidence.append("capacity below policy threshold") if external_conflict >= 0.5: evidence.append("external capacity conflict") if allocation_gpus >= 512 or gpu_hours_ratio >= 1.0: evidence.append("large allocation") elif allocation_gpus >= 128: evidence.append("moderate allocation") if allocation_hours >= 24: evidence.append("long allocation duration") if gpu_util >= 70 or tensor >= 0.60: evidence.append("high GPU activity") if fabric_footprint >= 512 or fabric_periodicity >= 0.60: evidence.append("synchronized scale-out fabric") if rack_power >= 0.60: evidence.append("power corroboration") if "training" in runtime or "fine_tune" in runtime: evidence.append("training runtime metadata") if checkpoint >= 0.55: evidence.append("checkpoint cadence") if signed_logs: evidence.append("signed ML logs") if min_coverage < 0.80 or gap_fraction > 0.05: evidence.append("low critical coverage") if cc_fraction > 0.50 or str(row.get("o4_missing_reason", "")) == "counter_disabled_by_cc_mode": evidence.append("counter disabled by CC mode") if not evidence: evidence.append("no strong positive evidence") return "; ".join(evidence[:8]) def add_governance_outputs(df: pd.DataFrame, raw_probabilities: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame: post_probs = apply_capacity_gate(df, raw_probabilities.loc[:, PROB_COLUMNS]) out = post_probs.copy() prob_values = out.loc[:, PROB_COLUMNS].to_numpy() predicted = np.asarray(LABELS)[np.argmax(prob_values, axis=1)] out["predicted_label"] = predicted.astype(int) out["p_large_training"] = out["p_label_3"] + out["p_label_4"] out["severity_score"] = sum(label * out[f"p_label_{label}"] for label in LABELS) min_coverage = minimum_critical_coverage(df) out["min_critical_coverage"] = min_coverage out["negative_certification_confidence"] = out["p_label_0"] * min_coverage out["capacity_possible"] = df["capacity_possible"].map(as_bool) if "capacity_possible" in df.columns else False out["integrity_warning"] = integrity_warning_series(df) out["critical_missing_layers"] = df.apply(critical_missing_layers_for_row, axis=1) out["top_evidence"] = df.apply(top_evidence_for_row, axis=1) return out def build_prediction_frame( df: pd.DataFrame, raw_probabilities: pd.DataFrame, governance_probabilities: pd.DataFrame, ) -> pd.DataFrame: base_columns = [ "split", "episode_id", "feature_row_id", "site_id", "scope_type", "scope_id_hash", "window_start", "window_end", "window_length_seconds", "latent_workload_class", "scenario_family", "scenario_variant", "data_quality_regime", "counterfactual_group_id", "synthetic_hard_case_tags", "label_0_to_4", ] present_base_columns = [column for column in base_columns if column in df.columns] out = df.loc[:, present_base_columns].copy() raw = raw_probabilities.loc[:, PROB_COLUMNS].copy() raw.columns = RAW_PROB_COLUMNS out = pd.concat([out.reset_index(drop=True), raw.reset_index(drop=True)], axis=1) governance_columns = PROB_COLUMNS + [ "predicted_label", "p_large_training", "severity_score", "capacity_possible", "negative_certification_confidence", "integrity_warning", "critical_missing_layers", "top_evidence", "min_critical_coverage", ] out = pd.concat([out, governance_probabilities.loc[:, governance_columns].reset_index(drop=True)], axis=1) for column in SELECTED_AUDIT_FEATURES: if column in df.columns and column not in out.columns: out[column] = df[column].to_numpy() return out