Spaces:
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Parent(s):
Add files via upload
Browse files- README.md +110 -0
- app.py +220 -0
- requirements.txt +6 -0
README.md
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| 1 |
+
# ✈️ Travel Demand Forecaster — Prophet + Streamlit
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| 2 |
+
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| 3 |
+
A time series forecasting app for travel demand using Facebook Prophet, deployed via CI/CD to Hugging Face Spaces.
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| 4 |
+
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| 5 |
+
---
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| 6 |
+
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| 7 |
+
## 🚀 CI/CD Pipeline
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| 8 |
+
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| 9 |
+
```
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| 10 |
+
Push code to GitHub
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| 11 |
+
↓
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| 12 |
+
GitHub Actions triggers
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| 13 |
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↓
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| 14 |
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🧪 Run all tests (CI)
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| 15 |
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↓
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| 16 |
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✅ Tests pass?
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| 17 |
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↓
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| 18 |
+
🤗 Auto deploy to Hugging Face (CD)
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| 19 |
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↓
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| 20 |
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🌐 App is live!
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| 21 |
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```
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| 22 |
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---
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| 24 |
+
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| 25 |
+
## 🛠️ Setup Instructions
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| 26 |
+
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| 27 |
+
### Step 1 — Fork or clone this repo
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```bash
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git clone https://github.com/YOUR_USERNAME/travel-prophet.git
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cd travel-prophet
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| 31 |
+
```
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+
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| 33 |
+
### Step 2 — Create Hugging Face Space
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1. Go to https://huggingface.co/spaces
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| 35 |
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2. Click **Create new Space**
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3. Choose **Streamlit** as SDK
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4. Name it e.g. `travel-prophet-forecaster`
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### Step 3 — Add HF Token to GitHub Secrets
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1. Go to https://huggingface.co/settings/tokens
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2. Create a new token with **write** access
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3. Go to your GitHub repo → **Settings** → **Secrets and variables** → **Actions**
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4. Click **New repository secret**
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5. Name: `HF_TOKEN`, Value: (paste your token)
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### Step 4 — Update deploy.yml
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In `.github/workflows/deploy.yml`, replace:
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| 48 |
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```
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| 49 |
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YOUR_HF_USERNAME → your Hugging Face username
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| 50 |
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YOUR_SPACE_NAME → your Space name
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| 51 |
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```
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| 52 |
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### Step 5 — Push to GitHub
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| 54 |
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```bash
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git add .
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git commit -m "Initial commit"
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git push origin main
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```
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### Step 6 — Watch it deploy! 🎉
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Go to your GitHub repo → **Actions** tab to watch the pipeline run.
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---
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| 64 |
+
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## 📁 Project Structure
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| 66 |
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```
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travel-prophet/
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├── app.py # Main Streamlit app
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| 70 |
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├── requirements.txt # Dependencies
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| 71 |
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├── tests/
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| 72 |
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│ └── test_app.py # All tests (CI runs these)
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| 73 |
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├── .github/
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| 74 |
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│ └── workflows/
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| 75 |
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│ └── deploy.yml # CI/CD pipeline definition
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| 76 |
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└── README.md
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| 77 |
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```
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| 78 |
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| 79 |
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---
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| 80 |
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| 81 |
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## 🧪 Run Tests Locally
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| 82 |
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| 83 |
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```bash
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| 84 |
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pip install -r requirements.txt
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| 85 |
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pip install pytest
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| 86 |
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pytest tests/ -v
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| 87 |
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```
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| 89 |
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---
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## 📊 Features
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| 92 |
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| 93 |
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- Upload your own CSV travel data
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| 94 |
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- Sample data included for demo
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| 95 |
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- Adjustable forecast period (30–365 days)
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| 96 |
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- Yearly and weekly seasonality
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| 97 |
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- Confidence intervals
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| 98 |
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- Downloadable forecast CSV
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| 99 |
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- Interactive Plotly charts
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| 100 |
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| 101 |
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---
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| 102 |
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| 103 |
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## 🔄 How CI/CD Works
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| 104 |
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| 105 |
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| Event | What Happens |
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| 106 |
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|-------|-------------|
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| 107 |
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| Push to `main` | Tests run → if pass → deploy to HF |
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| 108 |
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| Pull Request | Tests run only → no deployment |
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| 109 |
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| Tests fail | Pipeline stops → no deployment |
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| 110 |
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| Tests pass | Auto deploys to Hugging Face Spaces |
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app.py
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|
| 1 |
+
import streamlit as st
|
| 2 |
+
import pandas as pd
|
| 3 |
+
import numpy as np
|
| 4 |
+
from prophet import Prophet
|
| 5 |
+
import plotly.graph_objects as go
|
| 6 |
+
from datetime import datetime, timedelta
|
| 7 |
+
|
| 8 |
+
# ======================================
|
| 9 |
+
# Page Config
|
| 10 |
+
# ======================================
|
| 11 |
+
st.set_page_config(
|
| 12 |
+
page_title="✈️ Travel Demand Forecaster",
|
| 13 |
+
page_icon="✈️",
|
| 14 |
+
layout="wide"
|
| 15 |
+
)
|
| 16 |
+
|
| 17 |
+
st.title("✈️ Travel Demand Forecaster")
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| 18 |
+
st.markdown("**Powered by Facebook Prophet** — Upload your travel data or use sample data to forecast future demand.")
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| 19 |
+
|
| 20 |
+
# ======================================
|
| 21 |
+
# Sidebar Controls
|
| 22 |
+
# ======================================
|
| 23 |
+
st.sidebar.header("⚙️ Forecast Settings")
|
| 24 |
+
|
| 25 |
+
forecast_days = st.sidebar.slider(
|
| 26 |
+
"Forecast Period (days)",
|
| 27 |
+
min_value=30,
|
| 28 |
+
max_value=365,
|
| 29 |
+
value=90,
|
| 30 |
+
step=30
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| 31 |
+
)
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| 32 |
+
|
| 33 |
+
seasonality_mode = st.sidebar.selectbox(
|
| 34 |
+
"Seasonality Mode",
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| 35 |
+
["multiplicative", "additive"],
|
| 36 |
+
index=0
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| 37 |
+
)
|
| 38 |
+
|
| 39 |
+
yearly_seasonality = st.sidebar.checkbox("Yearly Seasonality", value=True)
|
| 40 |
+
weekly_seasonality = st.sidebar.checkbox("Weekly Seasonality", value=True)
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| 41 |
+
daily_seasonality = st.sidebar.checkbox("Daily Seasonality", value=False)
|
| 42 |
+
|
| 43 |
+
# ======================================
|
| 44 |
+
# Data Input
|
| 45 |
+
# ======================================
|
| 46 |
+
st.subheader("📂 Data Input")
|
| 47 |
+
|
| 48 |
+
data_option = st.radio(
|
| 49 |
+
"Choose data source:",
|
| 50 |
+
["Use Sample Travel Data", "Upload CSV File"],
|
| 51 |
+
horizontal=True
|
| 52 |
+
)
|
| 53 |
+
|
| 54 |
+
def generate_sample_data():
|
| 55 |
+
"""Generate realistic travel demand sample data"""
|
| 56 |
+
np.random.seed(42)
|
| 57 |
+
dates = pd.date_range(start="2021-01-01", end="2023-12-31", freq="D")
|
| 58 |
+
|
| 59 |
+
# Base demand with trend
|
| 60 |
+
trend = np.linspace(100, 150, len(dates))
|
| 61 |
+
|
| 62 |
+
# Yearly seasonality (peak in summer and holidays)
|
| 63 |
+
yearly = 30 * np.sin(2 * np.pi * np.arange(len(dates)) / 365 - np.pi/2)
|
| 64 |
+
|
| 65 |
+
# Weekly seasonality (weekends higher)
|
| 66 |
+
weekly = 10 * np.sin(2 * np.pi * np.arange(len(dates)) / 7)
|
| 67 |
+
|
| 68 |
+
# Random noise
|
| 69 |
+
noise = np.random.normal(0, 8, len(dates))
|
| 70 |
+
|
| 71 |
+
demand = trend + yearly + weekly + noise
|
| 72 |
+
demand = np.maximum(demand, 10) # no negative demand
|
| 73 |
+
|
| 74 |
+
df = pd.DataFrame({"ds": dates, "y": demand.round(0)})
|
| 75 |
+
return df
|
| 76 |
+
|
| 77 |
+
if data_option == "Use Sample Travel Data":
|
| 78 |
+
df = generate_sample_data()
|
| 79 |
+
st.success("✅ Sample travel demand data loaded! (Jan 2021 — Dec 2023)")
|
| 80 |
+
st.dataframe(df.tail(10), use_container_width=True)
|
| 81 |
+
|
| 82 |
+
else:
|
| 83 |
+
uploaded_file = st.file_uploader(
|
| 84 |
+
"Upload CSV with 'ds' (date) and 'y' (value) columns",
|
| 85 |
+
type=["csv"]
|
| 86 |
+
)
|
| 87 |
+
|
| 88 |
+
if uploaded_file:
|
| 89 |
+
df = pd.read_csv(uploaded_file)
|
| 90 |
+
df['ds'] = pd.to_datetime(df['ds'])
|
| 91 |
+
st.success(f"✅ Loaded {len(df)} rows of data!")
|
| 92 |
+
st.dataframe(df.tail(10), use_container_width=True)
|
| 93 |
+
else:
|
| 94 |
+
st.info("👆 Please upload a CSV file with columns: **ds** (date) and **y** (value)")
|
| 95 |
+
st.stop()
|
| 96 |
+
|
| 97 |
+
# ======================================
|
| 98 |
+
# Train & Forecast
|
| 99 |
+
# ======================================
|
| 100 |
+
st.divider()
|
| 101 |
+
st.subheader("🔮 Forecast")
|
| 102 |
+
|
| 103 |
+
if st.button("🚀 Generate Forecast", type="primary"):
|
| 104 |
+
with st.spinner("Training Prophet model..."):
|
| 105 |
+
|
| 106 |
+
# Train model
|
| 107 |
+
model = Prophet(
|
| 108 |
+
seasonality_mode=seasonality_mode,
|
| 109 |
+
yearly_seasonality=yearly_seasonality,
|
| 110 |
+
weekly_seasonality=weekly_seasonality,
|
| 111 |
+
daily_seasonality=daily_seasonality
|
| 112 |
+
)
|
| 113 |
+
model.fit(df)
|
| 114 |
+
|
| 115 |
+
# Make future dataframe
|
| 116 |
+
future = model.make_future_dataframe(periods=forecast_days)
|
| 117 |
+
forecast = model.predict(future)
|
| 118 |
+
|
| 119 |
+
st.success(f"✅ Forecast generated for next {forecast_days} days!")
|
| 120 |
+
|
| 121 |
+
# ======================================
|
| 122 |
+
# Plot Results
|
| 123 |
+
# ======================================
|
| 124 |
+
col1, col2 = st.columns(2)
|
| 125 |
+
|
| 126 |
+
with col1:
|
| 127 |
+
st.metric(
|
| 128 |
+
"Average Forecasted Demand",
|
| 129 |
+
f"{forecast['yhat'].tail(forecast_days).mean():.0f}",
|
| 130 |
+
delta=f"+{forecast['yhat'].tail(forecast_days).mean() - df['y'].mean():.0f} vs historical"
|
| 131 |
+
)
|
| 132 |
+
|
| 133 |
+
with col2:
|
| 134 |
+
st.metric(
|
| 135 |
+
"Peak Forecasted Demand",
|
| 136 |
+
f"{forecast['yhat'].tail(forecast_days).max():.0f}",
|
| 137 |
+
delta="Next period peak"
|
| 138 |
+
)
|
| 139 |
+
|
| 140 |
+
# Main forecast plot
|
| 141 |
+
fig = go.Figure()
|
| 142 |
+
|
| 143 |
+
# Historical data
|
| 144 |
+
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(
|
| 145 |
+
x=df['ds'], y=df['y'],
|
| 146 |
+
name='Historical',
|
| 147 |
+
mode='lines',
|
| 148 |
+
line=dict(color='#1f77b4', width=1.5)
|
| 149 |
+
))
|
| 150 |
+
|
| 151 |
+
# Forecast
|
| 152 |
+
forecast_future = forecast[forecast['ds'] > df['ds'].max()]
|
| 153 |
+
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(
|
| 154 |
+
x=forecast_future['ds'], y=forecast_future['yhat'],
|
| 155 |
+
name='Forecast',
|
| 156 |
+
mode='lines',
|
| 157 |
+
line=dict(color='#ff7f0e', width=2, dash='dash')
|
| 158 |
+
))
|
| 159 |
+
|
| 160 |
+
# Confidence interval
|
| 161 |
+
fig.add_trace(go.Scatter(
|
| 162 |
+
x=pd.concat([forecast_future['ds'], forecast_future['ds'][::-1]]),
|
| 163 |
+
y=pd.concat([forecast_future['yhat_upper'], forecast_future['yhat_lower'][::-1]]),
|
| 164 |
+
fill='toself',
|
| 165 |
+
fillcolor='rgba(255,127,14,0.2)',
|
| 166 |
+
line=dict(color='rgba(255,255,255,0)'),
|
| 167 |
+
name='Confidence Interval'
|
| 168 |
+
))
|
| 169 |
+
|
| 170 |
+
fig.update_layout(
|
| 171 |
+
title="Travel Demand Forecast",
|
| 172 |
+
xaxis_title="Date",
|
| 173 |
+
yaxis_title="Demand",
|
| 174 |
+
hovermode='x unified',
|
| 175 |
+
height=450
|
| 176 |
+
)
|
| 177 |
+
|
| 178 |
+
st.plotly_chart(fig, use_container_width=True)
|
| 179 |
+
|
| 180 |
+
# Components plot
|
| 181 |
+
st.subheader("📊 Forecast Components")
|
| 182 |
+
|
| 183 |
+
col1, col2 = st.columns(2)
|
| 184 |
+
|
| 185 |
+
with col1:
|
| 186 |
+
# Trend
|
| 187 |
+
fig_trend = go.Figure()
|
| 188 |
+
fig_trend.add_trace(go.Scatter(
|
| 189 |
+
x=forecast['ds'], y=forecast['trend'],
|
| 190 |
+
mode='lines', line=dict(color='green', width=2)
|
| 191 |
+
))
|
| 192 |
+
fig_trend.update_layout(title="Trend", height=300)
|
| 193 |
+
st.plotly_chart(fig_trend, use_container_width=True)
|
| 194 |
+
|
| 195 |
+
with col2:
|
| 196 |
+
# Yearly seasonality
|
| 197 |
+
if yearly_seasonality:
|
| 198 |
+
fig_yearly = go.Figure()
|
| 199 |
+
fig_yearly.add_trace(go.Scatter(
|
| 200 |
+
x=forecast['ds'], y=forecast['yearly'],
|
| 201 |
+
mode='lines', line=dict(color='purple', width=2)
|
| 202 |
+
))
|
| 203 |
+
fig_yearly.update_layout(title="Yearly Seasonality", height=300)
|
| 204 |
+
st.plotly_chart(fig_yearly, use_container_width=True)
|
| 205 |
+
|
| 206 |
+
# Forecast table
|
| 207 |
+
st.subheader("📋 Forecast Data")
|
| 208 |
+
forecast_display = forecast[['ds', 'yhat', 'yhat_lower', 'yhat_upper']].tail(forecast_days)
|
| 209 |
+
forecast_display.columns = ['Date', 'Forecast', 'Lower Bound', 'Upper Bound']
|
| 210 |
+
forecast_display = forecast_display.round(2)
|
| 211 |
+
st.dataframe(forecast_display, use_container_width=True)
|
| 212 |
+
|
| 213 |
+
# Download button
|
| 214 |
+
csv = forecast_display.to_csv(index=False)
|
| 215 |
+
st.download_button(
|
| 216 |
+
label="📥 Download Forecast CSV",
|
| 217 |
+
data=csv,
|
| 218 |
+
file_name="travel_forecast.csv",
|
| 219 |
+
mime="text/csv"
|
| 220 |
+
)
|
requirements.txt
ADDED
|
@@ -0,0 +1,6 @@
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1 |
+
streamlit==1.32.0
|
| 2 |
+
prophet==1.1.5
|
| 3 |
+
pandas==2.0.3
|
| 4 |
+
numpy==1.24.3
|
| 5 |
+
plotly==5.18.0
|
| 6 |
+
pystan==3.7.0
|