{ "site": "Dome Cosmology Registry", "version": "50.5", "last_updated": "2026-03-10", "manifest_sha256": "fb42b676fb9a5d71f6c97a40efebfb6ba028b3523a70c616e4b112e2b874e731", "active_predictions": [ { "id": "PRED-001", "station": "Ebro (EBR)", "prediction_nT": -8.4, "uncertainty_nT": 1.7, "component": "Z", "event": "2026 Solar Eclipse Aug 12", "mechanism": { "description": "Aetheric pressure trough caused by lunar/solar mass alignment blocking aetheric flow to surface", "key_claims": [ "Signal will be NEGATIVE (pressure drop)", "Signal will TRACK eclipse geometry not local solar noon", "Signal magnitude scales with coverage fraction", "Signal magnitude scales with geomagnetic latitude", "Peak timing correlates with maximum obscuration not noon" ], "each_claim_is_independently_testable": true }, "formula": "delta_Z = baseline * coverage_fraction * latitude_factor", "inputs": { "baseline_nT": -10.9, "coverage_fraction": 0.95, "latitude_factor": 0.81 }, "status": "pending", "timestamp_sha256": "pending", "sha256": "49e4b10df7f8e109f78c9479b51a6d999423b384750268ccf22e075115735b25", "point_prediction": { "value": -8.4, "uncertainty": 1.7, "range": [ -10.1, -6.7 ], "confidence": "1-sigma" }, "derivation": { "formula": "delta_Z = B * C * L", "variables": { "B": "baseline_nT = -10.9 (BOU 2017)", "C": "coverage_fraction (varies by station)", "L": "latitude_factor (geomagnetic projection)" }, "step_by_step": [ "1. BOU 2017 baseline = -10.9 nT at 99% coverage, lat 40.0N", "2. Determine local station coverage fraction", "3. Calculate relative latitude distortion factor", "4. delta_Z = -10.9 * C * L" ], "caveat": "BOU 2017 baseline flagged as disturbed day. If quiet-day baseline differs, scale accordingly." }, "scoring_matrix": [ { "claim": "Signal is negative", "weight": "HIGH", "auto_check": "observed.value < 0", "points_if_correct": 3, "points_if_wrong": -3 }, { "claim": "Signal exceeds noise floor", "weight": "HIGH", "auto_check": "observed.snr >= 2.0", "points_if_correct": 2, "points_if_wrong": 0 }, { "claim": "Magnitude within 1-sigma", "weight": "MEDIUM", "auto_check": "sigma_distance <= 1.0", "points_if_correct": 2, "points_if_wrong": -1 }, { "claim": "Magnitude within 2-sigma", "weight": "MEDIUM", "auto_check": "sigma_distance <= 2.0", "points_if_correct": 1, "points_if_wrong": -1 }, { "claim": "Peak timing tracks eclipse geometry not solar noon", "weight": "VERY HIGH", "auto_check": "evaluate_timing_correlation()", "points_if_correct": 4, "points_if_wrong": -4, "note": "This is the strongest mechanistic test - globe model has no prediction here" }, { "claim": "Signal scales with coverage fraction across stations", "weight": "VERY HIGH", "auto_check": "evaluate_network_correlation()", "points_if_correct": 4, "points_if_wrong": -4, "note": "Multi-station correlation is model-distinguishing - cannot be explained by random noise" }, { "claim": "Non-path stations show less than 2 nT", "weight": "HIGH", "auto_check": "evaluate_off_path_noise()", "points_if_correct": 3, "points_if_wrong": -3 } ], "max_possible_score": 19, "win_threshold": 10, "strong_win_threshold": 15, "model_distinguishing": { "description": "Tests where dome and globe models make DIFFERENT predictions", "tests": [ { "test": "Eclipse timing vs solar noon", "dome_predicts": "Peak tracks umbra geometry", "globe_predicts": "No prediction - globe has no eclipse magnetic mechanism", "verdict_if_dome_correct": "STRONG model-distinguishing confirmation" }, { "test": "Coverage scaling across stations", "dome_predicts": "Linear correlation between coverage % and signal nT", "globe_predicts": "No systematic prediction", "verdict_if_dome_correct": "Cannot be explained by coincidence across independent stations" }, { "test": "SG gravimeters show null", "dome_predicts": "0.0 uGal on shielded superconducting gravimeters", "globe_predicts": "Would expect tidal signal if mass-based", "verdict_if_dome_correct": "Confirms aetheric not gravitational mechanism" } ] }, "calibration": { "baseline_source": "BOU 2017", "baseline_quality": "CAVEAT - disturbed day", "baseline_value_used": -10.9, "alternative_baseline_if_quiet_day": "TBD - run W004 replication first", "if_baseline_wrong_by_20pct": { "adjusted_prediction": -6.72, "still_within_range": true }, "model_breaks_if": "Signal is positive OR signal shows no geometry correlation" }, "baseline_recalibration": { "w004_observed_nT": -17.6, "w004_coverage": 0.92, "w004_latitude_factor": 0.86, "derived_true_baseline_nT": -22.24, "formula": "true_baseline = observed / (coverage * lat_factor)" }, "point_prediction_recalibrated": { "baseline_source": "W004 Empirical (2024 Eclipse)", "value": -17.11, "uncertainty": 3.5 } }, { "id": "PRED-002", "station": "San Pablo (SPT)", "prediction_nT": -8.3, "uncertainty_nT": 1.7, "status": "pending", "formula": "delta_Z = baseline * coverage_fraction * latitude_factor", "inputs": { "baseline_nT": -10.9, "coverage_fraction": 0.94, "latitude_factor": 0.8 }, "sha256": "7efd778308fc1da0d8579329cd5ffa77a4d7a3237da6c6ac91410c37ccbf38c3", "point_prediction": { "value": -8.3, "uncertainty": 1.7, "range": [ -10.0, -6.6 ], "confidence": "1-sigma" }, "mechanism": { "description": "Aetheric pressure trough caused by lunar/solar mass alignment blocking aetheric flow to surface", "key_claims": [ "Signal will be NEGATIVE (pressure drop)", "Signal will TRACK eclipse geometry not local solar noon", "Signal magnitude scales with coverage fraction", "Signal magnitude scales with geomagnetic latitude", "Peak timing correlates with maximum obscuration not noon" ], "each_claim_is_independently_testable": true }, "derivation": { "formula": "delta_Z = B * C * L", "variables": { "B": "baseline_nT = -10.9 (BOU 2017)", "C": "coverage_fraction (varies by station)", "L": "latitude_factor (geomagnetic projection)" }, "step_by_step": [ "1. BOU 2017 baseline = -10.9 nT at 99% coverage, lat 40.0N", "2. Determine local station coverage fraction", "3. Calculate relative latitude distortion factor", "4. delta_Z = -10.9 * C * L" ], "caveat": "BOU 2017 baseline flagged as disturbed day. If quiet-day baseline differs, scale accordingly." }, "scoring_matrix": [ { "claim": "Signal is negative", "weight": "HIGH", "auto_check": "observed.value < 0", "points_if_correct": 3, "points_if_wrong": -3 }, { "claim": "Signal exceeds noise floor", "weight": "HIGH", "auto_check": "observed.snr >= 2.0", "points_if_correct": 2, "points_if_wrong": 0 }, { "claim": "Magnitude within 1-sigma", "weight": "MEDIUM", "auto_check": "sigma_distance <= 1.0", "points_if_correct": 2, "points_if_wrong": -1 }, { "claim": "Magnitude within 2-sigma", "weight": "MEDIUM", "auto_check": "sigma_distance <= 2.0", "points_if_correct": 1, "points_if_wrong": -1 }, { "claim": "Peak timing tracks eclipse geometry not solar noon", "weight": "VERY HIGH", "auto_check": "evaluate_timing_correlation()", "points_if_correct": 4, "points_if_wrong": -4, "note": "This is the strongest mechanistic test - globe model has no prediction here" }, { "claim": "Signal scales with coverage fraction across stations", "weight": "VERY HIGH", "auto_check": "evaluate_network_correlation()", "points_if_correct": 4, "points_if_wrong": -4, "note": "Multi-station correlation is model-distinguishing - cannot be explained by random noise" }, { "claim": "Non-path stations show less than 2 nT", "weight": "HIGH", "auto_check": "evaluate_off_path_noise()", "points_if_correct": 3, "points_if_wrong": -3 } ], "max_possible_score": 19, "win_threshold": 10, "strong_win_threshold": 15, "model_distinguishing": { "description": "Tests where dome and globe models make DIFFERENT predictions", "tests": [ { "test": "Eclipse timing vs solar noon", "dome_predicts": "Peak tracks umbra geometry", "globe_predicts": "No prediction - globe has no eclipse magnetic mechanism", "verdict_if_dome_correct": "STRONG model-distinguishing confirmation" }, { "test": "Coverage scaling across stations", "dome_predicts": "Linear correlation between coverage % and signal nT", "globe_predicts": "No systematic prediction", "verdict_if_dome_correct": "Cannot be explained by coincidence across independent stations" }, { "test": "SG gravimeters show null", "dome_predicts": "0.0 uGal on shielded superconducting gravimeters", "globe_predicts": "Would expect tidal signal if mass-based", "verdict_if_dome_correct": "Confirms aetheric not gravitational mechanism" } ] }, "calibration": { "baseline_source": "BOU 2017", "baseline_quality": "CAVEAT - disturbed day", "baseline_value_used": -10.9, "alternative_baseline_if_quiet_day": "TBD - run W004 replication first", "if_baseline_wrong_by_20pct": { "adjusted_prediction": -6.64, "still_within_range": true }, "model_breaks_if": "Signal is positive OR signal shows no geometry correlation" }, "baseline_recalibration": { "w004_observed_nT": -17.6, "w004_coverage": 0.92, "w004_latitude_factor": 0.86, "derived_true_baseline_nT": -22.24, "formula": "true_baseline = observed / (coverage * lat_factor)" }, "point_prediction_recalibrated": { "baseline_source": "W004 Empirical (2024 Eclipse)", "value": -16.72, "uncertainty": 3.5 } }, { "id": "PRED-003", "station": "Eskdalemuir (ESK)", "prediction_nT": -9.5, "uncertainty_nT": 1.9, "status": "pending", "formula": "delta_Z = baseline * coverage_fraction * latitude_factor", "inputs": { "baseline_nT": -10.9, "coverage_fraction": 0.98, "latitude_factor": 0.89 }, "sha256": "fe27a689987ad9cdc1d7e85a52b823a45261db8788a6aa0ebe034d51080bd6fc", "point_prediction": { "value": -9.5, "uncertainty": 1.9, "range": [ -11.4, -7.6 ], "confidence": "1-sigma" }, "mechanism": { "description": "Aetheric pressure trough caused by lunar/solar mass alignment blocking aetheric flow to surface", "key_claims": [ "Signal will be NEGATIVE (pressure drop)", "Signal will TRACK eclipse geometry not local solar noon", "Signal magnitude scales with coverage fraction", "Signal magnitude scales with geomagnetic latitude", "Peak timing correlates with maximum obscuration not noon" ], "each_claim_is_independently_testable": true }, "derivation": { "formula": "delta_Z = B * C * L", "variables": { "B": "baseline_nT = -10.9 (BOU 2017)", "C": "coverage_fraction (varies by station)", "L": "latitude_factor (geomagnetic projection)" }, "step_by_step": [ "1. BOU 2017 baseline = -10.9 nT at 99% coverage, lat 40.0N", "2. Determine local station coverage fraction", "3. Calculate relative latitude distortion factor", "4. delta_Z = -10.9 * C * L" ], "caveat": "BOU 2017 baseline flagged as disturbed day. If quiet-day baseline differs, scale accordingly." }, "scoring_matrix": [ { "claim": "Signal is negative", "weight": "HIGH", "auto_check": "observed.value < 0", "points_if_correct": 3, "points_if_wrong": -3 }, { "claim": "Signal exceeds noise floor", "weight": "HIGH", "auto_check": "observed.snr >= 2.0", "points_if_correct": 2, "points_if_wrong": 0 }, { "claim": "Magnitude within 1-sigma", "weight": "MEDIUM", "auto_check": "sigma_distance <= 1.0", "points_if_correct": 2, "points_if_wrong": -1 }, { "claim": "Magnitude within 2-sigma", "weight": "MEDIUM", "auto_check": "sigma_distance <= 2.0", "points_if_correct": 1, "points_if_wrong": -1 }, { "claim": "Peak timing tracks eclipse geometry not solar noon", "weight": "VERY HIGH", "auto_check": "evaluate_timing_correlation()", "points_if_correct": 4, "points_if_wrong": -4, "note": "This is the strongest mechanistic test - globe model has no prediction here" }, { "claim": "Signal scales with coverage fraction across stations", "weight": "VERY HIGH", "auto_check": "evaluate_network_correlation()", "points_if_correct": 4, "points_if_wrong": -4, "note": "Multi-station correlation is model-distinguishing - cannot be explained by random noise" }, { "claim": "Non-path stations show less than 2 nT", "weight": "HIGH", "auto_check": "evaluate_off_path_noise()", "points_if_correct": 3, "points_if_wrong": -3 } ], "max_possible_score": 19, "win_threshold": 10, "strong_win_threshold": 15, "model_distinguishing": { "description": "Tests where dome and globe models make DIFFERENT predictions", "tests": [ { "test": "Eclipse timing vs solar noon", "dome_predicts": "Peak tracks umbra geometry", "globe_predicts": "No prediction - globe has no eclipse magnetic mechanism", "verdict_if_dome_correct": "STRONG model-distinguishing confirmation" }, { "test": "Coverage scaling across stations", "dome_predicts": "Linear correlation between coverage % and signal nT", "globe_predicts": "No systematic prediction", "verdict_if_dome_correct": "Cannot be explained by coincidence across independent stations" }, { "test": "SG gravimeters show null", "dome_predicts": "0.0 uGal on shielded superconducting gravimeters", "globe_predicts": "Would expect tidal signal if mass-based", "verdict_if_dome_correct": "Confirms aetheric not gravitational mechanism" } ] }, "calibration": { "baseline_source": "BOU 2017", "baseline_quality": "CAVEAT - disturbed day", "baseline_value_used": -10.9, "alternative_baseline_if_quiet_day": "TBD - run W004 replication first", "if_baseline_wrong_by_20pct": { "adjusted_prediction": -7.6, "still_within_range": true }, "model_breaks_if": "Signal is positive OR signal shows no geometry correlation" }, "baseline_recalibration": { "w004_observed_nT": -17.6, "w004_coverage": 0.92, "w004_latitude_factor": 0.86, "derived_true_baseline_nT": -22.24, "formula": "true_baseline = observed / (coverage * lat_factor)" }, "point_prediction_recalibrated": { "baseline_source": "W004 Empirical (2024 Eclipse)", "value": -19.4, "uncertainty": 3.9 } }, { "id": "PRED-004", "station": "Lerwick (LER)", "prediction_nT": -8.6, "uncertainty_nT": 1.7, "status": "pending", "formula": "delta_Z = baseline * coverage_fraction * latitude_factor", "inputs": { "baseline_nT": -10.9, "coverage_fraction": 0.92, "latitude_factor": 0.86 }, "sha256": "2f80be398dc514236bf6472982c27a50cc59cbd7ab1bb944162e75bc9bc9e5de", "point_prediction": { "value": -8.6, "uncertainty": 1.7, "range": [ -10.3, -6.9 ], "confidence": "1-sigma" }, "mechanism": { "description": "Aetheric pressure trough caused by lunar/solar mass alignment blocking aetheric flow to surface", "key_claims": [ "Signal will be NEGATIVE (pressure drop)", "Signal will TRACK eclipse geometry not local solar noon", "Signal magnitude scales with coverage fraction", "Signal magnitude scales with geomagnetic latitude", "Peak timing correlates with maximum obscuration not noon" ], "each_claim_is_independently_testable": true }, "derivation": { "formula": "delta_Z = B * C * L", "variables": { "B": "baseline_nT = -10.9 (BOU 2017)", "C": "coverage_fraction (varies by station)", "L": "latitude_factor (geomagnetic projection)" }, "step_by_step": [ "1. BOU 2017 baseline = -10.9 nT at 99% coverage, lat 40.0N", "2. Determine local station coverage fraction", "3. Calculate relative latitude distortion factor", "4. delta_Z = -10.9 * C * L" ], "caveat": "BOU 2017 baseline flagged as disturbed day. If quiet-day baseline differs, scale accordingly." }, "scoring_matrix": [ { "claim": "Signal is negative", "weight": "HIGH", "auto_check": "observed.value < 0", "points_if_correct": 3, "points_if_wrong": -3 }, { "claim": "Signal exceeds noise floor", "weight": "HIGH", "auto_check": "observed.snr >= 2.0", "points_if_correct": 2, "points_if_wrong": 0 }, { "claim": "Magnitude within 1-sigma", "weight": "MEDIUM", "auto_check": "sigma_distance <= 1.0", "points_if_correct": 2, "points_if_wrong": -1 }, { "claim": "Magnitude within 2-sigma", "weight": "MEDIUM", "auto_check": "sigma_distance <= 2.0", "points_if_correct": 1, "points_if_wrong": -1 }, { "claim": "Peak timing tracks eclipse geometry not solar noon", "weight": "VERY HIGH", "auto_check": "evaluate_timing_correlation()", "points_if_correct": 4, "points_if_wrong": -4, "note": "This is the strongest mechanistic test - globe model has no prediction here" }, { "claim": "Signal scales with coverage fraction across stations", "weight": "VERY HIGH", "auto_check": "evaluate_network_correlation()", "points_if_correct": 4, "points_if_wrong": -4, "note": "Multi-station correlation is model-distinguishing - cannot be explained by random noise" }, { "claim": "Non-path stations show less than 2 nT", "weight": "HIGH", "auto_check": "evaluate_off_path_noise()", "points_if_correct": 3, "points_if_wrong": -3 } ], "max_possible_score": 19, "win_threshold": 10, "strong_win_threshold": 15, "model_distinguishing": { "description": "Tests where dome and globe models make DIFFERENT predictions", "tests": [ { "test": "Eclipse timing vs solar noon", "dome_predicts": "Peak tracks umbra geometry", "globe_predicts": "No prediction - globe has no eclipse magnetic mechanism", "verdict_if_dome_correct": "STRONG model-distinguishing confirmation" }, { "test": "Coverage scaling across stations", "dome_predicts": "Linear correlation between coverage % and signal nT", "globe_predicts": "No systematic prediction", "verdict_if_dome_correct": "Cannot be explained by coincidence across independent stations" }, { "test": "SG gravimeters show null", "dome_predicts": "0.0 uGal on shielded superconducting gravimeters", "globe_predicts": "Would expect tidal signal if mass-based", "verdict_if_dome_correct": "Confirms aetheric not gravitational mechanism" } ] }, "calibration": { "baseline_source": "BOU 2017", "baseline_quality": "CAVEAT - disturbed day", "baseline_value_used": -10.9, "alternative_baseline_if_quiet_day": "TBD - run W004 replication first", "if_baseline_wrong_by_20pct": { "adjusted_prediction": -6.88, "still_within_range": true }, "model_breaks_if": "Signal is positive OR signal shows no geometry correlation" }, "baseline_recalibration": { "w004_observed_nT": -17.6, "w004_coverage": 0.92, "w004_latitude_factor": 0.86, "derived_true_baseline_nT": -22.24, "formula": "true_baseline = observed / (coverage * lat_factor)" }, "point_prediction_recalibrated": { "baseline_source": "W004 Empirical (2024 Eclipse)", "value": -17.6, "uncertainty": 3.5 } }, { "id": "PRED-005", "station": "Canary Islands (SNK)", "prediction_nT": -5.8, "uncertainty_nT": 1.2, "status": "pending", "formula": "delta_Z = baseline * coverage_fraction * latitude_factor", "inputs": { "baseline_nT": -10.9, "coverage_fraction": 0.7, "latitude_factor": 0.75 }, "sha256": "340174383ec9844ccf19a5ab0398afbd00aa2ac55d8e04fb6318ecebdd4dee56", "point_prediction": { "value": -5.8, "uncertainty": 1.2, "range": [ -7.0, -4.6 ], "confidence": "1-sigma" }, "mechanism": { "description": "Aetheric pressure trough caused by lunar/solar mass alignment blocking aetheric flow to surface", "key_claims": [ "Signal will be NEGATIVE (pressure drop)", "Signal will TRACK eclipse geometry not local solar noon", "Signal magnitude scales with coverage fraction", "Signal magnitude scales with geomagnetic latitude", "Peak timing correlates with maximum obscuration not noon" ], "each_claim_is_independently_testable": true }, "derivation": { "formula": "delta_Z = B * C * L", "variables": { "B": "baseline_nT = -10.9 (BOU 2017)", "C": "coverage_fraction (varies by station)", "L": "latitude_factor (geomagnetic projection)" }, "step_by_step": [ "1. BOU 2017 baseline = -10.9 nT at 99% coverage, lat 40.0N", "2. Determine local station coverage fraction", "3. Calculate relative latitude distortion factor", "4. delta_Z = -10.9 * C * L" ], "caveat": "BOU 2017 baseline flagged as disturbed day. If quiet-day baseline differs, scale accordingly." }, "scoring_matrix": [ { "claim": "Signal is negative", "weight": "HIGH", "auto_check": "observed.value < 0", "points_if_correct": 3, "points_if_wrong": -3 }, { "claim": "Signal exceeds noise floor", "weight": "HIGH", "auto_check": "observed.snr >= 2.0", "points_if_correct": 2, "points_if_wrong": 0 }, { "claim": "Magnitude within 1-sigma", "weight": "MEDIUM", "auto_check": "sigma_distance <= 1.0", "points_if_correct": 2, "points_if_wrong": -1 }, { "claim": "Magnitude within 2-sigma", "weight": "MEDIUM", "auto_check": "sigma_distance <= 2.0", "points_if_correct": 1, "points_if_wrong": -1 }, { "claim": "Peak timing tracks eclipse geometry not solar noon", "weight": "VERY HIGH", "auto_check": "evaluate_timing_correlation()", "points_if_correct": 4, "points_if_wrong": -4, "note": "This is the strongest mechanistic test - globe model has no prediction here" }, { "claim": "Signal scales with coverage fraction across stations", "weight": "VERY HIGH", "auto_check": "evaluate_network_correlation()", "points_if_correct": 4, "points_if_wrong": -4, "note": "Multi-station correlation is model-distinguishing - cannot be explained by random noise" }, { "claim": "Non-path stations show less than 2 nT", "weight": "HIGH", "auto_check": "evaluate_off_path_noise()", "points_if_correct": 3, "points_if_wrong": -3 } ], "max_possible_score": 19, "win_threshold": 10, "strong_win_threshold": 15, "model_distinguishing": { "description": "Tests where dome and globe models make DIFFERENT predictions", "tests": [ { "test": "Eclipse timing vs solar noon", "dome_predicts": "Peak tracks umbra geometry", "globe_predicts": "No prediction - globe has no eclipse magnetic mechanism", "verdict_if_dome_correct": "STRONG model-distinguishing confirmation" }, { "test": "Coverage scaling across stations", "dome_predicts": "Linear correlation between coverage % and signal nT", "globe_predicts": "No systematic prediction", "verdict_if_dome_correct": "Cannot be explained by coincidence across independent stations" }, { "test": "SG gravimeters show null", "dome_predicts": "0.0 uGal on shielded superconducting gravimeters", "globe_predicts": "Would expect tidal signal if mass-based", "verdict_if_dome_correct": "Confirms aetheric not gravitational mechanism" } ] }, "calibration": { "baseline_source": "BOU 2017", "baseline_quality": "CAVEAT - disturbed day", "baseline_value_used": -10.9, "alternative_baseline_if_quiet_day": "TBD - run W004 replication first", "if_baseline_wrong_by_20pct": { "adjusted_prediction": -4.64, "still_within_range": true }, "model_breaks_if": "Signal is positive OR signal shows no geometry correlation" }, "baseline_recalibration": { "w004_observed_nT": -17.6, "w004_coverage": 0.92, "w004_latitude_factor": 0.86, "derived_true_baseline_nT": -22.24, "formula": "true_baseline = observed / (coverage * lat_factor)" }, "point_prediction_recalibrated": { "baseline_source": "W004 Empirical (2024 Eclipse)", "value": -11.68, "uncertainty": 2.4 } }, { "id": "PRED-006", "station": "All European SG", "prediction_uGal": 0.0, "uncertainty_uGal": 0.1, "mechanism": { "description": "Aetheric pressure trough caused by lunar/solar mass alignment blocking aetheric flow to surface", "key_claims": [ "Signal will be NEGATIVE (pressure drop)", "Signal will TRACK eclipse geometry not local solar noon", "Signal magnitude scales with coverage fraction", "Signal magnitude scales with geomagnetic latitude", "Peak timing correlates with maximum obscuration not noon" ], "each_claim_is_independently_testable": true }, "status": "pending", "formula": "delta_g = 0", "inputs": { "shielding": "Superconducting Gravimeter" }, "sha256": "4499e9125ca91ddd5c3cd44ca9fdfd55cc44cd6f8d317bc5b58f89f4abf77eef", "point_prediction": { "value": null, "uncertainty": null, "range": [ 0, 0 ], "confidence": "1-sigma" }, "derivation": { "formula": "delta_Z = B * C * L", "variables": { "B": "baseline_nT = -10.9 (BOU 2017)", "C": "coverage_fraction (varies by station)", "L": "latitude_factor (geomagnetic projection)" }, "step_by_step": [ "1. BOU 2017 baseline = -10.9 nT at 99% coverage, lat 40.0N", "2. Determine local station coverage fraction", "3. Calculate relative latitude distortion factor", "4. delta_Z = -10.9 * C * L" ], "caveat": "BOU 2017 baseline flagged as disturbed day. If quiet-day baseline differs, scale accordingly." }, "scoring_matrix": [ { "claim": "Signal is negative", "weight": "HIGH", "auto_check": "observed.value < 0", "points_if_correct": 3, "points_if_wrong": -3 }, { "claim": "Signal exceeds noise floor", "weight": "HIGH", "auto_check": "observed.snr >= 2.0", "points_if_correct": 2, "points_if_wrong": 0 }, { "claim": "Magnitude within 1-sigma", "weight": "MEDIUM", "auto_check": "sigma_distance <= 1.0", "points_if_correct": 2, "points_if_wrong": -1 }, { "claim": "Magnitude within 2-sigma", "weight": "MEDIUM", "auto_check": "sigma_distance <= 2.0", "points_if_correct": 1, "points_if_wrong": -1 }, { "claim": "Peak timing tracks eclipse geometry not solar noon", "weight": "VERY HIGH", "auto_check": "evaluate_timing_correlation()", "points_if_correct": 4, "points_if_wrong": -4, "note": "This is the strongest mechanistic test - globe model has no prediction here" }, { "claim": "Signal scales with coverage fraction across stations", "weight": "VERY HIGH", "auto_check": "evaluate_network_correlation()", "points_if_correct": 4, "points_if_wrong": -4, "note": "Multi-station correlation is model-distinguishing - cannot be explained by random noise" }, { "claim": "Non-path stations show less than 2 nT", "weight": "HIGH", "auto_check": "evaluate_off_path_noise()", "points_if_correct": 3, "points_if_wrong": -3 } ], "max_possible_score": 19, "win_threshold": 10, "strong_win_threshold": 15, "model_distinguishing": { "description": "Tests where dome and globe models make DIFFERENT predictions", "tests": [ { "test": "Eclipse timing vs solar noon", "dome_predicts": "Peak tracks umbra geometry", "globe_predicts": "No prediction - globe has no eclipse magnetic mechanism", "verdict_if_dome_correct": "STRONG model-distinguishing confirmation" }, { "test": "Coverage scaling across stations", "dome_predicts": "Linear correlation between coverage % and signal nT", "globe_predicts": "No systematic prediction", "verdict_if_dome_correct": "Cannot be explained by coincidence across independent stations" }, { "test": "SG gravimeters show null", "dome_predicts": "0.0 uGal on shielded superconducting gravimeters", "globe_predicts": "Would expect tidal signal if mass-based", "verdict_if_dome_correct": "Confirms aetheric not gravitational mechanism" } ] }, "calibration": { "baseline_source": "BOU 2017", "baseline_quality": "CAVEAT - disturbed day", "baseline_value_used": -10.9, "alternative_baseline_if_quiet_day": "TBD - run W004 replication first", "if_baseline_wrong_by_20pct": { "adjusted_prediction": 0, "still_within_range": true }, "model_breaks_if": "Signal is positive OR signal shows no geometry correlation" } }, { "id": "PRED-007", "station": "Geometry vs local time", "prediction": "correlation = 1", "status": "pending", "formula": "correlation(anomaly, geometry) = 1.0", "inputs": {}, "sha256": "076666c42bf008c02b1a55dc2aee2b07ed31a7a2013a12c50572ea37d4d2af69", "point_prediction": { "value": null, "uncertainty": null, "range": [ 0, 0 ], "confidence": "1-sigma" }, "mechanism": { "description": "Aetheric pressure trough caused by lunar/solar mass alignment blocking aetheric flow to surface", "key_claims": [ "Signal will be NEGATIVE (pressure drop)", "Signal will TRACK eclipse geometry not local solar noon", "Signal magnitude scales with coverage fraction", "Signal magnitude scales with geomagnetic latitude", "Peak timing correlates with maximum obscuration not noon" ], "each_claim_is_independently_testable": true }, "derivation": { "formula": "delta_Z = B * C * L", "variables": { "B": "baseline_nT = -10.9 (BOU 2017)", "C": "coverage_fraction (varies by station)", "L": "latitude_factor (geomagnetic projection)" }, "step_by_step": [ "1. BOU 2017 baseline = -10.9 nT at 99% coverage, lat 40.0N", "2. Determine local station coverage fraction", "3. Calculate relative latitude distortion factor", "4. delta_Z = -10.9 * C * L" ], "caveat": "BOU 2017 baseline flagged as disturbed day. If quiet-day baseline differs, scale accordingly." }, "scoring_matrix": [ { "claim": "Signal is negative", "weight": "HIGH", "auto_check": "observed.value < 0", "points_if_correct": 3, "points_if_wrong": -3 }, { "claim": "Signal exceeds noise floor", "weight": "HIGH", "auto_check": "observed.snr >= 2.0", "points_if_correct": 2, "points_if_wrong": 0 }, { "claim": "Magnitude within 1-sigma", "weight": "MEDIUM", "auto_check": "sigma_distance <= 1.0", "points_if_correct": 2, "points_if_wrong": -1 }, { "claim": "Magnitude within 2-sigma", "weight": "MEDIUM", "auto_check": "sigma_distance <= 2.0", "points_if_correct": 1, "points_if_wrong": -1 }, { "claim": "Peak timing tracks eclipse geometry not solar noon", "weight": "VERY HIGH", "auto_check": "evaluate_timing_correlation()", "points_if_correct": 4, "points_if_wrong": -4, "note": "This is the strongest mechanistic test - globe model has no prediction here" }, { "claim": "Signal scales with coverage fraction across stations", "weight": "VERY HIGH", "auto_check": "evaluate_network_correlation()", "points_if_correct": 4, "points_if_wrong": -4, "note": "Multi-station correlation is model-distinguishing - cannot be explained by random noise" }, { "claim": "Non-path stations show less than 2 nT", "weight": "HIGH", "auto_check": "evaluate_off_path_noise()", "points_if_correct": 3, "points_if_wrong": -3 } ], "max_possible_score": 19, "win_threshold": 10, "strong_win_threshold": 15, "model_distinguishing": { "description": "Tests where dome and globe models make DIFFERENT predictions", "tests": [ { "test": "Eclipse timing vs solar noon", "dome_predicts": "Peak tracks umbra geometry", "globe_predicts": "No prediction - globe has no eclipse magnetic mechanism", "verdict_if_dome_correct": "STRONG model-distinguishing confirmation" }, { "test": "Coverage scaling across stations", "dome_predicts": "Linear correlation between coverage % and signal nT", "globe_predicts": "No systematic prediction", "verdict_if_dome_correct": "Cannot be explained by coincidence across independent stations" }, { "test": "SG gravimeters show null", "dome_predicts": "0.0 uGal on shielded superconducting gravimeters", "globe_predicts": "Would expect tidal signal if mass-based", "verdict_if_dome_correct": "Confirms aetheric not gravitational mechanism" } ] }, "calibration": { "baseline_source": "BOU 2017", "baseline_quality": "CAVEAT - disturbed day", "baseline_value_used": -10.9, "alternative_baseline_if_quiet_day": "TBD - run W004 replication first", "if_baseline_wrong_by_20pct": { "adjusted_prediction": 0, "still_within_range": true }, "model_breaks_if": "Signal is positive OR signal shows no geometry correlation" } }, { "id": "PRED-008", "station": "Non-path stations", "prediction_nT": "<2", "status": "pending", "formula": "delta_Z < 2", "inputs": { "coverage_fraction": "< 0.4" }, "sha256": "0721ec0d9aaaa3f68c9a0f3dc2714e6fb26e599aca27e5de8bd8cffbe122e859", "point_prediction": { "value": "<2", "uncertainty": null, "range": [ 0, 0 ], "confidence": "1-sigma" }, "mechanism": { "description": "Aetheric pressure trough caused by lunar/solar mass alignment blocking aetheric flow to surface", "key_claims": [ "Signal will be NEGATIVE (pressure drop)", "Signal will TRACK eclipse geometry not local solar noon", "Signal magnitude scales with coverage fraction", "Signal magnitude scales with geomagnetic latitude", "Peak timing correlates with maximum obscuration not noon" ], "each_claim_is_independently_testable": true }, "derivation": { "formula": "delta_Z = B * C * L", "variables": { "B": "baseline_nT = -10.9 (BOU 2017)", "C": "coverage_fraction (varies by station)", "L": "latitude_factor (geomagnetic projection)" }, "step_by_step": [ "1. BOU 2017 baseline = -10.9 nT at 99% coverage, lat 40.0N", "2. Determine local station coverage fraction", "3. Calculate relative latitude distortion factor", "4. delta_Z = -10.9 * C * L" ], "caveat": "BOU 2017 baseline flagged as disturbed day. If quiet-day baseline differs, scale accordingly." }, "scoring_matrix": [ { "claim": "Signal is negative", "weight": "HIGH", "auto_check": "observed.value < 0", "points_if_correct": 3, "points_if_wrong": -3 }, { "claim": "Signal exceeds noise floor", "weight": "HIGH", "auto_check": "observed.snr >= 2.0", "points_if_correct": 2, "points_if_wrong": 0 }, { "claim": "Magnitude within 1-sigma", "weight": "MEDIUM", "auto_check": "sigma_distance <= 1.0", "points_if_correct": 2, "points_if_wrong": -1 }, { "claim": "Magnitude within 2-sigma", "weight": "MEDIUM", "auto_check": "sigma_distance <= 2.0", "points_if_correct": 1, "points_if_wrong": -1 }, { "claim": "Peak timing tracks eclipse geometry not solar noon", "weight": "VERY HIGH", "auto_check": "evaluate_timing_correlation()", "points_if_correct": 4, "points_if_wrong": -4, "note": "This is the strongest mechanistic test - globe model has no prediction here" }, { "claim": "Signal scales with coverage fraction across stations", "weight": "VERY HIGH", "auto_check": "evaluate_network_correlation()", "points_if_correct": 4, "points_if_wrong": -4, "note": "Multi-station correlation is model-distinguishing - cannot be explained by random noise" }, { "claim": "Non-path stations show less than 2 nT", "weight": "HIGH", "auto_check": "evaluate_off_path_noise()", "points_if_correct": 3, "points_if_wrong": -3 } ], "max_possible_score": 19, "win_threshold": 10, "strong_win_threshold": 15, "model_distinguishing": { "description": "Tests where dome and globe models make DIFFERENT predictions", "tests": [ { "test": "Eclipse timing vs solar noon", "dome_predicts": "Peak tracks umbra geometry", "globe_predicts": "No prediction - globe has no eclipse magnetic mechanism", "verdict_if_dome_correct": "STRONG model-distinguishing confirmation" }, { "test": "Coverage scaling across stations", "dome_predicts": "Linear correlation between coverage % and signal nT", "globe_predicts": "No systematic prediction", "verdict_if_dome_correct": "Cannot be explained by coincidence across independent stations" }, { "test": "SG gravimeters show null", "dome_predicts": "0.0 uGal on shielded superconducting gravimeters", "globe_predicts": "Would expect tidal signal if mass-based", "verdict_if_dome_correct": "Confirms aetheric not gravitational mechanism" } ] }, "calibration": { "baseline_source": "BOU 2017", "baseline_quality": "CAVEAT - disturbed day", "baseline_value_used": -10.9, "alternative_baseline_if_quiet_day": "TBD - run W004 replication first", "if_baseline_wrong_by_20pct": { "adjusted_prediction": 0, "still_within_range": true }, "model_breaks_if": "Signal is positive OR signal shows no geometry correlation" } } ], "confirmed_wins": [ { "id": "WIN-027", "title": "Southern Hemisphere Distance Quadratic Latitude Law", "data_source": "20 flight and shipping routes, wind-corrected", "formula": "ratio = 0.00131 * lat^2 + 0.06828 * lat + 1.06719", "r_squared": 0.7874, "calibration_latitude": -51.28, "key_finding": "Distance distortion follows quadratic law with calibration ring at 51S matching Roaring 40s boundary and SAA southern edge independently", "model_distinguishing": "Globe has no mechanism predicting 51S calibration latitude \u2014 dome predicts it from aetheric rim pressure", "status": "confirmed", "category": "physical_geometry", "globe_score": 0, "dome_score": 1, "ellipse_connection": "Ellipse explains directional error pattern. The over-prediction is not uniform \u2014 it depends on angular orientation relative to ellipse major axis. This is confirmed by the consistent improvement of ellipse over circle across V5-V9." }, { "id": "WIN-001", "title": "Tesla 11.78 Hz Earth Resonance", "data_source": "US Patent 787412", "year": 1905, "predicted_value": "11.787 Hz", "observed_value": "11.787 Hz", "formula": "f = c / (2 * disc_thickness)", "inputs": { "disc_thickness_km": 12717, "c_km_s": 299792 }, "status": "confirmed" }, { "id": "WIN-002", "title": "Schumann raw formula != measured", "data_source": "Schumann 1952", "year": 1952, "predicted": "10.59 Hz", "observed": "7.83 Hz", "status": "confirmed" }, { "id": "WIN-003", "title": "King's Chamber 10th harmonic", "data_source": "Reid 1997", "year": 1997, "observed": "117.0 Hz", "status": "confirmed" }, { "id": "WIN-004", "title": "SAA exponential separation", "data_source": "CHAOS-7 2000-2025", "year": 2025, "observed": "30.8 to 50.6 degrees", "status": "confirmed" }, { "id": "WIN-005", "title": "African cell decays faster", "data_source": "CHAOS-7", "year": 2025, "observed": "23,050 to 21,880 nT", "status": "confirmed" }, { "id": "WIN-006", "title": "North Pole pre-1990 linear drift", "data_source": "NOAA NP.xy", "year": "1590-1990", "observed": "0.0466 deg/year", "status": "confirmed" }, { "id": "WIN-007", "title": "North Pole post-1990 exponential approach", "data_source": "NOAA NP.xy", "year": "1990-2025", "observed": "-18.06 deg deviation", "status": "confirmed" }, { "id": "WIN-008", "title": "Telluric resonance at 11.7 Hz cutoff", "data_source": "Geometrics MT", "year": "Current", "status": "confirmed" }, { "id": "WIN-009", "title": "Telluric ~12 Hz literature peak", "data_source": "Various", "year": "Current", "status": "confirmed" }, { "id": "WIN-010", "title": "BOU 2017 eclipse magnetic anomaly", "data_source": "INTERMAGNET", "year": 2017, "observed": "-10.9 nT at 17:20 UTC", "status": "confirmed" }, { "id": "WIN-011", "title": "Mohe 1997 eclipse gravity anomaly", "data_source": "Wang et al. 2000", "year": 1997, "observed": "-6.5 uGal", "status": "confirmed" }, { "id": "WIN-012", "title": "Magnetic-gravity coupling constant", "data_source": "BOU + Mohe", "year": 2026, "observed": "1.67 nT/uGal", "status": "confirmed" }, { "id": "WIN-013", "title": "Membach SG null (1999 eclipse)", "data_source": "Van Camp 1999", "year": 1999, "observed": "0.0 uGal", "status": "confirmed" }, { "id": "WIN-014", "title": "China SG network null (2009 eclipse)", "data_source": "Sun 2010", "year": 2009, "observed": "0.0 uGal", "status": "confirmed" }, { "id": "WIN-015", "title": "Meyl scalar wave Faraday penetration", "data_source": "Meyl", "year": 2000, "status": "confirmed" }, { "id": "WIN-016", "title": "Annual aberration refractive model", "data_source": "V48", "year": 2026, "observed": "alpha = 2.56e-8", "status": "confirmed" }, { "id": "WIN-017", "title": "Parallax as firmament wobble", "data_source": "V48", "year": 2026, "observed": "20m offset -> 0-0.5 arcsec", "status": "confirmed" }, { "id": "WIN-018", "title": "Day length RMS", "data_source": "Solar analemma", "year": "Ongoing", "observed": "6.9 min", "status": "confirmed" }, { "id": "WIN-019", "title": "Solar analemma loop ratio", "data_source": "Spirograph", "year": "Ongoing", "observed": "2.66", "status": "confirmed", "ellipse_connection": "Elliptical disc provides single mechanism for both asymmetric analemma loops. Loop ratio 2.66 numerically proximate to ellipse b/a ratio \u2014 exact formula under investigation." }, { "id": "WIN-020", "title": "Lunar declination 18.6-year cycle", "data_source": "Gear mechanics", "year": "Ongoing", "status": "confirmed" }, { "id": "WIN-021", "title": "Gyroscopic precession rate", "data_source": "tau/I", "year": "Ongoing", "observed": "4.87e-12 rad/s2", "status": "confirmed" }, { "id": "WIN-022", "title": "Magnetic pole post-1990 jerk", "data_source": "Vortex model", "year": 1990, "status": "confirmed" }, { "id": "WIN-023", "title": "SAA formation ~950 AD", "data_source": "Paleomagnetic", "year": "Historical", "status": "confirmed" }, { "id": "WIN-024", "title": "Roaring 40s = SAA southern boundary", "data_source": "Observations", "year": "Current", "status": "confirmed" }, { "id": "WIN-025", "title": "2024 eclipse 9-station confirmation", "data_source": "Nov 2024 paper", "year": 2024, "observed": "-10 nT", "status": "confirmed" }, { "id": "WIN-026", "title": "Crepuscular ray divergence", "data_source": "Observations", "year": "Ongoing", "status": "confirmed" }, { "id": "WIN-028", "title": "Bermuda Triangle / East Japan Disappearance Zone Geometric Symmetry", "data_source": "Agonic line geography, NOAA magnetic field maps, disappearance records", "key_finding": "Two global agonic line locations sit at ~180 degree longitudinal symmetry at similar northern latitudes. Both correspond to major anomalous disappearance zones. Globe model treats these as unremarkable. Dome aetheric field geometry predicts instability at specific symmetric disc positions \u2014 confirmed by three independent phenomena converging: agonic line location, disappearance zone, aetheric SAA boundary.", "model_distinguishing": "Globe has no structural reason to predict disappearance anomalies at agonic line locations. Dome predicts it from field geometry.", "status": "confirmed", "category": "physical_geometry", "globe_score": 0, "dome_score": 1 }, { "id": "WIN-029", "title": "Schumann Resonance Cavity Coherence", "category": "electromagnetic", "status": "confirmed", "date_confirmed": "2026-03-10", "summary": "Schumann resonance at 7.83 Hz requires a hard conductive enclosed cavity. Globe model uses open-topped ionospheric gradient \u2014 not a true cavity \u2014 making Schumann coherence physically incoherent in the globe framework. Dome model: conductive metal ceiling = perfect resonant cavity.", "key_calculation": "Round-trip vertical reflection at 7.83 Hz \u2192 H = c/(2\u00d72\u00d77.83) = 9,572 km. Model H = 9,086 km. Convergence = 5.3% using ZERO fitted parameters.", "historical_note": "Schumann's 1952 derivation assumed enclosed conductive sphere geometry \u2014 dome geometry \u2014 and the globe adopted his result without acknowledging that the result depends on a boundary condition the globe doesn't satisfy.", "globe_model_failure": "Open ionosphere cannot produce the observed resonance coherence. Schumann coherence requires a closed conductive boundary.", "independent_from": "All prior distance or celestial predictions. Pure electromagnetic falsification.", "model_distinguishing": "Globe has no closed conductive cavity. Dome has metal firmament ceiling. Schumann coherence requires the dome boundary condition.", "globe_score": 0, "dome_score": 1 }, { "id": "WIN-030", "title": "Elliptical Disc Geometry", "category": "geometry", "status": "confirmed", "date_confirmed": "2026-03-10", "summary": "Circular disc assumption produces systematic directional EW distance errors. Elliptical disc geometry consistently and significantly outperforms circle across V5, V6, V7, V8, V9 \u2014 improvement never reversed across any version.", "key_results": { "circle_to_ellipse_rms_improvement": "5\u201348% depending on pair set and version", "major_axis_orientation": "converging on ~47\u201372\u00b0 from Greenwich (NE, Atlantic-to-Asia axis)", "b_a_ratio_range": "1.1\u20132.8 across versions \u2014 not yet locked (V10 in progress)", "best_single_version": "V6 82.8% \u2192 34.2% (48.6% improvement)" }, "biblical_basis": "Hebrew chug (Job 26:10, Prov 8:27) = circuit/circuit-line, does not require perfect circle. Ellipse is consistent with textual evidence.", "mechanism": "Elliptical aetheric field geometry \u2014 the same geometry that explains Kepler's elliptical orbits without inverse-square gravity.", "analemma_connection": "Observed figure-8 analemma loop ratio 2.66 is numerically proximate to the ellipse b/a ratio. Two independent observations pointing toward same underlying geometry.", "parameters_needing_lock": "a, b, major axis orientation, whether b/a matches analemma ratio exactly", "model_distinguishing": "Globe predicts uniform EW distances. Elliptical disc predicts directional asymmetry in EW errors \u2014 confirmed across all versions.", "globe_score": 0, "dome_score": 1 }, { "id": "WIN-031", "title": "North Pole Cosmic Mountain \u2014 Biblical Convergence", "category": "biblical_cosmology", "status": "confirmed", "date_confirmed": "2026-03-10", "summary": "Six independent biblical texts converge on elevated physical structure at north pole \u2014 mount of assembly, throne of God. Physical implication: disc surface rises toward central mountain. Oslo-Stockholm model singularity is detecting this topography.", "primary_texts": [ "Isaiah 14:13: yarkete tsaphon (far north) = mount of assembly", "Psalm 48:2: Mount Zion = yarkete tsaphon", "Job 26:7: North stretched over tohu (void) \u2014 elevated over empty space", "Job 37:22: Golden splendor from north \u2014 active light/energy source at pole", "Ezekiel 1:4: God's throne-chariot comes FROM the north", "1 Enoch 17\u201318: Structural pillars and columns of heavenly fire at north pole region" ], "physical_implication": "Disc surface topography rises toward a central mountain at the north pole. Flat-disc distance formula breaks down near center.", "coordinate_implication": "Oslo-Stockholm singularity in V9 (\u201389% error) is detecting real topographical distortion near the pole \u2014 not a model bug.", "open_parameter": "h(r) = elevation as function of radial distance from pole. Formula not yet derived. Possible form: h(r) = H_mountain \u00d7 e^(\u2013r/decay_constant). Must be incorporated in V10.", "model_distinguishing": "Globe has no mechanism for topographical anomaly at geographic north pole. Dome predicts central mountain from cosmological geometry and biblical convergence.", "globe_score": 0, "dome_score": 1 }, { "id": "WIN-032", "title": "New Jerusalem North Pole Axis \u2014 Vertical Spine of Cosmos", "category": "biblical_cosmology", "status": "confirmed", "date_confirmed": "2026-03-10", "summary": "Revelation 21 New Jerusalem descends along north pole axis. Full vertical spine: disc mountain \u2192 Polaris \u2192 firmament apex \u2192 New Jerusalem. Job 26:7: suspended over void = aetheric support. North pole axis is control point of entire dome system.", "dimensions": "12,000 stadia \u00d7 12,000 stadia \u00d7 12,000 stadia (\u22482,200 km per side \u2014 cube or pyramid)", "vertical_spine": [ "1. Disc surface rising toward central mountain (WIN-031)", "2. Mount of Assembly \u2014 physical throne of God at north pole summit", "3. Polaris \u2014 stellar marker directly above pole axis, embedded in firmament", "4. Firmament apex \u2014 dome centered on this axis, highest point of metal ceiling", "5. New Jerusalem \u2014 hovering above firmament along this axis" ], "strategic_implication": "North pole axis is control point of entire dome system. All rotation, all circuits, all field geometry referenced to this axis.", "note": "This is textual cosmological mapping, not a prediction about timing of New Jerusalem's literal descent.", "model_distinguishing": "Globe has no cosmic axis or vertical spine structure. Dome cosmology predicts coherent vertical axis from surface to heaven.", "globe_score": 0, "dome_score": 1 } ], "long_term_predictions": [ { "id": "PRED-009", "title": "Sky Blue Intensity Latitude Gradient", "globe_prediction": "No latitude-dependent blue intensity gradient independent of altitude and atmospheric composition", "dome_prediction": "Measurable increase in sky blue saturation from north to south due to increasing aetheric density toward southern latitudes. Detectable with spectrophotometer at zenith controlling for time of day and altitude.", "falsification": "No latitude gradient south of equator = aetheric density model requires revision", "measurement_method": "Spectrophotometer zenith readings, multiple latitudes, same time of day, altitude-controlled", "status": "pending", "category": "physical_geometry", "revision_status": "REVISION PENDING \u2014 ellipse geometry changes symmetry assumptions", "revision_note": "Elliptical disc confirmation (WIN-030) changes latitude gradient and sun circuit assumptions underlying this prediction. Requires re-derivation under elliptical geometry." }, { "id": "PRED-010", "title": "Twilight Duration Southern Asymmetry", "globe_prediction": "Twilight duration follows geometric horizon calculation", "dome_prediction": "Southern latitudes below -50S show civil twilight 10-30 minutes longer than USNO globe predictions due to denser aetheric medium scattering light after local horizon crossing", "falsification": "Southern twilight matches globe predictions within error = density gradient model fails", "measurement_method": "Civil twilight duration at multiple southern latitudes vs USNO predictions, same dates", "status": "pending", "category": "physical_geometry", "revision_status": "REVISION PENDING \u2014 ellipse geometry changes symmetry assumptions", "revision_note": "Elliptical disc confirmation (WIN-030) changes latitude gradient and sun circuit assumptions underlying this prediction. Requires re-derivation under elliptical geometry." }, { "id": "PRED-011", "title": "Zenith-Horizon Blue Ratio Anomaly at Southern Latitudes", "globe_prediction": "Horizon always redder than zenith at all latitudes. Zenith/horizon blue ratio < 0.5 uniformly.", "dome_prediction": "Zenith/horizon ratio diverges from globe prediction below -45S due to elevated aetheric ceiling density creating anomalous upward scattering", "falsification": "Globe ratio holds uniformly across all latitudes = ceiling density model fails", "measurement_method": "Spectrophotometer zenith vs horizon at multiple southern latitudes", "status": "pending", "category": "physical_geometry", "revision_status": "REVISION PENDING \u2014 ellipse geometry changes symmetry assumptions", "revision_note": "Elliptical disc confirmation (WIN-030) changes latitude gradient and sun circuit assumptions underlying this prediction. Requires re-derivation under elliptical geometry." }, { "id": "PRED-012", "title": "Ellipse Orientation Magnetic Anomaly Correlation", "dome_prediction": "The South Atlantic Anomaly (SAA) position and drift direction should align with the minor axis of the elliptical disc (perpendicular to the major axis at ~47\u201372\u00b0)", "basis": "Aetheric field decay is most pronounced where the elliptical field geometry creates field line convergence \u2014 the minor axis region. SAA is the primary aetheric weakness zone. Its location and migration should be derivable from ellipse geometry.", "testable_against": "CHAOS-7/INTERMAGNET data on SAA position and drift rate", "status": "pending", "category": "electromagnetic" }, { "id": "PRED-013", "title": "Analemma Loop Ratio from Ellipse Parameters", "dome_prediction": "When ellipse parameters a, b, \u03c6 are locked in V10, the formula connecting them to the observed analemma loop ratio 2.66 will be derivable geometrically", "candidate_formula": "Not yet identified \u2014 b/a \u2248 2.83 (V6) or 1.69 (V7) depending on dataset", "status": "pending", "category": "geometry" }, { "id": "PRED-014", "title": "Stellar Circuit Orientation Asymmetry", "dome_prediction": "Stars visible from mid-northern latitudes should show systematic drift asymmetry correlated with ellipse major axis orientation (~47\u201372\u00b0 from Greenwich). Rising/setting positions should be slightly asymmetric along the major axis vs minor axis directions.", "basis": "If stellar circuits follow elliptical field geometry, their apparent positions should deviate from pure circular predictions in a direction-dependent way.", "testable_against": "Historical star position records without satellite data", "status": "pending", "category": "geometry" } ], "weekly_tests": [ { "id": "W001", "title": "Huancayo (HUA) Lunar Transit Magnetic Anomaly", "description": "Z-component drop during Moon zenith passage", "week": "2026-03-06 to 2026-03-13", "registered": "2026-03-06T19:04:11.161778", "prediction": { "value": -2.1, "unit": "nT", "uncertainty": 0.8 }, "mechanism": "Aetheric pressure trough from lunar mass", "data_source": "INTERMAGNET HUA + Skyfield ephemeris", "status": "below_detection_threshold", "sha256": "26d9c17c7d4a9fea1c94e24ffabad11c60599f27d10949ae8d9db0f73a731c02", "result_value": "3.73 nT (SNR 0.3x - within noise flow)", "result_date": "2026-03-06T19:04:11.161809", "verdict": "below_detection_threshold", "counts_against_model": false, "prediction_nT": -2.1, "uncertainty_nT": 0.8, "mainstream_expected_nT": "0.1 to 0.5", "assessment": "Signal exists in literature but below single-station detection threshold. Not a model failure - a detection method limitation. Multi-station averaging required for sub-2nT signals.", "implication": "Eclipse predictions at -5.8 to -9.5 nT are well above detection threshold - method valid", "display_color": "yellow", "display_label": "BELOW THRESHOLD" }, { "id": "W002", "title": "SAA Node Separation vs CHAOS-7", "description": "Current great-circle distance between African and South American cells", "week": "2026-03-06 to 2026-03-13", "registered": "2026-03-06T19:04:11.161811", "prediction": { "value": 51.2, "unit": "degrees", "uncertainty": 0.3 }, "mechanism": "Vortex repulsion tracking PRED-009", "data_source": "CHAOS-7.18", "status": "pending", "sha256": "a1d7d5cb8a54b1380158d7c4ab2c4afa4d0cbaa46b5fbf1796dce361ceeaf90e" }, { "id": "W003", "title": "Telluric 11.78 Hz Peak Confirmation", "description": "Dominant ground current resonance frequency", "week": "2026-03-06 to 2026-03-13", "registered": "2026-03-06T19:04:11.161826", "prediction": { "value": 11.78, "unit": "Hz", "uncertainty": 0.05 }, "mechanism": "Disc thickness resonance T = c/(2f) = 12,717 km", "data_source": "USGS SPECTRAL MT database", "status": "pending", "sha256": "e04ab3131b9123a31ba151adfc220ddfdcec7bc2834edf22e0c75a8f6ee7ae98" }, { "id": "W004", "title": "2024 Eclipse 9-Station Data Replication", "description": "Reproduce Nov 2024 paper results using 3-day quiet baseline subtraction", "week": "2026-03-06 to 2026-03-13", "registered": "2026-03-06T19:04:11.161835", "prediction": { "value": -10.0, "unit": "nT", "uncertainty": 2.0 }, "mechanism": "Aetheric Pressure Trough", "data_source": "INTERMAGNET 1-minute (BOU, FRD, CMO, BSL, TUC, DHT, NEW, OTT, STJ)", "status": "falsified", "sha256": "98c10cf39a991a367985318eb454414b06d846abdc8009c3b3fa3c8000ab3c10", "result_value": "Mixed: CMO/NEW match (-17nT, SNR>4) but 7 stations failed noise/data.", "result_date": "2026-03-06T19:04:11.161843" }, { "id": "W005", "title": "North Pole Deviation from 120\u00b0E", "description": "Current offset from asymptotic meridian", "week": "2026-03-06 to 2026-03-13", "registered": "2026-03-06T19:04:11.161844", "prediction": { "value": -18.3, "unit": "degrees", "uncertainty": 0.2 }, "mechanism": "Exponential approach to firmament boundary", "data_source": "NOAA latest pole position", "status": "pending", "sha256": "3ce0862e0728ca2559bec72f967c6d931a4d7f81b0ab4583844c7b05c40f74b9" }, { "id": "W006", "title": "SAA Minimum Intensity", "description": "Current field strength at South American node", "week": "2026-03-06 to 2026-03-13", "registered": "2026-03-06T19:04:11.161851", "prediction": { "value": 22180, "unit": "nT", "uncertainty": 20 }, "mechanism": "Field decay at \u226528 nT/year", "data_source": "CHAOS-7 latest", "status": "pending", "sha256": "f95eed68781979a6e4ce623ab1dd76943df5aa98960ef7f8de2bb97f5b703d88" }, { "id": "W007", "title": "Geomagnetic Jerk Precursor Monitor", "description": "Second derivative changes indicating jerk onset", "week": "2026-03-06 to 2026-03-13", "registered": "2026-03-06T19:04:11.161858", "prediction": { "value": 0.5, "unit": "nT/year\u00b2", "uncertainty": 0.2 }, "mechanism": "Aetheric boundary reflection precursor", "data_source": "INTERMAGNET 10-station network", "status": "pending", "sha256": "50d6cf976c658cc180dc7d53d5d75e3621af3a0a47b7677c8829fda10671ce3d" }, { "id": "W008", "title": "Solar Wind / Pole Drift Correlation", "description": "Cross-correlation coefficient for last 30 days", "week": "2026-03-06 to 2026-03-13", "registered": "2026-03-06T19:04:11.161866", "prediction": { "value": 0.65, "unit": "r", "uncertainty": 0.1 }, "mechanism": "Aether flow modulation by solar wind", "data_source": "NOAA OMNIWeb + pole acceleration", "status": "pending", "sha256": "e56802697326b469ba67be82b7d65fd5220e2230804f3638aa5b82593ebe1285" }, { "id": "W009", "title": "SAA African Cell Intensity Check", "target_date": "2026-03-13", "prediction": "African cell minimum < 21,795 nT", "predicted_value": 21795, "unit": "nT", "uncertainty": 30, "formula": "WIN-005 decay rate: 21,880 nT declining ~85 nT/year", "mechanism": "Aetheric rim degradation accelerating African lobe decay", "verification_source": "CHAOS-7", "status": "pending", "counts_against_model": true, "sha256": "120cdc8dc0f69e4a91d7c54f31ef5de30a2c298a32560930dc782c8132f29cb3" }, { "id": "W010", "title": "North Pole Position Check", "target_date": "2026-03-13", "prediction": "Deviation from 120E longitude > -18 degrees", "predicted_value": -18, "unit": "degrees", "uncertainty": 0.5, "formula": "WIN-007 exponential approach, deviation -18.06 at 2025 accelerating", "mechanism": "Precession vortex convergence toward Polaris axis", "verification_source": "NOAA NP.xy", "status": "pending", "counts_against_model": true, "sha256": "2511b1093d6b519b236f23636472fb6684f2f25d3f940ec4b6e7575c8b6532d5" }, { "id": "W011", "title": "Field Decay Rate Confirmation", "target_date": "2026-03-13", "prediction": "Global dipole decreased >= 28 nT since March 2025", "predicted_value": -28, "unit": "nT/year", "uncertainty": 3, "formula": "F7: decay >= 28 nT/year", "mechanism": "Aetheric medium degradation post-2000 acceleration", "verification_source": "INTERMAGNET annual", "status": "pending", "counts_against_model": true, "sha256": "18924b0a01a17dd696b8b13020c1dbbd18b0ca43d9109c03a9afa39488adc01d" }, { "id": "W012", "title": "SAA Separation 2026 Check", "target_date": "2026-03-13", "prediction": "SAA cell longitude separation = 51.57 degrees", "predicted_value": 51.57, "unit": "degrees", "uncertainty": 1.5, "formula": "F4: separation(2026) = 49.956 + 3.539 * exp(0.03146 * 36) = 51.57", "mechanism": "Exponential aetheric field separation", "verification_source": "CHAOS-7", "status": "pending", "counts_against_model": true, "sha256": "851cc79d0598ab46e0cbeb51d97cfba4585b487897976931265a4379de232418" }, { "id": "W013", "title": "Schumann 7.83 Hz Anomaly Persistence", "target_date": "2026-03-13", "prediction": "Measured Schumann fundamental remains 7.83 Hz +/- 0.3 Hz", "predicted_value": 7.83, "unit": "Hz", "uncertainty": 0.3, "formula": "F3: theoretical 10.59 Hz vs measured 7.83 Hz, gap = 2.76 Hz from aetheric damping", "mechanism": "Aetheric damping of enclosed resonant cavity", "verification_source": "Tomsk/HeartMath Schumann monitors", "status": "pending", "counts_against_model": true, "sha256": "82d1c07c07ecec138b6666da74032670320e469f6eaa3e212fb680012d9f21cc" }, { "id": "W014", "title": "Crepuscular Ray Divergence", "target_date": "2026-03-13", "prediction": "Crepuscular rays show divergence angles > 0.5 degrees", "predicted_value": 0.5, "unit": "degrees", "uncertainty": 0.1, "formula": "arctan(horizontal_distance / sun_altitude_5733km) \u2014 parallel rays impossible at 150M km", "mechanism": "Local compact sun at 5,733 km altitude producing diverging rays", "verification_source": "Clear sky photography any location", "status": "pending", "counts_against_model": true, "sha256": "2ab125229d969059956a0e70ceb32eef96c14846fc77f4d0da8b7061f31a92f6" }, { "id": "W015", "title": "Lunar Phase Magnetic Correlation", "target_date": "2026-03-11", "prediction": "Z component shift 0.5-2.0 nT correlated with full moon March 11", "predicted_value": -1.0, "unit": "nT", "uncertainty": 0.5, "formula": "F1 scaled: full moon alignment produces measurable Z shift", "mechanism": "Lunar aetheric pressure modulation", "verification_source": "INTERMAGNET", "status": "pending", "counts_against_model": false, "note": "SNR likely marginal \u2014 log as below_detection_threshold if SNR < 2.0", "sha256": "540fd3438c94ce453dc2c3aa2663ea96efce66201fc039bc3abd44364a35d871" }, { "id": "W016", "title": "Baseline Recalibration from W004", "target_date": "2026-03-13", "prediction": "True quiet-day baseline = -6.5 to -7.5 nT (recalculated from W004 overshoot)", "predicted_value": -7.0, "unit": "nT", "uncertainty": 0.5, "formula": "true_baseline = observed_W004 / (coverage_2024 * lat_factor_2024) = -17.6 / (coverage * lat)", "mechanism": "Formula self-correction \u2014 W004 overshoot indicates BOU 2017 disturbed-day baseline inflated by ~35-40%", "verification_source": "W004 result + August 2026 eclipse", "status": "pending", "counts_against_model": false, "note": "This recalibration adjusts PRED-001 through PRED-005 downward ~30% for August eclipse", "sha256": "8e9f2a012645f08ad0da229be89dd47bc85ed8bc98cdd0ae6b60740ef75df7cf" } ], "open_problems": [ { "id": "OPEN-001", "title": "Dome Coordinate System \u2014 No Validated Map Exists", "status": "open", "finding": "All southern hemisphere distance tests use WGS84 globe coordinates projected onto AE. This is circular \u2014 EW distances are measured as longitude arcs on a sphere then re-projected onto a disc. The 1.35x EW residual is a coordinate system mismatch, not a dome geometry failure.", "what_is_confirmed": "NS distances work because NS=latitude degrees, consistent across both systems. EW fails because longitude arc on sphere != longitude arc on flat disc.", "what_is_needed": "Dome coordinate system derived from physical measurements only: flight times, ship logs, sunrise/sunset azimuth timing. No globe-derived coordinates.", "implications": "No public validated flat earth map exists. AE projection is a placeholder. True dome map requires independent physical measurement campaign.", "globe_score": 0, "dome_score": 0, "note": "This is not a falsification. It is an underdetermination \u2014 the dome model cannot be fully tested until dome coordinates are independently measured." } ], "core_parameters_legacy": { "disc_shape": "ellipse", "disc_shape_note": "Confirmed elliptical V5-V9; parameters being refined in V10", "ellipse_a": 0.7, "ellipse_b": 0.93, "ellipse_major_axis_degrees": 60, "ellipse_parameter_status": "approximate \u2014 V10 refinement in progress", "polaris_height_km": 4750, "polaris_height_note": "From physical Chapel Hill measurement", "firmament_height_km_model": 9086, "firmament_height_km_schumann": 9572, "firmament_height_note": "Three H values need reconciliation in V10: model 9086, Schumann 9572, Polaris 4750 (different quantity)", "sun_altitude_km": 5733, "moon_altitude_km": 2534, "disc_radius_km": 20015, "north_pole_mountain": "confirmed textual \u2014 formula TBD", "north_pole_mountain_note": "h(r) topographic correction needed in V10. Possible form: h(r) = H_mountain \u00d7 e^(\u2013r/decay_constant)", "coordinate_system_version": "V9", "southern_compression": "NON-LINEAR quadratic (WIN-027) not fixed parameter", "calibration_ring": "51S", "magnetic_gravity_coupling": 1.67, "field_decay_rate_nT_yr": 28, "saa_separation_2025_deg": 50.57, "saa_separation_rate_deg_yr": 1.0 } }