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Running on Zero
Running on Zero
File size: 7,246 Bytes
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from sklearn.metrics import mean_squared_error, r2_score
import pandas as pd
import plotly.express as px
import plotly.graph_objects as go
from itertools import accumulate
import math
from tqdm.notebook import tqdm
from concurrent.futures import ThreadPoolExecutor
GREEN = "\033[92m"
YELLOW = "\033[93m"
RED = "\033[91m"
RESET = "\033[0m"
COLOR_MAP = {"red": RED, "orange": YELLOW, "green": GREEN}
WORKERS = 5
DEFAULT_SIZE = 200
class Tester:
def __init__(self, predictor, data, title=None, size=DEFAULT_SIZE, workers=WORKERS):
self.predictor = predictor
self.data = data
self.title = title or self.make_title(predictor)
self.size = size
self.titles = []
self.guesses = []
self.truths = []
self.errors = []
self.colors = []
self.workers = workers
@staticmethod
def make_title(predictor) -> str:
return predictor.__name__.replace("__", ".").replace("_", " ").title().replace("Gpt", "GPT")
@staticmethod
def post_process(value):
if isinstance(value, str):
value = value.replace("$", "").replace(",", "")
match = re.search(r"[-+]?\d*\.\d+|\d+", value)
return float(match.group()) if match else 0
else:
return value
def color_for(self, error, truth):
if error < 40 or error / truth < 0.2:
return "green"
elif error < 80 or error / truth < 0.4:
return "orange"
else:
return "red"
def run_datapoint(self, i):
datapoint = self.data[i]
value = self.predictor(datapoint)
guess = self.post_process(value)
truth = datapoint.price
error = abs(guess - truth)
color = self.color_for(error, truth)
title = datapoint.title if len(datapoint.title) <= 40 else datapoint.title[:40] + "..."
return title, guess, truth, error, color
def chart(self, title):
df = pd.DataFrame(
{
"truth": self.truths,
"guess": self.guesses,
"title": self.titles,
"error": self.errors,
"color": self.colors,
}
)
# Pre-format hover text
df["hover"] = [
f"{t}\nGuess=${g:,.2f} Actual=${y:,.2f}"
for t, g, y in zip(df["title"], df["guess"], df["truth"])
]
max_val = float(max(df["truth"].max(), df["guess"].max()))
fig = px.scatter(
df,
x="truth",
y="guess",
color="color",
color_discrete_map={"green": "green", "orange": "orange", "red": "red"},
title=title,
labels={"truth": "Actual Price", "guess": "Predicted Price"},
width=1000,
height=800,
)
# Assign customdata per trace (one color/category = one trace)
for tr in fig.data:
mask = df["color"] == tr.name
tr.customdata = df.loc[mask, ["hover"]].to_numpy()
tr.hovertemplate = "%{customdata[0]}<extra></extra>"
tr.marker.update(size=6)
# Reference line y=x
fig.add_trace(
go.Scatter(
x=[0, max_val],
y=[0, max_val],
mode="lines",
line=dict(width=2, dash="dash", color="deepskyblue"),
name="y = x",
hoverinfo="skip",
showlegend=False,
)
)
fig.update_xaxes(range=[0, max_val])
fig.update_yaxes(range=[0, max_val])
fig.update_layout(showlegend=False)
fig.show()
def error_trend_chart(self):
n = len(self.errors)
# Running mean and std (pure Python)
running_sums = list(accumulate(self.errors))
x = list(range(1, n + 1))
running_means = [s / i for s, i in zip(running_sums, x)]
running_squares = list(accumulate(e * e for e in self.errors))
running_stds = [
math.sqrt((sq_sum / i) - (mean**2)) if i > 1 else 0
for i, sq_sum, mean in zip(x, running_squares, running_means)
]
# 95% confidence interval for mean
ci = [1.96 * (sd / math.sqrt(i)) if i > 1 else 0 for i, sd in zip(x, running_stds)]
upper = [m + c for m, c in zip(running_means, ci)]
lower = [m - c for m, c in zip(running_means, ci)]
# Plot
fig = go.Figure()
# Shaded confidence interval band
fig.add_trace(
go.Scatter(
x=x + x[::-1],
y=upper + lower[::-1],
fill="toself",
fillcolor="rgba(128,128,128,0.2)",
line=dict(color="rgba(255,255,255,0)"),
hoverinfo="skip",
showlegend=False,
name="95% CI",
)
)
# Main line with hover text showing CI
fig.add_trace(
go.Scatter(
x=x,
y=running_means,
mode="lines",
line=dict(width=3, color="firebrick"),
name="Cumulative Avg Error",
customdata=list(
zip(
ci,
)
),
hovertemplate=(
"n=%{x}<br>"
"Avg Error=$%{y:,.2f}<br>"
"±95% CI=$%{customdata[0]:,.2f}<extra></extra>"
),
)
)
# Title with final stats
final_mean = running_means[-1]
final_ci = ci[-1]
title = f"{self.title} Error: ${final_mean:,.2f} ± ${final_ci:,.2f}"
fig.update_layout(
title=title,
xaxis_title="Number of Datapoints",
yaxis_title="Average Absolute Error ($)",
width=1000,
height=360,
template="plotly_white",
showlegend=False,
)
fig.show()
def report(self):
average_error = sum(self.errors) / self.size
mse = mean_squared_error(self.truths, self.guesses)
r2 = r2_score(self.truths, self.guesses) * 100
title = f"{self.title} results<br><b>Error:</b> ${average_error:,.2f} <b>MSE:</b> {mse:,.0f} <b>r²:</b> {r2:.1f}%"
self.error_trend_chart()
self.chart(title)
def run(self):
with ThreadPoolExecutor(max_workers=self.workers) as ex:
for title, guess, truth, error, color in tqdm(
ex.map(self.run_datapoint, range(self.size)), total=self.size
):
self.titles.append(title)
self.guesses.append(guess)
self.truths.append(truth)
self.errors.append(error)
self.colors.append(color)
print(f"{COLOR_MAP[color]}${error:.0f} ", end="")
self.report()
def evaluate(function, data, size=DEFAULT_SIZE, workers=WORKERS):
Tester(function, data, size=size, workers=workers).run()
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