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KRONECTOR β Data Package
Merge logic for combining FastF1 (2018β2024) and Jolpica (2014β2017) datasets.
Merge key: (season, round, driver_id)
Master driver_id format: FastF1 3-letter abbreviation (e.g., VER, HAM)
This module:
1. Aligns column schemas between both sources
2. Merges championship_standing from Jolpica onto all rows (sole source)
3. Computes safety_car_probability from lap data per circuit
4. Computes driver_form_last3 (rolling avg finish, last 3 races)
5. Adds regulation_era and track_type features
6. Adds win_probability target variable
"""
import logging
from typing import Optional
import numpy as np
import pandas as pd
logger = logging.getLogger(__name__)
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
# Circuit β track_type mapping
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
TRACK_TYPE_MAP = {
# Street circuits
"monaco": "street",
"Monaco Grand Prix": "street",
"baku": "street",
"Azerbaijan Grand Prix": "street",
"marina_bay": "street",
"Singapore Grand Prix": "street",
"vegas": "street",
"Las Vegas Grand Prix": "street",
"jeddah": "street",
"Saudi Arabian Grand Prix": "street",
# Hybrid circuits (semi-permanent / street-like sections)
"albert_park": "hybrid",
"Australian Grand Prix": "hybrid",
"villeneuve": "hybrid",
"Canadian Grand Prix": "hybrid",
"sochi": "hybrid",
"Russian Grand Prix": "hybrid",
"miami": "hybrid",
"Miami Grand Prix": "hybrid",
# Everything else β permanent
}
def _get_track_type(circuit_id: str) -> str:
"""Determine track type from circuit identifier."""
circuit_lower = str(circuit_id).lower()
for key, track_type in TRACK_TYPE_MAP.items():
if key.lower() in circuit_lower:
return track_type
return "permanent"
def compute_pole_conversion_rate(df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame:
"""
Compute historical pole-to-win conversion rate per circuit.
For each circuit, calculates what % of races the pole-sitter went on to win.
This directly encodes "qualifying matters at this track" β e.g.:
- Monaco ~75-80% (almost impossible to overtake)
- Monza ~40-45% (long straights, slipstream, DRS)
Uses only COMPLETED races (requires finish_position data).
Args:
df: Historical race DataFrame with circuit_id, grid_position, finish_position
Returns:
DataFrame with columns (circuit_id, pole_conversion_rate)
"""
if df.empty or "finish_position" not in df.columns:
return pd.DataFrame(columns=["circuit_id", "pole_conversion_rate"])
# Only use rows where we have actual race results
completed = df.dropna(subset=["finish_position"]).copy()
# Get pole-sitters (grid_position == 1) for each race
poles = completed[completed["grid_position"] == 1].copy()
if poles.empty:
return pd.DataFrame(columns=["circuit_id", "pole_conversion_rate"])
poles["pole_won"] = (poles["finish_position"] == 1).astype(int)
global_mean = poles["pole_won"].mean()
C = 3.0 # Confidence weight (pseudo-observations)
# Calculate wins and total poles per circuit
stats = poles.groupby("circuit_id").agg(
wins=("pole_won", "sum"),
total=("pole_won", "count")
).reset_index()
# Apply Bayesian smoothing: pulls low-N circuits towards the global average
stats["pole_conversion_rate"] = (stats["wins"] + C * global_mean) / (stats["total"] + C)
conversion = stats[["circuit_id", "pole_conversion_rate"]]
logger.info(
f"Computed pole_conversion_rate for {len(conversion)} circuits. "
f"Range: {conversion['pole_conversion_rate'].min():.1%} β "
f"{conversion['pole_conversion_rate'].max():.1%}"
)
return conversion
return conversion
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
# Career Race Starts computation
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
def compute_career_race_starts(df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame:
"""
Compute cumulative career race starts for each driver before each race.
This provides an 'experience' feature so the model knows if driver form
is based on a veteran's long track record or a rookie's small sample size.
"""
if df.empty or "driver_id" not in df.columns:
return pd.DataFrame(columns=["season", "round", "driver_id", "career_race_starts"])
# Sort chronologically
df_sorted = df.sort_values(by=["driver_id", "season", "round"]).copy()
# cumcount() gives 0 for the 1st race, 1 for the 2nd, etc.
# This exactly represents 'starts prior to this race'
df_sorted["career_race_starts"] = df_sorted.groupby("driver_id").cumcount()
return df_sorted[["season", "round", "driver_id", "career_race_starts"]]
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
# Safety car probability computation (Correction 2)
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
def compute_safety_car_probability(
lap_data: pd.DataFrame,
) -> pd.DataFrame:
"""
Compute safety car probability per circuit from historical lap data.
Correction 2: Uses fetch_lap_data output.
- Group by circuit_id across all historical seasons
- sc_laps = count of laps where track_status == '4'
- total_laps = total laps at that circuit
- safety_car_probability = sc_laps / total_laps
Args:
lap_data: DataFrame from fastf1_pipeline.fetch_lap_data with columns
(season, round, driver_id, lap_number, track_status, circuit_id)
Returns:
DataFrame with columns (circuit_id, safety_car_probability)
"""
if lap_data.empty:
logger.warning("No lap data available for safety car computation")
return pd.DataFrame(columns=["circuit_id", "safety_car_probability"])
# Deduplicate: one entry per (circuit_id, season, round, lap_number)
# Multiple drivers may have different track_status on same lap;
# any driver seeing SC means SC was deployed
lap_circuit = lap_data.copy()
# Group by circuit
circuit_stats = []
for circuit_id, group in lap_circuit.groupby("circuit_id"):
# Unique laps per race (not per driver)
race_laps = group.drop_duplicates(
subset=["season", "round", "lap_number"]
)
total_laps = len(race_laps)
sc_laps = len(
race_laps[race_laps["track_status"].astype(str) == "4"]
)
sc_prob = sc_laps / total_laps if total_laps > 0 else 0.0
circuit_stats.append(
{
"circuit_id": circuit_id,
"safety_car_probability": round(sc_prob, 4),
}
)
result = pd.DataFrame(circuit_stats)
logger.info(
f"Computed safety_car_probability for {len(result)} circuits"
)
return result
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
# Driver form computation (rolling avg finish, last 3 races)
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
def compute_driver_form(df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame:
"""
Compute driver_form_last3: rolling average finish position over last 3 races.
The DataFrame MUST be sorted by (season, round) before calling this.
Computes per driver using shift to avoid data leakage (only past races).
Args:
df: Merged DataFrame sorted by (season, round, grid_position)
Returns:
Same DataFrame with driver_form_last3 column added
"""
df = df.sort_values(["season", "round", "driver_id"]).copy()
# Compute rolling mean of finish_position per driver (last 3 races)
df["driver_form_last3"] = (
df.groupby("driver_id")["finish_position"]
.transform(lambda x: x.shift(1).rolling(window=3, min_periods=1).mean())
)
return df
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
# Main merge function
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
def merge_datasets(
fastf1_df: pd.DataFrame,
jolpica_df: pd.DataFrame,
lap_data: pd.DataFrame,
standings_df: Optional[pd.DataFrame] = None,
) -> pd.DataFrame:
"""
Merge FastF1 and Jolpica datasets into a unified dataset.
Steps:
1. Align column schemas (union of all columns)
2. pd.concat([jolpica_df, fastf1_df])
3. Sort by (season, round, grid_position)
4. Add regulation_era: 2014β2021 β hybrid_era, 2022β2024 β ground_effect_era
5. Add track_type from circuit mapping
6. Join championship_standing from Jolpica (sole source β Correction 1)
7. Compute driver_form_last3 (rolling avg finish, last 3 races)
8. Compute safety_car_probability from lap data (Correction 2)
9. Add win_probability target (1 if finish_position == 1, else 0)
10. Validate telemetry_available flag integrity
Args:
fastf1_df: DataFrame from fastf1_pipeline (2018β2024)
jolpica_df: DataFrame from jolpica_pipeline (2014β2017)
lap_data: DataFrame from fastf1_pipeline.fetch_lap_data
standings_df: Optional championship standings from Jolpica for all years
Returns:
Unified DataFrame ready for feature engineering
"""
logger.info("Starting dataset merge...")
fastf1_df = fastf1_df.copy()
jolpica_df = jolpica_df.copy()
# -------------------------------------------------------------------
# Step 1β2: Align schemas and concatenate
# -------------------------------------------------------------------
# Ensure both DataFrames have the same columns
all_columns = set(fastf1_df.columns) | set(jolpica_df.columns)
for col in all_columns:
if col not in fastf1_df.columns:
fastf1_df[col] = np.nan
if col not in jolpica_df.columns:
jolpica_df[col] = np.nan
# Reorder columns to match
col_order = sorted(all_columns)
fastf1_df = fastf1_df[col_order]
jolpica_df = jolpica_df[col_order]
merged = pd.concat([jolpica_df, fastf1_df], ignore_index=True)
logger.info(
f"Concatenated: {len(jolpica_df)} Jolpica + {len(fastf1_df)} FastF1 "
f"= {len(merged)} total rows"
)
# -------------------------------------------------------------------
# Step 3: Sort chronologically
# -------------------------------------------------------------------
merged = merged.sort_values(
["season", "round", "grid_position"]
).reset_index(drop=True)
# -------------------------------------------------------------------
# Step 4: Add regulation_era
# -------------------------------------------------------------------
merged["regulation_era"] = merged["season"].apply(
lambda s: "agile_era" if s >= 2026 else ("ground_effect_era" if s >= 2022 else "hybrid_era")
)
# -------------------------------------------------------------------
# Step 5: Add track_type
# -------------------------------------------------------------------
merged["track_type"] = merged["circuit_id"].apply(_get_track_type)
# -------------------------------------------------------------------
# Step 6: Join championship_standing (Correction 1 β sole source: Jolpica)
# -------------------------------------------------------------------
if standings_df is not None and not standings_df.empty:
# Drop any existing championship_standing before merge
if "championship_standing" in merged.columns:
# Keep Jolpica-sourced standings from backfill rows
fastf1_mask = merged["telemetry_available"] == True # noqa: E712
merged.loc[fastf1_mask, "championship_standing"] = np.nan
else:
merged["championship_standing"] = np.nan
# Merge standings for FastF1 rows
standings_cols = ["season", "round", "driver_id", "championship_standing"]
standings_clean = standings_df[standings_cols].drop_duplicates(
subset=["season", "round", "driver_id"]
)
# Only merge onto rows that don't already have standings
needs_standings = merged["championship_standing"].isna()
logger.debug(f"Driver IDs in merged: {set(merged.get('driver_id', []))}")
logger.debug(f"Driver IDs in standings: {set(standings_clean.get('driver_id', []))}")
if needs_standings.any():
merged = merged.merge(
standings_clean,
on=["season", "round", "driver_id"],
how="left",
suffixes=("", "_jolpica"),
)
# Fill NaN championship_standing with Jolpica values
if "championship_standing_jolpica" in merged.columns:
merged["championship_standing"] = merged[
"championship_standing"
].fillna(merged["championship_standing_jolpica"])
merged = merged.drop(columns=["championship_standing_jolpica"])
logger.info("Joined championship_standing from Jolpica")
else:
logger.warning(
"No standings_df provided β championship_standing may be incomplete"
)
# -------------------------------------------------------------------
# Step 7: Compute driver_form_last3
# -------------------------------------------------------------------
merged = compute_driver_form(merged)
logger.info("Computed driver_form_last3")
# -------------------------------------------------------------------
# Step 8: Compute safety_car_probability (Correction 2)
# -------------------------------------------------------------------
if not lap_data.empty:
sc_prob = compute_safety_car_probability(lap_data)
if not sc_prob.empty:
if "safety_car_probability" in merged.columns:
merged = merged.drop(columns=["safety_car_probability"])
merged = merged.merge(sc_prob, on="circuit_id", how="left")
# Fill circuits without lap data (Jolpica years) with 0
merged["safety_car_probability"] = merged.get("safety_car_probability", pd.Series(np.nan, index=merged.index)).fillna(0.0)
logger.info("Joined safety_car_probability from lap data")
else:
merged["safety_car_probability"] = 0.0
logger.warning(
"No lap data β safety_car_probability set to 0 for all rows"
)
# -------------------------------------------------------------------
# Step 8.3: Compute career_race_starts per driver
# -------------------------------------------------------------------
starts_df = compute_career_race_starts(merged)
if not starts_df.empty:
if "career_race_starts" in merged.columns:
merged = merged.drop(columns=["career_race_starts"])
merged = merged.merge(starts_df, on=["season", "round", "driver_id"], how="left")
merged["career_race_starts"] = merged["career_race_starts"].fillna(0)
logger.info("Joined career_race_starts from cumulative history")
else:
merged["career_race_starts"] = 0
logger.warning("Could not compute career_race_starts β defaulting to 0")
# -------------------------------------------------------------------
# Step 8.5: Compute pole_conversion_rate per circuit
# -------------------------------------------------------------------
pcr = compute_pole_conversion_rate(merged)
if not pcr.empty:
if "pole_conversion_rate" in merged.columns:
merged = merged.drop(columns=["pole_conversion_rate"])
merged = merged.merge(pcr, on="circuit_id", how="left")
# Circuits with no data default to 50% (neutral)
merged["pole_conversion_rate"] = merged["pole_conversion_rate"].fillna(0.5)
logger.info("Joined pole_conversion_rate from historical data")
else:
merged["pole_conversion_rate"] = 0.5
logger.warning("Could not compute pole_conversion_rate β defaulting to 0.5")
# -------------------------------------------------------------------
# Step 9: Add target variable
# -------------------------------------------------------------------
merged["win_probability"] = (
merged["finish_position"] == 1
).astype(int)
# -------------------------------------------------------------------
# Step 10: Validate telemetry_available flag
# -------------------------------------------------------------------
# Fix PyArrow Parquet conversion error by explicitly casting to boolean
merged["telemetry_available"] = merged["telemetry_available"].fillna(False).astype(bool)
fastf1_rows = merged[merged["telemetry_available"] == True] # noqa: E712
jolpica_rows = merged[merged["telemetry_available"] == False] # noqa: E712
# FastF1 rows should have season >= 2018
bad_fastf1 = fastf1_rows[fastf1_rows["season"] < 2018]
if not bad_fastf1.empty:
logger.error(
f"INTEGRITY ERROR: {len(bad_fastf1)} rows with "
f"telemetry_available=True but season < 2018"
)
# Jolpica rows should have season <= 2017
bad_jolpica = jolpica_rows[jolpica_rows["season"] > 2017]
if not bad_jolpica.empty:
logger.warning(
f"Note: {len(bad_jolpica)} Jolpica rows with season > 2017 "
f"(standings-only merge β expected)"
)
logger.info(
f"\nMerge complete: {len(merged)} total rows\n"
f" FastF1 (telemetry=True): {len(fastf1_rows)}\n"
f" Jolpica (telemetry=False): {len(jolpica_rows)}\n"
f" Seasons: {merged['season'].min()}β{merged['season'].max()}\n"
f" Races: {merged.groupby(['season', 'round']).ngroups}\n"
f" Win rate: {merged['win_probability'].mean():.3f}"
)
return merged
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
# Convenience: full pipeline runner
# ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
def run_full_pipeline(
fastf1_start: int = 2018,
fastf1_end: int = 2026,
jolpica_start: int = 2014,
jolpica_end: int = 2017,
) -> pd.DataFrame:
"""
Run the complete data pipeline: FastF1 + Jolpica + merge.
This is the main entry point for building the full dataset.
Returns:
Unified DataFrame ready for feature engineering.
"""
from data.fastf1_pipeline import build_full_dataset as build_fastf1
from data.jolpica_pipeline import (
build_jolpica_dataset,
fetch_all_standings,
)
# 1. Build FastF1 dataset
logger.info("Step 1: Building FastF1 dataset...")
fastf1_df, lap_data = build_fastf1(fastf1_start, fastf1_end)
# 2. Build Jolpica backfill
logger.info("Step 2: Building Jolpica dataset...")
jolpica_df = build_jolpica_dataset(jolpica_start, jolpica_end)
# 3. Fetch all standings from Jolpica (sole source)
logger.info("Step 3: Fetching all championship standings...")
standings_df = fetch_all_standings(fastf1_start, fastf1_end)
# 4. Merge
logger.info("Step 4: Merging datasets...")
merged = merge_datasets(fastf1_df, jolpica_df, lap_data, standings_df)
return merged
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