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import json
import os
from dotenv import load_dotenv
from loguru import logger
load_dotenv()
_DEMO_MODE = False
def is_demo_mode() -> bool:
return _DEMO_MODE
DEMO_MARKETS = [
{
"slug": "demo-nyc-high-above-87f",
"title": "Will the high temperature in New York City exceed 87°F?",
"yes_price": 0.30,
"no_price": 0.70,
"volume": 15200,
"city": "New York",
},
{
"slug": "demo-miami-high-above-95f",
"title": "Will the high temperature in Miami exceed 95°F?",
"yes_price": 0.62,
"no_price": 0.38,
"volume": 8400,
"city": "Miami",
},
{
"slug": "demo-london-high-above-75f",
"title": "Will the high temperature in London exceed 75°F?",
"yes_price": 0.45,
"no_price": 0.55,
"volume": 6100,
"city": "London",
},
{
"slug": "demo-tokyo-high-above-90f",
"title": "Will the high temperature in Tokyo exceed 90°F?",
"yes_price": 0.71,
"no_price": 0.29,
"volume": 9800,
"city": "Tokyo",
},
{
"slug": "demo-la-high-above-85f",
"title": "Will the high temperature in Los Angeles exceed 85°F?",
"yes_price": 0.55,
"no_price": 0.45,
"volume": 11300,
"city": "Los Angeles",
},
]
def _run_pm(args: list[str]) -> dict | list | None:
account = os.getenv("PM_TRADER_ACCOUNT", "weather_agent")
data_dir = os.getenv("PM_TRADER_DATA_DIR", "./results/paper_trades")
cmd = ["pm-trader", "--account", account, "--data-dir", data_dir, *args]
try:
result = subprocess.run(cmd, capture_output=True, text=True, timeout=60)
if result.returncode != 0:
logger.warning(f"pm-trader error: {result.stderr.strip()}")
return None
return json.loads(result.stdout)
except (subprocess.TimeoutExpired, json.JSONDecodeError, FileNotFoundError) as e:
logger.error(f"pm-trader call failed: {e}")
return None
_GAMMA_FAILED = False
def _fetch_gamma_api(endpoint: str, params: dict | None = None) -> dict | list | None:
global _GAMMA_FAILED
if _GAMMA_FAILED:
return None
import requests as req
try:
resp = req.get(
f"https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/{endpoint}",
params=params,
timeout=(5, 10),
)
resp.raise_for_status()
return resp.json()
except Exception as e:
logger.debug(f"Gamma API call failed: {e}")
_GAMMA_FAILED = True
return None
def _set_demo_mode():
global _DEMO_MODE
_DEMO_MODE = True
logger.warning("Polymarket API unavailable — using demo market data")
def _is_weather_market(market: dict) -> bool:
import re
title = str(market.get("title") or market.get("question") or "")
slug = str(market.get("slug") or "")
text = (title + " " + slug).lower()
city_patterns = [r"\bnew york\b", r"\bnyc\b", r"\blondon\b", r"\bmiami\b",
r"\btokyo\b", r"\blos angeles\b", r"\bla\b"]
weather_patterns = [r"\btemperature\b", r"\bweather\b", r"°f", r"\bdegree",
r"\bhigh\b", r"\blow\b", r"\bforecast\b", r"\bcelsius\b",
r"\bfahrenheit\b", r"\btemp\b", r"\brain\b", r"\bsnow\b",
r"\bwind\b", r"\bhumidity\b"]
has_city = any(re.search(p, text) for p in city_patterns)
has_weather = any(re.search(p, text) for p in weather_patterns)
return has_city or has_weather
def search_weather_markets() -> list[dict]:
global _DEMO_MODE
_DEMO_MODE = False
try:
gamma_result = _fetch_gamma_api("markets", {
"active": "true",
"closed": "false",
"limit": 500,
})
if gamma_result and isinstance(gamma_result, list):
found = []
seen_slugs = set()
for market in gamma_result:
if not _is_weather_market(market):
continue
slug = market.get("slug", "")
if slug not in seen_slugs:
seen_slugs.add(slug)
prices = _parse_json_field(market.get("outcomePrices"))
found.append({
"slug": slug,
"title": market.get("question", slug),
"yes_price": float(prices[0]) if prices and len(prices) > 0 else None,
"no_price": float(prices[1]) if prices and len(prices) > 1 else None,
"volume": market.get("volume24hr", 0),
})
if found:
logger.info(f"Found {len(found)} weather-related markets on Polymarket")
return found
except Exception as e:
logger.warning(f"Gamma API search failed: {e}")
_set_demo_mode()
logger.info(f"Using {len(DEMO_MARKETS)} demo markets as fallback")
return list(DEMO_MARKETS)
def get_market_odds(market_slug: str) -> dict | None:
global _DEMO_MODE
if not market_slug:
return None
if _DEMO_MODE:
for m in DEMO_MARKETS:
if m["slug"] == market_slug:
return {
"slug": market_slug,
"yes_price": m["yes_price"],
"no_price": m["no_price"],
"spread": None,
"volume": m["volume"],
}
return None
try:
gamma_result = _fetch_gamma_api("markets", {"slug": market_slug})
if gamma_result and isinstance(gamma_result, list) and len(gamma_result) > 0:
m = gamma_result[0]
prices = _parse_json_field(m.get("outcomePrices"))
_DEMO_MODE = False
return {
"slug": market_slug,
"yes_price": float(prices[0]) if prices and len(prices) > 0 else None,
"no_price": float(prices[1]) if prices and len(prices) > 1 else None,
"spread": None,
"volume": m.get("volume24hr", 0),
}
except Exception as e:
logger.warning(f"Gamma API odds fetch failed for {market_slug}: {e}")
for m in DEMO_MARKETS:
if m["slug"] == market_slug:
logger.info(f"Using demo odds for {market_slug}")
_set_demo_mode()
return {
"slug": market_slug,
"yes_price": m["yes_price"],
"no_price": m["no_price"],
"spread": None,
"volume": m["volume"],
}
return None
def get_portfolio() -> dict | None:
result = _run_pm(["portfolio"])
if result and isinstance(result, dict) and result.get("ok"):
return result.get("data")
return None
def get_stats() -> dict | None:
result = _run_pm(["stats"])
if result and isinstance(result, dict) and result.get("ok"):
return result.get("data")
return None
def get_trade_history(limit: int = 50) -> list | None:
result = _run_pm(["history", "--limit", str(limit)])
if result and isinstance(result, dict) and result.get("ok"):
data = result.get("data", [])
return data if isinstance(data, list) else []
return None
def init_account(balance: float = 10000.0) -> bool:
account = os.getenv("PM_TRADER_ACCOUNT", "weather_agent")
data_dir = os.getenv("PM_TRADER_DATA_DIR", "./results/paper_trades")
os.makedirs(data_dir, exist_ok=True)
cmd = ["pm-trader", "--account", account, "--data-dir", data_dir, "init", "--balance", str(balance)]
try:
result = subprocess.run(cmd, capture_output=True, text=True, timeout=15)
success = result.returncode == 0
if success:
logger.success(f"Paper account '{account}' initialized with ${balance:,.0f}")
else:
if "already exists" in result.stderr.lower():
logger.info(f"Account '{account}' already exists, skipping init")
return True
logger.warning(f"Account init issue: {result.stderr.strip()}")
return success
except Exception as e:
logger.error(f"Account init failed: {e}")
return False
def _parse_json_field(value) -> list:
if isinstance(value, list):
return value
if isinstance(value, str):
try:
return json.loads(value)
except (json.JSONDecodeError, TypeError):
pass
return []
def summarize_markets(markets: list[dict]) -> str:
if not markets:
return "No weather markets found on Polymarket currently."
lines = ["=== Active Weather Markets ==="]
for m in markets[:10]:
title = m.get("title") or m.get("question") or m.get("slug", "Unknown")
slug = m.get("slug", "?")
volume = m.get("volume") or m.get("volume24hr") or 0
yes_price = m.get("yes_price")
if yes_price is None:
prices = m.get("outcome_prices") or _parse_json_field(m.get("outcomePrices"))
yes_price = f"{float(prices[0]):.3f}" if prices else "?"
lines.append(f" [{slug}] {title}")
lines.append(f" YES: {yes_price} | Volume: ${volume:,.0f}")
return "\n".join(lines)
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